Pacific Northwest Economic Region (PNWER) 22nd Annual Summit, Saskatoon, Canada, July 15-19 2012 The Containerization of Commodities: Integrating Inland Ports with Gateways and Corridors in Western Canada Jean-Paul Rodrigue Professor, Dept. of Global Studies & Geography, Hofstra University, New York, USA Van Horne Researcher in Transportation and Logistics, University of Calgary, Canada Sponsors Canadian National Railway Canadian Pacific Railway CentrePort Canada Global Transportation Hub Authority Government of Alberta Government of British Columbia Port Alberta Rocky View County http://www.vanhorne.info/ An Expected Shift in Containerization Growth Factors Derived Substitution Incidental Induced Economic and income growth Globalization (outsourcing) Fragmentation of production and consumption Functional and geographical diffusion New niches (commodities and cold chain) Capture of bulk and break-bulk markets Trade imbalances Repositioning of empty containers Transshipment (hub, relay and interlining) Growth Factors behind the Containerization of Commodities Growing availability of containers Rising demand and commodity prices Fluctuations in bulk shipping rates Imbalances in container shipping rates (export subsidy) Empty containers repositioning IMF All Commodity Index and Average Container Shipping Rates, 2000-2010 (2000=100) 400 IMF All Commodity Index 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 Container Shipping Rates The Inland Logistics Funnel: The “Last Mile” in Freight Distribution Capacity Funnel Frequency Funnel Inland Terminal HINTERLAND Capacity Gap Frequency Gap GATEWAY FORELAND Economies of scale Main Shipping Lane INTERMEDIATE HUB Market Accessibility of Major North American Inland Load Centres Trade Corridors and Inland Load Centers, Western Canada Western Canadian Intermodal Rail System Main Carriers' Operational Constraints Imbalanced trade flows and rates Higher inland freight rates Location and load mismatch Contract terms (volatility) Container weight limitations Slow steaming and schedule reliability Asymmetries between Import and Export-Based Containerized Logistics Gateway Distribution Customer Center Inland Terminal Import-Based Many Customers •Function of population density. •Geographical spread. •Incites transloading. •High priority (value, timeliness). Repositioning Supplier Export-Based Few Suppliers •Function of resource density. •Geographical concentration. •Lower priority. •Depends on repositioning opportunities. Containerized Weight for Selected Commodities Commodity Pounds per cubic foot Wheat Corn Dry peas, beans and lentils Vegetable oil (e.g. canola) Coffee (fresh beans) Lumber (2x4s) Hay (e.g. alfalfa) Potash Coal (Anthracite) Paper or wood pulp 48 45 37 Weight in a fully loaded 20 foot container 26 tons* (28 tons) 26 tons 22 tons 60 35 45 14 80 70 75 26 tons* (35 tons) 21 tons 26 tons 8 tons 26 tons* (46 tons) 26 tons* (41 tons) 26 tons* (44 tons) * Exceeds maximum permissible weight. Rationale of Container Transloading Consolidation Weight compliance Demurrage charges Equipment availability Supply chain management Containerized Imports, Port of Vancouver, 20082011 (in metric tons) 14,000,000 12,000,000 Others 10,000,000 Prepared Food Products Basic Metals Wood Products 8,000,000 Beverages Chemicals 6,000,000 Produce Machinery Industrial, Auto and Vehicle Parts 4,000,000 Construction & Materials Household Goods 2,000,000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Containerized Exports, Port of Vancouver, 20082011 (in metric tons) 14,000,000 12,000,000 Others Sheets, Panels & Boards 10,000,000 Other Cereals Animal Feed 8,000,000 Paper & Paperboard Waste Paper Chemicals 6,000,000 Basic Metals Meat, Fish & Poultry 4,000,000 Specialty Crops Wood Pulp 2,000,000 Lumber 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Containers Handled by the Port of Prince Rupert, 2007-2011 (in TEU) 450,000 Empty (Exports) 400,000 350,000 Empty (Imports) Loaded (Exports) Loaded (Imports) 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 700 600 500 Aug-91 May-92 Feb-93 Nov-93 Aug-94 May-95 Feb-96 Nov-96 Aug-97 May-98 Feb-99 Nov-99 Aug-00 May-01 Feb-02 Nov-02 Aug-03 May-04 Feb-05 Nov-05 Aug-06 May-07 Feb-08 Nov-08 Aug-09 May-10 Feb-11 Nov-11 Price of Selected Commodities on Global Markets, 1991-2012 (Jan 2000=100) 800 Rapeseed Oil Wheat Sawn Softwood Potash 400 300 200 100 0 Apr-12 Jan-12 Oct-11 Jul-11 Apr-11 Jan-11 Oct-10 Jul-10 Apr-10 Jan-10 Oct-09 Jul-09 Apr-09 Jan-09 Oct-08 Jul-08 Apr-08 Jan-08 Oct-07 350 Jul-07 Apr-07 Jan-07 Millions of board feet Monthly Softwood Lumber Shipments to China, 2007-2012 400 United States Canada 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 From Bulk to Containers: Breaking Economies of Scale Entry Barriers • Container as an independent load unit. • Minimal load unit; one TEU container. Required Volumes • Limited differences in scale economies for a producer. • Incremental / linear cost-volume function. Market Potential • New producers (smaller). • Product differentiation (more variety). Trade and Transactional Facilitation: Functional Pairing of Inland Ports Functional Pairing Hinterland Corridor Gateway Foreland Inland Port Conclusion: Inland Ports as Logistical Platforms for the Containerization of Commodities The last mile remains salient (Gateway gap + inland massification) Co-location as an effective value proposition (inbound / outbound logistics) Promotion of exports and functional pairing of inland ports Look at specific commodity chains (e.g. reefers)