1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Click on PDF or Excel link above for additional tables containing more detail and breakdowns by filing status and demographic groups. Table T16-0037 Repeal Childless EITC Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Summary Table Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units with Tax Increase or Cut 3 With Tax Cut Pct of Tax Units 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Avg Tax Cut 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 With Tax Increase Avg Tax Pct of Tax Units Increase 17.1 10.7 3.4 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 3.9 322 283 245 308 303 261 335 243 ** 0 0 295 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 -1.0 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 41.3 40.4 8.8 3.4 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change ($) 55 30 8 4 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 11 5 Average Federal Tax Rate Change (% Points) 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal 7.7 3.1 4.7 8.4 11.0 13.3 15.9 18.9 23.0 28.1 34.1 19.8 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.1 Proposal: 4.1 * Less than 0.05 ** Insufficient data (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm (2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value. (4) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate taxes; and excise taxes. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income. 1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T16-0037 Repeal Childless EITC Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Detail Table Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.1 10.7 3.4 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 3.9 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change -1.0 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 41.3 40.4 8.8 3.4 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 55 30 8 4 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 11 Percent 14.5 6.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.4 6.9 7.6 24.5 22.8 8.6 24.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Pre-Tax Income Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average (dollars) 14,727 26,248 20,958 16,159 13,672 24,036 15,591 26,693 9,954 1,284 673 171,259 8.6 15.3 12.2 9.4 8.0 14.0 9.1 15.6 5.8 0.8 0.4 100.0 5,642 14,969 24,710 34,754 44,867 61,486 86,698 138,229 282,645 674,624 2,963,371 83,723 Federal Tax Burden Percent of Total 0.6 2.7 3.6 3.9 4.3 10.3 9.4 25.7 19.6 6.0 13.9 100.0 After-Tax Income 4 Average (dollars) Percent of Total Average (dollars) Percent of Total 379 441 1,149 2,911 4,926 8,148 13,818 26,055 65,087 189,422 1,011,094 16,582 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.4 6.9 7.6 24.5 22.8 8.6 24.0 100.0 5,264 14,529 23,562 31,844 39,942 53,338 72,879 112,174 217,558 485,202 1,952,276 67,140 0.7 3.3 4.3 4.5 4.8 11.2 9.9 26.0 18.8 5.4 11.4 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 6.7 2.9 4.7 8.4 11.0 13.3 15.9 18.9 23.0 28.1 34.1 19.8 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2). Number of AMT Taxpayers (millions). Baseline: 4.1 Proposal: 4.1 * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm (2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value. (4) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income. 7.7 3.1 4.7 8.4 11.0 13.3 15.9 18.9 23.0 28.1 34.1 19.8 1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T16-0037 Repeal Childless EITC Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Detail Table - Single Tax Units Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.4 12.4 4.0 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 * 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change -1.2 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 45.6 41.7 7.6 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 59 34 9 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 19 Percent 12.5 4.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.6 4.2 5.9 7.1 16.7 13.1 22.0 10.2 3.5 13.5 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 6.0 8.5 12.1 14.4 17.1 20.0 22.0 26.4 30.8 36.8 18.1 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Pre-Tax Income Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average (dollars) 12,823 20,274 13,499 9,553 7,482 10,875 5,173 5,169 971 112 81 86,656 14.8 23.4 15.6 11.0 8.6 12.6 6.0 6.0 1.1 0.1 0.1 100.0 5,607 14,829 24,612 34,693 44,799 60,830 85,880 130,821 269,658 683,749 3,056,287 43,186 Federal Tax Burden Percent of Total 1.9 8.0 8.9 8.9 9.0 17.7 11.9 18.1 7.0 2.1 6.6 100.0 After-Tax Income 4 Average (dollars) Percent of Total Average (dollars) Percent of Total 470 849 2,078 4,196 6,429 10,388 17,157 28,800 71,273 210,749 1,126,040 7,797 0.9 2.6 4.2 5.9 7.1 16.7 13.1 22.0 10.2 3.5 13.5 100.0 5,137 13,980 22,534 30,497 38,369 50,442 68,723 102,022 198,385 473,000 1,930,247 35,389 2.2 9.2 9.9 9.5 9.4 17.9 11.6 17.2 6.3 1.7 5.1 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 8.4 5.7 8.4 12.1 14.4 17.1 20.0 22.0 26.4 30.8 36.8 18.1 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2). * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm (2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value. (4) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income. 1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T16-0037 Repeal Childless EITC Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Detail Table - Married Tax Units Filing Jointly Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.9 12.0 5.5 3.0 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 1.5 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change -1.1 -0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.3 32.3 16.3 10.5 11.4 6.3 1.7 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars 55 46 16 10 11 2 1 0 0 0 0 5 Percent 51.9 61.5 17.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.4 4.8 24.9 28.4 10.8 27.9 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 0.8 0.4 3.0 6.2 9.5 13.5 18.0 22.6 27.8 33.7 21.6 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Pre-Tax Income Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average (dollars) 839 1,960 2,937 2,955 3,032 8,113 8,040 19,326 8,681 1,133 565 58,086 1.4 3.4 5.1 5.1 5.2 14.0 13.8 33.3 14.9 2.0 1.0 100.0 4,948 15,596 24,999 34,975 45,080 62,635 87,457 141,066 284,339 673,359 2,888,972 157,102 Federal Tax Burden Percent of Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.5 5.6 7.7 29.9 27.1 8.4 17.9 100.0 Average (dollars) 105 75 89 1,021 2,789 5,917 11,775 25,322 64,275 186,897 973,043 33,862 After-Tax Income 4 Percent of Total Average (dollars) Percent of Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.4 4.8 24.9 28.4 10.8 27.9 100.0 4,843 15,521 24,910 33,954 42,291 56,718 75,682 115,744 220,064 486,462 1,915,929 123,240 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.8 6.4 8.5 31.3 26.7 7.7 15.1 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 2.1 0.5 0.4 2.9 6.2 9.5 13.5 18.0 22.6 27.8 33.7 21.6 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2). * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm (2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value. (4) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income. 1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T16-0037 Repeal Childless EITC Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Detail Table - Head of Household Tax Units Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 1.3 0.2 * 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 38.0 49.1 7.1 0.9 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent 9 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.2 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -4.7 -4.0 1.4 6.1 21.1 19.7 33.6 11.3 3.2 12.6 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10.5 -11.0 -5.2 1.7 6.5 10.5 15.0 19.4 24.2 29.1 34.1 11.1 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Pre-Tax Income Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average (dollars) 919 3,727 4,182 3,290 2,840 4,482 2,069 1,806 235 22 14 23,633 3.9 15.8 17.7 13.9 12.0 19.0 8.8 7.6 1.0 0.1 0.1 100.0 6,748 15,392 24,808 34,738 44,828 61,026 85,747 129,990 270,186 681,258 3,700,469 51,742 Federal Tax Burden Percent of Total 0.5 4.7 8.5 9.4 10.4 22.4 14.5 19.2 5.2 1.2 4.1 100.0 After-Tax Income 4 Average (dollars) Percent of Total Average (dollars) Percent of Total -716 -1,691 -1,300 581 2,923 6,376 12,860 25,209 65,393 198,427 1,261,437 5,728 -0.5 -4.7 -4.0 1.4 6.1 21.1 19.7 33.6 11.3 3.2 12.6 100.0 7,464 17,082 26,108 34,157 41,905 54,650 72,888 104,781 204,793 482,832 2,439,032 46,014 0.6 5.9 10.0 10.3 10.9 22.5 13.9 17.4 4.4 1.0 3.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 -10.6 -11.0 -5.2 1.7 6.5 10.5 15.0 19.4 24.2 29.1 34.1 11.1 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2). * Less than 0.05 (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm (2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value. (4) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income. 1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T16-0037 Repeal Childless EITC Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Detail Table - Tax Units with Children Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.5 12.4 17.4 0.0 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal -0.1 -0.7 -0.7 0.1 0.8 3.7 5.4 24.0 28.2 10.9 28.2 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11.8 -11.7 -6.0 0.4 5.3 9.6 13.9 17.9 22.7 28.0 33.9 19.9 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Pre-Tax Income Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average (dollars) 1,201 4,695 5,453 4,328 3,781 7,344 5,290 11,313 5,128 690 341 49,840 2.4 9.4 10.9 8.7 7.6 14.7 10.6 22.7 10.3 1.4 0.7 100.0 6,477 15,357 24,859 34,799 44,841 61,661 87,129 140,758 286,805 669,834 2,897,339 119,143 Federal Tax Burden Percent of Total 0.1 1.2 2.3 2.5 2.9 7.6 7.8 26.8 24.8 7.8 16.6 100.0 Average (dollars) -766 -1,800 -1,481 154 2,378 5,936 12,138 25,139 65,152 187,644 980,743 23,760 After-Tax Income 4 Percent of Total Average (dollars) Percent of Total -0.1 -0.7 -0.7 0.1 0.8 3.7 5.4 24.0 28.2 10.9 28.2 100.0 7,243 17,157 26,340 34,645 42,462 55,725 74,990 115,620 221,654 482,190 1,916,595 95,383 0.2 1.7 3.0 3.2 3.4 8.6 8.3 27.5 23.9 7.0 13.7 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 -11.8 -11.7 -6.0 0.4 5.3 9.6 13.9 17.9 22.7 28.0 33.9 19.9 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2). * Less than 0.05 Note: Tax units with children are those claiming an exemption for children at home or away from home. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm (2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value. (4) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income. 1-Mar-16 PRELIMINARY RESULTS http://www.taxpolicycenter.org Table T16-0037 Repeal Childless EITC Baseline: Current Law Distribution of Federal Tax Change by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Detail Table - Elderly Tax Units Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Percent of Tax Units 3 With Tax cut With Tax Increase 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 * 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 Percent Change in After-Tax Income 4 Share of Total Federal Tax Change 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 21.3 11.0 15.2 33.2 8.2 1.7 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Average Federal Tax Change Dollars Percent 1 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Share of Federal Taxes Change (% Points) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Under the Proposal 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 5.6 7.5 22.1 18.4 8.5 33.4 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate5 Change (% Points) Under the Proposal 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Baseline Distribution of Income and Federal Taxes by Expanded Cash Income Level, 2015 ¹ Expanded Cash Income Level (thousands of 2015 dollars) 2 Less than 10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-75 75-100 100-200 200-500 500-1,000 More than 1,000 All Tax Units Pre-Tax Income Number (thousands) Percent of Total Average (dollars) 1,990 7,796 6,134 4,079 3,280 5,702 3,732 5,020 1,456 218 152 40,001 5.0 19.5 15.3 10.2 8.2 14.3 9.3 12.6 3.6 0.5 0.4 100.0 5,666 15,198 24,525 34,834 44,907 61,521 86,294 134,991 281,044 701,136 3,187,567 73,992 Federal Tax Burden Percent of Total 0.4 4.0 5.1 4.8 5.0 11.9 10.9 22.9 13.8 5.2 16.4 100.0 After-Tax Income 4 Average (dollars) Percent of Total Average (dollars) Percent of Total 120 241 668 1,452 2,588 5,025 10,238 22,391 64,135 198,117 1,115,275 12,713 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 5.6 7.5 22.1 18.4 8.5 33.4 100.0 5,546 14,956 23,857 33,381 42,319 56,496 76,056 112,600 216,910 503,018 2,072,292 61,279 0.5 4.8 6.0 5.6 5.7 13.1 11.6 23.1 12.9 4.5 12.9 100.0 Average Federal Tax Rate 5 2.1 1.6 2.7 4.2 5.8 8.2 11.9 16.6 22.8 28.3 35.0 17.2 Source: Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center Microsimulation Model (version 0515-2). * Less than 0.05 Note: Elderly tax units are those with either head or spouse (if filing jointly) age 65 or older. (1) Calendar year. Baseline is current law. Proposal repeals 0 child EITC. For a description of TPC's current law baseline, see: http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxtopics/Baseline-Definitions.cfm (2) Includes both filing and non-filing units but excludes those that are dependents of other tax units. Tax units with negative adjusted gross income are excluded from their respective income class but are included in the totals. For a description of expanded cash income, see http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/TaxModel/income.cfm (3) Includes tax units with a change in federal tax burden of $10 or more in absolute value. (4) After-tax income is expanded cash income less: individual income tax net of refundable credits; corporate income tax; payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare); estate tax; and excise taxes. (5) Average federal tax (includes individual and corporate income tax, payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare, the estate tax, and excise taxes) as a percentage of average expanded cash income. 2.1 1.6 2.7 4.2 5.8 8.2 11.9 16.6 22.8 28.3 35.0 17.2