State Perspectives on Water and Climate Planning and Management 4th BINATIONAL WATER AND CLIMATE WORKSHOP Hermosillo, Sonora – Linda Stitzer, Arizona Department of Water Resources lsstitzer@azwater.gov State Management of Water Resources Arizona Department of Water Resources (ADWR) ADWR does not control water supplies or infrastructure, which are directly managed by water utilities, CAP, and others Mission is to secure long term water supplies for Arizona Regulations, water permits, groundwater recharge, assured water supply and enforcement powerprimarily groundwater Arizona Water Supply & Demand Annual Demand approx. 7.0 maf Colorado River on-river diversions are 2.046 Maf of which 0.75 Maf is returned to the system for other use. Assumes all well pumpage is groundwater, except for accounting surface wells along the Colorado River. Demand does not include CAP long-term storage and system losses (approximately 0.3 Maf) or environmental demands on the Colorado River (approximately 0.02 Maf) WATER SUPPLIES 2001-2005 SECTOR DEMAND 2001-2005 Industrial 7% Effluent 3% CAP 22% Groundwater 43% Colorado On-river 18% In-state Rivers 14% Agricultural 71% Municipal 22% State Water Resources Management Arizona Department of Water Resources Regulations and programs focused in Active Management Areas (AMAs) Groundwater rights with volumetric or regulatory limits and no new agricultural lands Conservation, groundwater recharge and water supply augmentation programs New development must use “renewable” water supplies Long-range water management goals and plans Water Management Areas Prescott AMA goal: safe-yield by 2025 Pinal AMA goals: - allow development of nonirrigation uses - preserve agriculture as long as feasible Santa Cruz AMA goal: - maintain safe-yield - prevent decline of water table Phoenix AMA goal: safe-yield by 2025 Tucson AMA goal: safe-yield by 2025 State Water Resources Management Arizona Department of Water Resources New management plan for each AMA every ten years until 2025 to meet management goal Increasingly stringent conservation requirements for agricultural, municipal and industrial water users – they determine how requirement is met-different programs and strategies Long-range water demand and supply projection scenarios to assess and predict goal progress Climate Considerations in Management Plans Climate variability only recently incorporated in long-range water supply and demand projections Concerns about uncertainties in predictive models 4th Management Plan includes a water budget projection scenario that incorporates Colorado River water shortage Climate variability has been considered when determining compliance with some conservation regulations Flexibility accounts allow users to “bank” credits when use is below conservation target and use in years when demand is higher than conservation target Arizona Water Atlas Compilation of statewide water resource data for water planning and public information Data organized by planning area (7) and groundwater basin (51) Surface & groundwater hydrology Water demand and supply Water quality Climate and meteorological data Resource Sustainability Evaluation – Volume 9 http://www.azwater.gov Table 8.4-1 Climate Data for the Santa Cruz AMA A. NOAA/NWS Co-op Network: Elevation (in feet) Period of Record Used for Averages Nogales 3,813 Nogales 6 N Station Name Monthly Average Temperature Range (in F) Average Precipitation (in inches) Max/Month Min/Month Winter Spring Summer Fall Annual 1948-19831 78/Jul 45.5/Jan 3.41 1.20 9.64 3.65 17.90 3,560 1971-2000 78.9/Jul 45.5/Jan 3.40 1.35 10.19 4.09 19.03 Old Nogales 3,904 1892-19481 80.1/Jul 46.6/Jan 2.59 0.92 9.59 2.60 15.70 Tumacacori Natl Monm 3,266 1971-2000 81.1/Jul 48.4/Jan 3.37 1.03 9.48 3.52 17.40 Source: WRCC, 2005b Notes: Average temperature data from period of record shown; average precipitation data from 1971 - 2000 1 B. Evaporation Pan: Station Name Elevation (in feet) Period of Record Used for Averages Avg. Annual Evap (in inches) Nogales 6 N 3,560 1952-2005 91.20 Elevation (in feet) Period of Record Source: WRCC, 2005a C. AZMET: Station Name Average Annual Reference Evaportranspiration, in inches (Number of years to calculate averages) None D. SNOTEL/Snowcourse: Station Name Elevation (in feet) Period of Record Average Snowpack, at Beginning of the Month, as Inches Snow Water Content (Number of measurements to calculate average) Jan. None Feb. March April May June Average daily minimum summer temperature Average water year (October –September) temperature and total water-year precipitation in Arizona from 1930-2002. Source, CLIMAS Winter (November-April) precipitation departures from average, 1000-1988, reconstructed from tree rings - Arizona NOAA Climate Division 7 Arizona Drought Plan Governor’s Drought Task Force (March 2003) Developed during period of extreme drought and surface water shortage Prepare for and mitigate the impacts of drought Arizona Drought Preparedness Plan Identifies drought stages and potential actions by the State, Communities/Utilities and Public Normal-reduce vulnerability Abnormally dry - raise consciousness Moderate - voluntary reductions Severe - curtailment Extreme - eliminate non-essential uses Arizona Drought Planning Structure Governor’s Office & Cabinet Arizona Department of Water Resources Monitoring Committee Interagency Coordinating Group Local Drought Impact Group(s) AZ’s plan emphasizes drought planning and preparedness, innovation and action Monitoring Technical Committee •Monitors and assesses drought conditions – •weekly update to U.S. drought monitor map •monthly drought status update •Produces Drought Monitor Reports – quarterly with updated long-term drought map •Briefs the Governor’s Interagency Coordinating Group on drought conditions http://www.azwater.gov/AzDWR/ StatewidePlanning/Drought/ Drought Monitor Report Data provided by USDA-NRCS, graphic provided by University of Arizona - CLIMAS Quarterly Report Drought Status Arizona Reservoir Status Vegetation Health Mountain Streamflow and Precipitation Temperature and Precipitation Weather Outlook (Images taken by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service (NESDIS)) Local Drought Impact Groups Outreach & Education Improve awareness Education the public Monitoring *Goal* Help the community, local and state government define societal and economic impacts of drought for better planning and response Mitigation & Response Develop mitigation and response strategies Identify funding and legislation needs Interagency Coordinating Group Governmental and non-governmental organizations Identifies mitigation and response options Directs state agency action to: Assess, develop and implement drought response options Advises Governor on drought action Reviews Arizona Drought Preparedness Plan Recommendations for improving monitoring, implementation and response actions Provides an integral mechanism to coordinate and integrate drought planning and management on all lands within Arizona Drought planning for community water systems In 2005 State Legislature approved Water System Plan Requirements for all systems to include: Water Supply Plan Conservation Plan Drought Plan Purpose of drought plan is to ensure that water systems reduce their vulnerability to drought impacts and are prepared to respond when drought occurs. Transboundary Aquifer Needs Santa Cruz Santa Cruz AMA goal is to maintain aquifer water levels and safe-yield. Continuing collaboration and data sharing is essential. San Pedro Upper San Pedro Partnership - data on hydrology, water demands, streamflow, climate conditions in Mexico needed to help support its goal and federal mandate to reach sustainable yield and protect the San Pedro River. Questions? Aravaipa Canyon Wilderness