College Admission Mode of Multiple Choices Based on Internet Zhao-tong Wu 1, Li-ping Fu 2, Rui-xue Zhao 2 1 School of Marxism, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China Research Center for Public Resource Management, School of Management, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China Corresponding Author: Snow14princess@hotmail.com. 2 Abstract - As an important constituent of education system in China, the reform and development of College Entrance Examination (CEE) are supposed to be guided under the concept of scientific development, so as to “provide each student with a suitable education”. In recent years, the reform of college admission system has been so greatly improved that the rights and interests of the student-applicants are better protected, though much effort is still needed in accordance with “student-oriented”. This thesis, on an analysis of pros and cons upon the current methods of college choosing and student enrolling, has proposed an innovative, internet-based way of admission mode for colleges. The core of this mode is established on multi-application submitting to fully protect the rights and interests of students. With the rapid development of society in China, the mode will be one of the expecting ways in reforming CEE. Keywords - College Entrance Examination Enrollment (CEEE), Internet, Multi-application I. INTRODUCTION As an important constituent of the educational system, the reform and development of College Entrance Examination (CEE) is supposed to follow the concept of scientific development and be examinee-oriented, so as to “provide each student with a suitable education”. In the process of reformation, respecting individuality, giving students more space of growth and helping students develop in an all-around way, are the principles we are pursuing. In recent years, the reform of CEE has been greatly accelerated, and a lot of endeavor has been done both on the examination evaluation system and admission system. As for the enrolment, the Ministry of Education has allowed some colleges to enroll students independently since 2003. Until 2010, 80 universities have begun the independent enrollment. In addition, multi-ways of enrollment such as enrollment by recommendation, directional enrollment and the special granted enrollment are gradually being available, which means both colleges and students have more choices. However, the ways of enrollment we mentioned are only available among a very few examinees. The majority of students have to take the CEE. After ranking by their scores, they can be accepted Supported from key project of the Ministry of Education in 2009 (Grant GFA097009) into colleges. In 2008, the Ministry of Education called for innovations in the candidates’ information dealing process and advised departments of Education in local provinces to carry out parallel college-applying admission. In recent years, more and more provinces have begun to implement the policy of submitting applications when knowing the scores and ranks of candidates. The parallel college-applying submission effectively reduces the risks in applying for the students. However, there are still some problems, for example, how to help the candidates develop in all-around way effectively; how to guarantee equal opportunity to enter college for each student; how to satisfy students’ needs of major preferences, so that students can have a more free and individual way to develop. This thesis, on an analysis of pros and cons upon the current methods of college choosing and student enrolling, has proposed an innovative way of admission mode for colleges. Due to the limitation of space, this thesis merely takes account of students who take the unifying entrance examination, and assumes CEE’s scores as the only references of college admission, not including the issue of evaluation of comprehensive quality. II. THE FRAME WORK OF COLLEGE ADMISSION MODE OF MULTIPLE CHOICES BASED ON INTERNET At present, there are three ways of college-application submitting in China according to the submitting time: submitting before the CEE, submitting after estimating on CEE scores and submitting after knowing the CEE scores; and according to the ways of gathering archives’ information, there are ordered college-applying admission and parallel college-applying admission. Despite the fact that all ways of application submitting share advantages of their own, the flaws are also ominous. In order to enable students have more choices, I put forward an Internet-based mode of multi-application submitting, in expect of solving the mentioned disadvantages. College Admission Mode of Multiple Choices Based on Internet (CAMMCBI) is an admission mode based on the Internet and students oriented, whose framework is shown in Figure 1 below. Taking account of the various admission lines in different regions, we’ll illustrate the example in one single province shown in Fig1. The internet functions as a bridge between colleges and students and the connection can be easily built just through one net connected computer. Student S1 Student S2 Client Server for application submitting SC1 Client Server for application submitting SC1 …… …… Student Sn Client Server for appliCation submitting SCn Internet Server- side of local charging department A Internet Server-side for university admitting UC1 University U1 Fig. 1. Server-side for university admitting UC1 University U2 …… Server-side for university admitting UCn …… University Un Framework of CAMMCBI As for the client-side for submitting, users can log in the system for application processing as long as submitting the right user’s name and the keywords, and then, they can submit the final application after filling in and checking personal information and other data. The system also has pre-installed information such as the admission batch, the recruiting plan, introduction about colleges and majors, requirements for the applicators, requirements by the charging departments and attentions. As for the server-side for enrollment, relevant systems for recruiting must be pre-installed. Users also log in by submitting their name and keywords, and then they can read the detailed information of all the applicants who submit to the colleges, including the information of the college and major they are interested in. As for the server-side in the charging department, it will function as an agent, which also plays an essential part in the whole process of enrolment. In addition to the fundamental functions, the system is supposed to share a series of additional functions, for example, delivering electronic archives, printing enrollment list, application confirming and so on. This mode is mainly established on the computer and its connection with the internet, so an unobstructed, steady and safe network is the presupposition of successful operation. In addition, the correct way of using all server or client side of the system plays a crucial role. III. THE OPERATING PROCEDURE OF CAMMCBI In order to have a better illustration, now we set the following assumptions: (1) the admission mode can be only applied under the first batch of admission, not covering other batches; (2) every student can only apply for m (m is an integer,≥1) colleges and 1 major from each college; (3) the final admission depends on the score of the applicants; (4) assume that net connected computers are available for all the applicants, meanwhile applicants can make use of the computers correctly under a steady operation conditions. Based on those four assumptions the operation process of the CAMMCBI is shown as follows: A. Pre-admission stage 1) After well learning about the colleges and majors, student will submit their applications through the system before the deadline. Their choices of colleges are not ordered, and students only need to select the colleges whose enrollment lines are close to their scores. When the submission is over, all the relevant applying information will be delivered right to the server-side for the local education department. 2) The local education department will deliver applicants’ information to the server side of each college. We assume that one applicant’s information will be delivered to m colleges. 3) Every college downloads the information of their applicants. (In order to avoid spending too long a time downloading, college could choose to mass download in batches classified by the scores) 4) Colleges then begin to partly enroll some of the applicants according to the pre-set principles. For example, if the total enrollments is x in plan, to guarantee the following enrolment, college will enroll ai x applicants in the first round ( ai is the admission index, the specific value is the comprehensive results of considering these factors: the admission lines of past years, this year’s planning number of enrolment and the expecting number of applications. Every college has an exclusive ai , which can’t be comparable). Colleges will send pre-admitting information to the qualified students. 5) When colleges complete their first round enrollment, the relevant local education department will issue the notice on the Internet and student applicants can log in the system to check their enrollment. Every student may be admitted by 0~m colleges. Due to the different enrollment time length of each college, applicants may have to wait for a period of time. To ensure the steadiness and security of the Internet, the charging department can ask applicants to check information and make the reply within a specified time. Applicants will select one of the colleges and cannot make the change once submitting the final decision. And then the confirming information will be delivered to the server side of college admitting. 6) College now begins to download the feedback of y students first round pre-enrollment. Suppose there are confirm the admission, college can ask the local department of education to delete their information from the “agent” server side after transforming the information into the database of “have been admitted” students. Then college will update non-admitted applicants’ information, meanwhile save the information of those students who confirm the admission. That’s all for the first round admission. B. The second round admission After the first round of admission, most colleges and universities failed to complete the enrollment plan. Now take the above college for example, suppose there are yet x y quotas of students to be enrolled. Of course, colleges can follow the same procedure as that of the first round. However, because the remaining majors are less attractive to applicants, college needs to reset the admission index. Suppose in the second round of admission, the admission index is b , then the total i number of enrolment in the second round will be bi x y , and bi is usually less than ai . Some colleges may complete their enrolments through several rounds of admission, when the admission plan is fulfilled, college almost accomplish their entire mission in that province. The following tasks are sending paper admission notice, receiving sanction from local education department. Then that’s the end of all procedures. Client Server for Student S submitting ④ ① Server- side of local education department ⑤ ② ⑥ …… Server-side for university U1 admitting Server-side for university Um admitting ③ Fig. 2. Flowchart of CAMMCBI The connotation of those sequence number in Figure 2 is shown as follow: 1) Sending application information to the local education department (mid June - late June) 2) Delivering the information to m colleges (late June early July) 3) m colleges examining applicants ’ information (early July - mid July) 4) t of m colleges decide to admit Student S, and sending the admission information to S (mid July - late July) 5) Student S1 choose the College Ux among t colleges (late July - early April) 6) College Ux asks the local education department to delete information of Student S1 from the server, when information is completely transferred to its server side. IV. ANALYSIS ON THE CAMMCBI It’s easy for student applicants to handle this mode of applying, which can greatly reduce the proportion of failed application and ensure students’ right to enter university. Meanwhile, it’s also easy for colleges to implement the admission procedure, which ensure colleges to able to enroll well qualified students. In spite of that, this mode lengthens the time of enrolling, increases the workload, and reduces the efficiency. So how to set the limitation of number of submission to either college or major is the key problem to solve currently. The advantages and disadvantages of CAMMCBI are shown as follows: A. The strength of CAMMCBI 1) Fully reflects the spirit of “People oriented” The new mode focuses on the students. Students have their own interests and talents, strength and personalities, profession preferences and career plans. The mode offers a not very strict environment, in which there are more choices, more chances of participating and more respect for individual growth. When students devote themselves to the higher learning and extracurricular activities with relaxed nerves, happy mood and vibrant thoughts, their potential can be best exploited. And for colleges and universities, this mode adds the transparency in publicizing information, which in return, reduces the amount of workload and pressure as the result of applying this system. In addition, colleges become more independent to enroll better qualified students. 2) In terms of economical society, CEEAMMCBI are more resources-conserved At present, in most provinces and cities, application is filled on paper materials, even online applications require paper ones of confirmation. While in CAMMCBI, except the admission notice, no other messages are transferred with paper material. At the same time, high enrolling rates leads to low examination retaking rate in senior school, which effectively reduces the cost of education either in economy or time. In the other term, many conservative students now have a chance of gambling in applying for better colleges, avoiding those colleges’ possibility of vacant enrollment and making good use of educational resources. 3) Effectively stopping the non-approved admission and illegal agents Based on the unified enrollment platform, referenced admissions plan, CAMMCBI can effectively prevent the fraud enrollment and the non-approved admission. As CAMMCBI is a dynamic system, in which students and colleges are connected only by provincial education department, it can limit the activities of illegal agents to ensure the rights and interests of majorities. 4) Easy to implement in the nationwide CAMMCBI is established on the Internet and relevant software system. With the popularity of Internet and the development of society, CAMMCBI can equally guarantee most provinces, large or small, developed or developing, to process under one unified admission platform. In 2007 the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region successfully realized the first batch of undergraduate colleges online applying. 16 990 participated in and the whole process ran quite well. This practice in this western province best verifies that online application is feasible. For example, the college entrance examination in 2009 (Science) in the city of Chongqing analyzed the data more than 550 points. Set 20 points is a level, from high to low, the data was divided into six levels. Similarly, set 20 points is a level, the data was divided into six levels according to the minimum entry score of 985 institutions in 2009. For Pareto improvement on the current parallel college-applying admission, CAMMCBI admission mechanism can ensure high acceptance rate of the candidates with high scores, and without large-scale reducing the acceptance rate of the candidates with low scores. Based on CAMMCBI admission mechanism, we believe that: 1) All institutions can be accepted. 2) Candidates have the opportunity to be admitted as long as the institutions are still enrolling, even if scores of the candidates rank are lower than the level of institutions. 3) The coexistence of failed candidates and wasting school admission quota will not occur. Now do the following provisions: the probability of candidates with more than 650 points but be refused by the institutions which minimum entry scores is more than 650 points is x. The probability of refused ones by the institutions which minimum entry scores between 630 to B. The weakness of CAMMCBI As a brand new way of admission, CAMMCBI inevitably has some weaknesses to be solved. For example: how to set the time of first round of admission, how to determine the admission index, how to organize staffs efficiently and how to guarantee the equity in the process. In this thesis, we believe that among these problems, the priority is to make sure how many colleges and majors each student is limited to apply. If so or there is a way to solve these two problems, the strength of CAMMCBI will be fully realized. V. DETERMINATION ON ARCHIVES NUMBER Usually, it is a random process that, under multi-application submitting mechanism, different bands of candidates choose different levels of universities. Since score rating of the candidates is given, last round has nothing to do with multi-application submitting. Therefore, the multi-application submitting process of candidates can be approximated as a Markov process. Markov process is a good description of the sequence changes of the multi-application submitting process of candidates. Markov assumption means that: 1) the activity that specific candidate delivers his or her wish to any admissions institutions of system only depends on the score level of the candidate. 2) The transfer matrix is approximately stable. That is to say, there is no different transition probability in different candidates or no different transition probability in different time. In fact, despite the assumptions of the above is demanding, the transfer matrix can approximately meets this "smooth" assumption under the support of the stable multi-application submitting environment and fixed candidates scores. Particularly, for the state of the Markov chain I, if , that is: reaching the state I will remain permanently in state I and will not stay or re-transfer to other state. We call that state I absorbing state. Similarly, in the process of multi-application submitting, once the candidates accepted the invitation and confirm online, will turn into a formal admission. Its files will be deleted from the enrollment server and no longer involved multi-application submitting. Based on the analysis and assumptions of the above, we can use the absorbing Markov analysis method to establish the absorbing Markov chain model of the candidates’ scores and college level sequence, and analysis CAMMCBI admission mechanism from a dynamic perspective. 650 points is . The probability of be refused by the institutions which minimum entry scores between 610 to 630 points is , and so on. Assume that the probability of candidates with more than 650 points be admitted is equal to the probability of be admitted by the institutions which minimum entry score is more than 650 points. From the above, we can get the following equation: + + + + + + =1 Solve and get: 。 The reject-probability of other scores section of the candidates is the same. Ultimately, we can get the transfer matrix in the following table: TABLE I TRANSFER MATRIX FOR EACH GRADE Enrollment Institution Level Candidates Score Level >650 [630,65 0] [610,63 0] [590,61 0] [570,59 0] [550,57 0] Admission 1 >650 0.3825 0.1463 0.056 0.0214 0.0082 0.0031 0.3825 2 [630,650] 0.4466 0.1995 0.0891 0.0398 0.0178 0.0079 0.1995 3 [610,630] 0.4764 0.227 0.1081 0.0515 0.0245 0.0117 0.1081 4 [590,610] 0.4887 0.2388 0.1167 0.057 0.0279 0.0136 0.057 5 [570,590] 0.4961 0.2461 0.1221 0.0606 0.0301 0.0149 0.0301 [550,570] 0.5 0.25 0.125 0.0625 0.0313 0.0156 0.0156 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 Admission Converted into the standard form of absorbing Markov chain: Among them, Q represents the probability of 6*6 non-absorbing state (has not be admitted by the institutions). ACKNOWLEDGMENT Thanks for the support from key project of the Ministry of Education in 2009 (Grant GFA097009). REFERENCES The average step length which from the refused of institutions to reaching the absorbing state: represents column vector 1(non-abrobing state(refused)). , among them, c with 6 component As this model has only one absorbing state, and each state are connected. So each non-absorbing state is bound to be absorbed after the transfer of the limited step. Known by the t values, first grade candidates in the range of the highest score submit 3, 1439 times can be admitted. Candidates in the range of the sixth score (between 550-570points) need to submit 4.5419 times in order to be admitted ultimately. In order to ensure the best satisfaction of candidates, we selected 4.5419 as the multi-application submitting times. It should be noted that 4.5419 is only the average expectation of candidates. Specific to a particular candidate, the number of admission may be greater or less than this average eventually. 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