4/17/2015 Overview Farm Financial Analysis Iowa State University Dairy Herd Evaluation Class Kristen Schulte, Farm and Ag Business Management Specialist, ISU Extension and Outreach kschulte@iastate.edu Vocabulary • Vocabulary Section #1 and #2 – General Terms • Do your best to match the terms and definitions! • Statement Review • Financial Ratios • Key Ratios and Benchmarks – Overview – Examples • Whole Picture Vocabulary Debrief • What terms did you mismatch • What terms were easy 1 4/17/2015 Cy Dairy • • • • Dave and Mary Miller Farm/Pasture 240 acres Milk 160 cows 19,000+ RHA Financial Statements • • • • • Balance Sheet Income Statement Statement of Owners Equity Cash Flow Statement Statement of Cash Flows OR Cash Flow Budget • Cy Dairy Financial Statements (excel) Consolidated Statements • Farm, Personal, Consolidated • Things to watch for – Defining personal and business assets and liabilities – Contributions to farm from non-farm – Non-farm income – Withdrawals/family living – Credit cards (number and debt) – Savings and investments Source: Consolidated Financial Statements, Oklahoma State University Balance Sheet • Also called the Net Worth Statement • Consists of – Assets = Liabilities + Owner Equity – Owner Equity = Assets - Liabilities • Snapshot • Must be timed consistently • Cost and market values • Deferred tax liabilities • Equity changes from profit and inflation 2 4/17/2015 Balance Sheet • Current/Intermediate/Long Term • Current/Non-Current or Fixed • Asset Valuation Balance Sheet - Assets • Items that are owned and have value. • Divided into two or three categories – Current Assets – assets that will likely be converted to cash within a year. – Intermediate Assets – assets with a longer life than one year but less than 10 years – Long Term Assets – assets with a long useful life, typically longer than 10 years – Non-Current Assets – assets with a longer life than one year – Market - current market value – Cost – remaining value of investment (net book value) Source: Your Net Worth Statement, AgDM File C3-20 Source: Your Net Worth Statement, AgDM File C3-20 Balance Sheet – Net Worth Balance Sheet - Liabilities • Liabilities are financial obligations of the business • Can be divided into current, intermediate and longterm liabilities (some group intermediate and longterm together) – Current – accounts, taxes, principal payments, and interest due within the current year (next 12 months) – Intermediate – length of loan is typically 1-10 years – Long-term – length of loan is greater than 10 years – Non-Current Liabilities – liabilities with a longer life than one year Source: Your Net Worth Statement, AgDM File C3-20 • • • • = Total Assets – Total Liabilities Current value of investment in operation Cost vs. Market Farm vs. Personal Source: Your Net Worth Statement, AgDM File C3-20 3 4/17/2015 Balance Sheet Considerations • • • • • • • Financial Statements Defined • Income Statement Balance Sheet timing Inventory (count) assets Accounts receivable Breeding livestock Leased machinery Matching asset and liabilities Land values – Tracks income and expenses – measures Net Income – Period of time – Used to evaluate profitability of business – Accountant or financial analysis – Schedule F Source: Farm Financial Statements, AgDM file c3-56 Chris Bruynis, OSU Extension Income Statement Income Statement - Revenue • A necessary financial form to clearly measure profit or net income Farm Revenue (income) - Farm Expenses (costs) = Net Farm Income from Operations + Non-farm Income = Total Net Farm Income (before taxes) - Taxes Paid and Accrued = Net Income 15 4 4/17/2015 Income Statement - Expense Depreciation • Tax Depreciation (tax preparers) • Market-Based (lenders) • Book Depreciation (producers) • What should you use? The Income Statement Adjustments to Farm Income • Cash versus accrual basis accounting • Not all income is accounted for by cash sales – Accrual adjusted income statement combines the cash basis farm records with the inventory changes from the balance sheet • Problems with cash accounting – – – – – Selling down inventory Living off depreciation Selling capital assets Increasing accounts payable Refinancing operating losses – Changes in current inventories – Changes in valuation of current inventories – Accounts receivable • Changes in market valuation of land, building, machinery and equipment are not included in the income statement unless they are actually sold. 19 20 5 4/17/2015 Cash vs. Accrual Adjustments to Farm Expenses • Items paid in the current year that will be used in the subsequent year. – – – – – – – Feed and supply inventories Prepaid expenses Investments in growing crops Accrued interest Taxes due Accounts payable Depreciation (can use tax figure or more realistic number if using rapid depreciation practices for tax management) Source: Cash versus Accrual Accounting, Texas A&M Extension 21 Financial Statement Relationships Uses of family farm income, consumption, or equity investment • Family Living • Retirement • Health Insurance Balance Sheet Activity • Activity – Cy Dairy 2015 Balance Sheet • Complete Ending Balance Sheet – Enter missing asset and liability entries in Ending Schedules Tab 6 4/17/2015 Financial Measures Financial Performance Measures for Iowa Farms (AgDM file C3-55) Legal 21 Financial Measures -> 7 key ratios! Liquidity • Current Ratio • Working Capital • Working Capital: Revenue* Solvency • Debt: Asset* • Equity/Asset • Debt/Equity Profitability • Rate of Return on Assets* • Rate of Return on Farm Equity • Operating Profit Margin • Net Farm Income • EBITDA Financial Efficiency • Asset Turnover Ratio • Operating Expense Ratio* • Depreciation Expense Ratio • Interest Expense Ratio • Net Farm Income from Operations Ratio Repayment Capacity • Capital Debt Replacement Capacity • Capital Debt Repayment Margin • Replacement Margin • Term Debt & Lease Coverage Ratio* • Capital Replacement and Term Debt Repayment Margin What do all the numbers mean? Financial Analysis • Use statement calculations to analyze financial position of operation. • 7 areas of credit analysis in Agriculture: – – – – – – – Liquidity Solvency Profitability Repayment Capacity Financial Efficiency Sensitivity Collateral Position Liquidity • Ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet short run obligations without interrupting normal farm operations • Impacted by inventory carrying type, time of year, or operating cycle (need to measure over periods within year) • Ratios: – Current Ratio • Ability of firm to pay current debts with current assets – Working Capital • Financial flexibility of firm to operate – Working Capital: Total Revenue • Amount of working capital contributed from total revenue 7 4/17/2015 Current Ratio Current Ratio • Measures ability of operation to pay off all current liabilities if current assets were liquidated • Calculation: πΆπ’πππππ‘ π΄π π ππ‘π = πΆπ’πππππ‘ πΏπππππππ‘πππ • Benchmark • Example Vulnerable 1.1 1.7 • • • • • • Impact lending requirements Trend over time Liquidation Efficiency Investment Valuation of assets Strong Working Capital Working Capital: Revenue ο Measures operating capital available in short term against size of business • Calculation: • = πΆπ’πππππ‘ π΄π π ππ‘π −πΆπ’πππππ‘ πΏπππππππ‘πππ πΊπππ π π ππ£πππ’π • Benchmark Vulnerable 10% 25% Strong • Trend analysis • Impact of • • • • • Capital purchases Prepaid Borrowing funds Paying off debt Profitability • Example 8 4/17/2015 Working Capital • Impact lending requirements • Borrower wants versus lender needs • Ways to look at WC – Number – Dollars per acre/head – Percentage of Gross Revenue – Percentage of input costs Source: Financial Performance Measures for Iowa Farms, AgDM File C3-55; Iowa Farm Business Association Solvency • Measures financial leverage in business • Ability to pay off all debts if operation were liquidated • Uses balance sheet only • Ratios – Debt – to – Asset – Equity/Asset – Debt/Equity (leverage ratio) • Debt/Asset + Equity/Asset = 100% Debt:Asset • Measures financial risk and borrowing capacity • Measures bank’s share of the business • Calculation: • = πππ‘ππ πΏπππππππ‘πππ πππ‘ππ π΄π π ππ‘π • Benchmark Vulnerable 60% 30% Strong • Example 9 4/17/2015 Profitability • Profit is needed to meet financial obligations, service debt, fund family living, and build equity and growth • Uses Net Farm Income from Operations – includes accrual adjustments, depreciation, and interest • Ratios: – Return on Assets (ROA)/Rate of Return on Assets (rROA) Rate of Return on Assets • Rate earned on all investments in the farm • Calculation: • = πππ‘ πΉπππ πΌπππππ+πππ‘ππππ π‘ −πππππ & ππππππππππ‘ π΄π£πππππ πΉπππ π΄π π ππ‘π • Benchmark • Measures profitability and labor efficiency; interest rate on all money invested in farm operation Vulnerable Strong – Rate of Return on Equity (ROE) 4% 8% • Measures profitability using equity and borrowed capital; rate of return earned on equity in farm operation – Operating Profit Margin • Measures amount of operation efficiency relative to output Repayment Capacity • • • • Identify debt repayment problems Earnings ratios and measures Use with statement of cash flows Ratios: – Term Debt and Lease Coverage Ratio • Assess ability to repay loans and repayment risk the lender undergoes to extend credit • Example Term Debt & Lease Coverage • Measures ability of operation to pay all intermediate and long-term debt payments • Calculation: • = πππ‘ πΉπππ πΌπππππ ππππ ππππππ‘ππππ +πππππππππ‘πππ +πππ‘ππππ π‘+πππππ’ππ πππ‘ππππ π‘+πππ‘ πππ−ππππ πΌπππππ −ππππππ¦ πππ£πππ−ππππππ π‘ππ₯ππ ππβπππ’ππ πππππππππ & πΌππ‘ππππ π‘ ππ ππππ πΏππππ • Benchmark Vulnerable 1.20 1.50 Strong – Capital Replacement and Term Debt • Amount available after all current principal and interest is paid • Example 10 4/17/2015 Financial Efficiency • Measures efficiency of expenditures and assets to revenue • Ratios: – Asset Turnover Ratio • Capital and management performance; number of years business earnings = asset value; number of years to recover asset value – Operating Expense Ratio • Measures efficiency of operations part of operation (excludes debt) – Depreciation Expense Ratio • Determines level of depreciation in business – Interest Expense Ratio Operating Expense Ratio • Displays portion of farm income used to pay operating expenses • Calculation: • = πππ‘ππ πΉπππ ππππππ‘πππ πΈπ₯ππππ ππ πππ π πππ‘ππππ π‘ −πππππππππ‘πππ πΊπππ π πΉπππ πΌπππππ • Benchmark Vulnerable 80% 60% Strong • Measures interest obligation to revenue – Net Farm Income from Operations Ratio • Measures ability to retain earnings in operation *Operating Expense + Depreciation Expense + Interest Expense + Net Farm Income from Operations Ratios = 100% Net Farm Income Ratio ο Measures profit against farm income ο Measures amount left over after all expenses for labor, management, and investment (retained earnings) ο Calculation: ο = πππ‘ πΉπππ πΌπππππ ππππ ππππππ‘ππππ πΊπππ π πΉπππ πΌπππππ ο Benchmark Vulnerable ο Example 10% 20% Strong • Example Financial Statement Trends • One year generally does not tell the whole story! • Financial analysis should be compared or benchmarked to – Similar businesses/farms – Industry standards – Past analysis for financial performance trends Chris Bruynis, OSU Extension 11 4/17/2015 Benchmarking • How are we doing? – Are we owning more of the business each year – Is our capacity to repay debt getting better – Are our competitors doing better or worse than we are? – Can we afford to expand the business? • Comparison – Industry/Farm Association – Your Farm Trends Benchmarking • What to use? • Pick a limited number of benchmarks – Help measure your success toward goals – Measure efficiency of operation – Measure financial position Benchmarking • Financial Statement Related – Legal 21 Ratios • Other – Production – Cost of Production – Machinery cost per acre – Investment per acre • Other non-financial statement measures? Financial Benchmarks Iowa Farm Costs and Returns (AgDM File C1-10) • Track same measures over time 12 4/17/2015 Additional Financials • Debt per Cow $3,500-5,000 per cow *if expanding <$6,500 per cow • Cost of Production • Feed Cost Per Cow or cwt. Milk • Income Over Feed Cost Profitability vs. Cash Flow • Measures true profit of operation • Financial analysis which includes cash, unpaid expenses (depreciation and labor), and opportunity cost (investment) • Expense assets over life • Measures ability of operation to generate cash and pay cash expenses • Adjusts profit for noncash items – Unpaid labor • Expense assets as paid Additional Benchmarks MEASURE Principal and Interest Payments FARM GOAL $ /cow <$500/cow % of Gross Revenue <15% of GR Debt per Cow $ /cow <$3,500* Investment per Cow $ ~$7,000* Machinery and Investment $ /cow ~750/cow (DIRTI) Feed Cost (purchased feed $ + crop expense + rent + machinery cost) Feed: Gross Revenue (using same value as above) Crop Expenses (seed, fertilizer, chemicals): Gross Revenue Cost of Production – $ operating expense less interest and extra feed $ Principal and Interest $ Depreciation /cwt. ~7.00* % 20-45% % <8% /cwt. COP < Milk Price /cwt. /cwt Cash Flow Budget • Estimate of all cash receipts and expenditures • Project source and timing of funds • Identify any cash deficit period(s) • Help to determine need for an operating loan & amount • Identify period(s) of cash surplus Source: Understanding Cash Flow, Analysis AgDM File C3-14 13 4/17/2015 Cash Flow - Main Uses • • • • • • Clear statement of cash flows Identify top five cash outflows Estimation of operating loan needs Schedule of loan and or insurance payments Capital purchase planning Communicate farming plan and credit needs with lender Improving Cash Flow • Adjust the term loan payments • Adjust your crop marketing plan • Change time of year for crop input purchases. • Analyze top 5 expenses • Increase inflows of cash Cash Flow Statement • Monthly or Quarterly • Projections and Actual • Can you meet financial obligations in a timely fashion? • What is generating income? Twelve Steps to Cash Flow Budgeting • • • • • • • • • Plan Inventory Requirements Sales Income Expenses Capital Purchases Debt Repayment Nonfarm expenditures 14 4/17/2015 Cash Flow Activity • Cash Flow Activity Cy Dairy Cash Flow Budget Variables in Agriculture • Price • Land Values • Interest Rates • Use input sheet to complete projected cash flow for 2015 Variable - Price Variable - Price • Corn Price – 2015 FSA inventory price = $3.70 – 2013 calendar year average = $6.23 • Soybean Price – 2015 FSA inventory price = $9 – 2014 calendar year average = $12.47 • Impact on statements and ratios? Source: Ag Cycles, A Crop Marketing Perspective 15 4/17/2015 Variable - Milk Prices Variable – Land Values Source: 2013 Farmland Value Survey, AgDM File C270 Variable – Interest Rates Cash Flow Activity • What was net cash income change? • What were months of negative cash income? • Resulting operating note balance and interest paid? • Summarize impact of changes? • What could make this situation better or worse? 16 4/17/2015 GOOD LUCK Not Just Financial Analysis • Use combination of financial ratios with cash flow to assess position of farm • Incorporate expected change (partial budgeting) into a new B/S and I/S and recalculate ratios. Incorporate changes into Cash Flow – Where can farm potentially be if changes are made? (numbers can help to explain impact!) • Look outside the numbers -> management and numbers are a good mix to tell the complete story • • • • Communication Trust Dream Big, Plan Small Steps Testing Phase – For both parties – Percentage of milk check and expenses • Form a Team of Professionals • Keep Good Records 17