Deer Human Health Risk Ecological Risk Socioeconomic Risk M M-H White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) have the ability to rapidly increase their numbers, particularly in suburban areas where public parks can act as deer refuges, hunting is reduced and there is a lack of natural predators. Overabundance of deer can lead to agricultural damage, deer/vehicle collisions, increased incidence of Lyme disease, and damage to natural ecosystems. Statewide, the number of deer has increased to 200,000, more than double the population twenty years ago. What’s at risk? Humans are at risk from auto collisions and Lyme disease (see separate summary). Also particularly at risk are hardwood seedlings, agricultural crops, suburban shrubbery, and plant communities in forested areas. STRESSOR SUMMARIES What are the ecological impacts in New Jersey? Ecological effects from deer overpopulation include changes in diversity among plant species. Deer are selective browsers and prefer young woody plants, such as hardwood seedlings. Researchers indicate that once the density of 20 deer per square mile is reached for several years, noticeable changes in native plant communities occur. This threatens to reduce bird and mammal breeding habitat, and may change long term forest health and biodiversity. What are the socioeconomic impacts in New Jersey? 20,000 times per year. Agricultural losses alone are estimated at $20 million to $40 million annually. New Jersey has one of the highest rates of Lyme disease in the country, with 1722 cases in 1999. The estimated cost of Lyme disease to New Jersey is approximately $75 million per year. No cost has been estimated for the psychological effects of severe disability caused by untreated cases. The total cost of deer overpopulation is estimated at $120 to $160 million. Other impacts include conflict over deer control strategies, and the possible long-term aesthetic and forestry employment effects of damaged tree seedlings. (Note: socioeconomic analysis combined “deer” and “Lyme disease” impacts.) What’s being done? Intensive management of the state’s deer herd is being undertaken, primarily through sport hunting and issuance of deer predation permits to farmers. Experimental deer management programs have also been implemented. Impacts include economic losses suffered from Lyme disease, loss of crops, reduced property values from damaged landscaping, replacement costs of landscaping, and auto collision costs. Passenger vehicles collide with deer approximately 118 Final Report of the New Jersey State Comparative Risk Project