Information Systems and Cross-Enterprise Learning in Support of New Product Introduction Enterprise Needs and Information Systems Based Decision Management Professor Ram Akella Product and Process Development Customer Information Systems and Technology Management University of California at Santa Cruz Talk Outline • A framework for solving ISTM problems • Computer Based Process Learning and Information Systems –Yield Management Systems Sales and Marketing MIS Research Center Carlson School of Management University of Minnesota February 20, 2004 • Incorporating Learning Into New Product Introduction through competitive use of Information Systems –An ontological framework (ongoing research) • Enterprise Management and ISTM IT –B2B Exchanges: E-Business and Supply Chain Management –IT Management, Outsourcing and Real Options –Product Portfolios in High Tech and Food Finance and Investment E-Business and Supply Chain Management Outline of Talk: ISTM Framework IS-based Process Learning Technology Management Information Systems Completed Partially completed TBD Partially completed Partially completed In progress Complete, in-progress TBD TBD Integration • Business Problem – Business Need – Technology Context IT -based Product Process Reengineering An Ontology Framework Enterprise management B2B: E-Biz/SCM IT Management, Outsourcing, Product Portfolios, Real Options 2 Computer-based Process Reengineering Yield Management Systems New product introduction with learning 1 • Technology Management – Data to Information – Information to Knowledge Management • Information Systems • Integration 3 5 1 IT-based Product Process Reengineering: Business Need Computer-based Process Reengineering In-line Monitoring for Semiconductor ProductProcess Learning and Manufacturing Isolation • Need at KLA: Grow market and revenues –Opportunity: Koreans claim that KLA in-line inspection machines help dominate Japanese –Need: Lack an internal understanding of • Methodology: For rapid product and process learning – How to use inspection machines to improve yield per machine • Economics: Of process and monitoring tools – How many machines are worth buying to further improve yield • Information Systems: Not yet seen as a major need! • Required to persuade customers, to sell more machines –Company size: $200M • Business Problem – Business Need – Technology Context Depo Poly 1 Poly2 Metal 1 Metal 2 Off-line Review Etch KLA KLA Þ Þ 2110 2110 or In-line ADC Photo • Technology Management – Data to Information – Information to Knowledge Management Wafer Probe Wafer processing Inspection Classification 10 days • Information Systems • University Mission: Move area from “Black Art” to 30 days Yield • Integration “Science” 6 7 Technology Implications for Speed and Accuracy of Excursion Detection: Review Methodologies and Images Inspection: Defects on Wafers- Surrogates for Yield in Monitoring 8 Excursion Detection of Killer Defects in the Presence of Non-killers Random defects Equipment defect X Process defect Y Wafer Map Image from optical Image from SEM Defect trend chart at Poly in Fab A 1.4 Normalized defect D 1.2 Multiple defect types • Killer defects – Kill die • Non-killer defects – Do not kill die • Smaller pixel size ? finer resolution, increased scan time • Larger pixel size ? lower resolution, faster scan time 9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Non-killers can “mask” killer defects Trade-offs 1 0.8 1 21 41 61 81 101 121 141 161 181 201 Wafer sequence 10 Excursions of killer defects(in red) can be masked on the SPC chart of random defects by the non-killer defects (in green) 11 2 Sampling Strategy for Wafer Inspection and Defect Review : Minimize Excursion Detection Time Where? % lots? Wafers per lot? Computer-based Process Reengineering Defects Defect to review? classification Challenge Poly Poly 2 Þ KLA 2110 Þ KLA 2110 Via Metal 2 UCL ? < Result Generalizing Neyman-Pearson results on minimizing risk of not detecting an excursion, with a constraint on probability of false alarms • Developed new model and Model fab-wide yield learning and optimize the rate of learning and investmentfor maximum profitability Integrating statistics used for excursion detection with queuing models for capturing resource usage and the resultant delays in integrated inspection-review systems • Developed and solved novel Integrated defect type and yield data not available, difficulties using heterogeneous databases Fab partnerships, BS/MS intern training, 2 -3 years onsite data extraction, data analysis and Business Intelligence reports on integrating disparate fab databases 2 # of type estimate • Technology Management – Data to Information – Information to Knowledge Management OoC Process In-control Action Required Model and detect a killer defect type excursion when it is masked by the presence of other defect types 1 • Business Problem – Business Need – Technology Context Isolation Process Key Challenges in Framing and Solving Yield Learning Problem Excursion Excursion Occurs Detected Detection delay Objective To reduce the detection delay by trending individual defect types with integrated wafer inspection and defect review strategy • Methods : Decide how much inspection sampling and how much review sampling • Economics: Decide how many machines of each type and associated personnel analytics incorporating sampling error • Data to Information • • Information Systems 3 • Integration 12 IS-based Process Learning 13 Key Issues • Validation of Solutions • Information Systems development and Integration to achieve Business Intelligence 14 Conversion Of Defect Data To Yield Information And Action Firms unclear about “system” level functioning and performance - Caught up in technology - Data to information not clear to firms - Information to knowledge is much worse - Goal is not clear; consequently data and information systems - Direct consequence – poor integration of information systems - Concept of “meta model” needed rather than just “meta data” • Business Problem – Business Need – Technology Context models: – Economically Optimized Yield Learning – Benefit of Ownership (in place of traditional Cost of Ownership) Information to Knowledge Management Isolation Poly1 Poly2 Metal1 Metal2 Market • Technology Management – Data to Information – Information to Knowledge Management Resources & strategies Validation Inspection Corrective actions Review & classification Root-cause analysis Source identification ? DD(t) & ? Y(t) Data/information flow • Information Systems • Integration 15 16 Goal Detect killer defect excursion faster through efficient integrated inspection-review cycles Trade-off: Time versus benefit and cost 17 3 Defect Control Charts: Single-dimensional Multi-dimensional Excursion Monitoring With Defect Classification Killer Defect Distributions Upper Control Limit (UCL) Control Chart Probability InControl (INC) f(x) Out -ofControl (OOC) g(x) In-control x Y UCL Þ KLA 2110 y Non-killer ^ x >? Þ KLA 2110 Non-killers z m Total defects on wafer Out-of-Control # of random defects x – s.t. false alarm probability ? ?is less than a pre-specified value that determines whether in-control or out of control , when we have only one defect type, by the Neyman-Pearson Lemma (the regions are given by f(x)/g(x) < c, and UCL can be computed from this) ^ so that the decision surface is obtained, and mean shifted version of f(x,z), ^ space approximate it by a hyperplane in the (x,z) 19 Assessment: What is Technology Worth? Computer-based Process Reengineering • Business Problem – Business Need – Technology Context Review accuracy (r = q = probability of misclassification) 150 OOC 100 50 IC 197 183 169 155 141 127 99 113 85 71 57 43 29 1 0 Prob. of missing excursion ? Upper Control Limit (UCL) 15 Additional observations: 1. Increasing levels of sophistications can include misclassification probabilities, fixed or adaptive control limits 2. We have used dynamic programming to generalize sequential sampling approaches to these environments, with an appropriate sufficient statistic 20 B-Risk Vs. Review Sample Fraction at Different Review Accuracies, with different review level compensation 250 200 Control), where ^x is the killer defect estimate ^ ^ since g(x,z) ^ is a 5. Reorganize the terms with the density functions f(x,z)/g(x,z), 18 Multi-dimensional SPC Chart For Integrated Inspection-review Sampling: Killer And Non-killer Defects ^ z) (In Control) and g(x,z) ^ (Out of 3. Consider the joint density functions f(x, standard result and using the Euler equation to determine the optimal policy to minimize the probability of missed excursions (subject to a given probability of false alarms) Random Defect Sampling with Classification Errors • Incomplete and imperfect defect information • Fixed versus adaptive control limits • This is achieved through a control chart with an Upper Control Limit UCL Compute conditional distributions of killer defects , condit ional on observed total defects z, and the fraction (or equivalently, number) sampled 4. Use a generalized Neyman-Pearson Lemma, extending the results of the Random Defect Sampling with Perfect Classification: • Incomplete but perfect defect information • Fixed versus adaptive control limits • Minimize excursion detection time => equivalent to • Minimizing the probability of missing an excursion ???? 1. 2. Use standard central limit theorem for normal approximations of distributions UCL(z) (sampled defects) , equivalent to f = fraction sampled) Total Defect Count Approach: Complete and Perfect Defect Information # of random defects x Killer defect count estimator Killer defect estimate Killers on wafer X Development of Multi-dimensional Control Chart 0.7 To achieve b=0.3 r=q=70% need review 50% defects 0.6 0.5 • Technology Management – Data to Information – Information to Knowledge Management 0.4 0.3 0.2 r = 70% r = 80% r = 90% 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 • Information Systems 1 • Integration Review sample fraction Total random defect count 21 22 23 4 Information to Knowledge: Yield Management and Learning Model Goals, Issues and Economics: In-Line Defect Sampling Strategy A Yield Learning Cycle-time Optimization Problem Þ KLA 2110 DATA INFORMATION Isolation Poly1 Poly2 KNOWLEDGE Inspection & Review Tools? Which & how many? Metal1 Metal2 Market Validation Inspection Corrective actions Review & classification Root-cause analysis Source identification Tool Settings Where? % lots? Wafers per lot? Inspection % Wafer? Sensitivity? Isolation In-control Beta Risk 1.2 ? DD(t) & ? Y(t) Poly 2 Metal Wafer Defect Inspection Review h -h 1-???? 2 Source Corrective Identification Action IC Time T0 SI(h) 0.4 Via SR(h,f) or SI(h,f) T1 T2 for In-line ADC The process of excursion-correction can be represented by a renewal reward process with expected unit costs Metal 2 • Cycle time of each learning loop determine the overall learning rate • Effect of learning bottlenecks and economics E[AC]= E[C] E[T] 24 Illustrative Objective Function and Decision Variables 25 Solution highlights Objective To minimize the detection delay (including queuing) of an excurs ion 26 Results: Quantified Advantage of Integrated Inspection-review Sampling Methodologies Optimization of sampling, control limits, and choice of machines (and personnel) Min Td (h, m) ? T? ( h,m) ? E[?] ? TI ( h) ? TR( h,m) h ,m h T? (h, m) ? Delay due to the beta risk of SPC Chart 1? ? (m) h E[?] ? Excursion time in the wafer inspection interval 2 2 2 (? ? ? S ) T I (h) ? ? S ? S Total inspection time per wafer (M/G/1) 2(h? ? S ) (? 2 (m) ? ? 2R( m)) T R(h, m) ? ? R (m) ? R Total review time per wafer (M/G/1) 2(h ? ? R( m)) Decision Variables: • Control limits, • Sample fraction for defect classification f • Wafer inspection intervals h; 1 ? 0.6 Via Data/information flow Prod. Delay Tool Depreciation and Labor Costs Poly Resources & strategies Þ KLA 2110 Costs 8 Use supermodularity of cost function, which results in monotone non-increasing (in control limit) property of sampling interval Equivalence of cost minimization, cycle time minimization under constant false alarm levels 1 Optimal inspection sampling plan (no review) 7 2 Optimal inspection and review sampling plan (separately) 5 3 Optimal integrated inspectionreview sampling plan 3 This is based on stable demand Use real options and zero level asset pricing to handle demand and price uncertainties ?= 18% 6 4 2 1 Additional work on sample path approaches, for optimizing lot sequencing (LIFO in place of ubiquitous FIFO) 27 ?= 55% 9 0 28 1 2 3 29 5 Results on Review Methodologies: Economics of Technology Investments in Fab A Summary of Technology Management Contributions Expected yield lost due to excursions per year • Development of a novel generalized control chart that is useful in the new integrated inspection & review context: Data to Information $35,000,000 $30,000,000 17,397,793 13,816,845 $10,000,000 $5,000,000 $Optical • Technology Management – Data to Information – Information to Knowledge Management • Development and analysis of a new prescriptive model that determines the optimal inspection & review policies to maximize the yield learning rate for a fab: Information to Knowledge $15,000,000 Traditional • Business Problem – Business Need – Technology Context Our research contributions are three-fold: 38,481,819 $40,000,000 $25,000,000 $20,000,000 Computer-based Process Reengineering • Information Systems • Demonstration of the value of this model in actual fab context through Information Systems Integration SEM 30 Yield Management Systems Required to Integrate Defect, Yield, and Lot Data Do NOT Communicate • Integration 31 Key to Success: ISM Solution 32 Computer-based Process Reengineering In place today Partially in place Not in place WorkStream/ Informix DB SAP loader for offline created data Offline summary of orders Offline summary of reports Management reports Management reports SAP loader for offline created data • 5 key partner firms and two dozen facilities globally • Doctoral students • Masters and undergraduate interns at facilities, extracting data, developing business intelligence, and integrating information systems for several years nonstop to produce ISM manuals for fabs! Mini -DSS (Decision Support System) solutions. • Business Problem – Business Need – Technology Context • Technology Management – Data to Information – Information to Knowledge Management Order (PM & CM) MDS (Equipment Interface Table) Oracle DB RTD for prev. maintenance PM & CM order data Planned wafer starts Global SAP D B (SQL) KLA Yield Management Systems Defect data YIELD DATA • Information Systems • Integration 33 34 35 6 Integration: Yield Management Systems Successes in $200M-$1B Growth of K-T Remaining Challenge QC stories – “ Data Drownage” • Training of marketing and application engineers during The real need is to develop a large scale unified Yield Management System integrating: Monterey retreat on methodology/economics • Marketing,including product definition, and “collateral” • The overall business need for enterprise profitability including marketing and sales • • • • • • • Defect, parametric, and yield data and processes • Lot movement data and processes • Knowledge Management for Yield Learning overlaid on the Product Development Process development, guidance to engineering Global “Customer” interface on methodology! Seminars worldwide to thousands! Executive impact and awards (including stocks!) Academic Impact Resources: Multi-million dollar effort Faculty from Engineering (Systems and Domain) and Management from Stanford, Berkeley, Carnegie Mellon 36 Backups 37 Information Systems and Technology Management (ISTM) to Solve Business Needs 38 IS-based Process Learning Business Need: Technology context – use or development of technology • Generic Business Problem in High Tech Integration: Business intelligence to maximize enterprise profitability • Technology Management (TM) Challenges –Facilities are challenged to develop new products and process technologies rapidly –Methods for rapid product and process learning –Economics of process and monitoring tools • Technology Management – Identify specific goals – Delineate Business Processes – Model Economic trade-offs – Capture Strategic Information Needs • Domain Knowledge • Analytic Model – Stochastic Optimization – Economics 39 • Information Systems – Procedural or software system – Knowledge Management System to enhance – Local, enterprise, or value network performance • Information Systems (IS) Issues –Enhancements and limitations imposed on Technology Management by IS/IT –Knowledge Management • Context -based Business Intelligence • Needs: Domain knowledge, software technology PLATFORM • Software,hardware, and networks • Psychology • Integration –TM and IS/IT integration challenges, including data –Human interactions with Decision Support Systems 40 41 7 REDEFINED GOAL: MINIMIZING TIME TO DETECT AND FIX YIELD EXCURSION State-of-the-Art YMS: data ConductorEP ® Key Solution Concept ( AN EXCURSION @ ETCHER IN FAB A) Event Occurring Event Detected 50 InControl Source Isolated 17 Detection Delay 7 Source Isolation In type-based excursion detection the sampling distribution statistics of the killer defect estimates, given the total defects on the wafer, are described by: • Simple random sampling results in approximately Normal distribution with statistics: Fix Validated 20 2 9 Hours E[ Xˆ | X , z ] ? X 1 m ?1 VAR ( Xˆ | X , z ) ? ( )(1 ? ) X (z ? X ) m z? 1 E[ Xˆ | z] ? ? Root Corrective Cause Actions Analysis X| z 1 m ?1 V A R(Xˆ | z) ? ( )(1 ? )(Z? X| z ? ( ? X2 | z ? ? 2X / z )) ? ? X2 | z m z ?1 FXˆ | z ( xˆ ) is determined by the distribution of X & Y, and the sampling scheme Defect level Goal Optimize procedures and inspection-review machine usage to reduce delay to detect and fix yield excursion • Using defects as surrogates ( linking defects to yield is a technology problem in electrical/computer engineering) • Trending by individual defect types (killer, non-killer) • The two- dimensional control “limit” hyperplane can be characterized in terms of these parameters in (X, z) or ( X̂, z), by generalizing the Neyman-Pearson Result • The estimated standard error of the killer defect estimates is a function of m and z; i.e., VAR ( Xˆ | z) ? g ( m , z) 42 43 Semiconductor Manufacturing: In-Line Monitoring Wafer Preparation Wafer Fabrication Silicon Ingot Lot Wafer Probing Agenda Packaging/ Testing Wafer Triggered Learning Process from Production to Product Development In-line Process Control Yield Time (days) 0 10 20 30 Days 30 40 50 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Process Flow Isolation Gate 1 Poly Gate 2 Poly 2 Contact Metal Via Metal 2 Time (days) 0 10 20 Motivation Triggered Learning Process Current Implementation Managerial Insights Bigger picture & Future Work Chip Die 30 40 44 John Voit Delphi Ram Akella UC SC/Silicon Valley Center Rajeev Kishore SUNY Ramesh Ramaswamy SUNY 50 5 Days TEST 45 47 8 Motivation Many problems throughout the production, assembly, and customer use are solved by different parts of the organization. The lessons lear ned are then archived in different formats and different levels of detail. These lesson learned are not formally communicated to NPD due to organizational boundaries (real or perceived), diverse storage media, and access privileges. If communicated, the documents are sometimes too long, or are written in a context th at is not immediately understandable for NPD use or absorb. This can result in the NPD activity launching products that contain past problems (Busby, 1 999; Von Hipple & Tyre, 1994). First Time Quality Triggered Learning Process Other attempts Safety & Formal Ergonomics OEM Complaints Post-Mortems • Tend to be long reports that require discipline to prepare. Forexample, Microsoft sites 3-6 months to prepare a 10-100 page post- mortem ( Thomke & Fujimoto, 2000) • Ambiguous on how NPD will integrate information into new programs Design Reviews with downstream stakeholders • Downstream personnel cannot readily relate to NPD artifacts (i.e .; digital models) (Black & Carlile, 2002) • Cross organizational information transfer (verbal and written) h ave problem of context and jargon causing poor communication (Uschold & Grunninger , 1996) • Time between reviews causes ‘batched’ learning and a greater chance and cost of iteration (Ha & Porteus, 1995) General Lessons Learned Database • no process to make sure reviewed Long Term Durability GOAL: An ontology-assisted triggered learning process (TLP) for getting Lessons Learned communicated and used in NPD activities. Lessons Learned Long Term Durability Safety & Formal Ergonomics OEM Complaints First Time Quality Warranty Warranty NPD = New Product Development OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturer NDP 2 PDP Production ?3 Delphi 3 OEM OEM NDP 2 PDP Production ?3 Delphi Field <3 yrs Field >3 yrs 48 Definitions Field <3 yrs Field >3 yrs 50 Triggered Learning Process Lessons Learned Ontology Model Ontology – “a set of concepts (e.g. entities, attributes, processes), their definition and their interrelationships; this is referred to as a conceptualization” ( Uschold & Grunninger, 1996) Trigger - An event, called a Lesson Learned, that is communicated and used by NPD • Assumption: the lesson learned was a ‘big enough’ problem that it was documented in some manner by a part of the organization. 3 OEM OEM 49 L e s s o n L e a r n e d F p u e n c t i o n c i f i c a t 1 i F a E o n i f l f M e c o t N 1 C o 1 1 N S 1 d 1 e { N | S { | S t r r e c t i v e D e l e t e ( ) A d d ( ) A M o d i f y ( ) e p | + | F e a t c u t r i e o | n > = 1 N 1 N R o o t t e p | + C a u s e | F e a t u r 0 . . N 0 . . N e | > = 1 } } TLP is a structured approach that Feeds back lessons learned created by downstream organizationalpersonnel To a staff that condenses these lessons learned into an ontology a n d Communicates these items to NPD NPD personnel reacts to this information as it arrives by incorp orating it into the newL product or process under development. L e s s o n s e a r n e d 0 . . N F 0 . . N i r s t Q u a l i T t i y m e E S a f r g o e t n y o & F m i 3 O E OM E c s O E o r M C m a o m L 0 . . N C l a s s n a m e a t t r i b u t e s o p e r a t i o n s ( ) { c o n s t r a i n t s } C F 0 . . N u e r a r t e u r n e l a i s 0 . . N C u S t r e r p e n W 0 . . N t n o D l p K E Y A s s o c i a t i o n H a s O n e t n u g r a T b i y r e l i r t m y s a r r s r a n t y t s N 2 D PP D P P? r 3 o d D u ec lt ip oh n i M F i e l d < 3 y F i e l d > 3 s Step #1 Feedback Step #2 Update Lessons Learned Ontology Step #3 Communicate Step #4 React 51 52 53 9 Perspectives/Context Step 2: Update Ontology Step 1: Feedback Details TLP is consistent with the theory that organizational learning is triggered by external shocks (e.g.; lessons learned) that makes adaptation necessary (Cyert & March, 1963) NPD as a problem-solving activity ( Thomke & Fujimoto, 2000). Enterprise and Customer requirements are considered problems that must be solved by new product and process development. Often downstream lessons learned are manifestations of a failure to meet downstream stakeholders requirements. What: Documentation that was created in resolving the problem for the value stream Staff used • To summarize the Lesson Learned in the ontology • “Attach” the Lesson Learned documents provided When: Feedback is initiated once a lesson is learned and a value stream problem is resolved. Who: Each production lessons learned source is owned by a different organization (function) within the enterprise 54 Step 3: Communicate i=1 Step 4: Reaction Only potentially relevant lessons go to the appropriate teams i=3 R 41 = R 51 = 0 Lessons Learned Ontology i=5 Rij = Relevance of Source i to PD Team (PDT) j Rij ? [0,1] Lesson Learned j=1 RXNijk = Reaction to source i from PDT j regarding lesson k Root Cause Present => Failure Mode 1 j=2 New Product Line Profit Quality 1 j=3 j=5 57 2a. Check () Root Ca use 1 2 Ro b. C ot hec Ca k() us e Reaction Alternatives 1. Implement Current Controls 2. Innovate product features or process steps 3. Need to plan 4. Not relevant - Do Nothing j=4 i=4 56 Control Loop 1. Communicate (Root Cause, Corrective Action) R 11 = R 21 = R 31 = 1 i=2 55 New Product Design present 3a. If root cause ctive Action Require() Corre 3b. If root cause present Require() Corrective Action 1 1 1 3 Lesson Reused N Team not responding New Features Lessons Learned Ontology 1 1 New Process Design 1 RXN3j1 RXN3j2 RXN3j3 Manager Monitors Response s 1 4 3 1 4 3 1 2 2 N New Steps Innovation 58 59 10 Triggered Learning Take Aways Current Implementation Triggered Learning Take Aways ACTIVE Knowledge Movement process • Right People: Email to the people developing the next generationproducts • Right Information: Real Stakeholder Dissatifiers • Right Amount: Feedback established in United States and Mexico Production Value Streams (4 production facilities) Product Development teams in US and Mexico are reacting to the information Plans to expand to European Production facilities and Product de velopment. Execution • Improves Design Reviews – Batched leaning to triggered learning - do not wait until reviews to share downstream lessons. – Reduces Surprises & Opinions based comments • Supports flawless launched to ensure past mistakes not repeated • Helps maintain FTTQ and Health & Safety gains made in Value Stre am by communicating current fixes – Lesson Overview Ontology line item – Detailed solution information if required: Attached documents • Right Time: When A Lesson is Learned (Trigger) Knowledge Application PDTs have a reaction plan to use the new information Controls & Standard Management Ensure process is followed • LL Update Personnel U.S.A. Lessons Learned Ontology LL Update Personnel Mexico 60 Managerial Insights 61 Required Resources Some Keys for Implementation Feedback: When is this systems most valuable? • Product Maturity High (i.e.; many small issues) • Past product highly relevant to new products • High Cost of making or repeating mistakes • Project time short & project teams highly utilized • Number of independent future projects high • Organization structure: Information Bucket Owners different that product process developers • • Information technology already present Needed to spend time to develop process and get buy-in. • Feedback People – Minimal Impact • Update People – New Responsibilities • Communication People – Standard Management Responsibilities • Reaction People – Spend time now or spend time later – Not new responsibility, but new information, not always enough time to address issues Add steps to current problem solving processes to send Lessons L earned to update person Be on guard for those partial lessons learned Update: • • • Development of the Ontology Structure Populate with historical projects to prove concept and work out bugs Not a Clerk Job, people must have some domain knowledge Communicate: • Works Best when communication person is also the Manager of Reaction People React: • • • 63 62 Be patient. Team will be getting information they never received before Standard Management/coaching commitment in beginning must be high 64 65 11 A Bigger Picture Interesting Research area slicing across traditional disciplines • • • • • Management Science – Q: How do decision makers know when having system and staff is important? – Tools: Analytic Queuing Models Knowledge Management – How do we get information to the people who need it? – Tools: Organizational Design, Communication Processes. Organization Learning – How do groups and people learn? – Tools: Observational studies, and experiments Philosophy – Q: How do we structure knowledge to best get our questions answered? – Tools: Ontology, Taxonomy Computer Science – Q: How can this be an even more automatic/active system? – Tools: Object oriented programming and systems. 66 Future Research & Work at Delphi Bibliography Increase scope of buckets and plants, deeper into supply chain Link to “Double Loop” learning (Agyris, 1976). The idea is that a concentration of lessons learned indicates a systematic problem, and Organization policy should be changed. Argyris, C. 1976. Single-Loop and Double-Loop Models in Research on Decision Making. Administrative Science Quarterly, 21(3): 363-375. Black, L. J., & Carlile, P. R. 2002. Managing Knowledge in a Product Devlopment Process: What to Do and When,Working Paper: 40. Busby, J. S. 1999. Problems in error correction, learning and knowledge of performance in design organizations. IIE Transactions, 31: 49 -59. Cyert, R. M., & March, J. G. 1963. A Behavioral Theory of the Firm. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. Ha, A. Y., & Porteus, E. L. 1995. Optimal timing of reviews in concurrent design for manufacturability. Management Science, 41(9): 1431-1447. Thomke , S., & Fujimoto, T. 2000. The Effect of " Front-Loading" Problem -Solving on Product Development Performance. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 17: 128 -142. Uschold , M., & Gruninger, M. 1996. Ontologies: principles, methods, and applications. The Knowledge Engineering Review, 11(2): 93 -136. v o n Hipple, E., & Tyre , M. 1994. How "learning by doing" is done: Problem identificati on in novel process equipment. Research Policy, 19: 1 -12. 67 68 12