Routinely collected CGAS ratings – are they of any use to Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services? Anna Lundh, M.D., Ph.D. Department of Clinical Neuroscience Karolinska Institutet Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry Stockholm County, Sweden WHY DO WE USE RATING SCALES AND DIAGNOSTIC INSTRUMENTS? 2 Objectify and standardise clinical data with valid tools ª Symptoms/ Diagnostic category ª Global functioning 3 WHAT IS GLOBAL FUNCTIONING? 4 AT H OME 5 S D N E I R F H T I W 6 7 Unidimensional scales ª Global Assessment scale, GAS, 1973 (Endicott 1976) ª Children’s Global Assessment Scale, CGAS, 1983 (Shaffer 1983) ª Global Assessment of Functioning, GAF, 1987 (DSM-III-R) 8 CGAS ª Clinician rated ª All patients in Stockholm § Intake and end-of-treatment ª 1 July 2006 ª Lowest level of functioning ª Time period - last month ª Between 1 and 100 9 Cut-offs 70 71-­‐100 indicates normal func4oning 61-­‐70 probable clinical case 60 1-­‐60 definite clinical case (Shaffer 1983, Bird 1987) 10 A NOTE ABOUT SCALES 11 CGAS is an ordinal scale…. 12 …that needs psychiatric training to use and to interpret the result…. 13 …but appears to be a ratio scale! 14 Inter-rater reliability, CGAS ª Intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) ª From 0 to 1 ª 19 case vignettes, 5 raters (medical residents) § ICC 0.84 (Shaffer 1983) ª 10 case vignettes, 78 raters, <1 hour introduction/ training § ICC 0.61 (Hanssen-Bauer 2007) ICC*=Intraclass correlation coefficient 15 What is a “true” CGAS rating? ª No Gold standard for global functioning ª Common: test CGAS ratings against the group mean rating ª An alternative: use expert ratings 16 Training ª No instructions in original work if training was required ª Recommended (Schorre 2004, Winters 2005, Rush 2007) ª No evaluation of training effect 17 ”Let’s start using CGAS for all inpatients in Stockholm!” Eva-Britt Hallquist and Peter Engelsöy, former and present head of Inpatient unit. 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 18 Is CGAS possible to use among hundreds of clinicians? How can we train large groups? 19 Case vignettes ª 80 anonymous charts from first visits at outpatient clinic and the ER Nybe ånge sök. Sök e s mod t och oro r pga ern. tills m Soc Bor t ills m 2 sys e fld kon och Skola G å r klass i åk 4 extra som kan . Liten hjälp g skola med e K svår rbetet. A ta llt sake tt lära sig id haft r nya Emelie 13 Nadja 16 Johanna 5 Emil 10 Erik 14 ª 50 cases were constructed 20 Expert rating, the best estimate for gold standard ª 5 experienced clinicians § 3 child psychiatrists and 2 psychologists ª Rated 50 cases individually ª Discussion and consensus rating § EXPERT RATING! 21 Development of training programs ª Two methods – same content § Live seminar § Computer-based ª Theoretical part ª Skills training 22 Study I 23 24 Moderate inter-rater reliability before and after training ª Baseline ICC values ª Endpoint ICC values § 0.92 (expert raters) § 0.71 (seminar group) § 0.78 (seminar group) § 0.76 (CD group) § 0.78 (CD group) § 0.67 (comparison group) § 0.79 (comparison group) ª ICC = 0.60-0.80 Moderate ª ICC = 0.80-1.0 Substantial 25 High trainee satisfaction ª Scale 1-6 § Seminar group 5.4 § CD group 4.9 26 Conclusions, Paper I ª The inter-rater reliability is moderate ª CGAS is a useful instrument § Caution when comparing CGAS ratings of the same patient from different practitioners ª Differences in ratings between professional categories § How and by whom should CGAS ratings be performed? § Team ratings? 27 Conclusions, Paper II ª No difference between the two forms of training ª Small improvement, unlikely to be clinically relevant ª Similarly positive effect in the non-randomised comparison group that received no training ª Future education trials should include regular, randomly assigned control (WILL TAKE PLACE IN MARCH 2013) ª Personalised training? 28 A NOTE ABOUT EFFICACY AND EFFECTIVENESS 29 Efficacy studies Effectiveness studies ª Randomised controlled studies ª Real world setting ª Clear-cut diagnosis ª No comorbidity ª Unselected clinicians ª Exclusion criteria ª No exclusion criteria ª Patients and clinicians behave differently ª No control group ª Unselected patients 30 Efficacy studies Effectiveness studies ª Randomised controlled studies ª Real world setting ª Clear-cut diagnosis ª No comorbidity ª Unselected clinicians ª Exclusion criteria ª No exclusion criteria ª Patients and clinicians behave differently ª No control group ª Unselected patients 31 Gap between efficacy and effectiveness studies ª Clinical guidelines are based on EFFICACY STUDIES Randomised Controlled Trials ª The results from efficacy studies not generalisable ª Low number of EFFECTIVENESS STUDIES § Routinely collected data - CGAS 32 33 Aims ª To investigate outcomes of child psychiatric outpatient treatment as measured by change in CGAS ratings – ΔCGAS - before and after treatment in a large naturalistic cohort ª To identify predictive clinical factors for CGAS change in two diagnostic groups: § mood disorder § attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) 34 Methods I ª 12,613 outpatients, 1 July 2006 - 31 January 2010 ª Age 12.0 (3.9) ª Girls 52% and Boys 48% ª Number of visits 13.1 (14.4) ª Treatment period more than one month 35 Methods II ª Clinical database Pastill § Diagnosis • DSM-IV and/or ICD10 § CGAS rating § Treatment • Counselling and psychotherapy à Time frames à Settings (individual, group, parents, family) • Medication à Central stimulant à Other than central stimulant § Psychosocial stressor • physical health problem, abuse, death etcetera 36 Selected, excluded and included patients 44 261 Registered patients 11 344 7 796 Treatment period <one month Continuing treatment 25 121 Selected patients 12 508 4 494 5 526 4 281 278 1 704 221 12 613 Included outpatients 31 648 Excluded patients CGAS=0* at baseline CGAS missing at baseline CGAS=100 at baseline Age <4 or >20 years old Inpatients CGAS=0 at case closure CGAS missing at case closure Not selected/excluded patients *Zero does not represent a CGAS score, but indicates that the professional has not performed the assessment, which is not the same as missing data Diagnostic category n= Baseline Mean (SD) ΔCGAS Mean (SD) Suicide attempt 302 43.5 (9.9) 16.1 (14.5) Mood disorders 2,213 50.3 (9.8) 13.4 (12.2) Anxiety disorder 2,446 51.3 (10.2) 13.2 (11.9) ADHD 1,169 50.5 (9.5) 6.5 (8.9) 41.2 (14.0) 3.9 (9.6) Mental retardation 224 38 J. AM. ACAD. CHILD. ADOLESC. PSYCHIATRY, 45:12, DECEMBER 2006 39 TABLE 1. CGAS, scores by treatment group Vitiello et al Treatment arm Combination FLX + CBT CGAS total score Baseline Week 6 Week 12 Mean +/-SD 50,0 +/-7,52 62,4 +/-11,2 66,6 +/-11,91 Range 35,0 40,0 Mean +/-SD 49,5 +/-7,26 59,9 +/-10,58 62,1 +/-11,91 Range 35,0 65,0 40,0 90,0 35,0 90,0 109 99 98 Mean +/-SD 50,0 +/-7,58 56,7 +/-9,66 60,0 +/-11,47 Range 34,0 35,0 Mean +/-SD Range No All treatments 95,0 95 No Placebo 40,0 98 No CBT 90,0 107 No FLX 80,0 Mean +/-SD Range No 68,0 80,0 40,0 90,0 111 97 90 49,1 +/-7,59 57,0 +/-9,22 59,3 +/-12,72 32,0 67,0 40,0 75,0 35,0 85,0 112 95 96 49,6 +/-7,47 59,0 +/-10,43 62,0 +/-12,3 32,0 80,0 439 35,0 90,0 389 35,0 95,0 379 40 Clinical factors associated with CGAS change ª Mood disorders ª ADHD 41 Mood disorder (n=2,213) Beta P value Teenage psychotherapy 0.10 <0.001 Short term psychotherapy 0.11 <0.001 Family therapy/counselling 0.10 <0.001 Other treatment 0.06 0.010 Family crisis intervention 0.06 0.004 Number of visits 0.06 0.013 Counselling with family and social network -0.09 <0.001 Managed by others than psychologist, social worker, medical doctor -0.08 <0.001 Medication 42 n.s. Conclusions, Mood disorders ª Medication in mood disorder treatment were not significantly associated with improvement of CGAS ratings § Differs from clinical trials ª Several of the different psychotherapeutic interventions were positively correlated with baseline CGAS and ∆CGAS in mood disorders § Similar to clinical trials 43 ADHD (n=1,169) Beta P value Intervention variables Number of visits 0.10 0.003 Managed by medical doctor 0.10 0.001 Parent counselling, group 0.08 0.007 Therapeutic summer camp 0.06 0.033 Central stimulants n.s. 44 Selected, excluded and included patients 44 261 Registered patients 11 344 7 796 Treatment period <one month Continuing treatment 25 121 Selected patients 12 508 4 494 5 526 4 281 278 1 704 221 12 613 Included outpatients 31 648 Excluded patients CGAS=0* at baseline CGAS missing at baseline CGAS=100 at baseline Age <4 or >20 years old Inpatients CGAS=0 at case closure CGAS missing at case closure Not selected/excluded patients *Zero does not represent a CGAS score, but indicates that the professional has not performed the assessment, which is not the same as missing data Selected, excluded and included patients 44 261 Registered patients 7 796 Continuing treatment 25 121 Selected patients 12 508 4 494 5 526 4 281 278 1 704 221 12 613 Included outpatients 31 648 Excluded patients CGAS=0* at baseline CGAS missing at baseline CGAS=100 at baseline Age <4 or >20 years old Inpatients CGAS=0 at case closure CGAS missing at case closure Not selected/excluded patients *Zero does not represent a CGAS score, but indicates that the professional has not performed the assessment, which is not the same as missing data Frequency of central stimulants Continued treatment 28.3 % Ended treatment 12.7 % 47 ADHD, ended treatment. With or without CS CS N=132 No CS N=910 Unpaired t-test Mean (SD) Mean (SD) P Value Age 13.3 (3.5) 11.0 (3.8) <0.001 Number of diagnoses 1.9 (1.1) 1.9 (1.1) 0.842 Number of psychosocial stressors 1.8 (1.3) 2.2 (1.7) 0.008 CGAS at baseline 52.2 (9.5) 50.3 (9.6) 0.038 Number of visits 14.8 (13.8) 13.9 (13.8) 0.503 ΔCGAS 7.1 (10.0) 6.4 (8.9) 0.385 48 CS, N (%) No CS, N (%) Chi-2 Boys 95 (72.0) 658 (72.3) 0.935 Girls TREATMENT INTERVENTIONS 37 (28.0) 252 (27.7) 0.935 Guidance to parents 82 (62.1) 707 (77.7) <0.001 Guidance to teenagers 47 (35.6) 363 (39.9) 0.346 Family therapy/counselling 19 (14.4) 299 (32.9) <0.001 Teenage psychotherapy 5 (3.8) 32 (3.5) 0.875 Social network counselling 9 (6.8) 102 (11.2) 0.127 Cooperation counselling 0 22 (2.2) 0.086 Group treatment 2 (1.5) 29 (3.2) 0.291 Child psychotherapy 1 (0.8) 4 (0.4) 0.621 Short term psychotherapy 4 (3.0) 18 (2.0) 0.432 Interaction treatment 1 (0.8) 12 (1.3) 0.587 Medication, excluding central 19 (14.4) 32 (3.5) <0.001 stimulants 49 Conclusions, ADHD ª CGAS at baseline was lower compared to clinical trials ª The size of improvement (CGAS) was lower compared to clinical trials ª Patients that received central stimulants received less psychotherapy to family and parents and less parent training § Differs from clinical guidelines ª Routinely collected CGAS must include regular assessments during on going treatment, every 3 or 6 months? 50 Paper IV The Children’s Global Assessment Scale (CGAS) predicts negative outcomes in early adulthood Lundh A, Forsman M, Serlachius E, Långström N, Lichtenstein P, Landén M. Submitted 51 Aim ª To investigate whether CGAS ratings can predict future outcomes § criminal conviction § mental health disorders § suicide attempt § substance misuse § accidents 52 Methods ª 4,876 patients, 1 July 2006 - 31 December 2009 ª Treatment period more than one month ª Clinical database Pastill § CGAS at intake and end-of-treatment ª Follow-up 1½ years ª National registers § Patient Register § Crime Register 53 CGAS end-of-treatment ≤60 (n=2,260) vs CGAS end-of-treatment >60 (n=2,616) Outcomes Unadjusted HR Adjusted HR Criminality 2.1 *** 2.4 ** Suicide attempt 3.8 ** 1.1 Depression 2.6 *** 1.5 Anxiety disorder 2.6 *** 1.3 Eating disorder 3.4 * 8.1 Schizophrenia N/A N/A Bipolar disorder 6.3 *** 4.7 * BPD 11.7 *** 15.7 ** Substance misuse 1.9 ** 1.2 Accidents 1.1 0.8 54 Conclusions, Paper IV ª CGAS ratings at end-of-treatment - but not at intake - provide specific information about the outcome of child psychiatric patients ª Intensified follow-up might be needed for adolescents with an end-of-treatment CGAS score of 60 or less 55 Summary ª CGAS is a reliable and valid measure ª Suitable as routinely collected variable in large clinical settings ª Useful rating tool § Evaluate effectiveness of child psychiatric treatment § Predict negative outcomes ª Training effect § Future evaluation studies need randomised control groups to control for unspecific learning effect, just like placebo 56 57 Thank you! Mikael Landén Carl Johan Sundberg ª Mats Forsman ª Paul Lichtenstein ª Clara Gumpert ª Niklas Långström ª Jan Kowalski ª Eva Serlachius Namn Efternamn januari 30, 2013 58 58