Lecture Outlines Natural Disasters, 7th edition Patrick L. Abbott Tsunami Natural Disasters, 7th edition, Chapter 5 Indian Ocean Tsunami, 26 December 2004 • Tsunami swept through Indian Ocean, hitting Asian and African shorelines • Estimated 245,000 deaths (probably higher) • Seafloor west of Sumatra ruptured northward for 1,200 km over 7 minutes • Caused by second largest earthquake (magnitude 9.2) of last 100 years, on subduction zone of IndianAustralian plate under Asian plate • Movements on fault of up to 20 m • Second earthquake 28 March 2005, magnitude 8.7, south of first rupture Indian Ocean Tsunami, 26 December 2004 Figure 5.1 Indian Ocean Tsunami, 26 December 2004 Figure 5.3 Tsunami • Japanese word: tsu=harbor, nami=waves • Tsunami reach greater height when they enter harbor or other narrow space – 8 m wave on open coastline 30 m wave in narrow harbor • Japan, 1896 – Offshore earthquake shifted seafloor, causing tsunami to hit coastline 20 minutes later – Highest waves (29 m) in narrow inlets – 27,000 killed • ‘Tidal wave’ inappropriate as not related to tides Tsunami • Created most often by earthquakes – Vertical shift of ocean floor that offsets water mass, transmitted throughout ocean in tsunami – Usually vertical fault motions at subduction zones, mostly in Pacific Ocean • 70,000 people killed by 141 tsunami in 20th century • Single tsunami on 26 December 2004 killed about 245,000 people in 13 countries Tsunami vs. Wind-Caused Waves • Wind waves – Single wave is entire water mass – Velocity depends on period of wave • 17 mph for 5-second wave; 70 mph for 20-second wave • Tsunami – Huge mass of water with tremendous momentum – Velocity: v = (g x D) ½ • g – acceleration due to gravity; D – depth of water • For average D = 5,500 m, v = 232 m/sec (518 mph) • Actual observations of tsunami speed peak at 420 to 480 mph • Wave will slow as approaches shore, but still fast Tsunami vs. Wind-Caused Waves • Tsunami – Height: ~1 m in open ocean, 6 to 15 m in shallow water, higher in narrow topography – Wave height is leading edge of sheet of water that flows on land for minutes – Usually series of waves separated by 10 to 60 minutes • Tsunami at the shoreline – Not a gigantic version of breaking wave – Very rapidly rising tide, rushing inland – Sometimes water retreats first Tsunami vs. Wind-Caused Waves Figure 5.4 Tsunami vs. Wind-Caused Waves Earthquake and Tsunami in Chile, 8 August 1868 • Large earthquake shook Arica in Bolivia, where several ships were moored in harbor • Eyewitness accounts of rising of sea, second earthquake followed by falling of sea, then massive second (phosphorescent) wave hours later which carried ship two miles inland Tsunami vs. Wind-Caused Waves Tsunami at Hilo, Hawaii, 1 April 1946 • Large earthquake in Aleutian Islands of Alaska created tsunami across Pacific • Eyewitness accounts of loud hissing sound, with advancing and retreating waves for several minutes Tsunami at Oahu, Hawaii, 9 March 1957 • Advancing sheet of water Figure 5.5 Figure 5.6 Wavelength and Period versus Height • Destructive power of tsunami is not due to height, but due to momentum of large mass, with ultralong wavelength and period • Tsunami rushes inland for 30 minutes before water pulls back to form next wave • Long wavelengths and periods mean waves can bend around islands and hit all shores – no protected shores, as with wind waves Causes of Tsunami • Water mass is hit with massive jolt of energy, such as earthquakes, volcanoes, mass movements, impacts • Biggest tsunami caused by rarest events – impacts of asteroids and comets Earthquake-Caused Tsunami • Fault movements of sea floor – must be vertical movement, result in uplifting or downdropping seabed, earthquake of at least magnitude 7.5 • Tsunami Warnings – – – – – – Feel the earthquake See sea level draw down significantly Hear wave coming Seek high ground immediately Go upstairs in well-built building Warning system • First sensors activated in 2003 • Tsunami warning center in Honolulu for Pacific Ocean Earthquake-Caused Tsunami Alaska, 1 April 1946 • Two large subduction earthquakes in Aleutian islands, shook Scotch Gap lighthouse (steelreinforced concrete, 14 m above low-water level) • Twenty minutes after second earthquake, 30 m tsunami swept lighthouse away (first wave was biggest) • Tsunami traveled across Pacific at 485 mph, slowing to 30 mph near Hilo • Rushed ashore and killed 159 people in Hilo, despite warnings (April Fool’s Day) Earthquake-Caused Tsunami Chile, 22 May 1960 • Magnitude 9.5 subduction event was most powerful earthquake ever recorded, created large tsunami • Three waves, each successively larger, hit Chilean coast, killing 1,000 Chileans • Adequate warning was given in Hawaii but 61 people killed • Tsunami continued to Japan, killing 185 people • Could continue to be measured in Pacific Ocean for a week Earthquake-Caused Tsunami Alaska, 27 March 1964 • Magnitude 9.2 subduction earthquake killed 122 people in sparsely populated Alaskan coast • Tsunami hit Vancouver Island, then California • Series of waves, with fifth one largest • Which wave in series will be largest is not predictable Earthquake-Caused Tsunami Alaska, 27 March 1964 Figure 5.10 Figure 5.11 Earthquake-Caused Tsunami British Columbia, Washington, and Oregon – upcoming • Most killer tsunami generated at subduction zones • All oceans have at least some short subduction zones (Atlantic Ocean’s Puerto Rico trench had magnitude 7.3 earthquake on 11 October 1918, causing submarine landslide and 6 m tsunami hitting Puerto Rico coast) • British Columbia, Washington and Oregon coastlines slipped in magnitude 9 earthquake on 26 January 1700, generated massive tsunami recorded in Japan • Next event will be deadly Figure 5.12 Insert revised Figure 5.12 here Volcano-Caused Tsunami Krakatau, Indonesia, 26-27 August 1883 • Volcanic eruptions and explosions increased in frequency and strength, with volcanic masses flowing into sea and creating tsunami • Culmination of eruption sequence was collapse of mountain into partially emptied magma chamber, creating tsunami 40 m high • More than 36,000 people killed Landslide-Caused Tsunami • Volcano Collapses – Hawaii in the Pacific Ocean • Deposits of slumps and flank-collapses cover more than five times land area of islands • Huge tsunami when chunk of island collapses into ocean • Coastal area southeast of Kilauea (active volcano on Big Island of Hawaii) slides at up to 25 cm/yr into ocean, would create tsunami up to 30 m high, directed to southeast Figure 5.15 Figure 5.14 Landslide-Caused Tsunami • Volcano Collapses – Canary Islands in the Atlantic Ocean • Three of Canary Islands have had mega-collapses, last one 15,000 years ago • Next mega-collapse could send powerful tsunami to coastlines of Africa, Europe, North and South America • Models simulate 10 to 20 m tsunami across Atlantic Ocean • Flank collapses occur globally about every 10,000 years Figure 5.17 Landslide-Caused Tsunami • Earthquake-Triggered Movements – Newfoundland, Canada, 18 November 1929 • Magnitude 7.2 earthquake offshore, triggering submarine mass movement, which set off tsunami • Waves arrived at coast of Newfoundland 2.5 hours later, in three pulses over 30 minutes – Papua New Guinea, 17 July 1998 • Magnitude 7.1 earthquake 20 km offshore, triggered underwater landslide that caused tsunami • Hit coastline of Papua New Guinea about 5 minutes later, washing four villages on barrier beaches into lagoons • Rethinking tsunami threat – not caused just by large earthquakes, also by landslides from moderate earthquakes Landslide-Caused Tsunami • In Bays and Lakes – Lituya Bay, Alaska, 9 July 1958 • Largest historic wave run-up • Magnitude 8 earthquake on Fairweather fault, causing collapse of more than 900 m of rock and ice into Lituya Bay • Three boats anchored in bay, hit by huge wall of water about 30 m high, faster than 100 mph • Crews of two boats survived being lifted and dropped by wave • Wave sent surge of water 525 m up side of bay Landslide-Caused Tsunami • In Bays and Lakes – Lake Tahoe, California and Nevada • High in Sierra Nevada, created by active normal faults dropping land between (10th deepest lake in world) • 4% probability of magnitude 7 earthquake on lake-bounding lakes in next 50 years (low frequency) • Would drop lake bottom about 4 m, generate 10 m waves across lake Seiches • Oscillating waves in enclosed body of water – sea, bay, lake, swimming pool • Energy from strong winds or earthquakes • Hebgen Lake, Montana, 17 August 1959 – Two faults under lake shifted in 6.3 and 7.5 earthquakes – Eyewitness accounts of water migrating from one end of lake to other, over 11.5 hours Tsunami and You • If You Feel the Earthquake – Mild shaking for more than 25 seconds: powerful, distant earthquake may have generated tsunami – Sea may withdraw significantly, or may rise, before first big wave – Water may change character, make unusual sounds Tsunami and You Insert table 5.4 Tsunami and You • Simuele Island, Indonesia, 26 December 2004 – – – – Closest inhabited land to epicenter of magnitude 9.2 earthquake After shaking stopped, residents fled uphill immediately Only 7 out of 75,000 inhabitants were killed Oral history reminded people: when ground shakes, run to hills before giant waves arrive • Nicaragua, 1 September 1992 – Subduction earthquake shifted ground very slowly, creating little ground shaking, but transmitting energy into water very efficiently, generating large tsunami Tsunami and You • Tsunami Warnings – Coastal Maps • Tsunami-hazard map of Hawaii Big Island, based on local topography • Coastline mapping of Indonesia, India and Sri Lanka after 2004 tsunami indicated where human activities increased damage and loss of life – Removal of vegetation, reefs increased impact of waves – Buoys and Pressure Sensors • Before 2004, NOAO operated six-buoy warning system in northern Pacific Ocean • Funding since provided for 32 buoys around world, transmitting information to scientists • New tide-gauge stations and seismometers along coastlines End of Chapter 5