Matakuliah Tahun Versi : H0472 / Konsep Sistem Informasi : 2006 :1 Pertemuan 7 Komunikasi dalam mendukung pengambilan keputusan 1 Learning Outcomes Pada akhir pertemuan ini, diharapkan mahasiswa akan mampu : • Menunjukkan hubungan komunikasi dalam mendukung pengambilan keputusan dalam konsep work sistem 2 Outline Materi • Konsep Dasar komunikasi • Konsep dasar pengambilan keputusan • Dukungan IS pada komunikasi dan pengambilan keputusan 3 Opening Case... • What do you think? • Is “mass customization” as mentioned here going to be a major force? • What type of information system is this? • It is: – an information system that supports communication and decision making • Compare & contrast this with online shopping 4 Can we use the WCA to describe this case? • Sure! 5 Table 5.1 Customizing Jeans at Levi Strauss CUSTOMER Person purchasing jeans ©1999 Addison Wesle y Longma n Slide 5.3 6 Table 5.1 Customizing Jeans at Levi Strauss PRODUCT Customized pair of jeans Measurements representing the best fit Manufacturing specification for the customized pair of jeans ©1999 Addison Wesle y Longma n Slide 5.4 7 Table 5.1 Customizing Jeans at Levi Strauss BUSINESS PROCESS Major Steps: •Take measurements •Try on special samples to get perfect fit •Transmit to factory in Tennessee •Manufacture jeans •Mail jeans to customer •Store specification for reorders Rationale: •Sell customized jeans that really fit the customer. ©1999 Addison Wesle y Longma n Slide 5.5 8 Table 5.1 Customizing Jeans at Levi Strauss PARTICIPANTS INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Customer Customer’s measurements Sample pairs for fitting the customer Manufacturing specifications Technology for producing the jeans Delivery address Computers and data communication network Salesperson ©1999 Addison Wesle y Longma n Slide 5.6 9 How can information systems improve communication and decision making? 10 Table 5.2 Ways information Systems Can Improve Communication and Decision Making Performance within Business Processes RATE OF OUTPUT Improve communica tion: Communicate more information or more typ es to more pe ople Improve decis ion ma king: Make mo re d eci sion s using better, mo re complete informatio n CONSISTENCY Improve communica tion: Make sur e di fferent p eople receive the same communication Improve decis ion ma king: Make su re re petitive decisi ons are made in th e same wa y PRODUCTIVITY Improve communica tion: A chie ve more co mmuni cation with less effort Improve decis ion ma king: Make better decisions with less effort CYCLE TIME Improve communica tion: E limi nate un desirable delays in communicatio n Improve decis ion ma king: E liminate un necessary delays in decision ma kin g FLEXIBILITY Improve communica tion: P ermit co mmuni cation in many different forms Improve decis ion ma king: Main tain decision quali ty a cross a wider rang e of situations SECURITY Improve communica tion: Make sur e communicati ons go only to the inte nded recipients Improve decis ion ma king: Make su re d ecision s are co ntro lled only b y th ose author ized to make the de cisions ©1999 Addison Wesle y Longma n Slide 5.7 11 Basic Communication Concepts • Social Context • Personal, Impersonal and Anonymous Communication • Time, Place and Direction of Communication 12 Table 5.3 Communication Technologies Classified by Time and Place of Communication SAME PLACE DIFFERENT PLACE Sam e tim e: Sam e tim e: •Pre sen tation syste ms •Typ ical telepho nes •Gro up d eci sion suppo rt syste ms (GDSS ) •Computer conferen cin g •Vid eo telep hones and con fere nci ng •Nonrecorde d ra dio or TV broa dca st Diff ere nt time Diff ere nt time •Transaction da taba ses •Transaction da taba ses •World Wide Web •Ele ctronic mai l •Voi ce mail •World Wide Web •Ele ctronic data interchang e (E DI) •Ele ctronic mai l •Voi ce mail •Fax •Pre reco rded radio or TV b roadcast ©1999 Addison Wesle y Longma n Slide 5.8 13 Basic Communication Concepts • Approaches for Improving Communication – Enhancing communications (presentation tools) – Self-service…deal with machines for simple stuff, let people take the exceptions – Make things systematic and well-ordered – A richer language is developing…multimedia • Can technology help us with the “spatially and temporally dislocated workforce?” 14 Basic Decision Making Concepts • • • • Steps in a Decision Process Rationality and Satisficing Common Flaws in Decision Making Approaches for Improving Decision Making 15 Decision-making steps 16 How IT can counteract problems in the decisionmaking process POOR FRAMING Description: Allowing a decision to be influenced excessively by the language used for describing the decision How an information system might help: Provide information encouraging different ways to think about the definition of the issue RECENCY EFFECTS Description: Giving undue weight to the most recent information How an information system might help: Provide information showing how the most recent information might not be representative PRIMACY EFFECTS Description: Giving undue weight to the first information received How an information system might help: Show how some information is inconsistent with the first information received POOR PROBABILITY ESTIMATION Description: Overestimating the probability of familiar or dramatic events; underestimating the probability of negative events How an information system might help: Make it easier to estimate probabilities based on pertinent data 17 How IT can counteract problems in the decisionmaking process OVERCONFIDENCE Description: Believing too strongly in one’s own knowledge How an information system might help: Provide counterexamples or models showing that other conclusions might also make sense ESCALATION PHENOMENA Description: Unwillingness to abandon courses of action decided upon previously How an information system might help: Provide information or models showing how the current approach might give poor results ASSOCIATION BIAS Description: Reusing strategies that were successful in the past, regardless of whether they fit the current situation How an information system might help: Provide information showing how the current situation differs from past situatioins GROUPTHINK Description: Bowing to group consensus and cohesiveness instead of bringing out unpopular bias How an information system might help: Provide information inconsistent with the current consensus and prove its relevance 18 Decision-making in action... • Let’s discuss decisions that you’ve made recently • How about your decision to register for your courseload…how did you decide? • How does this fit with the the phases and common flaws we’ve discussed? 19 Roles of Different Types of Information Systems in Communication and Decision Making • Office Automation Systems: Supporting General Office Work • Communication Systems: Making Communication Effective and Efficient • Transaction Processing Systems: Structuring Repetitive Communication and Decision Processes • Management and Executive Information Systems: Providing Information Systems for Management • Decision Support Systems: Providing Information and Tools for Analytical Work • Execution Systems: Helping People do the Work that Provides Value for Customers 20 Office Automation Systems • • • • • Spreadsheets Text/Word processing Presentation (e.g. Powerpoint) Database systems Others? 21 Communication Systems • Teleconferencing (October 12th class will explore this further) • Messaging – Asynchronous (email, vmail) – Synchronous (chat & instant messaging) – Fax • Is fax dead? • Issues with messaging? • Groupware 22 Transaction Processing Systems • We talked about this during our database discussions… • Systems that store data about transactions, which are business “events” that generate information in a system 23 Management/Executive Information Systems • Support management decisions – information about organizational performance and operation • EIS provides this for senior management – adds information about external context of business – Focus on strategic, not tactical issues 24 Decision Support Systems • Provide support for analytical work • Tactical decision support 25 Closing • Konsep Dasar komunikasi • Konsep dasar pengambilan keputusan • Dukungan IS pada komunikasi dan pengambilan keputusan 26