Tropical Meteorology Meteorology Kerry Emanuel Emanuel, Instructor Allison Wing, TA 1 Course Outline Outline • Radiative-Convective Eq quilibrium – – – – – • General principles of radiative transfer Simple models without phase change General princip ples of moist convection Simple models with phase change Quantitative assessments of the equilibrium state comp parisons to observations The Zonally-Averaged Circulation – – – – – – The observed climatology Breakdown of the radiative radiative-convective convective equilibrium state Dry theory Moist theory Regulation of intensity 2 • Asymmetric Steady Circulations – Monsoons • • • Development and onset of the Asian monsoon Monsoon breaks Nonlinear, asymmetric theory – The Walker Circulation • • • Observations Theory Interannual Fluctuations of the Walker Circulation – ENSO – Observed behavior – Theory and modeling of ENSO 3 • Intraseasonal Oscillations – – – Observations GCM simulations Theory of equatorial waves • • – – • Dry Moist WISHE Cloud-radiation Cloud radiation interactions and ISOs Higher Frequency Disturbances – – – Monsoon depressions Equatorial waves Easterlyy waves 4 • Tropical Cyclones – – – – Structure and climatology Steady state physics Steady-state Genesis Ocean interaction 5 Brief Overv verviiew o off th the the Gl Glo Global Atm tmosp osp osph here 6 Atmospheric Composition Composition Gas Name Nitrogen Chemical Formula N2 Percent Volume 78.08% Oxygen O2 20.95% *Water H2O 0 to 4% Argon Ar 0.93% CO2 0.0360% Neon Ne 0.0018% Helium He 0.0005% *Methane CH4 0.00017% Hydrogen H2 0 00005% 0.00005% N2O 0.00003% O3 0.000004% *Carbon Dioxide *Nitrous Oxide *Ozone * variable gases 7 8 100000 Thermosphere 90000 Mesopause 80000 Altitude (meters) 70000 60000 Mesosphere Stratopause 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 -100 Stratosphere Tropopause Troposphere -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 Temperature oC Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. 9 10 11 12 Seasonal variation of solar radiation 13 14 A One One--Dimensional Description Description of tth he Tropi ropical At Atmosp mosph here ere 15 100000 Thermosphere 90000 Mesopause 80000 Altitude (meters) 70000 60000 Mesosphere Stratopause 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 -100 Stratosphere Tropopause Troposphere -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 Temperature oC Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. 16 Elements of Thermal Balance: Solar Radiation • Luminosity: 3.9 x 1026 J s-1 = 6.4 x 107 Wm-2 at top of photosphere • Mean distance from earth: 1.5 x 1011 m • Flux densityy at mean radius of earth L 2 2 0 S 1370 Wm W 0 2 4 d 17 Steffan-B St Bolt ltzmann Equati tion: F T 4 8 2 4 5.67 5.6710 10 Wm K Sun: 7 4 2 2 T 66.4410 10 W Wm T 6,,000 K 18 Disposition of Solar Radiation: 2 Total absorbed solar radiation S 1 a r p p 0 a planetary l t albedo lb d 30% p T t l surface Total f area 4 r 2 p S Absorption per unit area 0 1 a p 4 Absorption by clouds, atmosphere, and surface 19 Terrestrial Radiation: Effective emission temperature: S T 4 0 1 a e 4 p Earth: T 255K 18C e Observed average g surface tempperature 288 K 15C 20 Highly Reduced Model • Transparent to solar radiation • Opaque to infrared radiation • Blackbody emission from surface and each lay yer 21 Radiative Equilibrium: Top of Atmosphere: S 4 4 0 1 a T T A p e 4 TA Te Surface: S0 4 Ts TA 1 a p 2 Te 4 4 4 1 1 4 Ts 2 Te 303 K 22 Surface temperature too large because: because: • Real atmosphere is not opaque as • Heat transported by convection as well as by radiation 23 Energy Balance Balance 24 Principal Atmospheric Absorbers • H2O: Bent triatomic, with permanent dipole dipole moment and pure rotational bands as well as rotation-vibration transitions • O3: Like water, but also involved in photodissociation • CO2: No permanent dipole moment, so no pure rotational transitions, but temp poraryy dipole during vibrational transitions • Other gases: N2O, CH4 25 26 Radiative Equilibrium • Eq quilibrium state of atmosp phere and surface in the absence of non-radiative py fluxes enthalpy • Radiative heating drives actual state toward state of radiative equilibrium equilibrium 27 Extended Layer Models Models TOA : T2 4 Te 4 T2 Te Middl Layer Middle L : 2 T T2 Ts Te Ts 4 1 4 Surface : Ts 4 Te 4 T14 1 Ts 3 4 Te 1 T1 2 4 Te 28 4 4 4 Effects of emissivity<1 Surface : 2 A TA 4 A T14 A T s 4 1 4 5 5 TA Te 321K Ts 2 Stratosphere : 2 t Tt 4 A T2 4 2 Tt 1 1 4 Te 214K 29 Te Full u ca calculation cu at o o of radiative ad at e e equilibrium: qu b u 30 Time scale of approach to equilib equilib ilibrri um um 31 32 Contributions of various absorbers absorbers Note: All simulations have variable clouds interacting with radiation 33 34 MIT OpenCourseWare http://ocw.mit.edu 12.811 Tropical Meteorology Spring 2011 For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu/terms. 35