19 60 19 62 19 64 19 66 19 68 19 70 19 72 19 74 19 76 19 78 19 80 19 82 19 84 19 86 19 88 19 90 19 92 19 94 19 96 Trends in China’s CO2 Emission Density ,1960-98 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 International Comparison in CO2 Emissions – China is the secondary biggest emission country all the world. – Emission per capita is under world average level, but the trend is rising. – Emission density obviously declines. In fact China’s emission density per unit economic output has less than America measured by PPP GDP. – The level of Emission losses relative to GDP is still very high, but is continuously declining. 日本 中国 美国 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 98 96 94 92 90 88 86 84 82 80 78 76 74 72 70 CO2 Emission Losses relative to GDP(%) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Five Major Country’s Share relative to World Aggregate ,1998 Indicates China USA Russia Japan India Population 21.3 4.6 2.5 2.2 16.8 GDP (PPP) 12.8 20.9 2.0 7.7 4.4 Energy Production 10.5 17.5 9.6 1.1 4.3 Primary Energy Supply CO2 Emission 11.0 22.8 6.1 5.3 5.0 12.8 24.0 6.3 5.0 4.0 Energy and Environment Indicators Comparison Among Five major Countries ,1998 Indicates China USA Russia Japan India World AV. Per Energy Supply (toe/pop) 0.84 8.11 3.96 4.03 0.49 1.64 Per GDP Energy Supply (toe/1000US$, 1990PPP) 0.24 0.31 0.87 0.20 0.32 0.28 Electric Power Consumption Per capita (kwh/pop) 895 13388 4873 8008 416 2252 CO2Emission per Energy Supply ( tCO2/toe) 2.76 2.48 2.43 2.21 1.91 2.36 Per Capita CO2 Emissions ( tCO2/pop ) 2.32 20.10 9.64 8.92 0.93 3.86 Per GDP CO2 Emissions ( kgCO2/90US$, PPP ) 0.67 0.77 2.13 0.44 0.61 6.67 Energy Net Import (%) 2.4 25.1 -59.3 78.6 14.1 l l Report issued by The Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC) says China has reduced its carbon dioxide emissions by switching from coal to cleaner energy sources, initiating energy efficiency programs and restructuring its economy. The report also states that over the last decade, China's carbon dioxide emissions grew 8.4 percent, while US emissions grew 14 percent. During this period, however, China's economy grew four times faster than the US economy. l Citing US Department of Energy statistics, the report says China's coal consumption has declined by 411 million short tons since 1996, while US coal consumption increased by 40 million short tons over the same period. Commercial Energy Use Commercial Energy Use(kt,Oil Equivalent) 2.5E+06 China 2.0E+06 1.5E+06 India zz 1.0E+06 Japan 5.0E+05 United States 95 19 92 19 89 19 86 19 83 19 80 19 77 19 74 19 19 71 0.0E+00 CO2 Emission Growth,1960-98 6000000 5000000 China 4000000 India 3000000 2000000 Japan 1000000 19 60 19 64 19 68 19 72 19 76 19 80 19 84 19 88 19 92 19 96 0 United States Ratio of CO2 in World,1960-98 50.0 45.0 China 40.0 35.0 India 30.0 25.0 20.0 Japan 15.0 10.0 United States 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 1964 0.0 1960 5.0 IV. Implications Perspective l China will continually cut carbon dioxide emissions in the future. Central government has pronounced that China will cut several kind pollutants by 5-10 percent in the 10th FYP, include carbon dioxide emissions.In order to achieve such a goal,energy policy is the most important aspect. China’s Energy Strategy l Go on energy restructure, substantial reductions in coal consumption, more clean energy usage.Import more petroleum and natural gas and open domestic energy market. Implement Environment-Friendly Energy Policies lPlace zero-customs policy to oil and gas products.Break the monopoly of oil import, abolish oil import quota restrict, permit majore consumer to buy oil from the world market. lUse global technology of energy-saving and environment protection; place low-customs or zero-customs of technology and equipment import. % of Different Sources in Electricity Production coal hydroelectric natural gas 95 19 92 19 89 19 86 19 83 19 80 19 77 19 74 nuclear 19 19 71 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 oil Actions to Reduce Air Pollution l Shift emphasis from command and control to market-based instruments and from end of pipe treatment to prevention at source. l Adopt a Clean Production Law. l Improve pollution levy and strengthen enforcement. l Introduce an environmental tax on coal. l An emission trading system could provide another instrument to reduce pollution. Participate in More International Environmental Cooperation lIn order to accelerate emission abatement,we suggest China initiate CO2 emissions trading,especially develop bilateral trading with Asian countries, include Japan. Since China need more international assistance, Japan can transfer more energy saving and environmental protection technologies, develop more investment in China important areas. Thanks!