2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Lecture Notes: Market Economics Market Buyers & sellers interact Profits/losses guide firms’ decision on what/how/for whom demand supply GOODS MARKET PRICES cost of production (pricing) buying decisions CONSUMERS (households) PRODUCERS (firms) input ownership payrolls, rents supply FACTOR MARKET PRICES demand labor (wage) land (rent) capital (interest rate) TWO POINTS: * Ceteris paribus – “other things equal” Movement along supply, demand curves vs. shift in curves “Increase in demand” Æ shift (non-P Δ) “Increase in q demanded” Æ movement? * Idealization – perfect competition - individual actions have no appreciable affect - shipping? - P = MC – efficient (no “excess” profits) Failures (Role of Government): - imperfect competition (monopoly) - externalities Æ cost imposed outside markets, involuntary Tanker Market Examples Demand Curve P Shifts: - Δ in factors other than price Downward sloping – why? - substitution effect - income effect Determinants: - price - income - size of market - substitutes (related goods) - tastes / preferences D Q Supply Curve Upward sloping – why - law of diminishing returns P S Shifts: - Δ in non-price factor(s) Determinants: - price - cost of production o technology costs o input costs - prices of production substitutes Q - market org. Equilibrium Supply Shift P P S Demand Shift P S S’ D Q 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics S D’ D Q D Q Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 2 of 9 ELASTICITY Price elasticity of demand: E D = % incr. in Q , NOT = slope! % incr. in P Elastic Inelastic P perfectly inelastic perfectly elastic Q Revenue = P x Q - decreases when P increases Q Revenue = P x Q - increases when P increases Examples: - Luxury goods - Ready substitutes - Large fraction of income Price elasticity of supply: E S = P - Necessities No ready substitutes Small fraction of budget % inc. in Q supplied % increase in P ES = 0 ES = 1 Determinants: - time period - extent to which production can be increased ES = ∞ Q 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 3 of 9 Time Frame of Equilibrium - monetary (supply fixed) - short run (plant & equipment fixed; output Δ) - long run (everything can Δ) Smom Sshort Slong ΔPm ΔPL ΔPS D’ D’ D’ D D D ΔPm > ΔPS > ΔPL Similarly for demand, elasticity is smaller in short run Very short run: prices move violently, Q little Very long run: P moves little, Q a lot Effect of a Tax P S’ $1.00 18.9 $1.00/barrel of oil imports Who bears the burden? S Oil co: .9 – 1 = -.1 Consumer: .9 18 D Q 100mb * Elasticity! Burden on consumer if demand inelastic relative to supply. Burden on producer if supply is inelastic. Effect of Price Control P Æ shortage S E w/o ceiling Examples: price ceiling D’ rent control interest rate ceilings minimum wage D Q shortfall 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 4 of 9 UTILITY (Behind the Demand Curve) = Satisfaction total utility diminishing marginal utility marginal utility Q Q Consumers adjust consumption so that marginal utility per $ is same for all goods. MU same for all goods P Æ “explains” downward sloping demand curve (higher P Æ MU P Æ MU determines value, i.e. price Æ reduce Q) MARKET DEMAND = sum of individual demand curves A B + total = SUBSTITUTES + COMPLEMENTS (independent) Substitutes: increase in price of A causes increase in demand for B Complements: increase in price of A causes decrease in demand for B 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 5 of 9 CONSUMER SURPLUS P = extra utility (value) consumers collectively receive S D Q PRODUCTION FUNCTION (Behind the Supply Curve) = relationship between inputs & max output marginal product total product input diminishing returns input Returns to Scale: balanced increase and decrease of all factors at once Constant Decreasing Increasing Productivity = (replication) (natural resource industries) ? tanker! total output weighted avg. of inputs 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 6 of 9 COSTS total = fixed + variable total (Q) = fixed + variable (Q) TC = FC + VC = 0 when Q=0 (sunk) no ∆ with Q Marginal Cost = MC = additional cost of producing 1 more unit of output = slope of TC curve Average Cost = unit cost = TC q MC = supply curve TC AC Cost $ FC q q Relating Marginal Product and Marginal Cost: MC MC dim. returns MP input Like consumers with MU , firms adjust inputs so that MProduct is same for all P P inputs Opportunity cost: measure of what has been forgone Industry supply = horizontal sum of firms’ supply 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 7 of 9 COMPETITIVE MARKET Assume: P - competitive firms/market (no producer can affect market price) - firms maximize profits industry P firm D D Q Q industry firm How does firm decide how much to produce? Æ P = MC P Why?... MC D rising MC curve = firm’s supply curve firm 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics Q Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 8 of 9 P Shutdown Point supply curve breakeven (short run) MC AC AVC = avg. variable cost d shutdown Firm Q Æ profit maxing firms may continue to operate in the short run even though they are losing money Industry Supply = horizontal sum of firm’s supply curves Long-run competitive equilibrium: P = MC = min AC = breakeven price SURPLUS P consumer surplus S equilibrium producer surplus 2.964: Economics of Marine Transportation Industries Lecture Notes: Market Economics D Q Prof. Hauke Kite-Powell Page 9 of 9