Supply and Demand Slides by: John & Pamela Hall

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Supply and Demand

Slides by: John & Pamela Hall

ECONOMICS 3e / HALL & LIEBERMAN

Supply and Demand

© 2005 South-Western/Thomson Learning

Supply and Demand

• Supply and demand is an economic model

– Designed to explain how prices are determined in certain types of markets

• What you will learn in this chapter

– How the model of supply and demand works and how to use it

– Strengths and limitations of model

2

Markets

• Specific location where buying and selling takes place, such as

– Supermarket or a flea market

• In economics, a market is not a place but rather

– A group of buyers and sellers with the potential to trade with each other

• Economists think of the economy as a collection of individual markets

• First step in an economic analysis is to define and characterize the market or collection of markets to analyze

3

How Broadly Should We Define The

Market

• Defining the market often requires economists to group things together

– Aggregation is the combining of a group of distinct things into a single whole

• Markets can be defined broadly or narrowly, depending on our purpose

– How broadly or narrowly markets are defined is one of the most important differences between

Macroeconomics and Microeconomics

4

Defining Macroeconomic Markets

• Goods and services are aggregated to the highest levels

– Macro models lump all consumer goods into the single category “consumption goods”

– Macro models will also analyze all capital goods as one market

– Macroeconomists take an overall view of the economy without getting bogged down in details

5

Defining Microeconomic Markets

• Markets are defined narrowly

– Focus on models that define much more specific commodities

• Always involves some aggregation

– Stops short of the broad levels of generality that macroeconomics investigates

6

Buyers and Sellers

• Buyers and sellers in a market can be

– Households

– Business firms

– Government agencies

• All three can be both buyers and sellers in the same market, but are not always

• For purposes of simplification this text will usually follow these guidelines

– In markets for consumer goods, we’ll view business firms as the only sellers, and households as only buyers

– In most of our discussions, we’ll be leaving out the “middleman”

7

Competition in Markets

• In imperfectly competitive markets, individual buyers or sellers can influence the price of the product

• In perfectly competitive markets (or just competitive markets), each buyer and seller takes the market price as a given

• What makes some markets imperfectly competitive and others perfectly competitive?

– Perfectly competitive markets have many small buyers and sellers

• Each is a small part of the market, and the product is standardized

– Imperfectly competitive markets have just a few large buyers and sellers

• Or else the product of each seller is unique in some way

8

Using Supply and Demand

• Supply and demand model is designed to explain how prices are determined in perfectly competitive markets

– Perfect competition is rare but many markets come reasonably close

– Perfect competition is a matter of degree rather than an all or nothing characteristic

• Supply and demand is one of the most versatile and widely used models in the economist’s tool kit

9

Demand

• A household’s quantity demanded of a good

– Specific amount household would choose to buy over some time period, given

• A particular price that must be paid for the good

• All other constraints on the household

• Market quantity demanded (or quantity demanded) is the specific amount of a good that all buyers in the market would choose to buy over some time period, given

– A particular price they must pay for the good

– All other constraints on households

10

Quantity Demanded

• Implies a choice

– How much households would like to buy when they take into account the opportunity cost of their decisions?

• Is hypothetical

– Makes no assumptions about availability of the good

– How much would households want to buy, at a specific price, given real-world limits on their spending power?

• Stresses price

– Price of the good is one variable among many that influences quantity demanded

– We’ll assume that all other influences on demand are held constant, so we can explore the relationship between price and quantity demanded

11

The Law of Demand

• States that when the price of a good rises and everything else remains the same, the quantity of the good demanded will fall

– The words, “everything else remains the same” are important

• In the real world many variables change simultaneously

• However, in order to understand the economy we must first understand each variable separately

• Thus we assume that, “everything else remains the same,” in order to understand how demand reacts to price

12

The Demand Schedule and The

Demand Curve

• Demand schedule

– A list showing the quantity of a good that consumers would choose to purchase at different prices, with all other variables held constant

• The market demand curve (or just demand curve) shows the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded , holding constant all other variables that influence demand

– Each point on the curve shows the total buyers would choose to buy at a specific price

• Law of demand tells us that demand curves virtually always slope downward

13

Figure 1: The Demand Curve

Price per

Bottle

$4.00

2.00

A

When the price is $4.00 per bottle, 40,000 bottles are demanded (point A).

B

At $2.00 per bottle,

60,000 bottles are demanded (point B).

40,000 60,000

D

Number of Bottles per Month

14

Shifts vs. Movements Along The

Demand Curve

• A change in the price of a good causes a movement along the demand curve

• In Figure 1

– A fall (rise) in price would cause a movement to the right (left) along the demand curve

• A change in income causes a shift in the demand curve itself

• In Figure 2

– Demand curve has shifted to the right of the old curve (from Figure

1) as income has risen

– A change in any variable that affects demand—except for the good’s price—causes the demand curve to shift

15

Figure 2: A Shift of The Demand

Curve

Price per

Bottle

$2.00

B

D

1

An increase in income shifts the demand curve for maple syrup from D

1 to D

2

.

At each price, more bottles are demanded after the shift

C

D

2

60,000 80,000

Number of Bottles per Month

16

Dangerous Curves: “Change in Quantity

Demanded” vs. “Change in Demand”

• Language is important when discussing demand

– “Quantity demanded” means

• A particular amount that buyers would choose to buy at a specific price

• It is a number represented by a single point on a demand curve

• When a change in the price of a good moves us along a demand curve, it is a change in quantity demand

– The term demand means

• The entire relationship between price and quantity demanded— and represented by the entire demand curve

• When something other than price changes, causing the entire demand curve to shift, it is a change in demand

17

Income: Factors That Shift The

Demand Curve

• An increase in income has effect of shifting demand for normal goods to the right

– However, a rise in income shifts demand for inferior goods to the left

• A rise in income will increase the demand for a normal good, and decrease the demand for an inferior good

18

Wealth: Factors That Shift The

Demand Curve

• Your wealth—at any point in time—is the total value of everything you own minus the total dollar amount you owe

• An increase in wealth will

– Increase demand (shift the curve rightward) for a normal good

– Decrease demand (shift the curve leftward) for an inferior good

19

Prices of Related Goods: Factors that Shift the Demand Curve

• Substitute—good that can be used in place of some other good and that fulfills more or less the same purpose

– A rise in the price of a substitute increases the demand for a good, shifting the demand curve to the right

• Complement—used together with the good we are interested in

– A rise in the price of a complement decreases the demand for a good, shifting the demand curve to the left

20

Other Factors That Shift the Demand

Curve

• Population

– As the population increases in an area

• Number of buyers will ordinarily increase

• Demand for a good will increase

• Expected Price

– An expectation that price will rise (fall) in the future shifts the current demand curve rightward (leftward)

• Tastes

– Combination of all the personal factors that go into determining how a buyer feels about a good

– When tastes change toward a good, demand increases, and the demand curve shifts to the right

– When tastes change away from a good, demand decreases, and the demand curve shifts to the left

21

Figure 3(a): Movements Along and

Shifts of The Demand Curve

Price

P

2

Price increase moves us leftward along demand curve

Price increase moves us rightward along demand curve

P

1

P

3

Q

2

Q

1

Q

3

Quantity

22

Figure 3(b): Movements Along and

Shifts of The Demand Curve

Price

Entire demand curve shifts rightward when:

• income or wealth ↑

• price of substitute ↑

• price of complement ↓

• population ↑

• expected price ↑

• tastes shift toward good

D

1

D

2

Quantity

23

Figure 3(c): Movements Along and

Shifts of The Demand Curve

Price

Entire demand curve shifts leftward when:

• income or wealth ↓

• price of substitute ↓

• price of complement ↑

• population ↓

• expected price ↓

• tastes shift toward good

D

2

D

1

Quantity

24

Supply

• A firm’s quantity supplied of a good is the specific amount its managers would choose to sell over some time period, given

– A particular price for the good

– All other constraints on the firm

• Market quantity supplied (or quantity supplied) is the specific amount of a good that all sellers in the market would choose to sell over some time period, given

– A particular price for the good

– All other constraints on firms

25

Quantity Supplied

• Implies a choice

– Quantity that gives firms the highest possible profits when they take account of the constraints presented to them by the real world

• Is hypothetical

– Does not make assumptions about firms’ ability to sell the good

– How much would firms’ managers want to sell, given the price of the good and all other constraints they must consider?

• Stresses price

– The price of the good is just one variable among many that influences quantity supplied

– We’ll assume that all other influences on supply are held constant, so we can explore the relationship between price and quantity supplied

26

The Law of Supply

• States that when the price of a good rises and everything else remains the same, the quantity of the good supplied will rise

– The words, “everything else remains the same” are important

• In the real world many variables change simultaneously

• However, in order to understand the economy we must first understand each variable separately

• We assume “everything else remains the same” in order to understand how supply reacts to price

27

The Supply Schedule and The

Supply Curve

• Supply schedule—shows quantities of a good or service firms would choose to produce and sell at different prices, with all other variables held constant

• Supply curve—graphical depiction of a supply schedule

– Shows quantity of a good or service supplied at various prices, with all other variables held constant

28

Figure 4: The Supply Curve

Price per

Bottle

When the price is $2.00 per bottle, 40,000 bottles are supplied (point F ).

S

$4.00

2.00

F

G

At $4.00 per bottle, quantity supplied is

60,000 bottles (point G ).

40,000 60,000

Number of Bottles per Month

29

Shifts vs. Movements Along the

Supply Curve

• A change in the price of a good causes a movement along the supply curve

– In Figure 4

• A rise (fall) in price would cause a rightward (leftward) movement along the supply curve

• A drop in transportation costs will cause a shift in the supply curve itself

– In Figure 5

• Supply curve has shifted to the right of the old curve (from

Figure 4) as transportation costs have dropped

• A change in any variable that affects supply—except for the good’s price—causes the supply curve to shift

30

Figure 5: A Shift of The Supply

Curve

Price per

Bottle

A decrease in transportation costs shifts the supply curve for maple syrup from S

1 to S

2

.

At each price, more bottles are supplied after the shift

$4.00

G

S

1

J

S

2

60,000 80,000

Number of Bottles per Month

31

Factors That Shift the Supply Curve

• Input prices

– A fall (rise) in the price of an input causes an increase

(decrease) in supply, shifting the supply curve to the right (left)

• Price of Related Goods

– When the price of an alternate good rises (falls), the supply curve for the good in question shifts rightward

(leftward)

• Technology

– Cost-saving technological advances increase the supply of a good, shifting the supply curve to the right

32

Factors That Shift the Supply Curve

• Number of Firms

– An increase (decrease) in the number of sellers —with no other changes—shifts the supply curve to the right (left)

• Expected Price

– An expectation of a future price increase

(decrease) shifts the current supply curve to the left (right)

33

Factors That Shift the Supply Curve

• Changes in weather

– Favorable weather

• Increases crop yields

• Causes a rightward shift of the supply curve for that crop

– Unfavorable weather

• Destroys crops

• Shrinks yields

• Shifts the supply curve leftward

• Other unfavorable natural events may effect all firms in an area

– Causing a leftward shift in the supply curve

34

Figure 6(a): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied

Price

Price increase moves us rightward along supply curve

S

P

2

P

1

P

3

Q

3

Q

1

Price increase moves us leftward along supply curve

Q

2

Quantity

35

Figure 6(b): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied

Price

Entire supply curve shifts rightward when:

• price of input ↓

• price of alternate good ↓

• number of firms ↑

• expected price ↑

• technological advance

• favorable weather

S

1

S

2

Quantity

36

Figure 6(c): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied

Price

Entire supply curve shifts rightward when:

• price of input ↑

• price of alternate good ↑

• number of firms ↓

• expected price ↑

• unfavorable weather

S

2

S

1

Quantity

37

In Summary: Factors That Shift The

Supply Curve

• The short list of shift-variables for supply that we have discussed is far from exhaustive

• In some cases, even the threat of such events can cause serious effects on production

• Basic principle is always the same

– Anything that makes sellers want to sell more or less of a good at any given price will shift supply curve

38

Equilibrium: Putting Supply and

Demand Together

• When a market is in equilibrium

– Both price of good and quantity bought and sold have settled into a state of rest

– The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity are values for price and quantity in the market but, once achieved, will remain constant

• Unless and until supply curve or demand curve shifts

• The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity can be found on the vertical and horizontal axes, respectively

– At point where supply and demand curves cross

39

Figure 7: Market Equilibrium

Price per

Bottle

2. causes the price to rise . . .

3. shrinking the excess demand . . .

S

$3.00

1.00

1. At a price of $1.00 per bottle an excess demand of 50,000 bottles . . .

E

4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of $3.00

.

H

Excess Demand

J

D

25,000 50,000 75,000 Number of Bottles per Month

40

Excess Demand: Putting Supply and Demand Together

• Excess demand

– At a given price, the excess of quantity demanded over quantity supplied

• Price of the good will rise as buyers compete with each other to get more of the good than is available

41

Figure 8: Excess Supply and Price

Adjustment

Price per

Bottle

1. At a price of $5.00 per bottle an excess supply of 30,000 bottles . . .

$5.00

3.00

Excess Supply at $5.00

S

L

2. causes the price to drop,

K

E

3. shrinking the excess supply . . .

4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of

$3.00.

35,000 50,000 65,000

D

Number of Bottles per Month

42

Excess Supply: Putting Supply and

Demand Together

• Excess Supply

– At a given price, the excess of quantity supplied over quantity demanded

• Price of the good will fall as sellers compete with each other to sell more of the good than buyers want

43

Income Rises: What Happens When

Things Change

• Income rises, causing an increase in demand

– Rightward shift in the demand curve causes rightward movement along the supply curve

– Equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity both rise

• Shift of one curve causes a movement along the other curve to new equilibrium point

44

Figure 9

Price per

Bottle

4. Equilibrium price increases

3. to a new equilibrium.

$4.00

3.00

E

F'

5. and equilibrium quantity increases too.

50,000 60,000

S

2. moves us along the supply curve . . .

1. An increase in demand . . .

D

2

D

1

Number of Bottles of

Maple Syrup per Period

45

An Ice Storm Hits: What Happens When

Things Change

• An ice storm causes a decrease in supply

– Weather is a shift variable for supply curve

• Any change that shifts the supply curve leftward in a market will increase the equilibrium price

– And decrease the equilibrium quantity in that market

46

Figure 10: A Shift of Supply and A

New Equilibrium

Price per

Bottle

$5.00

E'

S

2 S

1

3.00

E

35,000 50,000

D

Number of Bottles

47

Figure 11: Changes in the Market for Handheld PCs

Price per

Handheld

PC

3. moved the market to a new equilibrium.

4. Price decreased . . .

$500

B

2. and a decrease in demand . . .

S

2002

S

2003

A

1. An increase in supply . . .

$400

5. and quantity decreased as well.

2.45

3.33

D

2002

D

2003

Millions of Handheld PCs per Quarter

48

Both Curves Shift

• When just one curve shifts (and we know the direction of the shift) we can determine the direction that both equilibrium price and quantity will move

• When both curves shift (and we know the direction of the shifts) we can determine the direction for either price or quantity —but not both

– Direction of the other will depend on which curve shifts by more

49

The Three Step Process

• Key Step 1—Characterize the Market

– Decide which market or markets best suit problem being analyzed and identify decision makers (buyers and sellers) who interact there

• Key Step 2—Find the Equilibrium

– Describe conditions necessary for equilibrium in the market, and a method for determining that equilibrium

• Key Step 3—What Happens When Things

Change

– Explore how events or government polices change market equilibrium

50

Using Supply and Demand: The

Invasion of Kuwait

• Why did Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait cause the price of oil to rise?

– Immediately after the invasion, United States led a worldwide embargo on oil from both Iraq and Kuwait

– A significant decrease in the oil industry’s productive capacity caused a shift in the supply curve to the left

• Price of oil increased

51

Figure 12: The Market For Oil

Price per

Barrel of Oil

S

2

S

1

E'

P

2

P

1

E

Q

2

Q

1

D

Barrels of Oil

52

Using Supply and Demand: The

Invasion of Kuwait

• Why did the price of natural gas rise as well?

– Oil is a substitute for natural gas

– Rise in the price of a substitute increases demand for a good

– Rise in price of oil caused demand curve for natural gas to shift to the right

• Thus, the price of natural gas rose

53

Figure 13: The Market For Natural

Gas

Price per Cubic

Foot of Natural

Gas S

F'

P

4

P

3

F

D

2

D

1

Q

3

Q

4

Cubic Feet of

Natural Gas

54

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