OFFICE OF POPULATION CENSUSES AND SURVEYS Longitudina I Study social class and occupational mobility 1971-77 A J Fox Professor of Social Statistics, Social Statistics Research Unit, City University Series LS no.2 London: Her Majesty’s Stationery Office @Crowncopyright 1985 First published 1985 ISBN 0 11 691134 4 Contents Acknowledgements Summary Commentary Background Source of data Methods of measuring mobility Comparisons of mobility between sub-groups Overall models of social class mobility Social class mobility by region of usual residence in 1971 Social class mobility for men who changed address in the year before the Census Social class mobility and country of birth Social class mobility and housing tenure Occupational mobility Discussion References Appendix Tables and Figures Page iv iv 4 5 6 7 10 11 Tables Figures 12 17 22 27 32 37 42 47 52 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 57 62 61 66 67 71 72 72 82 76 81 86 87 91 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; region of residence 1971 (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) North Yorkshire and Humberside East Midlands East Anglia South East South West West Midlands North West (i) Wales 2 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child: migrants in 1970-71 (a) Migrants between local authorities (b) Migrants within local authorities 3 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child: men born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan 4 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child: by housing tenure (a) Owner occupiers (b) Private tenants (c) Local authority tenants 5 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child: owner occupier migrants between local authorities in 1970-71 Acknowledgements These analyses were undertaken while the author was supported by the Social Science Research Council as Professorial Fellow in Statistics Applied to the Social Sciences. Advice was given on the model fitting by Professor A P Dawid. Detailed computing was undertaken Summary Occupational information recorded at the birth of a child in the period 1971-1977 has been compared with that recorded in the 1971 Census for the one per cent sample of fathers included in the OPCS Longitudinal Study. While social class and occupational mobility at this stage of men’s family life cycle will probably not reflect mobility at other stages, this analysis has provided an indication of the main directions of movement and variations between various subsets of the population at this important stage. The main finding is that after allowing for occupational changes which probably reflect recording differences and coding differences between Census and birth registration, the expected pattern of promotion is noted from all social classes to Class 11, the group which includes managers and senior administrators. Rates of upwards mobility were by Dr A E Renshaw, Mr P Carroll and Ms H Pugh from source tables produced as ad hoc tables by OPCS. Dr D R Jones, Ms E Grundy and Mr M Murphy made helpful comments on an earlier draft. The help from all these sources is gratefully acknowledged. found to be high for men living in the South East, for men who had moved between local authorities in the year before the 1971 Census, for men who lived in owner occupied accommodation and particularly high for men in owner occupied accommodation who had moved between local authorities in the year before the 1971 Census. Upward mobility was low for men who lived in the North and for men who lived in local authority accommodation. The analysis of occupational change has provided useful insights into the problems associated with the use of vital registration data in the analysis of occupational change, particularly for groups such as electrical and medical engineers, machine tool setters and machine tool operators for whom minor changes in description carry much weight in the allocation of social class. The views expressed in this report are not necessarily those of the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. iv Commentary Background The Registrar General’s social classes were introduced by Stevenson’>2in the 1920s to shift the emphasis of routine analyses of mortality and fertility differentials away from occupational groups?. His interest lay in demonstrating the magnitude of socio-economic differences. Similar motives lay behind earlier socio-economic group analyses by Farr4, but these had not been pursued in the latter part of the last century. Present day customers of official demographic (and other social) statistics will be only too aware of the central role the Registrar General’s social classes have subsequently played in the national demographic armoury5. They continue to be used in the analyses of vital event data6,7 and are also used in most government social surveys8. It has long been recognised that interpretation of the causes of mortality differentials between social classes is made difficult because selective movement between occupational groups and out of the labour force may distort relationships9. While this possibility is regularly discussed in decennial supplements (see, for example, page 17 of the latest report6) it has rarely been given the emphasis of more recent commentatorsi0. Discussions of this issue have been severely limited by the lack of relevant data. What is needed are (a) measures of the extent of social class mobility, and (b) measures of mortality differentials according to class of origin and class of destination. In effect, it is necessary to relate mortality to social class history, not just to social class at one point in time, such as the time of death. Similar arguments about the effects of social class mobility affect the interpretation of fertility differentials. It is again necessary to document the extent of social mobility and the fertility patterns of those who are mobile. Source of data Since the early 1970s OPCS has been conducting a longitudinal study (LS) on a one per cent sample of the 1971 Census population 1 1 , 1 2 , 1 3 . This source brings together records from censuses and vital events, such as births and deaths, and should, over the next decade, start to provide more information to help quantify the contribution of selective mobility to observed differentials. The focus of attention in the present analysis is the information in this source about the occupations of men who, in 1971, were married and aged 20-34 years, and who, during the period 1971-77 subsequently had a child. For each of 21,334 births to this group of men the occupation on the birth record, and derived social class are compared with those recorded earlier in the 1971 Census. These occupations are used to describe the pattern and extent of occupational and social mobility shortly before men had a child. The pattern of mobility of men at other stages of their working and demographic life cycle may be quite different. Mobility of men at these later stages and mobility of women will be studied in detail using the LS as soon as information from the 1981 Census has been incorporated. Methods of measuring mobility For each birth we obtain a measure of mobility by comparing the social class of the father at 1971 Census with that at the time of the birth. Births have been grouped according to the year of the birth and the age of the father at Census. As a result the data we wish to analyse comprise a series of counts mijk(t), where i (I,II,IIIN,IIIM,IV,V) represents the social class at Census, j (I,II,IIIN,IIIM,IV,V) represents the social class at the birth, k (20-24, 25-29, 30-34 years) represents the age at Census and t (1971, 1972, ..., 1977) the year of the birth. Those mi;k(t) where i # J represent the numbers of births where the social classes at the birth differed from those at Census. There are a number of factors other than mobility which influence the proportion of births in this category. These include reporting, recording and coding differences in occupation between Census and birth registration. In an earlier analysis of 1971 births, social class at Census was compared with that at birth as a measure of these biasesI4. Similar comparisons for deaths shortly after the Census are routinely made in the decennial s~pplementsl~. In these comparisons it was argued that the effect of mobility would be small because the event occurred shortly after the Census. If we assume that these census-birth biases are constant over time then mobility is reflected in the change in mijk over time. We have chosen to model this change for each age-group separately, fitting the model: Log mi;(t) + Pi;t + hit. = c~ij The hit fix the marginal total of births in year t for men in social class i at Census such that: fii.(t) = Cmij(t>, J where fii.(t) is the marginal total fitted by the model. The aij and &j are coefficients which allow the proportion moving from social class i at Census to class j at the birth to change linearly with time. The Pi; measure the slope of this change and consequently indicate the degree of mobility. 1 Table 1 An example of observed and expected* social class transitions by census characteristics: all married men aged 25-29 at Census, South East Region Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I IIIN I1 Obs Exp Exp Obs Obs IIIM Exp ~~~~~~ Obs IV Exp ~ _ Obs V E X ~ E X ~ Obs - _ ~~ I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 52 72 63 43 39 30 23 48.66 69.39 57.44 42.87 36.78 28.06 25.17 3 8 7 8 3 6 9 3.80 6.37 6.21 5.45 5.50 4.93 5.20 2 3 0 3 3 1 1 3.13 4.84 4.35 3.51 3.27 2.70 2.63 2 5 5 3 4 1 3 4.48 6.72 5.85 4.59 4.14 3.32 3.13 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1.73 2.43 1.98 1.46 1.23 0.92 0.82 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 6 6 8 7 12 3 2 5.73 7.64 8.03 6.08 5.53 5.17 4.23 96 120 109 66 54 46 37 96.06 113.94 106.65 71.85 58.15 48.44 35.26 9 12 9 10 6 6 3 9.39 11.07 10.28 6.87 5.52 4.57 3.30 9 6 7 8 4 9 5 7.66 9.74 9.77 7.06 6.12 5.46 4.26 2 2 5 2 1 1 2.92 3.34 3.02 1.96 1.53 1.23 0.87 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 7 8 8 4 2 1 3.62 7.58 6.75 6.45 4.91 4.72 3.38 8 15 17 23 22 12 11 7.00 16.15 15.85 16.93 14.04 14.89 11.75 56 92 65 39 28 28 18 52.41 88.89 64.11 50.36 30.68 23.92 13.88 2 3 3 7 1 5 3 1.52 3.72 3.88 4.40 3.87 4.36 3.66 0 5 2 5 1 3 1 3.08 5.66 4.44 3.78 2.50 2.11 1.33 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 3 3 3 2 0 4 0.89 1.50 1.48 1.56 1.54 1.48 1.45 3 12 14 12 16 11 6 6.65 10.67 10.16 10.22 9.56 8.78 8.22 2 5 4 9 4 3 5 2.60 4.01 3.66 3.56 3.20 2.82 2.54 175 216 155 125 94 76 53 170.04 218.29 166.24 133.97 100.47 73.89 55.40 12 17 20 13 10 6 7 10.50 15.29 13.23 12.10 10.30 8.60 7.33 1 2 2 1 1 1 3.30 4.24 3.21 2.59 1.93 1.42 1.06 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 0 3 1 0 0.30 0.47 0.57 0.57 0.60 0.72 0.75 6 3 4 2 4 5 3 2.51 3.45 3.66 3.15 2.89 3.02 2.74 4 6 4 3 2 5 1 2.44 3.06 2.98 2.35 1.97 1.89 1.56 4 10 19 12 10 7 7 10.31 13.75 14.20 11.89 10.61 10.78 9.47 44 41 26 25 12 12 10 41.53 42.86 34.20 22.13 15.29 12.00 8.16 1 6 4 0 2 0 3 1.91 2.43 2.40 1.91 1.63 1.58 1.32 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 2 2 0 2 0 0 0.88 0.88 0.77 0.55 0.46 0.45 0.53 0 0 1 0 0 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.08 7.10 6.95 6.01 4.20 3.46 6 8 4 4 2 13.22 11.34 8.58 5.25 3.79 0.11 3.31 2 4 3.18 1 1.19 3.89 1 6.45 5.79 4.59 2.94 2.22 1.96 2.11 13 5 4 2 4 0 6 10 9 7 2 3 4 4 3.28 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.19 0.24 0.17 0.12 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.23 0.28 0.26 0.17 0.14 0.12 0.09 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IV * 0.00 0.00 Expected transitions based on firred models to men of the same age who had children in the same year. Parameters ai,, pi, and hit were fitted using the Generalised Linear Interaction Modelling package (GLIM), using a Poisson error and a log link function. As indicated by the figures below, these models gave reasonably good fits at each age: Age Scaled deviance Degrees of freedom 20-24 25-29 186.1 126.7 30-34 148.3 150 150 150 2 Comparisons of mobility between sub-groups These models describe the overall pattern of social class mobility in the three age-groups. To compare mobility between further sub-divisions of the population, defined in terms of other census characteristics we could have extended our models to hclude these other characteristics. Instead, however, we chose to contrast the observed social class mobility for each sub-group with that expected on the basis of the overall model for married men of the same age who had children in the same year (see Table 1). Table 2 Transition proportions between social class at Census in 1971and social class at birth of a child in 1971and in 1977estimated by fitting separate model to married men aged 20-24, 25-29 and 30-34 Social class at Census Age in 1971 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.71-0.65 0.78-0.68 0.80-0.72 II 20-24 25-29 30-34 IIIN Social class at birth of child (1971-77) -I - I1 - IV V IIIN IIIM 0.07-0.17 0.06-0.14 0.07-0.13 0.10-0.12 0.05-0.07 0.03-0.11 0.10-0.03 0.07-0.08 0.07-0.02 0.03-0.04 0.03-0.02 0.04-0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03-0.06 0.05-0.09 0.05-0.05 0.75-0.66 0.79-0.73 0.81-0.76 0.09-0.12 0.08-0.07 0.07-0.05 0.08-0.09 0.06-0.09 0.05-0.08 0.04-0.06 0.02-0.02 0.03-0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.02-0.09 0.05-0.10 0.05-0.06 0.11-0.28 0.10-0.35 0.12-0.40 0.75-0.47 0.77-0.41 0.73-0.44 0.06-0.11 0.02-0.11 0.05-0.07 0.05-0.06 0.05-0.04 0.05-0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.00-0.02 0.01-0.02 0.01-0.01 0.02-0.11 0.03-0.11 0.02-0.08 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03 0.0 1-0.0 1 0.87-0.68 0.88-0.73 0.87-0.75 0.07-0.13 0.05-0.10 0.06-0.13 0.02-0.03 0.02-0.01 0.03-0.03 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.00-0.03 0.01-0.03 0.02-0.01 0.03-0.08 0.04-0.11 0.02-0.14 0.04-0.03 0.04-0.07 0.04-0.0 I 0.24-0.41 0.17-0.39 0.21-0.31 0.61-0.38 0.70-0.34 0.67-0.49 0.06-0.08 0.03-0.06 0.04-0.05 V 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.00-0.00 0.0 1-0.00 0.01-0.00 0.02-0.02 0.03-0.05 0.02-0.11 0.03-0.03 0.00-0.02 0.01-0.03 0.30-0.44 0.25-0.39 0.21-0.35 0.23-0.30 0.23-0.21 0.26-0.26 0.41-0.21 0.47-0.33 0.48-0.25 The figures in bold suggest real mobility awa-v from the same social class at birth as at census. In order to reduce the size and complexity of the tables presented in the main part of this report comparisons are summarised by aggregating, first over year of the birth and then over the three age-groups. These year-of-birth and age-standardised figures do not allow us to contrast the experiences of the different age-groups. Consequently, where age-groups showed different patterns they have been presented separately. Also, the tables presented often focus on movement from a particular social class at Census, simply to illustrate the main differences found. The full set of tables on which these analyses have been based are given in the Appendix Tables and approximate confidence limits are summarised in the Appendix Figures. Our primary interest in sub-groups has focused on region of usual residence, migration history between 1970 and 1971, housing tenure and country of birth. Birth order and occupation changes between 1970 and 1971 proved of little interest and are not presented here. Overall models of social class mobility Table 2 summarises the transition proportions from the overall models fitted to men who, in 1971 were married and aged 20-24,25-29 or 30-34 years. Transition proportions are given separately for 1971 and 1977 for each combination of social class at Census, social class at birth of child and age-group. The fitted transitional proportions change linearly with year between 1971 and 1977. The 1971 transition proportions along the main diagonal of the table provide a measure of rkporting, recording or coding differences between Census and birth registration, similar to the direct comparison of proportions described earlier. Of particular interest are the low proportions of men remaining in Social Class V; at each age the 1971 proportion is less than 50 per cent. All the main diagonal cells of the table demonstrate the expected movement with time, that is, away from the social class at Census (all diagonal transition proportions decrease between 1971 and 1977). This is lessclear for Classes I and I1 than for all other classes, suggesting that these two classes are more stable than other classes. The main interest in this table is in those cells in which the off-diagonal transition proportions appear to rise with time; these are the cells to which men move. Off-diagonal cell? which show no time dependence in the transition proportion probably represent ‘noise’. We have chosen to highlight those off-diagonal changes which indicate mobility. A number of interesting features of social class mobility are apparent. For men in Social Class I at Census there is a trend in the poportion who have moved to Social Class I1 at the birth of the child. This trend appeared to be greatest at ages 20-24 years and least at ages 30-34 years. It may reflect ‘promotion’ to administrative and managerial positions. The movement out of Social Class I1 at Census would appear to be greatest at younger ages, but even then is very limited. Its main direction is to Social Class I occupations. Men in Social Classes IIIN, IIIM and IV, particularly those in Class IIIN, showed a tendency to have moved to Social Class 11. For both IIIN and IV this mobility was greater among older men having children than among younger men. The table also suggests that at younger ages men in Social Class IIIN had moved to occupations in Social Class I and occupations in Class IIIM, in approximately equal proportions. For men in Social Classes IV and V at Census movement to occupations in Social Class IIIM appears to have been more common than to those in Social Class 11. For men in Social Class IV this movement appears to have been greatest among men aged 25-29 years at Census; for men in Social Class V at Census it was not age-dependent. There 3 was little evidence of men in Social Class V moving to occupations in Social Class IV. There was no evidence of men of any social class at Census moving to Social Class V occupations shortly before they had children. Social class mobility by region of usual residence in 1971 The need to aggregate over years and age-groups when comparing sub-groups of the population can be illustrated by our analysis of mobility by region of usual residence in 1971. The complete analysis comprises a study of tables, such as Table 1, repeated for each of three age-groups and for each of nine regions of usual residence (see Appendix Table 1). We have initially summed over year of birth to derive summary tables such as Table 3 for men who, in the 1971 Census, were recorded as married, aged 20-24,25-29 and 30-34 years (separately), in Social Class IIIM and resident in the South East Region. [Note: in Table 3 the row for 25-29 year olds is derived from summing the rows by year for men in Class I I I M at Census in Table 1.1 The second summation, to derive the final row in Table 3, is over age. From Table 3 it can be seen that men in Social Class IIIM had moved to Social Classes I, 11, IIIN and IV with greater frequency than predicted by the national model. This pattern of relatively greater upward social class mobility for men in the South East Region compared with men in other regions was also found for men in Social Class V at Census (Table 4) and to a lesser extent for men in Social Class IV (Appendix Table l(e)). Table 4 Summary of relative social class mobility by region, indicating those transitions from which x 2 by census class was significant (p <0.05) Class at Census_ x2 I IIIN IIIM IV Yorkshire and Humberside East Midlands Region _ North Degrees Excess of freedom Deficit 6.98 15.12 14.67 26.76 2 4 4 4 V 1IIN.V I1 IIIM I1 IIIM V 10.19 3 IV II,IIIN I 11.30 3 IIIN I1 ~ None significant East Anglia Table 3 Observed and expected* social class mobility by age: married men in Social Class IIIM, South East Region at 1971 Census South East Age in 1971 West Midlands IV North West _ Wales IIIM V I ~ I1 IIIN IIIM ~ IV V 20-24 Observed Expected 8 7.24 60 42.84 22 17.28 689 699.95 80 84.28 16 23.43 25-29 Observed Expected 16 9.91 74 64.25 32 22.40 894 918.31 85 77.35 9 17.75 30-34 Observed Expected 6 4.29 28 21.27 5 5.28 479 490.19 51 46.82 16 17.14 20-34 Observed Expected 30 21.43 162 128.37 59 44.95 2062 216 2108.44 208.45 41 58.32 tn _ Table 1 This procedure gives, for each combination of social class at Census and birth of child, observed and expected numbers of transitions, where the expected number, fitted from the model, is standardised for age and year of birth of child. Observed transitions are compared with expected transitions, fitted from the model, using the statistic: (Obs - EX^)^ Exp which is assumed to be distributed as a x 2 based on the appropriate number of degrees of freedom. 4 23.07 21.47 5 4 I,II,IIIN IIIM,V I,II,IIIN V None significant South West x: = 23.07 Seejoornnre IIIM V Social class at birth (1971-77) of child IV IV 15.49 4 IIIM I,II,IIIN None significant _ 26.54 10.86 4 2 v V ~ IIIN,IV IV In view of the complexity of the overall analysis, Table 4 includes only those comparisons for which the value of X 2 was statistically significant at the 5 per cent level. This is a crude summary of the full analysis of the appendix tables which indicates the major trends. Table 4 suggests that the higher upward social class mobility noted for men resident in the South East Region at the 1971 Census was counterbalanced by a relative deficit of upward mobility for men resident in East Midlands, West Midlands, Yorkshire and Humberside and particularly for men resident in the North. Social class mobility for men who changed address in the year before the Census Questions in the 1971 Census about usual address at Census, one year before Census and five years before Census mean that the social class mobility of migrants and non-migrants can be considered separately. In view of earlier findings about differences in health between migrants in relation to distance moved16,we have chosen to separate men who moved within local authorities from those who moved between authorities (intra- and inter-local authority migrants respectively). Table 5 Observed and expected* social class mobility of married men in Social Class IV in 1971 who changed address in 1970-71 and had a child in 1971-77, by extent of move Moved Social class at birth of child I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Within local authority? Observed Expected 6 7.28 27 34.30 20 25.66 200 180.25 357 347.24 22 37.27 Observed/expected 0.82 0.79 0.78 1.11 1.03 0.59 14 5.91 37 28.05 28 20.85 136 143.92 257 278.84 35 29.42 2.37 1.32 1.34 0.94 0.92 1.19 Between local authorities$ Observed Expected Observed/expected * See footnore to Table I i x: = 11.72 :,yz = 19.60 Table 6 Observed and expected* social class mobility of married men in 1971 who changed address in 1970-71, had a child in 1971-77 and had moved to Social Class IIat the time of the birth Social class at Census Social Class I1 at birth of child Moved within local I Observed Expected authority Moved between local authorities 20 18.17 38 45.58 1.10 0.83 294 280.96 649 627.63 1.05 1.03 42 61.16 149 126.30 0.69 1.18 70 78.68 72 62.90 0.89 1.14 27 34.30 37 28.05 0.79 1.32 Observed Expected 7 7.64 7 4.58 Observed/expected 0.92 1.53 Observed/expected I1 Observed Expected Observed/expected IIIN Observed Expected Observed/expected IIIM Observed Expected Observed/expected IV Observed Expected Observed/expected V See footnote to Table I Tables 5 and 6 illustrate the main findings of this analysis, the details of which are given in Appendix 2. In Table 5 men (who in 1971 were already married) in Social Class IV and whose address in April 1970 differed from that at Census have been separated into intra- and inter-local authority migrants. The observed social class distribution at the time of the birth of their children is then compared with the expected distribution, standardised for age and year of birth on the basis of national models. For both groups, that is, migrants within and between local authority areas, the observed social class mobility differs significantly (p <0.05) from that expected. For migrants within local authorities, men in Social Class IV at Census appear to have been relatively less mobile to all non-manual social classes and to Social Class V (as compared with married men of the same ages). In contrast, men who moved between local authorities showed relatively greater mobility to the higher non-manual social classes as well as to Social Class V. This difference between intra- and inter-local authority migrants is also seen for men in other social classes at Census. Table 6 shows for each social class at Census the numbers of observed and expected births to men who, at the birth, were in Social Class 11. For Social Classes IIIN, IIIM, IV and V intra-local authority movers show a deficit of births to men in Social Class I1 at birth, whereas interlocal authority movers show an excess. Social class mobility and country of birth Although the number of births in the period 1971-77 to men born outside England and Wales was relatively small for looking in detail at their social class mobility, Table 7 does suggest two surprising findings for men born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan (the full analysis is given in Appendix 3). First, for men in both Social Classes I I I M and IV at Census there is little evidence that they are less upwardly mobile than the model based on men of all countries of birth. Second, for men in Social Classes IIIM and IV at Census there is evidence of a higher than Table 7 Observed and expected* social class mobility of married men aged 20-34 in Social Classes IIIM and IV in 1971, born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan, who had a child in 1971-77 Social class at birth of child Social class at census I I1 IIIN IIIM - - _ _ - - ~ IIIMt Observed Expected 5 3.81 21 22.52 7 7.14 326 368.26 68 37.42 23 10.85 IVO Observed Expected 8 5.22 22 25.36 12 15.36 85 111.37 262 233.03 22 20.66 See footnofe to Table 1 tx: = 43.92 IV 1,y; V = 12.59 5 Table 8 Percentage of births in 1971-77 to married men by age at Census in each social class by tenure at Census Social class at Census Age at Census 20-24 25-29 (cl Number Tenure at Census of births (b (= 100%) (a) (cl Number Tenure at Census of births (b) (= 100%) (a) 8 11 11 23 31 42 322 909 878 3,062 1,237 484 5 7 8 22 25 44 881 1,611 1,214 3,363 1,101 402 Tenure at Census (a) (b) 34 33 34 29 34 37 30-34 (cl Number of births (= 100%) 2 6 9 26 24 40 399 843 53 7 I, 762 721 258 ~~~~~~~~~~~~ I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V (a) Owner occupiers 58 56 55 48 35 21 78 74 74 60 48 28 (b) Private tenants expected tendency for those born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan to move to, or remain in, occupations in Social Class IV at the expense of occupations in Class IIIM. For men born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan in Class I I I M at Census there was also an excess of births to men in Social Class V at the birth, that is, excess downward social mobility. Social mobility and housing tenure A number of recent studies have considered the relative merits of socio-economic classification based on occupation and housing characteristic^^^,^^. Here we look briefly at social class mobility in relation to housing tenure. Table 8 gives the number of births in each age-group by social class at Census and the proportion in each tenure category. Few births to married men in non-manual occupations at Census were to men in local authority housing; the proportion of men in owner-occupied housing increased with age and the proportion of men who moved out of privately rented accommodation decreased with age. This probably reflects movement out of privately rented accommodation to owner-occupied accommodation for men in non-manual occupations during the early years of marriage. Among men in manual classes there was an increased proportion of births to those in local authority accommodation for Classes IV and V. Again there was a marked rise with age in the proportion living in owneroccupied accommodation complementing a decrease in the proportion in privately rented accommodation. The full analysis is given in Appendix Table 4.However, Table 9 takes men in Social Classes I I I M and IV at Census and, for each, compares the social class distribution at the birth of a child for owner occupiers and local authority tenants at Census. For both social classes at Census more owner occupiers were in higher social classes at the birth and more local authority tenants were in lower social classes than expected from the national model. The proportion of owner occupiers in 197 1 who had moved upwards from Classes I I I M and IV to Classes I and I1 by the birth of their child was more than twice that for local authority tenants. This pattern is also seen for men in other social classes at Census (Table 10). 6 18 19 18 18 27 28 84 80 75 57 52 38 14 14 17 17 24 22 (c) Local authority tenants Table 9 Observed and expected* social class mobility of married men in Social Classes IIIM and IV at Census who had a child in 1971-77 by tenure at Census ~ Social class at birth of child Social class and tenure at Census IIIM Owner occupiers I Observed Expected Owner occupiers Local authority tenants 44 37.41 9 15.14 22 16.23 3 9.62 1.18 0.59 1.36 0.31 263 223.97 49 89.67 92 77.18 27 45.23 1.17 0.55 1.19 0.60 87 78.37 27 31.88 71 54.62 17 34.25 1.11 0.85 1.30 0.50 3710 3668.79 1535 1561.76 346 362.87 273 229.41 1.01 0.98 0.95 1.19 295 359.97 209 151.86 756 753.43 438 468.27 0.82 1.38 1.00 0.94 70 100.42 65 43.66 47 69.68 75 46.22 0.70 1.49 0.67 1.62 Observed/expected I1 Observed Expected Observed/expected IIIN Observed Expected Observed/expected IIIM Observed Expected IV Local authority tenants Observed/expected IV Observed Expected Observedlexpected V Observed Expected Observed/expected See footnote to Table 1. I n order to see whether the increased upward mobility among owner occupiers was related to that noted earlier for inter-local authority migrants, we have looked at the social class mobility of owner occupiers who moved between local authorities (Table 11). These show upward mobility even greater than that of all owner occupiers or that of all interlocal authority migrants. Again, more detailed tables are given in Appendix 5. Table 10 Summary of relative social class mobility by tenure, indicating those transitions for which xz by social class at Census was significant (p <0.05) Social class at Census Owner occupiers Private renters Excess Deficit I Local authority tenants Excess Deficit 1,IIIM IIINJV I1 Excess Deficit IIINJIIM, IV,V 1,II IIIN 1,II IIIMJV I I IM, IV IJI, IIIN IIIM IJI, IV,V IV,V 1,II IV IJI, IIIN V IIIM,V 1911, IIINJV V None significant Table 11 Observed and expected* relative social class mobility in 1971-77 of married men at Census, in owner occupied accommodation and in social classes IIIM and IV at Census, separating inter-local authority one-year migrants Social class at birth of child I Observed Expected Observed/expected I1 Observed Expected Observed/expected IIIN Observed Expected Observed/expected IIIM Observed Expected Observed/expected Social Class IIIM at Census Social Class IV at Census All owner One year All owner One year occupiers migrants?_occupiers_ migrants? ~ ~ _ 44 37.41 9 5.76 22 16.23 7 1.97 1.18 1.56 1.36 3.55 263 223.97 43 34.70 92 77.18 15 9.47 1.17 1.24 1.19 1.58 87 78.37 15 12.72 71 54.62 12 7.22 1.11 1.18 1.30 1.66 3710 3668.79 552 546.04 346 362.87 1.01 1.01 0.95 0.94 295 359.97 44 57.20 756 753.43 87 95.14 0.82 0.77 1.00 0.91 70 100.42 9 15.57 47 69.68 5 9.31 0.58 0.67 0.54 44 46.88 IV Observed Expected Observed/expected V Observed Expected Observed/expected 0.70 ~ t ~~ primarily of interest as an indication of underlying occupational movement. A full analysis of this topic would add considerably to the length of the present report. Instead we present here one or two findings of such an analysis so as to emphasise the caution which should be applied to the interpretation of the foregoing data on social class mobility. Table 12 looks at movement from each occupation in Social Class I. For each occupation unit in Social Class I it gives: _ (a) the total number of births in 1971-77 for which a social class was ascribed; (b) the number (and percentage) in a different social class at the birth; and (c) the number in Social Class. I1 at the birth (and expresses (c) as a percentage of (b)). We focus on movement to Class I1 because our interpretation of Table 2 is that this movement represents real social mobility, while that to other classes probably represents ‘noise’ (see page 3). The table shows that there are a number of professions from which relatively few people move. These include the medical and legal professions, university teachers, architects, surveyors and civil engineers. A second group of occupations, including company secretaries, other groups of engineers, technologists, physical and biological scientists and professionals not elsewhere classified, comprises men who have a high probability of moving. Most men in the first group of professions would be self employed or employed in the public sector and would expect to follow career paths within their profession. Those in the second group of professions would be mainly employed in industry and commerce and might expect to follow management career paths, not restricted within their professions. These observations tend to confirm earlier remarks about promotion from Social Class I to Social Class 11, but also show that this is not possible for all people in occupations in Social Class I. ~~ See Table 1. Owner occupiers who moved between local authoriries in 1970-71. Occupational mobility As indicated earlier, the basis of comparison between social class at Census and social class at birth of a child is the occupation recorded, occupations being subsequently considered in conjunction with employment status to derive social classes. In this section we compare directly the coded occupations from both sources. This comparison is It should be noted from the table that there are a number of occupational units for which movement out of Social Class I is not to Social Class 11. The important ones to note are mechanical engineers, electrical engineers and accountants. Study of the occupations recorded on the birth records for men who ‘moved away from these units’ highlights 25 (out of 100) mechanical engineers who moved to unit 039, machine tool operators, (Social Class IV); 36 (out of 72) 7 Table 12 Mobility from occupation units in Social Class I Occupation unit at Census Births 1971-77 (Social Class I at Census) Total numbers % (b4 Number (b) 181 182 184 186 192 195 196 197 198 200 20 1 202 203 204 205 209 210 21 1 212 213 214 217 Medical Practitioners Dental Practitioners Pharmacists Opticians University Teachers Civil Engineers Mechanical Engineers Electrical Engineers Electronic Engineers Production Engineers Engineer n.e.c. Metallurgists Technologists n.e.c. Chemists Physical & Biological Scientists Accountants Company Secretaries Surveyors Architects Clergy Judges, Barrisrers etc Professional n.e.c. 97 25 31 12 54 139 227 102 82 58 92 19 49 98 78 207 55 139 81 33 88 118 Social Class I1 at birth Different social class at birth 2 2 1 8 4 17 100 72 23 21 34 5 13 13 19 60 29 12 9 5 8 42 12 44 71 28 36 37 22 27 13 24 29 53 9 11 15 9 36 Number (c) 7 % (c/b) 1 50 4 3 28 11 9 9 15 2 6 9 9 7 22 6 5 3 5 29 100 18 28 15 39 43 44 33 46 69 47 12 76 50 56 60 62 69 Table 13 Mobility from occupation units in Social Class IIIM with more than 20 births in 1971 ~ Occupation unit at Census ~~~~ ~ Total births in 1971 _______ 007 025 027 028 036 037 038 040 04 1 042 043 045 046 055 079 093 100 103 104 105 120 122 Underground coal miners Installers and repairmen, telephone Electricians Electrical and electronic fitters Gas, electric welders, cutters; braziers Turners Machine tool setters, setter-operators n.e.c. Tool makers Motor mechanics Maintenance fitters Fitters n.e.c. Plumbers, gas fitters Pipe fitters Carpenters and joiners Butchers and meat cutters Bricklayers and tile setters Painters and decorators Crane and hoist operators Operators of earth moving equipment Stationary engine, materials handling, plant operators Drivers of buses Drivers of road goods vehicles All units 8 Different social class at birth Number % 39 35 100 21 50 26 45 29 56 75 107 52 28 96 25 41 63 22 31 30 49 196 3 3 3 6 2 3 13 7.7 8.6 3.0 28.6 4.0 11.5 28.9 4 10 8 3 3 2 3 6 6 5 11 4 3 15 7.1 13.3 7.5 5.8 10.7 2.1 12.0 14.6 9.5 22.7 35.5 13.3 6.1 7.7 1,763 190 10.8 electrical engineers who moved to unit 030, electrical engineers, not elsewhere classified (Social Class IIIM); and 53 (out of 60) accountants who moved to unit 139, clerks, (Social Class IIIN). All these changes reflect the different amounts of information available at the time Census and birth records are coded. As was previously noted from death recordsly,the problem with engineers is the difficulty in establishing that they are professional without asking about qualifications, the main additional information available to the Census coders. The difficulty with accountants arises from the differences of coding articled clerks between Census and birth records: because of their age structure this will have minimal effect on mortality analysis. If we exclude those accountants who moved to unit 139, clerks, accountants show the same tendency as other mainstream professionals to remain in their professions and not to be promoted into management. In Table 13 a similar analysis is made for the major occupations in Social Class I I I M at Census. The table focuses on those units for which more than 20 births were recorded in 1971 and only considers 1971 births because these are the larger units and because 1971 changes are likely to reflect bias. Overall, approximately 11 per cent of these men were allocated to different social classes at the birth compared with the Census. For three occupations, however, the proportion of men allocated to a different class was much greater than for other occupations. These were unit 104, operatorsof earth movingequipment (35.5 per cent); unit 38 machine tool setters, setter-operators not elsewhere classified (28.9 per cent); and unit 28, electrical and electronic fitters (28.6 per cent). The reason for the high proportion of transitions from unit 38 is easy to explain from a study of the occupations recorded on the birth records; 7 out of the 13 men who moved were allocated to unit 039 machine tool operators (Social Class IV) at the birth. Once again, a minor difference in the level of description of the occupation had resulted in allocation to a different social class. The occupations recorded at the birth for men who moved from operators of earth moving equipment were: one agricultural machinery driver, five chemical production process workers (not elsewhere classified), one machine tool operator, one other production process worker and three ‘other building’ workers. All but one were allocated to Class IV. For men who moved from electrical and electronic fitters the occupations were: one electronic engineer (Social Class I), one proprietor (11), one policeman (IIIN), one office machine operator (IIIN), one electrical assembler (IV) and one machine tool operator (IV). For both of these occupations at Census, differences in the level of description of the occupations between Census and the birth of the child as opposed to excessively high rates of real occupational mobility, would explain the relatively high levels of apparent outward mobility. The final example from our analysis of occupational mobility returns to the findings for men born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan described above. Table 14 looks at movement from occupations in Social Class I I I M for men born in New Commonwealth and Pakistan. It gives data for those units for which more than 20 births were recorded in 1971-77 and those units for which high mobility was noted. Overall, 28 per cent of births in 1971-77 were allocated to a different social class at birth to that at Census. This cannot be compared with the overall figure of 10 per cent in the previous table because that was based on 1971births only and consequently measures more ‘noise’ than real mobility. Our interest in Table 14 is in the direction of real mobility, that is, the occupations between which men are moving. Table 14 Mobility from occupation units in Social Class IIIM with more than 20 births in 1971-77 or high proportion not in same social class at birth for new born in New Commonwealth countries or Pakistan Occupation unit at Census 013 014 015 018 020 025 027 038 043 055 056 057 069 070 071 072 078 08 1 100 120 122 162 Ceramics formers Glass formers, finishers, decorators Furnacemen, kilnmen, glass & ceramics Furnacemen, metal Moulders and coremakers, foundry Installers and repairmen, telephone Electricians Machine tool setters Fitters n.e.c. Carpenters and joiners Cabinet makers Sawyers and woodworking machinists Knitters Bleachers and finishers of textiles Dyers of textiles Textile fabrics and related products makers n.e.c. Bakers and pastry cooks Food processors n.e.c. Painters and decorators Drivers of buses Drivers of road goods vehicles Cooks All units in Social Class IIIM Total births 1971-77 Different social class at birth Number % 100 50 50 4 4 4 8 20 11 35 43 23 22 7 2 9 5 3 3 27 5 16 39 28 28 4 2 2 4 5 2 6 10 8 0 3 2 6 1 2 14 5 9 7 7 10 43 100 67 80 33 67 52 100 56 18 25 36 614 174 28 4 50 25 18 17 23 35 9 Three groups of occupations show recognisable patterns in movement, although it should be stressed these are based on small numbers and subjective interpretation. The first is unit 162, cooks, for which seven out of the ten who moved class were coded as restaurateurs at the birth. If these had occurred in 1971 we would be suspicious of reporting biases, but this does represent an expected career path. The second interesting group comprises two of the occupations in the woodworking industry: cabinet makers and sawyers and woodworking machinists. Three out of the five men who changed were allocated to entertainer (Social Class 11) at the birth. Again, for young West Indians this might represent a plausible job change. For textile workers, the third group of occupations, five out of the thirteen had moved to other occupations in the textile industry, occupations in Social Class IV. Also, four had become bus conductors (Class IV). Discussion In discussing these findings we must first consider the implications of our having focussed on men at the time they had children. For a number of reasons these men are unlikely to be representative of men at different stages of their family life cycles either in terms of the proportions who change jobs or in the types of changes between occupations which they make. Associations between becoming a father and changing a job are likely to reflect two causal paths. In some cases couples will have been waiting for the husband’s promotion and greater economic security before deciding to have children. In others it will be the thought of the extra economic stresses associated with the cost of the child and possibly reduced earnings of the spouse which encourages the man to seek new employment. In this case he might be seeking work which offers him more control over his income, in particular an ability to earn more by working overtime. In social class terms, the direction of such mobility may be unrelated to the ranking implied by the Registrar General’s Social Classes. This is illustrated by a movement from professional occupations to administrative and managerial occupations being regarded by the Registrar General as a movement down the social class scale, even though in career and financial terms these are probably promotions. At other life cycle stages the motivation for a change of occupation might be much weaker, implying that there would be fewer moves. Also, the moves that result might be in quite a different direction. Those interested in mortality differentials have argued that ill-health may be one of the factors encouraging movement at ages over 45 years and that this movement may be to less demanding occupations, not just in physical terms but also in terms of attendance requirements. Such occupations are likely to be concentrated in Social Classes I I I N (for men with nonmanual backgrounds) and Social Classes I V and V for other 10 men. Also, men at later stages of their working lives may be more interested in job security and pension arrangements, factors which may influence their choice of occupational change. The major part of this analysis has been concerned with social class mobility. However, the limited data presented on occupational mobility, as well as a study of the 1971 transition proportions and the off-diagonal cells (Table 2) which do not demonstrate an increase in transition proportion between 1971 and 1977, serve to emphasise the potential confounding of the patterns resulting from differences in reporting, recording and coding between Census and birth registrations. Despite these reservations about the data we have presented, a number of important conclusions can be drawn. The overall models used to describe the transition proportions between social class at Census and that recorded subsequently at the birth of a child fitted the national data well. We did consider fitting separate models according to whether the child was the first, second, third and so on, but found that the models presented in Table 2 fitted each birth order equally well. The models describe the major patterns of social class mobility. Some of the movement between cells not highlighted in Table 2 will be real, but this is likely to be of lesser extent than that movement which has been found. Of greatest interest, however, is the extent to which social class mobility in 1971-77 varied according to region of usual residence in 1971, migration history prior to the Census and housing tenure in 1971. Within social classes, those who were better-off in 1971, in the sense that they owned their own houses and lived in wealthier areas appear to have had greater upward mobility after the 1971 Census than those who were less well-off. This is not, however, necessarily the causal direction of the relationship. It may simply be that those who are better off include a greater proportion of those men who are upwardly mobile. Finally, a word of caution with respect to the interpretation of the findings with respect to men born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan. The social class mobility analysis provided no evidence for this group having experienced less upward mobility than other men. However, the occupational analysis (Table 14) suggests, if only tentatively, that this group’s upward mobility may be through movement to occupations such as restaurateurs and entertainers and not through promotion to senior administrative and management positions. The analyses described here use an interim source of data (births to sample fathers) from the OPCS Longitudinal Study. A number of technical questions are raised, particularly about the use of the Registrar General’s social classes for this type of analysis, and these will need to be studied in greater depth before we embark on analysis of material from the 1981 Census. References 1 Stevenson, THC. The social distribution of mortality from different causes in England and Wales 1910-1912. Biometrika, X V , 382-400. 1923. 2 Stevenson, THC. The vital statistics of wealth and poverty.Journa1 of Royal Statistical Society, X C I , 207220. 1928. 3 Fox, AJ and Adelstein, AM. Occupational mortality: work or way of life? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 32, 73-78. 1978. 4 Farr, W. In the Supplement of the 35th Annual Report of the Registrar General of Births, Deaths and Marriages in England, p.448, HMSO. 1875. 5 Leete, R and Fox, AJ, 1977. Registrar General’s Social Class: origins and uses. Population Trends 8, pp 1-7. HMSO, 1977 6 Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. Occupational Mortality 1970-72. Decennial Supplement Series DS No.1. HMSO, 1978. 7 Office of Population Censuses and Surveys. Fertility report from the 19 71 Census, Decennial Supplement, Series DS No.5, HMSO, 1983. 8 Central Statistics Office. Social commentary: Social class. Social Trends, No.6, 1975, HMSO, 1976. 9 Ogle, W. Letter to the Registrar General on the mortality in the registration districts of England and Wales during the years 1871-1880. Supplement to the 45th Annual Report of the Registrar General, p. xxiii. 1885. 10 Stern, J. Social mobility and the interpretation of social class mortality differences. Journal of Social Policy, 12, (l), 27-49. 1983. 11 Fox, AJ and Goldblatt, PO. Household mortality from the OPCS Longitudinal Study. Population Trends 14, 20-27. HMSO, 1978. 12 Fox, AJ and Goldblatt, PO. Socio-demographic differences in mortality. Population Trends, 27, 8-13. HMSO, 1982. 13 Fox, AJ and Goldblatt, PO. Longitudinal Study: sociodemographic mortality differentials, 1971-75. 75, Series LS No. 1, HMSO, 1982. 14 See Table 4 of reference 5. 15 See Chapter 3 of reference 6. 16 See Chapter 9 of reference 13. 17 See Chapter 13 of reference 13. 18 Morgan, M. Measuring social inequality: occupational classificationsand their alternatives. Community Medicine, Vol. 5, NO. 2, 116-124. 1983. 11 Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (a) North Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs IIIN I1 Exp Obs Exp Obs IIIM Exp ~ Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp ~ ~ Married men aped 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 2 3 1 1 0 0.00 1.41 2.10 2.07 2.04 1.99 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.16 0.28 0.32 0.38 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.20 0.17 0.13 0.11 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.21 0.03 0.19 0.25 0.52 0.31 0.29 7 1 2 4 7 5.27 0.74 3.62 4.26 7.63 4.06 3.30 0.63 0.09 0.50 0.63 1.22 0.70 0.61 0.57 0.08 0.43 0.53 0.99 0.55 0.47 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.17 0.25 0.43 0.44 0.48 0.44 0.00 0 1 2 0 3 1 0 0.77 1.06 1.73 1.66 1.71 1.47 0.00 5.22 5.67 7.34 5.60 4.59 3.13 0.00 HIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.16 0.27 0.32 0.30 0.37 0.30 0.31 0 0 2 1 0 2 3 0.89 1.53 1.84 1.78 2.20 1.84 1.93 0.49 0.77 0.84 0.74 0.83 0.63 0.60 0.71 0.59 0.76 0.34 0.42 0.16 0.18 5 4 34 48 39 29 27 16 12 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0.00 0.05 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.00 0 1 0 0.30 0.05 0.25 0.31 0.61 0.35 0.31 0.44 0.57 0.87 0.79 0.76 0.62 0.00 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 0.35 0.42 0.59 0.50 0.45 0.34 0.00 36.58 45.85 40.35 28.57 25.81 15.84 12.16 5 2 4 2 3 2.96 4.30 4.40 3.61 3.78 2.69 2.40 0.92 1.29 1.26 1.00 1.01 0.69 0.59 3.91 3.80 5.68 2.94 4.25 1.90 2.43 8 6 9 3 5 3 2 9.84 8.09 10.25 4.50 5.51 2.09 2.26 1.00 0.93 1.34 0.67 0.93 0.40 0.50 3.01 0 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.02 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.06 0.08 0.15 0.10 0.18 0.10 0.16 0.49 0.51 0.82 0.46 0.71 0.34 0.47 0 0.09 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.07 0.10 0.06 0.09 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.24 0.20 0.12 0.19 0.13 0.20 3 0 4 3 4 0 0 2.93 2.45 1.50 2.38 1.68 2.64 1 2 4 2.34 2.24 1.84 1.10 1.71 1.18 1.81 6 5 2 1 1 2 2 4.14 3.38 2.37 1.21 1.61 0.95 1.25 Appendix Table 1 (a) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs ~ IIIN I1 Exp Exp Obs ~ _ Obs _ IV IIIM Exp Obs Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp _ Murried men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0.51 0.67 0.38 0.47 0.41 0.17 0.08 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.20 0.24 0.13 0.15 0.12 0.05 0.02 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 1.OB 1.59 0.82 0.95 0.57 0.70 0.41 3 1 3 1 0 0 1 0.88 1.40 0.78 0.98 0.64 0.84 0.53 1 0 1 0 0 0.33 0.48 0.24 0.27 0.16 0.19 0.11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 8 6 8 7 4 3 0 9.25 6.56 8.77 7.37 3.84 3.35 0.41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.27 0.27 0.53 0.64 0.48 0.61 0.11 2 0.54 0.42 0.61 0.55 0.31 0.30 0.04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1.34 2.10 2.46 1.93 1.96 1.18 1.41 1 0 0.52 0.79 0.89 0.67 0.66 0.38 0.43 34 46 39 28 21 9 11 34.18 42.97 40.30 25.32 20.57 9.90 9.48 1 3 3 2 1 2 2.11 3.01 3.21 2.29 2.11 1.15 1.25 3 0 5 0 0 0 0 0.66 0.84 0.78 0.49 0.40 0.19 0.18 0 0 0.07 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.16 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 0.59 0.94 0.82 0.75 0.44 0.20 0.57 1 1 1 3 0 1 0 0.58 0.84 0.67 0.56 0.30 0.13 0.33 1 3 0 2 2 0 2 2.45 3.75 3.18 2.83 1.61 0.72 1.97 9.85 11.69 7.66 5.27 2.32 0.80 1.70 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 0.45 0.66 0.54 0.46 0.25 0.11 0.28 0 0 0 0.12 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 2 2 0 2.58 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 1.04 0.74 0.78 0 0 2.30 0.93 0.69 1.81 0.67 0.43 0.42 7 1 1 0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.04 2.54 1.11 0.90 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.31 0.14 0.12 0.34 0.14 0.10 0.11 4.72 1.81 1.29 3.23 1.14 0.71 0.66 7 6 4 4 4 5.49 6.94 3.78 4.44 3.61 1.40 0.68 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.43 0.64 0.41 0.56 0.54 0.25 0.14 0 0 0 0 0.66 1.10 0.64 0.84 0.57 0.80 0.53 9 18 6 10 6 7 5 1 0.64 0.56 0.92 1.94 1.61 0.66 0.10 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 2 I 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 0.35 0.48 0.29 0.36 0.32 0.14 0.07 11.02 16.39 8.50 9.94 6.04 7.45 4.41 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 1 2 3 1 1 2 0 1.23 1.19 2.17 2.48 1.75 2.08 0.35 0.18 0.29 0.36 0.29 0.31 0.20 0.25 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 3 1 0 0 1 10 11 10 3 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 0 0.00 13 Appendix Table 1 (a) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs IIIN I1 Exp Obs Exp Obs IIIM Exp _ Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp _ _ Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 4 4 1 1 3 0 0 3.19 3.98 1.58 0.78 2.28 0.74 0.72 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.26 0.37 0.17 0.09 0.31 0.11 0.13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.26 0.28 0.10 0.04 0.11 0.03 0.02 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.17 0.19 0.07 0.03 0.08 0.02 0.02 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0 0 0.11 0.18 0.09 0.06 0.22 0.09 0.11 0 0 0.00 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.43 0.53 0.24 0.34 0.10 0.10 0.14 6 9 4 6 2 2 2 7.26 8.81 3.97 5.51 1.56 1.54 2.26 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.60 0.70 0.31 0.42 0.11 0.11 0.16 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0.48 0.63 0.31 0.46 0.14 0.15 0.24 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.23 0.32 0.17 0.28 0.09 0.11 0.19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.37 0.39 0.23 0.06 0.12 0.03 0.00 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.81 1.03 0.74 0.23 0.56 0.34 6 6 2 0 2 1 5.14 4.88 2.62 0.61 1.11 0.50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.32 0.35 0.22 0.06 0.13 0.07 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.36 0.35 0.19 0.04 0.08 0.04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.23 0.20 0.19 0.09 0.09 0.05 0.06 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0.61 0.69 0.85 0.49 0.65 0.43 0.68 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.11 0.11 0.06 0.08 23 22 21 9 10 7 6 25.35 22.38 21.97 9.92 10.47 5.47 6.78 2 1 4 1 0 0 1 1.65 1.72 1.98 1.05 1.31 0.80 1.17 3 2 1 0 2 0 1 0.88 0.78 0.77 0.35 0.37 0.19 0.24 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.22 0.23 0.32 0.24 0.24 0.32 0.41 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.39 0.24 0.19 0.09 0.05 0.04 0.03 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1.87 1.59 1.71 1.05 0.84 0.88 0.92 8 4 5 2 2 2 1 6.00 4.53 4.37 2.39 1.70 1.59 1.48 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0.37 0.30 0.31 0.18 0.14 0.14 0.14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 2 0 0 1 1 1 0.06 0.19 0.15 0.15 0.26 0.25 0.11 0 0 0 0.04 0.12 0.07 0.06 0.09 0.07 0.03 2 1 1 2 2 1 0 0.64 1.67 1.06 0 3 2 0.79 1.89 1.10 1 1 1 0.87 1 0.83 0 1.25 1.01 0.35 1 1 0 1.10 0.81 0.26 0 0 0 1.44 3.10 1.61 1.09 1.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 14 0 0 0 0 0.85 0.25 Appendix Table 1 (a) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I IIIN I1 Exp Obs Exp Obs IV IIIM Exp Obs Exp V Obs Exp ~~~~~~~ Obs Obs Exp AN births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 8 27 13 9.61 26.34 13.26 1.57 2.96 1.44 2 1 0 1.61 2.01 0.86 0.77 2.69 0.85 0.44 0.91 0.59 0 1 0 0.00 0.08 20-34 48 49.21 5.97 3 4.48 4.32 1.94 1 0.08 0.00 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 1.81 5.14 1.88 30 61 31 28.87 63.75 30.91 4 5 1 4.39 6.13 2.41 4 9 4 3.62 6.04 2.40 2.18 1.79 1.38 0 0 0 0.14 0.15 0.00 20-34 8.83 122 123.54 10 12.92 17 12.06 5.34 0 0.29 1 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 7 1 2.22 4.44 1.20 7 10 2 8.40 11.26 3.71 32 36 17 31.56 39.54 14.85 3 0 0 4.06 2.92 1.14 4 8 2 2.64 2.77 1.06 0 0 0.12 0.07 0.00 20-34 10 7.86 19 23.37 85 85.95 3 8.12 14 6.46 1 0.19 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 2.03 1.89 0.90 8 6 4 12.01 12.37 4.40 6 2 2 4.90 4.34 1.10 205 188 98 205.16 182.73 102.34 26 13 9 24.15 15.13 9.69 9 8 9 6.75 3.53 3.58 20-34 4.82 18 28.78 10 10.34 49 1 490.22 48 48.96 26 13.86 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.82 0.76 0.49 1 5 1 3.79 4.32 1.99 3 7 1 3.14 3.39 1.03 25 10 5 24.92 16.51 8.86 36 39 24 42.54 39.29 22.06 15 6 4 5.78 2.74 1.57 20-34 2.07 7 10.10 11 7.56 40 50.29 99 103.89 25 10.09 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.19 0.12 0.09 1 0 5 0.76 1.25 1.17 0 0 0 1.34 0.15 0.48 14 13 9 16.59 9.68 6.85 12 5 8 12.22 7.25 6.77 19 14 3 14.91 13.55 9.64 20-34 0.39 6 3.18 0 1.97 36 33.13 25 26.24 36 38.10 V 15 Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 ( a ) Resident in the North Social Class I a t Census Social Class I 1 a t Census GO0 1 400 - 200- 7 T I 100 . T i : T ? b . A ; 50- L L I 25 - 10- 5' 5- Social Class I I I N a t Census Social Class I I I M a t Census T 100 50 10 Social Class I V a t Census I T I . Social Class V a t Census loo 21,1111 T 50 ! I I I 50 10 I I I I I I I1 IIIN IIIM IV 5 i V I Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d *Standardised mobility r a t i o C o b s e r v e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s = ZExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s 16 I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d 7- x 100 ' t -c Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (b) Yorkshire and Humberside Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp ~ Obs IIIM IIIN Exp _ Obs Exp _ Obs _ IV Exp Obs ~ V Exp Obs ~ Exp ~ ~ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.71 3.52 4.20 2.76 4.08 2.66 1.29 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0.07 0.39 0.55 0.43 0.75 0.58 0.34 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.10 0.54 0.67 0.46 0.71 0.48 0.24 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.18 0.41 0.53 0.38 0.52 0.42 0.41 5 10 10 7 8 4 5 4.52 8.86 10.14 6.38 7.63 5.42 4.62 0 1 4 0 2 1 0 0.54 1.14 1.40 0.95 1.22 0.93 0.86 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.12 0.44 0.36 0.59 0.84 0.44 0.87 0.55 1.86 1.41 2.21 2.99 1.47 2.78 5 10 6 7 9 3 5 3.73 9.93 6.01 7.47 8.03 3.13 4.70 0 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.22 0.37 0.34 0.50 0.51 0.41 0.31 1.24 2.07 1.99 2.91 3.04 2.51 1.93 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0.68 1.04 0.91 1.21 1.15 0.86 0.60 56 59 37 47 36 23 12 0.12 0.17 0.20 0.17 0.20 0.30 0.24 0.94 1.13 1.12 0.81 0.83 1.03 0.71 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 1.37 1.31 1.03 0.60 0.49 0.48 0.26 0.17 0.22 0.13 0.18 0.10 0.03 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.35 0.23 0.33 0.19 0.07 0.17 1 4 5 3 4 1 2 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0.10 0.41 0.40 0.22 0.27 0.14 0.06 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.03 0.14 0.17 0.12 0.20 0.14 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.49 1.00 1.20 0.79 0.99 0.73 0.66 0 0 0 1 0 1' 2 0.26 0.56 0.69 0.47 0.61 0.47 0.43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.32 1.00 0.71 1.05 1.34 0.62 1.09 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.73 0.48 0.66 0.78 0.34 0.55 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 50.52 61.98 43.64 46.82 35.68 21.60 12.16 1 8 9 7 3 5 5 4.08 5.82 4.75 5.92 5.23 3.67 2.40 1 4 4 2 1 0 0 1.26 1.74 1.37 1.63 1.39 0.94 0.59 7.58 8.41 7.77 5.23 4.96 5.71 3.65 18 20 13 7 6 9 3 19.06 17.92 14.03 8.00 6.43 6.27 3.39 2 1 0 3 2 1 0 1.93 2.06 1.84 1.19 1.09 1.21 0.75 3.01 4.24 2.81 4.12 2.38 0.84 2.20 2 7 6 2 2 1 2 2.34 3.24 2.10 3.02 1.71 0.59 1.51 3 5 1 1 3 0 0 4.14 4.88 2.71 3.33 1.61 0.47 1.04 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.09 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 1 8 1 1 2 17 Appendix Table 1 (b) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs Exp IIIN Obs Exp IIIM Obs Exp IV Obs Exp V Obs Exp -----ppp_______ Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 6 15 14 11 6 4 3 6.28 16.96 12.09 10.35 5.77 2.81 3.40 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0.49 1.56 1.31 1.31 0.86 0.49 0.70 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 0.40 1.18 0.92 0.85 0.51 0.27 0.36 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.58 1.64 1.23 1.11 0.65 0.33 0.42 0.22 0.59 0.42 0.35 0.19 0.09 0.11 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.80 1.94 1.34 1.36 1.15 0.88 0.71 13 32 18 17 13 9 6 13.39 28.87 17.77 16.05 12.08 8.20 5.88 2 1 3 1 1 0 1 1.31 2.80 1.71 1.54 1.15 0.77 0.55 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 1.07 2.47 1.63 1.58 1.27 0.92 0.71 0.41 0.85 0.50 0.44 0.32 0.21 0.14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.75 1.55 1.28 1.34 1.14 1.13 0.70 0 3 2 3 3 3 1 1.44 3.31 3.00 3.51 3.26 3.57 2.42 13 21 13 12 9 7 4 10.79 18.22 12.15 10.44 7.12 5.74 2.86 0 0 1 0 2 0 0.31 0.76 0.73 0.91 0.90 1.05 0.75 0.63 1.16 0.84 0.78 0.58 0.51 0.27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.46 0.37 0.60 0.42 0.43 0.44 2 1 2 5 0 2 4 2.37 3.28 2.51 3.92 2.64 2.53 2.49 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 0.92 1.23 0.91 1.37 0.88 0.81 0.77 61 70 42 47 34 23 17 60.48 67.03 41.14 5 1.46 27.69 21.33 16.77 3.73 4.70 3.27 4.65 2.84 2.48 2.22 0 2 1 3 0 0 1 1.17 1.30 0.79 1.oo 0.53 0.41 0.32 0 0 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.03 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0.12 0.19 0.20 0.23 0.13 0.36 0.28 1.02 1.41 1.26 1.28 0.61 1.51 1.03 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.99 1.25 1.03 0.95 0.42 0.95 0.59 3 9 4 7 2 2 3 4.20 5.63 4.90 4.81 2.25 5.39 3.55 18 17 14 7 3 6 5 16.89 17.53 11.79 8.96 3.24 6.00 3.06 0.78 0.99 0.83 0.77 0.35 0.79 0.50 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.04 2 1 3 0 0.28 0.46 0.35 0.34 0.27 0.25 0.11 2.28 3.62 2.70 2.58 2.07 1.84 0.78 2 5 3 1 2 1 2.07 3.01 2.07 1.81 1.34 1.09 0.42 4.25 5.90 3.86 3.23 2.27 1.77 0.66 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 18 0.00 5 1 1 0 1 3 1 Appendix Table 1 (b) continued Social class at Census and year of birth Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs IIIN Exp IIIM Obs Exp Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3.99 6.36 3.94 2.33 3.81 1.48 2.86 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0.33 0.59 0.42 0.28 0.52 0.23 0.50 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0.14 0.28 0.23 0.17 0.36 0.18 0.45 0.33 0.45 0.24 0.12 0.18 0.06 0.10 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.21 0.31 0.17 0.09 0.14 0.05 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.77 0.72 0.77 0.44 0.48 0.29 0.05 13 15 13 8 7 5 1 12.91 12.02 12.71 7.08 7.79 4.61 0.75 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1.06 0.96 0.99 0.54 0.57 0.33 0.05 0.86 0.86 0.98 0.59 0.70 0.44 0.08 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.40 0.44 0.55 0.36 0.46 0.32 0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.32 0.45 0.23 0.48 0.24 0.12 0.12 1 1 2 2 1 2 0 0.69 1.18 0.74 1.84 1.13 1.35 0.80 5 6 .2 5 1 0 2 4.41 5.58 2.62 4.85 2.22 1.99 0.88 0.27 0.40 0.22 0.48 0.25 0.27 0.14 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.31 0.40 0.19 0.35 0.16 0.15 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.41 0.36 0.20 0.19 0.14 0.11 0.08 1.12 1.27 0.89 1.10 1.00 0.98 0.90 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.49 0.44 0.25 0.24 0.18 0.14 0.10 46.33 41.31 22.81 22.32 16.11 12.50 9.04 3 1 3 2 3 3 2 3.02 3.17 2.06 2.37 2.01 1.84 1.56 0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1.62 1.44 0.80 0.78 0.56 0.44 0.32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.14 0.31 0.08 0.13 0.04 0.08 0.03 0.22 0.70 0.27 0.61 0.24 0.74 0.41 0.39 0.73 0.17 0.22 0.05 0.09 0.03 1.87 4.76 1.47 2.63 0.84 2.06 0.92 0 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.33 0.19 0.25 0.07 0.51 0.00 0.04 0.20 0.09 0.64 2.86 1.32 1.45 0.31 2.01 0.00 I1 47 44 22 24 16 12 10 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.02 0.14 0.00 0.37 0.90 0.27 0.45 0.14 6.00 13.60 3.75 5.97 1.70 3.72 1.48 0 6 0 3 0 3 0 0.79 3.23 1.37 1.38 0.27 1.62 0.00 0.32 0.14 3 4 3 1 1 0 0 1.44 5.31 2.02 1.82 0.32 1.71 0.00 19 Appendix Table 1 (b) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I Obs ~ Exa I1 Obs ~ IIIN Exu _ Obs IIIM Exp _ Obs Exp _ IV Obs Exp ~ V Obs Exp AN birrhs 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 20 59 24 19.21 57.66 24.78 3 5 3 3.11 6.73 2.86 1 6 3 3.21 4.49 1.81 3 5 1 1.61 5.97 1.49 1 2 1 0.87 1.98 1.06 0 0 0 0.00 0.18 0.00 20-34 103 101.65 11 12.70 10 9.51 9 9.06 4 3.91 0 0.18 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 6 0 2.84 8.16 3.53 49 108 62 47.57 102.24 57.88 8 7.03 9.83 4.50 4 7 6 5.86 9.65 4.51 4 3 1 3.48 2.87 2.58 0 9 4 0 0 0.22 0.25 0.00 20-34 8 14.53 219 207.70 21 21.36 17 20.01 8 8.93 0 0.47 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 4 4 1 3.66 7.88 1.95 11 I5 9 13.27 20.52 7.73 45 79 21 42.99 67.31 22.54 9 3 4 6.13 5.42 2.03 1 5 1 3.80 4.78 1.63 0 0 0 0.14 0.08 0.00 20-34 9 13.49 35 41.52 145 132.85 16 13.58 7 10.20 0 0.22 20-24 25-29 30-34 1 0 1 2.66 3.03 1.49 12 16 4 15.69 19.74 7.26 5 5 1 6.45 6.90 1.83 270 294 175 272.40 285.90 170.42 38 23 17 31.83 23.89 16.03 12 7 5 8.93 5.53 5.96 20-34 2 7.19 32 42.68 11 15.17 739 728.73 78 71.80 24 20.42 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 1 2 0 1.41 1.51 0.81 8 9 5 3 1 6.56 8.12 3.20 1 5.53 6.17 1.67 43 30 12 43.32 30.72 14.53 76 70 42 75.10 67.48 36.21 9 5 3 10.07 5.00 2.58 20-34 3 3.73 18 17.88 9 13.38 85 88.57 L88 178.78 17 17.66 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 0 0 0.22 0.10 0.12 1 0 0.91 2.05 1.39 0 0 0 1.59 0.24 0.61 19 13 8 19.59 15.88 8.60 22 15 12 14.50 11.80 8.67 13 23 12 18.18 21.93 12.62 20-34 0 0.44 2 4.35 0 2.43 40 44.06 49 34.98 48 52.73 I1 IIIM V 20 1 Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 (b) Resident in Yorkshire and Humberside Social Class I 1 a t Census 600 *0 - 400200 - - :7 100 o m W - 50 - T + : 7 - I . I 200 - - I I 100 ' ; 50- e - 25- A 10- 10 I -L -I- r T . 7 i c r A : A . O m 7 .C 400 600 v -0 25 m U m 8 +-' ln - 5- 5- Social Class IIIM a t Census Social Class IIIN a t Census 0 .r e I 200 3 200 - 100 .r h F a J .r n m E:: U01 I 50 50- aJ0 Ln.rv -0 T j - .,. i I 25 5 I 4 A. J. * I J. . I a. i 25- m I -0 E m U 10 v, 5-1 10- j 5- I Social Class IV a t Census GOO- 400 - 200 - 0 .C c, I 200 U h .r .--.100 --a, A I .r 7 n m o u E m u r n m- O W .r v -U 50- 1 i - - ? A . r I , T I p+ 100 & , .& 50 - I I I A 25- 25- 10 - 10- 5- 5- m -U c m c, ln Cobserved number of t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = XExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s -r x 100 * + * Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s 21 Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (c) East Midlands Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs IIIN Exp Obs IV IIIM Exp Obs Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp p p p p _ _ _ p _ _ _ _ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.71 2.82 0.70 2.76 2.04 1.99 1.29 0 1 0 0.07 0.31 0.09 0.43 0.38 0.44 0.34 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0.10 0.43 0.11 0.46 0.35 0.36 0.24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.33 0.07 0.22 0.13 0.11 0.06 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.45 0.41 0.76 0.46 0.47 0.52 0.47 13 8 13 11.29 8.86 14.49 7.80 6.93 6.77 5.28 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1.34 1.14 2.00 1.16 1.11 1.17 0.98 0 2 2 0 2 1 1 1.22 1.oo 1.72 0.97 0.90 0.92 0.75 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.17 0.28 0.47 0.44 0.66 0.29 0.70 1 2 0 2 3 0 6 6 9 4 7 3 2 5.22 6.38 8.01 5.60 6.31 2.09 3.76 0 0 1 1 5 0.77 1.19 1.89 1.66 2.35 0.98 2.22 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.17 0.25 0.38 0.26 0.40 0.36 0.45 1 3 1 2 4 0 3 0.94 1.41 2.22 1.53 2.39 2.18 2.79 0 0 2 2 2 2 1 0.08 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.23 0.18 0.24 0.58 1.13 0.91 0.76 0.95 0.62 0.71 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.02 0.03 0.02 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.11 0.03 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.56 0.98 0.57 0.55 0.58 0.49 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.35 0.47 0.65 0.50 0.62 0.22 0.44 0 0 0 0 0.44 0.64 0.95 0.79 1.05 0.41 0.88 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.71 1.01 0.64 0.90 0.75 0.87 39 41 50 23 25 20 18 38.32 42.45 48.58 24.60 28.09 18.72 17.56 3.10 3.98 5.29 3.11 4.12 3.19 3.47 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0.84 1.31 0.84 0.56 0.56 0.29 0.26 2 9 8 8 6 3 4.64 8.41 6.28 4.90 5.67 3.43 3.65 14 20 8 3 8 3 2 11.68 17.92 11.33 7.50 7.35 3.76 3.39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.18 0.03 0.07 0.03 0 2 1 3 0 0 0 0.60 0.98 1.40 2.25 0.40 0.84 0.44 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 0.47 0.75 1.05 1.65 0.29 0.59 0.30 I1 8 4 7 5 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0.96 1.19 1.52 0.86 1.10 0.82 0.86 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 5 1.18 2.06 1.48 1.12 1.25 0.73 0.75 v 1971 0 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 22 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0.83 1.13 1.35 1.82 0.27 0.47 0.21 Appendix Table 1 ( c ) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I IIIN I1 Ohs - Exp - - Exp Ohs - - . IIIM Exp Ohs _ _ _ IV Exp Ohs ~ ~ V Exp Ohs ~ . ~ Ohs Exp ~ Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.51 0.91 0.57 0.67 0.83 0.54 0.36 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 0.72 1.27 0.77 0.87 1.06 0.66 0.42 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.28 0.46 0.26 0.28 0.31 0.18 0.11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 1 4 1 1 0 0 1.69 2.05 1.12 1.46 0.72 0.77 0.34 1.38 1.80 1.06 1.50 0.80 0.92 0.44 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0.53 0.62 0.33 0.42 0.20 0.21 0.09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 1.13 4.24 4.00 2.06 2.26 2.38 2.77 8 23 18 6 6 6 3 8.48 23.32 16.20 6.14 4.93 3.83 3.27 1 2 1 0 3 0 0 0.50 1.48 1.12 0.46 0.40 0.34 0.31 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 2 0.25 0.98 0.98 0.54 0.62 0.70 0.86 0 0 0.00 0.00 2 6 3 5 3 2 3 1.61 3.02 2.56 2.93 2.64 1.99 2.92 1 0.63 1.14 0.92 1.02 0.88 0.64 0.90 42 62 38 33 26 16 20 41.20 61.88 41.98 38.39 27.69 16.76 19.68 1 1 7 7 4 2 4 2.54 4.33 3.34 3.47 2.84 1.95 2.60 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 0.80 1.20 0.81 0.74 0.53 0.32 0.38 0.09 0.14 0.17 0.13 0.15 0.17 0.31 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0.81 1.04 1.07 0.75 0.70 0.71 1.14 0 1 0 0.78 0.93 0.87 0.56 0.48 0.44 0.65 5 4 2 3 1 3 3 3.32 4.17 4.16 2.83 2.57 2.52 3.94 12 15 13 5 5 3 5 13.37 12.99 10.02 5.27 3.71 2.80 3.40 0 0 0.62 0.74 0.70 0.46 0.40 0.37 0.55 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0.13 0.18 0.12 0.08 0.09 0.15 0.11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0 2 0 0 1.01 1.39 0.90 0.65 0 I 0 0 0.69 1 1.10 0.78 1 0 0.92 1.16 0.69 0.45 0.45 0.65 0.42 4 2 3 0 0 1 2 6 12 7 6 6 5 4 7.85 13.11 7.56 8.13 9.38 5.61 3.40 0 1 1 3 0 0 1 0.61 1.20 0.82 1.03 1.40 0.99 0.70 2 4 0 2 5 1 2 2 1 2 17 18 10 13 7 9 4 17.32 21.07 11.59 15.29 7.55 8.20 3.67 3 3 0 1.03 1.41 0.87 1.29 0.72 0.88 0.44 0 3 0 1 0 0 1 0.59 1.99 1.70 0.79 0.79 0.76 0.80 2 4 2 3 0 2 2 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.22 0.42 0.38 0.45 0.42 0.34 0.52 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 1 0 1 1 5 0 1 0 r m 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 1 I v 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0.00 .o 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1.89 2.27 1.29 0.81 0.76 1.06 0.66 23 Appendix Table 1 (c) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs IIIN Exp Obs Exp IIIM Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp ---_________-_ Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 9 7 8 3 5 4 2 7.18 6.36 7.09 2.33 3.81 2.97 1.43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.59 0.59 0.75 0.28 0.52 0.46 0.25 1 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.28 0.41 0.17 0.36 0.36 0.22 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.59 0.45 0.44 0.12 0.18 0.12 0.05 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.48 0.68 0.68 0.39 0.05 0.29 0.24 9 14 9 6 1 6 3 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.42 0.45 0.29 0.12 0.18 0.12 0.06 0 1 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0.39 0.31 0.31 0.09 0.14 0.10 0.04 8.07 11.22 11.12 6.30 0.78 4.61 3.77 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.66 0.90 0.86 0.48 0.06 0.33 0.26 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0.54 0.80 0.86 0.52 0.07 0.44 0.39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.41 0.48 0.32 0.05 0.32 0.31 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0.93 1.18 0.93 0.46 0.84 1.35 0.40 6 5 4 1 1 3 1 5.88 5.58 3.27 1.21 1.66 1.99 0.44 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.41 0.40 0.24 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0.36 0.40 0.28 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.07 0.25 0.36 0.19 0.13 0.08 0.07 0.06 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0.68 1.24 0.82 0.73 0.60 0.62 0.68 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.29 0.43 0.23 0.16 0.11 0.09 0.08 26 42 22 16 11 9 8 27.97 40.45 21.12 14.88 9.66 7.81 6.78 1 3 3 1 0 0 1 1.82 3.10 1.91 1.58 1.21 1.15 1.17 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.98 1.41 0.74 0.52 0.34 0.27 0.24 0.11 0.16 0.11 0.10 0.06 0.03 0.05 0 0 0 1 1 0.17 0.37 0.36 0.48 0.40 0.32 0.69 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.31 0.38 0.22 0.17 0.08 0.04 0.05 1 5 3 2 1 1.46 2.49 1.96 2.10 1.40 0.88 1.53 5 6 3 4 3 1 0 4.67 7.12 4.99 4.78 2.83 1.59 2.46 1 0.29 0.47 0.35 0.36 0.23 0.14 0.23 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.00 0 0 0 0.04 0.11 0.04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 0 0 0 0.43 0.95 0.26 0.29 0.31 0.34 0.71 0 2 1 0.52 1.08 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.53 0 0.00 0 0.05 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 1 0.07 0.08 0.22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 I1 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 24 1 1 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.96 1.77 0.40 0.36 0.32 0.28 0.49 Appendix Table 1 (c) continued Social class Census, age of married men at Social class at birth of child I1 I Obs ~ - Exp - _ IIIM IIIN Obs _ _ Exp _ _ Obs Exp _ _ _ Obs _ ~ IV Exp - _ Obs _ _ V Exp _ _ Obs _ _ Exp ~ _ ~ AN birrhs 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 14 36 38 12.31 55.03 31.17 1 6 0 2.05 6.76 3.44 2 14 1 2.07 4.39 2.06 0 6 1 1.02 5.78 1.96 1 2 0 0.56 1.88 1.37 0.00 0.16 0.00 20-34 98 98.52 7 12.24 17 8.51 7 8.75 3 3.82 0.16 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 9 6 3.54 6.65 2.80 58 78 48 61.43 84.70 45.87 12 9 1 8.89 8.15 3.55 8 12 3 7.47 7.91 3.63 5 2 0 4.40 2.39 2.13 0.28 0.20 0.00 20-34 17 12.99 184 191.99 22 20.60 23 19.01 7 8.92 0.48 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 6 5 1 3.02 7.40 1.63 13 15 6 11.06 18.84 6.09 37 70 21 37.37 66.15 20.03 5.16 4.92 1.69 2 7 2 3.24 4.62 1.44 0.13 0.06 0.00 20-34 12 12.06 34 35.99 128 123.56 11.77 11 9.29 0.19 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 2.27 2.74 1.13 14 24 4 13.46 17.67 5.39 9 6 1 5.39 6.14 1.39 216 237 134 218.33 247.58 128.69 27 26 9 26.26 21.08 11.94 4 6 5 7.30 4.79 4.50 20-34 6.14 42 36.49 16 12.91 587 594.59 62 59.27 15 16.58 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 20-34 1.22 1.17 0.63 5 4 4 5.64 6.22 2.80 3 2 0 4.65 4.72 1.25 41 21 17 36.99 23.51 11.81 58 58 22 62.93 51.56 28.44 12 4 4 8.57 3.82 2.07 3.02 13 14.66 5 10.61 79 72.31 138 142.94 20 14.46 V 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.31 0.85 0.60 0 0 0 0.56 0.12 0.23 6 3 1 6.90 6.53 3.29 8 5 4 5.09 4.74 3.22 4 12 6 6.08 8.72 4.60 20-34 0.15 1.76 0 0.91 10 16.72 17 13.05 22 19.40 25 ~ Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 (c) Resident in the East Midlands Social Class I 1 a t Census 600400- *0 6007 r I .r c, m 200- 4 .r h c, .- l h i - w 100 .r r- n m T I * I o m E v '00, 4 50 - I a m 0 7 .U A I v 25 - I I L U m S m c, 10- v, l 50 1 5-1 Social Class I I I N a t Census Social Class IIIM a t Census GO0 GO0 c0 .r c, m h c, .r h -a .r n m 7 o v E m 251 I .L 10 5-1 Social Class IV a t Census Social Class V a t Census GO0 4001 - 2007 c, h =U 100 & .r 7 - 4 e I L L 200 - 100 Rim o v E m U 0 m W O y .- v L 50- A 50 - ? ? - A t - l - t 25- L 25- L U m I I m E =: - 10- 10- 5- 5I I I I I I I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h of c h i l d C o b s e r v e d number of t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = CExpected number o f t r a n s i t i o n s 26 -r x 100 ' t Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (d) East Anglia Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs IIIN I1 Exp Obs Exp Obs IIIM Exp Obs V IV Exp Obs Exp Obs Exp p p p p p p p p - Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.71 2.11 0.70 0.69 0.68 0.00 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.09 0.42 0.35 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0.26 0.28 0.25 0.26 0.11 0.47 0.37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.32 0.36 0.56 0.18 0.10 0.51 0.33 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.26 0.38 0.11 0.06 0.28 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.00 13.94 16.13 18.11 5.56 7.59 4.32 4.05 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 1.13 1.51 1.97 0.70 1.11 0.73 0.80 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.35 0.45 0.57 0.19 0.30 0.19 0.20 1.47 2.98 2.39 1.63 1.42 1.52 2.03 3 8 4 4 2 2 1 3.69 6.36 4.32 2.50 1.84 1.67 1.89 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0.37 0.73 0.57 0.37 0.31 0.32 0.41 0.90 0.33 0.35 0.37 0.40 0.42 0.00 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.70 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.29 0.29 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.24 0.38 0.34 0.30 0.27 0.24 0.00 0.10 0.25 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.08 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0 0.10 0.32 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.00 0.00 0 5 4.52 4.43 3.62 3.55 1.39 5.42 3.96 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0.54 0.57 0.50 0.53 0.22 0.93 0.74 0.49 0.50 0.43 0.44 0.18 0.73 0.56 0.12 0.16 0.28 0.10 0.06 0.36 0.26 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0.55 0.66 1.10 0.37 0.21 1.23 0.83 3 4 6 1 1 3 2 3.73 3.54 4.67 1.24 0.57 2.61 1.41 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.06 0.09 0.14 0.06 0.11 0.08 0.10 0 0 2 2 1 1 1 0.34 0.54 0.83 0.35 0.65 0.50 0.64 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 0.27 0.38 0.14 0.24 0.17 0.20 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.02 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.13 0 1 1 0 0.18 0.40 0.34 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.39 0 0 2 0 0.26 0.46 0.32 0.19 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.00 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.23 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 4 5 4 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 15 18 17 4 8 3 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 27 Appendix Table 1 (d) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN Obs IIIM Obs IV Obs Exp 0.29 0.22 0.46 0.24 0.24 0.08 0.17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.11 0.08 0.16 0.08 0.07 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.23 0.67 0.44 0.57 0.28 0.14 0.57 0.20 0.64 0.45 0.64 0.34 0.18 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.22 0.07 0.20 0.13 0.16 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.72 1.32 1.17 1.03 1.75 1.19 0.35 5.39 7.29 4.72 3.07 3.84 1.91 0.41 0.16 0.30 0.29 0.27 0.48 0.35 0.11 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.32 0.46 0.33 0.23 0.31 0.17 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1.06 0.92 1.18 1.43 0.68 1.36 0.65 0.42 0.35 0.43 0.50 0.23 0.44 0.20 27.17 18.91 19.31 18.79 7.12 11.43 4.37 1 2 0 2 0 3 1 1.68 1.32 1.54 1.70 0.73 1.33 0.58 0.53 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.14 0.22 0.08 0.05 0.08 0.11 0.07 0.13 0.07 0.06 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.43 0.57 0.69 0.38 0.61 0.30 0.23 0.41 0.51 0.57 0.28 0.42 0.19 0.13 1.75 2.29 2.69 1.42 2.25 1.08 0.79 8 8 8 0 4 2 1 7.04 7.14 6.49 2.64 3.24 1.20 0.68 0.32 0.40 0.45 0.23 0.35 0.16 0.11 0.05 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.00 0.12 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.01 0.00 0.90 0.32 0.35 0.37 0.39 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0.92 0.00 0.69 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.21 I1 Exp Obs Exp Exp 3.14 2.31 4.53 2.22 2.16 0.70 1.36 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0.21 0.49 0.28 0.32 0.12 0.28 0.20 0.16 0.34 0.18 0.19 0.07 0.14 0.42 0.16 0.52 0.39 0.57 0.32 0.18 6 1 7 3 6 2 1 7.09 2.34 6.96 4.59 6.04 2.98 1.47 0.37 0.62 0.50 0.39 0.61 0.38 0.10 0 2 3 1 0 1 1 0.14 0.13 0.17 0.22 0.11 0.23 0.11 Exp V Obs Exp I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 29 19 20 21 8 8 5 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 2 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1.89 0.00 1.29 0.40 0.38 0.35 0.33 Appendix Table 1 (d) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp I1 Obs IIIN Exp IV IIIM Obs Exp 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.17 0.00 0.14 0.06 0.07 0.18 0.00 Obs Obs Exp V Obs Exp 0.40 0.00 0.15 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.26 0.00 0.10 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exp ---______--___---- Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 4.79 0.00 2.36 0.78 0.76 1.48 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.39 0.00 0.25 0.09 0.10 0.23 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.10 0.29 0.19 0.19 0.10 0.10 0.00 2 4 3 4 2 1 0 1.61 4.81 3.18 3.15 1.56 1.54 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.38 0.25 0.24 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.11 0.34 0.24 0.26 0.14 0.15 0.00 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.18 0.14 0.16 0.09 0.11 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.11 0.06 0.17 0.06 0.00 0.06 0.06 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0.23 0.15 0.56 0.23 0.00 0.68 0.40 2 1 0 1 1 1.47 0.70 1.96 0.61 0.00 1.oo 0.44 0.09 0.05 0.17 0.06 0.00 0.13 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.05 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.07 0.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.14 0.10 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.38 0.34 0.26 0.41 0.40 0.31 0.38 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.17 0.12 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.04 0.04 15.74 11.19 6.76 8.27 6.44 3.91 3.77 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1.03 0.86 0.61 0.88 0.80 0.57 0.65 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.55 0.39 0.24 0.29 0.23 0.14 0.13 0.08 0.10 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.12 0.23 0.14 0.12 0.08 0.11 0.41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.22 0.24 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.03 1.04 1.59 0.73 0.53 0.28 0.29 0.92 3.33 4.53 1.87 1.19 0.57 0.53 1.48 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.21 0.30 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.05 0.14 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.08 0.04 0.15 0.00 0.17 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.43 0.72 0.26 0.87 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.52 0.81 0.27 0.83 0.00 0.54 0.00 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.96 1.33 0.40 1.09 0.00 0.57 0.00 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 16 12 6 10 7 5 3 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 Appendix Table 1 (d) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child IIIN I1 I Obs Exp Obs Exp --_________--All births 1971-77 Obs IIIM Exp Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp I 20-24 25-29 30-34 4 16 11 4.89 16.43 10.17 1 1 0 0.63 1.96 1.07 0.77 1.29 0.61 0.51 1.71 0.68 0 1 1 0.20 0.56 0.47 0.00 0.05 0.00 20-34 31 31.49 2 3.65 2.68 2.90 2 1.23 0.05 20-24 25-29 30-34 1.65 2.56 0.97 27 26 16 26.88 3 1.46 15.84 4.02 3.02 1.23 3.33 3.00 1.25 3 1 1 1.99 0.88 0.72 0.13 0.08 0.00 20-34 5.17 69 74.18 8.27 7.58 5 3.59 0.20 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 1.34 2.98 0.51 4 8 3 4.96 7.54 2.24 20 23 7 17.79 26.63 6.17 1 0 2.34 1.95 0.57 3 0 1.50 1.86 0.45 0 0 0 0.07 0.04 0.00 20-34 4.83 15 14.74 50 50.59 7 4.87 4 3.80 0 0.11 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.65 1.12 0.49 7 3 1 3.84 7.28 2.48 1.60 2.55 0.60 68 110 59 69.70 107.10 56.07 10 9 4 7.96 8.87 5.40 2.24 2.07 1.96 20-34 2.26 11 13.60 4.75 237 232.87 23 22.24 6.27 I1 2 5 IIIM IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 0 0 0.47 0.57 0.30 2.08 3.21 1.21 1.65 2.51 0.65 8 11 7 13.45 12.27 5.37 24 31 12 22.26 28.43 13.51 5 3 2 3.09 2.02 0.96 20-34 ' 2 1.34 6.51 4.80 26 31.09 67 64.19 10 6.08 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.13 0.43 0.48 0.23 0.06 0.21 2 2 6 2.77 3.34 2.95 3 5 1 2.07 2.49 2.98 2.76 4.64 4.35 20-34 0.13 1.04 0.49 10 9.06 9 7.53 11.75 V 30 Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 (d) Resident in East Anglia Social Class I1 a t Census Social Class I a t Census +: 600 1 GO0 400- 400 0 4 .r .!2 I 200-r U h .r h W 7 + 100 .r ? - n 5 o u E m 50 u r n W - O mv - 1 - 255 U 5 S =: 10' O5 j 5J Social Class IIIM a t Census Social Class IIIN a t Census *0 400- .r U I c h , - z, .r a 200- - . T 100 m I o u E m .L 50- urn a 0 - m- .r v y 25- m u c m =: 105 5-1 J Social Class V a t Census Social Class IV a t Census ,,,] 600 GO0 *0 4004 I .r U m 2 L 200 4 U h .rh .--a .r n m o u 7 E m 251 50- 2510 - 10 5 5J I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h of c h i l d 1'1 II'IN II'IM I; Social Class a t b i r t h of c h i l d C o b s e r v e d number of t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = CExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s x 100 t Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s 31 Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (e) South East Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp I1 Obs Exp IIIN Obs Exp IIIM Obs Exp IV Obs Exp V Obs Exp Married men aged 20-24 I 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.65 0.67 0.56 0.62 0.59 0.58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1 0 1 1 1 0.99 1.97 1.55 0.99 0.85 0.62 0.47 3.76 6.05 2.30 6.96 4.77 4.08 4.66 3 5 8 4 8 4 4 3.42 5.35 1.97 5.79 3.86 3.21 3.56 1 2 3 3 2 1 1 1.83 2.96 1.13 3.45 2.38 2.04 2.34 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.11 0.19 0.07 0.22 0.15 0.13 0.15 26 45 40 31 29 23 14 24.60 50.34 44.74 34.85 31.55 21.94 17.38 1 8 8 4 6 4 6 2.09 5.06 5.32 4.91 5.25 4.32 4.05 1 3 3 3 5 2 2 1.64 3.68 3.60 3.09 3.08 2.36 2.05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 0.27 0.16 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.01 2.53 5.15 5.72 7.11 8.14 7.53 6.65 1 2 4 5 2 6 2 1.39 2.58 2.60 2.95 3.07 2.59 2.08 107 148 126 108 87 67 46 103.65 154.54 125.16 114.28 95.66 64.79 41.87 6 15 13 16 16 7 7 8.38 14.51 13.63 14.44 14.02 11.02 8.27 2 4 1 5 3 1 0 2.59 4.33 3.92 3.99 3.73 2.83 2.04 2 2 3 1 2 4 2 2.04 2.18 2.67 3.04 2.19 2.33 2.59 3 3 3 0 1 0 2.95 2.53 2.47 2.24 1.28 1.09 0.97 14 15 19 16 14 10 18 16.37 16.28 18.54 19.61 13.11 12.95 13.38 44 37 32 35 18 17 11 41.19 34.69 33.46 29.99 16.99 14.21 12.44 4.17 4.00 4.38 4.47 2.88 2.74 2.74 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.49 0.36 0.50 0.38 0.21 0.16 0.08 2 1 2 0 2 0 0 0.73 0.56 0.86 0.69 0.41 0.33 0.17 6 5 14 13 2 4 2 8.72 6.85 10.52 8.62 5.17 4.19 2.20 6 6 3 6 5 5 1 6.79 5.23 7.87 6.31 3.71 2.94 1.51 11.99 7.89 10.15 6.96 3.49 2.37 1.04 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 7 17 19 11 16 13 10 7.05 16.91 16.09 12.44 12.90 11.29 10.33 2 2 1 2 1 0 4 0.66 1.87 2.12 1.94 2.38 2.47 2.68 0 3 2 5 1 3 1 1.04 2.60 2.57 2.07 2.24 2.04 1.94 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3 1 3 3 0 3 2 1.27 2.16 0.87 2.79 2.02 1.83 2.21 33 46 2 47 29 25 26 31.61 47.28 16.66 46.81 29.82 23.70 25.08 2 9 7 9 3 2 5 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 3 4 1 5 1 6 0.82 2.24 2.65 2.74 3.31 3.06 3.23 4 12 12 17 10 12 9 3.65 9.41 10.53 10.33 11.74 10.30 10.27 0 1 4 0 1 1 1 0.45 0.91 0.99 1.21 1.36 1.24 1.08 3 12 4 10 17 8 6 0.27 0.34 0.48 0.64 0.54 0.67 0.87 0.27 0.12 0.10 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00 1 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 5 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 32 Appendix Table 1 (e) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs - Exp IIIN Obs IV IIIM Exp - Obs Exp V Obs - Exp Obs - Exp ~ Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 48.66 69.39 57.44 42.87 36.78 28.06 25.17 3 8 7 8 3 6 9 3.80 6.37 6.21 5.45 5.50 4.93 5.20 2 3 0 3 3 1 1 3.13 4.84 4.35 3.51 3.27 2.70 2.63 4.48 6.72 5.85 4.59 4.14 3.32 3.13 2 1 1 2 2 1 1.73 2.43 1.98 1.46 1.23 0.92 0.82 0.19 0.24 0.17 0.12 0.09 0.06 0.05 5.73 7.64 8.03 6.08 5.53 5.17 4.23 96 120 109 66 54 46 37 96.06 113.94 106.65 71.85 58.15 48.44 35.26 9 12 9 10 6 6 3 9.39 11.07 10.28 6.87 5.52 4.57 3.30 7.66 9.74 9.77 7.06 6.12 5.46 4.26 2 2 5 2 1 1 1 2.92 3.34 3.02 1.96 1.53 1.23 0.87 0.23 0.28 0.26 0.17 0.14 0.12 0.09 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3.62 7.58 6.75 6.45 4.91 4.72 3.38 8 15 17 23 22 12 11 7.00 16.15 15.85 16.93 14.04 14.89 11.75 56 92 65 39 28 28 18 52.41 88.89 64.1 1 50.36 30.68 23.92 13.88 1.52 3.72 3.88 4.40 3.87 4.36 3.66 0 5 2 5 1 3 1 3.08 5.66 4.44 3.78 2.50 2.11 1.33 0.37 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.89 1.50 1.48 1.56 1.54 1.48 1.45 3 12 14 12 16 11 6 6.65 10.67 10.16 10.22 9.56 8.78 8.22 2.60 4.01 3.66 3.56 3.20 2.82 2.54 175 216 155 125 94 76 53 170.04 218.29 166.24 133.97 100.47 73.89 55.40 12 17 20 13 10 6 7 10.50 15.29 13.23 12.10 10.30 8.60 7.33 1 2 2 1 1 1 3.30 4.24 3.21 2.59 1.93 1.42 1.06 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.30 0.47 0.57 0.57 0.60 0.72 0.75 6 3 4 2 4 5 3 2.51 3.45 3.66 3.15 2.89 3.02 2.74 2.44 3.06 2.98 2.35 1.97 1.89 1.56 4 10 19 12 10 7 7 10.31 13.75 14.20 11.89 10.61 10.78 9.47 44 41.53 42.86 34.20 22.13 15.29 12.00 8.16 1 6 4 0 2 0 3 1.91 2.43 2.40 1.91 1.63 1.58 1.32 0.88 0.88 0.77 0.55 0.46 0.45 0.53 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.19 6 10 9 7 2 3 4 7.10 6.95 6.01 4.20 3.46 3.31 3.89 6 8 4 4 2 2 6.45 5.79 4.59 2.94 2.22 1.96 2.11 13 5 4 2 4 4 4 13.22 1 1.34 8.58 5.25 3.79 3.18 3.28 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 52 72 63 43 39 30 23 IILN 41 26 25 12 12 10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 33 Appendix Table 1 (e) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I ~ ~ ~ Exp Obs ~ IIIM IIIN I1 Exp Obs _ _ Ohs _ _ Exp _ _ ~ _ V IV Obs Exp Obs _ _ _ Ohs Exp _ _ _ Exp _ _ Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 31 38 26 11 10 16 4 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 5 2 32.72 36.57 29.16 12.43 11.42 14.08 3.58 6 3 3 3 4 2 1 2.68 3.40 3.08 1.49 1.56 2.18 0.63 1.14 1.63 1.68 0.92 1.08 1.72 0.56 2.71 2.61 1.80 0.66 0.53 0.56 0.12 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1.76 1.78 1.28 0.49 0.41 0.46 0.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 3.13 4.44 3.44 2.32 2.23 1.31 1.30 53 69 59 33 36 22 18 52.45 73.71 56.42 37.78 35.82 20.77 20.34 4.31 5.89 4.38 2.86 2.63 1.48 1.42 3.48 5.27 4.35 3.14 3.21 2.00 2.13 0 6 1 4 1 3 3 1.63 2.69 2.42 1.90 2.12 1.44 1.67 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.49 3.34 2.84 2.20 1.62 0.47 0.93 2 10 9 11 6 5 4 5.44 8.83 9.07 8.51 7.60 5.42 6.41 35 43 33 21 16 7 10 34.52 41.84 32.09 22.45 14.96 7.96 7.03 2.13 3.01 2.70 2.21 1.72 1.07 1.10 2 4 1 2 0 2 0 2.42 2.97 2.31 1.64 1.10 0.59 0.53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IllM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.87 1.16 0.70 0.66 0.44 0.27 0.20 2.35 4.01 3.08 3.69 3.21 2.52 2.40 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 1.02 1.40 0.86 0.82 0.56 0.35 0.27 97 127 76 76 50 31 22 97.04 130.83 79.42 75.22 51.55 32.03 24.11 9 10 6 7 6 7 6 6.33 10.03 7.17 7.98 6.44 4.70 4.17 2 7 4 2 0 0 1 3.39 4.58 2.77 2.63 1.80 1.12 0.85 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.07 0.92 0.64 0.28 0.26 0.32 0.19 1.67 2.08 2.08 1.33 1.77 3.18 2.62 3 3 2 1 0 1 0 2.96 2.16 1.27 0.48 0.37 0.39 0.19 13 12 13 8 3 9 5 14.14 14.04 11.27 5.78 6.14 8.81 5.80 45 35 26 10 18 14 8 45.34 40.15 28.72 13.13 12.45 15.92 9.35 2 4 1 0 1 0 1 2.81 2.66 2.03 0.99 1.01 1.38 0.86 0.11 0.07 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.38 0.26 0.25 0.52 0.42 0.76 0 2 0 0.18 0.23 0.13 3 5 2 5 3 4 5.77 6.20 2.82 1 0.10 2 0.18 0.12 0.18 1 2 4 3.14 3.77 1.92 1.38 2.20 1.35 1.84 4 1 1 0 1 0 2.56 3.34 1.85 1.43 2.51 1.68 2.48 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 34 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 1.82 3 0 1 2.59 1.42 1.73 _ _ _ _ Appendix Table 1 (e) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs Exp - IIIN Obs Exp - Obs IIIM Exp Obs - IV Exp V Obs Exp - Obs Exp - All births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 93 322 136 87.01 308.38 139.98 12 44 22 14.12 37.46 15.01 15 13 6 14.50 24.44 8.73 7 23 11 7.43 32.24 9.00 0 11 4 3.92 10.57 6.28 0 1 0 0.00 0.92 0.00 20-34 55 1 535.38 78 66.59 34 47.67 41 48.67 15 20.78 1 0.92 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 15 44 23 13.15 42.42 18.16 208 528 290 220.95 530.35 297.29 37 55 30 32.58 51.01 22.97 36 48 15 27.17 50.07 23.57 13 14 18 16.13 14.88 13.87 2 1 0 1.02 1.28 0.00 20-34 82 73.73 1026 1048.60 122 106.56 99 100.81 45 44.88 3 2.30 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 21 32 14 18.05 37.41 13.89 76 108 47 66.24 96.61 51.28 208 326 165 225.40 324.24 160.85 37 24 15 31.00 25.39 13.93 19 17 11 19.51 22.89 11.56 0 0 0 0.80 0.37 0.00 20-34 67 69.35 231 214.13 699 710.49 76 70.32 47 53.96 0 1.17 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 8 16 6 7.24 9.91 4.29 60 74 28 42.84 64.25 21.27 22 32 5 17.28 22.40 5.28 689 894 479 699.95 918.31 490.19 80 85 51 84.28 77.35 46.82 16 9 16 23.43 17.75 17.14 20-34 30 21.43 162 128.37 59 44.95 2062 2108.44 216 208.45 41 58.32 20-24 25-29 30-34 3 5 7 3.82 3.98 3.68 16 27 24 17.04 21.42 14.73 15 25 10 13.53 16.25 7.81 106 69 63 110.25 81.01 65.99 194 170 156 182.96 176.17 165.07 19 16 9 25.38 13.18 11.74 20-34 15 11.48 67 53.19 50 37.58 238 257.25 520 524.19 44 50.30 1 IV V 20-24 25-29 30-34 1 2 0.56 0.32 0.22 2 8 4 2.17 4.50 2.84 7 2 4 3.75 0.56 1.12 46 41 19 46.26 34.92 15.87 32 27 17 34.36 26.06 15.61 43 36 12 43.90 48.63 22.35 20-34 4 1.10 14 9.52 13 5.43 106 97.04 76 76.03 91 1114.88 35 Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 (e) Resident in the South East Social Class I a t Census *0 600 600 400 400 .r - c, - c, z z 100 200- - n m o m E v - urn W O m v .C 7 v - + ; - -T -a 1 A 100 .r v w . h A. 50 - 25 25 - 10 10 - 5 5- m 73 m S =1 Social Class IIIN a t Census Social Class IIIM a t Census 600 400 1 * L 21 50 urn cn- O W .rv U m U E m L) i? 10 5 Social Class IV a t Census GO0 c 0 Social Class V a t Census - 600 400- 400 .r c, I 200- h r *; c, =,loo .r 7 .L no v m E m u rn m a J 70 .r v 2 + T * c 0 L ¶? r 7 + * :1, 5025- m 73 c m 2 1 10- 10 5-' 5 I I , I I1 I I I N IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d C o b s e r v e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = ZExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s 36 -I- x 100 ' . I . Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (f) South West Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp - Obs - Exp IIIN Obs - IV Obs IIIM Exp - Obs ~ Exp p V Exp Obs ~ Exp ~ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 7 3 4 3 2 3 2.12 6.34 2.10 2.76 2.72 1.99 2.58 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.20 0.70 0.28 0.43 0.50 0.44 0.67 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0.31 0.97 0.34 0.46 0.47 0.36 0.49 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.39 0.61 0.49 0.59 0.75 0.84 0.47 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.30 0.74 0.20 0.22 0.18 0.11 0.12 0.08 0.24 0.09 0.12 0.13 0.10 0.14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11 12 9 12 9 13 8 9.78 13.30 9.42 9.93 11.09 10.83 5.28 1 2 1 0 3 1 0 1.16 1.70 1.30 1.48 1.78 1.87 0.98 1.06 1.50 1.12 1.23 1.44 1.47 0.75 0.57 0.83 0.64 0.73 0.88 0.93 0.49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.32 0.28 0.83 0.54 0.66 0.73 0.44 1.44 1.19 3.30 2.03 2.35 2.45 1.39 12 7 16 8 9.69 6.38 14.02 6.85 6.31 5.22 2.35 0.82 0.64 1.67 0.96 1.05 1.03 0.55 0.64 0.47 1.13 0.61 0.62 0.56 0.28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.15 0.21 0.29 0.19 0.24 0.46 0.31 0.83 1.19 1.69 1.14 1.42 2.76 1.93 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.46 0.60 0.77 0.47 0.54 0.95 0.60 33.97 35.66 37.05 18.25 16.70 23.76 12.16 2.75 3.35 4.04 2.31 2.45 4.04 2.40 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.85 1.00 1.16 0.64 0.65 1.04 0.59 0.06 0.13 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.21 0.43 0.83 0.60 0.71 0.59 0.48 0.63 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0.62 0.97 0.56 0.52 0.35 0.22 0.23 0.14 0.07 0.12 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.20 0.11 0.20 0.06 0.09 0.13 0.14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 I1 5 6 3 1 33 35 33 20 19 28 13 0 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3.42 6.24 4.19 4.58 3.54 2.67 3.24 11 14 9 5 5 4 3 8.61 13.30 7.55 7.00 4.59 2.93 3.02 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.87 1.53 0.99 1.04 0.78 0.56 0.66 2.40 1.30 2.45 0.75 1.19 1.68 1.76 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 1.87 1.00 1.84 0.55 0.86 1.18 1.21 1 2 4 0 1 1 1 3.31 1.50 2.37 0.61 0.81 0.95 0.83 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 2 1 1 3 1 37 ~ Appendix Table 1 ( f ) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp I1 Obs Exp IIIN Obs Exp IIIM Obs Exp IV Obs Exp V Obs Exp Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 5 12 8 10 5 4 3 5.49 11.56 6.05 7.39 4.33 2.81 2.72 1 0 0 0 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 2 1 2 1 0 1 2 0 1 0.51 1.12 0.62 0.79 0.49 0.33 0.34 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.20 0.41 0.21 0.25 0.14 0.09 0.09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 1.31 2.27 1.49 2.12 0.86 0.84 0.41 1 1 3 4 1 1 0 1.07 2.00 1.42 2.18 0.95 1.01 0.53 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0.41 0.69 0.44 0.61 0.24 0.23 0.11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.01 1.75 1.85 2.17 2.48 3.51 1.79 2.77 13.10 10.20 8.77 7.37 7.67 2.87 3.27 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 0.38 0.43 0.53 0.64 0.97 0.52 0.86 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0.77 0.65 0.61 0.55 0.62 0.25 0.31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.09 0 1 0 0.61 0.75 0.71 0.49 0.41 0.28 0.15 0 0 0 0.43 1.06 0.65 0.94 0.65 0.49 0.56 0.35 0.81 0.46 0.61 0.38 0.27 0.28 1 2 0 0 1 0.80 1.57 1.16 1.88 0.86 0.96 0.53 15 22 12 21 10 11 3 13.39 23.41 15.46 22.17 9.06 8.94 4.41 0.91 0.87 0.92 0.94 1.23 0.57 0.80 1 1 2 3 5 1 2 0 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 I 0 0 0 2 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.17 0.27 0.33 0.29 0.33 0.29 0.21 1.23 1.89 2.26 1.93 2.03 1.72 1.19 0.48 0.71 0.81 0.67 0.68 0.55 0.37 30 38 41 26 22 12 10 31.55 38.67 36.94 25.32 21.36 14.47 8.02 4 4 1 4 4 3 0 1.95 2.71 2.94 2.29 2.19 1.69 1.06 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.12 0.16 0.14 0.16 0.20 0.17 0.16 1.02 1.15 0.88 0.90 0.96 0.71 0.57 0.99 1.02 0.72 0.67 0.66 0.44 0.33 6 4 2 4 3 0 3 4.20 4.58 3.43 3.40 3.54 2.52 1.97 18 14 8 4 5 7 1 16.89 14.29 8.25 6.32 5.10 2.80 1.70 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.06 1 3 3 1 1 0 0 2.28 1.95 2.40 0.97 1.04 0.74 1.17 4 2 0 1 2 0 1 2.07 1.62 1.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.81 0.58 0.55 0.54 0.37 0.28 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 38 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0.28 0.25 0.31 0.13 0.14 0.10 0.16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.68 0.67 0.43 0.63 4 2 4.25 3.17 3.43 1.21 1.14 0.71 0.98 Appendix Table 1 (f) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I I1 _ _ _ IIIN~ Obs Exp Obs Exp Obs - Exp - IIIM Obs IV Exp Obs - Exp V Obs - Exp - Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 6 7 4 0 1 2 3.99 4.77 7.09 4.66 0.00 0.74 1.43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0.44 0.75 0.56 0.00 1.11 0.25 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.14 0.21 0.41 0.34 0.00 0.09 0.22 0 1 7 14 7 7 3 3 3 8.88 15.22 7.95 6.30 2.34 3.08 3.01 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 0.73 1.22 0.62 0.48 0.17 0.22 0.21 5.14 11.85 3.27 5.46 2.22 1.99 1.32 1 1 0 0.33 0.34 0.44 0.25 0.00 0.03 0.05 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0.21 0.23 0.31 0.19 0.00 0.02 0.04 0 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 1.09 0.61 0.52 0.21 0.30 0.32 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 0.28 0.55 0.34 0.32 0.14 0.21 0.25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.32 0.85 0.28 0.54 0.25 0.27 0.21 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.36 0.84 0.24 0.40 0.16 0.15 0.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.22 0.27 0.19 0.17 0.04 0.06 0.06 24 24 19 15 4 5 6 20.98 24.96 17.74 15.71 4.03 5.47 5.27 0 4 1 1 1 0 1 1.37 1.91 1.60 1.67 0.50 0.80 0.91 0 0 0 1 0 0.73 0.87 0.62 0.55 0.14 0.19 0.19 3 3 2 0 2 3 0 2.91 1.59 1.96 1.58 1.12 1.47 0.92 9 3 6 4 2 1 3 9.34 4.53 4.99 3.58 2.26 2.65 1.48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.58 0.30 0.35 0.27 0.18 0.23 0.14 2 1 0 1 0 0 0.64 1.19 0.79 1.16 0.63 1.01 1.06 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0.79 1.35 0.82 1.10 0.55 0.81 0.79 1 2 2 2 1 3 2 1.44 2.21 1.21 1.45 0.65 0.85 0.74 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0.53 0.92 0.48 0.39 0.15 0.19 0.19 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0.37 0.95 0.29 0.53 0.24 0.12 0.17 1 2 1 2 0 3 1 0.81 2.50 0.93 2.07 1.13 1.35 1.20 5 12 4 5 4 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 0.22 0.16 0.14 0.03 0.05 0.04 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 0.51 0.77 0.69 0.77 0.25 0.43 0.53 0 0 0 0 0 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.22 0.10 0.11 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.03 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.34 0.23 0.36 0.36 0.32 0.53 0.41 1 0 2 0 0 0 0.61 0.24 0.22 0.13 0.07 0.06 0.03 1971 1972 1973 0 0 0 1974 0 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0.06 0.14 0.11 0.20 0.13 0.25 0.33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.04 0.07 0.08 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 V 0 39 Appendix Table 1 (f) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp - I1 Obs Exp - IIIN Obs Exp - IIIM Obs Exp - IV Obs V Exp - Obs Exp ~ All births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 24 47 22 20.61 40.35 22.69 2 1 0 3.22 4.79 2.44 3 1 1 3.40 3.16 1.42 1 5 2 1.86 4.19 1.44 0.91 1.39 1.01 0 0 0 0.00 0.12 0.00 20-34 93 83.65 3 10.45 5 7.98 8 7.49 3.31 0 0.12 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 4 7 1 4.14 7.75 2.85 74 94 8 10 6 10.26 9.31 3.64 8 11 3 8.56 9.16 3.63 4 4 5 5.08 2.71 2.09 0 44 69.63 96.83 46.77 0 0 0.32 0.23 0.00 20-34 12 14.74 212 213.24 24 23.22 22 21.35 13 9.88 0 0.55 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 3.80 6.23 2.68 8 15 10 14.15 16.31 9.99 57 50 32 50.82 53.25 31.26 5 10 3 6.72 4.33 2.71 9 4 2 4.30 3.77 2.25 0 0 0 0.20 0.09 0.00 20-34 12.71 33 40.45 139 135.33 18 13.76 15 10.32 0 0.29 20224 25-29 30-34 1.85 1.88 0.82 13 11 5 10.96 12.26 3.94 3 2 0 4.39 4.28 1.01 181 179 97 177.55 176.35 94.16 22 20 8 21.33 14.82 8.77 1 1 2 5.93 3.41 3.29 20-34 4.56 29 27.16 5 9.68 457 448.06 50 44.92 4 12.63 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.94 1.10 0.64 4 8 2 4.27 6.19 2.57 3 4 4 3.47 4.83 1.36 29 22 13 27.88 23.63 11.53 51 57 28 46.44 55.35 28.84 0 2 0 6.44 3.90 2.05 20-34 2.69 14 13.04 11 9.66 64 63.04 136 131.18 3 12.39 IIIM IV v 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.13 0.10 0.07 0.53 1.36 1.22 1 0 0 0.93 0.16 0.46 14 9 4 11.54 10.54 6.48 7 10 4 8.50 7.94 6.21 10 14 13 10.38 14.89 8.56 20-34 0.31 3.10 1 1.55 27 28.56 21 22.65 37 33.83 40 Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 *0 600 7 600 - 400- 400 - 200- 200 - .r c, I -U h .r T T aJ--ol n5 o v EIn 50 urn I - 2 ? ; * 25- m : 50- .1- W O In- .r v T 100 - .r ? I j - - -I L L . I t A A. 25 -, I U S m =: 10- 5- l 50 1 L Social Class I I I M a t Census 600 - 400- c0 .r c, m 200- h L) - - .r 1 -01 .r 7* 'iI : 100 n m o E m v urn 50- - l - i * I L I W -O m .r v U L m 25- U E: m c, V, 10- 5-1 Social Class IV a t Census c0 .r Social Class V a t Census GO0 600 7 4001 400 - 200 - c, m L h c, .r - - r T + 100 -aJ .r 7 n m E m o u 50 u r n - * I I a I 4 . W O In- .- v 25- U L m u S l.Am 10- Ln 5 J 5- -L I I I I I 1 I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h of c h i l d Cobserved number o f t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = XExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s x 100 41 Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (9) West Midlands Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs IIIN Exp Obs IIIM Exp ~ Obs V IV Exp Obs Exp Obs Exp ~ ~ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 5 1 4 4 1 5 2 4.23 2.82 4.90 4.15 2.72 5.31 3.23 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 0.40 0.31 0.64 0.65 0.50 1.16 0.84 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 0.62 0.43 0.78 0.69 0.47 0.96 0.61 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0.60 0.33 0.47 0.33 0.18 0.29 0.15 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.15 0.11 0.20 0.19 0.13 0.28 0.18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 0 2 0 0 0.39 0.37 0.60 0.51 0.56 0.68 0.64 11 8 10 11 9 9 8 9.78 8.13 11.59 8.51 8.32 8.80 7.26 0 1 3 1 2 1 1 1.16 1.04 1.60 1.26 1.33 1.52 1.35 1 2 0 0 1 0 1.06 0.92 1.37 1.05 1.08 1.19 1.03 1 0 0.57 0.51 0.79 0.63 0.66 0.76 0.68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 2 1 4 3 4 4 0 1.55 1.33 2.83 4.06 2.99 3.68 1.94 10 8 8 14 9 6 5 10.44 7.09 12.02 13.69 8.03 7.84 3.29 1 0 2 3 1 2 1 0.89 0.71 1.43 1.93 1.34 1.54 0.77 0 1 3 1 0 1 1 0.69 0.52 0.97 1.21 0.78 0.84 0.39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 1 0 2 0 0.35 0.32 0.71 1.08 0.84 1.09 0.61 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0.20 0.43 0.40 0.64 0.49 0.48 0.66 1 2 0 2 2 0 3 1.13 2.46 2.29 3.75 2.91 2.93 4.08 0 2 1 2 0 0 1 0.62 1.24 1.04 1.56 1.10 1.01 1.28 49 74 47 56 33 29 26 46.16 73.87 50.23 60.31 34.16 25.20 25.67 3 7 9 14 7 5 6 3.73 6.93 5.47 7.62 5.01 4.29 5.07 0 2 2 2 2 1 1 1.16 2.07 1.57 2.11 1.33 1.10 1.25 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.11 0.25 0.17 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.34 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 0.85 1.63 0.95 1.27 1.07 0.89 1.02 0 3 0 3 0 0 0 1.23 1.89 0.88 0.93 0.62 0.42 0.38 11 14 10 7 9 8 4 6.84 12.21 6.58 8.17 6.38 4.95 5.27 17 22 8 14 5 5 5 17.21 26.01 11.87 12.50 8.26 5.43 4.90 0 5 2 1 2 0 4 1.74 3.00 1.56 1.86 1.40 1.05 1.08 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.08 0.03 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 4 4 2 0 1 3 2 3.31 4.56 2.81 0.75 1.59 2.51 1.32 2.58 3.48 2.10 0.55 1.14 1.77 0.91 5 4 2 1 2 3 0.00 0.28 0.38 0.23 0.06 0.13 0.20 0.10 2 6 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.19 0.24 0.13 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.04 4.55 5.26 2.71 0.61 1.08 1.42 0.63 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 42 1 0 0 0 1 0 Appendix Table 1 ( 9 ) continued Social class at Census and year of birth Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs Exp Obs IIIN Exp Obs IIIM Exp Ohs IV Exp Ohs V Exp Obs EXD Married men uged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 7 16 9 7 6 9 6 8.63 15.42 12.85 7.39 6.49 9.12 6.80 0 1 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 1 2 3 0 1 1 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 2 1 2 0 0.67 1.42 1.39 0.94 0.97 1.60 1.41 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0.56 1.08 0.97 0.61 0.58 0.88 0.71 3 2 4 0 2 2 1 0.80 1.49 1.31 0.79 0.73 1.08 0.85 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0.31 0.54 0.44 0.25 0.22 0.30 0.22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 1.36 1.99 1.28 1.88 1.29 1.43 0.79 23 30 19 20 15 14 6 22.83 29.66 17.00 22.17 13.59 13.42 6.61 3 3 1 4 0 0 1 0 0.69 0.87 0.48 0.61 0.36 0.34 0.16 0 0 5 1 2 1 1.82 2.53 1.56 2.18 1.43 1.51 0.80 0 0 1 2.23 2.88 1.64 2.12 1.29 1.27 0.62 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.07 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.02 1 3 1 3 3 3 1 1.12 1.55 1.28 1.50 1.58 0.94 1.19 3 3 2 0 3 3 4 2.16 3.31 3.00 3.92 4.51 2.98 4.15 16 16 14 16 11 4 7 16.18 18.22 12.15 11.67 9.86 4.78 4.90 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.47 0.76 0.73 1.02 1.24 0.87 1.29 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 0.95 1.16 0.84 0.88 0.80 0.42 0.47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.34 0.61 0.62 0.49 0.54 0.70 0.52 1 4 8 4 3 3 4 2.57 4.37 4.26 3.24 3.39 4.16 2.92 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1.01 1.64 1.54 1.13 1.13 1.34 0.90 67 92 71 43 38 37 18 65.74 89.38 69.69 42.48 35.60 35.04 19.68 4 5 2 4 3 4 3 4.06 6.26 5.54 3.84 3.65 4.08 2.60 1 2 2 0 0 1 1 1.28 1.74 1.34 0.82 0.68 0.67 0.38 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.17 0.24 0.27 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.22 1 2 0 2 3 2 1 1.44 1.77 1.70 2.03 1.67 1.41 0.80 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1.40 1.58 1.39 1.51 1.14 0.88 0.46 5 9 13 10 6 6 3 5.94 7.09 6.61 7.64 6.11 5.03 2.76 28 21 13 14 8 5 3 23.93 22.08 15.92 14.23 8.80 5.60 2.38 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1.10 1.25 1.12 1.23 0.94 0.74 0.39 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.38 0.32 0.27 0.29 0.09 0.25 0.21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.07 1 3 3 3 0 3 2 3.04 2.50 2.10 2.26 0.69 1.84 1.56 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 2.76 2.08 1.61 1.59 0.45 1.09 0.84 8 3 2 2 1 1 1 5.67 4.08 3.00 2.83 0.76 1.77 1.31 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 43 Appendix Table 1 (g) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child IIIN I1 I Obs Exp Obs Exp Obs IIIM Exp Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 ~~~~~~~~~~~~ Married men aged 30-34 I 0 0.45 0.40 0.34 0.19 0.21 0.14 0.03 0.10 0 0.26 0.23 0.14 0.15 0.11 0.02 0.08 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1.46 1.41 0.86 0.71 0.51 0.33 0.53 1.18 1.26 0.86 0.78 0.63 0.44 0.79 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0.55 0.64 0.48 0.48 0.41 0.32 0.62 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.16 2.21 2.04 0.92 0.56 1.02 0.80 7 7 7 4 1 1 0 7.34 10.46 7.20 2.43 1.11 1.49 0.88 0.45 0.75 0.61 0.24 0.13 0.20 0.14 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.52 0.74 0.52 0.18 0.08 0.11 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.70 1.32 1.08 1.50 1.15 1.11 1.28 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.30 0.46 0.30 0.33 0.20 0.15 0.14 28.85 43.03 27.88 30.58 18.52 14.06 12.81 3 4 4 2 4 1 3 1.88 3.30 2.52 3.24 2.31 2.06 2.21 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1.01 1.51 0.97 1.07 0.65 0.49 0.45 3.12 5.66 4.16 2.89 2.51 1.47 1.53 13 15 10 6 7 3 3 10.00 16.19 10.61 6.57 5.09 2.65 2.46 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0.62 1.07 0.75 0.50 0.41 0.23 0.23 1.49 1.43 3.70 1.74 0.94 0.67 1.06 1 1 4 3 0 0 0 1.83 1.62 3.84 1.66 0.82 0.54 0.79 4 3 8 1 2 1 2 3.37 2.66 5.64 2.18 0.97 0.57 0.74 0 0 0 0.17 0.21 0.18 0.29 0.29 0 0.09 1 0.39 0.44 0.33 0.47 0.41 0.11 0.50 2 1.06 1.06 0.68 0.58 0.44 0.29 0.48 18 17 11 9 6 4 8 17.75 17.63 11.12 9.45 7.01 4.61 7.54 0.53 0.84 0.64 0.24 0.12 0.09 0.12 3 3 1 0 1 1 1 0.26 0.38 0.24 0.27 0.16 0.12 0.11 0 0 1 1 2 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 4.79 4.77 3.15 3.89 3.05 0.74 2.86 1 0 1 0 1 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 29 45 27 33 17 15 13 IV 0.24 0.37 0.24 0.14 0.11 0.05 0.05 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.65 0.87 0.47 0.24 0.15 0.06 0.05 0.37 0.84 0.77 0.67 0.73 0.53 0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.14 0.16 0.52 0.30 0.20 0.17 0.33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.10 0.26 0.12 0.07 0.05 0.08 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 Appendix Table 1 (g) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I IIIN I1 Obs _ Exp _ _ Obs Exp _ . _ I IV IIIM V Obs -___- All births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 22 60 22 27.35 66.71 23.25 6 7 4 4.50 8.40 2.67 7 5 3 4.57 5.38 1.68 3 14 1 2.34 7.05 1.41 2 4 0 1.24 2.28 1.00 0 0 0 0.00 0.20 0.00 20-34 104 117.31 17 15.56 15 11.62 18 10.79 6 4.52 0 0.20 20-24 25-29 30-34 6 10 4 3.76 10.03 4.59 66 127 73 62.39 125.28 75.11 9 10 4 9.27 12.05 5.82 4 15 10 7.70 11.83 5.94 3 1 4 4.59 3.51 3.50 0 0 0 0.29 0.30 0.00 20-34 20 18.37 266 262.78 23 27.13 29 25.48 8 11.60 0 0.59 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 5 15 4 5.00 9.16 2.57 18 18 10 18.37 24.04 8.70 60 84 27 62.39 77.76 30.91 10 2 5 8.60 6.39 2.52 7 4 1 5.41 5.52 2.21 0 0 0 0.22 0.12 0.00 20-34 24 16.72 46 51.11 171 171.07 17 17.51 12 13.14 0 0.34 20-24 25-29 30-34 4 2 2 3.30 3.84 1.53 10 27 4 19.55 24.91 8.14 6 5 2 7.84 8.69 1.90 314 366 179 315.60 357.61 175.74 51 25 21 38.12 30.03 17.54 10 7 3 10.59 6.91 6.15 20-34 8 8.67 41 52.60 13 18.42 859 848.95 97 85.69 20 23.64 20-24 25-29 30-34 1 1 0 1.67 1.95 1.19 4 11 0 7.68 10.82 4.59 6 3 1 6.36 8.35 2.49 63 52 27 50.41 41.18 21.34 76 92 57 86.20 92.94 53.58 14 3 2 11.69 6.76 3.81 20-34 2 4.81 15 23.09 10 17.21 142 112.93 225 232.71 19 22.25 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 0 0 0.22 0.14 0.15 0.80 1.81 1.81 1 0 0 1.37 0.23 0.78 16 15 11 16.85 14.00 11.04 14 13 9 12.52 10.42 11.10 17 18 21 16.25 19.41 16.12 20-34 0 0.51 4.41 1 2.38 42 41.88 36 34.04 56 51.78 I1 IIIM IV V 45 Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 (9) Resident in the West Midlands S o c i a l C l a s s I a t Census S o c i a l C l a s s I 1 a t Census 6007 5 J l 50 1 GO0 6007 400- 400 7 200- - ~ - * 100 I A - urn I + -I 50- .rv - ?- * T I T ? * 25- U m S =I 10- 10 5- -, S o c i a l C l a s s V a t Census S o c i a l C l a s s I V a t Census GO0 GO07 400- * h -4 .r h A 100 .r ,-- a E m W Ln- U a 50- - O ' 25 - - -r ? i 50 - - 25- I - - - I L - I I I 100 T I n m o u urn 200 & t m U t: m 10- 5-1 r I I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V S o c i a l Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d I I I I C o b s e r v e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s * S t a n d a r d i s e d mobi 1 it y r a t i o = X E x p e c t e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s 46 I I I I1 I 1 I I I N IIIM IV V S o c i a l Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d -r x 100 ' A Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (h) North West Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs ~ I1 Exp ~ Obs ~ IIIN Exp _ IIIM Exp Obs _ _ ~ IV Exp Obs _ Obs _ _ Exp ~ V Obs Exp _ _ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 _ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 4 4 2 7 3 3 6 4.23 3.52 3.50 6.22 4.75 3.32 5.17 1 1 1 1 2 1 0.40 0.39 0.46 0.97 0.88 0.73 1.34 8 18 13 16 12 9 5 6.77 16.99 18.83 14.89 14.56 9.48 5.28 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0.60 0.41 0.34 0.50 0.31 0.18 0.23 0.81 2.18 2.60 2.21 2.33 1.63 0.98 1 1 4 3 2 2 0 0.73 1.92 2.23 1.84 1.89 1.28 0.75 0.39 1.06 1.28 1.10 1.16 0.82 0.49 1 0 0 0.76 1.64 1.03 1.49 2 1.34 0 0 1.34 0.77 0.60 1.19 0.70 0.94 0.78 0.73 0.39 6.27 7.73 7.71 5.32 5.01 5.88 3.60 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.27 0.78 0.98 0.89 0.99 0.73 0.47 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.30 0.72 0.51 0.83 0.84 0.95 0.61 1.33 3.05 2.04 3.13 2.99 3.19 1.94 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.34 0.48 0.56 0.45 0.49 0.66 0.47 1.90 2.75 3.23 2.62 2.91 4.02 2.90 1.04 1.38 1.47 1.09 1.10 1.38 0.91 82 83 72 42 32 33 20 77.52 82.36 70.81 42.06 34.16 34.56 18.24 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.12 0.21 0.20 0.28 0.28 0.32 0.29 0.91 1.38 1.12 1.32 1.12 1.10 0.86 1.32 1.60 1.03 0.97 0.66 0.51 0.32 5 13 7 6 8 3 3 7.33 10.31 7.77 8.50 6.73 6.09 4.46 21 18 15 17 7 7 6.91 6.85 8.07 5.99 4.77 3.77 3.52 9 15 11 13 10 9 5 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.28 0.23 0.17 0.29 0.62 0.54 0.56 1.04 0.82 0.60 0.97 8.95 16.31 8.68 10.58 8.03 6.79 3.29 2 0.02 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.03 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.09 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 IIIM 1.94 2.31 2.22 1.47 1.33 1.51 0.89 5 18.44 21.97 14.03 12.99 8.72 6.69 4.15 1 3 1 1 0 3 1 1.87 2.53 1.84 1.94 1.48 1.29 0.91 4 5 4 3 4 3 1 5.39 5.23 6.03 4.39 3.42 2.65 2.42 10 8 11 2 6 2 2 9.51 7.89 7.78 4.84 3.23 2.14 1.67 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.22 0.12 0.08 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.39 0.36 0.39 0.26 0.19 0.14 0.12 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.58 0.56 0.66 0.48 0.38 0.29 0.27 9 7 7 11 2 3 5 47 ~ Appendix Table 1 (h) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs Exp IIIN Obs - Exp Obs - Exp IIIM Obs - IV Exp Obs - Exp V Obs - Exp - Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 21 8 14 11 5 8 5 18.84 12.34 18.89 8.87 5.77 7.02 4.76 1 3 5 1 0 0 0 1.47 1.13 2.04 1.13 0.86 1.23 0.98 2 3 3 0 2 0 1 1.21 1.86 1.43 0.73 0.51 0.68 0.50 1.74 1.20 1.92 0.95 0.65 0.83 0.59 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.67 0.43 0.65 0.30 0.19 0.23 0.15 0 0 0 0 0 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 1 3 2 1 1 2 1.13 2.67 1.98 2.33 1.80 1.27 1.32 19 41 26 32 20 13 12 18.90 39.80 26.28 27.52 18.88 11.92 11.02 2 4 2 0 2 2 1 1.85 3.87 2.53 2.63 1.79 1.12 1.03 1.51 3.40 2.41 2.70 1.99 1.34 1.33 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0.57 1.17 0.74 0.75 0.50 0.30 0.27 0 1 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 4 3 5 0 0 2 1.49 2.17 1.63 2.12 1.40 0.94 1.19 1 7 5 6 5 4 6 2.88 4.63 3.84 5.58 4.01 2.98 4.15 22 24 12 14 7 3 3 21.58 25.50 15.52 16.58 8.77 4.78 4.90 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 1 1 0.62 1.07 0.94 1.45 1.11 0.87 1.29 0 1.27 1.62 1.07 1.24 0.71 0.42 0.47 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0.37 0.65 0.59 0.60 0.57 0.75 0.69 3 4 3 7 3 1 1 2.78 4.62 4.00 3.92 3.54 4.43 3.89 0 3 3 1 2 3 0 1.09 1.74 1.44 1.37 1.18 1.43 1.20 73 93 65 51 35 41 29 71.00 94.53 65.49 51.46 37.18 37.33 26.24 5 6 3 3 6 4 3 4.38 6.62 5.21 4.65 3.81 4.35 3.47 0 4 3 0 1 0 2 1.38 1.84 1.26 1.oo 0.71 0.72 0.50 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.12 0.31 0.23 0.31 0.40 0.27 0.57 0 4 1 1 1 0 1 0.98 2.24 1.45 1.73 1.93 1.11 2.05 0 2 1 1 2 1 1 0.95 2.00 1.18 1.29 1.32 0.69 1.17 5 6 7 7 9 7 8 4.02 8.96 5.63 6.51 7.08 3.95 7.10 18 29 13 11 8 3 7 16.19 27.92 13.56 12.12 10.19 4.40 6.12 0 2 1 3 1 0 0 0.75 1.58 0.95 1.05 1.09 0.58 0.99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 1 0 0.16 0.56 0.54 0.42 0.37 0.15 0.16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.06 0 5 5 3 2 0 1 1.27 4.45 4.20 3.23 2.76 1.10 1.17 1 3 2 1 3 0 1.15 3.71 3.21 2.27 1.78 0.65 0.63 4 8 6 6 3 2.36 7.26 6.00 4.04 3.03 1.06 0.98 0 2 2 0 1 2 1 0 4 1 1 2 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.04 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.15 0.00 0.00 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 48 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 ~ Appendix Table 1 (h) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs Exp Obs IIIN Exp IIIM IV Obs Exp 0 1 0 0.36 0.46 0.50 0.46 0.22 0.18 0.11 0.86 0.74 0.54 0.33 0.11 0.06 0.02 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 Obs Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp 0.56 0.50 0.38 0.25 0.08 0.05 0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 10.38 10.34 8.67 6.22 2.28 1.48 0.72 0 2 1 0 0 0 0.85 0.96 0.92 0.75 0.31 0.23 0.13 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.06 0.82 0.87 0.68 0.39 0.53 0.29 17 16 13 11 8 10 5 17.75 13.62 14.30 11.02 6.23 8.46 4.52 0 3 1 0 1 0 1.46 1.09 1.11 0.83 0.46 0.61 0.32 1.18 0.97 1.10 0.92 0.56 0.82 0.47 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.55 0.50 0.61 0.55 0.37 0.59 0.37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.69 0.78 0.81 0.53 0.54 0.15 0.35 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 1.50 2.06 2.59 2.07 2.53 1.69 2.40 8 10 10 4 3 1 4 9.55 9.76 9.17 5.46 4.99 2.49 2.64 0.59 0.70 0.77 0.54 0.57 0.33 0.41 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.67 0.69 0.66 0.40 0.37 0.19 0.20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.37 0.30 0.21 0.12 0.11 0.05 2 3 1 0 2 3 0 1.48 1.29 1.34 1.18 0.90 1.05 0.60 0.64 0.45 0.37 0.26 0.16 0.15 0.07 62 43 36 22 12 13 6 61.19 42.17 34.64 23.97 14.50 13.28 6.03 0.49 0.33 0.32 0.19 0.14 0.13 0.08 0.76 0.74 1.04 0.91 0.97 1.27 1.10 1.35 0.77 0.63 0.32 0.20 0.15 0.08 6 4 6 6.45 4.98 5.63 3.94 3.35 3.52 2.44 0.11 0.02 0.02 0.24 0.11 0.22 0.35 0.13 0.34 0.33 0.18 0.07 0.11 0.14 0.04 0.10 0.08 0 1 0 0 1 1 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 5 3 3 1 2.56 0.95 1.59 2.03 0.63 1.34 1.06 23 16 14 8 8 8 5 3.99 3.23 3.13 2.54 1.81 1.95 1.04 2.14 1.47 1.21 0.84 0.51 0.47 0.21 20.67 14.25 14.36 8.96 6.79 6.37 3.94 1.28 0.94 1.02 0.68 0.55 0.55 0.36 3.14 1.08 1.65 1.93 0.55 1.08 0.79 5.77 1.77 2.42 2.54 0.65 1.14 0.74 49 Appendix Table 1 (h) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp I1 Obs IIIN Ohs IIIM ~~ Exp Exp Obs Exp IV Ohs Exp V Ohs Exp -----------All birrhs 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 29 72 41 30.71 76.49 40.08 7 10 3 5.16 8.85 4.14 20-34 142 147.28 20 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 6 12 3 5.10 12.49 4.64 20-34 21 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 20-34 6 11 3 5.16 5.92 2.29 3 8 2 2.57 7.88 2.65 0 1 2 1.40 2.63 1.84 0.00 0.24 0.00 18.15 20 13.36 13 13.10 3 5.88 0.24 81 163 80 86.81 154.31 75.91 12 13 6 12.74 14.83 5.87 13 8 6 10.65 14.68 6.02 10 4 1 6.30 4.31 3.54 0.40 0.37 0.00 22.23 324 317.03 31 33.43 27 31.35 15 14.16 0.77 2 16 7 4.77 10.96 3.85 16 34 19 17.68 28.06 14.86 72 85 40 62.62 97.63 44.05 5 10 2 8.36 7.35 3.92 3 5 2 5.33 6.82 3.17 0.24 0.15 0.00 25 19.59 69 60.60 197 204.30 17 19.63 10 15.32 0.39 20-24 25-29 30-34 5 3 1 3.45 4.21 1.72 17 22 11 20.31 27.19 7.85 6 12 4 8.36 9.45 2.10 364 387 194 359.71 383.24 195.78 31 30 18 41.52 32.49 17.70 22 10 4 11.60 7.41 6.84 20-34 9 9.37 50 55.35 22 19.91 945 938.73 79 91.71 36 25.91 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 2 2 1.70 2.19 1.68 12 8 5 7.82 11.49 6.79 7 8 2 6.42 8.59 3.51 45 49 28 51.20 43.25 30.32 90 89 82 87.00 90.50 75.33 10 7 4 11.86 6.98 5.38 20-34 6 5.56 25 26.09 17 18.52 122 124.78 261 252.83 21 24.22 20-24 25-29 30-34 1 0 0 0.46 0.06 0.16 1.85 2.35 1.71 3.23 0.27 0.72 44 16 9 39.88 18.19 10.16 24 11 12 29.52 13.40 10.22 41 31 16 37.06 24.73 15.03 20-34 1 0.68 5.92 4.22 69 68.22 47 53.14 88 76.82 5 IIIM V 50 men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 Social Class I 1 a t Census - 600 400 400- + 0 - .r w 2 - - 200- w h T .r r .r 7 a 100 n 1 m o u E m urn a -0 m 50 .rv - 600 - + * 4 . * 200- - T * 100- 1 A l - T 25 - 4 . T T * * I - r * ' A I + : * 50 + 25- m U S m =; 10- 10 - * 5- 5' Social Class IIIM a t Census 600 *0 - 400- .r 4J E 200- - h ? .w -a100 1 .r r n m A L T 2 urn ? I : o u E m - I * * 50- I m a 0r .C y v A. 25- m U S m =: 10- 5 5- J Social Class V a t Census Social Class IV a t Census GO0 - GO0 7 400 400- + - 0 .r c, 2 200- c h , 7 I .r 7 t o v I .r h ,... a, 100 n m E m m m 50- W O m 7 .rv y T I 200 - - 6 r - - - I 100 * I A T T * * * A I 50 - 6 L * 25- 25- 10- 10- 5- 5- m D CJ E z ZObserved number o f t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = XExpected'number o f t r a n s i t i o n s -I- x + n 100 * Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s 51 Appendix Table 1 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by region of residence in 1971 (i) Wales Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp I1 Obs - Exp IIIN Obs Exp Obs 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.54 0.34 0.23 0.00 0.36 0.24 0 IIIM Exp IV Obs V Exp Obs Exp ~~~~~~~~~~~~ Married men aged 20-24 I 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.41 0.20 0.11 0.00 0.11 0.06 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.14 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.10 0.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 1 3 0 0 0 0.73 0.25 0.69 0.53 0.36 0.37 0.28 1 0 0 1 0.81 0.28 0.80 0.63 0.44 0.47 0.37 0.39 0.14 0.39 0.31 0.22 0.23 0.19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.44 0.93 0.94 1.66 1.49 1.23 1.11 3 5 4 5 2 5 2 2.98 4.96 4.01 5.60 4.02 2.61 1.88 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0.25 0.50 0.48 0.79 0.67 0.51 0.44 0 0 0 0 0.20 0.36 0.32 1 0 1 0.39 0.28 0.22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0 0 4 0 2 1 0 0.55 1.30 1.39 1.63 1.29 1.42 1.72 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0.30 0.65 0.63 0.68 0.49 0.49 0.54 26 43 30 28 16 13 12 22.65 39.06 30.47 26.19 15.18 12.24 10.81 0 2 1 1 1 I 3 1.83 3.67 3.32 3.31 2.23 2.08 2.13 0 1 1 3 i 1 1 0.57 1.09 0.95 0.91 0.59 0.53 0.53 0.05 0.07 0.17 0.14 0.16 0.10 0.21 0 1 2 0 3 0 1 0.40 0.47 0.95 0.66 0.65 0.34 0.63 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0.57 0.55 0.88 0.48 0.38 0.16 0.23 4 3 8 4 3 0 3 3.18 3.53 6.58 4.25 3.90 1.90 3.24 8 7 li 6 5 5 3 7.99 7.52 11.87 6.50 5.05 2.09 3.02 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 0.81 0.87 1.56 0.97 0.86 0.40 0.66 0.03 0.04 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.14 0.08 0.22 0.09 0.24 0.09 0.13 0.17 0 3 0 3 0 3 3 0.90 2.61 1.05 3.00 1.19 1.68 2.20 1 0.70 1.99 0.79 2.19 0.86 1.18 1.51 2 2 1 5 1 0 1 1971 1972 1973 i 974 1975 1976 1977 0 2 1 1 0 2 2 0.00 3.52 2.10 1.38 0.00 1.99 1.29 0 1 1 1 0 0 0.00 0.39 0.28 0.22 0.00 0.44 0.34 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.27 0.10 0.30 0.25 0.19 0.21 0.17 8 1 6 3 3 4 2 6.77 2.22 5.79 4.26 2.77 2.71 1.98 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0.10 0.22 0.24 0.44 0.42 0.36 0.35 0 1 2 3 2 0 1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.23 0.24 0.28 0.22 0.23 0.28 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.50 IIIM 0 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 52 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.05 2 0 0.13 0.05 0.06 0.08 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 1.24 3.00 1.02 2.42 0.81 0.95 1.04 Appendix Table 1 (i) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs IIIN Exp Obs IIIM Exp Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 ~~~~~~~~~~~~ Married men aged 2s-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3.92 4.63 4.53 1.48 1.44 3.51 4.08 1 1 2 0 0 0 2 0.31 0.42 0.49 0.19 0.22 0.62 0.84 0.25 0.32 0.34 0.12 0.13 0.34 0.43 0.36 0.45 0.46 0.16 0.16 0.41 0.51 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.05 0.05 0.12 0.13 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.56 0.89 '0.70 0.91 0.36 0.96 0.44 11 14 11 9 3 10 5 9.45 13.27 9.27 10.70 3.78 8.94 3.67 0.92 1.29 0.89 1.02 0.36 0.84 0.34 0.75 1.13 0.85 1.05 0.40 1.01 0.44 0.29 0.39 0.26 0.29 0.10 0.23 0.09 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.16 0.56 0.71 0.63 0.61 0.38 0.30 0 0 2 2 2 2 1 0.31 1.19 1.67 1.65 1.75 1.19 1.04 2.31 6.56 6.75 4.91 3.84 1.91 1.22 0.07 0.27 0.41 0.43 0.48 0.35 0.32 0.14 0.42 0.47 0.37 0.31 0.17 0.12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.11 0.22 0.25 0.20 0.30 0.14 0.19 2 3 1 3 2 1 0 0.86 1.60 1.69 1.31 1.88 0.81 1.08 0.34 0.60 0.61 0.46 0.63 0.26 0.33 21.91 32.66 27.71 17.15 19.78 6.86 7.29 1.35 2.29 2.20 1.55 2.03 0.80 0.96 2 2 1 0 1 0 0 0.43 0.63 0.53 0.33 0.38 0.13 0.14 0.06 0.09 0.14 0.11 0.11 0.07 0.22 0.47 0.63 0.88 0.60 0.53 0.30 0.80 0.45 0.56 0.72 0.45 0.36 0.19 0.46 1.92 2.50 3.43 2.26 1.93 1.08 2.76 7.74 7.79 8.25 4.22 2.78 1.20 2.38 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.25 0.23 0.21 0.18 0.15 0.21 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.07 ' IIIN 20 33 30 17 20 8 10 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.36 0.44 0.58 0.36 0.30 0.16 0.39 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 1.52 1.95 1.80 1.61 1.38 1.10 1.56 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1.38 1.62 1.38 1.13 0.89 0.65 0.84 4 5 4 3 2 1 0 2.83 3.17 2.57 2.02 1.52 1.06 1.31 53 Appendix Table 1 (i) continued Social class at Census and vear of b k h of child Social class at birth of child I Obs ___ Exp ~ I1 IIIN Obs Obs Exp Obs 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.13 0.11 0.05 0.17 0.07 0.00 0.00 IIIM Exp IV V Obs Obs -- Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 1 1 3 1 0 0 1.60 1.59 0.79 3.1 1 1.52 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.15 0.08 0.37 0.21 0.00 1 0 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.23 0.14 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.19 0.53 0.24 0.24 0.19 0.19 0.00 4 10 4 5 3 2 0 3.23 8.81 3.97 3.94 3.11 3.08 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.27 0.70 0.31 0.30 0.23 0.22 0.00 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0.21 0.63 0.31 0.33 0.28 0.30 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.27 0.22 0.41 0.24 0.12 0.06 0.06 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0.58 0.59 1.30 0.92 0.56 0.68 0.40 5 3 7 1 1 0 1 3.67 2.79 4.58 2.43 1.11 1.oo 0.44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.23 0.20 0.39 0.24 0.13 0.13 0.07 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.18 0.12 0.13 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.03 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0.49 0.42 0.56 0.24 0.50 0.68 0.38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.21 0.15 0.15 0.05 0.09 18 15 13 5 9 9 3 20.11 13.77 14.36 4.96 8.05 8.59 3.77 0 1 1 0 1 0 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.16 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.04 0.00 0.03 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.25 0.27 0.36 0.61 0.24 0.00 0.41 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.44 0.28 0.22 0.22 0.05 0.00 0.03 2 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.20 0.07 2 0 0.06 0 0.87 0 0 0 0.07 0.02 0.00 2 0 0.94 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.08 0.03 0.12 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.32 0.17 0.20 0.18 0.21 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.20 0.33 0.18 0.08 0.07 0.03 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 0 3 0 0 1 1 0.70 0.48 0.50 0.17 0.28 1 1.31 1.06 1.30 0.53 1.01 1.26 0.65 2.08 1.81 1.96 2.63 0.84 0.00 0.92 5 6 4 6 2 0 3 6.67 5.18 4.99 5.97 1.70 0.00 1.48 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0.41 0.34 0.35 0.45 0.14 0.00 0.14 0.64 2.86 1.06 0 2 1 0.79 3.23 1.10 2 9 1 1.44 5.31 1.61 1 0.83 2 1.09 0 0 0 0.82 0.27 0.00 1 1 0 0.97 0.28 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 IIIM 0 0.09 0.04 0 0 0.30 0.13 v 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.33 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.08 0.00 0 1 0 0.00 Appendix Table 1 (i) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp - Obs Exp - IIIN Obs Exp - IIIM Obs IV Exp - Obs V Exp - Obs Exp - All births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 8 22 7 10.29 23.60 8.61 4 6 0 1.65 3.09 0.94 0 1 2 1.71 1.93 0.55 1 3 2 0.89 2.51 0.53 0.46 0.80 0.38 0 0 0 0.00 0.07 0.00 20-34 37 42.49 10 5.68 3 4.19 6 3.93 1.64 0 0.07 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 1.50 4.81 1.59 27 63 28 26.50 59.08 26.14 3 4 0 3.80 5.68 2.02 4 3 4 3.20 5.64 2.05 1.88 1.65 1.19 0 1 0 0.12 0.14 0.00 20-34 7.91 118 111.73 7 11.50 11 10.89 4.71 1 0.26 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 4 1 2.13 3.35 1.37 9 9 4 7.80 8.80 5.02 26 27 18 26.06 27.50 16.02 3.64 2.33 1.38 2.28 1.99 1.15 0 0 0 0.09 0.02 0.00 20-34 7 6.85 22 21.63 71 69.58 7.35 5.41 0 0.11 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 1.58 1.42 0.64 7 12 3 9.31 9.23 3.26 3 1 0 3.78 3.23 0.79 168 138 72 156.59 133.36 73.61 9 4 4 18.57 11.18 7.11 8 6 8 5.18 2.58 2.57 20-34 3.64 22 21.81 4 7.80 378 363.56 17 36.86 22 10.33 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.91 0.79 0.58 7 3 2 4.10 4.20 2.14 4 3 2 3.26 3.18 1.23 25 24 8 26.58 15.88 10.23 45 30 26 44.03 34.36 25.99 4 4 6.12 2.58 1.84 9 10.54 20-34 2.28 12 10.44 9 7.67 57 52.70 101 104.38 1 V 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 0 0 0.11 0.07 0.11 1 3 0 0.56 1.42 0.97 3 0 0 1.01 0.20 0.47 12 12 6 12.63 10.93 6.70 6 1 4 9.22 7.90 7.04 12 19 16 10.48 14.49 10.71 20-34 0 0.28 4 2.94 3 1.68 30 30.26 11 24.16 47 35.68 55 Figure 1 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years resident in 1971 (i) Resident in Wales Social Class I 1 a t Census - % 600 400- - 0 .r 1 600 400 7 c, F T 200- 8 t U h I t .r 7 n a o v E m urn Wn rO L .rv t l- =,loo-- 50 - - - - L I 25- m U c a 2 105- Social Class I I I N a t Census Social Class IIIM a t Census Social Class IV a t Census Social Class V a t Census - 600 400- 0 .r - U 2 200 200 - - - - ? i 100 1 l - -L 50 - zz251 c 25- U r u .2 10 5 , 10- , , I , , 5- I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d I C o b s e r v e d number of t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = ZExpected number o f t r a n s i t i o n s 56 -7 x 100 I A Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s Appendix Table 2 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child migrants in 1970-71 (a) Migrants between local authorities Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp I1 Obs Exp IIIN Obs ~ ~~~ Exp IIIM Obs IV Obs Exp ~ Exp ~ V Obs Exp _ _ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 6 17 18 18 10 17 10 7.05 15.50 15.39 15.20 10.19 15.94 10.33 1 0 1 1 0 3 2 0.66 1.72 2.02 2.37 1.88 3.49 2.68 1 4 2 3 3 3 2 1.04 2.38 2.46 2.53 1.77 2.88 1.94 0.99 1.80 1.48 1.21 0.67 0.87 0.47 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.25 0.60 0.64 0.68 0.49 0.83 0.58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.06 1.28 2.00 1.81 2.16 2.56 2.27 29 27 37 35 30 36 29 26.34 28.07 38.39 30.50 31.90 33.18 25.74 2 4 5 2 4 4 5 3.13 3.59 5.29 4.53 5.11 5.72 4.78 2.85 3.18 4.55 3.78 4.13 4.49 3.65 0 2 3 3 3 1 2 1.52 1.76 2.61 2.24 2.54 2.86 2.41 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0.09 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.15 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.75 1.32 2.21 2.45 2.40 2.84 2.71 2 7 12 13 10 9 9 3.32 5.57 8.80 9.22 8.54 9.57 8.61 26 27 33 33 20 23 14 22.37 29.78 37.39 31.12 22.94 20.37 14.56 1.90 2.99 4.45 4.38 3.82 4.01 3.39 0 0 5 1 2 3 2 1.49 2.18 3.01 2.76 2.24 2.19 1.72 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.18 0.16 0.13 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.42 0.56 0.72 1.01 0.90 0.99 0.82 1 6 4 8 10 5 3 2.34 3.20 4.17 5.93 5.36 6.03 5.04 0 0 2 3 2 2 0 1.29 1.60 1.90 2.46 2.03 2.07 1.58 101 93 92 91 53 60 33 95.81 95.95 91.40 95.23 63.01 5 1.83 31.74 7 10 13 16 15 2 8 7.74 9.01 9.96 12.04 9.24 8.82 6.27 2.40 2.69 2.86 3.32 2.46 2.26 1.55 0.22 0.34 0.34 0.35 0.47 0.57 0.45 2 3 3 1 5 3 1 1.64 2.21 1.90 1.67 1.89 1.99 1.34 2 4 2 2 2 2 0 2.38 2.57 1.75 1.23 1.11 0.93 0.50 10 20 12 12 12 9 6 13.20 16.55 13.16 10.79 11.34 11.05 6.90 35 26 22 16 10 12 7 33.20 35.26 23.74 16.49 14.69 12.12 6.41 3.36 4.06 3.11 2.46 2.49 2.34 1.41 0.24 0.11 0.06 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0 2 1 1 0 0.44 0.32 0.29 0.35 0.10 0.11 0.12 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.65 0.51 0.49 0.63 0.19 0.23 0.27 8 4 3 11 1 2 7 7.82 6.19 5.96 7.87 2.38 2.93 3.52 6.09 4.73 4.46 5.76 1.71 2.06 2.42 10.75 7.14 5.75 6.35 1.61 1.66 1.67 HIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 . V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 57 Appendix Table 2 (a) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I1 I Obs ~ Exp Obs _ Exp _ IIIN Obs IIIM Exp _ ~ Obs V IV Exp Obs Exp Obs Exp 0 0.11 0.16 0.1 1 Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 28 43 39 25 22 23 17 27.47 45.49 37.79 25.13 20.91 19.64 16.33 3 4 4 5 1 3 4 2.15 4.18 4.08 3.19 3.13 3.45 3.37 0 4 3 0 3 0 1 1.77 3.17 2.86 2.06 1.86 1.89 1.70 7 3 2 2 2 2 2.53 4.41 3.85 2.69 2.35 2.32 2.03 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 4 3 2 2 6 4 2 2.73 3.77 3.38 3.82 4.09 3.02 2.29 48 60 49 46 46 29 20 45.67 56.19 44.82 45.10 43.05 28.32 19.10 5 4 3 4 4 4 1 4.47 5.46 4.32 4.31 4.09 2.67 1.79 0 3 3 6 1 1 1 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 2 4 0 2 1 1 1.87 3.79 3.55 3.94 3.24 2.93 1.89 5 6 9 20 9 11 10 3.60 8.08 8.34 10.32 9.28 9.23 6.57 25 51 34 25 23 16 7 26.97 44.44 33.74 30.71 20.27 14.83 7.76 1 1 3 2 2 2 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.35 0.53 0.50 0.80 0.54 0.60 0.52 2 7 6 6 4 2 2 2.64 3.74 3.44 5.23 3.39 3.53 2.92 1 2 1 1 3 1.03 1.41 1.24 1.82 1.13 1.13 1 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.32 0.29 0.31 0.47 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1.28 1.46 1.64 1.80 1.40 1.31 1.71 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0.22 0.21 0.27 0.29 0.18 0.20 0.37 2 1 0 0 0.98 1.59 1.30 0.85 0.70 0.65 0.53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.04 0.03 3.64 4.80 4.11 4.43 4.53 3.19 2.31 1 2 1 1 0 0 2 1.39 1.65 1.27 1.23 1.13 0.72 0.47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.11 0.14 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.07 0.05 1 0.78 1.86 2.04 2.68 2.56 2.70 2.04 2 1 0 3 1 1 0 1.59 2.83 2.33 2.31 1.65 1.31 0.74 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.49 76.49 56.25 68.62 35.60 29.71 19.68 6 7 4 7 5 0 2 4.17 5.36 4.48 6.20 3.65 3.46 2.60 0 1 3 1 0.90 67 73 50 67 31 33 20 0 0 1.31 1.49 1.09 1.33 0.68 0.57 0.38 3 2 0 4 1 2 0 1.24 1.30 1.34 1.34 0.96 0.82 0.98 2 6 4 8 6 4 7 5.24 5.84 6.36 6.79 5.15 4.67 5.92 24 16 18 9 4 6 4 21.12 18.18 15.33 12.65 7.41 5.20 5.10 0 3 2 2 1 0 1 0.97 1.03 1.07 1.09 0.79 0.69 0.83 0 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.13 2 1 1 3 1 0 2 1.78 1.67 2.10 2.26 1.38 1.47 2.73 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1.61 1.39 1.61 1.59 0.89 0.87 1.48 2 2 4 3 1 2 2 3.31 2.72 3.00 2.83 1.52 1.41 2.29 1 3 1 1 0.07 IIIM V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 58 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Appendix Table 2 (a) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 ExP Obs IIIN Exp Obs IIIM Exp Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp 0.86 0.85 0.59 0.28 0.22 0.14 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 17 18 13 9 7 6 1 15.96 17.49 13.40 6.99 6.09 4.45 2.86 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 1 0 0 0 2 1.31 1.63 1.41 0.84 0.83 0.69 0.50 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0.56 0.78 0.77 0.52 0.58 0.54 0.45 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1.32 1.25 0.83 0.37 0.28 0.18 0.10 1.68 1.93 1.36 1.16 0.53 0.53 0.82 30 31 23 19 7 8 10 28.24 32.05 22.25 18.89 8.57 8.46 12.81 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2.32 2.56 1.73 1.43 0.63 0.61 0.90 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 1.88 2.29 1.71 1.57 0.77 0.82 1.34 1 3 1 1 0 2 0.88 1.17 0.95 0.95 0.51 0.59 1.05 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.74 0.95 0.87 0.89 0.54 0.21 0.29 0 3 2 5 2 3 2 1.62 2.50 2.78 3.45 2.53 2.37 2.00 10 12 12 8 7 3 3 10.28 11.85 9.82 9.10 4.99 3.48 2.20 0 0 1 0 1 0 0.63 0.85 0.83 0.89 0.57 0.47 0.34 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0.72 0.84 0.71 0.66 0.37 0.26 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 I974 1975 1976 1977 0.28 0.28 0.18 0.16 0.11 0.11 0.06 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.76 0.98 0.79 0.89 0.80 1.05 0.68 0.33 0.34 0.22 0.20 0.14 0.15 0.08 32 33 18 17 11 14 6 31.47 31.85 20.28 18.19 12.89 13.28 6.78 3 2 4 2 1 1 1 2.05 2.44 1.83 1.93 1.61 1.95 1.17 0 2 1 0 3 1 2 1.10 1.11 0.71 0.64 0.45 0.47 0.24 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.28 0.33 0.19 0.14 0.04 0.09 0.09 1 3 0 1 0 1 3 0.44 0.74 0.63 0.67 0.24 0.85 1.24 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.78 0.77 0.39 0.24 0.05 0.10 0.09 1 2 4 5 0 5 1 3.74 4.98 3.43 2.89 0.84 2.35 2.75 15 13 7 5 2 2 4 12.00 14.25 8.74 6.57 1.70 4.25 4.43 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.74 0.94 0.62 0.50 0.14 0.37 0.41 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.22 0.11 0.10 0.00 0.25 0.33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.13 0.06 0.04 0.00 0.07 0.08 0 1.07 1.91 0.79 0.58 0.00 1.01 1.06 1 4 0 1 0 0 1 1.31 2.16 0.82 0.55 0.00 0.81 0.79 4 1 2 0 0 2 2 2.41 3.54 1.21 0.73 0.00 0.85 0.74 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.00 59 Appendix Table 2 (a) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs Exp All births 1971-77 Obs - IIIN Exp - Obs _ IIIM Exp _ Obs _ V IV Exp - Obs ~ Exp ~ Obs Exp ~ I 20-24 25-29 30-34 96 197 71 89.60 192.77 67.25 8 24 6 14.82 23.55 7.21 18 11 4 15.00 15.32 4.19 7 19 4 7.50 20.19 4.33 2 8 1 4.07 6.60 3.02 0 0 0 0.00 0.57 0.00 20-34 364 349.62 38 45.58 33 34.51 30 32.01 11 13.70 0 0.57 20-24 25-29 30-34 !,7 23 11 13.15 23.10 8.02 223 298 128 214.11 282.24 131.27 26 25 12 32.16 27.10 10.17 21 15 6 26.62 27.01 10.37 14 7 9 15.95 7.87 6.10 2 0 0 1.01 0.68 0.00 20-34 51 44.27 649 627.63 63 69.43 42 64.01 30 29.91 2 1.69 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 17 12 4 14.69 21.20 4.49 62 70 17 53.62 55.42 17.26 176 181 55 178.54 178.72 51.73 20 12 3 24.94 14.66 4.59 13 8 3 15.59 12.76 3.72 0 0 0 0.61 0.19 0.00 20-34 33 40.37 149 126.30 412 408.99 35 44.20 24 32.07 0 0.81 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 5 11 0 5.42 3.84 1.18 37 29 6 32.07 24.89 5.94 9 10 1 12.93 8.67 1.45 523 341 131 524.98 353.84 134.73 71 31 14 63.07 29.91 12.99 11 6 9 17.54 6.84 4.71 20-34 16 10.43 72 62.90 20 23.05 995 1013.55 116 105.97 26 29.09 20-24 25-29 30-34 5 3 6 2.75 2.01 1.16 18 10 9 12.64 10.60 4.81 14 12 2 10.47 7.97 2.41 81 37 18 82.97 39.97 20.98 128 81 48 141.92 84.99 51.93 24 9 2 19.23 6.47 3.72 20-34 14 5.91 37 28.05 28 20.85 136 143.92 257 278.84 35 29.42 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.46 0.08 0.10 4 2 1 1.72 1.75 1.11 2.97 0.28 0.45 36 10 4 36.67 13.39 6.42 24 13 7 27.23 9.43 6.44 38 16 11 34.94 17.08 9.48 20-34 0.64 7 4.58 3.71 50 56.48 44 43.10 65 6 1.49 I1 IV V 60 ~ ~ Figure 2 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years who had moved in 1970-71 (a) Between local authorities Social Class I a t Census Social Class I 1 a t Census 6007 6007 400 - 0 .C c, *2 .OO1 200 200- I ,2 T 100 -+ - T * ' T I 7 - L 7 T 50 - A - 10 5' Social Class IIIN a t Census Social Class IIIM a t Census -, I:; +& 4001 600 .r + I 200 m m ," 10 10 Social Class IV a t Census Social Class V a t Census 600, 6007 400 - 200 - . T 100 - T - L 50 h - * T - 2510- 5-1 I I I I I 5- I I I I1 I I I N IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d *Standardised mobility r a t i o C o b s e r v e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s = XExpected number o f t r a n s i t i o n s I I I I I I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d 7- x 100 * Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s .L 61 Appendix Table 2 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child: migrants in 1970-71 (b) Migrants within local authorities Social class at Census and vear of b(rth of child Social class at birth of child I IIIN I1 HIM IV V ~~ Exp Obs _ _ _ Obs ~ _ EXP Obs _ _ Obs Exp ~ Exp Obs _ ___ _ _ Exp Obs ~ Exp _ _ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 8 7 9 7 5 3 1.41 9.86 7.00 8.29 6.11 6.64 4.52 0 2 1 2 1 2 4 0.13 1.09 0.92 1.29 1.13 1.45 1.17 1 2 1 1 0 1 0 0.21 1.52 1.12 1.38 1.06 1.20 0.85 0 2 1 0 1 1 0 0.20 1.15 0.67 0.66 0.40 0.36 0.20 0 0 0 25 23 19 28 11 14 17 21.07 21.42 22.45 28.37 13.87 14.90 13.86 1 3 6 5 3 0 2 2 2 6 2 2 1 2.51 2.74 3.10 4.22 2.22 2.57 2.57 1 2.28 2.42 2.66 3.51 1.80 2.02 1.97 0 0 1 1 4 1 0.85 0.98 1.17 1.69 0.94 1.15 1.22 0 0 0 2 1 4 2 0.42 0.98 1.19 1.86 1.80 1.75 2.01 3 2 5 3 4 4 4 1.88 4.11 4.72 7.01 6.40 5.89 6.39 13 25 20 26 21 12 11 12.67 21.98 20.03 23.65 17.21 12.54 10.81 0 2 1 3 3 2 6 0 0 4 0.53 0.96 1.00 1.02 1.26 1.10 1.20 2 4 9 5 10 4 5 2.96 5.43 5.79 6.03 7.56 6.70 7.40 3 2 6 4 3 4 2 1.63 2.73 2.63 2.50 2.85 2.30 2.32 0.24 0.36 0.59 0.68 0.63 0.48 0.69 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1.82 2.32 3.23 3.24 2.55 1.64 2.04 1 2 4 7 0 0 0 0.29 0.19 0.12 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.00 0 0.53 0 0.58 1 0 0 0 0 0.60 0.41 0.40 0.30 0.15 1 2 2 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 V 1971 0 1972 1 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 62 1 0.05 0.38 0.29 0.37 0.30 0.35 0.25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.08 1 1.22 1.34 1.53 2.09 1.11 1.28 1.30 0.13 0.07 0.08 0.08 1.08 2.21 2.38 3.33 2.87 2.47 2.52 1 2 3 4 1 2 0 0.84 1.61 1.61 2.10 1.68 1.35 1.28 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.12 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.01 120 162 109 94 84 58 54 121.07 163.03 126.80 96.82 88.83 57.59 46.60 11 17 20 8 15 10 7 9.79 15.30 13.81 12.24 13.02 9.80 9.20 3 7 6 10 3 2 0 3.03 4.57 3.97 3.38 3.46 2.51 2.27 2.65 2.69 2.98 2.39 1.49 0.77 0.76 15 19 31 18 16 9 13 14.66 17.36 22.42 20.92 15.24 9.14 10.55 38 39 34 37 22 14 9 36.89 37.00 40.47 31.99 19.74 10.03 9.80 4 2 3 1 3 0 2 3.73 4.26 5.30 4.77 3.35 1.94 2.16 0.78 0.91 1.03 0.75 0.79 0.62 0.34 10 9 14 16 8 9 3 9.32 11.08 12.63 9.37 9.93 7.96 4.40 6 11 10 5 9 5 5 7.26 8.46 9.44 6.86 7.13 5.59 3.02 14 11 9 3 6 4 1 12.82 12.77 12.18 7.56 6.72 4.51 2.09 0 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 3 2 0.10 _ Appendix Table 2 (b) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs ExP Obs IIIN Exp Obs IIIM Exp Obs V IV Exp Obs Exp Obs Exp ---- ---___pppp Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 8 15 11 8 10 10 4 7.85 13.11 12.09 8.87 9.38 9.12 4.76 0 0 1 2 0 1 2 0.61 1.20 1.31 1.13 1.40 1.60 0.98 0 1 0 2 0 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1.08 1.78 1.69 1.49 1.01 1.43 1.15 19 28 25 19 10 18 12 2 1 0 0 0 1 0.85 1.49 1.35 1.10 0.70 0.85 0.60 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0.03 0 0.05 1 0 0 0 0 0.28 0.46 0.42 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.15 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 1.44 2.27 2.05 1.73 1.11 1.51 1.15 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.55 0.78 0.64 0.48 0.28 0.34 0.24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 2 1 0 2 1 0 2 0.36 0.73 0.78 0.75 0.55 0.78 0.65 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.72 1.11 0.89 0.65 0.36 0.38 0.23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06 1.74 1.65 1.54 1.54 1.16 1.37 67 97 70 60 53 33 31 69.24 94.53 74.72 58.00 48.26 30.47 29.89 6 9 9 4 5 4 2 4.27 6.62 5.95 5.24 4.95 3.55 3.95 2 2 3 1 1.34 1.84 1.44 1.12 0.93 0.58 0.57 1 2 1 1.65 1.76 1.18 1.45 0.90 0.88 1.17 11 13 6 11 4 2 7 6.99 7.92 5.63 7.36 4.82 5.03 7.10 27 19 14 10 8 6 9 28.16 24.68 13.56 13.70 6.95 5.60 6.12 1 3 0 0 0 1 1 1.30 1.40 0.95 1.18 0.74 0.74 0.99 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.13 2 4 2 7 3.81 5.56 2.70 3.23 1.04 0.74 2.73 3 8 3 2 1 0 1 3.45 4.63 2.07 2.27 0.67 0.43 1.48 9 8 4 1 1 2 1 7.08 9.07 3.86 4.04 1.14 0.71 2.29 1 0.51 0.91 0.92 0.73 0.83 0.88 0.50 18.11 26.53 22.41 17.58 10.57 13.42 9.55 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 2 2 2 0 1.65 3.18 3.17 2.89 2.01 2.68 2.07 0.36 0.65 0.67 0.67 0.74 0.61 0.78 2 2 7 4 1 2 4 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 0.20 0.27 0.23 0.35 0.27 0.34 0.57 0 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 0 3 2 0 0.72 1.27 1.23 0.95 1.06 1.08 0.59 1.77 2.58 2.16 1.68 1.00 1.27 0.89 2 4 2 1 2 0 1 11 17 16 10 4 7 3 12.33 17.49 12.82 8.60 4.38 4.31 2.45 2.71 4.62 4.57 4.42 4.59 3.62 4.43 2 0 0 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 3 0 3 0 1.70 1.98 1.45 1.95 1.32 1.41 2.05 0 1 1 0.47 0.70 0.35 0.42 0.14 0.10 0.37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 4 0 0 1 0 1 63 Appendix Table 2 (b) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs - Exp - - I1 Obs - Exp - _ IIIN Obs _ IIIM Obs Exp _ _ - IV Obs Exp ~ ~ V Exp ~ Obs ~ ~ Exp Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 4 6 1 3 5 2 2.39 3.18 5.52 2.33 2.28 3.71 2.86 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.14 0.34 0.39 0.39 0.15 0.19 0.05 3 6 6 5 2 3 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 0.20 0.30 0.58 0.28 0.31 0.57 0.50 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0.08 0.14 0.32 0.17 0.22 0.45 0.45 0 0 0 I 0 0 0 0.20 0.23 0.34 0.12 0.11 0.15 0.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.15 0.24 0.09 0.08 0.12 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.20 0.45 0.49 0.48 0.17 0.22 0.05 0 0 1 2 0.16 0.40 0.49 0.52 0.21 0.30 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.20 0.27 0.32 0.14 0.21 0.06 0 0 0 0 1 2.42 5.61 6.36 6.30 2.34 3.08 0.75 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.28 0.41 0.42 0.12 0.06 0.17 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 1.04 0.74 1.30 1.61 0.56 0.68 1.20 6 3 5 3 1 2 3 6.61 3.49 4.58 4.25 1.11 1.oo 1.32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.41 0.25 0.39 0.42 0.13 0.14 0.21 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0.46 0.25 0.33 0.31 0.08 0.07 0.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.33 0.36 0.22 0.25 0.12 0.15 0.09 2 1 1 1 0 2 2 0.89 1.24 0.98 1.42 0.90 1.35 1.05 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.39 0.43 0.27 0.31 0.16 0.19 0.12 31 40 23 29 15 16 8 36.72 40.45 25.35 28.93 14.50 17.18 10.55 6 3 5 5 1 3 3 2.39 3.10 2.29 3.07 1.81 2.52 1.82 2 2 1 0 1 1 1 1.28 1.41 0.88 1.01 0.51 0.60 0.37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.39 0.31 0.24 0.15 0.17 0.05 0.09 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 0.61 0.70 0.77 0.73 1.13 0.53 1.10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.09 0.73 0.47 0.26 0.24 0.06 0.08 5 5 6 2 1 3 5.20 4.76 4.16 3.15 3.91 1.47 2.44 20 16 10 7 12 3 3 16.67 13.60 10.61 7.16 7.92 2.65 3.94 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1.03 0.90 0.75 0.54 0.64 0.23 0.36 0 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0.18 0.30 0.30 0.25 0.26 0.51 0.33 0 0.13 0.18 0.15 0.10 0.09 0.14 0.08 2 3 4 2 1 2 1 1.92 2.62 2.11 1.45 1.25 2.01 1.06 2 4 3 2 1 3 0 2.36 2.96 2.19 1.38 1.10 1.62 0.79 5 3 1 1 4.33 4.87 3.22 1.82 1.29 1.71 0.74 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 64 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 Appendix Table 2 (b) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I1 Exp Obs All births 1971-77 I Obs - Exp _ IIIN Obs _ Exp _ IIIM Obs _ Exp _ IV Obs _ Exp ~ V Obs ~ Exp ~ I 20-24 25-29 30-34 40 66 22 43.83 65.18 22.28 12 6 2 7.19 8.24 2.74 6 4 4 7.33 5.27 1.83 5 11 1 3.65 6.90 1.24 1.99 2.23 0.90 0 0 0 0.00 0.19 0.00 20-34 128 131.29 20 18.17 14 14.44 17 11.79 5.12 0 0.19 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 7 3 1 8.00 9.62 1.64 137 131 26 135.94 118.17 26.85 19 6 2 19.92 11.35 2.06 17 12 4 16.65 11.27 2.16 11 2 1 9.86 3.30 1.28 0 0 0 0.62 0.29 0.00 20-34 11 19.26 294 280.96 27 33.34 33 30.08 14 14.44 0 0.91 20-24 25-29 30-34 9 5 4 10.01 6.94 1.93 25 13 4 36.39 17.64 7.13 128 68 23 118.89 62.37 22.35 17 8 0 16.85 4.60 1.93 13 2 4 10.47 4.34 1.61 1 0 0 0.40 0.09 0.00 20-34 18 18.88 42 61.16 219 203.61 25 23.37 19 16.41 1 0.48 10 0 1 7.08 4.49 1.52 39 22 9 41.87 28.96 7.84 24 9 2 16.96 10.05 1.87 68 1 41 1 162 700.74 405.12 173.68 88 39 26 83.17 34.53 17.01 31 10 8 23.20 7.83 6.07 11 13.09 70 78.68 35 28.89 1254 1279.54 153 134.71 49 37.10 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 3.66 2.22 1.39 11 11 5 16.86 11.86 5.57 14 6 0 13.73 9.00 2.93 121 54 25 110.30 44.85 25.09 193 93 71 185.92 98.76 62.56 15 6 1 25.51 7.30 4.46 20-34 7.28 27 34.30 20 25.66 200 180.25 357 347.24 22 37.27 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.69 0.17 0.18 1 1 5 2.97 2.55 2.12 10 1 0 5.23 0.30 0.88 69 20 15 64.69 19.80 12.44 51 18 15 47.77 15.00 12.41 48 26 11 58.66 28.19 17.98 20-34 1.04 7 7.64 11 6.41 104 96.92 84 75.17 85 104.82 ~ IIIN IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 20-34 V 65 ~ Figure 2 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years who had moved in 1970-71 (b) Within local authorities Social Class I 1 a t Census 600 -I GO0 T 400- 400 0 - .r c, 2 T T t I I 200T - c h , .r h (U .r 7 n m o u E m - u a J r 0n - 100 50 w - A' - I I I - 200- r I & 7 I m I =: , 10- - + " - r T * 25- I m 3 I* I U S t ? 50- 7 25- T I I m.r T 100 10 - I I 5- 5- I -c Social Class IIIN a t Census c0 Social Class IIIM a t Census 600 600 400 400 .r c, m -- T T t 3 .r T -aJ I 0 T .r n m L o v I E m urn a J- 0 m I r U 25 25 10 10 m U 5 c m , ul 5-1 Social Class IV a t Census +c 0 Social Class V a t Census GO0 600 400 400 .r 4 T c, -- T Q) 100 n m o u 50 T 5 A 50 L 2. a JI 70 V .rv j -r .r 7 urn * j 2, c, .r A 251, 25 m u S m 10 5 I I I I1 I I IIIN IIIM I IV 1 V 66 I I , I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d C o b s e r v e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised m o b i l i t y r a t i o = XExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s , , 7 x 100 ' Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s Appendix Table 3 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child men born in the New Commonwealth and Pakistan Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Ohs IIIM IIIN Exp Obs Exp Obs IV Exp V Ohs Exp Obs Exp Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0.00 1.41 0.70 0.00 0.68 0.66 0.00 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.16 0.09 0.00 0.13 0.15 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.22 0.11 0.00 0.12 0.12 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.16 0.07 0.00 0.04 0.04 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.10 0.08 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.12 1 2 0 1 1 0 0 0.75 2.22 1.45 0.71 0.69 0.68 1.32 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.28 0.20 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.25 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0.08 0.25 0.17 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.01 0.01 1 0.04 0.14 0.10 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0 0.10 0.13 0.24 0.05 0.18 0.07 0.00 0 1 0 0 2 1 0 0.44 0.53 0.94 0.18 0.64 0.25 0.00 3 1 5 1 1 0 0 2.98 2.84 4.01 0.62 1.72 0.52 0.00 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0.25 0.29 0.48 0.09 0.29 0.10 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.20 0.21 0.32 0.06 0.17 0.06 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.22 0.16 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 0.19 0.57 0.64 0.84 0.84 1.34 0.97 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0.11 0.28 0.29 0.35 0.32 0.46 0.30 7 18 12 11 7 10 7.84 16.98 14.00 13.49 9.87 11.52 6.08 0 1 4 3 3 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 5 0.63 1.59 1.52 1.71 1.45 1.96 1.20 0 0.20 0.48 0.44 0.47 0.38 0.50 0.30 0 1 0 0 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.15 0.25 0.20 0.27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.49 0.58 0.60 0.71 1.01 0.69 0.79 1 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 2 4 0 0.71 0.67 0.56 0.52 0.59 0.32 0.29 2 3 3.91 4.34 4.19 4.58 6.02 3.81 4.06 12 14 12 9 9 7 3 9.84 9.25 7.55 7.00 7.80 4.18 3.77 0 0 0 0 2 1 4 1.oo 1.07 0.99 1.04 1.32 0.81 0.83 0. 0 0.05 0.02 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.11 1 2 1.50 1.30 2 1 1.17 1.00 2 1 2.07 1.50 0 0.01 0 0 0.06 0 0.70 2 0.52 0 0.68 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.07 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1.12 0.79 2.10 0.00 1 0.00 0.09 0.06 0.16 0.00 0.82 0.57 1.47 0.00 2 1 2 0 0.91 0.54 1.19 0.00 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 2 0 67 Appendix Table 3 continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I1 Exp Obs Exp IIIN Obs Exp Obs IIIM Exp IV Obs Exp V Obs Exp Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 9.42 6.17 6.05 4.44 2.16 5.61 0.00 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.74 0.57 0.65 0.56 0.32 0.99 0.00 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0.61 0.43 0.46 0.36 0.19 0.54 0.00 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 0.87 0.60 0.62 0.47 0.24 0.66 0.00 0.33 0.22 0.21 0.15 0.07 0.18 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.47 0.58 0.47 0.39 0.43 0.16 0.18 9 9 4 4 5 1 0 7.87 8.58 6.18 4.59 4.53 1.49 1.47 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0.77 0.83 0.60 0.44 0.43 0.14 0.14 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0.63 0.73 0.57 0.45 0.48 0.17 0.18 0.24 0.25 0.18 0.13 0.12 0.04 0.04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.37 0.36 0.39 0.26 0.47 0.60 1 1 1 2 1 2 0 0.51 0.79 0.83 1.03 0.75 1.49 2.07 4 4 3 2 2 3 5 3.85 4.37 3.37 3.07 1.64 2.39 2.45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.11 0.18 0.20 0.27 0.21 0.44 0.65 0.23 0.28 0.23 0.23 0.13 0.21 0.23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.20 0.20 0.17 0.25 0.24 0.32 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 0.79 1.43 1.39 1.12 1.58 1.45 1.84 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0.31 0.54 0.50 0.39 0.53 0.47 0.57 22 28 19 11 12 10 11 20.16 29.22 22.67 14.70 16.61 12.19 12.39 1.24 2.05 1.80 1.33 1.70 1.42 1.64 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 0.39 0.57 0.44 0.28 0.32 0.23 0.24 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.12 0.21 0.25 0.27 0.27 0.22 0.38 0.98 1.51 1.58 1.50 1.32 0.91 1.37 0 3 0 0 0 2 1 0.95 1.35 1.29 1.12 0.90 0.57 0.78 3 5 7 3 4 3 3 4.02 6.04 6.12 5.66 4.82 3.23 4.73 18 18 15 14 6 1 5 16.19 18.83 14.74 10.54 6.95 3.60 4.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.39 0.19 0.21 0.05 0.20 0.16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.06 1 4 2 4 0 2 1 1.52 3.06 1.50 1.61 0.35 1.47 1.17 2 4 2 0 0 1 2 1.38 2.55 1.15 1.13 0.22 0.87 0.63 0 0.75 1.07 1.03 0.91 0.74 0.47 0.66 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 68 3 3 1 1 1 1 0 2.83 4.99 2.14 2.02 0.38 1.41 0.98 Appendix Table 3 continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs _ Exp _ I1 Obs Exp IIIN Obs Exp IIIM Obs Exp IV Obs Exp V Obs Exp ~ Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 9 8 3 4 5 3 0 8.78 6.36 3.15 3.89 3.81 2.22 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.43 0.29 .0.34 0.48 0.24 0.15 0.14 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.72 0.59 0.33 0.47 0.52 0.34 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.31 0.28 0.18 0.29 0.36 0.27 0.00 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0.73 0.45 0.19 0.21 0.18 0.09 0.00 0.47 0.31 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.07 0.00 1 1 3 1 7.26 4.81 5.56 7.87 3.89 2.31 2.26 0 0 0 0 1 0.60 0.38 0.43 0.59 0.29 0.17 0.16 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.48 0.34 0.43 0.65 0.35 0.22 0.24 0.23 0.18 0.24 0.40 0.23 0.16 0.19 0.74 0.50 0.58 0.59 0.36 0.18 0.12 0 0 2 1 0 3 0 1.62 1.32 1.85 2.3C 1.69 2.03 0.80 11 8 6 8 5 2 2 10.28 6.28 6.55 6.07 3.32 2.99 0.88 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0.63 0.45 0.55 0.60 0.38 0.40 0.14 0.72 0.45 0.47 0.44 0.24 0.22 0.07 1 0 0 0 3 1 0 0.68 1.08 0.98 1.46 1.05 0.86 1.43 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.29 0.38 0.27 0.32 0.18 0.12 0.16 28 35 24 30 11 7 12 27.97 35.29 25.35 29.76 16.91 10.94 14.32 1.82 2.71 2.29 3.16 2.11 1.61 2.47 0.98 1.23 0.88 1.04 0.59 0.38 0.50 0 1 1 2 0 6 3 0.86 1.24 1.04 1.21 1.61 3.18 2.20 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1.53 1.29 0.63 0.43 0.34 0.39 0.16 6 5 5 8 4 3 7.28 8.38 5.63 5.25 5.58 8.81 4.88 26 27 16 9 15 17 9 23.34 23.96 14.36 11.94 11.32 15.92 7.87 1.45 1.59 1.02 0.90 0.91 1.38 0.73 0 3 0 0 2 1 1 0. I6 0.38 0.41 0.15 0.39 0.59 0.66 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.23 0.20 0.06 0.13 0.17 0.15 2 4 3 1 0 3 4 1.71 3.34 2.91 0.87 1.88 2.35 2.13 1 2 3 1 1 1 0 2.10 3.77 3.02 0.83 1.65 1.89 1.58 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0.25 0.31 0.22 0.26 0.14 0.09 0.12 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0.55 2 0 0 1 0 1 0.55 0.32 0.26 0.24 0.32 0.16 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.01 0.01 1 0 1 1 1 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 3 6 7 5 5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5 4 5 1 3 1 1 3.85 6.20 4.43 1.09 1.94 1.99 1.48 69 Appendix Table 3 continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I1 I Obs ~ Exp Obs IIIN Exp ~ Obs IV IIIM Exp ~ Obs Exp Obs V ~ Exp Obs Exp _ AI1 births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 3 34 32 3.45 33.84 28.21 2 3 1 0.52 3.83 2.97 0 2 0 0.57 2.59 1.69 0 4 20-34 69 65.50 6 7.32 2 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.47 2.67 2.08 5 32 33 7.82 34.72 33.96 20-34 5.21 70 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.76 2.72 3.07 20-34 0 2 0 0.15 1.17 1.28 0.00 3 0.31 3.46 1.85 4.85 7 5.62 2 2.60 0.11 2 2 3 1.15 3.35 2.62 3 0.96 3.20 2.72 1 1 4 0.57 0.99 1.61 0.04 3 2 76.50 7 7.11 8 6.88 6 3.17 0.12 4 8 6 2.99 7.49 11.62 11 23 42 12.69 21.15 36.36 3 0 3 1.49 2.05 3.15 0 1 4 1.01 1.55 2.61 0 0 0 0.06 0.03 0.00 6.55 18 22.10 76 70.21 6 6.70 5 5.17 0 0.09 0.11 0.00 0.08 0.00 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 2 3 0.91 1.50 1.40 6 10 5 5.38 9.59 7.55 2.11 3.30 1.73 66 113 147 79.78 127.95 160.53 18 22 28 10.07 11.18 16.17 8 6 9 2.76 2.47 5.61 20-34 5 3.81 21 22.52 7.14 326 368.26 68 37.42 23 10.85 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 1 2 5 1.12 1.71 2.39 0 9 13 4.86 9.16 11.35 2 6 4 3.66 6.94 4.76 21 28 36 30.90 34.64 45.83 66 77 I19 49.39 74.93 108.71 7 11 4 7.05 5.63 7.97 20-34 8 5.22 22 25.36 12 15.36 85 111.37 262 233.03 22 20.66 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 0 1 0.09 0.07 0.19 0.35 1.38 2.74 0.61 0.18 1.07 4 14 17 7.52 10.68 15.18 9 11 9 5.56 7.93 14.83 8 10 20 6.88 14.76 20.98 20-34 1 0.35 4.46 1.85 35 33.38 29 28.32 38 42.62 V 70 Figure 3 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years who were born in the N e w Commonwealth and Pakistan c0 600 - GO0 7 400 - 400 - - .r I-’ m 200- - - 100 I h CJ .r - W .r 7 n m o u E m urn - T 200- t t 100 t .r U 50 - c A * T b L 251 L U a S c, m 10- v, - 50 - 1 . 25 - j 1 I a 0 VI- I T L L 10 5- 5 S o c i a l Class I I I N a t Census S o c i a l Class IIIM a t Census GO0 GO0 4 400 0 .r -r - c, t 200 -1 -r T ? .! - h =, c, .r c 100 n m o u E m 50 2l L urn W O m 7 .rv I - L A 25 m -0 c m =: 10 GO0 S o c i a l Class V a t Census - .r GO0 4ooj l - I-’ E 200- 3 c, 7 m : o u E m u WrO n m 7 .rv *: ; =,loo .rn 5 400- 0 A 10 5-1 c L L 50- T T -7 t t o A. + A - 200 * * 100 T I 50 I - - 25- 25- 10- 10- 5- 5- T L t L m U S I-’ m m I 1 I I1 I I 1 t IIIN IIIM IV V S o c i a l Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d C o b s e r v e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised m o b i l i t y r a t i o = Z E x p e c t e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s -r x 100 ’ Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s -L 71 Appendix Table 4 Observed a n d expected social class mobility f o r all married m e n by age a n d year of b i r t h of child; by housing tenure (a) Owner occupiers Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I1 I IIIN Obs Exp Obs Exp ~ ~ _ _ Obs _ IIIM Exp _ Obs _ V IV Exp _ Obs _ Exp ~ Obs ~ Exp ~ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 19 23 22 19 17 16 10 2.18 3.20 2.09 1.43 1.21 0.83 0.55 0 3 0 0 2 1 1 0.56 1.06 0.90 0.81 0.89 0.79 0.69 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 4 10 7 6 7 4 6 5.29 7.11 7.81 7.46 6.29 5.59 5.05 2 5 5 3 2 1 2.83 3.94 4.48 4.44 3.87 3.56 3.33 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.18 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.24 0.23 0.21 36.53 56.01 64.77 45.44 45.31 32.91 19.73 2 10 8 8 5 6 3 3.11 5.63 7.70 6.39 7.54 6.48 4.59 2 1 5 0 3 2 2 2.43 4.10 5.22 4.03 4.42 3.53 2.33 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.29 0.30 0.23 0.11 0.07 0.04 0.01 4.69 8.43 9.89 11.81 11.82 12.22 11.91 2.57 4.23 4.50 4.90 4.47 4.20 3.73 205 260 217 191 130 114 79 191.62 253.03 216.55 189.67 138.93 105.11 74.97 7 15 21 22 21 9 14 15.49 23.75 23.59 23.97 20.37 17.88 14.81 2 6 2 7 4 5 3 4.80 7.09 6.79 6.62 5.42 4.58 3.65 3.40 3.87 2.79 2.42 2.12 1.31 0.88 18 24 17 21 20 10 12 18.82 24.96 20.93 21.25 21.62 15.62 12.17 52 56 40 32 31 26 11 47.34 53.19 37.77 32.49 28.01 17.14 11.31 2 2 4 3 2 1 5 4.79 6.13 4.95 4.84 4.75 3.31 2.49 0.35 0.46 0.37 0.72 0.35 0.43 0.31 4 4 .2 13 3 4 2 4.21 5.54 4.56 8.99 4.37 5.45 3.96 2 6 4 5 5 6 4 3.28 4.23 3.41 6.58 3.13 3.83 2.72 8 6 6 5 3 3 2 5.79 6.39 4.40 7.26 2.96 3.09 1.88 15.52 27.47 21.69 17.97 18.34 15.27 12.27 1 4 2 2 2 1 5 1.45 3.05 2.85 2.80 3.39 3.34 3.18 2.29 4.22 3.47 2.99 3.18 2.76 2.31 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.96 2.87 3.44 3.59 3.29 3.19 3.14 53 58 65 63 46 43 38 48.92 62.79 65.91 60.28 48.54 41.30 35.65 5.82 8.04 9.09 8.96 7.77 7.12 6.62 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.22 2.49 3.83 3.58 4.75 4.59 3.67 4 10 14 17 19 16 12 5.42 10.48 15.25 13.46 16.86 15.45 11.66 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.84 1.49 1.71 2.01 1.98 2.01 1.93 3 12 10 12 21 9 9 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 1 1 0 0.31 0.52 0.55 0.70 0.89 0.81 0.79 2.34 3.34 3.02 3.30 3.61 2.81 2.36 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.10 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.24 0.29 0.22 0.40 0.18 0.20 0.13 72 0 39 55 66 44 45 32 21 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ~ - Appendix Table 4 (a) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I T IIIN 11 1 Obs Exu Obs EXP ~- ~ Obs IIIM Exp Obs - _ ~ IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs EXP _ Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 85 116 91 74 48 50 33 87.11 122.59 93.72 71.70 50.48 47.01 38.10 6 13 13 14 2 8 12 6.80 11.26 10.13 9.11 7.55 8.26 7.87 7 12 6 5 11 2 5 5.61 8.55 7.09 5.88 4.49 4.53 3.98 8 13 11 2 6 5 5 8.03 11.88 9.55 7.67 5.68 5.56 4.74 5 5 3 2 3 2 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 9 11 15 15 11 7 4 9.40 14.64 12.34 12.49 8.98 9.15 6.62 157 226 163 146 95 91 60 157.48 218.51 163.83 147.53 94.40 85.71 55.09 18 22 16 11 9 4 15.40 21.22 15.79 14.11 8.96 8.08 5.16 13 17 12 19 7 6 5 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 8 15 13 12 9 6 8 7.14 13.04 11.72 11.25 8.86 8.02 5.96 12 32 31 37 27 26 21 13.79 27.80 27.52 29.53 25.32 25.31 20.74 108 152 110 79 54 45 28 103.27 153.01 111.34 87.82 55.34 40.66 24.49 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3 2 3 4 2 1 4 1.54 2.68 2.72 2.87 2.70 2.83 2.73 7 23 23 30 20 20 12 11.46 19.07 18.62 18.81 16.79 16.74 15.46 6 5 8 7 5 8 4 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 1 0 3 4 2 1 0.50 0.81 0.99 0.90 1.11 1.08 1.19 3 7 8 8 8 7 5 4.25 5.95 6.31 5.03 5.35 4.54 4.33 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0.63 0.95 0.65 0.80 0.46 0.45 0.59 1 3.10 4.29 3.24 2.43 1.69 1.55 1.24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.34 0.43 0.29 0.19 0.12 0.10 0.07 12.56 18.68 15.01 14.49 9.94 9.66 6.65 3 4 6 2 1 2 2 4.78 6.41 4.64 4.03 2.49 2.19 1.36 0 0 0 0.38 0.53 0.40 0.35 0.22 0.21 0.13 2 4 5 7 5 6 2 2.99 6.41 6.73 7.66 6.98 7.41 6.45 3 7 6 8 6 2 1 6.07 9.74 7.71 6.59 4.50 3.59 2.35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.48 7.17 6.72 6.55 5.62 5.38 4.78 30 1 402 308 234 177 140 112 292.75 390.17 304.77 246.70 176.42 140.93 104.25 15 20 14 24 17 15 10 18.07 27.33 24.25 22.29 18.09 16.41 13.79 2 2 7 3 2 1 1 5.68 7.58 5.88 4.77 3.39 2.70 2.00 4 7 7 4 4 4 1 4.13 5.29 5.14 3.75 3.65 2.84 2.47 14 31 25 24 17 10 14 17.48 23.76 24.48 18.96 19.62 16.17 14.99 75 66 55 27 25 20 15 70.39 74.03 58.96 35.31 28.26 18.00 12.91 3 2 5 1 3 2 2 3.24 4.20 4.13 3.05 3.01 2.37 2.10 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.09 0.08 0.11 0.21 5 13 5 10 2 3 2 5.07 7.51 5.11 6.14 3.46 3.31 4.28 5 4 4 3 4.60 6.25 3.90 4.30 2.22 1.96 2.32 8 10 7 6 4 4 9.44 12.24 7.29 7.68 3.79 3.18 3.60 10 0 0 0 4 1 4 1 0 0 0 1 5 73 Appendix Table 4 (a) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child Ohs Exp ~ IIIM IIIN I1 I Obs Exp ~ Ohs ~ Exp Ohs ~ IV Exp Ohs ~ V Exp Ohs ~ Exp ~ Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 61 64 51 31 24 18 11 61.45 62.81 53.60 31.08 25.13 17.05 10.74 7 7 3 3 6 2 2 5.03 5.84 5.66 3.73 3.42 2.64 1.89 2 4 3 3 2 1 2 2.14 2.80 3.08 2.30 2.38 2.08 1.68 3 3 6 2 1 0 0 5.08 4.49 3.31 1.66 1.16 0.68 0.37 4 1 5 1 0 2 0 3.30 3.05 2.35 1.24 0.90 0.55 0.31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 7 9 8 7 5 3 0 5.77 7.78 6.44 4.40 3.44 2.61 2.17 98 132 106 72 59 44 35 96.84 128.99 105.68 71.63 55.29 41.53 33.91 9 6 10 3 3 2 3 7.96 10.30 8.21 5.41 4.06 2.97 2.37 6 7 7 7 4 3 5 6.43 9.23 8.14 5.95 4.95 4.00 3.55 0 7 2 2 0 2 2 3.01 4.70 4.54 3.60 3.27 2.88 2.78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 6 7 4 2 3 0 3 4.13 5.90 4.23 3.09 2.34 0.83 1.45 7 19 14 16 11 14 7 9.02 15.60 13.52 11.96 10.97 9.48 10.01 57 72 49 32 21 11 15 57.29 73.91 47.80 31.55 21.61 13.94 10.98 4 4 4 2 3 1 0 3.53 5.32 4.02 3.10 2.48 1.87 1.72 4 4 2 0 2 0 4.02 5.25 3.44 2.30 1.59 1.04 0.83 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 1 5 1 2 0 0 1.74 1.85 1.20 1.06 0.67 0.48 0.38 7 8 6 9 11 8 3 4.73 6.44 5.31 5.97 4.86 4.43 4.51 3 1 0 2 1 1 1 2.05 2.24 1.47 1.32 0.85 0.62 0.50 196 214 135 129 71 55 40 194.95 210.01 136.87 121.51 78.12 56.24 45.21 9 16 11 5 10 7 13 12.71 16.10 12.36 12.89 9.76 8.26 7.81 7 4 5 6.80 7.34 4.78 4.25 2.74 1.97 1.59 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 4 1 1 0 0 1 1.21 1.38 0.90 0.57 0.33 0.44 0.24 4 2 4 5 0 6 6 1.89 3.12 2.94 2.67 2.26 4.35 3.44 2 7 2 3 0 0 0 3.36 3.24 1.79 0.95 0.47 0.53 0.24 15 24 15 13 6 12 4 16.32 21.06 15.92 11.56 7.82 12.04 7.63 54 54 41 20 21 21 14 51.34 60.23 40.58 26.27 15.84 21.76 12.30 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.13 0.14 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0 3 0 0 2 1 1 0.30 0.71 0.52 0.74 0.52 1.02 0.87 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0.22 0.43 0.26 0.31 0.18 0.29 0.20 4 3 3 6 3 5 3 3.20 6.20 3.70 4.34 2.51 4.03 2.84 1 10 5 4 1 3 1 3.93 7.00 3.84 4.14 2.20 3.25 2.10 IIIM 74 1 1 2 1 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 0 10 9 6 3 2 3 3 3.18 3.99 2.87 1.99 1.28 1.88 1.14 7.12 11.51 5.64 5.45 2.59 3.42 1.98 _ Appendix Table 4 (a) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I IIIN I1 Obs Exp Obs Exp Obs IIIM Exp Obs IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp --______pppp_ All births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 126 497 260 128.53 510.72 261.87 17 68 30 20.06 60.98 28.20 28 48 17 21.22 40.12 16.47 9 50 15 11.50 53.11 16.75 7 21 13 5.69 17.53 11.72 0 0 0 0.00 1.54 0.00 20-34 883 901.11 115 109.24 93 77.81 74 81.36 41 34.94 0 1.54 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 21 72 39 21.49 73.61 32.61 366 938 546 363.39 922.55 533.87 54 90 36 53.42 88.73 41.28 44 79 39 44.60 86.99 42.24 25 20 15 26.44 25.90 24.78 1 0 1.67 2.23 0.00 20-34 132 127.71 1850 1819.81 180 183.43 162 173.84 60 77.12 2 3.90 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 30 71 25 24.12 66.00 21.98 92 186 88 88.59 170.02 80.58 302 576 257 300.70 575.93 257.08 42 31 18 41.45 44.63 22.05 15 33 13 26.07 40.55 18.46 1 1 0 1.05 0.74 0.00 20-34 126 112.10 366 339.19 1135 1133.72 91 108.13 61 85.08 2 1.79 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 15 19 10 11.97 18.07 7.37 76 135 52 70.77 116.95 36.24 35 43 9 28.60 40.70 9.07 1196 1674 840 1169.88 1655.99 842.91 109 115 71 139.86 140.22 79.90 29 18 23 38.95 32.00 29.47 20-34 44 37.41 263 223.97 87 78.37 3710 3668.79 295 359.97 70 100.42 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 12 8 4.56 6.59 5.08 19 46 27 20.77 35.75 20.66 26 31 14 16.79 27.26 10.58 122 135 89 135.36 135.46 92.05 248 283 225 227.24 297.86 228.32 19 18 10 31.26 22.10 16.33 20-34 22 16.23 92 77.18 71 54.62 346 362.87 756 753.43 47 69.68 V 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 0 0 0.34 0.23 0.35 3 4 7 1.66 4.51 4.68 1 0 3 2.98 0.60 1.89 32 40 27 37.08 34.87 26.82 32 25 25 27.19 25.57 26.47 33 44 36 31.76 47.23 37.79 20-34 0 0.92 14 10.85 4 5.47 99 98.76 82 79.22 113 116.77 1 75 Figure 4 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years who in 1971 were: Social Class I 1 a t Census GO0 - 400- + 0 .r ;7 h 200 200- - . c, r c 0) .rc T- 100 E T -I T I ' * I A no u m Evl T 50 - U 0 W -O m .rv 25- U m S 5 =: 10- 5Social Class IIIM a t Census Social Class I I I N a t Census 600 7 + GO0 - 200 - 400 0 .r c, I 4200 001 h - T- * c, .r 100 -aJ .r n m o u 7 * € I n 50 urn - - T I I - 3 ; - & 010 In.U 25- m U != m 10- Ln c, 5- 5-1 Social Class IV a t Census 600 400- 400 - 200 - 200- T + i 100 : - { -? A - 100 -i 7 l - ? ; I * - T' t 7 I ? 50- L A * 50 - A. 25 - 25- 10 - 10- 5 J 5I I I I I i I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h of c h i l d I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h of c h i l d C o b s e r v e d number o f t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = CExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s 76 - GO0 7 x Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s 100 A Appendix Table 4 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year ofbirth of child; by housing tenure (b) Private tenants Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs Exp I1 Obs IIIN Obs IIIM Exp Obs IV Exp Obs V __ ____ Exp Obs Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 13 14 15 12 8 13 3.53 11.27 11.89 13.82 10.87 11.29 10.98 2 0 1 3 2 6 3 0.33 1.25 1.56 2.15 2.01 2.47 2.85 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0.52 1.73 1.90 2.30 1.88 2.04 2.06 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 0.50 1.31 1.15 1.10 0.72 0.62 0.49 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0.13 0.44 0.49 0.62 0.52 0.59 0.62 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 1 5 1 1 3 2 1.15 1.69 2.00 2.07 2.02 1.67 1.80 33 40 28 39 26 21 22 28.60 36.93 38.39 34.75 29.82 21.67 20.46 1 6 7 3 4 2 4 3.40 4.73 5.29 5.16 4.77 3.73 3.80 2 1 8 4 10 3 0 3.09 4.18 4.55 4.30 3.86 2.93 2.90 0 2 5 2 2 3 3 1.65 2.31 2.61 2.56 2.38 1.87 1.91 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.12 0.12 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 3 2 0 3 1 1 0.95 1.61 1.90 2.89 2.52 2.26 2.44 3 7 8 11 9 6 8 4.21 6.76 7.55 10.88 8.96 7.60 7.78 31 35 31 41 22 20 14 28.33 36.16 32.05 36.72 24.09 16.19 13.15 1 2 3 5 5 1 5 2.41 3.64 3.81 5.17 4.01 3.19 3.06 2 4 3 2 3 3 0 1.88 2.65 2.58 3.26 2.35 1.74 1.55 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.22 0.19 0.12 0.09 0.04 0.02 0.01 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 0.56 0.88 1.09 1.08 1.22 1.41 1.17 3 2 8 8 6 9 10 3.13 4.98 6.32 6.32 7.30 8.54 7.19 2 1 3 3 3 5 0 1.72 2.50 2.87 2.62 2.76 2.94 2.25 132 151 134 95 86 74 46 128.04 149.44 138.33 101.58 85.79 73.43 45.25 6 15 18 15 15 9 9 10.35 14.03 15.07 12.84 12.58 12.50 8.94 4 6 4 7 2 3 1 3.20 4.19 4.33 3.55 3.34 3.20 2.20 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 3 0 1 2 2 0.26 0.53 0.61 0.63 0.63 0.85 0.98 3 4 5 3 5 6 1 1.98 3.45 3.36 2.99 2.55 2.95 2.91 2 3 3 7 1 1 0 2.87 4.00 3.10 2.20 1.49 1.38 1.08 10 21 29 20 19 12 18 15.89 25.77 23.32 19.29 15.24 16.38 15.01 44 57 35 28 15 18 14 39.96 54.92 42.09 29.49 19.74 17.97 13.95 6 9 3 1 2 4 2 4.04 6.33 5.51 4.40 3.35 3.47 3.07 1.00 0.78 1.20 0.66 0.63 0.52 0.38 11 12.02 9.45 14.73 8.24 7.95 6.71 4.84 8 10 10 2 8 4 5 9.37 7.22 11.01 6.03 5.70 4.71 3.33 19 9 17 3 6 2 2 16.54 10.89 14.21 6.66 5.38 3.80 2.29 V 1971 0 0.38 1 0.68 1 1972 0 0.16 1 0.49 0 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0.14 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 1 0 0 0 0.71 0.36 0.32 0.25 0.17 0 1 3 0 0 0 9 14 16 3 10 4 1 77 Appendix Table 4 (b) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs - ~ Exp _ I1 IIIN IIIM IV Obs Obs Obs Obs _ _ V Exp Obs ~ Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.64 0.65 0.84 0.58 0.60 0.42 0.27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 2 2 2 4 0 0 0 1.17 1.51 1.03 1.13 0.72 0.61 0.38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.09 0.13 0.09 0.10 0.06 0.06 0.04 1 3 1 2 1 2 0 1.36 2.09 2.01 1.66 1.25 0.93 0.66 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5 12 7 10 7 2 5.84 7.28 8.68 6.94 6.33 4.35 3.66 2 3 5 1.84 2.02 2.11 1.49 1.19 0.72 0.53 10.84 12.71 12.97 12.17 10.29 8.26 9.47 49 42 34 29 15 9 9 43.64 39.61 31.25 22.66 14.82 9.20 8.16 0 5 3 3 1 1 1 2.01 2.24 2.19 1.96 1.58 1.21 1.32 5.58 7.23 5.71 4.52 3.46 4.41 3.50 5 14 3 1 2 1 2 5.06 6.02 4.36 3.17 2.22 2.61 1.90 13 5 6 8 2 9 3 10.39 11.79 8.15 5.66 3.79 4.24 2.95 22 20 26 19 20 13 10 18.05 18.50 24.19 17.00 18.03 12.63 8.16 0 1 3 2 2 0 1 1.41 1.70 2.61 2.16 2.70 2.22 1.69 1.66 1.79 2.46 1.82 2.03 1.49 1.02 3 4 1 3 5 2.30 3.45 2.74 3.49 2.58 2.55 1.85 40 54 35 34 27 20 14 38.58 51.51 36.32 41.28 27.19 23.85 15.42 2 4 5 6 0 1 2 3.77 5.00 3.50 3.95 2.58 2.25 1.44 2 2 4 7 4 7 3 3.08 4.40 3.33 4.06 2.86 2.69 1.86 1.60 2.79 3.05 2.83 2.46 2.08 1.69 2 5 4 4 11 2 6 3.09 5.96 7.17 7.43 7.02 6.55 5.88 26 34 30 20 15 11 6 23.12 32.79 29.02 22.11 15.34 10.52 6.94 1 1 3 3 1 5 3 0.67 1.37 1.75 1.93 1.93 1.92 1.83 1 1 2 0 2 0.50 0.71 0.98 0.89 0.94 0.75 0.73 3 5 10 4 7 3 5 3.70 5.08 6.67 5.86 5.87 4.43 4.11 97 102 99 78 57 37 26 94.66 103.99 109.15 76.79 61.71 37.33 27.70 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.31 0.43 0.52 0.58 0.58 0.55 0.75 5 1 4 1 3 1 3 2.63 3.18 3.34 3.22 2.81 2.32 2.74 2.56 2.83 2.72 2.40 1.91 1.45 1.56 5 8 11 7 10 10 1 0.25 0.00 0.00 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 0.69 0.91 0.73 0.59 0.46 0.59 0.48 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.14 0.17 3 6 9 1.16 1.29 1.83 1.39 1.60 1.22 0.85 0 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 4 2 0 2 5 7 0 2 2 0 1 1 1.45 0 1.91 3 3 2.41 2.04 1.97 1.43 1.27 1 2 1 10 1 1 0 2 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3 5 0 3 3 2 1 10 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 2 2 Appendix Table 4 (b) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I Obs I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 Exp I1 Obs 10.38 11.13 5.52 5.44 3.05 5.19 2.15 Exp IIIN Obs Exp IIIM Obs Exp 0.85 1.03 0.58 0.65 0.41 0.80 0.38 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0.36 0.50 0.32 0.40 0.29 0.63 0.34 0.86 0.80 0.34 0.29 0.14 0.21 0.07 26.63 22.43 14.30 12.59 8.57 6.15 5.27 3 1 1 2 0 0 1 2.19 1.79 1.11 0.95 0.63 0.44 0.37 1.77 1.60 1.10 1.05 0.77 0.59 0.55 0.90 1.06 0.93 0.95 0.60 0.21 0.29 1.97 2.80 2.96 3.68 2.81 2.37 2.00 12 14 11 8 7 3 3 12.49 13.25 10.48 9.71 5.54 3.48 2.20 0.77 0.95 0.88 0.95 0.64 0.47 0.34 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.44 0.59 0.33 0.32 0.28 0.17 0.11 1.21 2.03 1.48 1.79 2.00 1.54 1.28 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.52 0.71 0.41 0.40 0.35 0.21 0.14 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.74 0.50 0.40 0.23 0.20 0.12 0.18 1.16 1.14 1.31 1.09 1.37 1.17 2.48 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 2.05 1.18 0.80 0.39 0.29 0.14 0.18 0.20 0.49 0.44 0.20 0.20 0.42 0.44 0 0.15 0.30 0.22 0.08 0.07 0.12 0.10 IV Obs Exp V Obs Exp 0.56 0.54 0.24 0.22 0.11 0.17 0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.83 0.82 0.61 0.63 0.51 0.43 0.43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 0.88 0.94 0.75 0.71 0.41 0.26 0.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.83 66.27 38.02 36.37 32.22 19.53 12.81 2 2 3.25 5.08 3.43 3.86 4.02 2.87 2.21 0 3 1 2 1 2 0 1.74 2.32 1.33 1.27 1.13 0.69 0.45 9.78 7.70 7.10 4.73 4.75 3.23 5.50 35 29 16 10 15 8 9 31.34 22.02 18.10 10.75 9.62 5.84 8.86 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1.94 1.46 1.28 0.81 0.78 0.50 0.82 2.13 4.29 3.17 1.16 0.94 1.68 1.42 2 5 3 2 2.62 4.85 3.29 1.10 6 1 0.82 1 0 2 1.34 1.05 2 1 4.81 7.97 4.84 1.45 0.97 1.42 0.99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.59 1.35 0.87 0.77 0.53 0.39 0.34 28 22 14 11 9 6 4 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 49 68 37 36 36 20 14 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.09 0.09 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 6 5 1 0 2 1 5 4 1 79 Appendix Table 4 (b) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I Ohs Exp ~ All birrhs 1971-77 I1 Obs ~ Exp IIIN Obs IIIM ~ Exp Obs IV Exp _ Obs V Exp _ Ohs Exp I 20-24 25-29 30-34 76 130 47 73.65 116.57 42.85 17 9 3 12.62 14.48 4.71 3 2 2 12.44 9.35 2.84 9 15 3 5.88 12.28 2.71 3 1 0 3.40 3.99 1.90 0 0.00 0 0 0.34 0.00 20-34 253 233.06 29 31.82 7 24.63 27 20.87 4 9.29 0 0.34 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 15 22 2 12.41 18.97 5.84 209 224 94 210.62 234.15 95.95 27 20 8 30.90 22.50 7.48 28 29 7 25.82 22.28 7.43 17 10 10 15.29 6.54 4.26 0 0 0 0.96 0.57 0.00 20-34 39 37.22 527 540.72 55 60.88 64 55.53 37 26.10 0 1.53 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 11 18 3 14.57 16.50 4.93 52 34 16 53.74 43.10 18.59 194 142 58 186.70 139.84 57.14 22 17 7 25.29 11.41 5.01 17 10 6 16.02 9.96 4.11 1 0 0 0.69 0.17 0.85 0.00 20-34 32 36.00 102 115.43 394 383.68 46 41.70 33 30.08 1 IIIM 20-24 25-29 30-34 6 7 1 7.40 5.50 2.23 46 37 9 43.78 35.73 11.32 17 11 2 17.66 12.46 2.75 718 496 260 721.86 511.32 255.05 87 53 24 86.29 43.08 24.73 27 14 9 24.03 9.88 8.92 20-34 14 15.13 92 90.83 30 32.87 1474 1488.23 164 154.11 50 42.83 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 9 1 0 4.49 3.74 2.37 27 18 9 20.18 20.25 9.71 17 17 4 16.12 15.44 5.02 129 61 35 130.89 76.72 42.78 211 187 122 218.13 169.34 106.52 27 14 4 30.17 12.52 7.59 20-34 10 10.60 54 50.14 38 36.59 225 250.39 520 493.99 45 50.28 V 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 1 0 0.76 0.25 0.23 3 5 2 2.98 4.45 2.39 5.18 0.58 1.04 67 31 17 63.94 34.41 14.79 47 28 15 47.37 25.35 15.09 58 46 20 59.77 46.96 22.45 20-34 1 1.24 10 9.82 6.80 1 I5 113.14 90 87.82 124 129.18 80 _ - GO0 400- 600 *0 400- .r U F 200- U h T 2 =,loo .r 7 n T $ b I m o u -L 50 - E m urn 200- 7 - .rv - * T 1 -* * I A 50 - t 25- + 100 - A aJ0 mr- - 25 - U m c m =: L 10- 10 - A 5- 5 1 Social Class I I I M a t Census Social Class I I I N a t Census 0 .r U 2 200 - h l - U ""I .r 7 n * m o u i E m y 25 m U m =I 105 j '" 5 Social Class V a t Census Social Class IV a t Census GO07 GO0 0 ._ U m L *+h .r :::];; -- 100 -a.n m o u Ern ., -am A - , ~ - A c t - A 50 I 0 .-a VIU L _I 25 10 5 I I I I I I I I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V I Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d ZObserved number of t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = ZExpected number o f t r a n s i t i o n s I I I I I I1 IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d l - x 100 ' 0 Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s & 81 Appendix Table 4 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child; by housing tenure (c) Local authority tenants Social class at Census and vear of bkth of child Social class at birth of child I Ohs I1 Exp Ohs IIIN Exp Ohs ~- IIIM Exp ~ Ohs IV Exp ~ Ohs _ V Exp Exp Ohs _ _ ~ Married men aged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 3 2 3 2 6 2 0.00 4.23 2.80 2.76 2.72 3.98 1.94 0 1 1 0 0 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 82 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 0.00 0.65 0.45 0.46 0.47 0.72 0.36 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.47 0.37 0.43 0.50 0.87 0.50 0.42 0.51 0.91 0.55 0.66 0.73 0.47 12 10 15 8 9 10 7 10.54 11.08 17.38 9.22 9.71 9.48 5.28 1 1 5 3 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0.30 0.72 0.67 0.64 0.66 0.73 1.13 1 4 4 3 1 3 3 1.33 3.05 2.67 2.40 2.35 2.45 3.61 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 0.45 0.83 0.84 0.79 0.92 0.81 0.85 1 6 2 4 8 3 2 1 1 0 0 0.32 0.43 0.55 0.63 0.50 0.48 0.93 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.42 0.27 0.12 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.01 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.49 0.27 0.22 0.18 0.22 0.09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.16 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.21 0.1.1 1.25 1.42 2.40 1.37 1.55 1.63 0.98 0 3 2 2 0 2 0 1.14 1.25 2.06 1.14 1.26 1.28 0.75 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 10 14 8 4 5 6 3 8.95 16.31 11.35 8.09 6.31 5.22 6.11 1 3 1 3 0.76 1.64 1.35 1.14 1.05 1.03 1.42 2.51 4.70 4.89 4.64 5.49 4.94 5.26 0 2 1 3 0 2 0 1.38 2.36 2.22 1.93 2.07 1.70 1.65 102 129 98 70 63 43 36 1 1 3 3 2 1 2 2.46 2.80 3.06 2.99 2.01 1.64 2.75 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 3.57 3.24 2.83 2.20 1.18 0.77 1.03 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0.77 0.82 0.60 0.45 0.29 0.19 0.25 1 3 2 0 0 1 1 1.13 1.29 1.03 0.81 0.57 0.39 0.58 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.69 1.18 0.68 0.77 0.82 0.49 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.03 0 2 3 5 3 0 2 0.60 1.19 0.91 0.72 0.62 0.56 0.72 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.07 0.09 0.04 0 0.01 0.01 0.00 102.78 140.95 170.04 74.60 64.53 42.47 33.09 14 22 21 12 9 8 11 8.31 13.23 11.66 9.43 9.46 7.23 6.54 1 6 6 5 4 3 0 2.57 3.95 3.35 2.60 2.52 1.85 1.61 23 29 26 14 13 9 17 19.80 20.89 21.23 19.29 12.05 9.14 14.20 48 37 33 14 13 11 11 49.80 44.51 38.31 29.49 15.61 10.03 13.20 7 9 7 8 5 2 5 5.04 5.13 5.02 4.40 2.65 1.94 2.90 16 11 15 13 6 3 9 13.53 15.65 12.63 10.11 7.15 5.03 7.47 12 14 8 5 3 4 3 10.54 11.95 9.44 7.41 5.13 3.53 5.14 16 18 18.61 18.03 LO 12.18 8 9 4 4 8.17 4.84 2.85 3.54 0 1 2 1 0.02 ~ Appendix Table 4 ( c ) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs Exp Obs ~ ~ ~ IIIM IIIN Exp Obs ~ ~ Exp Obs ~ IV Exp ~ V Obs _ Exp _ Obs _ Exp _ _ Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3 10 1 2 5 1 4 3.14 9.25 3.02 3.70 5.77 0.70 4.08 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 1 0 0 0 0.25 0.85 0.33 0.47 0.86 0.12 0.84 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0.20 0.65 0.23 0.30 0.51 0.07 0.43 0.80 1.26 1.22 0.91 0.93 0.80 0.62 12 16 16 10 8 8 4 13.39 18.73 16.23 10.70 9.82 7.45 5.14 1 3 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0.91 1.37 1.21 0.87 1.49 0.28 0.80 2 1 4 0 2 1 1 1.75 2.91 2.84 2.27 4.26 0.89 2.77 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0.71 1.16 0.89 0.87 0.87 0.95 0.86 4 3 4 2 2 3 2 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.27 0.53 0.42 0.58 0.38 0.51 0.69 0 0 0.52 0.00 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1 0.29 0.90 0.31 0.40 0.65 0.08 0.51 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.11 0.32 0.10 0.13 0.19 0.02 0.13 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 1.31 1.82 1.56 1.02 0.93 0.70 0.48 3 2 3 1 0 0 1 1.07 1.60 1.49 1.05 1.03 0.84 0.62 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0.41 0.55 0.46 0.29 0.26 0.19 0.13 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 10 16 8 8 9 1 4 13.10 16.03 11.47 6.76 9.31 1.44 3.27 3 1 1 2 3 1 3 0.38 0.67 0.69 0.59 1.17 0.26 0.86 2 4 3 1 2 0 0 0.77 1.02 0.79 0.51 0.76 0.13 0.31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.32 8.23 6.10 5.73 5.42 5.61 4.86 0 6 1 4 3 0 0 2.08 3.10 2.20 2.00 1.81 1.80 1.50 133 165 98 74 62 51 33 135.86 168.44 99.91 75.15 56.96 47.23 32.81 14 13 12 11 4 5 8 8.39 11.80 7.95 6.79 5.84 5.50 4.34 4 8 3 1 1 2 2 2.63 3.27 1.93 1.45 1.09 0.91 0.63 0 4 2 2 1 1 0 2.29 3.91 2.65 3.22 1.84 2.12 2.51 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2.23 3.48 2.16 2.40 1.26 1.32 1.43 12 14 16 21 9 8 8 9.44 15.63 10.28 12.17 6.75 7.55 8.68 40 49 23 16 7 10 11 38.01 48.71 24.76 22.66 9.73 8.40 7.48 1 7 0 1 2 1 2 1.75 2.76 1.73 1.96 1.04 1.11 1.21 1 1 2 1 1 0 1 1.41 1.19 1.34 0.97 0.82 0.54 0.59 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.06 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.21 7 9 11 11 3 5 7 11.42 9.46 10.51 7.43 6.22 4.05 4.28 9 7 5 6 6 2 1 10.36 7.87 8.03 5.21 4.00 2.39 2.32 28 17 16 5 8 4 2 21.25 15.42 15.01 9.29 6.82 3.89 3.60 1 0 1 2 0 1 v 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0.00 83 _ Appendix Table 4 (c) continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I I1 Obs Exp Obs IIIN Exp IIIM IV Obs Exp V Obs Exp 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.06 0.07 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.09 0.08 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.41 0.17 0.32 0.23 0.21 0.25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.40 0.52 0.31 0.16 0.19 0.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 5 6 4 1 1 1 1 3.51 3.13 2.45 1.56 0.99 0.96 0.69 Obs Exp Obs Exp ~~~~~~~~~~~~ Married men aged 30-34 I I971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.60 1.59 2.36 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.72 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.13 0.15 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.13 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.34 0.68 0.24 0.39 0.24 0.19 0.19 2 10 3 6 2 2 1 5.65 11.22 3.97 6.30 3.89 3.08 3.01 2 1 2 0 0 0 2 0.46 0.90 0.31 0.48 0.29 0.22 0.21 0.38 0.80 0.31 0.52 0.35 0.30 0.32 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.53 0.45 0.64 0.42 0.24 0.15 0.06 0 0 0 2 2 1 0 1.16 1.18 2.04 1.61 1.13 1.69 0.40 10 6 9 2 1 1 1 7.34 5.58 7.20 4.25 2.22 2.49 0.44 0.45 0.40 0.61 0.42 0.25 0.33 0.07 0 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.90 0.79 0.61 0.39 0.24 0.23 0.16 2.44 2.75 2.72 2.19 1.75 2.15 1.95 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 1.06 0.96 0.76 0.49 0.31 0.30 0.22 100.53 89.51 70.13 44.64 28.19 27.34 19.59 9 7 8 10 4 3 4 6.56 6.86 6.33 4.74 3.52 4.01 3.39 1.08 1.37 1.31 1.39 1.29 1.27 1.24 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1.92 1.43 0.80 0.50 0.27 0.15 0.09 9.15 9.29 7.10 6.04 4.47 3.52 2.75 29 22 14 16 9 3 2 29.34 26.55 18.10 13.73 9.05 6.37 4.43 4 4 0.42 0.60 0.70 0.84 0.59 0.85 0.66 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.31 0.37 0.35 0.35 0.20 0.24 0.15 4.48 5.25 5.02 4.92 2.82 3.36 2.13 6 4 8 5 3 4 1 5.50 10 13 8 6 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.69 0.61 0.40 0.30 0.19 0.13 0.09 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.18 0.11 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 84 0 0 1 98 89 68 42 29 31 21 5 3 3 6 1 4 1 . 5.93 5.21 4.70 2.47 2.71 1.58 5 2 1 1 1 5 2 2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.82 1.76 1.28 1.04 0.73 0.55 0.41 10.10 9.74 7.66 6.17 2.91 2.85 1.48 Appendix Table 4 (c) continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child I I1 Ohs ~ Exp Ohs ~ IIIN Exp Ohs IIIM _ Exp Obs IV Exp _ V Obs Exp _ Obs Exp ~ All births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 18 26 4 18.43 29.66 7.01 3.14 3.72 0.77 6 3 1 3.11 2.39 0.47 1.47 3.13 0.45 0 1 1 0.85 1.01 0.31 0.00 0.09 0.00 20-34 48 55.10 7.63 10 5.96 5.04 2 2.18 0.09 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 4.24 6.53 2.27 71 74 26 72.69 81.46 37.12 13 9 7 10.61 7.83 2.86 9 10 8 8.88 7.70 2.97 4 5 6 5.25 2.28 1.76 2 2 0 0.33 0.20 0.00 20-34 13.04 171 191.26 29 21.30 27 19.55 15 9.29 4 0.53 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 4.86 6.91 2.47 19 11 5 17.86 17.69 9.20 50 56 30 62.34 61.37 29.52 12 14 5 8.39 4.63 2.54 15 12 4 5.32 4.29 2.12 0.24 0.09 0.00 20-34 14.25 35 44.75 136 153.23 31 15.55 31 11.73 0.33 20-24 25-29 30-34 5.50 6.32 3.33 26 20 3 32.43 41.28 15.96 8 14 5 13.31 14.49 4.08 54 1 616 378 565.47 616.36 379.93 97 67 45 65.85 50.60 35.41 25 21 19 18.46 11.92 13.28 20-34 15.14 49 89.67 27 31.88 I,535 1561.76 209 151.86 65 43.66 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 3.84 3.38 2.41 13 10 4 17.72 18.55 8.96 5 9 3 14.81 14.28 5.15 131 88 54 116.59 70.50 42.32 187 156 95 200.95 159.74 107.58 43 14 18 27.07 11.56 7.59 20-34 9.62 27 45.23 17 34.25 273 229.41 438 468.27 15 46.22 20-24 25-29 30-34 0.90 0.52 0.40 2 7 3 3.36 6.87 4.66 8 1 0 5.80 0.79 1.97 73 53 23 71.57 53.36 27.97 49 36 31 53.14 40.19 28.09 69 80 46 68.23 75.28 40.91 20-34 1.82 12 14.88 9 8.57 149 152.90 116 121.42 195 184.41 IIIM V 85 Figure 4 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years who in 1971 were: (e) Local authority tenants Social Class I1 a t Census 600 *0 - GO0 4001 4007 .r + . h - , c, 7 w .n m o u W r '? O J r ; - I I 4 . I l. .r V l -v ? A . I 50- I O i .L t l. : T i T 100 I A - 200- I & 7 50 u r n i T 100 E m 7 I E - 200- .r - 25- 25- 10- 10 5- 5- m U S m =; - Social Class I I I M a t Census Social Class I I I N a t Census GO0 GOO- *0 400- .r c, E c h , .C 7 .r -w O cnr y 100 -P ? I O U E m 50urn .rv T. 100 n m W r 200- : I 50 0 , I * I 25- I I m U S m =I 105 5-1 Social Class V a t Census GO0 - * GO0 400- 0 .r 43 E i + h z, .r c n - o u E m o m W m 50- I O 7 .rv 25- U m e 7 - T A r A -1 100 z i I I c m =I I 100 m 200 t 200- 10- : I 10 5 I A 5- I I I I1 I IIIN IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d C o b s e r v e d number of t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobility r a t i o = CExpected number of t r a n s i t i o n s 86 -r x I 100 f 4 . Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s Appendix Table 5 Observed and expected social class mobility for all married men by age and year of birth of child owner occupier migrants between local authorities 1970-71 Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I IIIN I1 Ohs Exp Ohs Exp Ohs IV IIIM Exp Ohs Exp V Obs Exp Ohs Exp 0.60 1.15 0.81 0.55 0.31 0.36 0.23 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.15 0.38 0.35 0.31 0.23 0.35 0.29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.38 1.84 1.80 2.02 1.98 2.38 1.78 0 2 0.74 1.02 1.03 1.20 1.22 1.52 1.17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.10 0.07 0 0 0.74 0.93 1.72 1.38 1.46 1.29 0.83 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.09 0.07 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 1 3.66 4.38 5.56 6.22 5.12 5.76 2.93 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1.13 1.31 1.60 1.72 1.36 1.48 0.72 Murried men uged 20-24 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 5 10 10 7 4 7 5 2 0 0 1 1 3 0 4.23 9.86 8.40 6.91 4.75 6.64 5.17 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0.40 1.09 1.10 1.08 0.88 1.45 1.34 0.51 0.74 0.79 0.97 1.03 1.36 1.11 14 15 17 19 15 20 16 12.79 16.25 15.21 16.31 15.25 17.60 12.54 1 3 7 7 7 6 3 1.66 2.39 5.03 4.61 5.55 5.64 4.17 12 10 21 16 13 13 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 2 2 3 0.37 0.57 1.26 1.23 1.56 1.68 1.31 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.20 0.27 0.40 0.52 0.50 0.65 0.38 0 4 2 4 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.16 0.20 0.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 0 0 1 3 1 2 2 3 1 0.62 1.52 1.34 1.15 0.82 1.20 0.97 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1.52 2.08 2.10 2.42 2.44 3.03 2.33 0 3 1 4 2 1 3 8 11.18 12.76 21.37 15.56 14.91 12.02 7.05 0 0.95 1.28 2.54 2.19 2.48 2.36 1.64 1.11 1.56 2.33 3.06 2.97 3.93 2.36 0 0 1 2 1 2 0 0.61 0.78 1.06 1.27 1.12 1.35 0.74 50 50 55 50 32 39 17 45.29 46.70 51.05 49.20 34.92 33.84 14.86 0.43 0.58 0.52 0.46 0.65 0.69 0.08 0 3 0.62 0.67 0.48 0.34 0.38 0.32 0.03 2 8 1 6 3 2 0 3.42 4.34 3.59 2.94 3.90 3.81 0.41 12 4 9 0.08 0.15 0.05 0.21 0.05 0.03 0.02 0 0 0 0.13 0.24 0.09 0.39 0.09 0.07 0.03 1 2 0 1.50 2.93 1.05 4.87 1.19 0.84 0.44 0 3 0 4 1 2 2 1 2 3 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 4 6 7 1 2 1 5 6 1 1 8.61 9.25 6.48 4.50 5.05 4.18 0.38 0 0 1.17 2.24 0.79 3.57 0.86 0.59 0.30 4 3 3 3 1 1 0 0 0 0.87 1.07 0.85 0.67 0.86 0.81 0.08 v 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 2.07 3.38 1.02 3.93 0.81 0.47 0.21 Appendix Table 5 continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child I1 I Obs Exp Obs IIIN Exp Obs IIIM Exp Obs ~ IV Exp Obs V Exp Obs Exp ~ - Married men aged 25-29 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 18 29 21 16 15 15 11 19.62 31.61 22.67 16.26 14.42 13.33 10.89 1.53 2.90 2.45 2.07 2.16 2.34 2.25 0 4 3 0 3 0 1 1.26 2.21 1.72 1.33 1.28 1.28 1.14 1 4 1 0 1 1 1 1.81 3.06 2.31 1.74 1.62 1.58 1.35 0.70 1.11 0.78 0.55 0.48 0.44 0.35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.11 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.02 31.50 39.80 30.14 28.28 24.92 17.89 15.42 4 2 3 3 3 3 0 3.08 3.87 2.91 2.70 2.37 1.69 1.44 0 3 2 3 0 0 1 2.51 3.40 2.76 2.78 2.62 2.02 1.86 0.96 1.17 0.85 0.77 0.66 0.46 0.38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.04 1.44 2.67 2.77 3.07 1.84 2.17 1.09 2.78 5.69 6.51 8.05 5.26 6.85 3.80 20 35 28 21 14 12 4 20.81 31.33 26.32 23.95 11.51 11.00 4.49 0 1 1 0 2 1 0 0.60 1.31 1.59 2.09 1.45 2.01 1.18 1.22 2.00 1.82 1.80 0.94 0.97 0.43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.31 0.31 0.44 0.28 0.41 0.32 2 2 1.41 2.23 2.10 2.87 1.73 2.44 1.84 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 0.55 0.84 0.76 1.00 0.58 0.79 0.57 34 42 30 35 16 22 11 35.94 45.55 34.42 37.58 18.20 20.57 12.39 2.22 3.19 2.74 3.39 1.87 2.39 1.64 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0.70 0.89 0.66 0.73 0.35 0.39 0.24 1 0 1 0.08 0.09 0.13 0.09 0.16 0.17 0.13 1 1 2 0 2 1 2 0.68 0.63 0.82 0.52 0.79 0.71 0.46 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 0.66 0.56 0.67 0.39 0.54 0.44 0.26 1 4 4 2 3 1 0 2.80 2.50 3.18 1.98 2.89 2.52 1.58 11.26 7.79 7.66 3.69 4.17 2.80 1.36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0.06 0.07 0.12 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 1 1 0 1 0 0.09 0.05 0.16 0.02 0.01 0.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.51 0.56 0.90 0.65 0.69 0.37 1.17 I1 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1.88 2.67 2.27 2.39 2.37 1.91 1.85 35 43 32 30 27 19 17 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0.00 0.00 0.00 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0.52 0.44 054 0.32 0.44 0.37 0.22 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 88 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0.46 0.46 0.69 0.45 0.45 0.22 0.63 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 0.94 0.91 1.29 0.81 0.76 0.35 0.98 Appendix Table 5 continued Social class at Census and year of birth of child Social class at birth of child IIIN I1 I Obs Exp Obs Exp IIIM Ohs Exp Obs 0.39 0.53 0.59 0.40 0.29 0.45 0.22 0 V IV Exp Obs Exp Ohs Exp 0.92 0.85 0.63 0.29 0.14 0.15 0.05 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.60 0.58 0.45 0.22 0.11 0.12 0.04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.29 1.55 1.35 0.92 0.63 0.67 0.95 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0.60 0.79 0.75 0.55 0.41 0.48 0.74 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.67 0.64 0.57 0.31 0.24 0.15 0.13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Married men aged 30-34 I 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 11 12 9 7 3 5 1 11.17 11.93 10.25 5.44 3.05 3.71 1.43 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0.91 1.11 1.08 0.65 0.41 0.57 0.25 1 0 1 0 1 4 2 1 0 0 1.15 1.30 1.06 0.68 0.44 0.44 0.58 22 20 18 12 7 6 7 19.37 21.63 17.48 11.02 7.01 6.92 9.04 1 2 1 0 1 1 IIIN 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.69 0.72 0.69 0.42 0.36 0.12 0.23 0 3 1 2 1 3 2 1.50 1.91 2.22 1.61 1.69 1.35 1.60 9 8 10 IIIM 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.18 0.11 0.07 0.09 0.06 0.05 0.02 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 0.13 0.07 0.11 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 IV 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59 1.73 1.36 0.83 0.51 0.50 0.63 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 9.55 9.06 7.86 4.25 3.32 1.99 1.76 0 0 0 0 0 0.59 0.65 0.66 0.42 0.38 0.27 0.28 0.49 0.40 0.30 0.53 0.40 0.43 0.23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.21 0.14 0.08 0.12 0.07 0.06 0.03 21 15 7 12 6 6 2 20.11 12.91 7.60 10.75 6.44 5.47 2.26 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 1.31 0.99 0.69 1.14 0.80 0.80 0.39 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0.70 0.45 0.27 0.38 0.23 0.19 0.08 0.20 0.17 0.36 0.18 0.08 0.21 0.28 0 0 0 0 0 0.35 0.17 0.22 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.02 0 1 2 2 0 2 0 1.66 1.13 1.96 0.79 0.28 OS9 0.61 7 0 5.33 3.24 4.99 1.79 0.57 1.06 0.98 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0.21 0.35 0.14 0.05 0.09 0.09 0.04 0.11 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.08 0.11 0 0 0.03 0.07 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.02 0.03 0 1 0.43 0.95 0.00 0.58 0 1 0 1 0.00 0 0.34 0.35 0 0 0.52 1.08 0.00 0.55 0.00 0.27 0.26 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0.96 1.77 0.00 0.73 0.00 0.28 0.25 1 5 5 0 0 0 1 2 1 5 1 1 0 1 V 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 89 Appendix Table 5 continued Social class at Census, age of married men Social class at birth of child Obs Exp ______ Obs __ IIIN _______ Exp Obs _____ IIIM IV Obs Exp _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ _ _ Obs Exp V _ Exp _ _ Obs _ _ Exp _ AI1 births 1971-77 I 20-24 25-29 30-34 48 125 48 45.96 128.81 46.97 2 20 5 7.34 15.70 5.00 13 20-34 221 221.74 27 28.04 I1 20-24 25-29 30-34 7 11 9 6.52 15.34 5.65 1I6 203 92 20-34 27 27.51 IIIN 20-24 25-29 30-34 11 10 4 20-34 3 7.63 10.22 2.88 2 9 3 4.01 13.48 3.04 2 8 1 2.06 4.41 2.12 0 0 0 0.00 0.38 0.00 27 20.73 14 20.52 11 8.59 0 0.38 105.97 187.95 92.47 13 18 7 15.93 18.05 7.15 7 9 3 13.18 17.96 7.34 6 4 6 7.90 5.24 4.33 I 0 0 0.50 0.45 0.00 41 1 386.39 38 41.14 19 38.47 16 17.47 I 0.95 7.98 15.05 3.23 34 51 12 28.04 38.95 11.90 93 134 40 94.85 129.41 37.79 12 5 1 13.45 10.23 3.24 4 3 2 8.36 9.17 2.71 0 0 0 0.31 0.15 0.00 25 26.27 97 79.89 267 262.04 18 26.93 9 20.25 0 0.46 20-24 25-29 30-34 2 7 0 2.92 2.26 0.57 19 20 4 17.32 14.61 2.76 6 9 0 6.94 5.08 0.70 293 190 69 275.86 204.64 65.54 22 19 3 33.64 17.44 6.13 4 3 2 9.32 3.95 2.29 20-34 9 5.76 43 34.70 15 12.72 552 546.04 44 57.20 9 15.57 IV 20-24 25-29 30-34 1 0.72 0.85 0.40 4 9 2 3.39 4.60 1.48 6 2 4 6 22 15 7 22.41 17.45 7.02 38 34 15 38.44 38.74 17.97 2 2 0 2.84 3.52 0.87 1 5.20 2.85 1.26 20-34 7 1.97 15 9.47 12 7.22 44 46.88 87 95.14 5 9.31 20-24 25-29 30-34 0 0 0 0.14 0.02 0.04 2 0 0 0 0 1.04 0.11 0.19 10 4 2 12.83 4.84 2.65 9 4 2 9.51 3.36 2.69 15 1 0.60 0.63 0.44 7 5 11.89 6.04 3.99 20-34 0 0.20 3 1.67 0 1.33 16 20.32 15 15.56 27 21.92 11 IIIM v 90 _ ~ Figure 5 Social class mobility for married men aged 20-34 years who were owners occupiers and had moved between local authorities in 1970-71 Social Class I1 a t Census 600 7 GOO- *0 400 400- - .r c, I h .r c-' 7 -r .-. a 100 f .r 7 o m o v E m 50 uW r On 200- T 200- t T T I 1 I - I L I 6 ' & 25 - T J - 8 50 -L .r V Iv 7 25- U T T i 100 I ? A T .r e T + A A m U S 10 - m =: 10- 5- 5' Social Class I I I M a t Census Social Class IIIN a t Census GO0 GO0 - 400 - 0 T .r 200- c, 2 200 7- i T + 100- T A 1 t A 50- 100 - T r I ) ; A , 50 I r - 1' i I L & z ; I A t I t A 2525- A 10- 10- 5- 5- Social Class V a t Census Social Class IV a t Census 400 - GO0 600 - 400- - 0 .r c, 2 200- ch -' z, 7 : * * 200 - 100 - - - T 7 7 100 100 m o u E m - m a m 0 4 50- 50 - eI ' 1 I I .r c n 1 -++-4 .A ; .T 0 * .L VI.r 25- U rn A S m 5; 10 10- * 55 i I 5- , , , I , I1 I I I N IIIM IV V Social Class a t b i r t h o f c h i l d I C o b s e r v e d number of t r a n s i t i o n s *Standardised mobi 1i t y r a t i o Printed in the UK for HMSO Dd 738361 C11 3/85 = ZExpected number o f t r a n s i t i o n s x T 100 + Approximate 95% confidence l i m i t s & 91