traditional floral business model Floral Catalog $2x $x distributors growers $4x wholesalers $8x retail customers Calyx & Corolla Floral Catalog distributors wholesalers growers retail customers FedEx Calyx & Corolla "Leaving +$38 for us!" -$17 +$69 -$5 Floral Catalog -$9 growers customers FedEx Why are they losing money every year? 0 ? -0.5 $ Millions -1 -1.5 -2 -2.5 1st Yr 2nd Yr 3rd Yr ? How costly is it to attract customers? Calyx & Corolla 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 40 ¢ 32 ¢ Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog 32 ¢ Floral Catalog Floral Catalog 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 32 ¢ Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 32 ¢ Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog 32 ¢ Floral Catalog 32 ¢ 32 ¢ 32 ¢ Floral Catalog Floral Catalog Floral Catalog How well do the catalogs work? • What % of sales from catalog? • How many catalog sales is this? • How many sales from previous customers? • How many from first time customers? • How many catalogs were sent out to these first timers? • What is the response rate? Is a response rate of 0.004 sufficiently high to justify sending out the catalogs? (1) Expected profit per Catalog = RR* [$69 – ($17+$9+$5)] = 0.36 RR* [$38] = 0.36 RR* = 0.01 Cost of catalog What was the cost of getting 45,000 new orders? (2) 3 Million * 32 cents = $0.96 Million 7.9 Million * 40 cents = $3.16 Million $4.1 Million 4.1 Million / 45,000 = $91 per customer! Average profit per order = $38 Losing $53 per customer? Is lifetime customer value > customer acquisition cost? (0.05 * $38) – $0.32 = $1.58 +$1.58 $1.58 $1.58 $1.58 $1.58 ………… lifetime customer value customer acquisition cost -$53 time Past advertising starting to pay off? Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Sales +756 +4,018 +10,259 Advertising Costs -1,223 -4,466 -7,021 return for every $1 0.61 0.90 1.46 ………???? ……… lifetime customer value “present value of a stream of revenue a customer produces” focus on long-term relationship, not a single transaction price premium Annual profit • cost savings referrals demand increase base profit time acquisition cost CC's opportunities & threats 1. Should Calyx & Corolla grow rapidly or slowly? 2. Increase Primary as well as Secondary Demand? 3. How can they reduce customer acquisition costs? 4. How can they increase customer lifetime value? 5. Is their target market too small? • The last time you bought flowers, where did you buy them, and why did you buy them? Willingness to Assemble Low High Low Funerals Supermarkets High Florists C&C Demand for Freshness Flower Market Segments PRODUCT ATTRIBUTES fresh unarranged floral variety information No Sun/Hol delivery come in Fed Ex box Personal Gift Events (Wedding; Funerals) Corporate How frequently should catalogs be sent? And to whom? ¾What functions does the catalog serve? # catalogs sent per year # orders made per year