Water Issues and Institutions Transboundary Basins and Global Water Initiatives ARL 564 February 13-22, 2007 Robert Varady Research Professor and Deputy Director Udall Center for Studies in Public Policy University of Arizona Water Issues and Institutions • Introductory comments • Unit objectives 1. Recognize overarching importance of institutions in environmental decisionmaking 2. Appreciate concept and significance of transboundary effects 3. Understand & evaluate role of global water initiatives (GWIs) • Discuss example of cross-border water management in U.S.-Mexico border region • Review origins, evolution, and actions of GWIs, with examples The Concept of Transboundary Management • Landscapes, physical processes natural resources, vegetation & wildlife exist irrespective of political borders • Often social systems, cultural practices, and human traditions also disregard such borders • As a result, when resources or environmental processes do cross borders, they encounter sociopolitical & economic obstacles to uniform management practices • How have nation-states coped with such conditions when dealing with shared watersheds & airsheds, ecosystems, cross-border contamination, and other natural systems? • What sorts of institutions have arisen and evolved to respond to these particular challenges? Transboundary Basins Are the Norm Elements Common to Border Regions Borders . . . • • • • • • separate problems and solutions create perverse economic opportunities aggravate perceived inequalities marginalize residents’ interests in policy obstruct grassroots problem solving complicate already difficult resource-management problems Newly-created Borders 1990-94 • 21 new countries • 46 new borders Aral Sea Basin • Formerly sea was entirely within USSR • Now five new countries in the region Regional institutions should . . . • be truly binational and broadly inclusive of state, local, & nongovernmental interests • have jurisdiction over spectrum of border environmental issues, not only water resources • be able to address needs & problems before they reach crisis stage and without having to seek project-byproject authorization & funding from national governments • contribute to building capacity of local environmental agencies, particularly municipal water agencies • be responsive and accountable to the public Regional institutions should . . . • provide credible, balanced information on environmental problems associated with proposed projects, as well as their environmental, economic, & social impacts • make this information equally available on both sides of the border • fit into the already crowded space of existing institutions by: (a) helping existing institutions reach their goals, and (b) working cooperatively A Common Type of Regional Institution The River-basin Commission or Authority Some common paradigms . . . . . . and their shortcomings River-basin Management Paradigms Technical Ministries t f t t 2 e 1 e2 e 3 t and 3 Environment, forestry, public works, agriculture, flood control, etc. Legend 1, 2, 3 = Nations 1, 2, and 3 t = Representatives of Technical Ministries f = Representatives of Foreign Affairs Ministries f 1 2 Approval Consider problem (technically only) Devise solutions (engineering) 1 and t 1 2 Implementation and cooperation Foreign Affairs Ministries Expert advisers 'Experts,' scientists, engineers Instrument Technical Ministries Recommendations e.g., flooding, navigation, pollution control, resource allocation Agents (From governments of participating nations) an International Commission an t tTools: t and f 3 t 3 1 2 3 Technical standards; dams, flood channels, barrages, treatment plants, etc. Decisionmaking/Action Situational Context ? Problem to be solved e = Experts, scientists, engineers The Technical and Scientific Paradigm Actions Physical structures to be built e.g., flooding, navigation, pollution control, resource allocation 1 t 2 t 3 Agents R R 1 and 2 3 Regulations/standards in use elsewhere Environment, internal affairs, justice, military, police, etc. Legend 1, 2, 3 = Nations 1, 2, and 3 N = Nations R = Regulatory Ministries t = Representatives of Technical Ministries r = Representatives of Regulatory Ministries Harmonized set of standards and regulations Implementation and cooperation R Body of existing regulations in participating nations N1, N2, and N3 Recommendations N3 N2 N1 Instrument International Commission r r r 1 2 3 an Tools: Set of laws, regulations, and standards Procedures of enforcement Monitoring of enforcement Actions Comparably-regulated and enforced: Air-quality standards Water-quality standards Hazardous-waste standards etc. Decisionmaking/Action t Situational Contexts ? Problem to be solved The regulatory or standard-driven paradigm Agents t 1 t 2 t 3 Instrument m Situational Context 1 Treaty / Accord Tool: m 2 m 3 e.g., flooding, navigation, pollution control, resource allocation International Commission Implementation and cooperation Conference of ministers and International Commission m m m 1 Exclusionary procedural rules 2 3 Tools: Common standards, regulations, monitoring, sanctions, litigation, funding approvals, etc. Decisionmaking/Action Foreign affairs; technical, legal, environmental, regulatory ministries, etc. Legend 1, 2, 3 = Nations 1, 2, and 3 t = Representatives of Technical Ministries m = Representatives from selected ministries Actions ? Problem to be solved The closed paradigm Imposed solution ? Situational Context Problem to be solved e.g., flooding, navigation, pollution control, resource allocation Multinational conference of diplomats from the Ministries of Foreign Affairs 1 e 1 Consultation t f 1 f 2 f 3 Agents and t t 2 3 e e International Commission 2 Treaty or Accord Tools: Common standards, regulations, monitoring, sanctions, litigation, funding approval 3 Imposed solution Regional, local government Other 'official' agencies NGOs Legend 1, 2, 3 t = f = e = = Nations 1, 2, and 3 Representatives of Technical Ministries Representatives of Foreign Affairs Ministries Experts, scientists, engineers Instrument Actions The top-down paradigm By contrast, the BECC paradigm, 1995 • • • • • • • Fully binational Transparent Promotes public participation Open Not diplomatic, technocratic, regulatory Features sustainability Certifies projects But . . . • Lacks authority to finance • Is captive to purse of NADBank • Has insufficient funding to provide technical assistance to communities for proposal preparation Example of Environmental Problems and Institutional Responses Water in the U.S.-Mexico Border Region A Look at Hotspots Hotspots Overview • Setting • Challenges of binational environmental management • Current environmental issues ΜΆ physical and human • Driving forces • Institutions • Collective responses • Water hotspots • Conclusions Setting: U.S.-Mexico Border • Geography • Socioeconomics • Water hotspots (potential for conflict) San Diego-Tijuana Nogales Colorado River San Pedro River El Paso-Juárez Rio Grande River Geography U.S.-Mexico border region Socioeconomic Features • Highly disparate economies (ratio of GDP/capita = 4.2; U.S./Canada = 1.3, Israel/Jordan = 4.6, S. Africa/Mozambique = 8.9) • • • • • • • • Contrasting cultures, languages, legal systems Different water ownership & rights regimes Industrialization of border zone since 1960s Rapidly growing populations in region Free trade agreement (NAFTA) in 1993 Declining agricultural sector Still important copper mining industry Critical shortages of water throughout Demographics Urban population Maquiladora growth Water Hotspots Challenges of Binational Environmental Management • Understanding political ecology of economic globalization • What should be public responses to free trade? • Determining impacts of decentralization & democratization on environmental practices of local governments • How to devise equitable policies? • How to design effective institutions? • Role & effectiveness of environmental social movements • Preventing and resolving conflicts Environmental Issues Physiographic Processes • Extreme scarcity of surface water • Competition over transboundary & international rivers • Groundwater depletion • Water shortage and pollution in cities & esp. in colonias • Historical drought, climatic variability, & global warming • Impacts of seasonal flooding on policymaking & water management Environmental Issues Human Impacts • Toxic & hazardous wastes: heavy metals, pesticides, fertilizers Impacts on health & life expectancy Illegal disposal, transborder shipment of waste • Land-use change threats to natural ecosystems & habitat • Urban water issues Contemporary Driving Forces • Growth in maquiladora manufacturing • Expanding population & urbanization of border region • Increasing demand for water »» Resulting in need for more infrastructure Housing & healthcare facilities New water supply & treatment systems New sanitation systems Binational Institutions • International Boundary Commission (1889); International Boundary & Water Commission (since 1944) • Colorado River Compact (1922) • Mexican Water Treaty (1944) • La Paz Agreement (1983) • Integrated Border Envir. Plan (1991) • NAFTA (1993): Border Envir. Coop. Commission, North American Devel. Bank, Commission for Envir. Coop. • U.S. Good Neighbor Environmental Board (1992) • Border XXI Program (1997-2001) • Border 2012 Program (2002-present) Selected Institutional Changes • Groundwater law in Arizona (1980) • Mexican land reform (1992) • Growth of civil society & emergence of NGOs In Mexico: e.g., Pronatura, Grupo de los Cien, Movimiento Ecológico Mexicano, consejos de cuenca In U.S.: e.g., National Wildlife Fed., Audubon Soc., The Nature Conservancy, Defenders of Wildlife, watershed alliances Binational: e.g., Border Ecology Project (AZ), Envir. Health Coalition (CA), Interhemispheric Resource Center (NM) Collective Responses • Urban water issues WaterWorks Program (NM, TX) Acuaférico (Ambos Nogales) El Paso-Juárez watershed alliance • Ecosystem conservation NGOs (e.g., Sonoran Inst., Pronatura) Foundations (e.g., Hewlett, Mascareñas) Coordinated efforts & litigation (e.g., Colorado R.) • Toxics and hazardous wastes Border Ecology Project Arizona Toxics La Red Fronteriza de Salud y Ambiente Water Hotspots Hotspots and Their Issues (1) • San Diego-Tijuana (urban area) Inadequacy of binational wastewater treatment Shortage of clean drinking water Pollution of beaches • Ambos Nogales (urban area) Inadequacy of binational wastewater treatment Sustained drought Insufficient drinking water supply • Colorado River and Delta (see two handouts) Disputes over equitable allocation Building of All-American Canal Impact on ecology of Delta Disputes over quality of water reaching Mexico Hotspots and Their Issues (2) • San Pedro River Urban development vs. riparian conservation Copper mining vs. potable water Inadequate infrastructure • El Paso-Juárez (urban area) Inadequacy of binational wastewater treatment Depletion of aquifer » shortage of drinking water • Rio Grande River Drought from 1995 to 2004 Inability of Mexico to meet treaty obligation No water reaching Delta » impact on coastal ecology Hot Spot Conclusions • NAFTA is yielding mixed results for Mexican economy, but increasing migration to border • More cultural & commercial integration of Mexico & U.S., but continuing economic and political disparity • New environmental institutions created NGO involvement rising, especially in Mexico • Continuing shortage of environmental infrastructure & available financing • Climate variability & change unaddressed From Regional . . . . . . to Global A look at Global Water Initiatives What Are Global Water Initiatives? • What are they? A hierarchically elevated set of institutions that aim to advance the knowledge base on the world’s water and enhance its management. They have arisen in response to global watermanagement needs. Since 1980s, missions often include active social & policy component. • What are their origins? Numerous & divergent disciplinary, ideological, sectoral, institutional. Sources • Status? Mosaic of initiatives phenomenon poorly understood and unstudied • Utility? Innovative, useful, practical observations and recommendations but obscured by # of voices, variety of approaches Why Study Global Water Initiatives? Research Questions • Why did GWIs arise? • From what traditions did GWIs emanate and what needs have they been responding to? • What different types are there? • What has been their trajectory over the past decades? • How do these institutions attempt to induce change? • Which are most influential? How and why? What are some potential policy implications? • A well-defined network with clear links, traceable influences, unified purpose? • Or independent, poorly-connected, competing institutions? Have initiatives made a difference? Roots of Water Consciousness and Its Internationalization • 1945 . . . WW II ends . . . Multinatl. ways to avoid wars ~ ~ Reduce conflict by improving human conditions UN agencies for health, nutrition, educ./sci., human rights, . . . • 1950-60s . . . UN prompts 1st global resources initiatives ~ ~ ~ ~ Arid Zone Programme, from 1950 Intl. Geophysical Year, 1957-58 Intl. Hydrological Decade, 1965-74 Man & the Biosphere Programme, 1971-present • 1945-late 1970s . . . Ambitious, large-scale waterworks ~ Dams, irrigation, drainage; hydro plants; interbasin transfers ~ Signals of 20th C progress, centrality of water to society Evolution of Organized Efforts Professional Societies • Increased intl. signif. of water birth of numerous institutions to advocate one or another of its aspects • Prof. societies long in vanguard of this advocacy • For professionals of various stripes to share intellectual spaces & expertise, and promote basic & applied research Evolution of Organized Efforts: Professional Societies Intl. Navigation Assoc. (PIANC) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1885 Commission Internationale des Glaciers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1894 Intl. Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1919 Intl. Assoc. of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1922 Intl. Assoc. of Theoretical and Applied Limnology (SIL) . . . . . . . . . . . . 1922 Intl. Council for Science (ICSU) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1931 Intl. Assoc. for Hydraulic Research (IAHR) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1935 World Irrigation and Drainage Congresses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1951 Intl. Assoc. of Hydrogeologists (IAH) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1964 Intl. Water Resources Assoc. (IWRA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1973 Intl. Water Assoc. (IWA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1995 Intl. Water History Assoc. (IWHA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2001 Evolution of Organized Efforts International Hydrological Decade & Its Origins • Effects of Postwar Polarization Isolation of professionals from counterparts Ideological differences in science & tech. Gulf in content of science • Responses: Call for global programs Intl. Geophysical Year (IGY), 1957-1958 Intl. Hydrological Decade (IHD), 1965-74 IHD Objectives Collect hydrological data Research problems Assess resources & budget balances Facilitate info. exchange Educate & train Evolution of Organized Efforts International Hydrological Programme (IHP) • Last action of IHD: large scientific conf. in Paris in 1974 • Question: how to harness IHD energy, carry forward unfulfilled ambitions • IHD seen as 1st part of long-term program • UNESCO’s 1974 Gen. Conf. took lead in transforming IHD into periodically renewable International Hydrological Programme (IHP) The International Hydrological Programme (IHP) • Goal similar to IHD: strengthen connections between science research, applic., & educ. on water • From 30 member states & 19 observer nations to 164 natl. committees • Redefined every 6 yrs., admin. by UNESCO • Phased approach to permit adaptation & redefinition • Since 1981 emphasizes practical, rational mgt. of water resources, since 1990, “sustainability” • Sees itself as permanent forum to encourage multinational coop. & innovation in water sci. & mgt. Types of Institutions and Processes Designated Periods Designated Period Years Intl. Hydrological Decade (IHD) 1965-74 Intl. Drinking Water Supply & Sanit. Decade (DWSSD) 1981-90 Intl. Year of Freshwater (IYF) Intl. Water for Life Decade 2003 2005-15 Types of Institutions and Processes Organized Events • Types Forums, conferences, megaconferences • Topics All-inclusive environ. themes vs. water only • Size Last 2 World Water Forums, 10,000+ • Participants More interdisciplinary, more NGOs • Agendas Problem-framing principles: sustainability, biodiversity, IWRM, bottom-up, equity • Results Well-intentioned declarations But idealistic, largely unimplemented Most common outcome: “networking” Types of Institutions & Processes Events & Declarations Organized Event: Declaration Year UN Conf. on Human Envir.: Stockholm Declaration 1972 UN Conf. on Water: MDP Action Plan 1977 Intl. Conf. on Water & Envir.: Dublin Statement 1992 UN Conf. on Envir. & Devel.: Agenda 21 1992 First World Water Forum: Marrakech Declaration 1997 Intl. Conf. on Water & Sust. Devel.: Paris Declaration 1998 2nd World Water Forum: World Water Vision 2000 UN Millennium Assembly: Millennium Declaration 2000 Intl. Conference on Freshwater: Minist. Declaration 2001 World Summit on Sust. Devel.: Jo’burg Plan of Impl. 2002 Third World Water Forum: Kyoto Minist. Declaration 2003 Fourth World Water Forum: Ministerial Declaration 2006 Venue Stockholm Mar del Plata Dublin Rio Marrakech Paris The Hague New York Bonn Johannesburg Kyoto Mexico City Types of Institutions & Processes Independent, Multilateral Initiatives • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • AIDA (Intl. Association for Water Law) • AWRA (Amer. Water Resources Assoc.) • CWS (IGU Comm. on Water Sustain.) • DWC/CPWC (Dialogue/Co-operative • Prog. on Water & Climate DWFE (Dialogue on Water, Food & Envir.) • GEWEX (Global Energy & Water Cycle • Exp.) • GIWA (Global Intl. Waters Assess.) • GWP (Global Water Partnership) • GWSP (Global Water System Project) • HELP (Hydrol. for Environ., Life & Policy) IAH (Intl. Assoc. of Hydrogeologists) • IAHR (formerly Intl. Assoc. for Hydraulic • Research) • IAHS (Intl. Assoc. for Hydrol. Sci.) • ICID (Intl. Comm. on Irrig. & Drain.) • ICOLD (Intl. Comm. on Large Dams) • ICSU (Intl. Council for Science) • IHDP (Intl. Human Dimensions Prog. on • Global Envir. Change) • IHP (Intl. Hydrological Programme) INPIM (Intl. Netw. on Particip. Irrig. Mgt.) IPCC (Intergov. Panel on Climate Chg.) IUCN (World Conservation Union) IUGG (Intl. Union of Geodesy and Geophysics) IWA (Intl. Water Association) IWALC (Intl. Water Assoc. Liaison Comm.) IWMI (Intl. Water Mgt. Institute) IWRA (Intl. Water Resources Assoc.) MDGs (Millennium Development Goals) PCCP (From Potential Conflict to Cooperation Potential) PIANC (Intl. Navigation Association) Ramsar (Ramsar Conv. on Wetlands) UN Eco. Commission for Europe WCWTC (World Comm. on Water for 21st C) WHO (World Health Org.) WMO (World Meteorological Org.) WWAP (World Water Assessment Prog.) WWC (World Water Council) WSSCC (Water Supply & Sanit. Collab. Council) Years Active 20 05 20 00 19 95 19 90 19 85 19 80 19 75 19 70 19 65 19 60 19 55 19 50 19 45 19 40 19 35 19 30 19 25 19 20 19 15 19 10 19 05 19 00 18 95 18 90 18 85 Number of Initiatives Advent of GWIs Over Time 60 50 40 30 IHP 20 10 0 Institutional Landscape R&D / DSS SCIENCE GEMS WWC GWP GIWA IH GEWEX HS A I Local PUB F GE HP O O WM WHO FAO D N E I FR IAH Pure / Single discipline Broad / All stakeholders ICID WWAP H P EL P Global Operational / Policy F W CP ET N R A G Water-resource managers PRACTICE Applied / Multidiscipline (Adapted from Wallace, 2004) Water was not always “global” Evolution of dominant paradigms in water governance Paradigm State-led development Centralization Rational-actor models Retreat of the state Structural adjustment Neoliberalism Sustainability Decentralization 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 A Survey of Leading Figures in the ‘World of Water’ • How: Via written materials and use of two survey instruments. In the process, the validity of the hypothesis will be assessed. • Working hypothesis: The numerous existing global water initiatives (1) frequently have duplicative aims and (2) have overproliferated. • Expectation: Experts in the field would tend to minimize salutary influences of GWIs and advocate their consolidation or selective elimination. • Purpose: To report on the survey. Relative Influence of GWIs 2.13 Global Intl. Waters Assmnt. (GIWA) 2.21 IWA Liaison Committee 2.27 Intl. Conf. on Water & Sustain. Devel. (Paris) 2.38 Global Water System Project (GWSP) 2.52 Dialogue on Water, Food & the Envrnmnt. 2.57 GEWEX Water Supply and Sanitation Collab. Council 2.60 Intl. Drinking Water Supply & Sanitation Decade 2.60 2.63 First World Water Forum (Marrakech) 2.78 IAHR 2.84 UN Conf. on the Human Envir. (Stockholm) Intl. Water Resources Assoc. (IWRA) 2.85 Stockholm International Water Institute 2.86 2.87 Intl. Conf. on Freshwater (Bonn) 2.88 Intl. Year of Freshwater (IYF) Hydrology for the Envirmnt., Life & Policy (HELP) 2.92 Intl. Water Association (IWA) 2.92 2.96 Intl. Assoc. of Hydrogeologists (IAH) 2.97 (MEAN SCORE, ALL GWIs) 2.98 Global Water Partnership (GWP) 3.10 World Water Assessment Programme (WWAP) 3.14 UN Conf. on Water (Mar Del Plata) 3.20 World Water Council (WWC) 3.31 Intl. Hydrological Decade (IHD) 3.44 Third World Water Forum (Kyoto) 3.47 UN Millennium Assembly (New York) IHP 3.50 Second World Water Forum (The Hague) 3.61 UN Conf. on Environment & Devel. (Rio de Janeiro) 3.63 Intl. Hydrological Programme (IHP) 3.70 Intl. Assoc. of Hydro. Sci. (IAHS) 3.83 Intl. Conf. on Water & the Environment (Dublin) 1 (Least) 2 3 <== Influence ==> 4 5 (Most) Professional Societies IWA Liaison Committee 3.79 IAHR 3.22 Intl. Water Resources Assoc. (IWRA) 3.15 All Associations 3.08 Intl. Water Association (IWA) Intl. Assoc. of Hydrogeologists (IAH) 3.08 3.04 Intl. Assoc. of Hydro. Sci. (IAHS) 5 (Least) 2.30 4 3 <== Influence ==> 2 1 (Most) Designated Periods Intl. Drinking Water Supply & Sanitation Decade Intl. Year of Freshwater (IYF) 3.40 3.12 All Designated Time Periods 3.07 Intl. Hydrological Decade (IHD) 5 2.69 4 (Least) 3 <== Influence ==> 2 1 (Most) Organized Events First World Water Forum (Marrakech) 3.73 UN Conf. on the Human Envir. (Stockholm) 3.37 Intl. Conf. on Freshwater (Bonn) 3.13 UN Conf. on Water (Mar Del Plata) 2.86 All Events 2.84 Third World Water Forum (Kyoto) 2.56 UN Millennium Assembly (New York) 2.53 Second World Water Forum (The Hague) 2.50 UN Conf. on Environment & Devel. (Rio de Janeiro) 2.39 Intl. Conf. on Water & the Environment (Dublin) 5 (Least) 4 2.17 3 <== Influence ==> 2 1 (Most) Intergovernmental & Nongovernmental Organizations 3.88 Global Intl. Waters Assmnt. Global Water System Project (GWSP) 3.62 Dialogue on Water, Food & the Envrnmnt. 3.48 3.43 GEWEX Water Supply and Sanitation Collab. Council 3.40 3.19 All Organizations Stockholm International Water Institute Hydrology for the Envirmnt., Life & Policy (HELP) Global Water Partnership (GWP) 3.14 3.08 3.02 2.90 World Water Assessment Programme (WWAP) 2.80 World Water Council (WWC) 2.38 International Hydrological Programme (IHP) 5 4 (Least) 3 <== Influence ==> 2 1 (Most) Survey results Overlap & proliferation • Of those who rated impact, 58% considered it negative • 75% thought overlap was prevalent – by implication, too prevalent • Half of raters thought impact of overlap was significant • 56% thought proliferation was significant • Attitudes toward proliferation even more negative (64%) than toward overlap (58%) Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions Role of Governments, NGOs, Stakeholders • Overwhelming support for govt. involvement (96%) • NGOs (88%), stakeholder groups (93%) also valued • Leadership is greatest contribution of governments (34%) • No expectation of funding from NGOs, stakeholder groups • NGOs (27%), stakeholder groups (59%) enhance participation Survey Results: Management • Despite views that overlap & proliferation are negative, a startling contradiction: 82% chose guiding proliferation instead of stopping or limiting it • In other words, there may be too many GWIs, but their proliferation should not be limited • Flexible management seen as most appropriate option • Just as with ecology, institutional diversity provides richness & variety of approaches, opinions, individuals. Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions “The instruments available to nation states today are not adequate for dealing with global and national institutional problems relating to water, natural resources, and the environment.” John Rodda Former President, IAHS Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions Significant Actions • Advancing ideas & practices (49%) • Publications most significant (11/36), projects & programs next (10/36) • Only 4% of respondents cited conferences & workshops as significant “Urgent problems demand quick responses, and global water initiatives are usually not the vehicle of choice to resolve these problems.” Martin Reuss Historian U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions Program Results • Meetings & conferences poorly regarded (just 3 of 77) • Ideas & practices favored by 49%; pubs. liked • Trends parallel those for “actions” • One difference: only 3% thought developing policies was a feasible action, but 10% thought policies had actually resulted • Indecision (25 of 77) likely a proxy for skepticism • Just 1 respondent saw real difference on the ground “Certainly [GWIs] have had very substantial results in terms of scientific understanding and some socioeconomic benefits. The transition of this understanding into practical benefit in individual catchments has been less successful.” W. J. Shuttleworth Hydrology Professor SAHRA, U. of Arizona Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions Institutional Overlap • Three times as many sought to explain impact (52) as tried to define causes (18) • Of those who rated impact, 58% considered it negative • 75% thought overlap was prevalent, by implication, too prevalent • Half of raters thought impact was significant • 28% contended that new initiatives were created for “personal” reasons “There are too many overlaps and poor coordination between the plethora of initiatives, which so far have yielded little positive change.” Peter Bridgewater Secretary General Ramsar Convention on Wetlands “Donors claim to be confused, but the situation is no different than in other sectors.” Margaret Catley-Carlson Chair, Global Water Partnership Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions Proliferation • Attitudes toward proliferation even more negative (64%) than toward overlap (58%) • 56% thought it significant • 9 of 10 who cited intensified competition as effect, called that a drawback • Only 2 of 6 possible effects considered beneficial “None of these bodies wishes to surrender elements of its own program for the common good.” Johan Kuylenstierna Policy Analyst Swedish International Water Institute Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions Managing Diversity and Proliferation • In spite of views that overlap, proliferation are negative, a startling contradiction: 82% chose guiding proliferation instead of stopping or limiting it • In other words, there may be too many GWIs, but their proliferation should not be limited • Flexible management seen as most appropriate option • To paraphrase Malin Falkenmark, just as with species, institutional biodiversity provides richness & variety of approaches, opinions, individuals “Overlap will never be eliminated, particularly [when] every issue can legitimately be claimed by almost any sector or group. [But without GWIs], more chaos would prevail. ” Richard Meganck Rector, Institute for Water Education (IHE) [Although] further fragmentation takes place, strengthening of existing initiatives is important. C. D. Thatte Former Commissioner, ICID Observations and Interpretation Views and Opinions Assessing Overall Impact • 79% said GWIs had positive or partially positive influence • 20% pointed to “real” changes as most significant • 20% found that GWIs have exerted influence in “fuzzy” ways such as increasing awareness • Similarly, strong support (6/7) for success in improving communication, cooperation, and facilitation (7/8) “There is a huge disconnect between the global discourse and real-world water management on the ground.” Aaron Wolf Water Policy Scholar Oregon State University “Few if any of the initiatives have been tested against measures of success.” John Rodda “At least these institutions provide some context to reorient the decision processes to support the importance of water in economic development.” Richard Meganck “The lesson learned most widely is that water assistance should be directed to the grassroots, where spending small amounts will benefit most those in need.” John Rodda GWI Conclusions • GWIS are of four types • Survey 1 permits assessment of relative influence • Survey 2 allows testing of hypothesis First part (too many GWIs with duplicative aims) is confirmed Second part (reduce # of GWIs) is rejected; instead, strong acceptance of existence, embrace of diversity, interest in helping manage What Does It All Mean? Need to assess actual accomplishments in “world of water” • Results of deliberate institutional processes or changes caused by demography, development, globalization, . . . ? • Are improvements in conditions due to specific initiatives? • Can real changes in policy be attributed to initiatives? What Does It All Mean? Networks and Governance • “Global” governance doesn’t happen on a global level in outer space. It happens in particular venues, places, and networks – including areas of overlap • How do we sustain & strengthen networks in areas of great water need, such as arid & semiarid regions? To Be Done. . . . • Develop instruments to measure progress • Gauge effectiveness of activities on the ground • Identify programs that have/have not achieved aims • Determine ingredients of success and failure Results should interest physical scientists, social scientists, planners, managers, diplomats, leaders of global water initiative phenomenon, and especially decisionmakers