Chapter 11 Hurricanes Lecture PowerPoint 1 Copyright © The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Permission required for reproduction or display. Hurricanes Natural Disasters, 8th edition, Chapter 11 Hurricanes • • • • Large tropical cyclones Heat engines converting heat of tropical ocean into winds, waves Generate winds over 240 km/hr Push massive amounts of water onshore as surges, up to 6 m over sea level • Heavy rains cause dangerous floods well away from coastlines Figure 11.3 How a Hurricane Forms • Means of transporting excess tropical heat to midlatitudes • Requirements for development of hurricane: – Seawater at least 27oC (80oF) in upper 60 m – Air must be warm, humid and unstable – Weak upper-level winds, preferably blowing in same direction as developing storm is moving • Begins with tropical disturbance: – low-pressure zone drawing in cluster of thunderstorms with weak surface winds How a Hurricane Forms • Becomes tropical depression (receives identifying number): – Surface winds strengthen and flow around and into core – Rotates counterclockwise (in northern hemisphere) Figure 11.5 How a Hurricane Forms – Converging surface winds flow up central core (like chimney) sending warm, moist air into stratosphere – Rising moist air cools to dew point temperature, condenses and releases latent heat – Released heat warms surrounding air stronger updrafts increased rate of upward flow of warm, moist, surface air – When winds exceed 63 km/hr: tropical storm – When winds exceed 119 km/hr: hurricane How a Hurricane Works The Eye • As more wind blows into center of tropical storm, difficult for all wind to reach center spiraling upward cylindrical wind mass in center of storm • When surface-wind speeds reach about 119 km/hr, none of wind reaches center calm clear eye • Inside eye: – Cool, high-altitude air sinks and absorbs moisture • Eye wall: – Cylinder-shaped area of spiraling upward winds around eye – Strongest winds How a Hurricane Works The Eye • Eddies of storm sucked up into eye wall and stretched vertically caused winds on one side of 130 mph + 80 mph = 210 mph, and winds on other side of 130 mph – 80 mph = 50 mph • Same phenomenon occurs on different sides of storm: one side experiences wind speed + travel speed of hurricane, other side experiences wind speed – travel speed of hurricane Figure 11.27 How a Hurricane Works Hurricane Energy Release • Transfers heat from tropical seas to core of hurricane • Huge amounts of latent heat released as air rises • Generates energy at 200 times greater rate than worldwide electricity-generating capacity Hurricane Origins • Differences from high-latitude storms: – Main energy source is latent heat released by water vapor condensation – Weaken rapidly when move onto land – Not associated with fronts – Weaker high-altitude winds stronger hurricane – Hurricane winds weaken with height – Air in center of eye sinks downward • Different names in different parts of the world: – Indian Ocean: cyclones – Western Pacific Ocean: typhoons Hurricane Origins • Form on west sides of oceans where warm water is concentrated – Also off Pacific coast of Mexico – area of warm water isolated from cold California current by bend in coastline – Not off coast of Brazil – Atlantic Ocean is too narrow, not enough warm water • Form between 5o to 20o latitude, travel to higher latitudes • Do not form along equator – Coriolis effect is zero • Can not cross equator once formed – lose rotation Hurricane Origins • Average of 84 tropical cyclones (hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones) form each year – About 10 in north Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Figure 11.11 Hurricane Origins • Strength assessed by Saffir-Simpson scale – Category 1: wind damages trees and unanchored mobile homes – Category 2: winds blow down trees, major damage to mobile homes, some roofs – Category 3: winds blow down large trees, strip foliage, destroy mobile homes, damage small buildings – Category 4: all signs blown down, heavy damage to buildings, major damage to coastal buildings, flooding extends inland – Category 5: severe damage to buildings, major damage to buildings less than 5 m above sea level and within 500 m of shoreline, small buildings overturned and blown away Hurricane Origins • Strength assessed by Saffir-Simpson scale Insert Table 11.1 here North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes • From 851 to 2006: U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coastlines hit by 279 hurricanes, three category 5 and 18 category 4 • Most form in late summer when sea surface temperatures are warmest – Due to high heat capacity water absorbs heat all summer Insert Table 11.3 here North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Cape Verde-type Hurricanes • Usually begin as easterly waves • May gain tropical storm status near Cape Verde Islands off Africa • Blown westward with trade winds, gaining energy • Move north by Coriolis effect when reach western Atlantic North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Andrew, August 1992 • • • • Began as thunderstorms over West Africa, August 13 Moved out over Atlantic Ocean as rotating low-pressure air mass Intensified into tropical storm by August 17 Reached western Atlantic on August 21 as upper-level winds died down, allowing clouds and winds to build, and as high pressure to the north forced Andrew over warmer water to the west • August 22: hurricane strength • August 23: northern Bahamas, wind speeds of 240 km/hr Figure 11.15 North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Andrew, August 1992 • August 24: crossed southern Florida with 25-mile wide path over homes of 350,000 people, with winds of 250 km/hr, gusts up to 282 km/hr, vortices up to 320 km/hr • Killed 33 people, destroyed 80,000 buildings • Moved across Gulf of Mexico regaining energy • Hit Louisiana with 190 km/hr winds on August 26 • Killed additional 15 people • Spent remaining energy in heavy rains over Mississippi • $30 billion in damages, most destructive in U.S. history – Much of damage was result of poor construction North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Hurricane Paths • Main influences on hurricane paths: – Trade winds blow cyclone west – Coriolis effect adds curve to right, stronger with distance from equator Insert Figure 11.12 Figure 11.12 North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Hurricane Paths • Main influences on hurricane paths: – Size, position of Bermuda High: North Atlantic high pressure zone • Small, to the north: hurricanes miss coastlines • Strong, extensive: guides hurricanes along east coast of U.S. • South: guides hurricanes to Gulf of Mexico Figure 11.17 North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Hurricane Paths • Main influences on hurricane paths: – Bermuda High part of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO): decade shifting of atmospheric pressures over ocean • 1950s: east coast of North America hit by hurricanes • 1960s, 1970s: Gulf coast hit by hurricanes Figure 11.18 North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Caribbean Sea- and Gulf of Mexico-Type Hurricanes • Form at Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), where trade winds meet • Location of ITCZ moves with migration of the sun • ITCZ located south of equator in northern hemisphere’s winter and north of equator in northern hemisphere’s summer • Low-pressure area forms where air flows converge thunderstorms hurricane North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Mitch, October 1998 • October 22: tropical depression 13 at ITCZ in Caribbean • 18 hours later: Tropical storm Mitch • 36 hours later: Hurricane Mitch • October 26: one of strongest category 5 hurricanes on record – Sustained winds of 290 km/hr, gusts greater than 320 km/hr – Winds over 250 km/hr for 15 consecutive hours Figure 11.19 North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Mitch, October 1998 • Heading toward Cuba then veered to Central America • October 27: stalled off coast of Honduras, winds slowed down to tropical storm strength, but absorbed enormous amounts of water from warm ocean • October 30: landfall in Central America, tremendous amounts of rain in Honduras and Nicaragua – Three-day rainfall totals up to 2 m – About 6,500 people killed in Honduras, about 3,800 people killed in Nicaragua, many by mudflows – Second deadliest hurricane in history of Americas North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Hurricane Forecasts • Increased number of storms in North Atlantic region can be forecast based on: – Wetter western Sahel region – Warmer sea surface temperatures – Low atmospheric pressure in Caribbean – La Nina conditions in Pacific North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Hurricane Forecasts • Increased number of storms in North Atlantic region can be forecast based on: – La Nina conditions in Pacific • Westward blowing La Nina winds aid hurricane formation • Eastward blowing El Nino winds disrupt hurricane formation Insert figure 11.21 here Figure 11.21 North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Hurricane Forecasts Figure 11.22 Figure 11.23 How Hurricanes get their Names • Alternating male and female names • Six year cycle Insert Table 11.5 Decade of the Naughts – 2000 to 2009 • 2004: Florida hit by four hurricanes, Japan hit by 10 typhoons, first documented hurricane in south Atlantic hit Brazil • 2005: Hurricane records broken in North Atlantic basin • Increase due to human activity or natural variation? • Total energy release by hurricanes is higher, probably due to increasing sea-surface temperatures and increased water vapor in lower atmosphere, quite possibly due to global warming Decade of the Naughts – 2000 to 2009 Insert Table 11.6 here North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Hurricane Damages • Hurricane deaths are down in recent decades • Hurricane damages are up – Larger, more expensive homes on coastlines • Destruction and deaths caused by: – Winds – Storm surges – Heavy rains and inland flooding North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Storm Surge Hazards • Rise in sea level under storm due to: – Winds push water ashore to pile up above normal levels, especially on right-hand side of storm – highest wind velocities • In northern hemisphere, highest storm surge occurs 15-30 km to right of path of eye – Low atmospheric pressure causes water to mound up under eye of hurricane – Also large waves blown by hurricane winds – Also sometimes already high astronomical tides Figure 11.28 North Atlantic Ocean Hurricanes Heavy Rains and Inland Flooding • After moving on land, no more water vapor is absorbed into hurricane, loses strength • Precipitation of massive volume of water in dissipating hurricane can cause massive flooding • Causes majority of deaths Insert table 11.10 Hurricanes and the Gulf of Mexico Coastline Galveston, Texas, September 1900 • Deadliest natural disaster in U.S. history • Galveston – wealthiest Texas city – 38,000 residents given warning of hurricane but many did not evacuate • Category 4 hurricane – at high tide, with 200 km/hr winds • Highest point on island flooded to 0.3 m • 6,000 people killed, but many survived 10 m waves by crowding in lighthouse • City constructed sea wall, brought in sand to elevate land • 1915 hurricane killed another 275 people Hurricane Katrina • August 24, 2005: Tropical air mass over Bahamas first catalogued as Katrina • August 25, 2005: Grew to hurricane two hours before crossing Florida, lost strength but grew again rapidly over Gulf of Mexico double size, wind speeds 280 mph • August 26, 2005: models forecast 17% chance of direct hit to New Orleans • August 27, 2005: Warnings issued, residents began to flee • August 28, 2005: Mandatory evacuation ordered for 1.2 million residents, all roads exit New Orleans Hurricane Katrina • August 29, 2005: – Came ashore east of New Orleans, wind speeds of 195 mph – Pushed in enough water to breach levees, overflow canals and flood 80% of low-lying New Orleans – 1,500 of 100,000 residents who did not evacuate were killed – Deadliest natural disaster since 1928 Okeechobee hurricane Insert figure 11.35 Figure 11.34 Figure 11.35 Hurricane Katrina Were the Katrina-Caused Deaths and Destruction a Surprise? • Hurricane like Katrina was anticipated for years – Special reports in New Orleans Times Picayune in 2002, among others • September 2004: Hurricane Ivan narrowly missed hitting New Orleans, after massive evacuation (practice run) of city Hurricane Katrina New Orleans: Can This Setting Be Protected? • Water and floods have always been part of city life, three centuries of floods from river and hurricanes • Billions of dollars spent on levees • City built on delta: loose mixture of sand, mud and water deposited by Mississippi River Figure 11.36 Hurricane Katrina New Orleans: Can This Setting Be Protected? • Deltas naturally subside city has subsided to 6 m below sea level and continues to subside • Levees prevent flooding, therefore also prevent deposition of new layers of sand and mud that would build up land level • Creates bowl, with lake and river water levels higher than city land • Subsidence will continue no easy solutions Figure 11.37 Hurricanes and the Atlantic Coastline Hugo, September 1989 • Charleston, South Carolina ruined by Civil War, severely damaged by 1886 earthquake, experienced tenth strongest U.S. hurricane in 1989 • 5.2 m storm surge, 220 km/hr winds at Fort Sumter, Charleston • Passed Charlotte, North Carolina with tropical storm intensity, into Appalachians as losing status, rains from New York into Canada The Evacuation Dilemma • Satellite photos allow warning of hurricane making landfall, people can evacuate out of way • Almost 50 million people live in Atlantic Ocean or Gulf of Mexico coastline counties, population growth faster than construction of new roads or bridges – Aided by assurance of federal disaster assistance • Warning of 1999 Hurricane Floyd hitting South Carolina created massive gridlock leaving people exposed on roads – Hurricane Floyd hit North Carolina instead • Evacuation dilemma: estimated 72 hours to evacuate most cities • Hurricane path not well known 72 hours in advance Reduction of Hurricane Damages Building Codes • After many manufactured homes destroyed by 1992 Hurricane Andrew, tougher building codes enacted – new manufactured homes survived four hurricanes of 2004 Roofs • First step in destroying building is often to lift off roof • Prevention by: – Elimination or strengthening of eaves – Strap roofs to walls – Ban stapled asphalt roofing sheets on plywood Impact of Wind-borne Debris • Windows of shatter-proof glass or protected by shutters or plywood • Remove loose objects outside Reduction of Hurricane Damages Land-Use Planning • Low-lying coastal land used for parks, farm fields, golf courses, nature preserves, etc., where flooding is not damaging Coastal Development Restrictions • Current building boom on shorelines • Thousands of new homes built since last hurricane strike • FEMA estimates next 60 years: 25% houses within 150 m of shoreline will fall into water during some hurricane, without mitigating actions Global Rise in Sea Level • Global rise of about 1 ft in 20th century, probably 2 ft or more in 21st century. • Can move beaches inland by 1,000 ft in low-lying areas • Continuing buildup of housing along the coastline is just asking for trouble. Insert figure 11.41 Hurricanes and the Pacific Coastline • 15% of Earth’s tropical cyclones: offshore southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador • Why is Pacific coastline hit by fewer hurricanes? – Trade winds blow hurricanes west out to sea – Cold California current from Alaska drains hurricane energy Iniki, September 1992 • Hawaiian Islands at northern edge of hurricane-generating warm waters, hit by storms formed to the south • Iniki: category 4 storm tore across Kauai with 210 km/hr sustained winds and gusts of 260 km/hr • Damaged all buildings, cost island economy $2 billion Cyclones and Bangladesh • Seven of world’s nine most deadly weather events in 20th century were cyclones hitting densely populated Bangladesh – low-lying sediments of deltas of Ganges and Brahmaputra Rivers, 1/3 less than 6 m elevation • In average year, 20% of country submerged in floods • 1970 cyclone during full Moon high tides brought surge of 7 m, winds of 235 km/hr 400,000 people killed • 1991 cyclone with 6 m surge, 235 km/hr winds killed 140,000 people • Population of Bangladesh is expected to double in next 30 years End of Chapter 11