14.06 Midterm Spring 2004 You have 1.5 hours. Total points: 100. luck! You must answer all questions. No books or notes are allowed. Answer question 1 in either continuous or discrete time. Good Question 1 (Continuous Time) Consider the neoclassical growth model, in continuous time. Assume that there is no population growth and no exogenous technological change; and normalize the size of the population and labor to 1. We examine decentralized competitive allocations. We introduce a government in the model. The only role of the government is to redistribute income (there is no government spending). The government imposes a proportional tax on household income and uses the collected taxes to finance a lump-sum transfer to each household. Denote the time-invariant tax rate with τ ∈ [0, 1) and the transfer with Tt . The budget of the representative household is thus ct + it = (1 − τ ) (rt kt + wt ) + Tt , (1) where ct denotes consumption, it investment, kt capital, rt the interest rate, and wt the wage rate. The capital stock accumulates according to k̇t = it − δkt , (2) where δ ∈ (0, 1). The household’s lifetime utility is given by U= Z ∞ e−ρt u(ct )dt, 0 u(c) = c1−1/θ , 1 − 1/θ (3) where ρ > 0 is the discount rate and θ > 0 is the elasticity of intertemporal substitution. The household maximizes (3) subject to (1) and (2), taking wt and rt , as well as Tt and τ , as given. Firms are perfectly competitive and maximize profits. The technology is Cobb-Douglas. Output at time t is thus yt = f (kt ) = ktα where kt denotes the capital stock, yt denotes output or income, and α ∈ (0, 1). Note that, in equilibrium, yt = rt kt + wt . 1 Finally, the government budget requires that the tax revenue covers the cost of the transfer, so that Tt = τ (rt kt + wt ) = τ yt . (a) Derive the Euler condition that characterizes the optimal consumption behavior of households? How does consumption growth depends on the tax rate τ ? Interpret. 15 points (b) What is rt in equilibrium? Does a higher kt increase or reduce rt ? Interpret. points 10 (c) Consider now the general equilibrium. Write down the system of two first-order differential equations that characterizes the dynamics of consumption and capital. (Remark: These two conditions are the Euler condition and the resource constraints, expressed in such a way that the system depends only on c, k, ċ, k̇, and the exogenous parameters, namely τ , θ, α, δ, and ρ.) 10 points (d) Solve for the steady-state value of capital. How does it depend on τ ? Interpret the effect of the tax rate on capital accumulation. 10 points (e) Draw the phase diagram (that is, the ċ = 0 and k̇ = 0 loci together with the saddle path) for two cases: τ = τ high and τ = τ low , where τ low < τ high . Suppose the economy has been forever in the steady state with τ = τ high > 0. Suddenly and unexpectedly, at some time t = t0 , the government reduces the tax to τ low . Following the tax cut, τ is expected to stay at τ low forever. How does consumption respond at t = t0 ? (Does it rise, fall, or is it ambiguous?) Give the intuition. (Explain the associated substitution and wealth (or income) effects.) Finally, how does capital and output evolve over time following the tax cut? 15 points Question 1 (Discrete Time) Consider the neoclassical growth model, in discrete time. Assume that there is no population growth and no exogenous technological change; and normalize the size of the population and labor to 1. We examine decentralized competitive allocations. We introduce a government in the model. The only role of the government is to redistribute income (there is no government spending). The government imposes a proportional tax on household income and uses the collected taxes to finance a lump-sum transfer to each household. Denote the time-invariant tax rate with τ ∈ [0, 1) and the transfer with Tt . The budget of the representative household is thus ct + it = (1 − τ ) (rt kt + wt ) + Tt , 2 (4) where ct denotes consumption, it investment, kt capital, rt the interest rate, and wt the wage rate. The capital stock accumulates according to kt+1 − kt = it − δkt , (5) where δ ∈ (0, 1). The household’s lifetime utility is given by U= ∞ X β t u(ct ), u(c) = t=0 c1−1/θ , 1 − 1/θ (6) 1 , where ρ > 0 is the discount rate) and θ > 0 is the where β is the discount factor (β = 1+ρ elasticity of intertemporal substitution. The household maximizes (6) subject to (4) and (5), taking wt and rt , as well as Tt and τ , as given. Firms are perfectly competitive and maximize profits. The technology is Cobb-Douglas. Output at time t is thus yt = f (kt ) = ktα where kt denotes the capital stock, yt denotes output or income, and α ∈ (0, 1). Note that, in equilibrium, yt = rt kt + wt . Finally, the government budget requires that the tax revenue covers the cost of the transfer, so that Tt = τ (rt kt + wt ) = τ yt . (a) Derive the Euler condition that characterizes the optimal consumption behavior of households? How does consumption growth depends on the tax rate τ ? Interpret. 15 points (b) What is rt in equilibrium? Does a higher kt increases or reduces rt ? Interpret. points 10 (c) Consider now the general equilibrium. Write down the system of two first-order difference equations that characterizes the dynamics of consumption and capital. (Remark: These two conditions are the Euler condition and the resource constraints, expressed in such a way that the system depends only on ct , ct+1 , kt , kt+1 and the exogenous parameters, namely τ , θ, α, δ, and β or ρ.) 10 points (d) Solve for the steady-state value of capital. How does it depend on τ ? Interpret the effect of the tax rate on capital accumulation. 10 points (e) Now consider the phase diagram, as if time were continuous. Draw the ċ = 0 and k̇ = 0 loci together with the saddle path for two cases: τ = τ high and τ = τ low , where τ low < τ high . 3 Suppose the economy has been forever in the steady state with τ = τ high > 0. Suddenly and unexpectedly, at some time t = t0 , the government reduces the tax to τ low . Following the tax cut, τ is expected to stay at τ low forever. How does consumption respond at t = t0 ? (Does it rise, fall, or is it ambiguous?) Give the intuition. (Explain the associated substitution and wealth (or income) effects.) Finally, how does capital and output evolve over time following the tax cut? 15 points Question 2 (a) Can the Solow growth model help us explain the cross-country differences in income levels? Can it also help us explain the cross-country differences in saving rates? 10 points (b) In the context of the Ramsey model, can cross-country differences in tax policies help explain the cross-country differences in income levels and/or saving rates? (Hint: The results of Question 1 should help you answer this question.) 10 points (c) Consider the Ramsey model with exogenously fixed labor. Briefly describe the response of aggregate consumption, investment, and output to a permanent increase in the level of TFP. Briefly give the intuition. 20 points Good Luck! 4