Interfield Microeconomics Ph.D. Qualification Examination Examiners: Borcherding and Denzau January 25, 2012/100 points/Five Hours You have one hour to read and outline your thoughts on this examination, and another four hours to answer the questions on official qual exam paper. Carefully follow all directions. Note: There is no Section B and that Section D is an alternative to Section C. Write legibly and use your time economically. Good luck. Section A1: Simple Microeconomics (30 points) Answer question A1-1 and any four questions of the remaining eight questions below: A1-1) When two goods, X and Y, are similar, but differ in time costs per unit consumed, e.g. an evening meal, full prices will differ. a. Predict the change in the ratio of consumption of X and Y, when X is at-home consumption and Y is at-restaurant consumption as wage rises. b. Is the analysis commensurate with the Alchian-Allen apples example? c. What do you do about the pesky third good? A1-2) The Wooster Wonko Works is embedded in a competitive industry. It and all its (near identical) competitors are hit with a new capital services tax. Describe the path from the old to new equilibrium, both for WWW and the industry. Show both WWW’s cost functions and the industry’s supply curves. A1-3) The Peyton Pencil Co. operates on Scribbler’s Island, where, by a quirk of ancient colonial law, it enjoys a total monopoly on the sale of pencils to inhabitants. The latter are prohibited under dire penalties from importing foreign pencils. PPC sells pencils to the world market, however, where the price of a box of 10 is $2 in U.S. funds. The colonial government of Scribbler’s is worried that the domestic price of pencils is too high, so offers PPC $1 per box subsidy for its domestic sales. Describe the price, output, and welfare effects of this subsidy. A1-4) True, false, or uncertain: If a firm faces the same per unit price for both of its inputs, it is more likely to use them in equal amounts than if the prices are very different. If false, are there circumstances where the statement would be true? A1-5) Doctors in private practices in California are generally paid on a fee-for-services basis. At Kaiser Permanente, however, they are strictly on salary, though they are rewarded for 1 overtime work. Does that mean Kaiser doctors are lazier and more careless than doctors, say, affiliated in Blue Cross California, who are paid per unit of services provided? A1-6) Lord Jim Dandy is the Proconsul of Newtonia. His subjects consume only three goods, X, Y, and N, where N is leisure. He taxes the first two, but has no way of taxing the latter. Jim is told by his economic advisors that X is a strong complement of N, whereas Y is a strong substitute for it. Jim is a tyrant, but not interested in making his subjects any more unhappy than they already are at the high taxes levied to support his profligate government. Currently the tax rates on X and Y are equal, 35%. His economists make a suggestion to alter the rates. What will they say? A1-7) Capital services are very durable, but can change if market conditions dictate. Currently, in San Bernardino County and many other areas of the U.S., the housing stock is hugely excessive due to the collapse of the mortgage market some recent time ago. There is serious pressure on the Obama Administration to “bail out” the U.S. housing industry in the short-run. Describe the equilibrium path such an intervention implies, paying attention not only to short- and long-run, but to stocks, flows, and expectations. A1-8) A firm in a competitive industry discovers a major technical breakthrough in the production of X that doubles the productivity of its labor. How are wages affected if this technique is patentable and how are wages affected if no patent is possible? A1-9) If one wants a "back of the envelope" calculation for the effect on competitive price in a constant cost industry of a change in wages, you just multiply the percentage change of the latter by its share of industry cost times price. If, however, one wants a more nuanced measure, one needs a localized production function to plug in to get an analytic solution. That second change will always be smaller than the first. Why so? 2 Section A2: New Institutional Economics and Political Economy (30 points) Answer A2-1 and any four of the remaining seven questions below: A2-1) The size of firm obviously is dependent upon neo-classical issues such as relative factor prices and its production function mapping (which captures the division of labor and specialization economics, as well as the level of technology). Economists from Adam Smith to Ronald Coase and Oliver Williamson, however, suggest that the economics of coordination and control are hugely important, too. True, false, or uncertain: if it were not for the “transactions” issues, all firms would be the same, and there would not be hierarchal firms at all. A2-2) Firms typically reject as employees job candidates who are “over-qualified.” a. Why is this and is it efficient? b. Would this persist if these exclusions were in the midst of a severe dislocation in an economy, such as today’s? A2-3) The empirical contribution of behavioral economics has suggested that people are not nearly as rational as neo-classical assumptions imply. Behavioralists are suggesting public sector interventions to correct these failings. It has been discovered, however, that Frederick Hayek argued fifty years ago that although men and women indulge in behavior that is foolish and often rash, private institutions develop without centralized coordination to constrain these ill considered actions, at least to some extent. Some are calling this the Coasean approach to socio-economics. What are the strengths and limitations in the Hayekian approach to human frailty? A2-4) John Lott argued in a memorial conference a decade ago honoring the late Mancur Olson that the policy behavior of autocracies should not differ greatly than for democracies, except for the distribution of rents. Predict the reaction of the other four members of the panel (one of whom is grading this qual) using your understanding of the public choice of autocracy vs. democracies. A2-5) The late George Stigler argued that the study of public policy by economists should only tred on positive-predictive issues, since normative suggestions were near useless. He thought that all the information relevant to public choice-making was already captured in the market for votes and legislation. What are your thoughts on this “efficient market”-type position? A2-6) U.S. and OECD economists generally have shown that free trade is, by their learned assessments, efficient. This position is accepted by 95% of AEA economists and by a huge fraction of the staffs of appointed public bodies and elected politicians. Even so, tariffs and quotas persist. If it is so likely free trade is Paretean, why then do restrictions persist? 3 A2-7) The factor prices facing firms in the U.S. and Japan are reasonably similar, yet the corporate structures often look very different. How come? A2-8) How does behavioral economics alter the theory of institutional choice and the interpretations of “good” policy? Orthodox neo-institutional economics tends to ignore psychology and assumes that institutions arise balancing out deadweight losses with the transaction costs. Behavioral economics, however, holds that transaction costs are complicated by emotions and herd behaviors. How does welfare economics alter with behavioral understandings? Please give an example in your answer. 4 Section n C: Questions based on o M.A.-Lev vel Game Th heory (40 points) Answerr either C-1 or C-2, but not both. onsider the following f fou ur ways to depict d the strategic interaaction betweeen the C-1) Co Majoritty and Minorrity Leaders in the Senatte: Each cann choose a negative meddia stance (attackiing the otherr party) or a positive p onee (emphasizinng their ownn party's ownn good qualitiees). (a) Whaat can you prredict about the outcomees in the fouur different ggames? Thatt is, find all equilibrria (including both PSNE E and MSNE E if existing)) in games (1) and (2), aand solve the gam mes (3) and (4) using rolllback. (b) Find d PSNE in games (3) and d (4). Which h PSNE is suubgame perffect? For thoose equilibria that aree not subgam me-perfect, id dentify the reeason (the soource of the lack of creddibility). (c) Now w suppose th hat the Majorrity Leader is i uncertain aabout whichh game he is playing between n (3) and (4)). He knows that the Min nority Leadeer will choosse his stance after seeing what w stance the Majority y Leader cho ooses. But thhe Majority L Leader is unncertain about th he Minority Leader's pay yoff when bo oth take posiitive stancess. With probaability p the Min nority Leader's payoff in n this situatio on is 2, and w with probabiility 1-p it iss 5 (which means that t with pro obability p Majority M lead der is player game (3) whhile with proobability 1-p he is playing game (4)). The oth her payoffs are a the samee as were givven in the abbove games. Set up a gam me that incorrporates thiss uncertaintyy. Under whaat condition on p will the Majjority Leaderr take a posiitive stance? 5 C-2) Co onsider the following f gaame: (a) Find d all the NE in the one-sh hot game. Verify V that thhis game is P PD. Specify w what is 'cooperate" and whaat is "defect"" for each pllayer. (b) Whiich of the four possible outcomes o in this game (aagain playedd once) are P Pareto optimall and which are not? (c) Willl each playerr cooperate if i this game is repeated 1100 times? E Explain whyy or why not? der what con nditions can a mutual GT T (Grim Triggger) lead to Pareto efficcient (d) Und equilibrrium if the game g is repeaated in a indefinite time horizon? Unnder what coondition can a mutual TFT (Tit-for-Tat) lead to t Pareto effi ficient equilibbrium? (e) Whiich player haas a higher minimum m disscount factorr? Explain, uusing words rather than thee result of yo our calculation, why you u think that tthis player w would have a higher minimu um discount factor. (f) Now w suppose that A and B are a about to play p an infinnitely repeatted. At each stage they will plaay the above game. A's discount d factor is dA and B's discountt factor is dB. For some reeason, both of o them havee only three strategies foor playing the infinitely rrepeated game. The T three strrategies are: (1) Tit-for-T Tat, (2) Alwaays-Defect, and (3) Resttitution (start with w defect an nd keep coop perating from m the secondd stage). Draaw a 3x3 maatrix that represen nts the infiniitely repeateed game and fill out payooffs. der what con nditions with h discount factors (dA andd dB) is mutuual Tit-for-T Tat a Nash (g) Und equilibrrium in the repeated r gam me shown? (h) Verify that (Alw ways-Defect,, Always-Deefect) is a Naash equilibriium regardleess of the values of o discount factors. f 6 Section n D: Altern native Questtions Based on Econom mics 318 (40 points) For the few who haave taken Econ 318, you may substittute Section D for Sectioon C, if you wish. Answer A eitheer D-1 or D--2, but not bo oth. D-1) D-2) 7 8