The Regional Power Grid Team Presentation # 2: Status report Karen Tapia-Ahumada Katherine Steel Jehanzeb Noor April 25, 2006 1 Agenda Items Revised method of matrix generation System representation Analyses on Power Grid Histograms, Degree Distributions & Metrics Next steps Expected Outputs & Conclusions Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 2 Revised Method T1 A B A B B A C T2 d T1 A B T2 A C B A t I. For transformers add a new node in matrix for each one II. Use “dummy” node to represent all parallel paths III. For taps add a “dummy” node to show paths Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada B 3 Revised Method Using this method our system representation changed from: The order of 103 nodes and 103 paths To: More than 1600 nodes generators 286 loads 700 transformers 333 taps 115 buses 128 dummy nodes 103 others 10 About 2400 paths (estimated) Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 4 System Representation Nodes: Red Æ Generator Green Æ Load Gray Æ Others Links: Red Æ < 115kV Blue Æ 115kV Black Æ 230kV GreyÆ 345kV PurpleÆ HVDC Representing the system at zonal level is easier to visualize Æ Grid shown next Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 5 The Overall Power Grid • Impossible to visualize and difficult to analyze in UCINET • MATLAB more suitable • Clustering Coeff. = 0.06 • Edge/node ration ~ 1.5 • For sub-sets of network, edge/node ratio varies: • ratio (low population density) = 1.37 • ratio (high population density) = ~ 3 • About 40 inter-connections with other zones and grids Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 6 Zonal Degree Histogram and Cumulative Distribution Plots Cumulative degree distribution for some zones Degree distribution for some zones 1000 Cumulative degree distribution 350 300 Frequency 250 200 150 100 50 100 10 1 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2 4 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Ordered degree Degree • Most of the nodes are connected to few edges – is this scale-free? •As we will see, sub-set (i.e. zonal) distributions look similar to overall grid • This specific “subset” is one of two congested ones among three “subsets” • Not a simple graph: has double edges and self-loops as expected in a grid • A lot of redundant paths for network reliability and unseen contingencies Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 7 # of nodes Overall Degree Histogram and Cumulative Distribution Plots Number of Edges • Pearson coefficient 0.04 (almost zero); metrics comparable to western grid • West grid: edge/node = 2.6; degree correl. = 0.03; clustering coeff. = 0.08 • Cumulative degree distribution similar to western grid (Newman’s paper) • Kmax = 36 Æ i.e. at node in a very congested zone (also high LMP $/MWh) Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 8 Next Steps Validate all Data and Interconnections! Identify clusters and sub-sets of network Identify existing clusters (using algorithms like Newman-Girvan in UCINETtm) and filtering Study the reasons for existence of clusters Geographical Sociological (industrial zones, high populations) Contingency-based (addition of nodes & links) Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 9 More Next steps Compare with other grids Study degree distributions See if network topology can be mapped across Find potential similarities in clustering Find if network follows a power or other law Compare other known degree distributions Define “critical” nodes & identify examples Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 10 Expected Output & Conclusion This grid seems to follow trends similar to the western power grid (from what we know and can compare so far). More to follow… The edge to node ratio (zonal and overall), clustering and Pearson coefficients have low values typical to large technological networks We expect to get insights to grid topology, empirical structural models and metrics… Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 11 Questions and Comments? Contact information Karen JZ Kate Noor, Steel, Tapia-Ahumada 12