Anna Elizabeth Tuchman tuchman@stanford.edu • (720) 560-5431 • stanford.edu/∼tuchman Stanford Graduate School of Business 655 Knight Way Stanford, CA 94305 Education • Stanford University Graduate School of Business, Ph.D. Candidate in Quantitative Marketing Stanford, CA 2011 – Present • University of Pennsylvania College of Arts and Sciences, B.A. Philadelphia, PA 2005 – 2009 – Majors: Mathematics, Economics with Honors, and Hispanic Studies – Academic Honors: Phi Beta Kappa, Summa Cum Laude, Simon Kuznets Fellowship Award in Economics Research Interests • Quantitative Marketing • Empirical Industrial Organization • Advertising: Addictive Goods, Addressable TV Markets, Ad Skipping, Digital Advertising • Policy and Regulation Working Papers • Advertising and Demand for Addictive Goods: The Effects of E-Cigarette Advertising Job Market Paper • Complementarities in Consumption and the Consumer Demand for Advertising Joint with Harikesh S. Nair and Pedro Gardete – Under Review Recipients of a Wharton Customer Analytics Initiative Data Grant Conference Presentations • Quantitative Marketing and Economics, Los Angeles, CA October 2014 • Marketing Science, Atlanta, GA June 2014 • Trans-Atlantic Doctoral Conference, London, UK May 2014 • Wharton Customer Analytics Symposium, Philadelphia, PA June 2013 Teaching Experience • Public Policy 303D: Applied Econometrics for Public Policy Teaching Assistant for Professor Stephan Seiler Stanford, CA Spring 2013, Winter 2014 Work Experience • Cornerstone Research Analyst, Economic Litigation Consulting San Francisco, CA October 2009 – July 2011 • CIGNA International Intern, Actuarial Executive Development Program Philadelphia, PA May 2008 – August 2008 PhD Coursework Course Description Instructors CS 106A Econ 202 Econ 203 Econ 204 Econ 257 Econ 258 Econ 260 Econ 282 GsbGen 641 GsbGen 646 MgtEcon 601 MgtEcon 603 MgtEcon 604 MgtEcon 605 MgtEcon 640 Mktg 642 Mktg 644 Mktg 645 Mktg 646 OB 622 Programming Methodology Core Microeconomics 1 Core Microeconomics 2 Core Microeconomics 3 Industrial Organization 1 Industrial Organization 2A Industrial Organization 3 Contracts, Information, and Incentives Advanced Empirical Methods Behavioral Decision Making Microeconomic Analysis 2 Econometric Methods 1 Econometric Methods 2 Econometric Methods 3 Quantitative Methods for Empirical Research Consumer Behavior Quantitative Research in Marketing Empirical Analysis of Dynamic Decision Contexts Bayesian Methods Topics in Social Network Analysis Tom Hurlbutt, Yves Lu Ilya Segal Doug Bernheim Matt Jackson Liran Einav, Jakub Kastl Michael Dickstein, Jakub Kastl Tim Bresnahan, Liran Einav Ilya Segal Wes Hartmann Itamar Simonson Bob Wilson Ken Singleton Ali Yurukoglu Peter Reiss Guido Imbens Uzma Khan Marketing Faculty Harikesh Nair Sridhar Narayanan Sharique Hasan Personal Profile • Computer Skills: Matlab, Stata, SAS, LATEX, basic Java • Languages: Conversational Spanish, basic Greek References • Harikesh Nair (Principal Advisor) Professor of Marketing Stanford Graduate School of Business hnair@stanford.edu (650) 736-4256 • Wes Hartmann Professor of Marketing Stanford Graduate School of Business wesleyr@stanford.edu (650) 725-2311 • Pedro Gardete Assistant Professor of Marketing Stanford Graduate School of Business gardete@stanford.edu (650) 725-1735 Dissertation Research Abstracts • Advertising and Demand for Addictive Goods: The Effects of E-Cigarette Advertising Job Market Paper Although TV advertising for traditional cigarettes has been banned since 1971, advertising for electronic cigarettes remains unregulated. The effects of e-cigarette ads have been heavily debated by policymakers and the media, though empirical analysis of the market has been limited. To analyze the question, I leverage access to county-level sales and advertising data on cigarettes and related tobacco products, along with detailed data on the consumption behavior of a panel of households. I exploit a discontinuity in advertising along television market borders to present descriptive evidence that suggests that e-cigarette advertising reduces aggregate demand for traditional cigarettes. Analyzing household purchase data, I find that individuals reduce their consumption of traditional cigarettes after buying e-cigarettes, further suggesting that the products are substitutes. I then specify a structural model of demand for cigarettes that incorporates addiction and allows for heterogeneity across households. The model enables me to leverage the information content of both datasets to identify variation in tastes across markets and the state dependence induced on choice by addiction. I show how the model can be estimated linking both datasets in a unified estimation procedure. Using the demand model estimates, I evaluate the impact of a proposed ban on e-cigarette television advertising. I find that in the absence of e-cigarette advertising, demand for traditional cigarettes would increase, suggesting that a ban on e-cigarette advertising may have unintended consequences. • Complementarities in Consumption and the Consumer Demand for Advertising Joint with Harikesh S. Nair and Pedro Gardete The standard paradigm in the empirical literature is to treat consumers as passive recipients of advertising, with the level of ad exposure determined by firms’ targeting technology and the intensity of advertising supplied in the market. This paradigm ignores the fact that consumers may actively choose their consumption of advertising. Endogenous consumption of advertising is common. Consumers can easily choose to change channels to avoid TV ads, click away from paid online video ads, or discard direct mail without reading advertised details. Becker and Murphy (1993) recognized this aspect of demand for advertising and argued that advertising should be treated as a good in consumers’ utility functions, thereby effectively creating a role for consumer choice over advertising consumption. They argued that in many cases demand for advertising and demand for products may be linked by complementarities in joint consumption. We leverage access to an unusually rich dataset that links the TV ad consumption behavior of a panel of consumers with their product choice behavior over a long time horizon to measure the co-determination of demand for products and ads. The data suggests an active role for consumer choice of ads, and for complementarities in joint demand. To interpret the patterns in the data, we fit a structural model for both products and advertising consumption that allows for such complementarities. We explain how complementarities are identified. Interpreting the data through the lens of the model enables a precise characterization of the treatment effect of advertising under such endogenous non-compliance, and assessments of the value of targeting advertising. To illustrate the value of the model, we compare advertising, prices and consumer welfare to a series of counterfactual scenarios motivated by the “addressable” future of TV ad-markets in which targeting advertising and prices on the basis of ad-viewing and product purchase behavior is possible. We find that both profits and net consumer welfare can increase, suggesting that it may be possible that both firms and consumers are better off in the new addressable TV environments. We believe our analysis hold implications for interpreting ad-effects in empirical work generally, and for the assessment of ad-effectiveness in many market settings. Last Updated: June 2015