GOES-R Proving Ground CIRA / RAMMB Progress Report 10 January 2011

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GOES-R Proving Ground
CIRA / RAMMB Progress Report
10 January 2011
National Center Interactions
WFO Interactions
ORI Case Study
Conferences and Meetings
1
• NHC Fact Sheet
NHC Interaction
GOES-R (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R Series)
January 2011
GOES-R Proving Ground
National Hurricane Center 2010 Experiment
What Is GOES-R?
The Geostationary Operational Environmental
Satellite - R Series (GOES-R) is the next
generation of National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) geostationary Earthobserving systems. Superior spacecraft and
instrument technology will support expanded
detection of environmental phenomena,
resulting in more timely and accurate forecasts
and warnings. The Advanced Baseline Imager
(ABI), a sixteen channel imager with two visible
channels, four near-infrared channels, and ten
infrared channels, will provide three times more
spectral information, four times the spatial
resolution, and more than five times faster
temporal coverage than the current system.
Other advancements over current GOES
capabilities include total lightning detection (incloud and cloud-to-ground flashes) and mapping
from the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM),
and increased dynamic range, resolution, and
sensitivity in monitoring solar X-ray flux with the
Solar UV Imager (SUVI). GOES-R is scheduled for
launch in 2015.
Hurricane Forecaster Daniel Brown (back) and GOES-R product
developer Mark DeMaria (front) viewing the RGB Air Mass
product at NHC.
GOES-R (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R Series)
What Products Are Being Tested?
The Hurricane Intensity Estimate (HIE) product is
designed to estimate hurricane intensity
(minimum sea-level pressure and maximum
surface wind) from ABI infrared-window channel
imagery. The code has been derived from the
current Advanced Dvorak Technique.
The Super Rapid Scan Imagery (SRSO) product
allows forecasters to gain experience with the utility
of the high time resolution observations from the
future GOES-R . The SRSO demonstration was
possible because the GOES-15 science test
coincided with the Atlantic hurricane season. Part of
the science test included the collection of 1 minute
data over several tropical cyclone cases.
GOES-15 Visible imagery of Hurricane Earl
taken on 3 September 2010 at 12:45 UTC
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) GOES-R
Proving Ground Hurricane Season Experiment
The GOES-R Proving Ground engages the National
Weather Service (NWS) forecast and warning
community in pre-operational demonstrations of
select capabilities of GOES-R. The objective of the
NHC Hurricane Season Proving Ground Experiment is
to demonstrate identified GOES-R surrogate products
in real-time at the NHC during hurricane season so
the forecasters can use, get familiar with, and
evaluate the products and provide valuable feedback
to the GOES-R Program Office (GPO). The 2010 NHC
GOES-R Proving Ground ran from Aug. 1, 2010
through Nov. 30, 2010. Proving Ground products
evaluated during 2010 were a hurricane intensity
estimate product, a lightning-based tropical cyclone
rapid intensity product, three different red-greenblue products , and super rapid scan operations
imagery from GOES-15.
www.goes-r.gov
The Rapid Intensity Index (RII)
is based on simulated GLM
data. The lightning data were
received from the groundbased Vaisala GLD360 feed that
was established at CIRA. The
product also uses input from
other sources, including GOES
imagery and forecast model
fields. The RII is a text product
which informs forecasters
about changes in lightning rates
close to tropical cyclones,
which can be used as an
indication for intensification of
tropical storms.
To help prepare forecasters for new applications in the GOES-R
ABI era three Red-Green-Blue (RGB) image products were
tested during the 2010 hurricane season. One of these RGB
products is the RGB Air Mass Product. Originally designed by
scientists at the European Organisation for the Exploitation of
Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT), it has been adapted for
tropical applications to highlight differences between dry,
tropical and cold air masses. The RGB Dust Product works in a
similar fashion. This product is designed to monitor the
evolution of dust storms during both day and night. Dust
plumes in the tropical Atlantic have been hypothesized to slow
tropical storm development and to affect sea surface
temperatures directly where tropical cyclones form . The third
RGB product is the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) Product. This is
another example of an enhanced image product potentially
related to tropical cyclone evolution by tracking dry, dusty air
in the lower to middle levels of the atmosphere.
6 hour period of lightning locations (gold points) from 16 Sep 2010 at 15:21 UTC
superimposed on a color-enhanced infrared GOES image which depicts 3 hurricanes:
Hurricane Igor (center), Julia (east of Igor), and Karl (in the southern Gulf of Mexico).
GOES-R Proving Ground Hurricane Experiment
• Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)
• Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS)
at the University of Wisconsin
• NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information
Service, Center for Satellite Applications and Research
(NESDIS/STAR)
• NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC)
On the Web
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/research/tropical_cyclones/
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
For More Information, Contact:
GOES-R Program Office
Code 417
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
Greenbelt, MD 20771
301-286-1355
Jim Gurka, james.gurka@noaa.gov
Steve Goodman, steve.goodman@noaa.gov
What Are The Benefits?
The GOES-R Proving Ground bridges the gap between
research and operations, providing sustained interaction
between developers and end users for the purposes of
training, product evaluation, and user feedback-based
development. These efforts will maximize utilization of
GOES-R products and services and provide an effective
transition to operations. The advanced observational
capabilities available from GOES-R will enable the NHC to
make more accurate estimates of hurricane intensity,
position, and structure. The new information from the
GLM and ABI will improve hurricane model initialization
and forecast algorithms such at the rapid intensity index,
and therefore will result in improved forecasts and
extended forecast lead times.
www.goes-r.gov
• NHC Proving Ground Experiment 2010 debriefing on 13 Jan 2011
2
SPC Interaction / Synthetic Imagery
•
Note: CIRA upgraded to a new cluster – resulting in significant faster
production of the real-time NSSL-WRF synthetic imagery
•
Changed real-time synthetic imagery production
- From: 6.185 µm, 6.95 µm, 7.34 µm, 10.35 µm (running real-time since May 2010)
- To:
6.95 µm, 7.34 µm, 8.50 µm, 10.35 µm, 12.3 µm
- all bands now running for 25 hour periods (12 Z to 12 Z)
- 6.95 µm and 10.35 µm are done by 10 UTC
- 7.34 µm, 8.5 µm, 12.3 µm are completed by 1515 UTC.
- Additional channel difference products will be created in the future:
12.30 µm – 10.35 µm, 12.3 µm – 8.5 µm, 10.35 µm – 8.50 µm
•
Synthetic imagery also available at 3 WFOs: BOU, PUB, RIW
3
NSSL-WRF Synthetic ABI Imagery
• New bands are displayed on CIRA/RAMMB real-time webpage
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/goes-r_proving_ground.asp
4
Synthetic Imagery – WFO BOU feedback
We are receiving more feedback from WFO BOU
Note
From: Eric Thaler [mailto:Eric.Thaler@noaa.gov]
Sent: Friday, November 12, 2010 11:04 AM
To: Lindsey, Daniel
Cc: Ed Szoke
Subject: Re: simulated imagery
Daniel,
WOW!!!! I am working the short term desk today and noticed the same thing (synthetic imagery picking up on
the low clouds northeast of Denver) and am most impressed!!!! It also did a decent job picking up some of the
clouds in the mountains. Have you noticed that it "sees" the cities?
Eric
5
OPC / HPC
• Participated in OPC/HPC teleconference on 07 Dec 2010
• CIRA and CIMSS will provide synthetic cloud/moisture imagery
for the OPC Proving Ground
• Current SPC products cover sufficient off-shore areas for OPC
• RGB Air Mass Product:
– From GOES – Sounder for HPC
– From MSG for OPC (same as the NHC product)
– Product demonstration will be transitioned
from GoogleEarth to N-AWIPS
6
WFO Interactions
• New CIRA PG product installation packages available at:
• ERHQ / WFO BUF and BOU: MODIS snow and cirrus
• ERHQ / WFO BUF: GOES low cloud fog
• WFO MTR: ORI
• WFO GJT: GeoColor
• WFO PUB RIW: improved transmission of synthetic imagery
after feedback from the WFOs (less data)
• MODIS Proving Ground data reduction: WFOs only receive
imagery in case it covers their entire forecast area
7
Other Progress
•
N-AWIPS: Evaluation of SPORT true color conversion to 7 bit
•
AWIPS / WES data archive:
7 days of west coast rain/snow events (17 – 24 Dec 2010):
PG products, models, observation, satellite data
•
Procured new Linux box for GeoColor and MODIS imagery
processing at CIRA
•
GeoColor GOES-West imagery now available every 15 min
(instead of 30 min)
•
Work continues with Geoffrey Stano / SPORT for a specialized
GOES-R lightning product overlay GeoColor product
8
Quick look at ORI imagery during the
California pre-Christmas big rains
Images from 17-18 December 2010
9
IR imagery on AWIPS for 09z/18 Dec – onset of 1st big precip
10
Radar imagery also at 09z/18 Dec from WFO/Monterey
11
Comparison of radar and ORI imagery for 09z/18 Dec
The ORI imagery has far more detail of course than the radar and highlights
the areas where the heaviest orographic-induced precipitation is occurring.
Also, areas out of radar range are still covered by the ORI product (for
example, in the ovals shown on the imagery).
12
Comparison of zoomed ORI imagery and ORI combined
with a topography image, from AWIPS for 09z/18 Dec
This zoomed ORI imagery on the left and then the same image combined
with a topographic image on the right further illustrate the detail shown by the
ORI product.
13
The 24-h observed precipitation
estimate indicates the sharp
increase in precipitation that fell
along the coastal mountains
(and of course over the inland
mountains as well).
14
Conference / Meetings
• 12 Jan 2011: AWIPS II Technical Interchange Meeting (TIM) telecon
• 13 Jan 2011: NHC Proving Ground Hurricane Experiment 2010 debriefing telecon
AMS 2011: Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems:
• Ed Szoke,R.Brummer, M.DeMaria, H.Gosden, S.Miller, D.Molenar:
An overview of CIRA’s contribution to the GOES-R Proving
Ground
• Mark DeMaria, J. Knaff, M. Brennan, J. Beven, N. Demetriades,
R.DeMaria, A.Schumacher, J. Kaplan: Tropical Cyclone Rapid
Intensity Change Forecasting Using Lightning Data during the
2010 GOES-R Proving Ground at the National Hurricane Center
• End of Jan 2011: Steve Miller visit to NRL and WFO MTR for technical
discussions on Proving Ground and other topics.
• March 2011: Paper submission to Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference:
Mark DeMaria, J. Knaff, M. Brennan, J. Beven: 2010 NHC Proving Ground
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Hurricane Experiment.
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