progress article Published online: 17 January 2010 | doi: 10.1038/ngeo750 Vulnerability of deep groundwater in the bengal aquifer system to contamination by arsenic W. g. burgess1*, M. a. hoque1, h. a. Michael2, c. i. Voss3, g. n. breit4 and K. M. ahmed5 Shallow groundwater, the primary water source in the Bengal Basin, contains up to 100 times the World Health Organization (WHO) drinking-water guideline of 10 μg l–1 arsenic (As), threatening the health of 70 million people. Groundwater from a depth greater than 150 m, which almost uniformly meets the WHO guideline, has become the preferred alternative source. The vulnerability of deep wells to contamination by As is governed by the geometry of induced groundwater flow paths and the geochemical conditions encountered between the shallow and deep regions of the aquifer. Stratification of flow separates deep groundwater from shallow sources of As in some areas. Oxidized sediments also protect deep groundwater through the ability of ferric oxyhydroxides to adsorb As. Basin-scale groundwater flow modelling suggests that, over large regions, deep hand-pumped wells for domestic supply may be secure against As invasion for hundreds of years. By contrast, widespread deep irrigation pumping might effectively eliminate deep groundwater as an As-free resource within decades. Finer-scale models, incorporating spatial heterogeneity, are needed to investigate the security of deep municipal abstraction at specific urban locations. T he Bengal Basin hosts the largest case of mass poisoning in the world1. Excessive concentration of As occurs in shallow groundwater 2 used for domestic supply by 70 million people, 30% of the combined population of Bangladesh and West Bengal, India. Half the shallow hand-pumped wells have As concentrations of 10–1,000 μg l–1 (ref. 2) and most inhabitants have no alternative water source. The use of groundwater was initiated in the 1960s; as a result much of the adult population has been exposed to toxic levels of As for three decades. The health impacts are potentially catastrophic3. Arsenic-affected groundwater has also been identified in fluvio-deltaic settings elsewhere in southeast Asia1,4,5. The enormous scale of As contamination of shallow wells became apparent during the 1980s in West Bengal6 and the 1990s in Bangladesh7. No solutions have since been implemented that provide As-free water to most of the affected population. (By As-free, we mean water containing less than 10 μg l–1 As, the WHO drinking-water guideline, rather than the regulatory limit in Bangladesh and West Bengal, which is 50 μg l–1 As). Of the mitigation options, installation of wells to As-free depths in the aquifer 8, usually taken to be greater than 150 m (ref. 9), offers the most popular, practical and economic solution1,10. In Bangladesh, more than 75,000 deep hand-pumped wells had been installed1 by 2007. Since 2000, deep wells yielding 2,500 m3 d–1 have been installed by local initiatives in over 100 rural supply schemes11. Previously, the Bangladesh Department of Public Health Engineering (DPHE) had fitted deep wells with pumps, each capable of yielding 4,500 m3 d–1, at more than 20 towns (DPHE, personal communication). Deep groundwater continues to be targeted, however there is concern12 that it may be vulnerable to invasion of As from shallow depths as a consequence of pumping. Deep wells offer a solution to another problem: saline groundwater occurring at intermediate depth across most of the coastal region13–16. Here, pumping ‘deep groundwater’ may induce invasion by saline groundwater, which would be expected to precede arrival of As at deep wells, owing to the different distributions and geochemical behaviour of As and salinity. Our purpose is to review the deep groundwater environments of the Bengal Basin (Box 1). With reference to recent modelling results17,18, we focus on the vulnerability of deep groundwater to invasion by As. Any development of deep groundwater should be accompanied by chemical monitoring and consideration of the possible requirement for treatment to mitigate constituents such as iron, manganese and boron (ref. 19). distribution of arsenic Arsenic-rich groundwater occurs in reducing 9, grey-coloured, Holocene sediments20 at depths less than 150 m (Box 1). The As originates in association with a ferric oxyhydroxide coating of Himalayan-derived sediment 21. Reducing conditions, sustained by organic carbon, favour As release to groundwater by microbially mediated22 reductive dissolution21 of the ferric oxyhydroxide. Spatial variability of As at the 10–20 km2 scale has been related to organiccarbon availability 23, local sedimentology 24–26 and groundwater flow 27–30. Present uncertainties include the sources of carbon23,31, the As sorption capacity of aquifer sediments32 and future trends in As concentrations33. Where reductive As release is absent, and yellowish-brown oxidized sediments with a capacity for As sorption exist, groundwater is As-free, notably in Pleistocene and older deposits deep beneath reduced Holocene sediments34,35 and at shallow depth in the vicinity of Pleistocene inliers2,36 (Box 1). Arsenic-free conditions also occur in grey, reduced Pleistocene sediments at depth37. In a national survey of Bangladesh2, of the wells at a depth greater than 150 m (which were principally in the coastal region), fewer than 1% exceeded 50 μg l–1 and 95% had less than 10 μg l–1. Arsenic concentration was generally negligible at depths greater than 200 m, attributed to the geochemical context 31,37, the refractory nature of sedimentary organic matter 27 and/or history of groundwater flushing 2,38. A compilation of surveys2, 12,19,39 giving a broader coverage of the basin (Fig.1) indicates that As exceeds 10 μg l–1 in 18% of deep hand-pumped wells sampled, but whether this is a result of breached well casings or hydrological response to pumping remains uncertain. Department of Earth Sciences, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK, 2Department of Geological Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware 19716, USA, 3US Geological Survey, 431 National Center, Reston, Virginia 20192, USA, 4US Geological Survey, Box 25046 MS 964D, Denver, Colorado 80225, USA, 5Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh. *e-mail: william.burgess@ucl.ac.uk 1 nature geoscience | VOL 3 | FEBRUARY 2010 | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience © 2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved 83 progress article NATure GeOScieNce doi: 10.1038/ngeo750 deep groundwater in the bengal aquifer system coastal region14. An aquitard has been reported as regionally persistent across central40 and southeast Bangladesh16. At Khulna, groundwater has been pumped from 200 to 350 m depth for municipal supply for over 30 years without inducing vertical flux of As or The shallow floodplain aquifer is locally separated from deeper groundwater by a silt-clay aquitard in places, for example in West Bengal25,39, western Bangladesh33 and Khulna in the southwestern Box 1 | The Bengal Aquifer System The Bengal Basin (a) bounded by Precambrian shield and hilly areas, internally comprises a sedimentary sequence of Late Cretaceous– recent age, up to 20 km thick. The long history of predominantly alluvial/fluviatile/deltaic deposition across the region, and basin subsidence50, provide the geological basis for expectation of permeable sediments to depths of many hundreds of metres. Groundwater is pumped from the basin sediments from a present maximum depth of 350 m. Excessive As concentrations are largely restricted to the uppermost 100 m across the floodplains (a). A marine clay of basin-wide extent, the Mio-Pliocene Upper Marine Shale, probably acts as a hydraulic basement at roughly 1,200–2,000 m depth to the aquifer system (called here the Bengal Aquifer System, BAS), comprised of Plio-Pleistocene–Holocene sediments (b). The BAS hosts a number of regional aquifers that are hydraulically connected on a basin-wide scale. Plio-Pleistocene sands and silts deposited in a braided to meandering fluvial setting44 make up the Dupi Tila Formation which forms aquifers44 across the Madhupur and Barind tracts. Episodes of sustained weathering during eustatic sea-level low stands from the Early Pleistocene are reflected in the regionally extensive oxidation of sediments of the central and northern part of the basin. These sediments yield As-free groundwater to depths of at least 250 m, as illustrated in c, a conceptual, bimodal sand– clay representation of the aquifer environments. Holocene sands, silts and silty clays beneath the active floodplains overlie Pleistocene sediments to a depth generally of about 100 m in the south. a Formation of the BAS over Plio-Quaternary time (b) took place under conditions of eustatic cyclicity, with deposition, subsidence and erosion occurring in channels and interfluves across the floodplain. Arsenic-rich groundwater occurs in reducing9 grey-coloured Holocene sediments20 at depths less than 150 m. Accommodation from subsidence50 of 2 mm yr–1 broadly across the basin allowed approximately 200 m of sediment to accumulate over the past one million years (Myr). This time interval includes ten eustatic cycles, each with an effective sedimentation time of ten thousand years (kyr) (b). These sediments host ‘deep’ groundwater in the south of the basin (b,c). They include yellowishbrown, oxidized sands containing ferric-oxyhydroxides that adsorb As and grey sediment with As largely bound to pyrite (Supplementary Fig. S2). Stacking of stable channel sands and adjacent interfluve deposits produced by repeated eustatic cycles resulted in the occurrence of belts of thick sands, and finer materials with limited lateral extents (c) across the southern part of the basin (Supplementary Fig. S1). However, channel migration and dynamics of the depositional engine distributed the strata such that nearly all boreholes intersect multiple layers of high and low hydraulic conductivity. Groundwater flow systems ranging from shallow to deep are developed within the BAS, driven by topography17 and influenced by the presence of layers of low hydraulic conductivity. b Himalaya Depth (m) <20 kyr 100 ? Fault 200 aputra ? 20 kyr to 1 Myr 1 to 3.5 Myr 300 Shillong Plateau ~1,500 Brahm Bay of Bengal ? Top of ‘Upper Marine Shale’ ? >3.5 Myr 100 km Sylhet Basin r ive aR ghn Me r WEST BENGAL Comilla Khulna Kolkata N 0 50 Plio-Pleistocene (Early glacial cyclicity) Pleistocene (Glacial cyclicity) Holocene (Transgressive sediments) Holocene (High–stand deposits) Recent (Subaqueous delta) Late and Early Pleistocene boundary Dhaka ? tain Con ? Arsenic free Water Tertiary Asaffected area ? ~100 m Pleistocene Holocene–Late Pleistocene boundary Late and Early Holocene boundary Holocene-Early Pleistocene boundary Bay of Bengal 100 km Holocene Mio-Pliocene (Pre-glacial high stand) c Sundarbans Igneous and metasediments 84 Hill Range Ind ian Madhupur Tract BANGLADESH ng es Riv Dhaka e Ga Indo-Burm an Sh ie ld Barind Tract SSW Madhupur Tract NNE 0 River NEPAL BHUTAN ? nic arse Khulna Sundarbans Palaeo– channel ? Stacked channel Stacked inter-fluve sand region Arsenic region Arsenic free free ? ? Subsiding subbasin ~50 km Oxic sand Oxic clay Grey sand Grey clay nature geoscience | VOL 3 | FEBRUARY 2010 | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience © 2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved progress article NATure GeOScieNce doi: 10.1038/ngeo750 defences against invasion of deep groundwater by as Groundwater flow paths to deep pumping wells provide an element of protection if As concentrations in recharge areas are low, or travel times to deep wells are long. This is called the ‘flow-pattern defence’. The potential for sediments along induced flow paths to adsorb or otherwise trap As provides a ‘geochemical defence’. Wells should optimally be screened in locations protected by a combination of flow pattern and geochemistry, but where deep groundwater is ultimately vulnerable, the elapsed time before As arrival at pumping wells is critical. Geological interpretation can define the contexts of deep groundwater vulnerability, and the timescale of As arrival may be estimated using groundwater models and geochemical analyses, but acceptable timescales for security of supply are an economic and political consideration1. Flow-pattern defence of deep groundwater. Groundwater flow paths to wells are controlled by spatial patterns of aquifer properties, hydrological surface conditions, aquifer geometry and the distribution of pumping. Flow patterns in the BAS have recently been evaluated by groundwater model analysis17,18 using a single, basin-scale, vertically anisotropic, homogeneous aquifer representation41, calibrated against groundwater heads and ages17. Conditions at the coast were represented by prescribing the equivalent freshwater head of water with a density of 1.025 kg l–1 and depth determined by bathymetry over an extensive offshore region, with a no-flow boundary at the southern limit of the model. Model robustness was demonstrated across a variety of boundary conditions and a range of parameter values17. The recharge provenance of ‘deep’ groundwater relative to shallow As sources, and the travel time from recharge to deep wells, were evaluated for basin-wide groundwater development and a range of development scenarios17,18 (Fig. 2). Deep pumping for domestic supply, with and without shallow irrigation pumping, was found to minimally perturb the subhorizontal flow paths from distant recharge zones. The flow-pattern defence protected groundwater at depths greater than 150 m across more than 90% of the As-affected area (Fig. 2c) indefinitely (modelled as more than 1,000 years18) if deep groundwater abstraction was limited to domestic supply and distributed among hand-pumped wells18. A south-central subregion stands out as more vulnerable to vertical flow on account of basin geometry, consistent with the south-central As anomaly (Fig. 1). Suggestions that high-As irrigation water leads to accumulation of As in rice grains42, human exposure, and threats to sustainable agriculture43, might prompt widespread use of deep As-free groundwater for irrigation. However, the rate of irrigation pumping is about 27° N Himalaya NEPAL Igneous and metasediments Shillong Plateau aR N 22° N 0 87° E Me ghn Kolkata Khulna Hill Range ian Ind WEST BENGAL Indo-Burm an Madhupur Tract ng BANGLADESH es Riv Dhaka er Ga 23° N Pleistocene Sylhet Basin ive r Sh iel d Brahm aputra Rive Barind Tract 25° N 24° N BHUTAN r 26° N Latitude chloride-rich water from shallower levels14; similar experiences13 at other coastal towns have encouraged the view that a ‘deep aquifer’ might be developed more widely 1,13. Data from more than 2,000 deep boreholes12 have recently allowed a better-constrained interpretation of prevalent but laterally discontinuous aquitards (see Supplementary Fig. S1), with multiple layering leading to an effective large-scale vertical anisotropy 41 in hydraulic conductivity. The resulting isolation of deep groundwater flow from shallow flow, and maintenance of vertical differences in hydraulic head, is similar to the effects of extensive aquitards. The distinction is that discontinuous aquitards could locally focus vertical flow 25, providing pathways for invasion of deeper sediments by shallow groundwater where deep pumping imposes a downward hydraulic gradient. At issue is the conceptualization of lithological heterogeneity and its representation in models. The effective anisotropy provided by multiple discontinuous layers of silty-clay has been applied to describe a single, anisotropic aquifer at the scale of the entire Bengal Basin18. We summarize the As-free, deep groundwater environments of the Bengal Aquifer System (BAS) in the context of the basin’s geological evolution (Box 1). Tertiary Holocene Sundarbans 50 100 km 88° E As concentration: Water Bay of Bengal 89° E 90° E 91° E Longitude < 10 µg l–1 10–50 µg l–1 92° E > 50 µg l–1 Figure 1 | Arsenic concentration at hand-pumped wells in the Bengal Basin, depths greater than 150 m. Data (1,165 records) compiled from refs 2, 12, 19 and 39 are all reported as laboratory analyses. Generalized geology and structural elements are indicated. ten times that of domestic pumping 44. Simulations17,18 show that deep irrigation pumping would amplify downward flow, considerably shortening travel times to deep wells, to as little as 30 years, and would create large drawdowns in water level (for example, of 20 m to 40 m at pumping depth), disabling deep hand-pumps and rendering some powered pumping uneconomic. Deep irrigation pumping thereby risks eliminating deep As-free groundwater as a source of domestic supply (Fig. 2b). In contrast, shallow irrigation pumping does not compromise the flow-pattern defence of deep groundwater (Fig. 2c), but provides extra protection by creating a hydraulic barrier against downward As migration. Basin-scale analysis captures large-scale flow processes, but geological heterogeneity might locally allow more rapid penetration of As to deep groundwater. A zone of excessive As in deep groundwater of west-central Bangladesh, where more than 10% of wells at depths greater than 200 m have concentrations of As higher than 50 μg l–1, is attributed to the presence of thick Pleistocene palaeochannel sands of the proto-Ganges allowing migration of As to depth1. Future modelling analysis at subbasinal scale should be applied within the larger-scale framework and incorporate spatial heterogeneity, particularly where layers of low hydraulic conductivity are rare and earlier As breakthrough might occur. While spatial heterogeneity continues to generate uncertainty, factors of safety are desirable, such as the 1,000-year timeframe of the basinscale models. Geochemical defence of deep groundwater. The geochemical defence is restricted neither by depth nor stratigraphy but by reactivity within the sediment. The hydraulic characteristics of grey and yellowish-brown BAS sediments are similar, but their distinct chemical characteristics, evident in contrasting groundwater compositions25,35, reflect the geochemical processes that may retard As in the groundwater flow field. Ferric oxyhydroxides have a large capacity for adsorbing dissolved As (refs 45,46) (Fig. 3a) as demonstrated for oxidized, Pleistocene sediments west of Dhaka35 and in central Bangladesh32. Adsorption nature geoscience | VOL 3 | FEBRUARY 2010 | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience © 2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved 85 progress article a NATure GeOScieNce doi: 10.1038/ngeo750 b c km N 0 40 80 160 240 India Bangladesh Bangladesh India Figure 2 | Simulated regional outcomes of strategies for pumping deep groundwater from the BAS, based on the flow-pattern defence. a–c, Landsurface elevation is shown in grey-scale. The dashed black contour encloses the high-As region (As concentration greater than 50 μg l–1 in shallow groundwater). The black contour represents the Bangladesh border. The high-As region is coloured red (a), and the blue contour indicates the model boundary. b, Deep pumping for domestic supply and irrigation: regions with As-free recharge areas or travel times longer than 1,000 years to deep wells are coloured green; regions with travel times shorter than 1,000 years from high-As recharge areas are coloured red; hatching indicates regions where domestic well lift would be more than 8 m. c, Deep pumping for domestic supply, with shallow pumping for irrigation: colours and symbols as in b. Figures reproduced with permission from ref. 18: a–c, © 2008 NAS. a As is bound principally in authigenic pyrite37 (Fig. 3b). Arsenian pyrite has also been identified, at lower abundance, in deep sands, consistent with a strong correlation of As and sulphur (ref. 37). Accumulation of As in pyrite is a progressive diagenetic change constituting a refractory As sink in reducing environments. The effectiveness of As sequestration by actively forming pyrite within the deep sands is uncertain however, as is the adsorption capacity of framework grains within grey sediment. The contribution of these processes to the geochemical defence of deep groundwater requires further evaluation. b 50 µm conclusions and uncertainties 10 µm Figure 3 | Arsenic-enriched phases from the BAS. a, Scanning electron micrograph of botryoidal ferric oxyhydroxide in oxidized sediment (at a depth of 1.6 m near Brahmanbaria, 70 km east of Dhaka, Bangladesh). Phase accumulated approximately 0.3 wt% arsenic, by oxidation and adsorption at the top of the saturated zone (ref. 45). b, Distribution of As in pyrite from a depth of 260 m (Rajoir, 60 km south of Dhaka, Bangladesh). The brightest colours indicate As contents close to 0.5 wt% whereas dark areas contain less than 0.05 wt% of As. The circular areas are early formed framboids, which tend to contain less As than later, massive, infilling pyrite (from ref. 37). capacity depends on sediment composition and history of exposure to As-rich, reducing water. Oxidized sediments proximal to the Pleistocene inliers and boundary hills are likely to have high adsorption capacity because of sustained oxic recharge; laboratory experiments35 confirm this, and indicate that adsorption is enhanced by the oxidizing potential of in situ manganese oxides. In contrast, isolated lenses of oxidized sand are likely to have been exposed to variable amounts of reduced groundwater, and their oxidizing and adsorption capacities correspondingly depleted. Grey Pleistocene sediments37 also have geochemical attributes contributing to security against As invasion47,48. Deep, grey sediment in southern Bangladesh contains less than 1 to 210 ppm As, where groundwater consistently contains less than 10 μg l–1 As (ref. 47). The highest As contents were detected in grey micaceous silts, in which 86 Studies of the hydraulics13,14,44,49 and geochemistry 14,32,37,47 of BAS at depths greater than 150 m are few. Further lithological descriptions, measurement of hydraulic properties and groundwater head profiles, sediment mineralogical and sorption properties, water ages, and groundwater modelling analysis are necessary to improve evaluations of the vulnerability of deep groundwater to invasion by As. Present groundwater models addressing the flow-pattern defence are limited by the paucity of hydraulic head data available for depths greater than 150 m, but they strongly suggest that without invoking the geochemical defence, widespread deep irrigation pumping might effectively eliminate deep groundwater as an As-free resource for domestic supply, possibly in less than 100 years. Consensus in evaluating the long-term security of deep hand-pumped wells remains to be achieved, but modelling indications are favourable. Deep municipal abstraction may be deemed economically and socially acceptable if secure for a more limited, but still substantial period before invasion by As or salinity. Modelling approaches need to be refined to elaborate the timescales of the security both of deep municipal and hand-pumped abstraction. To maximize the security of deep As-free groundwater, domestic wells should be screened as deep as possible within oxidized sediments. Domestic abstraction of shallow As-free groundwater in oxidized Pleistocene sediments relies solely on the geochemical defence19. In relation to both situations, the processes and limitations of As sorption need further investigation. nature geoscience | VOL 3 | FEBRUARY 2010 | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience © 2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. 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Report on Deep Aquifer Characterization and Mapping Project, Phase I (Kachua, Chandpur) (Ground Water Hydrology Division-I, Bangladesh Water Development Board, Dhaka, 2005). 50. Goodbred, S. L. Jr & Kuehl, S. A. The significance of large sediment supply, active tectonism, and eustasy on margin sequence development: Late Quaternary stratigraphy and evolution of the Ganges-Brahmaputra delta. Sediment. Geol. 133, 227–248 (2000). acknowledgements We thank J. Davies for discussion of concepts informing the description of the Bengal Aquifer System. M.A.H. is in receipt of a scholarship (BDCS 2006-37) from the Commonwealth Scholarship Commission. author contributions All authors collaborated equally in the preparation of the manuscript. additional information The authors declare no competing financial interests. Supplementary information accompanies this paper at www.nature.com/naturegeoscience. nature geoscience | VOL 3 | FEBRUARY 2010 | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience © 2010 Macmillan Publishers Limited. All rights reserved 87 to Nature Geoscience manuscript NGS-2009-08-00993 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION doi: 10.1038/ngeo750 Vulnerability of deep groundwater in the Bengal Aquifer System to contamination by arsenic W. G. Burgess1*, M. A. Hoque1, H. A. Michael2, C. I. Voss3, G. N. Breit4 & K. M. Ahmed5 1 Department of Earth Sciences, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK 2 Department of Geological Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, DE 19716, USA 3 US Geological Survey, 431 National Center, Reston, VA 20192, USA 4 US Geological Survey, Box 25046 MS 964D, Denver, CO 80225, USA 5 Department of Geology, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh * Correspondence: william.burgess@ucl.ac.uk nature geoscience | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience 1 supplementary information doi: 10.1038/ngeo750 Fig. S1: Distribution of sediment lithology in southern Bangladesh. (a) A generalised W-E section of lithological logs across southern Bangladesh. (b) Lithological cross-sections, Bangladesh. In (a) the lithological logs within a 50 km W-E corridor are compiled into one section. In (b) 1573 lithological logs, in a 2000x2000x3 m grid, were interpolated using the Rockwork mapping package (RockWare Inc. Golden, CO, USA) applying the inverse distance algorithm. Driller’s logs are compiled from ref12, and also from Bangladesh Water Development Board, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh University of Engineering & Technology, Local Government Engineering Department, Bangladesh Agricultural Development Corporation, and Dhaka Water Supply and Sewerage Authority (personal communications). 2 nature geoscience | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience doi: 10.1038/ngeo750 supplementary information Fig. S2: Sediment colour distribution in southern Bangladesh. Lithological code prescript ‘b’ indicates yellowish-brown i.e. oxidized sediments; prescript ‘g’ indicates grey i.e. reduced sediments. ‘c’ = clay, ‘scs’ = silt-sandy clay, ‘vfs’ = very fine sand, ‘vffs’ = very fine to fine sand, ‘fms’ = fine to medium sand, ‘ms’ = medium sand, ‘mcs’ = medium to coarse sand, ‘cs’ = coarse sand, ‘gs’ = sand with gravel. Note that oxidized horizons occur at depth within predominantly reduced sequences in places (1, 4) and reduced horizons occur at depth within predominantly oxidized sequences of the Pleistocene inliers (6). Lithological logs complied from Department of Public Health Engineering, Bangladesh Water Development Board, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh University of Engineering & Technology, Local Government Engineering Department, Bangladesh Agricultural Development Corporation, and Dhaka Water Supply and Sewerage Authority (personal communications). nature geoscience | www.nature.com/naturegeoscience 3