The Future of Wisconsin Conservation Funding: Alternatives & Options for Fishing & Hunting Licenses Prepared for the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources Ishmael Amarreh Peter Braden Stephanie Chase Kimberly Farbota Nathaniel Inglis Steinfeld Current Fish & Wildlife Revenues Fish & Wildlife Total Revenues 2010-11: $77,631,400 Combination Licenses 13% All Other 16% Nonresident Fishing Licenses 14% Resident Hunting Licenses 28% Resident Fishing Licenses 19% Source: Polasek, 2012 2/25 Nonresident Hunting Licenses 10% Current Fish & Wildlife Expenditures Fish & Wildlife Total Expenditures 2010-11: $78,494,800 Other 29% Law Enforcement 22% Customer Assistance & Licensing 5% Admin & Tech Services 7% Source: Polasek, 2012 3/25 Fish Mgmt. 21% Wildlife Mgmt. 16% Gun Deer Hunting (Males) Projection 2000-2030 Number of Male Deer Gun Hunters over Age 12 650,000 600,000 550,000 500,000 450,000 Constant Rates Projection 400,000 350,000 Survival Ratio Projection Observed Hunters 300,000 Source: Winkler & Klaas, 2011 4/25 APC Projection Hunting Participation Rates 2000, 2005, & 2009 40% 2000 2005 2009 35% Participation Rate 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Age Source: Winkler & Klaas, 2011 5/25 80 76 72 68 64 60 56 52 48 44 40 36 32 28 24 20 16 12 0% Overview: Approach & Methods • Cultural Shift & Attitudes About Hunting • Political & Financial Constraints • Lessons from Other States • Quantitative Analysis 6/25 Photo Source: http://eatdrinkbetter.com, 2012 Policy Alternatives & Evaluations • We considered 4 alternatives: – – – – The Current System Retention Efforts Funding Source Restructuring Public Relations & Outreach Efforts • And evaluated each alternative based on 3 criteria: – Potential for Revenue Generation – Probable Sustainability – Equity 7/25 Alternative 1: Current System • Potential for Revenue Generation – Declining numbers of hunters Reduced license revenue to fish and wildlife account – Reducing license fees Unlikely to increase hunting numbers and license revenue • Probable Sustainability – Declining license revenues Declining conservation funding • Equity – Dependence on license revenue Cost of conservation borne by fewer and fewer Wisconsin residents 8/25 Alternative 2: Retention Efforts • Retain current hunters by: – Returning put-and-take programs to previous levels – Make information about land access and game availability easy to find 9/25 Alternative 2: Retention Efforts • Returning put-and-take programs to previous levels – Put-and-take programs increase hunting participation and satisfaction – Increasing license fees associated to offset costs associated with these programs 10/25 Alternative 2: Retention Efforts • Make information about land access and game availability easy to find – Perception among hunters that there is no land available – Other states, such as Minnesota, have easily accessible information on their website Photo Source: http://www.dnr.state.mn.us/hunting/ pheasant/Index.html, 2011 11/25 Alternative 2: Retention Efforts Minnesota DNR webpage: http://www.dnr.state.mn.us/wmas/index.html 12/25 Alternative 2: Retention Efforts Minnesota DNR webpage: http://www.dnr.state.mn.us/wmas/index.html 13/25 Alternative 2: Retention Efforts Minnesota DNR webpage—Washington County Example 14/25 Alternative 3: Funding Source Restructuring • We considered 3 possible methods for funding source restructuring: – License Fee Increases – Sales Tax Option – Reduce Inefficiency Photo Source: http://adventure.howstuffworks.com/outdooractivities/hunting/regulations/hunting-season1.htm, 2012 15/25 Alternative 3: Funding Source Restructuring • Predictive Model of Number of Licenses Sold Annually – Data: 1987 – 2011 – Model 1: resident angling licenses – Model 2: resident deer hunting licenses • Prediction: How changes in license prices influence number of licenses sold – Data: 1992 – 2011 – Explanatory variables: previous year sales, population, license price, per capita income, unemployment rate, gasoline prices, and weather 16/25 Alternative 3: Funding Source Restructuring Actual & Predicted Sales of Resident Deer Hunting Licenses 600,000 550,000 Number of Deer Gun Licenses 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 Predicted Number of Licenses Sold Actual Number of Licenses Sold 300,000 250,000 200,000 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Polasek, 2012 & Author’s calculations 17/25 Alternative 3: Funding Source Restructuring Resident Deer Hunting Licenses—Predicted 2012 Sales & Revenues at Various Prices Revenue Maximizing Price: $116 Revenue maximizing price: $116 $30,000,000 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 $20,000,000 300,000 $15,000,000 250,000 200,000 $10,000,000 Current price:$24 150,000 100,000 $5,000,000 Number of licenses sold Total revenue $25,000,000 50,000 $0 0 Revenue Fee for Hunting Licenses Source: Polasek, 2012 & Author’s calculations 18/25 Number of Licenses Alternative 3: Funding Source Restructuring Sales Tax Option – Arkansas and Missouri: • ‘Conservation sales tax’ of 1/8th percent (1 cent of every $8 spent) – WI sales tax rate is low at 5 percent • Between Missouri (4.225 percent) and Arkansas (6 percent). – A statewide sales tax spreads support for conservation among all residents. – Our recommendation: 1/8th percent rate for Wisconsin. 19/25 Alternative 3: Funding Source Restructuring Reduce Inefficiency – DNR should review its current license fee structure to eliminate inefficiencies in fees. – Issuing the licenses cost the state 50 cents/license – 800,000 anterless deer licenses issued annually $400,000 lost revenue 20/25 Alternative 4: Public Relations & Outreach Efforts • DNR could focus on two primary groups: – Individuals who move as young adults and lose touch with their former hunting community – Individuals living in urban areas who are interested in sustainable living, environmental efforts, and local, organic food Photo Source: http://underground foodcollective.org/photos, 2012 21/25 Alternative 4: Public Relations & Outreach Efforts • Young Individuals Who Move – Learn to Hunt events: Partnership with the University of Wisconsin System and Wisconsin’s Technical Colleges System – Use modern technology to make information on hunting more easily accessible – Language offerings Photo Source: http://www.in.gov/mobile/2367.htm, 2012 22/25 Alternative 4: Public Relations & Outreach Efforts Urban Populations & “Foodies” Outreach to Wisconsin Foodie (an Emmy-nominated independent TV series) Photo source: Wisconsin Foodie blog, 2012 Explore partnerships with local food groups such as Northland College, Slow Food UW, F. H. King Student Farm, Underground Food Collective, and others Photo source: Northland College student farms, 2012 23/25 Recommendations • Long term: increase participation and consider fee increases and alternative revenues sources • Short term: public relations outreach and easing entry for new communities Photo Source: http://www.outdoorcentral.com/, 2012 24/25 Questions? For Further Information: Contact the La Follette School’s publications office at 608-263-7657 or publications@lafollette.wisc.edu Or see www.lafollette.wisc.edu/publications/workshops.html Thank you for allowing us to be part of this project and process! Ish, Pete, Stephanie, Kim, & Nate 25/25