Assimilation of observations from the Microwave Humidity Sounders on board China’s FY-3B and FY-3C Meteorological Satellites ITSC-20 Fabien Carminati Katie Lean∗ William Bell Nigel Atkinson Met Office *now at ECMWF October 28, 2015 Introduction: Who we are The Met Office (MO) Satellite Radiance Assimilation Group (SRAG) I Manage Infrared and Microwave sounding data from: AIRS, ATOVS, ATMS, CrIS, IASI, and SSMIS. I Maintain processing system for operational assimilation into the MO models. I Carry out research to improve and extend data applications. I Investigate the introduction of new instruments. Here, the MicroWave Humidity Sounders (MWHS) on board China’s FY-3 platforms. This work is supported by the European Horizon-2020 GAIA-CLIM project and the CSSP:China program, in collaboration with the NSMC-CMA. 2 / 13 Introduction: Source of data Sounding missions supporting NWP and climate monitoring. USA Europe China FY-3 polar orbiting satellites will become a major source of data for NWP and climate monitoring over the next decades. 3 / 13 Content 1. Presentation of MWHS-1 and -2 2. NWP-based assessment outlines 3. Assimilation experiments outlines 4. Concluding remarks 4 / 13 Presentation: FY-3B MWHS-1 Channel Number MWHS-1 MWHS-2 ATMS 1 16 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1-2 10 17 3 11 22 12 21 4 13 20 14 19 5 15 18 MWHS-1 150 (V-H) 183 ± 1.0 (V) 183 ± 3.0 (V) 183 ± 7.0 (V) Frequency (GHz) MWHS-2 89 (H) 118.75 ± 0.08 (V) 118.75 ± 0.2 (V) 118.75 ± 0.3 (V) 118.75 ± 0.8 (V) 118.75 ± 1.1 (V) 118.75 ± 2.5 (V) 118.75 ± 3.0 (V) 118.75 ± 5.0 (V) 150 (H) 183 ± 1.0 (V) 183 ± 1.8 (V) 183 ± 3.0 (V) 183 ± 4.5 (V) 183 ± 7.0 (V) ATMS 88.2 (V) 165.5 (H) 183 ± 1.0 (H) 183 ± 1.8 (H) 183 ± 3.0 (H) 183 ± 4.5 (H) 183 ± 7.0 (H) FY-3B equator crossing time: ∼14:20 local time ascending. 5 / 13 Presentation: FY-3C MWHS-2 Channel Number MWHS-1 MWHS-2 ATMS 1 16 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1-2 10 17 3 11 22 12 21 4 13 20 14 19 5 15 18 MWHS-1 150 (V-H) 183 ± 1.0 (V) 183 ± 3.0 (V) 183 ± 7.0 (V) Frequency (GHz) MWHS-2 89 (H) 118.75 ± 0.08 (V) 118.75 ± 0.2 (V) 118.75 ± 0.3 (V) 118.75 ± 0.8 (V) 118.75 ± 1.1 (V) 118.75 ± 2.5 (V) 118.75 ± 3.0 (V) 118.75 ± 5.0 (V) 150 (H) 183 ± 1.0 (V) 183 ± 1.8 (V) 183 ± 3.0 (V) 183 ± 4.5 (V) 183 ± 7.0 (V) ATMS 88.2 (V) 165.5 (H) 183 ± 1.0 (H) 183 ± 1.8 (H) 183 ± 3.0 (H) 183 ± 4.5 (H) 183 ± 7.0 (H) FY-3C equator crossing time: ∼10:20 local time descending. 6 / 13 Assessment: August 2015 (MWHS-1, -2, and ATMS) First guess departure from raw observations (O-B), corrected observations (C-B) and 1σ standard deviation (K) O-B Departures C-B Departures 6 2 3 1 0 0 -3 -1 -6 -2 118.75 GHz ATMS MWHS-1 MWHS-2 7 / 13 183 GHz Channel Number MWHS-1 MWHS-2 ATMS 3 11 22 12 21 4 13 20 14 19 5 15 18 118.75 GHz First Guess MWHS-1 -1.416±2.346 -1.254±1.417 -0.034±1.509 183 GHz Departure (O-B) ±1σ (K) MWHS-2 ATMS -1.026±1.629 0.949±1.533 -1.313±1.509 0.029±1.431 2.474±1.080 -0.138±0.923 4.915±1.400 -0.256±0.879 -1.980±1.028 0.562±0.838 Assessment: Corrected observations August 2015 corrected observations from 1D-Var static bias correction Channel Number MWHS-1 MWHS-2 ATMS 3 11 22 12 21 4 13 20 14 19 5 15 18 First Guess MWHS-1 -0.096±2.294 0.066±1.261 0.084±1.166 Departure (C-B) ±1σ (K) MWHS-2 ATMS 0.055±1.621 0.029±1.528 0.048±1.498 0.036±1.429 0.326±1.028 0.061±0.916 0.348±1.027 0.050±0.859 0.289±0.994 0.020±0.827 Apr-Jun 2015∗ corrected observations from 4D-Var VarBC Channel Number MWHS-1 MWHS-2 ATMS 3 11 22 12 21 4 13 20 14 19 5 15 18 ∗ 8 / 13 First Guess MWHS-1 -0.009±2.143 0.016±1.228 0.011±1.333 Departure (C-B) ±1σ (K) MWHS-2 ATMS -0.095±1.483 0.011±0.886 -0.080±1.378 -0.001±0.849 -0.036±0.909 -0.025±0.916 -0.011±0.910 -0.050±1.253 0.023±0.949 -0.070±1.336 two different trials: 62 days for MWHS-1 and 79 days for MWHS-2 and ATMS Assimilation experiments MWHS-1 and -2 are integrated into a full system, low resolution (N320), for assimilation experiments in the MO global system. I Exp 1 MWHS-2 with static bias correction scheme . . . . . . . . . . 49 days long I Exp 2 MWHS-2 with variational bias correction scheme . . . . . 23 days long I Exp 3 MWHS-1 with variational bias correction scheme . . . . . 62 days long Channel number MWHS-1 MWHS-2 1 2-9 1-2 10 3 11 12 4 13 14 5 15 Observation errors (K) MWHS-1 MWHS-2 7.67 3-6 5 5 4.5 4.5 4 4 4 4 4 4 Assimilated channels Sea Sea-ice Land NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO YES NO NO YES NO NO YES NO NO YES NO NO YES NO NO Cloud screening Bennartz rain∗ Cirrus cost Rejected Rejected Rejected Rejected Rejected Rejected Rejected Rejected ∗ 9 / 13 only for MWHS-2 Assimilation experiments Change in standard deviation of the fit to the model background for MHS-NOAA19 (relative to the control). Exp 1 Exp 2 Exp 3 (MWHS-2 with static bias correction) (MWHS-2 with VarBC) (MWHS-1 with VarBC) 10 / 13 Assimilation experiments: Exp 1 (MWHS-2 with static BC) Similar improvement for other sounders in Exp 1 (and 2) ... 11 / 13 Assimilation experiments: Exp 3 (MWHS-1 with VarBC) ... But mixed picture in Exp 3. Significant degradation in Relative Humidity in lower and mid-troposphere. Exp Control 12 / 13 Assimilation experiments: Exp 3 (MWHS-1 with VarBC) Could we indirectly introduce bad data? (Hypothesis) 1D-Var RH – RHbg 12 / 13 Concluding remarks I MWHS-2 (likely) to be operationally assimilated in the next MO system update. I MWHS-1 operational use postponed until we work out RH issues. Future work I Further investigate MWHS-1 impact on relative humidity. I Test the assimilation of MWHS-1 and -2 183 GHz over land. I Test MWHS-2 118 GHz channels. 13 / 13 c Crown copyright Supplementary material: Errors Channel Number MWHS-1 MWHS-2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 10 3 11 12 4 13 14 5 15 14 / 13 NE∆T (K) MWHS-1 (2x2) MWHS-2 (3x3) 0.14 1 0.37 0.32 0.3 0.28 0.28 0.17 0.2 0.30 0.29 0.15 0.37 0.25 0.2 0.20 0.16 0.13 0.19 0.15 Observation errors (K) MWHS-1 MWHS-2 7.67 4 3 3 4 4 4 6 6 5 5 5 4.5 4.5 4 4 4 4 4 4 Supplementary material: Humidity Jacobian 200 200 300 300 Pressure [hPa] Ch.11 400 500 400 Ch.12 Ch.13 500 Ch.14 600 600 Ch.15 700 700 800 800 900 900 1000 1000 −2.0 −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 0.0 Humidity Jacobian [K/(10%)] 15 / 13 Supplementary material: RH correlation RH - RH background in analysis 16 / 13 Supplementary material: Long term variability 17 / 13 Supplementary material: Recent variability 18 / 13