LCDM simulations: A review of the state of the art Carlton Baugh Institute for Computational Cosmology Durham University Future Directions of N-Body Simulations for Cosmology Edinburgh 8th November The cosmological setting: Primordial fluctuations + gravitational instability in a Cold Dark Matter Universe z ~ 1100 z~0 Sanchez et al. 2006, 2009 Moore’s law for simulations From Volker Springel The impact of simulations Press & Schechter 1974 Why cold dark matter? Cosmic web galaxy Ben Moore COLD WARM HOT The Large Scale Structure of the Universe Springel, Frenk & White 2006 Moore’s law for simulations The Millennium Simulation (courtesy Volker Springel) Springel et al 2005 Millennium Simulation z=5.7 Springel et al 2005 Millennium Simulation z=1.4 Springel et al 2005 Millennium Simulation z=0 Billion particle simulations: common for cosmological volumes • • • • • • Hubble Volume Runs (Evrard et al 2002) (1) Millennium (Springel et al 2005) (10) MICE (Fosalba et al. 2008) (8.5) Horizon run (Kim et al 2009) (70) Horizon project (Teyssier et al 2009) (70) MXXL (Springel et al 2010) (300) Baryonic Acoustic Simulations at the ICC BASICC L = 1340/h Mpc V=2.4/h^3 Gpc^3 (20 x Millennium volume) N=1448^3 (>3 billion particles) Can resolve galactic haloes 130,000 hours CPU on Cosmology Machine at ICC, Durham. Combine with semi-analytical galaxy formation model GALFORM 50 low-res BASICC runs for errors (= 1000 Millenniums!) Angulo et al. 2008 LCDM simulations: Current state of the art What have LCDM simulations done for us? • • • • The abundance of DM haloes The clustering of DM The structure and properties of DM haloes Galaxy formation Fraction of total mass in haloes of mass M How many haloes of different mass? Used a range of VIRGO simulations: different cosmology different output redshifts PS underpredicts high mass halo abundance and overpredicts low mass halo abundance -> improved theoretical modelling: ellipsoidal collapse (Sheth et al) Universal fitting formula: Accurate to 10-20% low mass - common high mass - rare Jenkins et al. 2001 Improvements over PS mass function Bhattacharya et al. (2010) Results from GPC volume simulations • MICE runs find more halos >1.e+14/h Msun • Transients due to starting redshift and choice of initial conditions generator? • Improved fit Crocce et al 2010 Redshift dependence of fit? Crocce et al. 2010 Non-universality Tinker et al 2008 Clustering of dark matter 32,768 particles 32.5/h Mpc Davis et al. 1985 Clustering of dark matter Galaxies show power law Correlation function DM correlation function has Curvature Implies scale dependent bias 16 million particles 239.5/h Mpc Jenkins et al. 1998 Halo clustering Clustering depends on halo mass and a second parameter Gao et al. 2005, 2007 Clustering of galaxies and DM Springel, Frenk & White 2006 Scale-dependent bias Deviation from unity is a deviation from linear theory Deviation from dashed line = scale dependent bias Dark matter halos Strength of scale dependence of bias depends on peak height M/M* Angulo et al. 2008; see also Smith et al. , Crocce et al. The formation of DM haloes Navarro, Frenk & White 1997 A universal density profile? Navarro, Frenk & White 1997 Formation of a Milky Way like DM halo Aquarius halo: Volker Springel et al. 2008 Via Lactea – II 1 billion particles 4100 Msun 1 million CPU hours November 2007 Diemand et al 2008 Aquarius MW haloes 8 x resolution of Via Lactea II Springel et al. 2008 Dark Matter Substructures Springel et al 2008 Hierarchies of substructure Springel et al 2008 The structure of DM haloes Navarro et al. 2010 The properties of dark matter haloes • • • • Mass profiles are approximately universal 2 or 3 parameter density profile? Strongly triaxial shapes Abundant substructure (but small fraction of total halo mass ~ 10%) – too many Milky Way satellites? • Cuspy inner density profiles: mass increases with improving resolution – a problem for galaxy rotation curves? Navarro et al. 2010 Hierarchical Galaxy Formation Dark matter plus baryonic physics Gas dynamics simulations Semi-analytical modelling Structure formation in DM provides context for galaxy formation Images by Chris Power Baugh 2006 Crain et al. 2009) The OWLS simulations • LOFAR IBM Bluegene/L (12k CPUs, PowerPC 440, 700 MHz, 500 MB per 2 CPUs) • Cosmological (default: WMAP3) • Hydrodynamical (SPH) • Gadget III • 2xN3 particles, N = 512 for most • Two sets: – L = 25 Mpc/h to z=2 – L = 100 Mpc/h to z=0 • Runs repeated many times with varying physics/numerics • Status: runs nearly done, starting analysis Joop Schaye et al. Gas simulations vs. Semi-analytic modelling Gas simulations: • More direct • (Sometimes) more information • Challenged by dynamic range • Still use ‘sub-grid’ physics (=semianalytics) Semi-analytic models: • More generalised calculation e.g. Spherical symmetry • Faster • Flexible • Modular • Hybrid approach? Populating DM haloes with galaxies H-a selection H-band selection z=1 Orsi et al. 2009 Summary • Simulations only way to follow collapse of perturbations accurately • Simulations have defined the CDM model • Cosmological volumes/ resimulations of individual haloes • DM only: multi-billion particles standard • DM + gas: multi-hundred million particles • DM + semi-analytics: larger volumes than gas • Databases: new paradigm for scientific publishing • The future: beyond LCDM?