New Physics in Heavy Flavours LHCb Upgrade Workshop Edinburgh – January 11, 2007 Yossi Nir (Weizmann Institute of Science) New Physics in Flavour Physics 1/27 Theory Motivation at the LHC Era The NP CP/Flavor Problem 1 2 • m2H ∼ (m2H )tree + 16π 2 ΛNP To avoid fine-tuning of the Higgs mass, ΛNP < ∼ 4πmW ∼ 1 T eV . ¯ d¯ • LNP ∼ Λ21 sds NP To avoid too large contributions to εK and to ∆mK,D,B , 3−4 ΛNP > 10 T eV . ∼ New Physics at the TeV scale must have a very non-generic flavor and CP structure New Physics in Flavour Physics 2/27 Progress in CPV Physics • 1964 − 2000 • |ε| = (2.284 ± 0.014) × 10−3 • Re ε′ /ε = (1.67 ± 0.26) × 10−3 • 2000 − 2006 • SψKS = +0.67 ± 0.03 • AK ∓ π± = −0.093 ± 0.015 • Sη′ KS = +0.61 ± 0.07 • SK + K − KS = −0.58 ± 0.13 • SD∗+ D∗− = −0.75 ± 0.23 • AK ∓ ρ0 = +0.31 ± 0.10 • Sπ+ π− = −0.59 ± 0.09 • AηK ∗0 = +0.19 ± 0.05 • New Physics in Flavour Physics 3/27 Present and future of new flavor physics Plan of Talk 1. “Closed” questions • Is the KM mechanism at work? • Is the KM mechanism dominant? • Alternatives: Approximate CP? Superweak? • Going quantitative: b → d, b → s 2. Open questions • NP in c → u? • NP in b → s? • Is there new flavor physics at the 1-10% level? New Physics in Flavour Physics 4/27 Present Closed Questions New Physics in Flavour Physics 5/27 SψKS , Sρρ , ADK ... Is the KM mechanism at work? • Assume: New Physics in tree decays - negligible • Define rd2 exp(2iθd ) = hB 0 |Hfull |B 0 i/hB 0 |HSM |B 0 i • Use |Vub /Vcb |, ADK , SψK , Sρρ , ∆mBd , AdSL • Fit to η , ρ, rd , θd • Find whether η = 0 is allowed New Physics in Flavour Physics 6/27 SψKS , Sρρ , ADK ... The KM mechanism is at work! 1 shaded areas have exclusion CL < 0.1, 0.68, 0.95 0.8 SM CKM Fit 0.6 0.4 α η 0.2 γ 0 β -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 CKM fitter FPCP 06 -1 -1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 ρ 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 SM tree level + NP in B 0 − B 0 mixing (∆mB , Sf , AdSL ) δKM 6= 0 New Physics in Flavour Physics CKMFitter, hep-ph/0406184 7/27 β, α, γ Is δKM the only source of CPV in meson decays? 1.5 1.5 t CL da > 0. 1 sin 2β 95 ∆ms & ∆md 0.5 0.5 α γ 0 β α α εK η η lude γ ∆md 1 exc excluded area has CL > 0.95 excluded area has CL > 0.95 γ 0 β |Vub/Vcb| -0.5 -0.5 εK α sol. w/ cos 2β < 0 (excl. at CL > 0.95) -1 -1 γ CKM CKM fitter FPCP 06 fitter FPCP 06 -1.5 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 ρ ρ CPC observables |Vub /Vcb |, ∆mB , ∆mBs CPV observables ε, SψK , α, γ Using CKMFitter package (Höcker et al., Eur. Phys. J. C21, 225 (01)) New Physics in Flavour Physics 8/27 SψKS , Sρρ , ADK δKM is dominant! SψK = +0.67 ± 0.03 ⇔ sin 2β(CKM fit) = +0.75+0.06 −0.04 The KM mechanism successfully passed its first precision test New Physics in Flavour Physics 9/27 SψKS , Sρρ , ADK δKM is dominant! SψK = +0.67 ± 0.03 ⇔ sin 2β(CKM fit) = +0.75+0.06 −0.04 The KM mechanism successfully passed its first precision test +15 o +5 o α(ππ, πρ, ρρ) = 101−9 ⇔ α(CKM fit) = 96−16 The KM mechanism successfully passed its second precision test New Physics in Flavour Physics 9/27 SψKS , Sρρ , ADK δKM is dominant! SψK = +0.67 ± 0.03 ⇔ sin 2β(CKM fit) = +0.75+0.06 −0.04 The KM mechanism successfully passed its first precision test +15 o +5 o α(ππ, πρ, ρρ) = 101−9 ⇔ α(CKM fit) = 96−16 The KM mechanism successfully passed its second precision test +38 o +9 o γ(DK) = 60−24 ⇔ γ(CKM fit) = 59−4 The KM mechanism successfully passed its third precision (?) test New Physics in Flavour Physics 9/27 SψKS Is CPV in K → ππ small because of flavor? SM: • ǫ ∼ 10−3 , ǫ′ ∼ 10−5 because of flavor suppression • Some CP violating phases are order one Approximate CP: • All CPV phases are small • All CP asymmetries are small New Physics in Flavour Physics 10/27 SψKS Is CPV in K → ππ small because of flavor? SM: • ǫ ∼ 10−3 , ǫ′ ∼ 10−5 because of flavor suppression • Some CP violating phases are order one Approximate CP: • All CPV phases are small • All CP asymmetries are small B Physics: • SψK ∼ 0.7 =⇒ Some CP violating phases are indeed O(1) New Physics in Flavour Physics 10/27 AK ∓ π± , A−+ ρπ Is CP violated in ∆B = 1 processes? SM: • Indirect (M12 ) and direct (Af ) CP violations are both large Superweak: • There is no direct (Af ) CP violation K Physics: • ǫ′ /ǫ = (1.72 ± 0.18) × 10−3 =⇒ CP is violated in ∆S = 1 processes (s → uūd) New Physics in Flavour Physics 11/27 AK ∓ π± , A−+ ρπ Is CP violated in ∆B = 1 processes? SM: • Indirect (M12 ) and direct (Af ) CP violations are both large Superweak: • There is no direct (Af ) CP violation K Physics: • ǫ′ /ǫ = (1.72 ± 0.18) × 10−3 =⇒ CP is violated in ∆S = 1 processes (s → uūd) B Physics: +0.11 • AK ∓ π± = −0.093 ± 0.015, A−+ = +0.19 ± 0.05, AK ∓ ρ0 = 0.31−0.10 ηK ∗0 =⇒ CP is violated in ∆B = 1 processes (b → uūs, b → uūd) New Physics in Flavour Physics 11/27 SψKS , ∆mB , Ad SL 0 0 Is there NP in B − B mixing? • Assume: New Physics in tree decays - negligible • Define rd2 exp(2iθd ) ≡ 1 + hd eiσd ≡ hB 0 |Hfull |B 0 i/hB 0 |HSM |B 0 i • Use |Vub /Vcb |, ADK , SψK , Sρρ , ∆mBd , AdSL • Fit to η, ρ, rd , θd (or hd , σd ) • Find whether hd 6= 0 (rd 6= 1) is allowed New Physics in Flavour Physics 12/27 SψKS , ∆mB , Ad SL Very likely, the KM mechanism dominates 180 shaded areas have CL > 0.05, 0.32, 0.90 100 140 50 120 fitter FPCP 06 100 0 2θd CKM 160 σd (deg) (deg) 150 -50 80 60 -100 40 CKM 0 0 New Physics in B B mixing fitter Winter 2004 -150 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 rd2 7 8 9 20 shaded areas have exclusion CL < 0.1, 0.68, 0.95 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 hd For arbitrary phase, hd = |AdNP /AdSM | ∼ 0.2 ± 0.2 New Physics in Flavour Physics 13/27 B → Xs γ, B → Xs ℓ+ ℓ− Is there NP in b → s transitions? • Rare b → s processes consistent with the SM predictions =⇒ New Physics contributions to certain operators are strongly constrained (Z-penguin, magnetic) =⇒ New physics contributions to other operators are still very weakly constrained (chromomagnetic, dim-6) New Physics in Flavour Physics 14/27 SφKS , Sη′ K , Sπ0 K ... S S Is there NP in b → s transitions? Cf 1 {´f Sf = SÃKS 0.8 0.6 0.4 ¼ 0 ¼ 0 KS K+K{K0 0.2 0 f 0 KS Cf = 0 ¼ 0 KS -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 'K0 ´¶K0 KSKSKS !KS -0.8 -1 -1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 {´f Sf 1 Kirkby and Nir, PDG No evidence at present New Physics in Flavour Physics 15/27 ∆mBs , ∆ΓBs , AsSL Is there NP in Bs − B s mixing? • Assume: New Physics in tree decays - negligible • Define rs2 exp(2iθs ) ≡ 1 + hs eiσs ≡ hBs |Hfull |B s i/hBs |HSM |B s i • Use |Vcb |, ∆mBs , ∆ΓBs , AsSL • ∆Ms = (∆Ms )SM rs2 • ∆ΓCP = ∆Γs cos 2θs = (∆Γs )SM cos2 2θs s s SM • AsSL = −Re(Γs12 /M12 ) sin 2θs /rs2 • Fit to rs , θs (or hs , σs ) • Find whether hs 6= 0 (rs 6= 1) is allowed New Physics in Flavour Physics 16/27 ∆mBs , ∆ΓBs , AsSL Very likely, the KM mechanism dominates 2 180 CKM 160 fitter FPCP 06 1.5 140 σs (deg) r2s 120 100 1 80 60 40 0.5 20 shaded areas have exclusion CL < 0.1, 0.68, 0.95 0 0 2 0 2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 hs 2 s Grossman, Nir, Raz, PRL97:151801 (2006) [hep-ph/0605028] • For arbitrary phase, hs = |AsNP /AsSM | < ∼ 0.5 • 2θs ∼ π/2, 3π/2 - disfavored New Physics in Flavour Physics 17/27 Closed Questions Conclusions (I) • The KM phase is different from zero (SM violates CP) • The KM mechanism is the dominant source of the CP violation observed in meson decays 0 • The size and the phase of NP contributions to B 0 − B mixing and to Bs − B s mixing are severely constrained • Complete alternatives to the KM mechanism are excluded (Superweak, Approximate CP) • No evidence for corrections to CKM New Physics in Flavour Physics 18/27 Future Open Questions New Physics in Flavour Physics 19/27 Open questions Unitarity Triangles 2006 1.5 1.5 1.5 L>0 at C 1 ∆ms & ∆md 5 .95 > 0.9 sin 2β ded γ t CL 1 ∆md da 1 excluded area has CL > 0.95 lude γ γ exclu excluded area has CL > 0.95 exc excluded area has CL > 0.95 sin 2βs-penguin 0.5 α α α γ 0 β η εK η 0.5 γ 0 |Vub/Vcb| α β η 0.5 γ 0 -0.5 β |Vub/Vcb| |Vub/Vcb| -0.5 -0.5 _ K+ → π+νν εK α -1 sol. w/ cos 2β < 0 (excl. at CL > 0.95) -1 γ CKM fitter FPCP 06 γ CKM Tree and s → d fitter FPCP 06 -1.5 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 ρ s→d ε, B(K + → π + ν ν̄) γ CKM Tree and b → d fitter FPCP 06 -1.5 -1 sol. w/ cos 2β < 0 (excl. at CL > 0.95) -1 Tree and b → s -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 ρ 2 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 ρ b→d ∆mBd , SψK , Sρρ b→s ∆mBs , Sb→ss̄s There is still much to be learned from future measurements Höcker, Robert, Monteil, T’Jampens (06) New Physics in Flavour Physics 20/27 Questions not yet explored Is there NP in c → u transitions? Theory motivation: SUSY as an example • U(3) models (a.k.a. MFV; think Gauge Mediation) m̃21 = m̃22 = m̃23 (Almost) any deviation from the SM will exclude also MFV • U(2) models (a.k.a. non-Abelian flavor symmetries) m̃21 = m̃22 6= m̃23 =⇒ No sensitivity in K, D physics =⇒ B physics ideally suited • U(1) models (a.k.a. Alignment) m̃21 6= m̃22 6= m̃23 Phenomenology (∆mK , ε) tells us that δds ≪ sin θc =⇒ δuc ∼ sin θc =⇒ D physics ideally suited New Physics in Flavour Physics 21/27 aKπ , aKK , aππ Is there NP in c → u transitions? Experimental roadmap: Where to look for NP in D decays? • Rates or CP Asymmetries? Dominated by LD =⇒ Large uncertainties for rates Dominated by lightest 2 gen’s =⇒ SM contributions are CPC • CP violation in mixing Use DCS (D0 → K + π − ), SCS (D0 → K + K − , π + π − ) • CP violation in decay CPV NP loop contributions to c − u − gluon vertex can be large =⇒ aK + K − , aπ+ π− at 1% highly interesting Grossman, Kagan, YN, hep-ph/0609178 New Physics in Flavour Physics 22/27 Hints in present data Is there NP in b → s transitions? Theory motivation: SUSY as an example • U(1) models Naive estimate: δsR bR ∼ (ms /mb )/Vcb ∼ 1 The only FC coupling expected to be of order one • GUT models δsR bR related to Uµ3 = O(1) RGE effects enhance δsR bR Experimental motivation: ∆Sf ≡ −ηf Sf − SψKS • ∆Sf (b → s) = O(0.1) not excluded A hint for ∆Sf (b → s) = O(0.1)? New Physics in Flavour Physics 23/27 SφKS , SBs →ψφ , B(Bs → µ+ µ− )... Is there NP in b → s transitions? fCP Experiment NF∗ QCDF∗∗ SU(3)∗∗∗ φKS −0.28 ± 0.18 +0.02 ± 0.01 +0.02 ± 0.01 0.2 η ′ KS −0.06 ± 0.07 +0.01 ± 0.02 +0.01 ± 0.01 0.1 f0 KS −0.25 ± 0.17 π 0 KS −0.34 ± 0.21 +0.06 ± 0.04 +0.07 ± 0.04 0.18 ωKS −0.19 ± 0.24 +0.06 +0.19−0.14 +0.13 ± 0.08 (K ∗ K)† ρ 0 KS −0.47 ± 0.56 −0.26 ± 0.30 −0.08 ± 0.12 (K ∗ K)† KS KS KS −0.16 ± 0.21 0.4 K + K − KS −0.09 ± 0.13 0.14 π 0 π 0 KS −1.51 ± 0.71 ∗ Buchalla et al., hep-ph/0503151; ∗∗ Beneke, hep-ph/0505075 ∗ ∗ ∗ Grossman et al., hep-ph/0303171; Raz et al., hep-ph/0505194,0508046,0509125 † Available once B(K ∗ K) is measured New Physics in Flavour Physics 24/27 Accurate data base Is there new flavor physics? A worthy goal: better than 1% precision on flavor physics • Alternatives to CKM: O(1) effects - excluded by present data • Subdominant new sources of flavor/CP violation: O(10%) effects explored at present (hints for b → s?) • Minimal Flavor Violation: O(m2W /Λ2NP ) ∼ 1% effects Where is theory better than 1%? SψKS ... • Measure γ via B → DK modes • Measure/improve B, ACP , AFB for B → Xs γ and B → Xs ℓ+ ℓ− • Measure KL → πν ν̄ New Physics in Flavour Physics 25/27 ADK Is there new flavor physics? Measure γ from interference between b → cūs and b → uc̄s • SM tree level processes • Uncertainties from subleading decay amplitudes at m4c G2F 0 0 • Largest uncertainties: from D − D mixing ∼ 2 x2D +yD 8 Grossman, Soffer, Zupan, hep-ph/0505270; Silva, Soffer, Zupan, hep-ph/9912242 =⇒ Theoretical uncertainty: smaller than O(0.001) New Physics in Flavour Physics 26/27 Open questions Conclusions (II) • The O(1) questions have been answered The O(0.1) questions are being explored The O(0.01) questions pose a worthy goal • Corrections to CKM are possible • Charm (and top?) may provide NP surprises aK + K − , aπ+ π− • b → s has always been a suspect improved accuracy can reveal NP • γ from B → DK can stregthen our tests • There is still much to be learned from flavor/CP physics New Physics in Flavour Physics 27/27 SφKS , Sη′ K , SKS KS KS ... S Is there NP in b → s transitions? fCP ∆S C φKS −0.28 ± 0.18 +0.01 ± 0.13 η ′ KS −0.06 ± 0.07 −0.09 ± 0.06 f0 KS −0.25 ± 0.17 −0.02 ± 0.13 π 0 KS −0.34 ± 0.21 +0.12 ± 0.11 ωKS −0.20 ± 0.24 −0.21 ± 0.19 ρ 0 KS −0.47 ± 0.57 +0.64 ± 0.48 KS KS KS −0.16 ± 0.21 −0.23 ± 0.15 K + K − KS‡ −0.09 ± 0.17 +0.15 ± 0.09 π 0 π 0 KS‡ −1.5 ± 0.7 +0.27 ± 0.54 ‡ Not a CP eigenstate =⇒ How good is ≈ ? New Physics in Flavour Physics 28/27 b→d Experimental status of CP asymmetries fCP −ηCP S C ψπ 0 +0.68 ± 0.25 −0.11 ± 0.20 D+ D− +0.29 ± 0.63 +0.11 ± 0.35 D∗+ D∗− +0.75 ± 0.23 +0.12 ± 0.14 π+ π− +0.59 ± 0.09 −0.39 ± 0.07(0.23) π0 π0 −0.36 ± 0.33 ρ+ ρ− +0.06 ± 0.18 −0.11 ± 0.13 ρ0 π 0 +0.15 ± 0.71 +0.45 ± 0.47 New Physics in Flavour Physics 29/27 ∆mBs , ∆ΓBs , AsSL Important News: Bs − B s mixing 1. CDF: ∆MBs = 17.77 ± 0.10 ± 0.07 ps−1 • The first upper bound on ∆MBs • SM: ∆MBs = 17.8 ± 4.2 ps−1 −1 2. D0: ∆ΓBs = −0.15 ± 0.10+0.03 −0.04 ps • Sensitivity starts to be interesting for theory (also for CPV!) • SM: ∆ΓBs = −0.07 ± 0.03 ps−1 3. D0: ASL = −0.0044 ± 0.0040 ± 0.0028 • Sensitivity starts to be interesting for theory (CPV) • SM: AsSL < 10−4 New Physics in Flavour Physics 30/27 AsSL Is there new CP violation in Bs − B s mixing? ASL = x2d fd 1+x2 AdSL d x2d fd 1+x2 d + x2s fs 1+x2 AsSL s x2 s + fs 1+x 2 s ≃ 0.6AdSL + 0.4AsSL =⇒ AsSL = −0.008 ± 0.011 Grossman, Nir, Raz, PRL97:151801 (2006) [hep-ph/0605028] A first significant probe of CP violation in Bs − B s mixing New Physics in Flavour Physics 31/27