31st Annual Mathematics Symposium - Western Kentucky University October 28 - October 29, 2011 Mathematics and Sports! *= student presentation Friday 4:30pm, Registration and refreshments begin, Snell Hall (SN) Friday 4:50 pm, ROOM 2113 SN Welcome by Dean Blaine Ferrell Friday 5:00-6:00 pm, ROOM 2113 (SN) INVITED TALK Ron Gould (Emory University) Rating Player Performance - The Old Argument of Who is Best Sports statistics have often resulted in arguments about who is really the best player. Beginning with the NFL quarterback rating formula, we consider quantitative methods of rating players performance including quarterbacks, hitters in baseball and basketball players. Some of the history of such ratings will be discussed along the way. Special attention will be paid to linear weighting schemes. We look for the strengths and weaknesses of each method, including ESPN's new quarterback index. PARALLEL SESSIONS, Friday Friday 6:00 - 6:20 pm ROOM 1101 • Stuart A. Foster (WKU), Jonathan Quiton (WKU), Rezaul Mahmood (WKU) A framework for automated adaptive spatial modeling of near-surface atmospheric variables using the Kentucky Mesonet Weather is critical to operational decision making across many economic sectors. In situ dense networks, such as the Kentucky Mesonet, are capable of providing samples of the near-surface atmosphere from a finite number of observation sites. The challenge of spatial interpolation is to use observed data for temperature, wind speed, and other variables to estimate values at locations where no observations are available. In an environment where weather conditions vary smoothly over space, the task is straightforward and can be readily implemented using any of a number of established methods. However, the complexity of near-surface atmospheric processes in areas of diverse, even chaotic terrain poses significant challenges for the dynamic spatial interpolation of near-surface atmospheric variables. This presentation describes a framework for adaptive modeling to interpolate near-surface atmospheric variables using weighted combinations of observations based on geographic and topographic proximity of Kentucky Mesonet sites. ROOM 1102 • David Sekora* (WKU), Claus Ernst (WKU) Manipulation and Analysis of Three Dimensional Knotted Polygons in Confinement In this research, we use programs developed with Mathematica to model DNA in a viral capsid as an equilateral polygon in confinement. The problem is that these polygons are exceedingly complex and compact, and so various simplification and relaxation routines are required to reduce the polygon to a more manageable form. The programs created and discussed are Rotator, which aims to simplify compact polygons by expanding them through repeated isomorphic rotations, and Dowker, which converts a twodimensional projection of a polygon to a sequence of integers in a topologically (but not geometrically) reversible process. These programs are part of a larger software package by the research group, entitled “Polygon Toolkit.” ROOM 1103 • Peter Dragnev (Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne), J. Brauchart (U New South Wales, Australia), E. Saff (Vanderbilt University), C. van de Woestijne (Montanuniversitat Leoben, Austria) A fascinating polynomial sequences arising from electrostatics problem on the sphere A positive unit point charge approaching from infinity a perfectly spherical positively charged isolated conductor will eventually cause a negatively charged spherical cap to appear. The determination of the critical distance when this occurs ρ ( d ) ( d is the dimension of the unit sphere) is known as Gonchar's 1 + ρ (d ) is equal to the largest positive zero of a certain sequence of monic polynomials of degree 2d − 1 with integer coefficients which we call Gonchar polynomials. Rather surprisingly, ρ (2) is the Golden ratio and ρ (4) the lesser known Plastic number. But Gonchar polynomials problem. We show that have other interesting properties. We discuss their factorizations, investigate their zeros and present some challenging conjectures. Friday 6:30 - 6:50 pm ROOM 1101 • Funda Ekiz* (WKU), Ferhan Atici (WKU) The Rational Expectations: A New Formulation of the Single-Equation Model on Time Scales In this talk we first give a short introduction to time scale and stochastic calculus. Then we talk about history of the rational expectations (REs) and economist, John F. Muth , behind the REs idea. In addition, we introduce a single-equation rational expectation model (REM) on isolated time domains which include periodic time domains as well as non periodic time domains. Finally, we discuss the Cagan’s Hyperinflation Model on isolated time scales and the method of solving this model. ROOM 1102 • Jeremy Phelps* (WKU), Jonathan Quiton (WKU) Multiple objective linear programming with stochastic coefficients and a quota constraint with applications to stock trading and sports In this talk we present our current investigation on multiple objective linear programming as applied to stock trading and sports where we allocate stocks or player’s playing time based on a fixed investment allocation or fixed total playing time. The general idea is identify and maximize performance-enhancing objectives (PEOs ) subject to performance-damaging objectives (PDOs) such as stock (or player) inconsistent performance as reflected in some volatility metric. More specifically, we are using the covariance matrix of the performance coefficients both as a constraint and in constructing a confidence bound to our optimal solution. Finally, we demonstrate our approach using SAS. ROOM 1103 • Sunny Potay* (WKU), Mustafa Atici (WKU) What is secret sharing scheme in Cryptography? It refers to a method through which secret key K can be shared among a group of authorized participants, such that when they come together later, they can figure out the secret key K to decrypt the encrypted message. Any group which is not authorized cannot determine secret key K. In some situations, it may not be safe to give secure key K to an individual person. Even if this person is an authorized one. Friday 7:00-7:40pm Food and Refreshments! Friday 7:40 - 8:00 pm ROOM 1101 • Jeremy B. Maddox (WKU) Bipolar decompositions for stationary scattering states of the Schrödinger equation We analyze the stationary state wave functions of the Schrödinger equation for one-dimensional scattering problems in terms of so-called “bipolar” components. These bipolar components represent counterpropagating traveling waves associated with system’s incident, transmitted and reflected probability amplitude. The asymptotic behavior the bipolar components and the necessary relationships between them are developed. Finally, we formulate a set of coupled equations of motion from which these can be numerically determined for a certain class of scattering problems with asymptotically convergent potential energy. ROOM 1102 • David Benko (University of South Alabama) The Grandest of all Grand Slams Have you ever wondered which one of the four tennis grand slam tournaments is the best? Wimbledon, Roland Garros, US Open or Australian Open? They are played on different surfaces: grass, clay, acrylic hard court, synthetic hard court, and under different weather conditions: sun, wind, rain, snow. :) How can we pick a winner? As always, mathematics can help us to find the answer. Our method can also be applied to some other sports. ROOM 1103 • Uta Ziegler (WKU) Viral DNA and Knots Researchers want to understand how viral DNA is packed inside the ‘heads’ during the assembly process of viruses. One thing which is known from experiments is that the viral DNA is often knotted. In our research, viral DNA is modeled as freely-joined, unit-length polygons, and the ‘head’ is a sphere. This talk focuses on the process of identifying the knot(s) in randomly generated polygon models of the viral DNA. (Note: Other presentations address how the polygons may be generated and manipulated.) Friday 8:10 - 8:30 pm ROOM 1101 • Lukas Missik* (WKU), Dominic Lanphier (WKU) Asymptotics and Probability in Iterative Duels Game theory is used in various branches of science and sports to study the interaction of players in a competition. The different choices that players make during a game can have an influence on the outcome. Probability theory often plays a fundamental role, in that the likelihood of a choice can often be quantifiable. We investigate a specific class of games that resemble duels and analyze the outcomes (i.e. which player wins) of those games. ROOM 1102 • Tucker Joyce* (WKU), Richard Schugart (WKU) Analyzing a Mathematical Model of the Interaction of Bacteria and Neutrophils in a Chronic Wound It is estimated that 5-10 billion dollars are spent each year in the United States on the treatment of chronic wounds. A wound is classified as chronic when the body fails to remove the bacteria from the wound, prolonging the inflammation period indefinitely. Neutrophils are a major body cell type involved in fighting the bacteria. Currently no model exists that models the dynamics of how neutrophils interact with bacteria in this process. The goal of this project is to analyze a system of ODEs that models the interaction of these cell types. This is done using both analytic and numerical methods, and the goal of my work was to verify and adjust the model as necessary. ROOM 1103 • Madeline O. Oldham* (WKU) Introduction to Park Factors An overall description of park factors is provided as well as a look into those factors that contribute to needing a park factor. The park factors at five various fields have been analyzed based upon home runs, triples, doubles and singles. Those five fields being considered are: Coors Field, AT & T Park, Turner Field, Wrigley Field and Citi Field. ____________________________________________________________________________________ Saturday from 8:00 am - Registration and refreshments, First Floor of Snell Hall (SN) REGISTRATION continues until 12:00pm SATURDAY Saturday 8:30-8:50 am ROOM 1101 • Anthony Montemayor* (WKU) Generating Random Polygons in Spherical Confinement To test biological models of DNA packing such as in the capsid of a bacteriophage, it is important to have a fast algorithm to generate random polygons in confined spaces. This talk will discuss the development of such an algorithm in the case of spherical confinement using elementary results in statistics. ROOM 1102 • Nihan Acar* (WKU), Ferhan Atici (WKU) Data Fitting for Tumor Growths with Discrete Fractional Calculus As well as the doctors seek the methods of treatments for the various types of cancers, mathematicians have started to cooporate with them to find a better outcome as a treatment. The aim of our project is, to develop Discrete Fractional Models of tumor growth for given data and to estimate parameters of these models in order to have better data fitting. In this talk, we first introduce Discrete Fractional Calculus and Nabla Fractional Operators. Then, we give some properties in relation to these operators. Additionally, we solve a order, discrete nabla fractional equation with initial condition. We interpret our result, and finally, we use some tumor growth data and estimate the parameters for a fractional sigmoidal model to obtain better data fitting. ROOM 1103 • Elizabeth Haynes* (Southern Illinois University) Smale Flows on Three-Manifolds 3 We will discuss how to realize Smale flows on S . We will examine one template, and the possible links and knots formed by the entrance and exit sets. This talk will avoid technical details and present examples, with models. Saturday 9:00-9:20 am ROOM 1101 • R. Drew Pasteur (The College of Wooster) Resources for Undergraduate Research in Sports Analytics Over the last decade, sports-related research in the mathematical sciences has grown significantly, partially because of widespread access to large amounts of data. Research questions on sports topics are of interest to many undergraduates, and often such projects are quite accessible. For students who are considering work in this area and the faculty members advising them, we will discuss data sources, types of problems and approaches, key pieces of literature, and venues for presentation and publication. ROOM 1102 • Mark Robinson (WKU) Differentiability of Functions of Several Variables In a course in single-variable calculus, students are introduced, by way of a limit definition, to the derivative. Later, in multivariable calculus, students again encounter limits (this time of functions of several variables) and then learn (sometimes to their great surprise) that differentiability of a function of several variables requires more than simply the existence of partial derivatives. The concept of differentiability of functions of several variables is examined in this presentation, with accompanying examples. ROOM 1103 • Mikhail Khenner (WKU) Analysis of liquid film stability using differential equations Thin liquid films with flat surface resting on a smooth solid support become unstable due to variety of factors, such as heating, vibration, and intermolecular forces. As a result of the instability development, a film agglomerates into droplets. In this talk I will describe the analysis of the instability using linearized equations for small perturbations of the flat equilibrium and computations of the nonlinear phase of the instability. Saturday 9:30 – 9:50 am ROOM 1101• Dominic Lanphier (WKU) Heartless Poker The probabilities, and hence the rankings, of the standard poker hands are well-known. But what happens to the rankings in a game where a deck is used without a suit (heartless poker, for example), or with an extra suit, or extra face cards? Does it ever happen that two or more hands will be equally likely? In this talk we examine these and other questions, and show how probability, some analysis, and even some number theory can be applied. ROOM 1102• Christopher S. MacMahan* (University of South Carolina), Joshua Tebbs (USC), Christopher Bilder (University of Nebraska-Lincoln) Two-Dimensional Informative Array Testing Array-based group testing algorithms for case identification have been widely considered for use in infectious disease testing, drug discovery, and genetics. In this work, we generalize previous statistical work in array testing to account for heterogeneity among individuals being tested. We first derive closed-form expressions for the expected number of tests (efficiency) and misclassification probabilities (sensitivity, specificity, predictive values) for two-dimensional array testing in a heterogeneous population. We then present two ``informative" array construction techniques which exploit population heterogeneity in ways that can substantially improve testing efficiency when compared to classical approaches which regard the population as homogeneous. Furthermore, a useful byproduct of our methodology is that misclassification probabilities can be estimated on a per-individual basis. We illustrate our new procedures using chlamydia and gonorrhea testing data collected in Nebraska as part of the Infertility Prevention Project. ROOM 1103• Sinem A. Karatas* (WKU), Thomas Richmond (WKU) Ordered compactifications The fundamental and useful notions of finiteness in topology, algebra and analysis is the compactness. Of course, many spaces of interest (for instance, the real line) are not compact. The natural motivation lies in the concept of compactifying spaces. Thus, in order to state a compact space in applications, mathematicians construct many different compactification processes. In the mathematical discipline of geneal topolgy, Stone–Čech compactification βX of a topological space X is the one of the most important universal property. The Stone–Čech compactification βX of a topological space X is the largest compact Hausdorff space generated by X in a unique way. In this talk we start with an elementary perspective of general topology, then provide properties and examples for βX-X if X is totally ordered space, also we discuss a technique for satisfying a construction X=βX-X.. Saturday 10:00 –- 10:20 am ROOM 1101 • Sri Harsha Vege* (WKU), Huanjing Wang (WKU) An Empirical Study of Ensemble Feature Selection Techniques Feature selection technique is an important data preprocessing step. It has been a focus of much research in data mining and machine learning where datasets containing hundreds of thousands of features are available. The main objective of feature selection is to remove irrelevant and redundant features and further improve the predictive performance of the predictors using the reduced datasets. We will be studying various feature ranking techniques and prepare an ensemble method which combines multiple feature ranking techniques using rank ordering of features. The reduced datasets will be used in building the classification models using well-known classifiers. The results obtained will be evaluated using AUC (Area under receiver operating characteristic curve) performance metric. ROOM 1102 • Tyler Clark* (WKU), Thomas Richmond (WKU) Continued Radicals and Cantor Sets We will construct several continued radicals and look at their convergence properties. Furthermore, we will look at some conditions in which a continued radical creates a set homeomorphic to the cantor set. Finally, we will observe a continued radical formed by the set {1,2} and different properties of the cantor set obtained. ROOM 1103 • Ian Burchett* (WKU), Rong Yang (WKU) Quantifying Computer Network Security Simplifying network security data to the point that it is readily accessible and usable by a wider audience is increasingly becoming important, as networks become larger and security conditions and threats become more dynamic and complex, requiring a broader and more varied security staff makeup. In this talk, we will provide some background information about network security evaluation and introduce a new metric framework to measure the overall “health” of a given network. Saturday 10:30-11:00 am, Refreshments Saturday 11:00 - 12:00 pm, ROOM 2113 (SN) INVITED TALK Ken Massey (Carson-Newman College) Sports Ratings by Linear Regression with Lp norms The college football schedule graph is very sparse, and game results exhibit substantial variation. Many mathematical models have been constructed to objectively evaluate team strengths. I will explain the popular least squares regression (L2) approach, and then generalize to other norms. We will discuss computational algorithms and properties of the solution. Results from recent college football seasons will be used for illustration. Funding for the 2011 Symposium at WKU is provided by NSF grant DMS-0846477 through the MAA Regional Undergraduate Mathematics Conferences Program, www.maa.org/RUMC and by Ogden College of Science and Engineering, WKU.