Genomics, Computing, Economics & Society 10 AM Tue 11-Oct 2005

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Genomics, Computing,

Economics & Society

10 AM Tue 11-Oct 2005 week 4 of 14

MIT-OCW Health Sciences & Technology 508/510

Harvard Biophysics 101

Economics, Public Policy, Business, Health Policy

Photo removed due to copyright reasons.

Class outline

(1) Topic priorities for homework since last class

(2) Quantitative exercises: psycho-statistics, combinatorials, random/compression, exponential/logistic, bits, association & multihypotheses

(3) Project level presentation & discussion

(4) Sub-project reports & discussion:

Personalized Medicine & Energy Metabolism

(5) Discuss communication/presentation tools

(6) Topic priorities for homework for next class

Common Disease – Common Variant

Theory. How common?

ApoE allele

ε

4 : Alzheimer’s dementia,

& hypercholesterolemia

20% in humans, >97% in chimps

HbS 17% & G6PD 40% in a Saudi sample

CCR5

32 : resistance to HIV

9% in caucasians

SNPs & Covariance in proteins

e4 20% ApoE e3 80%

Figure removed due to copyright reasons.

Ancestral = Arg 112 Thr 61

One form of HIV-1 Resistance

Figure removed due to copyright reasons.

Association test for CCR-5 & HIV resistance

Alleles Obs Neg ObsSeroPos total

CCR-5+

∆ ccr-5 total

1278

130

1408

1368

78

1446

2646

208

2854

ExpecNeg ExpecPos

1305 1341

103 105 dof=(r-1)(c-1)=1 ChiSq=sum[(o-e)^2/e]= 15.6

P

0.00008

Figure removed due to copyright reasons.

Samson et al. Nature 1996 382:722-5

1E+10

1E+9

1E+8

1E+7

1E+6

1E+5

1E+4

1

1E+3

|

1E+2

0.1

But what if we test more than one locus?

Y= Number of Sib Pairs (Assocation)

X= Number of Alleles (Hypotheses) Tested

Y= Number of Sib Pairs (Association)

X= Population frequency (p)

GRR=1.5, p= 0.5 (population frequency)

GRR=1.5, #alleles=1E6 1,600

1,400

1,200

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

1E+4

|

[based on Risch & Merikangas

(1996) Science 273: 1516]

1E+6 1E+8 1E+10 1E+12 1E+14 1E+16 1E+18 1E+20 1E+22

[based on Risch & Merikangas

(1996) Science 273: 1516]

Y= Number of Sib Pairs (Association)

X= Genotypic Relative Risk (GRR) 0.01

0.001

0.0001

0.00001

1E-06 1E-07 1E-08 1E-09

#alleles=1E6, p=0.5 (population frequency)

The future of genetic studies of complex human diseases.

Ref

GRR = Genotypic relative risk

1E+8

1E+7

1E+6

1E+5

1E+4

1E+3

|

[based on Risch &

Merikangas (1996)

Science 273: 1516]

0.001

1E+1

0.01

0.1

1 10 100 1000

1.001 1.01 1.1 2 11 101 1,001 10,001

10000

1-GRR

GRR

How many "new" mutations?

G= generations of exponential population growth = 5000

N'= population size = 6 x 10 9 now; N= 10 4 pre-G m= mutation rate per bp per generation = 10 -8 to 10 -9 (ref)

L= diploid genome = 6 x 10 9 bp e kG = N'/N; so k= 0.0028

Av # new mutations <

Σ

Le kt m = 4 x 10 3 to 4 x 10 4 per genome t=1 to 5000

Take home: "High genomic deleterious mutation rates in hominids" accumulate over 5000 generations & confound linkage methods

And common (causative) allele assumptions.

Class outline

(1) Topic priorities for homework since last class

(2) Quantitative exercise

(3) Project level presentation & discussion

(4) Sub-project reports & discussion

(5) Discuss communication/presentation tools

(6) Topic priorities, homework for next class

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