Geochemistry of other trace gases (non-C02 greenhouse gase 12 340 Global Warming Science March 20 2012 Dan Cziczo Reading: Archer, Chapter 4 � oday�s�Class • recap the atmosphere and greenhouse concept he other greenhouse gases •The case of CFCs Recap � All others Argon Early Atmosphere Probably� 2 � e� -�iieely�lost�to�space�early� Carbon dioxide Later Atmosphere �-�lolcanic�out�gassing��� impacts� �� 20 �C02 �S02 �C0 �S2 �Cl2 � N2 � 2 �N 3 �and�C 4�� Oxygen Nitrogen Life �-�0��C02�balance� � Everything else �11�1�� � Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. � 3 iutgens�and� arbuce ����� ���������� ��th�editon� Boundary to space (1 - α)lsolar lup, atmosphere 4 ldown, atmosphere lup, ground Earth Without Greenhouse Gases We Wouldn't Be Here! Planet α (%) T T observed T 1 layer l solar (K) 5 (K) (K) (Wm-2) Venus 71 240 700 285 2600 Earth 33 251 295 303 1350 Mars 17 216 240 259 600 Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. 4 Modern CO2 This image has been removed due to copyright restrictions. Please see the image on page http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mauna_Loa_Carbon_Dioxide.png. 5 �PCC� Solar��rradiance��� 1370�W�m2� (more�in�iecture�17��� Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, FAQ 2.1, Figure 2. Cambridge University Press. Used with permission. 6 �PCC� No�Models(�(oe �a�li�le� modeling� � This image has been removed due to copyright restrictions. Please see Figure 6 on page http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2009JD01210S/full. (more�in�iecture�17 18 1���� 7 Murphy�et�al ��GR�200�� Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Figure 6.4. Cambridge University Press. Used with permission. 8 �PCC� This image has been removed due to copyright restrictions. 9 �PCC� This image has been removed due to copyright restrictions. Please see the image on page http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Greenhouse_Gas_by_Sector.png. �0 e� This image has been removed due to copyright restrictions. 11 � Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Figure 2.5. Cambridge University Press. Used with permission. 12 What�s�Strange�ubout�methane�� This image has been removed due to copyright restrictions. Please see GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 35, L22805 (2008). doi: 10.1029/2008GLD36037. �3 �4 Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Table TS.3. Cambridge University Press. Used with permission. �5 What’s Special About Carbon Dioxide ? (1) CO2 + H2O <-> H+ + HCO3(2) CO2 + H2O + CO3 -2 <-> 2HCO3- Initial step ~100,000 years Archer (many papers); review in Solomon et al., PNAS, 2009; Revelle and Suess 1957 �6 Why�� -Climate system lags (ocean heat uptake) -Nonlinear spectroscopy for some, where warming doesn’t follow the concentration decay (CO2, CH4). Image courtesy of Susan Solomon. Used with permission. Bern 2.5CC EMIC runs - Solomon et al., PNAS, 2010. �7 Emit until 2050, then stop…. Lifetime of N2O ≈ 110 years Lifetime of CH4 ≈ 10 years Warming due to CO2 persists for more than 1000 years; for N2O several hundred years; for methane many decades. Image courtesy of Susan Solomon. Used with permission. Bern 2.5CC EMIC runs - Solomon et al., PNAS, 2010. �8 Chlorofuorocarbon�C�C C�� � 0riginally�used�as�a�gre�gghtng�material�(replacement�of�o ygen� �later�used�in�foam �a� refrigerant �soleent �and�aerosol�propellant� � !anned�due�to�ozone�destructon�� Image courtesy of Susan Solomon. Used with permission. �9 2010 2000 1990 1980 1970 1950 1960 100 2010 100 2000 200 1990 200 1980 300 1970 300 1960 400 400 300 Courtesy This image has been removed due to copyright restrictions. Please see the image in Solomon� S.� and �. �. Chanin� Science Diplomacy� 2012. � 20 2010 2000 1990 1980 100 1970 200 1960 1950 400 40� Gases destroy ozone here� � Altitude (km)� Polar cloud surfaces lead to much more ozone destruction, in the heart of the layer� HCl 20� 20� Cl Cl2 ClONO2 ClO Ozone 0� Image courtesy of Susan Solomon. Used with permission. Amount of ozone� Sun+Cold: Both Needed 21 Activated Reservoirs for ozone loss C Cs�and� Cs� Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Figure 2.6. Cambridge University Press. Used with permission. 22 CFCs are strong absorbers of infrared light, and directly contribute to global warming {CFC physics} Greenhouse Effect Due to Chlorofluorocarbons: Climatic Implications Abstract The infrared bands of chlorofluorocarbons and chlorocarbons enhance the atmospheric greenhouse effect. This enhancement may lead to an appreciable increase in the global surface temperature if the atmospheric concentrations of these compounds reach values of the order of 2 parts per billion. Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. Ramanathan, Science, 1975. Cross-Sections (Cm2/molecule x 10-18) Halocarbon Absorption Spectrum 5 4 3 2 1 0 4 6 8 10 12 Atmospheric 'Window' Wavelength (µm) HFC-134a CFC-12 23 14 HCFC-22 Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. Benefits of Montreal Protocol for Climate� GWP - Weighted (missions CO2 emissions emissions (GtCO2-eq yr-1) 40 30 2.0 Magnitude of Kyoto Protocol reduction target World avoided by the Montreal Protocol? 20 Reduction Montreal Protocol of ~11 GtCO2-eq/yr 10 �5-6 times global Kyoto target 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Year Baseline CO2 Without Montreal Protocol Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. 24 Role of ozone depletion cooling due to CFCs? Could reduce this by perhaps a third but�. &OLPDWH&KDQJH7KH3K\VLFDO6FLHQFH%DVLV:RUNLQJ*URXS,&RQWULEXWLRQWRWKH)RXUWK$VVHVVPHQW5HSRUW RIWKH,QWHUJRYHUQPHQWDO3DQHORQ&OLPDWH&KDQJH7DEOH76&DPEULGJH8QLYHUVLW\3UHVV8VHGZLWKSHUPLVVLRQ 5 Montreal Sep 2007 adjustment: HCFC early phase-out� Global ODS emissions 4 � 2.0 Emissions ( GtCO2 -eq yr-1) 3 Reducton�in�emissions � C Cs� transiton��speedup� 2 Magnitude of Kyoto Protocol reduction target for 2008-2012 1 12-15 GtCO2 -eq 0 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Year Baseline HCFC reduction HCFC phase-out adjustment 2007 Image by MIT OpenCourseWare. 26 12-17�GtC02-e �potental�reducton�if� replaced� ith�lo -GWP�alternatees�or� reduced�through�consereaton�recycling � Recap�of� oday�s�Class� �recap�the�atmosphere�and�greenhouse�concept� � he�other�greenhouse�gases� � he�case�of�C Cs� � 7 MIT OpenCourseWare http://ocw3mit3edu � 3340 looaao Warming ccience cpring 20� For information aaout citing these materiaos or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw3mit3edu/terms3