Radiance Assimilation over Northern High Latitude Regions Zhiquan Liu, Hui-Chuan Lin, Thomas Auligne (NCAR/MMM) Acknowledgements: Collaborators from Ohio State University 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 1 Outline • Background: Arctic System Reanalysis (ASR) Project • Preliminary Results from 2 test periods • Summary and future work 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 2 Background • Arctic System Reanalysis (ASR) project – – – – – Funded by US NSF University efforts: OSU, NCAR, UIUC, CU 11 years reanalysis: 2000~2010 Currently testing for 30km, may go up to 10km? NCEP provided conventional and radiance data. • Testing/Tuning the system for 2 months – Dec. 2007: use NCEP FNL (1°X1°, P levels) as LBC – Aug. 2008: use ERA-Interim (80X80km, model level) as LBC 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 3 WRFDA-3DVAR • WRFDA includes 3D/4DVAR and Hybrid VAR/Ensemble scheme • 3DVAR is adopted for ASR for computational efficiency – 3-hr cycling regional DA, time window: ±1.5h • Control variables: stream function, unbalanced velocity potential, unbalanced T, pseudo RH, unbalanced Ps. • NMC method to generate background error covariance statistics. – Domain-averaged statistics. • Recursive filter in horizontal, EOF in vertical for covariance modeling. 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 4 ASR domain WRF model version 3.1: 30km*30km (360*360), 70 Levels (Top@10hPa) 40m-50m vertical spacing in PBL Sea-Ice 4/19/2010 DFI, GWD, fractional sea-ice WSM5 MP, new Grell, MYNN2.5 PBL, sw/lw RRTMG, Noah LSM. ITSC-17, Monterey 5 NCEP PREPBUFR data (2007120100, +/-3h time window) 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 6 GPSRO data caused large cold biases near model top due to bad quality control (data above 30km not rejected). Will re-include in future exps. with refined QC. 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 7 Radiance data used amsua amsub mhs Noaa-15 4,5,6,7,8,9 3,5 Noaa-16 4,5,6,7,8 3,4,5 Noaa-17 3,4,5 Noaa-18 4,5,6,7,8 3,4,5 Metop-2 4,5,6,8,9 3,4,5 Aqua 4,5,6,8,9 Follow NCEP provided instrument/Channel availability table AMSU-A ch4 only over sea Thinning to 90km. CRTM, Variational Bias Correction AIRS new cloud detection scheme was found instable. May include it in future runs. 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 8 Results from Dec. 2007 NCEP FNL as LBC 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 9 Radiances better positioning Low Pressure centers W/O Radiances With Radiances CASE: LIU CASE: CYC7 ASR(blue) v. FNL(red): P’@model level-1 @day-20 in Dec. 2007 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 10 Precipitation (Monthly total in Dec 2007) (Unit: mm) ERA-Interim 4/19/2010 ASR with Radiances ITSC-17, Monterey 11 Precipitation (Monthly total in Dec 2007) (Unit: mm) ASR with Radiances 4/19/2010 ASR w/o Radiances ITSC-17, Monterey 12 Results from Aug. 2008 ERA-Interim as LBC 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 13 ERA-Interim Fractional Sea-Ice Beginning of August 4/19/2010 End of August ITSC-17, Monterey 14 500hPa Height Analyses 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 15 Monthly Mean T2m W/O Radiances With Radiances 4K colder than ERA 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 16 Analyses vs. SYNOP (RMSE) Rad. Improve T2 fit Over fitting To obs? Rad. degrade Ps fit 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 17 Analyses vs. SYNOP (Biases) Rad. reduce Q2 biases. 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 18 Z: ASR vs. ERA-Interim W/O Radiances 4/19/2010 With Radiances ITSC-17, Monterey 19 Summary • Several issues in WRFDA were found during testing – GPSRO QC, AIRS cloud detection scheme. – Errors near the model top increasing with the time. – Other issues not listed/mentioned in this talk …. • Radiance impact is mixed – – – – – • Adding radiances tends to produce more precip. over ocean. Better positioning Low pressure centers over ocean Radiances apparently improve T2m/Q2m. But larger Ps error. Mixed impact for upper air. Model top biases make things complicate. Difficulties to do reanalysis for university. – Computational resource limitation, limited man power – Data collection/processing – Lack detailed obs monitoring information ( usually available in operational NWP centers. e.g., blacklist of various obs types) 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 20 Future work • More testing/tuning needed before production run – Diagnose HBH^T and compare to R – Use observation sensitivity tools to identify impact from different obs types (& individual radiance channel) – Model top issue: nudging global fields at top levels? increase model top? Add O3? • Need run forecasts to judge analysis performance. 4/19/2010 ITSC-17, Monterey 21 T: ASR vs. ERA-Interim W/O Radiances 4/19/2010 With Radiances ITSC-17, Monterey 22