Large, Single Realization N-body Simulations Future Directions of N-Body Simulations for Cosmology Jan Hartlap Argelander-Institut für Astronomie Universität Bonn Nov 08, 2010 Current situation ◮ ongoing medium-size and large upcoming and planned surveys (BAO/galaxy clustering, weak lensing, etc. ) ◮ all predictions for these surveys rely on numerical simulations (nonlinearity of structure formation) ◮ all of these are plagued by systematic effects requiring numerical modelling Large, single-realization simulations ◮ ◮ usually push the limit of what is computationally feasible usually for currently favoured cosmology → → → → halo properties galaxy formation testing of methods predictions/statistics for smaller surveys Simulation ensembles ◮ ◮ computationally cheaper different cosmologies → predict cosmology-dependence of observables → get covariances, etc. Some notable examples Year 1998 2004 2006 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 Name Hubble Volume (Colberg et al. 2000) Millennium Run (Springel et al. 2005) MareNostrum (Gottlöber et al. 2006) MillenniumII (Kolchin et al. 2009) Horizon Run (Kim et al. 2009) Teyssier et al. (2009) Coyote Universe (Lawrence et al. 2010) Millennium XXL # Particles 1 × 109 1 × 1010 2 × 1 × 109 1 × 1010 7 × 1010 7 × 1010 1 × 109 3 × 1011 Box Size [h−1 Mpc] 3000 500 500 100 6592 2000 1300 3000 Trade-off between ◮ volume ◮ small-scale resolution (Semi-analytic) models of galaxy formation: ◮ large volume for rare objects, statistical analyses ◮ resolution for small objects, accurate merger histories, satellite galaxies, etc.. Cluster counts, shear peak statistic, etc.: ◮ need to find rare objects (e.g. massive clusters at high z) ◮ need sufficient resolution to model the properties of the luminous tracers (cluster galaxies/source galaxies) BAOs Baryonic Accoustic Oscillations: ◮ large volume for good sampling of large-wavelength modes ◮ resolution for modeling tracer population reliably Millennium Simulation (Springel et al. 2005) 0.20 log (∆2(k) / ∆2lin) 0.10 0.00 -0.10 -0.20 0.01 0.10 k [ h / Mpc ] Horizon Run (2300× larger) (Kim et al. 2009) Weak lensing Weak gravitational lensing: ◮ large volume for statistics, real space observables, light-cone construction ◮ resolution for small scalle-correlations, modeling of galaxies, higher-order statistics, intrinsic alignments, etc. but: depends on how important baryons are... Weak lensing: light cone construction Lens plane Simulation snapshot Observer z=0.02 z=0.04 z=0.06 z=0.09 Lens plane 1 Lens plane 2 z=0.02 z=0.02 z=0.02 Redshift slice z=0.04 z=0.04 Lens plane Simulation volume ... z=0.04 z=0.12 Weak lensing: real space measures and projections You cannot have a simulation that accurately models realand Fourier-space quantities simultaneously! (e.g. Sirko 2005, Pen 1997 ) ◮ most (if not all?) large simulations have initial conditions set up in Fourier space ◮ modes with small |k | are sparsely sampled ◮ modes with |k | < 2π/L are not represented ⇒ real space statistics differ from their continous counterparts (DFT 6= FT) ◮ also affects projections of the density field (e.g. convergence) Weak lensing: predicting the correlation functions ◮ remove all power from Pδ for k < ◮ sources at z = 1 2π L 1.05 1 ξ+(L) / ξ+ 0.95 0.9 0.85 L=6000 Mpc/h L=3000 Mpc/h L=1000 Mpc/h L=500 Mpc/h 0.8 0.75 0.7 1 10 θ [arcmin] 100 Weak lensing: covariances ◮ Gaussian covariance of ξ+ ◮ sources at z = 1, A = 150 deg2 , ngal = 21/arcmin2 , σǫ = 0.4 diag[Cov+(L)] / diag[Cov+] 1.05 1 0.95 0.9 0.85 L=6000 Mpc/h L=3000 Mpc/h L=1000 Mpc/h L=500 Mpc/h 0.8 0.75 0.7 1 (see also Sato et al. 2010) 10 θ [arcmin] 100 Clustering of galaxy clusters (S. Hilbert) Weak lensing: modeling galaxies is important Removal of close galaxy pairs biases correlation functions! FIX criterion, rSDSS = 25 3 [%] 2 1 0 [%] -1 -2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 θfix = 2.0′′ θfix = 3.7′′ θfix = 5.0′′ 1 ∆ξ+z+δ (θ) ∆ξ−z+δ (θ) ∆ξ+δ (θ) ∆ξ−δ (θ) 10 100 1 θ [arcmin] (Hartlap et al. 2010) 10 100 Importance of baryons (Rudd et al. 2008) (Jing et al. 2006) red: non-rad. baryons, dashed: non-rad. baryons blue: rad. cooling/heating, solid: rad. cooling/heating, star formation, SN feedback, star formation, SN feedback sources at z = 1 Some conclusions ◮ large simulations important for testing methods, understanding structure formation, halos, etc. ◮ trade-off between volume and resolution depends somewhat on application, but: ◮ large volume important for almost all cosmological probes ◮ really need to model the observations, i.e. model the observable tracers (galaxies, clusters) Some questions ◮ ◮ How meaningful is it to push small-scale resolution of DM simulations (baryons...)? What are the next steps? ◮ ◮ ◮ DM simulations with larger boxes/ higher resolution? runs with baryons? how well do we understand baryonic physics on the relevant scales? ◮ How should predictions for surveys be made (fitting formulae, emulation)? ◮ Should we start setting up simulations with real-space applications in mind?