vii TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENT iv ABSTRACT v ABSTRAK vi TABLE OF CONTENTS vii LIST OF TABLES xii LIST OF FIGURE xiii GLOSSARY OF TERMS xiv LIST OF APPENDICES xv 1.0 Introduction 1 1.2 Background of Problem 1 1.3 Problem Statement 3 1.3.1 The Gases Emission Production Factor 3 1.3.2 Mode of Transport 5 1.3.3 Share factor 7 1.3.3.1 Landuse distribution and Urban Sprawl 7 1.3.3.2 Culture and riders profile 8 1.4 Research Question 8 1.5 Aim of Research 10 1.6 Research Objective 10 1.7 Significance of Research 11 1.8 Research Design 12 1.9 Expected Contribution 13 viii 1.10 Study Limitation 13 1.11 Summary 14 2.0 Literature Review 15 2.2 Urban Transportation 16 2.3 Trip Generation 17 2.4 Trip Generation Analysis 18 2.4.1 Zonal Least Squares Regression Analysis 19 2.4.1.1 20 2.5 Regression Analysis Equation 2.4.2 Category Analysis 21 2.4.3 Zonal Least Regression Analysis vs Category Analysis 22 Modal Split in Urban Transportation 22 2.5.1 Riders Profiles in Urban Transportation 23 2.5.2 The Characteristics in Urban Transport 25 2.5.3 Methods Use in Analyzing Urban Transport 26 2.5.3.1 Inferential Analysis 26 2.5.3.2 Descriptive Analysis 29 2.5.3.3 Comparison Between Inferential and Descriptive Analysis 2.6 2.7 30 Gases Emission in Urban Transport 31 2.6.1 Type of Carbon Footprints Considered as GHG Emission 32 2.6.2 Energy Consumption in Malaysia 32 2.6.3 Carbon Emission for Urban Transport 34 2.6.4 Method of Measuring Emission Production 36 2.6.4.1 By Vehicle Activities 36 2.6.4.2 By Fuel Consumption Method 37 Summary 39 ix 3.0 Research Methodology 40 3.1 Introduction 40 3.2 Methodology 40 3.2.1 Category Analysis Method 41 3.2.2 Inferential Analysis 43 3.2.3 Fuel Consumption Method 44 3.3 Data Sources 47 3.3.1 Primary Data 48 3.3.1.1 Data Collection Procedures 48 3.3.1.1.1 Sampling Method 48 3.3.1.1.2 Sampling Design 49 3.3.1.1.3 Sample Size 50 3.3.1.1.4 Location Time 50 3.3.2 3.4 4.0 Secondary Data Summary 52 52 Analysis and Findings 53 4.1 Iskandar Malaysia Region Profile 53 4.2 4.1.1 Flagship Zones 54 4.1.2 Location 55 4.1.3 Population 56 4.1.4 Employment 58 Analysis 60 4.2.1 Riders Profile 62 4.2.1.1 Gender 62 4.2.1.2 Age Group 63 4.2.1.3 Employment and Income Level 64 4.2.1.4 Vehicle Ownership 67 Trip Making Performance 69 4.2.2.1 Zonal Activities 69 4.2.2 x 4.2.2.2 Trip Purpose 4.3 4.2.3 Perspectives on Public Transportation 72 4.2.4 Emission Contribution Factors 75 5.0 4.2.4.1 Type of Fuel 75 4.2.4.2 Frequency of refuel activities 77 4.2.4.3 Fuel Cost 78 Findings 80 4.3.1 Relationship between income level and vehicle ownership 80 4.3.2 Monthly Emission Production in Iskandar Malaysia 82 4.3.3 Business As Usual (BAU) Implication 84 4.3.4 Based on Scenario (BOS) Projection 88 4.3.4.1 Modal Share 50-50 88 4.3.4.2 Modal Share 40-60 89 4.3.5 4.4 71 Impact of Public Transportation Services Summary 90 93 Recommendations and Conclusion 94 5.1 94 Introduction 5.1.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 Achieving Objective 1 5.1.1.1 Emission Monitoring Board and Displays 95 5.1.1.2 Charge Per Trip 95 Achieving Objective 2 5.1.2.1 Fuel Switch 97 5.1.2.2 Increase LPG supply station 97 Achieving Objective 3 5.1.3.1 Reduce Modal Split to 40:60 (Private: Public) 5.1.4 98 Achieving Objective 4 5.1.4.1 Promotion of Green Transport 100 5.1.4.2 Improvement of Public Transportation Services 101 xi 5.1.5 5.2 Achieving Objective 5 5.1.5.1 Encourages Integrated Landuse Development 103 5.1.5.2 One Vehicle One Family Concept 104 Conclusion 105 REFERENCES 106 APPENDIX A QUESTIONNAIRE 108 xii LIST OF TABLES Table 1-1 Table 1-2 Table 2-1 Table 2-2 Table 2-3 Table 2-4 Table 3-1 Table 3-2 Table 3-3 Table 3-4 Table 3-5 Table 3-6 Table 3-7 Table 4-1 Table 4-2 Table 4-3 Table 4-4 Table 4-5 Table 4-6 Table 4-7 Table 4-8 Table 4-9 Table 4-10 Table 4-11 Table 4-12 Table 4-13 Table 4-14 Table 4-15 Table 4-16 Table 4-17 Table 4-18 Table 4-19 Table 4-20 Table 4-21 Table 4-22 - First Quarter Year 2010 (Vehicle registered) Second Quarter Year 2010 (Vehicle registered) Correlation Degree Result Energy Demands Carbon Measure Emission From Vehicles Activities Level of Income Car Ownership Family Structure Zoning Fuel Type Pollutants Type Fuel Conversion Population 2010 Employment Rate 2010 Gender Respondent`s Age Employment Status Income Level Cross Tabulation Income Vehicle Ownership Trip Origin Perspectives on public services Reason on Using Own Vehicle Fuel Type Fuel Market Price Weekly Refuel Activities Refuel Amount Cross Tabulation Income Level Gamma Result Travel Distance Emission Production Emission Distribution BAU Relationship Between Public and Private 4 4 29 33 35 36 41 42 42 44 44 45 46 57 59 62 63 65 65 66 68 70 73 73 75 76 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 92 xiii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1-1 Figure 1-2 Figure 2-1 Figure 2-2 Figure 3-1 Figure 4-1 Figure 4-2 Figure 4-3 Figure 4-4 Figure 4-5 Figure 4-6 Figure 4-7 Figure 4-8 Figure 4-9 Figure 4-10 Figure 4-11 Figure 4-12 Figure 4-13 Figure 4-14 Figure 4-15 - Traffic Condition in Iskandar region Research Design Trip Generation Energy Demands Data Sources Flagship Zones Highway Access Age Distribution 2010 Respondents` Age Cross Tabulation Income Origin Destination Trip Destination Fuel Market Price Refuel Activities BAU in years BAU in 2012-2025 BAU in vehicles numbers Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Reason Use Private Vehicles 6 12 18 33 47 54 55 56 64 67 70 71 74 77 86 86 87 88 90 91 xiv GLOSSARY OF TERMS IRDA - Iskandar Region Development Authority JPBD - Jabatan Perancangan Bandar Dan Desa MIROS - Malaysian Institute of Road Safety NPP - National Physical Plan BAU - Business As Usual BOS - Based On Scenario JPJ - Jabatan Pengangkutan Jalan xv LIST OF APPENDICES APPENDIX TITLE PAGE A Questionnaire 108