- Midterm Practice Problems Today! Practice Midterm: Q1: Describe this distribution. Q2: Statistic or Parameter Q3: Probability Describe this distribution Use the checklist: Center: where is the middle, if applicable Spread: how far from the middle does data go? Shape: modes, skew, known limits (positive only?) Outliers: notable values away from most data Shape: Can’t tell number of modes from boxplot. Spread: Extra page for work or notes Extra page for work or notes Here is a histogram of that same data. Be prepared for both. Could you make similar observations from this? Statistic, or Parameter? Statistics are pieces of information about Samples. Samples are a small group that we measure because we can afford to. We hope that the sample is a good representation of what we really want information about, which is the population. Parameters are pieces of information about the Population. Is this a statistic or a parameter? What’s the population or interest? If there’s a sample, what is it? “Plastic bag use has shrunk 59 per cent across the province since the industry agreed to voluntary targets, the grocers note.” Plastic bag ban: Who loses – Toronto Star June 7, 2012 Statistic or Parameter. 42% of the yes/no responses in a voluntary online poll responded in favour of a ban on plastic bags. This is a ____________ Also, this is _____________________. Because the sample was of anyone who volunteered their opinion, not a randomly selected group. Parameter or statistic? “According to a poll released Tuesday, nearly 20 percent of U.S. citizens now believe Barack Obama is a cactus” - Poll: 1 in 5 Americans Believe Obama is a Cactus. The Onion. Sep. 20, 2010. This is a: The sample is: The population is: Probability: Three rules. Converse rule: This is always true. Related: Probabilities can only be from 0 to 1. Multiplication rule Pr(A and B) = Pr(A) x Pr(B) This is only true when events are independent. That means they don’t affect each other. Another perspective: Two things are independent if knowing one doesn’t tell you anything about the other. Addition Rule Pr(A OR B) = Pr(A) + Pr(B) This only works when A and B cannot happen together, otherwise known as mutually exclusive, because one happening excludes the other from happening. Let’s roll! Consider two six-sided dice, a WHITE die and a RED die. What is the probability that the white die rolls a 1 or 2? Let’s roll! Consider two six-sided dice, a WHITE die and a RED die. What is the probability that the white die rolls a 1 or 2? Two faces out of six possible faces. What is the probability that white rolls 1 or 2 AND that red rolls 2,3,or 4? Pr(White rolls 1 or 2) = Pr(Red rolls 2,3, or 4) = Pr(W12 AND R234) = Can we use the multiplication rule to find Pr(White is 1 or 2 AND Red higher than White) ? Knowing that White is a low number like 1 or 2 changes the chances of Red rolling higher than White, so we can’t use the multiplication rule. These events are NOT INDEPENDENT. (See 2d in Assn2 answer key) Don’t wear yourself out before Monday. Be like this, not like this