Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures Paul Wood Materials Characterisation and Simulation Project © 2006 IARC Project Partners OEM SUPPLIERS IARC CONSULTING IARC SUPPLIERS © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 2 Crash Test Requirements Australia Safety Standards Regulated by Law Europe NCAP Japan Crash Tests USA Ensure minimum crash safety protection to occupants inside vehicle Test Outcome: Pass/Fail More challenging crash tests car makers encouraged to develop safer vehicles vehicle insurance rating safety sells vehicles Test Outcome: Safety Score © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 3 NCAP Crash Test Procedures A B C D © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 4 NCAP Crash Test Drivers Good Adequate Marginal Weak Poor Test dummies for front and side impact contain sensing equipment to measure forces, accelerations and displacements during crash tests The measurements relate to injury criteria e.g. HIC, chest acceleration and rib displacements. A scored is assigned using a star rating which is published for public viewing on NCAP websites © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 5 Example of NCAP Crash Test Results a. Example of Low NCAP b. Example of High NCAP Score (c.2003) Score (c.2003) Adult occupant rating Pedestrian rating Test Scores: Front 4 (25%) Side 14 (78%) Pedestrian 4 (11%) Adult occupant rating Pedestrian rating Test Scores: Front 15 (94%) Side 18 (100%) Pedestrian 10 (28%) © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 6 Virtual Crash Testing Acceleration (g) Structure Acceleration versus Time During Impact 0 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 Time (sec) Protection: Good Adequate Marginal Weak Poor NCAP SCORE © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 7 Typical Engineering Tolerances Typical structural property and noise factors variations; Structural Properties Boundary Conditions Distribution Model Applied Description Range Materials +/- 10% Uniform? Gauges +/- 10% Uniform? Joints +/- 20% Skewed ? Manufacturing effects +/- 10% Skewed ? Barrier angle +/- 1 deg Normal Impact velocity + 3% Normal © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 8 Modelling Variability Typical parent distribution models; Normal Distribution Skewed Distribution Uniform Distribution Bi-modal Distribution © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 9 USNCAP Performance Variability Structure Acceleration versus Time During Impact Acceleration (g) NOMINAL UPPER BOUND LOWER BOUND RANDOM VARIABLE DATA 0 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 Time (sec) © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 10 Characterising Performance Variability STRUCTURE ACCELERATION v. TIME PROFILES ACCELERATION (g) Histogram of Peak Acceleration LEGEND UPPER BOUND LOWER BOUND NOMINAL 0 0.00 0.35 Lower Bound (struc prop) 0.01 0.02 Most Likely Response 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 TIME (sec) Relative Frequency 0.3 Nominal (struc prop) Upper Bound (struc prop) 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 48 Peak Acceleration © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 11 Performance Variability & Relationship to Target Histogram of Peak Acceleration with Target 0.35 TARGET Pass Fail Relative Frequency 0.3 Nominal (struc prop) 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 49 Peak Acceleration © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 12 Sample Estimate of Performance Variability Histogram Comparing Sample Estimate and Parent Population 0.4 Average (most likely) TARGET 0.35 Relative Frequency 0.3 0.25 Nominal 0.2 Assumed Parent population 0.15 0.1 Sample estimate (13 runs) 0.05 0 47 Peak Acceleration © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 13 Univariate v. Bivariate Bivariate - Maximum Acceleration v. Crash Displacement Peak Acceleration Nominal Random RandomVariable VariableData Data Upper Bound Lower Bound 45 650 Displacement © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 14 Investigate Suitability of Structural Design Metric STRUCTURE ACCELERATION v. TIME PROFILES LEGEND UPPER BOUND LOWER BOUND NOMINAL ACCELERATION (g) Define random variables in crash structure Submit to CAE Output from CAE Input to occupant RESPONSE FROM DRIVER & PASSENGER model Output from occupant model 0 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 TIME (sec) LHS RHS HIC MAXBOUND MINBOUND Improved NCAP score 300 41 © 2006 IARC CHEST ACCELERATION (g) Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 15 Characterise Structural Performance CHARACTERISING STRUCTURAL ACCELERATION BY TIME AVERAGES Acceleration (g) ORIGINAL DATA 0.3msec TIME AVERAGE = 2msec TIME AVERAGE = 5msec TIME AVERAGE = 10msec TIME AVERAGE = 20msec 0 0 Time (s) © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 16 Validate New Structural Design Metric CORRELATION BETWEEN OCCUPANT INJURY AND STRUCTURAL PERFORMANCE MEASURES 1.00 CORRELATION VALUE 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 -0.20 -0.40 -0.60 -0.80 AVE 0-65 LHD HIC 36.0 MAX MAX MAX MAX MAX MIN MIN MAX MAX MAX AVE AVE AVE AVE AVE AVE MAX AVE 0-25 30- 30- 50- 50- 20- 20- 30- 50- 5030(0 (30 65- (V=0 0-80 0-25 5-25 at 50 50 at 70 70 at 30 30 at 50 70 70 at 65 TO TO 80 TO 0.65 0.63 0.60 0.08 0.24 -0.07 0.64 0.87 0.15 -0.31 0.04 -0.34 0.37 0.19 -0.48 0.01 -0.34 0.37 0.19 LHD CHEST ACCEL (g) 0.82 0.82 0.82 -0.53 -0.39 -0.13 0.83 0.60 -0.01 -0.43 0.43 -0.08 0.32 -0.07 -0.15 -0.19 -0.08 0.32 -0.07 LHD P.COMBI(%) 0.87 0.87 0.86 -0.40 -0.26 -0.17 0.88 0.77 0.07 -0.42 0.30 -0.21 0.37 0.13 -0.28 -0.14 -0.21 0.37 0.13 STRUCTURE INDICATORS StructuralPERFORMANCE Performance Measures © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 17 Check Sensitivity of New Structural Design Metric CORRELATION BETWEEN INJURY AND NEW STRUCTURAL PERFORMANCE MEASURE y = mx + c R = 0.83 CHEST G R2 = 0.69 43 31 NEW STRUCTURAL DESIGN METRIC © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 18 Conventional Structural Design Metric CHEST G CORRELATION BETWEEN INJURY AND CONVENTIONAL STRUCTURAL PERFORMANCE MEASURE No relationship 43 6 CONVENTIONAL STRUCTURAL DESIGN METRIC © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 19 Correlation Between New Structural Design Metric and Structural Properties Statistical Correlation Between Injury Performance Measure and Structural Crash Properties CORRELATION COEFFIENT (R) 1.00 High correlation to 0.80 structural inputs 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 0 50 100 150 200 250 -0.20 -0.40 -0.60 -0.80 -1.00 STRUCTURAL PROPERY ID © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 20 Establish Transfer Function Between New Structural Design Metric and Structural Properties STRUCTURAL DESIGN METRIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STRUCTURAL DESIGN METRIC AND STRUCTURAL PROPERTY Y = M1X + C1 Y = M2x + C2 25 2000 CHASSIS RAIL PROPERTY © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 21 Establish Likely Performance Modes and Dependencies 11.00 BIVARIATE PLOT OF OP's FOR WTOL WITH DIRECTIONAL INPUT DEPENDENCIES IDENTIFIED WITHIN EACH PERFORMANCE MODE ACROSS MODE ACROSS MODE SUBSTRATE GAUGE 1 TO 3 m m WITHIN MODE & ALONG LSQ LINE DOG HOUSE GAUGE RIBS B GAUGE 10.00 FAILURE CLIP TIME 2 LSQ LINE MAXIMUM DISPLACEMENT 9.00 ACROSS MODE SUBSTRATE GAUGE 1 TO 3 m m WITHIN MODE & NORMAL TO LSQ LINE 8.00 FAILURE CLIP TIME 1 LSQ LINE SUBSTRATE GAUGE 2 TO 6 m m WITHIN MODE & NORMAL TO LSQ LINE TRIM YIELD STRESS LSQ LINE SUBSTRATE GAUGE FRICTION VEHICLE SINGLE SURFACE FRICTION HEAD TO TRIM FAILURE CLIP TIME 4 ACROSS MODE SUBSTRATE GAUGE 2 TO 6 m m WITHIN MODE & ALONG LSQ LINE TRIM YIELD STRESS SUBSTRATE GAUGE DOGHOUSE GAUGE FRICTION RIBS TO A POST CLOSER FRICTION A POST TO SUBSTRATE CLOSER ACROSS MODE SUBSTRATE GAUGE 0.5 TO 1.5 m m WITHIN MODE & ALONG LSQ LINE 7.00 FRICTION HEAD TO TRIM 6.00 ACROSS MODE SUBSTRATE GAUGE 0.5 TO 1.5 m m WITHIN MODE & NORMAL TO LSQ LINE SUBSTRATE GAUGE DOGHOUSE GAUGE FAILURE CLIP TIME 2 5.00 4.00 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 STOL ELLIPSE (2xSIGMA) CLUSTER_3_ELLIPSE WTOL (2xsigma) CLUSTER_2_ELLIPSE WTOL (2xsigma) CLUSTER_1_ELLIPSE WTOL (2xsigma) 1400 1600 1800 HIC © 2006 IARC Stochastic Simulation of Crash Structures 22