ITSC 12, Melbourne, Australia 27 Feb. – 6 Mar. 2002 NOAA-TOVS 23 Year Total Column Ozone Product by Neural Network Retrieval System (NNORSY) Anton K. Kaifel, Martin D. Müller Center for Solar Energy and Hydrogen Research (ZSW) Stuttgart, Germany Outline •Approach and processing • Validation • Comparison • Trend analyses • Conclusions • Movie (09/79-12/01)* *) mpeg movie of total ozone data (total 1.2GB) available on ftp-site: ftp.zsw-bw.de /pub/NNORSY/TOVS ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 1 Satellite Ozone retrievals Neural Network Ozone Retrieval System (NNORSY) Current available: • NNORSY-TOVS • NNORSY-GOME • NNORSY-GOME (total ozone column) (total ozone column) (profile) Planned: • NNORSY-SEVIRI • NNORSY-OMI (total ozone column) (profile and total column) ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 2 NNORSY Scheme Operation Retrieved ozone operational real-time processing Level 1 data extraction Ozone data collocation Suppl. data Preprocessing collocated spectra/ ozone network param.s quality check neural network training training data test data eval. data data mixing Training ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 3 WOUDC/Virtual Station Distribution ground stations virtual TOMS stations ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 4 Climatological Correction of TOMS Data EPT-Ground fit over latitude and time (DU) (Bodeker et al., 2001 ) ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 5 NOAA-TOVS Data at ZSW ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 6 NNORSY-TOVS: Input Data • Timerange 09/1979 to 01/2002 • Satellites TIROS-N, NOAA-6 to NOAA-14 • Collocation radius 75 km • yields: ~ 1.5 million training datasets ~ 200000 test datasets ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 7 Input Layer Output Layer Retrieved Ozone Input Data Feed-Forward Neural Network Hidden Layer Signal Propagation ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 8 NNORSY-TOVS: Input Data Neural Network Input (28 neurons): •HIRS channels 1-19 •MSU channels 1-4 •HIRS scan angle •Solar & satellite zenith angle •Latitude •Elevation Retrieved Total Ozone ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 9 NNORSY-TOVS: Ground validation over time Potsdam, Germany monthly mean total ozone [DU] 500 450 400 350 300 250 40 20 0 -20 -40 1979 Potsdam RMS: Bias: WOUDC TOVS TOMS WOUDC-TOMS WOUDC-TOVS TOVS 7.2 D.U. 1.9 D.U. 1983 TOMS 6.5 D.U. -0.9 D.U. 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 year ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 10 NNORSY-TOVS: Ground validation monthly mean 1/5 NNORSY-TOVS: Ground validation monthly mean 2/5 NNORSY-TOVS: Ground validation monthly mean 3/5 NNORSY-TOVS: Ground validation monthly mean 4/5 NNORSY-TOVS: Ground validation monthly mean 5/5 NNORSY-TOVS L3 (09/79 –12/02) Monthly mean values of 56 WOUDC ground stations also used for TOMS validation global RMS: Bias: TOVS 9.1 D.U. 2.0 D.U. TOMS 8.0 D.U. -2.8 D.U. Comparison of monthly mean with NOAA operational product 1/2 TOMS – NOAA-TOVS, Jan. 2000 TOMS – TOVS-NN, Jan. 2000 TOMS – NOAA-TOVS, Mar. 2000 TOMS – TOVS-NN, Mar. 2000 D. U. Comparison of monthly mean with NOAA operational product 1/2 TOMS – NOAA-TOVS, Oct. 2000 TOMS – TOVS-NN, Oct. 2000 TOMS – NOAA-TOVS, Dez. 2000 TOMS – TOVS-NN, Dez. 2000 D. U. Examples of NNORSY-TOVS zonal mean values Year 1987 - 1990 Year 1991 - 1994 Year 1995 - 1998 Comparison of zonal mean: NNORSY-TOVS - TOMS Year 2001 Year 2000 TOVS TOMS TOVS-TOMS D. U. D. U. NNORSY-TOVS: Global trends mean maximum mimimum daily global total column ozone [DU] 600 550 trends: 500 14.6 DU/decade 450 400 350 300 7.12 DU/decade 250 200 17.5 DU/decade 150 100 50 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 year ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 20 NNORSY-TOVS: Global trends zonal mean total ozone zonal mean total ozone [DU] 350 SH NH gobal 300 trends: 5.30 DU/decade 7.12 DU/decade 8.94 DU/decade 250 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 year ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 21 NNORSY-TOVS: Global trends 0 ozone trend zonal mean [DU/decade] zonal mean total ozone trend (10 lat. band) 25 trend 20 15 10 5 0 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 latitude ITSC12 Melbourne 2002: ZSW 22 Conclusions NNORSY-TOVS • is very fast • needs no cloud corrections or a priori information • needs no limb correction for scan angle • compares well with other sensors and ground data • supplement for TOMS data gaps and night time retrieval • is in real time operation for NOAA 14 at DWD Future work • support for NOAA KLM (15,16) • MSG SEVIRI real time ozone retrieval • OMI in co-operation with KNMI • MetOp MOVIE: NNORSY-TOVS 09/79 to 01/02 Still image of movie