ICT Measurement The Canadian Experience Geneva, October 18, 2004 Tim Davis Agriculture, Technology and Transportation Branch Statistics Canada The Canadian Context w Politicians, public servants and statisticians came w w w w together early to launch measurement programs Canada assessed benefits and developed supportive policies Framework conditions, tax neutrality and security rather than subsidies Need for measurement and analysis recognised Funding e-com and ICT data gaps was a priority December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 2 Overview w w w w w w This Thing Called e-com The International and Canadian Contexts Some e-com Basics Canadian data programs and outputs Gaps and Issues……… What’s next? December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 3 This Thing Called ICT w w w w w w w w What is e-commerce? Why is it important? Transformative Impacts on competitiveness and relative positions Phenomenon or real change? Impacts on business and consumer Economy and society On development too! A social, cultural and economic phenomenon December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 4 This Thing Called ICT What do we need to measure…. And why? Must reflect impact on economy and society Many flows and activities that enable Also inhibitors and barriers Need understanding at all stages Outputs and productivity; Costs and benefits supply/demand sides w Lots of hype and self-serving measures w Measures not produced automatically w w w w w w December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 5 But ….. Reflect state of evolution •Establish benchmarks •Basis for comparison Policy issues, indicators outcomes, impacts •Reflect reality •Ensure relevance intensity •Drop and add measures over time e-readiness time Source: Industry Canada 1999 December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 6 This Thing Called e-com w What to measure? Is focus Macro or Micro? w Not sufficient to measure a single activity w Impacts many flows and aggregates for SNA w There are many inputs that combine Manufacturing – ICT equipment n Infrastructure - Telecom services n Facilitating - Software and ISPs n Activities and outputs – Sales and services w National macro data was first priority n December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 7 This Thing Called e-com BUT w Micro measures and analysis relevant too w Impacts on innovation and competitiveness w Need policies, measures and analysis together w Are clusters only geographic? w Virtual clustering and partnerships December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 8 This Thing Called e-com w w w w w Is international comparison required? As never before Potential to be an equaliser But threat to be further exclude those excluded Monitoring The Digital Divide….and Beyond December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 9 This Thing Called e-com w New and unique challenges for stat agencies w Measurement is difficult. Response burden? w Are traditional vehicles appropriate? Expectations for speed relevance and comprehensiveness are very high w Many guesses or self-serving “estimates” confound the objective survey taker December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 10 The International Context w w w w w w w w Rapid change threatened information chaos Good news! Order, it seems, prevails Many understand need for objective data OECD led the way with definitions & questions Government & business had similar data needs Encourage development & use for competitiveness Not all countries follow same path Caution: consider measurement needs and abilities of less developed economies December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 11 Measurements now common for business activity … Business e-commerce, 2001 100 Internet use 90 online sales online purchases 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 Gr ee ce Un Sp ite ain dK ing do m Lu xe m bo ur g Ca na da Po rtu ga l Ita ly Ne th er lan ds No rw ay Au str ia Sw ed en Au str ali a Ne w Ze ala nd 2/17/2005 Fin lan d Ja pa n 0 De nm ar k % of enterprises 80 12 Source: OECD …and households too People and e-commerce, 2001 (or latest year) 80 Using the Internet ordering goods or services 70 50 40 30 20 10 M ex ico Tu rk ey Ita ly Po rtu ga l Fr an ce Au str ali a Un ite dK ing do m Ne th er lan ds St ate s Ca na da Un ite d 2/17/2005 De nm ar k Fin lan d 0 Sw ed en % of individuals 60 Source: OECD 13 e-commerce basics w w w w Common, accepted definitions are Key In 2000 OECD set Broad and Narrow terms Focus on order; not delivery or payment Internet vs. “computer-mediated networks” December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 14 e-commerce basics 2/17/2005 15 e-commerce basics w w w w Common, accepted definitions are key In 2000 OECD set Broad and Narrow terms Focus on order; not delivery or payment Internet vs. “computer-mediated networks” w OECD model questionnaire modules w Distinguish type of transaction: B2B, B2C, B2G w Enterprise vs. establishment activity December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 16 Canadian experience: Data programs and results Infrastructure: w Telecommunications and cable surveys w Software, ISP and related surveys Applications: w Electronic commerce and technology w Household (Individual) Internet Use w General Social Survey Analysis: w Industry Canada and Connectedness Series December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 17 e-com : Canadian Measurements Business e-commerce, Canada 2002 90 85 76 % of private-sector enterprises 80 70 60 50 40 32 32 30 20 8 10 0 computers December 8, 2003 Internet Web site WSIS Statistical Workshop e-purchases e-sales 18 Canada: Value of Internet Sales 1999 2002 2002 Industry (millions of CAN $) Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade 900 156 611 1,957 3,693 1,718 0.3 1.1 0.5 Transport and warehousing 164 1,924 2.4 Information and cultural 553 829 1.2 Finance and insurance Professional, scientific and technical services 321 406 852 983 0.4 1.4 429 4,180 166 13,339 0.4 0.6 Accommodation and food services All private sector % of operating revenues Source: Statistics Canada Of which, in 2002: B2B = 73%, foreign = 22% Both proportions declining December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 19 e-com by business size - 2002 Computers Internet Web sites e-purchases e-sales % of enterprises small 84 73 27 29 7 medium 97 92 62 47 13 large 100 99 77 57 16 All 85 76 31 32 8 65 27 % of economic activity All 98 97 83 Source: Statistics Canada December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 20 e-commerce and people Canada 2001 number of households % of households 12,007 100 7,228 60 3,976 33 window shopper 1,731 14 e-commerce 2,244 19 1,778 15 All households Internet use (any location) Internet shopper e-payment Source: Statistics Canada December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 21 e-commerce and people People and e-commerce, Canada 2001 number of orders total value (millions) (billions of CAN $) 13.4 2 average number of orders average value per order (CAN $) 6 148 of which, foreign transactions: 44% of orders 35% of expenditures Source: Statistics Canada December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 22 e-business processes w Hierarchical structures and information w transmission and processing controls and inertia Intra- and inter-firm integration Linkages to innovation n Product n Process Identification of differences n by industry n by firm size Measurement implications - generic or specific surveys - practical difficulties and compromises - out of the box approaches? n w w w w w w w December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 23 Outstanding Issues-What’s next w w w w w w w w Data gaps Linking ICT diffusion and performance Comparability and continuity Enterprise vs. establishment Cross-economy vs.. Industry-Specific Response burden and the use of EDR Analytical outputs Differential development – don’t be too satisfied …… too soon December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 24 And then …….. w w w w w Take small steps in recognition of S Curve Add questions; exploit existing vehicles Progress is slow and difficult; it was for Canada too In the end we are succeeding Differential development – don’t be too satisfied …… too soon w ICTs can be liberating or discriminating w Statistics Canada supports efforts to exploit ICTs as a liberating technology and wishes to remain fully engaged December 8, 2003 WSIS Statistical Workshop 25