Error Assessment and Validation of the IASI Temperature and Water Vapor Profile Retrievals Validation by Radiosonde Correlative Measurements N. Pougatchev, T. August, X. Calbet, T. Hultberg, P. Schlüssel, B. Stiller K. St. Germain and G. Bingham ITSC-16 Angra dos Reis May 7, 2008 Objectives • Scientific/Methodological – Testing of NPP CrIS Validation Assessment Model by its application to validation of IASI L2 data against radiosondes • Scientific/Utilitarian – Assessment of the IASI Temperature and Water Vapor retrieval errors in the form that can be utilized by the community – regionally specific Covariance and Bias Validation by Correlative Measurements True State xsat Validation Target Validated Sounder ŷsat = ysat (xsat )+εsat Validation Goal: Estimate the Error εsat yˆ sat − y val = ε̂sat Validation output yval =F(yˆ cor ) Validation Model True State xcor ŷcor = ycor (xcor )+εcor Correlative Measurements Validation Issues Why do We Need Validation Model Why We Can NOT Use Correlative Data As Is • Characteristic Difference– validated sounder and correlative measurements sample atmosphere differently. • State Non-Coincidence – correlative measurements are at different time and location. Validation Model reconciles the issues by modeling best linear estimate of the satellite measurements and assessing the errors y val =Byˆ cor =ysat(xsat )+εval IASI Validation Study • Validation Data Set – radiosondes at Lindenberg (Germany, 52.21o N, 14.12o E, 112 m a.s.l ). Dedicated launches 1 hour prior and at the overpass time; and synoptic times (0, 12, 6, and 18 UTC) • Validated parameters – Atmospheric Temperature and Water Vapor Vertical Profiles. • Validated System – IASI characterized by averaging kernels. • Validated Data Set – EUMETSAT v. 4.2 retrievals; cloud clear; ± 1O Lat. and Long. about Lindenberg Overpasses and Sonde Launches Overpasses Lindenberg (Germany) site AIRS(AQUA) and IASI (METOP-A) 0/24 UST 18 h UST 6 h UST 12 h UST Temperature Non-Coincidence Error Free Troposphere RMS non-coincidence error Averaged between 800 - 300 mb Sodankyla, Lindenberg, and Southern Great Plane ARM 3.0 rms error (K) 2.5 2.0 1.5 Sodankyla Lindenberg SGP ARM 1.0 0.5 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Time non-coincidence (h) Averaging Kernels Temperature Averaging Kernels Temperature retrieval Lindenberg June-August 2007 100 Sum of diagonals=14.18 Pressure (mb) 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 Averaging Kernels AvKe_IASI_LND_2007.JNB Temperature Retrieval Error Variances/rms Temperature IASI Retrieval Errors and Variances 100 Expected retrieval - xˆ exp xˆ exp = xa + A(x true - xa ) + ε Sexp = (I - A)S x (I - A)T + Sε Expected covariance − AS x A T + Sε Pressure (mb) Expexted error - xˆ exp - x true 200 300 Variances 400 Errors 500 600 700 800 900 1000 0 1 2 3 rms (K) 4 5 Total expected error Total actual error Repeatability/ retrieval noise Variance actual retrievals Variance sondes Variance expected retrievals 6 Temperature Retrieval Error Covariance Matrices Actual Total Error Temperature Retrieval Correlation Matrix 100 100 200 Pressure (mb) 200 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 100 Actual Pressure (mb) 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 100 Expected Pressure (mb) Total Error Temperature Retrieval Rows of Correlation Matrix 1000 Total Error Temperature Retrieval Rows of Correlation Matrix 16 14 14 12 12 Altitude (km) 16 Altitude (km) Pressure (mb) Expected Total Error Temperature Retrieval Correlation Matrix 10 8 6 1000 10 8 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Temperature Retrieval Error Bias Temperature Retrieval Bias against Radiosondes 100 Pressure (mb) 200 Sonde launch time about IASI overpass 300 0 min 54 min 0-54 min 1.5-3.6 h (synoptic times) 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 -2 -1 0 Bias (K) 1 2 Relative Humidity Non-Coincidence Error Free Troposphere RMS non-coincidence error Averaged between 800 - 300 mb Sodankyla, Lindenberg, and Southern Great Plane ARM 30 rms error (% RH) 25 20 15 Lindenberg Sodankyla SGP ARM 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Time non-coincidence (h) Averaging Kernels Relative Humidity Averaging Kernels RH retrieval Lindenberg June-August 2007 100 Sum of diagonals=10.14 Pressure (mb) 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 Averaging Kernel AvKe_IASI_LND_2007.JNB Relative Humidity Retrieval Error Variances/rms Relative Humidity IASI Retrieval Errors 100 100 200 Pressure (mb) 200 Pressure (mb) Relative Humidity IASI Retrieval and Sonde Variances 300 400 300 400 500 500 600 700 800 900 1000 600 700 800 900 1000 0 10 20 rms (% RH) 30 Repeatability Total expected error Total actual error Variance RH Lindenberg 0 10 20 rms (% RH) 30 Actual retrieval variance Expected retrieval variance Sonde profile variance Relative Humidity Retrieval Error Covariance Matrices Actual Total Error RH Retrieval Correlation Matrix 100 100 200 200 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 100 1000 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 100 16 Actual Total Error RH Retrieval Rows of Correlation Matrix 16 14 12 12 Altitude (km) 14 10 8 6 1000 Pressure (mb) Pressure (mb) Altitude (km) Pressure (mb) Expected Total Error RH Retrieval Correlation Matrix Expected Total Error RH Retrieval Rows of Correlation Matrix 10 8 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Relative Humidity Retrieval Error Bias RH Retrieval Bias against Radiosondes 100 Pressure (mb) 200 Sonde launch time about IASI overpass 300 0 min 54 min 0-54 min Inter-sondes interpolation 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 -20 -10 0 Bias (% RH) 10 20 IASI and AIRS Performance Temperature Validation T retrievals vs. radiosondes IASI (Lindenberg) and AIRS (ARM SGP) IASI - red lines; AIRS - black lines 100 (AIRS - Tobin et al., JGR 2006, 111, D09S14, doi:10.1029/2005JD006103) 200 300 Pressure (mb) Variance of the sondes 400 rms 500 600 bias 700 800 900 1000 -2 -1 0 1 2 T (K) 3 4 5 6 IASI and AIRS Performance Relative Humidity Validation Water Vapor retrievals vs. radiosondes IASI (Lindenberg) and AIRS (ARM SGP) IASI - red lines; AIRS - black lines 100 (AIRS - Tobin et al., JGR 2006, 111, D09S14, doi:10.1029/2005JD006103) 200 Pressure (mb) 300 400 rms Variance of the sondes 500 600 bias 700 800 900 1000 -20 0 20 40 60 80 H2O % This is NOT Relative Humidity!!! 100 Conclusions • At Lindenberg state dependent error dominates the total error for both for Temperature and Relative Humidity. That implies that retrieval errors should be characterized regionally and seasonally specifically. Conclusions • Temperature – Our Validation Assessment Model and radiosondes allow to account for non-coincidence error and finite vertical resolution of IASI and assess retrieval errors accurately: – Variances/rms of a single FOV retrieval are ≤1K between 800 – 300 mb with increase to 2 K in tropopause and at the surface – Bias against radiosondes oscillates within ± 0.5K between 950 – 100 mb. – Actual vertical resolution apparently lower than expected in midtroposphere and tropopause regions Conclusions • Relative Humidity – Complex spatial structure of highly variable RH field does not allow to assess retrieval errors accurately: – Variances/rms of a single FOV retrieval are between 6 - 18 % RH in 800 – 300 mb with best performance at 600 mb – No statistically significant bias was detected between 800 – 300 mb. – Actual vertical resolution apparently lower than expected in midtroposphere region – Techniques other than radiosondes, e. g. NAST-I in combination with drop-sondes, are needed for accurate RH retrieval error assessment. Conclusions • IASI and AIRS retrieval performance are in reasonable agreement with direct comparison needed for more definitive conclusion • The Validation Assessment Model analysis of temporal variations of T and RH at Lindenberg and ARM SGP sites reveals that Lindenberg is better for T validation (synoptic time launches can be used) and ARM is better for RH validation. • This approach can be used for Cal/Val planning through optimal validation tools and sites selection and characterization.