13-Feb-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS With Tax With Tax Cut

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13-Feb-09 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

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Table T09-0103

"The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009": Making Work Pay Credit

Conference Report

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Summary Table

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

Percent of Tax Units

With Tax Cut

61.2

62.7

77.7

84.6

86.6

86.4

87.5

77.0

17.4

5.8

2.6

73.7

3

With Tax

Increase

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

3.4

1.9

1.6

1.3

1.1

0.9

0.7

0.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.6

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

18.9

0.7

0.1

0.0

100.0

5.6

11.7

12.4

10.2

8.9

18.0

13.3

Average

Federal Tax

Change ($)

-182

-272

-357

-400

-428

-467

-531

-538

-68

-35

-16

-374

Average Federal Tax Rate

Change (%

Points)

-3.2

-1.8

-1.4

-1.1

-0.9

-0.7

-0.6

-0.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

-0.5

Proposal

5

Under the

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-7).

NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of 2010. For more discussion of the proposals, see the TPC's Tax Stimulus Report Card: Conference

Agreement, available at http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/conference_stimulus.cfm.

Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 30.3 Proposal: 30.3

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law and the Economic Recovery Payments, which are a one-time payment of $250 to tax units receiving social security, SSI or veterans benefits. For a description of "The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009" see http://waysandmeans.house.gov/media/pdf/111/arra.pdf.

Proposal models the Making Work Pay Credit equal to 6.2% of earned income up to a maximum credit of $400 ($800 for joint filers) phased out at a rate of 2 percent of AGI exceeding $75,000 ($150,000 for joint filers). The Making Work Pay credit is reduced by the value of any Economic Recovery Payments.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

1.3

2.3

7.7

12.1

14.9

17.1

19.1

22.4

26.0

26.8

30.3

21.1

13-Feb-09

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

PRELIMINARY RESULTS

Table T09-0103

"The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009": Making Work Pay Credit

Conference Report

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Detail Table

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax Cut

With Tax

Increase

61.2

62.7

77.7

84.6

86.6

86.4

87.5

77.0

17.4

5.8

2.6

73.7

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

1.1

0.9

0.7

0.5

0.0

0.0

3.4

1.9

1.6

1.3

0.0

0.6

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

5.6

11.7

12.4

10.2

8.9

18.0

13.3

18.9

0.7

0.1

0.0

100.0

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

-182

-272

-357

-400

-428

-467

-531

-538

-68

-35

-16

-374

-71.2

-43.4

-15.4

-8.5

-5.9

-4.2

-3.0

-1.7

-0.1

0.0

0.0

-2.3

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-0.1

-0.3

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

-0.2

-0.1

0.2

0.4

0.2

0.5

0.0

3.4

9.8

10.0

25.5

17.9

7.7

0.1

0.4

1.6

2.6

21.1

100.0

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-3.2

-1.8

-1.4

-1.1

-0.9

-0.7

-0.6

-0.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

-0.5

1.3

2.3

7.7

12.1

14.9

17.1

19.1

22.4

26.0

26.8

30.3

21.1

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

17,204

24,101

19,493

14,384

11,749

21,662

14,107

19,712

5,636

989

519

150,241

Tax Units

Number

(thousands)

3

Percent of

Total

11.5

16.0

13.0

9.6

7.8

14.4

9.4

13.1

3.8

0.7

0.4

100.0

Average

Income

(Dollars)

5,704

15,181

25,314

35,555

45,838

63,039

88,790

138,154

291,886

695,069

3,199,967

75,289

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

256

626

2,316

4,686

7,246

11,249

17,442

31,419

75,871

186,291

970,681

16,274

Average After-

Tax Income

(Dollars)

5,448

14,555

22,999

30,868

38,591

51,789

71,348

106,735

216,014

508,778

2,229,286

59,015

4

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

22.7

26.0

26.8

30.3

21.6

4.5

4.1

9.2

13.2

15.8

17.9

19.6

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

0.9

3.2

4.4

4.5

4.8

12.1

11.1

24.1

14.5

6.1

14.7

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

1.1

4.0

5.1

5.0

5.1

12.7

11.4

23.7

13.7

5.7

13.1

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

0.2

0.6

1.9

2.8

3.5

10.0

10.1

25.3

17.5

7.5

20.6

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-07).

Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 30.3 Proposal: 30.3

NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of

2010. For more discussion of the proposals, see the TPC's Tax Stimulus Report Card: Conference Agreement, available at http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/conference_stimulus.cfm.

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law and the Economic Recovery Payments, which are a one-time payment of $250 to tax units receiving social security, SSI or veterans benefits. For a description of "The American

Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009" see http://waysandmeans.house.gov/media/pdf/111/arra.pdf. Proposal models the Making Work Pay Credit equal to 6.2% of earned income up to a maximum credit of $400

($800 for joint filers) phased out at a rate of 2 percent of AGI exceeding $75,000 ($150,000 for joint filers). The Making Work Pay credit is reduced by the value of any Economic Recovery Payments.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

13-Feb-09

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

PRELIMINARY RESULTS

Table T09-0103

"The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009": Making Work Pay Credit

Conference Report

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Detail Table - Single Tax Units

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax Cut

With Tax

Increase

60.4

53.2

73.8

83.9

85.7

83.8

80.9

16.7

4.6

3.9

1.3

66.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

0.9

0.7

0.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

3.4

1.5

1.3

1.1

0.0

0.7

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

14.4

19.4

18.0

13.8

11.5

16.8

5.2

0.7

0.1

0.0

0.0

100.0

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

-178

-201

-282

-326

-329

-318

-245

-34

-12

-14

-3

-238

-44.3

-17.5

-7.9

-5.1

-3.7

-2.4

-1.2

-0.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

-2.7

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-0.4

-0.5

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0.1

0.2

0.4

0.3

0.1

0.4

0.0

8.2

19.0

11.9

17.2

10.1

4.6

0.5

2.5

5.8

7.1

13.1

100.0

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-3.1

-1.3

-1.1

-0.9

-0.7

-0.5

-0.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

-0.6

3.9

6.3

13.1

17.1

18.7

21.1

23.3

24.5

26.5

28.4

34.1

20.7

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

12,556

14,909

9,879

6,530

5,421

8,162

3,264

2,958

730

130

69

64,958

Tax Units

Number

(thousands)

3

Percent of

Total

19.3

23.0

15.2

10.1

8.4

12.6

5.0

4.6

1.1

0.2

0.1

100.0

Average

Income

(Dollars)

5,704

15,017

25,243

35,566

45,797

62,150

87,974

134,418

295,280

694,203

3,156,727

42,053

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

402

1,149

3,576

6,420

8,911

13,453

20,775

32,935

78,182

197,451

1,074,793

8,931

Average After-

Tax Income

(Dollars)

5,303

13,868

21,667

29,146

36,886

48,696

67,198

101,484

217,099

496,752

2,081,933

33,122

4

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

24.5

26.5

28.4

34.1

21.2

7.0

7.7

14.2

18.1

19.5

21.7

23.6

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

2.6

8.2

9.1

8.5

9.1

18.6

10.5

14.6

7.9

3.3

7.9

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

3.1

9.6

10.0

8.9

9.3

18.5

10.2

14.0

7.4

3.0

6.7

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

0.9

3.0

6.1

7.2

8.3

18.9

11.7

16.8

9.8

4.4

12.7

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-07).

NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of

2010. For more discussion of the proposals, see the TPC's Tax Stimulus Report Card: Conference Agreement, available at http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/conference_stimulus.cfm.

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law and the Economic Recovery Payments, which are a one-time payment of $250 to tax units receiving social security, SSI or veterans benefits. For a description of "The American

Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009" see http://waysandmeans.house.gov/media/pdf/111/arra.pdf. Proposal models the Making Work Pay Credit equal to 6.2% of earned income up to a maximum credit of $400

($800 for joint filers) phased out at a rate of 2 percent of AGI exceeding $75,000 ($150,000 for joint filers). The Making Work Pay credit is reduced by the value of any Economic Recovery Payments.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

13-Feb-09

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

PRELIMINARY RESULTS

Table T09-0103

"The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009": Making Work Pay Credit

Conference Report

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax Cut

With Tax

Increase

48.0

64.8

69.1

73.7

81.5

85.1

88.7

91.5

19.8

6.2

2.9

75.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

1.5

1.2

0.9

0.6

0.0

0.0

3.5

2.9

2.1

1.7

0.0

0.6

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

7.0

19.0

19.4

32.5

1.2

0.1

1.1

5.5

7.5

6.7

0.0

100.0

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

-164

-446

-505

-544

-613

-631

-668

-662

-79

-40

-19

-542

-71.4

-113.3

-42.5

-19.5

-12.0

-6.8

-4.2

-2.1

-0.1

0.0

0.0

-1.9

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

0.0

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0.4

0.2

0.5

0.0

1.0

5.1

8.7

29.2

21.6

9.2

0.0

0.0

0.2

0.5

24.4

100.0

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-3.3

-2.8

-2.0

-1.5

-1.3

-1.0

-0.8

-0.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

-0.4

1.3

-0.3

2.7

6.3

9.8

13.6

17.2

21.9

25.9

26.5

29.7

22.2

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

2,093

3,937

4,757

3,946

3,659

9,688

9,341

15,817

4,725

827

430

59,479

Tax Units

Number

(thousands)

3

Percent of

Total

3.5

6.6

8.0

6.6

6.2

16.3

15.7

26.6

7.9

1.4

0.7

100.0

Average

Income

(Dollars)

4,904

15,709

25,357

35,641

45,966

64,204

89,292

139,272

291,151

695,396

3,148,057

125,155

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

229

394

1,189

2,787

5,111

9,347

16,031

31,089

75,511

184,457

936,352

28,295

Average After-

Tax Income

(Dollars)

4,674

15,315

24,168

32,854

40,856

54,857

73,260

108,183

215,640

510,939

2,211,704

96,860

4

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

22.3

25.9

26.5

29.7

22.6

4.7

2.5

4.7

7.8

11.1

14.6

18.0

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

0.1

0.8

1.6

1.9

2.3

8.4

11.2

29.6

18.5

7.7

18.2

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

0.2

1.1

2.0

2.3

2.6

9.2

11.9

29.7

17.7

7.3

16.5

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

0.0

0.1

0.3

0.7

1.1

5.4

8.9

29.2

21.2

9.1

23.9

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-07).

NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of

2010. For more discussion of the proposals, see the TPC's Tax Stimulus Report Card: Conference Agreement, available at http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/conference_stimulus.cfm.

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law and the Economic Recovery Payments, which are a one-time payment of $250 to tax units receiving social security, SSI or veterans benefits. For a description of "The American

Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009" see http://waysandmeans.house.gov/media/pdf/111/arra.pdf. Proposal models the Making Work Pay Credit equal to 6.2% of earned income up to a maximum credit of $400

($800 for joint filers) phased out at a rate of 2 percent of AGI exceeding $75,000 ($150,000 for joint filers). The Making Work Pay credit is reduced by the value of any Economic Recovery Payments.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

13-Feb-09

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

PRELIMINARY RESULTS

Table T09-0103

"The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009": Making Work Pay Credit

Conference Report

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax Cut

With Tax

Increase

76.4

87.9

94.2

97.1

95.9

96.6

95.1

22.5

4.7

0.3

0.7

88.8

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

1.0

0.7

0.4

0.1

0.0

0.0

3.2

2.1

1.5

1.2

0.0

1.0

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

6.9

21.8

21.4

17.4

11.2

15.9

4.9

0.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

100.0

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

-223

-340

-367

-379

-375

-375

-300

-45

-14

-1

-1

-333

44.7

39.9

-62.9

-11.1

-5.8

-3.4

-1.6

-0.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

-5.9

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-0.5

-1.6

-1.2

-0.5

0.0

0.7

0.8

1.1

0.5

0.2

0.5

0.0

-1.4

-4.8

0.8

8.6

11.3

28.0

18.4

19.8

7.9

3.0

8.3

100.0

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-3.5

-2.2

-1.5

-1.1

-0.8

-0.6

-0.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

-0.8

-11.2

-7.8

0.9

8.6

13.3

17.1

20.8

24.1

25.0

26.7

30.4

13.3

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

2,406

4,961

4,512

3,554

2,315

3,290

1,254

786

132

21

11

23,292

Tax Units

Number

(thousands)

3

Percent of

Total

10.3

21.3

19.4

15.3

9.9

14.1

5.4

3.4

0.6

0.1

0.1

100.0

Average

Income

(Dollars)

6,412

15,257

25,403

35,401

45,811

61,934

87,576

130,519

298,070

683,864

3,070,023

40,351

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

-498

-853

584

3,404

6,446

10,968

18,533

31,442

74,413

182,398

932,802

5,680

Average After-

Tax Income

(Dollars)

6,910

16,111

24,820

31,996

39,365

50,965

69,043

99,077

223,657

501,466

2,137,221

34,672

4

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

24.1

25.0

26.7

30.4

14.1

-7.8

-5.6

2.3

9.6

14.1

17.7

21.2

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

1.6

8.1

12.2

13.4

11.3

21.7

11.7

10.9

4.2

1.5

3.6

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

2.1

9.9

13.9

14.1

11.3

20.8

10.7

9.7

3.7

1.3

2.9

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

-0.9

-3.2

2.0

9.2

11.3

27.3

17.6

18.7

7.5

2.9

7.8

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-07).

NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of

2010. For more discussion of the proposals, see the TPC's Tax Stimulus Report Card: Conference Agreement, available at http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/conference_stimulus.cfm.

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law and the Economic Recovery Payments, which are a one-time payment of $250 to tax units receiving social security, SSI or veterans benefits. For a description of "The American

Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009" see http://waysandmeans.house.gov/media/pdf/111/arra.pdf. Proposal models the Making Work Pay Credit equal to 6.2% of earned income up to a maximum credit of $400

($800 for joint filers) phased out at a rate of 2 percent of AGI exceeding $75,000 ($150,000 for joint filers). The Making Work Pay credit is reduced by the value of any Economic Recovery Payments.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

13-Feb-09

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

PRELIMINARY RESULTS

Table T09-0103

"The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009": Making Work Pay Credit

Conference Report

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Detail Table - Tax Units with Children

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax Cut

With Tax

Increase

80.2

95.4

97.9

98.8

98.5

98.0

98.7

93.0

17.7

4.0

0.8

90.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

1.4

1.2

1.0

0.6

0.0

0.0

3.7

2.6

2.0

1.6

0.0

0.7

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

2.6

9.6

10.9

9.6

8.3

18.0

15.8

24.3

0.7

0.1

0.0

100.0

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

-248

-445

-499

-518

-567

-621

-692

-681

-66

-28

-4

-531

35.6

31.4

506.0

-18.5

-9.8

-6.2

-4.1

-2.2

-0.1

0.0

0.0

-2.6

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-0.1

-0.3

-0.3

-0.2

-0.2

-0.3

-0.2

0.1

0.5

0.2

0.6

0.0

-0.3

-1.1

-0.4

1.1

2.0

7.3

9.8

29.5

21.5

8.8

21.5

100.0

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-4.1

-2.9

-2.0

-1.5

-1.2

-1.0

-0.8

-0.5

0.0

0.0

0.0

-0.6

-15.8

-12.0

-2.4

6.4

11.4

15.0

18.1

22.4

26.5

27.4

30.5

20.9

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

2,701

5,494

5,603

4,726

3,756

7,394

5,839

9,103

2,690

442

212

48,094

Tax Units

Number

(thousands)

3

Percent of

Total

5.6

11.4

11.7

9.8

7.8

15.4

12.1

18.9

5.6

0.9

0.4

100.0

Average

Income

(Dollars)

5,981

15,478

25,399

35,550

45,850

63,220

89,123

139,015

288,713

693,043

3,179,388

95,281

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

-695

-1,416

-99

2,791

5,780

10,073

16,789

31,755

76,653

189,979

969,924

20,441

Average After-

Tax Income

(Dollars)

6,677

16,894

25,497

32,758

40,071

53,147

72,334

107,260

212,060

503,064

2,209,464

74,839

4

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

-11.6

-9.2

-0.4

7.9

12.6

15.9

18.8

22.8

26.6

27.4

30.5

21.5

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

0.4

1.9

3.1

3.7

3.8

10.2

11.4

27.6

17.0

6.7

14.7

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

0.5

2.6

4.0

4.3

4.2

10.9

11.7

27.1

15.9

6.2

13.0

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

-0.2

-0.8

-0.1

1.3

2.2

7.6

10.0

29.4

21.0

8.6

20.9

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-07).

Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home.

NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of

2010. For more discussion of the proposals, see the TPC's Tax Stimulus Report Card: Conference Agreement, available at http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/conference_stimulus.cfm.

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law and the Economic Recovery Payments, which are a one-time payment of $250 to tax units receiving social security, SSI or veterans benefits. For a description of "The American

Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009" see http://waysandmeans.house.gov/media/pdf/111/arra.pdf. Proposal models the Making Work Pay Credit equal to 6.2% of earned income up to a maximum credit of $400

($800 for joint filers) phased out at a rate of 2 percent of AGI exceeding $75,000 ($150,000 for joint filers). The Making Work Pay credit is reduced by the value of any Economic Recovery Payments.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

13-Feb-09

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

PRELIMINARY RESULTS

Table T09-0103

"The American Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009": Making Work Pay Credit

Conference Report

Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units

Percent of Tax Units

3

With Tax Cut

With Tax

Increase

11.0

11.0

21.9

22.9

27.4

38.9

42.0

40.2

11.4

5.7

2.3

24.3

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Percent

Change in

After-Tax

Income

4

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.0

0.0

0.5

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.0

0.2

Share of Total

Federal Tax

Change

3.1

9.3

11.7

6.8

5.5

21.9

17.5

22.1

1.8

0.2

0.1

100.0

Average Federal Tax Change

Dollars Percent

-90

-150

-193

-194

-46

-29

-32

-39

-81

-89

-11

-98

-99.2

-19.0

-7.3

-4.7

-2.7

-2.1

-1.5

-0.8

-0.1

0.0

0.0

-0.7

Share of Federal Taxes

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

0.0

-0.1

-0.1

0.0

0.0

-0.1

-0.1

0.0

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.0

1.4

7.1

8.0

20.5

19.4

10.4

0.0

0.3

1.0

1.0

30.9

100.0

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org

Average Federal Tax Rate

5

Change (%

Points)

Under the

Proposal

-0.5

-0.3

-0.3

-0.3

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

-0.1

0.0

0.0

0.0

-0.1

7.0

10.8

14.1

18.5

23.9

27.0

0.0

1.1

4.1

5.2

31.1

18.3

Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Cash Income Level, 2009

1

Cash Income Level

(thousands of 2008 dollars)

2

Less than 10

10-20

20-30

30-40

40-50

50-75

75-100

100-200

200-500

500-1,000

More than 1,000

All

2,765

6,689

4,053

2,142

1,714

4,095

2,542

3,191

1,082

221

126

28,639

Tax Units

Number

(thousands)

3

Percent of

Total

9.7

23.4

14.2

7.5

6.0

14.3

8.9

11.1

3.8

0.8

0.4

100.0

Average

Income

(Dollars)

6,577

15,129

24,891

35,242

46,021

63,445

88,251

137,801

298,445

696,175

3,134,426

75,721

Average

Federal Tax

Burden

(Dollars)

32

204

1,103

1,912

3,306

7,012

12,612

25,695

71,261

187,808

974,196

13,971

Average After-

Tax Income

(Dollars)

6,545

14,925

23,787

33,331

42,715

56,433

75,639

112,106

227,185

508,367

2,160,230

61,750

4

Average

Federal Tax

Rate

5

18.7

23.9

27.0

31.1

18.5

0.5

1.4

4.4

5.4

7.2

11.1

14.3

Share of Pre-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

0.8

4.7

4.7

3.5

3.6

12.0

10.3

20.3

14.9

7.1

18.2

100.0

Share of Post-

Tax Income

Percent of

Total

1.0

5.7

5.5

4.0

4.1

13.1

10.9

20.2

13.9

6.4

15.4

100.0

Share of

Federal Taxes

Percent of

Total

0.0

0.3

1.1

1.0

1.4

7.2

8.0

20.5

19.3

10.4

30.7

100.0

Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0308-07).

Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older.

NOTE: Table shows the impact of the individual income tax measures on 2009 calendar year tax liability. Some individuals may not actually receive the benefits of the provisions until filing their 2009 tax returns in April of

2010. For more discussion of the proposals, see the TPC's Tax Stimulus Report Card: Conference Agreement, available at http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/conference_stimulus.cfm.

(1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law and the Economic Recovery Payments, which are a one-time payment of $250 to tax units receiving social security, SSI or veterans benefits. For a description of "The American

Recovery and Reinvestment Tax Act of 2009" see http://waysandmeans.house.gov/media/pdf/111/arra.pdf. Proposal models the Making Work Pay Credit equal to 6.2% of earned income up to a maximum credit of $400

($800 for joint filers) phased out at a rate of 2 percent of AGI exceeding $75,000 ($150,000 for joint filers). The Making Work Pay credit is reduced by the value of any Economic Recovery Payments.

(2) Tax units with negative cash income are excluded from the lowest income class but are included in the totals. For a description of cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm

(3) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units.

(4) After-tax income is cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); and estate tax.

(5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, and the estate tax) as a percentage of average cash income.

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