Session Session Five Five Competing Competing in in aa global global world: world: aa series series of of presentations presentations by by AMAPWG AMAPWG member member delegates delegates New New Zealand Zealand and and Australia Australia Avocado Avocado Grower ’s Conference ’05 Grower’s Conference’05 20 -22 September 20-22 September 2005 2005 Tauranga Tauranga,, New New Zealand Zealand MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND Presentation to the Avocado Conference September 2005 MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND ¾ Volume growthNNin 10 yearsateeassociated with Exports by Market ZZDD/past Exports by Market ee RRat /UUSD SD Exchang Exchang new plantings Export Trays 1,200,000 20,.57050 , 0 0 0 1,600,000 0.75 ¾ Australia provided backbone toExport export 99/00 Export has Allocation 00/01 Allocation 0 . 7 0 1,400,000 0.70 1,000,000 marketing 2,000,000 USA 0 .06.56 5 1,200,000 48% Other 2% ¾800,000 Market development 0 .06.06 0 USA 54% Other 1% 1,000,000 1, 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 0 .05.55 5 600,000 800,000 ¾ North America 0 .05.05 0 1, 0 0 0 , 0 0 0 600,000 400,000 0 .04.54 5 ¾Weak NZ dollar 400,000 0 .04.04 0 200,000 500,000 200,000 0.35 ¾Improved shipping Australia Australia 45% 50% ¾Timing before Chilean fruit 0.35 -- 99/00 99/00 96/ 97 00/01 00/01 01/02 ¾2000 NZ99/01/02 dollar 97/ 98 98/ 99 00 00/ 01 02/03 02/03 01/ 02 Japan USA Japan Australia USA ¾ChileanAustralia volumes 02/ 03 Other Other 03/04 03/04 03/ 04 04/ 05 04/05 05/ 06 MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND ¾ UK & Europe ¾ Longer voyage time MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND The Market ¾ Consumption more than doubled to 400gm ¾ 5 million consumers to be introduced over next 5 years ¾ Hass perceived as having better flavour ¾ France consumption 1kg per person MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND UK AVOCADO IMPORTS 100% 90% 80% 70% 2 1 5 4 13 1 3 6 8 3 2 5 9 Netherlands 10 13 Kenya 16 13 16 60% United States Rest of World 50% 21 19 14 40% Israel Mexico 30% 40 France 38 38 20% 10% Spain South Africa 0% 1999 2000 2001 MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND Market Requirements ¾ Green hard fruit ¾ No chilling injury ¾ Sound internal condition ¾ Little external defects MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND Why New Zealand Fruit ¾ Product sampling favourable ¾ Colour, texture & flavour selling points ¾ Opportunity to attract a premium MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND Preparation ¾ Mid Sept harvest for Oct/Nov arrivals ¾ 26% dry matter to eliminate chilling injury ¾ Harvest as close as possible to shipping ¾ 30 day transit time ¾ Weather ¾ Container loading within 24 hours MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND Arrival into the Market ¾ Outturn inspection ¾ Strong sales and distribution network important ¾ Optimum selling period 1 week after arrival MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND UK M a rk e t - C us t o m e r A na lys is The Marketplace Wa i t r o se 8.4% Ot h e r 12 . 3 % T e sc o Co- op 25.9% ¾ Positive reaction to NZ fruit 1. 5 % M & S ¾ Selling Points 3.0% S ome r f i e l d ¾ Customer selection important 1. 9 % S a i n sb u r y 27.0% M ' so n s & S ' wa y 10 . 9 % A sd a 9 . 1% MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND U K M ar ket - B y V o l ume U K M ar ket A nal ysi s Market Introduction Timing 10 , 0 0 0 9, 088 9,000 3,000,000 JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 8,000 South Africa 2,500,000 7,000 Spain 2,000,000 6,000 Kenya 1,55, 00 00 0, 0 0 0 Mexico 3, 617 4,000 1, 0 0 0 , 0 0 0 3, 148 3, 183 Israel 3,000 2, 149 500,000 Peru 2,000 1, 0 0 0 Chile 1, 187 0 540 780 Ken ya Net her a l n ds 176 0 St h Af r ci a Spain Fr an ce M exico I sr ael Rest of Wor d l U. S. A. MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND The Future ¾ Global marketing strategy ¾ Size / market profile to achieve best grower returns ¾ NZ brand ¾ Selling points MARKET DEVELOPMENT BY TONY SINKOVICH // MARKETING MANAGER // GLOBAL FRESH NEW ZEALAND Presentation to the Avocado Conference September 2005 DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Japan NZ’s biggest export market for horticultural produce…. Export Markets by Value M illion $ (FOB) $500 $416 $400 $328 $299 $273 $300 $243 $200 $100 $Japan European Union Australia UK USA DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Avocados are a high value item FOB returns/kg from Japan in 2004… Kiwifruit Avocado Squash $3.85/kg FOB $3.45/kg FOB $0.51/kg FOB DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Export Trays 5. 5 Kg T r ays 2,500,000 Planting Trends 4000 3500 2,000,000 TOTAL HECTARES 3000 2500 1, 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 2000 1500 1, 0 0 0 , 0 0 0 1000 500 500,000 0 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 YEAR 96/ 97 97/ 98 98/ 99 99/ 00 00/ 01 01/ 02 02/ 03 03/ 04 04/ 05 05/ 06 DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Export forecast by market: 2004-2005 Season 5% 2005-2006 Season 5% 11% 3% 5% 1% 87% Australia USA Japan 1.1 million trays 87% Australia USA Japan 2.3 million trays DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO The Japanese Market Avocado Consumption increasing over the past 6 years 30,000 MEX USA CHL Japanese diet isNZLchanging 25,000 Consumers are increasingly health and price conscious 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Food safety and traceability Quality… quality… quality! - Ton 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO What is the opportunity? Mexican Hass dominates the Japanese market. CHILE AVOCADO IMPORT VOLUME 2001 - Current By Country NZ USA MX NZ has an opportunity from Sept-March Japan is a quick transit market (12 x days) 4,000,000 Kg 3,500,000 Brand NZ has appeal 3,000,000 NZ can deliver on taste and quality 2,500,000 2,000,000 NZ exporters working collaboratively 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 2005/3 2005/1 2004/11 2004/9 2004/7 2004/5 2004/3 2004/1 2003/11 2003/9 2003/7 2003/5 2003/3 2003/1 2002/11 2002/9 2002/7 2002/5 2002/3 2002/1 2001/11 2001/9 2001/7 2001/5 2001/3 2001/1 0 DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Avocados and the Japanese Consumer Key Selling Features: 1. Health / Nutrition /Versatility 2. Food Safety /Traceability 3. Maturity & Grade stds. 4. Ripe- Ready to Eat Key Benefits: 1. Consumer Health 2. Consumer Assurance 3. Consistent Taste & quality 4. Versatile & Convenient Delivers: An Attractive Sales Proposition For Consumers = repeat purchase For Customers = more sales & category growth DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Key Challenges…. Demand Highest Quality Size specific market (24/30 count) Food Safety & Traceability Price conscious (¥99 price point) Ripening and retail display Driving continued consumption growth The weak Japanese ¥en DEVELOPING THE JAPANESE MARKET WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Focus Group Findings WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Do you like the taste of Avocados? How do you eat Avocados? 56% IN SALAD NOT AT ALL 4% SOY SAUCE WITH WASABI VERY MUCH 29% MAYBE NOT 32% 53% SUSHI ROLL 21% WITHOUT NO ADDITIVES 18% IN YOGURT OR WITH LEMONS 15% 11% OTHER MIXED INTO JUICE MAYBE YES 35% 4% IN SANDWITCHES 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Focus Group Findings WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO A Few Times A Month 14% Never 33% Once A Month 17% How often do you buy Avocados? Less Than Once A Year A Couple of Times A Year 12% 14% Once A Few Month 10% 69% HIGH NUTRITION 37% HIGH OIL 34% DELICIOUS What is your image of Avocados? 32% DON'T KNOW HOW TO EAT 31% UNFAMILIAR 27% GOOD W ITH MANY RECIPES 15% NOT DELICIOUS 11% FAMILIAR 5% OTHER 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Focus Group Findings WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO GOOD FOR YOUR HEALTH 69% 48% TASTY REASONABLE PRICE Why do you buy Avocados? 26% 22% EASY TO COOK 14% OTHER 7% GOOD VALUE 5% TRADITION 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 39% DON'T KNOW HOW TO EAT 30% EXPENSIVE 25% DON'T LIKE TASTE HIGH CALORIES 18% NOT FAMILIAR 18% Why don’t you buy Avocados? 17% NOT EASY TO PREPARE 14% OTHER 7% NOT IN NEIGHBOR STORES 7% DOUBT IN FOOD SAFETY 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Focus Group Findings WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO 73% PRICE FRESHNESS 69% 52% COLOR What are important points when you buy Avocados? 24% SOFTNESS 19% SIZE 17% TASTE NUTRITION FACTS 10% 8% USED CHEMICALS 5% OTHER 2% BRAND 0% 20% 40% 60% 68% RE C IPE INFO D EMONSTRA TION SA LES 46% 44% NUTRITION FA C TS What will attract you when you buy Avocados? 80% READ Y TO E AT (P EELE D OR C UT) 24% C ONSUMER C AMPA IGN 22% D ON'T C ARE 7% C OUP ONS A TTAC HED 7% LARGE R PIE C ES 7% B AG SA LES 7% 4% OTHER 3% SMALLE R PIE C ES 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Focus Group Findings WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO What kind of information do you want? 87% RECIPE INFO 58% WHEN TO EAT 48% NUTRITION FACTS HOW IT'S GROWN 27% WHERE IT'S GROWN 27% 17% TRANSPORTATION 4% OTHER 0% How do you want to get information? 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 72% AT STORE 48% INTERNET 47% TV/RADIO 41% MAGAZINE 26% NEW SPAPER 9% FROM FRIENDS 2% CULTURE SCHOOL OTHER 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Focus Group Findings WADE GILLOOLY // PRODUCT MANAGER // FRESHCO Can you tell the maturity of Avocados? NEVER TRIED 7% YES 10% SOMEHOW 27% NOT AT ALL 33% ALMOST NOT 23%