Committed to Connecting the World International Telecommunication Union Committed to Connecting the World Asia-Pacific Telecommunication/ICT Indicators 2008 Broadband in Asia-Pacific: Too much, too little? Vanessa Gray vanessa.gray@itu.int Market Information and Statistics Division Telecommunication Development Bureau International Telecommunication Union International Telecommunication Union Asia-Pacific: a region of superlatives AsiaPacific 48% Europe & CIS 26% Americas 22% Distribution of fixed telephone lines by Arab region, States 2007 3% AsiaPacific 42% Europe & CIS 25% Americas 28% September 2008 Europe & CIS 28% Africa 1% AsiaPacific 42% Africa 2% Arab States 3% Americas 20% Africa 5% Arab States 5% Distribution of mobile cellular subscribers by region, 2007 Distribution of Internet users by region, 2007 3 Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database. Committed to Connecting the World Committed to Connecting the World Benefits of broadband Broadband makes the Internet always available at a fast speed: ¾ Companies can keep websites up and running 24x7 & can deliver products & services in real time. ¾ Individuals enjoy a faster and more pleasant Internet surfing experience and the ability to use bandwidthintensive applications (e.g., VoIP, IPTV). ¾ Broadband also enhances a range of socially desirable and valuable online services in areas such as government, education and health. “Highspeed broadband, which a few years ago was considered a luxury is today a necessary part of the industrial, commercial and lifestyle landscapes.” Energy, Water & Communications Minister, Malaysia, Nov. 2006 September 2008 4 September 2008 40 20 15 10 20 5 10 0 0 Source: Fiber-to-the-Home Council. 30 Korea (Rep.) 50 HK, China 60 Japan 25 Sweden 70 Taiwan, China 30 Norway 80 Denmark 35 USA 90 Slovenia Top 10 economies by broadband household penetration, 2007 Iceland Sweden Macao, China HK, China Taiwan, China Norway Denmark Singapore Netherlands Korea (Rep) Iceland Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database. Committed to Connecting the World Broadband champions Top 10 economies by FTTH/LAN household penetration, 2007 5 35 10 5 Fixed broadband Internet subscribers per 100 inhabitants, 2007 30 25 Red bars: Upper & high-income economies 20 15 Blue bars: Lower middle-income economies Orange bars: Low-income economies 0 September 2008 6 Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database. Afghanistan Bangladesh P.N.Guinea Bhutan Micronesia Kiribati Guam Myanmar Samoa Iran Nepal Cambodia Laos Mongolia Pakistan Indonesia SolomonIsl. India SriLanka Vanuatu Tonga Fiji Philippines Thailand Vietnam BruneiDarus Maldives Malaysia China NewCaledon FrenchPolyn. Singapore NewZealand Taiwan,Chin Macao,China Israel Japan Australia HK,China Korea(Rep.) Committed to Connecting the World Broadband divide: penetration Committed to Connecting the World Cambodia Tonga Brunei Laos Vanuatu Bangladesh Sri Lanka Solomon Islands PNG Pakistan Nepal Fiji Bhutan Philippines Thailand Maldives Malaysia Macao, China Vietnam Taiwan, China India Singapore Australia Hong Kong, China Korea (Rep.) Japan 20 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Source: ITU. Broadband Divide: Speed 30 14 50 50 Mbps Note: The range of speeds show the advertised lowest and highest speed consumer broadband plan offered using DSL technology. Higher speed, mass market broadband plans using fiber optic connections are available in several high-income economies, with speeds from 100 Mbps to 1 Gbps. For Bangladesh, speeds refer to a cable modem plan. September 2008 7 Committed to Connecting the World Monthly broadband prices in Asia-Pacific, minimum 256 kbps, US$, July 2008 Monthly subscription % of GNI per capita Price > per capita income Macao, China Taiwan,China Singapore Japan HK, China New Zealand Australia Korea (Rep.) Maldives Malaysia Brunei Darus. Thailand Fiji China India Sri Lanka Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Pakistan Bhutan Tonga Mongolia Nepal Banglad. PNG Cambodia Vanuatu Solomon Isl. Laos $100 $90 $80 $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: ITU Broadband Divide: Price High cost of international fibre & scarcity of international bandwidth / Lack of competition & barriers for new entrants / Economy of scale September 2008 8 Committed to Connecting the World Broadband: Too much or too little? Do some high-income economies have too much broadband? ¾ “…there is little evidence to support the notion that faster is inherently better. Can the Japanese and Koreans do something at 100Mb/s that the Americans, British and Germans can't at 20Mb/s?” --The Economist September 2008 On the other hand, the region’s low and lowermiddle-income economies are bandwidth deprived, with too little broadband. ¾ “…the current population of broadband subscribers is geographically dispersed and thereby not a single area appears to be sufficiently served…the major cities of the country are not optimally served. The situation in the rest of the country is even more dismal, where most of the cities are showing almost zero % penetration...” --Government of Pakistan 9 Committed to Connecting the World Top broadband providers versus top mobile providers in Asia-Pacific Top 10 broadband operators, 2007 Top 10 mobile operators, 2007 Subscribers 000s Subscribers 000s Operator Operator %BB China Telecom 35,650 China Mobile 369,339 0% China Netcom 19,768 China Unicom 162,491 0% NTT (Japan) 12,960 Bharti (India) 55,163 0% Korea Telecom 6,516 DoCoMo (Japan) 53,150 79% Softbank (Japan) 5,164 Telkomsel (Indonesia) 47,890 7% Telstra (Australia) 4,598 Reliance (India) 40,960 0% CHT (Taiwan) 4,243 Vodafone (India) 39,865 0% Hanaro (Korea) 3,658 BSNL (India) 36,810 0% KDDI (Japan) 2,135 Mobilink (Pakistan) 30,613 0% LG Powercom (Korea) 1,721 PLDT (Philippines) 30,041 4% Low & lower-middle income economies September 2008 Source: Adapted from company reports. 10 Mobile opens the way for new applications Asia-Pacific: 30% CAGR over last 5 years; today one out of 3 inhabitants have a mobile phone Mid-2008: China and India had 600 and 280 million mobile subscribers Spread of mobile data applications ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ SMS Entertainment m-banking m-government m-commerce September 2008 Pakistan India HK, China Australia China Indonesia Malaysia Philippines SMS per subscriber per month, 2007 0 200 Other 18% GPRS/ MMS 19% SMS 41% 400 AIS Thailand Distribution of mobile data revenue 2007 22% Calling melodies 11 Source: ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators database. Committed to Connecting the World Committed to Connecting the World A growing number September 2008 India New Zealand Indonesia 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Singapore Philippines China 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Thailand Millions of users in low & lower-middle income economies are using mobile phone as browser to access Internet Using mobile phone to access Internet % of mobile subscribers % of Internet users 12 Source: Adapted from Nielsen Mobile. Mobile browsing Committed to Connecting the World Wireless technologies for broadband access Broadband mobile (>256 kbps) ¾ End 2007: 120 million mobile broadband subscribers in AP, almost all in highincome economies ¾ Indonesia, Maldives, Philippines & Sri Lanka have launched 3G networks September 2008 Wi-Fi & WiMAX to set up hot-spots and connect rural areas ¾ Thailand: BMA and True to use Wi-Fi to cover 400m2 area in Bangkok ¾ WiMAX used to offer broadband in Fiji, Tonga, and Vanuatu 13 Committed to Connecting the World Two different broadband trends In high-income economies, ubiquitous access is progressing through a competitive race to provide ever faster fixed broadband speeds; deployment of mobile broadband at ever lower price Four Asian tigers and Japan are world leaders in broadband penetration, fibre deployment, IP-based voice and video applications and 3G mobile use Fixed and mobile technologies complement each other so that many users enjoy uninterrupted high-speed connectivity In low and lower-middle- income economies, mobile phones have become a substitute for fixed lines and fixed broadband access Many data needs are being fulfilled by the mobile phone, often at non-broadband speeds and delivered to small screens Visits to Internet cafes are made (where available) when higher speed, PC-based access is needed While ICT access is growing, it is often low-speed, not always convenient and not ubiquitous BB4D: Low and lower-middle-income economies cannot be complacent about broadband. High-speed connectivity is crucial for many applications that have an important impact on development. September 2008 14 Committed to Connecting the World Recommendations Recognize importance of broadband; formulate actions and targets Award licenses and spectrum for wireless broadband technologies (3G, WiMAX) Diversify provision by opening up the broadband market to new operators and stimulate competition to lower prices Create investment incentives ¾ Aggregate demand by pooling dispersed broadband users together ¾ Reduce customs duties on ICT equipment and offer tax credits for broadband investment Utilize universal service funds to bring broadband to rural and underserved areas, as well as schools Promote development of local content ¾ To minimize dependence on expensive international connectivity ¾ Encourage more citizens to access relevant services and applications Encourage convergence and the transition to NGN including adoption of regulations allowing the use of voice and video over broadband networks. September 2008 15 Committed to Connecting the World Asia-Pacific Telecommunication/ICT Indicators 2008 includes: Analytical section 20 regional tables covering telecommunication/ICT indicators 43 individual country pages with a five year profile A directory of telecommunication/ICT ministries, regulators and operators in the region September 2008 16