Regional Seminar on the economic and financial aspects of telecommunications Study Group 3 Regional Group for Latin America and Caribbean (SG3RG-LAC) Project “Cost modeling implementation” Paraguay, March 14th, 2012 0 Background and main milestones 1990 2000 2010 1995: Constitutional ammendment 2003: New PGMU 1997: LGT - Lei Geral de Telecomunicações 2003: Telecommunication public policy (Regulation 4733/2003) 1998: Privatization 2005: RSAC (Accounting Separation) 1998: PGMU – Universal Services 2008: PGR – Plano Geral de Atualização da Regulamentação 2011: Cost modelling project 1 Legal arrangements for telecom provision Public Regime • Provided through concession or permission, in contracts between Brazilian government and operators • Universalization obligations and continuity • Tariffs and adjustments considered in contracts • Includes fixed services – STFC Private Regime • Provided through authorization • No universalization obligations nor continuity • No prices control. • Prices defined by market forces telecommunication 2 Tariff Regulation Retail - Price-cap • Simpler method for tariffs regulation • Based on historical prices and price index adjustments, considering efficiency factors • Usually facilitates the process of tariff restructuring • Can be applied for a basked of products / services or individual ones Wholesale - Cost-based • Emulates efficient operator and market competition, considering price = marginal cost • More complex than price-cap methodology • In Brazil, it will be applied with emphasis to wholesale tariffs (e.g. interconnection rates and EILD) • In Brazil, it will be applied in the STFC local and long distance services 3 Economic monitoring development since privatization Incentives • Although we have not constructed yet the Cost models (TD and BU), some regulations were published in order to show to the market that the most important things in Brazilian telecommunication sector are: the competition and the productive efficiency; • The focus is not at the price control. Regulation adjustments Transitioning • Regulation adjustments that pointed to cost-oriented wholesale tariffs regulation; • Retail minus in FTR regulation • Smooth transitioning to cost-oriented models, so that investment flows are not impaired; • Recent regulation establishing VC´s and MTR reduction, until the cost-oriented values to be published in two years. 4 Telecommunication in Brazil - evolution Fixed lines Mobile lines (Million) (Million) 40 42 203 245 43 86 31 10 13 23 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2012 Penetration (# fixed lines / 100 households) 29 34 68 75 73 74 1 1990 1995 Penetration (# mobile lines / 100 population) 0 01 2000 2005 14 47 2010 2012 106 125 •The Brazilian market regulations were good. We can see an important increasing of lines sold and of penetration; •The Cost Model shall improve the market conditions; Source: Anatel, IBGE, Teleco 5 Cost model examples Telecommunication cost modeling examples Examples of models used in Europe(1) Interconnection Austria FL-HCA Belgium FL-CCA Denmark HCA France FL-CCA Germany FL-CCA Greece FL-CCA Ireland FL-CCA Italy FL-CCA Netherlands FL-CCA Portugal FL-CCA Spain CCA Leased lines HCA HCA HCA FL-HCA HCA HCA FL-HCA FL-HCA FL-HCA HCA CCA Methodology for tariffs regulation in Latin America (2) 9 7 1 No regulation (negotiation) Cost based (mainly LRIC) LRIC and benchmarkings HCA: Historical Cost Accounting CCA: Current cost accounting FL-HCA: Forward-looking based on historical cost FL-CCA: Forward-looking based on current cost International experiences were considered by Anatel´s team during the period of the ToR´s discussion. Source: (1) Study on the implementation of cost accounting methodologies and accounting separation by telecommunication operators with significant market power, Andersen 2002 (2) Mobile Termination Rates – to regulate or not To regulate? Discussion paper ITU – 2009 6 Main workfronts and expected results Anatel´s main tasks Top-Down Bottom-Up Main work fronts Tariffs Interconnection tariffs Expected results Data validation EILD values Economic Groups Composition GRUPO 1 2 3 4 5 6 COMPOSIÇÃO (Resolução nº 101) Telefônica (STFC); Vivo (SMP); Emergia (SCM), DTHi (DTH) … Telemar Norte Leste (STFC); TNL PCS (SMP); Brasil Telecom (STFC); 14 BrT Celular (SMP); BrT Com Multimídia (SCM), Vant (SCM)... Embratel (STFC); Claro (SMP); Vésper (STFC); CTBC Telecom (STFC); CTBC Multimídia (SCM); Engeredes… Sercomtel (STFC); Sercomtel Celular (SMP) ... TIM Nordeste (SMP); TIM Celular (SMP), TIM (STFC)… 8 Cost modelling project in Brazil x Project phases II Operators´ data processing and validation Dec/11 – Aug/12 III FAC-HCA Top-down modelling Aug/12 – Jan/13 IV FAC-CCA Top-down modelling I Planning Aug/12 – Jan/13 V Sep/11 LRIC Top-down modelling Feb/13 – Jun/13 VII Tariffs VI Bottom-up modelling Jul-Sep/13 Dec/11 – Apr/13 9 Cost modelling project in Brazil International consortium 10 Summary – main points • Cost based modeling is a complex process, demanding a series of related activities and regulatory actions, including, specially, operators commitment; • It is a powerful tool for regulators to adjust tariffs in order to implement telecommunications strategy and policy; • Important decisions by Anatel (defined by regulations) will incorporate the results of the cost modeling process: − MTR: conflict composition among fixed and mobile operators − Network elements rental 11 Thank you Hélio Fonseca hmmfonseca@anatel.gov.br 5561 2312-2993 12