FAPRI-ISU 2011 WORLD AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK April 2011 Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute Iowa State University Ames, Iowa U.S.A. IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY Miguel Carriquiry Jerome Dumortier Amani Elobeid Jacinto Fabiosa Dermot J. Hayes Karen Kovarik Kranti Mulik Juan Francisco Rosas Oilseeds Greenhouse Gas Sugar & Ethanol Co-Director, Livestock & Dairy Co-Director Data Support Grains Fertilizer Published by the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute, Iowa State University Special Notice: Because of budget constraints, FAPRI did not develop a joint 2011 baseline with colleagues at the University of Missouri or other institutions. However, FAPRI-ISU developed a separate Outlook, available as the FAPRI-ISU 2011 World Agricultural Outlook. No printed version of the 2011 World Agricultural Outlook was produced. This printout represents the 2011 outlook posted electronically at http://www.fapri.iastate.edu/outlook/2011/. ISU thanks the David and Lucile Packard Foundation for support for the development of the new cellulose, pasture, and fertilizer models. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the view of the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Permission is granted to reproduce this information with appropriate attribution to the authors and the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute. Iowa State University does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, age, religion, national origin, sexual orientation, gender identity, genetic information, sex, marital status, disability, or status as a U.S. veteran. Inquiries can be directed to the Director of Equal Opportunity and Compliance, 3280 Beardshear Hall, (515) 294-7612. Contents Highlights of the 2011 World Agricultural Outlook............................................................... 1 Special Features Fertilizer Model ..................................................................................................................3 Greenhouse Gas Model .......................................................................................................6 Baseline Assumptions .............................................................................................................9 World Food and Feed Grains ................................................................................................14 World Oilseeds and Products ................................................................................................59 World Sugar.........................................................................................................................137 World Biofuels ....................................................................................................................158 World Meat ..........................................................................................................................163 World Dairy Products ..........................................................................................................199 World Fertilizer ...................................................................................................................235 World Greenhouse Gas........................................................................................................303 Tables Real GDP Growth Projections ..............................................................................................10 GDP Deflator Growth Projections......................................................................................... 11 Exchange Rate Growth Projections ......................................................................................12 Population Growth Projections .............................................................................................13 Wheat Trade and World Prices ..............................................................................................15 World Wheat Supply and Utilization ....................................................................................16 U.S. Wheat Supply and Utilization .......................................................................................16 Algerian Wheat Supply and Utilization ................................................................................17 Argentine Wheat Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................17 Australian Wheat Supply and Utilization..............................................................................17 Brazilian Wheat Supply and Utilization................................................................................18 Canadian Wheat Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................18 Chinese Wheat Supply and Utilization .................................................................................18 Egyptian Wheat Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................19 European Union Wheat Supply and Utilization ...................................................................19 Indian Wheat Supply and Utilization ...................................................................................19 Iranian Wheat Supply and Utilization ..................................................................................20 iv Japanese Wheat Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................20 Mexican Wheat Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................20 Moroccan Wheat Supply and Utilization .............................................................................21 Pakistani Wheat Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................21 Russian Wheat Supply and Utilization .................................................................................21 South Korean Wheat Supply and Utilization .......................................................................22 Taiwanese Wheat Supply and Utilization ............................................................................22 Tunisian Wheat Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................22 Ukrainian Wheat Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................23 Other African Wheat Supply and Utilization .......................................................................23 Other American Wheat Supply and Utilization ....................................................................23 Other Asian Wheat Supply and Utilization ..........................................................................24 Other European Wheat Supply and Utilization ....................................................................24 Other Oceanian Wheat Supply and Utilization ....................................................................24 Per Capita Wheat Consumption of Selected Countries .........................................................25 Corn Trade and World Prices ................................................................................................26 Barley Trade and World Prices..............................................................................................27 Sorghum Trade and World Prices ..........................................................................................28 World Corn Supply and Utilization .......................................................................................29 World Barley Supply and Utilization ....................................................................................29 World Sorghum Supply and Utilization ................................................................................30 U.S. Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ............................................................................31 Algerian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .....................................................................33 Argentine Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ...................................................................34 Australian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ...................................................................35 Brazilian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .....................................................................36 Canadian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ....................................................................37 Chinese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ......................................................................38 Egyptian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .....................................................................38 European Union Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .........................................................39 Indian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .........................................................................40 Indonesian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ..................................................................40 Israeli Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .........................................................................41 Japanese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .....................................................................42 Malaysian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ...................................................................42 Mexican Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .....................................................................43 Nigerian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .....................................................................44 Pakistani Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .....................................................................45 Philippine Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ...................................................................46 Russian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .......................................................................46 Saudi Arabian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization.............................................................47 South African Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .............................................................48 South Korean Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .............................................................49 Taiwanese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization...................................................................49 Thai Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ............................................................................50 Ukrainian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ...................................................................50 v Vietnamese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .................................................................51 Other African Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization .............................................................52 Other American Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ..........................................................53 Other Asian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ................................................................54 Other European Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ..........................................................55 Other Oceanian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization ..........................................................56 Per Capita Grain Consumption of Selected Countries .........................................................57 Soybean Trade and World Prices...........................................................................................62 Soybean Meal Trade and World Prices .................................................................................63 Soybean Oil Trade and World Prices ....................................................................................64 World Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................................65 U.S. Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ........................................................................66 Argentine Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ................................................................67 Brazilian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................................68 Canadian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ................................................................69 Chinese Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ...................................................................70 European Union Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization .....................................................71 Indian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization .....................................................................72 Japanese Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................................73 Mexican Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization..................................................................74 Paraguayan Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization .............................................................75 South Korean Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization .........................................................76 Taiwanese Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ...............................................................77 Other African Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization .........................................................78 Other American Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................79 Other Asian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ............................................................80 Other European Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................81 Other Oceanian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................82 Rapeseed Trade and World Prices .........................................................................................83 Rapeseed Meal Trade and World Price .................................................................................83 Rapeseed Oil Trade and World Price ....................................................................................84 World Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ....................................................................85 U.S. Canola Sector Supply and Utilization ...........................................................................86 Australian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization .............................................................87 Canadian Canola Sector Supply and Utilization ...................................................................88 Chinese Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................................89 European Union Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ....................................................90 Indian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ....................................................................91 Japanese Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ................................................................92 Ukrainian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ..............................................................93 Other African Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ........................................................94 Other American Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ....................................................95 Other Asian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization ...........................................................96 Other European Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization.....................................................97 Other Oceanian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization .....................................................98 vi Sunflower Seed Trade and World Price .................................................................................99 Sunflower Meal Trade and World Price ................................................................................99 Sunflower Oil Trade and World Price .................................................................................100 World Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................................101 U.S. Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization ....................................................................102 Argentine Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization ...........................................................103 Chinese Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization ..............................................................104 European Union Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization.................................................105 Ukrainian Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization ...........................................................106 Other African Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization .....................................................107 Other American Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................108 Other Asian Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization ........................................................109 Other European Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization ................................................. 110 Other Oceanian Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................. 111 Palm Sector Trade and World Price .................................................................................... 112 World Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................................... 113 Chinese Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ...................................................................... 114 European Union Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................... 114 Indian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................................... 115 Indonesian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization.................................................................. 115 Malaysian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................................. 116 Other African Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ............................................................. 117 Other American Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................... 118 Other Asian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ................................................................ 119 Other European Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ..........................................................120 Other Oceanian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization ..........................................................121 Peanut Sector Trade and World Prices ................................................................................122 World Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization.......................................................................123 U.S. Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization .........................................................................124 Argentine Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization.................................................................125 Chinese Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization....................................................................126 European Union Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................127 Indian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization ......................................................................128 Canadian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization .................................................................129 Mexican Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization ..................................................................129 Other African Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization ..........................................................130 Other American Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization .......................................................131 Other Asian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization .............................................................132 Other European Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization .......................................................133 Other Oceanian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization .......................................................134 Per Capita Vegetable Oil Consumption of Selected Countries ..........................................135 vii Sugar Trade and World Prices .............................................................................................138 World Sugar Supply and Utilization ...................................................................................139 U.S. Sugar Supply and Utilization ......................................................................................140 Algerian Sugar Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................141 Argentine Sugar Supply and Utilization .............................................................................141 Australian Sugar Supply and Utilization.............................................................................142 Brazilian Sugar Supply and Utilization...............................................................................142 Canadian Sugar Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................143 Chinese Sugar Supply and Utilization ................................................................................143 Colombian Sugar Supply and Utilization ...........................................................................144 Cuban Sugar Supply and Utilization ...................................................................................144 Egyptian Sugar Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................145 European Union Sugar Supply and Utilization ...................................................................145 Guatemalan Sugar Supply and Utilization .........................................................................146 Indian Sugar Supply and Utilization ...................................................................................146 Indonesian Sugar Supply and Utilization ............................................................................147 Iranian Sugar Supply and Utilization ..................................................................................147 Japanese Sugar Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................148 Malaysian Sugar Supply and Utilization.............................................................................148 Mexican Sugar Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................149 Moroccan Sugar Supply and Utilization .............................................................................149 Pakistani Sugar Supply and Utilization...............................................................................150 Peruvian Sugar Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................150 Philippine Sugar Supply and Utilization .............................................................................151 Russian Sugar Supply and Utilization.................................................................................151 South African Sugar Supply and Utilization .......................................................................152 South Korean Sugar Supply and Utilization .......................................................................152 Thai Sugar Supply and Utilization ......................................................................................153 Turkish Sugar Supply and Utilization .................................................................................153 Ukrainian Sugar Supply and Utilization .............................................................................154 Venezuelan Sugar Supply and Utilization ...........................................................................154 Other African Sugar Supply and Utilization .......................................................................155 Other American Sugar Supply and Utilization....................................................................155 Other Asian Sugar Supply and Utilization ..........................................................................156 Other European Sugar Supply and Utilization ....................................................................156 Other Oceanian Sugar Supply and Utilization ....................................................................157 Per Capita Sugar Consumption of Selected Countries ........................................................157 Ethanol Trade and World Prices ..........................................................................................159 Biodiesel Trade and World Prices .......................................................................................159 U.S. Biofuels Production and Consumption .......................................................................160 Argentine Biofuels Production and Consumption ..............................................................160 Brazilian Biofuels Production and Consumption ................................................................160 Canadian Biofuels Production and Consumption ...............................................................161 Chinese Biofuels Production and Consumption .................................................................161 European Union Biofuels Production and Consumption ....................................................161 Indian Biofuels Production and Consumption ....................................................................161 viii Indonesian Biofuels Production and Consumption .............................................................162 Japanese Biofuels Production and Consumption ................................................................162 South Korean Biofuels Production and Consumption ........................................................162 Malaysian Biofuels Production and Consumption ..............................................................162 Rest-of-World Biofuels Production and Consumption .......................................................162 Beef and Veal Trade and World Price..................................................................................165 Pork Trade and World Price ................................................................................................166 Broiler Meat Trade and World Price ...................................................................................167 U.S. Meat Supply and Utilization .......................................................................................168 Argentine Meat Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................169 Australian Meat Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................170 Brazilian Meat Supply and Utilization ................................................................................171 Canadian Meat Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................172 Chinese - Mainland Meat Supply and Utilization ...............................................................173 Chinese - Hong Kong Meat Supply and Utilization ...........................................................174 Egyptian Meat Supply and Utilization ................................................................................175 European Union Meat Supply and Utilization ....................................................................176 Indian Meat Supply and Utilization ....................................................................................177 Indonesian Meat Supply and Utilization .............................................................................178 Japanese Meat Supply and Utilization ................................................................................179 Mexican Meat Supply and Utilization ................................................................................180 New Zealand Meat Supply and Utilization .........................................................................181 Paraguayan Meat Supply and Utilization ............................................................................182 Philippine Meat Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................183 Russian Meat Supply and Utilization ..................................................................................184 Saudi Arabian Meat Supply and Utilization........................................................................185 South African Meat Supply and Utilization ........................................................................185 South Korean Meat Supply and Utilization ........................................................................186 Taiwanese Meat Supply and Utilization..............................................................................187 Thai Meat Supply and Utilization .......................................................................................188 Ukrainian Meat Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................189 Vietnamese Meat Supply and Utilization ............................................................................190 Other African Meat Supply and Utilization ........................................................................191 Other American Meat Supply and Utilization .....................................................................192 Other Asian Meat Supply and Utilization ...........................................................................193 Other European Meat Supply and Utilization .....................................................................194 Other Oceanian Meat Supply and Utilization .....................................................................195 Per Capita Meat Consumption of Selected Countries .........................................................196 Butter Trade and World Prices ............................................................................................201 Cheese Trade and World Prices ...........................................................................................202 Nonfat Dry Milk Trade and World Prices ...........................................................................203 Whole Milk Powder Trade and World Prices......................................................................204 U.S. Dairy Supply and Utilization ......................................................................................205 Algerian Dairy Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................206 Argentine Dairy Supply and Utilization..............................................................................207 ix Australian Dairy Supply and Utilization .............................................................................208 Brazilian Dairy Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................209 Canadian Dairy Supply and Utilization ..............................................................................210 Chinese Dairy Supply and Utilization................................................................................. 211 Colombian Dairy Supply and Utilization ............................................................................212 Egyptian Dairy Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................213 European Union Dairy Supply and Utilization ...................................................................214 Indian Dairy Supply and Utilization ...................................................................................215 Indonesian Dairy Supply and Utilization ............................................................................216 Japanese Dairy Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................217 Malaysian Dairy Supply and Utilization .............................................................................218 Mexican Dairy Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................219 New Zealand Dairy Supply and Utilization ........................................................................220 Peruvian Dairy Supply and Utilization ...............................................................................221 Philippine Dairy Supply and Utilization .............................................................................222 Russian Dairy Supply and Utilization .................................................................................223 Saudi Arabian Dairy Supply and Utilization .......................................................................224 South Korean Dairy Supply and Utilization .......................................................................225 Swiss Dairy Supply and Utilization ....................................................................................226 Thai Dairy Supply and Utilization ......................................................................................227 Ukrainian Dairy Supply and Utilization .............................................................................228 Uruguayan Dairy Supply and Utilization ............................................................................229 Venezuelan Diary Supply and Utilization ...........................................................................230 Vietnamese Dairy Supply and Utilization ..........................................................................231 Per Capita Dairy Consumption of Selected Countries ........................................................232 African, All Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................236 Other African Fertilizer Use ................................................................................................237 Algerian Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................................239 Other American Fertilizer Use ............................................................................................240 Argentine Fertilizer Use ......................................................................................................242 Other Asian Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................243 Australian Fertilizer Use .....................................................................................................245 Bangladesh Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................246 Brazilian Fertilizer Use .......................................................................................................246 Brazil: South Fertilizer Use .................................................................................................247 Brazil: Southeast Fertilizer Use ..........................................................................................248 Brazil: Central-West Cerrados Fertilizer Use......................................................................249 Brazil: Amazon Biome Fertilizer Use .................................................................................250 Brazil: Northeast Coast Fertilizer Use ................................................................................251 Brazil: North-Northeast Cerrados Fertilizer Use ................................................................252 Cambodian Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................253 Cameroon Fertilizer Use .....................................................................................................253 Canadian Fertilizer Use .......................................................................................................254 Chinese Fertilizer Use .........................................................................................................255 Colombian Fertilizer Use ....................................................................................................256 Ivory Coast Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................256 x Cuban Fertilizer Use ...........................................................................................................256 Egyptian Fertilizer Use .......................................................................................................257 European Union Fertilizer Use............................................................................................258 Other European Fertilizer Use ............................................................................................260 Ghana Fertilizer Use ...........................................................................................................262 Guatemalan Fertilizer Use...................................................................................................262 Guinea Fertilizer Use ..........................................................................................................262 Hong Kong Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................262 Indian Fertilizer Use ............................................................................................................263 Indonesian Fertilizer Use ....................................................................................................264 Iranian Fertilizer Use...........................................................................................................264 Iraq Fertilizer Use ...............................................................................................................265 Japanese Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................................265 Kazakhstan Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................266 Kenyan Fertilizer Use .........................................................................................................266 Malaysian Fertilizer Use .....................................................................................................266 Mali Fertilizer Use ..............................................................................................................267 Mexican Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................................268 Moroccan Fertilizer Use ......................................................................................................269 Mozambique Fertilizer Use .................................................................................................269 Myanmar (Burma) Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................269 Nigerian Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................................270 Other Oceanian Fertilizer Use .............................................................................................271 Pakistani Fertilizer Use .......................................................................................................273 Paraguayan Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................274 Peruvian Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................................274 Philippine Fertilizer Use .....................................................................................................274 Russian Fertilizer Use .........................................................................................................275 Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Use ...............................................................................................275 Senegal Fertilizer Use .........................................................................................................275 Sierra Leone Fertilizer Use .................................................................................................276 South African Fertilizer Use................................................................................................276 South Korean Fertilizer Use ................................................................................................277 Taiwanese Fertilizer Use .....................................................................................................277 Tanzanian Fertilizer Use......................................................................................................277 Thai Fertilizer Use...............................................................................................................278 Tunisian Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................................278 Turkish Fertilizer Use..........................................................................................................278 U.S. Fertilizer Use ...............................................................................................................279 U.S. - Corn Belt Fertilizer Use ............................................................................................281 U.S. - Central Plains Fertilizer Use .....................................................................................283 U.S. - Delta States Fertilizer Use ........................................................................................285 U.S. - Far West Fertilizer Use .............................................................................................287 U.S. - Lakes States Fertilizer Use .......................................................................................289 U.S. - North East Fertilizer Use ..........................................................................................291 U.S. - Northern Plains Fertilizer Use ..................................................................................293 U.S. - South East Fertilizer Use ..........................................................................................295 xi U.S. - Southern Plains Fertilizer Use ..................................................................................297 Ukrainian Fertilizer Use ......................................................................................................299 Uruguayan Fertilizer Use ....................................................................................................300 Uzbek Fertilizer Use ...........................................................................................................300 Venezuelan Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................300 Vietnamese Fertilizer Use ...................................................................................................300 World Fertilizer Use ............................................................................................................301 Argentine Greenhouse Gas Emissions ................................................................................304 Australian Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...............................................................................305 Brazilian Greenhouse Gas Emissions .................................................................................306 Canadian Greenhouse Gas Emissions .................................................................................307 Chinese Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...................................................................................308 European Union Greenhouse Gas Emissions ......................................................................309 Indian Greenhouse Gas Emissions ......................................................................................310 Indonesian Greenhouse Gas Emissions .............................................................................. 311 Japanese Greenhouse Gas Emissions ..................................................................................312 Mexican Greenhouse Gas Emissions ..................................................................................313 Philippine Greenhouse Gas Emissions................................................................................314 Russian Greenhouse Gas Emissions ...................................................................................315 South African Greenhouse Gas Emissions ..........................................................................316 South Korean Greenhouse Gas Emissions ..........................................................................317 Thai Greenhouse Gas Emissions .........................................................................................318 U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions .........................................................................................319 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions ......................................................................................320 xii Abbreviations and Acronyms This list of abbreviations and acronyms used in the Agricultural Outlook is provided for the convenience of our readers. Commonly used abbreviations and acronyms typically are not spelled out in the text. a ACRE AI AWP BSE bu CAP CBO CCC CCPs CIF CIS CMO COOL CPI CRP cwt DDG DDGS DPs EISA EPA EU EU-15 EU NMS FAPRI FCEA FE FFV FMD FOB acre Average Crop Revenue Election avian influenza adjusted world price bovine spongiform encephalopathy bushel Common Agricultural Policy Congressional Budget Office Commodity Credit Corporation countercyclical payments cost, insurance, and freight Commonwealth of Independent States Common Market Organization Country of Original Labeling Consumer Price Index Conservation Reserve Program hundredweight distillers dried grains distillers dried grains with solubles direct payments Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 27 member states of the European Union 15 member states of the European Union, prior to 2004 enlargement 12 European Union New Member States, after 2004 and 2007 enlargement Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute Food, Conservation, and Energy Act of 2008 (2008 farm bill) Far East flex-fuel vehicle foot-and-mouth disease free on board FY GDP GHG GHGEE GMO ha HFCS IPCC K kg LDPs mha MILC mmt mt N NAFTA NE NFD NFI OECD P RFS2 RINs ROW SFP SPS SURE tmt TRQ USDA WMP WTO fiscal year gross domestic product greenhouse gas greenhouse gas emission efficiency genetically modified organism hectare high-fructose corn syrup Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change potassium kilogram loan deficiency payments million hectares Milk Income Loss Contract million metric tons metric ton nitrogen North American Free Trade Agreement Northern Europe nonfat dry (milk) net farm income Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development phosphorous Renewable Fuel Standard under EISA Renewable Identification Numbers Rest-of-World Single Farm Payment (CAP reform) sanitary and phytosanitary Supplemental Revenue Assistance Payments program thousand metric tons tariff rate quota U.S. Department of Agriculture whole milk powder World Trade Organization xiii Data Notes Due to space limitations, tables in this print copy skip two years and report 2010-2020, then 2023 and 2025. For the complete data from 2000 to 2025, please see the Microsoft Excel tables posted at the FAPRI-ISU Outlook website: http://www.fapri.iastate.edu/outlook/2011/. Data Sources Most U.S. commodity supply and use information is obtained from USDA reports issued by the Economic Research Service, the World Agricultural Outlook Board, the Farm Service Agency, and the National Agricultural Statistics Service. This information is supplemented with information from a number of other public and private sources, including the Energy Information Administration, state governments, and trade groups. The international models use the USDA PSD database as the primary source of supply and utilization data. This is then supplemented with the FAO database and other specialized data sources when needed. For example, major sources for the Brazil module include the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics (IBGE); National Company of Food Supply (CONAB); Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa); Ministry of Development, Industry and Trade (MDIC); Sugarcane Industry Association (UNICA); National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas, and Biofuels (ANP); and the Center for Advanced Studies and Applied Economics (CEPEA). Macroeconomic variables are from the International Financial Statistics database, which is extended using IHS Global Insight projections. Population data and projections are from the U.S. Bureau of the Census International Database. Policies relating to domestic support, border protection, and export subsidies are from the World Trade Organization database. Costs and prices are from various sources, including government as well as industry publications. U.S. Marketing Year Definitions for Specified Commodities Barley: June 1 to May 31. Corn for Grain: September 1 to August 31. Cotton: August 1 to July 31. Oats: June 1 to May 31. Peanuts: August 1 to July 31. Rice: August 1 to July 31. Sorghum for Grain: September 1 to August 31. Soybeans: September 1 to August 31. Sugar: October 1 to September 30. Sunflower: September 1 to August 31. Wheat: June 1 to May 31. Livestock, dairy complex and international ethanol: years are calendar years. Government outlays are on a fiscal-year basis (Oct. 1—Sept. 30, with the second year being the one used as an identifier—for example, FY 2007 = Oct. 1, 2006–Sept. 30, 2007). Farm income data are on a calendar-year basis. International Marketing Year Definitions for Specified Commodities Grains, rice, oilseeds, and cotton: USDA-FAS PS&D data are used, which are in local marketing years. Local marketing years differ by country and by commodity. The first year listed is the beginning year of a country’s local marketing year for that commodity (for example, 1990/91 represents local marketing year starting in 1990 and ending in 1991), except in the case of southern hemisphere countries, which use the second year to denote the beginning of the local marketing year. Highlights of the 2011 World Agricultural Outlook FAPRI-ISU 2011 Outlook Projects Continued Strong Commodity Markets, Expansion of Global Fertilizer Use, and Rising Worldwide Greenhouse Gas Emissions Despite tepid economic recovery in many developed economies, solid economic performance in developing and emerging economies provides a bright spot for a continuing worldwide economic recovery. China and India posted growth rates of 10.3% and 8.2% in 2010, respectively. An economic turnaround, continuing population growth and urbanization, and ever-expanding biofuel mandates are key drivers in the strength of world commodity markets over the outlook’s 15-year projection. The United States is projected to import sugarcane ethanol to meet its advanced ethanol mandates at a level of 3.4 billion gallons by 2025, keeping the prices of world ethanol and sugar strong at $2.50 per gallon and 23.2¢ per pound, respectively. Per capita meat demand increases by 9.4 kilograms, a 1.2% annual increase. Demand for corn for biofuel and animal feed keeps corn prices above $191 per metric ton in 2025. Food demand and industrial biodiesel demand support an upward trend in vegetable oil prices. By the end of the projection period cropland expands by 25 million hectares, representing an increase of 3%. This year, FAPRI-ISU developed and implemented a fertilizer model, a cellulosic ethanol model, and improved its greenhouse gas (GHG) emission accounting model. The new models are described under “Special Features.” This allows FAPRI-ISU to include in its outlook projections world fertilizer use by nutrient, by country, by commodity, and by year. Also, projections of GHG emissions by source, by country, and by year are reported. World fertilizer use in 2011/12 will reach 179 mmt, composed of 104 mmt of nitrogen fertilizers, 42 mmt of phosphorous, and 33 mmt of potassium. This increase of 2.29% relative to the 2010/11 crop season reflects the expansion of the world’s cropland by 1.60% and also the more intensive use of fertilizers at the world level in most commodities (with the exception of soybeans, sorghum, sunflower, and sugarcane). All commodities except soybeans experience an increase in fertilizer consumption from 2010/11 to 2011/12. China, India, the U.S., and the EU27 countries account for more than two-thirds (65%) of the world’s fertilizer consumption in agriculture. Fertilizer use in the U.S. increases by 2.96%, dominated by higher use of fertilizers in corn, wheat, and sorghum because of expanded area and fertilizer application rates. Global emissions from agricultural production rise by 13.6% over the projection period. These increases are mainly due to an increase in crop area and the associated emissions from agricultural soil management. Also, the increase in per capita meat demand leads to an increase in emissions from livestock products (especially enteric fermentation) but at levels still lower than emissions from cropland. The presence or absence of idle cropland is a determining factor in the extent to which the rising pressure from food, feed, and fuel demand translates into carbon emissions. Finally, our model is able to estimate a GHG emission efficiency (GHGee) that summarizes information about market outcome, productivity improvement, and GHG emissions into a single metric for a particular country in terms of aggregate value of agricultural production per ton of Highlight: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 1 GHG emission. Higher GHGee values suggest a more efficient GHG emission performance. GHGee estimates in the figure below for selected countries in 2010 show wide differentials between countries, with the EU and the U.S. having a high value of agricultural production per ton of CO2-equivalent emitted at $579 and $571, respectively. This is followed by Argentina at $349, India at $329, China at $324, and Brazil at $212. Productivity improvement enables these countries to gain a 9% to 21% increase in their GHGee over the projection period. USD/mt CO2‐e 1,000 GHG Emission Efficiency 2025 2010 800 600 400 200 ‐ Brazil Highlight: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook China India 2 Argentina Countries US EU Special Features A New Fertilizer Module for the FAPRI-ISU Modeling System Fertilizers have played an important role in recent changes in global agricultural commodity markets. First, the rising demand for agricultural commodities in order to satisfy uses for food, feed, and fuel has increased the focus on the supply side of agricultural commodity markets. In this regard, a better understanding of the use of fertilizers at the world level is crucial because fertilizer use is a key driver of crops supply. Second, these changes in global commodity markets have several environmental consequences that are at the center of attention in the international agricultural community. Because the use of fertilizers has direct and indirect consequences for the environment, an explicit treatment of the fertilizer use in agriculture contributes to a better evaluation of these consequences. For these reasons, it is important to understand how fertilizers respond to the changes in the global economy and how fertilizers interact with the crops for which they are used. To this end, a new fertilizer module—called the WorldNPK model—has been recently introduced and linked with the FAPRI model. There are three main benefits of developing a model that makes an explicit treatment of fertilizer use in agriculture. First, there exists general interest in fertilizer application rates and fertilizer demand projections at the nutrient, country, and crop levels. Second, this constitutes an improvement to the existing FAPRI model since it gives a more realistic specification of the equations governing crop supply. Third, the new model improves FAPRI’s ability to evaluate policies that affect commodity markets, and it allows for the analysis of policies implemented within the fertilizers sector. The WorldNPK model covers individually three macronutrients: nitrogen (N), phosphorous (P), and potassium (K). It covers the following crops: wheat, corn, rice, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, soybeans, rapeseed, sunflower seed, oil palm, cotton, sugarcane, and sugar beet. The countries covered mirror the FAPRI coverage, such that for each crop, the most relevant countries in terms of production, consumption, or trade are explicitly modeled. The remaining countries are modeled, for each crop, within a regional aggregate. The model incorporates the latest available data on fertilizer use by crop from internationally recognized sources such as the International Fertilizers Industry Association (IFA), Fertilizers Europe, the Ministry of Agriculture of India, and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. The fertilizer model interacts with the FAPRI model by providing each crop yield equation with a term of fertilizer cost of production. This allows us to distinguish the impacts on yields of fertilizer use from the effects of other variable inputs. In the crop yield equation, a term for each nutrient (N, P, and K) is calculated as the product of a fertilizer application rate in kilograms per hectare (that is crop and country specific) and a domestic fertilizer price in local currency per kilogram (that is country specific). Each fertilizer application rate that enters the yield equation changes in each iteration of the model, a change that is consistent with variation in yields relative to the previous year. This consistency is given by the elasticity of yields with respect to fertilizer application Special Features: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 3 rates weighted by the share of fertilizers in the total variable cost of production, so that only a portion of the yield change is assigned to changes in fertilizer application rates. These elasticity coefficients come from the estimation of an underlying production function at the world level using yield data and nutrient application rates data from a cross-section of the countries covered by the model. The interaction between the WorldNPK model and the FAPRI model allows the projection of fertilizer application rates at the nutrient, crop, and country levels. Also, fertilizer demand projections at these levels are also reported, which are a function of the fertilizer application rates and the harvested areas projected by FAPRI. FAPRI’s ability to provide the most comprehensive projections for policy analysis is improved with the development of the fertilizer module. Policies that directly affect fertilizer markets, such as input taxes or subsidies, quantity use restrictions, and trade restrictions, can now be explicitly formulated and evaluated. The effects of these policies on global agricultural markets can be evaluated directly by the FAPRI model, and their effects on greenhouse gas emissions can be evaluated by the Greenhouse Gas in Agriculture Simulation Model, GreenAgSiM (see a description in the Special Features, “Greenhouse Gas Model”). Also, any other policy affecting commodity markets, such as input and output price shocks, biofuels mandates, and land-use change, can now be evaluated with regard to its impacts on the world fertilizer markets. Outlook World fertilizer use in 2011/12 is projected to be 179 mmt, composed of 104 mmt of N fertilizers, 42 mmt of P, and 33 mmt of K. This increase of 2.29% relative to the 2010/11 crop season reflects the expansion of the world’s agricultural frontier by 1.60% and also the more intensive use of fertilizers at the world level in most commodities (with the exception of soybeans, sorghum, sunflower, and sugarcane). All commodities except soybeans experience an increase in fertilizer consumption from 2010/11 to 2011/12. While world soybean area increases, it is offset by a decrease in the per hectare N and K application rates. On the other hand, commodities such as sorghum, sunflower, and sugarcane, whose fertilizer application rates also decrease, observe higher fertilizer consumption because of a more-than-proportional increase in their crop area. China, India, the U.S., and the EU-27 countries account for more than two-thirds (65%) of the world’s fertilizer consumption in agriculture. China, the world’s top consuming country, followed by the U.S., is characterized not only by large crop areas but also by an intensive use of fertilizers, which is comparable to (and even higher than in the cases of wheat, sunflower seed, peanuts, cotton, sugarcane, and sugar beet) those of the U.S. and EU-27 countries. India, on the other hand, is the third-largest consumer given its larger crop areas but with its more moderate fertilizer application rates. China’s fertilizer use increases by 1.37% in 2011/12, driven by higher fertilizer application rates for most commodities; however, the lower areas for most crops are not enough to drag down total fertilizer consumption. Fertilizer use in India marginally increases, by 0.8%, as a result of a generalized extensification (except in the case of wheat) and more intensive use of fertilizer per hectare (except for cereals). Fertilizer use in the U.S. increases by 2.93%, dominated by higher use of fertilizers in corn, wheat, and sorghum because of expanded area and fertilizer application rates. The majority of the commodities (wheat being the exception) show a sustained increase in their demand for fertilizers over the projection period (from 2011 to 2025). In the cases of Special Features: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 4 corn, barley, peanuts, palm kernel, cotton, and sugar beet, this is driven by an increase in both the crop area and the fertilizer application rates. However, for soybeans and sugarcane, while the world area increases, the fertilization rates at the world level decrease because of a shift of crop area toward countries with relatively lower application rates per hectare (in the case of soybeans), or because of a more rapid increase in the cropping areas of those countries with relatively lower application rates per hectare (in the case of sugarcane). Special Features: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 5 Special Features A New Greenhouse Gas Emissions Module for the FAPRI-ISU Modeling System According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), agriculture and forestry (including deforestation) are responsible for 13.5% and 17.4%, respectively, of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. With climate change becoming an increasingly pressing policy issue, it was necessary to extend FAPRI’s ability to model agricultural production by including an integrated GHG assessment model. The model, called Greenhouse Gases from Agriculture Simulation Model or GreenAgSiM, follows closely the 2006 IPCC National GHG Inventory Guidelines for agriculture and land-use change. GreenAgSiM covers the following non-CO2 emissions from agriculture: methane (CH4) from enteric fermentation, manure management, and rice cultivation; nitrous oxide (N2O) from manure management and agricultural soil management. In addition to those categories, the model quantifies future land requirements, i.e., cropland and pasture, and the carbon pool changes associated with the land reallocation. The agricultural production part as well as the land-use change part uses the output from the FAPRI outlook model. All emissions are reported on a CO2-equivalent basis with a global warming potential of 21 and 310 for methane and nitrous oxide, respectively. Agriculture Production The three largest sources of agricultural emissions are enteric fermentation, agricultural soil management, and rice cultivation. Although methane and nitrous oxide emissions from manure management are minor, manure itself is an important contributor to emissions because it is either applied on cropland as organic fertilizer or directly deposited by grazing animals on pasture. The data necessary to determine the emissions for enteric fermentation and manure management are the headcount of beef cows, dairy cows, other cattle, and swine per country and region. This information is combined with Tier 1 emission coefficients based on the geographic location (e.g., temperature, manure management system usage) and animal characteristics (e.g., weight, nitrogen excretion rate). Direct and indirect emissions from agricultural soil management are determined by a multitude of factors such as fertilizer application rate, yield, area, and manure available as organic nitrogen. Direct emission sources include nitrogen fertilizer, crop residues, and mineralization. Indirect sources comprise leaching/run-off and atmospheric deposition. Note that not all emission sources and not all agricultural output are modeled in GreenAgSiM and FAPRI, respectively. Hence, total emissions reported in the results sections will be lower compared with previous estimates. Special Features: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 6 Land-Use Change The land-use categories in GreenAgSiM are slightly different from the IPCC guidelines. The IPCC categories “Wetlands” and “Settlements” are combined with “Other Land.” The land category “Idle Cropland” is new to GreenAgSiM. Total cropland per country is readily available whereas pasture needs to be calculated (with the exception of Brazil) based on livestock numbers and stocking rates obtained through Geographic Information System data. The analysis is done at the subnational level to take local climate, soil, and biomass characteristics into account. In particular, the spatial distribution of crops by type is included to assess the effects on land more effectively. The model implicitly assumes perfect substitutability between cropland and pasture within a subnational region. The biomass and soil carbon changes are based on IPCC data and methods. The model also includes idle land, which accumulates land in case of cropland contraction and serves as a land pool in the case of expansion before native vegetation is used. Outlook We estimate that global emissions from agricultural production rise by 13.6% over the projection period. Notable countries with above-average GHG growth are Argentina (17%), Brazil (14%), and Mexico (18%). Those increases are mainly due to an increase in crop area and the associated emissions from agricultural soil management. The increase in per capita meat demand leads to an increase in emissions from livestock products (especially enteric fermentation) but at levels still lower than those from cropland. Emissions in the United States increase moderately, by 2%. The expansion in crop area as well as the rise in meat demand and the resulting expansion in livestock put pressure on global forests and grasslands. The change in land area in those categories as well as the emissions reported are indicative and based on the needs of agriculture. The Forest Resource Assessment conducted by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations observed significant variations in carbon emissions and deforestation rates over time. Total cropland in the United States and China will rise by 1% and 2%, respectively. The emissions associated with land-use change in those regions will be low because idle cropland is still available. In addition, if China continues its afforestation policy, most of the idle land will be used for forestry. Argentina, Australia, and Brazil continue to experience growth of cropland ranging between 10% and 12% over the projection period, with significant adverse effects on carbon emission from deforestation. Our model is also able to estimate a GHG emission efficiency (GHGee) that summarizes information about market outcome, productivity improvement, and GHG emissions into a single metric for a particular country in terms of aggregate value of agricultural production per ton of GHG emission. We use the average price over the projection period as our value aggregator for all the commodities produced in a given country. For the GHG emissions, we consider the emissions from agricultural production as well as the emissions associated with land-use change. Higher GHGee values suggest a more efficient GHG emission performance. That is, a country is able to produce more value of agricultural production for every GHG that is emitted in the atmosphere. GHGee estimates for selected countries in 2010 show a wide differential between countries, with the EU and the U.S. having a high value of agricultural production per ton of CO2-equivalent emitted at $579 and $571, respectively. This is followed by Argentina at Special Features: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 7 $349, India at $329, China at $324, and Brazil at $212. Productivity improvement enables these countries to gain a 9% to 21% increase in their GHGee over the projection period. GreenAgSiM gives FAPRI the ability to conduct agricultural policy analysis and to assess the effect of those policies on global GHG emissions. Different policies affecting livestock, fertilizer management, and land use can be quantified, and leakage, i.e., unintended policy consequences in other countries, can be effectively calculated. Planned Improvements Future development of the model includes adding time-varying production practices and changing feed input in the agricultural production part. Another issue to be resolved is changing the quantification of emissions from agricultural soil management from a Tier 1 approach to a Tier 2 method. Land-use change is difficult to assess on a global scale because of the lack of data. Developing a more explicit way to include forest and pasture in the model is a goal for the future. In addition, land degradation is not well assessed so far and might prevent the use of idle land in the first place. Special Features: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 8 Macroeconomic Environment Affected by U.S. housing and financial market stress, recovery in the North American region begins in 2010, and GDP grows in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico by 2.74%, 2.50%, and 3.98%, respectively, over the rest of the projection period. Price inflation is expected to remain moderate during the outlook period, at 1.8% per year in the U.S., 2.0% in Canada, and 3.3% in Mexico. Asian economies withstood the crisis and lead the world economic recovery with aggressive stimulus policies, resumed capital inflow, and industrial growth momentum. China, Vietnam, and India post solid growth of 7.8%, 6.7%, and 6.6%, respectively. After the slowdown, Japan and Taiwan return to modest growth of 1.1% and 3.9%. Inflation remains low in most of Asia. After recovery, annual growth in Argentina and Brazil is projected to average 3.6% and 4.4%, respectively. Price inflation is expected to be significant in Argentina and Venezuela. It is modest elsewhere in the region. Growth in the original member states of the European Union is at 1.7%. New member states from Eastern European countries and the Baltics raise the aggregate European Union growth rate to 1.9%. After depreciating 6.7% in 2009, currencies of most EU members experience real appreciation against the U.S. dollar over the rest of the decade. The U.S. dollar strengthened relative to many currencies including those in the developed world in 2009. In the coming decade, the U.S. dollar resumes its real depreciation against several currencies of developed and developing countries. Policy Assumptions Bioenergy mandates in a number of countries continue to be key drivers in the current outlook. In the U.S., the RFS and other provisions of the EISA of 2007 are implemented, with the exception of the cellulosic ethanol RFS. In addition, the FCEA of 2008 in the U.S. and the current provisions of the CAP in the EU are included in this baseline. The commitments of contracting countries in the URAA of 1995 are extended to 2025. Baseline Assumptions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 9 Real GDP Growth Projections 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 World 3.8 3.1 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 Developed Market Economies 2.4 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.1 3.2 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 (Percentage Change from Previous Year) Australia 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.5 Canada 2.9 2.3 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 European Union 1.7 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 Japan 2.7 0.9 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 New Zealand 2.3 2.5 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 United States 2.6 2.2 3.0 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 Developing Market Economies 6.7 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 4.8 4.8 Africa 4.6 4.9 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.1 2.0 Algeria 4.0 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 Egypt 5.2 5.8 5.0 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 Nigeria 7.0 7.1 6.0 5.9 6.1 5.5 4.5 4.3 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.7 South Africa 2.9 3.4 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 Tunisia 4.2 4.6 5.2 5.9 5.5 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0 Asia 6.0 4.4 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.2 10.3 8.6 8.1 8.6 8.8 8.5 8.2 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.2 6.7 6.4 Hong Kong 5.5 4.7 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.4 India 8.2 8.0 8.1 8.0 8.0 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.3 6.1 6.0 Indonesia 6.0 5.6 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.5 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.6 Malaysia 6.9 4.3 5.7 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.9 4.6 4.4 4.2 3.6 3.5 Pakistan 4.3 2.5 6.3 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.3 Philippines 6.7 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.1 China South Korea 6.2 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.8 T Taiwan i 8.4 84 4.5 45 5.9 59 5.0 50 4.5 45 4.2 42 3.9 39 3.8 38 3.6 36 3.5 35 3.4 34 3.0 30 2.9 29 Thailand 7.8 4.8 5.4 4.4 4.7 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 Vietnam 6.6 6.9 7.2 6.9 6.5 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.6 6.8 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.9 3.2 Russia 4.2 4.3 3.7 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.8 3.3 Ukraine 4.2 5.5 6.7 5.7 5.4 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0 Commonwealth of Independent States European Union-New Member States 2.0 3.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.1 3.0 Bulgaria 1.9 2.2 3.8 4.6 5.0 5.4 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.0 3.7 Czech Republic 0.4 2.2 3.9 4.4 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.3 Hungary 0.8 2.2 2.5 3.2 3.6 3.9 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.6 Poland Romania Latin America 3.3 3.6 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.6 2.8 2.8 -0.5 3.6 4.3 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.2 5.8 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.3 4.5 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 Argentina 8.2 5.2 4.0 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 Brazil 7.4 5.0 5.5 5.2 5.5 4.7 5.0 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 Mexico 5.4 4.1 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 Paraguay 7.6 5.4 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 Colombia Uruguay 7.2 4.9 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 Venezuela -2.7 2.8 3.6 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.2 3.3 Middle East 4.1 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.2 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.1 2.9 2.8 3.1 Iran Israel 3.5 3.6 4.9 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.1 Saudi Arabia 3.2 4.5 5.1 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.8 73.1 76.9 83.1 93.4 97.0 98.8 100.1 99.3 97.4 97.4 97.4 Price Refiner Acquisition Cost of Crude Oil (Dollars per Barrel) 86.7 89.7 Source: International Financial Statistics December 2010, and projections after 2010 are from IHS Global Insight. Baseline Assumptions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 10 GDP Deflator Growth Projections 2010 2011 Australia 5.4 2.1 2.9 3.1 3.0 3.0 Canada 3.2 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.9 European Union 2.6 3.0 2.7 2.3 1.8 -1.6 -0.8 -0.7 -0.1 New Zealand 2.4 2.3 2.7 United States 0.9 1.4 1.4 Developed Market Economies Japan 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.6 (Percentage Change from Previous Year) Developing Market Economies Africa Algeria 5.6 5.5 4.5 5.3 4.5 4.2 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.8 Egypt 12.1 7.3 2.4 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 Nigeria 14.8 5.9 5.6 5.1 6.5 7.4 7.0 6.4 7.1 6.6 6.9 6.3 6.8 South Africa 7.3 5.5 5.5 6.5 5.1 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.0 5.0 5.3 Tunisia 3.1 3.9 3.8 3.5 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 Asia China 3.6 5.7 5.3 2.8 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 Hong Kong 0.6 1.0 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.7 India 9.8 4.6 5.0 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.5 4.5 Indonesia Malaysia Pakistan Philippines 2.3 3.7 5.1 5.1 3.9 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.4 4.2 3.6 4.0 3.8 South Korea 4.7 3.5 3.1 3.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 -2.2 -0.5 0.6 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 Thailand Taiwan 4.1 4.2 4.4 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.8 Vietnam 7.3 7.6 7.9 7.0 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.9 Russia 9.7 7.1 6.7 6.3 5.2 4.8 4.4 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.9 Ukraine 15.1 9.5 8.2 7.8 7.1 6.4 5.8 5.3 4.9 4.5 4.1 3.2 2.8 Commonwealth of Independent States European Union-New Member States Bulgaria Czech Republic 6.1 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.4 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 5.7 6.2 5.4 4.1 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 -0.5 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3 Hungary 1.8 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 Poland 2.7 3.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 Romania 5.1 6.6 6.2 4.8 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 13.7 11.0 9.2 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.4 8.2 7.8 7.5 7.5 6.8 6.5 4.6 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 Mexico 5.0 3.5 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.4 Paraguay 6.0 5.5 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 Latin America Argentina Brazil Colombia Uruguay Venezuela 5.6 6.8 6.0 5.9 5.2 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 29.5 27.8 22.3 16.9 11.7 9.6 5.2 4.5 6.0 6.5 6.4 5.4 5.1 15.7 17.6 18.6 19.1 16.8 16.7 16.4 15.7 15.0 14.3 13.6 11.9 10.8 2.2 2.5 3.3 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.3 16.0 6.0 7.4 5.2 4.3 4.5 3.7 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.1 2.2 Middle East Iran Israel Saudi Arabia Source: International Financial Statistics December 2010, and projections after 2010 are from IHS Global Insight. Baseline Assumptions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 11 Exchange Rate* Growth Projections 2010 2011 Developed Market Economies 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 0.5 (Percentage Change from Previous Year) Australia -12.5 -1.4 -0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 Canada -9.4 -1.4 3.3 1.2 1.8 3.4 0.9 -1.1 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 4.6 -1.3 -3.2 -3.7 -4.0 -2.2 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 European Union † Japan -3.7 -5.7 2.0 1.2 -2.5 -2.8 -1.1 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.3 -11.6 2.6 2.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Algeria 1.9 -2.6 -4.0 -0.7 -0.7 -0.4 -0.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 Egypt -0.8 -2.4 -3.8 -0.7 1.3 2.1 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.7 -2.3 -2.6 3.9 7.2 4.5 3.4 6.8 6.4 8.1 5.3 5.4 -11.5 -1.8 3.8 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 5.7 2.9 -1.9 -2.9 -2.3 -3.3 -2.3 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -4.7 -4.3 -3.9 -2.8 -1.5 -1.5 -1.3 -1.1 -1.1 -0.4 0.4 0.5 0.3 -0.2 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -1.1 New Zealand Developing Market Economies Africa Nigeria South Africa Tunisia Asia China Hong Kong India -5.0 -4.6 -1.6 -0.5 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -0.9 -0.8 -1.1 Indonesia -11.5 -1.4 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.9 Malaysia -7.1 -2.3 -0.8 -0.6 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 Pakistan 3.9 1.6 5.3 9.3 5.0 3.9 3.5 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.4 Philippines -4.0 -4.1 -1.1 -0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 South Korea -8.8 -5.5 -6.4 -3.2 -0.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Taiwan -4.2 -3.7 -3.8 -3.0 -2.3 -2.0 -1.8 -1.5 -1.3 -1.1 -0.9 -0.5 -0.3 Thailand -5.4 -3.8 -0.5 6.3 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 Vietnam 6.9 3.6 2.0 2.5 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.9 Commonwealth of Independent States Russia -4.9 -1.7 -1.7 0.0 -0.9 -3.4 -2.5 -1.7 -1.1 -0.8 -0.8 0.9 1.2 Ukraine 1.9 -1.2 -2.1 -2.5 -2.6 -1.7 -0.4 -1.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 Bulgaria 5.8 -0.3 -1.3 -3.2 -3.7 -4.0 -2.2 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 Czech Republic 2.0 4.6 -1.3 -3.2 -3.7 -4.0 -2.2 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 Hungary 3.2 4.6 -1.3 -3.2 -3.7 -4.0 -2.2 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 European Union-New Member States Poland Romania -2.3 4.6 -1.3 -3.2 -3.7 -4.0 -2.2 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 4.2 2.0 -4.0 -5.6 -7.2 -4.0 -2.2 -1.0 -0.7 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 5.5 Latin America Argentina 4.4 6.5 5.6 5.9 4.7 4.4 3.9 4.6 5.3 4.8 5.7 5.6 Brazil -10.6 -0.1 0.1 -1.4 -0.8 -1.9 -1.5 -1.3 -0.9 -0.4 -0.1 0.6 0.5 Colombia -11.3 1.7 4.5 1.2 1.2 2.0 3.0 2.8 4.1 2.5 2.4 2.7 1.7 1.2 Mexico -6.0 -3.0 -0.6 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 Paraguay -4.8 12.5 7.7 3.6 -0.1 0.6 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 Uruguay -11.4 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.2 20.2 29.3 12.5 5.2 4.7 4.6 2.9 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.6 3.5 Venezuela Middle East Iran Israel Saudi Arabia 3.3 10.9 10.5 9.9 12.2 13.4 13.2 12.8 12.4 11.8 11.3 10.0 8.8 -3.8 -1.2 -2.8 -0.7 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.7 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Source: International Financial Statistics December 2010, and projections after 2010 are from IHS Global Insight. * In local currency per U.S. dollar. † Not all European Union members have adopted the euro. Baseline Assumptions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 12 Population Growth Projections 2010 2011 1.1 1.1 Developed Market Economies Australia Canada European Union Japan New Zealand United States 1.2 0.8 0.2 -0.2 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.2 -0.3 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 -0.3 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 -0.3 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 -0.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 -0.4 0.8 1.0 Developing Market Economies Africa Algeria Egypt Nigeria South Africa Tunisia 2.3 1.2 2.0 2.0 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.2 2.0 2.0 -0.2 1.0 2.3 1.2 2.0 1.9 -0.4 1.0 2.3 1.2 1.9 1.9 -0.4 0.9 2.2 1.2 1.9 1.9 -0.5 0.9 Asia China Hong Kong India Indonesia Malaysia Pakistan Philippines South Korea Taiwan Thailand Vietnam 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.4 1.1 1.6 1.6 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.4 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.0 Commonwealth of Independent States Russia Ukraine -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 European Union-New Member States Bulgaria Czech Republic Hungary Poland Romania -0.1 -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.4 0.5 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.4 1.5 World Latin America Argentina Brazil Colombia Mexico Paraguay Uruguay Venezuela 2012 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Percentage Change from Previous Year) 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 -0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 -0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 -0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 -0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.1 -0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.0 -0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.0 -0.7 0.6 0.9 2.2 1.1 1.8 1.8 -0.2 0.9 2.2 1.1 1.8 1.8 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.1 1.7 1.8 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.0 1.7 1.7 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.0 1.7 1.7 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.0 1.6 1.7 0.1 0.8 2.0 0.9 1.5 1.6 0.1 0.6 2.0 0.8 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.4 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.6 0.0 -0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.5 0.0 -0.1 0.3 0.7 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.6 -0.1 -0.5 -0.7 -0.2 -0.6 -0.7 -0.2 -0.6 -0.7 -0.2 -0.6 -0.7 -0.2 -0.6 -0.7 -0.3 -0.6 -0.7 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.8 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1 -0.8 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.8 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.9 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.9 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 -0.2 -0.9 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4 -0.2 -0.9 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 -1.0 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4 -1.0 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 0.4 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.4 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.2 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.4 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.4 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.4 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.4 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.3 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.2 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.3 Middle East 1.7 1.6 1.5 Iran 1.3 1.3 1.3 Israel 1.7 1.6 1.6 Saudi Arabia 1.6 1.6 1.5 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census International Data Base, June 2010. Baseline Assumptions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2013 2014 13 2015 Food and Feed Grains Wheat The world wheat price increases to $270.44 in 2011/12 as a result of increased demand in world markets. It reaches $260.37 in 2025/26. Net trade grows at an annual average rate of 2.51%, reaching 136.66 mmt in 2025/26. The U.S. market share of wheat declines to 15.4% in 2025/26 because of strong competition from other exporting countries. China and India are net exporters of wheat. Net wheat imports by Asian countries increase by 1.19 mmt over the next 15 years. African countries increase their net imports by 13.46 mmt over the next 15 years. Net exports of American countries reach only 28.41 mmt in 2025/26. Corn The world corn price drops to $183.17 in 2011/12. It increases to $197.26 in 2012/13 and continues to increase throughout the projection period but then falls slightly, ending at $191.35 in 2025/26. With an increase in consumption, the stocks-to-use ratio continues to decline over the projection period, ending at 13.74% in 2025/26. Corn trade is projected to increase over the projection period, reaching 129.05 mmt in 2025/26. The U.S market share drops in 2010/11 and 2011/12 because of lower U.S exports, but it increases over the rest of the projection period with declines in Brazil and Argentina’s market shares. China becomes a net importer of corn in 2016/17. Net imports reach 6.41 mmt in 2025/26. Sorghum The world sorghum price declines in 2011/12 because of higher production. It reaches $249.67 in 2025/26. World sorghum net trade grows over the projection period, reaching 10.76 mmt by 2025/26 with growth in demand. Japanese net imports of sorghum are stable and reach 1.59 mmt in 2025/26. Mexico’s net imports decline slightly in 2011/12 and reach 3.15 mmt in 2025/26. The U.S. market share declines slightly in 2011/12, to 61.02%, and increases to 72.83% in 2025/26. Barley The world barley price reaches $198.49 in 2025/26. Net trade reaches 28.06 mmt in 2025/26. EU net exports of barley decline in 2011/12 because of lower carry-over stocks. Net exports of barley reach only 2.77 mmt in 2025/26. Australian net exports decrease in 2011/12 and end at 3.56 mmt in 2025/26. Canadian barley exports decline in 2011/12 due to lower carryover stocks and end at 3.04 mmt in 2025/26. Ukrainian and Russian barley net exports reach 8.35 mmt and 6.99 mmt, respectively. World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14 Wheat Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Australia Canada EU Russia Ukraine United States Residual Total Net Exports † Net Importers Algeria Brazil China Egypt India Iran Japan Mexico Morocco Pakistan South Korea Taiwan Tunisia Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Total Net Imports Wheat Prices U.S. FOB Gulf Canadian Wheat Board AWB Limited Export Quote 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 7,995 15,900 17,100 16,500 2,000 5,950 32,387 -4,399 8,564 16,973 15,798 16,961 7,341 8,469 29,569 -4,399 8,938 16,718 18,195 16,325 12,925 9,961 23,379 -4,399 8,546 16,792 18,380 16,598 14,119 10,623 23,430 -4,399 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,592 8,799 8,980 16,873 17,076 17,304 18,559 18,666 18,907 17,001 17,394 17,453 15,159 16,216 16,739 10,366 11,046 11,107 23,600 23,833 23,996 -4,399 -4,399 -4,399 9,207 17,593 18,844 17,563 17,236 11,107 23,942 -4,399 9,420 17,830 18,876 17,720 17,608 10,973 24,138 -4,399 9,803 18,106 18,912 17,803 17,958 10,842 24,048 -4,399 9,927 18,363 19,036 17,790 18,311 10,764 23,847 -4,399 9,792 19,014 19,035 18,222 19,527 10,627 23,844 -4,399 9,504 20,834 19,039 18,221 20,081 10,533 21,079 -4,399 94,432 102,351 106,094 107,025 109,415 112,026 114,710 117,094 119,751 121,694 124,364 132,298 136,656 5,275 4,600 -1,000 9,790 100 300 4,900 2,100 3,500 0 3,500 1,075 1,750 16,630 8,142 30,598 1,491 681 5,639 5,050 -2,267 10,215 -808 2,753 4,959 2,790 3,924 1,131 3,891 1,069 2,116 17,346 8,053 30,985 1,648 783 5,960 5,429 -2,683 10,656 -1,369 1,816 5,105 2,947 4,077 953 4,109 1,159 2,489 17,884 8,925 32,126 1,654 804 5,933 5,470 -2,712 10,897 -224 1,514 4,993 3,024 4,155 1,193 4,151 1,139 2,409 18,214 8,777 32,708 1,677 771 6,030 5,612 -2,669 11,171 -996 1,396 5,000 3,072 4,322 1,127 4,228 1,151 2,472 18,296 8,943 34,179 1,657 758 6,078 5,715 -2,310 11,460 -1,087 1,393 4,983 3,075 4,402 1,180 4,286 1,165 2,519 18,451 8,936 35,934 1,675 772 6,159 5,815 -2,918 11,770 -1,706 1,379 4,976 3,174 4,490 1,266 4,336 1,180 2,565 18,627 9,033 37,482 1,692 767 6,256 5,940 -3,347 12,090 -2,654 1,318 4,962 3,283 4,623 1,434 4,371 1,193 2,601 18,959 9,113 38,456 1,725 769 6,366 6,051 -4,094 12,393 -3,491 1,360 4,953 3,402 4,690 1,548 4,383 1,200 2,619 19,172 9,199 39,904 1,749 762 6,424 6,170 -4,094 12,706 -4,528 1,306 4,942 3,491 4,774 1,511 4,397 1,213 2,651 19,322 9,271 40,988 1,762 767 6,515 6,309 -5,292 13,026 -5,433 1,305 4,850 3,632 4,896 1,589 4,406 1,234 2,684 19,592 9,365 42,416 1,776 770 6,725 6,671 -8,260 13,950 -8,376 1,390 4,718 4,027 5,185 1,725 4,369 1,257 2,722 20,175 9,564 47,268 1,783 770 6,993 6,989 -11,046 14,554 -10,718 1,406 4,201 4,405 5,428 2,090 4,364 1,284 2,813 20,613 9,822 49,084 1,830 781 94,432 102,351 106,094 107,025 109,415 112,026 114,710 117,094 119,751 121,694 124,364 132,298 136,656 239.40 273.91 217.99 270.44 294.01 244.94 247.89 277.67 226.44 261.78 288.20 237.76 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 268.17 271.58 272.42 291.08 292.62 293.60 243.49 246.53 247.32 272.78 294.28 247.65 275.85 296.87 250.26 275.18 296.31 249.76 273.38 294.83 248.21 274.36 295.65 249.05 260.37 284.18 237.01 † Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15 World Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 222,712 224,353 229,503 2.90 2.99 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 645,532 196,160 841,692 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Area Harvested Yield Trade * Stocks-to-Use Ratio 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 226,573 (Thousand Hectares) 227,048 227,293 227,403 227,171 226,917 226,655 226,590 225,486 224,680 3.01 3.03 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.05 3.07 3.09 3.12 3.14 3.16 3.18 3.25 3.30 671,521 172,004 843,526 691,096 174,849 865,944 686,063 181,074 867,137 (Thousand Metric Tons) 692,195 697,794 703,251 181,293 182,112 183,246 873,488 879,907 886,497 707,696 184,548 892,245 711,522 185,740 897,262 715,569 186,569 902,138 721,069 187,709 908,779 732,957 190,388 923,346 740,902 192,951 933,853 127,381 542,307 172,004 841,692 126,139 542,538 174,849 843,526 130,123 554,747 181,074 865,944 129,737 556,107 181,293 867,137 130,485 560,891 182,112 873,488 131,251 565,410 183,246 879,907 132,130 569,818 184,548 886,497 133,255 573,250 185,740 892,245 134,057 576,636 186,569 897,262 134,998 579,430 187,709 902,138 136,112 583,807 188,861 908,779 139,209 592,729 191,408 923,346 141,617 597,725 194,512 933,853 94,432 102,351 106,094 107,025 109,415 112,026 114,710 117,094 119,751 121,694 124,364 132,298 136,656 25.68 26.15 26.44 26.43 26.34 (Percent) 26.30 26.29 26.29 26.25 26.27 26.23 26.15 26.31 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 * Excludes intraregional trade. U.S. Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 19,263 19,746 19,185 18,634 (Thousand Hectares) 18,828 18,792 18,785 18,687 18,621 18,541 18,420 18,140 17,362 3.12 2.86 2.88 2.90 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.91 2.93 2.96 2.98 3.00 3.02 3.05 3.12 3.16 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 60,092 26,585 86,677 56,449 22,285 78,734 55,211 19,826 75,037 53,961 19,715 73,676 (Thousand Metric Tons) 54,855 55,146 55,566 18,972 18,800 18,703 73,827 73,946 74,269 55,705 18,725 74,430 55,881 18,729 74,611 56,064 18,669 74,732 56,131 18,704 74,835 56,541 18,786 75,327 54,908 19,127 74,035 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,627 27,379 22,285 54,290 1,975 27,363 19,826 49,164 4,201 27,741 19,715 51,658 3,355 27,919 18,972 50,246 3,288 28,139 18,800 50,227 3,022 28,388 18,703 50,114 2,900 28,649 18,725 50,274 2,840 28,918 18,729 50,488 2,638 29,165 18,669 50,473 2,546 29,434 18,704 50,684 2,514 29,720 18,754 50,987 2,138 30,497 18,849 51,483 2,600 31,124 19,232 52,956 32,387 29,569 23,379 23,430 23,600 23,833 23,996 23,942 24,138 24,048 23,847 23,844 21,079 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 16 Algerian Wheat Supply and Utilization Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,000 1,846 1,854 1,842 (Thousand Hectares) 1,835 1,844 1,839 1,840 1,834 1,832 1,834 1,828 1,818 1.55 1.58 1.61 1.63 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.65 1.67 1.69 1.71 1.70 1.73 1.75 1.80 1.83 3,100 2,326 5,426 2,914 1,951 4,865 2,979 1,917 4,897 3,006 2,042 5,047 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,035 3,086 3,116 2,041 2,057 2,073 5,076 5,143 5,189 3,140 2,088 5,228 3,124 2,101 5,225 3,172 2,106 5,278 3,204 2,118 5,322 3,282 2,142 5,424 3,322 2,174 5,496 50 8,700 1,951 10,701 50 8,536 1,917 10,504 50 8,765 2,042 10,857 50 8,890 2,041 10,980 50 8,998 2,057 11,106 50 9,099 2,073 11,221 50 9,210 2,088 11,348 50 9,333 2,101 11,484 50 9,435 2,106 11,591 50 9,533 2,118 11,702 50 9,656 2,132 11,837 50 9,946 2,153 12,149 50 10,240 2,200 12,489 -5,275 -5,639 -5,960 -5,933 -6,030 -6,078 -6,159 -6,256 -6,366 -6,424 -6,515 -6,725 -6,993 15/16 Argentine Wheat Supply and Utilization Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 4,500 4,942 5,036 4,851 (Thousand Hectares) 4,825 4,874 4,899 4,911 4,902 4,925 4,933 4,800 4,642 3.00 2.77 2.80 2.83 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.86 2.90 2.93 2.98 3.04 3.11 3.14 3.23 3.30 13,500 463 13,963 13,699 743 14,442 14,107 743 14,850 13,731 786 14,517 (Thousand Metric Tons) 13,819 14,124 14,370 786 794 806 14,605 14,918 15,176 14,643 820 15,463 14,895 831 15,726 15,312 838 16,149 15,499 846 16,344 15,526 866 16,392 15,306 882 16,188 25 5,200 743 5,968 19 5,115 743 5,877 22 5,104 786 5,912 21 5,164 786 5,971 21 5,198 794 6,013 21 5,292 806 6,119 22 5,354 820 6,196 22 5,402 831 6,256 23 5,445 838 6,305 23 5,477 846 6,346 24 5,538 855 6,417 26 5,702 872 6,600 27 5,763 894 6,684 7,995 8,564 8,938 8,546 8,592 8,799 8,980 9,207 9,420 9,803 9,927 9,792 9,504 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Australian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 13,350 13,711 13,773 13,675 (Thousand Hectares) 13,655 13,667 13,699 13,696 13,680 13,683 13,674 13,601 14,029 1.80 1.72 1.74 1.76 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.78 1.81 1.83 1.86 1.88 1.91 1.94 2.01 2.09 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 24,000 4,986 28,986 23,519 6,111 29,630 23,923 5,622 29,546 24,110 5,634 29,744 (Thousand Metric Tons) 24,359 24,715 25,075 5,629 5,647 5,686 29,987 30,362 30,761 25,463 5,739 31,202 25,776 5,794 31,570 26,137 5,833 31,970 26,487 5,878 32,365 27,378 5,992 33,370 29,341 6,107 35,448 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,900 3,075 6,111 13,086 3,955 3,079 5,622 12,657 4,108 3,085 5,634 12,827 4,225 3,099 5,629 12,953 4,343 3,125 5,647 13,114 4,442 3,158 5,686 13,286 4,533 3,185 5,739 13,457 4,612 3,203 5,794 13,609 4,680 3,227 5,833 13,740 4,739 3,247 5,878 13,864 4,799 3,276 5,927 14,001 4,950 3,367 6,040 14,357 5,032 3,393 6,189 14,614 15,900 16,973 16,718 16,792 16,873 17,076 17,304 17,593 17,830 18,106 18,363 19,014 20,834 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 17 Brazilian Wheat Supply and Utilization Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,145 2,084 2,071 2,063 (Thousand Hectares) 2,062 2,063 2,061 2,057 2,054 2,052 2,049 2,046 2,038 2.54 2.57 2.61 2.62 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.64 2.67 2.71 2.74 2.76 2.79 2.80 2.86 2.89 5,445 2,419 7,864 5,354 2,215 7,568 5,401 2,263 7,664 5,403 2,319 7,722 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,447 5,506 5,585 2,328 2,342 2,358 7,776 7,848 7,943 5,630 2,375 8,004 5,672 2,390 8,061 5,716 2,400 8,117 5,746 2,412 8,158 5,846 2,441 8,286 5,891 2,463 8,354 208 10,041 2,215 12,464 205 10,150 2,263 12,618 221 10,553 2,319 13,093 223 10,641 2,328 13,192 230 10,816 2,342 13,388 235 10,971 2,358 13,563 241 11,141 2,375 13,757 247 11,308 2,390 13,944 253 11,459 2,400 14,112 258 11,616 2,412 14,286 265 11,778 2,425 14,467 281 12,226 2,450 14,957 295 12,571 2,478 15,344 -4,600 -5,050 -5,429 -5,470 -5,612 -5,715 -5,815 -5,940 -6,051 -6,170 -6,309 -6,671 -6,989 15/16 Canadian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 8,120 8,809 9,246 9,113 (Thousand Hectares) 9,066 9,087 9,121 9,085 9,060 9,027 9,028 8,913 8,788 2.73 2.84 2.88 2.90 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.93 2.96 2.99 3.01 3.03 3.05 3.08 3.15 3.20 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 22,200 7,820 30,020 25,032 5,170 30,202 26,598 6,550 33,149 26,444 7,075 33,519 (Thousand Metric Tons) 26,565 26,870 27,231 7,108 7,038 7,049 33,672 33,907 34,280 27,364 7,106 34,470 27,436 7,228 34,664 27,565 7,279 34,844 27,846 7,348 35,195 28,112 7,564 35,676 28,127 7,683 35,810 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,000 4,750 5,170 12,920 2,826 5,027 6,550 14,404 2,852 5,027 7,075 14,954 2,892 5,140 7,108 15,140 2,916 5,160 7,038 15,114 2,948 5,244 7,049 15,241 2,972 5,295 7,106 15,373 3,014 5,384 7,228 15,625 3,054 5,455 7,279 15,788 3,065 5,519 7,348 15,932 3,110 5,605 7,444 16,158 3,189 5,822 7,629 16,640 3,160 5,898 7,714 16,771 17,100 15,798 18,195 18,380 18,559 18,666 18,907 18,844 18,876 18,912 19,036 19,035 19,039 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Chinese Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 24,300 23,897 24,651 24,164 (Thousand Hectares) 24,023 23,771 23,745 23,651 23,578 23,305 23,404 23,011 22,985 4.71 4.74 4.76 4.77 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.79 4.81 4.82 4.84 4.86 4.88 4.90 4.95 4.98 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 114,500 54,314 168,814 113,162 60,014 173,176 117,365 60,188 177,554 115,167 62,014 177,181 (Thousand Metric Tons) 114,976 114,248 114,563 62,249 62,563 62,941 177,225 176,811 177,504 114,498 63,387 177,884 114,488 63,828 178,316 113,681 64,162 177,842 114,641 64,529 179,170 113,899 65,246 179,145 114,514 65,860 180,374 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 11,000 96,800 60,014 167,814 13,150 97,570 60,188 170,909 13,694 99,162 62,014 174,871 14,027 98,193 62,249 174,469 14,432 97,560 62,563 174,556 14,808 96,751 62,941 174,501 15,195 96,005 63,387 174,586 15,575 95,134 63,828 174,537 15,951 94,109 64,162 174,222 16,315 92,904 64,529 173,748 16,676 92,351 64,852 173,878 17,682 87,701 65,502 170,885 18,223 84,829 66,276 169,328 1,000 2,267 2,683 2,712 2,669 2,310 2,918 3,347 4,094 4,094 5,292 8,260 11,046 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 18 Egyptian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,320 1,268 1,286 1,270 (Thousand Hectares) 1,274 1,273 1,273 1,272 1,271 1,271 1,271 1,272 1,272 6.52 6.53 6.61 6.69 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 6.77 6.85 6.93 7.01 7.09 7.17 7.25 7.49 7.65 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 8,600 5,732 14,332 8,277 5,722 13,999 8,495 5,693 14,189 8,493 5,765 14,258 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,619 8,712 8,815 5,753 5,745 5,740 14,371 14,457 14,555 8,907 5,742 14,649 9,003 5,747 14,750 9,106 5,747 14,853 9,208 5,756 14,964 9,521 5,782 15,303 9,725 5,815 15,540 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,600 15,800 5,722 24,122 2,629 15,892 5,693 24,214 2,675 16,404 5,765 24,844 2,734 16,668 5,753 25,154 2,806 16,992 5,745 25,543 2,889 17,288 5,740 25,917 2,977 17,606 5,742 26,325 3,067 17,926 5,747 26,739 3,159 18,236 5,747 27,142 3,252 18,551 5,756 27,559 3,347 18,875 5,767 27,989 3,636 19,822 5,795 29,253 3,762 20,493 5,840 30,095 -9,790 -10,215 -10,656 -10,897 -11,171 -11,460 -11,770 -12,090 -12,393 -12,706 -13,026 -13,950 -14,554 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade 15/16 European Union Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 25,853 27,758 27,697 27,680 (Thousand Hectares) 27,855 28,011 27,997 28,047 28,074 28,080 28,060 28,125 28,123 5.27 5.30 5.32 5.35 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.37 5.40 5.43 5.46 5.48 5.51 5.54 5.63 5.69 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 136,258 14,396 150,654 147,088 10,654 157,742 147,484 13,438 160,922 148,052 14,333 162,385 (Thousand Metric Tons) 149,674 151,300 152,059 14,642 15,003 15,363 164,316 166,303 167,422 153,074 15,571 168,645 153,970 15,749 169,719 154,840 15,890 170,731 155,570 16,039 171,609 158,371 16,441 174,812 159,993 16,760 176,754 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 54,500 69,000 10,654 134,154 57,257 70,086 13,438 140,782 58,114 72,150 14,333 144,597 58,047 73,098 14,642 145,787 58,096 74,216 15,003 147,315 58,224 75,321 15,363 148,909 58,203 76,196 15,571 149,969 58,268 77,065 15,749 151,082 58,245 77,864 15,890 151,999 58,237 78,652 16,039 152,928 58,262 79,392 16,165 153,819 58,565 81,431 16,594 156,590 58,876 82,711 16,946 158,533 16,500 16,961 16,325 16,598 17,001 17,394 17,453 17,563 17,720 17,803 17,790 18,222 18,221 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade 14/15 Indian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 28,700 28,541 30,076 29,502 (Thousand Hectares) 29,848 29,943 30,183 30,282 30,368 30,478 30,585 30,899 31,068 2.81 2.82 2.84 2.85 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.86 2.88 2.89 2.92 2.95 2.98 3.01 3.10 3.16 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 80,710 16,100 96,810 80,603 14,475 95,078 85,483 11,893 97,376 84,024 11,937 95,961 (Thousand Metric Tons) 85,429 86,110 87,254 11,943 11,994 12,066 97,372 98,104 99,320 88,397 12,152 100,549 89,502 12,237 101,739 90,732 12,305 103,037 91,980 12,385 104,365 95,677 12,587 108,264 98,051 12,733 110,784 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 100 82,335 14,475 96,910 96 82,282 11,893 94,270 130 83,941 11,937 96,007 126 83,668 11,943 95,736 128 84,253 11,994 96,376 126 84,825 12,066 97,017 129 85,333 12,152 97,614 133 85,525 12,237 97,895 136 85,806 12,305 98,248 139 85,985 12,385 98,509 144 86,323 12,465 98,932 153 87,080 12,654 99,888 160 87,090 12,816 100,066 -100 808 1,369 224 996 1,087 1,706 2,654 3,491 4,528 5,433 8,376 10,718 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 19 Iranian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 6,400 6,504 6,578 6,541 (Thousand Hectares) 6,564 6,594 6,621 6,643 6,663 6,685 6,704 6,763 6,787 2.25 2.27 2.30 2.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.36 2.40 2.43 2.47 2.49 2.53 2.56 2.66 2.72 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 14,400 4,907 19,307 14,738 3,207 17,945 15,134 4,559 19,693 15,237 5,062 20,299 (Thousand Metric Tons) 15,516 15,812 16,115 5,183 5,202 5,207 20,699 21,014 21,323 16,387 5,221 21,608 16,587 5,239 21,826 16,880 5,248 22,128 17,174 5,267 22,441 17,965 5,320 23,285 18,443 5,386 23,829 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 300 16,100 3,207 19,607 291 15,848 4,559 20,698 304 16,143 5,062 21,509 305 16,326 5,183 21,813 304 16,589 5,202 22,094 304 16,895 5,207 22,406 305 17,175 5,221 22,701 306 17,381 5,239 22,926 307 17,631 5,248 23,186 308 17,859 5,267 23,434 310 18,143 5,293 23,746 314 19,016 5,346 24,675 321 19,473 5,441 25,235 -300 -2,753 -1,816 -1,514 -1,396 -1,393 -1,379 -1,318 -1,360 -1,306 -1,305 -1,390 -1,406 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Hectares) 224 224 223 223 222 222 221 221 229 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade 15/16 Japanese Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 Area Harvested 208 11/12 205 12/13 218 13/14 225 4.11 4.05 4.06 4.06 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.07 4.08 4.08 4.09 4.09 4.09 4.17 4.28 6.37 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 843 1,312 2,155 882 1,205 2,087 915 1,211 2,126 909 1,250 2,159 (Thousand Metric Tons) 915 914 912 1,240 1,243 1,252 2,155 2,156 2,164 911 1,264 2,174 909 1,274 2,183 908 1,299 2,207 922 1,336 2,258 948 1,375 2,323 1,456 1,413 2,869 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 300 5,550 1,205 7,055 337 5,498 1,211 7,046 344 5,638 1,250 7,232 344 5,569 1,240 7,152 350 5,563 1,243 7,155 352 5,535 1,252 7,139 357 5,520 1,264 7,140 360 5,503 1,274 7,137 361 5,476 1,299 7,136 362 5,452 1,336 7,149 318 5,433 1,356 7,108 299 5,352 1,390 7,042 300 5,328 1,441 7,069 -4,900 -4,959 -5,105 -4,993 -5,000 -4,983 -4,976 -4,962 -4,953 -4,942 -4,850 -4,718 -4,201 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Yield Net Trade Mexican Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Area Harvested 742 723 741 729 (Thousand Hectares) 729 739 739 740 735 736 734 721 706 Yield 5.26 5.20 5.28 5.34 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.41 5.48 5.56 5.62 5.68 5.75 5.83 6.04 6.18 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,900 772 4,672 3,761 522 4,283 3,913 555 4,467 3,890 599 4,489 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,945 4,055 4,106 599 595 596 4,544 4,651 4,701 4,162 601 4,763 4,179 609 4,788 4,234 613 4,847 4,281 621 4,902 4,355 644 5,000 4,361 667 5,029 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 250 6,000 522 6,772 235 6,283 555 7,073 242 6,574 599 7,415 244 6,670 599 7,513 247 6,774 595 7,617 252 6,878 596 7,725 257 7,016 601 7,875 264 7,174 609 8,046 269 7,307 613 8,190 275 7,441 621 8,337 282 7,621 632 8,534 298 8,074 654 9,027 309 8,441 684 9,434 -2,100 -2,790 -2,947 -3,024 -3,072 -3,075 -3,174 -3,283 -3,402 -3,491 -3,632 -4,027 -4,405 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 20 Moroccan Wheat Supply and Utilization Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,800 2,744 2,788 2,812 (Thousand Hectares) 2,744 2,747 2,723 2,707 2,683 2,670 2,657 2,605 2,556 1.75 1.52 1.54 1.55 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.55 1.56 1.58 1.58 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.66 1.69 4,900 1,623 6,523 4,166 1,723 5,889 4,287 1,642 5,929 4,356 1,676 6,032 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4,267 4,287 4,313 1,723 1,748 1,770 5,991 6,035 6,083 4,287 1,796 6,083 4,317 1,822 6,139 4,335 1,841 6,176 4,324 1,861 6,186 4,337 1,922 6,258 4,325 1,981 6,306 300 8,000 1,723 10,023 293 7,877 1,642 9,812 295 8,036 1,676 10,006 298 8,165 1,723 10,187 301 8,264 1,748 10,313 303 8,364 1,770 10,437 305 8,473 1,796 10,573 307 8,577 1,822 10,707 309 8,679 1,841 10,829 311 8,778 1,861 10,950 313 8,881 1,886 11,081 319 9,177 1,948 11,444 325 9,389 2,020 11,734 -3,500 -3,924 -4,077 -4,155 -4,322 -4,402 -4,490 -4,623 -4,690 -4,774 -4,896 -5,185 -5,428 15/16 Pakistani Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 9,000 8,767 9,062 8,832 (Thousand Hectares) 8,864 8,846 8,826 8,782 8,773 8,804 8,787 8,752 8,721 2.51 2.60 2.65 2.68 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.72 2.76 2.80 2.84 2.87 2.91 2.95 3.07 3.15 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 22,600 3,366 25,966 22,788 1,766 24,554 23,988 1,502 25,490 23,661 1,564 25,225 (Thousand Metric Tons) 24,075 24,380 24,697 1,503 1,498 1,516 25,578 25,878 26,212 24,925 1,546 26,472 25,141 1,578 26,719 25,585 1,597 27,182 25,922 1,629 27,551 26,879 1,709 28,588 27,489 1,792 29,281 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,000 23,200 1,766 25,966 629 23,554 1,502 25,684 630 24,250 1,564 26,444 621 24,294 1,503 26,418 624 24,585 1,498 26,706 622 24,920 1,516 27,058 624 25,308 1,546 27,479 626 25,702 1,578 27,906 627 26,044 1,597 28,268 628 26,436 1,629 28,693 630 26,845 1,665 29,140 634 27,937 1,742 30,313 640 28,879 1,852 31,371 0 -1,131 -953 -1,193 -1,127 -1,180 -1,266 -1,434 -1,548 -1,511 -1,589 -1,725 -2,090 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Russian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 26,700 26,413 26,837 26,701 (Thousand Hectares) 26,594 26,701 26,609 26,585 26,480 26,487 26,406 26,279 26,160 1.57 2.08 2.11 2.11 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.13 2.15 2.17 2.19 2.21 2.22 2.24 2.29 2.32 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 42,000 11,869 53,869 54,891 3,869 58,760 56,529 7,750 64,279 56,412 8,754 65,166 (Thousand Metric Tons) 56,757 57,479 57,811 8,982 9,073 9,139 65,739 66,552 66,950 58,185 9,194 67,379 58,434 9,239 67,673 58,700 9,270 67,969 59,046 9,303 68,349 60,237 9,378 69,616 60,817 9,421 70,238 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 25,000 23,000 3,869 51,869 20,986 22,683 7,750 51,419 19,974 22,627 8,754 51,355 19,503 22,561 8,982 51,046 19,069 22,438 9,073 50,579 18,864 22,334 9,139 50,336 18,731 22,286 9,194 50,211 18,697 22,207 9,239 50,144 18,669 22,126 9,270 50,065 18,699 22,010 9,303 50,012 18,757 21,944 9,336 50,037 19,069 21,623 9,397 50,089 19,272 21,434 9,451 50,157 2,000 7,341 12,925 14,119 15,159 16,216 16,739 17,236 17,608 17,958 18,311 19,527 20,081 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 21 South Korean Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 7 7 7 7 3.86 4.19 4.24 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 27 1,278 1,305 29 1,005 1,034 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,500 2,300 1,005 4,805 -3,500 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 4.26 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.29 4.33 4.36 4.39 4.41 4.44 4.47 4.55 4.61 30 1,078 1,107 30 1,130 1,160 (Thousand Metric Tons) 30 30 31 1,141 1,144 1,145 1,171 1,174 1,176 31 1,149 1,179 31 1,153 1,183 31 1,155 1,186 31 1,160 1,191 32 1,174 1,206 32 1,188 1,221 1,600 2,248 1,078 4,925 1,749 2,338 1,130 5,216 1,837 2,333 1,141 5,311 1,917 2,338 1,144 5,399 1,974 2,342 1,145 5,460 2,014 2,349 1,149 5,512 2,040 2,358 1,153 5,550 2,049 2,362 1,155 5,567 2,052 2,371 1,160 5,583 2,048 2,383 1,166 5,597 1,991 2,404 1,180 5,575 1,949 2,437 1,198 5,584 -3,891 -4,109 -4,151 -4,228 -4,286 -4,336 -4,371 -4,383 -4,397 -4,406 -4,369 -4,364 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 405 410 418 405 410 418 0 428 428 0 438 438 0 444 444 0 452 452 0 472 472 0 487 487 (Thousand Hectares) 7 7 Taiwanese Wheat Supply and Utilization Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 433 433 0 398 398 0 372 372 0 403 403 10 1,100 398 1,508 5 1,089 372 1,467 12 1,117 403 1,531 12 1,125 405 1,542 13 1,133 410 1,557 14 1,143 418 1,576 16 1,154 428 1,599 18 1,165 438 1,621 19 1,174 444 1,637 21 1,183 452 1,657 33 1,193 461 1,687 37 1,214 478 1,729 41 1,232 497 1,771 -1,075 -1,069 -1,159 -1,139 -1,151 -1,165 -1,180 -1,193 -1,200 -1,213 -1,234 -1,257 -1,284 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Tunisian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Area Harvested 660 584 618 574 (Thousand Hectares) 583 576 569 564 562 562 561 565 560 Yield 1.25 1.27 1.30 1.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.35 1.37 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.45 1.47 1.56 1.62 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 825 1,636 2,461 742 1,336 2,078 801 1,267 2,068 764 1,388 2,152 (Thousand Metric Tons) 785 787 788 1,389 1,412 1,437 2,174 2,199 2,225 794 1,457 2,252 799 1,473 2,272 813 1,479 2,292 824 1,492 2,317 883 1,521 2,404 910 1,555 2,465 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 2,875 1,336 4,211 0 2,926 1,267 4,193 0 3,169 1,388 4,558 0 3,172 1,389 4,561 0 3,234 1,412 4,646 0 3,281 1,437 4,718 0 3,333 1,457 4,791 0 3,379 1,473 4,852 0 3,412 1,479 4,892 0 3,451 1,492 4,943 0 3,494 1,507 5,000 0 3,592 1,534 5,126 0 3,696 1,582 5,278 -1,750 -2,116 -2,489 -2,409 -2,472 -2,519 -2,565 -2,601 -2,619 -2,651 -2,684 -2,722 -2,813 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 22 Ukrainian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 6,450 6,285 6,743 6,941 (Thousand Hectares) 6,784 6,966 6,937 6,915 6,867 6,846 6,811 6,740 6,686 2.64 3.19 3.23 3.25 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.28 3.31 3.33 3.35 3.36 3.36 3.37 3.40 3.42 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 17,000 2,404 19,404 20,054 1,854 21,908 21,749 1,810 23,559 22,534 1,914 24,447 (Thousand Metric Tons) 22,283 23,038 23,126 1,979 2,037 2,083 24,262 25,075 25,209 23,197 2,124 25,322 23,087 2,159 25,246 23,011 2,186 25,197 22,968 2,211 25,179 22,918 2,267 25,185 22,841 2,301 25,142 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,800 8,800 1,854 13,454 2,784 8,846 1,810 13,439 2,801 8,884 1,914 13,598 2,864 8,981 1,979 13,825 2,908 8,951 2,037 13,896 2,972 8,974 2,083 14,030 3,026 8,952 2,124 14,102 3,092 8,963 2,159 14,215 3,162 8,925 2,186 14,273 3,241 8,904 2,211 14,355 3,314 8,868 2,234 14,416 3,519 8,756 2,283 14,558 3,614 8,675 2,320 14,609 5,950 8,469 9,961 10,623 10,366 11,046 11,107 11,107 10,973 10,842 10,764 10,627 10,533 15/16 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade 15/16 Other African Wheat Supply and Utilization Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,927 2,989 3,181 2,998 (Thousand Hectares) 3,072 3,050 3,075 3,061 3,056 3,051 3,052 3,035 3,007 2.09 2.12 2.15 2.18 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.22 2.26 2.30 2.32 2.34 2.38 2.41 2.47 2.51 6,104 2,856 8,960 6,342 2,298 8,640 6,833 2,250 9,084 6,547 2,334 8,881 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,812 6,884 7,060 2,323 2,325 2,335 9,134 9,209 9,395 7,089 2,350 9,439 7,161 2,364 9,525 7,263 2,371 9,635 7,342 2,385 9,726 7,493 2,422 9,916 7,553 2,461 10,014 150 23,151 2,298 25,599 148 23,588 2,250 25,986 150 24,484 2,334 26,968 149 24,623 2,323 27,095 149 24,956 2,325 27,430 149 25,176 2,335 27,660 149 25,522 2,350 28,021 149 25,885 2,364 28,397 149 26,177 2,371 28,697 149 26,423 2,385 28,956 149 26,768 2,401 29,318 149 27,503 2,438 30,090 150 27,990 2,488 30,627 -16,630 -17,346 -17,884 -18,214 -18,296 -18,451 -18,627 -18,959 -19,172 -19,322 -19,592 -20,175 -20,613 15/16 Other American Wheat Supply and Utilization Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,377 1,411 1,405 1,414 (Thousand Hectares) 1,395 1,410 1,403 1,404 1,397 1,396 1,393 1,372 1,354 2.65 2.67 2.70 2.72 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.74 2.76 2.78 2.80 2.81 2.84 2.86 2.93 2.98 3,648 2,734 6,382 3,770 2,292 6,062 3,800 2,132 5,933 3,844 2,216 6,060 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,820 3,890 3,905 2,216 2,223 2,235 6,036 6,114 6,141 3,939 2,251 6,190 3,931 2,268 6,199 3,963 2,279 6,242 3,987 2,301 6,287 4,025 2,355 6,380 4,033 2,412 6,445 508 11,728 2,292 14,528 520 11,463 2,132 14,115 538 12,104 2,216 14,858 554 12,067 2,216 14,837 561 12,195 2,223 14,979 574 12,241 2,235 15,050 587 12,336 2,251 15,173 602 12,433 2,268 15,303 614 12,506 2,279 15,399 627 12,585 2,301 15,513 643 12,684 2,326 15,653 682 12,884 2,377 15,944 711 13,099 2,457 16,267 -8,142 -8,053 -8,925 -8,777 -8,943 -8,936 -9,033 -9,113 -9,199 -9,271 -9,365 -9,564 -9,822 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 23 Other Asian Wheat Supply and Utilization Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 33,430 32,575 33,887 1.57 1.67 52,465 23,262 75,727 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 33,462 (Thousand Hectares) 33,671 33,564 33,526 33,467 33,490 33,454 33,459 33,253 33,246 1.69 1.69 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.70 1.71 1.72 1.73 1.73 1.75 1.76 1.79 1.81 54,563 19,140 73,703 57,202 18,414 75,616 56,645 18,901 75,546 (Thousand Metric Tons) 57,295 57,456 57,724 18,895 18,954 19,049 76,190 76,410 76,772 57,898 19,165 77,062 58,102 19,176 77,278 58,384 19,231 77,615 58,742 19,333 78,075 59,399 19,592 78,991 60,042 19,851 79,893 8,490 78,657 19,140 106,287 9,542 76,733 18,414 104,688 10,225 78,615 18,901 107,742 10,500 78,857 18,895 108,253 10,887 80,528 18,954 110,369 11,230 82,065 19,049 112,344 11,622 83,468 19,165 114,255 12,012 84,331 19,176 115,518 12,358 85,593 19,231 117,182 12,702 86,568 19,333 118,603 13,098 87,945 19,448 120,491 14,130 92,432 19,697 126,259 14,642 94,301 20,034 128,977 -30,598 -30,985 -32,126 -32,708 -34,179 -35,934 -37,482 -38,456 -39,904 -40,988 -42,416 -47,268 -49,084 15/16 Other European Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,428 2,499 2,519 2,511 (Thousand Hectares) 2,511 2,512 2,512 2,512 2,510 2,510 2,509 2,507 2,504 3.35 3.38 3.41 3.42 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.45 3.47 3.49 3.50 3.51 3.53 3.55 3.61 3.65 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 8,138 2,377 10,515 8,446 1,907 10,353 8,590 2,015 10,606 8,589 2,056 10,645 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,652 8,705 8,758 2,059 2,062 2,068 10,711 10,767 10,825 8,801 2,075 10,876 8,823 2,081 10,904 8,862 2,086 10,948 8,915 2,091 11,006 9,052 2,105 11,157 9,135 2,118 11,253 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,007 7,805 1,907 11,719 2,167 7,818 2,015 12,000 2,354 7,850 2,056 12,260 2,366 7,897 2,059 12,322 2,403 7,903 2,062 12,368 2,431 7,943 2,068 12,442 2,470 7,972 2,075 12,517 2,506 8,014 2,081 12,601 2,528 8,039 2,086 12,653 2,550 8,069 2,091 12,710 2,578 8,106 2,097 12,782 2,645 8,184 2,111 12,940 2,704 8,251 2,127 13,083 -1,491 -1,648 -1,654 -1,677 -1,657 -1,675 -1,692 -1,725 -1,749 -1,762 -1,776 -1,783 -1,830 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Other Oceanian Wheat Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 36 33 35 32 (Thousand Hectares) 33 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 31 Yield 7.69 7.79 7.91 8.00 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 8.11 8.21 8.32 8.42 8.52 8.63 8.73 9.05 9.26 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 277 191 468 254 143 397 276 155 431 256 207 463 (Thousand Metric Tons) 267 260 270 204 205 211 471 464 482 271 223 494 274 235 509 276 242 517 279 253 533 282 283 565 284 313 598 40 961 143 1,144 40 985 155 1,179 41 986 207 1,235 43 987 204 1,234 43 981 205 1,229 44 981 211 1,237 45 980 223 1,248 47 982 235 1,263 48 982 242 1,271 49 983 253 1,285 50 986 267 1,302 53 987 296 1,335 55 988 335 1,378 -681 -783 -804 -771 -758 -772 -767 -769 -762 -767 -770 -770 -781 Area Harvested Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 24 Per Capita Wheat Consumption of Selected Countries Algeria Argentina Australia Brazil Canada China Egypt EU India Iran Japan Mexico Morocco Pakistan Russia South Korea Taiwan Tunisia Ukraine United States Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 250 125 142 51 140 73 194 138 70 208 44 53 251 124 166 47 48 270 195 88 27 49 67 159 73 242 122 140 49 147 73 191 140 69 202 44 55 245 124 164 46 47 272 197 87 26 47 65 159 73 246 120 139 51 146 74 194 144 69 203 45 57 247 126 164 48 48 292 199 87 27 50 65 160 72 246 120 138 51 148 73 193 145 68 203 44 57 248 124 165 48 49 289 202 87 26 49 65 161 71 247 120 138 51 147 72 193 147 68 204 45 57 249 124 165 48 49 292 203 87 26 49 65 161 70 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 (Kilograms) 247 121 138 51 149 71 193 149 67 205 45 58 249 124 165 48 49 294 205 87 26 48 66 162 69 25 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 247 121 138 51 149 70 193 151 67 206 45 58 250 124 165 48 50 296 206 87 25 48 66 163 68 248 121 137 52 150 69 193 152 66 206 45 59 251 124 166 48 50 298 207 87 25 48 66 164 67 248 121 137 52 151 68 194 154 66 207 45 59 251 124 166 48 50 298 208 87 25 48 66 165 66 248 121 136 52 152 67 194 155 65 207 45 60 252 124 166 48 51 299 209 86 25 48 66 165 66 249 121 136 52 153 67 194 157 65 208 45 61 253 124 167 48 51 301 209 87 24 48 66 166 65 249 122 136 53 156 63 195 160 63 212 45 63 254 124 167 49 52 303 211 86 23 47 67 169 63 253 122 135 54 156 61 196 163 62 214 45 64 256 125 168 49 53 309 212 87 23 47 67 171 62 Corn Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Australia Brazil China South Africa Thailand Ukraine United States Residual Total Net Exports * Net Importers Algeria Canada Egypt EU India Indonesia Israel Japan Malaysia Nigeria Mexico Pakistan Philippines Russia South Korea Taiwan Vietnam Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Total Net Imports Coarse Grain Prices Corn (FOB Gulf) Sorghum (FOB Gulf) Barley (Canada Feed 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 17,475 10 7,600 -800 2,475 0 5,490 49,024 -3,018 17,190 -11 7,961 1,797 1,958 317 7,590 47,186 -3,018 15,126 -10 7,697 1,920 1,201 21 7,439 53,682 -3,018 83,916 84,066 2,300 1,500 5,400 3,500 -2,000 750 1,340 16,100 2,790 0 8,750 10 300 975 9,000 4,700 1,300 3,835 11,559 9,005 -2,860 2 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 15,779 -14 7,930 1,471 1,758 109 7,708 56,090 -3,018 (Thousand Metric Tons) 15,370 15,597 15,394 -20 -23 -28 8,157 8,174 7,635 687 391 -290 1,716 1,903 1,861 63 39 -4 7,824 8,027 8,133 59,072 61,825 66,520 -3,018 -3,018 -3,018 15,138 -32 7,173 -1,171 1,913 -20 8,208 71,542 -3,018 14,736 -39 6,844 -1,989 1,754 -70 8,164 76,780 -3,018 14,434 -43 6,855 -2,415 1,715 -126 8,185 80,314 -3,018 13,956 -48 7,076 -2,628 1,623 -175 8,189 83,493 -3,018 12,732 -69 7,969 -5,424 1,204 -393 8,078 96,236 -3,018 11,965 -75 8,097 -6,410 955 -420 8,031 102,678 -3,018 86,011 88,990 90,994 93,854 97,324 101,599 105,825 109,032 111,859 123,544 129,047 2,316 875 5,331 2,279 -1,859 1,294 1,210 16,073 2,943 -286 7,921 10 565 1,247 9,109 5,863 1,030 4,516 11,626 9,847 -933 -7 2,243 1,171 5,484 2,225 -486 1,256 1,161 15,454 2,860 3 7,993 10 727 1,245 9,209 6,398 1,134 4,479 12,191 10,758 -1,451 -6 2,284 996 5,615 2,225 -45 1,037 1,183 15,609 2,894 86 8,844 10 743 1,128 9,450 6,664 1,089 5,578 12,380 11,161 -1,116 -2 2,269 982 5,801 2,141 728 977 1,170 15,518 2,887 128 9,068 10 760 1,088 9,670 6,614 1,127 5,234 12,898 11,904 -1,123 -1 2,288 848 6,016 2,096 1,291 869 1,183 15,674 2,918 143 9,694 10 751 1,056 9,883 6,671 1,171 5,454 13,326 12,488 -917 2 2,289 852 6,266 2,085 1,869 875 1,187 15,915 2,938 219 10,182 10 762 1,048 9,997 6,661 1,267 5,582 13,850 13,145 -800 5 2,296 947 6,547 2,060 2,206 940 1,194 16,013 2,958 327 10,785 10 816 1,090 10,092 6,642 1,363 5,951 14,299 13,833 -643 8 2,297 1,091 6,877 2,026 2,498 1,090 1,197 15,960 2,971 448 11,306 10 998 1,165 10,156 6,614 1,466 6,168 14,869 14,510 -566 10 2,304 1,189 7,196 2,005 2,766 1,170 1,205 15,990 2,991 443 11,815 10 1,070 1,204 10,248 6,631 1,528 6,238 15,364 15,071 -547 11 2,310 1,317 7,521 1,996 3,074 1,206 1,214 16,047 3,012 450 12,189 10 1,092 1,221 10,099 6,634 1,597 6,515 15,838 15,652 -540 14 2,321 1,746 8,629 1,926 4,001 1,510 1,230 16,108 3,057 629 13,175 10 1,307 1,237 10,058 6,654 1,971 7,163 17,469 17,437 -344 21 2,335 1,978 9,243 1,887 4,441 1,555 1,250 16,231 3,098 853 13,465 10 1,453 1,233 9,957 6,737 2,163 7,675 18,413 18,140 -339 24 83,916 84,066 86,011 88,990 90,994 93,854 97,324 101,599 105,825 109,031 111,859 123,544 129,047 206 216 166 183 192 205 197 219 169 197 212 193 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 205 203 203 229 225 232 186 193 190 204 234 196 205 239 197 203 239 196 202 243 200 200 252 203 191 249 198 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 26 Barley Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Australia Canada EU Russia Ukraine United States Residual Total Net Exports † Net Importers Algeria Brazil China Israel Japan Mexico Pakistan Saudi Arabia South Africa Taiwan Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Total Net Imports Coarse Grain Prices Corn (FOB Gulf) Sorghum (FOB Gulf) Barley (Canada Feed 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 900 4,100 1,350 4,450 -350 3,995 0 1,671 1,141 3,786 602 2,298 1,019 5,258 -312 1,671 1,297 4,243 1,624 2,101 1,048 6,728 -224 1,671 1,278 4,113 1,462 2,319 1,612 6,606 -218 1,671 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,338 1,351 1,394 4,000 3,912 3,845 1,806 1,797 1,932 2,261 2,367 2,348 2,440 3,262 3,866 6,752 6,636 6,723 -179 -191 -184 1,671 1,671 1,671 1,416 3,806 2,033 2,424 4,350 6,731 -179 1,671 1,446 3,758 2,183 2,465 4,956 6,774 -168 1,671 1,475 3,716 2,248 2,495 5,705 6,784 -177 1,671 1,510 3,671 2,387 2,559 6,025 6,767 -176 1,671 1,610 3,518 2,854 2,722 7,530 6,903 -154 1,671 1,662 3,564 3,043 2,772 8,346 6,998 -209 1,671 16,516 15,819 18,753 19,071 20,285 21,002 21,780 22,433 23,253 24,093 24,590 26,808 28,056 -50 400 1,980 300 1,350 50 5 7,000 75 75 1,675 756 2,293 193 15 71 328 1,843 261 1,123 4 5 7,357 59 50 1,437 761 2,207 -10 -34 179 384 2,115 317 1,326 62 5 7,748 46 85 1,912 766 3,415 171 -41 147 384 2,175 281 1,192 69 5 7,441 51 74 1,875 856 4,175 128 -10 171 414 2,260 300 1,275 74 5 7,669 44 83 2,083 878 4,676 175 -17 169 431 2,336 290 1,250 83 5 7,631 42 81 2,213 932 5,179 168 -6 176 455 2,410 296 1,272 95 5 7,721 35 85 2,332 967 5,567 182 -2 170 470 2,480 291 1,254 104 5 7,719 33 84 2,423 1,008 6,033 176 4 168 487 2,549 293 1,259 114 5 7,773 34 85 2,546 1,049 6,542 176 5 169 506 2,635 294 1,265 131 5 7,822 31 86 2,693 1,095 7,008 168 9 163 520 2,693 291 1,252 140 5 7,834 25 86 2,768 1,131 7,358 137 13 153 566 2,956 291 1,253 174 5 7,960 13 87 3,128 1,248 8,706 99 16 150 602 3,208 293 1,268 213 5 8,060 6 89 3,259 1,349 9,261 67 18 16,516 15,819 18,753 19,071 20,285 21,002 21,781 22,433 23,253 24,093 24,590 26,808 28,056 206 216 166 183 192 205 197 219 169 197 212 193 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 205 203 203 229 225 232 186 193 190 204 234 196 205 239 197 203 239 196 202 243 200 200 252 203 191 249 198 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 27 Sorghum Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Australia United States Residual Total Net Exports * Net Importers India Israel Japan Mexico Nigeria Pakistan South Africa Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Total Net Imports Coarse Grain Prices Corn (FOB Gulf) Sorghum (FOB Gulf) Barley (Canada Feed 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,300 800 3,810 72 1,434 734 3,900 72 1,343 735 4,840 72 1,344 744 4,640 72 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,375 1,431 1,498 730 744 756 5,265 5,162 5,558 72 72 72 1,576 778 5,757 72 1,614 748 6,016 72 1,664 755 6,139 72 1,707 776 6,498 72 1,791 808 7,249 72 1,845 866 7,836 72 6,142 6,392 7,039 6,864 7,507 7,482 7,961 8,266 8,535 8,721 9,151 10,036 10,759 -50 50 1,600 2,700 -50 0 -35 687 749 -25 309 47 -123 61 1,633 2,487 -84 -3 -42 949 759 26 445 32 389 50 1,531 2,416 165 -3 -47 863 1,135 10 449 32 232 56 1,574 2,497 308 -3 -62 733 934 32 464 33 500 50 1,538 2,338 416 -3 -63 1,005 1,104 53 470 34 371 53 1,574 2,437 487 -3 -71 878 1,097 73 478 35 529 51 1,563 2,456 599 -3 -75 932 1,234 79 483 35 431 51 1,571 2,542 719 -3 -81 1,006 1,325 97 488 36 340 50 1,569 2,614 827 -3 -82 1,040 1,455 114 490 37 378 50 1,578 2,715 887 -3 -88 947 1,532 111 486 37 407 49 1,571 2,773 907 -3 -95 1,229 1,601 89 485 38 268 48 1,575 3,002 1,046 -3 -113 1,669 1,867 32 489 40 181 48 1,591 3,151 1,214 -3 -124 2,063 1,990 -14 482 40 6,142 6,392 7,039 6,864 7,507 7,482 7,961 8,266 8,535 8,721 9,151 10,036 10,759 206 216 166 183 192 205 197 219 169 197 212 193 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 205 203 203 229 225 232 186 193 190 204 234 196 205 239 197 203 239 196 202 243 200 200 252 203 191 249 198 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 28 World Corn Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 161,180 165,237 162,199 5.11 5.23 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 823,079 146,807 969,886 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Area Harvested Yield Trade * Stocks-to-Use Ratio 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 164,304 (Thousand Hectares) 164,535 165,522 165,257 165,347 165,575 165,698 165,613 165,851 165,931 5.33 5.42 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.49 5.58 5.65 5.72 5.78 5.86 5.93 6.13 6.27 864,376 126,985 991,361 864,324 133,031 997,355 890,033 130,799 1,020,832 (Thousand Metric Tons) 903,798 923,285 934,137 946,151 957,654 970,704 981,947 1,017,346 1,041,016 132,486 131,831 133,737 134,416 135,273 135,859 137,199 138,696 140,279 1,036,283 1,055,116 1,067,874 1,080,567 1,092,927 1,106,563 1,119,146 1,156,042 1,181,294 496,395 346,507 126,985 969,886 519,089 339,241 133,031 991,361 517,976 348,581 130,799 997,355 527,909 360,438 132,486 1,020,832 532,822 542,108 550,395 558,419 566,483 574,896 582,971 606,218 620,088 371,631 379,270 383,063 386,876 390,586 394,468 398,421 410,313 418,498 131,831 133,737 134,416 135,273 135,859 137,199 137,754 139,512 142,709 1,036,283 1,055,116 1,067,874 1,080,567 1,092,927 1,106,563 1,119,146 1,156,042 1,181,294 83,916 84,066 86,011 88,990 90,994 93,854 97,324 101,599 105,825 109,032 111,859 123,544 129,047 15.07 15.50 15.09 14.91 14.58 (Percent) 14.51 14.40 14.31 14.20 14.15 14.04 13.72 13.74 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 * Excludes intraregional trade. World Barley Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 51,260 52,501 55,122 53,704 (Thousand Hectares) 54,735 54,440 54,695 54,562 54,701 54,738 54,572 54,726 54,713 2.42 2.60 2.65 2.67 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.70 2.73 2.76 2.79 2.82 2.85 2.88 2.97 3.03 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 124,276 36,923 161,199 136,754 21,193 157,947 145,880 21,350 167,230 143,503 23,045 166,548 (Thousand Metric Tons) 147,580 148,599 151,055 22,892 23,479 23,741 170,472 172,078 174,796 152,185 24,123 176,308 154,097 24,294 178,391 156,010 24,517 180,528 157,306 24,792 182,097 162,520 25,266 187,786 165,542 25,700 191,242 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 94,004 46,003 21,193 161,199 92,638 43,960 21,350 157,947 98,188 45,997 23,045 167,230 97,526 46,131 22,892 166,548 99,792 47,201 23,479 170,472 100,544 47,793 23,741 172,078 102,123 48,551 24,123 174,796 102,974 49,040 24,294 176,308 104,263 49,611 24,517 178,391 105,517 50,220 24,792 180,528 106,469 50,678 24,950 182,097 110,022 52,226 25,538 187,786 111,818 53,293 26,131 191,242 16,516 15,819 18,753 19,071 20,285 21,002 21,780 22,433 23,253 24,093 24,590 26,808 28,056 15.14 15.63 15.98 15.94 15.97 (Percent) 16.00 16.01 15.98 15.93 15.92 15.88 15.74 15.83 Area Harvested Yield Trade * Stocks-to-Use Ratio * Excludes intraregional trade. World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 29 World Sorghum Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 40,478 43,939 42,216 1.58 1.54 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 64,066 4,047 68,113 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Area Harvested Yield Trade * Stocks-to-Use Ratio 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 43,633 (Thousand Hectares) 42,804 43,578 43,187 43,498 43,514 43,676 43,598 43,963 44,114 1.55 1.57 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.58 1.60 1.63 1.64 1.66 1.68 1.70 1.75 1.79 67,495 4,321 71,816 65,448 4,554 70,002 68,458 4,291 72,750 (Thousand Metric Tons) 67,819 69,887 70,212 4,474 4,364 4,490 72,293 74,251 74,702 71,536 4,480 76,016 72,349 4,547 76,895 73,528 4,569 78,097 74,230 4,628 78,858 77,125 4,735 81,860 79,123 4,842 83,965 25,956 37,836 4,321 68,113 26,309 40,952 4,554 71,816 24,879 40,832 4,291 70,002 26,061 42,215 4,474 72,750 25,381 42,547 4,364 72,293 26,175 43,587 4,490 74,251 26,076 44,146 4,480 74,702 26,507 44,962 4,547 76,016 26,693 45,634 4,569 76,895 27,051 46,418 4,628 78,097 27,094 47,111 4,653 78,858 27,708 49,364 4,787 81,860 27,902 51,086 4,978 83,965 6,142 6,392 7,039 6,864 7,507 7,482 7,961 8,266 8,535 8,721 9,151 10,036 10,759 6.77 6.77 6.53 6.55 6.43 (Percent) 6.44 6.38 6.36 6.32 6.30 6.27 6.21 6.30 * Excludes intraregional trade. World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 30 U.S. Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 32,941 33,845 34,126 35,013 (Thousand Hectares) 35,375 35,723 35,638 35,759 35,900 35,932 35,843 36,128 36,308 9.60 10.06 10.19 10.32 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 10.45 10.59 10.74 10.87 11.00 11.14 11.27 11.65 11.90 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 316,168 43,389 359,557 340,449 18,928 359,376 347,684 20,517 368,201 361,207 17,723 378,930 (Thousand Metric Tons) 369,712 378,393 382,764 17,986 16,872 17,444 387,697 395,266 400,208 388,867 17,059 405,925 395,047 16,831 411,878 400,335 16,586 416,920 404,023 16,895 420,918 421,014 16,582 437,596 432,171 16,846 449,017 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 132,086 159,519 18,928 310,533 147,849 143,825 20,517 312,190 143,794 153,001 17,723 314,519 145,311 159,543 17,986 322,840 144,159 167,593 16,872 328,625 145,514 170,482 17,444 333,441 146,705 169,925 17,059 333,688 148,049 169,504 16,831 334,384 149,468 169,044 16,586 335,098 151,087 168,625 16,895 336,607 152,561 168,165 16,699 337,425 157,901 166,713 16,745 341,360 162,218 165,988 18,133 346,339 49,024 47,186 53,682 56,090 59,072 61,825 66,520 71,542 76,780 80,314 83,493 96,236 102,678 1,942 2,371 2,299 2,387 (Thousand Hectares) 2,373 2,397 2,371 2,398 2,398 2,390 2,396 2,438 2,491 4.51 4.05 4.07 4.08 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.10 4.13 4.16 4.18 4.20 4.22 4.24 4.30 4.34 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 8,763 1,035 9,799 9,594 908 10,502 9,346 1,152 10,498 9,742 1,041 10,783 (Thousand Metric Tons) 9,738 9,900 9,858 1,133 1,094 1,148 10,871 10,994 11,006 10,030 1,132 11,162 10,072 1,167 11,239 10,095 1,178 11,273 10,168 1,196 11,364 10,485 1,251 11,736 10,803 1,308 12,111 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,794 2,286 908 5,988 3,155 2,295 1,152 6,602 2,425 2,192 1,041 5,659 2,725 2,285 1,133 6,143 2,198 2,314 1,094 5,606 2,275 2,410 1,148 5,833 1,914 2,401 1,132 5,447 1,835 2,402 1,167 5,404 1,650 2,395 1,178 5,223 1,520 2,418 1,196 5,134 1,227 2,431 1,208 4,866 687 2,521 1,279 4,487 269 2,627 1,379 4,275 3,810 3,900 4,840 4,640 5,265 5,162 5,558 5,757 6,016 6,139 6,498 7,249 7,836 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 31 U.S. Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization (continued) 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 1,012 869 983 983 3.87 3.59 3.61 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,919 2,487 6,406 3,123 1,943 5,066 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 980 3,484 1,943 6,406 0 Barley Area Harvested Yield Actual Net Trade 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 931 920 907 894 881 853 858 3.63 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.67 3.70 3.73 3.76 3.79 3.83 3.86 3.95 4.01 3,546 1,698 5,243 3,573 1,700 5,272 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,529 3,505 3,473 1,715 1,706 1,716 5,244 5,212 5,190 3,460 1,723 5,184 3,442 1,733 5,175 3,421 1,740 5,161 3,398 1,753 5,151 3,369 1,791 5,159 3,437 1,827 5,263 252 3,428 1,698 5,378 348 3,420 1,700 5,467 328 3,447 1,715 5,490 269 3,447 1,706 5,423 236 3,450 1,716 5,402 201 3,450 1,723 5,374 176 3,454 1,733 5,363 147 3,457 1,740 5,343 122 3,462 1,753 5,338 98 3,463 1,766 5,327 47 3,458 1,808 5,313 36 3,520 1,917 5,473 -312 -224 -218 -179 -191 -184 -179 -168 -177 -176 -154 -209 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 963 948 32 Algerian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Yield 1.00 1.02 1.02 1.03 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.04 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.11 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1 387 388 1 388 389 1 398 399 1 399 400 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1 1 1 401 402 404 402 403 405 1 405 406 1 406 407 1 406 407 1 407 408 1 409 410 1 410 412 2,300 0 388 2,688 2,307 0 398 2,705 2,244 0 399 2,642 2,282 0 401 2,683 2,270 0 402 2,671 2,287 0 404 2,691 2,289 0 405 2,694 2,296 0 406 2,702 2,298 0 406 2,704 2,304 0 407 2,711 2,310 0 408 2,718 2,321 0 410 2,731 2,334 0 412 2,747 -2,300 -2,316 -2,243 -2,284 -2,269 -2,288 -2,289 -2,296 -2,297 -2,304 -2,310 -2,321 -2,335 1,000 883 892 863 865 861 864 863 861 865 866 1.50 1.42 1.43 1.44 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.44 1.45 1.45 1.46 1.46 1.47 1.47 1.49 1.50 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,500 1,284 2,784 1,257 1,284 2,541 1,276 1,269 2,545 1,239 1,297 2,537 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,260 1,248 1,255 1,289 1,298 1,297 2,549 2,546 2,552 1,254 1,301 2,555 1,262 1,300 2,562 1,266 1,301 2,567 1,267 1,303 2,570 1,286 1,302 2,588 1,296 1,304 2,601 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,200 250 1,284 2,734 1,127 216 1,269 2,613 1,199 227 1,297 2,723 1,168 227 1,289 2,684 1,190 233 1,298 2,720 1,182 236 1,297 2,715 1,187 240 1,301 2,728 1,182 242 1,300 2,725 1,184 245 1,301 2,730 1,185 248 1,303 2,736 1,180 251 1,303 2,734 1,178 259 1,305 2,742 1,178 264 1,309 2,751 50 -71 -179 -147 -171 -169 -176 -170 -168 -169 -163 -153 -150 Corn Area Harvested Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 1 1 (Thousand Hectares) 875 863 33 Argentine Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 3,200 3,218 2,896 2,995 (Thousand Hectares) 2,924 2,954 2,918 2,902 2,866 2,838 2,793 2,696 2,631 7.94 7.97 8.02 8.08 8.24 8.35 23,051 1,110 24,161 22,853 1,129 23,981 22,776 1,141 23,917 22,580 1,158 23,737 22,212 1,196 23,407 21,959 1,216 23,174 7.81 7.56 7.61 7.68 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 7.75 7.83 7.91 25,000 917 25,917 24,329 942 25,271 22,030 1,032 23,062 23,001 1,028 24,029 (Thousand Metric Tons) 22,656 23,123 23,082 1,050 1,057 1,086 23,705 24,179 24,168 5,500 2,000 942 8,442 5,006 2,043 1,032 8,081 4,887 2,021 1,028 7,937 5,135 2,066 1,050 8,251 5,190 2,089 1,057 8,336 5,361 2,136 1,086 8,582 5,489 2,174 1,110 8,774 5,689 2,206 1,129 9,023 5,869 2,235 1,141 9,245 6,058 2,269 1,158 9,484 6,309 2,299 1,172 9,781 7,086 2,383 1,206 10,675 7,529 2,444 1,236 11,209 17,475 17,190 15,126 15,779 15,370 15,597 15,394 15,138 14,736 14,434 13,956 12,732 11,965 Sorghum Area Harvested 800 712 683 690 695 704 708 712 713 720 720 Yield 4.75 4.69 4.76 4.84 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.92 5.02 5.12 5.22 5.28 5.38 5.47 5.70 5.86 3,675 228 3,903 3,741 234 3,975 3,832 237 4,068 3,900 241 4,141 4,102 248 4,350 4,223 251 4,474 Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade (Thousand Hectares) 682 693 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,800 223 4,023 3,339 323 3,662 3,247 242 3,489 3,341 210 3,551 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,356 3,480 3,561 215 212 223 3,571 3,692 3,785 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,200 200 323 2,723 1,786 201 242 2,228 1,741 196 210 2,146 1,792 200 215 2,207 1,786 198 212 2,196 1,837 201 223 2,261 1,858 201 228 2,287 1,893 201 234 2,328 1,923 201 237 2,360 1,962 201 241 2,404 1,991 200 243 2,434 2,113 197 249 2,559 2,180 194 255 2,629 1,300 1,434 1,343 1,344 1,375 1,431 1,498 1,576 1,614 1,664 1,707 1,791 1,845 550 596 642 620 Net Trade Barley Area Harvested (Thousand Hectares) 633 627 632 631 634 634 633 637 636 3.82 3.87 3.94 4.01 4.18 4.29 3.40 3.47 3.54 3.59 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.65 3.71 3.78 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,870 256 2,126 2,064 301 2,365 2,273 319 2,591 2,223 338 2,561 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,311 2,327 2,388 336 341 342 2,647 2,668 2,730 2,414 346 2,759 2,455 346 2,801 2,494 348 2,842 2,534 349 2,883 2,660 351 3,011 2,730 352 3,082 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 75 850 301 1,226 78 828 319 1,224 91 865 338 1,294 88 859 336 1,283 92 876 341 1,309 92 883 342 1,318 95 895 346 1,336 96 900 346 1,343 99 908 348 1,354 101 917 349 1,367 103 921 350 1,373 111 938 352 1,401 116 950 354 1,420 900 1,141 1,297 1,278 1,338 1,351 1,394 1,416 1,446 1,475 1,510 1,610 1,662 Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 34 Australian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 65 66 65 65 63 62 62 61 60 57 55 Yield 5.38 5.52 5.64 5.70 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.79 5.91 6.03 6.13 6.19 6.30 6.41 6.68 6.96 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 350 33 383 363 18 381 365 27 392 369 29 398 (Thousand Metric Tons) 371 377 380 29 30 30 401 406 410 383 30 413 383 30 413 384 30 415 386 30 416 383 31 413 386 31 416 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 225 130 18 373 235 131 27 392 241 132 29 401 248 134 29 411 255 136 30 420 261 139 30 429 266 142 30 438 271 144 30 445 275 146 30 452 279 149 30 458 283 151 30 464 292 159 31 482 297 164 31 492 10 -11 -10 -14 -20 -23 -28 -32 -39 -43 -48 -69 -75 Sorghum Area Harvested 600 623 610 622 619 622 622 620 618 617 616 Yield 3.25 3.33 3.39 3.43 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.47 3.52 3.59 3.64 3.62 3.68 3.73 3.84 3.98 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,950 671 2,621 2,075 616 2,691 2,068 627 2,695 2,131 628 2,759 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,135 2,190 2,223 630 629 630 2,765 2,819 2,853 2,267 630 2,897 2,253 631 2,884 2,278 631 2,909 2,308 632 2,940 2,371 632 3,003 2,449 633 3,082 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,200 5 616 1,821 1,325 5 627 1,957 1,327 5 628 1,960 1,380 5 630 2,015 1,400 5 629 2,035 1,440 5 630 2,075 1,462 5 630 2,097 1,484 5 631 2,119 1,500 5 631 2,136 1,517 5 632 2,154 1,527 5 632 2,164 1,558 5 633 2,196 1,576 5 634 2,216 800 734 735 744 730 744 756 778 748 755 776 808 866 4,200 4,685 4,797 4,696 (Thousand Hectares) 4,679 4,635 4,609 4,573 4,547 4,512 4,469 4,353 4,271 1.88 1.81 1.83 1.85 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.86 1.88 1.90 1.91 1.93 1.95 1.97 2.02 2.08 7,900 2,425 10,325 8,487 1,775 10,262 8,779 2,173 10,951 8,677 2,237 10,914 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,711 8,711 8,739 2,235 2,245 2,251 10,946 10,956 10,990 8,756 2,261 11,017 8,773 2,266 11,038 8,791 2,270 11,061 8,786 2,278 11,063 8,773 2,285 11,058 8,881 2,297 11,178 3,150 1,300 1,775 6,225 3,124 1,179 2,173 6,476 3,273 1,199 2,237 6,708 3,359 1,207 2,235 6,801 3,471 1,230 2,245 6,946 3,547 1,246 2,251 7,045 3,619 1,264 2,261 7,145 3,670 1,275 2,266 7,211 3,719 1,290 2,270 7,280 3,763 1,305 2,278 7,346 3,794 1,318 2,281 7,392 3,885 1,363 2,292 7,540 3,918 1,385 2,311 7,614 4,100 3,786 4,243 4,113 4,000 3,912 3,845 3,806 3,758 3,716 3,671 3,518 3,564 Corn Area Harvested Net Trade Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 64 64 (Thousand Hectares) 616 621 35 Brazilian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 12,718 13,790 13,834 13,963 (Thousand Hectares) 14,027 14,048 13,982 13,929 13,929 13,945 14,011 14,254 14,360 4.08 4.10 4.14 4.20 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.27 4.34 4.41 4.46 4.52 4.59 4.66 4.87 5.00 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 51,837 12,134 63,971 56,556 9,871 66,427 57,294 9,817 67,111 58,646 9,812 68,458 (Thousand Metric Tons) 59,907 61,024 61,612 9,832 9,843 9,866 69,739 70,867 71,478 62,060 9,884 71,944 62,894 9,899 72,792 63,954 9,910 73,864 65,303 9,924 75,227 69,389 9,954 79,343 71,822 9,973 81,795 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 36,910 9,590 9,871 56,371 38,745 9,903 9,817 58,466 39,520 10,082 9,812 59,414 40,377 10,319 9,832 60,528 41,216 10,524 9,843 61,582 42,060 10,767 9,866 62,693 42,967 10,992 9,884 63,843 43,658 11,214 9,899 64,771 44,607 11,431 9,910 65,949 45,425 11,660 9,924 67,009 46,327 11,888 9,936 68,150 48,833 12,577 9,963 71,374 50,636 13,075 9,987 73,698 7,600 7,961 7,697 7,930 8,157 8,174 7,635 7,173 6,844 6,855 7,076 7,969 8,097 85 89 90 89 87 86 86 85 85 84 84 Yield 3.14 3.19 3.23 3.28 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.33 3.38 3.43 3.48 3.53 3.58 3.63 3.78 3.87 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 267 0 267 284 0 284 291 0 291 292 0 292 (Thousand Metric Tons) 295 296 298 0 0 0 295 296 298 299 0 299 302 0 302 305 0 305 308 0 308 318 0 318 325 0 325 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 667 0 667 0 612 0 612 0 675 0 675 0 676 0 676 0 709 0 709 0 727 0 727 0 753 0 753 0 770 0 770 0 789 0 789 0 811 0 811 0 828 0 828 0 884 0 884 0 926 0 926 -400 -328 -384 -384 -414 -431 -455 -470 -487 -506 -520 -566 -602 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 89 88 36 Canadian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,200 1,221 1,148 1,170 (Thousand Hectares) 1,161 1,174 1,178 1,177 1,175 1,171 1,168 1,151 1,141 9.17 9.09 9.17 9.25 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 9.33 9.43 9.53 9.61 9.68 9.77 9.87 10.11 10.26 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 11,000 1,758 12,758 11,097 1,758 12,855 10,522 1,793 12,315 10,824 1,781 12,605 (Thousand Metric Tons) 10,828 11,074 11,233 1,777 1,758 1,755 12,605 12,832 12,988 11,311 1,763 13,074 11,368 1,772 13,141 11,443 1,779 13,222 11,529 1,790 13,319 11,633 1,819 13,452 11,706 1,841 13,546 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 8,200 4,300 1,758 14,258 7,545 4,392 1,793 13,730 7,300 4,405 1,781 13,487 7,363 4,461 1,777 13,601 7,355 4,474 1,758 13,587 7,412 4,513 1,755 13,680 7,483 4,595 1,763 13,840 7,557 4,691 1,772 14,021 7,656 4,797 1,779 14,231 7,722 4,899 1,790 14,411 7,832 5,002 1,802 14,636 8,083 5,285 1,830 15,197 8,191 5,473 1,860 15,524 -1,500 -875 -1,171 -996 -982 -848 -852 -947 -1,091 -1,189 -1,317 -1,746 -1,978 2,500 2,641 2,998 2,663 (Thousand Hectares) 2,854 2,765 2,833 2,809 2,855 2,860 2,859 2,946 2,966 3.30 3.27 3.33 3.36 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.41 3.45 3.50 3.54 3.58 3.62 3.67 3.79 3.87 8,250 2,583 10,833 8,633 1,483 10,116 9,972 2,375 12,348 8,946 2,679 11,625 (Thousand Metric Tons) 9,732 9,545 9,919 2,577 2,600 2,564 12,309 12,145 12,483 9,943 2,598 12,541 10,216 2,598 12,813 10,363 2,610 12,974 10,493 2,636 13,128 11,167 2,653 13,820 11,485 2,689 14,174 6,700 1,300 1,483 9,483 5,989 1,150 2,375 9,514 6,784 1,261 2,679 10,724 6,376 1,209 2,577 10,163 6,662 1,241 2,600 10,503 6,552 1,231 2,564 10,347 6,699 1,255 2,598 10,552 6,653 1,257 2,598 10,508 6,750 1,270 2,610 10,631 6,803 1,287 2,636 10,726 6,809 1,292 2,641 10,742 6,956 1,327 2,684 10,966 7,025 1,362 2,744 11,131 1,350 602 1,624 1,462 1,806 1,797 1,932 2,033 2,183 2,248 2,387 2,854 3,043 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 37 Chinese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 31,500 31,263 30,744 31,131 (Thousand Hectares) 31,140 31,464 31,598 31,761 31,937 32,083 32,212 32,396 32,587 5.33 5.45 5.53 5.61 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.70 5.80 5.90 5.98 6.06 6.16 6.26 6.53 6.70 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 168,000 53,314 221,314 170,422 60,114 230,536 170,035 64,707 234,742 174,736 65,383 240,120 (Thousand Metric Tons) 177,481 182,555 186,374 66,431 66,782 67,631 243,912 249,338 254,005 190,019 68,334 258,354 193,606 68,995 262,602 197,785 69,544 267,329 201,795 70,173 271,967 211,451 71,359 282,811 218,408 72,144 290,552 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 113,000 49,000 60,114 222,114 112,891 51,141 64,707 228,739 114,843 52,595 65,383 232,822 117,842 54,376 66,431 238,649 120,419 56,024 66,782 243,226 123,408 57,908 67,631 248,946 126,171 59,789 68,334 254,295 128,813 61,716 68,995 259,524 131,344 63,703 69,544 264,591 133,846 65,725 70,173 269,744 136,131 67,808 70,656 274,595 142,021 74,464 71,750 288,235 144,912 79,255 72,794 296,962 -800 1,797 1,920 1,471 687 391 -290 -1,171 -1,989 -2,415 -2,628 -5,424 -6,410 Barley Area Harvested 700 713 767 724 736 731 733 729 726 713 697 Yield 3.43 3.48 3.52 3.56 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.63 3.69 3.76 3.82 3.89 3.96 4.03 4.24 4.37 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,400 774 3,174 2,480 554 3,034 2,703 518 3,221 2,576 545 3,121 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,702 2,697 2,767 540 549 551 3,242 3,246 3,318 2,791 557 3,348 2,849 559 3,408 2,888 563 3,451 2,929 567 3,496 3,020 570 3,590 3,045 577 3,622 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 200 4,400 554 5,154 85 4,273 518 4,877 236 4,556 545 5,336 222 4,534 540 5,296 295 4,658 549 5,502 323 4,708 551 5,582 375 4,796 557 5,728 414 4,855 559 5,828 464 4,930 563 5,957 514 5,004 567 6,085 558 5,063 568 6,189 713 5,259 574 6,546 830 5,418 582 6,829 -1,980 -1,843 -2,115 -2,175 -2,260 -2,336 -2,410 -2,480 -2,549 -2,635 -2,693 -2,956 -3,208 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 744 730 Egyptian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 870 814 780 799 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 793 799 799 802 803 803 802 799 795 9.38 9.46 9.62 9.79 10.16 10.40 7,523 1,271 8,794 7,589 1,272 8,861 7,726 1,273 8,999 7,846 1,277 9,123 8,115 1,287 9,401 8,267 1,295 9,562 8.05 8.56 8.71 8.81 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 8.93 9.10 9.27 7,000 1,436 8,436 6,967 1,236 8,203 6,792 1,273 8,065 7,038 1,268 8,306 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,082 7,277 7,408 1,272 1,267 1,270 8,354 8,544 8,677 10,100 2,500 1,236 13,836 9,527 2,735 1,273 13,535 9,564 2,718 1,268 13,549 9,844 2,804 1,272 13,921 10,048 2,840 1,267 14,155 10,382 2,909 1,270 14,560 10,708 2,965 1,271 14,943 11,047 3,023 1,272 15,341 11,386 3,080 1,273 15,738 11,771 3,147 1,277 16,195 12,153 3,210 1,281 16,644 13,333 3,406 1,291 18,030 13,951 3,550 1,304 18,805 -5,400 -5,331 -5,484 -5,615 -5,801 -6,016 -6,266 -6,547 -6,877 -7,196 -7,521 -8,629 -9,243 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 38 European Union Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 8,045 8,532 8,583 8,613 (Thousand Hectares) 8,679 8,737 8,743 8,764 8,781 8,788 8,789 8,823 8,840 6.82 6.94 6.98 7.02 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 7.05 7.09 7.14 7.18 7.21 7.26 7.31 7.43 7.51 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 54,843 3,959 58,802 59,175 3,802 62,977 59,918 3,649 63,566 60,438 3,714 64,152 (Thousand Metric Tons) 61,191 61,969 62,412 3,800 3,913 4,028 64,991 65,881 66,440 62,883 4,089 66,972 63,339 4,144 67,482 63,803 4,191 67,993 64,217 4,245 68,462 65,555 4,381 69,936 66,406 4,457 70,864 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 43,500 15,000 3,802 62,302 46,046 15,561 3,649 65,256 46,141 15,936 3,714 65,791 46,123 16,454 3,800 66,377 46,229 16,990 3,913 67,132 46,410 17,539 4,028 67,977 46,429 18,008 4,089 68,525 46,418 18,470 4,144 69,032 46,395 18,923 4,191 69,509 46,389 19,364 4,245 69,998 46,406 19,762 4,289 70,458 46,400 21,042 4,420 71,862 46,723 21,492 4,536 72,751 -3,500 -2,279 -2,225 -2,225 -2,141 -2,096 -2,085 -2,060 -2,026 -2,005 -1,996 -1,926 -1,887 12,482 12,874 13,096 13,134 (Thousand Hectares) 13,216 13,289 13,283 13,296 13,304 13,293 13,275 13,282 13,274 4.28 4.38 4.42 4.45 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.47 4.51 4.54 4.57 4.60 4.63 4.67 4.76 4.81 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 53,438 14,878 68,316 56,377 4,366 60,743 57,857 3,939 61,796 58,409 4,235 62,645 (Thousand Metric Tons) 59,131 59,894 60,336 4,391 4,617 4,829 63,522 64,511 65,164 60,774 4,967 65,741 61,195 5,078 66,273 61,614 5,183 66,797 61,989 5,293 67,282 63,177 5,564 68,741 63,894 5,766 69,660 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 44,000 15,500 4,366 63,866 40,260 14,246 3,939 58,445 40,702 14,758 4,235 59,695 40,908 15,026 4,391 60,326 41,276 15,369 4,617 61,261 41,629 15,686 4,829 62,144 41,915 15,935 4,967 62,817 42,108 16,132 5,078 63,318 42,295 16,329 5,183 63,808 42,484 16,524 5,293 64,302 42,651 16,688 5,383 64,723 43,195 17,157 5,667 66,019 43,611 17,417 5,860 66,888 4,450 2,298 2,101 2,319 2,261 2,367 2,348 2,424 2,465 2,495 2,559 2,722 2,772 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 39 Indian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 8,200 8,605 8,031 8,067 (Thousand Hectares) 7,946 7,897 7,798 7,719 7,664 7,627 7,568 7,433 7,351 2.34 2.36 2.39 2.42 2.48 2.53 2.44 2.35 2.35 2.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.31 2.31 2.31 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 20,000 671 20,671 20,240 871 21,111 18,851 976 19,827 18,809 998 19,807 (Thousand Metric Tons) 18,338 18,212 18,026 1,018 1,027 1,046 19,356 19,239 19,072 18,042 1,063 19,105 18,120 1,079 19,200 18,243 1,093 19,337 18,330 1,110 19,440 18,468 1,150 19,619 18,607 1,176 19,783 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 8,000 9,800 871 18,671 8,328 9,947 976 19,252 8,388 9,956 998 19,342 8,593 10,151 1,018 19,762 8,747 10,309 1,027 20,084 8,973 10,511 1,046 20,531 9,195 10,683 1,063 20,940 9,406 10,826 1,079 21,312 9,615 10,989 1,093 21,698 9,848 11,145 1,110 22,103 10,080 11,309 1,125 22,514 10,665 11,791 1,163 23,620 10,962 12,070 1,191 24,224 2,000 1,859 486 45 -728 -1,291 -1,869 -2,206 -2,498 -2,766 -3,074 -4,001 -4,441 7,500 7,752 7,544 7,796 (Thousand Hectares) 7,650 7,788 7,738 7,771 7,799 7,854 7,819 7,899 7,944 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.98 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 0.98 0.99 0.98 1.00 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.06 1.08 7,783 201 7,984 7,954 203 8,157 7,989 205 8,194 8,043 208 8,250 8,371 213 8,585 8,591 217 8,808 Yield Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 7,500 246 7,746 7,711 196 7,907 7,488 196 7,684 7,670 193 7,863 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,529 7,675 7,603 196 196 199 7,725 7,871 7,803 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,500 6,000 196 7,696 1,568 6,019 196 7,784 1,505 6,375 193 8,073 1,585 6,314 196 8,095 1,577 6,452 196 8,225 1,637 6,406 199 8,242 1,657 6,474 201 8,332 1,692 6,520 203 8,415 1,724 6,568 205 8,497 1,767 6,598 208 8,573 1,797 6,651 210 8,658 1,895 6,743 215 8,853 1,945 6,824 220 8,988 50 123 -389 -232 -500 -371 -529 -431 -340 -378 -407 -268 -181 Net Trade Indonesian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 3,150 2,960 2,813 2,871 (Thousand Hectares) 2,868 2,896 2,878 2,866 2,850 2,823 2,801 2,722 2,691 2.67 2.76 2.81 2.87 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.92 2.98 3.03 3.06 3.06 3.11 3.16 3.24 3.30 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,366 8,620 8,733 862 866 878 9,228 9,487 9,611 8,776 887 9,663 8,724 896 9,620 8,775 903 9,679 8,848 912 9,760 8,823 933 9,757 8,870 948 9,818 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 8,400 459 8,859 8,157 409 8,566 7,919 771 8,689 8,230 838 9,069 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,700 4,500 409 9,609 4,487 4,603 771 9,860 4,530 4,578 838 9,946 4,635 4,609 862 10,106 4,719 4,619 866 10,205 4,814 4,663 878 10,355 4,900 4,699 887 10,486 4,980 4,726 896 10,603 5,047 4,760 903 10,710 5,143 4,793 912 10,848 5,217 4,830 920 10,967 5,389 4,937 941 11,267 5,451 4,961 960 11,372 -750 -1,294 -1,256 -1,037 -977 -869 -875 -940 -1,090 -1,170 -1,206 -1,510 -1,555 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 40 Israeli Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Sorghum Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Barley Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0 63 63 0 53 53 0 66 66 0 64 64 0 64 64 0 64 64 0 65 65 0 65 65 0 66 66 0 68 68 0 69 69 1,250 100 53 1,403 1,079 118 66 1,263 1,053 110 64 1,227 1,065 116 65 1,246 1,058 115 63 1,235 1,063 118 64 1,245 1,067 120 64 1,251 1,071 122 65 1,258 1,073 124 65 1,262 1,077 126 66 1,269 1,084 129 67 1,280 1,095 135 68 1,298 1,108 140 72 1,319 -1,340 -1,210 -1,161 -1,183 -1,170 -1,183 -1,187 -1,194 -1,197 -1,205 -1,214 -1,230 -1,250 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 5 0 50 55 5 1 61 46 5 1 52 50 5 1 56 46 5 0 51 48 5 1 53 46 5 0 51 46 5 0 51 45 5 0 51 45 5 0 51 44 5 0 50 43 5 0 48 43 5 0 48 -50 -61 -50 -56 -50 -53 -51 -51 -50 -50 -49 -48 -48 0 70 70 0 60 60 0 61 61 0 69 69 0 65 65 0 67 67 0 65 65 0 66 66 0 66 66 0 66 66 0 66 66 0 65 65 0 65 65 300 10 60 370 251 10 61 321 298 10 69 378 275 10 65 350 288 11 67 365 281 11 65 357 285 11 66 362 281 11 66 357 282 11 66 358 282 11 66 359 280 11 66 357 279 12 65 356 279 12 67 358 -300 -261 -317 -281 -300 -290 -296 -291 -293 -294 -291 -291 -293 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 16/17 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 65 63 65 63 41 Japanese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1 999 1,000 2 1,000 1,002 2 1,094 1,096 2 1,038 1,040 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2 2 2 1,042 1,038 1,069 1,044 1,040 1,071 2 1,088 1,090 2 1,189 1,191 2 1,222 1,224 2 1,247 1,249 2 1,297 1,300 2 1,340 1,342 11,500 4,600 1,000 17,100 11,322 4,659 1,094 17,075 11,066 4,446 1,038 16,550 11,106 4,501 1,042 16,649 11,070 4,453 1,038 16,561 11,157 4,488 1,069 16,713 11,237 4,661 1,088 16,986 11,299 4,615 1,189 17,103 11,331 4,597 1,222 17,150 11,376 4,591 1,247 17,214 11,446 4,584 1,267 17,297 11,550 4,540 1,318 17,407 11,664 4,528 1,381 17,573 -16,100 -16,073 -15,454 -15,609 -15,518 -15,674 -15,915 -16,013 -15,960 -15,990 -16,047 -16,108 -16,231 0 118 118 0 118 118 0 126 126 0 117 117 0 119 119 0 116 116 0 119 119 0 119 119 0 119 119 0 119 119 0 120 120 0 121 121 0 122 122 1,600 0 118 1,718 1,625 0 126 1,751 1,540 0 117 1,657 1,572 0 119 1,691 1,541 0 116 1,657 1,571 0 119 1,690 1,563 0 119 1,682 1,571 0 119 1,690 1,569 0 119 1,688 1,577 0 120 1,697 1,571 0 120 1,691 1,574 0 122 1,695 1,588 0 125 1,713 -1,600 -1,633 -1,531 -1,574 -1,538 -1,574 -1,563 -1,571 -1,569 -1,578 -1,571 -1,575 -1,591 52 55 62 57 59 58 59 59 59 59 57 Yield 3.46 3.48 3.50 3.52 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.54 3.56 3.58 3.60 3.63 3.65 3.67 3.73 3.77 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 180 428 608 192 408 600 217 343 560 201 397 598 (Thousand Metric Tons) 215 208 211 362 383 384 576 591 595 210 395 605 213 393 606 214 396 611 215 403 618 222 406 628 215 418 633 1,250 300 408 1,958 1,098 282 343 1,723 1,195 293 397 1,886 1,143 285 362 1,790 1,179 290 383 1,852 1,169 288 384 1,841 1,183 289 395 1,867 1,179 286 393 1,859 1,184 286 396 1,866 1,188 285 403 1,876 1,184 283 404 1,870 1,187 279 416 1,881 1,188 277 436 1,901 -1,350 -1,123 -1,326 -1,192 -1,275 -1,250 -1,272 -1,254 -1,259 -1,265 -1,252 -1,253 -1,268 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 26 26 26 26 25 24 24 Corn Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Sorghum Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 61 58 Malaysian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 28 29 27 27 Yield 3.75 3.66 3.69 3.70 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.71 3.72 3.74 3.77 3.79 3.82 3.84 3.88 3.91 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 105 530 635 105 425 530 101 460 561 101 465 566 (Thousand Metric Tons) 100 100 99 472 474 481 572 574 580 98 487 585 98 492 590 98 496 593 97 501 598 95 513 608 94 521 614 2,800 200 425 3,425 2,805 209 460 3,473 2,746 211 465 3,422 2,772 215 472 3,460 2,767 218 474 3,460 2,789 223 481 3,492 2,804 227 487 3,518 2,820 231 492 3,543 2,830 235 496 3,561 2,844 239 501 3,585 2,861 243 506 3,610 2,893 255 517 3,665 2,922 264 527 3,712 -2,790 -2,943 -2,860 -2,894 -2,887 -2,918 -2,938 -2,958 -2,971 -2,991 -3,012 -3,057 -3,098 Corn Area Harvested Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 27 27 42 Mexican Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 7,200 7,041 6,874 6,855 (Thousand Hectares) 6,821 6,759 6,725 6,666 6,630 6,590 6,548 6,444 6,387 3.40 3.41 3.41 3.44 3.52 3.57 3.40 3.38 3.36 3.36 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.36 3.39 3.39 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 24,500 1,809 26,309 23,776 2,959 26,735 23,075 2,861 25,937 23,009 2,796 25,804 (Thousand Metric Tons) 22,951 22,900 22,804 2,811 2,783 2,811 25,761 25,683 25,615 22,688 2,833 25,521 22,582 2,855 25,437 22,479 2,871 25,350 22,549 2,904 25,453 22,682 2,982 25,664 22,831 3,040 25,871 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 15,900 16,200 2,959 35,059 14,654 17,141 2,861 34,656 14,824 16,310 2,796 33,929 14,900 16,937 2,811 34,648 15,175 16,871 2,783 34,829 15,398 17,168 2,811 35,377 15,708 17,256 2,833 35,796 15,992 17,459 2,855 36,306 16,280 17,592 2,871 36,744 16,535 17,725 2,904 37,164 16,811 17,897 2,935 37,642 17,538 18,291 3,010 38,839 17,764 18,477 3,095 39,335 -8,750 -7,921 -7,993 -8,844 -9,068 -9,694 -10,182 -10,785 -11,306 -11,815 -12,189 -13,175 -13,465 1,850 1,863 1,738 1,818 (Thousand Hectares) 1,789 1,831 1,815 1,831 1,831 1,835 1,829 1,828 1,816 3.84 3.77 3.80 3.84 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.86 3.90 3.94 3.98 4.00 4.05 4.08 4.18 4.25 7,282 334 7,616 7,328 341 7,669 7,423 341 7,764 7,471 354 7,825 7,647 368 8,015 7,720 383 8,103 Yield Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Barley Area Harvested 7,100 286 7,386 7,017 486 7,503 6,604 408 7,012 6,975 336 7,310 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,907 7,147 7,157 360 321 340 7,266 7,468 7,497 9,500 100 486 10,086 9,477 105 408 9,990 8,988 104 336 9,428 9,342 106 360 9,808 9,178 106 321 9,604 9,457 108 340 9,905 9,510 108 334 9,953 9,707 110 341 10,158 9,831 111 341 10,283 10,012 113 354 10,479 10,128 114 357 10,598 10,524 118 375 11,016 10,726 121 407 11,254 -2,700 -2,487 -2,416 -2,497 -2,338 -2,437 -2,456 -2,542 -2,614 -2,715 -2,773 -3,002 -3,151 310 289 304 284 (Thousand Hectares) 293 288 289 286 287 285 283 281 276 2.62 2.64 2.66 2.69 2.76 2.81 749 236 985 756 236 992 760 237 997 762 239 1,001 777 242 1,019 777 245 1,022 Yield 2.52 2.47 2.51 2.52 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.55 2.57 2.60 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 781 137 918 716 218 934 764 217 982 717 234 950 (Thousand Metric Tons) 747 739 751 231 234 234 977 973 985 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 150 600 218 968 149 571 217 938 168 642 234 1,043 164 625 231 1,020 171 647 234 1,052 172 651 234 1,056 177 667 236 1,080 179 674 236 1,090 183 686 237 1,107 187 701 239 1,128 190 711 240 1,141 200 748 244 1,192 206 780 249 1,236 -50 -4 -62 -69 -74 -83 -95 -104 -114 -131 -140 -174 -213 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 43 Nigerian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 4,900 5,042 4,901 4,899 (Thousand Hectares) 4,883 4,901 4,895 4,880 4,878 4,880 4,891 4,887 4,864 1.96 1.97 2.00 2.03 2.10 2.14 9,583 177 9,760 9,605 177 9,783 9,763 177 9,940 9,924 177 10,101 10,244 178 10,423 10,420 180 10,601 1.78 1.82 1.85 1.87 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.90 1.92 1.95 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 8,700 275 8,975 9,197 175 9,372 9,074 174 9,248 9,184 174 9,358 (Thousand Metric Tons) 9,258 9,421 9,532 176 175 176 9,434 9,596 9,708 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,400 7,400 175 8,975 1,411 7,501 174 9,086 1,412 7,665 174 9,251 1,413 7,854 176 9,444 1,413 7,974 175 9,562 1,414 8,149 176 9,739 1,415 8,334 177 9,926 1,416 8,494 177 10,088 1,416 8,638 177 10,231 1,416 8,790 177 10,383 1,417 8,956 178 10,551 1,419 9,453 179 11,051 1,423 9,848 182 11,454 0 286 -3 -86 -128 -143 -219 -327 -448 -443 -450 -629 -853 7,600 7,837 7,690 7,768 (Thousand Hectares) 7,721 7,803 7,801 7,828 7,845 7,881 7,912 8,011 8,066 1.54 1.56 1.57 1.58 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.59 1.60 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.69 1.72 12,668 210 12,877 12,748 210 12,958 12,896 209 13,105 13,058 209 13,267 13,545 207 13,752 13,858 208 14,066 Yield Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 11,700 200 11,900 12,204 200 12,404 12,059 209 12,268 12,269 208 12,477 (Thousand Metric Tons) 12,259 12,477 12,560 211 209 210 12,470 12,685 12,770 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 150 11,500 200 11,850 152 11,959 209 12,319 151 12,075 208 12,433 152 12,422 211 12,785 151 12,527 209 12,886 151 12,811 210 13,172 151 13,008 210 13,369 151 13,235 210 13,596 150 13,425 209 13,784 150 13,633 209 13,992 150 13,816 208 14,174 149 14,441 207 14,798 150 14,921 209 15,280 50 84 -165 -308 -416 -487 -599 -719 -827 -887 -907 -1,046 -1,214 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 44 Pakistani Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,050 1,104 1,011 1,071 (Thousand Hectares) 1,048 1,057 1,035 1,024 1,016 1,012 1,004 979 969 3.13 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.20 3.26 3.32 3.34 3.33 3.39 3.45 3.53 3.59 3,424 391 3,815 3,382 391 3,773 3,432 391 3,823 3,459 391 3,850 3,458 391 3,849 3,477 391 3,868 2.86 2.97 3.05 15/16 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,000 381 3,381 3,275 391 3,666 3,087 391 3,478 3,354 391 3,745 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,351 3,447 3,436 391 391 391 3,742 3,838 3,827 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,500 1,500 391 3,391 1,688 1,597 391 3,676 1,529 1,568 391 3,488 1,754 1,610 391 3,755 1,730 1,630 391 3,752 1,789 1,668 391 3,848 1,747 1,699 391 3,837 1,705 1,728 391 3,825 1,635 1,758 391 3,783 1,654 1,788 391 3,833 1,648 1,822 391 3,860 1,547 1,920 391 3,859 1,507 1,981 391 3,878 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 -10 Sorghum Area Harvested 240 245 220 235 211 213 213 215 217 221 227 Yield 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.63 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 0.62 0.64 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.73 0.76 (Thousand Metric Tons) 135 140 139 0 0 0 135 140 139 141 0 141 140 0 140 147 0 147 152 0 152 161 0 161 172 0 172 Net Trade (Thousand Hectares) 216 218 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 145 0 145 150 0 150 137 0 137 147 0 147 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 75 70 0 145 75 73 0 148 73 57 0 130 74 65 0 139 72 61 0 133 73 66 0 140 73 66 0 138 73 66 0 139 72 67 0 140 73 68 0 141 72 69 0 141 72 73 0 145 72 74 0 146 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 160 160 181 176 Net Trade Barley Area Harvested (Thousand Hectares) 190 192 200 205 207 205 206 210 208 2.58 2.55 2.64 2.73 2.81 2.82 529 11 540 529 11 540 541 11 552 561 11 572 590 11 601 587 11 598 Yield 1.66 1.76 1.99 2.09 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.24 2.39 2.57 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 265 11 276 281 11 292 359 11 370 367 11 378 (Thousand Metric Tons) 426 459 514 11 11 11 437 470 525 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 270 11 281 0 286 11 297 0 364 11 375 0 372 11 383 0 431 11 442 0 464 11 475 0 519 11 530 0 534 11 545 0 534 11 545 0 546 11 557 0 566 11 577 0 595 11 606 0 592 11 603 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 45 Philippine Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,650 2,608 2,530 2,569 (Thousand Hectares) 2,563 2,568 2,556 2,548 2,537 2,518 2,504 2,464 2,440 2.81 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.87 2.94 3.02 3.06 3.06 3.12 3.19 3.31 3.39 7,795 847 8,642 7,764 856 8,620 7,864 863 8,726 7,979 872 8,852 8,157 893 9,050 8,270 909 9,180 2.57 2.67 2.74 15/16 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,800 559 7,359 6,960 759 7,719 6,937 818 7,755 7,213 816 8,030 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,345 7,559 7,707 827 827 839 8,171 8,386 8,545 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,000 1,900 759 7,659 5,431 2,035 818 8,284 5,652 2,014 816 8,482 5,884 2,062 827 8,772 6,016 2,089 827 8,932 6,156 2,142 839 9,137 6,271 2,190 847 9,308 6,373 2,230 856 9,459 6,484 2,271 863 9,618 6,608 2,317 872 9,797 6,705 2,359 880 9,944 6,967 2,488 901 10,357 7,142 2,569 921 10,633 -300 -565 -727 -743 -760 -751 -762 -816 -998 -1,070 -1,092 -1,307 -1,453 15/16 Net Trade Russian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,150 1,161 1,102 1,119 (Thousand Hectares) 1,110 1,114 1,110 1,110 1,106 1,104 1,102 1,099 1,097 2.61 2.70 2.69 2.70 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.69 2.68 2.67 2.62 2.56 2.53 2.53 2.57 2.60 2,913 146 3,058 2,832 149 2,981 2,798 151 2,949 2,790 154 2,944 2,823 160 2,983 2,858 162 3,021 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,000 137 3,137 3,130 112 3,242 2,968 128 3,096 3,017 128 3,145 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,980 2,983 2,965 133 136 142 3,113 3,119 3,107 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,500 500 112 4,112 3,794 567 128 4,489 3,646 566 128 4,341 3,573 568 133 4,274 3,498 567 136 4,201 3,464 569 142 4,174 3,440 569 146 4,155 3,431 569 149 4,148 3,427 567 151 4,146 3,432 567 154 4,153 3,443 566 157 4,165 3,497 561 161 4,219 3,531 557 165 4,253 -975 -1,247 -1,245 -1,128 -1,088 -1,056 -1,048 -1,090 -1,165 -1,204 -1,221 -1,237 -1,233 7,200 8,147 8,514 8,555 (Thousand Hectares) 8,802 8,951 9,012 9,014 9,060 9,198 9,118 9,232 9,283 2.16 2.21 2.27 2.32 2.47 2.56 Net Trade Barley Area Harvested 1.18 1.93 2.00 1.98 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.03 2.07 2.12 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 8,500 2,088 10,588 15,743 938 16,681 17,004 747 17,751 16,980 990 17,971 (Thousand Metric Tons) 17,856 18,488 19,068 935 1,030 1,064 18,790 19,519 20,133 19,469 1,121 20,590 20,066 1,139 21,205 20,849 1,166 22,015 21,149 1,196 22,345 22,817 1,233 24,050 23,728 1,253 24,981 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6,000 4,000 938 10,938 10,967 3,948 747 15,661 11,687 4,025 990 16,703 11,418 4,006 935 16,358 11,298 4,022 1,030 16,351 11,166 4,026 1,064 16,257 11,119 4,026 1,121 16,267 11,077 4,023 1,139 16,240 11,069 4,015 1,166 16,249 11,099 4,016 1,196 16,310 11,109 4,000 1,210 16,320 11,287 3,981 1,252 16,520 11,386 3,964 1,285 16,635 -350 1,019 1,048 1,612 2,440 3,262 3,866 4,350 4,956 5,705 6,025 7,530 8,346 Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 46 Saudi Arabian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Barley Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 2,578 2,578 0 2,053 2,053 0 2,191 2,191 0 2,336 2,336 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 2,286 2,331 2,332 2,286 2,331 2,332 0 2,354 2,354 0 2,356 2,356 0 2,365 2,365 0 2,379 2,379 0 2,387 2,387 0 2,404 2,404 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 7,500 25 2,053 9,578 7,199 20 2,191 9,410 7,574 30 2,336 9,939 7,463 27 2,286 9,776 7,594 30 2,331 9,955 7,600 30 2,332 9,962 7,666 32 2,354 10,053 7,685 33 2,356 10,073 7,729 34 2,365 10,128 7,773 35 2,379 10,187 7,796 36 2,381 10,212 7,906 38 2,402 10,347 7,992 41 2,430 10,464 -7,000 -7,357 -7,748 -7,441 -7,669 -7,631 -7,721 -7,719 -7,773 -7,822 -7,834 -7,960 -8,060 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 47 South African Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 3,000 3,078 2,799 2,930 (Thousand Hectares) 2,882 2,920 2,891 2,883 2,869 2,856 2,834 2,755 2,705 4.54 4.55 4.60 4.65 4.75 4.83 4.17 4.11 4.18 4.26 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.32 4.39 4.47 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 12,500 5,538 18,038 12,654 5,163 17,817 11,712 5,241 16,953 12,477 5,214 17,691 (Thousand Metric Tons) 12,457 12,827 12,911 5,229 5,215 5,237 17,686 18,042 18,148 13,096 5,254 18,350 13,041 5,271 18,312 13,132 5,284 18,416 13,175 5,306 18,481 13,098 5,355 18,453 13,059 5,395 18,455 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,600 5,800 5,163 15,563 4,762 5,855 5,241 15,859 4,783 5,755 5,214 15,752 4,941 5,763 5,229 15,934 5,026 5,728 5,215 15,970 5,149 5,754 5,237 16,139 5,255 5,778 5,254 16,287 5,361 5,804 5,271 16,437 5,454 5,821 5,284 16,559 5,549 5,846 5,306 16,701 5,657 5,876 5,325 16,858 5,938 5,937 5,375 17,250 6,071 5,997 5,432 17,500 2,475 1,958 1,201 1,758 1,716 1,903 1,861 1,913 1,754 1,715 1,623 1,204 955 90 94 89 96 Yield Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested (Thousand Hectares) 93 95 94 96 96 96 97 99 100 2.94 2.96 3.02 3.09 3.26 3.38 281 53 334 283 53 336 291 53 344 300 53 353 322 53 375 339 53 392 Yield 2.56 2.63 2.68 2.74 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.77 2.83 2.89 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 230 58 288 247 53 300 239 53 292 262 53 315 (Thousand Metric Tons) 256 269 272 53 53 53 309 322 325 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 25 175 53 253 20 186 53 258 17 176 53 245 19 181 53 253 18 176 53 247 19 179 53 251 19 179 53 250 19 181 53 253 19 181 53 254 20 183 53 256 20 184 53 257 21 188 53 262 22 192 53 268 35 42 47 62 63 71 75 81 82 88 95 113 124 85 81 91 83 Net Trade Barley Area Harvested (Thousand Hectares) 87 85 86 86 86 86 86 87 87 3.02 3.02 3.07 3.13 3.26 3.35 259 104 363 260 104 364 263 104 368 268 105 373 282 105 387 290 105 395 Yield 2.65 2.72 2.81 2.82 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.87 2.93 2.99 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 225 104 329 222 104 326 254 102 356 236 105 340 (Thousand Metric Tons) 250 249 258 103 104 104 353 352 362 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 15 285 104 404 5 278 102 385 15 282 105 402 10 278 103 391 14 279 104 397 12 278 104 394 14 279 104 397 13 279 104 396 14 279 104 397 14 280 105 398 14 280 105 398 15 280 105 400 15 280 106 401 -75 -59 -46 -51 -44 -42 -35 -33 -34 -31 -25 -13 -6 Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 48 South Korean Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16 16 17 17 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Hectares) 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 5.52 5.54 5.58 5.68 5.96 6.15 93 1,623 1,715 93 1,664 1,758 94 1,698 1,792 96 1,762 1,858 100 1,610 1,710 103 1,615 1,718 5.00 5.09 5.15 5.23 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.32 5.42 5.47 80 1,592 1,672 84 1,572 1,656 86 1,551 1,637 88 1,546 1,634 (Thousand Metric Tons) 89 91 92 1,555 1,554 1,590 1,645 1,645 1,682 7,000 2,100 1,572 10,672 7,047 2,167 1,551 10,765 7,198 2,102 1,546 10,846 7,409 2,119 1,555 11,084 7,643 2,118 1,554 11,315 7,811 2,127 1,590 11,528 7,930 2,126 1,623 11,679 8,017 2,125 1,664 11,807 8,091 2,125 1,698 11,914 8,152 2,125 1,762 12,039 8,101 2,121 1,734 11,957 8,043 2,116 1,610 11,768 7,942 2,106 1,626 11,675 -9,000 -9,109 -9,209 -9,450 -9,670 -9,883 -9,997 -10,092 -10,156 -10,248 -10,099 -10,058 -9,957 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Taiwanese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Barley Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 10 12 11 11 5.30 5.42 5.50 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 5.59 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.67 5.76 5.79 5.80 5.82 5.91 6.01 6.24 6.40 (Thousand Metric Tons) 63 64 63 522 535 584 584 599 647 62 627 689 61 666 727 61 697 758 61 736 797 62 825 886 62 879 941 53 577 630 67 530 597 60 509 570 63 483 546 4,650 150 530 5,330 5,800 151 509 6,460 6,340 144 483 6,967 6,541 148 522 7,211 6,517 147 535 7,198 6,536 150 584 7,270 6,529 152 627 7,308 6,512 153 666 7,332 6,490 154 697 7,341 6,497 156 736 7,389 6,502 157 772 7,431 6,478 210 852 7,540 6,496 260 922 7,679 -4,700 -5,863 -6,398 -6,664 -6,614 -6,671 -6,661 -6,642 -6,614 -6,631 -6,634 -6,654 -6,737 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 30 0 75 29 21 0 50 55 30 0 85 47 27 0 74 53 30 0 83 51 30 0 81 53 31 0 85 52 31 0 84 53 32 0 85 54 33 0 86 53 33 0 86 53 34 0 87 54 35 0 89 -75 -50 -85 -74 -83 -81 -85 -84 -85 -86 -86 -87 -89 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 Thai Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Corn Area Harvested 970 1,020 962 1,009 (Thousand Hectares) 1,017 1,022 1,017 1,022 1,027 1,028 1,028 1,014 1,016 Yield 4.02 4.10 4.15 4.20 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.25 4.30 4.35 4.39 4.42 4.47 4.52 4.64 4.72 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,900 551 4,451 4,179 351 4,530 3,996 351 4,346 4,244 343 4,588 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4,320 4,395 4,431 345 345 351 4,665 4,740 4,781 4,492 355 4,847 4,538 359 4,897 4,593 362 4,955 4,645 367 5,012 4,701 378 5,079 4,795 385 5,181 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,000 100 351 4,451 3,758 105 351 4,213 3,881 101 343 4,325 4,033 101 345 4,479 4,156 101 345 4,602 4,249 102 351 4,701 4,328 102 355 4,785 4,406 102 359 4,866 4,503 102 362 4,968 4,612 102 367 5,081 4,713 103 371 5,187 4,987 104 381 5,472 5,105 104 392 5,601 0 317 21 109 63 39 -4 -20 -70 -126 -175 -393 -420 15/16 Net Trade 15/16 Ukrainian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,600 2,766 2,680 2,723 (Thousand Hectares) 2,723 2,743 2,746 2,751 2,754 2,756 2,757 2,753 2,747 5.42 5.45 5.51 5.56 5.67 5.73 14,915 933 15,848 15,003 950 15,954 15,176 963 16,139 15,325 977 16,302 15,604 1,007 16,610 15,756 1,024 16,780 4.42 5.01 5.08 5.15 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.21 5.29 5.36 11,500 744 12,244 13,851 754 14,605 13,624 808 14,432 14,019 831 14,849 (Thousand Metric Tons) 14,193 14,519 14,726 865 887 912 15,058 15,405 15,638 5,300 700 754 6,754 5,475 732 808 7,015 5,468 694 831 6,993 5,568 707 865 7,141 5,652 695 887 7,234 5,765 702 912 7,379 5,874 699 933 7,505 5,987 703 950 7,639 6,125 701 963 7,789 6,272 705 977 7,954 6,418 706 989 8,113 6,803 715 1,015 8,533 6,991 721 1,037 8,748 5,490 7,590 7,439 7,708 7,824 8,027 8,133 8,208 8,164 8,185 8,189 8,078 8,031 4,500 4,471 4,654 4,645 (Thousand Hectares) 4,663 4,634 4,634 4,631 4,632 4,636 4,633 4,646 4,650 2.68 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.73 2.74 2.79 2.81 2.84 2.87 2.89 2.98 3.04 (Thousand Metric Tons) 12,740 12,707 12,909 993 1,042 1,070 13,733 13,749 13,979 13,010 1,098 14,108 13,175 1,117 14,292 13,316 1,133 14,449 13,407 1,149 14,556 13,866 1,178 15,045 14,113 1,195 15,308 2.00 2.47 2.71 9,000 1,008 10,008 11,056 513 11,569 12,605 792 13,397 12,447 945 13,391 4,100 1,400 513 6,013 4,040 1,479 792 6,311 4,216 1,508 945 6,669 4,284 1,509 993 6,785 4,425 1,514 1,042 6,981 4,525 1,518 1,070 7,112 4,644 1,515 1,098 7,256 4,744 1,515 1,117 7,376 4,874 1,510 1,133 7,518 5,005 1,511 1,149 7,665 5,126 1,503 1,160 7,789 5,459 1,495 1,188 8,142 5,617 1,486 1,207 8,311 3,995 5,258 6,728 6,606 6,752 6,636 6,723 6,731 6,774 6,784 6,767 6,903 6,998 World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 50 Vietnamese Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,200 1,189 1,151 1,162 (Thousand Hectares) 1,160 1,161 1,154 1,154 1,158 1,157 1,158 1,146 1,137 4.58 4.58 4.68 4.77 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.86 4.96 5.05 5.11 5.15 5.24 5.32 5.48 5.59 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 5,500 899 6,399 5,452 1,099 6,551 5,383 1,099 6,482 5,547 1,099 6,646 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,635 5,756 5,829 1,099 1,099 1,099 6,734 6,855 6,928 5,899 1,099 6,998 5,958 1,099 7,057 6,061 1,099 7,160 6,157 1,099 7,256 6,282 1,099 7,381 6,362 1,099 7,461 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,300 1,300 1,099 7,699 5,129 1,353 1,099 7,581 5,154 1,363 1,099 7,616 5,254 1,382 1,099 7,735 5,365 1,397 1,099 7,861 5,506 1,420 1,099 8,025 5,658 1,437 1,099 8,195 5,812 1,450 1,099 8,361 5,959 1,465 1,099 8,523 6,108 1,480 1,099 8,687 6,259 1,496 1,099 8,854 6,708 1,545 1,099 9,352 6,942 1,583 1,099 9,624 -1,300 -1,030 -1,134 -1,089 -1,127 -1,171 -1,267 -1,363 -1,466 -1,528 -1,597 -1,971 -2,163 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 51 Other African Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 21,692 22,467 22,332 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 22,095 (Thousand Hectares) 22,323 22,422 22,500 22,530 22,629 22,734 22,778 22,986 23,004 1.62 1.63 1.65 1.67 1.72 1.76 1.53 1.49 1.52 1.54 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.55 1.58 1.60 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 33,255 4,128 37,383 33,574 4,800 38,374 33,842 4,113 37,956 33,922 4,104 38,026 (Thousand Metric Tons) 34,697 35,379 36,004 4,126 4,124 4,143 38,823 39,503 40,147 36,418 4,156 40,574 36,898 4,167 41,065 37,559 4,175 41,734 38,081 4,188 42,269 39,591 4,221 43,812 40,421 4,247 44,668 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,547 31,061 4,800 41,407 5,748 33,028 4,113 42,890 5,693 32,638 4,104 42,435 5,998 33,480 4,126 43,604 6,122 33,811 4,124 44,057 6,381 34,434 4,143 44,958 6,588 34,986 4,156 45,730 6,822 35,537 4,167 46,525 7,028 36,030 4,175 47,233 7,251 36,533 4,188 47,972 7,487 37,097 4,200 48,784 8,148 38,593 4,234 50,975 8,466 39,607 4,270 52,343 -3,835 -4,516 -4,479 -5,578 -5,234 -5,454 -5,582 -5,951 -6,168 -6,238 -6,515 -7,163 -7,675 3,689 3,570 3,851 3,747 (Thousand Hectares) 3,828 3,766 3,820 3,819 3,841 3,842 3,869 3,923 3,985 1.28 1.30 1.32 1.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.35 1.36 1.38 1.39 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.49 1.52 5,320 1,120 6,440 5,411 1,121 6,532 5,472 1,125 6,598 5,568 1,133 6,701 5,826 1,142 6,968 6,037 1,156 7,193 Yield Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 4,741 2,002 6,743 4,640 1,262 5,902 5,079 1,056 6,135 4,985 1,113 6,098 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,158 5,128 5,265 1,091 1,109 1,109 6,249 6,238 6,374 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,748 3,404 1,262 8,414 2,857 3,425 1,056 7,338 3,300 3,635 1,113 8,048 3,223 3,660 1,091 7,973 3,433 3,789 1,109 8,331 3,483 3,859 1,109 8,451 3,627 3,959 1,120 8,706 3,708 4,035 1,121 8,863 3,824 4,129 1,125 9,078 3,935 4,223 1,133 9,290 4,029 4,305 1,135 9,469 4,355 4,588 1,152 10,095 4,498 4,782 1,172 10,452 -1,675 -1,437 -1,912 -1,875 -2,083 -2,213 -2,332 -2,423 -2,546 -2,693 -2,768 -3,128 -3,259 17,082 19,481 18,678 19,342 (Thousand Hectares) 18,903 19,296 19,058 19,238 19,233 19,306 19,239 19,387 19,395 1.06 1.08 1.11 1.13 1.18 1.21 Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested 0.95 0.93 0.96 0.98 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.00 1.02 1.05 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 16,253 680 16,933 18,201 827 19,028 17,900 856 18,755 19,013 830 19,843 (Thousand Metric Tons) 18,837 19,682 19,950 854 841 857 19,691 20,523 20,807 20,429 857 21,287 20,851 864 21,715 21,494 866 22,360 21,682 875 22,557 22,785 888 23,672 23,481 901 24,382 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,824 14,763 827 17,414 1,896 17,226 856 19,978 1,897 16,891 830 19,619 1,998 17,724 854 20,576 2,028 17,827 841 20,697 2,121 18,423 857 21,401 2,176 18,706 857 21,740 2,250 19,180 864 22,293 2,314 19,575 866 22,754 2,393 20,039 875 23,307 2,458 20,450 878 23,786 2,671 21,776 894 25,342 2,787 22,742 916 26,445 -687 -949 -863 -733 -1,005 -878 -932 -1,006 -1,040 -947 -1,229 -1,669 -2,063 Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 52 Other American Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 5,480 5,658 5,219 5,464 (Thousand Hectares) 5,349 5,406 5,355 5,359 5,332 5,321 5,295 5,205 5,149 2.58 2.60 2.63 2.66 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.69 2.72 2.76 2.78 2.79 2.82 2.85 2.92 2.97 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 14,162 3,301 17,463 14,699 3,309 18,008 13,737 3,255 16,992 14,543 3,195 17,739 (Thousand Metric Tons) 14,367 14,718 14,763 3,227 3,226 3,263 17,594 17,944 18,026 14,883 3,287 18,170 14,860 3,308 18,168 15,015 3,324 18,339 15,108 3,359 18,467 15,198 3,436 18,634 15,274 3,492 18,766 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 18,782 6,959 3,309 29,051 18,709 7,670 3,255 29,634 18,520 7,467 3,195 29,182 19,160 7,732 3,227 30,119 19,454 7,812 3,226 30,492 19,986 8,021 3,263 31,270 20,423 8,166 3,287 31,876 20,850 8,311 3,308 32,469 21,256 8,457 3,324 33,037 21,705 8,639 3,359 33,703 22,117 8,798 3,390 34,305 23,363 9,278 3,463 36,103 23,987 9,644 3,549 37,180 -11,559 -11,626 -12,191 -12,380 -12,898 -13,326 -13,850 -14,299 -14,869 -15,364 -15,838 -17,469 -18,413 Barley Area Harvested 445 420 486 436 450 448 451 451 450 458 459 Yield 1.95 1.98 2.02 2.03 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.06 2.08 2.11 2.11 2.12 2.15 2.18 2.24 2.28 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 866 124 990 830 124 954 981 115 1,097 885 123 1,008 (Thousand Metric Tons) 944 924 948 121 123 123 1,064 1,047 1,072 946 124 1,070 958 124 1,083 970 125 1,095 980 126 1,106 1,026 127 1,153 1,046 128 1,175 113 1,519 124 1,755 105 1,494 115 1,715 119 1,622 123 1,863 117 1,627 121 1,864 123 1,696 123 1,942 124 1,732 123 1,980 127 1,786 124 2,038 129 1,825 124 2,079 131 1,876 125 2,132 134 1,930 126 2,190 136 1,975 126 2,237 142 2,131 128 2,401 145 2,248 130 2,524 -756 -761 -766 -856 -878 -932 -967 -1,008 -1,049 -1,095 -1,131 -1,248 -1,349 1,528 1,591 1,395 1,540 (Thousand Hectares) 1,468 1,517 1,483 1,487 1,468 1,465 1,456 1,431 1,420 2.23 2.24 2.26 2.28 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.30 2.32 2.35 2.37 2.39 2.43 2.46 2.53 2.58 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,406 221 3,627 3,560 335 3,895 3,157 382 3,539 3,513 386 3,900 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,371 3,525 3,491 395 392 398 3,766 3,918 3,888 3,531 400 3,931 3,510 403 3,913 3,553 405 3,958 3,577 409 3,986 3,621 415 4,036 3,665 420 4,084 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,628 413 335 4,376 3,823 448 382 4,653 3,840 447 386 4,674 3,968 471 395 4,834 3,995 482 392 4,869 4,113 504 398 5,015 4,202 521 400 5,123 4,312 541 403 5,256 4,403 561 405 5,369 4,500 581 409 5,490 4,577 600 411 5,587 4,824 662 417 5,904 4,943 707 424 6,074 -749 -759 -1,135 -934 -1,104 -1,097 -1,234 -1,325 -1,455 -1,532 -1,601 -1,867 -1,990 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 459 445 53 Other Asian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization Corn Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 3,631 3,986 3,850 3,933 (Thousand Hectares) 3,899 3,910 3,899 3,901 3,898 3,899 3,898 3,892 3,894 4.14 4.15 4.19 4.23 4.30 4.35 3.84 3.92 3.97 4.01 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 4.04 4.08 4.12 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 13,949 3,930 17,879 15,637 3,327 18,964 15,271 3,327 18,598 15,755 3,327 19,082 (Thousand Metric Tons) 15,734 15,964 16,073 3,327 3,327 3,327 19,061 19,291 19,400 16,141 3,327 19,468 16,187 3,327 19,514 16,351 3,327 19,678 16,490 3,327 19,817 16,749 3,327 20,076 16,957 3,327 20,284 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16,373 7,970 3,327 27,670 17,107 8,377 3,327 28,811 17,694 8,335 3,327 29,356 18,387 8,529 3,327 30,243 19,030 8,608 3,327 30,965 19,700 8,753 3,327 31,780 20,355 8,864 3,327 32,545 20,992 8,982 3,327 33,301 21,609 9,089 3,327 34,024 22,221 9,201 3,327 34,749 22,832 9,310 3,327 35,468 24,581 9,605 3,327 37,513 25,292 9,805 3,327 38,424 -9,005 -9,847 -10,758 -11,161 -11,904 -12,488 -13,145 -13,833 -14,510 -15,071 -15,652 -17,437 -18,140 11,044 10,697 11,428 10,677 (Thousand Hectares) 11,021 10,800 10,892 10,833 10,873 10,832 10,807 10,822 10,781 1.48 1.51 1.53 1.53 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.55 1.57 1.60 1.61 1.62 1.65 1.67 1.71 1.74 17,442 3,213 20,655 17,641 3,221 20,861 17,848 3,245 21,094 18,019 3,277 21,296 18,551 3,323 21,875 18,797 3,375 22,172 Yield Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 16,394 3,145 19,539 16,107 3,315 19,422 17,488 2,924 20,412 16,365 3,175 19,540 (Thousand Metric Tons) 17,103 16,984 17,414 3,091 3,167 3,170 20,194 20,151 20,584 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 13,307 5,100 3,315 21,722 13,784 4,921 2,924 21,629 15,371 5,280 3,175 23,827 15,415 5,209 3,091 23,715 16,331 5,372 3,167 24,870 16,752 5,408 3,170 25,329 17,429 5,508 3,213 26,150 17,906 5,561 3,221 26,687 18,512 5,647 3,245 27,403 19,095 5,730 3,277 28,102 19,574 5,788 3,291 28,654 21,205 6,016 3,360 30,581 21,850 6,158 3,426 31,433 -2,293 -2,207 -3,415 -4,175 -4,676 -5,179 -5,567 -6,033 -6,542 -7,008 -7,358 -8,706 -9,261 1,115 1,208 1,105 1,176 (Thousand Hectares) 1,128 1,154 1,134 1,143 1,136 1,137 1,135 1,145 1,153 2.43 2.46 2.50 2.54 2.63 2.70 Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested 2.24 2.29 2.31 2.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.34 2.37 2.40 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,504 291 2,795 2,762 231 2,993 2,554 275 2,829 2,741 262 3,002 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,638 2,737 2,727 280 273 285 2,918 3,010 3,013 2,775 287 3,062 2,791 293 3,084 2,844 297 3,141 2,882 303 3,185 3,011 310 3,321 3,109 317 3,426 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 219 2,309 231 2,758 323 2,421 275 3,019 277 2,299 262 2,838 327 2,428 280 3,034 312 2,385 273 2,970 340 2,458 285 3,083 343 2,462 287 3,092 361 2,505 293 3,159 372 2,530 297 3,199 385 2,564 303 3,252 392 2,577 305 3,274 415 2,625 313 3,353 423 2,664 324 3,412 25 -26 -10 -32 -53 -73 -79 -97 -114 -111 -89 -32 14 Yield Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 54 Other European Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 3,692 3,722 3,691 3,710 (Thousand Hectares) 3,703 3,705 3,701 3,699 3,698 3,696 3,695 3,691 3,689 5.22 5.32 5.36 5.39 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 5.43 5.49 5.53 5.55 5.57 5.62 5.66 5.75 5.81 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 19,289 2,320 21,609 19,785 1,850 21,635 19,763 1,806 21,569 19,997 1,793 21,790 (Thousand Metric Tons) 20,123 20,330 20,467 1,797 1,798 1,805 21,920 22,127 22,272 20,519 1,811 22,331 20,608 1,817 22,424 20,782 1,820 22,603 20,928 1,826 22,754 21,224 1,838 23,062 21,431 1,847 23,278 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 15,289 1,600 1,850 18,739 17,227 1,668 1,806 20,701 16,689 1,637 1,793 20,119 17,211 1,666 1,797 20,674 17,336 1,664 1,798 20,798 17,724 1,681 1,805 21,210 17,970 1,690 1,811 21,472 18,168 1,703 1,817 21,688 18,325 1,712 1,820 21,858 18,507 1,723 1,826 22,056 18,649 1,735 1,831 22,214 19,111 1,764 1,842 22,718 19,300 1,785 1,854 22,939 2,860 933 1,451 1,116 1,123 917 800 643 566 547 540 344 339 1,196 1,211 1,226 1,221 (Thousand Hectares) 1,224 1,222 1,222 1,221 1,221 1,221 1,220 1,221 1,220 2.83 3.18 3.23 3.24 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.28 3.31 3.34 3.36 3.38 3.41 3.44 3.53 3.58 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,380 505 3,885 3,852 445 4,297 3,958 467 4,425 3,956 482 4,438 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4,012 4,039 4,083 485 488 489 4,497 4,528 4,572 4,103 491 4,594 4,131 492 4,623 4,166 492 4,659 4,204 493 4,698 4,304 495 4,798 4,363 496 4,859 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,431 1,194 445 4,070 2,644 1,175 467 4,287 2,923 1,191 482 4,596 2,891 1,190 485 4,566 2,985 1,199 488 4,672 3,002 1,204 489 4,696 3,052 1,211 491 4,754 3,063 1,215 492 4,770 3,086 1,220 492 4,799 3,108 1,226 493 4,827 3,112 1,230 494 4,835 3,159 1,242 495 4,897 3,178 1,251 497 4,926 -193 10 -171 -128 -175 -168 -182 -176 -176 -168 -137 -99 -67 Sorghum Area Harvested 129 159 163 165 164 165 164 164 164 164 164 Yield 5.51 3.97 3.95 3.95 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.98 4.01 4.05 4.07 4.09 4.14 4.17 4.24 4.31 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 711 18 729 632 28 660 645 28 673 651 27 678 (Thousand Metric Tons) 655 661 666 27 27 28 682 688 693 669 28 697 672 28 700 680 28 709 686 28 715 698 29 727 710 29 739 1,001 10 28 1,039 1,067 10 28 1,105 1,084 10 27 1,121 1,105 10 27 1,142 1,115 10 27 1,152 1,129 10 28 1,166 1,138 10 28 1,176 1,147 10 28 1,184 1,152 10 28 1,190 1,157 10 28 1,195 1,161 10 29 1,200 1,177 10 29 1,216 1,181 10 30 1,221 -309 -445 -449 -464 -470 -478 -483 -488 -490 -486 -485 -489 -482 Corn Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 165 165 55 Other Oceanian Coarse Grain Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 Yield 8.98 9.19 9.34 9.47 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 9.61 9.77 9.93 10.08 10.22 10.42 10.59 11.04 11.34 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 186 17 203 195 19 214 196 18 213 201 17 217 (Thousand Metric Tons) 203 206 210 17 17 17 220 223 227 213 17 230 216 17 233 220 18 238 224 18 241 233 19 251 239 19 258 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 151 28 19 198 161 28 18 207 159 31 17 207 166 32 17 215 169 33 17 219 174 35 17 225 178 36 17 231 183 38 17 238 186 39 18 243 190 41 18 249 195 42 18 255 207 47 19 272 213 50 19 282 -2 7 6 2 1 -2 -5 -8 -10 -11 -14 -21 -24 50 51 58 52 54 53 54 54 53 54 54 Yield 8.00 8.08 8.16 8.25 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 8.33 8.41 8.49 8.58 8.66 8.74 8.82 9.07 9.23 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 400 36 436 412 36 448 474 33 507 429 36 465 (Thousand Metric Tons) 460 449 459 34 35 35 494 485 494 457 36 493 465 36 501 468 36 504 469 36 506 488 37 525 495 37 532 Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use 300 116 36 452 266 116 33 414 307 123 36 466 298 122 34 455 316 126 35 477 317 127 35 479 326 129 36 492 330 131 36 496 337 133 36 505 342 134 36 513 346 136 36 518 363 141 37 541 368 144 38 550 -15 34 41 10 17 6 2 -4 -5 -9 -13 -16 -18 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2.73 2.79 2.83 2.86 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.87 2.89 2.92 2.95 2.99 3.04 3.09 3.24 3.35 3 0 3 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 5 0 5 35 0 0 35 36 0 0 36 36 0 0 36 37 0 0 37 38 0 0 38 39 0 0 39 39 0 0 39 40 0 0 40 41 0 0 41 41 0 0 41 42 0 0 42 44 0 0 44 45 0 0 45 -47 -32 -32 -33 -34 -35 -35 -36 -37 -37 -38 -40 -40 Corn Area Harvested Net Trade Barley Area Harvested Net Trade Sorghum Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Feed Use Food and Other Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 (Thousand Hectares) 21 21 (Thousand Hectares) 55 53 (Thousand Hectares) 1 1 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4 4 0 0 4 4 56 Per Capita Grain Consumption of Selected Countries 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0.00 7.17 0.00 6.14 0.00 6.35 0.00 6.30 0.00 6.38 0.00 6.42 0.00 6.42 0.00 6.44 0.00 6.46 0.00 6.46 0.00 6.49 0.00 6.53 Argentina Corn Barley Sorghum 48.05 20.42 4.80 48.58 19.69 4.77 47.59 20.37 4.61 48.18 20.03 4.66 48.25 20.24 4.57 48.88 20.21 4.60 49.31 20.30 4.56 49.59 20.24 4.53 49.81 20.24 4.48 50.13 20.26 4.44 50.40 20.19 4.38 51.03 20.09 4.21 51.58 20.04 4.10 Australia Corn Barley Sorghum 6.00 59.95 0.23 5.97 53.76 0.23 5.95 54.04 0.21 5.97 53.80 0.22 6.00 54.27 0.21 6.06 54.39 0.22 6.12 54.61 0.21 6.15 54.53 0.21 6.19 54.62 0.21 6.22 54.69 0.21 6.27 54.69 0.21 6.41 55.04 0.21 6.49 54.98 0.21 Brazil Corn Barley 47.14 3.19 48.14 2.98 48.48 3.25 49.10 3.22 49.56 3.34 50.20 3.39 50.75 3.48 51.29 3.52 51.81 3.58 52.38 3.64 52.94 3.69 54.66 3.84 55.97 3.97 Canada Corn Barley 126.69 38.30 128.37 33.62 127.77 36.57 128.39 34.79 127.79 35.44 127.93 34.90 129.30 35.32 131.05 35.12 133.05 35.24 134.95 35.46 136.85 35.35 141.84 35.61 145.16 36.14 China Corn Barley 36.72 3.30 38.13 3.19 39.03 3.38 40.17 3.35 41.21 3.43 42.42 3.45 43.63 3.50 44.88 3.53 46.18 3.57 47.51 3.62 48.90 3.65 53.45 3.77 56.82 3.88 Egypt Corn 30.66 32.89 32.06 32.47 32.28 32.48 32.54 32.62 32.69 32.87 33.00 33.46 33.89 EU Corn Barley 29.99 30.98 31.05 28.43 31.75 29.40 32.73 29.89 33.74 30.52 34.78 31.11 35.66 31.55 36.53 31.91 37.39 32.26 38.23 32.62 38.99 32.92 41.46 33.81 42.35 34.32 India Corn Sorghum 8.28 5.07 8.29 5.02 8.19 5.24 8.24 5.13 8.27 5.18 8.33 5.08 8.37 5.07 8.38 5.05 8.41 5.03 8.44 4.99 8.47 4.98 8.56 4.89 8.59 4.86 Indonesia Corn 18.39 18.61 18.32 18.26 18.12 18.12 18.09 18.03 18.00 17.97 17.95 17.91 17.73 Israel Corn Barley Sorghum 13.45 1.35 0.67 15.59 1.28 0.66 14.37 1.35 0.65 14.92 1.32 0.64 14.55 1.33 0.63 14.78 1.32 0.62 14.76 1.33 0.62 14.86 1.32 0.61 14.87 1.32 0.60 14.96 1.33 0.59 15.05 1.32 0.58 15.21 1.32 0.56 15.43 1.32 0.55 Japan Corn Barley Sorghum 36.34 2.37 0.00 36.91 2.24 0.00 35.34 2.33 0.00 35.90 2.27 0.00 35.66 2.32 0.00 36.09 2.32 0.00 37.66 2.33 0.00 37.47 2.32 0.00 37.51 2.33 0.00 37.67 2.34 0.00 37.84 2.33 0.00 38.18 2.35 0.00 38.61 2.36 0.00 Malaysia Corn 7.00 7.19 7.15 7.19 7.18 7.23 7.26 7.29 7.32 7.36 7.39 7.46 7.54 Mexico Corn Barley Sorghum 142.98 5.30 0.88 149.63 4.99 0.92 140.84 5.54 0.90 144.71 5.34 0.91 142.63 5.47 0.89 143.66 5.45 0.90 142.95 5.53 0.90 143.20 5.53 0.90 142.91 5.58 0.90 142.64 5.64 0.91 142.70 5.67 0.91 142.05 5.81 0.91 141.15 5.96 0.92 Nigeria Sorghum 74.57 76.06 75.36 76.09 75.34 75.68 75.50 75.49 75.28 75.18 74.95 74.71 74.91 Algeria Corn Barley World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 (Kilograms) 0.00 6.39 57 Per Capita Grain Consumption of Selected Countries (continued) 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 8.05 1.45 0.38 8.44 1.51 0.38 8.16 1.90 0.30 8.25 1.90 0.33 8.23 2.17 0.31 Philippines Corn 18.78 19.73 19.17 19.26 19.17 Russia Corn Barley 3.60 28.79 4.10 28.55 4.11 29.25 4.15 29.25 Saudi Arabia Barley 0.96 0.76 1.10 South Africa Corn Barley Sorghum 118.27 5.81 3.57 119.80 5.68 3.80 South Korea Corn Pakistan Corn Barley Sorghum 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 8.33 2.55 0.32 8.35 2.58 0.32 8.38 2.54 0.32 8.40 2.57 0.32 8.45 2.62 0.32 8.55 2.65 0.33 8.60 2.57 0.32 19.31 19.40 19.42 19.45 19.52 19.56 19.69 19.73 4.16 29.52 4.20 29.71 4.22 29.87 4.24 30.01 4.26 30.12 4.28 30.31 4.29 30.37 4.34 30.80 4.37 31.06 0.98 1.09 1.09 1.14 1.14 1.16 1.18 1.19 1.23 1.29 118.23 5.80 3.61 118.95 5.74 3.73 118.56 5.78 3.64 119.08 5.76 3.71 119.45 5.77 3.70 119.86 5.76 3.73 120.09 5.76 3.74 120.50 5.77 3.77 121.01 5.76 3.79 121.98 5.76 3.86 123.05 5.75 3.94 (Kilograms) 8.30 2.31 0.33 43.11 44.37 42.96 43.23 43.15 43.26 43.20 43.14 43.09 43.05 42.96 42.82 42.69 Taiwan Corn Barley 6.51 1.30 6.52 0.92 6.24 1.31 6.38 1.18 6.34 1.30 6.46 1.29 6.54 1.35 6.60 1.35 6.63 1.37 6.71 1.41 6.76 1.41 9.03 1.46 11.23 1.50 Thailand Corn 1.48 1.55 1.48 1.47 1.46 1.47 1.46 1.45 1.45 1.45 1.44 1.45 1.44 Ukraine Corn Barley 15.48 30.95 16.29 32.90 15.55 33.76 15.93 34.00 15.76 34.33 16.02 34.64 16.05 34.79 16.25 35.04 16.32 35.16 16.53 35.42 16.66 35.49 17.24 36.06 17.67 36.40 510.90 11.16 7.32 456.22 10.87 7.28 480.67 10.74 6.89 496.41 10.72 7.11 516.47 10.62 7.13 520.35 10.53 7.36 513.71 10.43 7.26 507.58 10.34 7.19 501.42 10.25 7.11 495.49 10.17 7.11 489.53 10.08 7.08 472.06 9.79 7.14 461.60 9.79 7.31 Vietnam Corn 14.41 14.83 14.79 14.84 14.86 14.95 15.00 14.99 15.01 15.03 15.07 15.22 15.38 Other Africa Corn Barley 35.66 3.57 36.99 3.51 35.67 3.64 35.71 3.57 35.21 3.62 34.77 3.61 34.52 3.60 34.21 3.60 33.92 3.60 33.68 3.59 32.83 3.59 32.31 3.59 Other America Corn Barley 29.17 6.37 31.77 6.19 30.57 6.64 31.29 6.58 31.26 6.79 31.74 6.86 31.97 6.99 32.19 7.07 32.42 7.19 32.78 7.32 33.06 7.42 33.88 7.78 34.61 8.07 Other Asia Corn Barley 11.23 2.08 11.64 1.98 11.42 2.10 11.53 2.05 11.48 2.09 11.51 2.07 11.50 2.09 11.50 2.08 11.48 2.09 11.47 2.10 11.46 2.10 11.41 2.11 11.39 2.12 Other Europe Corn Barley 32.56 24.30 33.98 23.93 33.36 24.26 33.96 24.26 33.96 24.47 34.34 24.59 34.55 24.75 34.85 24.86 35.07 24.99 35.33 25.14 35.63 25.25 36.39 25.63 36.96 25.91 Other Oceania Corn Barley 2.11 8.71 2.09 8.59 2.25 9.03 2.29 8.83 2.36 8.98 2.43 8.93 2.51 8.99 2.59 8.96 2.65 8.97 2.71 8.99 2.78 8.97 2.97 9.00 3.13 9.01 United States Corn Barley Sorghum World Coarse Grains: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook (Kilograms) 35.02 3.60 58 Oilseeds Soybeans World oilseed prices increase sharply in 2010/11 as production of soybeans, rapeseed, and sunflower declined year on year while demand keeps rising. A slight expansion in the area planted in response to this season’s high prices and yield recovery are expected to result in lower prices for 2011/12. Strong demand, mostly for vegetable oils, sustains the prices of these oilseeds at high levels. Soybean production declined by 3.5 mmt in 2010/11, to 257 mmt, from the record crop of 2009/10. The decline is mostly due to drops in production from the three largest producers (Argentina, Brazil, and the U.S.). Production then expands by 23%, reaching 315 mmt by the end of the outlook as a result of higher area and yields. Brazil is expected to overtake the U.S. as the largest exporter of soybeans by 2020/21. Production in Brazil expands by 31% over the outlook. The U.S. share of total exports declines from 46% to 36% by 2025/26. China consolidates and expands its position as the world’s largest importer and consumer of soybeans. By 2025/26, China’s consumption reaches 31% of global production. In terms of trade, the country accounts for 70% of the world’s imports by the end of the period. Soybean Meal The price of soybean meal rises slightly in 2010/11 despite a 7.4% increase in supply, as the livestock sector continues its expansion, sustaining demand. However, crush is increasingly driven by the demand for vegetable oil, which pressures soybean meal prices downward. World soybean meal consumption expands 25% over the outlook period. China surpassed the EU as the world’s largest consumer of soybean meal in 2009/10, and the difference keeps widening over the outlook period. By 2025, China consumes over 67 mmt of soybean meal, or about 31% of global use. U.S. consumption, which reaches 35 mmt, is also expected to surpass that of the EU by the end of the outlook period. Argentina and, to a lesser extent, Brazil continue to dominate the soybean meal export market, together accounting for 80% of net exports by 2025/26. Argentina’s share of the export market increases from 52% to 62% by the end of the outlook. On the other hand, Brazilian net exports decline over the period as domestic demand growth from the livestock sector outpaces the supply expansion. A similar situation is observed for the U.S., whose net exports decline by 1.6% per year over the outlook. Soybean Oil Driven by strong demand for food and industrial uses, the price of soybean oil increases strongly in 2010/11 and continues to grow for most of the period. The supply expansion of edible oils cannot keep up. As a result, and given that the demand growth in vegetable oils outpaces that of meals, vegetable oils finance a higher share of the crush value. The demand for soybean oil increases by 12.3 mmt by 2025/26, a growth of 1.7% per year. This growth is driven by both expanding food and industrial use. Because of their rising incomes, China and India present the highest growth in demand, which is mostly World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 59 for food use. Argentina’s use grows by 16% on top of the recent strong expansion, driven by strong biodiesel demand. Continuing the trend that started with its biodiesel blending mandate, Brazil’s exports of soybean oil decline throughout the outlook, finishing at only 584 tmt by 2025/26. Rapeseed and Products The 5.4% decline in production in 2010/11, driven by declines in both area and yields, results in sharply higher prices over the previous season. Usage can only be sustained by a strong reduction in ending stocks. Production resumes its upward trend in 2011/12 and reaches 75 mmt (a 29% increase from the 2010/11 season) by the end of the projection. The crush, expanded to satisfy the demand for vegetable oils, exerts downward pressure on the market for meals. Prices of oilseed and meal decline in 2011/12as supplies of oilseeds are expected to recover. The sustained demand for oils results in a price path that increases throughout the projection. World trade follows the same pattern as production, with net exports increasing by 31% by 2025. China and the EU combined account for 86% of the expansion in net imports. On the supply side, Canada provides 60% of the growth in net exports, maintaining its market share at about 65%. Ukraine continues to consolidate its position as the secondlargest exporter. Rapeseed remains by far the largest oilseed crop in the EU. While sustained expansion in area and yields results in a 29% expansion in production by 2025/26, this is not enough to meet the growth in crush demand. Thus, net imports increase throughout the projection period. Sunflower and Products Despite a 2.7% increase in the area harvested, sunflower production in 2010/11 declines by 2.5% because of lower yields. Stocks must be tapped in order to meet the demand, derived from the expanded use of sunflower products, vegetable oil in particular. This leads to a sharp increase in the price of sunflower and its products in 2010/11. An expansion in sunflower supply relieves some of the pressure the following season, resulting in lower prices for all the products in this complex. World trade follows the same pattern as production. Net exports decline by 13% in 2010/11 but then show slow but sustained growth, reaching 1.3 mmt by 2025/26. The trade markets for the products in this complex are larger than the market for the seed, each exceeding 3.5 mmt by 2025/26. Ukraine maintains its dominant position as the largest net exporter of sunflower and its products. By 2025/26, the country holds a 76% and 66% share of the net export markets for sunflower meal and sunflower oil, respectively. Palm and Products World production of palm oil increased by 7.8% in 2010/11. However, this growth is not enough to prevent a price increase, consistent with the movement in the prices of the other edible oils. Palm oil remains the world’s lowest-cost, most abundant, and most traded vegetable oil. Indonesia and Malaysia are the major exporters, while China, India, and the EU dominate the demand side of the market. Increasing incomes in China and India result in higher World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 60 consumption of vegetable oils, including palm oil, which translates into growing import demand. Net imports of China and India grow by 78% and 54%, respectively, over the outlook. Indonesia is expected to expand its leadership as the world’s largest producer and exporter over the outlook period. Strong prices encourage production and net exports to grow by 59% and 65%, respectively, by 2025/26. The biodiesel industry currently accounts for about 1.9% of the palm oil consumed domestically in Indonesia. This proportion is expected to increase to 15.5% by 2025/26. Peanuts and Products As with the other oilseeds, the price of peanuts and peanut oil increases in 2010/11. Growth in demand keeps outpacing the supply, resulting in sustained high prices for peanuts and peanut oil. On the other hand, the demand for peanut meal grows at a relatively slower pace, resulting in price declines. Global production of peanuts increases by 12% over the outlook, mostly because of increasing yields as area remains stable. For the U.S., both production and use of peanuts grow at a similar rate, leaving their trade position about the same for the outlook period. A similar situation is observed for India, where both production and usage increase by about 30% by 2025/26. China continues its long-term pattern of reducing area utilized for peanut production. Trade of peanuts and products remains relatively stable over the outlook. Argentina and China remain the largest net exporters of peanuts. The EU is the leading importer. Trade in products is expected to remain low relative to that of the seed. By 2025/26 only 1% to 2% of the produced quantities of peanut meal and oil are traded internationally. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 61 #VALUE! Soybean Trade and World Prices 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 13,000 30,100 1,975 55 4,615 42,865 715 -2 11,589 33,951 2,122 55 4,828 41,145 718 -5 12,030 34,201 2,203 55 4,983 40,893 777 0 93,326 94,407 56,550 13,470 3,450 3,600 1,210 2,500 2,033 8,474 1,153 884 Total Net Imports Prices Illinois Processor CIF Rotterdam Net Exporters Argentina Brazil Canada India Paraguay United States Other Amercia Other Oceania Total Net Exports * Net Importers China European Union Japan Mexico South Korea Taiwan Other Africa Other Asia Other Europe Residual 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 12,410 35,087 2,269 55 5,092 41,004 806 2 (Thousand Metric Tons) 12,727 13,149 13,426 36,501 37,676 38,637 2,329 2,380 2,414 55 55 55 5,185 5,302 5,429 40,974 40,948 41,452 820 850 867 3 5 6 13,774 39,474 2,472 55 5,568 41,821 904 9 14,105 40,608 2,525 55 5,710 42,010 938 11 14,430 41,857 2,574 55 5,851 42,200 965 13 14,755 43,202 2,616 55 5,990 42,415 983 15 15,857 47,672 2,762 55 6,413 42,468 1,059 21 16,677 50,265 2,847 55 6,686 43,054 1,089 25 95,143 96,725 98,595 100,363 102,288 104,076 105,962 107,944 110,031 116,307 120,697 56,567 13,483 3,539 3,537 1,257 2,558 2,177 9,039 1,361 885 58,007 12,744 3,569 3,551 1,230 2,570 2,190 9,018 1,378 885 59,792 12,469 3,550 3,568 1,216 2,588 2,209 9,050 1,398 885 61,665 12,266 3,557 3,587 1,220 2,614 2,241 9,144 1,417 885 93,326 94,407 95,143 96,725 98,595 100,363 102,288 104,076 105,962 107,944 110,031 116,307 120,697 430 476 399 442 406 450 416 461 63,522 12,085 3,523 3,590 1,218 2,635 2,266 9,209 1,430 885 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 421 424 426 465 469 472 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 65,419 11,986 3,496 3,592 1,221 2,658 2,294 9,290 1,446 885 62 67,262 11,885 3,449 3,591 1,218 2,679 2,313 9,341 1,453 885 429 475 69,144 11,815 3,411 3,592 1,217 2,701 2,334 9,402 1,461 884 433 478 71,092 11,765 3,371 3,586 1,219 2,724 2,358 9,475 1,469 884 433 478 73,108 11,732 3,336 3,582 1,222 2,747 2,385 9,553 1,482 884 433 477 79,308 11,568 3,224 3,567 1,230 2,815 2,455 9,758 1,498 884 433 475 83,590 11,470 3,159 3,548 1,244 2,863 2,508 9,927 1,503 884 425 465 Soybean Meal Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Brazil China India Paraguay United States Total Net Exports * Net Importers Canada European Union Japan Mexico South Korea Taiwan Other Africa Other Amercia Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Prices FOB Decatur 48% CIF Rotterdam 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 29,548 12,800 1,100 3,445 1,250 8,196 30,815 13,006 735 3,289 1,263 8,534 31,702 12,670 559 3,313 1,306 8,558 56,339 57,646 1,020 22,800 2,100 1,413 1,800 5 2,934 4,807 15,309 1,171 538 2,442 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 32,415 12,484 401 3,298 1,334 8,736 (Thousand Metric Tons) 33,116 33,720 34,369 12,307 12,169 12,030 280 166 80 3,321 3,371 3,411 1,373 1,415 1,455 8,845 8,911 8,895 35,023 11,919 -17 3,441 1,496 8,795 35,668 11,813 -82 3,465 1,538 8,634 36,342 11,742 -56 3,481 1,583 8,478 37,003 11,653 46 3,485 1,628 8,293 39,013 11,461 513 3,513 1,767 7,398 40,404 11,348 951 3,530 1,865 6,902 58,107 58,669 59,242 59,752 60,240 60,673 61,118 61,626 62,108 63,665 65,000 1,044 22,437 2,051 1,272 1,882 -4 3,391 5,086 16,001 1,479 560 2,442 1,050 22,680 1,967 1,264 1,876 27 3,428 5,146 16,177 1,486 563 2,442 1,038 22,824 1,982 1,256 1,894 29 3,469 5,246 16,416 1,505 568 2,442 1,020 22,983 2,018 1,254 1,917 37 3,503 5,325 16,637 1,532 573 2,442 1,031 22,984 2,058 1,269 1,940 44 3,556 5,406 16,883 1,560 580 2,442 1,060 23,009 2,087 1,295 1,964 51 3,606 5,472 17,093 1,575 586 2,442 1,082 22,967 2,124 1,316 1,993 56 3,655 5,547 17,298 1,584 592 2,442 1,101 22,925 2,162 1,339 2,023 60 3,700 5,622 17,480 1,585 596 2,442 1,128 22,952 2,211 1,370 2,059 65 3,752 5,712 17,691 1,588 601 2,442 1,153 23,028 2,253 1,399 2,091 69 3,806 5,788 17,886 1,588 606 2,442 1,224 23,228 2,376 1,483 2,179 75 3,970 6,019 18,475 1,572 622 2,442 1,276 23,475 2,463 1,613 2,235 77 4,095 6,204 18,921 1,565 635 2,442 56,339 57,646 58,107 58,669 59,242 59,752 60,240 60,673 61,118 61,626 62,108 63,665 65,000 359 402 330 370 340 381 345 386 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 347 346 344 389 387 385 342 383 341 382 336 376 331 371 317 356 300 337 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 63 Soybean Oil Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Brazil Paraguay United States Other Europe Total Net Exports * Net Importers Canada China European Union India Japan Mexico South Korea Taiwan Other Amercia Other Asia Other Africa Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Prices FOB Decatur FOB Rotterdam 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 5,104 1,280 269 1,173 289 5,316 1,199 257 879 261 5,466 1,029 267 1,253 265 5,639 941 274 1,372 274 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,820 5,993 6,185 864 805 761 284 295 306 1,415 1,451 1,476 283 292 303 6,386 724 316 1,500 312 6,590 698 327 1,496 323 6,808 680 339 1,490 334 7,022 665 351 1,491 345 7,687 636 387 1,514 377 8,157 584 413 1,630 399 8,135 7,930 8,296 8,516 8,688 8,860 9,050 9,257 9,452 9,666 9,889 10,611 11,190 -15 1,930 250 1,298 40 223 295 -5 1,184 1,076 1,661 42 137 -19 1,419 279 1,465 29 258 320 5 1,216 986 1,771 43 138 -15 1,426 406 1,495 20 278 350 25 1,263 1,006 1,846 44 137 -17 1,432 483 1,537 22 286 360 26 1,291 1,000 1,897 45 138 -22 1,418 552 1,570 22 294 367 33 1,314 990 1,945 46 137 -23 1,422 609 1,597 25 307 373 38 1,332 978 1,994 46 138 -20 1,435 662 1,630 26 321 380 43 1,352 968 2,049 47 137 -18 1,461 713 1,663 30 335 388 46 1,375 959 2,102 48 137 -17 1,485 753 1,700 33 349 396 49 1,399 947 2,156 49 137 -16 1,519 792 1,742 37 364 404 51 1,424 935 2,211 49 137 -14 1,564 829 1,787 40 380 412 52 1,447 922 2,269 50 137 -10 1,747 942 1,909 52 430 436 54 1,519 885 2,447 52 137 -7 1,957 1,013 1,998 60 466 450 54 1,568 860 2,573 54 137 8,135 7,930 8,296 8,516 8,688 8,860 9,050 9,257 9,452 9,666 9,889 10,611 11,190 998 1,152 994 1,147 978 1,129 1,001 1,155 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,015 1,035 1,052 1,171 1,193 1,212 1,070 1,233 1,088 1,254 1,106 1,273 1,122 1,291 1,169 1,344 1,199 1,378 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 64 World Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Soybeans Area Harvested (Thousand Hectares) 102,803 102,863 102,523 102,952 103,677 104,117 104,777 105,343 105,965 106,622 107,356 109,242 110,677 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply (Thousand Metric Tons) 257,023 261,853 262,745 265,742 269,782 273,344 277,467 281,215 285,126 289,276 293,555 305,942 315,016 48,193 49,287 51,201 51,374 51,460 51,734 51,920 52,176 52,373 52,553 52,776 53,519 53,944 305,216 311,140 313,946 317,116 321,242 325,078 329,386 333,391 337,499 341,829 346,331 359,461 368,960 Crush Food Use Other Use Residual Ending Stocks Domestic Use 224,803 227,832 230,604 233,570 237,223 240,658 244,475 248,092 251,836 255,733 259,763 271,631 279,973 15,905 16,714 16,605 16,713 16,851 16,986 17,123 17,245 17,365 17,487 17,594 17,912 18,184 14,303 14,508 14,478 14,489 14,550 14,629 14,728 14,797 14,861 14,949 15,027 15,230 15,465 884 885 885 885 885 885 885 885 884 884 884 884 884 49,287 51,201 51,374 51,460 51,734 51,920 52,176 52,373 52,553 52,776 53,062 53,804 54,455 305,181 311,139 313,946 317,116 321,242 325,078 329,386 333,391 337,499 341,829 346,331 359,461 368,960 Trade * Soybean Meal Production Consumption Ending Stocks Trade * Soybean Oil Production Consumption Ending Stocks 93,326 94,407 95,143 96,725 98,595 100,363 102,288 104,076 105,962 107,944 110,031 116,307 120,697 176,875 178,694 180,874 183,206 186,082 188,788 191,793 194,640 197,586 200,652 203,824 213,161 219,722 173,622 175,920 178,408 180,700 183,558 186,257 189,277 192,133 195,084 198,138 201,312 210,648 217,192 7,824 8,156 8,180 8,244 8,325 8,414 8,488 8,553 8,612 8,684 8,754 8,949 9,107 56,339 57,646 58,107 58,669 59,242 59,752 60,240 60,673 61,118 61,626 62,108 63,665 65,000 41,949 42,141 2,679 42,557 42,388 2,711 43,197 42,971 2,799 43,880 43,725 2,816 44,697 44,536 2,840 45,480 45,324 2,858 46,342 46,193 2,869 47,173 47,031 2,874 48,035 47,892 2,879 48,933 48,793 2,882 49,864 49,726 2,883 52,660 52,521 2,889 54,645 54,511 2,891 8,135 7,930 8,296 8,516 9,050 9,257 9,452 9,666 9,889 10,611 11,190 6.08 6.05 6.07 6.11 6.26 6.31 6.36 6.42 6.48 6.67 6.81 Trade * Per Capita Consumption 8,688 8,860 (Kilograms) 6.16 6.20 * Excludes intraregional trade. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 65 U.S. Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 31,000 30,518 30,009 29,879 (Thousand Hectares) 29,842 29,721 29,868 29,929 29,965 30,010 30,088 30,016 30,285 2.92 2.95 2.97 3.00 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.02 3.05 3.07 3.10 3.12 3.15 3.17 3.24 3.29 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 90,602 4,111 94,713 89,903 3,811 93,714 89,183 4,421 93,604 89,521 4,414 93,935 (Thousand Metric Tons) 90,135 90,545 91,833 4,350 4,402 4,353 94,485 94,947 96,186 92,830 4,380 97,210 93,610 4,414 98,024 94,484 4,432 98,916 95,446 97,389 99,742 4,483 4,749 4,880 99,929 102,138 104,622 Crush Seed, Residual Ending Stocks Domestic Use 45,042 2,994 3,811 51,847 45,046 3,102 4,421 52,569 45,234 3,063 4,414 52,711 45,529 3,051 4,350 52,930 46,043 3,066 4,402 53,510 46,539 3,108 4,353 53,999 47,184 3,170 4,380 54,734 47,758 3,217 4,414 55,389 48,323 3,259 4,432 56,013 48,913 3,320 4,483 56,716 49,549 3,370 4,594 57,514 51,298 3,506 4,866 59,670 52,707 3,683 5,179 61,568 42,865 41,145 40,893 41,004 40,974 40,948 41,452 41,821 42,010 42,200 42,415 42,468 43,054 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 35,864 274 36,138 35,657 272 35,929 35,805 287 36,092 36,039 286 36,325 36,445 287 36,732 36,838 289 37,127 37,348 292 37,641 37,803 295 38,098 38,250 297 38,548 38,717 299 39,017 39,221 303 39,524 40,605 311 40,916 41,720 318 42,039 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 27,669 272 27,941 27,109 287 27,395 27,248 286 27,534 27,302 287 27,589 27,598 289 27,887 27,924 292 28,216 28,451 295 28,746 29,006 297 29,304 29,614 299 29,914 30,236 303 30,539 30,925 306 31,231 33,204 315 33,519 34,813 323 35,136 8,196 8,534 8,558 8,736 8,845 8,911 8,895 8,795 8,634 8,478 8,293 7,398 6,902 8,618 1,523 10,141 8,619 1,212 9,831 8,655 1,209 9,864 8,711 1,256 9,967 8,810 1,257 10,066 8,905 1,259 10,164 9,028 1,261 10,289 9,138 1,257 10,395 9,246 1,251 10,497 9,359 1,246 10,604 9,481 1,240 10,721 9,815 1,219 11,035 10,085 1,210 11,295 6,281 1,476 1,212 8,969 6,207 1,536 1,209 8,953 6,312 1,043 1,256 8,611 6,336 1,003 1,257 8,595 6,377 1,015 1,259 8,651 6,420 1,031 1,261 8,712 6,484 1,071 1,257 8,813 6,542 1,102 1,251 8,895 6,632 1,123 1,246 9,001 6,729 1,146 1,240 9,115 6,830 1,167 1,232 9,230 7,141 1,166 1,213 9,520 7,356 1,109 1,199 9,665 1,173 879 1,253 1,372 1,415 1,451 1,476 1,500 1,496 1,490 1,491 1,514 1,630 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Food Use Biodiesel Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 66 Argentine Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 18,600 18,811 19,124 19,507 (Thousand Hectares) 19,825 20,115 20,380 20,645 20,900 21,162 21,432 22,244 22,830 2.80 2.90 2.92 2.94 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.96 2.98 3.00 3.02 3.05 3.07 3.09 3.16 3.20 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 52,000 22,545 74,545 54,526 20,595 75,121 55,821 20,972 76,794 57,273 21,042 78,316 (Thousand Metric Tons) 58,653 59,983 61,179 21,126 21,246 21,376 79,778 81,229 82,555 62,423 21,489 83,911 63,691 21,562 85,253 64,985 21,639 86,624 66,283 21,710 87,993 70,278 21,931 92,210 73,143 22,069 95,212 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 39,300 1,650 20,595 61,545 40,845 1,714 20,972 63,532 41,973 1,749 21,042 64,764 42,989 1,791 21,126 65,905 43,973 1,832 21,246 67,051 44,833 1,872 21,376 68,081 45,733 1,908 21,489 69,129 46,637 1,939 21,562 70,137 47,540 1,969 21,639 71,148 48,485 2,000 21,710 72,195 49,414 2,032 21,792 73,238 52,226 2,125 22,002 76,353 54,188 2,192 22,156 78,535 13,000 11,589 12,030 12,410 12,727 13,149 13,426 13,774 14,105 14,430 14,755 15,857 16,677 30,460 1,893 32,353 31,658 2,100 33,758 32,532 2,173 34,704 33,319 2,172 35,491 34,082 2,185 36,267 34,748 2,203 36,951 35,446 2,227 37,673 36,147 2,247 38,394 36,847 2,262 39,108 37,579 2,276 39,855 38,299 2,290 40,589 40,479 2,330 42,809 41,999 2,355 44,354 705 2,100 2,805 771 2,173 2,943 830 2,172 3,002 890 2,185 3,076 948 2,203 3,151 1,004 2,227 3,231 1,056 2,247 3,304 1,110 2,262 3,371 1,165 2,276 3,441 1,223 2,290 3,513 1,281 2,305 3,586 1,452 2,343 3,795 1,578 2,372 3,950 29,548 30,815 31,702 32,415 33,116 33,720 34,369 35,023 35,668 36,342 37,003 39,013 40,404 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 7,525 170 7,695 7,849 203 8,052 8,096 212 8,308 8,322 222 8,544 8,543 227 8,770 8,741 233 8,974 8,949 239 9,188 9,158 244 9,402 9,369 247 9,616 9,589 251 9,840 9,808 253 10,060 10,475 261 10,736 10,945 265 11,209 Food Use Industrial Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 382 2,006 203 2,591 390 2,135 212 2,737 403 2,216 222 2,841 412 2,265 227 2,905 423 2,294 233 2,950 433 2,309 239 2,981 443 2,316 244 3,003 451 2,318 247 3,016 460 2,315 251 3,026 468 2,311 253 3,032 477 2,305 256 3,038 504 2,282 263 3,049 521 2,266 266 3,052 5,104 5,316 5,466 5,639 5,820 5,993 6,185 6,386 6,590 6,808 7,022 7,687 8,157 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 67 Brazilian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 23,762 24,186 24,135 24,308 (Thousand Hectares) 24,624 24,809 24,946 25,090 25,321 25,588 25,891 26,895 27,435 2.85 2.92 2.93 2.94 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.96 2.99 3.02 3.04 3.06 3.08 3.11 3.18 3.22 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 67,642 3,855 71,498 70,522 4,935 75,456 70,601 4,942 75,542 71,487 4,944 76,431 (Thousand Metric Tons) 72,954 74,198 75,268 4,945 4,947 4,950 77,899 79,146 80,218 76,204 4,952 81,156 77,472 4,953 82,425 78,882 4,955 83,836 80,399 4,956 85,356 85,413 4,960 90,373 88,427 4,924 93,351 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 34,197 2,266 4,935 41,398 34,332 2,231 4,942 41,505 34,204 2,193 4,944 41,341 34,245 2,154 4,945 41,344 34,335 2,116 4,947 41,398 34,443 2,077 4,950 41,470 34,590 2,039 4,952 41,581 34,729 2,000 4,953 41,682 34,901 1,961 4,955 41,817 35,100 1,922 4,956 41,979 35,312 1,883 4,958 42,153 35,973 1,766 4,961 42,700 36,471 1,688 4,927 43,086 30,100 33,951 34,201 35,087 36,501 37,676 38,637 39,474 40,608 41,857 43,202 47,672 50,265 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 26,055 3,271 29,326 26,158 3,826 29,984 26,061 3,827 29,887 26,092 3,827 29,919 26,160 3,827 29,987 26,243 3,827 30,070 26,354 3,828 30,182 26,460 3,828 30,288 26,591 3,828 30,420 26,743 3,829 30,572 26,905 3,829 30,733 27,408 3,829 31,237 27,787 3,830 31,617 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 12,700 3,826 16,526 13,151 3,827 16,977 13,391 3,827 17,217 13,608 3,827 17,435 13,853 3,827 17,680 14,073 3,828 17,901 14,324 3,828 18,152 14,541 3,828 18,369 14,778 3,829 18,607 15,001 3,829 18,830 15,251 3,829 19,080 15,946 3,830 19,776 16,440 3,830 20,270 12,800 13,006 12,670 12,484 12,307 12,169 12,030 11,919 11,813 11,742 11,653 11,461 11,348 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,565 454 7,018 6,591 513 7,103 6,566 517 7,083 6,574 523 7,097 6,591 526 7,117 6,612 529 7,141 6,640 532 7,172 6,667 535 7,202 6,700 537 7,237 6,738 539 7,277 6,779 540 7,319 6,906 544 7,449 7,001 546 7,547 Food Use Industrial Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,335 1,890 513 5,738 3,415 1,973 517 5,905 3,507 2,024 523 6,054 3,576 2,055 526 6,157 3,652 2,072 529 6,253 3,725 2,079 532 6,336 3,796 2,081 535 6,411 3,863 2,078 537 6,478 3,927 2,073 539 6,539 3,991 2,066 540 6,597 4,055 2,057 542 6,654 4,240 2,028 545 6,813 4,365 2,052 547 6,964 1,280 1,199 1,029 941 864 805 761 724 698 680 665 636 584 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 68 Canadian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,450 1,475 1,482 1,501 (Thousand Hectares) 1,524 1,546 1,562 1,576 1,592 1,608 1,623 1,668 1,695 2.72 2.75 2.77 2.78 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.79 2.81 2.82 2.83 2.85 2.86 2.87 2.91 2.93 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,950 136 4,086 4,056 286 4,342 4,098 332 4,430 4,167 329 4,496 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4,257 4,344 4,410 314 297 297 4,571 4,641 4,707 4,469 314 4,783 4,535 323 4,858 4,604 330 4,933 4,662 342 5,004 4,851 377 5,228 4,972 406 5,378 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,425 400 286 2,111 1,466 422 332 2,220 1,475 423 329 2,227 1,487 426 314 2,227 1,515 430 297 2,242 1,526 438 297 2,261 1,530 449 314 2,293 1,533 456 323 2,312 1,539 464 330 2,332 1,544 473 342 2,360 1,551 482 356 2,388 1,567 508 392 2,466 1,580 527 425 2,531 1,975 2,122 2,203 2,269 2,329 2,380 2,414 2,472 2,525 2,574 2,616 2,762 2,847 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,125 20 1,145 1,157 31 1,188 1,164 33 1,197 1,174 33 1,206 1,196 32 1,228 1,205 32 1,236 1,208 32 1,240 1,210 33 1,243 1,215 33 1,248 1,219 34 1,253 1,224 35 1,259 1,237 37 1,274 1,247 38 1,285 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,134 31 2,165 2,200 33 2,233 2,215 33 2,248 2,212 32 2,245 2,216 32 2,248 2,235 32 2,267 2,267 33 2,300 2,292 33 2,325 2,316 34 2,350 2,346 35 2,381 2,376 35 2,412 2,461 37 2,498 2,522 39 2,561 -1,020 -1,044 -1,050 -1,038 -1,020 -1,031 -1,060 -1,082 -1,101 -1,128 -1,153 -1,224 -1,276 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 260 13 273 267 13 280 269 13 282 271 13 285 276 13 289 278 13 291 279 13 292 280 13 292 281 13 294 282 13 295 283 13 296 286 13 299 288 13 301 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 245 13 258 249 13 262 254 13 267 255 13 268 255 13 267 256 13 268 259 13 272 261 13 274 264 13 276 266 13 279 269 13 282 276 13 289 281 13 294 15 19 15 17 22 23 20 18 17 16 14 10 7 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 69 Chinese Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 8,400 8,326 8,229 8,174 (Thousand Hectares) 8,165 8,120 8,094 8,063 8,032 7,994 7,960 7,759 7,580 1.71 1.74 1.75 1.76 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.78 1.80 1.81 1.83 1.85 1.87 1.88 1.94 1.97 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 14,400 14,472 28,872 14,458 16,572 31,030 14,404 16,755 31,159 14,410 16,803 31,213 (Thousand Metric Tons) 14,529 14,601 14,684 16,837 16,873 16,908 31,367 31,473 31,592 14,770 16,943 31,713 14,865 16,974 31,839 14,939 17,004 31,943 14,997 17,030 32,026 15,015 17,086 32,101 14,922 17,128 32,050 Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 57,800 9,200 1,850 16,572 85,422 59,209 9,775 1,857 16,755 87,597 60,878 9,631 1,853 16,803 89,167 62,606 9,712 1,851 16,837 91,005 64,510 9,799 1,850 16,873 93,031 66,352 9,888 1,848 16,908 94,996 68,240 9,982 1,846 16,943 97,011 70,089 71,983 73,932 75,949 81,991 86,028 10,068 10,154 10,232 10,296 10,482 10,639 1,845 1,843 1,841 1,840 1,829 1,820 16,974 17,004 17,030 17,050 17,107 17,153 98,976 100,983 103,035 105,134 111,409 115,640 -56,550 -56,567 -58,007 -59,792 -61,665 -63,522 -65,419 -67,262 -69,144 -71,092 -73,108 -79,308 -83,590 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 45,778 0 45,778 46,894 0 46,894 48,216 0 48,216 49,584 0 49,584 51,092 0 51,092 52,551 0 52,551 54,047 0 54,047 55,511 0 55,511 57,011 0 57,011 58,555 0 58,555 60,152 0 60,152 64,937 0 64,937 68,135 0 68,135 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 44,678 0 44,678 46,159 0 46,159 47,657 0 47,657 49,183 0 49,183 50,812 0 50,812 52,385 0 52,385 53,967 0 53,967 55,527 0 55,527 57,093 0 57,093 58,611 0 58,611 60,106 0 60,106 64,425 0 64,425 67,184 0 67,184 1,100 735 559 401 280 166 80 -17 -82 -56 46 513 951 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 10,317 171 10,488 10,657 220 10,877 11,049 225 11,274 11,457 228 11,685 11,902 230 12,132 12,341 231 12,572 12,795 232 13,027 13,246 234 13,480 13,712 235 13,947 14,195 236 14,430 14,696 236 14,932 16,234 238 16,471 17,291 239 17,530 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 12,198 220 12,418 12,071 225 12,296 12,471 228 12,700 12,887 230 13,117 13,318 231 13,549 13,762 232 13,994 14,228 234 14,462 14,706 235 14,941 15,196 236 15,432 15,713 236 15,949 16,259 237 16,496 17,981 238 18,219 19,247 239 19,487 -1,930 -1,419 -1,426 -1,432 -1,418 -1,422 -1,435 -1,461 -1,485 -1,519 -1,564 -1,747 -1,957 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 70 European Union Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Soybeans Area Harvested 350 352 346 Yield 2.86 2.87 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 347 (Thousand Hectares) 346 343 341 341 340 339 338 334 331 2.89 2.90 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.91 2.93 2.94 2.96 2.98 2.99 3.00 3.05 3.07 1,000 507 1,507 1,011 557 1,568 999 957 1,956 1,005 970 1,975 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,007 1,005 1,005 980 995 1,005 1,987 2,000 2,010 1,008 1,012 2,020 1,012 1,017 2,029 1,015 1,022 2,037 1,015 1,028 2,043 1,019 1,046 2,064 1,018 1,059 2,077 13,200 1,220 557 14,977 12,949 1,145 957 15,051 12,575 1,155 970 14,700 12,297 1,167 980 14,443 12,075 1,183 995 14,253 11,888 1,192 1,005 14,085 11,786 1,199 1,012 13,997 11,684 1,204 1,017 13,905 11,614 1,209 1,022 13,844 11,558 1,215 1,028 13,801 11,519 1,221 1,035 13,775 11,342 1,238 1,052 13,632 11,227 1,252 1,068 13,547 -13,470 -13,483 -12,744 -12,469 -12,266 -12,085 -11,986 -11,885 -11,815 -11,765 -11,732 -11,568 -11,470 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 10,399 200 10,599 10,201 207 10,408 9,907 290 10,197 9,688 307 9,994 9,513 331 9,844 9,365 361 9,727 9,285 387 9,671 9,204 405 9,609 9,149 420 9,570 9,106 434 9,540 9,075 451 9,526 8,935 497 9,432 8,845 531 9,376 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 33,192 207 33,399 32,554 290 32,845 32,570 307 32,877 32,487 331 32,819 32,466 361 32,827 32,324 387 32,711 32,276 405 32,681 32,156 420 32,577 32,060 434 32,495 32,041 451 32,492 32,087 467 32,554 32,146 514 32,660 32,298 552 32,851 -22,800 -22,437 -22,680 -22,824 -22,983 -22,984 -23,009 -22,967 -22,925 -22,952 -23,028 -23,228 -23,475 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,376 160 2,536 2,331 120 2,451 2,264 123 2,387 2,213 128 2,341 2,174 130 2,303 2,140 132 2,272 2,121 134 2,255 2,103 134 2,238 2,090 135 2,225 2,080 135 2,216 2,073 136 2,209 2,042 137 2,179 2,021 138 2,159 Food Use Biodiesel and Industrial Us Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,386 1,150 130 120 2,786 1,377 1,099 130 123 2,729 1,403 1,132 130 128 2,793 1,410 1,154 130 130 2,824 1,419 1,174 130 132 2,856 1,424 1,193 130 134 2,881 1,432 1,221 130 134 2,917 1,437 1,249 130 135 2,950 1,438 1,275 130 135 2,979 1,443 1,299 130 136 3,008 1,449 1,323 130 136 3,038 1,461 1,392 130 137 3,121 1,470 1,433 130 138 3,172 -250 -279 -406 -483 -552 -609 -662 -713 -753 -792 -829 -942 -1,013 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 71 Indian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 9,400 9,402 9,381 9,368 (Thousand Hectares) 9,424 9,479 9,529 9,563 9,593 9,617 9,638 9,691 9,730 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.04 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.08 1.09 1.10 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 9,600 1,150 10,750 9,687 1,050 10,737 9,719 1,110 10,829 9,747 1,127 10,874 (Thousand Metric Tons) 9,845 9,971 10,084 1,138 1,155 1,172 10,983 11,125 11,256 10,178 1,189 11,367 10,264 1,204 11,468 10,342 1,219 11,562 10,403 1,235 11,638 10,598 1,276 11,874 10,725 1,303 12,028 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 8,200 1,445 1,050 10,695 8,078 1,494 1,110 10,682 8,133 1,514 1,127 10,774 8,154 1,527 1,138 10,819 8,229 1,544 1,155 10,928 8,336 1,563 1,172 11,070 8,429 1,583 1,189 11,201 8,506 1,601 1,204 11,312 8,575 1,619 1,219 11,413 8,634 1,638 1,235 11,507 8,678 1,656 1,250 11,583 8,818 1,711 1,290 11,819 8,903 1,753 1,317 11,973 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 55 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,540 170 6,710 6,442 170 6,612 6,487 190 6,676 6,503 193 6,696 6,563 198 6,761 6,648 203 6,851 6,723 209 6,932 6,784 215 7,000 6,839 221 7,060 6,886 226 7,113 6,921 232 7,153 7,033 246 7,279 7,100 255 7,355 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,095 170 3,265 3,134 190 3,324 3,170 193 3,363 3,200 198 3,398 3,237 203 3,440 3,271 209 3,480 3,305 215 3,521 3,337 221 3,558 3,369 226 3,595 3,400 232 3,632 3,430 237 3,667 3,516 251 3,766 3,566 260 3,826 3,445 3,289 3,313 3,298 3,321 3,371 3,411 3,441 3,465 3,481 3,485 3,513 3,530 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,465 156 1,621 1,447 49 1,496 1,461 54 1,515 1,469 60 1,529 1,487 62 1,548 1,510 65 1,575 1,531 67 1,598 1,550 69 1,619 1,566 72 1,638 1,581 74 1,655 1,594 76 1,670 1,633 82 1,715 1,657 86 1,743 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,870 49 2,919 2,907 54 2,961 2,951 60 3,011 3,004 62 3,066 3,053 65 3,118 3,105 67 3,172 3,159 69 3,228 3,210 72 3,282 3,264 74 3,338 3,322 76 3,398 3,378 78 3,456 3,540 84 3,624 3,654 88 3,741 -1,298 -1,465 -1,495 -1,537 -1,570 -1,597 -1,630 -1,663 -1,700 -1,742 -1,787 -1,909 -1,998 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 72 Japanese Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Soybeans Area Harvested 145 145 141 Yield 1.55 1.56 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 225 89 314 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 142 (Thousand Hectares) 141 138 137 136 135 134 133 129 124 1.56 1.56 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 226 72 298 220 87 308 221 78 299 (Thousand Metric Tons) 219 216 213 79 88 93 298 303 306 212 97 309 210 100 310 209 102 311 207 107 313 201 120 321 194 133 327 2,472 990 230 72 3,764 2,514 1,005 230 87 3,836 2,578 993 228 78 3,877 2,549 993 228 79 3,849 2,541 1,000 227 88 3,855 2,503 1,004 226 93 3,826 2,475 1,006 224 97 3,803 2,429 1,006 223 100 3,758 2,390 1,007 222 102 3,721 2,344 1,009 222 107 3,682 2,305 1,012 221 111 3,649 2,179 1,022 218 127 3,544 2,095 1,035 214 142 3,486 -3,450 -3,539 -3,569 -3,550 -3,557 -3,523 -3,496 -3,449 -3,411 -3,371 -3,336 -3,224 -3,159 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,905 286 2,191 1,938 287 2,225 1,987 300 2,287 1,965 291 2,255 1,958 294 2,252 1,929 300 2,230 1,908 307 2,214 1,872 311 2,183 1,842 316 2,157 1,807 320 2,126 1,777 326 2,102 1,679 341 2,020 1,614 355 1,969 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,004 287 4,291 3,976 300 4,276 3,964 291 4,254 3,944 294 4,238 3,970 300 4,270 3,981 307 4,288 3,990 311 4,302 3,991 316 4,307 3,999 320 4,319 4,012 326 4,337 4,024 331 4,355 4,048 348 4,396 4,069 363 4,432 -2,100 -2,051 -1,967 -1,982 -2,018 -2,058 -2,087 -2,124 -2,162 -2,211 -2,253 -2,376 -2,463 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 452 11 463 460 10 470 471 9 480 466 9 475 465 9 474 458 10 468 453 11 464 444 11 455 437 11 448 429 11 440 422 11 433 398 12 410 383 13 396 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 493 10 503 490 9 499 491 9 500 488 9 497 486 10 496 482 11 493 479 11 490 474 11 486 470 11 481 466 11 477 462 12 473 450 12 462 443 13 456 -40 -29 -20 -22 -22 -25 -26 -30 -33 -37 -40 -52 -60 Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 73 Mexican Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 70 71 70 71 (Thousand Hectares) 73 74 75 77 78 79 81 84 87 Yield 1.50 1.53 1.54 1.56 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.58 1.60 1.62 1.64 1.66 1.68 1.70 1.77 1.81 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 105 46 151 109 46 155 109 49 158 111 49 160 (Thousand Metric Tons) 115 118 122 49 49 49 163 167 171 126 49 175 130 50 179 134 50 183 137 50 187 149 52 200 157 53 209 3,670 0 35 46 3,751 3,608 0 35 49 3,691 3,625 0 35 49 3,709 3,644 0 35 49 3,728 3,667 0 35 49 3,751 3,673 0 35 49 3,757 3,679 0 35 49 3,763 3,682 0 35 50 3,766 3,686 0 35 50 3,771 3,684 0 35 50 3,770 3,684 0 35 51 3,770 3,680 0 35 52 3,768 3,669 0 35 53 3,758 -3,600 -3,537 -3,551 -3,568 -3,587 -3,590 -3,592 -3,591 -3,592 -3,586 -3,582 -3,567 -3,548 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,890 28 2,918 2,841 31 2,872 2,855 34 2,889 2,870 34 2,904 2,887 34 2,922 2,893 34 2,927 2,897 35 2,932 2,899 35 2,934 2,903 36 2,939 2,901 36 2,938 2,901 37 2,938 2,898 39 2,938 2,889 41 2,930 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,300 31 4,331 4,110 34 4,144 4,119 34 4,153 4,126 34 4,160 4,142 34 4,176 4,161 35 4,196 4,191 35 4,226 4,215 36 4,251 4,242 36 4,278 4,270 37 4,307 4,299 38 4,337 4,380 40 4,420 4,501 42 4,543 -1,413 -1,272 -1,264 -1,256 -1,254 -1,269 -1,295 -1,316 -1,339 -1,370 -1,399 -1,483 -1,613 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 645 9 654 634 12 646 637 12 649 640 12 653 644 12 657 646 12 658 647 12 659 647 12 659 648 12 660 647 12 660 647 12 660 647 12 659 645 12 657 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 865 12 877 892 12 904 915 12 927 926 12 939 939 12 951 952 12 964 967 12 979 982 12 994 996 12 1,009 1,012 12 1,024 1,028 12 1,040 1,077 12 1,089 1,111 12 1,124 -223 -258 -278 -286 -294 -307 -321 -335 -349 -364 -380 -430 -466 Soybeans Area Harvested Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 74 Paraguayan Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,750 2,846 2,910 2,953 (Thousand Hectares) 2,986 3,024 3,069 3,118 3,169 3,220 3,271 3,421 3,517 2.36 2.39 2.41 2.43 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.46 2.48 2.51 2.53 2.56 2.58 2.61 2.68 2.73 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,500 61 6,561 6,804 66 6,870 7,019 72 7,091 7,179 73 7,252 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,332 7,512 7,701 76 78 80 7,408 7,590 7,781 7,903 82 7,984 8,110 83 8,193 8,320 84 8,404 8,528 86 8,614 9,164 90 9,255 9,591 94 9,685 Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,700 0 180 66 1,946 1,787 0 185 72 2,043 1,849 0 186 73 2,108 1,896 0 188 76 2,160 1,954 0 190 78 2,223 2,017 0 192 80 2,288 2,076 0 193 82 2,351 2,138 0 195 83 2,416 2,202 0 197 84 2,483 2,269 0 198 86 2,553 2,336 0 200 88 2,623 2,545 0 205 92 2,842 2,694 0 209 96 2,999 4,615 4,828 4,983 5,092 5,185 5,302 5,429 5,568 5,710 5,851 5,990 6,413 6,686 1,335 113 1,448 1,403 68 1,471 1,452 69 1,521 1,489 69 1,558 1,535 69 1,604 1,584 70 1,653 1,630 70 1,700 1,679 70 1,749 1,729 70 1,799 1,782 71 1,853 1,834 71 1,905 1,998 71 2,070 2,116 72 2,188 130 68 198 139 69 208 146 69 215 154 69 223 161 70 231 168 70 238 176 70 246 183 70 254 191 71 261 198 71 269 206 71 277 231 72 303 250 73 322 1,250 1,263 1,306 1,334 1,373 1,415 1,455 1,496 1,538 1,583 1,628 1,767 1,865 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 324 76 400 340 48 388 352 48 400 361 48 409 372 48 421 384 49 433 396 49 444 408 49 456 420 49 468 432 49 481 445 48 493 485 48 533 513 49 562 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 83 48 131 84 48 132 85 48 133 87 48 135 88 49 137 89 49 138 90 49 139 91 49 140 92 49 141 94 48 142 95 48 142 98 49 147 100 49 149 269 257 267 274 284 295 306 316 327 339 351 387 413 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 75 South Korean Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 80 81 76 75 (Thousand Hectares) 75 74 74 73 73 72 72 69 67 Yield 1.81 1.84 1.87 1.87 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.87 1.87 1.87 1.88 1.89 1.90 1.90 1.91 1.91 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 145 43 188 149 43 192 142 62 204 140 66 206 (Thousand Metric Tons) 139 139 139 67 68 69 206 207 207 138 70 208 138 71 209 137 72 210 136 74 210 132 79 211 128 83 211 906 403 46 43 1,398 928 413 46 62 1,449 907 416 45 66 1,434 894 417 44 67 1,422 897 417 44 68 1,426 895 418 44 69 1,425 896 419 44 70 1,429 892 419 44 71 1,426 890 420 43 72 1,426 889 422 43 74 1,428 890 423 43 76 1,432 890 427 42 81 1,440 897 431 41 86 1,455 -1,210 -1,257 -1,230 -1,216 -1,220 -1,218 -1,221 -1,218 -1,217 -1,219 -1,222 -1,230 -1,244 724 50 774 742 78 820 725 135 860 714 145 860 716 150 866 715 154 868 716 159 875 713 165 878 711 171 882 711 177 888 711 186 897 711 208 920 717 225 942 2,496 78 2,574 2,566 135 2,702 2,591 145 2,736 2,603 150 2,753 2,630 154 2,783 2,650 159 2,809 2,675 165 2,840 2,700 171 2,871 2,728 177 2,906 2,761 186 2,947 2,795 194 2,988 2,882 217 3,099 2,941 235 3,176 -1,800 -1,882 -1,876 -1,894 -1,917 -1,940 -1,964 -1,993 -2,023 -2,059 -2,091 -2,179 -2,235 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 164 24 188 168 30 198 164 32 196 162 33 195 162 33 195 162 33 195 162 33 195 161 33 194 161 33 194 161 33 194 161 33 194 161 33 194 162 34 196 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 453 30 483 487 32 518 513 33 546 521 33 554 529 33 562 535 33 568 542 33 575 549 33 582 557 33 590 565 33 598 573 33 606 597 33 630 612 34 646 -295 -320 -350 -360 -367 -373 -380 -388 -396 -404 -412 -436 -450 Soybeans Area Harvested Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 76 Taiwanese Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 155 155 0 150 150 0 167 167 0 172 172 2,225 280 0 150 2,655 2,250 290 0 167 2,708 2,271 294 0 172 2,737 2,290 296 0 175 2,761 2,311 299 0 179 2,789 2,329 302 0 184 2,815 -2,500 -2,558 -2,570 -2,588 -2,614 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,750 28 1,778 1,770 48 1,818 1,786 41 1,827 1,801 41 1,843 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,735 48 1,783 1,772 41 1,813 1,813 41 1,854 -5 4 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 397 2 399 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Soybeans Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 175 179 184 175 179 184 0 188 188 0 192 192 0 195 195 0 199 199 0 208 208 0 214 214 2,348 305 0 188 2,842 2,367 308 0 192 2,867 2,387 311 0 195 2,893 2,407 314 0 199 2,920 2,426 317 0 202 2,946 2,487 325 0 211 3,023 2,528 332 0 217 3,076 -2,635 -2,658 -2,679 -2,701 -2,724 -2,747 -2,815 -2,863 1,817 42 1,859 1,832 42 1,874 1,847 43 1,890 1,862 44 1,906 1,877 45 1,922 1,893 46 1,938 1,908 46 1,955 1,956 48 2,004 1,988 49 2,038 1,830 42 1,871 1,854 42 1,897 1,874 43 1,918 1,897 44 1,941 1,917 45 1,962 1,937 46 1,983 1,957 46 2,004 1,977 47 2,024 2,030 49 2,079 2,065 50 2,115 -27 -29 -37 -44 -51 -56 -60 -65 -69 -75 -77 401 8 409 405 11 417 409 16 425 412 17 430 416 19 435 419 21 440 422 22 445 426 23 449 429 25 454 433 26 458 444 28 472 451 29 481 386 8 394 403 11 415 425 16 441 433 17 451 443 19 462 452 21 473 460 22 482 467 23 490 473 25 498 479 26 505 484 26 511 497 29 526 504 30 534 5 -5 -25 -26 -33 -38 -43 -46 -49 -51 -52 -54 -54 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 77 Other African Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,176 1,184 1,175 1,177 (Thousand Hectares) 1,182 1,186 1,192 1,198 1,205 1,212 1,219 1,238 1,250 1.33 1.27 1.28 1.29 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.29 1.30 1.31 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.34 1.36 1.38 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,570 86 1,656 1,509 137 1,646 1,507 158 1,665 1,515 163 1,677 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,530 1,546 1,564 164 167 169 1,694 1,713 1,733 1,581 172 1,754 1,600 174 1,775 1,619 177 1,795 1,635 179 1,814 1,686 188 1,874 1,720 196 1,916 Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,630 401 521 137 3,689 2,708 415 543 158 3,823 2,731 418 544 163 3,855 2,758 418 545 164 3,886 2,800 420 549 167 3,935 2,835 422 553 169 3,979 2,873 424 558 172 4,027 2,905 425 562 174 4,067 2,939 427 567 177 4,109 2,974 428 571 179 4,153 3,010 430 577 182 4,199 3,109 436 592 192 4,329 3,178 442 604 200 4,424 -2,033 -2,177 -2,190 -2,209 -2,241 -2,266 -2,294 -2,313 -2,334 -2,358 -2,385 -2,455 -2,508 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,419 95 2,514 2,155 105 2,260 2,173 108 2,281 2,195 108 2,303 2,228 108 2,336 2,256 109 2,364 2,286 109 2,395 2,311 110 2,421 2,339 110 2,449 2,367 110 2,477 2,395 111 2,506 2,474 112 2,586 2,528 113 2,642 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,343 105 5,448 5,543 108 5,651 5,601 108 5,709 5,663 108 5,772 5,730 109 5,839 5,811 109 5,920 5,891 110 6,001 5,966 110 6,076 6,039 110 6,149 6,118 111 6,229 6,200 111 6,312 6,443 113 6,556 6,623 114 6,737 -2,934 -3,391 -3,428 -3,469 -3,503 -3,556 -3,606 -3,655 -3,700 -3,752 -3,806 -3,970 -4,095 577 67 644 514 65 579 518 66 584 524 67 590 531 67 598 538 67 605 545 67 612 551 67 618 558 67 625 565 67 632 571 67 639 590 68 658 603 68 671 2,240 65 2,305 2,284 66 2,350 2,364 67 2,430 2,420 67 2,487 2,476 67 2,543 2,532 67 2,599 2,594 67 2,661 2,654 67 2,721 2,714 67 2,781 2,776 67 2,843 2,840 67 2,907 3,037 68 3,105 3,176 68 3,244 -1,661 -1,771 -1,846 -1,897 -1,945 -1,994 -2,049 -2,102 -2,156 -2,211 -2,269 -2,447 -2,573 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 78 Other American Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,890 1,923 1,917 1,918 (Thousand Hectares) 1,924 1,928 1,934 1,941 1,948 1,954 1,959 1,976 1,986 1.83 1.84 1.85 1.86 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.87 1.88 1.89 1.90 1.91 1.93 1.94 1.97 2.00 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,453 108 3,561 3,546 85 3,631 3,555 120 3,676 3,559 127 3,686 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,589 3,620 3,651 130 137 141 3,720 3,757 3,792 3,686 145 3,831 3,725 148 3,873 3,763 152 3,914 3,792 158 3,950 3,896 172 4,068 3,962 184 4,146 Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,294 80 387 85 2,846 2,295 84 414 120 2,913 2,271 85 415 127 2,899 2,247 85 417 130 2,880 2,254 86 422 137 2,899 2,254 87 425 141 2,907 2,264 87 429 145 2,925 2,259 88 432 148 2,927 2,259 88 436 152 2,935 2,262 89 441 158 2,949 2,270 89 445 163 2,967 2,283 91 457 178 3,009 2,303 93 468 193 3,057 715 718 777 806 820 850 867 904 938 965 983 1,059 1,089 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,819 74 1,893 1,819 75 1,894 1,801 90 1,891 1,782 90 1,872 1,787 93 1,880 1,787 96 1,883 1,795 99 1,894 1,792 101 1,893 1,792 104 1,895 1,794 107 1,900 1,800 110 1,910 1,810 119 1,929 1,826 126 1,953 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6,625 75 6,700 6,891 90 6,980 6,946 90 7,037 7,025 93 7,118 7,109 96 7,205 7,190 99 7,289 7,264 101 7,366 7,336 104 7,440 7,411 107 7,517 7,501 110 7,612 7,584 113 7,698 7,826 123 7,949 8,025 131 8,156 -4,807 -5,086 -5,146 -5,246 -5,325 -5,406 -5,472 -5,547 -5,622 -5,712 -5,788 -6,019 -6,204 424 60 484 424 62 486 420 63 483 415 65 480 417 65 482 417 66 483 418 66 484 418 66 484 418 66 484 418 66 484 419 66 486 422 67 489 426 67 493 1,606 62 1,668 1,639 63 1,702 1,681 65 1,746 1,706 65 1,772 1,730 66 1,796 1,749 66 1,815 1,771 66 1,837 1,793 66 1,859 1,817 66 1,883 1,842 66 1,908 1,866 66 1,933 1,941 67 2,007 1,994 67 2,061 -1,184 -1,216 -1,263 -1,291 -1,314 -1,332 -1,352 -1,375 -1,399 -1,424 -1,447 -1,519 -1,568 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 79 Other Asian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,440 1,461 1,441 1,437 (Thousand Hectares) 1,440 1,441 1,443 1,445 1,449 1,453 1,455 1,466 1,469 1.53 1.46 1.47 1.48 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.61 1.63 2,197 696 2,893 2,135 659 2,794 2,124 761 2,885 2,131 780 2,911 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,156 2,177 2,198 790 810 827 2,946 2,987 3,025 2,220 844 3,064 2,244 856 3,100 2,268 868 3,135 2,288 883 3,171 2,356 923 3,279 2,398 956 3,354 5,624 3,593 1,491 659 11,366 5,821 3,707 1,544 761 11,833 5,854 3,729 1,541 780 11,903 5,888 3,740 1,543 790 11,961 5,966 3,762 1,553 810 12,090 6,028 3,781 1,560 827 12,196 6,104 3,800 1,568 844 12,315 6,160 3,814 1,575 856 12,405 6,227 3,826 1,581 868 12,502 6,296 3,843 1,590 883 12,611 6,370 3,859 1,597 897 12,723 6,572 3,906 1,620 939 13,038 6,718 3,948 1,638 977 13,281 -8,474 -9,039 -9,018 -9,050 -9,144 -9,209 -9,290 -9,341 -9,402 -9,475 -9,553 -9,758 -9,927 4,558 408 4,966 4,701 459 5,160 4,727 509 5,237 4,755 514 5,269 4,818 522 5,340 4,868 532 5,400 4,930 543 5,473 4,975 554 5,529 5,028 563 5,592 5,084 571 5,656 5,144 582 5,726 5,307 609 5,916 5,425 630 6,055 19,816 459 20,275 20,652 509 21,161 20,900 514 21,413 21,163 522 21,684 21,445 532 21,976 21,740 543 22,283 22,013 554 22,566 22,264 563 22,827 22,500 571 23,071 22,764 582 23,346 23,020 591 23,611 23,772 619 24,391 24,333 642 24,975 -15,309 -16,001 -16,177 -16,416 -16,637 -16,883 -17,093 -17,298 -17,480 -17,691 -17,886 -18,475 -18,921 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,053 98 1,151 1,090 99 1,189 1,096 102 1,198 1,102 104 1,207 1,117 105 1,222 1,129 106 1,235 1,143 106 1,249 1,154 107 1,260 1,166 107 1,273 1,179 108 1,286 1,193 108 1,301 1,231 109 1,339 1,258 110 1,368 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,128 99 2,227 2,074 102 2,175 2,099 104 2,203 2,101 105 2,206 2,106 106 2,212 2,107 106 2,213 2,111 107 2,218 2,112 107 2,220 2,112 108 2,220 2,113 108 2,221 2,114 108 2,222 2,115 109 2,224 2,117 110 2,227 -1,076 -986 -1,006 -1,000 -990 -978 -968 -959 -947 -935 -922 -885 -860 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 80 Other European Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2,245 2,037 2,038 2,049 (Thousand Hectares) 2,060 2,070 2,082 2,097 2,112 2,128 2,144 2,196 2,233 1.57 1.53 1.54 1.55 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.60 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.67 1.69 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,533 132 3,665 3,110 222 3,332 3,136 231 3,367 3,167 233 3,400 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,210 3,254 3,299 235 238 241 3,445 3,492 3,540 3,348 243 3,591 3,400 245 3,645 3,452 246 3,698 3,500 248 3,747 3,660 251 3,911 3,776 253 4,029 Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,021 391 184 222 4,818 3,898 391 173 231 4,693 3,946 391 174 233 4,745 3,996 392 176 235 4,798 4,054 392 179 238 4,862 4,108 392 181 241 4,922 4,167 392 183 243 4,986 4,222 392 185 245 5,044 4,279 392 188 246 5,105 4,337 393 190 248 5,167 4,396 393 192 249 5,229 4,566 393 198 252 5,410 4,681 393 202 255 5,532 -1,153 -1,361 -1,378 -1,398 -1,417 -1,430 -1,446 -1,453 -1,461 -1,469 -1,482 -1,498 -1,503 Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,178 104 3,282 3,081 67 3,148 3,119 70 3,189 3,158 71 3,229 3,204 72 3,275 3,247 73 3,320 3,294 74 3,367 3,337 75 3,412 3,382 75 3,458 3,428 76 3,504 3,474 77 3,551 3,609 78 3,687 3,700 79 3,779 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,386 67 4,453 4,557 70 4,627 4,604 71 4,675 4,662 72 4,733 4,735 73 4,808 4,806 74 4,880 4,868 75 4,942 4,920 75 4,995 4,966 76 5,042 5,015 77 5,092 5,062 77 5,139 5,181 79 5,260 5,264 80 5,344 -1,171 -1,479 -1,486 -1,505 -1,532 -1,560 -1,575 -1,584 -1,585 -1,588 -1,588 -1,572 -1,565 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 770 13 783 746 13 759 756 13 769 765 13 778 776 13 789 787 13 800 798 14 811 808 14 822 819 14 833 830 14 844 842 14 855 874 14 888 896 14 910 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 481 13 494 485 13 499 490 13 503 491 13 505 493 13 506 494 14 508 495 14 509 496 14 509 496 14 510 496 14 510 497 14 511 497 14 511 497 14 511 289 261 265 274 283 292 303 312 323 334 345 377 399 Soybeans Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 81 Other Oceanian Soybean Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 45 46 47 47 (Thousand Hectares) 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 56 58 Yield 2.24 2.27 2.28 2.29 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.30 2.31 2.33 2.34 2.35 2.37 2.38 2.36 2.36 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 101 1 102 104 1 105 106 5 111 108 5 113 (Thousand Metric Tons) 111 114 116 5 6 6 116 119 123 119 7 126 122 7 129 125 8 132 127 8 136 136 10 146 142 11 153 Crush Food Use Feed Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 96 2 5 1 104 99 2 5 5 110 99 2 5 5 111 99 2 6 5 112 100 2 6 6 113 101 2 6 6 115 101 2 6 7 116 102 2 6 7 117 102 2 6 8 118 103 2 7 8 120 104 2 7 9 121 105 2 7 10 125 107 2 8 12 128 -2 -5 0 2 3 5 6 9 11 13 15 21 25 76 0 76 78 0 78 78 0 78 79 0 79 79 0 79 80 0 80 80 0 80 80 0 80 81 0 81 81 0 81 82 0 82 83 0 83 85 0 85 614 0 614 638 0 638 642 0 642 646 0 646 652 0 652 659 0 659 666 0 666 672 0 672 677 0 677 683 0 683 688 0 688 705 0 705 720 0 720 -538 -560 -563 -568 -573 -580 -586 -592 -596 -601 -606 -622 -635 Soybean Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 17 2 19 17 2 19 18 2 20 18 2 20 18 2 20 18 2 20 18 2 20 18 2 20 18 2 20 18 2 20 18 2 21 19 2 21 19 2 21 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 59 2 61 60 2 62 62 2 64 63 2 65 63 2 66 64 2 66 65 2 67 66 2 68 67 2 69 68 2 70 68 2 71 71 2 73 72 2 75 -42 -43 -44 -45 -46 -46 -47 -48 -49 -49 -50 -52 -54 Soybeans Area Harvested Net Trade Soybean Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 82 Rapeseed Trade and World Prices 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,500 6,130 1,277 20 1,270 6,429 1,505 78 1,276 6,552 1,650 81 1,276 6,648 1,758 82 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,273 1,268 1,266 6,702 6,765 6,825 1,850 1,930 2,003 83 84 86 1,267 6,899 2,073 89 1,272 6,973 2,142 94 1,275 7,075 2,212 99 1,277 7,186 2,277 106 1,282 7,547 2,497 132 1,286 7,816 2,651 153 9,230 9,584 9,861 10,067 10,211 10,351 10,482 10,630 10,784 10,963 11,149 11,760 12,209 1,900 1,950 15 2,200 165 1,191 1,802 6 0 -303 2,168 1,823 15 2,249 160 1,299 1,857 13 0 -303 2,058 2,143 15 2,254 167 1,333 1,879 12 0 -303 2,008 2,349 15 2,259 177 1,337 1,911 11 0 -303 2,042 2,419 15 2,265 174 1,343 1,941 11 0 -303 2,055 2,518 15 2,264 174 1,344 1,970 10 0 -303 2,077 2,604 15 2,263 167 1,348 2,000 10 0 -303 2,111 2,686 15 2,265 158 1,355 2,030 9 0 -303 2,147 2,775 15 2,267 153 1,361 2,057 8 0 -303 2,213 2,871 15 2,264 147 1,364 2,083 7 0 -303 2,284 2,980 15 2,259 135 1,364 2,105 6 0 -303 2,655 3,204 15 2,245 101 1,370 2,167 3 0 -303 2,996 3,311 15 2,234 73 1,372 2,207 1 0 -303 Total Net Imports 9,230 9,584 9,861 10,067 10,211 10,351 10,482 10,630 10,784 10,963 11,149 11,760 12,209 Prices Cash Vancouver CIF Hamburg 513 506 478 470 487 480 492 485 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 488 487 490 481 480 483 489 482 488 481 489 481 491 484 490 482 485 478 Net Exporters Australia Canada Ukraine Other Europe Total Net Exports † Net Importers China European Union India Japan United States Other Amercia Other Asia Other Africa Other Oceania Residual 15/16 † Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. Rapeseed Meal Trade and World Price Net Exporters Australia Canada European Union India Ukraine Other Africa Total Net Exports † Net Importers China Japan United States Other Amercia Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Price FOB Hamburg 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 10 2,300 50 750 4 0 0 2,483 0 851 6 1 0 2,568 38 763 8 0 0 2,667 33 724 11 0 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 2,774 2,865 2,946 -5 7 31 675 643 636 14 17 19 0 0 0 0 3,031 48 643 22 0 0 3,115 66 655 24 0 0 3,194 73 672 27 0 0 3,270 71 688 29 0 0 3,501 47 772 35 0 0 3,645 -14 868 40 -1 3,114 3,340 3,378 3,435 3,463 3,533 3,633 3,744 3,860 3,966 4,058 4,356 4,553 300 120 1,644 263 663 59 0 65 375 94 1,698 252 761 96 0 65 517 84 1,651 223 747 90 0 65 581 82 1,645 224 751 87 0 65 601 82 1,644 225 754 86 0 65 647 82 1,662 231 761 85 0 65 699 83 1,699 236 767 84 0 65 743 83 1,754 241 776 82 0 65 791 85 1,811 244 784 80 0 65 820 88 1,870 250 795 79 0 65 838 91 1,927 255 804 77 0 65 886 99 2,128 268 837 72 0 65 886 104 2,270 278 865 69 0 65 3,114 3,340 3,378 3,435 3,463 3,533 3,633 3,744 3,860 3,966 4,058 4,356 4,553 237 206 216 220 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 223 223 221 216 212 206 201 183 166 † Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 83 Rapeseed Oil Trade and World Price Net Exporters Australia Canada Ukraine Other Asia Total Net Exports † Net Importers China European Union India Japan United States Other Amercia Other Europe Other Africa Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Price FOB Hamburg 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 84 1,760 1 239 96 1,911 2 231 96 1,968 4 223 97 2,036 6 220 (Thousand Metric Tons) 99 101 102 2,112 2,176 2,233 8 11 13 216 213 213 104 2,296 15 213 107 2,359 17 213 109 2,418 19 212 111 2,475 21 210 116 2,649 26 202 120 2,765 30 195 2,266 2,422 2,473 2,541 2,617 2,681 2,743 2,810 2,877 2,939 2,998 3,174 3,292 590 420 22 25 980 53 131 12 33 -181 723 547 22 27 978 17 62 12 33 -181 812 522 22 29 979 3 58 13 34 -181 874 516 22 31 989 7 54 14 34 -181 901 539 22 33 1,013 11 50 14 35 -181 944 530 22 35 1,036 18 46 15 36 -181 965 558 22 37 1,046 22 41 15 36 -181 972 606 22 38 1,060 24 36 16 37 -181 981 645 22 40 1,077 27 31 16 37 -181 986 687 22 42 1,090 30 26 17 38 -181 987 730 22 44 1,104 35 21 17 38 -181 967 814 22 50 1,208 47 7 20 40 -181 951 805 22 54 1,343 54 -2 21 41 -181 2,266 2,422 2,473 2,541 2,617 2,681 2,743 2,810 2,877 2,939 2,998 3,174 3,292 1,153 1,173 1,178 1,195 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,194 1,202 1,223 1,241 1,257 1,277 1,296 1,344 1,376 † Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 84 World Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Rapeseed Area Harvested 31,991 32,462 32,566 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 58,005 7,437 65,442 62,347 5,443 67,790 Crush Other Use Residual Ending Stocks Domestic Use 56,588 3,714 -303 5,443 65,442 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 32,758 (Thousand Hectares) 32,933 33,045 33,231 33,444 33,632 33,816 34,034 34,620 34,999 62,792 5,587 68,379 63,564 5,608 69,172 (Thousand Metric Tons) 64,440 65,212 66,098 5,636 5,682 5,722 70,076 70,893 71,820 67,112 5,755 72,867 68,116 5,791 73,908 69,097 5,825 74,922 70,064 5,852 75,917 73,027 5,927 78,954 75,016 5,987 81,003 58,621 3,884 -303 5,587 67,790 58,829 4,245 -303 5,608 68,379 59,395 4,444 -303 5,636 69,172 60,091 4,606 -303 5,682 70,076 60,734 4,741 -303 5,722 70,893 61,539 4,829 -303 5,755 71,820 62,482 4,897 -303 5,791 72,867 63,417 4,969 -303 5,825 73,908 64,337 5,035 -303 5,852 74,922 65,234 5,110 -303 5,875 75,917 68,001 5,299 -303 5,957 78,954 69,872 5,416 -303 6,018 81,003 9,230 9,584 9,861 10,067 10,211 10,351 10,482 10,630 10,784 10,963 11,149 11,760 12,209 Rapeseed Meal Production Consumption Ending Stocks Trade * 33,566 33,472 260 3,114 34,798 34,698 295 3,340 34,908 34,846 293 3,378 35,237 35,168 297 3,435 35,647 35,577 302 3,463 36,022 35,952 307 3,533 36,493 36,423 313 3,633 37,047 36,975 320 3,744 37,595 37,524 326 3,860 38,135 38,063 333 3,966 38,663 38,592 339 4,058 40,292 40,220 359 4,356 41,396 41,323 374 4,553 Rapeseed Oil Production Consumption Ending Stocks Trade * 22,571 23,088 765 2,266 23,366 23,541 772 2,422 23,468 23,638 783 2,473 23,704 23,876 792 2,541 23,988 24,157 805 2,617 24,253 24,426 813 2,681 24,584 24,761 818 2,743 24,968 25,146 821 2,810 25,349 25,527 824 2,877 25,722 25,902 826 2,939 26,086 26,266 828 2,998 27,204 27,382 835 3,174 27,958 28,136 841 3,292 3.33 3.36 3.34 3.34 3.36 3.37 3.39 3.41 3.43 3.48 3.51 Trade * Per Capita Consumption 14/15 15/16 (Kilograms) 3.34 3.34 * Excludes intraregional trade. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 85 U.S. Canola Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Canola Area Harvested 574 593 603 Yield 2.00 2.03 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,149 120 1,270 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Canola Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Canola Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 605 (Thousand Hectares) 611 611 615 622 627 632 640 669 694 2.05 2.07 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 2.09 2.11 2.13 2.15 2.17 2.20 2.22 2.28 2.32 1,205 168 1,372 1,237 174 1,412 1,253 174 1,428 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,278 1,292 1,313 175 177 179 1,453 1,469 1,491 1,340 179 1,519 1,363 180 1,543 1,387 181 1,568 1,417 182 1,599 1,523 184 1,706 1,607 186 1,793 1,237 29 168 1,434 1,326 32 174 1,532 1,372 32 174 1,579 1,397 33 175 1,604 1,417 33 177 1,627 1,430 34 179 1,642 1,444 34 179 1,658 1,462 35 180 1,677 1,479 36 181 1,696 1,496 36 182 1,714 1,515 37 182 1,735 1,584 39 185 1,808 1,639 40 187 1,866 -165 -160 -167 -177 -174 -174 -167 -158 -153 -147 -135 -101 -73 728 5 733 806 5 812 834 5 840 849 5 854 861 5 867 869 5 875 878 5 883 889 5 894 899 5 905 909 5 915 921 5 927 963 5 968 996 5 1,001 2,372 5 2,378 2,504 5 2,509 2,485 5 2,491 2,494 5 2,500 2,506 5 2,511 2,531 5 2,537 2,577 5 2,582 2,643 5 2,648 2,711 5 2,716 2,779 5 2,785 2,849 5 2,854 3,091 5 3,096 3,266 5 3,271 -1,644 -1,698 -1,651 -1,645 -1,644 -1,662 -1,699 -1,754 -1,811 -1,870 -1,927 -2,128 -2,270 529 80 609 550 90 640 568 96 665 579 103 682 587 108 695 592 114 706 598 118 717 606 121 727 613 123 736 620 125 745 628 126 754 656 130 786 679 132 811 1,499 90 1,589 1,522 96 1,618 1,541 103 1,644 1,563 108 1,671 1,594 114 1,708 1,624 118 1,742 1,642 121 1,763 1,664 123 1,787 1,688 125 1,813 1,709 126 1,835 1,730 127 1,858 1,863 131 1,994 2,020 134 2,154 -980 -978 -979 -989 -1,013 -1,036 -1,046 -1,060 -1,077 -1,090 -1,104 -1,208 -1,343 Note: Rapeseed varieties low in erucic acid and glucosinulates are produced under the name canola in Canada and the U.S. They are equivalent to 00 rapeseed varieties produced elsewhere. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 86 Australian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,610 1,547 1,540 1,532 (Thousand Hectares) 1,522 1,512 1,506 1,500 1,494 1,488 1,484 1,469 1,459 1.34 1.29 1.30 1.31 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.32 1.33 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.41 1.42 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,150 382 2,532 1,999 312 2,311 2,005 316 2,321 2,010 317 2,327 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,014 2,013 2,014 318 321 323 2,332 2,333 2,337 2,021 324 2,345 2,031 325 2,357 2,039 327 2,365 2,046 328 2,374 2,066 330 2,396 2,079 333 2,412 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 685 35 312 1,032 690 35 316 1,041 694 35 317 1,045 699 34 318 1,051 704 35 321 1,059 708 34 323 1,065 713 34 324 1,071 718 35 325 1,078 724 35 327 1,085 729 34 328 1,091 734 34 328 1,096 748 34 331 1,114 758 35 334 1,126 1,500 1,270 1,276 1,276 1,273 1,268 1,266 1,267 1,272 1,275 1,277 1,282 1,286 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 395 0 395 398 0 398 400 0 400 403 0 403 406 0 406 408 0 408 411 0 411 414 0 414 417 0 417 420 0 420 423 0 423 432 0 432 437 0 437 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 385 0 385 398 0 398 400 0 400 403 0 403 406 0 406 408 0 408 411 0 411 414 0 414 417 0 417 420 0 420 423 0 423 432 0 432 437 0 437 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 274 37 311 276 47 323 278 47 325 279 47 327 281 47 329 283 47 331 285 47 333 287 47 335 289 47 337 291 47 339 293 47 341 299 47 347 303 47 351 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 180 47 227 180 47 227 182 47 229 182 47 229 182 47 230 183 47 230 183 47 230 183 47 230 183 47 230 183 47 230 183 47 230 183 47 230 183 47 230 84 96 96 97 99 101 102 104 107 109 111 116 120 Rapeseed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 87 Canadian Canola Sector Supply and Utilization Canola Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Canola Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Canola Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 6,300 6,455 6,500 6,577 (Thousand Hectares) 6,629 6,678 6,726 6,780 6,832 6,889 6,955 7,153 7,291 1.75 1.93 1.95 1.97 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.99 2.02 2.03 2.05 2.07 2.09 2.11 2.17 2.21 11,000 2,123 13,123 12,472 1,273 13,745 12,698 1,314 14,011 12,968 1,309 14,277 (Thousand Metric Tons) 13,216 13,459 13,681 1,305 1,301 1,308 14,522 14,760 14,989 13,921 1,322 15,243 14,160 1,335 15,495 14,419 1,347 15,766 14,680 1,358 16,037 15,507 1,387 16,895 16,088 1,411 17,499 5,370 350 1,273 6,993 5,631 372 1,314 7,316 5,776 374 1,309 7,459 5,945 379 1,305 7,629 6,137 382 1,301 7,820 6,300 387 1,308 7,995 6,447 394 1,322 8,163 6,607 402 1,335 8,344 6,767 409 1,347 8,522 6,917 416 1,358 8,691 7,062 423 1,367 8,851 7,502 446 1,399 9,348 7,796 463 1,424 9,683 6,130 6,429 6,552 6,648 6,702 6,765 6,825 6,899 6,973 7,075 7,186 7,547 7,816 3,125 61 3,186 3,277 56 3,333 3,361 57 3,418 3,460 56 3,516 3,571 56 3,628 3,666 56 3,722 3,752 56 3,808 3,845 56 3,901 3,938 57 3,994 4,025 57 4,082 4,109 57 4,166 4,366 57 4,423 4,537 58 4,595 830 56 886 793 57 850 793 56 850 793 56 850 797 56 854 801 56 857 806 56 862 814 57 870 823 57 879 831 57 888 840 57 897 864 57 922 892 58 950 2,300 2,483 2,568 2,667 2,774 2,865 2,946 3,031 3,115 3,194 3,270 3,501 3,645 2,230 24 2,254 2,338 69 2,407 2,399 69 2,467 2,469 69 2,538 2,548 69 2,617 2,616 69 2,685 2,677 69 2,746 2,744 69 2,812 2,810 69 2,879 2,872 69 2,941 2,932 69 3,001 3,115 69 3,185 3,238 69 3,307 425 69 494 427 69 496 430 69 499 433 69 502 437 69 505 440 69 509 444 69 513 447 69 516 451 69 520 454 69 523 457 69 526 467 69 536 473 69 542 1,760 1,911 1,968 2,036 2,112 2,176 2,233 2,296 2,359 2,418 2,475 2,649 2,765 Note: Rapeseed varieties low in erucic acid and glucosinulates are produced under the name canola in Canada and the U.S. They are equivalent to 00 rapeseed varieties produced elsewhere. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 88 Chinese Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 7,200 7,261 7,163 7,126 (Thousand Hectares) 7,104 7,054 7,024 6,998 6,962 6,921 6,893 6,727 6,580 1.78 1.87 1.88 1.90 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.92 1.94 1.96 1.98 2.00 2.02 2.04 2.10 2.13 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 12,800 2,114 14,914 13,562 1,564 15,126 13,495 1,564 15,059 13,567 1,564 15,131 (Thousand Metric Tons) 13,666 13,717 13,774 1,564 1,564 1,564 15,230 15,281 15,338 13,857 1,564 15,421 13,932 1,564 15,496 13,987 1,564 15,551 14,047 1,564 15,611 14,096 1,564 15,660 14,043 1,564 15,607 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 14,700 550 1,564 16,814 15,154 577 1,564 17,294 14,977 577 1,564 17,118 14,995 581 1,564 17,139 15,122 586 1,564 17,272 15,184 588 1,564 17,336 15,261 590 1,564 17,415 15,374 594 1,564 17,532 15,483 596 1,564 17,643 15,603 597 1,564 17,764 15,733 597 1,564 17,894 16,156 594 1,564 18,315 16,448 591 1,564 18,603 -1,900 -2,168 -2,058 -2,008 -2,042 -2,055 -2,077 -2,111 -2,147 -2,213 -2,284 -2,655 -2,996 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 9,242 0 9,242 9,527 0 9,527 9,416 0 9,416 9,427 0 9,427 9,507 0 9,507 9,546 0 9,546 9,595 0 9,595 9,666 0 9,666 9,734 0 9,734 9,810 0 9,810 9,892 0 9,892 10,158 0 10,158 10,341 0 10,341 Feed Use Industrial Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 9,192 350 0 9,542 9,524 378 0 9,902 9,553 380 0 9,934 9,624 385 0 10,008 9,720 388 0 10,109 9,800 393 0 10,193 9,896 398 0 10,294 10,005 404 0 10,409 10,117 409 0 10,526 10,216 414 0 10,630 10,313 417 0 10,730 10,615 428 0 11,044 10,791 437 0 11,227 -300 -375 -517 -581 -601 -647 -699 -743 -791 -820 -838 -886 -886 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 5,219 600 5,819 5,380 309 5,689 5,317 309 5,626 5,324 309 5,633 5,369 309 5,678 5,391 309 5,700 5,418 309 5,727 5,458 309 5,767 5,497 309 5,806 5,540 309 5,849 5,586 309 5,895 5,736 309 6,045 5,840 309 6,149 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6,100 309 6,409 6,103 309 6,412 6,130 309 6,439 6,198 309 6,507 6,269 309 6,578 6,335 309 6,644 6,384 309 6,693 6,430 309 6,739 6,478 309 6,787 6,526 309 6,835 6,572 309 6,881 6,703 309 7,012 6,791 309 7,100 -590 -723 -812 -874 -901 -944 -965 -972 -981 -986 -987 -967 -951 Rapeseed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 89 European Union Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 6,800 6,829 6,734 6,726 (Thousand Hectares) 6,755 6,781 6,846 6,923 6,992 7,056 7,120 7,313 7,438 2.94 3.16 3.18 3.20 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.23 3.25 3.27 3.29 3.32 3.34 3.36 3.42 3.47 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 20,000 1,864 21,864 21,611 1,044 22,655 21,445 1,103 22,547 21,551 1,120 22,671 (Thousand Metric Tons) 21,797 22,032 22,382 1,141 1,171 1,189 22,938 23,202 23,571 22,791 1,198 23,989 23,185 1,209 24,394 23,561 1,219 24,779 23,907 1,227 25,134 25,030 1,248 26,278 25,791 1,265 27,056 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 21,900 870 1,044 23,814 22,469 906 1,103 24,477 22,657 913 1,120 24,690 22,955 925 1,141 25,020 23,243 943 1,171 25,357 23,577 955 1,189 25,721 24,014 963 1,198 26,175 24,495 972 1,209 26,675 24,970 980 1,219 27,169 25,437 987 1,227 27,651 25,887 993 1,233 28,113 27,211 1,014 1,257 29,482 28,063 1,029 1,274 30,367 -1,950 -1,823 -2,143 -2,349 -2,419 -2,518 -2,604 -2,686 -2,775 -2,871 -2,980 -3,204 -3,311 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 12,612 75 12,687 12,939 85 13,024 13,048 96 13,144 13,219 96 13,315 13,386 98 13,483 13,578 100 13,678 13,830 102 13,932 14,106 104 14,210 14,380 106 14,486 14,649 108 14,757 14,908 110 15,018 15,671 115 15,786 16,161 119 16,281 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 12,552 85 12,637 12,928 96 13,024 13,009 96 13,105 13,184 98 13,282 13,388 100 13,488 13,568 102 13,671 13,797 104 13,901 14,056 106 14,162 14,312 108 14,420 14,574 110 14,684 14,835 112 14,947 15,621 117 15,738 16,173 121 16,295 50 0 38 33 -5 7 31 48 66 73 71 47 -14 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 9,108 259 9,367 9,345 142 9,487 9,423 144 9,566 9,547 148 9,694 9,667 151 9,817 9,805 155 9,960 9,987 157 10,144 10,187 158 10,345 10,385 158 10,543 10,579 159 10,738 10,766 159 10,926 11,317 161 11,478 11,671 162 11,834 Food Use Biodiesel and Industrial Us Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,731 7,909 5 142 9,787 2,045 7,839 5 144 10,034 2,031 7,905 5 148 10,089 2,036 8,018 5 151 10,210 2,046 8,151 5 155 10,356 2,054 8,274 5 157 10,490 2,058 8,481 5 158 10,702 2,061 8,726 5 158 10,950 2,061 8,963 5 159 11,188 2,063 9,197 5 159 11,425 2,067 9,424 5 160 11,656 2,073 10,052 5 162 12,292 2,076 10,395 5 163 12,639 -420 -547 -522 -516 -539 -530 -558 -606 -645 -687 -730 -814 -805 Rapeseed Total Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 90 Indian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 6,600 6,669 6,849 6,960 (Thousand Hectares) 7,035 7,096 7,167 7,237 7,305 7,375 7,450 7,683 7,856 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.08 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.09 1.09 1.10 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.15 1.17 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 7,000 430 7,430 7,135 650 7,785 7,372 668 8,040 7,522 673 8,195 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,635 7,741 7,857 678 686 692 8,313 8,426 8,548 7,982 697 8,679 8,120 702 8,822 8,257 707 8,964 8,399 712 9,111 8,841 724 9,565 9,168 732 9,900 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,995 800 650 7,445 6,285 847 668 7,800 6,197 1,185 673 8,055 6,182 1,350 678 8,210 6,174 1,468 686 8,328 6,182 1,568 692 8,441 6,241 1,626 697 8,563 6,332 1,660 702 8,694 6,429 1,701 707 8,837 6,528 1,740 712 8,979 6,621 1,789 716 9,126 6,955 1,897 728 9,580 7,222 1,958 735 9,915 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 -15 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,588 21 3,609 3,762 21 3,783 3,709 21 3,730 3,700 21 3,721 3,695 21 3,716 3,700 21 3,721 3,735 21 3,756 3,789 21 3,810 3,848 21 3,869 3,907 21 3,928 3,963 21 3,984 4,163 21 4,184 4,322 21 4,343 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,838 21 2,859 2,911 21 2,932 2,946 21 2,967 2,976 21 2,997 3,021 21 3,042 3,056 21 3,077 3,099 21 3,120 3,147 21 3,168 3,193 21 3,214 3,235 21 3,256 3,275 21 3,296 3,391 21 3,412 3,454 21 3,475 750 851 763 724 675 643 636 643 655 672 688 772 868 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,265 4 2,269 2,375 4 2,379 2,341 4 2,345 2,336 4 2,340 2,333 4 2,337 2,335 4 2,339 2,358 4 2,362 2,392 4 2,396 2,429 4 2,433 2,466 4 2,470 2,502 4 2,506 2,628 4 2,632 2,728 4 2,732 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,287 4 2,291 2,397 4 2,401 2,363 4 2,367 2,358 4 2,362 2,355 4 2,359 2,358 4 2,362 2,380 4 2,384 2,414 4 2,418 2,451 4 2,455 2,488 4 2,492 2,524 4 2,528 2,650 4 2,654 2,751 4 2,755 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 -22 Rapeseed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 91 Japanese Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.03 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.13 1.15 1 87 88 1 86 87 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1 1 1 86 88 90 88 90 91 1 90 91 1 91 92 1 92 93 1 92 93 1 94 95 1 96 97 2,243 5 87 2,336 2,251 5 86 2,342 2,254 5 86 2,345 2,259 5 88 2,353 2,259 5 90 2,353 2,258 5 90 2,353 2,261 5 91 2,357 2,263 5 92 2,359 2,260 5 92 2,357 2,255 5 93 2,353 2,240 5 95 2,340 2,229 5 97 2,331 -2,200 -2,249 -2,254 -2,259 -2,265 -2,264 -2,263 -2,265 -2,267 -2,264 -2,259 -2,245 -2,234 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,244 15 1,259 1,274 20 1,294 1,278 24 1,302 1,280 22 1,302 1,283 22 1,305 1,282 23 1,306 1,282 24 1,306 1,284 25 1,308 1,285 26 1,311 1,283 27 1,310 1,280 28 1,308 1,272 32 1,304 1,266 35 1,300 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,359 20 1,379 1,363 24 1,387 1,364 22 1,386 1,361 22 1,383 1,364 23 1,387 1,364 24 1,388 1,364 25 1,389 1,366 26 1,392 1,368 27 1,395 1,370 28 1,398 1,370 29 1,400 1,370 33 1,403 1,368 36 1,404 -120 -94 -84 -82 -82 -82 -83 -83 -85 -88 -91 -99 -104 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 880 14 894 901 11 912 904 9 913 905 8 913 907 9 916 907 11 918 907 12 919 908 12 920 909 12 921 908 12 920 906 12 918 900 13 913 895 14 909 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 908 11 919 931 9 939 934 8 942 936 9 944 938 11 949 941 12 952 943 12 955 946 12 958 949 12 961 950 12 962 950 12 962 949 13 963 949 14 963 -25 -27 -29 -31 -33 -35 -37 -38 -40 -42 -44 -50 -54 Rapeseed Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 1 1 1 1 1.00 1.01 1.02 1 80 81 1 85 86 2,191 5 85 2,281 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 16/17 (Thousand Hectares) 1 1 92 Ukrainian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Rapeseed Area Harvested 870 987 1,056 1,099 (Thousand Hectares) 1,128 1,151 1,171 1,189 1,207 1,223 1,240 1,290 1,324 Yield 1.61 1.66 1.69 1.73 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.77 1.81 1.85 1.88 1.92 1.95 1.98 2.09 2.16 1,400 3 1,403 1,635 3 1,638 1,786 3 1,789 1,900 3 1,903 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,997 2,084 2,162 3 3 3 2,000 2,087 2,165 2,238 3 2,241 2,313 3 2,316 2,388 3 2,391 2,459 3 2,462 2,694 3 2,697 2,859 3 2,862 118 5 3 126 124 5 3 133 130 6 3 139 136 6 3 145 141 6 3 151 147 6 3 157 153 7 3 162 158 7 3 168 164 7 3 174 169 7 3 179 175 7 3 185 190 8 3 201 200 8 3 211 1,277 1,505 1,650 1,758 1,850 1,930 2,003 2,073 2,142 2,212 2,277 2,497 2,651 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 67 0 67 71 0 71 74 0 74 77 0 77 80 0 80 84 0 84 87 0 87 90 0 90 93 0 93 96 0 96 99 0 99 108 0 108 113 0 113 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 63 0 63 65 0 65 65 0 65 66 0 66 66 0 66 67 0 67 67 0 67 68 0 68 69 0 69 69 0 69 70 0 70 72 0 72 74 0 74 4 6 8 11 14 17 19 22 24 27 29 35 40 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 46 2 48 49 1 50 51 1 52 53 1 54 55 1 56 57 1 58 60 1 60 62 1 62 64 1 64 66 1 67 68 1 69 74 1 75 78 1 78 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 46 1 47 46 1 47 46 1 47 47 1 47 47 1 47 47 1 48 47 1 48 47 1 48 47 1 48 47 1 48 47 1 48 48 1 48 48 1 49 1 2 4 6 8 11 13 15 17 19 21 26 30 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 93 Other African Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 42 55 55 55 (Thousand Hectares) 56 56 57 58 59 59 60 63 64 1.40 0.99 0.99 1.00 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.03 1.03 1.05 1.06 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 58 0 58 54 0 54 54 0 54 55 0 55 (Thousand Metric Tons) 56 57 58 0 0 0 56 57 58 59 0 59 60 0 60 61 0 61 62 0 62 66 0 66 68 0 68 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 15 50 0 65 17 49 0 67 17 50 0 66 17 50 0 67 17 50 0 67 18 50 0 67 18 50 0 67 18 50 0 68 19 50 0 68 19 50 0 68 19 50 0 68 19 50 0 69 19 50 0 69 -6 -13 -12 -11 -11 -10 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -3 -1 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 9 0 9 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 9 0 9 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 6 1 7 7 0 7 7 0 7 7 0 7 7 0 7 7 0 7 7 0 7 7 0 7 7 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 19 0 19 19 0 19 20 0 20 20 0 20 21 0 21 22 0 22 22 0 23 23 0 23 24 0 24 24 0 25 25 0 25 27 0 27 29 0 29 -12 -12 -13 -14 -14 -15 -15 -16 -16 -17 -17 -20 -21 Rapeseed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 94 Other American Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Rapeseed Area Harvested 130 173 178 Yield 2.22 1.75 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 288 47 335 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 183 (Thousand Hectares) 189 194 200 205 211 217 222 240 251 1.75 1.75 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.77 1.78 1.78 1.79 1.80 1.81 302 47 349 312 53 365 322 54 376 (Thousand Metric Tons) 332 342 352 56 59 61 388 401 413 363 62 425 375 63 439 387 65 452 398 66 464 432 69 501 456 71 527 1,316 163 47 1,526 1,431 164 53 1,648 1,480 164 54 1,698 1,493 164 56 1,713 1,509 164 59 1,731 1,520 164 61 1,745 1,535 164 62 1,761 1,553 164 63 1,781 1,570 164 65 1,800 1,585 164 66 1,815 1,597 164 67 1,828 1,636 165 70 1,871 1,662 165 73 1,899 -1,191 -1,299 -1,333 -1,337 -1,343 -1,344 -1,348 -1,355 -1,361 -1,364 -1,364 -1,370 -1,372 754 0 754 820 0 820 848 1 849 856 1 857 864 1 866 871 1 872 879 1 881 890 2 891 900 2 902 908 2 910 915 2 917 937 3 940 952 3 956 1,017 0 1,017 1,071 1 1,072 1,071 1 1,072 1,079 1 1,080 1,090 1 1,091 1,102 1 1,104 1,115 2 1,117 1,130 2 1,132 1,144 2 1,146 1,158 2 1,160 1,170 3 1,172 1,205 3 1,209 1,230 4 1,234 -263 -252 -223 -224 -225 -231 -236 -241 -244 -250 -255 -268 -278 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 568 17 585 618 11 629 639 11 650 644 11 656 651 11 662 656 12 668 662 12 674 670 12 682 678 12 689 684 12 696 689 12 701 706 12 718 717 12 729 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 627 11 638 635 11 646 641 11 652 651 11 662 662 12 674 674 12 685 684 12 696 694 12 706 705 12 716 714 12 726 724 12 736 753 12 765 772 12 784 -53 -17 -3 -7 -11 -18 -22 -24 -27 -30 -35 -47 -54 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 95 Other Asian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Rapeseed Area Harvested 934 951 945 Yield 1.19 1.20 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,107 110 1,217 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 945 (Thousand Hectares) 948 949 953 957 961 966 971 987 996 1.21 1.22 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.23 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.30 1.32 1,140 119 1,259 1,141 122 1,263 1,149 123 1,271 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,162 1,172 1,183 123 124 125 1,285 1,296 1,307 1,196 125 1,321 1,211 125 1,336 1,225 126 1,351 1,240 126 1,366 1,287 127 1,414 1,319 128 1,447 2,151 750 119 3,020 2,210 784 122 3,116 2,224 796 123 3,142 2,250 809 123 3,182 2,278 824 124 3,226 2,304 837 125 3,266 2,334 848 125 3,307 2,365 861 125 3,351 2,395 873 126 3,394 2,423 885 126 3,434 2,449 896 127 3,471 2,523 931 128 3,582 2,570 955 129 3,654 -1,802 -1,857 -1,879 -1,911 -1,941 -1,970 -2,000 -2,030 -2,057 -2,083 -2,105 -2,167 -2,207 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,265 49 1,314 1,300 68 1,368 1,308 85 1,393 1,323 85 1,408 1,340 86 1,426 1,355 88 1,443 1,372 90 1,463 1,391 93 1,484 1,408 96 1,504 1,425 99 1,524 1,440 102 1,542 1,484 110 1,594 1,512 117 1,628 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,909 68 1,977 2,044 85 2,129 2,055 85 2,140 2,073 86 2,160 2,092 88 2,180 2,114 90 2,204 2,137 93 2,230 2,164 96 2,260 2,189 99 2,288 2,216 102 2,318 2,241 105 2,346 2,318 113 2,432 2,374 120 2,494 -663 -761 -747 -751 -754 -761 -767 -776 -784 -795 -804 -837 -865 1,071 16 1,087 1,100 23 1,123 1,107 24 1,131 1,120 25 1,145 1,134 25 1,159 1,147 26 1,173 1,162 26 1,188 1,177 26 1,203 1,192 27 1,219 1,206 27 1,233 1,219 27 1,246 1,256 27 1,283 1,280 28 1,307 824 23 847 868 24 892 883 25 908 900 25 925 917 26 943 934 26 960 948 26 975 963 27 990 979 27 1,005 994 27 1,020 1,008 27 1,035 1,054 28 1,082 1,085 28 1,113 239 231 223 220 216 213 213 213 213 212 210 202 195 Net Trade Net Trade Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 96 Other European Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Rapeseed Area Harvested 928 938 941 Yield 1.13 1.31 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,048 164 1,212 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 947 (Thousand Hectares) 953 957 964 972 979 987 996 1,023 1,043 1.32 1.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.45 1.47 1,229 178 1,407 1,244 183 1,427 1,263 185 1,448 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,283 1,301 1,319 186 189 190 1,469 1,489 1,509 1,340 192 1,531 1,362 193 1,555 1,384 194 1,578 1,407 195 1,601 1,481 197 1,678 1,535 198 1,733 910 105 178 1,193 1,040 106 183 1,330 1,055 107 185 1,347 1,073 107 186 1,366 1,090 108 189 1,386 1,106 109 190 1,405 1,122 110 192 1,423 1,139 110 193 1,442 1,156 111 194 1,461 1,173 112 195 1,479 1,188 112 196 1,496 1,235 114 198 1,546 1,265 116 199 1,579 20 78 81 82 83 84 86 89 94 99 106 132 153 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 537 5 542 614 5 619 623 6 629 633 6 639 643 6 649 652 6 659 662 7 669 672 7 679 682 7 689 692 7 699 701 7 708 729 8 736 746 8 755 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 596 5 601 709 6 715 713 6 719 720 6 726 729 6 735 737 7 744 746 7 752 754 7 761 762 7 769 770 7 778 778 8 786 800 8 808 816 8 824 -59 -96 -90 -87 -86 -85 -84 -82 -80 -79 -77 -72 -69 Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 375 47 422 428 58 486 435 58 493 442 58 500 449 59 507 455 59 514 462 59 521 469 59 528 476 59 535 483 59 542 489 59 549 508 59 568 521 60 580 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 495 58 553 490 58 548 492 58 551 495 59 554 498 59 557 501 59 560 503 59 562 505 59 564 507 59 566 509 59 568 510 59 570 516 60 575 519 60 579 -131 -62 -58 -54 -50 -46 -41 -36 -31 -26 -21 -7 2 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 97 Other Oceanian Rapeseed Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1.33 1.35 1.35 1.36 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.42 1.46 1.48 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rapeseed Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 0 33 33 0 33 34 0 34 34 0 34 35 0 35 36 0 36 36 0 36 37 0 37 37 0 37 38 0 38 38 0 38 40 0 40 41 0 41 -33 -33 -34 -34 -35 -36 -36 -37 -37 -38 -38 -40 -41 Rapeseed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Rapeseed Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 16/17 (Thousand Hectares) 2 2 98 Sunflower Seed Trade and World Price 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 -35 145 145 109 92 66 -1 -160 137 359 56 100 136 -1 -71 107 370 84 93 184 -1 -59 114 397 100 91 168 0 1,007 1,221 1,148 1,162 1,201 1,234 -250 680 291 -200 -233 852 208 -200 -110 871 206 -200 -91 886 218 -200 -99 915 229 -200 Total Net Imports 1,007 1,221 1,148 1,162 1,201 Price CIF Lower Rhine 558 472 488 499 Net Exporters Argentina China Ukraine United States Other Amercia Other Europe Other Oceania Total Net Exports † Net Importers European Union Other Asia Other Africa Residual 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) -57 -50 -50 121 124 128 431 462 491 103 103 106 94 96 97 154 138 119 0 0 0 -54 131 519 102 100 102 1 -58 134 547 94 103 93 1 -68 134 570 90 106 91 1 -79 132 587 89 109 94 2 -114 116 650 70 123 93 3 -137 99 693 71 135 96 4 1,272 1,315 1,356 1,393 1,427 1,518 1,576 -111 946 238 -200 -129 976 246 -200 -160 1,008 252 -200 -184 1,039 258 -200 -201 1,060 265 -200 -214 1,079 269 -200 -263 1,125 279 -200 -279 1,157 282 -200 1,234 1,272 1,315 1,356 1,393 1,427 1,518 1,576 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 502 505 507 506 502 502 501 489 475 † Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. Sunflower Meal Trade and World Price Net Exporters Argentina Ukraine United States Other Amercia Other Europe Total Net Exports † Net Importers China European Union Other Asia Other Africa Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Price CIF Rotterdam 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 785 2,520 14 56 111 747 2,504 14 46 383 759 2,509 14 54 366 762 2,523 14 59 373 (Thousand Metric Tons) 766 768 772 2,540 2,557 2,570 14 14 14 64 68 72 372 369 372 778 2,585 14 75 381 782 2,600 14 78 395 787 2,617 14 82 406 792 2,635 14 85 419 810 2,678 14 95 483 822 2,708 14 101 533 3,488 3,696 3,704 3,733 3,759 3,778 3,802 3,835 3,871 3,908 3,948 4,082 4,180 -2 2,030 726 370 0 362 -2 2,168 773 392 0 362 -2 2,154 793 395 0 362 -2 2,163 811 396 0 362 -2 2,178 822 396 0 362 -2 2,176 841 398 1 362 -2 2,177 860 402 1 362 -2 2,182 883 406 1 362 -2 2,191 905 411 1 362 -2 2,195 934 416 2 362 -2 2,203 960 421 2 362 -2 2,236 1,042 440 2 362 -2 2,262 1,098 454 3 362 3,488 3,696 3,704 3,733 3,759 3,778 3,802 3,835 3,871 3,908 3,948 4,082 4,180 244 204 213 215 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 216 214 211 206 200 194 189 168 150 † Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 99 Sunflower Oil Trade and World Price 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 975 2,400 71 52 892 2,378 43 409 918 2,390 47 387 943 2,403 48 413 (Thousand Metric Tons) 966 988 1,011 2,418 2,438 2,454 50 52 56 435 456 483 1,036 2,473 59 516 1,060 2,490 62 551 1,086 2,510 66 584 1,112 2,529 71 618 1,191 2,584 84 739 1,248 2,618 96 826 3,498 3,723 3,742 3,806 3,869 3,934 4,004 4,084 4,163 4,246 4,330 4,599 4,789 150 670 7 1,463 842 38 328 196 885 27 1,377 873 37 328 209 844 22 1,405 897 38 328 220 852 18 1,431 919 38 328 229 869 15 1,450 939 39 328 240 878 14 1,473 962 39 328 251 890 13 1,496 985 40 328 263 908 13 1,522 1,010 41 328 276 921 12 1,549 1,036 41 328 287 935 12 1,581 1,061 42 328 298 951 11 1,612 1,088 43 328 334 996 10 1,712 1,175 44 328 361 1,029 10 1,780 1,237 46 328 Total Net Imports 3,498 3,723 3,742 3,806 3,869 3,934 4,004 4,084 4,163 4,246 4,330 4,599 4,789 Price FOB NW Europe 1,204 1,120 1,149 1,184 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,210 1,235 1,259 1,276 1,291 1,310 1,330 1,375 1,401 Net Exporters Argentina Ukraine United States Other Europe Total Net Exports † Net Importers China European Union Other Amercia Other Asia Other Africa Other Oceania Residual 15/16 † Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 100 World Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested 23,932 24,544 24,087 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 30,734 1,651 32,385 33,552 1,212 34,764 Crush Other Use Residual Ending Stocks Domestic Use 27,122 4,251 -200 1,212 32,385 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 24,069 (Thousand Hectares) 24,076 24,050 24,077 24,109 24,119 24,132 24,175 24,265 24,358 33,242 1,445 34,687 33,541 1,450 34,991 (Thousand Metric Tons) 33,884 34,206 34,555 1,473 1,509 1,541 35,357 35,714 36,095 34,944 1,567 36,511 35,328 1,594 36,922 35,681 1,621 37,301 36,045 1,641 37,686 37,179 1,705 38,884 37,985 1,750 39,734 29,040 4,479 -200 1,445 34,764 28,982 4,455 -200 1,450 34,687 29,236 4,481 -200 1,473 34,991 29,534 4,514 -200 1,509 35,357 29,832 4,541 -200 1,541 35,714 30,159 4,569 -200 1,567 36,095 30,517 4,599 -200 1,594 36,511 30,874 4,627 -200 1,621 36,922 31,210 4,650 -200 1,641 37,301 31,549 4,674 -200 1,662 37,686 32,608 4,748 -200 1,727 38,884 33,344 4,812 -200 1,778 39,734 1,007 1,221 1,148 1,162 1,201 1,234 1,272 1,315 1,356 1,393 1,427 1,518 1,576 Sunflower Meal Production Consumption Ending Stocks Trade * 11,996 11,669 376 3,488 12,753 12,367 399 3,696 12,723 12,360 400 3,704 12,826 12,461 403 3,733 12,948 12,582 408 3,759 13,073 12,706 412 3,778 13,211 12,845 416 3,802 13,362 12,996 420 3,835 13,513 13,147 424 3,871 13,656 13,290 428 3,908 13,800 13,435 431 3,948 14,247 13,881 441 4,082 14,557 14,191 448 4,180 Sunflower Oil Production Consumption Ending Stocks Trade * 11,359 11,380 657 3,498 12,183 11,823 689 3,723 12,160 11,828 694 3,742 12,269 11,938 697 3,806 12,397 12,063 704 3,869 12,525 12,194 707 3,934 12,664 12,334 709 4,004 12,817 12,487 711 4,084 12,969 12,639 714 4,163 13,112 12,784 715 4,246 13,257 12,928 716 4,330 13,708 13,379 720 4,599 14,022 13,692 725 4,789 1.64 1.69 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.71 Trade * Per Capita Consumption 14/15 15/16 (Kilograms) 1.67 1.67 * Excludes intraregional trade. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 101 U.S. Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested 758 763 736 Yield 1.74 1.78 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,318 163 1,481 Crush Food Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 746 (Thousand Hectares) 744 742 746 746 743 742 746 745 763 1.79 1.81 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.83 1.85 1.86 1.88 1.90 1.92 1.94 2.00 2.04 1,354 145 1,499 1,319 177 1,496 1,351 171 1,522 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,360 1,371 1,390 174 175 177 1,534 1,546 1,568 1,405 180 1,585 1,414 183 1,596 1,426 185 1,611 1,446 187 1,634 1,489 196 1,684 1,555 203 1,758 688 539 145 1,372 693 573 177 1,443 679 562 171 1,412 680 569 174 1,422 685 571 175 1,431 692 574 177 1,443 703 579 180 1,462 717 583 183 1,483 731 586 185 1,502 744 589 187 1,521 760 594 190 1,544 809 606 199 1,614 851 625 211 1,687 109 56 84 100 103 103 106 102 94 90 89 70 71 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 337 5 341 339 5 344 332 5 337 333 5 337 335 5 340 339 5 343 344 5 349 351 5 356 358 5 363 365 5 369 372 5 377 396 5 401 417 5 421 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 323 5 327 325 5 330 318 5 323 319 5 323 321 5 326 325 5 329 330 5 335 337 5 342 344 5 348 350 5 355 358 5 363 382 5 386 403 5 407 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 297 38 335 298 29 327 292 31 323 292 31 323 295 31 325 298 31 328 303 31 334 309 31 340 315 32 346 320 32 352 327 32 360 348 34 382 366 35 401 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 236 29 264 253 31 284 246 31 276 245 31 276 245 31 275 246 31 277 247 31 278 249 32 281 252 32 284 254 32 287 256 33 289 264 34 298 269 35 304 71 43 47 48 50 52 56 59 62 66 71 84 96 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 102 Argentine Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,650 1,769 1,827 1,871 (Thousand Hectares) 1,907 1,939 1,972 2,001 2,027 2,052 2,079 2,154 2,208 1.70 1.70 1.71 1.72 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.73 1.74 1.74 1.75 1.77 1.78 1.79 1.82 1.84 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,800 565 3,365 3,010 370 3,380 3,125 410 3,535 3,215 409 3,624 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,292 3,367 3,437 412 417 424 3,705 3,784 3,861 3,508 428 3,937 3,578 433 4,011 3,645 438 4,083 3,712 440 4,153 3,914 451 4,365 4,060 456 4,516 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,000 30 370 3,400 3,089 40 410 3,539 3,154 42 409 3,606 3,226 45 412 3,683 3,297 47 417 3,761 3,362 49 424 3,834 3,430 51 428 3,910 3,505 53 433 3,991 3,577 55 438 4,069 3,654 56 440 4,151 3,730 58 444 4,231 3,962 62 454 4,479 4,128 66 460 4,653 -35 -160 -71 -59 -57 -50 -50 -54 -58 -68 -79 -114 -137 1,270 70 1,340 1,308 55 1,363 1,335 61 1,396 1,366 60 1,426 1,396 61 1,457 1,423 62 1,485 1,452 63 1,515 1,484 64 1,548 1,514 65 1,579 1,547 66 1,613 1,579 67 1,646 1,677 69 1,747 1,747 71 1,819 500 55 555 555 61 616 577 60 637 603 61 664 629 62 691 654 63 717 679 64 743 705 65 770 732 66 798 759 67 825 786 68 853 867 70 937 925 72 997 785 747 759 762 766 768 772 778 782 787 792 810 822 1,235 212 1,447 1,272 105 1,377 1,299 107 1,406 1,328 107 1,435 1,357 107 1,465 1,384 108 1,492 1,412 108 1,520 1,443 108 1,551 1,472 109 1,581 1,504 109 1,613 1,535 109 1,644 1,631 109 1,740 1,699 109 1,808 367 105 472 377 107 484 380 107 488 385 107 493 390 108 498 396 108 504 401 108 510 407 109 515 412 109 521 418 109 527 423 109 532 440 109 549 451 109 560 975 892 918 943 966 988 1,011 1,036 1,060 1,086 1,112 1,191 1,248 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 103 Chinese Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested 930 907 881 Yield 1.81 1.81 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,680 0 1,680 Crush Food Use Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 880 (Thousand Hectares) 880 876 875 872 869 864 858 832 812 1.80 1.81 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.82 1.83 1.83 1.84 1.85 1.86 1.87 1.90 1.92 1,640 0 1,640 1,589 0 1,589 1,593 0 1,593 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,600 1,602 1,605 0 0 0 1,600 1,602 1,605 1,608 0 1,608 1,610 0 1,610 1,610 0 1,610 1,606 0 1,606 1,583 0 1,583 1,561 0 1,561 755 685 95 0 1,535 685 725 93 0 1,503 662 729 90 0 1,482 656 734 89 0 1,479 652 739 89 0 1,480 645 745 88 0 1,478 640 750 88 0 1,477 633 756 88 0 1,477 626 763 87 0 1,476 621 768 87 0 1,476 617 771 86 0 1,474 600 785 83 0 1,468 586 796 80 0 1,462 145 137 107 114 121 124 128 131 134 134 132 116 99 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 415 0 415 376 0 376 364 0 364 361 0 361 358 0 358 355 0 355 352 0 352 348 0 348 344 0 344 342 0 342 339 0 339 330 0 330 322 0 322 Feed Use Industrial Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 352 61 0 413 308 66 0 374 294 68 0 362 289 70 0 359 284 72 0 356 278 74 0 353 273 77 0 350 267 79 0 346 261 81 0 342 256 84 0 340 251 86 0 337 233 94 0 328 220 100 0 320 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 270 0 270 245 0 245 237 0 237 235 0 235 233 0 233 231 0 231 229 0 229 226 0 226 224 0 224 222 0 222 221 0 221 214 0 214 210 0 210 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 420 0 420 441 0 441 446 0 446 454 0 454 462 0 462 471 0 471 480 0 480 490 0 490 500 0 500 509 0 509 519 0 519 549 0 549 570 0 570 -150 -196 -209 -220 -229 -240 -251 -263 -276 -287 -298 -334 -361 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 104 European Union Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 3,800 3,920 3,765 3,722 (Thousand Hectares) 3,698 3,677 3,675 3,680 3,678 3,674 3,673 3,665 3,652 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.82 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.84 1.86 1.88 1.90 1.92 1.94 1.95 2.01 2.04 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,700 322 7,022 6,995 252 7,247 6,786 302 7,087 6,778 306 7,084 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,803 6,840 6,900 313 323 330 7,116 7,163 7,231 6,979 335 7,314 7,051 340 7,392 7,112 346 7,458 7,171 350 7,521 7,357 363 7,720 7,464 372 7,836 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,800 720 252 6,772 5,925 788 302 7,014 5,888 783 306 6,977 5,891 789 313 6,993 5,893 801 323 7,017 5,913 809 330 7,052 5,950 816 335 7,101 5,989 825 340 7,155 6,030 832 346 7,208 6,069 839 350 7,257 6,108 845 354 7,307 6,222 867 367 7,457 6,298 882 378 7,558 250 233 110 91 99 111 129 160 184 201 214 263 279 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,164 88 3,252 3,232 104 3,336 3,212 113 3,326 3,214 114 3,327 3,215 115 3,330 3,226 117 3,343 3,246 119 3,365 3,267 120 3,388 3,290 122 3,412 3,311 123 3,434 3,332 125 3,457 3,394 129 3,523 3,435 132 3,567 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,178 104 5,282 5,391 113 5,504 5,365 114 5,479 5,375 115 5,490 5,391 117 5,509 5,400 119 5,519 5,421 120 5,542 5,448 122 5,570 5,479 123 5,602 5,504 125 5,629 5,534 126 5,660 5,629 130 5,759 5,696 133 5,830 -2,030 -2,168 -2,154 -2,163 -2,178 -2,176 -2,177 -2,182 -2,191 -2,195 -2,203 -2,236 -2,262 Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,301 273 2,574 2,350 161 2,511 2,336 178 2,514 2,337 182 2,519 2,338 185 2,523 2,346 190 2,536 2,360 193 2,553 2,376 194 2,570 2,392 196 2,588 2,408 197 2,605 2,423 198 2,621 2,468 201 2,670 2,498 204 2,702 Food Use Biodiesel and Industrial Us Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,828 230 25 161 3,244 2,961 255 3 178 3,396 2,914 259 3 182 3,358 2,921 262 3 185 3,371 2,933 266 3 190 3,392 2,948 270 3 193 3,413 2,968 278 3 194 3,443 2,991 289 3 196 3,478 3,010 299 3 197 3,509 3,030 309 3 198 3,540 3,051 319 3 199 3,572 3,113 347 3 203 3,666 3,159 363 3 206 3,731 -670 -885 -844 -852 -869 -878 -890 -908 -921 -935 -951 -996 -1,029 Sunflower Seed Total Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 105 Ukrainian Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 4,300 4,394 4,377 4,378 (Thousand Hectares) 4,385 4,392 4,403 4,413 4,423 4,432 4,445 4,481 4,506 1.51 1.53 1.55 1.56 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.58 1.60 1.62 1.63 1.65 1.67 1.68 1.73 1.76 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,500 1 6,501 6,728 6 6,734 6,769 10 6,779 6,846 11 6,857 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,935 7,027 7,116 12 12 13 6,946 7,040 7,129 7,207 14 7,221 7,300 14 7,314 7,389 15 7,404 7,474 15 7,489 7,744 16 7,760 7,927 16 7,944 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6,298 52 6 6,356 6,310 55 10 6,375 6,343 55 11 6,409 6,392 56 12 6,459 6,447 57 12 6,516 6,507 57 13 6,577 6,567 58 14 6,638 6,630 58 14 6,702 6,694 59 15 6,767 6,760 59 15 6,834 6,827 59 15 6,902 7,033 61 16 7,110 7,172 61 17 7,250 145 359 370 397 431 462 491 519 547 570 587 650 693 2,636 0 2,636 2,641 10 2,651 2,655 12 2,667 2,675 12 2,687 2,698 12 2,711 2,723 13 2,736 2,748 13 2,762 2,775 13 2,788 2,802 14 2,815 2,829 14 2,843 2,858 14 2,872 2,944 15 2,958 3,002 15 3,017 106 10 116 135 12 147 145 12 157 152 12 165 158 13 171 166 13 180 178 13 191 190 14 204 202 14 216 212 14 226 223 14 237 266 15 281 293 15 309 2,520 2,504 2,509 2,523 2,540 2,557 2,570 2,585 2,600 2,617 2,635 2,678 2,708 2,667 12 2,679 2,672 20 2,692 2,686 26 2,712 2,707 26 2,733 2,730 26 2,756 2,756 25 2,781 2,781 24 2,805 2,807 24 2,831 2,835 23 2,858 2,863 22 2,885 2,891 21 2,912 2,978 18 2,997 3,037 17 3,054 259 20 279 288 26 314 296 26 322 304 26 330 312 25 338 319 24 343 327 24 351 336 23 359 345 22 367 354 21 375 363 20 383 395 17 413 420 16 436 2,400 2,378 2,390 2,403 2,418 2,438 2,454 2,473 2,490 2,510 2,529 2,584 2,618 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 106 Other African Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested 906 1,072 1,048 1,049 (Thousand Hectares) 1,053 1,056 1,062 1,067 1,071 1,075 1,082 1,097 1,109 Yield 1.01 1.01 1.02 1.02 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.03 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.06 1.07 1.09 1.10 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 911 26 937 1,084 14 1,098 1,066 40 1,106 1,072 42 1,114 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,084 1,095 1,107 43 45 47 1,126 1,140 1,154 1,120 49 1,169 1,133 52 1,185 1,145 54 1,199 1,157 56 1,214 1,196 64 1,260 1,223 70 1,293 851 363 14 1,228 898 368 40 1,307 902 368 42 1,312 920 368 43 1,332 942 368 45 1,356 962 369 47 1,378 981 369 49 1,400 1,001 369 52 1,422 1,019 370 54 1,443 1,037 370 56 1,464 1,054 370 59 1,483 1,101 372 67 1,539 1,129 373 73 1,575 -291 -208 -206 -218 -229 -238 -246 -252 -258 -265 -269 -279 -282 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 364 20 384 384 24 408 386 24 410 394 24 418 403 24 427 412 24 436 420 24 444 428 24 452 436 24 460 444 24 468 451 24 475 471 24 495 483 24 507 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 730 24 754 776 24 800 781 24 805 790 24 814 799 24 823 810 24 834 822 24 846 834 24 858 847 24 871 859 24 883 872 24 896 911 24 935 937 24 961 -370 -392 -395 -396 -396 -398 -402 -406 -411 -416 -421 -440 -454 437 29 466 462 25 487 464 25 489 473 25 498 484 25 509 494 25 519 504 25 529 514 25 539 524 25 549 533 25 558 541 25 566 565 25 590 580 25 605 1,283 25 1,308 1,334 25 1,359 1,361 25 1,386 1,392 25 1,417 1,423 25 1,448 1,456 25 1,481 1,489 25 1,514 1,524 25 1,549 1,559 25 1,584 1,594 25 1,619 1,629 25 1,654 1,740 25 1,765 1,817 25 1,842 -842 -873 -897 -919 -939 -962 -985 -1,010 -1,036 -1,061 -1,088 -1,175 -1,237 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 107 Other American Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested 548 565 563 Yield 1.45 1.46 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 793 41 834 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 569 (Thousand Hectares) 578 586 593 600 606 613 621 643 658 1.47 1.48 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.53 1.55 1.56 1.57 1.60 1.63 825 35 860 829 42 871 845 42 886 (Thousand Metric Tons) 865 884 901 42 43 44 907 927 945 918 45 963 937 46 983 955 47 1,002 973 48 1,020 1,030 50 1,080 1,069 52 1,121 585 122 35 742 589 129 42 760 606 129 42 777 623 130 42 795 638 132 43 813 652 134 44 830 667 136 45 847 680 137 46 864 694 139 47 880 707 141 48 896 720 142 49 911 758 148 51 957 782 151 53 986 92 100 93 91 94 96 97 100 103 106 109 123 135 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 255 23 278 257 22 279 264 23 287 271 23 294 278 23 301 284 23 307 291 23 314 297 23 320 302 23 326 308 24 332 314 24 338 331 24 355 341 25 365 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 200 22 222 210 23 233 211 23 233 212 23 235 214 23 237 216 23 239 219 23 242 221 23 245 224 24 247 226 24 250 229 24 252 235 24 260 240 25 264 56 46 54 59 64 68 72 75 78 82 85 95 101 Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 249 31 280 250 19 269 258 19 277 265 19 284 271 19 291 277 19 297 283 20 303 289 20 309 295 20 314 301 20 320 306 20 326 322 20 342 332 20 352 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 268 19 287 277 19 297 279 19 299 283 19 302 287 19 306 291 20 311 297 20 316 302 20 322 307 20 327 312 20 332 317 20 337 332 20 352 342 20 362 -7 -27 -22 -18 -15 -14 -13 -13 -12 -12 -11 -10 -10 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 108 Other Asian Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 4,238 4,320 4,177 4,150 (Thousand Hectares) 4,133 4,102 4,075 4,047 4,014 3,982 3,954 3,871 3,813 0.76 0.85 0.86 0.87 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.97 0.99 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,215 175 3,390 3,671 143 3,814 3,588 152 3,740 3,604 152 3,756 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,632 3,648 3,662 153 154 156 3,785 3,803 3,817 3,677 157 3,834 3,690 158 3,849 3,699 160 3,858 3,708 161 3,869 3,744 165 3,909 3,762 167 3,930 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,285 642 143 4,070 3,839 674 152 4,665 3,793 666 152 4,611 3,821 668 153 4,641 3,874 671 154 4,700 3,919 674 156 4,748 3,961 676 157 4,793 4,005 679 158 4,842 4,047 681 160 4,888 4,074 683 161 4,918 4,100 685 162 4,948 4,175 693 166 5,034 4,219 699 169 5,087 -680 -852 -871 -886 -915 -946 -976 -1,008 -1,039 -1,060 -1,079 -1,125 -1,157 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,356 0 1,356 1,585 35 1,620 1,566 35 1,601 1,577 35 1,612 1,599 35 1,634 1,618 35 1,653 1,635 35 1,670 1,653 35 1,688 1,671 35 1,706 1,682 35 1,717 1,693 35 1,728 1,723 35 1,758 1,742 35 1,777 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,047 35 2,082 2,358 35 2,393 2,359 35 2,394 2,388 35 2,423 2,421 35 2,456 2,458 35 2,493 2,495 35 2,530 2,536 35 2,571 2,576 35 2,611 2,615 35 2,650 2,653 35 2,688 2,765 35 2,800 2,840 35 2,875 -726 -773 -793 -811 -822 -841 -860 -883 -905 -934 -960 -1,042 -1,098 Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,342 296 1,638 1,568 266 1,834 1,549 269 1,818 1,560 269 1,829 1,582 269 1,851 1,600 270 1,870 1,618 270 1,888 1,636 271 1,906 1,653 271 1,924 1,664 272 1,935 1,675 272 1,947 1,705 274 1,978 1,723 275 1,998 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,835 266 3,101 2,942 269 3,211 2,953 269 3,222 2,991 269 3,260 3,031 270 3,301 3,073 270 3,343 3,113 271 3,384 3,157 271 3,428 3,201 272 3,473 3,244 272 3,516 3,286 273 3,559 3,416 274 3,690 3,502 275 3,777 -1,463 -1,377 -1,405 -1,431 -1,450 -1,473 -1,496 -1,522 -1,549 -1,581 -1,612 -1,712 -1,780 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 109 Other European Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 6,748 6,780 6,659 6,649 (Thousand Hectares) 6,643 6,623 6,622 6,627 6,632 6,641 6,661 6,720 6,780 1.00 1.21 1.22 1.23 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.24 1.25 1.26 1.27 1.29 1.30 1.31 1.35 1.37 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,747 358 7,105 8,174 242 8,416 8,100 307 8,407 8,165 312 8,477 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,239 8,298 8,361 319 333 344 8,558 8,631 8,706 8,444 354 8,798 8,537 363 8,900 8,623 371 8,994 8,718 378 9,096 9,038 396 9,434 9,279 406 9,685 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,798 999 242 7,039 6,943 1,029 307 8,279 6,886 1,026 312 8,223 6,960 1,029 319 8,308 7,037 1,034 333 8,404 7,110 1,039 344 8,493 7,190 1,043 354 8,586 7,285 1,047 363 8,695 7,384 1,051 371 8,806 7,472 1,054 378 8,903 7,560 1,058 384 9,001 7,873 1,067 401 9,341 8,102 1,075 412 9,589 66 136 184 168 154 138 119 102 93 91 94 93 96 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,166 205 2,371 2,594 121 2,715 2,572 127 2,699 2,600 127 2,727 2,629 128 2,757 2,656 129 2,785 2,686 130 2,816 2,722 132 2,853 2,759 133 2,891 2,791 134 2,925 2,824 134 2,959 2,941 137 3,078 3,027 138 3,165 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,139 121 2,260 2,205 127 2,332 2,206 127 2,333 2,226 128 2,354 2,255 129 2,385 2,286 130 2,416 2,313 132 2,445 2,339 133 2,472 2,363 134 2,496 2,384 134 2,519 2,404 135 2,539 2,457 138 2,595 2,493 139 2,632 111 383 366 373 372 369 372 381 395 406 419 483 533 Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,536 114 2,650 3,037 32 3,069 3,012 34 3,046 3,044 35 3,079 3,078 35 3,113 3,110 35 3,145 3,145 36 3,181 3,186 36 3,223 3,230 37 3,266 3,268 37 3,305 3,306 37 3,344 3,444 38 3,481 3,544 38 3,582 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,566 32 2,598 2,625 34 2,659 2,625 35 2,659 2,631 35 2,666 2,643 35 2,678 2,653 36 2,689 2,661 36 2,698 2,670 37 2,707 2,678 37 2,715 2,684 37 2,721 2,688 37 2,726 2,704 38 2,742 2,717 38 2,755 52 409 387 413 435 456 483 516 551 584 618 739 826 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 110 Other Oceanian Sunflower Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 55 56 55 55 (Thousand Hectares) 55 55 56 56 56 56 57 58 58 1.27 1.29 1.30 1.31 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.32 1.34 1.35 1.36 1.37 1.38 1.40 1.43 1.45 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 70 0 70 72 5 77 71 5 77 72 5 78 (Thousand Metric Tons) 73 74 75 5 6 6 79 79 80 76 6 82 77 6 83 78 6 84 79 6 85 83 6 88 85 6 91 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 62 4 5 71 68 4 5 78 68 4 5 77 68 4 5 78 69 4 6 79 70 4 6 80 70 4 6 80 71 4 6 81 72 4 6 82 72 4 6 82 73 4 6 83 75 5 6 86 76 5 6 87 -1 -1 -1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 3 4 Sunflower Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 33 0 33 36 0 36 36 0 36 36 0 36 37 0 37 37 0 37 37 0 37 38 0 38 38 0 38 38 0 38 39 0 39 40 0 40 41 0 41 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 33 0 33 36 0 36 36 0 36 37 0 37 37 0 37 38 0 38 38 0 38 39 0 39 39 0 39 40 0 40 41 0 41 42 0 42 44 0 44 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -3 Sunflower Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 26 0 26 29 0 29 28 0 28 29 0 29 29 0 29 29 0 29 29 0 29 30 0 30 30 0 30 30 0 30 31 0 31 31 0 31 32 0 32 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 64 0 64 66 0 66 66 0 66 67 0 67 68 0 68 69 0 69 70 0 70 70 0 70 71 0 71 72 0 72 73 0 73 76 0 76 78 0 78 -38 -37 -38 -38 -39 -39 -40 -41 -41 -42 -43 -44 -46 Sunflower Seed Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 111 Palm Sector Trade and World Price 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14,850 17,945 291 15,084 19,550 300 15,161 20,621 306 33,086 34,934 6,249 5,250 7,600 1,087 7,539 839 3,289 1,233 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 15,337 21,469 315 (Thousand Metric Tons) 15,548 15,776 16,010 22,244 22,974 23,596 323 332 343 16,229 24,266 354 16,543 24,950 364 16,830 25,589 375 17,111 26,214 387 18,032 28,191 423 18,698 29,530 448 36,088 37,120 38,114 39,082 39,949 40,848 41,857 42,794 43,712 46,647 48,676 6,686 5,635 7,983 1,163 7,825 858 3,552 1,233 6,997 5,832 8,209 1,195 8,061 869 3,691 1,233 7,294 5,977 8,443 1,218 8,274 878 3,804 1,233 7,575 6,120 8,677 1,232 8,476 888 3,913 1,233 7,868 6,237 8,924 1,247 8,658 897 4,019 1,233 8,145 6,315 9,174 1,256 8,805 904 4,117 1,233 8,440 6,395 9,436 1,266 8,949 912 4,217 1,233 8,766 6,502 9,719 1,286 9,104 920 4,328 1,233 9,078 6,583 9,999 1,302 9,242 927 4,430 1,233 9,393 6,654 10,272 1,319 9,375 933 4,533 1,233 10,413 6,888 11,123 1,379 9,798 955 4,859 1,233 11,148 7,026 11,723 1,415 10,080 972 5,080 1,233 33,086 34,934 36,088 37,120 38,114 39,082 39,949 40,848 41,857 42,794 43,712 46,647 48,676 2,750 2,200 0 69 3,056 2,239 0 91 3,206 2,264 0 73 3,325 2,283 0 61 3,436 2,310 0 51 3,540 2,339 0 41 3,629 2,366 0 34 3,724 2,390 0 27 3,821 2,427 0 17 3,912 2,459 0 10 4,002 2,488 0 4 4,297 2,583 0 -19 4,513 2,652 0 -35 5,019 5,386 5,544 5,670 5,797 5,920 6,029 6,140 6,266 6,381 6,494 6,880 7,165 2,350 3 1,000 1,235 431 2,534 9 1,074 1,337 431 2,559 11 1,141 1,401 431 2,558 13 1,205 1,463 431 2,563 13 1,267 1,523 431 2,564 14 1,328 1,584 431 2,555 14 1,385 1,644 431 2,547 14 1,443 1,704 431 2,551 15 1,504 1,765 431 2,547 16 1,563 1,825 431 2,541 16 1,621 1,884 431 2,546 17 1,802 2,065 431 2,568 18 1,926 2,188 431 5,019 5,386 5,544 5,670 5,797 5,920 6,029 6,140 6,266 6,381 6,494 6,880 7,165 1,798 680 28 1,942 639 28 2,040 616 28 2,111 605 29 2,173 596 30 2,229 591 30 2,271 589 31 2,321 584 32 2,372 587 33 2,418 590 34 2,463 595 34 2,608 614 37 2,710 629 39 2,506 2,610 2,684 2,745 2,799 2,850 2,891 2,936 2,992 3,042 3,092 3,259 3,378 500 600 483 429 104 100 290 526 626 532 467 117 52 290 549 632 542 480 118 72 290 573 637 551 491 119 83 290 596 641 559 502 120 91 290 620 643 567 510 121 98 290 645 643 573 516 122 103 290 670 644 581 522 123 107 290 698 647 591 529 123 114 290 725 648 599 536 124 120 290 754 649 608 542 125 125 290 847 654 638 562 127 142 290 915 656 658 576 128 155 290 2,506 2,610 2,684 2,745 2,799 2,850 2,891 2,936 2,992 3,042 3,092 3,259 3,378 946 899 883 896 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 910 925 952 974 984 1,006 1,033 1,104 1,163 Palm Oil Net Exporters Malaysia Indonesia Other Oceania Total Net Exports * Net Importers China European Union India Other Amercia Other Asia Other Europe Other Africa Residual Total Net Imports Palm Kernel Meal Net Exporters Indonesia Malaysia Other Europe Other Africa Total Net Exports * Net Importers European Union Other Amercia Other Asia Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Palm Kernel Oil Net Exporters Indonesia Malaysia Other Oceania Total Net Exports * Net Importers China European Union Other Amercia Other Asia Other Europe Other Africa Residual Total Net Imports CIF Rotterdam Price Palm Oil * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 112 World Palm Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 48,012 47,143 33,086 50,274 48,894 34,934 51,761 50,441 36,088 53,132 51,863 37,120 6.80 6.98 7.12 7.25 Palm Kernel Meal Production Consumption Trade * 6,656 6,185 5,019 7,067 6,612 5,386 7,255 6,821 5,544 Palm Kernel Oil Production Consumption Trade * 5,680 5,434 2,506 6,030 5,699 2,610 0.78 0.81 Palm Oil Production Consumption Trade * Per Capita Consumption Per Capita Consumption 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 54,532 55,925 57,210 53,264 54,662 55,966 38,114 39,082 39,949 58,548 57,303 40,848 60,021 58,761 41,857 61,404 60,160 42,794 62,776 61,542 43,712 67,258 66,019 46,647 70,501 69,266 48,676 7.58 7.69 7.81 7.92 8.03 8.38 8.65 7,430 6,996 5,670 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,607 7,782 7,941 7,174 7,349 7,509 5,797 5,920 6,029 8,106 7,673 6,140 8,287 7,854 6,266 8,455 8,022 6,381 8,619 8,187 6,494 9,153 8,720 6,880 9,535 9,102 7,165 6,189 5,877 2,684 6,336 6,034 2,745 6,486 6,186 2,799 6,770 6,476 2,891 6,910 6,616 2,936 7,064 6,767 2,992 7,206 6,912 3,042 7,346 7,053 3,092 7,799 7,506 3,259 8,124 7,831 3,378 0.83 0.84 0.88 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.95 0.98 (Kilograms) 7.37 7.48 6,635 6,337 2,850 (Kilograms) 0.86 0.87 * Excludes intraregional trade. World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 113 Chinese Palm Sector Supply and Utilization Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0 328 328 0 300 300 0 300 300 0 300 300 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 300 300 300 300 300 300 0 300 300 0 300 300 0 300 300 0 300 300 0 300 300 0 300 300 6,277 300 6,577 6,686 300 6,986 6,997 300 7,297 7,294 300 7,594 7,575 300 7,875 7,868 300 8,168 8,145 300 8,445 8,440 300 8,740 8,766 300 9,066 9,078 300 9,378 9,393 300 9,693 10,413 300 10,713 11,148 300 11,448 -6,249 -6,686 -6,997 -7,294 -7,575 -7,868 -8,145 -8,440 -8,766 -9,078 -9,393 -10,413 -11,148 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 287 289 291 287 289 291 0 291 291 0 291 291 0 292 292 0 292 292 0 292 292 0 291 291 European Union Palm Sector Supply and Utilization Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 410 410 0 272 272 0 279 279 0 284 284 5,388 272 5,660 5,628 279 5,907 5,827 284 6,111 5,975 287 6,261 6,117 289 6,406 6,236 291 6,527 6,315 291 6,606 6,395 291 6,686 6,502 292 6,794 6,583 292 6,875 6,654 292 6,946 6,888 292 7,179 7,027 291 7,318 -5,250 -5,635 -5,832 -5,977 -6,120 -6,237 -6,315 -6,395 -6,502 -6,583 -6,654 -6,888 -7,026 14 0 14 13 0 13 13 0 13 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 2,364 0 2,364 2,547 0 2,547 2,572 0 2,572 2,570 0 2,570 2,575 0 2,575 2,576 0 2,576 2,567 0 2,567 2,559 0 2,559 2,562 0 2,562 2,558 0 2,558 2,553 0 2,553 2,557 0 2,557 2,579 0 2,579 -2,350 -2,534 -2,559 -2,558 -2,563 -2,564 -2,555 -2,547 -2,551 -2,547 -2,541 -2,546 -2,568 11 37 48 10 30 40 10 36 46 10 39 49 10 42 51 9 44 53 9 45 54 9 45 54 9 45 54 9 45 55 9 46 55 9 46 55 9 46 55 618 30 648 631 36 667 638 39 678 644 42 686 648 44 692 651 45 696 652 45 697 653 45 698 655 45 701 657 46 703 659 46 704 663 46 709 665 47 712 -600 -626 -632 -637 -641 -643 -643 -644 -647 -648 -649 -654 -656 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 114 Indian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 50 189 239 52 89 141 53 92 145 55 94 149 (Thousand Metric Tons) 57 59 62 95 96 96 152 155 158 65 97 162 68 98 165 71 98 169 74 99 173 83 101 184 90 102 192 7,750 89 7,839 8,032 92 8,124 8,261 94 8,354 8,497 95 8,591 8,733 96 8,829 8,983 96 9,079 9,235 97 9,332 9,500 98 9,598 9,786 98 9,884 10,069 99 10,168 10,345 100 10,444 11,206 101 11,307 11,812 102 11,914 -7,600 -7,983 -8,209 -8,443 -8,677 -8,924 -9,174 -9,436 -9,719 -9,999 -10,272 -11,123 -11,723 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 27,620 28,439 29,154 1,059 1,066 1,072 28,679 29,505 30,226 29,921 1,076 30,997 30,717 1,078 31,795 31,471 1,084 32,555 32,220 1,088 33,308 34,710 1,093 35,803 36,542 1,096 37,638 Indonesian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 23,000 970 23,970 24,687 1,010 25,697 25,834 1,037 26,872 26,757 1,053 27,809 5,015 1,010 6,025 5,110 1,037 6,147 5,198 1,053 6,251 5,282 1,059 6,341 5,369 1,066 6,436 5,460 1,072 6,532 5,554 1,076 6,630 5,652 1,078 6,731 5,761 1,084 6,845 5,879 1,088 6,966 6,006 1,088 7,094 6,516 1,095 7,611 7,010 1,098 8,108 17,945 19,550 20,621 21,469 22,244 22,974 23,596 24,266 24,950 25,589 26,214 28,191 29,530 3,140 20 3,160 3,401 60 3,461 3,561 61 3,622 3,689 61 3,751 3,809 62 3,870 3,921 62 3,983 4,018 62 4,080 4,121 62 4,183 4,228 62 4,290 4,327 62 4,389 4,424 62 4,487 4,746 63 4,808 4,979 63 5,042 350 60 410 345 61 406 355 61 416 364 62 425 372 62 434 381 62 443 389 62 451 397 62 459 406 62 468 415 62 477 423 62 485 449 63 511 465 63 529 2,750 3,056 3,206 3,325 3,436 3,540 3,629 3,724 3,821 3,912 4,002 4,297 4,513 2,630 148 2,778 2,849 120 2,969 2,983 123 3,105 3,090 124 3,214 3,190 124 3,315 3,284 125 3,409 3,366 125 3,491 3,452 125 3,577 3,541 126 3,667 3,624 126 3,750 3,706 126 3,832 3,975 127 4,102 4,170 127 4,297 860 120 980 904 123 1,026 942 124 1,066 979 124 1,103 1,017 125 1,141 1,056 125 1,181 1,094 125 1,219 1,131 126 1,256 1,168 126 1,294 1,206 126 1,332 1,243 126 1,369 1,366 127 1,493 1,459 127 1,587 1,798 1,942 2,040 2,111 2,173 2,229 2,271 2,321 2,372 2,418 2,463 2,608 2,710 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 115 Malaysian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 18,600 1,500 20,100 19,169 1,450 20,619 19,435 1,517 20,952 19,771 1,557 21,328 3,800 1,450 5,250 4,018 1,517 5,535 4,235 1,557 5,791 4,417 1,573 5,990 4,603 1,590 6,193 4,800 1,605 6,405 14,850 15,084 15,161 15,337 15,548 2,575 40 2,615 2,645 40 2,685 2,673 62 2,735 2,711 65 2,776 375 40 415 384 62 446 406 65 471 2,200 2,239 Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,210 218 2,428 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 20,167 20,591 21,002 1,573 1,590 1,605 21,740 22,181 22,607 21,407 1,613 23,020 21,923 1,621 23,545 22,388 1,635 24,023 22,843 1,641 24,484 24,313 1,652 25,966 25,356 1,657 27,013 4,985 1,613 6,597 5,170 1,621 6,791 5,367 1,635 7,002 5,552 1,641 7,193 5,730 1,643 7,373 6,278 1,655 7,933 6,657 1,658 8,314 15,776 16,010 16,229 16,543 16,830 17,111 18,032 18,698 2,757 67 2,823 2,805 69 2,874 2,852 71 2,923 2,896 72 2,968 2,955 74 3,029 3,007 76 3,083 3,057 77 3,134 3,216 81 3,298 3,329 85 3,414 426 67 492 445 69 514 464 71 535 484 72 557 505 74 579 526 76 602 547 77 624 567 78 646 631 83 714 675 87 762 2,264 2,283 2,310 2,339 2,366 2,390 2,427 2,459 2,488 2,583 2,652 2,270 228 2,498 2,294 253 2,547 2,327 267 2,594 2,366 275 2,641 2,408 282 2,689 2,447 288 2,735 2,486 291 2,777 2,536 295 2,831 2,581 300 2,881 2,623 304 2,927 2,761 311 3,072 2,857 316 3,172 1,520 228 1,748 1,605 253 1,858 1,665 267 1,932 1,714 275 1,989 1,763 282 2,044 1,811 288 2,099 1,855 291 2,146 1,898 295 2,193 1,944 300 2,244 1,987 304 2,290 2,026 306 2,332 2,144 314 2,458 2,225 318 2,543 680 639 616 605 596 591 589 584 587 590 595 614 629 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 116 Other African Palm Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,909 515 2,424 1,898 422 2,320 1,898 434 2,332 1,913 441 2,354 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,936 1,963 1,994 443 444 445 2,379 2,406 2,439 2,028 445 2,472 2,059 444 2,503 2,093 446 2,538 2,129 446 2,575 2,242 446 2,688 2,323 446 2,769 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,290 422 5,712 5,439 434 5,872 5,583 441 6,023 5,715 443 6,158 5,848 444 6,291 5,981 445 6,425 6,112 445 6,556 6,245 444 6,689 6,385 446 6,831 6,523 446 6,969 6,663 445 7,108 7,100 446 7,546 7,403 446 7,849 -3,289 -3,552 -3,691 -3,804 -3,913 -4,019 -4,117 -4,217 -4,328 -4,430 -4,533 -4,859 -5,080 Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 520 0 520 574 0 574 571 0 572 573 1 574 578 1 578 583 1 584 590 1 591 598 1 598 604 1 605 612 1 613 620 1 621 645 1 646 663 1 664 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 451 0 451 482 0 482 498 1 498 513 1 513 527 1 527 542 1 543 556 1 557 571 1 572 587 1 588 602 1 603 616 1 617 664 1 665 697 1 698 69 91 73 61 51 41 34 27 17 10 4 -19 -35 Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 475 12 487 524 7 531 521 8 530 523 9 532 527 9 537 532 10 542 539 10 548 545 10 555 552 10 561 558 10 568 566 10 576 588 10 598 605 10 615 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 580 7 587 574 8 582 592 9 602 606 9 616 618 10 628 631 10 640 642 10 651 653 10 662 666 10 676 678 10 688 690 10 700 731 10 741 760 10 770 -100 -52 -72 -83 -91 -98 -103 -107 -114 -120 -125 -142 -155 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 117 Other American Palm Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,407 401 2,808 2,455 385 2,840 2,501 395 2,896 2,553 400 2,953 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,615 2,678 2,741 401 402 403 3,016 3,080 3,144 2,806 403 3,209 2,871 403 3,274 2,932 405 3,337 2,994 405 3,399 3,190 405 3,594 3,329 404 3,733 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,511 385 3,896 3,608 395 4,003 3,691 400 4,091 3,769 401 4,170 3,846 402 4,248 3,924 403 4,327 3,997 403 4,400 4,073 403 4,476 4,155 405 4,560 4,234 405 4,638 4,313 404 4,718 4,569 404 4,973 4,745 403 5,148 -1,087 -1,163 -1,195 -1,218 -1,232 -1,247 -1,256 -1,266 -1,286 -1,302 -1,319 -1,379 -1,415 Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 175 0 175 182 0 182 186 0 186 190 0 190 196 0 196 201 0 201 206 0 206 212 0 212 217 0 217 222 0 222 227 0 227 244 0 244 255 0 255 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 178 0 178 191 0 191 197 0 197 203 0 203 209 0 209 215 0 215 220 0 220 226 0 226 232 0 232 238 0 238 243 0 243 261 0 261 273 0 273 -3 -9 -11 -13 -13 -14 -14 -14 -15 -16 -16 -17 -18 Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 161 38 199 168 37 205 171 41 212 175 42 218 180 43 223 185 43 228 190 43 233 195 43 238 200 43 243 205 44 248 209 44 253 225 44 269 235 45 280 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 645 37 682 695 41 736 712 42 754 726 43 768 739 43 782 752 43 795 763 43 806 776 43 819 790 44 834 804 44 848 817 44 861 862 44 906 893 45 938 -483 -532 -542 -551 -559 -567 -573 -581 -591 -599 -608 -638 -658 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 118 Other Asian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,570 430 2,000 1,528 446 1,974 1,544 464 2,008 1,579 474 2,052 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,620 1,664 1,713 479 484 488 2,099 2,149 2,201 1,763 488 2,251 1,812 488 2,300 1,862 491 2,353 1,914 492 2,406 2,071 494 2,564 2,180 495 2,675 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 9,093 446 9,539 9,335 464 9,799 9,596 474 10,070 9,847 479 10,326 10,091 484 10,575 10,318 488 10,806 10,518 488 11,006 10,712 488 11,200 10,912 491 11,403 11,103 492 11,595 11,289 492 11,781 11,868 494 12,362 12,260 495 12,754 -7,539 -7,825 -8,061 -8,274 -8,476 -8,658 -8,805 -8,949 -9,104 -9,242 -9,375 -9,798 -10,080 169 0 169 188 0 188 187 0 187 188 0 188 190 0 190 192 0 192 195 0 195 197 0 197 200 0 200 202 0 202 205 0 205 213 0 213 218 0 218 1,169 0 1,169 1,263 0 1,263 1,328 0 1,328 1,393 0 1,393 1,456 0 1,456 1,520 0 1,520 1,580 0 1,580 1,641 0 1,641 1,704 0 1,704 1,766 0 1,766 1,826 0 1,826 2,015 0 2,015 2,144 0 2,144 -1,000 -1,074 -1,141 -1,205 -1,267 -1,328 -1,385 -1,443 -1,504 -1,563 -1,621 -1,802 -1,926 Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 145 62 207 162 27 189 160 29 190 161 30 191 163 30 193 165 31 196 167 31 198 169 31 201 171 31 203 174 32 205 176 32 208 183 32 215 187 33 220 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 609 27 636 626 29 655 640 30 669 652 30 683 664 31 695 674 31 706 683 31 714 691 31 722 700 32 732 709 32 741 717 32 749 744 32 777 763 33 795 -429 -467 -480 -491 -502 -510 -516 -522 -529 -536 -542 -562 -576 Net Trade Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 119 Other European Palm Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 10 10 0 9 9 0 11 11 0 12 12 840 9 849 856 11 867 868 12 881 878 13 891 888 14 901 896 14 911 -839 -858 -869 -878 -888 Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 18 Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 13 14 14 13 14 14 0 15 15 0 15 15 0 15 15 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 904 15 919 911 15 926 919 15 935 926 16 942 933 16 949 955 16 971 972 16 987 -897 -904 -912 -920 -927 -933 -955 -972 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 114 8 122 117 8 125 118 9 127 119 9 128 120 9 129 121 9 130 122 9 131 123 9 131 123 9 132 124 9 133 125 9 134 127 9 136 128 9 137 -104 -117 -118 -119 -120 -121 -122 -123 -123 -124 -125 -127 -128 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 120 Other Oceanian Palm Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Palm Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 476 14 490 485 20 505 494 22 517 505 24 529 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 179 20 199 183 22 205 186 24 210 190 24 214 194 25 219 198 25 223 291 300 306 315 323 63 0 63 64 0 64 64 0 64 65 0 65 1,298 0 1,298 1,401 0 1,401 1,465 0 1,465 -1,235 -1,337 Palm Kernel Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 48 0 48 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Palm Kernel Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 517 530 544 24 25 25 542 555 569 558 25 583 573 25 597 587 25 612 602 25 627 649 24 673 681 24 705 201 25 226 205 25 230 209 25 233 212 25 237 215 24 240 226 24 250 233 24 257 332 343 354 364 375 387 423 448 66 0 66 67 0 67 68 0 68 70 0 70 71 0 71 72 0 72 74 0 74 77 0 77 80 0 80 1,528 0 1,528 1,590 0 1,590 1,651 0 1,651 1,712 0 1,712 1,774 0 1,774 1,836 0 1,836 1,897 0 1,897 1,958 0 1,958 2,143 0 2,143 2,268 0 2,268 -1,401 -1,463 -1,523 -1,584 -1,644 -1,704 -1,765 -1,825 -1,884 -2,065 -2,188 49 0 49 49 0 49 50 0 50 50 0 50 51 0 51 52 0 52 53 0 53 54 0 54 55 0 55 56 0 56 59 0 59 61 0 61 20 0 20 20 0 20 21 0 21 21 0 21 21 0 21 21 0 21 21 0 21 21 0 21 21 0 21 21 0 21 22 0 22 22 0 22 22 0 22 28 28 28 29 30 30 31 32 33 34 34 37 39 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 121 Peanut Sector Trade and World Prices 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 600 695 248 239 126 602 686 240 229 102 623 692 238 236 104 632 702 232 233 103 (Thousand Metric Tons) 647 661 675 712 724 730 229 224 220 234 232 232 102 102 102 689 732 216 231 102 702 727 212 229 103 717 716 208 228 104 731 704 204 227 105 777 654 194 228 110 809 605 187 228 115 1,908 1,905 1,893 1,903 1,925 1,943 1,959 1,970 1,973 1,973 1,972 1,963 1,945 125 700 129 587 224 7 25 112 126 699 135 579 228 -45 25 112 124 702 130 558 228 12 25 112 125 709 132 558 231 9 26 112 124 714 131 559 233 26 26 112 125 718 133 560 236 34 26 112 127 721 133 560 237 42 26 112 129 724 134 559 239 47 26 112 131 727 136 554 240 47 26 112 132 729 137 549 241 46 26 112 134 732 138 544 243 42 26 112 140 740 141 526 245 32 26 112 144 746 144 513 247 13 26 112 1,908 1,905 1,893 1,903 1,925 1,943 1,959 1,970 1,973 1,973 1,972 1,963 1,945 7 35 3 0 51 0 5 33 3 0 61 0 2 29 3 0 64 0 3 27 3 0 65 0 2 24 3 0 67 0 3 23 3 0 68 0 2 21 3 0 69 0 2 19 3 0 70 0 3 17 3 0 70 0 3 15 3 0 70 0 1 14 3 0 73 0 1 9 3 0 74 0 2 7 3 0 73 0 96 102 97 97 97 96 95 94 93 92 90 89 88 5 10 1 8 72 15 5 0 10 72 12 6 0 7 72 10 6 1 9 72 8 6 1 9 72 7 6 1 10 72 5 6 1 10 72 4 7 1 9 72 3 7 2 10 72 2 7 2 10 72 1 7 1 9 72 -2 8 1 8 72 -4 7 1 7 72 96 102 97 97 97 96 95 94 93 92 90 89 88 49 -20 0 26 -2 56 53 -29 0 28 -2 48 51 -31 0 30 3 49 53 -31 0 30 2 44 53 -31 -1 31 2 43 54 -32 -1 32 1 41 55 -32 -1 32 2 40 55 -33 -1 33 3 39 56 -33 -2 34 3 36 57 -34 -2 34 3 34 58 -34 -2 35 4 32 60 -35 -2 37 6 28 62 -36 -3 38 7 24 136 134 137 133 134 133 134 135 134 134 133 136 135 73 34 6 2 -5 69 25 5 3 -5 71 27 6 3 -5 70 24 6 3 -5 71 23 6 3 -5 70 21 6 3 -5 71 20 6 3 -5 72 21 6 3 -5 72 19 6 3 -5 72 17 6 3 -5 73 16 6 3 -5 74 15 6 3 -5 75 13 6 3 -5 136 134 137 133 134 133 134 135 134 134 133 136 135 Peanuts Net Exporters Argentina China India United States Other Amercia Total Net Exports * Net Importers Canada European Union Mexico Other Asia Other Europe Other Africa Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Peanut Meal Net Exporters Argentina India United States Other Europe Other Africa Other Oceania Total Net Exports * Net Importers China European Union Other Amercia Other Asia Residual Total Net Imports Peanut Oil Net Exporters Argentina China India Other Amercia Other Asia Other Africa Total Net Exports * Net Importers European Union United States Other Europe Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Prices Peanut, U.S. Runners 40/50 CIF Rotterdam 1,301 Peanut Meal 48/50%, Southeast Mi 143 1,377 Peanut Oil, CIF Rotterda (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,286 1,334 1,329 1,348 1,348 1,350 1,345 1,335 1,330 1,322 1,295 1,264 142 1,492 133 1,435 133 1,505 129 1,532 127 1,574 124 1,591 119 1,597 117 1,636 114 1,672 111 1,700 98 1,737 91 1,783 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Peanuts Area Harvested 20,944 21,027 21,120 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 34,372 1,332 35,704 34,913 1,189 36,102 Food Crush Other Use Residual Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16,739 15,069 2,595 112 1,189 35,704 Trade Peanut Meal Production Consumption Trade Peanut Oil Production Consumption Trade Per Capita Consumption 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 21,187 (Thousand Hectares) 21,188 21,215 21,258 21,282 21,276 21,261 21,273 21,263 21,257 35,332 1,203 36,535 35,764 1,211 36,975 (Thousand Metric Tons) 36,072 36,462 36,804 1,232 1,245 1,263 37,304 37,706 38,067 37,126 1,280 38,406 37,389 1,296 38,686 37,577 1,312 38,890 37,769 1,327 39,096 38,243 1,374 39,617 38,504 1,409 39,913 16,277 15,791 2,718 112 1,203 36,102 16,950 15,521 2,741 112 1,211 36,535 16,901 15,953 2,776 112 1,232 36,975 17,038 16,112 2,797 112 1,245 37,304 17,093 16,413 2,826 112 1,263 37,706 17,213 16,609 2,854 112 1,280 38,067 17,335 16,783 2,881 112 1,296 38,406 17,287 17,069 2,906 112 1,312 38,686 17,186 17,339 2,925 112 1,327 38,890 17,089 17,605 2,946 112 1,343 39,096 16,847 18,261 3,006 112 1,391 39,617 16,522 18,801 3,050 112 1,428 39,913 1,908 1,905 1,893 1,903 1,925 1,943 1,959 1,970 1,973 1,973 1,972 1,963 1,945 5,934 5,867 6,223 6,149 6,112 6,036 6,283 6,210 6,345 6,271 6,464 6,391 6,540 6,467 6,608 6,535 6,721 6,648 6,828 6,755 6,933 6,860 7,191 7,117 7,404 7,331 96 102 97 97 97 96 95 94 93 92 90 89 88 5,123 5,086 5,350 5,360 5,281 5,271 5,421 5,425 5,479 5,479 5,579 5,581 5,648 5,648 5,710 5,709 5,806 5,808 5,896 5,898 5,986 5,987 6,210 6,212 6,390 6,393 136 134 137 133 134 133 134 135 134 134 133 136 135 0.73 0.77 0.74 0.76 (Kilograms) 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.80 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 123 U.S. Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Peanuts Area Harvested 510 543 547 Yield 3.52 3.50 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,797 830 2,627 Food Crush Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 543 (Thousand Hectares) 540 539 539 537 535 533 532 529 528 3.53 3.56 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.59 3.62 3.64 3.67 3.70 3.73 3.76 3.85 3.91 1,899 730 2,629 1,927 726 2,654 1,931 735 2,667 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,938 1,949 1,963 741 745 751 2,679 2,694 2,714 1,972 758 2,730 1,980 764 2,744 1,991 769 2,760 2,001 775 2,776 2,035 795 2,830 2,063 811 2,874 1,250 218 730 2,198 1,258 228 726 2,213 1,267 226 735 2,229 1,271 231 741 2,243 1,276 233 745 2,253 1,283 236 751 2,269 1,292 238 758 2,288 1,301 239 764 2,304 1,308 242 769 2,319 1,315 245 775 2,335 1,322 247 781 2,350 1,344 253 802 2,399 1,360 259 819 2,438 Net Trade 239 229 236 233 234 232 232 231 229 228 227 228 228 Peanut Meal Production Consumption Ending Stocks 101 98 2 109 106 2 108 105 2 110 107 2 111 108 2 112 109 2 113 110 2 114 111 2 115 112 2 117 114 2 118 115 2 120 117 2 123 120 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Peanut Oil Production Consumption Ending Stocks 70 104 9 73 99 9 72 99 9 74 98 9 75 97 9 76 97 9 76 97 9 77 97 9 78 97 9 78 96 9 79 96 9 81 96 9 83 95 9 Net Trade -34 -25 -27 -24 -23 -21 -20 -21 -19 -17 -16 -15 -13 Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 124 Argentine Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Peanuts Area Harvested 225 227 227 Yield 3.47 3.53 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 780 159 939 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 228 (Thousand Hectares) 229 229 230 231 232 233 234 237 239 3.59 3.65 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.71 3.77 3.82 3.88 3.94 3.99 4.05 4.23 4.35 800 150 950 816 152 968 831 151 983 (Thousand Metric Tons) 848 864 880 153 154 155 1,001 1,018 1,035 896 156 1,053 913 157 1,070 930 158 1,088 947 159 1,106 1,001 161 1,162 1,039 162 1,201 165 24 150 339 171 24 152 347 169 24 151 345 173 25 153 351 174 25 154 353 177 25 155 357 179 25 156 360 180 26 157 363 183 26 158 368 186 26 159 371 189 26 160 375 196 27 162 385 202 27 163 392 600 602 623 632 647 661 675 689 702 717 731 777 809 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 71 8 79 74 3 77 73 3 76 74 3 77 75 3 78 76 3 79 77 3 80 78 3 81 79 3 82 80 3 83 81 3 85 84 3 88 87 3 90 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 69 3 72 68 3 71 71 3 74 72 3 75 73 3 76 74 3 77 74 3 78 75 3 79 76 3 79 77 3 80 81 3 84 84 3 87 85 3 89 7 5 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 1 1 2 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 52 10 62 54 11 65 53 10 64 54 11 66 55 11 66 56 11 67 56 11 68 57 12 69 58 12 70 59 12 71 60 12 71 62 12 74 64 12 76 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2 11 13 1 10 12 1 11 12 1 11 12 1 11 13 1 11 13 1 12 13 1 12 13 1 12 13 1 12 13 1 12 13 1 12 14 1 12 13 49 53 51 53 53 54 55 55 56 57 58 60 62 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 125 Chinese Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 4,400 4,336 4,276 4,244 (Thousand Hectares) 4,191 4,144 4,099 4,051 3,993 3,932 3,879 3,693 3,552 3.32 3.40 3.47 3.53 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.60 3.68 3.74 3.81 3.87 3.92 3.96 4.09 4.18 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 14,600 0 14,600 14,742 0 14,742 14,817 0 14,817 14,990 0 14,990 (Thousand Metric Tons) 15,098 15,244 15,337 0 0 0 15,098 15,244 15,337 15,413 0 15,413 15,442 0 15,442 15,403 0 15,403 15,356 0 15,356 15,098 0 15,098 14,830 0 14,830 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6,980 6,925 0 13,905 7,520 6,536 0 14,056 6,952 7,174 0 14,125 7,245 7,044 0 14,289 7,249 7,137 0 14,386 7,396 7,124 0 14,520 7,426 7,181 0 14,607 7,445 7,236 0 14,681 7,597 7,118 0 14,714 7,733 6,954 0 14,687 7,864 6,788 0 14,651 8,107 6,337 0 14,444 8,371 5,853 0 14,225 695 686 692 702 712 724 730 732 727 716 704 654 605 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,782 0 2,782 2,997 0 2,997 2,771 0 2,771 2,887 0 2,887 2,889 0 2,889 2,948 0 2,948 2,960 0 2,960 2,967 0 2,967 3,028 0 3,028 3,082 0 3,082 3,134 0 3,134 3,231 0 3,231 3,336 0 3,336 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,787 0 2,787 3,012 0 3,012 2,782 0 2,782 2,897 0 2,897 2,898 0 2,898 2,955 0 2,955 2,965 0 2,965 2,971 0 2,971 3,030 0 3,030 3,084 0 3,084 3,135 0 3,135 3,229 0 3,229 3,333 0 3,333 -5 -15 -12 -10 -8 -7 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 2 4 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,184 0 2,184 2,353 0 2,353 2,175 0 2,175 2,267 0 2,267 2,268 0 2,268 2,314 0 2,314 2,324 0 2,324 2,330 0 2,330 2,377 0 2,377 2,419 0 2,419 2,460 0 2,460 2,537 0 2,537 2,619 0 2,619 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,204 0 2,204 2,382 0 2,382 2,206 0 2,206 2,298 0 2,298 2,300 0 2,300 2,346 0 2,346 2,356 0 2,356 2,363 0 2,363 2,410 0 2,410 2,453 0 2,453 2,495 0 2,495 2,572 0 2,572 2,655 0 2,655 -20 -29 -31 -31 -31 -32 -32 -33 -33 -34 -34 -35 -36 Peanuts Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 126 European Union Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 3 3 0 3 3 45 653 2 700 44 654 3 701 45 657 3 705 45 663 3 712 45 668 4 717 45 673 4 722 -700 -699 -702 -709 -714 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 30 0 30 24 0 24 26 0 26 -10 -5 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 16 5 21 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Peanuts Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 3 4 4 3 4 4 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 6 6 0 7 7 45 676 5 725 45 679 5 729 45 682 5 732 45 684 5 734 45 687 6 737 45 695 6 746 45 701 7 752 -718 -721 -724 -727 -729 -732 -740 -746 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 20 0 20 26 0 26 27 0 27 26 0 26 27 0 27 27 0 27 27 0 27 27 0 27 27 0 27 28 0 28 27 0 27 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -7 -7 -7 -7 -8 -7 16 5 21 16 5 21 16 5 21 16 5 21 16 6 22 16 6 22 16 6 22 16 6 22 16 6 22 16 6 22 16 6 22 16 6 22 89 5 94 85 5 90 87 5 92 86 5 92 86 6 92 86 6 92 87 6 93 88 6 94 88 6 94 88 6 94 88 6 94 90 6 96 91 6 97 -73 -69 -71 -70 -71 -70 -71 -72 -72 -72 -73 -74 -75 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 127 Indian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 6,100 6,167 6,280 6,320 (Thousand Hectares) 6,344 6,379 6,421 6,446 6,456 6,460 6,474 6,507 6,539 0.98 1.00 1.01 1.02 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.09 1.10 1.12 1.16 1.19 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,000 22 6,022 6,160 40 6,200 6,358 42 6,400 6,475 43 6,517 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,570 6,688 6,810 44 45 46 6,614 6,733 6,856 6,924 47 6,971 7,028 48 7,076 7,125 49 7,175 7,228 50 7,278 7,539 53 7,592 7,766 55 7,821 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,414 1,320 40 5,774 4,571 1,347 42 5,960 4,756 1,364 43 6,163 4,856 1,385 44 6,285 4,941 1,400 45 6,385 5,042 1,420 46 6,509 5,148 1,441 47 6,636 5,244 1,462 48 6,755 5,332 1,483 49 6,865 5,414 1,503 50 6,967 5,499 1,524 51 7,074 5,756 1,588 54 7,398 5,941 1,637 55 7,634 248 240 238 232 229 224 220 216 212 208 204 194 187 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,730 0 1,730 1,792 0 1,792 1,864 0 1,864 1,903 0 1,903 1,936 0 1,936 1,976 0 1,976 2,018 0 2,018 2,055 0 2,055 2,090 0 2,090 2,122 0 2,122 2,155 0 2,155 2,256 0 2,256 2,329 0 2,329 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,695 0 1,695 1,759 0 1,759 1,836 0 1,836 1,876 0 1,876 1,912 0 1,912 1,954 0 1,954 1,997 0 1,997 2,037 0 2,037 2,073 0 2,073 2,107 0 2,107 2,141 0 2,141 2,247 0 2,247 2,322 0 2,322 35 33 29 27 24 23 21 19 17 15 14 9 7 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,467 10 1,477 1,519 50 1,569 1,581 46 1,627 1,614 58 1,672 1,642 59 1,701 1,676 64 1,739 1,711 67 1,778 1,743 71 1,814 1,772 76 1,848 1,799 79 1,878 1,828 81 1,909 1,913 92 2,005 1,975 98 2,073 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,427 50 1,477 1,523 46 1,569 1,569 58 1,627 1,613 59 1,673 1,638 64 1,702 1,674 67 1,740 1,707 71 1,779 1,739 76 1,816 1,771 79 1,850 1,798 81 1,880 1,827 84 1,911 1,913 95 2,008 1,975 100 2,075 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -2 -3 Peanuts Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 128 Canadian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization Peanuts Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 125 5 130 0 126 5 131 0 124 5 129 0 125 5 130 0 124 5 129 0 125 5 130 0 127 5 132 0 129 5 134 0 131 5 136 0 132 5 137 0 134 5 139 0 140 5 145 0 144 5 149 -125 -126 -124 -125 -124 -125 -127 -129 -131 -132 -134 -140 -144 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Mexican Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization Peanuts Area Harvested Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 45 44 45 45 (Thousand Hectares) 45 45 45 45 44 44 44 44 43 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.59 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.61 1.62 1.64 1.66 1.68 1.70 1.72 1.78 1.82 70 13 83 70 13 83 71 15 86 72 14 86 (Thousand Metric Tons) 72 72 73 15 15 15 87 87 89 74 16 90 74 17 91 75 18 93 76 18 94 78 21 99 79 23 102 4 195 13 212 4 199 15 217 4 197 14 215 4 199 15 218 4 199 15 218 4 200 15 220 4 202 16 222 4 203 17 224 4 205 18 227 4 207 18 230 4 209 19 232 4 214 22 240 4 218 24 246 -129 -135 -130 -132 -131 -133 -133 -134 -136 -137 -138 -141 -144 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 129 Other African Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 7,570 7,606 7,633 7,687 (Thousand Hectares) 7,722 7,764 7,812 7,860 7,906 7,950 8,001 8,146 8,249 0.97 0.97 0.98 0.98 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 0.98 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.01 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 7,343 83 7,426 7,400 74 7,474 7,449 77 7,526 7,523 77 7,601 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,574 7,636 7,701 79 80 81 7,654 7,716 7,782 7,769 82 7,851 7,835 83 7,918 7,899 84 7,983 7,970 85 8,055 8,181 88 8,269 8,333 90 8,423 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,441 4,918 74 7,433 2,441 4,910 77 7,429 2,521 4,939 77 7,538 2,545 4,986 79 7,610 2,594 5,006 80 7,679 2,628 5,041 81 7,750 2,669 5,073 82 7,823 2,709 5,106 83 7,898 2,739 5,141 84 7,965 2,773 5,170 85 8,029 2,806 5,205 86 8,096 2,909 5,304 89 8,302 2,965 5,379 92 8,436 -7 45 -12 -9 -26 -34 -42 -47 -47 -46 -42 -32 -13 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 894 10 904 894 10 904 923 12 935 932 15 947 950 15 965 962 17 979 977 18 995 992 19 1,011 1,003 20 1,023 1,016 21 1,036 1,028 21 1,049 1,065 24 1,090 1,086 26 1,112 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 843 10 853 832 12 843 857 15 871 867 15 882 882 17 898 894 18 911 908 19 926 921 20 941 932 21 953 944 21 966 954 22 977 990 25 1,016 1,012 27 1,039 51 61 64 65 67 68 69 70 70 70 73 74 73 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 964 34 998 964 34 998 996 34 1,029 1,005 34 1,039 1,024 34 1,059 1,038 34 1,072 1,054 34 1,088 1,070 34 1,104 1,082 35 1,116 1,095 34 1,130 1,108 34 1,143 1,149 35 1,183 1,171 35 1,206 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 908 34 942 916 34 950 947 34 981 961 34 995 981 34 1,016 997 34 1,032 1,014 34 1,049 1,031 35 1,065 1,045 34 1,080 1,061 34 1,096 1,076 35 1,111 1,121 35 1,156 1,147 35 1,182 56 48 49 44 43 41 40 39 36 34 32 28 24 Peanuts Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 130 Other American Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Peanuts Area Harvested 130 131 132 Yield 3.54 3.57 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 461 38 499 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 132 (Thousand Hectares) 132 132 132 133 133 133 134 135 136 3.60 3.62 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 3.64 3.66 3.68 3.71 3.73 3.76 3.78 3.85 3.90 468 18 486 474 19 493 477 20 497 (Thousand Metric Tons) 481 484 488 21 22 23 502 506 511 492 24 516 496 25 521 500 26 526 505 26 531 520 28 548 531 30 560 100 255 18 373 107 257 19 384 111 258 20 389 113 261 21 394 115 262 22 399 117 264 23 404 119 266 24 409 121 268 25 414 123 270 26 418 125 271 26 422 127 272 27 426 133 276 29 438 136 279 30 445 126 102 104 103 102 102 102 102 103 104 105 110 115 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 43 0 43 44 0 44 46 0 46 47 0 47 48 0 48 48 0 48 49 0 49 50 0 50 51 0 51 52 0 52 52 0 52 55 0 55 56 0 56 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 44 0 44 44 0 44 46 0 46 47 0 47 48 0 48 49 0 49 51 0 51 52 0 52 52 0 52 53 0 53 54 0 54 56 0 56 57 0 57 -1 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -1 -1 -1 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 58 3 61 60 3 63 62 3 65 63 3 66 64 3 67 65 3 68 66 3 69 67 3 70 68 3 71 69 3 72 70 3 73 74 3 77 76 3 79 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 31 3 34 32 3 35 32 3 35 32 3 35 33 3 36 33 3 36 34 3 37 34 3 37 35 3 38 35 3 38 36 3 39 37 3 40 38 3 41 26 28 30 30 31 32 32 33 34 34 35 37 38 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 131 Other Asian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 1,942 1,952 1,959 1,966 (Thousand Hectares) 1,963 1,961 1,959 1,958 1,956 1,954 1,953 1,952 1,949 1.69 1.71 1.73 1.75 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.81 1.83 1.85 1.87 1.92 1.96 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,288 173 3,461 3,341 148 3,489 3,386 155 3,541 3,430 153 3,583 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,458 3,490 3,519 160 165 171 3,618 3,655 3,690 3,553 175 3,728 3,588 180 3,768 3,619 185 3,805 3,652 190 3,842 3,757 203 3,960 3,826 213 4,039 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 702 3,198 148 4,048 703 3,211 155 4,069 736 3,210 153 4,099 742 3,239 160 4,141 757 3,255 165 4,178 768 3,277 171 4,215 781 3,294 175 4,250 794 3,313 180 4,287 804 3,333 185 4,321 814 3,349 190 4,353 825 3,367 194 4,386 859 3,418 208 4,486 878 3,456 218 4,553 -587 -579 -558 -558 -559 -560 -560 -559 -554 -549 -544 -526 -513 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 293 8 301 294 8 302 307 8 316 310 9 319 316 9 325 320 10 330 326 10 336 331 10 342 335 11 346 340 11 351 344 11 355 359 12 371 366 13 379 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 301 8 309 303 8 312 314 9 323 318 9 327 325 10 335 330 10 340 335 10 346 341 11 351 345 11 356 349 11 361 353 11 364 366 12 378 374 13 386 -8 -10 -7 -9 -9 -10 -10 -9 -10 -10 -9 -8 -7 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 305 5 310 305 5 310 320 5 325 322 5 327 329 5 334 333 5 338 339 5 344 345 5 350 349 5 354 353 5 358 358 5 363 373 5 378 381 5 386 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 307 5 312 307 5 312 316 5 321 321 5 326 327 5 332 332 5 337 337 5 342 341 5 346 345 5 350 350 5 355 354 5 359 367 5 372 374 5 379 -2 -2 3 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 4 6 7 Peanuts Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 132 Other European Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 9 9 0 9 9 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 10 10 11 10 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 13 13 0 13 13 0 227 9 236 0 228 9 237 0 231 10 240 0 233 10 243 0 235 11 246 0 237 11 248 0 238 11 250 0 240 12 252 0 241 12 253 0 242 12 255 0 245 13 258 0 247 13 260 -224 -228 -228 -231 -233 -236 -237 -239 -240 -241 -243 -245 -247 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 -6 -5 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 Peanuts Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 224 8 232 Yield Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 16/17 (Thousand Hectares) 0 0 133 Other Oceanian Peanut Sector Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 22 22 22 22 (Thousand Hectares) 22 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 21 1.50 1.51 1.52 1.53 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 1.53 1.54 1.55 1.56 1.58 1.59 1.61 1.67 1.70 Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 33 1 34 33 1 34 33 1 34 33 1 34 (Thousand Metric Tons) 33 33 33 1 1 1 34 34 35 34 1 35 34 1 35 34 1 35 34 1 36 35 1 37 36 1 38 Crush Other Use Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 58 1 59 0 58 1 60 0 58 1 59 0 59 1 60 0 59 1 60 0 59 1 60 0 60 1 61 0 60 1 61 0 60 1 62 0 60 1 62 0 61 1 62 0 62 1 63 0 62 2 64 -25 -25 -25 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 -26 Peanut Meal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Peanut Oil Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 -2 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 Peanuts Area Harvested Yield Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 134 Per Capita Vegetable Oil Consumption of Selected Countries 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 9.15 8.50 0.05 9.23 8.66 0.03 9.46 8.64 0.03 9.59 8.67 0.03 10.01 8.80 0.03 10.12 8.85 0.03 10.22 8.90 0.03 10.32 8.94 0.03 10.43 8.99 0.03 10.76 9.14 0.03 10.96 9.24 0.03 17.69 17.92 18.14 18.29 18.48 18.67 18.84 18.99 19.15 19.30 19.45 19.92 20.23 8.27 8.19 8.16 8.09 8.02 7.95 7.87 7.79 7.71 7.64 7.57 7.36 7.24 Brazil Soybean Oil 16.39 16.60 16.86 17.01 17.20 17.37 17.53 17.67 17.80 17.93 18.06 18.43 18.68 Canada Soybean Oil Canola Oil 7.20 11.75 7.25 11.72 7.34 11.72 7.31 11.72 7.26 11.73 7.23 11.74 7.27 11.76 7.29 11.77 7.30 11.78 7.31 11.79 7.34 11.80 7.40 11.83 7.45 11.86 Total 18.95 18.97 19.06 19.03 18.98 18.98 19.03 19.06 19.08 19.11 19.14 19.23 19.30 9.13 4.56 0.31 3.08 1.65 8.99 4.54 0.33 3.20 1.77 9.24 4.54 0.33 3.29 1.63 9.51 4.57 0.34 3.38 1.69 9.78 4.60 0.34 3.46 1.69 10.07 4.63 0.34 3.54 1.72 10.37 4.65 0.35 3.62 1.72 10.68 4.67 0.36 3.71 1.72 11.00 4.69 0.36 3.81 1.75 11.35 4.71 0.37 3.91 1.77 11.72 4.74 0.37 4.01 1.80 12.90 4.81 0.39 4.33 1.85 13.80 4.87 0.41 4.57 1.90 Total 18.73 18.83 19.03 19.48 19.87 20.31 20.71 21.13 21.61 22.11 22.63 24.28 25.54 European Union Soybean Oil Rapeseed Oil Sunflower Oil Palm Oil Peanut Oil 2.77 3.46 5.65 10.76 0.18 2.75 4.08 5.91 11.22 0.17 2.79 4.04 5.80 11.60 0.17 2.80 4.05 5.81 11.88 0.17 2.82 4.06 5.82 12.14 0.17 2.82 4.07 5.84 12.36 0.17 2.83 4.07 5.87 12.50 0.17 2.84 4.08 5.91 12.64 0.17 2.84 4.07 5.95 12.84 0.17 2.85 4.07 5.98 12.99 0.17 2.86 4.08 6.02 13.12 0.17 2.88 4.08 6.13 13.57 0.18 2.90 4.09 6.23 13.85 0.18 Total 22.82 24.13 24.42 24.71 25.01 25.27 25.45 25.65 25.87 26.07 26.25 26.85 27.24 2.41 1.92 6.52 1.20 2.41 1.99 6.67 1.26 2.42 1.94 6.77 1.29 2.43 1.91 6.87 1.30 2.44 1.88 6.98 1.31 2.45 1.86 7.09 1.32 2.46 1.86 7.20 1.33 2.48 1.86 7.33 1.34 2.49 1.87 7.46 1.35 2.50 1.88 7.59 1.36 2.52 1.88 7.72 1.36 2.56 1.92 8.11 1.38 2.59 1.95 8.38 1.40 Total 12.05 12.33 12.40 12.51 12.61 12.72 12.86 13.00 13.17 13.33 13.48 13.97 14.33 Indonesia Palm Oil 19.34 19.40 19.45 19.47 19.50 19.53 19.55 19.57 19.59 19.61 19.62 19.67 19.70 Total 19.34 19.40 19.45 19.47 19.50 19.53 19.55 19.57 19.59 19.61 19.62 19.67 19.70 3.90 7.18 3.89 7.38 3.90 7.43 3.89 7.47 3.89 7.52 3.88 7.58 3.87 7.63 3.86 7.70 3.84 7.76 3.83 7.81 3.82 7.86 3.79 8.00 3.78 8.11 11.08 11.26 11.34 11.37 11.42 11.46 11.51 11.55 11.60 11.64 11.67 11.80 11.89 Argentina Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil Peanut Oil Total Australia Rapeseed Oil China Soybean Oil Rapeseed Oil Sunflower Oil Palm Oil Peanut Oil India Soybean Oil Rapeseed Oil Palm Oil Peanut Oil Japan Soybean Oil Rapeseed Oil Total World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 (Kilograms) 9.74 9.88 8.71 8.76 0.03 0.03 135 Per Capita Vegetable Oil Consumption of Selected Countries (continued) 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 Malaysia Palm Oil 32.37 34.03 35.19 35.96 Total 32.37 34.03 35.19 South Korea Soybean Oil 9.29 9.96 Taiwan Soybean Oil 16.73 United States Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil Canola Oil Peanut Oil Total 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Kilograms) 36.79 37.60 38.27 38.94 39.69 40.28 40.79 42.31 43.27 35.96 36.79 37.60 38.27 38.94 39.69 40.28 40.79 42.31 43.27 10.48 10.63 10.77 10.89 11.01 11.15 11.29 11.44 11.60 12.08 12.40 17.46 18.37 18.70 19.10 19.45 19.78 20.07 20.33 20.58 20.81 21.40 21.75 24.76 0.75 4.79 0.33 24.48 0.80 4.81 0.31 23.03 0.77 4.82 0.31 22.76 0.76 4.85 0.30 22.71 0.75 4.90 0.30 22.67 0.75 4.94 0.29 22.77 0.74 4.95 0.29 22.82 0.74 4.97 0.29 22.93 0.75 4.99 0.29 23.07 0.75 5.01 0.28 23.21 0.74 5.02 0.28 23.45 0.74 5.26 0.27 23.47 0.75 5.60 0.26 30.63 30.41 28.94 28.67 28.65 28.65 28.75 28.82 28.95 29.10 29.25 29.73 30.08 World Oilseeds and Products: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 136 Sugar World sugar prices continue to climb, increasing by almost 6% in 2010/11 to 26¢ per pound after a dramatic increase of 51.3% in 2009/10 because of production shortfalls. Sugar prices remain high throughout the projection period but begin to decline in 2020/21, reaching 23.2¢ per pound by 2025/26. Both world sugar production and consumption increase in 2010/11, by 6.7% and 4%, respectively, and are projected to increase by 27.2% and 28.2%, respectively, by 2025/26. In the major sugar-exporting countries, Brazil’s net exports increase by only 1.4 mmt in 2010/11 compared with 2.9 mmt in 2009/10 and 2.3 mmt in 2008/09. Thailand’s net exports fall by 1.2 mmt in 2010/11 because of lower production and increased consumption, while Australia and Guatemala see a small increase in their net exports in the same year. By 2025/26, sugar net exports are projected to increase for all major exporters, by 52% for Brazil, 9.5% for Australia, 22.4% for Thailand, and 28.3% for Guatemala. Net imports increase in most of the major sugar-importing countries, namely, the EU, Russia, Pakistan, and Indonesia, in 2010/11. The EU’s net imports increase by almost 2 mmt in 2010/11, from 213 tmt in 2009/10. However, net imports decline in the U.S. by 17.4% in 2010/11. Net imports also decrease in India, from 4.1 mmt in 2009/10 to 0.98 mmt in 2010/11 because of its recovery in sugar production. Over the projection period, net imports are projected to increase for all major importers except Russia and Japan, where net imports decline by 14.4% and 11.4%, respectively. India follows its historical pattern of switching from net importer to net exporter and back to net importer by the end of the projection period. World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 137 Sugar Trade Net Exporters Argentina Australia Brazil Colombia Cuba Guatemala India Mexico South Africa Thailand Turkey Total Net Exports * Net Importers Algeria Canada China Egypt European Union Indonesia Iran Japan Malaysia Morocco Pakistan Peru Philippines Russia South Korea Ukraine United States Venezuela Other Africa Other Amercia Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Total Net Imports Prices FOB Caribbean Price New York Spot 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 335 3,670 25,497 700 390 1,680 -980 713 550 4,700 35 345 3,963 27,989 527 183 1,668 -119 730 582 4,862 -349 370 4,082 26,926 473 121 1,667 429 735 614 4,925 -275 38,270 40,850 1,335 1,230 1,745 1,120 2,115 2,910 1,293 1,353 1,290 730 1,130 30 108 2,950 1,260 355 2,330 700 2,426 -518 8,848 519 106 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 364 4,135 28,119 432 86 1,682 273 749 618 4,936 -302 (Thousand Metric Tons) 360 361 372 4,149 4,156 4,170 28,712 29,099 29,080 407 393 389 80 92 121 1,714 1,761 1,823 169 73 56 756 755 751 617 611 607 4,986 5,043 5,115 -331 -343 -327 386 4,188 29,283 389 151 1,889 -24 748 596 5,181 -309 399 4,205 29,662 382 178 1,953 -146 748 580 5,250 -294 405 4,210 30,529 362 193 2,006 -375 748 556 5,314 -298 402 4,195 31,799 335 193 2,044 -658 746 525 5,376 -315 383 4,122 35,588 230 168 2,128 -1,406 734 414 5,598 -385 360 4,018 38,672 123 118 2,155 -1,901 728 317 5,751 -454 40,343 41,394 41,951 42,344 42,483 42,827 43,403 44,399 45,715 49,540 52,463 1,449 1,298 1,863 1,156 1,922 3,147 1,445 1,363 1,375 811 1,391 37 387 3,269 1,379 206 2,357 692 2,612 -175 9,696 620 155 1,453 1,282 1,731 1,135 2,125 3,204 1,469 1,335 1,392 829 1,281 71 432 3,176 1,381 141 2,364 694 2,673 -237 9,526 531 155 1,493 1,299 1,732 1,173 2,155 3,288 1,510 1,315 1,436 888 1,332 112 491 3,173 1,401 108 2,381 721 2,886 -182 9,773 517 166 1,522 1,300 1,715 1,201 2,134 3,373 1,533 1,296 1,474 920 1,391 145 537 3,151 1,410 77 2,390 741 3,019 -178 9,893 480 172 1,547 1,309 1,709 1,224 2,048 3,458 1,552 1,284 1,512 955 1,450 172 573 3,108 1,418 46 2,391 757 3,136 -196 10,008 440 176 1,566 1,318 1,695 1,242 1,973 3,540 1,562 1,272 1,547 980 1,489 192 593 3,041 1,424 16 2,389 767 3,214 -244 10,088 389 178 1,588 1,329 1,705 1,269 1,924 3,619 1,576 1,259 1,584 1,008 1,542 216 616 2,974 1,433 -15 2,389 780 3,302 -278 10,211 342 181 1,611 1,339 1,730 1,302 1,908 3,696 1,589 1,248 1,622 1,037 1,608 243 642 2,905 1,444 -47 2,392 795 3,408 -303 10,340 296 185 1,638 1,356 1,768 1,350 1,922 3,774 1,610 1,238 1,662 1,071 1,707 279 679 2,849 1,459 -76 2,394 812 3,559 -297 10,520 259 192 1,667 1,376 1,830 1,413 1,950 3,854 1,636 1,229 1,703 1,109 1,835 325 727 2,798 1,476 -101 2,395 831 3,770 -266 10,726 230 202 1,750 1,433 2,072 1,627 1,892 4,107 1,708 1,208 1,823 1,222 2,257 480 890 2,627 1,524 -176 2,391 880 4,449 -176 11,299 135 227 1,808 1,474 2,286 1,780 1,840 4,287 1,764 1,198 1,907 1,294 2,604 608 1,024 2,526 1,556 -222 2,382 916 4,995 -85 11,694 78 247 38,270 40,850 40,343 41,394 41,951 42,344 42,483 42,827 43,403 44,399 45,715 49,540 52,463 562 782 446 655 490 628 485 634 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 497 510 530 635 634 630 544 627 554 627 555 627 549 625 532 613 511 600 Note: Sugar is in raw equivalent. * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 138 World Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 4.64 4.76 4.71 4.72 (Million Hectares) 4.73 4.75 4.77 4.79 4.80 4.81 4.82 4.84 4.85 47.93 49.00 49.22 49.59 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 50.01 50.44 50.87 51.30 51.72 52.14 52.54 53.78 54.61 225 233 232 234 (Million Metric Tons) 236 239 242 245 248 251 253 260 265 Sugarcane Area Harvested 24.68 25.42 25.42 25.75 (Million Hectares) 26.01 26.30 26.68 27.12 27.55 27.94 28.25 29.17 29.67 Yield 70.15 71.52 72.29 73.11 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 73.87 74.61 75.36 76.13 76.93 77.69 78.40 80.55 81.95 Production 1,731 1,818 1,838 1,882 (Million Metric Tons) 1,922 1,962 2,011 2,065 2,120 2,171 2,215 2,350 2,431 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 159.94 28.44 188.39 165.48 29.01 194.49 165.20 30.80 196.00 168.36 31.21 199.57 170.78 31.75 202.53 173.26 32.15 205.41 175.50 32.49 207.99 178.10 32.73 210.83 180.81 33.00 213.81 183.92 33.28 217.20 187.23 33.65 220.88 197.09 34.91 232.01 204.06 35.94 240.00 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 159.38 29.01 188.39 163.69 30.80 194.49 164.80 31.21 196.00 167.82 31.75 199.57 170.38 32.15 202.53 172.92 32.49 205.41 175.26 32.73 207.99 177.83 33.00 210.83 180.53 33.28 213.81 183.54 33.65 217.20 186.78 34.10 220.88 196.57 35.44 232.01 203.57 36.43 240.00 38.27 40.85 40.34 41.39 41.95 42.34 42.48 42.83 43.40 44.40 45.72 49.54 52.46 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 139 U.S. Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 467 461 412 62.06 62.78 28,970 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 401 (Thousand Hectares) 399 396 394 393 392 393 394 398 403 63.38 64.11 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 64.85 65.57 66.29 67.03 67.76 68.50 69.22 71.41 72.87 28,913 26,099 25,690 (Thousand Metric Tons) 25,872 25,945 26,148 26,336 26,559 26,898 27,283 28,437 29,387 332 350 337 319 (Thousand Hectares) 315 312 308 304 301 299 297 295 296 75.08 75.38 75.94 76.56 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 77.16 77.74 78.32 78.88 79.45 80.02 80.59 82.29 83.37 24,894 26,384 25,581 24,430 (Thousand Metric Tons) 24,275 24,226 24,091 24,002 23,932 23,917 23,919 24,308 24,693 7,466 1,362 8,828 7,839 1,066 8,904 7,326 1,485 8,811 7,151 1,538 8,689 7,193 1,525 8,719 7,232 1,549 8,780 7,281 1,577 8,858 7,333 1,613 8,946 7,394 1,644 9,038 7,482 1,669 9,151 7,581 1,697 9,278 7,929 1,802 9,730 8,212 1,880 10,092 10,092 1,066 11,158 9,776 1,485 11,261 9,637 1,538 11,175 9,545 1,525 11,070 9,560 1,549 11,108 9,594 1,577 11,171 9,634 1,613 11,247 9,692 1,644 11,336 9,761 1,669 11,430 9,848 1,697 11,545 9,943 1,730 11,673 10,279 1,842 12,121 10,545 1,929 12,474 -2,330 -2,357 -2,364 -2,381 -2,390 -2,391 -2,389 -2,389 -2,392 -2,394 -2,395 -2,391 -2,382 World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 15/16 140 Algerian Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0 30 30 0 65 65 0 101 101 0 120 120 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 136 149 160 136 149 160 0 170 170 0 179 179 0 188 188 0 197 197 0 228 228 0 250 250 1,300 65 1,365 1,414 101 1,514 1,433 120 1,553 1,477 136 1,613 1,509 149 1,658 1,536 160 1,696 1,556 170 1,726 1,579 179 1,758 1,602 188 1,790 1,628 197 1,826 1,657 208 1,864 1,739 239 1,978 1,797 261 2,058 -1,335 -1,449 -1,453 -1,493 -1,522 -1,547 -1,566 -1,588 -1,611 -1,638 -1,667 -1,750 -1,808 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Argentine Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 325 326 324 324 (Thousand Hectares) 324 325 327 329 331 333 334 336 336 66.46 66.62 67.02 67.58 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 68.24 68.94 69.67 70.43 71.22 71.99 72.75 75.03 76.54 21,600 21,735 21,682 21,892 (Thousand Metric Tons) 22,113 22,405 22,765 23,175 23,587 23,968 24,295 25,178 25,688 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,290 0 2,290 2,310 151 2,461 2,310 213 2,522 2,337 233 2,570 2,366 242 2,608 2,403 247 2,650 2,448 250 2,698 2,498 252 2,749 2,548 254 2,802 2,595 256 2,851 2,636 258 2,895 2,751 267 3,019 2,820 275 3,095 Consumption C ti Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,804 1 804 151 1,955 1,903 1 903 213 2,116 1,920 1 920 233 2,152 1,964 1 964 242 2,206 2,001 2 001 247 2,248 2,040 2 040 250 2,289 2,074 2 074 252 2,326 2,109 2 109 254 2,363 2,147 2 147 256 2,403 2,187 2 187 258 2,445 2,232 2 232 261 2,493 2,364 2 364 271 2,636 2,456 2 456 280 2,736 335 345 370 364 360 361 372 386 399 405 402 383 360 Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 141 Australian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 391 418 421 85.68 87.75 33,500 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 422 (Thousand Hectares) 421 419 419 418 418 417 415 407 398 89.11 90.12 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 90.92 91.60 92.21 92.78 93.34 93.88 94.39 95.88 96.81 36,661 37,519 38,076 (Thousand Metric Tons) 38,268 38,414 38,593 38,817 39,028 39,166 39,183 39,013 38,528 4,800 313 5,113 5,260 193 5,453 5,391 196 5,587 5,478 193 5,672 5,514 200 5,713 5,543 205 5,747 5,576 209 5,785 5,616 211 5,827 5,654 214 5,868 5,682 217 5,899 5,693 221 5,914 5,691 237 5,929 5,636 253 5,889 1,250 193 1,443 1,295 196 1,490 1,312 193 1,505 1,337 200 1,537 1,360 205 1,565 1,383 209 1,591 1,404 211 1,615 1,425 214 1,639 1,446 217 1,663 1,468 221 1,690 1,491 227 1,719 1,561 245 1,807 1,610 261 1,871 3,670 3,963 4,082 4,135 4,149 4,156 4,170 4,188 4,205 4,210 4,195 4,122 4,018 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Brazilian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Sugarcane Area Harvested 9,081 9,525 9,619 9,906 (Thousand Hectares) 10,140 10,365 10,648 10,976 11,300 11,599 11,846 12,620 13,059 Yield 79.24 80.97 81.64 82.55 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 83.42 84.29 85.18 86.11 87.06 87.96 88.76 91.10 92.58 Production (Thousand Metric Tons) 719,586 771,208 785,312 817,725 845,935 873,656 906,925 945,097 983,793 ####### ####### ####### ####### Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 37,962 1,635 39,597 39,194 2,271 41,465 38,331 2,130 40,460 39,896 2,085 41,981 40,667 2,148 42,814 41,276 2,174 43,450 41,442 2,205 43,647 41,857 2,223 44,080 42,440 2,247 44,687 43,536 2,270 45,805 45,041 2,301 47,342 49,504 2,385 51,888 53,033 2,456 55,489 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 11,829 2,271 14,100 11,346 2,130 13,476 11,449 2,085 13,534 11,714 2,148 13,862 11,928 2,174 14,102 12,145 2,205 14,350 12,344 2,223 14,567 12,551 2,247 14,798 12,756 2,270 15,025 12,975 2,301 15,276 13,206 2,337 15,543 13,875 2,426 16,301 14,332 2,486 16,818 25,497 27,989 26,926 28,119 28,712 29,099 29,080 29,283 29,662 30,529 31,799 35,588 38,672 Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 142 Canadian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 12 12 12 63.54 64.65 Production 765 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 12 (Thousand Hectares) 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 65.47 66.26 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 66.99 67.72 68.43 69.16 69.89 70.61 71.32 73.44 74.86 792 798 809 (Thousand Metric Tons) 817 827 839 852 866 878 887 907 917 125 361 486 129 366 495 131 376 506 132 374 507 134 375 508 136 373 509 138 372 510 140 372 512 142 371 514 144 371 516 146 372 518 149 375 525 151 379 530 1,350 366 1,716 1,418 376 1,794 1,414 374 1,788 1,431 375 1,806 1,436 373 1,809 1,445 372 1,817 1,456 372 1,828 1,469 371 1,840 1,482 371 1,853 1,500 372 1,872 1,521 373 1,894 1,581 377 1,958 1,624 381 2,004 -1,230 -1,298 -1,282 -1,299 -1,300 -1,309 -1,318 -1,329 -1,339 -1,356 -1,376 -1,433 -1,474 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Chinese Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 260 292 302 306 (Thousand Hectares) 306 306 306 305 304 303 302 299 296 42.31 45.95 47.99 49.34 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 50.38 51.28 52.12 52.92 53.72 54.51 55.28 57.54 59.01 11,000 13,397 14,499 15,088 (Thousand Metric Tons) 15,437 15,698 15,923 16,135 16,335 16,524 16,699 17,176 17,482 Sugarcane Area Harvested 1,777 1,793 1,795 1,800 (Thousand Hectares) 1,806 1,812 1,820 1,829 1,837 1,845 1,852 1,874 1,890 Yield 70.34 71.98 73.05 73.85 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 74.52 75.11 75.66 76.18 76.69 77.20 77.68 79.09 80.00 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Production (Thousand Metric Tons) 125,000 129,060 131,129 132,968 134,544 136,104 137,699 139,300 140,858 142,399 143,884 148,202 151,164 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 12,670 1,900 14,570 13,350 1,215 14,565 13,727 1,099 14,826 14,037 1,058 15,095 14,302 1,062 15,364 14,560 1,069 15,628 14,819 1,076 15,894 15,079 1,080 16,159 15,336 1,086 16,422 15,592 1,093 16,685 15,843 1,102 16,946 16,589 1,129 17,718 17,103 1,152 18,255 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 15,100 1,215 16,315 15,329 1,099 16,428 15,500 1,058 16,557 15,765 1,062 16,827 16,010 1,069 17,079 16,261 1,076 17,337 16,509 1,080 17,589 16,778 1,086 17,864 17,059 1,093 18,152 17,351 1,102 18,454 17,663 1,112 18,775 18,649 1,141 19,789 19,377 1,163 20,541 -1,745 -1,863 -1,731 -1,732 -1,715 -1,709 -1,695 -1,705 -1,730 -1,768 -1,830 -2,072 -2,286 Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 143 Colombian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 445 441 434 75.82 76.01 33,740 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 433 (Thousand Hectares) 431 431 433 435 437 438 438 436 431 76.33 76.73 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 77.17 77.61 78.07 78.54 79.03 79.51 79.96 81.33 82.23 33,501 33,161 33,201 (Thousand Metric Tons) 33,275 33,474 33,786 34,178 34,564 34,849 35,042 35,440 35,414 2,200 321 2,521 2,194 196 2,390 2,182 155 2,337 2,195 140 2,334 2,210 135 2,344 2,233 133 2,366 2,264 132 2,396 2,300 132 2,432 2,337 131 2,468 2,366 131 2,498 2,390 131 2,521 2,449 132 2,581 2,469 133 2,602 1,625 196 1,821 1,709 155 1,863 1,724 140 1,864 1,768 135 1,902 1,804 133 1,937 1,840 132 1,972 1,875 132 2,007 1,912 131 2,043 1,955 131 2,086 2,005 131 2,136 2,055 132 2,187 2,219 133 2,352 2,345 134 2,478 700 527 473 432 407 393 389 389 382 362 335 230 123 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Cuban Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 350 313 283 276 (Thousand Hectares) 273 277 285 295 304 311 314 314 304 32.48 31.91 31.72 31.65 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 31.61 31.59 31.58 31.57 31.56 31.54 31.53 31.50 31.47 11,364 9,991 8,988 8,723 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,644 8,753 8,996 9,305 9,597 9,814 9,908 9,889 9,562 1,100 140 1,240 969 150 1,119 874 177 1,051 850 182 1,031 844 188 1,032 856 192 1,048 882 195 1,076 914 196 1,110 944 198 1,143 968 201 1,169 979 206 1,185 983 224 1,207 954 241 1,196 700 150 850 759 177 936 747 182 929 757 188 945 759 192 951 761 195 956 759 196 956 761 198 959 763 201 964 770 206 976 779 212 992 806 233 1,039 828 250 1,077 390 183 121 86 80 92 121 151 178 193 193 168 118 World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 144 Egyptian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 150 175 187 194 (Thousand Hectares) 197 200 202 203 204 205 206 208 209 Yield 38.00 38.15 38.43 38.79 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 39.19 39.61 40.04 40.48 40.92 41.36 41.79 43.07 44.25 Production 5,700 6,686 7,196 7,517 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,736 7,912 8,070 8,218 8,359 8,493 8,616 8,958 9,243 140 137 134 133 (Thousand Hectares) 133 134 136 138 139 141 141 142 142 91.09 91.72 92.53 93.44 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 94.39 95.37 96.35 97.34 98.33 99.32 100.29 103.14 105.77 12,753 12,561 12,364 12,436 (Thousand Metric Tons) 12,588 12,823 13,110 13,412 13,701 13,958 14,164 14,661 14,996 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,830 859 2,689 1,913 1,009 2,922 1,948 1,064 3,012 1,991 1,077 3,067 2,032 1,081 3,113 2,077 1,082 3,159 2,126 1,081 3,207 2,175 1,080 3,255 2,223 1,079 3,302 2,267 1,078 3,345 2,305 1,078 3,383 2,404 1,082 3,486 2,476 1,087 3,563 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,800 1,009 3,809 3,014 1,064 4,078 3,070 1,077 4,147 3,159 1,081 4,241 3,232 1,082 4,314 3,302 1,081 4,383 3,370 1,080 4,449 3,445 1,079 4,524 3,526 1,078 4,604 3,617 1,078 4,695 3,716 1,080 4,796 4,029 1,085 5,113 4,254 1,089 5,343 -1,120 -1,156 -1,135 -1,173 -1,201 -1,224 -1,242 -1,269 -1,302 -1,350 -1,413 -1,627 -1,780 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 European Union Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Sugar Beet Area Harvested 1,530 1,570 1,552 1,546 (Thousand Hectares) 1,544 1,547 1,547 1,544 1,537 1,527 1,515 1,493 1,479 Yield 64.00 63.77 63.90 64.22 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 64.63 65.09 65.59 66.12 66.65 67.19 67.74 69.40 70.50 97,914 100,112 99,164 99,294 Production Sugarcane Area Harvested 15/16 (Thousand Metric Tons) 99,788 100,686 101,483 102,079 102,437 102,596 102,642 103,598 104,249 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 (Thousand Hectares) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 80.23 80.29 80.41 80.56 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 80.69 80.84 81.01 81.19 81.38 81.58 81.78 82.39 82.80 6 6 6 6 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 14,800 2,375 17,175 15,141 2,290 17,431 15,007 2,292 17,298 15,035 2,301 17,336 15,119 2,308 17,427 15,264 2,315 17,580 15,394 2,323 17,717 15,494 2,331 17,824 15,557 2,338 17,895 15,591 2,345 17,935 15,607 2,352 17,959 15,780 2,372 18,152 15,898 2,385 18,283 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 17,000 2,290 19,290 17,062 2,292 19,354 17,123 2,301 19,424 17,183 2,308 19,491 17,246 2,315 19,561 17,305 2,323 19,628 17,359 2,331 19,690 17,410 2,338 19,748 17,459 2,345 19,804 17,505 2,352 19,857 17,550 2,359 19,909 17,665 2,379 20,044 17,732 2,392 20,123 -2,115 -1,922 -2,125 -2,155 -2,134 -2,048 -1,973 -1,924 -1,908 -1,922 -1,950 -1,892 -1,840 Yield Production Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 145 Guatemalan Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 241 241 237 92.50 92.59 22,292 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 238 (Thousand Hectares) 238 240 243 247 250 252 254 255 254 93.28 94.31 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 95.51 96.78 98.09 99.42 100.76 102.09 103.41 107.37 110.02 22,291 22,130 22,411 (Thousand Metric Tons) 22,775 23,261 23,855 24,511 25,163 25,755 26,238 27,403 27,940 2,474 546 3,020 2,484 590 3,074 2,476 583 3,059 2,518 568 3,086 2,569 554 3,123 2,634 539 3,173 2,712 524 3,236 2,798 508 3,306 2,883 493 3,376 2,963 477 3,440 3,030 463 3,493 3,201 421 3,623 3,289 395 3,684 750 590 1,340 822 583 1,405 824 568 1,392 850 554 1,404 869 539 1,408 888 524 1,412 905 508 1,413 925 493 1,417 946 477 1,423 971 463 1,434 1,000 449 1,449 1,086 408 1,495 1,147 382 1,529 1,680 1,668 1,667 1,682 1,714 1,761 1,823 1,889 1,953 2,006 2,044 2,128 2,155 15/16 Indian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Sugarcane Area Harvested 4,810 5,015 5,037 5,077 (Thousand Hectares) 5,098 5,127 5,164 5,207 5,247 5,283 5,314 5,408 5,476 Yield 68.19 69.18 69.90 70.59 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 71.23 71.87 72.49 73.13 73.77 74.41 75.02 76.85 78.08 Production (Thousand Metric Tons) 328,000 346,973 352,112 358,356 363,165 368,443 374,351 380,756 387,112 393,105 398,662 415,619 427,552 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 25,700 4,653 30,353 26,776 6,333 33,109 27,235 6,819 34,053 27,781 6,971 34,752 28,218 7,108 35,326 28,694 7,200 35,894 29,221 7,270 36,491 29,788 7,319 37,107 30,354 7,372 37,726 30,894 7,432 38,326 31,401 7,508 38,909 32,958 7,761 40,719 34,056 7,947 42,003 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 25,000 6,333 31,333 26,409 6,819 33,227 26,653 6,971 33,624 27,372 7,108 34,479 27,958 7,200 35,157 28,551 7,270 35,821 29,116 7,319 36,434 29,759 7,372 37,131 30,440 7,432 37,872 31,193 7,508 38,701 31,969 7,598 39,567 34,268 7,857 42,125 35,871 8,033 43,904 -980 -119 429 273 169 73 56 -24 -146 -375 -658 -1,406 -1,901 Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 146 Indonesian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 330 327 325 74.24 74.87 24,500 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 324 (Thousand Hectares) 323 323 324 324 325 326 327 332 336 75.13 75.24 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 75.29 75.30 75.31 75.33 75.34 75.34 75.32 75.24 75.16 24,508 24,427 24,385 (Thousand Metric Tons) 24,352 24,347 24,368 24,420 24,489 24,570 24,661 24,967 25,236 1,911 450 2,361 1,914 371 2,285 1,910 419 2,329 1,909 443 2,352 1,909 461 2,370 1,911 476 2,387 1,915 490 2,406 1,922 504 2,426 1,930 517 2,446 1,939 529 2,468 1,948 541 2,490 1,980 576 2,556 2,006 599 2,605 4,900 371 5,271 5,013 419 5,432 5,090 443 5,533 5,180 461 5,640 5,267 476 5,743 5,355 490 5,845 5,442 504 5,946 5,528 517 6,044 5,613 529 6,142 5,700 541 6,242 5,791 553 6,344 6,075 587 6,663 6,282 610 6,892 -2,910 -3,147 -3,204 -3,288 -3,373 -3,458 -3,540 -3,619 -3,696 -3,774 -3,854 -4,107 -4,287 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Iranian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 123 130 131 133 (Thousand Hectares) 135 138 141 144 147 151 153 161 165 Yield 38.89 39.39 39.77 40.15 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 40.50 40.85 41.20 41.55 41.90 42.24 42.56 43.54 44.18 Production 4,790 5,125 5,206 5,330 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,462 5,622 5,801 5,991 6,180 6,358 6,518 6,988 7,274 87 88 88 89 89 89 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Sugarcane Area Harvested 80 84 85 86 (Thousand Hectares) 86 86 87 Yield 56.21 57.54 58.50 59.35 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 60.11 60.83 61.54 62.24 62.95 63.67 64.37 66.50 67.91 Production 4,493 4,806 4,958 5,077 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,171 5,259 5,350 5,443 5,536 5,624 5,702 5,912 6,030 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 850 637 1,487 910 580 1,490 933 581 1,514 956 591 1,548 978 607 1,585 1,002 622 1,624 1,028 638 1,666 1,055 653 1,708 1,082 668 1,750 1,108 684 1,791 1,131 700 1,831 1,198 749 1,947 1,238 783 2,022 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,200 580 2,780 2,354 581 2,936 2,392 591 2,983 2,451 607 3,058 2,495 622 3,118 2,538 638 3,176 2,575 653 3,228 2,615 668 3,283 2,656 684 3,340 2,701 700 3,401 2,750 716 3,467 2,889 766 3,656 2,985 800 3,785 -1,293 -1,445 -1,469 -1,510 -1,533 -1,552 -1,562 -1,576 -1,589 -1,610 -1,636 -1,708 -1,764 Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 147 Japanese Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 67 68 68 Yield 62.42 63.16 Production 4,178 23 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Sugarcane Area Harvested 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 68 (Thousand Hectares) 68 68 68 68 67 67 67 65 63 63.71 64.17 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 64.60 65.02 65.43 65.84 66.25 66.66 67.07 68.29 69.09 4,265 4,321 4,377 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4,413 4,437 4,452 4,462 4,469 4,471 4,465 4,427 4,375 23 24 24 (Thousand Hectares) 24 24 24 24 24 24 23 23 22 68.95 69.35 69.76 70.16 71.35 72.12 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,607 1,619 1,628 1,635 1,640 1,643 1,643 1,635 1,620 Yield 66.33 66.54 66.89 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 67.28 67.70 68.12 68.54 Production 1,544 1,557 1,572 1,592 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 845 505 1,350 864 461 1,325 879 451 1,330 895 447 1,342 907 445 1,352 917 445 1,362 925 445 1,370 932 445 1,377 939 445 1,384 944 446 1,390 948 446 1,394 954 449 1,403 953 451 1,404 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,242 461 2,703 2,237 451 2,689 2,218 447 2,665 2,211 445 2,656 2,204 445 2,649 2,201 445 2,646 2,197 445 2,641 2,191 445 2,637 2,186 446 2,632 2,182 446 2,628 2,176 447 2,623 2,161 450 2,611 2,150 452 2,602 -1,353 -1,363 -1,335 -1,315 -1,296 -1,284 -1,272 -1,259 -1,248 -1,238 -1,229 -1,208 -1,198 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Net Trade Malaysian Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugarcane g Area Harvested Yield Production Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 12 11 11 11 ((Thousand Hectares)) 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 50.40 52.06 53.71 55.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 56.94 58.52 60.12 61.74 63.39 65.04 66.70 71.69 75.01 604 594 585 591 (Thousand Metric Tons) 600 611 624 639 654 667 678 708 722 20 40 60 20 50 70 21 64 85 21 72 93 22 79 102 23 87 110 24 94 118 26 100 126 27 107 134 28 114 142 29 121 151 33 143 176 35 159 193 1,300 50 1,350 1,382 64 1,446 1,405 72 1,477 1,450 79 1,529 1,489 87 1,576 1,529 94 1,622 1,565 100 1,665 1,603 107 1,711 1,642 114 1,756 1,683 121 1,804 1,725 129 1,854 1,848 151 1,999 1,934 166 2,100 -1,290 -1,375 -1,392 -1,436 -1,474 -1,512 -1,547 -1,584 -1,622 -1,662 -1,703 -1,823 -1,907 World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 148 Mexican Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 650 658 655 67.69 69.65 44,000 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 655 (Thousand Hectares) 655 656 657 658 659 660 662 665 668 70.57 71.05 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 71.37 71.62 71.85 72.09 72.33 72.57 72.79 73.44 73.89 45,839 46,231 46,509 (Thousand Metric Tons) 46,768 46,994 47,203 47,426 47,671 47,914 48,154 48,857 49,364 5,450 973 6,423 5,701 975 6,676 5,773 1,023 6,795 5,831 1,042 6,872 5,886 1,051 6,937 5,938 1,056 6,995 5,988 1,060 7,049 6,040 1,063 7,104 6,095 1,067 7,162 6,150 1,070 7,220 6,205 1,074 7,279 6,369 1,082 7,451 6,485 1,087 7,572 4,735 975 5,710 4,923 1,023 5,946 5,019 1,042 6,060 5,072 1,051 6,123 5,125 1,056 6,182 5,180 1,060 6,240 5,234 1,063 6,298 5,289 1,067 6,355 5,344 1,070 6,414 5,398 1,074 6,472 5,456 1,077 6,533 5,632 1,085 6,717 5,755 1,090 6,844 713 730 735 749 756 755 751 748 748 748 746 734 728 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Moroccan Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 66 68 68 67 (Thousand Hectares) 67 67 67 67 68 68 68 67 66 Yield 51.73 52.18 52.59 52.99 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 53.44 53.88 54.32 54.77 55.22 55.66 56.10 57.41 58.29 Production 3,422 3,548 3,555 3,569 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,576 3,599 3,636 3,682 3,727 3,766 3,792 3,848 3,856 16 16 16 16 16 16 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Sugarcane Area Harvested 15 15 15 15 (Thousand Hectares) 15 15 15 Yield 67.95 68.13 68.23 68.33 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 68.48 68.60 68.74 68.87 69.01 69.14 69.26 69.62 69.86 Production 1,016 1,042 1,038 1,038 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,044 1,051 1,061 1,074 1,085 1,094 1,100 1,117 1,124 520 191 711 538 171 709 539 184 724 541 191 733 543 204 747 547 214 761 553 223 776 561 231 791 568 239 807 574 247 821 578 257 835 588 286 874 591 308 899 1,270 171 1,441 1,336 184 1,520 1,361 191 1,552 1,416 204 1,620 1,454 214 1,668 1,493 223 1,716 1,525 231 1,756 1,560 239 1,799 1,596 247 1,844 1,636 257 1,892 1,677 267 1,943 1,799 297 2,096 1,874 319 2,193 -730 -811 -829 -888 -920 -955 -980 -1,008 -1,037 -1,071 -1,109 -1,222 -1,294 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 149 Pakistani Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 3 2 2 35.52 35.47 90 1,075 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 2 (Thousand Hectares) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 35.43 35.48 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 35.52 35.59 35.66 35.73 35.80 35.85 35.89 36.00 36.08 87 84 84 (Thousand Metric Tons) 84 84 84 85 85 85 83 78 73 1,088 1,082 1,094 (Thousand Hectares) 1,098 1,103 1,109 1,117 1,123 1,127 1,127 1,122 1,113 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 51.67 52.31 52.96 53.60 54.24 54.88 55.49 56.09 57.87 59.05 (Thousand Metric Tons) 57,432 58,389 59,470 60,598 61,643 62,515 63,190 64,922 65,701 49.02 50.19 50.95 52,700 54,590 55,120 56,515 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,270 730 4,000 3,398 850 4,248 3,442 969 4,410 3,540 1,021 4,561 3,609 1,070 4,679 3,680 1,113 4,793 3,760 1,152 4,913 3,844 1,188 5,032 3,922 1,224 5,147 3,990 1,261 5,252 4,046 1,302 5,348 4,195 1,433 5,628 4,272 1,529 5,801 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,280 850 5,130 4,670 969 5,639 4,670 1,021 5,691 4,823 1,070 5,893 4,957 1,113 6,070 5,091 1,152 6,244 5,214 1,188 6,402 5,350 1,224 6,574 5,493 1,261 6,754 5,657 1,302 6,959 5,837 1,346 7,183 6,404 1,481 7,885 6,828 1,577 8,405 -1,130 -1,391 -1,281 -1,332 -1,391 -1,450 -1,489 -1,542 -1,608 -1,707 -1,835 -2,257 -2,604 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Production Net Trade Peruvian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 80 79 78 77 ((Thousand Hectares)) 77 77 77 78 78 79 79 78 77 Yield 126.25 128.39 129.45 130.05 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 130.46 130.77 131.04 131.29 131.53 131.74 131.92 132.42 132.72 Production 10,100 10,161 10,032 10,028 (Thousand Metric Tons) 10,026 10,062 10,136 10,225 10,303 10,354 10,361 10,301 10,169 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,250 150 1,400 1,260 155 1,415 1,246 159 1,405 1,247 160 1,407 1,249 160 1,409 1,255 160 1,415 1,267 160 1,426 1,280 159 1,439 1,292 159 1,451 1,300 159 1,459 1,303 159 1,462 1,302 160 1,461 1,289 161 1,450 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,275 155 1,430 1,292 159 1,451 1,316 160 1,476 1,358 160 1,518 1,394 160 1,554 1,427 160 1,587 1,459 159 1,619 1,496 159 1,655 1,534 159 1,693 1,579 159 1,738 1,627 159 1,787 1,781 160 1,942 1,896 161 2,057 -30 -37 -71 -112 -145 -172 -192 -216 -243 -279 -325 -480 -608 Sugarcane g Area Harvested Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 150 Philippine Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 400 388 373 51.25 53.39 20,500 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 369 (Thousand Hectares) 368 369 373 379 383 387 390 396 396 54.44 54.97 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 55.27 55.46 55.61 55.74 55.88 56.00 56.10 56.39 56.56 20,699 20,291 20,264 (Thousand Metric Tons) 20,314 20,483 20,767 21,104 21,423 21,691 21,885 22,311 22,410 1,900 244 2,144 1,922 102 2,024 1,887 140 2,027 1,887 155 2,042 1,895 166 2,061 1,914 175 2,089 1,943 184 2,127 1,978 191 2,169 2,011 199 2,210 2,040 207 2,247 2,061 216 2,277 2,111 242 2,353 2,127 261 2,388 2,150 102 2,252 2,271 140 2,411 2,303 155 2,459 2,367 166 2,534 2,423 175 2,599 2,478 184 2,662 2,529 191 2,720 2,586 199 2,785 2,646 207 2,853 2,711 216 2,926 2,780 224 3,004 2,992 251 3,244 3,142 270 3,412 -108 -387 -432 -491 -537 -573 -593 -616 -642 -679 -727 -890 -1,024 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Russian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 882 877 877 887 (Thousand Hectares) 898 909 922 936 950 963 976 1,015 1,040 29.06 29.24 29.43 29.67 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 29.93 30.19 30.46 30.74 31.03 31.29 31.53 32.26 32.74 25,618 25,630 25,813 26,331 (Thousand Metric Tons) 26,861 27,446 28,090 28,773 29,469 30,137 30,775 32,735 34,056 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,850 380 3,230 2,854 444 3,298 2,877 543 3,420 2,937 586 3,523 2,999 629 3,628 3,067 670 3,737 3,142 708 3,850 3,221 741 3,962 3,302 773 4,075 3,380 806 4,185 3,454 839 4,294 3,684 942 4,626 3,840 1,010 4,850 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,736 444 6,180 6,024 543 6,567 6,010 586 6,596 6,067 629 6,696 6,109 670 6,779 6,137 708 6,846 6,150 741 6,891 6,163 773 6,936 6,175 806 6,981 6,195 839 7,034 6,217 875 7,092 6,276 976 7,253 6,333 1,044 7,376 -2,950 -3,269 -3,176 -3,173 -3,151 -3,108 -3,041 -2,974 -2,905 -2,849 -2,798 -2,627 -2,526 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 151 South African Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 280 285 284 62.61 63.79 17,531 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 285 (Thousand Hectares) 285 286 286 287 288 288 288 286 284 64.55 64.91 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 65.13 65.23 65.31 65.36 65.40 65.44 65.46 65.52 65.56 18,166 18,356 18,495 (Thousand Metric Tons) 18,573 18,638 18,707 18,773 18,823 18,847 18,838 18,755 18,627 2,140 70 2,210 2,220 35 2,255 2,246 53 2,299 2,266 71 2,337 2,278 95 2,373 2,289 119 2,408 2,300 144 2,444 2,311 168 2,479 2,320 193 2,513 2,326 218 2,544 2,328 244 2,572 2,326 327 2,653 2,316 385 2,700 1,625 35 1,660 1,620 53 1,673 1,614 71 1,684 1,624 95 1,719 1,637 119 1,756 1,654 144 1,798 1,670 168 1,838 1,691 193 1,883 1,715 218 1,933 1,744 244 1,988 1,776 272 2,048 1,883 356 2,239 1,970 414 2,384 550 582 614 618 617 611 607 596 580 556 525 414 317 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 151 153 154 151 153 154 0 155 155 0 156 156 0 157 157 0 159 159 0 165 165 0 170 170 South Korean Sugar Supply and Utilization Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption C ti Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 164 164 0 144 144 0 148 148 0 149 149 1,280 1 280 144 1,424 1,376 1 376 148 1,523 1,379 1 379 149 1,528 1,399 1 399 151 1,550 1,408 1 408 153 1,561 1,417 1 417 154 1,571 1,423 1 423 155 1,577 1,432 1 432 156 1,588 1,443 1 443 157 1,600 1,457 1 457 159 1,616 1,474 1 474 161 1,635 1,521 1 521 167 1,689 1,554 1 554 172 1,726 -1,260 -1,379 -1,381 -1,401 -1,410 -1,418 -1,424 -1,433 -1,444 -1,459 -1,476 -1,524 -1,556 World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 152 Thai Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Sugarcane Area Harvested 1,070 1,092 1,101 1,107 (Thousand Hectares) 1,111 1,114 1,117 1,121 1,125 1,130 1,135 1,153 1,166 Yield 63.83 63.86 64.21 64.73 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 65.34 66.01 66.71 67.40 68.08 68.77 69.44 71.53 72.97 68,300 69,712 70,683 71,666 (Thousand Metric Tons) 72,588 73,531 74,536 75,563 76,615 77,703 78,807 82,467 85,051 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,870 1,486 8,356 7,019 1,456 8,475 7,124 1,361 8,485 7,230 1,311 8,541 7,330 1,303 8,633 7,433 1,301 8,734 7,542 1,301 8,843 7,653 1,298 8,952 7,768 1,298 9,065 7,886 1,299 9,184 8,006 1,303 9,309 8,402 1,323 9,725 8,683 1,343 10,026 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,200 1,456 3,656 2,251 1,361 3,613 2,250 1,311 3,560 2,302 1,303 3,605 2,346 1,301 3,647 2,390 1,301 3,691 2,429 1,298 3,728 2,473 1,298 3,770 2,517 1,299 3,816 2,567 1,303 3,870 2,622 1,310 3,933 2,794 1,333 4,127 2,922 1,353 4,275 4,700 4,862 4,925 4,936 4,986 5,043 5,115 5,181 5,250 5,314 5,376 5,598 5,751 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Production Net Trade 15/16 Turkish Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 300 305 301 299 (Thousand Hectares) 297 296 297 299 300 302 302 301 299 46.67 49.11 50.38 51.18 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 51.77 52.27 52.74 53.21 53.68 54.13 54.57 55.82 56.65 14,000 14,977 15,156 15,320 (Thousand Metric Tons) 15,388 15,494 15,670 15,896 16,124 16,323 16,473 16,824 16,938 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,400 501 2,901 2,571 66 2,637 2,606 150 2,756 2,638 178 2,816 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,653 2,676 2,710 194 203 207 2,848 2,878 2,917 2,753 208 2,961 2,796 207 3,004 2,835 207 3,042 2,865 209 3,074 2,939 217 3,156 2,967 227 3,194 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,800 66 2,866 2,836 150 2,986 2,854 178 3,031 2,924 194 3,118 2,975 203 3,178 3,014 207 3,221 3,036 208 3,244 3,062 207 3,270 3,091 207 3,298 3,131 209 3,340 3,178 211 3,389 3,319 222 3,541 3,417 232 3,648 35 -349 -275 -302 -331 -343 -327 -309 -294 -298 -315 -385 -454 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 153 Ukrainian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 410 429 431 31.00 31.48 12,710 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 432 (Thousand Hectares) 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 442 31.92 32.39 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 32.88 33.37 33.85 34.35 34.87 35.38 35.86 37.24 38.12 13,494 13,746 13,997 (Thousand Metric Tons) 14,227 14,473 14,725 14,980 15,244 15,497 15,729 16,402 16,838 2,000 136 2,136 2,125 291 2,416 2,166 358 2,523 2,207 386 2,593 2,244 399 2,643 2,285 404 2,689 2,326 406 2,732 2,368 407 2,775 2,411 408 2,819 2,452 408 2,860 2,491 408 2,899 2,602 408 3,010 2,675 408 3,083 2,200 291 2,491 2,264 358 2,621 2,278 386 2,665 2,302 399 2,701 2,316 404 2,720 2,328 406 2,735 2,341 407 2,748 2,352 408 2,760 2,364 408 2,772 2,376 408 2,784 2,389 408 2,797 2,426 408 2,835 2,453 408 2,861 -355 -206 -141 -108 -77 -46 -16 15 47 76 101 176 222 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Venezuelan Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 100 100 98 98 (Thousand Hectares) 99 100 102 104 106 107 109 114 116 Yield 70.37 70.34 70.55 70.65 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 70.81 70.98 71.14 71.28 71.44 71.63 71.87 72.78 73.53 Production 7,037 7,001 6,935 6,944 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,996 7,095 7,234 7,392 7,548 7,697 7,836 8,261 8,544 600 396 996 598 501 1,099 593 537 1,129 594 542 1,137 599 545 1,144 609 546 1,155 621 546 1,167 635 545 1,181 650 545 1,195 663 545 1,208 676 546 1,222 715 547 1,263 741 549 1,291 1,195 501 1,696 1,254 537 1,791 1,281 542 1,823 1,312 545 1,857 1,339 546 1,885 1,365 546 1,911 1,389 545 1,934 1,416 545 1,961 1,445 545 1,990 1,475 546 2,021 1,506 546 2,052 1,594 548 2,142 1,656 550 2,206 -700 -692 -694 -721 -741 -757 -767 -780 -795 -812 -831 -880 -916 Sugarcane Area Harvested Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 14/15 154 Other African Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 0 0 14.08 14.07 4 1,082 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0 (Thousand Hectares) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14.06 14.06 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 14.08 14.11 14.14 14.18 14.21 14.24 14.27 14.33 14.36 4 4 4 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 1,117 1,105 1,108 (Thousand Hectares) 1,112 1,119 1,130 1,142 1,152 1,161 1,166 1,174 1,172 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 51.07 51.46 51.86 52.28 52.70 53.12 53.54 53.94 55.11 55.89 (Thousand Metric Tons) 57,219 58,055 59,058 60,152 61,219 62,158 62,886 64,715 65,526 50.30 50.44 50.72 54,421 56,356 56,036 56,610 5,701 2,226 7,927 5,932 2,230 8,162 5,926 2,353 8,279 6,015 2,373 8,388 6,108 2,395 8,504 6,227 2,404 8,631 6,364 2,409 8,773 6,512 2,408 8,920 6,658 2,408 9,066 6,791 2,410 9,201 6,902 2,418 9,320 7,200 2,458 9,658 7,356 2,501 9,856 8,123 2,230 10,353 8,421 2,353 10,774 8,578 2,373 10,951 8,878 2,395 11,274 9,118 2,404 11,523 9,358 2,409 11,767 9,579 2,408 11,987 9,814 2,408 12,222 10,064 2,410 12,474 10,342 2,418 12,760 10,657 2,433 13,090 11,627 2,480 14,107 12,331 2,521 14,852 -2,426 -2,612 -2,673 -2,886 -3,019 -3,136 -3,214 -3,302 -3,408 -3,559 -3,770 -4,449 -4,995 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 Other American Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugar Beet Area Harvested A H t d Yield Production Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16 15 15 15 (Thousand Hectares) 15 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 17 69.95 70.10 70.42 70.78 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 71.20 71.62 72.08 72.55 73.05 73.53 74.00 75.40 76.32 1,260 1,310 1,339 1,345 1,341 1,294 1,138 1,052 1,041 1,037 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,092 1,129 1,196 902 903 892 893 (Thousand Hectares) 893 896 901 907 912 915 916 915 910 63.57 63.83 64.30 64.81 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 65.39 65.97 66.57 67.18 67.81 68.42 69.01 70.80 71.97 (Thousand Metric Tons) 58,404 59,095 59,980 60,934 61,835 62,604 63,190 64,762 65,494 57,364 57,621 57,333 57,897 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 4,293 1,550 5,843 4,335 1,485 5,820 4,342 1,554 5,896 4,413 1,555 5,968 4,485 1,570 6,055 4,570 1,579 6,148 4,673 1,581 6,254 4,782 1,577 6,359 4,886 1,575 6,462 4,980 1,576 6,556 5,058 1,583 6,641 5,280 1,618 6,898 5,402 1,654 7,056 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,840 1,485 5,325 4,091 1,554 5,645 4,104 1,555 5,659 4,216 1,570 5,786 4,298 1,579 5,877 4,371 1,581 5,952 4,432 1,577 6,009 4,505 1,575 6,080 4,583 1,576 6,159 4,676 1,583 6,259 4,779 1,596 6,375 5,086 1,636 6,722 5,300 1,671 6,971 518 175 237 182 178 196 244 278 303 297 266 176 85 Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 155 Other Asian Sugar Supply and Utilization 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 69 73 72 Yield 22.48 22.68 Production 1,559 629 Sugar Beet Area Harvested Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 71 (Thousand Hectares) 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 69 68 22.78 22.85 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 22.90 22.94 22.97 23.00 23.03 23.06 23.08 23.13 23.16 1,648 1,630 1,630 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,624 1,624 1,628 1,635 1,641 1,641 1,635 1,606 1,574 628 617 618 (Thousand Hectares) 619 623 628 635 640 644 647 653 653 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 51.84 52.42 53.03 53.64 54.26 54.90 55.52 56.13 57.93 59.12 (Thousand Metric Tons) 32,458 33,031 33,709 34,435 35,142 35,782 36,314 37,804 38,596 50.53 50.86 51.29 31,796 31,965 31,648 32,030 1,897 2,258 4,155 1,928 1,900 3,828 1,926 2,168 4,094 1,965 2,190 4,155 2,006 2,245 4,252 2,058 2,271 4,329 2,116 2,282 4,398 2,178 2,274 4,451 2,239 2,272 4,511 2,297 2,277 4,573 2,348 2,301 4,649 2,498 2,409 4,907 2,586 2,525 5,111 11,103 1,900 13,003 11,356 2,168 13,524 11,430 2,190 13,620 11,682 2,245 13,928 11,874 2,271 14,145 12,055 2,282 14,337 12,212 2,274 14,486 12,390 2,272 14,663 12,575 2,277 14,851 12,793 2,301 15,094 13,033 2,343 15,376 13,736 2,469 16,205 14,225 2,579 16,805 -8,848 -9,696 -9,526 -9,773 -9,893 -10,008 -10,088 -10,211 -10,340 -10,520 -10,726 -11,299 -11,694 Other European Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugar Beet Area Harvested A H t d Yield Production Sugarcane Area Harvested Yield Production 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 281 284 282 46.75 47.52 48.16 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 283 (Thousand Hectares) 283 284 285 287 288 289 290 291 290 48.90 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 49.79 50.67 51.58 52.53 53.48 54.43 55.38 58.18 60.03 15,066 15,412 15,744 16,043 16,904 17,409 13,114 13,497 13,594 13,839 (Thousand Metric Tons) 14,107 14,393 14,716 0 0 0 0 (Thousand Hectares) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,525 722 2,247 1,576 750 2,326 1,594 805 2,399 1,630 816 2,446 1,669 828 2,497 1,710 835 2,545 1,756 840 2,596 1,805 842 2,646 1,854 843 2,697 1,902 846 2,747 1,946 851 2,796 2,076 871 2,947 2,155 892 3,047 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,016 750 2,766 2,141 805 2,946 2,115 816 2,931 2,135 828 2,963 2,141 835 2,976 2,145 840 2,985 2,143 842 2,985 2,145 843 2,989 2,148 846 2,994 2,156 851 3,007 2,169 858 3,027 2,200 882 3,082 2,223 902 3,125 -519 -620 -531 -517 -480 -440 -389 -342 -296 -259 -230 -135 -78 Net Trade World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 156 Other Oceanian Sugar Supply and Utilization Sugar Beet Area Harvested Yield Production Sugarcane Area Harvested 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0 58 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 0 (Thousand Hectares) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 59 58 58 (Thousand Hectares) 58 58 59 59 59 59 59 58 57 44.73 44.78 44.83 44.87 44.99 45.07 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,602 2,605 2,614 2,627 2,636 2,638 2,630 2,596 2,557 Yield 44.55 44.52 44.53 (Metric Tons per Hectare) 44.56 44.60 44.64 44.68 Production 2,589 2,634 2,600 2,605 Sugar Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 235 140 375 240 95 335 239 93 331 240 88 328 241 88 329 243 88 331 245 88 333 248 87 335 250 87 337 251 87 339 252 88 340 253 94 347 251 101 352 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 386 95 481 398 93 491 398 88 486 407 88 495 413 88 501 419 88 507 423 87 511 429 87 516 435 87 522 443 88 531 451 91 542 477 98 574 495 104 599 -106 -155 -155 -166 -172 -176 -178 -181 -185 -192 -202 -227 -247 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 23/24 25/26 41.56 46.89 60.42 57.00 40.88 12.03 39.32 65.39 36.77 34.36 58.51 22.71 20.89 30.74 17.77 49.87 43.22 44.88 25.44 45.20 22.28 45.71 34.51 28.90 34.79 36.03 53.88 29.03 46.17 41.73 47.28 60.72 57.41 40.93 12.19 39.69 65.43 36.97 34.42 58.78 22.95 21.02 30.87 17.82 50.40 43.24 45.46 25.74 45.87 22.40 46.06 34.90 29.05 35.25 35.97 54.52 28.93 46.45 41.91 47.71 61.01 57.81 41.01 12.35 40.21 65.58 37.22 34.48 59.12 23.21 21.16 31.01 17.87 50.94 43.27 46.08 26.06 46.61 22.54 46.42 35.37 29.24 35.72 35.96 55.16 28.86 46.79 42.19 48.20 61.34 58.29 41.21 12.53 40.84 66.09 37.57 34.55 59.72 23.52 21.31 31.21 17.94 51.54 43.31 46.79 26.47 47.51 22.71 46.84 35.93 29.51 36.28 36.09 55.84 28.85 47.17 42.53 48.78 61.71 58.81 41.51 12.73 41.50 66.88 38.01 34.61 60.51 23.85 21.46 31.47 18.00 52.17 43.37 47.54 26.94 48.53 22.92 47.30 36.56 29.84 36.90 36.30 56.54 28.86 47.56 43.50 50.49 62.86 60.30 42.34 13.38 43.68 69.19 39.40 34.81 62.76 24.79 21.98 32.19 18.22 53.91 43.62 49.71 28.40 51.78 23.56 48.65 38.69 30.80 38.90 36.97 58.69 29.02 48.57 44.27 51.71 63.73 61.35 42.99 13.89 45.46 71.09 40.44 34.95 64.40 25.45 22.39 32.75 18.38 55.14 43.85 50.96 29.52 54.26 24.02 49.72 40.41 31.49 40.45 37.47 60.22 29.24 49.35 Net Trade Per Capita Sugar Consumption of Selected Countries Algeria Argentina Australia Brazil Canada China Colombia Cuba Egypt European Union Guatemala India Indonesia Iran Japan Malaysia Mexico Morocco Pakistan Peru Philippines Russia South Africa South Korea Thailand Turkey Ukraine United States Venezuela 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 37.15 43.19 57.43 58.15 39.67 11.30 36.33 60.86 34.11 33.96 54.25 21.02 19.95 28.24 17.73 45.25 41.64 39.73 22.85 42.13 21.11 41.34 33.16 26.25 32.58 35.54 48.74 32.22 43.24 39.93 45.11 58.80 55.16 41.34 11.41 37.77 65.86 36.01 34.03 58.30 21.91 20.20 29.85 17.74 47.34 42.82 41.35 24.54 42.21 21.88 43.62 33.20 28.15 33.14 35.56 50.46 30.91 44.72 40.02 45.05 58.93 55.05 40.91 11.48 37.69 64.74 35.99 34.10 57.33 21.83 20.30 29.95 17.65 47.42 43.18 41.68 24.17 42.51 21.79 43.74 33.20 28.17 32.92 35.36 51.12 30.18 45.01 40.75 45.64 59.41 55.74 41.08 11.63 38.22 65.46 36.36 34.16 58.01 22.14 20.45 30.32 17.66 48.21 43.18 42.94 24.59 43.40 21.99 44.37 33.58 28.52 33.49 35.82 51.97 29.60 45.46 ( (Kilograms) g ) 41.18 41.45 46.08 46.53 59.78 60.14 56.17 56.63 40.90 40.86 11.76 11.90 38.60 38.97 65.56 65.60 36.53 36.66 34.23 34.30 58.25 58.47 22.34 22.54 20.59 20.74 30.50 30.65 17.67 17.73 48.81 49.39 43.18 43.20 43.63 44.35 24.90 25.21 44.06 44.66 22.11 22.22 44.91 45.37 33.90 34.21 28.67 28.81 33.95 34.40 36.06 36.13 52.63 53.25 29.37 29.19 45.75 46.00 World Sugar: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 15/16 157 Biofuels Ethanol After declining by 5.3% in 2009, the world ethanol price increased by 32% in 2010, to $2.18 per gallon, partly because of a 24.2% decline in Brazilian ethanol exports. The ethanol price drops in 2011 before starting to increase over the first part of the projection period. The ethanol price declines in the last four years of the projection period, reaching $2.5 per gallon by 2025. The major importer of ethanol, the U.S., switched to a net exporter of ethanol in 2010, with net exports of 224 million gallons compared with net imports of 173.3 million gallons in 2009 and 420.6 million gallons in 2008. The U.S. switches back to a net importer in 2011. With increasing demand to meet the Renewable Fuel Standard mandates, net imports increase over the projection period, reaching 3.3 billion gallons by 2025. U.S. ethanol production is projected to increase from 13.1 billion gallons in 2010 to 15.6 billion gallons in 2025. For the major ethanol exporter, Brazil, net exports declined for the third year in a row, from 1 billion gallons in 2008 to 908 million gallons in 2009 and to 687.5 million gallons in 2010. Ethanol production increased in Brazil by 5.6%, to 7.2 billion gallons, while ethanol consumption increased by 8.6%, to 6.6 billion gallons, in 2010. Over the projection period, both production and consumption are expected to increase, to 17.8 billion gallons and 13 billion gallons, respectively. Biodiesel The world price of biodiesel (Central Europe FOB) increases to $4.77 per gallon in 2011, driven by higher petroleum prices, the demand expansion by growing domestic mandates in several countries (Brazil, Argentina, the EU, and the U.S.), and higher vegetable oil prices. These factors support the price throughout the outlook period, with the price reaching $5.97 per gallon by 2025. EU production increases by 4.7% in 2011 because of higher prices and decreased supplies available from overseas as Argentina and Brazil have their own domestic consumption mandates. Countervailing duties imposed on biodiesel from U.S. origin also limit the quantities that can be imported from this source. Production reaches 4.15 billion gallons by 2025. Consumption of biodiesel in the U.S. increases in 2011 as a result of implementation of the Renewable Fuel Standard. While production also increases, it is not enough to meet domestic needs. Therefore, the U.S. is expected to reverse its trade position and become a small net importer in 2011. Production increases throughout the outlook, but the country remains a net importer until the last few years of the period, when it exports marginal quantities. World Biofuels: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 158 Ethanol Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Brazil China Total Net Exports * Net Importers Canada European Union India Japan South Korea United States ROW Total Net Imports * Prices Anhydrous Ethanol Price, Brazil † Ethanol, FOB Omaha 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 687 80 925 65 1,368 86 1,490 79 (Million Gallons) 1,614 1,814 2,209 76 73 75 2,736 75 3,280 71 3,708 66 3,937 49 4,651 12 4,839 -25 992 990 1,454 1,576 1,702 1,905 2,311 2,847 3,390 3,817 4,017 4,682 4,840 22 166 78 145 87 -224 492 35 185 77 173 108 149 264 29 131 2 176 115 728 272 40 167 -7 190 128 768 284 46 183 -12 203 138 839 294 50 205 -17 216 148 981 304 45 219 -27 228 157 1,348 314 42 232 -36 239 167 1,844 324 40 248 -39 251 177 2,341 334 37 259 -43 262 187 2,728 344 43 301 -31 279 200 2,839 356 49 354 -18 321 233 3,338 388 57 401 -2 351 256 3,340 411 992 990 1,454 1,576 1,702 1,905 2,311 2,847 3,390 3,817 4,017 4,682 4,840 2.18 1.89 1.63 1.97 2.05 1.92 2.00 2.04 (U.S. Dollars per Gallon) 2.10 2.17 2.34 2.12 2.21 2.18 2.48 2.11 2.58 2.08 2.71 2.06 2.56 2.05 2.60 2.04 2.50 2.01 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 445 113 45 114 -76 444 104 53 128 -61 442 94 63 143 -49 439 82 76 158 -39 435 70 93 173 -30 421 29 170 222 -4 410 0 260 256 10 Note: 1 gallon = 3.7857 liters; 1 metric ton = 1237.1644 liters. * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports. † Represents world ethanol price. Biodiesel Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Brazil Indonesia Malaysia United States Total Net Exports * Net Importers European Union Japan ROW Total Net Imports * Prices Central Europe FOB Price † Biodiesel Plant 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 370 0 21 34 85 377 50 23 47 -62 409 77 26 59 -100 428 97 29 73 -108 (Million Gallons) 439 444 109 118 33 38 86 100 -100 -88 562 552 626 681 723 755 772 786 799 813 828 901 996 559 4 -53 489 1 -55 525 1 -55 573 0 -55 621 1 -55 665 2 -56 694 3 -56 723 3 -57 748 3 -57 771 3 -57 796 3 -58 894 3 -59 993 3 -60 562 552 626 681 723 755 772 786 799 813 828 901 996 4.21 3.62 4.77 4.22 4.78 4.02 4.85 3.91 (U.S. Dollars per Gallon) 4.93 5.00 5.08 3.98 4.04 4.13 5.20 4.22 5.31 4.32 5.40 4.42 5.51 4.53 5.81 4.84 5.97 5.04 Note: 1 gallon = 3.7857 liters; 1 metric ton = 1136.36 liters. * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports. † Represents world biodiesel price. World Biofuels: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 159 2015 U.S. Biofuels Production and Consumption Ethanol Production Consumption Ending Stock Net Trade 2010 2011 2012 2013 13,084 12,803 754 224 12,368 12,517 754 -149 12,387 13,120 749 -728 13,387 14,107 797 -768 Feedstock in Ethanol Production Corn 118,844 119,424 Corn Stover 16 114 Switchgrass 0 0 112,454 120,786 408 713 0 0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Gallons) 14,241 15,031 15,307 15,038 15,972 16,634 839 880 901 -839 -981 -1,348 15,332 17,168 908 -1,844 15,367 17,701 915 -2,341 15,406 18,129 920 -2,728 15,454 18,287 925 -2,839 15,577 18,911 938 -3,338 15,637 18,973 946 -3,340 (Thousand Metric Tons) 127,645 133,816 135,306 134,553 959 1,208 1,454 1,723 0 0 0 0 133,882 133,200 132,509 2,003 2,317 2,691 0 0 0 130,371 128,922 3,536 3,858 0 0 Biodiesel Production Consumption Net Trade 553 469 85 899 960 -62 968 1,068 -100 892 1,000 -108 (Million Gallons) 900 912 924 1,000 1,000 1,000 -100 -88 -76 939 1,000 -61 951 1,000 -49 961 1,000 -39 970 1,000 -30 996 1,000 -4 1,010 1,000 10 Feedstock in Biodiesel Production Soybean Oil Other fats and oils 941 992 1,491 1,649 1,413 1,971 1,033 2,085 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,006 1,019 1,041 2,138 2,169 2,189 1,079 2,203 1,108 2,216 1,129 2,228 1,151 2,238 1,177 2,301 1,131 2,398 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 701 256 445 706 261 444 709 266 442 710 272 439 712 277 435 713 293 421 714 304 410 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,276 2,300 2,313 2,318 2,318 2,315 2,310 2,289 2,272 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Gallons) 10,109 10,709 11,448 8,487 8,891 9,239 616 620 620 1,614 1,814 2,209 12,303 9,567 619 2,736 13,182 9,901 621 3,280 13,984 10,270 626 3,708 14,642 10,694 637 3,937 16,631 11,969 665 4,651 17,817 12,968 688 4,839 Argentine Biofuels Production and Consumption Biodiesel Production Consumption Net Trade Feedstock in Biodiesel Production Soybean Oil 2010 2011 2012 2013 555 185 370 610 233 377 646 237 409 670 242 428 1,871 2,050 2,163 2,234 2014 2015 (Million Gallons) 685 695 246 251 439 444 Brazilian Biofuels Production and Consumption Ethanol Production Consumption Ending Stock Net Trade 2010 2011 2012 2013 7,228 6,599 531 687 8,231 7,246 590 925 9,003 7,618 606 1,368 9,539 8,046 608 1,490 Feedstock in Ethanol Production Sugarcane 348,461 383,817 Biodiesel Production Consumption Net Trade Feedstock in Biodiesel Production Soybean Oil 415,269 437,635 647 647 0 692 642 50 722 645 77 742 646 97 1,805 1,919 1,991 2,036 World Biofuels: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Thousand Metric Tons) 461,228 485,958 516,575 552,122 (Million Gallons) 756 765 646 647 109 118 588,382 620,816 646,513 722,394 765,481 771 659 113 776 672 104 779 685 94 781 699 82 783 713 70 786 757 29 787 787 0 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,061 2,075 2,080 2,081 2,077 2,071 2,064 2,036 2,015 160 Canadian Biofuels Production and Consumption Ethanol Production Disappearance Net Trade Feedstock in Ethanol Production Wheat Corn 2010 2011 2012 2013 359 382 -22 366 400 -35 375 405 -29 377 417 -40 1,220 2,255 1,115 2,455 1,500 2,405 1,497 2,406 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 398 443 -45 412 454 -42 425 464 -40 438 475 -37 447 490 -43 481 530 -49 503 560 -57 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,502 1,515 1,557 2,420 2,447 2,521 1,603 2,601 1,645 2,675 1,690 2,755 1,716 2,803 1,819 2,991 1,881 3,108 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 708 633 75 731 656 75 753 682 71 775 708 66 791 741 49 849 836 12 885 910 -25 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,957 2,009 2,067 4,717 4,853 5,006 2,125 5,156 2,176 5,293 2,229 5,434 2,263 5,530 2,394 5,889 2,471 6,106 (Million Gallons) 380 385 426 435 -46 -50 Chinese Biofuels Production and Consumption Ethanol Production Disappearance Net Trade Feedstock in Ethanol Production Wheat Corn 2010 2011 2012 2013 578 497 80 596 531 65 626 540 86 644 565 79 1,740 4,154 1,787 4,275 1,865 4,473 1,910 4,592 2014 2015 (Million Gallons) 663 684 587 611 76 73 European Union Biofuels Production and Consumption 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Ethanol Production Consumption Ending Stock Net Trade 1,170 1,337 50 -166 1,432 1,618 49 -185 1,648 1,778 50 -131 1,815 1,982 50 -167 (Million Gallons) 1,993 2,168 2,347 2,176 2,374 2,566 50 50 50 -183 -205 -219 2,525 2,757 50 -232 2,702 2,949 50 -248 2,881 3,140 50 -259 3,045 3,346 49 -301 3,469 3,822 49 -354 3,746 4,147 49 -401 Feedstock in Ethanol Production Wheat Corn Barley 4,060 2,640 370 6,334 3,109 1,625 7,314 3,591 1,851 8,019 3,957 2,029 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,803 9,572 10,316 4,357 4,750 5,148 2,219 2,405 2,587 11,062 5,539 2,768 11,782 5,931 2,944 12,510 6,329 3,123 13,158 6,687 3,281 14,826 7,628 3,673 16,647 8,942 4,984 Biodiesel Production Consumption Net Trade 3,091 3,711 -559 3,235 3,727 -489 3,177 3,701 -525 3,233 3,806 -573 (Million Gallons) 3,265 3,312 3,354 3,886 3,977 4,047 -621 -665 -694 3,448 4,171 -723 3,547 4,295 -748 3,641 4,412 -771 3,737 4,533 -796 4,002 4,896 -894 4,146 5,138 -993 Feedstock in Biodiesel Production Rapeseed Oil Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil 7,632 753 254 8,001 785 251 7,781 766 253 7,931 789 254 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,027 8,166 8,279 799 810 820 255 256 258 8,515 843 266 8,761 865 274 8,996 886 282 9,232 909 289 9,892 969 311 10,247 1,003 323 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 643 605 386 27 669 623 396 36 692 644 406 39 716 664 415 43 730 694 421 31 789 765 446 18 825 816 461 2 Indian Biofuels Production and Consumption Ethanol Production Consumption Ending Stock Net Trade 2010 2011 2012 2013 379 483 302 -78 490 536 333 -77 550 534 351 -2 570 556 357 7 World Biofuels: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Million Gallons) 594 616 572 590 367 375 12 17 161 Indonesian Biofuels Production and Consumption 2010 2011 2012 2013 Biodiesel Production Consumption Net Trade 25 4 21 27 4 23 30 4 26 33 4 29 Feedstock in Biodiesel Production Palm Oil 89 95 104 115 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 49 5 45 58 5 53 68 5 63 81 5 76 97 5 93 175 5 170 265 5 260 (Thousand Metric Tons) 130 149 172 201 238 283 341 613 926 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 -228 -239 -251 -262 -279 -321 -351 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 -3 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 -157 -167 -177 -187 -200 -233 -256 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 116 2 114 130 2 128 145 3 143 161 3 158 176 3 173 226 4 222 261 4 256 (Thousand Metric Tons) 304 353 404 455 507 561 617 790 911 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 -314 -324 -334 -344 -356 -388 -411 56 57 57 57 58 59 60 (Million Gallons) 37 43 4 4 33 38 Japanese Biofuels Production and Consumption 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Ethanol Net Trade -145 -173 -176 -190 (Million Gallons) -203 -216 Biodiesel Net Trade -4 -1 -1 0 -1 2015 -2 South Korean Biofuels Production and Consumption Ethanol Net Trade 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 -87 -108 -115 -128 (Million Gallons) -138 -148 Malaysian Biofuels Production and Consumption Biodiesel Production Consumption Net Trade Feedstock in Biodiesel Production Palm Oil 2010 2011 2012 2013 35 0 34 47 0 47 60 0 59 73 1 73 121 163 209 256 2014 2015 (Million Gallons) 87 101 1 2 86 100 Rest-of-World Biofuels Production and Consumption 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Ethanol Net Trade -492 -264 -272 -284 (Million Gallons) -294 -304 Biodiesel Net Trade 53 55 55 55 World Biofuels: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 55 162 2015 56 World Meat Beef Driven by income growth, per capita meat consumption increases by 9.4 kg over the baseline, reaching a level of 62.74 kg per person per year by 2025. Pork consumption still has the highest share in the consumption basket, followed by poultry consumption. Over the projection period, pork consumption grows the fastest among the three meats at 1.44% annually. Meat demand increases world meat trade by 43.84% (7.64 mmt) over the projection period, with net trade reaching 25.09 mmt in 2025. Rising meat demand fuels a 28.09% increase in world meat production over the projection period (69.07 mmt), with production reaching 315 mmt in 2025. Recovery in the global economy pushes livestock and poultry prices relatively higher over the projection period. The beef price increases throughout the projection period, reaching $114.85/cwt in 2025. The pork price ranges from $55.29/cwt in 2010 to $66.47 per cwt in 2025. The poultry price strengthens over the projection period, growing by 1.63% annually and reaching a record high of $103.83/cwt in 2025. World beef trade recovers and continues to grow by an average rate of 3.71%, ending at 7.86 mmt in 2025. Responding to the recovery in trade and the growth of the world price, beef production increases at an annual rate of 1.77% (16.61 mmt) over the projection period, reaching 78.99 mmt in 2025. U.S. beef exports to Japan are still age-verified. Further demand recovery drives growth in the longer run. Net imports reach 934 tmt in 2025. The economic crisis results in lower disposable family income in Mexico, leading to slow recovery in beef consumption and imports in the short run; imports reach 645 tmt in 2025. Russia’s beef imports were down about 40% in 2009. The continuing decline in beef production and an economic rebound result in increasing imports in Russia. Levels remain at around 1.16 mmt over the projection period. Faster consumption growth fuels rising imports in China, South Korea, Egypt, and the Philippines. Australia gains 1.15 percentage points of market share. Depreciating currency, productivity improvements, and aggressive market promotion allow Brazil to capture the leading beef exporter position and further expand its market share by 7.05 points. Argentina loses 5.42 points of market share as its policy favors domestic use over exports. Canada loses 3.2 percentage points of market share in beef trade, while India and New Zealand gains 0.48 and 0.50 points, respectively. China becomes a net importer over the projection period. Pork Pork trade grows sharply in the short run but is flat in the medium term before it picks up again. Annual growth is 1.00% over the projection period (715 tmt), with trade reaching 5.49 mmt in 2025. Pork production increases over the projection period at a rate of 1.99% (30.88 mmt), reaching 134.25 mmt in 2025. Japan’s net imports recover and grow at 1.13% annually, reaching 1.28 mmt in 2025. Economic growth reduced China’s net exports, and the country became a net importer in 2008. Net imports expand to 569 tmt in 2025. Russia’s pork imports remain above the World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 163 quota even as the pork import quota encourages domestic production. Imports begin to decline in 2013, ending at 642 tmt in 20225. Mexico’s growing population and disposable income cause consumption to grow faster than production, raising imports by 7.5% annually; imports reach 1.06 mmt in 2025. The EU loses market share but then gains it back, ending at the same starting market share. Canada’s market share decreases by 2.45 percentage points, while the U.S. gains 5.48 percentage points. Brazil’s market share declines in the first half of the projection period by 2.33 percentage points. Slower recovery in the second half of the period at 1.16 percentage points is not enough to return it to its starting share. Poultry Despite a lower TRQ in Russia, its broiler trade recovers and grows at a rate of 3.61% annually. Total broiler trade increases by 4.12 mmt, reaching 11.73 mmt in 2025. Total broiler production increases by 1.79% (21.58 mmt), reaching 101.76 mmt in 2025. Japan’s net imports grow 0.82% over the rest of the projection period. Economic growth in South Korea, Indonesia, and the Philippines raises imports of poultry products in these countries. Broiler imports in Mexico increase by 11.76% annually, reaching 1.42 mmt in 2025. Russia’s domestic production is encouraged by the existing quota (771 mmt), which is binding over the baseline. China becomes a net importer of broiler in 2011, with net imports reaching 185 tmt in 2025. Taiwan’s broiler imports grow at 1.55% annually, reaching 132 tmt in 2025. The cost of production in Saudi Arabia fuels import growth of 3.26%, with imports reaching 923 tmt in 2025. The U.S. increases its market share slightly, by 0.66 of a percentage point. After losing 59.4% of its exports because of AI, Thailand regains 1.22 points of market share in the projection period. Productivity improvements, product innovation, and a shift to highervalued products enable Thailand to overcome SPS concerns and its higher cost of production. Brazil loses 3.98 points of market share. World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 164 Beef and Veal Trade and World Price 2010 2011 2012 2013 297 1,317 1,781 290 22 -330 700 500 -1 22 122 -70 344 1,369 2,142 228 9 -308 770 476 5 29 156 -608 318 1,406 2,144 187 -11 -318 764 488 3 21 183 -360 300 1,458 2,247 149 -33 -332 756 506 2 15 200 -263 Total Net Exports * 5,052 5,545 5,549 5,678 5,849 5,999 Net Importers China - Hong Kong Egypt Indonesia Japan Mexico Paraguay Philippines Russia South Africa South Korea Taiwan Vietnam Other Africa Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual 200 190 13 694 275 -2 148 935 3 344 135 0 202 931 53 2 1,561 218 206 31 782 344 -10 159 842 -7 299 122 2 209 856 29 2 1,573 223 222 15 808 417 -18 171 930 -15 295 125 5 237 869 16 2 1,585 227 233 25 838 458 -27 185 1,002 -17 291 130 7 254 865 6 1 1,597 231 242 33 855 490 -33 199 1,061 -17 290 134 10 265 844 1 2 1,597 Total Net Imports 5,052 5,545 5,549 5,678 5,849 2,091 2,274 2,317 2,364 Net Exporters Argentina Australia Brazil Canada China - Mainland European Union India New Zealand Thailand Ukraine Other America United States Nebraska Direct Fed Steer Price 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 286 281 282 1,504 1,547 1,584 2,380 2,475 2,561 123 115 105 -59 -87 -120 -346 -360 -368 758 753 753 527 550 569 -1 -3 -4 9 12 19 211 214 219 -260 -267 -311 289 1,613 2,634 104 -156 -375 750 586 -6 24 224 -346 302 1,636 2,695 116 -199 -381 746 599 -8 30 225 -356 317 1,654 2,774 133 -244 -386 746 612 -11 33 230 -391 338 1,667 2,858 148 -287 -391 746 622 -14 38 234 -424 432 1,697 3,222 189 -411 -405 738 650 -21 61 241 -632 517 1,710 3,560 214 -507 -413 707 667 -27 70 242 -654 6,155 6,294 6,423 6,568 6,723 7,373 7,862 235 248 40 871 512 -39 210 1,103 -15 294 138 13 270 820 0 2 1,597 239 252 45 882 527 -45 218 1,130 -18 303 142 16 272 796 1 2 1,597 243 257 50 890 541 -51 227 1,148 -19 315 146 19 276 765 3 3 1,597 247 261 56 897 553 -57 237 1,161 -17 331 150 23 282 743 6 3 1,597 251 266 63 903 561 -64 248 1,169 -6 347 154 26 284 728 8 3 1,597 254 270 70 908 568 -71 258 1,172 6 363 158 29 285 727 9 3 1,597 264 282 96 922 609 -93 288 1,169 38 422 168 41 317 695 12 4 1,597 271 293 136 934 645 -109 310 1,163 68 464 175 50 374 764 16 4 1,597 5,999 6,155 6,294 6,423 6,568 6,723 7,373 7,862 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 2,402 2,430 2,450 2,464 2,471 2,485 2,493 2,530 2,532 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 165 2015 Pork Trade and World Price 2010 2011 2012 2013 -156 555 965 1,670 0 1,588 -144 484 903 1,609 9 2,134 -129 637 935 1,594 -4 1,947 -110 616 950 1,559 13 1,967 Total Net Exports * 4,780 5,202 5,182 5,186 5,203 5,177 Net Importers Argentina China - Hong Kong China - Mainland Indonesia Japan Mexico New Zealand Paraguay Philippines Russia South Korea Taiwan Ukraine Vietnam Other America Other Africa Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual 39 370 100 0 1,150 605 2 0 125 849 380 52 120 -3 50 131 149 166 3 877 56 380 192 0 1,199 633 5 1 88 860 450 50 128 -90 106 182 206 210 6 888 57 384 224 0 1,195 637 5 -1 -17 905 458 46 118 -102 116 195 219 201 6 899 52 390 266 0 1,226 663 3 -3 -71 893 465 48 92 -87 109 199 224 187 5 909 44 395 295 0 1,246 689 1 -5 -118 877 467 50 63 -92 119 210 236 192 5 909 Total Net Imports 4,780 5,202 5,182 5,186 5,203 1,219 1,226 1,266 1,284 Net Exporters Australia Brazil Canada European Union Thailand United States Barrow and Gilt Price, National Base 51-52% Lean Equivalent 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) -88 -77 -72 639 639 648 952 981 996 1,538 1,530 1,535 37 54 59 1,932 1,893 1,872 -69 648 997 1,544 63 1,850 -67 651 1,013 1,550 70 1,830 -58 648 1,017 1,542 91 1,876 -48 650 1,020 1,535 113 1,934 -27 649 1,038 1,538 153 2,111 -10 640 1,044 1,528 189 2,299 5,150 5,101 5,066 5,089 5,121 5,301 5,495 45 399 321 0 1,259 711 1 -6 -115 852 462 52 54 -96 113 210 237 182 5 909 50 402 346 0 1,264 733 1 -9 -92 835 454 53 54 -105 101 206 235 169 5 909 56 405 371 0 1,265 756 2 -11 -66 815 442 54 51 -115 85 200 230 155 4 909 61 409 399 0 1,266 781 2 -14 -36 793 430 55 44 -125 73 198 229 145 3 909 59 413 434 0 1,271 817 1 -16 -22 772 426 58 20 -129 75 206 243 152 3 909 58 417 463 0 1,275 856 0 -19 -1 746 426 60 -1 -132 81 217 261 161 3 909 67 425 526 0 1,276 969 -4 -26 107 676 414 65 -9 -150 81 242 303 162 2 909 69 431 569 0 1,280 1,058 -6 -32 169 642 413 71 -47 -155 88 274 351 177 2 909 5,177 5,150 5,101 5,066 5,089 5,121 5,301 5,495 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 1,306 1,338 1,368 1,397 1,421 1,424 1,423 1,463 1,461 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 166 2015 Broiler Meat Trade and World Price 2010 2011 2012 2013 25 3,844 160 409 2,841 53 4,148 161 443 2,996 39 4,222 144 462 3,213 33 4,287 129 505 3,443 Total Net Exports * 7,608 8,137 8,430 8,762 9,030 9,268 Net Importers Argentina Canada China - Mainland China - Hong Kong Egypt India Indonesia Japan Mexico New Zealand Paraguay Philippines Russia Saudi Arabia South Africa South Korea Taiwan Ukraine Vietnam Other America Other Africa Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual -245 -25 -54 280 6 -1 1 735 515 -4 0 74 465 620 206 78 107 145 215 670 605 1,511 126 26 2,632 -283 -27 -14 283 8 -1 -3 750 585 -7 -1 93 771 659 143 102 107 137 222 714 647 1,539 127 26 2,652 -308 -33 11 286 10 -1 4 740 633 -6 -2 108 771 702 111 149 109 162 238 723 686 1,609 128 27 2,672 -320 -35 40 290 13 -1 33 741 693 -6 -4 134 771 724 110 183 113 188 252 753 714 1,632 128 27 2,691 -333 -36 60 292 16 -1 58 755 739 -5 -4 155 771 749 112 202 115 214 262 760 734 1,657 128 28 2,691 Total Net Imports 7,608 8,137 8,430 8,762 9,030 U.S. 12-City Price 1,839 1,924 1,927 1,961 Net Exporters Australia Brazil European Union Thailand United States 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 30 29 28 4,330 4,373 4,409 121 115 115 523 543 566 3,647 3,811 3,957 25 4,459 117 586 4,114 23 4,511 118 604 4,267 20 4,565 119 619 4,429 19 4,619 119 635 4,580 15 4,781 123 692 5,052 8 4,889 125 723 5,439 9,492 9,730 9,969 10,206 10,440 11,177 11,729 -347 -39 78 294 20 -1 81 771 792 -6 -4 174 771 766 113 218 117 223 274 772 751 1,673 128 29 2,691 -365 -39 96 297 25 -1 98 782 846 -7 -5 192 771 785 114 237 119 223 286 779 768 1,696 128 29 2,691 -378 -37 115 299 31 -1 116 788 907 -8 -5 213 771 800 118 256 121 225 298 788 787 1,715 128 30 2,691 -394 -37 133 301 38 -1 134 794 969 -8 -6 237 771 817 126 276 123 225 310 796 805 1,733 128 30 2,691 -403 -37 150 303 46 -1 153 798 1,028 -8 -6 266 771 832 143 293 124 229 322 804 820 1,740 128 31 2,691 -416 -36 163 305 57 -1 172 804 1,087 -8 -7 295 771 846 159 311 126 230 334 814 836 1,750 128 31 2,691 -459 -35 182 312 101 -1 226 816 1,290 -9 -9 383 771 892 199 367 130 193 373 852 901 1,804 128 33 2,691 -490 -34 185 315 146 -1 301 826 1,423 -9 -11 451 771 923 238 402 132 176 402 871 949 1,833 127 33 2,691 9,268 9,492 9,730 9,969 10,206 10,440 11,177 11,729 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 2,011 2,056 2,087 2,114 2,141 2,167 2,186 2,256 2,289 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 167 2015 U.S. Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 93.7 59.0 92.3 59.2 92.9 57.7 93.3 56.8 (Million Head) 93.4 93.5 56.3 55.8 93.5 55.5 93.6 55.2 93.7 55.2 93.8 55.5 93.9 55.9 94.4 57.6 94.7 59.3 46 2,122 74 2,174 87 2,180 106 2,224 (Thousand Head) 136 179 192 2,250 2,300 2,310 198 2,301 203 2,299 208 2,319 213 2,339 228 2,399 238 2,439 13 5,760 27 5,800 28 5,619 28 5,831 28 5,755 28 5,844 29 5,813 29 5,804 29 5,814 29 5,824 30 5,854 31 5,874 Beef Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 11,781 256 12,037 11,411 243 11,653 11,682 244 11,926 11,873 226 12,100 (Thousand Metric Tons) 11,970 12,073 12,158 239 246 251 12,209 12,320 12,409 12,222 256 12,478 12,292 259 12,551 12,361 262 12,623 12,439 266 12,705 12,685 275 12,960 12,982 279 13,261 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 11,865 243 12,108 12,018 244 12,262 12,060 226 12,286 12,124 239 12,363 12,223 246 12,469 12,335 251 12,586 12,464 256 12,721 12,565 259 12,825 12,645 262 12,908 12,748 266 13,014 12,859 270 13,129 13,315 277 13,592 13,631 284 13,915 -70 -608 -360 -263 -260 -267 -311 -346 -356 -391 -424 -632 -654 10,095 238 10,333 10,309 220 10,529 10,179 226 10,406 10,136 222 10,358 10,132 221 10,353 10,144 221 10,365 10,179 220 10,399 10,246 221 10,467 10,360 223 10,583 10,512 226 10,739 10,686 231 10,918 11,321 249 11,570 11,881 265 12,146 8,526 220 8,746 8,169 226 8,395 8,236 222 8,459 8,171 221 8,391 8,200 221 8,421 8,251 220 8,472 8,306 221 8,527 8,394 223 8,617 8,527 226 8,753 8,631 231 8,862 8,746 237 8,983 9,203 257 9,459 9,573 275 9,847 1,588 2,134 1,947 1,967 1,932 1,893 1,872 1,850 1,830 1,876 1,934 2,111 2,299 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 16,429 279 16,709 16,587 315 16,902 17,009 315 17,325 17,318 329 17,647 17,601 338 17,939 17,890 345 18,235 18,197 352 18,549 18,507 360 18,867 18,813 368 19,181 19,128 376 19,504 19,460 384 19,844 20,507 409 20,916 21,313 427 21,740 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 13,552 315 13,868 13,591 315 13,907 13,782 329 14,111 13,866 338 14,204 13,947 345 14,291 14,072 352 14,424 14,232 360 14,592 14,385 368 14,753 14,538 376 14,914 14,691 384 15,075 14,871 393 15,264 15,446 418 15,863 15,864 437 16,301 2,841 2,996 3,213 3,443 3,647 3,811 3,957 4,114 4,267 4,429 4,580 5,052 5,439 Turkey Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,501 119 2,620 2,391 95 2,486 2,340 77 2,417 2,318 67 2,385 2,312 60 2,372 2,319 55 2,374 2,338 50 2,388 2,363 47 2,410 2,390 45 2,435 2,420 43 2,464 2,455 42 2,497 2,578 35 2,614 2,684 31 2,715 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,278 95 2,374 2,149 77 2,226 2,072 67 2,139 2,027 60 2,087 2,002 55 2,057 1,989 50 2,040 1,987 47 2,035 1,990 45 2,036 1,995 43 2,038 2,001 42 2,043 2,011 41 2,051 2,051 33 2,084 2,090 30 2,120 246 260 278 298 316 334 354 375 397 421 445 530 595 2,091 2,274 2,317 2,364 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 2,402 2,430 2,450 2,464 2,471 2,485 2,493 2,530 2,532 1,219 1,839 1,226 1,924 1,266 1,927 1,284 1,961 1,368 2,087 1,397 2,114 1,421 2,141 1,424 2,167 1,423 2,186 1,463 2,256 1,461 2,289 9.52 6.80 3.84 3.29 10.02 7.30 4.22 3.61 10.56 7.86 4.49 4.07 10.94 8.28 4.66 4.49 (U.S. Dollars per Kilogram) 11.22 11.50 11.71 8.58 8.89 9.13 4.79 4.93 5.02 4.87 5.23 5.54 11.89 9.35 5.10 5.80 12.05 9.56 5.17 6.04 12.20 9.72 5.23 6.24 12.34 9.86 5.28 6.43 12.36 9.85 5.37 6.78 12.40 9.85 5.46 7.03 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Live Cattle Trade Export Import Live Hog Trade Export Import Net Trade Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Producer Prices Nebraska Direct Fed Steers Barrow and Gilt Price, National Base 51-52% Lean Equivalent 12-City Broiler Wholesale Retail Prices Beef Pork Broiler Turkey World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 1,306 2,011 168 2015 28 5,873 1,338 2,056 Argentine Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 49.1 2.5 48.7 2.4 48.2 2.5 48.0 2.6 (Million Head) 47.9 48.1 2.7 2.8 48.3 2.8 48.8 2.8 49.3 2.9 49.9 2.9 50.5 3.0 52.7 3.2 54.4 3.3 Beef Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,600 0 2,600 2,605 0 2,605 2,601 0 2,601 2,605 0 2,605 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,619 2,640 2,669 0 0 0 2,619 2,640 2,669 2,702 0 2,702 2,740 0 2,740 2,782 0 2,782 2,827 0 2,827 2,989 0 2,989 3,119 0 3,119 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,303 0 2,303 2,260 0 2,260 2,282 0 2,282 2,305 0 2,305 2,333 0 2,333 2,360 0 2,360 2,387 0 2,387 2,413 0 2,413 2,438 0 2,438 2,464 0 2,464 2,488 0 2,488 2,557 0 2,557 2,602 0 2,602 297 344 318 300 286 281 282 289 302 317 338 432 517 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 230 0 230 225 0 225 231 0 231 239 0 239 250 0 250 257 0 257 260 0 260 262 0 262 266 0 266 273 0 273 280 0 280 294 0 294 306 0 306 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 269 0 269 282 0 282 288 0 288 291 0 291 294 0 294 301 0 301 310 0 310 319 0 319 326 0 326 332 0 332 338 0 338 361 0 361 375 0 375 -39 -56 -57 -52 -44 -45 -50 -56 -61 -59 -58 -67 -69 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,650 0 1,650 1,726 0 1,726 1,793 0 1,793 1,847 0 1,847 1,905 0 1,905 1,958 0 1,958 2,014 0 2,014 2,067 0 2,067 2,122 0 2,122 2,177 0 2,177 2,235 0 2,235 2,408 0 2,408 2,530 0 2,530 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,405 0 1,405 1,443 0 1,443 1,485 0 1,485 1,527 0 1,527 1,572 0 1,572 1,611 0 1,611 1,649 0 1,649 1,688 0 1,688 1,728 0 1,728 1,774 0 1,774 1,819 0 1,819 1,948 0 1,948 2,040 0 2,040 Net Trade 245 283 308 320 333 347 365 378 394 403 416 459 490 Prices Beef - Farm Pork - Farm Broiler - Retail 3.54 3.09 6.02 4.00 3.16 6.63 4.24 3.39 6.97 (Argentine Pesos per Kilogram) 4.52 4.76 4.98 5.17 3.82 4.31 4.55 4.63 7.45 7.93 8.41 8.82 5.39 4.79 9.28 5.63 5.02 9.82 5.88 5.43 10.35 6.16 5.83 10.95 7.08 6.77 12.91 7.73 7.63 14.37 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 169 2015 Australian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Sheep Inventories (Beg.) 27.9 2.3 62.2 28.3 2.5 45.3 28.9 2.7 33.1 29.6 2.7 24.1 (Million Head) 30.2 30.8 2.7 2.6 17.3 12.4 31.3 2.7 8.8 31.7 2.8 6.3 32.0 2.8 4.5 32.3 2.8 3.3 32.5 2.7 2.5 32.9 2.6 1.4 33.2 2.6 1.3 Live Cattle Trade Export 915 953 947 1,001 (Thousand Head) 1,033 1,071 1,103 1,134 1,166 1,204 1,238 1,333 1,292 2,080 143 2,223 2,112 146 2,258 2,158 145 2,303 2,221 146 2,366 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,278 2,330 2,375 146 146 146 2,424 2,476 2,522 2,413 146 2,559 2,445 146 2,591 2,472 147 2,619 2,494 147 2,641 2,548 148 2,695 2,579 148 2,727 760 146 906 743 145 889 752 146 897 762 146 908 773 146 919 783 146 929 791 146 938 800 147 946 809 147 956 818 147 965 827 147 974 851 148 999 868 148 1,017 1,317 1,369 1,406 1,458 1,504 1,547 1,584 1,613 1,636 1,654 1,667 1,697 1,710 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 327 29 356 349 37 386 370 37 407 392 37 429 416 37 453 438 37 475 456 37 493 469 37 506 480 37 517 494 37 531 509 37 546 555 37 592 587 37 624 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 475 37 512 493 37 530 499 37 536 501 37 538 505 37 542 515 37 552 528 37 565 538 37 575 547 37 584 552 37 589 558 37 595 582 37 619 596 37 633 -156 -144 -129 -110 -88 -77 -72 -69 -67 -58 -48 -27 -10 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 785 0 785 797 0 797 802 0 802 813 0 813 827 0 827 841 0 841 855 0 855 867 0 867 879 0 879 891 0 891 905 0 905 943 0 943 967 0 967 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 760 0 760 744 0 744 762 0 762 780 0 780 797 0 797 812 0 812 827 0 827 841 0 841 856 0 856 871 0 871 886 0 886 928 0 928 958 0 958 25 53 39 33 30 29 28 25 23 20 19 15 8 299 238 319 228 324 236 346 292 349 296 353 313 357 327 372 351 376 371 1,269 993 339 1,303 943 392 1,314 973 392 1,376 1,121 427 1,384 1,135 434 1,395 1,184 441 1,405 1,217 448 1,443 1,275 471 1,454 1,325 481 Beef Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Farm Prices Beef Saleyard Pork Saleyard Retail Prices Beef Pork Poultry World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 (Australian Cents per Kilogram) 330 336 340 344 259 286 293 291 1,331 1,043 398 1,346 1,117 407 170 1,359 1,130 416 1,369 1,118 422 Brazilian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 205.5 35.2 208.0 35.6 209.0 36.8 212.0 37.8 (Million Head) 214.8 217.0 218.9 38.2 38.6 38.8 220.2 38.9 221.3 39.0 222.2 39.1 222.9 39.3 224.3 39.8 225.5 40.0 Beef Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 9,789 0 9,825 10,268 0 10,305 10,486 0 10,523 10,815 0 10,852 (Thousand Metric Tons) 11,189 11,529 11,867 0 0 0 11,226 11,566 11,903 12,185 0 12,221 12,489 0 12,526 12,797 0 12,834 13,110 0 13,146 14,157 0 14,194 14,955 0 14,992 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 8,008 0 9,825 8,126 0 10,305 8,342 0 10,523 8,568 0 10,852 8,809 0 11,226 9,054 0 11,566 9,306 0 11,903 9,550 0 12,221 9,794 0 12,526 10,023 0 12,834 10,251 0 13,146 10,935 0 14,194 11,395 0 14,992 1,781 2,142 2,144 2,247 2,380 2,475 2,561 2,634 2,695 2,774 2,858 3,222 3,560 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,222 0 3,222 3,185 0 3,185 3,364 0 3,364 3,374 0 3,374 3,428 0 3,428 3,456 0 3,456 3,496 0 3,496 3,525 0 3,525 3,557 0 3,557 3,587 0 3,587 3,622 0 3,622 3,720 0 3,720 3,783 0 3,783 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,667 0 2,667 2,700 0 2,700 2,727 0 2,727 2,758 0 2,758 2,789 0 2,789 2,817 0 2,817 2,848 0 2,848 2,876 0 2,876 2,906 0 2,906 2,938 0 2,938 2,972 0 2,972 3,070 0 3,070 3,143 0 3,143 555 484 637 616 639 639 648 648 651 648 650 649 640 12,078 0 12,078 12,495 0 12,495 12,720 0 12,720 12,918 0 12,918 13,092 0 13,092 13,264 0 13,264 13,440 0 13,440 13,624 0 13,624 13,809 0 13,809 13,991 0 13,991 14,176 0 14,176 14,748 0 14,748 15,133 0 15,133 8,234 0 8,234 8,347 0 8,347 8,498 0 8,498 8,631 0 8,631 8,763 0 8,763 8,890 0 8,890 9,031 0 9,031 9,165 0 9,165 9,297 0 9,297 9,426 0 9,426 9,557 0 9,557 9,966 0 9,966 10,244 0 10,244 3,844 4,148 4,222 4,287 4,330 4,373 4,409 4,459 4,511 4,565 4,619 4,781 4,889 6.38 3.50 3.96 6.82 3.69 4.14 6.94 3.86 4.15 6.97 3.98 4.17 (Reals per Kilogram) 7.02 6.97 6.93 4.09 4.14 4.15 4.24 4.25 4.25 6.89 4.15 4.25 6.86 4.16 4.26 6.87 4.18 4.30 6.88 4.20 4.33 7.02 4.34 4.51 7.09 4.41 4.62 Net Trade Net Trade Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Prices Beef - Farm Pork - Farm Broiler - Wholesale World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 171 2015 Canadian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 13.0 11.8 12.3 11.4 11.7 11.9 11.3 11.9 (Million Head) 11.0 10.8 11.7 11.8 10.7 11.6 10.7 11.6 10.8 11.8 10.9 11.9 10.9 12.1 11.1 12.4 11.2 12.6 1,100 50 1,094 50 1,105 50 1,127 49 (Thousand Head) 1,136 1,170 1,174 48 47 47 1,163 47 1,160 47 1,159 47 1,157 47 1,148 48 1,143 48 5,760 2 5,800 2 5,619 2 5,831 2 5,755 2 5,844 2 5,813 2 5,804 2 5,802 2 5,787 2 5,709 2 5,669 2 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,285 37 1,322 1,220 35 1,255 1,177 35 1,212 1,139 35 1,174 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,112 1,103 1,097 35 35 35 1,147 1,138 1,131 1,101 35 1,136 1,118 35 1,153 1,138 35 1,173 1,156 35 1,191 1,207 35 1,242 1,238 35 1,273 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 997 35 1,032 992 35 1,027 990 35 1,025 990 35 1,024 990 35 1,024 989 35 1,024 992 35 1,026 997 35 1,032 1,002 35 1,037 1,005 35 1,040 1,008 35 1,042 1,017 35 1,052 1,023 35 1,059 290 228 187 149 123 115 105 104 116 133 148 189 214 1,750 52 1,802 1,718 40 1,758 1,752 40 1,792 1,773 40 1,813 1,781 40 1,821 1,813 40 1,853 1,832 40 1,872 1,840 40 1,880 1,861 40 1,901 1,874 40 1,914 1,885 40 1,925 1,923 40 1,963 1,943 40 1,983 797 40 837 815 40 855 817 40 857 824 40 864 829 40 869 832 40 872 836 40 876 843 40 883 848 40 888 857 40 897 865 40 905 884 40 924 899 40 939 965 903 935 950 952 981 996 997 1,013 1,017 1,020 1,038 1,044 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,020 44 1,064 1,031 40 1,071 1,061 40 1,101 1,082 40 1,122 1,101 40 1,141 1,126 40 1,166 1,143 40 1,183 1,155 40 1,195 1,169 40 1,209 1,183 40 1,223 1,195 40 1,235 1,236 40 1,276 1,260 40 1,300 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 999 40 1,039 1,004 40 1,044 1,028 40 1,068 1,047 40 1,087 1,065 40 1,105 1,087 40 1,127 1,104 40 1,144 1,118 40 1,158 1,133 40 1,173 1,146 40 1,186 1,159 40 1,199 1,201 40 1,241 1,226 40 1,266 25 27 33 35 36 39 39 37 37 37 36 35 34 94.2 66.4 139.3 96.5 62.2 142.7 102.1 67.4 143.9 (Canadian Dollars per Hundredweight) 105.7 109.7 115.1 117.2 116.6 69.6 72.6 77.9 80.8 81.8 144.8 147.3 149.1 150.2 150.8 116.6 83.2 151.5 117.3 83.4 152.2 117.7 83.3 152.7 119.6 86.1 154.9 119.7 86.0 155.6 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Live Cattle Trade Export Import Live Hog Trade Export Import Net Trade Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Prices Beef and Veal - Farm Pork - Farm Broiler - Wholesale World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 172 2015 5,873 2 Chinese - Mainland Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 105 470 171 105 469 171 104 461 168 104 459 167 104 501 159 104 512 156 106 523 154 107 534 152 109 545 150 114 579 145 118 602 143 Beef Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 5,550 0 5,550 5,711 0 5,711 5,856 0 5,856 5,967 0 5,967 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,100 6,244 6,395 0 0 0 6,100 6,244 6,395 6,555 0 6,555 6,725 0 6,725 6,900 0 6,900 7,077 0 7,077 7,621 0 7,621 7,957 0 7,957 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,528 0 5,528 5,702 0 5,702 5,867 0 5,867 6,000 0 6,000 6,159 0 6,159 6,331 0 6,331 6,515 0 6,515 6,712 0 6,712 6,925 0 6,925 7,144 0 7,144 7,364 0 7,364 8,032 0 8,032 8,464 0 8,464 22 9 -11 -33 -59 -87 -120 -156 -199 -244 -287 -411 -507 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 50,000 120 50,120 50,931 170 51,101 52,547 170 52,717 54,129 170 54,299 55,943 170 56,113 57,657 170 57,827 59,347 170 59,517 60,991 170 61,161 62,634 170 62,804 64,231 170 64,401 65,781 170 65,951 70,101 170 70,271 72,650 170 72,820 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 50,050 170 50,220 51,123 170 51,293 52,771 170 52,941 54,394 170 54,564 56,238 170 56,408 57,979 170 58,149 59,693 170 59,863 61,362 170 61,532 63,033 170 63,203 64,665 170 64,835 66,244 170 66,414 70,627 170 70,797 73,219 170 73,389 -100 -192 -224 -266 -295 -321 -346 -371 -399 -434 -463 -526 -569 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks pp y Domestic Supply 12,550 0 , 12,550 12,996 0 , 12,996 13,539 0 , 13,539 13,867 0 , 13,867 14,219 0 , 14,219 14,557 0 , 14,557 14,895 0 , 14,895 15,208 0 , 15,208 15,504 0 , 15,504 15,770 0 , 15,770 16,008 0 , 16,008 16,556 0 , 16,556 16,757 0 , 16,757 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 12,496 0 12,496 12,982 0 12,982 13,551 0 13,551 13,906 0 13,906 14,279 0 14,279 14,635 0 14,635 14,991 0 14,991 15,323 0 15,323 15,638 0 15,638 15,921 0 15,921 16,170 0 16,170 16,737 0 16,737 16,942 0 16,942 54 14 -11 -40 -60 -78 -96 -115 -133 -150 -163 -182 -185 Producer Prices Beef Pork Poultry 30.39 11.94 13.65 34.20 13.56 14.81 37.30 13.82 14.93 40.65 14.11 15.45 (Yuan per Kilogram) 44.18 47.84 51.35 14.32 14.72 15.06 16.00 16.66 17.21 54.74 15.43 17.78 58.10 15.83 18.37 61.25 16.18 18.92 64.15 16.46 19.40 73.07 17.53 20.90 78.53 17.96 21.52 Retail Prices Beef Pork Poultry 33.53 17.92 13.91 37.62 19.73 15.07 40.94 20.03 15.20 44.53 20.36 15.72 48.31 20.59 16.27 59.64 21.83 18.05 63.24 22.28 18.65 66.62 22.68 19.20 69.73 23.00 19.68 79.29 24.20 21.18 85.15 24.68 21.80 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Sheep Inventories (Beg.) Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Million Head) 103 103 473 488 164 162 173 52.24 21.03 16.93 56.01 21.41 17.48 Chinese - Hong Kong Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 2 270 2 272 2 283 2 288 (Thousand Head) 2 2 2 295 301 305 2 308 2 312 2 316 2 319 2 326 2 329 Live Animal Trade Cattle Import Swine Import 185 1,550 177 1,494 163 1,464 154 1,429 137 1,365 133 1,347 129 1,331 125 1,313 122 1,303 120 1,293 118 1,287 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 15 0 15 14 0 14 13 0 13 13 0 13 (Thousand Metric Tons) 12 12 11 0 0 0 12 12 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 215 0 215 232 0 232 236 0 236 239 0 239 243 0 243 247 0 247 250 0 250 254 0 254 258 0 258 261 0 261 264 0 264 274 0 274 281 0 281 -200 -218 -223 -227 -231 -235 -239 -243 -247 -251 -254 -264 -271 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 119 0 119 115 0 115 114 0 114 112 0 112 110 0 110 109 0 109 108 0 108 107 0 107 106 0 106 105 0 105 105 0 105 104 0 104 104 0 104 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 489 0 489 495 0 495 498 0 498 502 0 502 505 0 505 508 0 508 510 0 510 513 0 513 515 0 515 519 0 519 522 0 522 530 0 530 535 0 535 -370 -380 -384 -390 -395 -399 -402 -405 -409 -413 -417 -425 -431 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 13 0 13 13 0 13 13 0 13 14 0 14 15 0 15 290 0 290 293 0 293 297 0 297 300 0 300 303 0 303 306 0 306 308 0 308 311 0 311 314 0 314 316 0 316 319 0 319 326 0 326 330 0 330 Net Trade -280 -283 -286 -290 -292 -294 -297 -299 -301 -303 -305 -312 -315 Retail Prices Beef Pork Broiler 92.80 75.94 59.77 106.62 78.22 62.95 110.40 81.69 63.88 (Hong Kong Dollars per Kilogram) 114.18 117.39 120.13 122.60 124.73 84.24 86.73 89.62 92.52 95.31 65.70 67.82 69.81 71.41 72.89 126.40 97.69 74.27 128.29 98.88 75.63 129.85 99.70 76.73 134.85 104.20 80.35 136.74 105.06 82.10 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 147 1,402 174 2015 143 1,386 Egyptian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) 6.20 4.55 4.62 4.71 (Million Head) 4.82 4.97 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 330 0 330 332 0 332 337 0 337 343 0 343 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 520 0 520 538 0 538 558 0 558 576 0 576 593 0 593 609 0 609 Net Trade 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 5.13 5.30 5.46 5.64 5.81 6.35 6.70 (Thousand Metric Tons) 351 360 372 0 0 0 351 360 372 383 0 383 395 0 395 406 0 406 418 0 418 455 0 455 479 0 479 624 0 624 640 0 640 656 0 656 672 0 672 688 0 688 738 0 738 773 0 773 -190 -206 -222 -233 -242 -248 -252 -257 -261 -266 -270 -282 -293 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 548 0 548 572 0 572 597 0 597 615 0 615 630 0 630 643 0 643 655 0 655 667 0 667 677 0 677 687 0 687 696 0 696 710 0 710 707 0 707 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 554 0 554 580 0 580 607 0 607 628 0 628 646 0 646 662 0 662 679 0 679 697 0 697 715 0 715 734 0 734 753 0 753 812 0 812 853 0 853 -6 -8 -10 -13 -16 -20 -25 -31 -38 -46 -57 -101 -146 73.97 9.64 76.92 9.83 75.94 9.51 76.58 9.60 (Pounds per Kilogram) 78.05 79.74 81.54 9.93 10.33 10.71 82.91 11.02 84.02 11.32 85.21 11.61 86.15 11.83 88.60 12.47 89.52 12.79 Net Trade Retail Prices Beef Poultry World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 175 European Union Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 88 152 88 151 87 149 86 147 85 147 85 147 85 147 85 147 85 147 84 148 84 148 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 7,870 0 7,870 7,820 0 7,820 7,762 0 7,762 7,726 0 7,726 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,705 7,697 7,698 0 0 0 7,705 7,697 7,698 7,696 0 7,696 7,694 0 7,694 7,692 0 7,692 7,691 0 7,691 7,680 0 7,680 7,689 0 7,689 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 8,200 0 8,200 8,128 0 8,128 8,080 0 8,080 8,058 0 8,058 8,050 0 8,050 8,057 0 8,057 8,066 0 8,066 8,071 0 8,071 8,075 0 8,075 8,078 0 8,078 8,082 0 8,082 8,085 0 8,085 8,102 0 8,102 -330 -308 -318 -332 -346 -360 -368 -375 -381 -386 -391 -405 -413 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 22,250 0 22,250 22,072 0 22,072 22,076 0 22,076 22,111 0 22,111 22,193 0 22,193 22,304 0 22,304 22,422 0 22,422 22,528 0 22,528 22,624 0 22,624 22,709 0 22,709 22,790 0 22,790 23,024 0 23,024 23,164 0 23,164 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 20,580 0 20,580 20,463 0 20,463 20,481 0 20,481 20,552 0 20,552 20,655 0 20,655 20,774 0 20,774 20,886 0 20,886 20,984 0 20,984 21,075 0 21,075 21,167 0 21,167 21,255 0 21,255 21,486 0 21,486 21,637 0 21,637 1,670 1,609 1,594 1,559 1,538 1,530 1,535 1,544 1,550 1,542 1,535 1,538 1,528 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 8,920 0 8,920 8,903 0 8,903 8,942 0 8,942 8,991 0 8,991 9,050 0 9,050 9,117 0 9,117 9,186 0 9,186 9,247 0 9,247 9,301 0 9,301 9,353 0 9,353 9,404 0 9,404 9,548 0 9,548 9,638 0 9,638 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 8,760 0 8,760 8,741 0 8,741 8,798 0 8,798 8,862 0 8,862 8,929 0 8,929 9,002 0 9,002 9,070 0 9,070 9,130 0 9,130 9,183 0 9,183 9,234 0 9,234 9,285 0 9,285 9,425 0 9,425 9,513 0 9,513 160 161 144 129 121 115 115 117 118 119 119 123 125 Lamb and Mutton Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,011 0 1,011 1,032 0 1,032 1,041 0 1,041 1,046 0 1,046 1,050 0 1,050 1,052 0 1,052 1,054 0 1,054 1,056 0 1,056 1,058 0 1,058 1,060 0 1,060 1,062 0 1,062 1,067 0 1,067 1,068 0 1,068 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,274 0 1,274 1,297 0 1,297 1,310 0 1,310 1,318 0 1,318 1,325 0 1,325 1,332 0 1,332 1,337 0 1,337 1,343 0 1,343 1,348 0 1,348 1,354 0 1,354 1,359 0 1,359 1,374 0 1,374 1,381 0 1,381 Net Trade -263 -265 -268 -272 -276 -280 -283 -287 -290 -294 -297 -307 -313 Farm Prices Beef Pork Poultry Sheep 320 140 171 478 333 156 182 468 341 161 183 460 346 163 183 456 (Euros per 100 Kilograms) 349 351 353 163 162 161 182 181 180 451 447 443 355 161 180 442 358 162 180 440 361 162 181 438 364 163 181 437 373 166 183 433 377 166 184 431 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Million Head) 86 86 146 146 176 Indian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 304 304 304 305 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,850 0 2,850 2,955 0 2,955 2,996 0 2,996 3,033 0 3,033 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,150 0 2,150 2,185 0 2,185 2,232 0 2,232 2,277 0 2,277 2,322 0 2,322 2,369 0 2,369 700 770 764 756 758 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,650 0 2,650 2,683 0 2,683 2,741 0 2,741 2,781 0 2,781 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,649 0 2,649 2,682 0 2,682 2,740 0 2,740 1 1 52.34 90.85 54.14 90.73 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Net Trade Net Trade Prices Beef - Farm Poultry - Retail World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 310 312 314 316 319 327 330 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,080 3,122 3,169 0 0 0 3,080 3,122 3,169 3,214 0 3,214 3,260 0 3,260 3,308 0 3,308 3,357 0 3,357 3,490 0 3,490 3,555 0 3,555 2,416 0 2,416 2,464 0 2,464 2,514 0 2,514 2,563 0 2,563 2,611 0 2,611 2,752 0 2,752 2,848 0 2,848 753 753 750 746 746 746 738 707 2,830 0 2,830 2,875 0 2,875 2,921 0 2,921 2,965 0 2,965 3,006 0 3,006 3,045 0 3,045 3,083 0 3,083 3,186 0 3,186 3,241 0 3,241 2,780 0 2,780 2,829 0 2,829 2,874 0 2,874 2,920 0 2,920 2,964 0 2,964 3,005 0 3,005 3,044 0 3,044 3,082 0 3,082 3,185 0 3,185 3,240 0 3,240 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 54.29 89.90 55.06 90.64 (Rupees per Kilogram) 55.88 56.37 56.59 92.06 93.23 93.86 56.59 94.28 56.31 94.54 56.15 94.75 55.88 94.76 55.11 94.87 54.02 94.42 (Million Head) 306 308 177 Indonesian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Sheep Inventories (Beg.) 11.5 6.8 9.6 11.7 7.1 8.8 11.9 7.3 10.3 12.1 7.4 9.7 (Million Head) 12.4 12.7 7.5 7.7 11.4 11.0 13.0 7.8 12.9 13.3 7.9 12.8 13.6 8.0 15.0 13.9 8.1 15.0 14.1 8.2 17.5 14.7 8.6 21.1 15.0 8.8 25.2 Live Cattle Import 581 594 578 617 (Thousand Head) 634 657 677 695 715 738 758 805 737 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 464 0 464 467 0 467 477 0 477 484 0 484 (Thousand Metric Tons) 494 504 514 0 0 0 494 504 514 524 0 524 532 0 532 541 0 541 548 0 548 565 0 565 572 0 572 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 477 0 477 498 0 498 492 0 492 509 0 509 527 0 527 544 0 544 559 0 559 574 0 574 588 0 588 603 0 603 618 0 618 661 0 661 709 0 709 -13 -31 -15 -25 -33 -40 -45 -50 -56 -63 -70 -96 -136 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 578 0 578 605 0 605 621 0 621 636 0 636 653 0 653 666 0 666 674 0 674 683 0 683 692 0 692 704 0 704 717 0 717 749 0 749 772 0 772 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 587 0 587 605 0 605 621 0 621 637 0 637 654 0 654 666 0 666 675 0 675 683 0 683 692 0 692 705 0 705 718 0 718 750 0 750 772 0 772 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 925 0 925 943 0 943 971 0 971 981 0 981 994 0 994 1,005 0 1,005 1,018 0 1,018 1,030 0 1,030 1,041 0 1,041 1,053 0 1,053 1,065 0 1,065 1,100 0 1,100 1,122 0 1,122 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 926 0 926 941 0 941 975 0 975 1,014 0 1,014 1,052 0 1,052 1,085 0 1,085 1,116 0 1,116 1,146 0 1,146 1,175 0 1,175 1,206 0 1,206 1,237 0 1,237 1,326 0 1,326 1,423 0 1,423 -1 3 -4 -33 -58 -81 -98 -116 -134 -153 -172 -226 -301 70,885 20,886 21,507 74,879 20,166 21,984 76,901 20,993 22,236 79,094 22,864 22,766 (Rupiah per Kilogram) 81,010 82,641 84,042 25,039 25,747 25,687 23,404 24,004 24,481 85,299 25,901 24,936 86,321 26,354 25,380 87,523 27,715 25,819 88,539 28,787 26,186 91,730 30,644 27,366 93,156 32,345 28,025 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Retail Prices Beef Pork Broiler World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 178 2015 Japanese Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 4.38 1.22 0.84 10.00 4.29 1.25 0.84 9.70 4.20 1.27 0.84 9.88 4.13 1.27 0.83 9.57 (Million Head) 4.06 4.00 1.27 1.27 0.83 0.82 9.52 9.53 510 215 295 119 629 494 215 279 116 610 492 224 268 115 607 489 231 258 114 603 1,207 214 294 699 116 11 25 80 1,323 1,277 215 279 783 115 11 24 79 1,392 1,300 224 268 808 114 11 24 79 1,415 1,328 231 258 839 113 11 24 78 1,441 1,341 237 250 855 113 11 24 79 1,455 1,353 240 243 870 114 11 23 79 1,467 -694 -782 -808 -838 -855 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,280 217 1,497 1,246 210 1,456 1,254 209 1,464 1,248 203 1,451 p Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use , 2,437 210 2,647 , 2,445 209 2,654 , 2,455 203 2,658 -1,150 -1,199 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,280 116 1,396 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Wagyu Cows (Beg.) Dairy Cows (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Beef and Veal Production Wagyu Dairy Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Wagyu Dairy Imported Beef Ending Stocks Wagyu Dairy Imported Beef Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Prices Wagyu Beef - Farm Dairy Beef - Farm Pork - Wholesale Broiler - Wholesale Retail Prices Wagyu Beef Dairy Beef Imported Beef Pork Broiler 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 3.94 1.26 0.81 9.54 3.89 1.26 0.80 9.52 3.83 1.25 0.78 9.50 3.78 1.25 0.77 9.52 3.72 1.24 0.75 9.55 3.56 1.24 0.70 9.57 3.45 1.23 0.67 9.57 (Thousand Metric Tons) 486 482 478 237 240 242 249 243 237 113 113 114 599 596 592 474 243 231 114 588 468 243 226 114 582 463 242 221 114 577 458 242 216 114 572 441 241 201 115 556 431 240 191 115 546 1,360 242 237 881 114 11 23 79 1,474 1,363 243 231 890 114 11 23 80 1,478 1,366 243 226 897 114 11 23 80 1,480 1,366 242 221 903 114 11 23 80 1,480 1,365 242 216 907 114 11 23 80 1,480 1,363 241 201 922 115 11 23 81 1,478 1,364 240 191 933 115 12 23 81 1,479 -871 -882 -890 -897 -903 -908 -922 -934 1,250 203 1,453 1,254 203 1,457 1,261 202 1,463 1,267 201 1,468 1,273 201 1,473 1,277 200 1,477 1,281 200 1,480 1,290 199 1,489 1,296 198 1,494 , 2,475 203 2,678 , 2,497 203 2,700 , 2,514 202 2,716 , 2,526 201 2,727 , 2,533 200 2,734 , 2,539 200 2,739 , 2,548 200 2,748 , 2,556 199 2,755 , 2,566 198 2,764 , 2,576 198 2,774 -1,195 -1,226 -1,246 -1,259 -1,264 -1,265 -1,266 -1,271 -1,275 -1,276 -1,280 1,288 111 1,399 1,310 111 1,421 1,312 110 1,422 1,303 110 1,413 1,290 110 1,400 1,281 110 1,390 1,272 110 1,382 1,262 110 1,372 1,253 110 1,362 1,243 110 1,353 1,213 110 1,323 1,193 110 1,303 2,020 111 2,131 2,039 111 2,150 2,050 110 2,161 2,054 110 2,164 2,059 110 2,168 2,061 110 2,171 2,062 110 2,172 2,060 110 2,170 2,056 110 2,166 2,051 110 2,161 2,046 110 2,156 2,029 110 2,139 2,019 110 2,129 -735 -750 -740 -741 -755 -771 -782 -788 -794 -798 -804 -816 -826 1,692 782 467 221 1,720 910 442 236 1,584 973 457 240 1,539 1,050 471 249 (Yen per Kilogram) 1,497 1,476 1,478 1,104 1,152 1,199 471 471 476 252 254 257 1,490 1,245 483 262 1,503 1,289 488 267 1,516 1,333 490 272 1,525 1,376 490 275 1,557 1,535 499 286 1,569 1,659 497 290 636 348 195 161 129 644 393 200 166 129 605 433 208 170 131 582 476 214 174 135 (Yen per 100 Grams) 563 552 549 511 542 570 212 209 208 174 174 176 137 138 140 550 595 209 178 143 554 620 210 179 145 557 643 211 180 148 560 667 211 180 150 570 751 214 182 156 572 819 213 182 159 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 179 2015 Mexican Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 22.2 10.5 21.7 10.9 21.5 11.4 21.5 11.4 (Million Head) 21.7 22.1 11.4 11.4 1,050 25 1,108 52 1,103 66 1,126 86 10 10 11 11 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,731 0 1,731 1,685 0 1,685 1,656 0 1,656 1,655 0 1,655 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,006 0 2,006 2,029 0 2,029 2,072 0 2,072 2,113 0 2,113 2,158 0 2,158 2,207 0 2,207 -275 -344 -417 -458 -490 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,161 0 1,161 1,192 0 1,192 1,224 0 1,224 1,242 0 1,242 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,766 0 1,766 1,824 0 1,824 1,861 0 1,861 -605 -633 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,809 0 2,809 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Live Cattle Trade Export Import Live Hog Import Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Prices Beef and Veal - Wholesale Pork - Wholesale Poultry - Retail 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 22.5 11.3 23.0 11.3 23.5 11.2 24.0 11.2 24.5 11.2 25.9 11.2 26.8 11.1 (Thousand Head) 1,141 1,158 1,164 116 162 175 1,166 180 1,167 184 1,170 189 1,169 194 1,172 209 1,166 218 11 11 11 12 12 13 13 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,668 1,695 1,730 0 0 0 1,668 1,695 1,730 1,767 0 1,767 1,807 0 1,807 1,849 0 1,849 1,889 0 1,889 2,004 0 2,004 2,072 0 2,072 2,257 0 2,257 2,308 0 2,308 2,361 0 2,361 2,409 0 2,409 2,457 0 2,457 2,613 0 2,613 2,717 0 2,717 -512 -527 -541 -553 -561 -568 -609 -645 1,259 0 1,259 1,278 0 1,278 1,298 0 1,298 1,318 0 1,318 1,337 0 1,337 1,351 0 1,351 1,362 0 1,362 1,394 0 1,394 1,409 0 1,409 1,905 0 1,905 1,948 0 1,948 1,989 0 1,989 2,031 0 2,031 2,074 0 2,074 2,118 0 2,118 2,168 0 2,168 2,218 0 2,218 2,363 0 2,363 2,467 0 2,467 -637 -663 -689 -711 -733 -756 -781 -817 -856 -969 , -1,058 2,822 0 2,822 2,872 0 2,872 2,898 0 2,898 2,937 0 2,937 2,974 0 2,974 3,015 0 3,015 3,051 0 3,051 3,086 0 3,086 3,119 0 3,119 3,153 0 3,153 3,250 0 3,250 3,315 0 3,315 3,324 0 3,324 3,407 0 3,407 3,505 0 3,505 3,592 0 3,592 3,676 0 3,676 3,766 0 3,766 3,861 0 3,861 3,958 0 3,958 4,054 0 4,054 4,147 0 4,147 4,240 0 4,240 4,540 0 4,540 4,739 0 4,739 -515 -585 -633 -693 -739 -792 -846 -907 -969 -1,028 -1,087 -1,290 -1,423 37.88 28.20 24.85 39.98 27.42 25.12 40.50 28.23 25.03 41.93 29.14 25.63 (New Pesos per Kilogram) 43.15 44.52 45.45 30.13 31.61 32.84 26.34 27.15 27.69 46.29 34.08 28.21 46.99 35.19 28.73 47.85 35.73 29.25 48.61 36.19 29.69 51.19 38.85 31.21 52.51 39.84 32.11 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 11 180 2015 11 New Zealand Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 9.92 0.36 9.89 0.39 10.01 0.40 10.17 0.41 (Million Head) 10.34 10.49 10.61 0.43 0.44 0.45 10.71 0.46 10.79 0.47 10.86 0.48 10.90 0.50 10.99 0.54 11.03 0.58 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 619 0 619 592 0 592 604 0 604 623 0 623 (Thousand Metric Tons) 644 667 686 0 0 0 644 667 686 703 0 703 716 0 716 729 0 729 740 0 740 768 0 768 786 0 786 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 119 0 119 116 0 116 116 0 116 116 0 116 117 0 117 117 0 117 117 0 117 117 0 117 117 0 117 118 0 118 118 0 118 118 0 118 119 0 119 500 476 488 506 527 550 569 586 599 612 622 650 667 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 51 0 51 50 0 50 51 0 51 53 0 53 55 0 55 57 0 57 58 0 58 59 0 59 60 0 60 62 0 62 64 0 64 70 0 70 74 0 74 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 53 0 53 55 0 55 56 0 56 56 0 56 56 0 56 58 0 58 60 0 60 61 0 61 62 0 62 63 0 63 64 0 64 66 0 66 68 0 68 -2 -5 -5 -3 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -1 0 4 6 Poultry Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 150 0 150 153 0 153 155 0 155 158 0 158 161 0 161 164 0 164 167 0 167 170 0 170 172 0 172 175 0 175 178 0 178 185 0 185 191 0 191 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 146 0 146 146 0 146 149 0 149 152 0 152 155 0 155 158 0 158 160 0 160 162 0 162 164 0 164 167 0 167 169 0 169 177 0 177 182 0 182 4 7 6 6 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 398 403 225 444 390 239 463 406 243 (New Zealand Dollars per 100 Kilograms) 473 483 491 497 501 431 457 458 451 448 247 254 260 263 267 504 449 271 509 461 274 513 469 277 527 502 288 532 516 293 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Farm Prices Beef and Veal Pork Poultry World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 181 2015 Paraguayan Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 10.5 1.7 10.8 1.7 11.3 1.7 11.8 1.8 (Million Head) 12.2 12.6 1.8 1.9 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 220 0 220 228 0 228 237 0 237 248 0 248 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 218 0 218 217 0 217 219 0 219 221 0 221 224 0 224 227 0 227 2 10 18 27 33 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 105 0 105 106 0 106 110 0 110 113 0 113 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 105 0 105 107 0 107 109 0 109 0 -1 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 43 0 43 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 13.1 2.0 13.5 2.0 13.9 2.1 14.4 2.2 14.8 2.2 16.3 2.4 17.3 2.6 (Thousand Metric Tons) 257 266 275 0 0 0 257 266 275 284 0 284 293 0 293 303 0 303 312 0 312 343 0 343 364 0 364 230 0 230 233 0 233 236 0 236 239 0 239 242 0 242 250 0 250 255 0 255 39 45 51 57 64 71 93 109 117 0 117 120 0 120 124 0 124 128 0 128 132 0 132 136 0 136 140 0 140 153 0 153 162 0 162 110 0 110 112 0 112 114 0 114 115 0 115 117 0 117 118 0 118 120 0 120 122 0 122 127 0 127 130 0 130 1 3 5 6 9 11 14 16 19 26 32 45 0 45 47 0 47 49 0 49 50 0 50 51 0 51 52 0 52 54 0 54 55 0 55 56 0 56 58 0 58 62 0 62 66 0 66 43 0 43 44 0 44 45 0 45 45 0 45 46 0 46 47 0 47 48 0 48 48 0 48 49 0 49 50 0 50 51 0 51 53 0 53 54 0 54 0 1 2 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 9 11 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 182 2015 Philippine Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 5.3 17.9 5.1 22.4 5.0 26.1 4.9 27.9 (Million Head) 4.9 4.9 28.9 29.4 40 42 40 42 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 235 0 235 229 0 229 228 0 228 226 0 226 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 383 0 383 388 0 388 398 0 398 411 0 411 425 0 425 437 0 437 -148 -159 -171 -185 -199 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,255 0 1,255 1,406 0 1,406 1,539 11 1,550 1,626 11 1,637 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,380 0 1,380 1,484 11 1,495 1,523 11 1,534 -125 -88 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 750 0 750 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Live Cattle Trade Import Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Farm Prices Beef and Veal Pork Poultry 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 5.0 30.2 5.0 31.1 5.1 31.7 5.1 32.2 5.2 32.3 5.3 33.2 5.4 33.7 48 50 52 54 57 65 70 (Thousand Metric Tons) 226 227 229 0 0 0 226 227 229 232 0 232 234 0 234 237 0 237 240 0 240 247 0 247 252 0 252 447 0 447 459 0 459 471 0 471 484 0 484 498 0 498 535 0 535 562 0 562 -210 -218 -227 -237 -248 -258 -288 -310 1,704 11 1,715 1,746 11 1,757 1,774 11 1,785 1,798 11 1,809 1,816 11 1,827 1,843 11 1,854 1,866 11 1,877 1,910 11 1,921 1,944 11 1,955 1,555 11 1,566 1,586 11 1,597 1,630 11 1,641 1,682 11 1,693 1,732 11 1,743 1,780 11 1,791 1,821 11 1,832 1,865 11 1,876 2,017 11 2,028 2,114 11 2,125 17 71 118 115 92 66 36 22 1 -107 -169 757 0 757 777 0 777 787 0 787 801 0 801 814 0 814 827 0 827 839 0 839 849 0 849 859 0 859 869 0 869 894 0 894 909 0 909 824 0 824 850 0 850 886 0 886 921 0 921 956 0 956 988 0 988 1,019 0 1,019 1,052 0 1,052 1,086 0 1,086 1,125 0 1,125 1,164 0 1,164 1,278 0 1,278 1,360 0 1,360 -74 -93 -108 -134 -155 -174 -192 -213 -237 -266 -295 -383 -451 77.80 81.88 80.29 80.22 77.65 80.55 80.67 79.75 79.85 81.73 86.14 80.97 (Pesos per Kilogram) 82.91 83.86 84.62 94.78 97.51 97.04 83.06 85.01 86.45 85.23 97.67 87.76 85.58 99.11 88.96 86.03 104.08 90.06 86.27 107.85 90.79 87.63 112.54 93.93 87.76 117.98 95.24 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 (Thousand Head) 44 46 183 Russian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 17.6 20.2 16.9 20.3 15.9 20.1 15.1 20.2 (Million Head) 14.5 13.9 20.1 20.2 13.6 20.4 13.2 20.7 13.0 20.9 12.8 21.2 12.6 21.4 12.2 22.0 12.0 22.3 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,300 0 1,300 1,334 0 1,334 1,249 0 1,249 1,181 0 1,181 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,122 1,076 1,044 0 0 0 1,122 1,076 1,044 1,020 0 1,020 1,000 0 1,000 985 0 985 974 0 974 954 0 954 946 0 946 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,235 0 2,235 2,176 0 2,176 2,180 0 2,180 2,183 0 2,183 2,183 0 2,183 2,180 0 2,180 2,174 0 2,174 2,168 0 2,168 2,162 0 2,162 2,154 0 2,154 2,146 0 2,146 2,123 0 2,123 2,110 0 2,110 -935 -842 -930 -1,002 -1,061 -1,103 -1,130 -1,148 -1,161 -1,169 -1,172 -1,169 -1,163 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,270 0 2,270 2,276 0 2,276 2,276 0 2,276 2,318 0 2,318 2,353 0 2,353 2,395 0 2,395 2,435 0 2,435 2,477 0 2,477 2,518 0 2,518 2,559 0 2,559 2,602 0 2,602 2,729 0 2,729 2,820 0 2,820 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,119 0 3,119 3,136 0 3,136 3,181 0 3,181 3,211 0 3,211 3,231 0 3,231 3,248 0 3,248 3,270 0 3,270 3,291 0 3,291 3,311 0 3,311 3,331 0 3,331 3,348 0 3,348 3,406 0 3,406 3,462 0 3,462 -849 -860 -905 -893 -877 -852 -835 -815 -793 -772 -746 -676 -642 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,000 32 2,032 1,964 31 1,995 1,975 31 2,006 2,009 31 2,040 2,036 31 2,067 2,057 31 2,088 2,076 31 2,107 2,096 31 2,127 2,116 31 2,147 2,136 31 2,167 2,157 31 2,188 2,222 31 2,253 2,282 31 2,313 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,466 31 2,497 2,735 31 2,766 2,746 31 2,777 2,780 31 2,811 2,807 31 2,838 2,828 31 2,859 2,847 31 2,878 2,866 31 2,897 2,886 31 2,917 2,907 31 2,938 2,928 31 2,959 2,993 31 3,024 3,053 31 3,084 Net Trade -465 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 -771 Farm Prices Beef and Veal Pork Poultry 122 89 83 128 88 72 128 89 77 130 92 80 (Rubles per Kilogram) 130 128 127 94 94 94 82 83 84 126 94 85 125 94 86 125 94 87 124 94 88 125 94 91 127 95 94 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 184 2015 Saudi Arabian Meat Supply and Utilization Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Wholesale Price Poultry 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 575 0 575 574 0 574 573 0 573 589 0 589 (Thousand Metric Tons) 598 614 627 0 0 0 598 614 627 642 0 642 655 0 655 669 0 669 683 0 683 726 0 726 757 0 757 1,195 0 1,195 1,234 0 1,234 1,275 0 1,275 1,314 0 1,314 1,347 0 1,347 1,380 0 1,380 1,412 0 1,412 1,442 0 1,442 1,472 0 1,472 1,501 0 1,501 1,530 0 1,530 1,619 0 1,619 1,680 0 1,680 -620 -659 -702 -724 -749 -766 -785 -800 -817 -832 -846 -892 -923 6.45 6.73 6.73 6.84 (Riyals per Kilogram) 7.00 7.15 7.24 7.33 7.41 7.49 7.55 7.78 7.88 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 15.8 16.1 16.2 16.3 16.4 16.6 16.6 (Thousand Metric Tons) 757 772 788 0 0 0 757 772 788 802 0 802 815 0 815 827 0 827 840 0 840 877 0 877 899 0 899 South African Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) 14.2 14.3 14.5 14.9 (Million Head) 15.2 15.6 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 690 0 690 703 0 703 723 0 723 740 0 740 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 693 0 693 696 0 696 708 0 708 723 0 723 740 0 740 757 0 757 769 0 769 783 0 783 798 0 798 822 0 822 845 0 845 914 0 914 967 0 967 -3 7 15 17 17 15 18 19 17 6 -6 -38 -68 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,290 0 1,290 1,367 0 1,367 1,426 0 1,426 1,456 0 1,456 1,487 0 1,487 1,515 0 1,515 1,543 0 1,543 1,569 0 1,569 1,595 0 1,595 1,620 0 1,620 1,646 0 1,646 1,722 0 1,722 1,771 0 1,771 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,496 0 1,496 1,511 0 1,511 1,537 0 1,537 1,567 0 1,567 1,599 0 1,599 1,628 0 1,628 1,657 0 1,657 1,687 0 1,687 1,721 0 1,721 1,763 0 1,763 1,804 0 1,804 1,921 0 1,921 2,009 0 2,009 Net Trade -206 -143 -111 -110 -112 -113 -114 -118 -126 -143 -159 -199 -238 Prices Beef - Farm Poultry - Retail 78.72 23.15 83.51 23.70 87.89 24.52 92.06 25.60 (Rand per Kilogram) 96.08 99.90 103.30 26.89 28.17 29.26 106.45 30.30 109.39 31.36 112.70 32.46 115.86 33.48 126.39 36.91 132.87 39.17 Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 185 2015 South Korean Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 3.08 8.72 3.32 9.10 3.50 9.12 3.68 9.20 (Million Head) 3.84 3.95 9.41 9.59 4.03 9.72 4.07 9.85 4.09 10.00 4.08 10.19 4.06 10.41 3.93 10.93 3.81 11.25 Beef Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 280 47 327 316 46 362 331 46 377 349 46 394 (Thousand Metric Tons) 365 377 386 46 46 46 411 424 432 391 46 438 394 46 440 394 46 441 393 46 440 383 47 429 372 47 419 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 625 46 671 616 46 662 626 46 672 639 46 685 655 46 701 672 46 718 689 46 735 707 46 753 725 46 771 741 46 787 757 46 803 805 47 852 836 47 883 -344 -299 -295 -291 -290 -294 -303 -315 -331 -347 -363 -422 -464 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,097 107 1,204 1,119 60 1,179 1,138 60 1,199 1,158 61 1,219 1,179 62 1,240 1,201 62 1,263 1,224 62 1,287 1,251 62 1,314 1,279 62 1,341 1,305 62 1,367 1,328 63 1,391 1,394 64 1,458 1,436 64 1,500 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,524 60 1,584 1,569 60 1,629 1,596 61 1,657 1,622 62 1,684 1,645 62 1,707 1,663 62 1,725 1,679 62 1,741 1,693 62 1,756 1,709 62 1,771 1,731 63 1,794 1,754 63 1,817 1,808 64 1,872 1,848 65 1,912 -380 -450 -458 -465 -467 -462 -454 -442 -430 -426 -426 -414 -413 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 647 0 647 650 0 650 643 0 643 637 0 637 637 0 637 640 0 640 641 0 641 643 0 643 644 0 644 645 0 645 646 0 646 648 0 648 650 0 650 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 730 0 730 759 0 759 798 0 798 826 0 826 845 0 845 864 0 864 884 0 884 905 0 905 925 0 925 944 0 944 963 0 963 1,021 0 1,021 1,058 0 1,058 -78 -102 -149 -183 -202 -218 -237 -256 -276 -293 -311 -367 -402 Farm Prices Beef 5,295 6,215 5,940 (1000 Won per 500 Kilograms, Liveweight) 5,866 5,902 5,975 6,036 6,081 6,105 6,145 6,171 6,266 6,270 Pork Poultry 2,988 1,860 3,145 1,488 3,044 1,399 (Won per Kilogram, Liveweight) 2,990 3,012 3,085 3,158 3,228 1,379 1,399 1,431 1,454 1,475 3,285 1,495 3,294 1,514 3,295 1,528 3,389 1,576 3,384 1,598 37,723 6,635 3,898 43,592 6,808 3,970 43,736 6,615 3,748 (Won per Kilogram) 43,092 43,371 43,688 6,428 6,548 6,694 3,660 3,729 3,788 44,029 6,964 3,886 44,173 6,986 3,930 44,251 6,973 3,962 44,529 7,110 4,066 44,336 7,064 4,107 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Retail Prices Beef Pork Poultry World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 43,169 6,440 3,642 186 2015 43,929 6,842 3,839 Taiwanese Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 0.22 8.01 0.19 9.81 0.19 10.82 0.19 11.03 (Million Head) 0.19 0.19 0.19 11.03 10.94 10.85 0.19 10.75 0.19 10.68 0.19 10.61 0.19 10.56 0.19 10.41 0.19 10.31 7 0 7 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6 6 6 0 0 0 6 6 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 142 0 142 128 0 128 131 0 131 136 0 136 140 0 140 144 0 144 148 0 148 152 0 152 156 0 156 160 0 160 164 0 164 174 0 174 181 0 181 -135 -122 -125 -130 -134 -138 -142 -146 -150 -154 -158 -168 -175 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 768 0 768 804 0 804 842 0 842 853 0 853 865 0 865 874 0 874 887 0 887 899 0 899 910 0 910 921 0 921 932 0 932 963 0 963 983 0 983 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 820 0 820 854 0 854 887 0 887 901 0 901 914 0 914 926 0 926 940 0 940 953 0 953 965 0 965 978 0 978 992 0 992 1,029 0 1,029 1,053 0 1,053 -52 -50 -46 -48 -50 -52 -53 -54 -55 -58 -60 -65 -71 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 538 0 538 541 0 541 554 0 554 562 0 562 572 0 572 581 0 581 590 0 590 600 0 600 608 0 608 616 0 616 625 0 625 648 0 648 663 0 663 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 645 0 645 648 0 648 662 0 662 675 0 675 687 0 687 698 0 698 709 0 709 720 0 720 731 0 731 741 0 741 751 0 751 778 0 778 795 0 795 Net Trade -107 -107 -109 -113 -115 -117 -119 -121 -123 -124 -126 -130 -132 Retail Prices Beef and Veal Pork Poultry 251 150 124 248 138 125 247 129 122 (New Taiwan Dollars per Kilogram) 249 251 253 254 254 131 133 136 137 139 124 126 128 129 130 255 141 132 256 142 133 257 143 134 262 147 139 264 149 141 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 187 2015 Thai Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 5.61 6.14 5.70 5.98 5.81 6.12 5.95 6.44 (Million Head) 6.07 6.17 6.81 7.08 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 198 0 198 201 0 201 205 0 205 210 0 210 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 199 0 199 197 0 197 202 0 202 208 0 208 215 0 215 221 0 221 -1 5 3 2 -1 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 700 0 700 682 0 682 698 0 698 734 0 734 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 700 0 700 673 0 673 702 0 702 0 9 1,280 22 1,302 Net Trade Net Trade Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Wholesale Prices Beef and Veal Pork Poultry 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 6.28 7.28 6.37 7.46 6.46 7.65 6.54 7.92 6.63 8.22 6.88 8.93 7.04 9.48 (Thousand Metric Tons) 214 218 222 0 0 0 214 218 222 225 0 225 228 0 228 231 0 231 234 0 234 243 0 243 249 0 249 226 0 226 231 0 231 236 0 236 242 0 242 248 0 248 264 0 264 276 0 276 -3 -4 -6 -8 -11 -14 -21 -27 776 0 776 808 0 808 830 0 830 850 0 850 872 0 872 904 0 904 938 0 938 1,019 0 1,019 1,081 0 1,081 721 0 721 739 0 739 754 0 754 772 0 772 788 0 788 802 0 802 813 0 813 824 0 824 866 0 866 892 0 892 -4 13 37 54 59 63 70 91 113 153 189 1,315 32 1,347 1,359 32 1,391 1,419 32 1,451 1,460 32 1,492 1,497 32 1,529 1,536 32 1,568 1,573 32 1,605 1,608 32 1,640 1,643 32 1,675 1,679 32 1,711 1,788 32 1,820 1,859 32 1,891 861 32 893 871 32 903 897 32 929 914 32 946 937 32 969 955 32 987 970 32 1,002 987 32 1,019 1,004 32 1,036 1,025 32 1,057 1,045 32 1,077 1,096 32 1,128 1,136 32 1,168 409 443 462 505 523 543 566 586 604 619 635 692 723 96.3 65.6 44.1 104.5 56.8 44.4 105.7 58.9 44.2 113.2 68.1 47.8 (Baht per Kilogram) 115.5 117.4 119.0 76.3 79.0 78.7 49.3 50.8 51.9 120.3 79.6 53.0 121.4 81.2 54.0 122.7 86.3 55.0 123.8 90.2 55.9 126.9 95.5 58.5 128.0 101.4 59.9 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 188 2015 Ukrainian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 5.0 7.6 4.9 8.4 4.8 9.0 4.8 9.3 4.8 9.7 4.9 10.0 4.9 10.3 4.9 10.6 5.0 10.7 5.0 11.3 5.1 11.9 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 400 15 415 401 15 416 396 15 411 395 15 410 (Thousand Metric Tons) 396 401 408 15 15 15 411 416 423 413 15 428 420 15 435 428 15 443 436 15 451 460 15 475 475 15 490 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 378 15 393 372 15 387 374 15 389 380 15 395 387 15 402 389 15 404 388 15 403 389 15 404 391 15 406 395 15 410 399 15 414 399 15 414 405 15 420 22 29 21 15 9 12 19 24 30 33 38 61 70 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 650 22 672 676 22 698 704 22 726 734 22 756 764 22 787 787 22 809 807 22 829 826 23 849 847 23 870 875 23 898 903 23 925 964 23 986 1,016 23 1,039 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 770 22 792 804 22 826 822 22 844 826 22 848 827 22 849 841 22 863 861 23 883 878 23 900 891 23 914 895 23 918 902 23 924 954 23 977 969 23 992 -120 -128 -118 -92 -63 -54 -54 -51 -44 -20 1 9 47 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 650 0 650 669 0 669 677 0 677 684 0 684 690 0 690 698 0 698 710 0 710 721 0 721 734 0 734 749 0 749 766 0 766 824 0 824 867 0 867 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 795 0 795 805 0 805 839 0 839 872 0 872 904 0 904 921 0 921 932 0 932 946 0 946 959 0 959 978 0 978 995 0 995 1,017 0 1,017 1,043 0 1,043 Net Trade -145 -137 -162 -188 -214 -223 -223 -225 -225 -229 -230 -193 -176 Farm Prices Beef and Veal Pork Poultry 30.44 49.83 48.22 32.33 47.87 49.83 32.28 49.07 48.89 32.13 52.89 48.53 (Hryvnias per Kilogram) 31.86 31.72 31.83 57.61 58.43 57.63 48.48 48.73 49.24 31.72 57.32 49.38 31.76 58.09 49.94 31.89 61.31 50.49 32.03 63.90 51.01 32.58 62.20 52.89 32.71 65.84 53.85 Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Million Head) 4.8 4.8 9.4 9.5 189 Vietnamese Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 6.8 29.0 6.9 29.7 7.0 30.4 7.1 30.4 (Million Head) 7.3 7.4 31.2 31.8 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 166 0 166 167 0 167 170 0 170 173 0 173 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 166 0 166 169 0 169 175 0 175 181 0 181 186 0 186 193 0 193 0 -2 -5 -7 -10 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,870 0 1,870 1,889 0 1,889 1,932 0 1,932 1,950 0 1,950 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,867 0 1,867 1,800 0 1,800 1,830 0 1,830 3 90 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 350 0 350 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 7.6 32.4 7.7 32.9 7.9 33.5 8.0 34.1 8.2 34.9 8.6 36.8 8.9 38.0 (Thousand Metric Tons) 177 180 184 0 0 0 177 180 184 188 0 188 191 0 191 195 0 195 198 0 198 209 0 209 216 0 216 200 0 200 207 0 207 214 0 214 221 0 221 228 0 228 250 0 250 266 0 266 -13 -16 -19 -23 -26 -29 -41 -50 1,986 0 1,986 2,020 0 2,020 2,060 0 2,060 2,099 0 2,099 2,139 0 2,139 2,175 0 2,175 2,211 0 2,211 2,318 0 2,318 2,386 0 2,386 1,863 0 1,863 1,893 0 1,893 1,924 0 1,924 1,954 0 1,954 1,984 0 1,984 2,014 0 2,014 2,046 0 2,046 2,079 0 2,079 2,169 0 2,169 2,232 0 2,232 102 87 92 96 105 115 125 129 132 150 155 341 0 341 344 0 344 345 0 345 350 0 350 354 0 354 360 0 360 365 0 365 369 0 369 374 0 374 379 0 379 392 0 392 401 0 401 565 0 565 563 0 563 581 0 581 597 0 597 611 0 611 628 0 628 645 0 645 663 0 663 679 0 679 696 0 696 713 0 713 766 0 766 802 0 802 -215 -222 -238 -252 -262 -274 -286 -298 -310 -322 -334 -373 -402 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 190 2015 Other African Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 251.6 26.0 253.5 25.6 257.1 25.9 261.2 26.6 (Million Head) 265.6 270.4 275.2 27.1 27.8 28.6 279.9 29.5 284.3 30.2 288.7 30.8 293.1 31.4 305.1 33.1 311.4 34.0 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,681 0 3,681 3,758 0 3,758 3,862 0 3,862 3,976 0 3,976 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4,096 4,223 4,355 0 0 0 4,096 4,223 4,355 4,486 0 4,486 4,616 0 4,616 4,748 0 4,748 4,883 0 4,883 5,278 0 5,278 5,523 0 5,523 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3,883 0 3,883 3,967 0 3,967 4,099 0 4,099 4,229 0 4,229 4,361 0 4,361 4,493 0 4,493 4,627 0 4,627 4,762 0 4,762 4,898 0 4,898 5,032 0 5,032 5,168 0 5,168 5,595 0 5,595 5,897 0 5,897 -202 -209 -237 -254 -265 -270 -272 -276 -282 -284 -285 -317 -374 965 0 251 956 0 956 975 0 975 1,006 0 1,006 1,031 0 1,031 1,066 0 1,066 1,104 0 1,104 1,143 0 1,143 1,181 0 1,181 1,212 0 1,212 1,241 0 1,241 1,334 0 1,334 1,387 0 1,387 1,095 0 238 1,138 0 956 1,170 0 975 1,206 0 1,006 1,241 0 1,031 1,276 0 1,066 1,310 0 1,104 1,344 0 1,143 1,379 0 1,181 1,418 0 1,212 1,458 0 1,241 1,576 0 1,334 1,661 0 1,387 -131 -182 -195 -199 -210 -210 -206 -200 -198 -206 -217 -242 -274 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,678 0 1,678 1,699 0 1,699 1,732 0 1,732 1,769 0 1,769 1,811 0 1,811 1,859 0 1,859 1,908 0 1,908 1,956 0 1,956 2,004 0 2,004 2,053 0 2,053 2,103 0 2,103 2,244 0 2,244 2,331 0 2,331 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,284 0 2,284 2,346 0 2,346 2,418 0 2,418 2,483 0 2,483 2,545 0 2,545 2,610 0 2,610 2,676 0 2,676 2,743 0 2,743 2,809 0 2,809 2,873 0 2,873 2,939 0 2,939 3,145 0 3,145 3,281 0 3,281 -605 -647 -686 -714 -734 -751 -768 -787 -805 -820 -836 -901 -949 Net Trade Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 191 2015 Other American Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 73.8 8.4 74.3 8.3 75.5 8.4 76.3 8.6 (Million Head) 77.1 77.8 8.7 8.9 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2,904 0 2,904 2,952 0 2,952 3,027 0 3,027 3,090 0 3,090 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 2,782 0 2,782 2,796 0 2,796 2,843 0 2,843 2,890 0 2,890 2,940 0 2,940 2,993 0 2,993 122 156 183 200 211 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,517 0 251 1,493 0 1,493 1,509 0 1,509 1,548 0 1,548 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,566 0 238 1,599 0 1,493 1,625 0 1,509 -50 -106 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 3,540 0 3,540 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 78.5 9.1 79.2 9.4 79.9 9.6 80.5 9.8 81.0 9.9 82.6 10.4 83.4 10.7 (Thousand Metric Tons) 3,151 3,207 3,266 0 0 0 3,151 3,207 3,266 3,326 0 3,326 3,384 0 3,384 3,441 0 3,441 3,496 0 3,496 3,663 0 3,663 3,768 0 3,768 3,047 0 3,047 3,102 0 3,102 3,159 0 3,159 3,211 0 3,211 3,263 0 3,263 3,421 0 3,421 3,526 0 3,526 214 219 224 225 230 234 241 242 1,569 0 1,569 1,603 0 1,603 1,643 0 1,643 1,688 0 1,688 1,729 0 1,729 1,758 0 1,758 1,785 0 1,785 1,874 0 1,874 1,929 0 1,929 1,657 0 1,548 1,687 0 1,569 1,716 0 1,603 1,744 0 1,643 1,773 0 1,688 1,801 0 1,729 1,833 0 1,758 1,865 0 1,785 1,955 0 1,874 2,017 0 1,929 -116 -109 -119 -113 -101 -85 -73 -75 -81 -81 -88 3,590 0 3,590 3,695 0 3,695 3,766 0 3,766 3,855 0 3,855 3,941 0 3,941 4,039 0 4,039 4,136 0 4,136 4,233 0 4,233 4,326 0 4,326 4,419 0 4,419 4,697 0 4,697 4,883 0 4,883 4,210 0 4,210 4,304 0 4,304 4,417 0 4,417 4,519 0 4,519 4,615 0 4,615 4,713 0 4,713 4,818 0 4,818 4,924 0 4,924 5,029 0 5,029 5,130 0 5,130 5,232 0 5,232 5,549 0 5,549 5,754 0 5,754 -670 -714 -723 -753 -760 -772 -779 -788 -796 -804 -814 -852 -871 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 192 2015 Other Asian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 110.0 18.3 113.1 18.1 116.2 18.3 119.4 18.7 (Million Head) 122.3 125.2 127.9 19.0 19.4 19.9 130.5 20.4 132.9 20.8 135.2 21.1 137.4 21.3 143.3 22.0 146.2 22.3 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 4,789 0 4,789 4,973 0 4,973 5,170 0 5,170 5,377 0 5,377 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,577 5,777 5,975 0 0 0 5,577 5,777 5,975 6,171 0 6,171 6,359 0 6,359 6,548 0 6,548 6,735 0 6,735 7,277 0 7,277 7,605 0 7,605 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5,720 0 5,720 5,830 0 5,830 6,039 0 6,039 6,242 0 6,242 6,421 0 6,421 6,597 0 6,597 6,771 0 6,771 6,936 0 6,936 7,102 0 7,102 7,277 0 7,277 7,461 0 7,461 7,971 0 7,971 8,369 0 8,369 -931 -856 -869 -865 -844 -820 -796 -765 -743 -728 -727 -695 -764 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,287 0 251 1,279 0 1,279 1,302 0 1,302 1,339 0 1,339 1,367 0 1,367 1,405 0 1,405 1,446 0 1,446 1,489 0 1,489 1,529 0 1,529 1,558 0 1,558 1,584 0 1,584 1,665 0 1,665 1,704 0 1,704 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,436 0 238 1,485 0 1,279 1,521 0 1,302 1,563 0 1,339 1,603 0 1,367 1,642 0 1,405 1,681 0 1,446 1,719 0 1,489 1,758 0 1,529 1,801 0 1,558 1,845 0 1,584 1,968 0 1,665 2,054 0 1,704 -149 -206 -219 -224 -236 -237 -235 -230 -229 -243 -261 -303 -351 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 5,146 0 5,146 5,270 0 5,270 5,379 0 5,379 5,508 0 5,508 5,628 0 5,628 5,764 0 5,764 5,897 0 5,897 6,033 0 6,033 6,166 0 6,166 6,303 0 6,303 6,438 0 6,438 6,833 0 6,833 7,086 0 7,086 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6,657 0 6,657 6,808 0 6,808 6,988 0 6,988 7,140 0 7,140 7,285 0 7,285 7,437 0 7,437 7,593 0 7,593 7,749 0 7,749 7,900 0 7,900 8,043 0 8,043 8,188 0 8,188 8,636 0 8,636 8,918 0 8,918 -1,511 -1,539 -1,609 -1,632 -1,657 -1,673 -1,696 -1,715 -1,733 -1,740 -1,750 -1,804 -1,833 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 193 2015 Other European Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 4.0 9.0 4.1 8.9 4.2 8.9 4.3 9.1 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 809 0 809 827 0 827 846 0 846 861 0 861 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 862 0 862 857 0 857 862 0 862 867 0 867 874 0 874 882 0 882 -53 -29 -16 -6 -1 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,709 0 251 1,688 0 1,688 1,700 0 1,700 1,727 0 1,727 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,875 0 238 1,898 0 1,688 1,901 0 1,700 -166 -210 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 259 0 259 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 4.4 9.4 4.5 9.5 4.5 9.6 4.5 9.6 4.5 9.6 4.6 9.8 4.6 9.8 (Thousand Metric Tons) 873 881 888 0 0 0 873 881 888 893 0 893 897 0 897 901 0 901 905 0 905 918 0 918 924 0 924 889 0 889 896 0 896 903 0 903 909 0 909 914 0 914 930 0 930 940 0 940 0 -1 -3 -6 -8 -9 -12 -16 1,736 0 1,736 1,756 0 1,756 1,776 0 1,776 1,798 0 1,798 1,816 0 1,816 1,823 0 1,823 1,827 0 1,827 1,852 0 1,852 1,858 0 1,858 1,914 0 1,727 1,928 0 1,736 1,937 0 1,756 1,946 0 1,776 1,953 0 1,798 1,961 0 1,816 1,974 0 1,823 1,988 0 1,827 2,014 0 1,852 2,036 0 1,858 -201 -187 -192 -182 -169 -155 -145 -152 -161 -162 -177 260 0 260 264 0 264 267 0 267 270 0 270 274 0 274 277 0 277 279 0 279 282 0 282 285 0 285 287 0 287 295 0 295 300 0 300 385 0 385 388 0 388 392 0 392 395 0 395 398 0 398 402 0 402 405 0 405 407 0 407 410 0 410 413 0 413 415 0 415 423 0 423 427 0 427 -126 -127 -128 -128 -128 -128 -128 -128 -128 -128 -128 -128 -127 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Million Head) 4.4 4.4 9.1 9.2 194 Other Oceanian Meat Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 Cattle Inventories (Beg.) Hog Inventories (Beg.) 0.7 2.4 0.7 2.4 0.7 2.4 0.8 2.5 Beef and Veal Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 19 0 19 19 0 19 20 0 20 20 0 20 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 20 0 20 21 0 21 21 0 21 22 0 22 22 0 22 23 0 23 -2 -2 -2 -1 -2 Pork Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 86 0 251 86 0 86 88 0 88 91 0 91 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 89 0 238 92 0 86 94 0 88 -3 -6 Broiler Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 21 0 21 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 0.8 2.7 0.8 2.8 0.8 2.9 0.8 2.9 0.8 3.0 0.9 3.2 0.9 3.3 (Thousand Metric Tons) 21 21 21 0 0 0 21 21 21 21 0 21 22 0 22 22 0 22 22 0 22 23 0 23 23 0 23 23 0 23 24 0 24 24 0 24 25 0 25 25 0 25 27 0 27 28 0 28 -2 -2 -3 -3 -3 -3 -4 -4 93 0 93 96 0 96 98 0 98 101 0 101 104 0 104 106 0 106 108 0 108 115 0 115 120 0 120 96 0 91 99 0 93 101 0 96 103 0 98 105 0 101 107 0 104 110 0 106 112 0 108 118 0 115 122 0 120 -6 -5 -5 -5 -5 -4 -3 -3 -3 -2 -2 22 0 22 22 0 22 22 0 22 23 0 23 23 0 23 24 0 24 24 0 24 25 0 25 25 0 25 25 0 25 27 0 27 28 0 28 47 0 47 48 0 48 49 0 49 50 0 50 51 0 51 52 0 52 53 0 53 54 0 54 55 0 55 56 0 56 57 0 57 59 0 59 61 0 61 -26 -26 -27 -27 -28 -29 -29 -30 -30 -31 -31 -33 -33 World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Million Head) 0.8 0.8 2.6 2.6 195 Per Capita Meat Consumption of Selected Countries Argentina Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Australia Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Brazil Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Canada Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total China - Mainland Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Lamb-Mutton Total China - Hong Kong Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Egypt Beef and Veal Broiler Total European Union Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Lamb-Mutton Total India Beef and Veal Broiler Total 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 55.7 6.5 34.0 54.1 6.7 34.5 54.1 6.8 35.2 54.1 6.8 35.8 96.2 95.4 96.1 35.3 22.1 35.3 34.2 22.7 34.2 92.7 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms) 54.2 54.3 6.8 6.9 36.5 37.1 54.4 7.1 37.6 54.6 7.2 38.2 54.6 7.3 38.7 54.8 7.4 39.4 54.8 7.4 40.1 55.0 7.8 41.9 55.2 8.0 43.2 96.8 97.6 98.4 99.1 99.9 100.7 101.6 102.4 104.7 106.4 34.1 22.7 34.6 34.2 22.5 35.0 34.4 22.4 35.4 34.4 22.6 35.7 34.4 23.0 36.0 34.4 23.2 36.2 34.5 23.3 36.5 34.5 23.3 36.7 34.5 23.3 37.0 34.6 23.7 37.7 34.7 23.8 38.3 91.0 91.4 91.8 92.2 92.7 93.3 93.8 94.2 94.5 94.8 95.9 96.7 39.8 13.3 40.9 39.9 13.3 41.0 40.6 13.3 41.3 41.2 13.3 41.5 41.9 13.3 41.7 42.6 13.3 41.9 43.4 13.3 42.1 44.1 13.3 42.3 44.8 13.3 42.5 45.4 13.3 42.7 46.1 13.4 42.9 47.9 13.4 43.7 49.1 13.6 44.2 94.0 94.3 95.1 96.0 96.9 97.8 98.8 99.7 100.6 101.5 102.3 105.0 106.9 29.5 23.6 29.6 29.1 24.0 29.5 28.9 23.8 30.0 28.6 23.8 30.3 28.4 23.8 30.6 28.2 23.7 31.0 28.0 23.6 31.2 28.0 23.7 31.4 27.9 23.6 31.6 27.8 23.7 31.7 27.7 23.8 31.9 27.4 23.8 32.4 27.2 23.9 32.7 82.7 82.6 82.7 82.8 82.8 82.8 82.9 83.0 83.1 83.2 83.3 83.6 83.8 4.2 37.6 9.4 1.8 4.3 38.2 9.7 1.9 4.4 39.3 10.1 1.9 4.4 40.3 10.3 1.9 4.5 41.5 10.5 1.9 4.6 42.6 10.7 2.0 4.8 43.7 11.0 2.0 4.9 44.7 11.2 2.0 5.0 45.8 11.4 2.0 5.2 46.8 11.5 2.1 5.3 47.8 11.7 2.1 5.8 50.7 12.0 2.2 6.1 52.5 12.1 2.2 53.0 54.1 55.6 57.0 58.5 59.9 61.4 62.8 64.2 65.6 66.9 70.7 72.9 30.3 69.0 40.9 32.6 69.4 41.1 33.0 69.6 41.5 33.3 69.8 41.8 33.7 70.0 42.0 34.1 70.2 42.3 34.5 70.3 42.5 34.9 70.4 42.7 35.3 70.6 43.0 35.7 70.9 43.2 36.1 71.2 43.5 37.3 72.0 44.3 38.2 72.8 44.9 140.2 143.1 144.1 145.0 145.8 146.6 147.3 148.1 148.9 149.8 150.8 153.6 155.9 6.5 6.9 6.6 7.1 6.7 7.3 6.8 7.4 6.8 7.4 6.9 7.5 6.9 7.5 7.0 7.6 7.0 7.7 7.1 7.7 7.1 7.8 7.3 8.1 7.4 8.2 13.4 13.6 13.9 14.1 14.3 14.4 14.5 14.6 14.7 14.8 15.0 15.4 15.7 16.4 41.2 17.5 2.6 16.2 40.9 17.5 2.6 16.1 40.9 17.5 2.6 16.0 40.9 17.6 2.6 16.0 41.1 17.8 2.6 16.0 41.2 17.9 2.6 16.0 41.4 18.0 2.7 16.0 41.5 18.1 2.7 16.0 41.7 18.2 2.7 16.0 41.8 18.2 2.7 15.9 41.9 18.3 2.7 15.9 42.3 18.6 2.7 16.0 42.6 18.7 2.7 77.7 77.2 77.1 77.2 77.5 77.7 78.0 78.2 78.5 78.7 78.9 79.6 80.1 1.8 2.3 1.8 2.3 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.0 2.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 Note: Carcass weight basis for beef and veal and pork consumption and ready-to-cook equivalent for broiler and poultry consumption. World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 196 Per Capita Meat Consumption of Selected Countries (continued) Indonesia Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Lamb Total Japan Beef and Veal - All Wagyu Dairy Import Pork Broiler Total Mexico Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total New Zealand Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Paraguay Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Philippines Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Russia Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total 2010 2011 2012 2013 2.0 2.4 3.8 0.3 2.0 2.5 3.8 0.3 2.0 2.5 3.9 0.3 2.0 2.5 4.0 0.3 8.5 8.6 8.7 9.5 1.7 2.3 5.5 19.2 15.9 10.1 1.7 2.2 6.2 19.3 16.1 44.7 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms) 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.6 4.2 4.2 0.3 0.3 2.2 2.6 4.3 0.3 2.2 2.6 4.4 0.4 2.2 2.6 4.5 0.4 2.3 2.7 4.5 0.4 2.3 2.7 4.6 0.4 2.4 2.7 4.8 0.4 2.5 2.8 5.1 0.4 8.9 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.6 9.7 9.9 10.0 10.4 10.8 10.3 1.8 2.1 6.4 19.5 16.3 10.6 1.8 2.1 6.7 19.7 16.3 10.7 1.9 2.0 6.8 19.9 16.4 10.8 1.9 1.9 7.0 20.2 16.5 11.0 1.9 1.9 7.1 20.3 16.6 11.0 2.0 1.9 7.2 20.5 16.7 11.1 2.0 1.8 7.3 20.6 16.7 11.2 2.0 1.8 7.4 20.8 16.8 11.2 2.0 1.8 7.5 21.0 16.8 11.4 2.0 1.7 7.7 21.5 17.0 11.6 2.0 1.6 7.9 21.9 17.1 45.6 46.0 46.6 47.1 47.5 47.9 48.2 48.5 48.8 49.1 49.9 50.6 17.8 15.7 29.6 17.8 16.0 30.0 18.0 16.2 30.5 18.2 16.4 30.9 18.4 16.6 31.3 18.6 16.8 31.7 18.8 16.9 32.2 19.1 17.1 32.7 19.3 17.3 33.1 19.5 17.6 33.6 19.7 17.8 34.0 20.4 18.5 35.5 20.9 19.0 36.4 63.1 63.8 64.7 65.5 66.3 67.1 68.0 68.9 69.8 70.6 71.5 74.3 76.2 28.0 12.3 34.3 27.1 12.8 34.0 26.8 12.9 34.4 26.7 12.8 34.9 26.5 12.8 35.3 26.3 13.0 35.5 26.1 13.3 35.7 26.0 13.6 35.9 25.8 13.7 36.2 25.7 13.8 36.4 25.5 13.8 36.7 25.1 14.0 37.5 24.9 14.2 38.0 74.6 74.0 74.1 74.4 74.6 74.9 75.2 75.4 75.7 75.9 76.1 76.6 77.1 34.3 16.5 6.7 33.6 16.6 6.8 33.5 16.6 6.8 33.4 16.7 6.8 33.4 16.7 6.9 33.5 16.8 6.9 33.5 16.8 6.9 33.6 16.8 7.0 33.6 16.8 7.0 33.6 16.9 7.0 33.6 16.9 7.0 33.6 17.0 7.1 33.6 17.1 7.2 57.4 57.0 56.9 56.9 57.0 57.2 57.3 57.4 57.4 57.5 57.5 57.7 57.8 3.8 13.8 8.2 3.8 14.6 8.3 3.8 14.7 8.5 3.9 14.7 8.7 3.9 14.7 8.9 4.0 14.9 9.0 4.0 15.1 9.1 4.0 15.3 9.3 4.1 15.4 9.4 4.1 15.5 9.6 4.2 15.6 9.8 4.3 16.1 10.2 4.4 16.4 10.6 25.9 26.7 27.0 27.3 27.6 27.9 28.2 28.6 28.9 29.2 29.5 30.6 31.3 16.0 22.4 17.7 15.7 22.6 19.7 15.8 23.0 19.9 15.9 23.4 20.2 16.0 23.6 20.5 16.0 23.9 20.8 16.1 24.2 21.0 16.1 24.5 21.3 16.2 24.7 21.6 16.2 25.0 21.9 16.2 25.3 22.1 16.3 26.2 23.1 16.5 27.0 23.8 56.1 58.0 58.7 59.5 60.1 60.7 61.3 61.9 62.5 63.1 63.7 65.6 67.3 Note: Carcass weight basis for beef and veal and pork consumption and ready-to-cook equivalent for broiler and poultry consumption. World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 197 Per Capita Meat Consumption of Selected Countries (continued) South Africa Beef and Veal Broiler Total South Korea Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Taiwan Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Thailand Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Ukraine Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total Vietnam Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total United States Beef and Veal Pork Broiler Total 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 14.1 30.5 14.2 30.8 14.5 31.5 14.9 32.2 44.6 45.0 46.0 12.9 31.3 15.0 12.6 32.2 15.6 59.2 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms) 15.3 15.7 33.0 33.7 15.9 34.3 16.2 34.9 16.5 35.5 16.9 36.4 17.4 37.2 18.8 39.5 19.9 41.2 47.1 48.3 49.4 50.2 51.0 52.0 53.3 54.6 58.3 61.1 12.8 32.7 16.3 13.1 33.1 16.9 13.4 33.5 17.2 13.7 33.9 17.6 14.0 34.1 18.0 14.4 34.4 18.4 14.7 34.7 18.8 15.0 35.1 19.1 15.3 35.5 19.5 16.3 36.6 20.7 16.9 37.4 21.4 60.4 61.8 63.1 64.1 65.1 66.1 67.1 68.2 69.3 70.4 73.6 75.8 6.2 35.6 28.0 5.5 37.0 28.1 5.7 38.4 28.7 5.9 38.9 29.1 6.0 39.4 29.6 6.2 39.9 30.1 6.4 40.4 30.5 6.5 41.0 31.0 6.7 41.5 31.4 6.9 42.0 31.8 7.0 42.6 32.2 7.5 44.2 33.4 7.8 45.4 34.2 69.8 70.6 72.7 73.9 75.1 76.2 77.3 78.5 79.6 80.7 81.9 85.2 87.4 3.0 10.4 12.8 2.9 10.0 12.9 3.0 10.3 13.2 3.0 10.6 13.4 3.1 10.8 13.6 3.2 10.9 13.8 3.3 11.1 14.0 3.3 11.3 14.1 3.4 11.4 14.3 3.4 11.5 14.5 3.5 11.6 14.8 3.7 12.1 15.3 3.8 12.4 15.8 26.2 25.8 26.5 27.0 27.5 27.9 28.3 28.7 29.1 29.5 29.9 31.1 32.0 8.3 17.0 17.5 8.2 17.8 17.8 8.3 18.3 18.7 8.5 18.5 19.6 8.7 18.7 20.4 8.8 19.1 20.9 8.9 19.7 21.3 8.9 20.2 21.8 9.1 20.7 22.2 9.2 20.9 22.8 9.4 21.2 23.4 9.6 22.9 24.4 9.9 23.6 25.4 42.8 43.9 45.4 46.6 47.8 48.9 49.9 50.9 51.9 52.9 53.9 56.9 58.9 1.9 20.8 6.3 1.9 19.9 6.2 1.9 20.0 6.4 2.0 20.1 6.5 2.0 20.3 6.5 2.0 20.4 6.7 2.1 20.5 6.8 2.2 20.6 6.9 2.2 20.8 7.0 2.3 20.9 7.1 2.3 21.1 7.2 2.5 21.5 7.6 2.6 21.8 7.8 29.0 28.0 28.3 28.5 28.8 29.1 29.4 29.7 30.0 30.3 30.6 31.5 32.2 38.2 27.4 43.6 38.3 26.0 43.3 38.0 26.0 43.5 37.9 25.5 43.3 37.8 25.4 43.2 37.8 25.3 43.1 37.8 25.2 43.2 37.8 25.2 43.3 37.7 25.4 43.3 37.6 25.5 43.3 37.6 25.6 43.5 37.8 26.2 43.9 38.0 26.7 44.3 109.2 107.6 107.5 106.7 106.4 106.2 106.3 106.3 106.4 106.4 106.6 107.9 109.0 Note: Carcass weight basis for beef and veal and pork consumption and ready-to-cook equivalent for broiler and poultry consumption. World Meat: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 198 Dairy Milk Dairy prices declined significantly in 2009 as a result of the economic recession. Dairy prices increased in 2010 as the economy recovered, and prices continue to increase over the projection period. Economic growth and population growth favor higher dairy demand, which puts upward pressure on dairy prices in the long run. Strong demand and growing incomes boost world milk production. Over the projection period, world milk production increases 32.47%. While the EU and the U.S. are still the major milk producing countries, high production growth is seen in Asia, especially in China and India, as well as in Argentina and Brazil. Growth in milk production facilitates higher dairy product production. Total butter production increases 48.07% over the baseline, with India accounting for 88% of the growth. Total cheese production grows 36.32%, with the U.S. and the EU together accounting for about 53.15%. NFD and WMP production increase 50.63% and 36.98%, respectively. Butter New Zealand is the biggest butter exporter in the world, followed by the EU and Australia. Together they supply 79.86% of total butter trade at the end of the baseline. As New Zealand and Australian butter exports rise, EU net exports stagnate. Russia, a leading importer in the world butter market, gradually increases its butter imports. It accounts for about 14.35% of total world butter imports at the end of the baseline. Driven by economic growth and westernized diets, steady growth occurs in Asia, especially in China. Egypt increases its imports by 5.80% annually, while Mexico’s butter imports remain stable to slightly increasing. Cheese As major players in world markets, Australia and New Zealand steadily expand their dairy production over the baseline. Australian and New Zealand cheese production increase 5.32% and 5.54% annually, respectively. Stimulated by strong import demand, especially from Asia, Australian and New Zealand NFD and WMP production increase 3.92% and 1.16% annually, respectively, over the projection period. World cheese trade expands 109.33% over the projection period. The EU, New Zealand, and Australia supply 60% of total world trade. As Australia and New Zealand increase their exports, the EU’s exports are stable to slightly increasing because of strong domestic demand. Argentina, Brazil, and Ukraine become increasingly important players in international cheese markets, together accounting for 16.29% of total exports by 2025. Russia and Japan are the leading cheese importers and account for 24.91% of total world imports on average. Sustained by economic and population growth, cheese imports of other Asian countries (China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, South Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam) increase by 1.93% to 5.12% annually. Stable growth occurs in per capita cheese consumption in most countries. High cheese consumption occurs mostly in countries with substantial domestic production, such as the EU, the U.S., Australia, New Zealand, and Argentina. Japanese and Russian per capita cheese consumption levels grow 2.01% and 1.95%, respectively, annually. World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 199 Whole Milk Powder Australia, New Zealand, the EU, and the U.S. captured over 90% of the NFD export market in 2009. Their combined market share declines slightly over the baseline to 77.87%, as there is an increase in NFD exports from other countries, such as India, Ukraine, and Brazil. Asian countries, Algeria, and Mexico are major importers and increase their imports steadily over the projection period. WMP trade grows 7.54% over the baseline. While EU WMP exports decrease by 66.58%, Australia, New Zealand, and Argentina expand their exports, respectively, by 12.10%, 13.23%, and 42.91%. Brazil, as an emerging exporter, significantly increases its exports over the baseline. Major importers Algeria, Venezuela, and Asian countries steadily increase their WMP imports. Southeast Asia (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) keeps its NFD imports strong, accounting for about 35.50% of total world NFD imports. China and Japan together account for about 10.91% of the NFD import market by the end of the baseline. Southeast Asian WMP imports rise 2.90% to 8.82% annually throughout the baseline. Chinese WMP exports are negatively affected by the milk scandal for the next couple of years. Over the long run, as domestic WMP production expands and as consumers substitute more fluid milk for reconstituted milk powder, Chinese WMP imports continue to decline. World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 200 Butter Trade and World Prices Net Exporters Argentina Australia Canada Colombia European Union India New Zealand Ukraine Uruguay Total Net Exports * Net Importers Algeria Brazil China Egypt Indonesia Japan Malaysia Mexico Peru Philippines Russia Saudi Arabia South Korea Switzerland Thailand United States Venezuela Vietnam Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual Total Net Imports Price Oceania Export Price FOB Price N. Europe 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 16 54 2 0 135 -14 455 -20 15 17 46 1 -1 120 -11 472 -10 16 18 50 7 -1 105 -11 483 -6 17 19 50 7 -2 101 9 487 -1 17 (Thousand Metric Tons) 21 23 25 54 58 62 6 6 5 -2 -2 -3 98 94 92 17 23 27 493 501 507 4 7 12 17 17 17 27 65 4 -3 91 34 514 18 18 29 69 3 -4 86 44 519 23 18 31 72 2 -4 82 50 522 28 18 34 77 1 -5 78 57 525 34 18 43 94 -1 -6 69 53 538 50 20 50 113 -2 -7 62 56 543 56 21 694 715 724 734 753 770 784 803 824 842 863 912 954 9 6 26 45 16 2 10 76 0 10 87 36 2 7 15 -17 1 11 39 11 112 1 7 130 10 4 31 48 14 5 11 78 3 11 99 37 2 7 15 -43 1 11 41 11 115 2 7 130 12 0 33 51 15 7 12 78 3 11 99 35 5 6 16 -44 2 12 43 12 117 2 7 130 14 -4 37 55 15 8 12 82 4 11 104 34 4 6 17 -39 2 13 46 12 118 2 7 130 15 -6 39 58 16 10 13 83 4 12 108 35 3 6 17 -37 2 13 48 12 119 2 7 130 16 -6 41 60 16 12 13 85 4 12 109 37 3 5 18 -36 2 14 50 13 120 1 7 130 17 -8 43 62 16 14 14 86 4 12 109 38 2 5 19 -29 2 14 53 13 119 1 7 130 18 -9 45 64 17 15 14 87 4 13 111 38 2 5 19 -24 3 15 55 14 122 1 7 130 20 -12 47 67 17 16 15 89 5 13 114 36 1 5 20 -23 3 16 58 14 128 1 7 130 21 -14 49 69 17 17 15 90 5 13 117 34 1 5 21 -23 3 16 61 15 132 1 7 130 22 -16 51 71 18 18 15 91 5 14 120 34 0 5 21 -23 3 17 63 15 137 1 7 130 24 -25 53 78 19 20 17 95 6 15 127 33 -2 4 23 -18 4 19 72 16 142 1 7 130 24 -34 56 85 19 21 17 98 7 13 137 36 -2 4 25 -15 4 21 78 18 146 1 7 130 694 715 724 734 753 770 784 803 824 842 863 912 954 3,963 4,538 4,012 4,501 4,065 4,520 3,995 4,309 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 4,012 4,027 4,067 4,231 4,231 4,262 4,089 4,261 4,104 4,270 4,123 4,289 4,142 4,313 4,344 4,573 4,432 4,681 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 201 Cheese Trade and World Prices 2010 2011 2012 2013 43 115 3 519 285 32 65 29 51 114 3 560 313 36 67 31 55 125 5 555 330 41 74 31 63 138 8 560 355 47 81 32 1,272 1,361 1,410 1,487 1,561 1,637 22 2 15 32 14 9 200 8 71 0 13 343 -25 58 -1 4 4 3 238 50 158 22 5 -155 23 -3 21 31 16 10 204 9 59 -2 14 348 -26 56 -1 15 5 4 309 44 167 21 5 -155 25 -10 19 32 20 10 207 9 58 -3 15 350 -24 58 0 16 8 4 398 28 184 23 5 -216 26 -19 18 29 21 10 211 9 58 -4 16 349 -25 59 0 12 10 4 468 17 189 24 5 -203 27 -26 17 29 22 11 212 10 57 -5 16 351 -25 62 0 11 11 4 539 10 199 26 5 -234 Total Net Imports 1,272 1,361 1,410 1,487 1,561 Price Oceania Export Price FOB Price N. Europe 3,976 3,945 4,227 4,218 4,320 4,319 4,525 4,543 Net Exporters Argentina Australia Colombia European Union New Zealand Switzerland Ukraine Uruguay Total Net Exports * Net Importers Algeria Brazil Canada China Egypt Indonesia Japan Malaysia Mexico Peru Philippines Russia Saudi Arabia South Korea Thailand United States Venezuela Vietnam Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 71 78 85 150 162 174 10 12 14 554 553 548 376 391 411 51 55 58 85 91 96 32 33 33 93 185 16 545 422 60 100 33 103 196 17 544 435 62 103 33 112 208 19 544 446 64 107 33 122 219 20 547 458 67 110 34 154 256 24 566 490 75 117 35 170 283 26 574 537 82 134 35 1,704 1,792 1,868 1,948 2,039 2,332 2,573 29 -32 16 30 23 11 214 10 56 -6 17 353 -24 63 0 9 13 4 603 -5 209 28 5 -252 30 -38 15 31 23 11 216 10 56 -6 17 352 -24 64 0 7 15 4 655 -5 217 31 5 -270 31 -42 14 34 24 12 217 11 55 -7 18 355 -24 64 0 4 17 4 721 -20 228 34 5 -302 32 -46 13 36 24 12 217 11 55 -7 18 355 -25 64 0 1 19 4 780 -28 237 37 5 -324 33 -50 12 39 25 12 217 12 54 -7 19 355 -25 64 1 -1 22 4 843 -26 246 41 5 -360 34 -53 13 41 26 13 218 12 54 -7 20 355 -25 64 1 -4 24 4 910 -36 257 45 5 -390 36 -63 14 47 28 14 222 13 52 -5 22 355 -27 62 1 -14 30 4 1,140 -68 279 61 5 -490 38 -78 14 41 26 13 223 12 51 -5 23 360 -29 59 2 -24 35 5 1,378 -75 275 63 5 -571 1,637 1,704 1,792 1,868 1,948 2,039 2,332 2,573 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 4,639 4,746 4,869 4,667 4,784 4,918 4,960 5,016 5,064 5,130 5,164 5,239 5,257 5,340 5,624 5,740 5,981 6,129 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 202 Nonfat Dry Milk Trade and World Prices 2010 2011 2012 2013 20 121 8 1 345 34 379 11 15 309 10 25 125 10 1 332 38 393 11 17 323 14 27 131 7 1 314 43 403 11 19 357 15 29 133 8 0 297 47 408 11 21 397 16 1,349 1,386 1,429 1,478 1,528 1,578 85 17 91 33 181 25 52 114 9 80 190 47 8 81 7 46 89 32 157 3 1 -96 92 7 95 35 184 27 54 118 9 85 199 49 7 80 7 48 95 32 160 4 1 -96 96 -6 98 36 188 28 56 119 11 87 208 53 8 82 7 51 100 32 163 4 1 -96 100 -16 102 37 192 28 58 126 11 89 218 56 9 84 7 54 103 31 166 4 1 -96 105 -22 105 38 198 30 60 130 12 91 226 60 9 86 7 57 106 31 170 4 1 -96 Total Net Imports 1,349 1,386 1,429 1,478 1,528 Price Oceania Export Price FOB Price N. Europe 3,127 2,942 3,163 3,130 3,165 3,132 3,218 3,188 Net Exporters Argentina Australia Canada Colombia European Union India New Zealand Switzerland Ukraine United States Uruguay Total Net Exports * Net Importers Algeria Brazil China Egypt Indonesia Japan Malaysia Mexico Peru Philippines Russia Saudi Arabia South Korea Thailand Venezuela Vietnam Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 31 34 36 137 142 147 8 8 7 0 0 0 281 266 253 53 59 67 417 422 426 11 11 11 24 27 30 431 466 497 17 18 19 39 151 6 0 241 73 432 11 33 524 20 42 157 5 0 230 79 439 11 36 540 21 45 163 5 -1 218 85 443 11 40 563 22 48 169 4 -1 208 92 447 11 43 586 23 60 195 3 -2 181 120 458 11 53 626 27 68 215 2 -2 165 140 458 10 58 650 30 1,622 1,665 1,702 1,745 1,789 1,917 2,007 109 -29 108 39 205 33 62 134 13 94 232 64 9 89 7 61 109 31 173 5 1 -96 113 -34 111 40 211 37 64 137 14 96 236 68 8 91 7 64 112 31 176 5 1 -96 116 -39 113 41 217 41 66 138 15 99 240 72 7 94 8 68 115 30 179 5 1 -96 119 -46 115 42 223 45 68 138 15 101 242 75 6 97 8 72 118 30 182 5 1 -96 122 -54 118 43 228 49 70 140 16 103 245 79 5 100 8 76 121 29 185 5 1 -96 126 -60 121 44 233 54 72 143 17 106 248 83 4 103 8 80 125 29 188 5 1 -96 135 -88 128 47 250 66 78 151 19 113 256 94 0 112 9 94 135 27 197 6 1 -96 139 -113 135 47 260 74 81 157 19 117 267 103 -3 116 9 105 142 25 202 8 1 -96 1,578 1,622 1,665 1,702 1,745 1,789 1,917 2,007 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 3,223 3,224 3,254 3,193 3,194 3,225 3,280 3,252 3,340 3,315 3,362 3,338 3,370 3,347 3,445 3,425 3,472 3,453 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 203 Whole Milk Powder Trade and World Prices 2010 2011 2012 2013 168 100 0 0 420 878 4 33 170 93 0 1 386 902 5 35 174 86 0 1 340 912 6 35 176 81 0 3 287 922 8 34 1,612 1,596 1,562 1,535 1,511 1,485 170 23 337 50 48 103 38 11 10 38 33 4 46 96 33 0 -10 0 0 0 572 174 12 303 53 49 106 41 14 11 39 37 4 48 98 35 0 -4 0 0 0 572 178 -4 249 56 55 109 34 16 12 47 43 4 50 100 37 0 -5 0 0 0 572 182 -18 181 58 59 112 43 17 14 53 47 5 52 102 39 0 -6 0 0 0 572 186 -29 126 61 63 115 42 19 15 58 52 5 54 104 40 0 -6 0 0 0 572 Total Net Imports 1,612 1,596 1,562 1,535 1,511 Price Oceania Export Price FOB Price N. Europe 3,447 3,576 3,337 3,401 3,250 3,302 3,246 3,297 Net Exporters Argentina Australia Canada Colombia European Union New Zealand Ukraine Uruguay Total Net Exports * Net Importers Algeria Brazil China Egypt Indonesia Malaysia Mexico Peru Philippines Russia Saudi Arabia South Korea Thailand Venezuela Vietnam Other Africa Other America Other Asia Other Europe Other Oceania Residual 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 180 182 185 81 80 79 0 0 0 5 10 13 236 181 167 931 939 945 9 11 12 34 33 32 191 81 0 13 163 953 14 31 195 82 0 13 162 959 16 31 201 86 0 14 153 967 17 30 207 90 0 13 150 974 19 30 226 103 0 14 147 987 24 29 240 112 0 18 140 994 27 30 1,492 1,513 1,535 1,558 1,585 1,672 1,729 189 -42 67 63 66 118 44 21 16 63 56 5 56 106 43 0 -7 0 0 0 572 193 -50 42 65 69 121 46 22 18 68 59 5 58 108 45 0 -7 0 0 0 572 196 -59 36 68 72 124 46 24 19 71 63 6 60 110 48 0 -8 0 0 0 572 199 -70 27 70 75 126 48 26 21 74 66 6 62 112 52 0 -8 0 0 0 572 202 -82 23 73 77 128 49 27 23 75 68 6 64 114 55 0 -8 0 0 0 572 205 -93 20 75 80 131 52 29 25 77 71 6 66 117 59 0 -9 0 0 0 572 213 -131 8 83 89 136 63 35 33 84 80 7 72 123 73 0 -10 0 0 0 572 217 -157 -4 88 96 139 68 39 39 89 88 7 75 126 87 0 -6 0 0 0 572 1,485 1,492 1,513 1,535 1,558 1,585 1,672 1,729 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 3,234 3,235 3,244 3,285 3,285 3,295 3,272 3,327 3,291 3,349 3,334 3,397 3,357 3,423 3,428 3,504 3,442 3,520 * Total net exports are the sum of all positive net exports and negative net imports. World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 204 U.S. Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 9,101 9,069 9,014 8,978 (Thousand Head) 8,950 8,938 8,942 8,961 8,992 9,033 9,084 9,329 9,541 Milk Production per Cow 9,613 9,691 9,841 9,968 (Kilograms) 10,102 10,236 10,372 10,501 10,627 10,749 10,867 11,211 11,420 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Other Disappearance 87,493 30,120 57,373 87,885 29,678 58,207 88,710 29,671 59,040 89,491 29,588 59,903 (Thousand Metric Tons) 90,418 91,494 92,750 29,559 29,573 29,617 60,859 61,920 63,133 94,108 29,664 64,444 95,556 29,708 65,847 97,100 29,766 67,334 98,716 104,588 108,963 29,838 30,465 30,944 68,878 74,123 78,019 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 725 60 785 752 49 801 753 50 803 756 50 806 759 50 809 763 49 812 768 49 817 776 49 825 788 49 837 801 50 851 814 51 865 850 52 902 877 53 930 Consumption Shipments Ending Stocks Domestic Use 724 0 49 773 707 0 50 758 709 0 50 759 717 0 50 767 723 0 49 772 727 0 49 776 739 0 49 788 752 0 49 801 765 0 50 815 778 0 51 828 791 0 51 842 831 0 52 883 861 0 54 915 17 43 44 39 37 36 29 24 23 23 23 18 15 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 4,722 439 5,160 4,656 411 5,067 4,719 387 5,106 4,785 385 5,169 4,857 390 5,247 4,938 395 5,333 5,029 400 5,429 5,123 407 5,529 5,217 414 5,631 5,314 422 5,736 5,416 430 5,846 5,780 449 6,229 6,044 463 6,508 Consumption Shipments Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,754 0 411 5,165 4,695 0 387 5,081 4,737 0 385 5,122 4,792 0 390 5,182 4,862 0 395 5,257 4,942 0 400 5,342 5,029 0 407 5,436 5,120 0 414 5,534 5,210 0 422 5,632 5,305 0 430 5,735 5,404 0 438 5,842 5,759 0 456 6,215 6,012 0 471 6,483 -4 -15 -16 -12 -11 -9 -7 -4 -1 1 4 14 24 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 790 87 877 851 30 881 894 31 925 936 34 970 981 36 1,018 1,030 39 1,070 1,083 42 1,125 1,139 46 1,185 1,205 54 1,260 1,275 105 1,379 1,346 199 1,545 1,578 782 2,361 1,749 1,474 3,223 Consumption Shipments Ending Stocks Domestic Use 538 0 30 568 528 0 31 559 535 0 34 569 537 0 36 573 548 0 39 587 561 0 42 603 582 0 46 628 607 0 54 661 615 0 105 720 617 0 199 816 620 0 338 958 638 0 1,096 1,734 653 0 1,918 2,571 309 323 357 397 431 466 497 524 540 563 586 626 650 358 3,803 4,249 2,757 309 3,662 4,979 2,817 322 3,919 5,263 2,640 328 4,198 5,359 2,468 (U.S. Dollars per Metric Ton) 339 352 363 4,520 4,884 5,203 5,492 5,655 5,786 2,320 2,181 2,038 370 5,450 5,890 1,918 380 5,568 5,996 1,914 387 5,637 6,092 1,911 395 5,713 6,195 1,907 425 6,207 6,516 1,893 441 6,467 6,679 1,882 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Prices All Milk Butter Wholesale Cheese Wholesale Nonfat Dry Milk Wholesale World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 205 Algerian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 850 853 845 777 Milk Production per Cow 1,765 1,780 1,795 1,810 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 1,500 1,503 118 1,518 1,521 119 1,516 1,539 120 1,406 1,557 121 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 9 1 10 10 1 11 12 1 13 14 1 15 15 1 16 -9 -10 -12 -14 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 13 1 14 13 1 14 13 1 14 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 35 1 36 36 1 37 -22 Milk Cow Numbers Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 700 618 531 449 381 310 244 37 -114 1,855 1,870 1,885 1,900 1,915 1,960 1,990 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,278 1,137 985 1,575 1,592 1,610 122 123 124 840 1,627 125 718 1,644 126 589 1,661 128 466 1,677 129 73 1,723 133 -226 1,751 138 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 3 16 1 17 17 1 18 18 1 19 20 1 21 21 1 22 22 1 23 24 1 25 26 1 27 -15 -16 -17 -18 -20 -21 -22 -24 -24 13 1 14 13 1 14 14 1 15 14 1 15 14 1 15 14 1 15 14 1 15 14 1 15 15 1 16 15 2 17 38 1 39 39 1 40 41 1 42 42 1 43 43 1 44 45 1 46 46 1 47 47 1 48 48 1 49 50 1 51 52 3 55 -23 -25 -26 -27 -29 -30 -31 -32 -33 -34 -36 -38 0 19 19 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 0 16 16 2 16 18 88 16 104 92 16 108 96 16 112 100 16 116 105 16 121 109 16 125 113 16 129 116 16 132 119 16 135 122 16 138 126 16 142 135 16 151 141 16 157 -85 -92 -96 -100 -105 -109 -113 -116 -119 -122 -126 -135 -139 0 10 10 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 2 9 11 171 9 180 174 9 183 178 9 187 182 9 191 186 9 195 189 9 198 193 9 202 196 9 205 199 9 208 202 9 211 205 9 214 213 9 222 219 9 228 -170 -174 -178 -182 -186 -189 -193 -196 -199 -202 -205 -213 -217 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 1,825 1,840 206 Argentine Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 2,100 2,099 2,110 2,129 (Thousand Head) 2,152 2,180 2,210 2,243 2,278 2,313 2,351 2,468 2,551 Milk Production per Cow 5,048 5,268 5,333 5,398 (Kilograms) 5,463 5,528 5,593 5,658 5,723 5,788 5,853 6,048 6,178 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 10,600 2,130 8,448 11,059 2,124 8,913 11,254 2,200 9,032 11,490 2,264 9,204 (Thousand Metric Tons) 11,758 12,048 12,361 2,336 2,413 2,492 9,400 9,613 9,847 12,689 2,571 10,095 13,033 2,650 10,361 13,389 2,733 10,634 13,757 2,816 10,918 14,923 3,076 11,825 15,758 3,258 12,478 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 52 0 52 55 0 55 58 0 58 61 0 61 64 0 64 67 0 67 70 0 70 74 0 74 78 0 78 81 0 81 85 0 85 97 0 97 107 0 107 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 36 0 36 38 0 38 40 0 40 42 0 42 43 0 43 44 0 44 46 0 46 47 0 47 49 0 49 50 0 50 51 0 51 54 0 54 57 0 57 16 17 18 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 34 43 50 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 543 34 577 553 34 587 564 34 598 575 34 609 590 34 624 607 34 641 625 34 659 643 34 677 663 34 697 683 34 717 703 34 737 766 34 800 808 34 842 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 504 34 538 502 34 536 509 34 543 511 34 545 519 34 553 529 34 563 540 34 574 551 34 585 560 34 594 571 34 605 581 34 615 612 34 646 638 34 672 43 51 55 63 71 78 85 93 103 112 122 154 170 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 38 10 48 44 10 54 48 10 58 50 10 60 54 10 64 57 10 67 61 10 71 64 10 74 69 10 79 73 10 83 77 10 87 92 10 102 102 10 112 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 18 10 28 19 10 29 20 10 30 21 10 31 22 10 32 23 10 33 24 10 34 25 10 35 26 10 36 27 10 37 29 10 39 32 10 42 34 10 44 20 25 27 29 31 34 36 39 42 45 48 60 68 220 20 240 226 17 243 232 17 249 235 17 252 238 17 255 240 17 257 243 17 260 247 17 264 251 17 268 257 17 274 263 17 280 281 17 298 296 17 313 55 17 72 56 17 73 58 17 75 58 17 75 58 17 75 58 17 75 57 17 74 56 17 73 56 17 73 56 17 73 56 17 73 56 17 73 56 17 73 168 170 174 176 180 182 185 191 195 201 207 226 240 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 207 Australian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 1,600 1,582 1,573 1,570 (Thousand Head) 1,576 1,587 1,601 1,618 1,637 1,658 1,680 1,755 1,812 Milk Production per Cow 5,750 5,848 5,922 6,003 (Kilograms) 6,080 6,158 6,237 6,316 6,396 6,477 6,558 6,803 6,967 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 9,200 2,350 6,787 9,253 2,375 6,815 9,317 2,401 6,853 9,422 2,425 6,934 (Thousand Metric Tons) 9,586 9,775 9,986 2,449 2,473 2,497 7,074 7,239 7,427 10,220 2,519 7,638 10,469 2,542 7,865 10,736 2,563 8,110 11,018 2,583 8,372 11,941 2,642 9,236 12,624 2,678 9,882 114 15 134 117 10 127 121 10 130 123 9 132 127 10 137 131 10 141 135 10 145 138 9 148 143 9 152 147 9 156 152 8 160 170 6 176 191 5 196 70 10 80 71 10 80 71 9 81 72 10 82 73 10 82 73 10 83 74 9 83 74 9 83 75 9 83 75 8 83 76 8 83 77 6 82 77 6 84 54 46 50 50 54 58 62 65 69 72 77 94 113 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 320 30 360 346 20 366 357 24 381 375 23 398 392 22 414 409 22 431 426 21 447 442 20 463 458 20 478 474 19 494 491 19 510 540 17 556 575 14 590 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 225 20 245 228 24 252 234 23 257 237 22 259 242 22 264 248 21 268 253 20 273 258 20 278 263 19 282 268 19 286 272 18 290 285 16 301 293 14 307 115 114 125 138 150 162 174 185 196 208 219 256 283 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 170 60 231 177 59 236 183 59 242 184 59 244 189 58 247 194 58 252 200 58 258 204 58 262 210 57 267 216 57 272 222 56 278 249 56 306 270 57 327 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 51 59 110 51 59 111 52 59 111 52 58 110 52 58 110 53 58 111 53 58 111 53 57 110 53 57 110 53 56 110 54 56 110 54 57 110 54 58 112 121 125 131 133 137 142 147 151 157 163 169 195 215 130 17 146 123 17 140 117 17 134 113 17 130 114 17 131 113 17 130 113 17 130 116 17 133 118 17 135 122 17 139 127 17 144 142 17 159 153 17 170 29 17 46 30 17 47 31 17 48 32 17 49 33 17 50 33 17 50 34 17 51 35 17 52 36 17 53 36 17 53 37 17 54 39 17 56 41 17 58 100 93 86 81 81 80 79 81 82 86 90 103 112 38 214 38 215 38 215 42 231 43 235 44 239 45 243 48 257 50 268 4,446 4,461 3,509 3,867 4,437 4,676 3,499 3,691 4,484 4,765 3,492 3,585 (Australian Dollars per Metric Ton) 4,410 4,439 4,468 4,524 4,562 4,995 5,134 5,266 5,417 5,533 3,553 3,567 3,577 3,621 3,660 3,583 3,579 3,589 3,609 3,650 4,605 5,682 3,748 3,693 4,661 5,838 3,801 3,769 4,722 5,993 3,842 3,826 5,091 6,592 4,037 4,018 5,249 7,083 4,112 4,077 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Milk Farm Prices Fluid Milk Average Retail Milk Export Prices Butter Cheese NFD WMP World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 (Australian Cents per Hectoliter) 39 40 40 41 220 222 225 228 208 Brazilian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 22,145 22,276 23,023 23,480 (Thousand Head) 23,817 24,090 24,309 24,525 24,737 24,959 25,190 25,943 26,515 Milk Production per Cow 1,361 1,414 1,413 1,425 1,478 1,498 1,519 1,540 1,561 1,625 1,667 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 30,150 10,732 19,888 31,491 11,003 20,959 32,532 11,299 21,703 33,455 11,583 22,342 (Thousand Metric Tons) 34,316 35,115 35,926 11,883 12,170 12,470 22,902 23,415 23,926 36,739 12,762 24,448 37,579 13,054 24,994 38,442 13,351 25,561 39,329 13,653 26,147 42,157 14,584 28,043 44,203 15,232 29,441 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 78 0 78 82 0 82 87 0 87 93 0 93 96 0 96 98 0 98 102 0 102 105 0 105 109 0 109 112 0 112 116 0 116 129 0 129 141 0 141 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 84 0 84 86 0 86 87 0 87 89 0 89 90 0 90 92 0 92 94 0 94 95 0 95 97 0 97 98 0 98 100 0 100 104 0 104 107 0 107 -6 -4 0 4 6 6 8 9 12 14 16 25 34 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 648 0 648 679 0 679 718 0 718 749 0 749 781 0 781 812 0 812 844 0 844 873 0 873 903 0 903 933 0 933 962 0 962 1,052 0 1,052 1,123 0 1,123 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 650 0 650 676 0 676 708 0 708 730 0 730 755 0 755 780 0 780 806 0 806 831 0 831 857 0 857 882 0 882 909 0 909 989 0 989 1,046 0 1,046 -2 3 10 19 26 32 38 42 46 50 53 63 78 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 120 0 120 132 0 132 149 0 149 162 0 162 173 0 173 185 0 185 196 0 196 207 0 207 220 0 220 234 0 234 247 0 247 292 0 292 331 0 331 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 137 0 137 139 0 139 143 0 143 146 0 146 150 0 150 156 0 156 162 0 162 168 0 168 174 0 174 180 0 180 186 0 186 205 0 205 218 0 218 -17 -7 6 16 22 29 34 39 46 54 60 88 113 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 518 0 518 551 0 551 590 0 590 622 0 622 652 0 652 683 0 683 709 0 709 734 0 734 761 0 761 787 0 787 815 0 815 901 0 901 961 0 961 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 541 0 541 563 0 563 586 0 586 604 0 604 623 0 623 641 0 641 659 0 659 675 0 675 691 0 691 706 0 706 722 0 722 769 0 769 804 0 804 -23 -12 4 18 29 42 50 59 70 82 93 131 157 Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 1,441 1,458 209 Canadian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 981 979 972 956 Milk Production per Cow 8,512 8,575 8,687 8,799 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 8,350 3,184 4,806 8,398 3,179 4,860 8,440 3,177 4,906 8,415 3,176 4,889 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 85 13 98 93 6 99 91 13 104 90 13 103 89 13 102 88 12 100 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 90 6 96 85 13 97 84 13 97 83 13 96 83 12 96 2 1 7 7 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 297 47 344 302 42 344 306 44 350 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 317 42 359 321 44 365 -15 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Prices Industrial Milk, Target Fluid Milk Butter Support NFD Support 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 940 923 906 889 874 859 845 809 789 9,136 9,249 9,361 9,474 9,586 9,924 10,149 (Thousand Metric Tons) 8,381 8,332 8,277 3,173 3,171 3,168 4,864 4,824 4,779 8,224 3,165 4,735 8,177 3,162 4,698 8,136 3,159 4,666 8,101 3,155 4,640 8,029 3,144 4,594 8,009 3,130 4,594 86 12 99 84 12 97 83 12 95 81 12 93 80 12 92 75 12 87 73 11 84 82 12 95 82 12 94 81 12 93 80 12 92 80 12 91 79 12 91 77 11 88 75 11 86 6 6 5 4 3 2 1 -1 -2 311 45 355 316 45 360 320 45 365 325 45 370 329 46 375 334 46 380 339 46 385 342 47 388 350 47 398 358 48 405 325 45 369 328 45 373 332 45 377 336 45 381 340 46 385 343 46 389 347 46 393 351 47 397 354 47 401 364 47 412 371 48 419 -21 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -13 -14 -14 81 32 113 84 25 109 90 19 108 91 19 111 93 20 113 94 20 114 95 20 115 95 20 116 96 20 116 97 20 117 99 20 119 102 21 123 104 21 126 80 25 105 81 19 99 82 19 101 83 20 103 85 20 105 86 20 107 88 20 108 89 20 110 91 20 111 93 20 113 94 21 115 99 21 120 102 21 123 8 10 7 8 8 8 7 6 5 5 4 3 2 74.60 83.90 76.22 85.39 77.88 86.90 (Canadian Dollars per Hectoliter) 79.60 81.36 83.15 84.98 86.84 88.48 90.08 91.72 93.39 95.10 88.74 96.84 90.69 98.61 92.67 100.42 98.85 106.08 104.19 110.96 7.10 6.18 7.23 6.31 7.35 6.45 8.15 7.32 8.30 7.48 8.44 7.64 8.89 8.15 9.20 8.50 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 8,912 9,024 (Canadian Dollars per Kilogram) 7.48 7.61 7.74 7.88 6.59 6.73 6.87 7.02 210 8.01 7.17 Chinese Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 14,637 15,184 15,607 15,971 (Thousand Head) 16,300 16,610 16,912 17,211 17,510 17,808 18,110 19,047 19,692 Milk Production per Cow 1,988 2,007 2,056 2,112 2,313 2,386 2,458 2,534 2,611 2,850 3,009 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 29,100 12,809 16,772 30,473 13,615 17,306 32,087 14,427 18,075 33,737 15,472 18,648 (Thousand Metric Tons) 35,451 37,258 39,120 16,484 17,509 18,572 19,318 20,068 20,836 41,067 19,667 21,656 43,045 20,812 22,458 45,126 21,897 23,421 47,290 22,744 24,706 54,292 25,318 29,036 59,245 24,613 34,629 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 109 0 109 110 0 110 112 0 112 114 0 114 116 0 116 119 0 119 121 0 121 123 0 123 125 0 125 127 0 127 129 0 129 136 0 136 140 1 141 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 135 0 135 140 0 140 145 0 145 151 0 151 156 0 156 160 0 160 164 0 164 168 0 168 172 0 172 176 0 176 180 0 180 189 0 189 195 2 197 -26 -31 -33 -37 -39 -41 -43 -45 -47 -49 -51 -53 -56 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 277 0 277 284 0 284 291 0 291 301 0 301 308 0 308 315 0 315 320 0 320 325 0 325 330 0 330 335 0 335 340 0 340 354 0 354 368 1 369 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 309 0 309 316 0 316 323 0 323 330 0 330 337 0 337 345 0 345 352 0 352 359 0 359 366 0 366 373 0 373 381 0 381 401 0 401 410 2 412 -32 -31 -32 -29 -29 -30 -31 -34 -36 -39 -41 -47 -41 55 0 55 55 0 55 59 0 59 62 0 62 65 0 65 69 0 69 72 0 72 76 0 76 80 0 80 83 0 83 87 0 87 98 0 98 105 1 106 146 0 146 150 0 150 157 0 157 164 0 164 170 0 170 177 0 177 183 0 183 189 0 189 195 0 195 202 0 202 208 0 208 226 0 226 239 2 241 -91 -95 -98 -102 -105 -108 -111 -113 -115 -118 -121 -128 -135 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,000 110 1,110 1,057 60 1,167 1,204 0 1,314 1,317 0 1,427 1,415 0 1,525 1,523 0 1,633 1,586 0 1,696 1,627 0 1,737 1,670 0 1,780 1,708 0 1,818 1,747 0 1,857 1,870 0 1,980 1,930 1 2,040 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,387 60 1,447 1,420 0 1,420 1,453 0 1,453 1,498 0 1,498 1,541 0 1,541 1,590 0 1,590 1,628 0 1,628 1,663 0 1,663 1,697 0 1,697 1,732 0 1,732 1,768 0 1,768 1,878 0 1,878 1,924 2 1,926 -337 -303 -249 -181 -126 -67 -42 -36 -27 -23 -20 -8 4 Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 2,175 2,243 211 Colombian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 5,301 5,341 5,396 5,480 (Thousand Head) 5,574 5,702 5,842 5,973 6,102 6,241 6,380 6,819 7,137 Milk Production per Cow 1,423 1,431 1,431 1,433 (Kilograms) 1,434 1,439 1,442 1,442 1,443 1,445 1,447 1,453 1,459 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 7,545 5,612 1,205 7,642 5,701 1,298 7,720 5,845 1,341 7,854 5,999 1,402 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,993 8,205 8,423 6,140 6,297 6,477 1,472 1,559 1,635 8,613 6,657 1,680 8,803 6,831 1,722 9,020 7,016 1,769 9,230 7,203 1,810 9,910 7,776 1,962 10,416 8,171 2,109 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 20 0 20 22 0 22 22 0 22 23 0 23 23 0 23 24 0 24 24 0 24 24 0 24 25 0 25 25 0 25 25 0 25 26 0 26 27 0 27 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 23 0 23 23 0 23 24 0 24 25 0 25 25 0 25 26 0 26 27 0 27 28 0 28 28 0 28 29 0 29 30 0 30 32 0 32 33 0 33 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -3 -3 -4 -4 -5 -6 -7 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 57 0 57 66 0 66 69 0 69 73 0 73 77 0 77 81 0 81 85 0 85 88 0 88 92 0 92 95 0 95 99 0 99 109 0 109 117 1 117 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 61 0 61 63 0 63 64 0 64 65 0 65 67 0 67 69 0 69 70 0 70 72 0 72 74 0 74 76 0 76 78 0 78 85 0 85 90 2 92 3 3 5 8 10 12 14 16 17 19 20 24 26 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 9 0 9 9 0 9 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 13 0 13 14 0 14 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 38 8 46 41 8 49 43 8 51 47 8 55 51 8 59 57 8 65 63 8 71 65 8 73 67 8 75 69 8 77 71 8 79 79 8 87 89 9 98 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 38 8 46 40 8 48 42 8 50 45 8 53 46 8 54 47 8 55 50 8 58 52 8 60 54 8 62 56 8 64 58 8 66 65 8 73 70 10 80 0 1 1 3 5 10 13 13 13 14 13 14 18 Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 212 Egyptian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 1,647 1,650 1,665 1,669 (Thousand Head) 1,679 1,699 1,717 1,741 1,760 1,782 1,802 1,870 1,928 Milk Production per Cow 1,004 1,043 1,095 1,147 (Kilograms) 1,207 1,270 1,340 1,405 1,471 1,537 1,603 1,806 1,943 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 1,654 1,763 2,113 1,721 1,869 2,159 1,824 1,985 2,195 1,914 2,059 2,248 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,026 2,157 2,301 2,125 2,183 2,235 2,323 2,422 2,539 2,446 2,293 2,650 2,590 2,350 2,760 2,739 2,408 2,872 2,889 2,469 2,982 3,377 2,646 3,355 3,747 2,767 3,644 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 15 0 15 14 0 14 14 0 14 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 9 0 9 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 60 0 60 62 0 62 65 0 65 67 0 67 69 0 69 72 0 72 74 0 74 76 0 76 78 0 78 80 0 80 83 0 83 89 0 89 94 0 94 -45 -48 -51 -55 -58 -60 -62 -64 -67 -69 -71 -78 -85 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 455 0 455 474 0 474 492 0 492 509 0 509 526 0 526 544 0 544 561 0 561 579 0 579 597 0 597 616 0 616 635 0 635 693 0 693 736 0 736 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 469 0 469 490 0 490 512 0 512 531 0 531 549 0 549 567 0 567 584 0 584 603 0 603 621 0 621 641 0 641 660 0 660 721 0 721 762 0 762 -14 -16 -20 -21 -22 -23 -23 -24 -24 -25 -26 -28 -26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 33 0 33 35 0 35 36 0 36 37 0 37 38 0 38 39 0 39 40 0 40 41 0 41 42 0 42 43 0 43 44 0 44 47 0 47 49 0 49 -33 -35 -36 -37 -38 -39 -40 -41 -42 -43 -44 -47 -47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 50 0 50 53 0 53 56 0 56 58 0 58 61 0 61 63 0 63 65 0 65 68 0 68 70 0 70 73 0 73 75 0 75 83 0 83 89 2 91 -50 -53 -56 -58 -61 -63 -65 -68 -70 -73 -75 -83 -88 Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 213 European Union Dairy Supply and Utilization Milk Cow Numbers Milk Production per Cow Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 23,662 23,536 23,419 23,303 5,672 5,718 5,812 5,892 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 23,168 22,980 22,795 22,599 22,406 22,215 22,117 21,903 21,790 6,108 6,166 6,225 6,282 6,456 6,572 (Kilograms) 5,944 6,000 6,054 (Thousand Metric Tons) 134,200 134,570 136,112 137,295 137,712 137,880 138,000 138,047 138,150 138,285 138,937 141,402 143,193 33,850 33,917 33,732 33,829 33,950 34,013 34,087 34,138 34,144 34,121 34,120 34,044 33,971 104,180 104,483 106,234 107,343 107,662 107,792 107,860 107,880 108,002 108,184 108,862 111,476 113,389 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 1,980 103 2,083 1,951 53 2,004 1,954 0 1,954 1,947 0 1,947 1,934 0 1,934 1,921 0 1,921 1,915 0 1,915 1,909 0 1,909 1,898 0 1,898 1,887 0 1,887 1,879 0 1,879 1,853 0 1,853 1,836 0 1,836 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 1,895 53 1,948 1,885 0 1,885 1,849 0 1,849 1,846 0 1,846 1,836 0 1,836 1,827 0 1,827 1,823 0 1,823 1,818 0 1,818 1,812 0 1,812 1,805 0 1,805 1,801 0 1,801 1,784 0 1,784 1,774 0 1,774 135 120 105 101 98 94 92 91 86 82 78 69 62 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 6,970 0 6,970 7,049 0 7,049 7,095 0 7,095 7,202 0 7,202 7,307 0 7,307 7,441 0 7,441 7,575 0 7,575 7,708 0 7,708 7,833 0 7,833 7,957 0 7,957 8,087 0 8,087 8,473 0 8,473 8,726 0 8,726 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6,451 0 6,451 6,489 0 6,489 6,540 0 6,540 6,642 0 6,642 6,753 0 6,753 6,887 0 6,887 7,027 0 7,027 7,163 0 7,163 7,288 0 7,288 7,413 0 7,413 7,540 0 7,540 7,908 0 7,908 8,151 0 8,151 519 560 555 560 554 553 548 545 544 544 547 566 574 980 259 1,239 967 170 1,137 968 75 1,042 956 42 998 942 20 962 928 7 935 919 0 919 910 0 910 897 0 897 884 0 884 873 0 873 840 0 840 819 0 819 724 170 894 730 75 805 687 42 729 682 20 701 674 7 681 669 0 669 666 0 666 668 0 668 667 0 667 666 0 666 665 0 665 659 0 659 654 0 654 345 332 314 297 281 266 253 241 230 218 208 181 165 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 750 0 750 717 0 717 667 0 667 614 0 614 562 0 562 506 0 506 491 0 491 485 0 485 482 0 482 470 0 470 464 0 464 455 0 455 442 0 442 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 330 0 330 331 0 331 327 0 327 326 0 326 326 0 326 326 0 326 324 0 324 322 0 322 320 0 320 317 0 317 315 0 315 307 0 307 302 0 302 420 386 340 287 236 181 167 163 162 153 150 147 140 0.00 29.23 337 335 209 252 246 175 0.00 30.00 311 345 238 247 246 175 0.00 30.55 328 353 233 251 246 175 0.00 30.31 319 353 233 246 246 175 (Euros per 100 Kilograms) 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.91 29.60 29.27 313 311 307 350 348 344 225 217 212 239 232 229 246 246 246 175 175 175 0.00 28.98 304 340 207 226 246 175 0.00 28.79 302 338 204 223 246 175 0.00 28.67 301 336 200 224 246 175 0.00 28.45 298 333 197 222 246 175 0.00 27.79 287 325 188 216 246 175 1.00 27.24 277 319 182 212 246 0 Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Prices Milk Target Milk Producer Butter Domestic Cheese Domestic NFD Domestic WMP Domestic Butter Intervention NFD Intervention World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 214 Indian Dairy Supply and Utilization Milk Cow Numbers Milk Production per Cow Cow Milk Production Buffalo Milk Production Total Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 38,375 38,667 38,989 39,330 1,230 1,266 1,300 1,335 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 39,687 40,053 40,426 40,804 41,186 41,570 41,956 43,120 43,898 1,475 1,510 1,545 1,580 1,685 1,754 (Kilograms) 1,370 1,405 1,440 (Thousand Metric Tons) 47,219 48,942 50,704 52,523 54,381 56,280 58,216 60,186 62,187 64,220 66,281 72,639 77,017 65,206 67,287 69,396 71,614 73,863 76,146 78,584 81,060 83,573 86,123 88,710 96,694 102,202 112,425 116,228 120,100 124,137 128,245 132,426 136,800 141,246 145,760 150,343 154,991 169,333 179,219 46,654 48,320 49,994 51,684 53,388 55,114 56,863 58,656 60,476 62,336 64,221 69,897 73,804 65,766 67,903 70,102 72,448 74,852 77,307 79,932 82,585 85,280 88,001 90,765 99,430 105,409 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 4,098 0 4,098 4,392 0 4,392 4,646 0 4,646 4,962 0 4,962 5,224 0 5,224 5,470 0 5,470 5,712 0 5,712 5,970 0 5,970 6,195 0 6,195 6,418 0 6,418 6,643 0 6,643 7,252 0 7,252 7,692 0 7,692 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4,111 0 4,111 4,403 0 4,403 4,657 0 4,657 4,953 0 4,953 5,208 0 5,208 5,447 0 5,447 5,685 0 5,685 5,936 0 5,936 6,151 0 6,151 6,368 0 6,368 6,586 0 6,586 7,199 0 7,199 7,635 0 7,635 -14 -11 -11 9 17 23 27 34 44 50 57 53 56 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 393 11 404 410 10 420 429 10 439 446 10 456 465 10 475 487 10 497 510 10 520 533 10 543 557 10 567 581 10 591 607 10 617 693 10 703 753 10 763 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 360 10 370 372 10 382 386 10 396 399 10 409 413 10 423 428 10 438 443 10 453 460 10 470 477 10 487 496 10 506 515 10 525 572 10 582 613 10 623 34 38 43 47 53 59 67 73 79 85 92 120 140 Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 215 Indonesian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 475 484 491 498 1,619 1,660 1,670 1,683 882 342 906 803 351 811 820 360 824 838 369 840 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 14 14 0 14 15 0 15 15 0 15 16 0 16 -16 -14 -15 -15 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 9 0 9 10 0 10 -9 Milk Cow Numbers Milk Production per Cow Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 510 521 530 540 549 558 568 596 620 1,720 1,732 1,744 1,756 1,768 1,805 1,832 (Thousand Metric Tons) 866 890 912 379 389 398 865 885 903 935 408 922 957 417 942 981 426 962 1,004 435 982 1,077 462 1,046 1,135 480 1,100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 0 16 16 0 16 17 0 17 17 0 17 17 0 17 18 0 18 19 0 19 19 0 19 -16 -16 -16 -17 -17 -17 -18 -19 -19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 13 0 13 14 0 14 14 2 16 -10 -10 -10 -11 -11 -11 -12 -12 -12 -13 -14 -13 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 2 8 10 181 8 189 184 8 192 188 8 196 192 8 200 198 8 206 205 8 213 211 8 219 217 8 225 223 8 231 228 8 236 233 8 241 250 8 258 262 8 270 -181 -184 -188 -192 -198 -205 -211 -217 -223 -228 -233 -250 -260 62 8 70 62 13 75 63 13 76 64 13 77 66 13 79 69 13 82 71 13 84 73 13 86 75 13 88 77 13 90 79 13 92 86 13 99 91 13 104 105 13 118 111 13 124 117 13 130 124 13 137 129 13 142 134 13 147 139 13 152 145 13 158 150 13 163 155 13 168 159 13 172 175 13 188 187 13 200 -48 -49 -55 -59 -63 -66 -69 -72 -75 -77 -80 -89 -96 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 1,697 1,708 216 Japanese Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 840 839 837 834 Milk Production per Cow 9,345 9,394 9,446 9,493 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 7,850 4,125 3,650 7,879 4,096 3,709 7,909 4,076 3,758 7,920 4,061 3,785 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 85 30 115 74 40 114 72 40 112 71 40 111 70 40 110 68 40 108 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 77 40 117 79 40 119 80 40 120 80 40 120 80 40 120 -2 -5 -7 -8 47 15 62 49 15 64 50 15 65 247 15 262 253 15 268 -200 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Prices Milk Farm Price Butter Wholesale NFD Wholesale Cheese Retail 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 828 820 809 796 781 766 750 702 670 9,636 9,684 9,732 9,780 9,828 9,973 10,070 (Thousand Metric Tons) 7,905 7,861 7,793 4,049 4,035 4,018 3,782 3,753 3,702 7,706 3,996 3,639 7,604 3,970 3,564 7,492 3,942 3,482 7,372 3,912 3,393 6,997 3,811 3,124 6,749 3,740 2,950 67 40 107 65 40 105 64 40 104 63 40 103 62 40 102 59 40 99 58 40 98 80 40 120 80 40 120 80 40 120 80 40 120 80 40 120 80 40 120 79 40 119 79 40 119 -10 -12 -14 -15 -16 -17 -18 -20 -21 50 15 65 52 15 67 53 15 68 55 15 70 57 15 72 60 15 75 63 15 78 65 15 80 71 15 86 75 15 90 257 15 272 260 15 275 263 15 278 267 15 282 271 15 286 274 15 289 277 15 292 280 15 295 283 15 298 293 15 308 299 15 314 -204 -207 -211 -212 -214 -216 -217 -217 -217 -218 -222 -223 170 58 228 154 71 225 154 71 225 153 71 224 152 71 223 149 71 220 146 71 217 142 71 213 138 71 209 133 71 204 129 71 200 115 71 186 107 71 178 182 71 253 182 71 253 181 71 252 182 71 253 182 71 253 183 71 254 183 71 254 183 71 254 183 71 254 183 71 254 182 71 253 181 71 252 180 71 251 -25 -27 -28 -28 -30 -33 -37 -41 -45 -49 -54 -66 -74 90 1,231 623 2,632 90 1,243 629 2,979 89 1,252 632 3,312 87 1,248 637 3,654 (Yen per Kilogram) 85 82 79 1,237 1,226 1,221 636 633 631 3,951 4,201 4,426 77 1,219 632 4,631 74 1,218 634 4,824 72 1,219 635 5,004 70 1,221 636 5,173 64 1,238 638 5,643 61 1,249 639 5,985 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 9,541 9,589 217 Malaysian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 91 109 118 127 (Thousand Head) 135 142 146 149 152 154 157 165 173 Milk Production per Cow 429 474 482 496 (Kilograms) 507 517 526 537 547 557 568 605 632 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 39 57 -9 51 58 11 57 60 15 63 62 20 (Thousand Metric Tons) 68 73 77 64 66 68 24 28 30 80 70 33 83 72 34 86 74 37 89 76 39 99 81 49 109 85 57 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 13 0 13 13 0 13 14 0 14 14 0 14 15 0 15 15 0 15 15 0 15 17 0 17 18 2 20 -11 -11 -12 -12 -13 -13 -14 -14 -15 -15 -15 -17 -17 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 8 0 8 9 0 9 9 0 9 9 0 9 10 0 10 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 13 0 13 13 2 15 -8 -9 -9 -9 -10 -10 -10 -11 -11 -12 -12 -13 -12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 3 52 0 52 54 0 54 56 0 56 58 0 58 60 0 60 62 0 62 64 0 64 66 0 66 68 0 68 70 0 70 72 0 72 78 0 78 82 2 84 -52 -54 -56 -58 -60 -62 -64 -66 -68 -70 -72 -78 -81 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 103 0 103 106 0 106 109 0 109 112 0 112 115 0 115 118 0 118 121 0 121 124 0 124 126 0 126 128 0 128 131 0 131 136 0 136 139 2 141 -103 -106 -109 -112 -115 -118 -121 -124 -126 -128 -131 -136 -139 Milk Cow Numbers Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 218 Mexican Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 2,395 2,433 2,495 2,532 (Thousand Head) 2,597 2,658 2,720 2,788 2,846 2,906 2,958 3,088 3,200 Milk Production per Cow 4,596 4,663 4,869 4,814 (Kilograms) 4,933 4,973 5,023 5,106 5,148 5,230 5,292 5,485 5,701 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 11,010 4,360 6,860 11,346 4,540 7,022 12,150 4,690 7,676 12,191 4,764 7,642 (Thousand Metric Tons) 12,811 13,219 13,662 4,879 4,985 5,097 8,148 8,450 8,781 14,238 5,222 9,232 14,653 5,340 9,529 15,198 5,469 9,944 15,657 5,606 10,267 16,941 5,994 11,163 18,244 6,247 12,213 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 170 0 170 175 0 175 182 0 182 184 0 184 190 0 190 194 0 194 199 0 199 205 0 205 210 0 210 216 0 216 221 0 221 237 0 237 248 0 248 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 246 0 246 253 0 253 260 0 260 266 0 266 273 0 273 279 0 279 285 0 285 292 0 292 299 0 299 305 0 305 312 0 312 332 0 332 346 0 346 -76 -78 -78 -82 -83 -85 -86 -87 -89 -90 -91 -95 -98 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 240 0 240 253 0 253 255 0 315 258 0 306 264 0 343 271 0 368 278 0 392 286 0 432 294 0 463 302 0 506 310 0 545 335 0 670 351 0 767 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 311 0 311 312 0 312 313 0 313 316 0 316 321 0 321 327 0 327 334 0 334 341 0 341 348 0 348 356 0 356 363 0 363 387 0 387 402 0 402 -71 -59 -58 -58 -57 -56 -56 -55 -55 -54 -54 -52 -51 31 20 51 34 20 54 39 20 59 37 20 57 40 20 60 42 20 62 44 20 64 47 20 67 51 20 71 54 20 74 56 20 76 65 20 85 69 20 89 145 20 165 151 20 171 158 20 178 163 20 183 170 20 190 176 20 196 180 20 200 185 20 205 189 20 209 194 20 214 200 20 220 215 20 235 227 20 247 -114 -118 -119 -126 -130 -134 -137 -138 -138 -140 -143 -151 -157 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 121 0 121 122 0 122 132 0 132 126 0 126 130 0 130 131 0 131 132 0 132 135 0 135 136 0 136 138 0 138 138 0 138 135 0 135 136 0 136 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 159 0 159 163 0 163 165 0 165 169 0 169 172 0 172 175 0 175 178 0 178 181 0 181 184 0 184 187 0 187 190 0 190 199 0 199 205 0 205 -38 -41 -34 -43 -42 -44 -46 -46 -48 -49 -52 -63 -68 Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 219 New Zealand Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 4,810 4,970 5,067 5,157 (Thousand Head) 5,227 5,278 5,322 5,358 5,391 5,421 5,448 5,503 5,512 Milk Production per Cow 3,725 3,767 3,784 3,843 (Kilograms) 3,884 3,920 3,963 4,002 4,046 4,087 4,127 4,238 4,330 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 17,915 340 17,403 18,721 333 18,215 19,171 332 18,665 19,817 323 19,319 (Thousand Metric Tons) 20,303 20,691 21,089 321 317 314 19,806 20,197 20,599 21,442 310 20,955 21,810 306 21,327 22,154 302 21,675 22,482 298 22,006 23,321 288 22,855 23,867 292 23,396 480 54 527 492 52 543 503 52 554 507 52 559 513 52 565 520 52 572 527 52 578 534 52 585 538 52 590 541 52 593 544 52 596 557 52 609 562 52 614 20 52 72 20 52 72 20 52 71 20 52 72 20 52 72 20 52 71 20 52 71 20 52 71 20 52 71 20 52 71 19 52 71 19 52 71 19 52 70 455 472 483 487 493 501 507 514 519 522 525 538 543 309 55 364 336 55 391 354 55 409 379 55 434 400 55 455 415 55 470 436 55 491 448 55 503 461 55 516 473 55 528 485 55 540 519 55 574 566 55 621 24 55 79 24 55 79 24 55 79 24 55 79 24 55 79 25 55 80 25 55 80 26 55 81 26 55 81 27 55 82 27 55 82 28 55 83 29 55 84 285 313 330 355 376 391 411 422 435 446 458 490 537 381 65 431 396 50 446 405 50 455 410 50 460 419 50 469 425 50 475 429 50 479 435 50 485 442 50 492 447 50 497 451 50 501 461 50 511 462 50 512 2 50 52 2 50 52 2 50 52 2 50 52 2 50 52 3 50 53 3 50 53 3 50 53 3 50 53 3 50 53 3 50 53 4 50 54 4 50 54 379 393 403 408 417 422 426 432 439 443 447 458 458 871 102 948 906 69 974 915 71 986 925 73 998 934 74 1,008 941 76 1,017 948 76 1,024 955 77 1,032 961 78 1,039 969 78 1,048 976 79 1,055 989 80 1,070 997 81 1,078 1 69 70 1 71 73 1 73 74 1 74 76 2 76 77 2 76 78 2 77 79 2 78 80 2 78 80 2 79 81 2 79 81 2 81 83 2 82 85 878 902 912 922 931 939 945 953 959 967 974 987 994 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 220 Peruvian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 787 874 952 1,022 (Thousand Head) 1,086 1,134 1,170 1,199 1,223 1,244 1,261 1,295 1,309 Milk Production per Cow 2,183 2,251 2,297 2,323 (Kilograms) 2,368 2,412 2,455 2,507 2,558 2,613 2,663 2,813 2,915 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 1,718 859 860 1,968 909 1,059 2,186 967 1,219 2,373 1,020 1,353 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,571 2,736 2,871 1,073 1,126 1,178 1,498 1,610 1,692 3,006 1,233 1,774 3,128 1,287 1,841 3,251 1,345 1,907 3,359 1,405 1,954 3,642 1,595 2,048 3,816 1,731 2,086 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 5 0 5 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 3 0 3 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 6 0 6 6 0 6 7 0 7 7 0 7 7 0 7 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 9 0 9 10 0 10 0 -3 -3 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5 -6 -7 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 20 0 20 23 0 23 25 0 25 27 0 27 30 0 30 31 0 31 32 0 32 34 0 34 35 0 35 36 0 36 36 0 36 38 0 38 39 0 39 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 20 0 20 21 0 21 23 0 23 24 0 24 24 0 24 25 0 25 26 0 26 27 0 27 28 0 28 29 0 29 30 0 30 32 0 32 34 0 34 0 2 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 5 5 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 2 1 3 9 1 10 9 1 10 11 1 12 11 1 12 12 1 13 13 1 14 14 1 15 15 1 16 15 1 16 16 1 17 17 1 18 19 1 20 21 1 22 -9 -9 -11 -11 -12 -13 -14 -15 -15 -16 -17 -19 -19 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 11 1 12 14 1 15 16 1 17 17 1 18 19 1 20 21 1 22 22 1 23 24 1 25 26 1 27 27 1 28 29 1 30 35 1 36 39 1 40 -11 -14 -16 -17 -19 -21 -22 -24 -26 -27 -29 -35 -39 Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 221 Philippine Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 14 14 14 14 1,143 1,174 1,204 1,234 16 59 6 17 62 6 17 65 6 18 67 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 -10 -11 -11 -11 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 15 0 15 15 0 15 -13 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Milk Cow Numbers Milk Production per Cow Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 1,324 1,354 1,384 1,414 1,444 1,534 1,594 (Thousand Metric Tons) 18 19 19 70 73 76 6 6 6 20 79 6 21 83 6 21 86 6 22 90 6 24 100 6 25 107 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 12 0 12 12 0 12 13 0 13 13 0 13 13 0 13 14 0 14 15 0 15 15 0 15 -12 -12 -12 -13 -13 -13 -14 -15 -13 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 16 0 16 16 0 16 17 0 17 17 0 17 18 0 18 18 0 18 19 0 19 20 0 20 20 0 20 22 0 22 24 0 24 -14 -15 -16 -16 -17 -17 -18 -18 -19 -20 -22 -23 0 10 10 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 0 8 8 2 8 10 82 8 90 85 8 93 87 8 95 89 8 97 91 8 99 94 8 102 96 8 104 99 8 107 101 8 109 103 8 111 106 8 114 113 8 121 119 8 127 -80 -85 -87 -89 -91 -94 -96 -99 -101 -103 -106 -113 -117 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10 11 0 11 12 0 12 14 0 14 15 0 15 16 0 16 18 0 18 19 0 19 21 0 21 23 0 23 25 0 25 33 0 33 39 0 39 -10 -11 -12 -14 -15 -16 -18 -19 -21 -23 -25 -33 -39 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 2016 (Thousand Head) 14 14 (Kilograms) 1,264 1,294 222 Russian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 9,440 8,730 8,186 7,767 (Thousand Head) 7,442 7,188 6,985 6,823 6,691 6,581 6,489 6,276 6,166 Milk Production per Cow 3,374 3,644 3,714 3,784 (Kilograms) 3,854 3,924 3,993 4,063 4,133 4,203 4,273 4,483 4,623 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 31,850 11,750 17,785 31,816 11,673 17,828 30,406 11,790 16,453 29,392 11,888 15,459 (Thousand Metric Tons) 28,681 28,201 27,895 11,943 11,993 12,013 14,784 14,326 14,056 27,723 12,025 13,919 27,653 12,014 13,897 27,661 12,004 13,945 27,726 11,991 14,049 28,134 11,959 14,549 28,505 12,050 14,860 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 240 12 252 240 7 247 246 7 253 245 7 252 244 7 251 245 7 252 246 7 253 245 7 252 242 7 249 240 7 247 236 7 243 234 7 241 233 7 240 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 332 7 339 339 7 346 345 7 352 349 7 356 352 7 359 354 7 361 355 7 362 356 7 363 356 7 363 356 7 363 357 7 364 361 7 368 370 7 377 -87 -99 -99 -104 -108 -109 -109 -111 -114 -117 -120 -127 -137 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 430 11 441 433 11 444 435 11 446 441 11 452 444 11 455 449 11 460 456 11 467 464 11 475 473 11 484 483 11 494 494 11 505 528 11 539 558 11 569 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 773 11 784 781 11 792 785 11 796 789 11 800 795 11 806 803 11 814 809 11 820 819 11 830 828 11 839 839 11 850 849 11 860 882 11 893 919 11 930 -343 -348 -350 -349 -351 -353 -352 -355 -355 -355 -355 -355 -360 60 0 60 57 0 57 52 0 52 44 0 44 40 0 40 37 0 37 35 0 35 34 0 34 33 0 33 32 0 32 32 0 32 30 0 30 27 0 27 250 0 250 257 0 257 260 0 260 262 0 262 266 0 266 269 0 269 271 0 271 274 0 274 276 0 276 278 0 278 280 0 280 286 0 286 294 0 294 -190 -199 -208 -218 -226 -232 -236 -240 -242 -245 -248 -256 -267 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 50 0 50 54 0 54 51 0 51 50 0 50 48 0 48 47 0 47 46 0 46 46 0 46 45 0 45 46 0 46 47 0 47 47 0 47 47 0 47 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 88 0 88 94 0 94 98 0 98 102 0 102 107 0 107 110 0 110 114 0 114 116 0 116 119 0 119 121 0 121 124 0 124 131 0 131 136 0 136 -38 -39 -47 -53 -58 -63 -68 -71 -74 -75 -77 -84 -89 Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 223 Saudi Arabian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 75 78 84 87 Milk Production per Cow 22,346 22,381 22,396 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 1,670 1,145 134 1,750 1,189 198 6 0 6 Milk Cow Numbers Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 93 97 102 107 110 117 119 22,431 (Kilograms) 22,466 22,501 22,536 22,571 22,606 22,641 22,676 22,781 22,851 1,887 1,231 282 1,959 1,252 322 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,010 2,052 2,106 1,288 1,319 1,354 328 333 347 2,196 1,387 402 2,301 1,417 479 2,424 1,445 575 2,491 1,473 621 2,665 1,543 753 2,727 1,602 783 8 0 8 12 0 12 14 0 14 14 0 14 14 0 14 15 0 15 17 0 17 21 0 21 25 0 25 27 0 27 32 0 32 34 0 34 42 0 42 45 0 45 47 0 47 48 0 48 49 0 49 51 0 51 52 0 52 55 0 55 57 0 57 59 0 59 61 0 61 66 0 66 70 0 70 -36 -37 -35 -34 -35 -37 -38 -38 -36 -34 -34 -33 -36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -25 0 -25 -26 0 -26 -24 0 -24 -25 0 -25 -25 0 -25 -24 0 -24 -24 0 -24 -24 0 -24 -25 0 -25 -25 0 -25 -25 0 -25 -27 0 -27 -29 0 -29 25 26 24 25 25 24 24 24 25 25 25 27 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 0 47 49 0 49 53 0 53 56 0 56 60 0 60 64 0 64 68 0 68 72 0 72 75 0 75 79 0 79 83 0 83 94 0 94 103 0 103 -47 -49 -53 -56 -60 -64 -68 -72 -75 -79 -83 -94 -103 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 0 33 37 0 37 43 0 43 47 0 47 52 0 52 56 0 56 59 0 59 63 0 63 66 0 66 68 0 68 71 0 71 80 0 80 88 0 88 -33 -37 -43 -47 -52 -56 -59 -63 -66 -68 -71 -80 -88 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 2016 (Thousand Head) 89 91 224 South Korean Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 208 207 203 195 (Thousand Head) 189 184 180 178 177 176 175 173 174 Milk Production per Cow 10,111 10,167 10,309 10,443 (Kilograms) 10,597 10,763 10,933 11,109 11,282 11,456 11,629 12,150 12,507 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 2,103 1,472 631 2,104 1,466 638 2,088 1,487 601 2,040 1,500 540 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,001 1,978 1,972 1,508 1,515 1,520 493 463 452 1,980 1,526 455 1,995 1,530 464 2,015 1,536 480 2,037 1,541 496 2,107 1,551 555 2,174 1,555 619 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 56 3 59 56 4 60 54 4 58 53 4 57 53 4 57 53 4 57 51 4 55 51 4 55 50 4 54 50 4 54 49 4 53 47 4 51 47 4 51 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 57 4 61 58 4 62 59 4 63 57 4 61 56 4 60 55 4 59 54 4 58 53 4 57 52 4 56 50 4 54 49 4 53 46 4 50 44 4 48 -2 -2 -5 -4 -3 -3 -2 -2 -1 -1 0 2 2 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 22 1 23 23 1 24 22 1 23 20 1 21 18 1 19 17 1 18 16 1 17 16 1 17 17 1 18 17 1 18 18 1 19 19 1 20 21 1 22 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 80 1 81 79 1 80 80 1 81 80 1 81 80 1 81 80 1 81 80 1 81 81 1 82 81 1 82 81 1 82 81 1 82 81 1 82 81 1 82 -58 -56 -58 -59 -62 -63 -64 -64 -64 -64 -64 -62 -59 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 14 5 19 14 5 19 13 5 18 12 5 17 11 5 16 10 5 15 10 5 15 10 5 15 11 5 16 11 5 16 11 5 16 13 5 18 15 5 20 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 22 5 27 21 5 26 22 5 27 21 5 26 20 5 25 19 5 24 18 5 23 17 5 22 16 5 21 16 5 21 15 5 20 13 5 18 12 5 17 -8 -7 -8 -9 -9 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 0 3 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2 2 4 2 3 5 2 3 5 1 3 4 1 3 4 1 3 4 1 3 4 1 3 4 1 3 4 1 3 4 1 3 4 0 3 3 0 3 3 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 6 3 9 6 3 9 6 3 9 6 3 9 6 3 9 6 3 9 6 3 9 7 3 10 7 3 10 7 3 10 7 3 10 7 3 10 7 3 10 -4 -4 -4 -5 -5 -5 -5 -6 -6 -6 -6 -7 -7 Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 225 Swiss Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 716 723 726 728 Milk Production per Cow 5,644 5,697 5,723 5,756 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 4,073 742 2,662 4,118 738 2,711 4,154 733 2,752 4,194 729 2,796 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 48 6 54 47 6 53 48 6 54 48 6 54 48 6 54 49 6 55 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 55 6 61 54 6 60 54 6 60 54 6 60 54 6 60 -7 -7 -6 -6 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 198 16 214 203 16 219 208 16 224 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 166 16 182 167 16 183 32 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 730 730 729 728 727 725 724 719 718 5,843 5,872 5,900 5,929 5,957 6,045 6,105 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4,221 4,241 4,258 725 720 716 2,828 2,852 2,874 4,275 712 2,894 4,286 707 2,910 4,299 703 2,927 4,310 698 2,943 4,349 683 2,997 4,382 672 3,041 49 6 55 49 6 55 49 6 55 49 6 56 50 6 56 50 6 56 51 6 57 54 6 60 54 6 60 54 6 60 54 6 60 54 6 60 54 6 61 54 6 60 54 6 60 -6 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -4 -4 214 16 230 219 16 235 223 16 239 226 16 242 229 16 245 232 16 248 235 16 251 238 16 254 248 16 264 256 16 272 167 16 183 167 16 183 167 16 183 168 16 184 168 16 184 169 16 185 170 16 186 171 16 187 172 16 188 173 16 189 174 16 190 36 41 47 51 55 58 60 62 64 67 75 82 28 0 28 28 0 28 29 0 29 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 28 0 28 17 0 17 17 0 17 17 0 17 17 0 17 17 0 17 17 0 17 17 0 17 17 0 17 18 0 18 18 0 18 18 0 18 18 0 18 18 0 18 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 5,786 5,814 226 Thai Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 280 285 291 298 3,215 3,261 3,376 3,400 841 796 37 928 839 37 982 881 37 1,012 911 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 15 15 0 15 16 0 16 17 0 17 17 0 17 -15 -15 -16 -17 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4 0 4 4 0 4 1 Milk Cow Numbers Milk Production per Cow Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 293 291 289 288 291 293 299 308 301 3,551 3,611 3,670 3,727 3,789 3,963 4,084 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,007 1,013 1,027 946 985 1,027 37 37 37 1,040 1,067 37 1,069 1,108 37 1,093 1,148 37 1,133 1,189 37 1,222 1,327 37 1,227 1,432 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 18 19 0 19 19 0 19 20 0 20 21 0 21 21 0 21 23 0 23 25 0 25 -17 -18 -19 -19 -20 -21 -21 -23 -25 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 6 0 6 6 0 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1 -1 -2 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 2 5 7 81 5 86 80 5 85 82 5 87 84 5 89 86 5 91 89 5 94 91 5 96 94 5 99 97 5 102 100 5 105 103 5 108 112 5 117 118 5 123 -81 -80 -82 -84 -86 -89 -91 -94 -97 -100 -103 -112 -116 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 0 6 6 2 6 8 46 6 52 48 6 54 50 6 56 52 6 58 54 6 60 56 6 62 58 6 64 60 6 66 62 6 68 64 6 70 66 6 72 72 6 78 77 6 83 -46 -48 -50 -52 -54 -56 -58 -60 -62 -64 -66 -72 -75 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 3,436 3,487 227 Ukrainian Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Milk Cow Numbers 2,758 2,697 2,668 2,651 (Thousand Head) 2,639 2,633 2,622 2,621 2,619 2,617 2,614 2,608 2,604 Milk Production per Cow 3,970 4,070 4,170 4,270 (Kilograms) 4,370 4,470 4,570 4,670 4,770 4,870 4,970 5,270 5,470 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 10,950 3,290 6,920 10,976 3,429 6,847 11,125 3,612 6,823 11,320 3,766 6,871 (Thousand Metric Tons) 11,535 11,772 11,984 3,920 4,044 4,168 6,935 7,051 7,143 12,239 4,302 7,264 12,491 4,439 7,380 12,743 4,583 7,488 12,994 4,735 7,588 13,745 5,234 7,842 14,244 5,607 7,970 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 70 0 70 81 0 81 86 0 86 91 0 91 96 0 96 102 0 102 107 0 107 113 0 113 119 0 119 125 0 125 130 0 130 148 0 148 158 0 158 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 90 0 90 91 0 91 92 0 92 92 0 92 92 0 92 94 0 94 96 0 96 95 0 95 96 0 96 96 0 96 96 0 96 98 0 98 102 0 102 -20 -10 -6 -1 4 7 12 18 23 28 34 50 56 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 245 0 245 255 0 255 269 0 269 281 0 281 291 0 291 301 0 301 311 0 311 321 0 321 330 0 330 340 0 340 350 0 350 380 0 380 414 0 414 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 180 0 180 188 0 188 195 0 195 201 0 201 206 0 206 211 0 211 216 0 216 221 0 221 227 0 227 233 0 233 239 0 239 263 0 263 281 0 281 65 67 74 81 85 91 96 100 103 107 110 117 134 Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 50 2 52 52 2 54 54 2 56 56 2 58 58 2 60 61 2 63 65 2 67 68 2 70 72 2 74 76 2 78 80 2 82 91 2 93 97 2 99 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 35 2 37 35 2 37 34 2 36 34 2 36 35 2 37 35 2 37 35 2 37 35 2 37 36 2 38 36 2 38 36 2 38 37 2 39 40 2 42 15 17 19 21 24 27 30 33 36 40 43 53 58 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 14 0 14 16 0 16 17 0 17 19 0 19 21 0 21 22 0 22 24 0 24 26 0 26 28 0 28 30 0 30 32 0 32 38 0 38 41 0 41 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 10 0 10 10 0 10 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 12 0 12 13 0 13 13 0 13 13 0 13 13 0 13 14 0 14 4 5 6 8 9 11 12 14 16 17 19 24 27 Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 228 Uruguayan Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 745 750 754 759 (Thousand Head) 764 770 776 783 789 796 802 822 836 Milk Production per Cow 1,913 2,006 2,038 2,054 2,098 2,115 2,128 2,143 2,158 2,208 2,260 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 1,425 377 895 1,505 375 981 1,537 383 1,008 1,559 386 1,025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,585 1,607 1,629 393 399 409 1,045 1,060 1,073 1,655 415 1,092 1,679 422 1,109 1,705 428 1,129 1,731 435 1,148 1,816 451 1,218 1,889 459 1,286 19 4 23 20 4 24 21 4 25 21 4 25 21 4 25 22 4 26 22 4 26 23 4 27 23 4 27 24 4 28 24 4 28 26 4 30 28 4 32 4 4 8 4 4 8 4 4 8 4 4 8 4 4 8 5 4 9 5 4 9 5 4 9 5 4 9 6 4 10 6 4 10 6 4 10 7 4 11 15 16 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 20 21 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 47 3 50 50 3 53 50 3 53 51 3 54 52 3 55 53 3 56 53 3 56 54 3 57 54 3 57 55 3 58 55 3 58 57 3 60 59 4 63 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 19 3 22 19 3 22 19 3 22 19 3 22 20 3 23 20 3 23 20 3 23 21 3 24 21 3 24 21 3 24 22 3 25 22 3 25 23 5 28 29 31 31 32 32 33 33 33 33 33 34 35 35 14 1 15 17 1 18 19 1 20 19 1 20 21 1 22 22 1 23 23 1 24 24 1 25 25 1 26 26 1 27 28 1 29 32 1 33 35 1 36 3 1 4 3 1 4 3 1 4 3 1 4 3 1 4 4 1 5 4 1 5 4 1 5 4 1 5 4 1 5 4 1 5 5 1 6 5 1 6 10 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 27 30 Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 38 11 49 40 11 51 40 11 51 40 11 51 39 11 50 38 11 49 38 11 49 37 11 48 37 11 48 36 11 47 36 11 47 36 11 47 37 11 48 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 4 11 15 5 11 16 5 11 16 5 11 16 5 11 16 6 11 17 6 11 17 6 11 17 6 11 17 6 11 17 6 11 17 7 11 18 7 11 18 33 35 35 34 34 33 32 31 31 30 30 29 30 Milk Cow Numbers Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 2,074 2,086 229 Venezuelan Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 864 896 905 918 Milk Production per Cow 1,850 1,867 1,885 1,903 Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use 1,598 186 1,412 1,672 188 1,485 1,706 189 1,517 1,747 190 1,557 Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3 0 3 3 0 3 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 -1 -1 -2 -2 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 79 28 107 83 28 111 84 28 112 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 83 28 111 88 28 116 -4 Milk Cow Numbers Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 924 931 937 942 947 951 955 969 979 1,955 1,973 1,990 2,008 2,025 2,078 2,113 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,774 1,804 1,832 192 193 194 1,583 1,611 1,638 1,859 195 1,664 1,884 196 1,688 1,909 197 1,712 1,934 198 1,736 2,014 201 1,813 2,069 202 1,865 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 4 0 4 4 0 4 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 5 0 5 6 0 6 6 0 6 -2 -2 -2 -3 -3 -3 -3 -4 -4 86 28 114 88 28 116 89 28 117 90 28 118 91 28 119 93 28 121 94 28 122 95 28 123 98 28 126 101 28 129 92 28 120 96 28 124 99 28 127 102 28 130 105 28 133 109 28 137 112 28 140 115 28 143 119 28 147 129 28 157 136 28 164 -5 -8 -10 -11 -13 -15 -17 -19 -22 -24 -30 -35 4 3 7 4 3 7 4 3 7 4 3 7 4 3 7 5 3 8 5 3 8 5 3 8 5 3 8 5 3 8 5 3 8 5 3 8 5 3 8 11 3 14 11 3 14 11 3 14 12 3 15 12 3 15 12 3 15 12 3 15 12 3 15 13 3 16 13 3 16 13 3 16 14 3 17 14 3 17 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -8 -8 -8 -8 -9 -9 31 34 65 32 34 66 32 34 66 33 34 67 33 34 67 33 34 67 34 34 68 34 34 68 35 34 69 35 34 69 36 34 70 37 34 71 39 34 73 127 34 161 129 34 163 132 34 166 134 34 168 137 34 171 139 34 173 142 34 176 144 34 178 147 34 181 150 34 184 152 34 186 160 34 194 165 34 199 -96 -98 -100 -102 -104 -106 -108 -110 -112 -114 -117 -123 -126 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 1,920 1,938 230 Vietnamese Dairy Supply and Utilization 2010 2011 2012 2013 133 139 138 138 2,092 2,097 2,172 2,247 278 168 0 292 175 0 299 184 0 310 195 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 0 11 11 0 11 12 0 12 13 0 13 13 0 13 -11 -11 -12 -13 Cheese Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use 3 0 3 4 0 4 -3 Milk Cow Numbers Milk Production per Cow Cow Milk Production Fluid Milk Consumption Manufacturing Use Butter Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Net Trade Nonfat Dry Milk Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade Whole Milk Powder Production Beginning Stocks Domestic Supply Consumption Ending Stocks Domestic Use Net Trade 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Head) 133 138 147 164 182 200 216 276 327 2,472 2,547 2,622 2,697 2,772 2,997 3,147 (Thousand Metric Tons) 309 331 363 204 214 224 0 0 0 417 235 0 477 245 0 538 256 0 598 267 0 826 302 0 1,031 331 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 14 14 0 14 15 0 15 16 0 16 16 0 16 17 0 17 19 0 19 21 0 21 -13 -14 -14 -15 -16 -16 -17 -19 -21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 4 0 4 5 0 5 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -4 -5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 0 46 48 0 48 51 0 51 54 0 54 57 0 57 61 0 61 64 0 64 68 0 68 72 0 72 76 0 76 80 0 80 94 0 94 105 0 105 -46 -48 -51 -54 -57 -61 -64 -68 -72 -76 -80 -94 -105 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 33 0 33 35 0 35 37 0 37 39 0 39 40 0 40 43 0 43 45 0 45 48 0 48 52 0 52 55 0 55 59 0 59 73 0 73 87 0 87 -33 -35 -37 -39 -40 -43 -45 -48 -52 -55 -59 -73 -87 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 2,322 2,397 231 Per Capita Dairy Consumption of Selected Countries 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Argentina Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 51.5 0.9 12.2 0.4 1.3 50.8 0.9 12.0 0.5 1.3 52.1 0.9 12.1 0.5 1.4 53.1 1.0 12.0 0.5 1.4 (Kilograms) 54.3 55.6 1.0 1.0 12.1 12.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.3 56.8 1.0 12.3 0.6 1.3 58.1 1.1 12.4 0.6 1.3 59.4 1.1 12.6 0.6 1.3 60.7 1.1 12.7 0.6 1.3 62.1 1.1 12.8 0.6 1.2 66.2 1.2 13.2 0.7 1.2 69.1 1.2 13.5 0.7 1.2 Australia Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 109.2 3.3 10.5 2.4 1.3 109.1 3.2 10.5 2.4 1.4 109.1 3.2 10.6 2.4 1.4 108.9 3.2 10.7 2.3 1.4 108.8 3.2 10.8 2.3 1.4 108.7 3.2 10.9 2.3 1.5 108.6 3.2 11.0 2.3 1.5 108.4 3.2 11.1 2.3 1.5 108.3 3.2 11.2 2.3 1.5 108.1 3.2 11.3 2.3 1.5 107.9 3.2 11.4 2.2 1.5 107.3 3.1 11.6 2.2 1.6 106.9 3.1 11.7 2.2 1.6 Brazil Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 53.4 0.4 3.2 0.7 2.7 55.0 0.4 3.3 0.7 2.8 57.6 0.4 3.4 0.7 2.8 59.6 0.4 3.5 0.7 2.9 62.0 0.4 3.6 0.7 3.0 64.2 0.4 3.7 0.7 3.0 66.6 0.4 3.8 0.8 3.1 68.8 0.4 3.8 0.8 3.1 71.0 0.4 3.9 0.8 3.2 73.2 0.4 4.0 0.8 3.2 75.4 0.4 4.1 0.8 3.2 82.4 0.5 4.3 0.9 3.4 87.4 0.5 4.5 0.9 3.5 Canada Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk 94.3 2.7 9.4 2.4 93.4 2.5 9.4 2.4 92.6 2.5 9.5 2.4 91.9 2.4 9.5 2.4 91.1 2.4 9.5 2.4 90.3 2.3 9.6 2.5 89.6 2.3 9.6 2.5 88.8 2.3 9.6 2.5 88.1 2.2 9.7 2.5 87.4 2.2 9.7 2.6 86.7 2.2 9.7 2.6 84.7 2.1 9.8 2.7 83.3 2.0 9.9 2.7 China Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk 9.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 14.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 15.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 16.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 18.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 17.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 Colombia Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 126.9 0.5 1.4 0.2 0.9 127.5 0.5 1.4 0.2 0.9 129.2 0.5 1.4 0.2 0.9 131.1 0.5 1.4 0.2 1.0 132.8 0.5 1.4 0.2 1.0 134.7 0.6 1.5 0.2 1.0 137.2 0.6 1.5 0.2 1.1 139.6 0.6 1.5 0.2 1.1 141.8 0.6 1.5 0.2 1.1 144.3 0.6 1.6 0.2 1.1 146.7 0.6 1.6 0.2 1.2 154.3 0.6 1.7 0.3 1.3 159.6 0.7 1.8 0.3 1.4 Egypt Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 21.9 0.7 5.8 0.4 0.6 22.8 0.8 6.0 0.4 0.6 23.7 0.8 6.1 0.4 0.7 24.1 0.8 6.2 0.4 0.7 24.5 0.8 6.3 0.4 0.7 24.7 0.8 6.4 0.4 0.7 24.8 0.8 6.5 0.4 0.7 25.0 0.8 6.6 0.4 0.7 25.2 0.8 6.7 0.4 0.8 25.4 0.8 6.8 0.4 0.8 25.6 0.9 6.9 0.5 0.8 26.3 0.9 7.2 0.5 0.8 26.7 0.9 7.3 0.5 0.9 European Union Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 67.7 3.8 12.9 1.4 0.7 67.8 3.8 13.0 1.5 0.7 67.3 3.7 13.0 1.4 0.7 67.4 3.7 13.2 1.4 0.6 67.5 3.7 13.4 1.3 0.6 67.5 3.6 13.7 1.3 0.6 67.6 3.6 13.9 1.3 0.6 67.6 3.6 14.2 1.3 0.6 67.5 3.6 14.4 1.3 0.6 67.4 3.6 14.6 1.3 0.6 67.3 3.6 14.9 1.3 0.6 67.1 3.5 15.6 1.3 0.6 66.9 3.5 16.1 1.3 0.6 India Fluid Milk Butter NFD Milk 39.8 3.5 0.3 40.6 3.7 0.3 41.5 3.9 0.3 42.3 4.1 0.3 43.2 4.2 0.3 44.0 4.4 0.3 44.9 4.5 0.4 45.8 4.6 0.4 46.6 4.7 0.4 47.5 4.9 0.4 48.4 5.0 0.4 51.1 5.3 0.4 52.9 5.5 0.4 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 232 Per Capita Dairy Consumption of Selected Countries (continued) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.5 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.6 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.6 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.7 32.5 0.6 1.9 1.4 32.4 0.6 2.0 1.4 32.3 0.6 2.0 1.4 32.3 0.6 2.1 1.4 32.3 0.6 2.1 1.5 32.4 0.6 2.1 1.5 32.4 0.6 2.2 1.5 32.3 0.6 2.2 1.5 32.3 0.7 2.3 1.5 32.2 0.7 2.3 1.5 32.2 0.7 2.3 1.5 31.9 0.7 2.5 1.5 31.7 0.7 2.5 1.5 Malaysia Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 2.0 0.4 0.3 1.9 3.7 2.0 0.4 0.3 1.9 3.7 2.1 0.4 0.3 1.9 3.7 2.1 0.4 0.3 2.0 3.8 2.1 0.4 0.3 2.0 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.3 2.0 3.9 2.2 0.4 0.3 2.1 3.9 2.2 0.4 0.3 2.1 3.9 2.3 0.5 0.4 2.1 4.0 2.3 0.5 0.4 2.2 4.0 2.3 0.5 0.4 2.2 4.0 2.4 0.5 0.4 2.3 4.0 2.4 0.5 0.4 2.4 4.0 Mexico Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 38.8 2.2 2.8 1.3 1.4 39.9 2.2 2.7 1.3 1.4 40.8 2.3 2.7 1.4 1.4 41.0 2.3 2.7 1.4 1.5 41.5 2.3 2.7 1.4 1.5 42.0 2.4 2.8 1.5 1.5 42.5 2.4 2.8 1.5 1.5 43.1 2.4 2.8 1.5 1.5 43.7 2.4 2.8 1.5 1.5 44.3 2.5 2.9 1.6 1.5 45.0 2.5 2.9 1.6 1.5 46.8 2.6 3.0 1.7 1.6 48.0 2.7 3.1 1.7 1.6 New Zealand Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 80.0 4.7 5.6 0.5 0.2 77.7 4.6 5.5 0.5 0.3 76.7 4.6 5.5 0.5 0.3 74.1 4.6 5.5 0.5 0.3 72.8 4.5 5.5 0.6 0.4 71.5 4.5 5.6 0.6 0.3 70.1 4.4 5.6 0.6 0.4 68.8 4.4 5.7 0.6 0.4 67.3 4.3 5.8 0.7 0.4 65.9 4.3 5.8 0.7 0.4 64.5 4.2 5.9 0.7 0.4 61.0 4.0 6.0 0.8 0.5 61.2 3.9 6.0 0.8 0.5 Peru Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 28.7 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.4 30.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.5 31.6 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.5 33.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.6 34.3 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.6 35.6 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.7 36.9 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.7 38.2 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.7 39.5 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.8 40.9 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.8 42.3 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.9 46.7 0.3 0.9 0.6 1.0 49.9 0.3 1.0 0.6 1.1 Philippines Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 Russia Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 84.3 2.4 5.5 1.8 0.6 84.1 2.4 5.6 1.9 0.7 85.4 2.5 5.7 1.9 0.7 86.5 2.5 5.7 1.9 0.7 87.4 2.6 5.8 1.9 0.8 88.2 2.6 5.9 2.0 0.8 88.8 2.6 6.0 2.0 0.8 89.4 2.6 6.1 2.0 0.9 89.8 2.7 6.2 2.1 0.9 90.2 2.7 6.3 2.1 0.9 90.7 2.7 6.4 2.1 0.9 92.1 2.8 6.8 2.2 1.0 94.0 2.9 7.2 2.3 1.1 South Korea Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 30.3 1.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 30.1 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 30.4 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 30.6 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 30.8 1.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 30.8 1.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 30.9 1.1 1.6 0.4 0.1 31.0 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 31.1 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.1 31.1 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.1 31.2 1.0 1.7 0.3 0.1 31.4 0.9 1.6 0.3 0.1 31.5 0.9 1.6 0.2 0.1 Indonesia Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder Japan Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2015 (Kilograms) 1.5 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 233 Per Capita Dairy Consumption of Selected Countries (continued) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Switzerland Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk 97.3 7.2 21.8 2.2 96.6 7.1 21.8 2.2 95.8 7.0 21.8 2.2 95.0 7.0 21.8 2.2 Thailand Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 11.9 0.2 0.1 1.2 0.7 12.4 0.2 0.1 1.2 0.7 13.0 0.2 0.1 1.2 0.7 Ukraine Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 72.4 2.0 4.0 0.8 0.2 76.0 2.0 4.2 0.8 0.2 United States Total Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk 97.1 2.3 15.3 1.7 Uruguay Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms) 94.3 93.5 7.0 7.0 21.8 21.8 2.2 2.2 92.8 7.0 21.8 2.3 92.2 7.0 21.9 2.3 91.5 7.0 22.0 2.3 90.8 7.0 22.1 2.3 90.1 7.0 22.1 2.3 87.9 7.0 22.3 2.3 86.4 7.0 22.4 2.3 13.3 0.2 0.1 1.2 0.8 13.8 0.3 0.1 1.3 0.8 14.3 0.3 0.1 1.3 0.8 14.8 0.3 0.1 1.3 0.8 15.3 0.3 0.1 1.3 0.9 15.8 0.3 0.1 1.4 0.9 16.3 0.3 0.1 1.4 0.9 16.8 0.3 0.1 1.4 0.9 18.5 0.3 0.1 1.6 1.0 19.9 0.3 0.1 1.6 1.1 80.5 2.0 4.3 0.8 0.2 84.5 2.1 4.5 0.8 0.3 88.5 2.1 4.7 0.8 0.3 91.9 2.1 4.8 0.8 0.3 95.3 2.2 4.9 0.8 0.3 99.0 2.2 5.1 0.8 0.3 102.9 2.2 5.2 0.8 0.3 106.9 2.2 5.4 0.8 0.3 111.3 2.3 5.6 0.8 0.3 125.7 2.3 6.3 0.9 0.3 136.6 2.5 6.8 1.0 0.3 94.7 2.3 15.0 1.7 93.8 2.2 15.0 1.7 92.7 2.2 15.0 1.7 91.7 2.2 15.1 1.7 90.8 2.2 15.2 1.7 90.1 2.2 15.3 1.8 89.4 2.3 15.4 1.8 88.7 2.3 15.6 1.8 88.0 2.3 15.7 1.8 87.4 2.3 15.8 1.8 86.8 2.4 16.4 1.8 86.6 2.4 16.8 1.8 107.3 1.1 5.3 0.9 1.3 106.3 1.1 5.4 0.8 1.4 108.0 1.1 5.4 0.9 1.4 108.5 1.2 5.5 0.9 1.5 110.0 1.3 5.5 1.0 1.5 111.4 1.3 5.6 1.0 1.6 113.5 1.3 5.7 1.0 1.6 115.0 1.4 5.7 1.1 1.6 116.3 1.5 5.8 1.1 1.7 117.6 1.5 5.8 1.1 1.7 119.0 1.6 5.9 1.2 1.7 122.1 1.7 6.1 1.3 1.8 123.5 1.8 6.2 1.4 1.9 Venezuela Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 6.8 0.1 3.0 0.4 4.7 6.8 0.1 3.2 0.4 4.7 6.7 0.1 3.3 0.4 4.7 6.7 0.1 3.4 0.4 4.7 6.6 0.1 3.4 0.4 4.7 6.6 0.1 3.5 0.4 4.8 6.5 0.1 3.6 0.4 4.8 6.5 0.2 3.6 0.4 4.8 6.4 0.2 3.7 0.4 4.8 6.4 0.2 3.7 0.4 4.8 6.3 0.2 3.8 0.4 4.9 6.2 0.2 4.0 0.4 4.9 6.1 0.2 4.1 0.4 5.0 Vietnam Fluid Milk Butter Cheese NFD Milk Whole Milk Powder 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.4 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.4 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.4 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.4 2.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.4 2.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.5 2.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.5 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.6 3.0 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.7 3.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.9 World Dairy: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2015 234 Fertilizer World fertilizer use in 2011/12 is projected to be 179 mmt, composed of 104 mmt of nitrogen (N) fertilizers, 42 mmt of phosphorous (P), and 33 mmt of potassium (K). This increase of 2.29% relative to the 2010/11 crop season reflects the expansion of the world’s agricultural frontier by 1.60% and also the more intensive use of fertilizers at the world level in most commodities (with the exception of soybeans, sorghum, sunflower, and sugarcane). All commodities except soybeans experience an increase in fertilizer consumption from 2010/11 to 2011/12. While world soybean area increases, it is offset by a decrease in the per hectare N and K application rates. On the other hand, commodities such as sorghum, sunflower, and sugarcane, whose fertilizer application rates also decrease, observe higher fertilizer consumption because of a more-thanproportional increase in their crop area. China, India, the U.S., and the EU-27 countries account for more than two-thirds (65%) of the world’s fertilizer consumption in agriculture. China, the world’s top consuming country, followed by the U.S., is characterized not only by large crop areas but also by an intensive use of fertilizers, which is comparable to (and even higher than in the cases of wheat, sunflower seed, peanuts, cotton, sugarcane, and sugar beet) those of the U.S. and EU-27 countries. India, on the other hand, is the third-largest consumer given its larger crop areas but with its more moderate fertilizer application rates. China’s fertilizer use increases by 1.37% in 2011/12, driven by higher fertilizer application rates for most commodities; however, the lower areas for most crops are not enough to drag down total fertilizer consumption. Fertilizer use in India marginally increases, by 0.8%, as a result of a generalized extensification (except in the case of wheat) and more intensive use of fertilizer per hectare (except for cereals). Fertilizer use in the U.S. increases by 2.93%, dominated by higher use of fertilizers in corn, wheat, and sorghum because of expanded area and fertilizer application rates. The majority of the commodities (wheat being the exception) show a sustained increase in their demand for fertilizers over the projection period (from 2011 to 2025). In the cases of corn, barley, peanuts, palm kernel, cotton, and sugar beet, this is driven by an increase in both the crop area and the fertilizer application rates. However, for soybeans and sugarcane, while the world area increases, the fertilization rates at the world level decrease because of a shift of crop area toward countries with relatively lower application rates per hectare (in the case of soybeans), or because of a more rapid increase in the cropping areas of those countries with relatively lower application rates per hectare (in the case of sugarcane). World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 235 African, All Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 13.31 10.18 9.17 13.31 10.18 9.17 13.31 10.18 9.17 13.31 10.18 9.17 13.31 10.18 9.17 13.31 10.18 9.17 13.31 10.18 9.17 (Thousand Metric Tons) 122.38 123.18 123.69 122.38 123.18 123.69 124.05 124.05 124.63 124.63 124.97 124.97 125.45 125.45 125.04 125.04 125.32 125.32 (Kilograms per Hectare) 11.56 9.97 8.97 11.97 10.02 9.02 13.06 10.16 9.14 13.15 10.17 9.15 112.69 112.69 120.39 120.39 121.31 121.31 121.23 121.23 Total Fertilizer Use Cotton Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 13.23 10.18 9.16 236 13.31 10.18 9.17 Other African Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 13.40 3.12 0.18 13.47 3.17 0.19 13.49 3.18 0.19 13.51 3.19 0.19 13.52 3.20 0.19 13.56 3.22 0.20 13.58 3.24 0.20 13.58 3.23 0.20 13.56 3.22 0.20 13.58 3.24 0.20 13.59 3.25 0.20 13.58 3.24 0.20 13.58 3.24 0.20 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 13.02 13.41 2.82 13.02 13.45 2.82 13.05 13.62 2.86 13.03 13.49 2.83 13.04 13.57 2.85 13.04 13.56 2.85 13.05 13.63 2.86 13.05 13.62 2.86 13.06 13.66 2.87 13.07 13.70 2.88 13.07 13.71 2.88 13.08 13.76 2.89 13.08 13.78 2.89 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 37.96 33.82 10.07 38.25 35.21 10.49 38.35 35.77 10.66 38.38 35.92 10.70 38.47 36.38 10.84 38.60 37.07 11.04 38.69 37.53 11.18 38.73 37.77 11.25 38.79 38.08 11.34 39.02 39.38 11.73 39.16 40.15 11.96 39.35 41.24 12.28 39.50 42.14 12.55 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 96.45 118.80 20.73 97.70 127.40 22.23 98.47 133.02 23.21 97.76 127.60 22.27 98.47 132.82 23.18 98.89 135.98 23.73 99.63 141.70 24.73 99.71 142.30 24.83 99.69 142.13 24.80 100.09 145.29 25.35 100.60 149.46 26.08 99.99 144.39 25.19 99.97 144.22 25.17 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.92 0.26 0.00 0.95 0.27 0.00 0.96 0.28 0.00 0.98 0.28 0.00 0.98 0.28 0.00 0.99 0.28 0.00 1.01 0.29 0.00 1.01 0.29 0.00 1.03 0.29 0.00 1.05 0.30 0.00 1.05 0.30 0.00 1.06 0.30 0.00 1.07 0.30 0.00 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 29.81 9.09 11.65 29.91 9.45 12.11 29.94 9.55 12.24 29.96 9.62 12.33 29.97 9.67 12.39 30.02 9.86 12.63 30.06 10.00 12.81 30.05 9.96 12.76 30.02 9.86 12.64 30.05 9.98 12.79 30.07 10.05 12.87 30.06 9.99 12.80 30.05 9.98 12.79 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 10.15 35.99 23.59 10.21 36.05 23.63 10.20 36.04 23.62 10.16 36.00 23.60 10.17 36.01 23.60 10.19 36.03 23.61 10.19 36.03 23.62 10.20 36.04 23.62 10.21 36.05 23.63 10.21 36.05 23.63 10.19 36.03 23.62 10.16 36.00 23.60 10.15 35.99 23.59 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 21.25 27.32 3.39 21.33 28.29 3.51 21.32 28.09 3.49 21.26 27.36 3.40 21.21 26.78 3.33 21.21 26.75 3.32 21.19 26.45 3.29 21.18 26.33 3.27 21.18 26.35 3.27 21.17 26.28 3.26 21.13 25.79 3.20 21.06 25.00 3.11 21.04 24.80 3.08 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 11.35 5.15 1.45 11.33 5.14 1.44 11.29 5.12 1.44 11.26 5.11 1.44 11.24 5.10 1.43 11.24 5.10 1.43 11.22 5.09 1.43 11.21 5.09 1.43 11.22 5.09 1.43 11.20 5.08 1.43 11.17 5.07 1.42 11.14 5.05 1.42 11.11 5.04 1.42 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 9.39 6.45 5.07 9.42 6.45 5.08 9.44 6.46 5.08 9.45 6.46 5.08 9.46 6.46 5.08 9.48 6.46 5.08 9.49 6.47 5.09 9.50 6.47 5.09 9.52 6.47 5.09 9.53 6.47 5.09 9.54 6.48 5.09 9.59 6.49 5.10 9.63 6.49 5.11 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 44.66 27.54 69.72 44.92 27.70 70.12 44.69 27.56 69.76 44.49 27.43 69.45 44.38 27.37 69.28 44.30 27.32 69.16 44.24 27.28 69.06 44.20 27.26 69.00 44.15 27.23 68.92 44.10 27.19 68.84 44.07 27.18 68.80 44.03 27.15 68.74 44.04 27.16 68.75 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 0.85 0.78 0.62 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 28.64 24.03 18.66 28.64 24.03 18.66 28.64 24.03 18.66 28.65 24.04 18.67 28.66 24.05 18.67 28.67 24.06 18.68 28.68 24.07 18.69 28.70 24.08 18.70 28.71 24.09 18.71 28.72 24.10 18.71 28.72 24.10 18.71 28.72 24.10 18.72 28.72 24.10 18.71 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 237 Other African Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 362.1 107.9 70.6 7.2 20.3 147.9 82.0 2.2 16.3 158.3 200.3 6.3 77.2 0.0 1,258.5 378.0 104.6 75.5 9.6 23.8 153.9 82.7 2.9 19.2 159.4 198.8 6.2 79.7 0.0 1,294.2 376.5 113.7 78.2 9.8 23.2 164.5 82.1 2.9 18.7 160.1 196.5 6.2 78.8 0.0 1,311.3 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Palm Kernel Rice, All Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Thousand Metric Tons) 373.1 377.3 380.5 383.0 110.0 112.8 110.9 112.8 79.6 78.8 80.9 80.2 9.7 9.9 10.1 10.4 24.4 23.8 24.7 24.8 155.6 159.8 160.1 162.6 82.1 82.5 82.8 83.3 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 18.7 18.7 18.8 18.8 161.4 162.2 163.2 164.3 195.9 196.5 197.5 199.0 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.2 79.1 79.4 79.9 80.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,298.6 1,310.8 1,318.6 1,329.2 383.2 112.8 82.2 10.5 25.1 161.5 83.7 2.9 18.9 165.5 200.8 6.3 81.6 0.0 1,335.1 384.1 113.7 82.0 10.5 25.4 160.5 84.2 3.0 19.0 166.6 202.3 6.3 82.4 0.0 1,339.8 386.9 113.9 84.9 10.6 26.0 161.2 84.7 3.0 19.1 167.7 204.0 6.5 83.0 0.0 1,351.5 388.1 114.7 85.9 10.9 25.9 161.7 85.1 3.0 19.1 168.9 206.1 6.6 83.4 0.0 1,359.3 238 2015 2023 2025 391.2 391.5 116.6 118.5 88.4 90.1 10.6 10.7 26.3 26.6 160.4 158.8 86.4 87.2 3.1 3.1 19.3 19.5 172.5 175.1 212.4 217.2 6.7 6.8 84.0 83.9 0.0 0.0 1,377.9 1,388.9 Algerian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.63 23.91 2.28 16.72 24.29 2.37 16.72 24.29 2.37 16.72 24.28 2.37 16.70 24.22 2.35 16.74 24.35 2.38 16.76 24.46 2.41 16.75 24.39 2.39 16.68 24.11 2.32 16.70 24.21 2.35 16.72 24.27 2.36 16.68 24.10 2.32 16.65 24.01 2.30 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 9.67 8.11 0.98 9.68 8.14 0.99 9.74 8.42 1.02 9.71 8.28 1.00 9.69 8.18 0.99 9.68 8.14 0.99 9.74 8.44 1.02 9.74 8.42 1.02 9.76 8.54 1.04 9.83 8.86 1.07 9.85 8.96 1.09 9.88 9.14 1.11 9.89 9.16 1.11 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 27.79 17.85 4.13 27.87 18.47 4.27 27.98 19.28 4.46 28.05 19.86 4.59 28.11 20.31 4.70 28.14 20.59 4.76 28.18 20.96 4.85 28.16 20.72 4.79 28.02 19.56 4.52 28.11 20.32 4.70 28.12 20.37 4.71 28.14 20.56 4.76 28.15 20.62 4.77 0.04 18.77 99.53 118.34 0.04 16.60 93.42 110.06 0.04 17.11 95.89 113.05 0.04 16.40 96.71 113.15 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0.04 0.04 0.04 16.50 16.23 16.60 97.47 98.62 99.28 114.02 114.89 115.93 0.04 16.51 98.77 115.32 0.04 16.70 95.58 112.32 0.04 17.06 97.37 114.47 0.04 17.13 97.57 114.75 0.04 17.41 97.71 115.17 0.04 17.46 97.36 114.85 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Wheat, All Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 239 Other American Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.91 32.84 28.35 59.41 33.59 30.03 59.53 33.79 30.48 59.63 33.94 30.84 59.62 33.93 30.81 59.81 34.23 31.52 59.96 34.47 32.09 59.89 34.36 31.83 59.66 34.00 30.95 59.82 34.24 31.53 59.92 34.40 31.92 59.81 34.22 31.49 59.77 34.15 31.32 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 128.02 83.20 7.63 128.62 85.34 7.82 129.87 89.89 8.24 129.59 88.84 8.14 129.96 90.24 8.27 130.03 90.52 8.30 130.52 92.38 8.47 130.10 90.75 8.32 129.71 89.26 8.18 130.23 91.20 8.36 130.61 92.69 8.50 130.90 93.82 8.60 131.11 94.64 8.68 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 128.61 49.52 0.00 128.77 49.88 0.00 128.75 49.83 0.00 128.18 48.59 0.00 128.06 48.35 0.00 128.05 48.32 0.00 127.95 48.12 0.00 127.75 47.70 0.00 127.49 47.15 0.00 127.71 47.59 0.00 127.83 47.85 0.00 127.82 47.83 0.00 127.81 47.81 0.00 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 144.47 21.92 20.45 145.10 22.45 20.95 145.99 23.22 21.67 145.14 22.47 20.97 145.80 23.03 21.49 145.90 23.12 21.58 146.57 23.71 22.13 146.68 23.81 22.22 146.57 23.71 22.13 146.74 23.87 22.28 147.16 24.25 22.63 147.13 24.23 22.61 147.20 24.29 22.67 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 139.91 37.43 46.57 141.72 37.91 47.17 142.02 37.99 47.27 141.97 37.98 47.26 141.51 37.86 47.10 142.21 38.04 47.34 142.95 38.24 47.58 142.97 38.25 47.59 142.69 38.17 47.50 143.87 38.49 47.89 144.80 38.74 48.20 145.76 38.99 48.52 146.60 39.22 48.80 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 45.99 13.91 17.83 46.00 13.94 17.86 46.06 14.15 18.13 46.00 13.96 17.89 45.98 13.87 17.77 45.96 13.83 17.71 45.97 13.84 17.73 45.96 13.81 17.69 45.87 13.49 17.28 45.87 13.50 17.30 45.89 13.55 17.36 45.89 13.57 17.39 45.89 13.57 17.38 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 17.22 61.52 40.33 17.31 61.60 40.38 17.23 61.53 40.33 17.07 61.37 40.23 17.02 61.33 40.20 17.01 61.32 40.19 16.97 61.27 40.16 16.95 61.25 40.15 16.95 61.26 40.15 16.96 61.27 40.16 16.92 61.23 40.13 16.88 61.19 40.11 16.86 61.17 40.09 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 121.77 101.26 57.23 122.08 103.73 58.63 121.78 101.29 57.25 121.43 98.45 55.65 121.18 96.56 54.58 121.02 95.30 53.87 120.75 93.26 52.71 120.69 92.87 52.49 120.82 93.83 53.03 120.90 94.39 53.35 120.71 92.95 52.54 120.34 90.28 51.03 120.22 89.40 50.53 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 17.16 16.48 16.18 17.18 16.50 16.20 17.14 16.46 16.16 17.11 16.44 16.14 17.10 16.43 16.13 17.12 16.44 16.14 17.08 16.41 16.11 17.07 16.40 16.10 17.09 16.41 16.11 17.07 16.40 16.10 17.03 16.36 16.06 16.98 16.31 16.02 16.95 16.28 15.99 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 9.42 23.39 18.72 9.51 23.46 18.77 9.56 23.49 18.79 9.61 23.52 18.81 9.65 23.55 18.84 9.71 23.59 18.87 9.75 23.61 18.89 9.80 23.65 18.92 9.86 23.69 18.95 9.92 23.73 18.98 9.96 23.76 19.00 10.12 23.86 19.09 10.24 23.93 19.15 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.72 30.04 76.05 49.55 30.55 77.35 49.51 30.53 77.28 49.30 30.40 76.96 49.48 30.51 77.24 49.66 30.62 77.52 49.35 30.43 77.04 49.27 30.38 76.91 49.35 30.43 77.03 49.03 30.24 76.54 48.52 29.92 75.74 47.78 29.46 74.59 47.58 29.34 74.28 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 75.30 30.19 31.03 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 23.05 0.00 0.00 21.73 0.00 0.00 19.14 0.00 0.00 19.19 0.00 0.00 19.24 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 19.29 0.00 0.00 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 101.36 20.68 144.79 101.32 20.68 144.75 101.30 20.67 144.72 101.34 20.68 144.77 101.36 20.69 144.80 101.39 20.69 144.84 101.41 20.70 144.88 101.46 20.71 144.94 101.50 20.72 145.01 101.53 20.72 145.04 101.52 20.72 145.03 101.55 20.72 145.07 101.54 20.72 145.06 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 227.71 103.94 278.67 227.69 103.92 278.61 227.66 103.90 278.55 227.68 103.92 278.60 227.69 103.92 278.61 227.69 103.93 278.62 227.71 103.94 278.65 227.73 103.96 278.72 227.77 103.99 278.79 227.78 104.00 278.82 227.78 104.00 278.81 227.79 104.01 278.84 227.78 104.00 278.82 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 240 Other American Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 658.1 97.4 136.5 44.1 342.1 107.0 225.1 36.4 27.3 6.7 81.1 333.2 4.2 240.8 9.9 2,349.9 696.1 93.2 138.5 50.5 360.9 109.8 229.4 49.1 28.2 6.8 83.7 328.0 4.3 240.8 9.2 2,428.4 646.1 110.8 139.6 63.4 317.2 110.1 228.3 49.9 28.0 6.8 85.1 328.6 3.6 237.8 9.0 2,364.3 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Palm Kernel Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Thousand Metric Tons) 679.8 665.2 678.8 677.5 98.7 104.8 101.9 104.2 146.4 138.0 141.1 134.4 47.5 58.7 50.4 57.8 350.0 332.5 345.2 339.3 110.1 108.3 109.3 108.8 227.6 228.0 228.5 229.0 50.5 51.4 52.5 53.3 28.3 28.7 29.1 29.4 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9 86.5 88.7 91.1 92.6 330.4 333.2 334.3 334.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 238.3 238.4 239.1 240.6 8.9 9.4 9.6 10.1 2,413.4 2,395.7 2,421.3 2,422.5 675.7 102.6 136.8 51.8 340.3 108.8 229.7 54.7 29.7 6.9 94.6 335.3 3.6 242.3 10.6 2,423.3 664.4 102.5 132.9 56.1 335.2 107.0 230.6 56.5 30.1 7.0 96.8 335.5 3.6 243.7 10.9 2,412.9 668.3 103.5 134.9 51.5 337.3 107.1 231.3 58.2 30.4 7.0 98.2 339.0 3.6 244.6 11.1 2,426.1 668.5 104.2 133.3 55.1 337.4 106.9 231.7 59.2 30.7 7.0 99.3 340.2 3.6 244.7 11.1 2,433.1 241 2015 2023 2025 653.3 644.8 106.9 107.6 132.0 131.3 50.0 48.8 333.9 333.1 105.5 104.1 233.6 234.5 62.7 65.4 31.7 32.4 7.2 7.3 104.2 108.2 341.1 344.1 3.5 3.5 244.5 243.3 10.9 10.3 2,421.0 2,418.6 Argentine Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 78.98 35.01 0.28 79.40 35.53 0.29 79.31 35.42 0.29 79.42 35.55 0.29 79.48 35.63 0.29 79.65 35.83 0.30 79.82 36.05 0.30 79.78 36.00 0.30 79.79 36.01 0.30 79.96 36.21 0.31 79.96 36.22 0.31 79.79 36.01 0.30 79.73 35.94 0.30 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 92.01 43.65 0.31 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 18.40 43.64 0.31 18.59 44.09 0.32 18.58 44.06 0.32 18.67 44.28 0.32 18.72 44.41 0.32 18.89 44.81 0.32 19.04 45.17 0.32 19.20 45.54 0.33 19.16 45.44 0.33 19.33 45.84 0.33 19.39 45.99 0.33 19.51 46.29 0.33 19.63 46.56 0.33 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 56.49 28.42 0.24 56.52 28.63 0.24 56.51 28.55 0.24 56.50 28.51 0.24 56.53 28.65 0.24 56.56 28.87 0.24 56.61 29.13 0.24 56.59 29.00 0.24 56.56 28.84 0.24 56.64 29.34 0.24 56.66 29.45 0.24 56.67 29.51 0.25 56.68 29.58 0.25 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 3.62 14.62 0.08 3.62 14.62 0.08 3.61 14.61 0.08 3.60 14.60 0.08 3.60 14.60 0.08 3.60 14.60 0.08 3.59 14.59 0.08 3.59 14.59 0.08 3.59 14.59 0.08 3.59 14.59 0.08 3.59 14.59 0.08 3.58 14.58 0.08 3.58 14.58 0.08 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 10.01 6.57 0.18 9.96 6.53 0.18 9.93 6.52 0.18 9.90 6.49 0.18 9.87 6.48 0.18 9.85 6.47 0.18 9.82 6.44 0.18 9.80 6.43 0.18 9.81 6.44 0.18 9.80 6.43 0.18 9.79 6.42 0.18 9.76 6.41 0.18 9.74 6.39 0.18 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.40 13.34 0.47 16.59 13.38 0.47 16.73 13.42 0.47 16.87 13.45 0.47 17.01 13.48 0.47 17.16 13.51 0.47 17.24 13.53 0.47 17.36 13.55 0.47 17.50 13.58 0.48 17.63 13.61 0.48 17.74 13.64 0.48 18.15 13.72 0.48 18.45 13.78 0.48 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 31.20 15.48 13.88 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 17.33 2.01 0.00 17.55 2.01 0.00 17.64 2.01 0.00 17.79 2.02 0.00 17.93 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 18.07 2.02 0.00 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 84.54 2.32 23.47 84.53 2.32 23.47 84.52 2.32 23.47 84.56 2.32 23.48 84.58 2.32 23.48 84.60 2.33 23.49 84.62 2.33 23.49 84.65 2.33 23.50 84.70 2.33 23.52 84.71 2.33 23.52 84.70 2.33 23.52 84.71 2.33 23.52 84.70 2.33 23.52 365.7 74.8 49.9 383.2 340.7 27.7 6.8 13.9 11.6 35.9 1,310.0 370.8 81.0 44.9 422.0 344.6 29.5 6.9 14.0 12.8 36.0 1,362.4 333.1 87.4 43.0 429.6 350.1 30.4 7.0 14.0 12.5 35.7 1,342.6 (Thousand Metric Tons) 345.2 337.5 342.0 339.0 84.3 86.1 85.3 85.9 43.6 43.3 44.3 44.9 413.5 412.2 417.5 421.2 356.6 362.4 367.7 372.3 31.0 31.5 32.0 32.4 7.0 7.1 7.1 7.2 14.7 15.1 15.7 16.2 12.3 12.4 12.6 12.6 35.7 35.8 35.9 36.1 1,344.0 1,343.3 1,360.2 1,367.7 336.9 85.8 45.8 421.5 377.0 32.9 7.3 16.7 12.7 36.4 1,372.9 332.8 86.2 46.0 419.8 381.7 33.3 7.3 17.1 12.8 36.6 1,373.5 330.6 86.2 46.6 424.6 386.5 33.7 7.4 17.3 12.9 36.8 1,382.5 325.4 86.0 46.9 426.0 391.3 34.1 7.4 17.4 13.0 36.9 1,384.3 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 242 313.1 305.1 86.6 86.5 47.6 47.9 414.8 401.6 405.9 416.4 35.2 36.0 7.7 7.8 17.6 18.8 12.8 12.8 37.1 37.1 1,378.3 1,370.0 Other Asian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 55.68 17.23 19.84 56.20 17.67 21.16 56.36 17.80 21.58 56.44 17.88 21.81 56.44 17.87 21.80 56.61 18.02 22.25 56.70 18.10 22.53 56.55 17.97 22.09 56.40 17.84 21.67 56.51 17.93 21.96 56.57 17.98 22.14 56.38 17.82 21.63 56.30 17.75 21.40 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 32.74 13.01 4.95 32.87 13.30 5.05 33.07 13.74 5.22 32.89 13.33 5.07 32.99 13.56 5.15 33.11 13.82 5.25 33.32 14.29 5.43 33.29 14.22 5.41 33.28 14.20 5.40 33.46 14.63 5.56 33.56 14.87 5.65 33.67 15.14 5.76 33.72 15.25 5.80 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.08 12.19 13.11 46.26 12.46 13.40 46.11 12.23 13.16 45.93 11.96 12.87 45.83 11.82 12.72 45.87 11.87 12.78 45.76 11.72 12.61 45.74 11.69 12.58 45.72 11.66 12.55 45.92 11.95 12.85 46.04 12.12 13.04 46.19 12.34 13.28 46.30 12.50 13.45 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 13.91 2.66 1.69 14.03 2.79 1.78 14.15 2.93 1.86 14.06 2.82 1.80 14.17 2.95 1.87 14.23 3.01 1.91 14.34 3.14 2.00 14.38 3.19 2.03 14.37 3.18 2.02 14.41 3.23 2.05 14.47 3.30 2.10 14.48 3.31 2.11 14.50 3.34 2.12 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 22.15 7.38 0.00 17.06 5.69 0.00 12.82 4.27 0.00 9.68 3.23 0.00 7.32 2.44 0.00 5.62 1.87 0.00 4.28 1.43 0.00 3.26 1.09 0.00 2.49 0.83 0.00 1.89 0.63 0.00 1.43 0.48 0.00 0.60 0.20 0.00 0.33 0.11 0.00 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 33.80 12.74 2.85 33.80 12.76 2.85 33.84 12.92 2.89 33.78 12.66 2.83 33.77 12.62 2.82 33.77 12.61 2.82 33.77 12.60 2.81 33.75 12.51 2.80 33.70 12.31 2.75 33.70 12.31 2.75 33.70 12.32 2.75 33.70 12.30 2.75 33.69 12.27 2.74 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.51 17.28 1.91 5.55 17.31 1.91 5.55 17.31 1.91 5.52 17.29 1.91 5.53 17.29 1.91 5.54 17.30 1.91 5.54 17.30 1.91 5.54 17.30 1.91 5.54 17.30 1.91 5.53 17.30 1.91 5.52 17.29 1.91 5.51 17.28 1.91 5.50 17.27 1.91 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 70.02 12.60 5.89 70.27 13.03 6.09 70.16 12.83 5.99 70.03 12.62 5.90 70.03 12.60 5.89 69.97 12.51 5.84 69.76 12.14 5.67 69.65 11.96 5.59 69.64 11.94 5.58 69.60 11.87 5.55 69.48 11.68 5.46 69.33 11.44 5.35 69.28 11.36 5.31 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 44.83 6.14 5.74 44.90 6.15 5.75 44.80 6.13 5.73 44.76 6.13 5.73 44.77 6.13 5.73 44.82 6.14 5.74 44.75 6.13 5.73 44.74 6.13 5.73 44.78 6.13 5.73 44.75 6.13 5.73 44.65 6.11 5.71 44.60 6.11 5.71 44.54 6.10 5.70 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 42.11 13.27 4.58 42.47 13.30 4.59 42.64 13.32 4.60 42.83 13.34 4.60 43.01 13.35 4.61 43.29 13.37 4.61 43.46 13.39 4.62 43.70 13.41 4.63 44.02 13.44 4.64 44.28 13.46 4.64 44.49 13.48 4.65 45.27 13.54 4.67 45.86 13.59 4.69 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 28.42 17.53 44.37 28.58 17.62 44.62 28.45 17.54 44.41 28.33 17.47 44.23 28.28 17.44 44.15 28.24 17.42 44.09 28.19 17.39 44.01 28.17 17.37 43.97 28.14 17.36 43.93 28.10 17.33 43.86 28.06 17.30 43.81 28.01 17.27 43.72 28.00 17.27 43.71 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 87.15 24.24 17.69 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 72.50 13.02 24.03 73.47 13.04 24.08 47.82 12.36 22.82 47.96 12.37 22.83 48.09 12.37 22.84 48.23 12.38 22.85 48.23 12.38 22.85 48.23 12.38 22.85 48.23 12.38 22.85 48.23 12.38 22.85 48.23 12.38 22.85 48.23 12.38 22.85 48.23 12.38 22.85 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 202.78 28.67 63.56 202.84 28.68 63.58 202.82 28.68 63.58 202.92 28.69 63.61 202.99 28.70 63.63 203.08 28.72 63.66 203.18 28.73 63.69 203.29 28.74 63.72 203.42 28.76 63.76 203.49 28.77 63.79 203.51 28.78 63.79 203.60 28.79 63.82 203.61 28.79 63.83 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 124.21 33.84 34.68 124.22 33.85 34.69 124.21 33.84 34.68 124.23 33.85 34.69 124.24 33.85 34.69 124.25 33.86 34.70 124.26 33.86 34.71 124.28 33.87 34.71 124.30 33.88 34.73 124.31 33.89 34.73 124.31 33.89 34.73 124.31 33.89 34.73 124.31 33.89 34.73 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 243 Other Asian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 336.8 560.0 37.0 4.6 32.9 1,651.0 35.6 82.7 240.3 116.4 59.9 554.9 45.8 185.6 13.4 3,956.8 378.8 547.9 37.1 4.8 27.5 1,609.5 36.2 85.0 245.3 117.8 57.4 552.0 49.1 185.5 14.0 3,947.9 368.7 594.6 39.8 5.8 18.9 1,682.2 35.7 84.0 236.7 118.6 56.5 555.6 35.5 182.1 13.8 4,028.6 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Palm Kernel Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Thousand Metric Tons) 378.1 374.7 378.8 379.5 547.7 569.8 563.6 577.7 39.4 37.8 38.2 36.4 4.3 5.2 4.5 5.1 15.2 11.0 8.6 6.5 1,648.9 1,657.0 1,651.1 1,648.6 35.5 35.6 35.7 35.7 83.7 83.9 83.8 83.4 234.9 234.1 232.5 230.6 119.5 119.7 120.1 120.4 56.5 56.7 57.1 57.6 555.3 554.8 558.2 561.9 35.5 35.8 36.0 36.2 182.4 182.9 184.0 185.8 13.8 13.7 13.6 13.7 3,950.5 3,972.6 3,966.1 3,979.1 376.8 573.3 37.1 4.7 5.0 1,641.7 35.8 83.5 229.0 120.9 58.1 563.5 36.4 187.7 13.7 3,967.1 373.8 574.9 36.2 5.0 3.8 1,633.1 35.9 83.8 227.4 121.5 58.6 565.9 36.6 189.4 13.7 3,959.6 375.8 581.2 37.0 4.6 2.9 1,631.3 35.9 84.0 225.3 121.9 59.1 572.6 36.8 190.8 13.7 3,973.0 376.9 584.5 36.7 4.8 2.2 1,631.7 36.0 84.1 223.3 122.3 59.6 575.4 36.9 191.6 13.7 3,979.6 244 2015 2023 2025 373.0 371.7 590.5 590.4 36.8 36.8 4.5 4.4 0.9 0.5 1,620.9 1,618.9 36.2 36.3 85.0 85.6 218.4 214.8 123.9 125.0 61.2 62.3 577.1 585.4 36.7 36.8 193.3 193.4 13.4 13.1 3,971.7 3,975.4 Australian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 87.87 58.80 6.97 88.53 60.00 7.34 88.89 60.69 7.56 88.58 60.09 7.37 88.68 60.28 7.43 89.02 60.92 7.63 89.31 61.48 7.81 89.50 61.83 7.93 89.24 61.33 7.76 89.50 61.82 7.92 89.73 62.26 8.07 89.78 62.36 8.10 89.85 62.50 8.15 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 35.14 40.99 2.25 35.18 41.27 2.27 35.22 41.49 2.28 35.24 41.65 2.29 35.21 41.44 2.28 35.23 41.57 2.28 35.24 41.62 2.29 35.27 41.84 2.30 35.25 41.72 2.29 35.29 41.95 2.30 35.31 42.10 2.31 35.32 42.15 2.31 35.33 42.25 2.32 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 36.13 41.66 2.29 37.00 42.67 2.34 37.55 43.31 2.38 37.76 43.54 2.39 37.97 43.79 2.40 38.44 44.33 2.43 39.04 45.02 2.47 39.49 45.54 2.50 38.74 44.68 2.45 39.16 45.16 2.48 39.63 45.70 2.51 41.88 48.29 2.65 43.73 50.43 2.77 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 20.68 22.29 2.25 20.68 22.30 2.25 20.66 22.08 2.23 20.66 22.14 2.23 20.64 21.86 2.20 20.64 21.83 2.20 20.62 21.65 2.18 20.64 21.87 2.20 20.64 21.87 2.20 20.65 21.93 2.21 20.66 22.03 2.22 20.66 22.08 2.23 20.67 22.15 2.23 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 67.95 55.38 5.65 68.10 56.59 5.78 68.10 56.62 5.78 68.11 56.70 5.79 68.15 56.99 5.82 68.01 55.88 5.70 67.82 54.35 5.55 67.80 54.21 5.53 67.94 55.31 5.65 67.94 55.26 5.64 67.87 54.70 5.58 67.72 53.55 5.47 67.67 53.21 5.43 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 87.64 44.76 13.93 80.01 44.18 13.74 85.89 44.66 13.90 86.05 44.68 13.90 86.20 44.69 13.90 86.35 44.70 13.91 86.35 44.70 13.91 86.35 44.70 13.91 86.35 44.70 13.91 86.35 44.70 13.91 86.35 44.70 13.91 86.35 44.70 13.91 86.35 44.70 13.91 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 182.93 80.08 118.24 182.89 80.07 118.22 182.87 80.06 118.20 182.92 80.08 118.23 182.95 80.09 118.25 182.99 80.11 118.28 183.02 80.12 118.30 183.07 80.15 118.33 183.12 80.17 118.36 183.14 80.18 118.37 183.12 80.17 118.37 183.12 80.17 118.37 183.09 80.16 118.35 10.0 329.2 48.0 603.6 207.6 0.0 67.2 149.1 1,414.7 10.2 368.8 51.1 620.1 201.9 0.0 61.6 159.2 1,472.9 10.2 378.9 50.8 619.3 200.9 0.0 59.1 160.5 1,479.8 (Thousand Metric Tons) 10.1 10.0 10.0 10.0 371.8 369.3 366.6 364.8 52.0 51.8 52.9 53.6 615.9 610.4 610.5 609.0 200.1 199.3 196.0 192.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 59.3 60.0 60.3 60.6 161.1 160.5 159.9 159.7 1,470.2 1,461.3 1,456.2 1,450.0 10.0 363.1 54.4 612.5 191.4 0.0 60.8 159.6 1,451.8 9.8 360.4 53.4 611.7 192.5 0.0 61.1 159.6 1,448.5 9.7 358.9 53.8 612.8 191.7 0.0 61.1 159.2 1,447.4 9.6 356.2 54.3 614.1 190.2 0.0 61.2 158.4 1,444.1 9.2 8.9 347.3 341.3 57.3 59.7 611.5 631.9 186.2 184.3 0.0 0.0 60.4 60.3 155.3 151.9 1,427.3 1,438.3 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Sorghum Wheat, All Rapeseed Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 245 Bangladesh Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 101.92 18.29 12.30 (Kilograms per Hectare) 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 1,563.5 1,563.5 1,553.6 1,553.6 1,558.9 1,558.9 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,565.2 1,573.5 1,591.0 1,590.7 1,565.2 1,573.5 1,591.0 1,590.7 1,592.0 1,592.0 1,589.7 1,589.7 1,591.2 1,591.2 1,588.4 1,588.4 1,587.9 1,599.3 1,587.9 1,599.3 2011 2012 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 101.92 18.29 12.30 101.92 18.29 12.30 Brazilian Fertilizer Use 2010 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.54 48.61 49.75 57.63 48.82 50.30 57.47 48.46 49.35 57.42 48.34 49.06 57.43 48.37 49.15 57.47 48.45 49.39 57.48 48.49 49.52 57.40 48.31 49.04 57.38 48.25 48.92 57.41 48.33 49.15 57.45 48.42 49.38 57.46 48.46 49.50 57.45 48.44 49.46 Corn Safrinha Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.74 49.09 51.04 57.87 49.40 51.89 57.36 48.20 48.66 57.16 47.75 47.53 57.23 47.91 47.95 57.36 48.20 48.68 57.39 48.28 48.93 57.23 47.91 47.98 57.11 47.63 47.25 57.06 47.51 46.92 57.08 47.57 47.09 56.93 47.22 46.31 56.77 46.88 45.53 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 43.61 47.49 46.44 43.66 48.20 47.14 43.78 49.66 48.56 43.69 48.46 47.40 43.68 48.40 47.34 43.72 48.87 47.79 43.85 50.53 49.42 43.87 50.86 49.75 43.88 51.00 49.88 43.89 51.12 49.99 43.85 50.57 49.46 43.74 49.04 47.97 43.65 47.91 46.86 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.03 72.92 66.92 5.03 72.87 66.87 5.03 72.67 66.69 5.03 72.59 66.62 5.03 72.60 66.62 5.03 72.70 66.72 5.03 72.78 66.79 5.03 72.75 66.76 5.03 72.76 66.77 5.03 72.77 66.78 5.03 72.77 66.77 5.03 72.78 66.79 5.03 72.79 66.80 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 205.37 108.95 104.53 202.77 99.72 95.68 199.80 89.96 86.31 197.86 84.12 80.72 197.13 82.04 78.72 196.79 81.09 77.80 195.92 78.69 75.50 195.15 76.63 73.53 195.29 76.98 73.86 195.04 76.33 73.24 195.80 78.33 75.15 198.49 85.70 82.23 199.70 89.25 85.63 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 88.95 45.63 123.49 88.80 45.55 123.28 88.85 45.57 123.35 88.86 45.58 123.37 88.87 45.58 123.38 88.90 45.60 123.42 88.99 45.64 123.54 89.12 45.71 123.73 89.18 45.75 123.82 89.14 45.72 123.75 89.04 45.67 123.61 88.83 45.57 123.33 88.60 45.45 123.01 1,162.3 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 295.0 3,442.6 421.6 426.6 2,343.4 0.0 8,096.0 1,294.7 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 289.7 3,501.4 416.7 391.2 2,453.7 0.0 8,352.0 1,288.1 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 294.1 3,485.1 413.5 378.1 2,479.4 0.0 8,343.0 1,295.4 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 287.9 3,506.2 414.6 386.3 2,553.8 0.0 8,449.0 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,298.3 1,300.3 1,291.5 4.7 4.6 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 287.5 289.5 296.3 3,552.2 3,583.7 3,607.2 416.0 418.3 421.3 406.2 417.5 415.9 2,614.5 2,673.2 2,748.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8,579.4 8,687.1 8,785.8 1,277.2 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 297.2 3,626.8 423.4 420.7 2,838.0 0.0 8,887.8 1,272.9 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 297.3 3,660.4 426.3 433.4 2,923.8 0.0 9,018.6 1,277.7 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 297.5 3,699.5 430.8 441.0 2,999.6 0.0 9,150.5 1,286.1 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 294.8 3,743.2 436.6 457.8 3,060.2 0.0 9,283.2 1,303.7 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 288.0 3,889.3 466.2 519.3 3,252.5 0.0 9,723.4 1,311.9 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 282.1 3,968.0 480.8 549.9 3,357.0 0.0 9,954.0 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 246 Brazil: South Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.39 48.27 48.81 57.50 48.53 49.50 57.22 47.87 47.76 57.10 47.60 47.05 57.06 47.50 46.79 57.04 47.45 46.68 57.03 47.43 46.62 56.86 47.05 45.64 56.76 46.81 45.05 56.72 46.73 44.85 56.74 46.76 44.93 56.64 46.54 44.39 56.55 46.35 43.90 Corn Safrinha Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.28 50.33 54.29 58.65 51.21 56.75 57.94 49.51 51.87 57.76 49.10 50.75 57.78 49.14 50.86 57.77 49.12 50.81 57.90 49.42 51.60 57.69 48.92 50.27 57.44 48.34 48.71 57.20 47.78 47.26 57.17 47.72 47.09 56.75 46.75 44.64 56.45 46.07 42.97 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 43.61 47.49 46.44 43.66 48.20 47.14 43.78 49.66 48.56 43.69 48.46 47.40 43.68 48.40 47.34 43.72 48.87 47.79 43.85 50.53 49.42 43.87 50.86 49.75 43.88 51.00 49.88 43.89 51.12 49.99 43.85 50.57 49.46 43.74 49.04 47.97 43.65 47.91 46.86 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.03 73.01 67.00 5.03 72.97 66.97 5.03 72.74 66.75 5.03 72.67 66.69 5.03 72.71 66.72 5.03 72.75 66.76 5.03 72.78 66.79 5.03 72.74 66.75 5.03 72.74 66.75 5.03 72.67 66.69 5.03 72.62 66.64 5.03 72.49 66.52 5.03 72.42 66.46 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 205.37 108.95 104.53 202.77 99.72 95.68 199.80 89.96 86.31 197.86 84.12 80.72 197.13 82.04 78.72 196.79 81.09 77.80 195.92 78.69 75.50 195.15 76.63 73.53 195.29 76.98 73.86 195.04 76.33 73.24 195.80 78.33 75.15 198.49 85.70 82.23 199.70 89.25 85.63 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 88.64 45.46 123.06 88.53 45.41 122.91 88.57 45.43 122.97 88.54 45.41 122.92 88.50 45.40 122.87 88.51 45.40 122.89 88.55 45.42 122.93 88.56 45.43 122.96 88.55 45.42 122.94 88.50 45.40 122.87 88.42 45.36 122.76 88.24 45.26 122.51 88.09 45.19 122.30 372.8 4.5 295.0 1,306.5 199.0 0.0 189.7 2,367.5 409.8 4.7 289.7 1,302.8 196.0 0.0 204.2 2,407.2 408.0 4.8 294.1 1,277.8 193.7 0.0 199.3 2,377.7 (Thousand Metric Tons) 410.3 411.6 411.1 407.2 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 287.9 287.5 289.5 296.3 1,277.6 1,285.0 1,286.1 1,287.3 193.8 194.2 194.8 195.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 205.8 208.1 210.5 215.1 2,380.4 2,391.4 2,397.1 2,406.7 400.4 4.6 297.2 1,288.1 196.0 0.7 221.0 2,408.0 397.7 4.5 297.3 1,292.3 196.7 0.8 226.4 2,415.8 398.6 4.5 297.5 1,295.6 198.1 0.9 230.6 2,425.8 401.5 4.5 294.8 1,299.6 199.8 1.0 233.2 2,434.4 406.7 408.6 4.5 4.4 288.0 282.1 1,313.3 1,319.8 210.3 214.5 1.3 1.5 241.7 245.4 2,465.7 2,476.2 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Wheat, All Soybeans Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 247 Brazil: Southeast Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.47 48.46 49.32 57.51 48.55 49.57 57.37 48.22 48.71 57.28 48.02 48.17 57.27 48.00 48.11 57.33 48.13 48.47 57.31 48.07 48.30 57.23 47.90 47.86 57.25 47.93 47.94 57.31 48.07 48.30 57.37 48.21 48.66 57.43 48.35 49.03 57.44 48.38 49.11 Corn Safrinha Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.32 50.44 54.71 58.67 51.29 57.11 58.34 50.49 54.78 58.14 50.01 53.44 58.34 50.49 54.76 58.72 51.39 57.30 58.87 51.76 58.36 58.63 51.17 56.65 58.52 50.91 55.91 58.18 50.08 53.54 58.14 50.00 53.32 58.20 50.14 53.70 58.10 49.89 53.02 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.03 73.03 67.01 5.03 73.03 67.01 5.03 72.89 66.89 5.03 72.84 66.85 5.03 72.86 66.86 5.03 72.98 66.97 5.03 73.10 67.08 5.03 73.10 67.08 5.03 73.09 67.08 5.03 73.15 67.13 5.03 73.16 67.14 5.03 73.18 67.16 5.03 73.20 67.17 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 205.37 108.95 104.53 202.77 99.72 95.68 199.80 89.96 86.31 197.86 84.12 80.72 197.13 82.04 78.72 196.79 81.09 77.80 195.92 78.69 75.50 195.15 76.63 73.53 195.29 76.98 73.86 195.04 76.33 73.24 195.80 78.33 75.15 198.49 85.70 82.23 199.70 89.25 85.63 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 88.91 45.61 123.44 88.68 45.49 123.12 88.70 45.50 123.15 88.70 45.50 123.15 88.70 45.50 123.14 88.70 45.50 123.15 88.74 45.52 123.20 88.82 45.56 123.31 88.84 45.57 123.34 88.75 45.52 123.22 88.62 45.46 123.04 88.32 45.30 122.62 88.04 45.16 122.23 278.3 0.0 233.2 11.1 13.8 1,448.2 1,984.7 309.8 0.0 236.3 12.5 14.0 1,485.0 2,057.6 310.4 0.0 231.8 12.5 13.5 1,489.5 2,057.6 (Thousand Metric Tons) 314.9 318.6 321.7 319.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 231.9 233.3 234.5 235.7 12.8 13.0 13.1 13.0 14.0 15.0 15.4 14.9 1,538.7 1,582.6 1,626.6 1,679.7 2,112.3 2,162.6 2,211.3 2,262.7 317.2 0.0 236.4 12.9 14.8 1,739.5 2,320.9 319.1 0.0 237.6 13.1 15.2 1,795.9 2,380.9 323.8 0.0 239.8 13.7 15.7 1,844.7 2,437.6 329.5 0.0 242.1 14.5 16.7 1,882.9 2,485.7 344.6 353.0 0.0 0.0 248.7 252.8 17.0 18.8 19.8 21.7 1,999.4 2,062.1 2,629.5 2,708.4 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Soybeans Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 248 Brazil: Central-West Cerrados Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 56.48 46.17 43.37 56.74 46.76 44.79 56.51 46.23 43.49 56.43 46.06 43.06 56.43 46.05 43.03 56.45 46.09 43.15 56.35 45.86 42.59 56.21 45.55 41.84 56.12 45.36 41.39 56.09 45.29 41.22 56.08 45.27 41.16 56.00 45.08 40.72 55.90 44.86 40.20 Corn Safrinha Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.15 47.71 47.34 57.14 47.69 47.29 56.53 46.29 43.68 56.23 45.60 42.00 56.30 45.76 42.37 56.46 46.13 43.27 56.42 46.02 43.00 56.23 45.61 42.01 56.14 45.40 41.52 56.17 45.48 41.69 56.20 45.53 41.82 56.00 45.10 40.79 55.82 44.69 39.84 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.03 72.93 66.93 5.03 72.84 66.84 5.03 72.65 66.67 5.03 72.57 66.60 5.03 72.56 66.58 5.03 72.68 66.70 5.03 72.76 66.77 5.03 72.72 66.73 5.03 72.69 66.70 5.03 72.68 66.70 5.03 72.65 66.67 5.03 72.59 66.61 5.03 72.54 66.57 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 205.37 108.95 104.53 202.77 99.72 95.68 199.80 89.96 86.31 197.86 84.12 80.72 197.13 82.04 78.72 196.79 81.09 77.80 195.92 78.69 75.50 195.15 76.63 73.53 195.29 76.98 73.86 195.04 76.33 73.24 195.80 78.33 75.15 198.49 85.70 82.23 199.70 89.25 85.63 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 89.51 45.91 124.27 89.34 45.83 124.03 89.44 45.88 124.18 89.46 45.89 124.21 89.54 45.93 124.31 89.68 46.00 124.50 89.92 46.12 124.83 90.15 46.24 125.15 90.27 46.30 125.32 90.19 46.26 125.21 90.00 46.17 124.95 89.66 45.99 124.48 89.28 45.80 123.95 68.4 0.0 1,180.8 29.9 233.5 319.1 1,831.7 90.4 0.0 1,195.4 28.1 211.6 370.1 1,895.6 87.2 0.0 1,185.7 28.0 205.7 395.5 1,902.2 (Thousand Metric Tons) 85.0 81.1 77.9 73.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,193.6 1,198.1 1,202.7 1,205.0 28.0 28.2 28.6 29.3 216.5 235.0 246.1 247.7 407.7 417.4 425.1 436.1 1,930.8 1,959.9 1,980.4 1,991.6 68.9 0.0 1,204.0 29.7 253.7 450.5 2,006.9 65.6 0.0 1,208.4 30.2 264.6 466.4 2,035.2 63.3 0.0 1,215.5 30.7 271.7 482.8 2,064.0 61.3 0.0 1,224.6 31.4 284.5 498.5 2,100.3 55.2 51.5 0.0 0.0 1,262.8 1,281.9 34.5 36.1 330.6 353.7 554.3 588.9 2,237.3 2,312.1 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Soybeans Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 249 Brazil: Amazon Biome Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.61 48.79 50.21 57.71 49.02 50.83 57.66 48.91 50.52 57.70 49.00 50.76 57.78 49.18 51.26 57.90 49.46 52.00 57.94 49.56 52.28 57.94 49.54 52.24 57.96 49.60 52.40 58.01 49.72 52.73 58.10 49.93 53.31 58.30 50.40 54.60 58.40 50.64 55.27 Corn Safrinha Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.26 50.31 54.34 58.34 50.50 54.88 58.25 50.28 54.25 58.26 50.31 54.33 58.37 50.57 55.07 58.51 50.89 55.98 58.62 51.16 56.73 58.61 51.14 56.69 58.59 51.10 56.58 58.74 51.46 57.62 58.88 51.79 58.55 59.15 52.45 60.52 59.30 52.82 61.61 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.03 72.90 66.90 5.03 72.88 66.88 5.03 72.82 66.82 5.03 72.79 66.80 5.03 72.80 66.80 5.03 72.85 66.85 5.03 72.89 66.88 5.03 72.88 66.88 5.03 72.87 66.87 5.03 72.87 66.87 5.03 72.87 66.87 5.03 72.89 66.89 5.03 72.89 66.89 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 205.37 108.95 104.53 202.77 99.72 95.68 199.80 89.96 86.31 197.86 84.12 80.72 197.13 82.04 78.72 196.79 81.09 77.80 195.92 78.69 75.50 195.15 76.63 73.53 195.29 76.98 73.86 195.04 76.33 73.24 195.80 78.33 75.15 198.49 85.70 82.23 199.70 89.25 85.63 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 86.46 44.35 120.04 86.17 44.20 119.64 85.87 44.05 119.22 85.47 43.84 118.67 84.85 43.52 117.79 84.41 43.30 117.18 84.16 43.17 116.85 83.50 42.83 115.92 82.60 42.37 114.67 82.70 42.42 114.82 82.63 42.39 114.72 82.34 42.24 114.31 82.47 42.30 114.50 65.8 0.0 392.0 56.4 35.5 31.5 581.2 71.9 0.0 391.1 56.2 32.8 33.1 585.1 72.9 0.0 391.1 56.1 31.5 32.8 584.5 74.7 0.0 398.1 57.0 32.1 32.9 594.7 (Thousand Metric Tons) 76.0 78.2 79.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 402.4 404.3 405.0 57.9 59.3 60.9 33.4 34.4 34.5 33.0 33.0 33.3 602.8 609.1 613.5 80.9 0.0 405.7 62.2 35.0 33.5 617.2 82.0 0.0 408.2 63.5 36.1 33.5 623.2 83.2 0.0 411.0 65.1 36.8 33.8 629.9 85.1 0.0 415.4 67.1 38.2 34.0 639.8 89.7 0.0 428.7 76.4 43.5 34.9 673.2 92.9 0.0 433.9 81.4 46.1 35.4 689.8 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Soybeans Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 250 Brazil: Northeast Coast Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.36 50.54 54.95 58.49 50.86 55.84 58.50 50.88 55.91 58.64 51.22 56.86 58.80 51.59 57.93 58.89 51.81 58.59 59.07 52.24 59.85 59.09 52.29 59.97 59.15 52.44 60.43 59.28 52.77 61.41 59.31 52.82 61.57 59.31 52.84 61.62 59.31 52.83 61.60 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 205.37 108.95 104.53 202.77 99.72 95.68 199.80 89.96 86.31 197.86 84.12 80.72 197.13 82.04 78.72 196.79 81.09 77.80 195.92 78.69 75.50 195.15 76.63 73.53 195.29 76.98 73.86 195.04 76.33 73.24 195.80 78.33 75.15 198.49 85.70 82.23 199.70 89.25 85.63 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 88.80 45.55 123.28 88.82 45.56 123.31 88.88 45.59 123.39 88.96 45.63 123.50 88.97 45.64 123.52 88.95 45.62 123.49 89.09 45.70 123.69 89.43 45.87 124.16 89.70 46.01 124.54 89.81 46.07 124.68 89.89 46.11 124.80 90.17 46.25 125.19 90.23 46.28 125.26 188.4 0.0 8.0 4.3 299.4 500.1 223.4 0.0 8.0 3.8 299.2 534.3 221.9 0.0 7.9 4.2 297.3 531.3 224.1 0.0 7.9 4.4 300.5 537.0 (Thousand Metric Tons) 226.4 227.4 228.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9 8.0 8.0 4.7 4.9 5.0 302.3 304.3 307.7 541.4 544.6 549.4 227.5 0.0 8.0 5.2 312.9 553.6 227.0 0.0 8.1 5.4 317.5 558.0 227.4 0.0 8.1 5.6 320.5 561.6 226.5 0.0 8.2 5.9 321.4 561.9 222.5 0.0 8.5 6.7 322.8 560.6 219.1 0.0 8.7 7.1 320.0 554.9 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 251 Brazil: North-Northeast Cerrados Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.53 48.58 49.65 57.52 48.58 49.64 57.43 48.36 49.07 57.35 48.18 48.61 57.32 48.11 48.41 57.35 48.16 48.55 57.32 48.10 48.39 57.27 47.99 48.10 57.25 47.95 48.00 57.30 48.05 48.25 57.36 48.21 48.66 57.54 48.62 49.73 57.64 48.84 50.33 Corn Safrinha Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.38 50.59 55.14 58.48 50.83 55.84 58.56 51.02 56.36 58.68 51.32 57.23 58.77 51.53 57.84 58.88 51.80 58.61 58.92 51.88 58.86 58.87 51.77 58.52 58.82 51.65 58.17 58.81 51.61 58.08 58.89 51.81 58.65 59.07 52.25 59.95 59.17 52.50 60.69 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 4.29 26.25 22.38 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.03 72.52 66.55 5.03 72.47 66.50 5.03 72.27 66.32 5.03 72.08 66.14 5.03 72.08 66.15 5.03 72.36 66.40 5.03 72.57 66.60 5.03 72.59 66.62 5.03 72.73 66.74 5.03 72.96 66.95 5.03 73.11 67.09 5.03 73.57 67.51 5.03 73.82 67.74 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 50.73 49.65 53.75 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 205.37 108.95 104.53 202.77 99.72 95.68 199.80 89.96 86.31 197.86 84.12 80.72 197.13 82.04 78.72 196.79 81.09 77.80 195.92 78.69 75.50 195.15 76.63 73.53 195.29 76.98 73.86 195.04 76.33 73.24 195.80 78.33 75.15 198.49 85.70 82.23 199.70 89.25 85.63 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 90.14 46.24 125.15 90.48 46.41 125.61 90.85 46.60 126.13 91.18 46.77 126.58 91.45 46.91 126.96 91.82 47.10 127.47 92.31 47.35 128.16 92.85 47.63 128.90 93.38 47.90 129.64 93.71 48.07 130.10 93.94 48.19 130.42 94.55 48.50 131.26 94.82 48.64 131.65 188.6 0.0 330.1 117.2 139.4 55.6 830.8 189.3 0.0 375.8 116.0 129.0 62.1 872.1 187.6 0.0 398.7 115.3 123.0 65.0 889.7 186.4 0.0 405.0 115.2 119.1 68.2 893.9 (Thousand Metric Tons) 184.5 183.9 183.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 433.3 456.2 474.1 114.7 114.5 114.5 117.6 116.2 113.3 71.1 73.8 76.9 921.2 944.6 961.9 182.3 0.0 492.5 114.5 111.3 80.5 981.2 181.6 0.0 513.9 114.7 111.3 84.0 1,005.4 181.4 0.0 537.6 115.0 110.3 87.3 1,031.6 182.2 0.0 561.6 115.7 111.6 90.1 1,061.2 184.9 186.8 0.0 0.0 635.8 679.5 119.6 121.4 117.5 119.8 99.4 105.1 1,157.1 1,212.6 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Soybeans Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 252 Cambodian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 (Thousand Metric Tons) 36.4 36.4 36.9 36.4 36.4 36.9 37.6 37.6 37.9 37.9 38.4 38.4 38.6 38.6 40.3 40.3 41.1 41.1 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0.36 0.39 0.41 0.36 0.39 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.50 0.50 (Kilograms per Hectare) 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 33.9 33.9 34.4 34.4 34.2 34.2 35.5 35.5 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 7.01 5.01 0.32 7.01 5.01 0.32 Cameroon Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 3.47 1.37 0.00 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 3.47 1.37 0.00 253 3.47 1.37 0.00 Canadian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 148.52 39.60 69.15 149.42 40.27 72.16 149.49 40.32 72.40 149.51 40.33 72.46 149.46 40.30 72.29 149.70 40.48 73.13 149.91 40.64 73.87 149.89 40.62 73.79 149.71 40.48 73.16 149.84 40.58 73.60 150.04 40.73 74.32 149.92 40.64 73.87 149.85 40.59 73.65 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 60.21 19.54 2.17 60.43 19.94 2.22 60.74 20.51 2.28 60.68 20.38 2.27 60.85 20.71 2.30 60.92 20.83 2.32 61.08 21.13 2.35 61.09 21.16 2.35 61.12 21.21 2.36 61.22 21.41 2.38 61.34 21.63 2.41 61.47 21.88 2.43 61.55 22.03 2.45 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 44.57 14.33 1.24 44.75 14.65 1.27 45.12 15.33 1.33 45.08 15.26 1.32 45.01 15.11 1.31 45.13 15.35 1.33 45.01 15.12 1.31 45.16 15.41 1.34 45.13 15.35 1.33 45.25 15.56 1.35 45.19 15.46 1.34 45.32 15.70 1.36 45.36 15.79 1.37 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 66.58 19.22 3.23 66.72 19.68 3.31 66.86 20.17 3.39 66.87 20.19 3.40 66.92 20.37 3.43 66.96 20.49 3.45 67.01 20.68 3.48 67.04 20.78 3.50 66.97 20.53 3.45 66.99 20.59 3.46 67.06 20.86 3.51 67.05 20.83 3.50 67.05 20.81 3.50 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 8.32 23.01 22.39 8.38 23.05 22.43 8.39 23.06 22.44 8.38 23.05 22.43 8.39 23.06 22.44 8.41 23.07 22.45 8.40 23.07 22.44 8.39 23.06 22.44 8.39 23.06 22.44 8.39 23.06 22.44 8.37 23.05 22.42 8.34 23.03 22.41 8.33 23.01 22.39 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 71.53 16.31 14.29 71.89 17.08 14.97 71.92 17.15 15.03 71.86 17.02 14.91 71.92 17.16 15.04 72.00 17.33 15.19 71.95 17.22 15.10 71.92 17.15 15.03 71.89 17.09 14.98 71.91 17.14 15.02 71.83 16.94 14.85 71.73 16.72 14.65 71.67 16.58 14.53 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 41.21 17.85 93.03 41.21 17.85 93.03 41.21 17.85 93.03 41.21 17.85 93.04 41.21 17.85 93.04 41.21 17.85 93.04 41.21 17.86 93.05 41.22 17.86 93.06 41.22 17.86 93.07 41.22 17.86 93.07 41.22 17.86 93.07 41.22 17.86 93.07 41.22 17.86 93.07 308.7 204.8 51.1 722.9 77.9 643.5 0.0 1.8 2,010.7 319.8 218.1 60.9 790.3 79.5 671.0 0.0 1.9 2,141.4 300.9 250.4 65.8 836.0 79.8 676.6 0.0 1.9 2,211.4 (Thousand Metric Tons) 306.8 304.1 309.1 311.6 221.9 239.3 232.5 239.6 68.5 65.6 69.0 65.8 824.3 822.5 826.0 831.6 80.8 82.1 83.4 84.2 682.6 690.3 697.9 701.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2,186.8 2,205.8 2,219.7 2,235.9 311.0 237.7 69.1 829.7 85.0 705.9 0.0 1.9 2,240.1 309.3 241.8 67.3 824.1 85.8 710.3 0.0 1.9 2,240.5 309.2 243.1 69.5 821.9 86.7 716.9 0.0 1.9 2,249.2 309.6 244.1 68.0 825.4 87.4 720.6 0.0 1.9 2,256.9 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Rice, All Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 254 304.4 301.2 252.7 255.2 68.6 68.1 814.5 802.8 89.7 91.1 737.4 749.4 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.9 2,269.2 2,269.6 Chinese Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 170.52 28.04 4.43 171.25 28.37 4.57 171.12 28.31 4.55 171.05 28.28 4.53 171.07 28.29 4.54 171.45 28.46 4.61 171.69 28.57 4.65 171.68 28.56 4.65 171.55 28.51 4.63 171.90 28.67 4.69 172.20 28.80 4.75 172.33 28.86 4.78 172.42 28.90 4.80 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 78.86 32.31 23.08 78.51 31.52 22.51 78.10 30.62 21.87 77.91 30.21 21.58 77.97 30.33 21.66 78.01 30.43 21.73 78.12 30.65 21.89 78.09 30.58 21.84 78.15 30.71 21.94 78.40 31.25 22.32 78.57 31.63 22.59 78.80 32.14 22.96 78.93 32.45 23.18 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 181.73 78.98 10.20 181.83 79.48 10.27 181.98 80.22 10.36 181.76 79.12 10.22 181.81 79.36 10.25 181.86 79.61 10.28 181.89 79.75 10.30 181.88 79.68 10.29 181.83 79.47 10.27 181.92 79.88 10.32 181.97 80.17 10.36 181.97 80.13 10.35 181.93 79.97 10.33 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 51.15 41.13 7.08 51.39 41.19 7.09 51.21 41.15 7.09 50.97 41.09 7.08 50.96 41.09 7.08 51.04 41.11 7.08 51.00 41.10 7.08 51.02 41.10 7.08 51.11 41.12 7.08 51.16 41.14 7.08 51.08 41.12 7.08 51.07 41.11 7.08 51.05 41.11 7.08 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 168.97 54.54 14.18 169.65 56.65 14.73 169.33 55.61 14.45 169.35 55.68 14.47 169.39 55.79 14.50 169.52 56.21 14.61 169.28 55.45 14.41 169.25 55.35 14.39 169.38 55.77 14.50 169.40 55.83 14.51 169.20 55.20 14.35 169.12 54.93 14.28 169.12 54.93 14.28 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 104.17 26.33 13.69 103.38 26.13 13.58 101.95 25.77 13.40 101.65 25.69 13.36 101.40 25.63 13.32 101.23 25.59 13.30 100.93 25.51 13.26 100.74 25.46 13.24 100.66 25.44 13.23 100.54 25.41 13.21 100.28 25.35 13.18 100.15 25.31 13.16 100.03 25.28 13.14 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 108.23 60.31 11.58 112.04 60.89 11.69 114.89 61.31 11.77 117.87 61.75 11.85 121.09 62.21 11.94 124.74 62.72 12.04 127.56 63.11 12.11 130.40 63.49 12.19 133.16 63.86 12.26 135.18 64.12 12.31 136.57 64.31 12.34 141.18 64.90 12.46 144.29 65.29 12.53 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 192.34 61.79 58.07 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 257.23 82.30 13.54 338.71 86.20 14.18 388.73 88.10 14.50 396.45 88.36 14.54 401.68 88.53 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 401.87 88.54 14.57 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 283.40 151.21 178.83 283.53 151.28 178.91 283.59 151.31 178.94 283.72 151.38 179.03 283.84 151.45 179.10 283.97 151.51 179.18 284.07 151.57 179.25 284.16 151.61 179.30 284.26 151.67 179.37 284.32 151.70 179.41 284.32 151.70 179.41 284.32 151.70 179.41 284.28 151.68 179.38 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 293.64 169.84 124.79 293.87 170.08 124.97 293.94 170.15 125.02 294.05 170.27 125.11 294.14 170.37 125.18 294.23 170.46 125.25 294.30 170.53 125.30 294.37 170.61 125.36 294.45 170.69 125.42 294.52 170.76 125.47 294.56 170.81 125.50 294.62 170.87 125.55 294.64 170.89 125.56 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 255 Chinese Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 6,394 94 6,583 835 1,711 134 793 9,279 1,801 1,090 153 28,867 6,384 95 6,490 830 1,750 130 801 9,063 2,449 1,100 172 29,262 6,271 100 6,719 818 1,715 124 804 9,040 2,726 1,102 178 29,597 6,346 94 6,551 810 1,707 124 813 8,939 2,722 1,106 180 29,392 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 6,349 6,435 6,475 97 95 96 6,520 6,460 6,457 809 806 803 1,703 1,695 1,680 124 123 122 818 827 831 8,924 8,872 8,843 2,759 2,769 2,785 1,109 1,114 1,119 181 181 180 29,393 29,376 29,391 6,507 95 6,429 800 1,672 122 835 8,814 2,789 1,125 180 29,369 6,537 96 6,403 798 1,668 121 836 8,770 2,793 1,130 180 29,332 6,586 96 6,342 794 1,659 120 832 8,721 2,792 1,135 179 29,257 6,628 96 6,378 790 1,646 119 827 8,684 2,790 1,140 178 29,276 6,672 95 6,269 770 1,603 115 807 8,604 2,785 1,153 176 29,051 6,717 94 6,257 752 1,568 112 789 8,485 2,785 1,163 175 28,897 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 70.04 70.04 70.04 70.06 70.06 70.06 70.08 70.08 70.08 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 70.09 (Thousand Metric Tons) 90.58 90.61 90.92 90.58 90.61 90.92 91.45 91.45 91.95 91.95 92.17 92.17 92.14 92.14 91.63 91.63 90.55 90.55 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2.69 2.70 2.69 2.69 2.70 2.69 2.69 2.69 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 57.66 40.27 82.37 57.64 40.26 82.34 57.63 40.25 82.32 57.61 40.24 82.30 57.61 40.23 82.29 57.59 40.22 82.28 57.58 40.21 82.25 (Thousand Metric Tons) 49.33 49.97 51.36 49.33 49.97 51.36 53.13 53.13 54.80 54.80 56.05 56.05 56.60 56.60 56.54 56.54 54.71 54.71 Colombian Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 70.03 70.03 70.03 70.02 70.02 70.02 70.00 70.00 70.00 70.02 70.02 70.02 93.49 93.49 92.58 92.58 91.24 91.24 90.89 90.89 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use 2014 70.02 70.02 70.02 70.03 70.03 70.03 Ivory Coast Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 2.67 2.67 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2.68 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 5.03 1.99 0.00 5.03 1.99 0.00 Cuban Fertilizer Use Rate of Application Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 57.79 40.36 82.56 57.75 40.34 82.50 57.71 40.31 82.45 57.70 40.30 82.43 63.22 63.22 56.54 56.54 51.13 51.13 49.73 49.73 Total Fertilizer Use Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 57.69 40.29 82.41 256 57.67 40.28 82.39 Egyptian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 480.15 37.96 12.22 486.07 39.25 13.30 491.38 40.44 14.34 488.38 39.76 13.71 489.08 39.91 13.85 494.46 41.12 14.94 499.81 42.35 16.09 498.81 42.12 15.86 493.91 40.98 14.75 499.13 42.17 15.86 503.91 43.28 16.95 505.44 43.64 17.32 505.95 43.76 17.44 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 233.15 27.54 7.78 233.39 27.87 7.88 233.62 28.17 7.96 233.40 27.88 7.88 233.47 27.97 7.91 233.53 28.05 7.93 233.58 28.12 7.95 233.59 28.13 7.95 233.47 27.97 7.91 233.50 28.02 7.92 233.58 28.12 7.95 233.65 28.22 7.98 233.67 28.25 7.98 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 168.71 30.72 0.00 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 234.41 33.33 39.78 234.20 33.30 39.74 234.10 33.29 39.73 234.15 33.29 39.74 234.19 33.30 39.74 234.27 33.31 39.76 234.36 33.32 39.77 234.43 33.33 39.78 234.51 33.35 39.80 234.58 33.36 39.81 234.59 33.36 39.81 234.57 33.35 39.81 236.47 33.62 40.13 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 187.12 28.85 21.39 187.06 28.83 21.38 187.03 28.82 21.37 187.05 28.83 21.38 187.06 28.83 21.38 187.09 28.84 21.39 187.10 28.84 21.39 187.12 28.85 21.39 187.14 28.86 21.40 187.16 28.86 21.40 187.16 28.86 21.40 187.15 28.86 21.40 187.71 29.02 21.52 461.4 354.4 119.7 43.1 35.6 1,014.1 438.6 341.4 126.0 42.1 41.6 989.6 425.8 346.9 127.7 41.0 44.4 985.9 432.8 341.9 128.2 40.9 46.0 989.8 (Thousand Metric Tons) 430.3 440.0 446.1 343.2 343.0 343.2 128.3 128.2 128.4 41.0 41.3 41.8 46.8 47.4 47.8 989.5 999.9 1,007.4 446.6 342.9 128.4 42.4 48.2 1,008.4 441.2 342.3 128.4 42.9 48.5 1,003.2 447.3 342.4 128.3 43.2 48.7 1,010.0 452.3 342.7 128.3 43.5 48.9 1,015.8 452.5 450.9 343.2 343.3 128.4 128.5 43.7 44.0 49.4 49.8 1,017.3 1,016.4 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Wheat, All Rice, All Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 257 European Union Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 158.94 48.97 44.88 159.11 49.12 45.22 159.11 49.12 45.23 158.97 49.00 44.94 158.78 48.84 44.56 158.75 48.81 44.50 158.76 48.82 44.52 158.63 48.71 44.25 158.51 48.61 44.02 158.55 48.64 44.10 158.57 48.66 44.13 158.38 48.50 43.75 158.25 48.39 43.50 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 94.74 27.85 23.33 94.94 28.17 23.61 95.06 28.36 23.77 95.03 28.32 23.73 94.97 28.22 23.65 95.00 28.27 23.69 95.07 28.38 23.78 95.03 28.31 23.73 95.00 28.26 23.68 95.06 28.36 23.77 95.10 28.44 23.83 95.01 28.29 23.70 94.93 28.15 23.59 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 104.07 22.16 19.51 104.01 22.09 19.44 103.95 22.01 19.37 103.86 21.90 19.28 103.78 21.82 19.20 103.77 21.80 19.19 103.79 21.82 19.21 103.78 21.81 19.20 103.78 21.82 19.20 103.80 21.83 19.22 103.81 21.85 19.23 103.84 21.88 19.26 103.86 21.90 19.28 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 104.01 22.08 19.44 104.02 22.09 19.45 104.01 22.08 19.43 103.96 22.03 19.39 103.93 21.99 19.36 103.95 22.02 19.38 103.99 22.07 19.42 103.98 22.04 19.40 103.97 22.04 19.40 104.01 22.08 19.44 104.05 22.13 19.48 104.11 22.21 19.55 104.14 22.24 19.57 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 129.38 27.08 19.88 129.44 27.23 19.99 129.40 27.12 19.91 129.33 26.97 19.79 129.28 26.85 19.71 129.27 26.82 19.69 129.27 26.82 19.69 129.24 26.74 19.63 129.21 26.67 19.57 129.21 26.67 19.58 129.21 26.67 19.58 129.19 26.62 19.54 129.17 26.58 19.51 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 33.70 30.23 33.83 33.75 30.24 33.84 33.63 30.22 33.81 33.51 30.19 33.78 33.46 30.17 33.76 33.45 30.17 33.76 33.38 30.15 33.74 33.35 30.15 33.73 33.36 30.15 33.74 33.36 30.15 33.74 33.33 30.14 33.73 33.28 30.13 33.71 33.24 30.12 33.70 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 136.76 35.31 53.93 137.23 36.47 55.71 137.06 36.04 55.04 136.92 35.69 54.51 136.91 35.66 54.47 136.89 35.60 54.38 136.78 35.35 53.99 136.77 35.31 53.93 136.82 35.45 54.14 136.82 35.43 54.12 136.65 35.00 53.46 136.48 34.60 52.84 136.43 34.48 52.67 34.48 12.80 8.15 34.57 12.83 8.17 34.52 12.81 8.16 34.51 12.81 8.15 34.49 12.80 8.15 34.52 12.81 8.16 34.47 12.80 8.14 34.47 12.80 8.14 34.52 12.81 8.15 34.50 12.81 8.15 34.43 12.78 8.13 34.36 12.76 8.12 34.32 12.74 8.11 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 107.22 39.22 75.88 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 130.88 49.58 45.62 132.65 49.68 45.71 168.54 51.69 47.56 169.70 51.75 47.61 170.83 51.80 47.65 172.01 51.85 47.70 172.01 51.85 47.70 172.01 51.85 47.70 172.01 51.85 47.70 172.01 51.85 47.70 172.01 51.85 47.70 172.01 51.85 47.70 172.01 51.85 47.70 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 182.10 79.72 117.70 182.04 79.70 117.67 181.97 79.66 117.62 181.87 79.62 117.56 181.79 79.58 117.50 181.71 79.55 117.45 181.68 79.54 117.43 181.65 79.53 117.42 181.65 79.52 117.41 181.65 79.53 117.42 181.66 79.53 117.42 181.66 79.53 117.42 181.66 79.53 117.42 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 115.61 59.19 113.25 115.60 59.19 113.24 115.60 59.18 113.23 115.59 59.17 113.21 115.58 59.17 113.20 115.57 59.16 113.19 115.57 59.16 113.19 115.57 59.16 113.18 115.57 59.16 113.19 115.57 59.16 113.19 115.57 59.16 113.19 115.57 59.16 113.19 115.57 59.16 113.19 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 258 European Union Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 2,034 1,821 397 373 4,559 34 1,537 211 103 75 0 441 11,584 2,162 1,889 420 426 4,904 34 1,567 218 103 78 0 452 12,252 2,175 1,928 421 448 4,887 34 1,536 209 102 88 0 447 12,275 2,178 1,932 422 461 4,874 34 1,528 206 103 86 0 445 12,268 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2,189 2,202 2,204 1,941 1,953 1,956 424 427 428 474 486 497 4,898 4,924 4,921 34 33 33 1,534 1,538 1,548 205 204 204 103 102 103 84 81 79 0 0 0 445 445 445 12,329 12,398 12,418 2,205 1,955 429 505 4,925 33 1,565 204 103 77 0 445 12,446 2,205 1,955 430 516 4,926 33 1,583 204 103 74 0 443 12,472 2,208 1,957 431 525 4,927 33 1,597 204 103 72 0 440 12,496 2,209 1,956 431 535 4,923 33 1,603 203 103 69 0 436 12,503 2,211 1,953 434 561 4,931 32 1,638 202 103 62 0 430 12,557 2,211 1,947 435 577 4,929 32 1,663 201 103 57 0 426 12,581 259 2015 Other European Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 70.58 21.49 23.79 71.13 21.95 25.11 71.17 21.98 25.20 71.17 21.98 25.21 71.26 22.06 25.44 71.42 22.20 25.86 71.50 22.26 26.06 71.33 22.12 25.61 71.25 22.05 25.42 71.38 22.16 25.75 71.45 22.22 25.92 71.29 22.08 25.50 71.20 22.00 25.27 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 27.52 15.18 10.76 27.62 15.47 10.96 27.77 15.92 11.28 27.69 15.70 11.13 27.79 15.99 11.33 27.81 16.06 11.38 27.88 16.29 11.54 27.86 16.21 11.49 27.85 16.20 11.48 27.89 16.33 11.57 27.95 16.51 11.70 28.01 16.71 11.84 28.04 16.79 11.90 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 31.15 3.84 2.09 31.18 3.86 2.10 31.31 3.95 2.15 31.17 3.85 2.10 31.08 3.79 2.06 31.05 3.77 2.05 30.96 3.71 2.02 30.96 3.71 2.02 30.89 3.66 2.00 30.90 3.67 2.00 30.86 3.64 1.98 30.76 3.58 1.95 30.69 3.53 1.92 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 22.19 4.17 2.65 22.29 4.28 2.72 22.47 4.47 2.84 22.34 4.33 2.75 22.50 4.49 2.86 22.56 4.56 2.90 22.71 4.74 3.01 22.76 4.79 3.05 22.79 4.83 3.07 22.81 4.86 3.09 22.87 4.92 3.13 22.89 4.95 3.15 22.91 4.97 3.16 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 54.01 12.57 11.53 54.07 12.72 11.67 54.13 12.90 11.83 54.07 12.72 11.67 54.10 12.81 11.75 54.10 12.81 11.74 54.11 12.83 11.77 54.09 12.79 11.73 54.03 12.61 11.57 54.00 12.55 11.51 54.02 12.58 11.54 54.01 12.56 11.52 54.00 12.53 11.49 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 9.16 11.22 4.97 9.23 11.24 4.98 9.22 11.24 4.97 9.16 11.22 4.97 9.16 11.22 4.97 9.18 11.23 4.97 9.17 11.23 4.97 9.17 11.23 4.97 9.17 11.23 4.97 9.17 11.23 4.97 9.14 11.22 4.96 9.12 11.21 4.96 9.10 11.20 4.96 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 10.82 10.90 3.18 10.86 11.32 3.30 10.85 11.19 3.26 10.84 11.10 3.23 10.84 11.13 3.24 10.83 11.06 3.22 10.81 10.80 3.15 10.79 10.66 3.11 10.79 10.61 3.09 10.77 10.49 3.06 10.76 10.32 3.01 10.74 10.17 2.96 10.73 10.11 2.95 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 4.59 5.99 2.25 4.60 6.00 2.26 4.59 5.98 2.25 4.58 5.98 2.25 4.58 5.97 2.25 4.58 5.97 2.25 4.57 5.95 2.24 4.56 5.94 2.24 4.56 5.95 2.24 4.56 5.94 2.23 4.54 5.92 2.23 4.54 5.91 2.22 4.53 5.90 2.22 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 67.75 27.16 27.92 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 28.19 5.01 9.01 28.57 5.02 9.03 18.60 4.75 8.56 18.65 4.76 8.56 18.70 4.76 8.56 18.76 4.76 8.57 18.76 4.76 8.57 18.76 4.76 8.57 18.76 4.76 8.57 18.76 4.76 8.57 18.76 4.76 8.57 18.76 4.76 8.57 18.76 4.76 8.57 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 31.51 16.15 30.90 31.51 16.15 30.90 31.51 16.15 30.90 31.51 16.16 30.91 31.52 16.16 30.92 31.52 16.16 30.93 31.53 16.17 30.93 31.53 16.17 30.95 31.54 16.18 30.96 31.54 16.18 30.96 31.54 16.18 30.96 31.55 16.19 30.97 31.55 16.19 30.97 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 260 Other European Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 427.8 63.9 19.0 16.5 0.0 189.6 56.9 23.1 86.6 0.0 0.0 28.7 0.1 22.0 934.4 439.9 65.4 19.1 17.2 0.0 196.0 51.8 23.9 87.1 0.0 0.0 27.0 0.1 22.3 949.8 436.8 67.4 19.3 18.0 0.0 198.7 51.8 23.8 85.4 0.0 0.0 27.2 0.1 22.2 950.6 439.1 66.6 19.2 17.4 0.0 197.0 51.9 23.8 85.2 0.0 0.0 27.1 0.1 22.2 949.7 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Palm Kernel Rice, All Cotton Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 439.7 442.7 443.4 67.4 67.5 68.1 19.1 19.1 18.9 17.9 17.8 18.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 197.5 197.6 197.7 52.2 52.5 52.8 24.0 24.1 23.9 85.0 84.8 84.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.6 26.7 26.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 22.3 22.3 22.4 951.9 955.1 956.8 440.4 67.8 18.9 18.1 0.0 197.5 53.2 23.9 84.4 0.0 0.0 26.7 0.1 22.6 953.7 439.0 67.8 18.8 18.3 0.0 196.3 53.6 24.0 84.5 0.0 0.0 26.7 0.1 22.7 951.8 441.0 68.1 18.9 18.2 0.0 195.9 54.0 24.0 84.5 0.0 0.0 26.6 0.1 22.8 954.1 441.9 68.5 18.8 18.4 0.0 196.1 54.3 24.0 84.6 0.0 0.0 26.6 0.1 22.8 956.0 438.7 69.1 18.7 18.3 0.0 195.8 55.5 24.4 85.2 0.0 0.0 26.7 0.1 22.9 955.3 437.0 69.2 18.6 18.3 0.0 195.3 56.4 24.8 85.8 0.0 0.0 26.6 0.1 22.8 954.9 261 2015 Ghana Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1.25 1.32 1.41 1.25 1.32 1.41 1.49 1.49 1.57 1.57 1.65 1.65 1.73 1.73 1.95 1.95 2.08 2.08 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 76.66 61.33 38.33 76.70 61.36 38.35 76.73 61.39 38.37 76.75 61.40 38.37 76.75 61.40 38.37 76.77 61.42 38.39 76.77 61.42 38.38 (Thousand Metric Tons) 42.02 42.37 42.88 42.02 42.37 42.88 43.49 43.49 44.07 44.07 44.53 44.53 44.79 44.79 45.06 45.06 44.84 44.84 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 (Thousand Metric Tons) 28.36 28.87 29.23 28.36 28.87 29.23 29.86 29.86 30.42 30.42 30.93 30.93 31.31 31.31 32.17 32.17 33.10 33.10 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (Kilograms per Hectare) 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 1.21 1.21 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.23 1.23 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 5.59 2.21 0.00 5.59 2.21 0.00 Guatemalan Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 76.59 61.27 38.29 76.57 61.26 38.29 76.56 61.25 38.28 76.60 61.28 38.30 42.45 42.45 42.40 42.40 41.78 41.78 41.86 41.86 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use 2014 76.62 61.29 38.31 76.64 61.31 38.32 Guinea Fertilizer Use Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 28.88 28.88 28.27 28.27 28.55 28.55 28.30 28.30 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 13.50 10.17 8.42 13.50 10.17 8.42 Hong Kong Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 0.00 0.00 0.00 262 0.00 0.00 0.00 Indian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 43.13 9.66 2.65 42.91 9.52 2.55 42.53 9.29 2.39 42.00 8.97 2.17 41.37 8.60 1.94 41.03 8.41 1.83 40.79 8.27 1.75 40.80 8.28 1.75 40.70 8.22 1.73 40.74 8.24 1.74 40.81 8.28 1.76 40.67 8.21 1.72 40.64 8.19 1.70 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 77.00 33.48 7.77 75.38 32.77 7.60 74.11 32.22 7.48 72.14 31.36 7.28 70.62 30.71 7.12 69.45 30.20 7.01 68.18 29.64 6.88 68.28 29.69 6.89 68.23 29.66 6.88 68.47 29.77 6.91 68.60 29.83 6.92 68.77 29.90 6.94 68.92 29.97 6.95 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 109.08 38.09 7.07 108.78 36.91 6.85 108.59 36.17 6.71 108.17 34.56 6.41 107.91 33.58 6.23 107.64 32.62 6.05 107.40 31.77 5.90 107.37 31.69 5.88 107.35 31.61 5.87 107.35 31.62 5.87 107.36 31.66 5.88 107.37 31.68 5.88 107.37 31.69 5.88 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.82 16.32 3.03 16.90 16.34 3.03 16.88 16.33 3.03 16.83 16.32 3.03 16.78 16.31 3.03 16.81 16.32 3.03 16.83 16.32 3.03 16.84 16.32 3.03 16.84 16.32 3.03 16.84 16.32 3.03 16.80 16.31 3.03 16.76 16.30 3.03 16.73 16.29 3.02 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 81.71 23.30 3.55 81.82 23.62 3.60 81.70 23.28 3.55 81.43 22.54 3.44 81.17 21.86 3.33 81.00 21.42 3.26 80.80 20.92 3.19 80.73 20.73 3.16 80.77 20.83 3.17 80.79 20.87 3.18 80.78 20.85 3.18 80.75 20.79 3.17 80.80 20.90 3.19 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 28.93 39.53 17.05 29.24 39.64 17.10 29.43 39.71 17.13 29.54 39.75 17.15 29.61 39.78 17.16 29.76 39.84 17.18 29.89 39.88 17.20 30.08 39.95 17.23 30.32 40.04 17.27 30.56 40.13 17.31 30.75 40.19 17.34 31.39 40.42 17.43 31.87 40.59 17.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 97.10 32.10 19.34 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 97.36 48.77 14.93 101.12 49.05 15.01 87.35 48.05 14.71 88.56 48.15 14.74 89.47 48.22 14.76 90.47 48.30 14.79 90.47 48.30 14.79 90.47 48.30 14.79 90.47 48.30 14.79 90.47 48.30 14.79 90.47 48.30 14.79 90.47 48.30 14.79 90.47 48.30 14.79 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 145.48 51.23 52.83 145.49 51.24 52.83 145.48 51.23 52.83 145.52 51.25 52.85 145.55 51.26 52.86 145.58 51.27 52.87 145.62 51.28 52.88 145.66 51.30 52.90 145.73 51.32 52.92 145.75 51.33 52.93 145.75 51.33 52.93 145.76 51.33 52.93 145.76 51.33 52.93 455 887 4,426 340 717 522 6,684 1,758 1,200 16,988 473 897 4,354 341 727 530 6,665 1,882 1,252 17,121 435 859 4,556 340 743 542 6,663 1,684 1,257 17,078 429 864 4,400 339 747 546 6,675 1,680 1,267 16,947 (Thousand Metric Tons) 413 405 396 830 831 810 4,409 4,381 4,378 340 343 345 748 750 752 549 554 558 6,697 6,708 6,720 1,691 1,709 1,716 1,273 1,280 1,290 16,950 16,960 16,966 392 815 4,389 346 757 562 6,735 1,723 1,301 17,021 388 817 4,398 347 765 566 6,750 1,730 1,312 17,073 387 826 4,414 348 773 568 6,759 1,736 1,321 17,132 385 824 4,432 348 781 571 6,773 1,741 1,329 17,183 376 834 4,478 350 805 581 6,827 1,733 1,352 17,336 371 841 4,503 351 824 588 6,845 1,736 1,369 17,428 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 263 Indonesian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.54 25.03 29.90 125.54 26.15 33.37 126.53 26.72 35.25 127.28 27.16 36.74 127.98 27.57 38.18 128.96 28.15 40.27 129.88 28.70 42.31 129.84 28.68 42.22 128.94 28.13 40.12 129.51 28.47 41.39 130.15 28.86 42.85 130.02 28.78 42.55 129.96 28.74 42.41 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 86.28 32.60 104.31 88.73 33.52 107.27 89.17 33.69 107.80 89.15 33.68 107.78 89.91 33.97 108.69 90.53 34.20 109.45 89.68 33.88 108.42 89.38 33.77 108.06 89.53 33.82 108.24 88.93 33.60 107.52 87.87 33.20 106.23 87.13 32.92 105.34 87.31 32.99 105.56 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 93.52 9.15 9.71 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 124.20 76.52 42.73 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 148.70 73.03 219.10 148.63 73.00 218.99 148.58 72.97 218.92 148.63 73.00 219.00 148.66 73.01 219.03 148.68 73.02 219.07 148.71 73.04 219.11 148.75 73.06 219.17 148.79 73.08 219.23 148.80 73.08 219.25 148.77 73.07 219.21 148.74 73.05 219.16 148.69 73.03 219.08 562.16 1,283 1,360 2.32 145.47 3,353 547.78 1,394 1,358 2.91 144.24 3,446 530.28 1,449 1,354 2.91 143.22 3,479 548.92 1,483 1,357 2.90 142.81 3,535 (Thousand Metric Tons) 555.63 571.61 578.12 1,524 1,561 1,571 1,361 1,358 1,362 2.90 2.90 2.90 142.55 142.50 142.64 3,587 3,636 3,656 575.26 1,590 1,359 2.90 142.96 3,671 561.93 1,617 1,360 2.90 143.38 3,685 562.74 1,631 1,360 2.89 143.86 3,700 565.37 1,636 1,357 2.90 144.41 3,706 548.17 1,697 1,363 2.89 146.32 3,758 541.16 1,754 1,362 2.88 147.99 3,808 2011 2012 2013 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Palm Kernel Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use Iranian Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 51.76 19.66 5.68 51.64 19.12 5.52 51.71 19.41 5.61 51.72 19.46 5.62 51.78 19.73 5.70 51.84 19.99 5.77 51.92 20.36 5.88 51.97 20.57 5.94 51.92 20.34 5.87 51.99 20.66 5.97 52.07 21.03 6.07 52.17 21.51 6.21 52.22 21.71 6.27 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 129.08 41.38 12.17 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 233.00 82.51 44.72 232.85 82.45 44.69 232.77 82.42 44.67 232.75 82.42 44.67 232.69 82.40 44.66 232.66 82.38 44.65 232.63 82.38 44.65 232.62 82.37 44.65 232.68 82.39 44.66 232.70 82.40 44.66 232.67 82.39 44.66 232.69 82.40 44.66 232.66 82.39 44.65 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 124.18 62.85 9.97 124.14 62.81 9.96 124.13 62.80 9.96 124.15 62.82 9.96 124.16 62.83 9.96 124.17 62.84 9.97 124.19 62.86 9.97 124.20 62.87 9.97 124.22 62.88 9.97 124.22 62.89 9.97 124.21 62.88 9.97 124.21 62.87 9.97 124.19 62.86 9.97 493.42 115.06 28.79 24.26 661.53 496.11 114.46 30.07 25.62 666.26 504.72 114.53 30.50 25.77 675.52 502.30 114.46 30.78 26.14 673.68 (Thousand Metric Tons) 506.79 511.77 517.44 114.45 114.51 114.70 30.94 31.10 31.27 26.56 27.11 27.74 678.74 684.49 691.15 521.31 114.79 31.45 28.41 695.96 520.55 114.75 31.63 29.07 696.00 525.57 114.73 31.78 29.67 701.74 530.83 114.37 31.86 30.18 707.24 540.25 113.55 31.99 31.63 717.42 544.30 114.08 31.94 32.44 722.77 Total Fertilizer Use Wheat, All Rice, All Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 264 Iraq Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5.41 5.66 6.01 5.41 5.66 6.01 6.40 6.40 6.70 6.70 7.04 7.04 7.36 7.36 8.66 8.66 9.02 9.02 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 4.41 4.41 4.99 4.99 5.33 5.33 5.32 5.32 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 48.61 19.49 20.03 48.61 19.49 20.03 Japanese Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.18 4.92 5.43 16.25 4.98 5.59 16.23 4.97 5.56 16.23 4.97 5.56 16.22 4.95 5.53 16.24 4.97 5.57 16.25 4.98 5.60 16.23 4.97 5.56 16.19 4.93 5.46 16.21 4.94 5.49 16.21 4.95 5.51 16.18 4.92 5.44 16.17 4.91 5.40 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.34 68.58 70.48 76.37 68.75 70.66 76.63 70.04 71.99 76.32 68.45 70.35 76.44 69.06 70.98 76.35 68.64 70.54 76.44 69.08 71.00 76.40 68.88 70.79 76.30 68.35 70.24 76.40 68.88 70.80 76.56 69.68 71.61 76.61 69.92 71.86 76.65 70.10 72.04 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 67.84 18.91 24.23 67.92 19.19 24.58 67.98 19.37 24.82 67.90 19.10 24.47 67.88 19.05 24.41 67.88 19.04 24.40 67.88 19.05 24.40 67.87 19.01 24.36 67.78 18.71 23.98 67.77 18.69 23.95 67.81 18.82 24.11 67.80 18.79 24.07 67.87 19.00 24.34 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 14.13 50.10 32.84 14.19 50.16 32.88 14.18 50.15 32.87 14.16 50.13 32.86 14.11 50.07 32.82 14.12 50.09 32.83 14.10 50.07 32.82 14.08 50.05 32.81 14.06 50.03 32.80 14.05 50.02 32.79 13.98 49.95 32.74 13.88 49.86 32.68 13.83 49.81 32.65 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 117.14 200.86 99.50 117.51 206.99 102.54 117.46 206.09 102.09 117.28 203.07 100.59 116.99 198.32 98.24 116.97 197.99 98.08 116.76 194.47 96.33 116.78 194.87 96.53 117.01 198.54 98.35 117.11 200.10 99.12 116.98 198.02 98.09 116.86 196.05 97.12 116.85 195.92 97.05 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 122.50 49.11 50.47 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 44.57 17.95 12.03 44.57 17.95 12.03 44.58 17.95 12.03 44.59 17.96 12.04 44.61 17.96 12.04 44.63 17.97 12.05 44.65 17.98 12.05 44.66 17.98 12.05 44.67 17.99 12.06 44.68 17.99 12.06 44.68 17.99 12.06 44.69 17.99 12.06 44.68 17.99 12.06 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 145.01 267.01 131.86 145.02 267.05 131.88 145.02 267.06 131.88 145.03 267.08 131.89 145.04 267.11 131.91 145.05 267.15 131.93 145.06 267.19 131.94 145.07 267.22 131.96 145.08 267.26 131.98 145.09 267.29 131.99 145.09 267.30 132.00 145.10 267.32 132.01 145.10 267.32 132.01 0.03 11.20 22.75 14.07 0.42 359.78 1.73 36.40 446.38 0.05 11.89 24.32 14.09 0.43 357.53 1.74 36.73 446.79 0.05 13.59 25.27 13.73 0.43 353.09 1.75 36.90 444.82 0.05 12.27 24.93 13.77 0.43 351.84 1.76 37.11 442.15 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0.05 0.05 0.05 13.11 12.58 12.72 25.03 24.96 24.87 13.64 13.42 13.25 0.42 0.41 0.40 351.58 350.98 349.08 1.77 1.77 1.77 37.17 37.13 37.02 442.78 441.31 439.19 0.05 12.56 24.77 13.14 0.40 346.75 1.77 36.89 436.34 0.05 12.63 24.52 13.06 0.41 344.13 1.77 36.72 433.29 0.05 12.71 24.48 12.96 0.41 341.54 1.76 36.51 430.43 0.05 12.76 24.48 12.82 0.40 338.81 1.75 36.24 427.32 0.05 12.99 24.50 12.42 0.40 330.22 1.71 35.29 417.59 0.05 12.50 25.43 11.98 0.39 326.99 1.68 34.48 413.49 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Rice, All Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 265 Kazakhstan Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 (Thousand Metric Tons) 25.01 25.93 26.90 25.01 25.93 26.90 27.78 27.78 28.81 28.81 29.53 29.53 30.33 30.33 30.87 30.87 31.85 31.85 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) 81.76 53.57 28.77 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 21.31 21.31 28.09 28.09 25.81 25.81 23.69 23.69 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Cotton Total Fertilizer Use 2014 73.54 52.76 28.34 73.54 52.76 28.34 Kenyan Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 1.42 1.42 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 1.43 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 53.88 29.94 0.00 53.88 29.94 0.00 Malaysian Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 115.21 47.87 39.94 115.62 48.34 40.95 115.80 48.55 41.41 115.65 48.38 41.02 115.50 48.20 40.65 115.20 47.86 39.90 115.29 47.96 40.11 115.49 48.20 40.62 115.63 48.36 40.97 115.78 48.53 41.36 115.82 48.58 41.46 115.48 48.19 40.60 115.42 48.11 40.43 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 102.35 36.08 234.22 104.87 36.97 239.99 105.24 37.10 240.84 105.18 37.08 240.70 106.22 37.45 243.07 107.34 37.85 245.65 106.98 37.72 244.83 104.65 36.90 239.49 105.42 37.17 241.24 105.53 37.21 241.50 105.07 37.04 240.45 105.29 37.12 240.94 105.99 37.37 242.56 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 132.02 70.30 79.14 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 149.73 62.39 174.68 149.62 62.34 174.56 149.53 62.31 174.46 149.49 62.29 174.41 149.44 62.27 174.35 149.37 62.24 174.27 149.33 62.22 174.22 149.35 62.23 174.24 149.39 62.24 174.28 149.41 62.26 174.32 149.43 62.26 174.34 149.49 62.29 174.41 149.52 62.30 174.43 5.68 1,714 187.18 4.63 1,912 5.90 1,776 182.76 4.41 1,969 5.65 1,787 180.19 4.21 1,977 5.59 1,793 182.98 4.13 1,986 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5.50 5.44 5.37 1,820 1,850 1,858 185.55 188.27 190.09 4.07 4.03 4.01 2,015 2,048 2,058 5.33 1,833 191.19 3.99 2,034 5.28 1,862 191.47 3.98 2,062 5.26 1,881 191.69 3.96 2,082 5.20 1,891 192.16 3.93 2,092 4.99 1,952 191.01 3.81 2,151 4.87 2,004 195.96 3.72 2,209 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Palm Kernel Rice, All Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 266 Mali Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 (Thousand Metric Tons) 37.42 38.00 38.64 37.42 38.00 38.64 39.31 39.31 39.83 39.83 40.51 40.51 41.13 41.13 42.89 42.89 44.04 44.04 (Kilograms per Hectare) 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 27.45 20.68 17.11 37.51 37.51 36.98 36.98 36.88 36.88 37.06 37.06 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 27.45 20.68 17.11 267 27.45 20.68 17.11 Mexician Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 92.92 12.70 2.23 92.70 12.62 2.20 92.08 12.39 2.09 91.87 12.31 2.06 91.64 12.23 2.02 91.70 12.25 2.03 91.75 12.27 2.04 91.60 12.21 2.02 91.26 12.09 1.96 91.36 12.12 1.98 91.40 12.14 1.98 91.13 12.04 1.94 91.02 12.00 1.92 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 6.99 0.69 0.00 7.02 0.71 0.00 7.05 0.73 0.00 7.03 0.71 0.00 7.03 0.72 0.00 7.03 0.72 0.00 7.05 0.73 0.00 7.04 0.72 0.00 7.04 0.72 0.00 7.05 0.73 0.00 7.07 0.74 0.00 7.08 0.75 0.00 7.09 0.75 0.00 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 10.46 1.02 0.00 10.58 1.03 0.00 10.59 1.03 0.00 10.62 1.04 0.00 10.61 1.03 0.00 10.66 1.04 0.00 10.71 1.04 0.00 10.72 1.05 0.00 10.72 1.04 0.00 10.77 1.05 0.00 10.81 1.05 0.00 10.85 1.06 0.00 10.89 1.06 0.00 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 83.67 10.01 3.65 83.75 10.13 3.69 83.83 10.24 3.73 83.74 10.11 3.68 83.77 10.15 3.70 83.80 10.20 3.71 83.82 10.22 3.72 83.82 10.22 3.72 83.76 10.13 3.69 83.76 10.14 3.69 83.80 10.19 3.71 83.83 10.23 3.73 83.84 10.24 3.73 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 47.78 31.53 0.00 47.85 31.58 0.00 47.79 31.54 0.00 47.63 31.44 0.00 47.62 31.43 0.00 47.61 31.42 0.00 47.58 31.40 0.00 47.56 31.39 0.00 47.54 31.37 0.00 47.54 31.38 0.00 47.48 31.34 0.00 47.48 31.34 0.00 47.48 31.34 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 54.51 12.58 0.00 54.32 12.57 0.00 53.79 12.53 0.00 53.38 12.51 0.00 52.99 12.48 0.00 52.70 12.46 0.00 52.76 12.47 0.00 52.84 12.47 0.00 52.96 12.48 0.00 53.06 12.49 0.00 53.16 12.49 0.00 53.48 12.51 0.00 53.72 12.53 0.00 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 97.03 35.15 34.04 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 54.44 27.19 18.13 52.95 27.08 18.05 55.24 27.25 18.17 55.39 27.26 18.18 55.53 27.28 18.18 55.68 27.29 18.19 55.68 27.29 18.19 55.68 27.29 18.19 55.68 27.29 18.19 55.68 27.29 18.19 55.68 27.29 18.19 55.68 27.29 18.19 55.68 27.29 18.19 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 104.23 32.98 91.67 104.21 32.97 91.65 104.15 32.95 91.60 104.12 32.94 91.58 104.10 32.93 91.55 104.08 32.93 91.54 104.07 32.93 91.53 104.08 32.93 91.53 104.10 32.93 91.55 104.10 32.93 91.56 104.08 32.93 91.54 104.05 32.92 91.51 104.04 32.91 91.50 776.55 2.38 21.24 72.22 5.55 3.02 8.31 10.65 148.77 1,049 756.98 2.24 21.63 70.57 5.65 2.96 8.33 11.06 150.61 1,030 732.47 2.37 20.20 72.45 5.59 2.98 8.50 11.09 149.82 1,005 728.33 2.20 21.20 71.09 5.64 2.96 8.57 11.05 149.66 1,001 (Thousand Metric Tons) 722.23 716.32 713.24 2.27 2.23 2.25 20.83 21.43 21.33 71.19 72.26 72.25 5.75 5.85 5.96 2.94 2.91 2.91 8.77 8.81 8.91 11.04 11.04 11.02 149.79 149.97 150.13 995 991 988 705.48 2.23 21.55 72.34 6.06 2.91 8.94 10.99 150.35 981 698.21 2.23 21.53 71.75 6.16 2.90 8.97 10.98 150.65 973 694.92 2.22 21.68 71.81 6.27 2.90 8.98 10.95 150.93 971 690.92 2.21 21.69 71.75 6.36 2.89 8.98 10.92 151.20 967 677.29 2.20 21.77 70.51 6.64 2.89 9.11 10.77 151.99 953 670.25 2.17 21.71 69.03 6.82 2.88 9.24 10.69 152.62 945 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 268 Moroccan Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 29.09 16.68 3.86 29.23 17.58 4.07 29.29 17.99 4.16 29.28 17.93 4.15 29.21 17.45 4.04 29.15 17.05 3.94 29.24 17.63 4.08 29.13 16.84 3.90 29.23 17.54 4.06 29.24 17.61 4.07 29.17 17.11 3.96 29.15 17.00 3.93 29.16 17.04 3.94 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 141.23 61.55 91.67 141.20 61.54 91.65 141.15 61.52 91.62 141.16 61.52 91.62 141.15 61.52 91.62 141.15 61.52 91.62 141.14 61.52 91.61 141.14 61.52 91.61 141.15 61.52 91.61 141.13 61.51 91.61 141.11 61.50 91.59 141.05 61.48 91.55 141.00 61.45 91.52 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 164.15 133.74 58.94 164.14 133.72 58.93 164.13 133.70 58.92 164.13 133.70 58.92 164.14 133.71 58.93 164.14 133.72 58.93 164.14 133.72 58.93 164.15 133.74 58.94 164.16 133.75 58.94 164.16 133.75 58.94 164.16 133.75 58.94 164.16 133.75 58.94 164.16 133.74 58.94 138.95 4.40 23.60 166.96 139.59 4.50 24.26 168.35 143.43 4.48 24.12 172.03 144.42 4.47 24.03 172.92 (Thousand Metric Tons) 139.14 137.72 138.71 4.49 4.51 4.54 23.88 23.83 23.88 167.51 166.06 167.14 135.01 4.59 23.99 163.58 136.35 4.63 24.09 165.07 135.98 4.66 24.14 164.78 133.46 4.67 24.12 162.25 130.47 4.72 23.92 159.10 128.17 4.73 23.60 156.50 2012 2013 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.51 1.54 1.56 1.58 1.58 1.60 1.60 1.63 1.63 1.65 1.65 1.71 1.71 1.75 1.75 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 (Thousand Metric Tons) 63.67 63.78 64.00 63.67 63.78 64.00 64.10 64.10 64.21 64.21 64.30 64.30 64.58 64.58 65.43 65.43 65.68 65.68 Total Fertilizer Use Wheat, All Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use Mozambique Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 1.43 1.43 1.44 1.44 1.47 1.47 1.49 1.49 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 5.19 2.67 0.00 5.19 2.67 0.00 Myanmar (Burma) Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 6.71 2.03 0.16 63.18 63.18 62.71 62.71 63.08 63.08 63.39 63.39 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 6.71 2.03 0.16 269 6.71 2.03 0.16 Nigerian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 1.41 0.40 0.00 1.42 0.40 0.00 1.41 0.40 0.00 1.41 0.40 0.00 1.40 0.40 0.00 1.40 0.40 0.00 1.40 0.40 0.00 1.40 0.40 0.00 1.39 0.40 0.00 1.39 0.40 0.00 1.39 0.40 0.00 1.39 0.40 0.00 1.39 0.40 0.00 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 5.99 2.37 0.00 13.76 20.50 34.26 14.26 20.41 34.67 13.96 20.49 34.45 14.09 20.60 34.69 (Thousand Metric Tons) 13.94 14.08 14.05 20.85 21.21 21.32 34.80 35.29 35.37 14.04 21.48 35.52 14.00 21.48 35.47 14.05 21.49 35.53 14.12 21.49 35.61 14.32 21.29 35.61 14.44 21.82 36.25 Total Fertilizer Use Sorghum Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 270 Other Oceanian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 140.24 42.44 46.28 140.91 43.00 47.88 140.84 42.94 47.70 140.76 42.87 47.50 140.61 42.75 47.14 140.75 42.86 47.47 140.90 42.99 47.84 140.76 42.87 47.49 140.47 42.64 46.81 140.75 42.86 47.46 140.98 43.06 48.01 141.03 43.10 48.13 141.08 43.15 48.28 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 172.59 207.74 11.31 173.71 215.20 11.72 174.82 222.79 12.13 174.21 218.47 11.89 174.65 221.50 12.06 174.47 220.25 11.99 174.70 221.85 12.08 173.62 214.32 11.67 172.40 205.99 11.21 173.32 212.07 11.55 173.84 215.55 11.73 173.61 213.99 11.65 173.30 211.91 11.54 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 33.83 22.48 2.92 33.81 22.41 2.91 33.61 21.65 2.81 33.53 21.38 2.78 33.38 20.82 2.71 33.29 20.53 2.67 33.08 19.78 2.57 33.08 19.81 2.57 33.01 19.57 2.54 33.07 19.75 2.57 33.09 19.83 2.58 33.09 19.83 2.58 33.09 19.84 2.58 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 43.21 31.18 4.05 43.34 31.71 4.12 43.36 31.78 4.13 42.95 30.11 3.91 42.96 30.18 3.92 42.91 29.97 3.90 42.94 30.06 3.91 42.87 29.80 3.87 42.65 28.95 3.76 42.70 29.16 3.79 42.76 29.37 3.82 42.64 28.93 3.76 42.59 28.74 3.74 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 124.25 35.88 45.98 124.28 35.97 46.08 124.30 36.05 46.18 124.27 35.94 46.05 124.27 35.93 46.03 124.28 35.97 46.09 124.28 35.98 46.11 124.28 35.97 46.09 124.24 35.85 45.93 124.25 35.87 45.95 124.27 35.93 46.04 124.28 35.98 46.09 124.29 36.00 46.12 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 19.42 68.89 45.16 19.56 69.02 45.24 19.57 69.03 45.24 19.47 68.93 45.18 19.48 68.94 45.19 19.50 68.96 45.20 19.48 68.94 45.19 19.47 68.93 45.18 19.48 68.94 45.19 19.48 68.95 45.19 19.43 68.90 45.16 19.39 68.85 45.13 19.35 68.82 45.11 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 67.51 52.06 5.31 67.54 52.25 5.33 67.10 48.99 5.00 66.67 46.01 4.70 66.45 44.53 4.55 66.20 42.97 4.39 65.85 40.74 4.16 65.67 39.68 4.05 65.65 39.57 4.04 65.64 39.51 4.03 65.54 38.96 3.98 65.44 38.39 3.92 65.41 38.20 3.90 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 12.83 22.95 3.21 12.84 22.98 3.21 12.84 22.97 3.21 12.84 22.97 3.21 12.84 22.96 3.21 12.83 22.96 3.21 12.80 22.90 3.20 12.79 22.89 3.20 12.80 22.91 3.20 12.79 22.88 3.20 12.76 22.82 3.19 12.73 22.77 3.18 12.71 22.73 3.18 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 12.65 22.83 3.19 12.64 22.82 3.19 12.55 22.78 3.18 12.45 22.73 3.18 12.32 22.66 3.17 12.27 22.64 3.16 12.22 22.61 3.16 12.22 22.61 3.16 12.27 22.64 3.16 12.31 22.66 3.17 12.37 22.69 3.17 12.61 22.81 3.19 12.79 22.90 3.20 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 52.39 32.31 81.78 52.79 32.56 82.42 52.55 32.41 82.04 52.32 32.26 81.67 52.23 32.21 81.54 52.18 32.18 81.45 52.07 32.11 81.29 52.02 32.08 81.21 51.99 32.06 81.16 51.88 32.00 80.99 51.78 31.93 80.83 51.64 31.84 80.61 51.62 31.83 80.57 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 182.81 80.03 118.16 182.79 80.02 118.15 182.74 80.00 118.12 182.76 80.01 118.13 182.77 80.02 118.14 182.79 80.02 118.15 182.81 80.03 118.16 182.86 80.05 118.20 182.91 80.08 118.23 182.92 80.08 118.24 182.91 80.08 118.23 182.91 80.07 118.22 182.87 80.06 118.20 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 271 Other Oceanian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 4.73 19.58 55.68 2.75 0.00 7.42 6.01 0.25 2.14 0.85 20.73 0.00 22.14 142.28 4.91 20.42 59.09 2.79 0.00 6.71 6.15 0.25 2.18 0.84 20.98 0.00 22.54 146.87 4.85 23.78 58.54 2.81 0.00 7.20 6.23 0.24 2.14 0.84 21.02 0.00 22.24 149.89 4.89 21.03 58.09 2.72 0.00 6.60 6.33 0.23 2.14 0.84 21.14 0.00 22.27 146.28 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Palm Kernel Rice, All Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 4.86 4.88 4.89 22.53 21.73 22.07 57.23 56.62 55.67 2.72 2.70 2.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.79 6.53 6.70 6.45 6.56 6.67 0.23 0.22 0.21 2.15 2.16 2.16 0.83 0.82 0.82 21.36 21.60 21.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.22 22.23 22.29 147.36 146.05 146.06 4.88 21.30 55.78 2.70 0.00 6.64 6.79 0.21 2.17 0.82 22.15 0.00 22.38 145.81 4.85 20.93 55.51 2.66 0.00 6.64 6.92 0.21 2.18 0.82 22.42 0.00 22.44 145.58 4.88 21.26 55.79 2.68 0.00 6.58 7.04 0.21 2.19 0.82 22.68 0.00 22.43 146.55 4.90 21.34 56.00 2.69 0.00 6.60 7.16 0.20 2.20 0.82 22.96 0.00 22.34 147.21 4.90 21.48 56.23 2.68 0.00 6.43 7.53 0.20 2.23 0.82 23.85 0.00 22.00 148.35 4.90 21.27 56.52 2.69 0.00 6.34 7.77 0.20 2.25 0.83 24.48 0.00 21.62 148.86 272 2015 Pakistani Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 143.57 42.45 4.28 146.68 44.97 4.94 148.74 46.71 5.44 150.40 48.15 5.87 151.64 49.25 6.22 152.76 50.25 6.55 153.64 51.05 6.82 153.48 50.90 6.77 152.02 49.57 6.31 153.01 50.46 6.60 153.86 51.23 6.86 153.76 51.14 6.83 153.63 51.01 6.79 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.20 17.47 0.00 48.35 21.94 0.00 51.90 30.83 0.00 53.72 36.77 0.00 56.55 47.46 0.00 59.42 60.70 0.00 62.57 78.45 0.00 62.76 79.77 0.00 62.18 75.71 0.00 63.69 85.82 0.00 65.18 96.87 0.00 66.43 107.24 0.00 66.50 107.83 0.00 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 45.69 7.34 0.00 46.72 7.50 0.00 47.53 7.63 0.00 47.70 7.66 0.00 47.25 7.59 0.00 48.72 7.82 0.00 50.52 8.11 0.00 50.88 8.17 0.00 50.17 8.06 0.00 52.59 8.44 0.00 54.29 8.72 0.00 56.93 9.14 0.00 59.46 9.55 0.00 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 129.19 26.41 0.97 129.27 26.59 0.97 129.52 27.19 1.00 129.33 26.74 0.98 129.31 26.68 0.98 129.33 26.74 0.98 129.39 26.88 0.98 129.42 26.94 0.99 129.18 26.37 0.97 129.22 26.46 0.97 129.31 26.68 0.98 129.41 26.93 0.99 129.46 27.04 0.99 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 100.51 27.75 1.54 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 190.84 33.29 1.01 188.23 33.22 1.01 192.43 33.33 1.01 193.42 33.36 1.01 194.41 33.38 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 195.39 33.41 1.01 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 186.55 48.61 3.52 186.18 48.51 3.51 186.06 48.48 3.51 186.20 48.52 3.51 186.27 48.54 3.51 186.38 48.56 3.51 186.48 48.59 3.52 186.59 48.62 3.52 186.69 48.65 3.52 186.72 48.65 3.52 186.70 48.65 3.52 186.73 48.66 3.52 186.69 48.65 3.52 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 112.89 36.76 0.80 112.82 36.72 0.80 112.80 36.70 0.80 112.82 36.72 0.80 112.83 36.72 0.80 112.85 36.74 0.80 112.87 36.75 0.80 112.89 36.76 0.80 112.91 36.77 0.80 112.91 36.77 0.80 112.89 36.76 0.80 112.89 36.76 0.80 112.86 36.74 0.80 199.82 10.19 12.73 1,409 311.52 652.84 256.58 0.38 2,853 216.99 11.22 13.28 1,375 353.36 687.03 259.07 0.37 2,916 203.10 14.96 12.12 1,429 360.67 696.99 257.54 0.35 2,975 218.87 15.90 12.99 1,387 368.73 698.83 260.58 0.36 2,963 (Thousand Metric Tons) 217.00 221.52 219.02 19.79 23.02 28.21 11.85 12.34 12.40 1,391 1,389 1,388 374.22 372.83 372.50 712.03 723.81 730.83 261.63 262.92 264.71 0.36 0.35 0.36 2,988 3,006 3,016 216.22 29.19 12.58 1,382 376.92 737.18 266.71 0.36 3,021 211.20 28.54 12.39 1,373 375.05 743.78 268.28 0.36 3,013 212.69 30.63 13.12 1,379 377.12 750.05 269.14 0.35 3,032 212.76 33.32 13.68 1,379 373.92 756.38 269.09 0.35 3,039 207.22 36.54 14.59 1,377 387.74 772.96 268.05 0.33 3,064 204.81 36.34 15.67 1,373 386.83 784.99 265.75 0.30 3,068 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Sorghum Wheat, All Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 273 Paraguayan Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 2.86 11.46 0.06 2.86 11.46 0.06 2.86 11.46 0.06 2.86 11.46 0.06 2.85 11.45 0.06 2.85 11.45 0.06 2.85 11.45 0.06 (Thousand Metric Tons) 42.86 43.46 44.11 42.86 43.46 44.11 44.82 44.82 45.56 45.56 46.29 46.29 47.01 47.01 49.14 49.14 50.50 50.50 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 69.70 69.70 69.70 69.72 69.72 69.72 69.74 69.74 69.74 69.75 69.75 69.75 69.74 69.74 69.74 69.73 69.73 69.73 69.72 69.72 69.72 (Thousand Metric Tons) 16.06 16.09 16.17 16.06 16.09 16.17 16.29 16.29 16.39 16.39 16.44 16.44 16.43 16.43 16.27 16.27 16.03 16.03 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) 2.86 11.46 0.06 2.87 11.47 0.06 2.86 11.46 0.06 2.85 11.45 0.06 39.55 39.55 40.97 40.97 41.85 41.85 42.40 42.40 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Soybeans Total Fertilizer Use 2014 2.85 11.45 0.06 2.85 11.45 0.06 Peruvian Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 69.64 69.64 69.64 69.63 69.63 69.63 69.63 69.63 69.63 69.65 69.65 69.65 16.71 16.71 16.53 16.53 16.19 16.19 16.11 16.11 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use 2014 69.66 69.66 69.66 69.68 69.68 69.68 Philippine Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 40.24 5.84 2.73 40.88 6.09 3.04 41.33 6.27 3.28 41.63 6.40 3.45 41.87 6.50 3.59 42.30 6.68 3.85 42.65 6.84 4.08 42.73 6.87 4.13 42.38 6.72 3.89 42.64 6.83 4.06 42.90 6.95 4.24 43.04 7.01 4.34 43.11 7.04 4.39 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 49.19 8.08 2.64 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 27.06 18.38 44.18 27.04 18.37 44.16 27.04 18.37 44.15 27.05 18.37 44.17 27.06 18.38 44.18 27.06 18.38 44.19 27.07 18.39 44.20 27.08 18.39 44.22 27.09 18.40 44.23 27.09 18.40 44.24 27.08 18.40 44.23 27.08 18.39 44.22 27.07 18.39 44.21 129.34 266.57 35.85 431.76 130.42 264.31 34.72 429.46 128.71 264.89 33.38 426.98 132.26 265.88 33.03 431.17 (Thousand Metric Tons) 133.17 135.66 136.95 266.77 267.77 268.46 32.94 33.10 33.48 432.87 436.53 438.89 136.92 269.04 33.96 439.92 134.42 269.25 34.40 438.07 134.79 269.38 34.76 438.93 135.46 269.26 35.00 439.72 134.02 268.71 35.49 438.22 133.06 270.58 35.53 439.17 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Rice, All Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 274 Russian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 69.20 22.63 17.95 70.29 23.61 19.96 71.57 24.80 22.57 71.03 24.28 21.34 70.26 23.55 19.68 69.53 22.88 18.23 68.84 22.25 16.93 67.39 20.96 14.39 65.64 19.46 11.72 64.58 18.60 10.38 63.99 18.13 9.70 63.00 17.37 8.66 62.53 17.01 8.20 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 16.20 8.71 6.17 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 17.60 2.46 1.34 17.58 2.44 1.33 17.62 2.47 1.35 17.63 2.48 1.35 17.70 2.53 1.38 17.80 2.62 1.43 17.90 2.70 1.47 17.99 2.77 1.51 18.01 2.79 1.52 18.14 2.90 1.58 18.27 3.01 1.64 18.57 3.30 1.80 18.72 3.45 1.88 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 18.33 3.06 1.94 18.24 2.98 1.90 18.28 3.01 1.92 18.29 3.02 1.92 18.28 3.02 1.92 18.20 2.94 1.87 18.15 2.90 1.84 18.09 2.84 1.81 18.14 2.89 1.84 18.12 2.87 1.82 18.11 2.86 1.82 18.07 2.82 1.79 18.06 2.81 1.79 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 20.33 8.16 3.34 20.32 8.11 3.32 20.38 8.37 3.43 20.33 8.16 3.34 20.36 8.27 3.39 20.37 8.32 3.41 20.38 8.39 3.44 20.38 8.39 3.43 20.39 8.42 3.45 20.36 8.29 3.39 20.37 8.36 3.42 20.40 8.50 3.48 20.40 8.50 3.48 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 102.86 64.45 64.94 102.84 64.43 64.92 102.84 64.43 64.92 102.87 64.46 64.96 102.89 64.48 64.98 102.92 64.51 65.01 102.94 64.54 65.03 102.96 64.56 65.06 102.99 64.60 65.09 102.99 64.60 65.09 102.97 64.58 65.07 102.98 64.58 65.07 102.96 64.56 65.06 126.25 223.74 72.75 39.66 849.76 204.76 1,517 132.20 253.16 70.00 41.96 838.46 203.53 1,539 131.07 264.58 77.84 46.79 863.53 203.64 1,587 130.56 265.84 79.58 42.35 850.12 206.12 1,575 (Thousand Metric Tons) 125.94 123.27 119.92 273.52 278.15 280.05 77.96 80.24 79.06 45.14 42.17 43.34 851.35 856.87 857.06 208.54 211.30 214.39 1,582 1,592 1,594 114.06 280.10 81.58 41.46 856.03 217.70 1,591 107.12 281.54 81.02 42.57 854.16 221.01 1,587 103.34 285.82 83.36 41.42 848.66 224.11 1,587 101.17 283.34 83.89 42.06 849.00 227.03 1,586 97.81 286.88 88.29 40.78 850.94 236.03 1,601 96.30 288.48 90.41 40.65 847.08 241.96 1,605 2012 2013 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 (Thousand Metric Tons) 9.23 9.55 9.69 9.23 9.55 9.69 9.75 9.75 9.75 9.75 9.76 9.76 9.75 9.75 9.78 9.78 10.08 10.08 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Wheat, All Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Senegal Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 27.72 20.88 17.28 8.89 8.89 8.98 8.98 9.00 9.00 9.17 9.17 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 27.72 20.88 17.28 275 27.72 20.88 17.28 Sierra Leone Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 2.67 2.68 2.70 2.67 2.68 2.70 2.71 2.71 2.73 2.73 2.75 2.75 2.77 2.77 2.84 2.84 2.86 2.86 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.65 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 2.88 1.14 0.00 2.88 1.14 0.00 South African Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 56.20 20.20 5.34 57.02 21.00 5.89 57.31 21.30 6.11 57.69 21.69 6.40 57.93 21.94 6.59 58.25 22.27 6.85 58.57 22.61 7.12 58.94 23.00 7.44 58.60 22.63 7.13 58.74 22.78 7.25 58.85 22.90 7.35 58.74 22.78 7.25 58.70 22.74 7.22 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 32.77 24.32 4.92 33.15 25.86 5.24 33.63 27.90 5.65 33.50 27.33 5.54 33.60 27.76 5.62 33.85 28.91 5.85 34.14 30.25 6.13 34.10 30.09 6.09 33.80 28.61 5.80 34.00 29.53 5.98 34.19 30.46 6.17 34.44 31.70 6.42 34.60 32.52 6.59 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 54.86 23.36 4.56 55.96 23.83 4.65 56.14 23.91 4.66 56.60 24.10 4.70 56.32 23.98 4.68 56.75 24.16 4.71 57.35 24.42 4.76 57.56 24.51 4.78 57.06 24.30 4.74 57.66 24.55 4.79 58.39 24.86 4.85 59.60 25.38 4.95 60.54 25.78 5.03 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 185.82 90.65 191.81 185.76 90.62 191.75 185.72 90.60 191.70 185.71 90.60 191.70 185.71 90.60 191.70 185.72 90.60 191.71 185.74 90.61 191.73 185.76 90.62 191.75 185.79 90.63 191.78 185.80 90.64 191.79 185.79 90.63 191.78 185.77 90.62 191.76 185.74 90.61 191.73 245.22 5.27 7.45 0.00 131.12 389.06 258.29 5.23 7.93 0.00 133.31 404.75 237.10 6.08 7.55 0.00 133.09 383.82 251.30 5.54 8.17 0.00 133.35 398.35 (Thousand Metric Tons) 249.14 255.08 255.28 5.83 5.82 6.08 7.86 8.16 8.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 133.47 133.72 134.08 396.30 402.78 403.58 257.62 6.02 8.30 0.00 134.46 406.40 253.52 5.87 8.23 0.00 134.74 402.36 253.49 5.95 8.39 0.00 134.86 402.69 252.46 6.07 8.54 0.00 134.74 401.81 244.58 6.29 8.89 0.00 134.00 393.77 239.86 6.39 9.15 0.00 133.00 388.40 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Sorghum Rice, All Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 276 South Korean Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 71.82 20.65 19.74 71.22 20.18 18.57 70.46 19.59 17.15 69.93 19.19 16.24 69.44 18.82 15.43 69.07 18.54 14.84 68.56 18.16 14.05 68.02 17.77 13.27 67.23 17.20 12.16 66.89 16.96 11.73 66.56 16.73 11.32 65.43 15.95 9.98 64.71 15.47 9.22 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.81 16.79 21.52 58.85 16.94 21.70 58.95 17.28 22.14 58.92 17.18 22.01 58.95 17.25 22.11 58.98 17.38 22.27 59.00 17.42 22.32 59.03 17.53 22.46 58.94 17.21 22.05 58.96 17.30 22.16 58.96 17.30 22.17 58.98 17.35 22.23 58.97 17.33 22.20 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 15.48 52.86 34.65 15.80 53.16 34.85 16.04 53.38 34.99 15.96 53.31 34.95 15.84 53.20 34.87 15.81 53.17 34.85 15.79 53.15 34.84 15.79 53.15 34.84 15.81 53.17 34.85 15.88 53.24 34.90 15.80 53.16 34.85 15.67 53.05 34.77 15.57 52.95 34.71 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 125.99 50.52 51.92 1.80 0.68 8.24 203.76 214.47 1.81 0.68 8.40 198.91 209.80 1.78 0.69 7.95 193.36 203.78 1.76 0.69 7.79 188.22 198.46 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1.74 1.72 1.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 7.76 7.72 7.67 185.25 182.59 181.31 195.43 192.72 191.37 1.67 0.69 7.62 179.86 189.83 1.62 0.69 7.57 178.43 188.32 1.61 0.69 7.53 177.60 187.42 1.59 0.69 7.43 176.53 186.24 1.54 0.69 7.14 172.35 181.72 1.50 0.69 6.90 167.90 176.99 2011 2012 2013 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Wheat, All Soybeans Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use Taiwanese Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 85.21 26.11 29.36 85.74 26.56 30.65 85.65 26.48 30.43 85.78 26.59 30.75 85.71 26.53 30.57 85.86 26.66 30.96 85.98 26.77 31.28 85.88 26.67 31.00 85.62 26.45 30.33 85.76 26.57 30.68 85.87 26.67 30.97 85.82 26.63 30.85 85.81 26.62 30.82 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 107.24 42.99 44.19 1.41 0.00 48.22 49.62 1.76 0.00 48.25 50.01 1.56 0.00 47.72 49.28 1.62 0.00 47.30 48.92 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1.58 1.60 1.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.91 46.46 46.00 48.49 48.06 47.57 1.54 0.00 45.55 47.09 1.49 0.00 45.13 46.62 1.48 0.00 44.73 46.21 1.45 0.00 44.35 45.80 1.41 0.00 43.23 44.64 1.39 0.00 42.32 43.71 2011 2012 2013 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 (Thousand Metric Tons) 9.39 9.40 9.42 9.39 9.40 9.42 9.43 9.43 9.45 9.45 9.45 9.45 9.46 9.46 9.48 9.48 9.52 9.52 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Soybeans Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use Tanzanian Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 8.76 4.50 0.00 9.28 9.28 9.32 9.32 9.35 9.35 9.37 9.37 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 8.76 4.50 0.00 277 8.76 4.50 0.00 Thai Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 61.29 19.54 31.37 61.64 19.85 32.67 61.74 19.93 33.04 61.83 20.01 33.37 61.82 20.00 33.34 61.92 20.10 33.73 62.02 20.18 34.11 61.99 20.15 33.98 61.80 19.99 33.26 61.87 20.05 33.53 61.93 20.10 33.75 61.80 19.98 33.23 61.75 19.94 33.05 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 27.44 7.31 1.55 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 42.87 27.13 38.98 42.85 27.12 38.96 42.83 27.11 38.95 42.84 27.12 38.96 42.85 27.12 38.96 42.85 27.13 38.97 42.86 27.13 38.97 42.86 27.13 38.97 42.86 27.13 38.98 42.86 27.13 38.97 42.84 27.12 38.96 42.83 27.11 38.95 42.83 27.11 38.95 108.83 396.75 116.61 622.19 116.41 390.97 118.91 626.29 110.39 390.57 119.88 620.84 116.29 389.74 120.59 626.61 (Thousand Metric Tons) 117.13 118.27 118.35 391.69 393.69 393.95 121.01 121.37 121.74 629.84 633.33 634.04 118.70 399.04 122.16 639.90 118.16 404.37 122.63 645.16 118.64 407.03 123.12 648.78 119.04 410.92 123.63 653.59 116.61 413.93 125.55 656.09 116.57 420.87 126.92 664.36 2011 2012 2013 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 34.30 19.50 4.51 34.11 18.22 4.22 33.67 15.53 3.59 33.53 14.79 3.42 33.36 13.93 3.22 33.69 15.55 3.60 33.86 16.50 3.82 (Thousand Metric Tons) 37.73 35.53 33.19 37.73 35.53 33.19 31.91 31.91 29.67 29.67 29.10 29.10 28.36 28.36 29.85 29.85 30.35 30.35 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Rice, All Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use Tunisian Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 35.65 31.39 7.26 35.16 26.42 6.11 35.17 26.52 6.14 35.34 27.96 6.47 49.04 49.04 39.56 39.56 41.93 41.93 40.06 40.06 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Wheat, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 34.92 24.21 5.60 34.64 21.98 5.08 Turkish Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 130.88 53.10 5.47 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 144.56 52.22 9.04 140.49 52.00 9.00 140.41 52.00 9.00 140.87 52.03 9.00 141.08 52.04 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 141.48 52.06 9.01 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 90.54 58.65 48.10 90.55 58.65 48.10 90.55 58.66 48.11 90.57 58.68 48.13 90.59 58.70 48.14 90.60 58.72 48.16 90.62 58.74 48.17 90.64 58.76 48.19 90.66 58.79 48.21 90.67 58.80 48.22 90.67 58.80 48.22 90.68 58.80 48.23 90.67 58.80 48.22 19.89 78.05 59.19 157.13 19.65 90.11 60.18 169.94 19.54 81.55 59.36 160.45 19.43 83.26 59.09 161.78 (Thousand Metric Tons) 19.34 19.24 19.15 85.22 86.86 88.62 58.69 58.54 58.69 163.24 164.64 166.46 19.08 90.24 59.03 168.35 19.03 92.42 59.37 170.82 18.99 94.01 59.61 172.61 18.96 95.81 59.68 174.45 18.85 97.66 59.59 176.10 18.66 99.99 59.11 177.76 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Cotton Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 278 United States Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 154.82 65.03 82.20 154.66 65.05 82.68 154.72 65.13 82.88 154.82 65.26 83.31 154.97 65.45 83.92 155.17 65.70 84.77 155.41 65.99 85.76 155.53 66.14 86.26 155.59 66.22 86.57 155.73 66.40 87.19 155.79 66.47 87.47 155.91 66.64 88.08 155.96 66.67 88.27 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 64.19 14.80 4.50 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 89.30 35.35 26.77 90.04 35.72 26.01 90.02 35.72 26.17 90.24 35.82 26.07 90.49 35.94 26.07 90.84 36.10 26.15 91.21 36.26 26.26 91.46 36.38 26.31 91.58 36.44 26.31 91.80 36.54 26.38 91.90 36.60 26.42 92.05 36.72 26.46 92.22 36.81 26.45 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.70 36.82 33.58 77.04 37.19 34.93 76.91 36.75 34.32 76.86 36.49 34.07 76.85 36.35 33.98 76.85 36.34 33.96 76.86 36.42 34.05 76.88 36.47 34.10 76.86 36.36 33.99 76.86 36.35 33.96 76.86 36.39 33.97 76.90 36.47 33.90 76.86 36.30 33.59 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 17.89 52.58 77.45 18.00 52.59 77.26 18.00 52.58 77.18 18.03 52.57 76.98 18.06 52.57 76.91 18.10 52.58 76.84 18.14 52.60 76.84 18.18 52.62 76.81 18.17 52.60 76.71 18.18 52.59 76.65 18.17 52.57 76.60 18.20 52.54 76.36 18.21 52.52 76.21 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 99.09 47.74 53.59 100.20 48.14 54.68 100.40 48.30 55.01 100.29 48.38 55.04 100.29 48.51 55.31 100.32 48.71 55.66 100.35 48.86 55.92 100.38 49.09 56.19 100.39 49.25 56.42 100.36 49.35 56.38 100.37 49.45 56.49 100.27 49.41 55.85 100.20 49.38 55.33 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 279 United States Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 9,950 101 43 0 294 2,834 4,585 290 55 89 422 857 151 129 19,800 10,234 87 42 0 360 2,945 4,512 300 56 95 346 1,122 159 127 20,386 10,331 98 46 0 349 2,839 4,434 305 54 96 333 1,194 153 114 20,345 10,623 98 46 0 363 2,747 4,410 306 55 95 335 1,150 145 111 20,482 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 10,766 10,918 10,947 96 94 93 45 44 44 0 0 0 362 367 364 2,771 2,765 2,768 4,403 4,384 4,408 309 309 311 54 54 55 95 94 94 333 334 334 1,129 1,120 1,117 143 142 140 110 109 109 20,615 20,736 20,783 11,011 92 43 0 370 2,755 4,418 314 55 94 329 1,108 138 109 20,835 11,071 90 42 0 370 2,741 4,419 317 54 94 330 1,100 137 108 20,874 11,115 89 42 0 370 2,729 4,424 319 54 93 333 1,101 136 109 20,913 11,102 88 42 0 371 2,712 4,433 323 55 93 340 1,105 135 109 20,907 11,223 85 40 0 379 2,672 4,415 338 55 93 379 1,119 134 110 21,041 11,288 85 41 0 387 2,548 4,450 351 56 93 365 1,123 134 111 21,032 280 2015 U.S. - Corn Belt Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 165.04 79.66 114.56 165.41 80.15 116.40 165.42 80.16 116.45 165.59 80.39 117.31 165.77 80.63 118.23 166.02 80.97 119.49 166.30 81.35 120.96 166.45 81.55 121.74 166.55 81.68 122.23 166.72 81.92 123.15 166.81 82.03 123.58 167.00 82.29 124.59 167.10 82.43 125.14 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 132.53 63.43 79.29 135.26 64.74 80.92 136.02 65.10 81.38 136.94 65.54 81.93 137.89 66.00 82.50 139.18 66.61 83.27 140.52 67.26 84.07 141.37 67.67 84.58 141.91 67.92 84.90 142.89 68.39 85.49 143.46 68.66 85.83 144.77 69.29 86.61 145.72 69.75 87.18 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 104.62 70.81 92.35 104.82 72.37 94.39 104.62 70.79 92.32 104.53 70.08 91.39 104.44 69.42 90.53 104.42 69.24 90.29 104.44 69.39 90.49 104.45 69.44 90.56 104.38 68.91 89.87 104.34 68.66 89.54 104.37 68.85 89.79 104.40 69.10 90.12 104.34 68.65 89.53 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 17.66 57.78 98.93 17.73 57.84 99.04 17.74 57.85 99.05 17.78 57.88 99.11 17.80 57.90 99.14 17.83 57.93 99.19 17.87 57.96 99.24 17.91 57.99 99.30 17.89 57.98 99.28 17.89 57.98 99.28 17.88 57.97 99.27 17.89 57.98 99.27 17.91 57.99 99.30 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 108.46 34.15 74.92 108.49 34.22 75.06 108.47 34.19 74.99 108.45 34.13 74.87 108.44 34.10 74.80 108.43 34.08 74.76 108.43 34.08 74.77 108.46 34.15 74.91 108.49 34.22 75.06 108.50 34.26 75.15 108.52 34.30 75.24 108.52 34.31 75.26 108.54 34.34 75.33 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 281 U.S. - Corn Belt Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 5,529.7 0.0 5.6 7.6 169.5 2,413.5 5,501.7 0.0 5.6 10.3 189.1 2,336.7 5,571.9 0.0 6.1 10.3 181.4 2,298.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.2 27.6 23.3 37.3 22.5 40.2 21.9 37.0 21.6 35.7 0.0 8,182.6 0.0 8,103.9 0.0 8,130.7 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Thousand Metric Tons) 5,708.8 5,781.1 5,864.4 5,881.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 10.5 10.5 10.8 10.9 168.1 169.8 169.3 171.4 2,265.2 2,251.4 2,233.8 2,245.1 5,913.7 0.0 5.4 11.2 170.9 2,244.9 5,943.2 0.0 5.3 11.3 170.0 2,240.6 5,967.3 0.0 5.3 11.4 170.3 2,241.3 5,961.2 0.0 5.2 11.7 171.0 2,247.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.5 34.9 21.6 34.7 21.2 34.2 21.3 33.7 21.7 33.6 22.4 34.0 26.0 36.4 24.9 37.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 8,217.5 8,275.8 8,340.3 0.0 8,371.0 0.0 8,401.5 0.0 8,425.4 0.0 8,450.8 0.0 8,453.1 282 2015 2023 2025 6,024.6 6,043.4 0.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 12.4 12.7 172.5 161.2 2,233.1 2,241.2 0.0 0.0 8,510.1 8,525.7 U.S. - Central Plains Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 152.65 41.97 31.51 152.96 42.21 31.97 153.05 42.28 32.10 153.25 42.43 32.40 153.44 42.57 32.69 153.65 42.73 33.01 153.88 42.91 33.36 153.99 43.00 33.53 154.05 43.04 33.63 154.13 43.11 33.75 154.16 43.12 33.79 154.19 43.15 33.84 154.20 43.15 33.85 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 82.08 33.83 36.07 82.53 34.02 36.27 82.56 34.03 36.28 82.81 34.13 36.39 83.08 34.25 36.51 83.46 34.40 36.67 83.83 34.55 36.84 84.09 34.66 36.95 84.21 34.71 37.00 84.41 34.79 37.09 84.51 34.83 37.14 84.68 34.90 37.21 84.82 34.96 37.27 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 58.48 32.80 29.34 58.51 32.99 29.51 58.46 32.68 29.23 58.44 32.54 29.11 58.41 32.39 28.97 58.41 32.36 28.95 58.41 32.40 28.98 58.42 32.41 28.99 58.40 32.30 28.89 58.39 32.28 28.87 58.40 32.30 28.89 58.40 32.29 28.89 58.38 32.17 28.77 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.99 46.69 35.85 17.03 46.72 35.87 17.04 46.73 35.88 17.07 46.75 35.89 17.09 46.77 35.91 17.12 46.79 35.92 17.15 46.81 35.94 17.17 46.83 35.95 17.18 46.83 35.96 17.18 46.84 35.96 17.18 46.84 35.96 17.19 46.85 35.97 17.21 46.86 35.97 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 102.00 48.30 78.63 102.05 48.48 78.93 102.08 48.59 79.10 102.08 48.58 79.09 102.10 48.64 79.18 102.12 48.74 79.34 102.14 48.80 79.44 102.18 48.95 79.68 102.21 49.04 79.83 102.23 49.13 79.98 102.25 49.20 80.09 102.28 49.34 80.31 102.32 49.46 80.51 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 283 U.S. - Central Plains Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 1,302.1 2.8 2.0 150.5 578.8 372.6 1,306.0 2.6 1.9 165.9 556.6 367.7 1,316.1 2.9 2.3 162.8 551.2 364.7 9.0 9.3 9.1 9.2 9.2 9.2 0.0 4.4 0.0 4.8 0.0 5.5 0.0 5.4 0.0 5.4 8.4 2,430.8 7.7 2,422.4 6.5 2,421.0 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2013 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,350.3 1,364.0 1,377.2 1,378.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 166.9 165.0 166.5 165.1 534.2 534.1 532.1 533.6 366.1 367.2 367.5 370.6 1,383.5 2.8 2.2 166.7 531.5 372.6 1,389.0 2.7 2.2 166.1 529.2 374.2 1,391.8 2.7 2.2 165.6 528.6 375.8 1,390.0 2.7 2.2 166.1 528.4 377.5 9.2 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.5 9.8 0.0 5.6 0.0 5.8 0.0 6.0 0.0 6.1 0.0 6.4 0.0 6.7 0.0 7.7 0.0 8.3 6.1 6.0 5.9 2,443.5 2,456.0 2,468.9 5.9 2,473.2 5.8 2,480.2 5.8 2,484.6 5.8 2,488.3 5.8 2,488.8 284 2015 2023 2025 1,401.7 1,413.7 2.7 2.7 2.2 2.3 168.2 171.0 525.3 511.1 379.8 384.9 5.8 6.0 2,502.8 2,509.6 U.S. - Delta States Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 154.24 64.52 92.34 154.44 64.75 93.20 154.27 64.56 92.49 154.34 64.64 92.77 154.36 64.67 92.89 154.54 64.87 93.64 154.77 65.14 94.65 154.87 65.26 95.07 154.95 65.35 95.43 155.12 65.55 96.19 155.20 65.63 96.51 155.35 65.81 97.18 155.42 65.89 97.50 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 90.97 35.94 30.32 91.81 36.27 30.60 91.94 36.32 30.65 92.27 36.45 30.76 92.62 36.59 30.87 93.12 36.79 31.04 93.60 36.98 31.20 93.98 37.13 31.33 94.23 37.23 31.41 94.59 37.37 31.53 94.81 37.46 31.60 95.38 37.68 31.79 95.80 37.85 31.93 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 112.93 40.69 52.93 113.06 41.20 53.60 112.94 40.71 52.95 112.90 40.53 52.72 112.87 40.40 52.55 112.87 40.44 52.60 112.91 40.57 52.78 112.94 40.69 52.94 112.93 40.66 52.89 112.95 40.76 53.02 112.99 40.90 53.20 113.06 41.22 53.62 113.07 41.24 53.65 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 12.38 55.05 91.56 12.43 55.11 91.66 12.42 55.11 91.65 12.44 55.13 91.69 12.45 55.14 91.70 12.47 55.17 91.75 12.51 55.21 91.81 12.54 55.24 91.88 12.54 55.24 91.88 12.54 55.25 91.89 12.54 55.24 91.88 12.55 55.26 91.90 12.57 55.28 91.94 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 121.88 51.37 102.56 122.01 51.80 103.43 122.09 52.08 103.98 122.16 52.31 104.45 122.24 52.55 104.92 122.32 52.84 105.50 122.41 53.13 106.07 122.50 53.42 106.66 122.57 53.66 107.14 122.63 53.88 107.58 122.69 54.06 107.95 122.74 54.25 108.31 122.78 54.36 108.54 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 285 U.S. - Delta States Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 205.0 0.0 0.2 202.6 0.0 0.2 201.7 0.0 0.2 207.6 0.0 0.2 (Thousand Metric Tons) 210.0 212.3 211.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 212.7 0.0 0.2 213.1 0.0 0.2 213.0 0.0 0.2 211.2 0.0 0.2 208.8 0.0 0.2 209.2 0.0 0.2 6.2 30.1 397.5 9.4 44.5 401.1 9.2 41.9 390.0 9.9 41.0 395.0 10.1 42.2 398.1 10.5 42.4 397.9 10.5 42.5 398.9 10.9 42.7 401.7 11.1 42.6 402.3 11.2 42.5 401.8 11.3 42.0 399.4 11.7 40.9 388.7 12.2 38.9 395.6 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 1.3 304.8 135.1 71.9 243.1 227.4 74.8 233.4 251.8 71.7 233.8 238.1 67.1 233.1 233.2 66.0 233.5 232.1 65.6 233.9 231.4 65.0 230.2 228.7 64.7 230.9 226.7 64.3 233.2 225.3 64.1 237.6 226.1 64.0 267.4 223.0 64.3 253.7 220.2 65.3 1,152.0 1,204.4 1,201.1 1,194.0 1,194.2 1,195.9 1,195.8 1,193.1 1,192.5 1,192.6 1,193.1 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Palm Kernel Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 286 2015 1,206.3 1,196.6 U.S. - Far West Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 154.18 64.46 92.12 154.31 64.61 92.69 154.18 64.47 92.14 154.19 64.47 92.15 154.21 64.49 92.25 154.28 64.57 92.53 154.39 64.70 93.02 154.43 64.75 93.20 154.45 64.78 93.30 154.54 64.88 93.69 154.56 64.90 93.77 154.58 64.93 93.86 154.59 64.94 93.89 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 99.68 28.61 23.78 99.77 28.89 24.01 99.73 28.74 23.89 99.72 28.72 23.87 99.69 28.61 23.78 99.69 28.62 23.79 99.71 28.69 23.85 99.73 28.74 23.89 99.69 28.63 23.80 99.67 28.56 23.74 99.67 28.54 23.72 99.64 28.46 23.66 99.59 28.30 23.53 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 137.77 82.62 53.59 137.82 82.89 53.77 137.84 82.96 53.81 137.82 82.88 53.76 137.82 82.86 53.75 137.82 82.89 53.77 137.84 82.99 53.83 137.87 83.11 53.91 137.89 83.18 53.95 137.90 83.22 53.98 137.90 83.25 54.00 137.87 83.13 53.92 137.87 83.11 53.91 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 287 U.S. - Far West Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 36.6 30.9 2.6 324.1 0.0 20.0 1.1 40.0 27.1 2.5 332.3 0.0 20.5 0.0 40.0 29.4 2.6 324.0 0.0 20.7 0.0 43.0 29.7 2.7 319.3 0.0 20.8 0.0 65.9 35.0 3.7 3.9 523.9 59.8 51.8 3.1 3.7 540.8 58.6 54.9 2.9 2.9 536.2 59.8 52.0 2.7 2.8 532.7 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 43.4 43.9 43.5 29.3 29.1 28.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 321.0 320.6 320.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.9 20.9 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.7 28.7 2.6 319.7 0.0 21.2 0.0 43.8 28.6 2.6 318.5 0.0 21.3 0.0 43.6 28.4 2.6 317.4 0.0 21.5 0.0 42.9 28.2 2.6 315.7 0.0 21.7 0.0 42.0 27.6 2.5 311.7 0.0 22.4 0.0 42.5 27.9 2.6 305.1 0.0 23.1 0.0 58.7 47.4 2.7 2.6 527.4 58.4 46.6 2.7 2.6 525.1 58.4 46.0 2.7 2.6 523.0 59.4 45.8 2.7 2.6 521.5 60.8 47.5 2.7 2.4 519.8 62.6 48.6 2.7 2.4 517.5 59.4 50.1 2.7 2.8 532.3 288 2015 59.8 49.0 2.7 2.7 531.2 59.5 48.3 2.7 2.6 529.6 U.S. - Lake States Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 143.30 56.87 77.43 143.57 57.17 78.48 143.61 57.21 78.60 143.76 57.38 79.21 143.92 57.55 79.82 144.12 57.77 80.61 144.34 58.02 81.52 144.47 58.16 82.03 144.56 58.26 82.40 144.72 58.43 83.04 144.79 58.51 83.34 144.95 58.70 84.01 145.04 58.79 84.36 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 98.44 42.82 28.55 98.49 43.07 28.71 98.38 42.51 28.34 98.32 42.21 28.14 98.28 42.02 28.02 98.28 42.05 28.03 98.31 42.20 28.13 98.34 42.33 28.22 98.33 42.28 28.18 98.31 42.18 28.12 98.33 42.29 28.20 98.43 42.77 28.51 98.43 42.78 28.52 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 14.67 42.77 68.25 14.76 42.84 68.36 14.78 42.85 68.39 14.83 42.90 68.46 14.87 42.93 68.50 14.92 42.97 68.57 14.96 43.00 68.62 15.01 43.04 68.68 15.00 43.03 68.67 15.01 43.03 68.68 15.00 43.03 68.67 15.01 43.04 68.68 15.03 43.06 68.71 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 289 U.S. - Lake States Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 1,371.6 5.4 13.3 161.4 557.5 9.0 2.5 1,538.7 4.4 12.5 165.6 548.2 8.8 2.3 1,556.2 4.9 13.4 162.1 540.2 8.7 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.9 2,186.6 64.5 2,345.1 58.6 2,346.5 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2013 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (Thousand Metric Tons) 1,601.0 1,625.0 1,650.5 1,657.7 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.3 13.0 12.6 12.2 12.0 153.7 154.3 153.8 154.5 536.2 534.5 532.1 535.5 8.6 8.4 8.2 8.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 1,670.3 4.2 11.7 153.8 536.8 8.2 2.3 1,682.3 4.2 11.4 153.1 537.1 8.2 2.3 1,692.3 4.1 11.2 152.8 538.2 8.1 2.3 1,693.9 4.1 11.1 152.7 540.4 8.2 2.4 0.0 2014 0.0 2015 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 57.2 57.2 56.9 2,376.8 2,398.7 2,420.4 56.9 2,431.5 56.8 2,444.2 56.8 2,455.3 57.0 2,466.1 57.3 2,470.1 290 2023 2025 1,721.9 1,736.6 4.0 3.9 10.6 10.4 152.6 144.7 540.7 546.1 8.3 8.6 2.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 58.0 58.6 2,498.5 2,511.5 U.S. - North East Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 102.85 52.32 52.85 103.06 52.62 53.65 103.08 52.65 53.72 103.19 52.81 54.14 103.30 52.96 54.54 103.45 53.17 55.10 103.63 53.42 55.77 103.72 53.55 56.12 103.78 53.63 56.36 103.90 53.80 56.82 103.95 53.88 57.01 104.05 54.02 57.42 104.10 54.09 57.61 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 57.30 51.05 51.91 57.32 51.28 52.15 57.19 49.92 50.77 57.11 49.13 49.97 57.07 48.74 49.56 57.06 48.62 49.45 57.06 48.68 49.50 57.06 48.71 49.53 57.05 48.52 49.34 57.06 48.64 49.46 57.08 48.86 49.69 57.12 49.24 50.07 57.11 49.12 49.95 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 23.85 56.24 69.73 24.01 56.34 69.86 24.05 56.37 69.90 24.15 56.43 69.97 24.22 56.47 70.03 24.31 56.53 70.10 24.39 56.58 70.16 24.47 56.63 70.22 24.45 56.62 70.21 24.47 56.63 70.23 24.46 56.63 70.22 24.49 56.64 70.24 24.53 56.67 70.27 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 291 U.S. - North East Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 214.44 3.53 5.65 29.68 91.38 225.85 2.58 5.34 31.09 88.82 225.33 3.31 5.77 29.36 86.61 230.28 3.16 5.60 27.79 85.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 344.69 353.68 350.39 352.34 354.28 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 231.92 233.76 233.15 3.06 2.98 2.92 5.42 5.26 5.20 28.11 28.07 28.38 85.77 85.59 86.56 233.17 2.86 5.11 28.38 87.00 233.10 2.80 5.01 28.35 87.29 232.76 2.75 4.94 28.49 87.72 231.24 2.71 4.91 28.62 88.25 229.64 2.61 4.76 28.94 89.01 228.38 2.60 4.76 27.79 89.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 355.67 356.20 356.52 356.55 356.66 355.73 354.97 353.21 292 2015 U.S. - Northern Plains Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 127.08 49.79 29.88 127.34 50.07 30.32 127.40 50.13 30.41 127.55 50.31 30.68 127.70 50.47 30.94 127.88 50.67 31.25 128.08 50.88 31.59 128.20 51.01 31.80 128.26 51.08 31.92 128.39 51.21 32.14 128.44 51.28 32.24 128.58 51.43 32.48 128.65 51.50 32.61 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 64.69 34.05 11.35 65.33 34.38 11.46 65.57 34.51 11.50 65.98 34.72 11.57 66.38 34.94 11.65 66.87 35.20 11.73 67.34 35.44 11.81 67.73 35.65 11.88 68.00 35.79 11.93 68.38 35.99 12.00 68.63 36.12 12.04 69.29 36.47 12.16 69.73 36.70 12.23 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.99 37.52 23.02 77.00 37.58 23.06 76.94 37.24 22.85 76.91 37.07 22.74 76.89 36.98 22.69 76.89 36.97 22.68 76.90 37.01 22.71 76.90 37.03 22.72 76.89 36.96 22.68 76.89 36.94 22.67 76.89 36.97 22.68 76.91 37.05 22.73 76.90 37.00 22.70 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.90 42.65 23.60 16.95 42.68 23.62 16.95 42.68 23.62 16.98 42.70 23.63 17.00 42.72 23.64 17.03 42.74 23.65 17.05 42.76 23.66 17.08 42.77 23.67 17.07 42.76 23.67 17.07 42.76 23.67 17.06 42.76 23.67 17.06 42.76 23.67 17.07 42.77 23.67 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 293 U.S. - Northern Plains Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 518.74 55.65 8.45 4.61 916.54 266.50 261.17 40.17 583.42 46.01 9.37 11.47 883.86 271.89 270.41 41.54 587.23 53.45 11.08 10.81 856.63 268.44 275.33 39.80 620.11 53.40 11.44 12.21 828.61 274.06 276.28 40.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.78 2,123 51.41 2,169 45.79 2,149 44.66 2,161 44.34 2,189 43.91 2,204 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 636.05 651.04 654.77 52.21 51.26 49.98 11.31 11.18 11.04 12.89 13.78 13.99 835.96 834.94 834.15 276.41 278.17 280.74 279.33 279.72 281.65 40.32 40.23 40.35 663.22 49.11 10.95 14.75 829.35 283.40 284.96 40.35 671.57 48.20 10.85 15.24 825.14 285.74 287.32 40.14 676.77 47.23 10.75 15.64 821.77 287.66 289.68 40.04 677.48 46.20 10.66 16.04 816.56 289.43 293.47 40.16 694.41 44.32 10.60 17.96 810.86 294.77 307.38 40.01 707.70 44.42 11.02 19.01 774.81 302.44 319.05 40.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.64 2,210 43.34 2,219 43.15 2,227 43.16 2,233 43.28 2,233 43.86 2,264 44.52 2,264 294 2015 U.S. - South East Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 171.42 74.36 101.80 171.93 74.96 103.93 172.03 75.08 104.37 172.25 75.35 105.35 172.48 75.62 106.32 172.73 75.92 107.43 173.02 76.27 108.72 173.18 76.46 109.42 173.28 76.59 109.89 173.48 76.83 110.78 173.56 76.94 111.18 173.78 77.20 112.15 173.90 77.34 112.70 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 99.16 35.80 30.21 101.10 36.50 30.80 101.21 36.54 30.83 101.53 36.66 30.93 101.88 36.79 31.04 102.38 36.96 31.19 102.86 37.14 31.33 103.20 37.26 31.44 103.39 37.33 31.50 103.74 37.46 31.60 103.91 37.52 31.65 104.26 37.64 31.76 104.54 37.75 31.85 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 119.47 61.97 81.29 119.60 62.74 82.30 119.48 62.05 81.40 119.44 61.82 81.08 119.42 61.69 80.92 119.43 61.72 80.96 119.46 61.95 81.26 119.50 62.14 81.51 119.48 62.06 81.41 119.51 62.25 81.65 119.53 62.36 81.80 119.56 62.55 82.04 119.54 62.40 81.85 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 32.00 59.75 93.42 32.27 59.90 93.64 32.26 59.89 93.62 32.28 59.90 93.65 32.30 59.91 93.66 32.36 59.94 93.71 32.49 60.01 93.81 32.62 60.07 93.92 32.65 60.09 93.93 32.71 60.12 93.98 32.72 60.12 93.99 32.85 60.19 94.09 32.97 60.25 94.18 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 98.59 56.38 97.51 98.77 57.19 98.93 98.88 57.68 99.76 98.97 58.06 100.43 99.04 58.41 101.02 99.15 58.89 101.85 99.25 59.34 102.64 99.35 59.83 103.48 99.44 60.22 104.16 99.52 60.59 104.79 99.58 60.89 105.32 99.66 61.25 105.94 99.70 61.48 106.33 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 295 U.S. - South East Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 545.6 2.5 1.9 5.2 143.1 447.1 594.6 4.0 1.9 8.9 157.1 456.7 593.2 4.1 1.9 8.7 148.0 446.3 611.3 4.0 1.9 8.9 144.4 447.5 0.0 74.7 0.0 303.6 68.2 0.0 80.8 0.0 352.1 71.8 0.0 81.3 0.0 365.3 69.4 0.0 80.6 0.0 356.6 66.6 1,591.9 1,727.7 1,718.0 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 621.1 629.5 631.7 4.0 4.0 4.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 9.0 9.1 9.1 146.0 145.3 144.9 449.7 449.7 451.1 635.9 4.0 1.7 9.2 143.9 452.4 639.6 3.9 1.7 9.3 142.9 452.9 642.2 3.9 1.7 9.3 141.9 453.2 641.0 3.9 1.7 9.3 140.1 452.5 647.8 3.9 1.6 9.6 136.9 452.3 652.3 3.9 1.6 9.7 129.6 452.6 0.0 78.4 0.0 345.6 59.2 0.0 78.2 0.0 340.7 58.5 0.0 80.2 0.0 353.0 65.7 2015 0.0 79.9 0.0 352.1 64.9 0.0 79.8 0.0 351.9 63.7 0.0 79.5 0.0 350.0 62.6 0.0 79.2 0.0 348.5 61.7 0.0 79.0 0.0 347.6 60.9 0.0 78.8 0.0 348.3 60.1 1,721.8 1,730.5 1,736.3 1,737.9 1,739.3 1,739.7 1,739.6 1,735.7 296 1,735.2 1,727.1 U.S. - Southern Plains Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 164.92 49.47 20.34 165.16 49.67 20.55 165.19 49.69 20.58 165.33 49.80 20.70 165.46 49.91 20.82 165.61 50.04 20.95 165.78 50.18 21.11 165.87 50.25 21.18 165.92 50.30 21.24 166.01 50.37 21.31 166.03 50.39 21.33 166.09 50.43 21.39 166.12 50.47 21.42 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 76.72 18.42 4.49 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 63.93 14.74 4.49 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 97.78 36.41 14.18 98.38 36.63 14.27 98.31 36.60 14.26 98.49 36.67 14.29 98.71 36.75 14.32 99.06 36.88 14.37 99.40 37.01 14.42 99.64 37.10 14.45 99.75 37.14 14.47 99.98 37.23 14.50 100.08 37.26 14.52 100.24 37.32 14.54 100.38 37.38 14.56 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 68.36 33.09 48.20 68.44 33.55 48.87 68.35 33.03 48.12 68.31 32.80 47.79 68.28 32.63 47.54 68.28 32.63 47.54 68.30 32.76 47.72 68.32 32.85 47.86 68.29 32.72 47.68 68.30 32.77 47.74 68.31 32.79 47.77 68.29 32.72 47.66 68.25 32.49 47.33 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 17.94 51.56 89.67 17.98 51.58 89.71 17.98 51.59 89.72 18.00 51.60 89.75 18.01 51.61 89.76 18.03 51.63 89.78 18.05 51.64 89.81 18.07 51.65 89.83 18.05 51.65 89.82 18.05 51.64 89.81 18.03 51.63 89.79 18.01 51.61 89.76 18.01 51.61 89.75 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 278.72 127.67 99.17 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 48.90 11.20 13.05 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 46.94 44.80 83.51 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 214.42 36.52 36.73 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 91.84 41.29 18.97 91.89 41.46 19.05 91.91 41.53 19.08 91.89 41.47 19.05 91.90 41.49 19.06 91.91 41.55 19.09 91.92 41.58 19.10 91.96 41.71 19.17 91.98 41.78 19.20 92.00 41.85 19.23 92.01 41.90 19.25 92.02 41.92 19.26 92.03 41.96 19.28 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 123.06 52.94 278.08 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 147.67 52.94 75.84 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 297 U.S. - Southern Plains Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 226.2 0.0 3.0 120.0 480.5 39.2 241.7 0.0 2.7 153.9 585.3 41.0 239.1 0.0 2.9 147.5 544.3 39.7 250.6 0.0 3.0 154.7 529.9 40.1 2.7 13.5 21.9 351.3 6.8 2.6 13.1 20.3 448.8 9.2 2.6 13.3 18.6 476.0 9.0 2.6 13.3 19.1 460.6 8.5 1,265.1 1,518.6 1,493.1 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 253.5 255.7 254.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 154.4 156.2 154.9 539.6 538.7 538.0 39.8 39.4 39.2 255.1 0.0 3.0 156.9 535.1 39.0 255.8 0.0 3.0 157.1 531.5 38.8 255.0 0.0 3.0 156.6 525.0 38.4 253.1 0.0 3.0 156.7 516.8 38.1 251.8 0.0 2.9 158.6 491.8 37.0 254.5 0.0 3.0 162.7 454.5 37.2 2.6 13.0 25.0 458.7 8.0 2.6 13.0 23.4 467.8 8.0 2.6 13.3 19.0 451.2 8.4 2015 2.6 13.3 19.1 446.8 8.3 2.6 13.3 19.3 445.2 8.2 2.6 13.3 18.8 441.7 8.1 2.6 13.2 19.0 438.6 8.1 2.6 13.2 19.4 442.0 8.0 2.6 13.2 20.2 444.4 8.0 1,482.3 1,484.7 1,483.2 1,477.9 1,473.6 1,467.7 1,463.2 1,456.0 298 1,449.5 1,426.7 Ukrainian Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 74.79 23.32 16.55 75.56 23.99 17.77 76.05 24.42 18.60 76.38 24.70 19.16 76.65 24.95 19.66 77.13 25.38 20.54 77.47 25.69 21.19 77.68 25.88 21.59 77.57 25.78 21.38 77.78 25.97 21.79 77.94 26.11 22.10 77.90 26.08 22.03 77.82 26.01 21.87 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 16.51 8.18 5.80 16.49 8.13 5.77 17.55 11.00 7.81 17.31 10.15 7.21 17.44 10.59 7.51 17.37 10.37 7.36 17.47 10.68 7.58 17.46 10.67 7.57 17.52 10.84 7.69 17.53 10.90 7.74 17.52 10.86 7.71 17.60 11.13 7.90 17.61 11.17 7.93 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 19.44 2.66 1.45 19.45 2.66 1.45 19.47 2.68 1.46 19.42 2.64 1.44 19.45 2.66 1.45 19.48 2.69 1.47 19.51 2.71 1.48 19.56 2.74 1.50 19.57 2.75 1.50 19.61 2.79 1.52 19.68 2.84 1.55 19.78 2.92 1.59 19.82 2.96 1.61 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 18.13 3.59 2.29 18.24 3.71 2.36 18.39 3.88 2.47 18.26 3.73 2.37 18.41 3.90 2.48 18.45 3.95 2.52 18.61 4.13 2.63 18.69 4.24 2.70 18.73 4.29 2.73 18.75 4.32 2.75 18.83 4.42 2.82 18.90 4.51 2.88 18.94 4.56 2.91 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 26.96 11.65 4.77 27.03 12.02 4.92 27.15 12.61 5.16 27.19 12.87 5.27 27.30 13.43 5.50 27.35 13.73 5.62 27.41 14.08 5.76 27.45 14.33 5.87 27.44 14.26 5.84 27.40 14.03 5.74 27.41 14.06 5.75 27.40 14.02 5.74 27.39 13.93 5.70 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 107.24 27.98 27.98 108.16 30.30 30.30 108.27 30.57 30.57 108.46 31.10 31.10 108.87 32.23 32.23 109.20 33.14 33.14 109.30 33.46 33.46 109.37 33.67 33.67 109.39 33.71 33.71 109.39 33.71 33.71 109.17 33.07 33.07 109.25 33.28 33.28 109.37 33.65 33.65 30.99 37.18 11.27 31.13 37.36 11.32 31.12 37.35 11.32 31.15 37.38 11.33 31.20 37.44 11.34 31.26 37.52 11.37 31.27 37.52 11.37 31.29 37.55 11.38 31.33 37.60 11.39 31.34 37.60 11.39 31.29 37.54 11.38 31.25 37.49 11.36 31.21 37.45 11.35 99.83 95.64 110.31 99.92 95.78 110.47 99.97 95.87 110.57 100.03 95.98 110.70 100.07 96.06 110.79 100.12 96.13 110.87 100.15 96.20 110.95 100.19 96.27 111.03 100.26 96.38 111.16 100.30 96.45 111.24 100.30 96.46 111.25 100.33 96.51 111.31 100.34 96.53 111.33 298.13 137.20 9.42 7.20 279.81 141.98 341.58 125.37 1,341 324.51 135.90 8.67 9.33 276.40 166.63 350.68 131.24 1,403 319.15 169.21 9.43 10.77 302.84 178.85 349.18 131.94 1,471 327.43 161.03 9.72 9.44 314.62 187.51 349.62 132.54 1,492 (Thousand Metric Tons) 330.18 337.49 341.42 165.70 162.72 165.55 9.46 9.74 9.49 10.30 9.85 10.48 313.58 325.30 327.86 195.59 202.06 206.38 350.71 352.04 352.97 132.80 133.22 133.66 1,508 1,532 1,548 344.34 165.35 9.82 10.29 329.51 210.15 354.03 134.10 1,558 343.50 166.97 9.74 10.66 326.51 213.32 355.21 134.56 1,560 346.05 167.66 9.98 10.44 323.00 216.33 356.08 134.89 1,564 347.79 167.16 9.96 10.75 321.61 217.42 356.50 135.09 1,566 346.94 170.23 10.25 10.68 317.87 226.84 358.90 135.74 1,577 345.37 170.69 10.34 10.70 314.39 233.86 360.51 136.13 1,582 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Wheat, All Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Sugar Beet Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 299 Uruguayan Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 (Thousand Metric Tons) 24.67 25.26 26.05 24.67 25.26 26.05 26.86 26.86 27.46 27.46 28.20 28.20 28.85 28.85 31.42 31.42 32.49 32.49 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 23.42 23.42 23.52 23.52 23.86 23.86 24.16 24.16 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use 2014 64.59 58.81 18.54 64.59 58.81 18.54 Uzbek Fertilizer Use Rate of Application Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 158.13 45.00 5.87 189.53 46.33 6.04 176.52 45.86 5.98 177.58 45.90 5.99 178.47 45.93 5.99 179.39 45.97 6.00 179.39 45.97 6.00 179.39 45.97 6.00 179.39 45.97 6.00 179.39 45.97 6.00 179.39 45.97 6.00 179.39 45.97 6.00 273.34 273.34 330.81 330.81 304.31 304.31 313.74 313.74 (Thousand Metric Tons) 315.42 316.32 316.58 315.42 316.32 316.58 316.15 316.15 316.67 316.67 315.98 315.98 315.96 315.96 318.56 318.56 319.33 319.33 2011 2012 2013 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 113.18 75.46 75.46 113.21 75.48 75.48 113.25 75.50 75.50 113.26 75.51 75.51 113.24 75.50 75.50 113.22 75.48 75.48 113.19 75.46 75.46 (Thousand Metric Tons) 26.09 26.40 26.86 26.09 26.40 26.86 27.40 27.40 27.92 27.92 28.40 28.40 28.81 28.81 29.99 29.99 30.69 30.69 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 Total Fertilizer Use Cotton Total Fertilizer Use 2014 179.39 45.97 6.00 Venezuelan Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) 113.18 75.46 75.46 113.16 75.44 75.44 113.12 75.42 75.42 113.15 75.43 75.43 26.41 26.41 26.28 26.28 25.95 25.95 25.95 25.95 2011 2012 2013 Total Fertilizer Use Sugar Cane Total Fertilizer Use 2014 113.16 75.44 75.44 113.17 75.45 75.45 Vietnamese Fertilizer Use 2010 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 121.25 43.77 28.59 122.96 45.47 31.47 123.71 46.23 32.83 124.45 46.99 34.23 124.96 47.52 35.24 125.77 48.37 36.86 126.48 49.13 38.36 126.61 49.26 38.62 126.21 48.83 37.76 126.84 49.51 39.11 127.26 49.95 40.03 127.15 49.84 39.78 127.16 49.84 39.79 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 105.12 60.64 37.97 232.33 1,497 1,730 237.76 1,480 1,718 233.30 1,488 1,721 238.99 1,490 1,729 (Thousand Metric Tons) 241.00 245.04 246.93 1,490 1,495 1,501 1,731 1,740 1,748 247.45 1,506 1,753 246.34 1,506 1,753 249.25 1,506 1,755 251.49 1,507 1,759 248.47 1,514 1,762 246.59 1,520 1,767 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Rice, All Total Fertilizer Use World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 300 World Fertilizer Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 Rate of Application 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Kilograms per Hectare) Corn Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 101.96 30.39 26.58 101.28 30.70 27.28 101.75 30.97 27.81 102.18 31.21 28.17 102.28 31.30 28.44 102.67 31.51 28.82 102.92 31.62 29.12 103.07 31.66 29.19 103.05 31.60 29.12 103.26 31.72 29.36 103.40 31.79 29.48 103.46 31.84 29.64 103.63 31.89 29.72 Barley Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 46.62 19.72 9.49 46.66 20.10 9.62 46.69 20.59 9.73 46.73 20.39 9.77 46.65 20.46 9.74 46.74 20.55 9.82 46.77 20.79 9.88 46.77 20.76 9.88 46.74 20.70 9.86 46.74 20.88 9.93 46.81 21.03 9.98 46.78 21.10 9.99 46.73 21.07 9.97 Oats Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 54.40 16.20 7.05 55.35 16.69 7.23 54.20 16.30 7.03 54.09 16.19 6.91 54.28 16.15 7.01 54.24 16.21 7.00 54.40 16.18 7.09 54.21 16.18 7.05 54.25 16.14 7.10 54.19 16.33 7.13 54.29 16.45 7.20 54.18 16.59 7.28 54.16 16.69 7.33 Rye Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 62.95 13.34 10.79 64.25 13.75 11.08 63.79 13.63 11.00 65.60 14.05 11.37 65.42 13.97 11.31 66.62 14.32 11.60 66.69 14.37 11.64 67.43 14.57 11.81 67.59 14.57 11.83 68.23 14.78 12.00 68.44 14.87 12.07 69.57 15.14 12.34 70.11 15.27 12.48 Sorghum Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 26.87 11.32 4.53 26.09 10.89 4.50 25.51 10.74 4.37 25.44 10.64 4.44 25.02 10.51 4.38 24.86 10.43 4.39 24.63 10.36 4.36 24.62 10.37 4.36 24.54 10.35 4.34 24.63 10.39 4.34 24.67 10.41 4.35 24.72 10.47 4.35 24.89 10.56 4.37 Wheat, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 79.50 28.81 9.69 79.79 28.76 9.95 79.80 28.82 9.76 79.52 28.29 9.62 79.54 28.16 9.62 79.39 28.01 9.61 79.41 27.98 9.62 79.40 27.95 9.61 79.40 27.82 9.57 79.32 27.81 9.56 79.42 27.92 9.56 79.44 27.89 9.53 79.42 27.83 9.41 Soybeans Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 13.99 43.15 41.39 13.95 43.20 41.22 13.84 42.99 40.86 13.73 42.87 40.62 13.67 42.84 40.50 13.62 42.80 40.37 13.58 42.77 40.34 13.54 42.72 40.25 13.49 42.68 40.16 13.43 42.67 40.11 13.36 42.65 40.07 13.12 42.63 39.89 12.96 42.60 39.84 Rapeseed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 112.27 34.78 21.53 112.62 35.86 22.33 112.07 35.34 22.00 111.71 34.99 21.79 111.55 34.87 21.84 111.37 34.77 21.89 111.11 34.28 21.76 110.98 34.13 21.78 110.90 34.25 21.89 110.76 34.20 21.94 110.52 33.81 21.73 109.94 33.34 21.66 109.54 33.14 21.69 Sunflower Seed Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 27.41 13.94 6.36 27.24 13.92 6.33 26.99 13.94 6.30 26.91 13.94 6.29 26.86 13.95 6.28 26.83 13.98 6.29 26.74 13.97 6.28 26.68 13.98 6.27 26.63 14.00 6.27 26.54 14.00 6.26 26.42 13.97 6.25 26.12 13.96 6.21 25.89 13.93 6.19 Peanut Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 39.97 29.17 11.81 40.61 29.25 11.97 40.96 29.29 12.02 41.40 29.30 12.03 41.82 29.29 12.03 42.35 29.31 12.05 42.67 29.30 12.07 43.02 29.28 12.08 43.33 29.25 12.08 43.47 29.18 12.09 43.49 29.10 12.09 43.51 28.83 12.09 43.42 28.63 12.10 Palm Kernel Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 82.68 32.41 141.90 85.05 33.24 145.08 85.45 33.36 145.13 85.41 33.33 144.65 86.10 33.58 145.57 86.75 33.82 146.53 86.18 33.61 145.52 85.24 33.27 143.38 85.55 33.39 143.88 85.26 33.28 143.44 84.56 33.01 142.31 84.21 32.88 141.60 84.49 32.98 141.94 Rice, All Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 98.97 30.94 23.78 98.57 30.83 23.59 98.40 30.78 23.52 98.13 30.69 23.42 97.96 30.63 23.36 97.75 30.57 23.29 97.61 30.53 23.26 97.36 30.47 23.19 97.14 30.41 23.12 96.88 30.33 23.05 96.70 30.28 23.00 96.52 30.24 22.95 95.96 30.10 22.80 Cotton Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 121.43 46.41 19.75 139.12 48.01 20.95 147.66 49.53 21.89 149.64 49.50 21.70 150.50 49.31 21.54 151.08 49.33 21.53 151.16 49.28 21.43 150.99 49.18 21.32 150.87 49.16 21.30 150.87 49.18 21.30 150.83 49.27 21.42 153.15 50.31 22.11 153.90 50.71 22.34 Sugar Cane Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 120.79 52.38 96.49 120.52 52.28 96.58 120.57 52.34 96.67 120.36 52.29 96.76 120.15 52.25 96.93 119.96 52.21 97.07 119.73 52.16 97.25 119.47 52.11 97.49 119.20 52.05 97.70 118.90 51.98 97.85 118.62 51.91 97.93 117.87 51.72 98.33 117.45 51.62 98.52 Sugar Beet Nitrogen Phosphorous Potassium 122.27 69.19 84.54 123.50 69.66 84.59 123.88 70.06 84.57 124.01 70.16 84.46 124.06 70.17 84.40 124.02 70.15 84.34 123.95 70.11 84.24 123.87 70.07 84.12 123.80 70.05 83.97 123.72 70.01 83.79 123.65 69.97 83.60 123.41 69.80 83.14 123.29 69.68 82.86 World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 301 World Fertilizer Use 2010 Total Fertilizer Use Corn Barley Oats Rye Sorghum Wheat, All Soybeans Rapeseed Sunflower Seed Peanut Palm Kernel Rice, All Cotton Sugar Cane Sugar Beet Crops, Other * Total Fertilizer Use 25,618 3,887 892 495 1,729 26,279 10,128 5,393 1,142 1,696 3,360 24,543 6,198 6,654 1,279 55,984 175,277 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Thousand Metric Tons) 26,316 26,038 26,543 26,659 26,981 27,046 27,103 27,117 27,231 27,272 27,356 27,417 4,010 4,245 4,129 4,207 4,198 4,236 4,223 4,228 4,245 4,247 4,261 4,255 931 956 968 953 966 952 964 956 967 965 974 978 562 605 594 624 624 645 645 662 665 680 698 713 1,823 1,715 1,768 1,708 1,729 1,700 1,712 1,707 1,719 1,720 1,738 1,757 26,586 27,169 26,606 26,638 26,594 26,609 26,572 26,499 26,449 26,488 26,351 26,212 10,118 10,015 10,010 10,058 10,077 10,131 10,166 10,208 10,258 10,314 10,447 10,559 5,545 5,517 5,519 5,541 5,553 5,555 5,582 5,618 5,644 5,652 5,710 5,753 1,166 1,138 1,135 1,134 1,133 1,131 1,131 1,131 1,130 1,127 1,123 1,121 1,721 1,738 1,753 1,762 1,776 1,787 1,796 1,801 1,802 1,801 1,795 1,789 3,530 3,595 3,637 3,708 3,778 3,800 3,799 3,859 3,895 3,915 4,050 4,170 24,217 24,186 24,119 24,151 24,140 24,144 24,145 24,122 24,106 24,095 24,163 24,101 7,319 7,424 7,389 7,454 7,500 7,528 7,540 7,566 7,584 7,615 7,690 7,738 6,846 6,854 6,937 7,006 7,082 7,181 7,298 7,411 7,508 7,583 7,815 7,939 1,322 1,312 1,314 1,318 1,322 1,326 1,331 1,333 1,335 1,335 1,337 1,338 57,275 57,490 57,452 57,691 57,946 58,096 58,202 58,301 58,450 58,581 58,917 59,073 179,287 179,995 179,875 180,611 181,399 181,865 182,208 182,520 182,987 183,390 184,426 184,914 * Other crops includes roots and tubers, pulses, nuts, rubber, coffee, tea, tobacco, ornamentals, turf, pasture, and forestry. World total fertilizer use projection of other crops is assumed to increase each year at the same rate as the world total nutrient use of the sum of all modeled commodities. World Fertilizer: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 302 Greenhouse Gas Global emissions from agricultural production rise by 10.69% over the projection period. Notable countries with above-average greenhouse gas growth are Argentina (17.07%), Brazil (15.25%), and Mexico (19.40%). Those increases are mainly due to an increase in crop area and the associated emissions from agricultural soil management. The increase in per capita meat demand leads to an increase in emissions from livestock products (especially enteric fermentation), but the emissions are still less than those from cropland. Emissions in the United States increase moderately, by 1.68%. The expansion in crop area as well as the rise in meat demand and the resulting expansion in livestock put pressure on global forests and grasslands. The change in land area in those categories as well as the emissions reported are indicative and based on the needs of agriculture. The Forest Resource Assessment conducted by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations observed significant variations in carbon emissions and deforestation rates over time. Total U.S. crop area increases moderately, by 0.41%, whereas cropland in China decreases by 3.29%. The emissions associated with land-use change in those regions will be low because idle cropland is still available. In addition, if China continues its afforestation policy, most of the idle land will be used for forestry. Crop area in Argentina increases by 14.80% over the projection period, and although the increases in Australia and Brazil are moderate, i.e., 3.50% and 5.63% respectively, pasture expansion is a major contributor to deforestation in those countries. Argentina Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) 137.59 136.70 136.57 137.90 139.16 140.98 142.49 144.30 146.01 148.04 150.00 156.46 161.08 60.31 59.83 59.34 59.08 59.07 59.28 59.68 60.23 60.89 61.62 62.41 65.11 67.16 Enteric Fermentation 58.05 57.58 57.08 56.78 56.72 56.89 57.24 57.74 58.35 59.04 59.81 62.45 64.38 Manure Management 1.12 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.15 1.17 1.22 1.26 Rice Cultivation 1.14 1.15 1.15 1.21 1.24 1.29 1.33 1.37 1.40 1.42 1.42 1.44 1.52 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 77.27 76.87 77.23 78.82 80.09 81.70 82.81 84.07 85.13 86.42 87.59 91.35 93.92 Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 1.62 1.60 1.61 1.64 1.68 1.70 1.72 1.74 1.76 1.79 1.83 1.91 1.98 75.65 75.27 75.62 77.19 78.41 80.00 81.09 82.33 83.37 84.63 85.76 89.44 91.93 3.43 3.60 3.52 3.51 3.49 3.53 3.53 3.54 3.53 3.54 3.53 3.48 3.42 29.41 29.33 29.06 28.84 Land Inventory Forest Area Grassland Area Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area (Million Hectares) 29.94 29.94 29.93 29.89 29.84 29.75 29.67 29.58 29.50 120.28 120.27 120.26 120.10 119.91 119.65 119.41 119.15 118.91 118.66 118.42 117.50 116.71 30.44 31.25 31.40 31.72 31.99 32.41 32.72 33.03 33.28 33.58 33.85 34.51 34.95 4.35 3.83 3.55 3.12 2.73 2.30 1.97 1.67 1.39 1.09 0.81 0.26 0.09 -20.62 -9.89 -18.49 33.45 44.69 77.35 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 304 70.39 80.42 74.83 87.84 89.23 108.66 128.30 Australia Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production 74.06 72.67 71.90 71.39 71.29 71.33 71.48 71.68 71.88 72.06 72.20 72.71 73.19 49.61 47.26 46.00 45.43 45.15 45.10 45.19 45.37 45.57 45.77 45.95 46.61 47.11 Enteric Fermentation 46.39 44.03 42.70 42.10 41.79 41.70 41.71 41.80 41.92 42.05 42.18 42.61 42.97 Manure Management 2.62 2.57 2.57 2.55 2.53 2.51 2.52 2.55 2.57 2.58 2.57 2.61 2.63 Rice Cultivation 0.59 0.67 0.72 0.78 0.83 0.89 0.96 1.02 1.08 1.14 1.20 1.38 1.51 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 24.45 25.41 25.91 25.96 26.14 26.23 26.29 26.31 26.31 26.29 26.24 26.11 26.08 Methane (CH4) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 2.23 2.29 2.36 2.42 2.45 2.48 2.52 2.55 2.58 2.59 2.59 2.60 2.61 22.22 23.12 23.54 23.54 23.69 23.75 23.77 23.76 23.73 23.70 23.66 23.50 23.47 3.25 3.36 3.40 3.38 3.37 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.35 3.34 3.33 3.29 3.32 Land Inventory (Million Hectares) Forest Area 151.13 150.88 150.71 150.66 150.62 150.60 150.59 150.59 150.59 150.59 150.59 150.59 150.59 Grassland Area 397.30 396.58 396.04 395.86 395.74 395.66 395.63 395.63 395.63 395.63 395.63 395.63 395.63 Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area 20.73 21.56 21.71 21.53 21.49 21.46 21.47 21.43 21.39 21.36 21.31 21.12 21.46 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.27 0.38 0.72 0.48 -5.03 -9.60 4.30 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change 200.64 329.91 236.89 64.99 51.49 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 29.00 305 13.35 -1.29 -2.33 -3.57 Brazil Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) Enteric Fermentation 519.12 534.59 540.54 546.36 552.25 556.50 560.77 565.12 569.25 573.22 576.43 589.64 598.26 259.57 260.86 264.48 267.86 270.62 272.91 274.59 275.93 277.06 278.00 278.80 280.97 282.97 248.68 249.95 253.52 256.87 259.54 261.77 263.39 264.66 265.74 266.63 267.35 269.15 270.91 Manure Management 5.93 6.00 6.10 6.18 6.24 6.29 6.33 6.36 6.38 6.41 6.43 6.49 6.53 Rice Cultivation 4.96 4.91 4.85 4.82 4.83 4.85 4.87 4.91 4.93 4.97 5.02 5.33 5.52 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 259.54 273.72 276.06 278.50 281.63 283.59 286.18 289.20 292.19 295.21 297.62 308.67 315.29 14.35 14.76 15.11 15.25 15.41 15.51 8.71 8.94 9.14 9.27 9.46 9.63 Land Inventory Forest Area Grassland Area Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area 15.56 15.60 15.65 15.72 15.79 15.93 16.04 245.20 258.97 260.96 263.25 266.22 268.08 270.62 273.60 276.55 279.49 281.84 292.75 299.26 9.80 9.95 10.11 10.27 10.43 10.94 11.27 (Million Hectares) 487.64 484.79 484.63 484.30 483.23 482.72 481.90 481.01 480.28 479.51 478.72 474.83 472.39 30.77 29.82 29.80 29.77 29.66 29.61 29.53 29.45 29.38 29.30 29.22 28.85 28.61 229.80 231.87 232.65 232.65 233.44 233.49 233.95 234.43 234.86 235.47 236.14 240.12 242.74 18.98 19.02 18.87 920.38 2,780 -280.3 19.49 19.60 20.68 21.16 21.59 21.97 22.16 22.26 20.66 19.43 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change -104.8 685.33 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 56.70 374.80 454.79 252.56 307.64 318.91 964.10 837.37 306 Canada Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production 51.77 51.04 50.70 50.05 49.90 50.04 50.43 50.74 51.14 51.49 51.85 52.78 53.30 19.98 19.04 18.55 18.01 17.59 17.38 17.16 17.12 17.19 17.27 17.34 17.51 17.61 Enteric Fermentation 16.26 15.43 14.84 14.33 13.97 13.76 13.60 13.57 13.63 13.69 13.75 13.88 13.96 Manure Management 3.73 3.61 3.71 3.68 3.62 3.62 3.56 3.55 3.56 3.57 3.59 3.63 3.65 Rice Cultivation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 31.79 32.00 32.15 32.04 32.32 32.66 33.26 33.63 33.95 34.23 34.51 35.28 35.69 Methane (CH4) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 2.08 1.99 1.95 1.91 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.88 1.89 1.90 1.92 1.95 1.97 29.71 30.01 30.20 30.13 30.43 30.78 31.39 31.75 32.06 32.32 32.59 33.33 33.72 6.68 7.07 7.31 7.22 7.27 7.29 7.34 7.35 7.36 7.38 7.40 7.45 7.45 Land Inventory (Million Hectares) Forest Area 309.02 309.02 309.02 309.02 309.02 309.02 309.00 308.98 308.96 308.94 308.93 308.89 308.87 Grassland Area 392.26 392.26 392.26 392.26 392.26 392.25 392.24 392.22 392.21 392.20 392.19 392.16 392.15 Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area 20.43 21.62 22.45 22.15 22.31 22.38 22.50 22.56 22.62 22.69 22.74 22.94 22.98 4.48 3.45 2.70 2.98 2.73 2.57 2.34 2.18 2.04 1.91 1.80 1.44 1.30 -72.59 -55.48 -43.68 -48.38 -42.83 -35.17 -17.01 -10.04 -10.44 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 307 -16.65 -18.55 -18.12 -17.87 China Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) Enteric Fermentation Manure Management 967.3 964.9 966.9 966.9 974.4 982.5 993.1 1,005.4 1,015.8 1,024.2 1,036.3 1,062.8 1,056.2 436.05 431.26 429.45 426.41 427.12 427.37 428.40 429.73 431.03 432.56 434.66 442.14 445.73 167.26 167.73 166.97 166.47 166.54 167.02 167.82 169.04 170.63 172.53 174.66 181.51 186.21 38.09 38.18 37.72 37.69 38.72 39.77 40.72 41.54 42.37 43.21 44.09 46.71 48.42 Rice Cultivation 230.70 225.34 224.77 222.25 221.87 220.58 219.86 219.15 218.04 216.83 215.91 213.92 211.10 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 531.27 533.66 537.41 540.51 547.32 555.16 564.70 575.68 584.79 591.66 601.64 620.70 610.47 Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 42.15 41.86 41.39 41.21 41.71 42.32 42.97 43.63 44.37 45.16 46.00 48.57 50.23 489.12 491.79 496.02 499.29 505.61 512.84 521.74 532.04 540.42 546.50 555.64 572.13 560.23 95.62 97.66 99.10 98.66 98.71 98.71 Land Inventory 98.81 98.79 98.73 98.49 98.58 97.92 97.52 (Million Hectares) Forest Area 170.26 170.26 170.26 170.26 170.26 170.26 170.19 169.97 169.71 169.52 169.25 168.77 168.49 Grassland Area 319.90 319.90 319.90 319.90 319.90 319.89 319.82 319.53 319.17 318.89 318.49 317.79 317.35 Cropland Area 109.75 109.01 109.02 108.38 108.21 108.03 108.03 107.96 107.87 107.50 107.54 106.68 106.13 Idle Cropland Area 1.61 2.70 2.57 2.79 2.37 -23.73 -43.28 -40.78 -45.76 -34.91 1.85 1.21 0.98 0.89 0.94 0.83 0.89 0.99 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 6.21 100.95 233.35 260.28 193.14 275.33 225.01 155.74 308 EU Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) Enteric Fermentation Manure Management Rice Cultivation Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 331.97 334.05 332.57 331.32 331.46 331.54 331.19 331.27 330.99 330.51 330.18 329.92 329.72 201.20 199.77 198.59 197.57 196.87 196.28 195.75 195.16 194.53 193.87 193.32 191.96 191.28 155.03 153.89 153.08 152.46 151.98 151.53 151.08 150.58 150.04 149.47 148.96 147.71 147.07 43.58 43.29 42.92 42.52 42.30 42.18 42.09 41.99 41.90 41.81 41.77 41.66 41.62 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.57 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 2.59 130.77 134.28 133.98 133.75 134.59 135.26 135.43 136.11 136.46 136.64 136.86 137.97 138.44 24.43 24.27 24.09 23.92 23.83 23.79 23.77 23.74 23.72 23.70 23.68 23.66 23.67 106.34 110.01 109.89 109.83 110.76 111.47 111.66 112.36 112.74 112.94 113.18 114.31 114.77 37.54 39.62 39.78 39.81 40.06 40.29 Land Inventory 40.36 40.48 40.58 40.65 40.69 40.92 41.03 (Million Hectares) Forest Area 164.10 163.97 163.94 163.93 163.86 163.77 163.70 163.60 163.50 163.43 163.37 163.14 163.02 Grassland Area 156.18 156.05 156.02 156.01 155.92 155.82 155.76 155.65 155.56 155.50 155.44 155.22 155.11 Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area 65.00 68.41 68.56 68.63 69.06 69.44 69.56 69.78 69.97 70.08 70.15 70.57 70.77 4.52 1.35 1.22 1.14 0.84 0.61 0.59 0.53 0.50 0.49 0.50 0.44 0.44 -79.02 191.41 14.83 -1.46 41.48 56.07 41.99 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change 85.48 107.51 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 309 50.77 89.25 80.22 52.73 India Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) Enteric Fermentation Manure Management Rice Cultivation Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 414.29 419.16 422.14 420.87 423.15 425.52 427.87 430.37 433.08 435.96 438.71 446.58 441.76 307.69 307.57 308.01 308.85 310.09 311.34 312.81 314.47 316.28 318.14 320.15 325.97 328.50 191.71 191.86 192.28 192.88 193.72 194.71 195.90 197.22 198.69 200.27 201.93 206.58 208.71 15.88 15.90 15.95 16.01 16.09 16.18 16.28 16.39 16.52 16.65 16.79 17.15 17.31 100.10 99.81 99.78 99.96 100.29 100.45 100.63 100.86 101.08 101.22 101.43 102.24 102.47 106.60 111.59 114.13 112.02 113.06 114.17 115.06 115.89 116.80 117.82 118.56 120.61 113.26 1.91 1.91 1.92 1.92 1.93 1.94 1.95 1.96 1.97 1.99 2.00 2.05 2.08 104.69 109.67 112.22 110.10 111.13 112.24 113.12 113.93 114.83 115.83 116.55 118.56 111.18 53.47 54.33 54.24 53.99 54.15 54.30 Land Inventory 54.41 54.59 54.76 54.95 55.12 55.62 55.91 (Million Hectares) Forest Area 60.40 60.06 59.35 59.34 59.28 59.13 58.94 58.77 58.60 58.42 58.26 57.67 57.36 Grassland Area 32.84 32.42 31.91 31.90 31.85 31.74 31.61 31.50 31.38 31.26 31.16 30.79 30.57 Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area 120.49 122.04 122.97 122.76 123.16 123.59 123.96 124.30 124.64 125.00 125.28 126.22 126.76 1.00 0.20 0.51 0.73 277.99 333.79 669.69 4.16 0.43 0.26 0.22 0.15 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.02 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change 52.56 134.20 176.64 149.99 156.58 166.84 144.39 196.33 169.92 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 310 Indonesia Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) 113.08 111.03 111.57 113.57 114.15 114.30 115.20 115.19 115.97 116.12 116.51 117.95 116.07 70.04 70.14 70.60 70.94 71.75 71.94 72.77 72.99 73.71 74.01 74.59 76.09 77.05 Enteric Fermentation 16.04 16.18 16.73 16.94 17.56 17.84 18.50 18.78 19.44 19.70 20.36 21.54 22.52 Manure Management 1.30 1.35 1.38 1.40 1.44 1.47 1.50 1.53 1.56 1.59 1.63 1.72 1.79 Rice Cultivation 52.70 52.62 52.48 52.60 52.75 52.63 52.77 52.68 52.70 52.72 52.61 52.83 52.75 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 43.04 40.88 40.97 42.63 42.40 42.37 42.43 42.20 42.27 42.11 41.92 41.86 39.02 Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 3.73 3.81 3.90 3.98 4.06 4.15 4.22 4.29 4.35 4.40 4.45 4.56 4.61 39.30 37.07 37.07 38.65 38.33 38.22 38.21 37.92 37.92 37.71 37.47 37.30 34.41 10.07 10.19 10.20 10.32 10.42 10.51 10.54 10.56 10.59 10.61 10.60 10.69 10.77 Land Inventory Forest Area (Million Hectares) 102.08 101.78 101.56 101.19 100.95 100.77 100.62 100.54 100.47 100.44 100.43 100.38 100.38 Grassland Area 31.14 31.02 30.92 30.77 30.67 30.60 30.54 30.50 30.47 30.46 30.46 30.44 30.44 Cropland Area 21.34 21.44 21.47 21.71 21.86 21.97 22.09 22.16 22.26 22.34 22.40 22.71 22.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 8.28 0.94 -0.61 Idle Cropland Area (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change 940.89 396.41 301.99 481.15 331.31 238.30 191.78 109.03 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 311 91.45 45.56 Japan Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) 16.49 16.44 16.28 16.13 16.04 15.95 15.82 15.69 15.55 15.42 15.29 14.88 14.24 11.47 11.32 11.17 11.05 10.97 10.90 10.81 10.70 10.59 10.49 10.39 10.06 9.85 Enteric Fermentation 4.78 4.69 4.60 4.52 4.45 4.39 4.33 4.27 4.21 4.15 4.09 3.92 3.81 Manure Management 0.80 0.78 0.79 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.73 Rice Cultivation 5.89 5.85 5.78 5.76 5.75 5.74 5.71 5.67 5.63 5.59 5.54 5.40 5.32 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 5.03 5.12 5.11 5.08 5.07 5.04 5.02 4.99 4.96 4.93 4.90 4.82 4.38 Manure Management 1.24 1.22 1.21 1.18 1.17 1.16 1.15 1.13 1.12 1.11 1.11 1.08 1.06 Agricultural Soil Management 3.79 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.90 3.89 3.87 3.85 3.83 3.82 3.80 3.74 3.32 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.10 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.09 1.08 1.08 1.07 1.04 1.03 From Fertilizer Land Inventory Forest Area (Million Hectares) 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 25.24 Grassland Area 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 4.85 Cropland Area 2.11 2.12 2.11 2.10 2.10 2.09 2.08 2.07 2.06 2.04 2.03 1.99 1.96 Idle Cropland Area 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.20 -2.16 0.96 -1.06 -1.28 -1.22 -1.45 -3.24 -4.37 -4.99 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 312 -1.77 -2.13 -2.49 -2.84 Mexico Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production 59.39 59.19 59.51 59.95 60.68 61.54 62.50 63.52 64.52 65.54 66.52 69.14 70.92 40.22 40.00 40.18 40.43 40.96 41.61 42.35 43.17 43.98 44.81 45.62 47.75 49.21 Enteric Fermentation 29.53 29.06 28.94 29.08 29.44 29.94 30.54 31.20 31.87 32.54 33.19 34.99 36.17 Manure Management 10.36 10.60 10.90 11.00 11.17 11.31 11.45 11.61 11.75 11.91 12.06 12.39 12.67 Rice Cultivation 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 19.17 19.19 19.33 19.52 19.72 19.93 20.15 20.35 20.53 20.72 20.90 21.39 21.71 Methane (CH4) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 3.41 3.40 3.41 3.44 3.48 3.53 3.59 3.66 3.72 3.79 3.85 4.02 4.14 15.76 15.80 15.92 16.09 16.24 16.40 16.56 16.69 16.81 16.93 17.05 17.37 17.57 4.06 3.97 3.89 3.87 3.84 3.82 3.81 3.78 3.75 3.74 3.72 3.66 3.63 Land Inventory (Million Hectares) Forest Area 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 66.60 Grassland Area 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 75.94 Cropland Area 10.98 10.80 10.55 10.57 10.52 10.51 10.46 10.42 10.38 10.35 10.30 10.18 10.10 5.01 5.08 5.19 5.01 4.93 4.80 4.71 4.63 4.55 4.49 4.44 4.26 4.17 -51.29 -52.89 -54.65 -52.79 -52.03 -50.84 -47.69 -46.20 -45.39 Idle Cropland Area (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 313 -50.08 -49.34 -48.67 -48.08 Philippines Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) 36.73 37.47 38.25 38.71 39.06 39.35 39.69 40.05 40.33 40.57 40.70 41.17 40.61 26.02 26.40 26.91 27.20 27.40 27.56 27.75 27.97 28.13 28.26 28.32 28.58 28.83 Enteric Fermentation 5.59 5.51 5.50 5.47 5.48 5.50 5.54 5.60 5.66 5.72 5.78 5.95 6.05 Manure Management 2.52 3.13 3.61 3.85 3.99 4.06 4.17 4.28 4.37 4.43 4.45 4.57 4.64 Rice Cultivation 17.92 17.76 17.80 17.87 17.93 18.00 18.04 18.08 18.10 18.10 18.10 18.06 18.13 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 10.71 11.07 11.33 11.52 11.66 11.80 11.94 12.09 12.20 12.31 12.38 12.59 11.79 Manure Management 1.97 2.10 2.22 2.27 2.31 2.34 2.38 2.42 2.45 2.48 2.50 2.57 2.61 Agricultural Soil Management 8.74 8.97 9.12 9.24 9.35 9.46 9.56 9.67 9.75 9.83 9.89 10.02 9.18 1.64 1.63 1.62 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.65 1.66 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.64 1.64 From Fertilizer Land Inventory (Million Hectares) Forest Area 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 8.11 Grassland Area 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.90 6.89 6.89 Cropland Area 7.50 7.42 7.34 7.38 7.39 7.41 7.41 7.41 7.41 7.40 7.39 7.34 7.34 Idle Cropland Area 0.17 0.22 0.27 0.18 0.14 0.08 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 -3.31 -4.25 -5.10 -3.42 -1.28 1.51 -0.18 0.00 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 3.18 314 2.03 3.96 3.02 1.83 Russia Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production 43.30 43.29 42.03 40.72 39.78 39.13 38.61 38.23 37.92 37.73 37.53 37.28 37.18 23.57 22.53 21.26 20.26 19.43 18.81 18.34 17.97 17.67 17.42 17.22 16.77 16.55 Enteric Fermentation 20.38 19.49 18.36 17.45 16.71 16.14 15.71 15.36 15.07 14.84 14.64 14.22 14.00 Manure Management 3.18 3.04 2.90 2.81 2.73 2.67 2.64 2.61 2.60 2.58 2.57 2.55 2.54 Rice Cultivation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 19.73 20.77 20.77 20.46 20.35 20.32 20.27 20.25 20.25 20.30 20.32 20.51 20.64 Methane (CH4) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 3.61 3.53 3.37 3.25 3.13 3.06 3.00 2.96 2.93 2.90 2.88 2.84 2.82 16.12 17.24 17.40 17.22 17.21 17.26 17.27 17.30 17.32 17.40 17.44 17.67 17.82 4.49 4.54 4.65 4.63 4.64 4.66 4.66 4.66 4.65 4.66 4.66 4.68 4.68 Land Inventory (Million Hectares) Forest Area 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 831.75 Grassland Area 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 543.05 Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area 41.05 41.70 42.98 42.79 42.95 43.17 43.12 43.12 43.07 43.24 43.09 43.14 43.12 6.19 5.59 4.34 4.56 4.42 4.22 4.30 4.32 4.38 4.24 4.40 4.40 4.43 -110.76 -99.67 -78.21 -82.20 -79.47 -76.36 -79.13 -79.02 -79.48 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 315 -77.49 -77.96 -78.88 -76.38 South Africa Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) 36.79 38.07 38.97 40.59 40.87 41.42 41.64 41.94 42.10 42.18 42.23 42.38 42.42 9.79 9.85 10.02 10.23 10.48 10.70 10.88 11.02 11.13 11.21 11.26 11.34 11.38 Enteric Fermentation 9.46 9.52 9.68 9.89 10.13 10.35 10.52 10.66 10.76 10.84 10.89 10.97 11.00 Manure Management 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 Rice Cultivation 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 27.00 28.23 28.95 30.35 30.40 30.72 30.76 30.92 30.97 30.97 30.97 31.03 31.05 Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 26.62 27.84 28.56 29.97 30.01 30.33 30.37 30.53 30.58 30.58 30.58 30.64 30.66 1.12 1.15 1.08 1.12 1.11 1.13 1.12 1.13 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.09 1.08 Land Inventory Forest Area (Million Hectares) 9.86 9.82 9.79 9.72 9.69 9.66 9.64 9.63 9.63 9.62 9.62 9.62 9.62 Grassland Area 62.94 62.65 62.40 61.83 61.56 61.33 61.22 61.13 61.07 61.05 61.05 61.05 61.05 Cropland Area 3.47 3.53 3.26 3.39 3.35 3.38 3.36 3.35 3.34 3.33 3.30 3.23 3.18 Idle Cropland Area 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 97.29 220.18 103.68 89.24 -0.02 -0.23 -0.57 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change -3.53 115.93 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 316 42.87 35.92 21.40 7.84 South Korea Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) 11.09 11.42 11.64 11.74 11.87 11.95 11.99 11.99 11.98 11.96 11.92 11.72 11.34 5.01 5.12 5.16 5.22 5.29 5.34 5.37 5.39 5.38 5.38 5.36 5.23 5.13 Enteric Fermentation 2.25 2.41 2.52 2.65 2.75 2.83 2.88 2.91 2.92 2.92 2.91 2.83 2.76 Manure Management 0.16 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 Rice Cultivation 2.60 2.54 2.47 2.41 2.37 2.33 2.32 2.30 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.20 2.17 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 6.08 6.30 6.48 6.52 6.58 6.61 6.62 6.61 6.59 6.58 6.57 6.49 6.21 Manure Management 1.36 1.42 1.42 1.44 1.47 1.50 1.52 1.54 1.56 1.59 1.62 1.70 1.75 Agricultural Soil Management 4.72 4.88 5.06 5.08 5.12 5.12 5.10 5.07 5.03 4.99 4.95 4.79 4.46 0.56 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.48 0.47 From Fertilizer Land Inventory (Million Hectares) Forest Area 4.96 4.95 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 4.94 Grassland Area 1.39 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 Cropland Area 1.00 0.98 0.95 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.85 0.83 Idle Cropland Area 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.17 0.21 11.08 8.97 10.40 -0.01 -0.12 -0.36 -1.96 -3.27 -4.16 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 317 -0.58 -0.88 -1.23 -1.58 Thailand Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) 66.68 66.00 66.21 66.46 67.04 67.72 67.88 69.32 70.28 70.62 71.53 72.43 72.17 55.54 54.89 54.98 55.07 55.49 55.89 56.05 56.80 57.58 58.04 58.65 59.40 60.64 Enteric Fermentation 5.66 5.75 5.86 6.01 6.13 6.24 6.35 6.44 6.53 6.62 6.72 6.98 7.15 Manure Management 0.98 0.96 0.98 1.03 1.08 1.13 1.15 1.18 1.21 1.25 1.29 1.40 1.48 Rice Cultivation 48.90 48.18 48.13 48.03 48.27 48.52 48.55 49.18 49.84 50.16 50.64 51.01 52.01 Nitrous Oxide (N2O) 11.14 11.11 11.23 11.39 11.55 11.83 11.83 12.51 12.71 12.58 12.87 13.04 11.52 Manure Management 1.37 1.38 1.41 1.45 1.48 1.52 1.54 1.57 1.59 1.62 1.65 1.73 1.78 Agricultural Soil Management 9.77 9.73 9.83 9.94 10.06 10.31 10.29 10.94 11.11 10.96 11.23 11.31 9.74 1.97 1.97 1.96 1.97 1.98 1.99 1.99 2.01 2.03 2.04 2.06 2.07 2.10 From Fertilizer Land Inventory Forest Area (Million Hectares) 18.57 18.57 18.57 18.57 18.57 18.55 18.55 18.48 18.40 18.37 18.31 18.27 18.16 Grassland Area 4.57 4.57 4.57 4.57 4.57 4.55 4.55 4.47 4.39 4.35 4.29 4.24 4.12 Cropland Area 12.94 12.86 12.81 12.85 12.92 12.98 12.98 13.13 13.29 13.37 13.48 13.56 13.80 0.01 0.08 0.13 0.09 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.08 -1.34 -2.13 -1.57 2.37 21.17 56.87 19.05 44.14 Idle Cropland Area (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 318 3.03 74.96 78.74 39.40 United States Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production Methane (CH4) Enteric Fermentation Manure Management Rice Cultivation Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 431.04 428.46 427.96 429.50 430.20 430.92 431.13 432.05 432.98 433.56 434.18 435.65 437.84 152.62 149.77 150.18 150.25 150.16 150.11 150.16 150.16 150.42 150.78 151.23 151.94 153.38 119.12 117.52 118.08 118.46 118.50 118.55 118.62 118.68 118.86 119.02 119.23 120.09 120.85 25.28 25.29 24.91 24.67 24.53 24.40 24.32 24.29 24.32 24.42 24.57 25.19 25.81 8.23 6.97 7.19 7.12 7.13 7.16 7.21 7.19 7.23 7.33 7.44 6.67 6.72 278.42 278.69 277.78 279.25 280.04 280.81 280.96 281.89 282.57 282.78 282.95 283.70 284.46 14.49 14.34 14.35 14.36 14.35 14.35 14.35 14.35 14.37 14.39 14.41 14.52 14.61 263.93 264.35 263.43 264.90 265.69 266.47 266.62 267.54 268.20 268.40 268.53 269.19 269.85 41.37 42.27 42.07 42.48 42.86 43.15 Land Inventory 43.15 43.25 43.35 43.38 43.32 43.28 43.21 (Million Hectares) Forest Area 309.86 309.73 309.73 309.61 309.51 309.43 309.41 309.35 309.28 309.26 309.26 309.21 309.10 Grassland Area 258.53 258.44 258.44 258.34 258.27 258.21 258.20 258.14 258.08 258.06 258.06 258.02 257.93 Cropland Area Idle Cropland Area 94.62 95.79 94.65 94.78 95.31 95.50 95.52 95.62 95.72 95.69 95.59 95.28 95.02 7.21 6.56 7.77 7.85 7.47 7.38 7.37 7.36 7.37 7.43 7.54 8.00 8.52 -14.88 -143.15 -35.19 -46.08 -76.63 -117.21 -138.90 -139.83 -67.44 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Carbon Stock Change 37.77 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook -68.29 -121.06 319 -79.40 World Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2023 2025 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) Agricultural Production 4,442 4,471 4,497 4,521 4,559 4,600 4,638 4,681 4,720 4,757 4,795 4,899 4,917 2,263 2,254 2,261 2,268 2,281 2,294 2,307 2,321 2,335 2,349 2,364 2,405 2,431 Enteric Fermentation 1,422 1,420 1,427 1,435 1,445 1,456 1,467 1,478 1,490 1,502 1,515 1,550 1,572 Manure Management 176 177 177 177 178 180 181 183 184 186 188 193 197 Rice Cultivation 665 657 658 656 658 658 659 660 660 661 661 662 662 2,179 2,216 2,236 2,253 2,279 2,306 2,330 2,360 2,384 2,408 2,431 2,494 2,485 Methane (CH4) Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Manure Management Agricultural Soil Management From Fertilizer 157 158 159 160 161 163 165 166 168 170 172 177 181 2,022 2,058 2,077 2,094 2,117 2,143 2,166 2,193 2,216 2,237 2,259 2,317 2,305 332 340 342 342 343 344 345 346 346 347 347 348 348 Land Inventory (Million Hectares) Forest Area 3,841 3,839 3,836 3,835 3,833 3,832 3,830 3,828 3,826 3,825 3,823 3,818 3,815 Grassland Area 4,046 4,041 4,036 4,031 4,027 4,022 4,017 4,012 4,007 4,002 3,998 3,984 3,977 Cropland Area 858.65 871.33 876.33 875.40 878.49 881.65 883.33 885.39 887.26 889.16 890.58 895.10 898.17 Idle Cropland Area 51.12 40.71 37.04 38.18 34.96 32.90 Carbon Stock Change 1,941 2,840 2,279 1,734 1,879 2,249 31.36 30.39 29.70 29.09 28.79 27.66 27.34 1,854 1,962 1,685 (Million Metric Ton of CO2 Equivalent) World Greenhouse Gas Emissions: FAPRI-ISU 2011 Agricultural Outlook 320 1,914 2,128 2,004 1,947