Advisory Panel on Department of Defense Capabilities for Support of Civil Authorities After Certain Incidents MEETING MINUTES DAY ONE: MARCH 17, 2010 LOCATION: 1200 SOUTH HAYES STREET, ARLINGTON, VA PERSONS PRESENT1: Panel Members: Steve Abbot Jim Carafano Dennis Celletti Jim Greenwood Jerry Grizzle Ron Harrison Frank Keating Tim Lowenberg Jim Metzger George Nethercutt Fred Rees Dennis Reimer Erv Rokke OSD Staff: Cathy Polmateer, Designated Federal Officer (OASD-HD&ASA) Manny Aponte (OASD-HD&ASA) Mike Shane (OASD-HD&ASA) RAND Staff: Mike Wermuth Gary Cecchine Andrew Morral Scott McMahon Nate Shestak 1 The following list includes all persons who were present in an official capacity, regardless of whether or not they stayed for the entire day’s session. 1 Several members of the public were also in attendance The meeting commenced with welcoming remarks and a call to order by Chairman Steve Abbot. He addressed a few administrative details, noting that the next meeting would likely be held at RAND in the first week of June. He then introduced Andrew Morral as the Director of RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center. Mike Wermuth of RAND then offered his welcoming remarks and called the panel’s attention to items in the Resource Books, especially to two written public statements and the subpanel minutes from the November meetings at NORTHCOM. The Chairman then asked for a motion to approve the subpanel meeting minutes and for any additions or corrections. There being no additions or corrections, on motions made and seconded, the panel sequentially and unanimously approved the minutes from the meetings of subpanels 1, 2, 3, and 4 at NORTHCOM. The Chairman then turned to the members of subpanel 1 and asked if there were any comments from the previous day’s subpanel meeting. Speaking first for subpanel 1, George Nethercutt stated that their goal was to glean whether there needed to be any substantive changes to the range of DoD authorities that exist in the event for a CRBRNE incident. After speaking with witnesses, they reached the conclusion that authorities that exist are generally adequate, but there may be some fine tuning that needs to happen. He also noted a need for additional training and exercises in an effort to improve awareness of the authorities as they exist now. Tim Lowenberg then followed, concurring that the authorities are basically adequate but that they key exception is inability under current law to involuntarily mobilize Title 10 forces. He also noted that unity of effort continues to be a concern. The Chairman then asked the entire panel whether or not there were any questions or comments for subpanel 1. 2 James Metzger asked subpanel 1 whether, in the worst case scenario, the DoD would swiftly and efficiently be given authority. Lowenberg responded that he believed that based on the testimony that their subpanel received from witnesses, such authorities would granted with efficiency. James Carafano asked subpanel 1 if the witnesses that they spoke with had a preference for how to mobilize the reserve component. Lowenberg said that they refrained from asking any questions related to which policies would be preferred and they stuck to questions related to what officials could and not do under the existing authorities. The Chairman then noted that it might be possible to separate authorities question into two parts: (1) are they adequate? (2) are they easy to use? He then stated that it is possible that one part of the question is satisfactory and the other is not The Chairman then moved to subpanel 2 and asked if there were any comments from the previous day’s subpanel meeting. Speaking for subpanel 2, Dennis Celletti noted that their goal was to ensure that the training plan documents that exist are adequate and synchronized. He also addressed the change regarding CCMRFs and HRFs, noting that it would require an assessment of these new units’ training requirements. The Chairman then asked the rest of the panel whether or not there were any questions or comments for subpanel 2. Lowenberg stated that he would be happy to provide subpanel 2 a copy of Army Field Manual 3-28, which is currently in its sixth draft edition. The Chairman then noted two points: DCSA is heavily Army centric and questioned whether there might be some method to better incorporate all of the services. International elements might come into this country as a result of a crisis, and we need to incorporate them into our response. 3 In response to the Chairman’s first point, Celletti noted that many of the existing forces, including CSTs and CERFPs, are already joint in nature. In response to the Chairman’s second point, Lowenberg stated that the most likely foreign forces would be Canadian and we have a standing plan out there that places Canadian forces under U.S. control. Carafano, however, cautioned against overreliance on Canadian military assistance, noting the decline in Canadian military capacity. The Chairman then moved to subpanel 4 and asked if there were any comments from the previous day’s subpanel meeting.2 Ronald Harrison stated that their subpanel met with representatives from the National Guard Bureau (NGB), the J-3, and the J-5 to discuss how we can adequately scale our response, specifically citing Haiti. He also spoke about the role of the DCO in the process and its interaction with the NGB. Carafano questioned whether the DCO is best instrument to deal with the coordination for large scale disasters. Harrison then discussed the role of NGB in the interagency process. Finally, he concluded by noting the need for states to share their plans with the federal government. Frank Keating then highlighted the problem that many states—perhaps as many as 60%—have neglected to share their plans with the NGB. Jerry Grizzle concurred that this was a major problem, and noted the difficulty in acquiring city plans and sharing them with state and federal authorities. There was a discussion as to why this is the case, with some positing that fear of criticism is a primary impediment to sharing them. Carafano noted that he’s unaware of any single point of contact in DoD that has an inventory of state and city plans. Next, the Chairman brought up the topic of the Economy Act and Purpose Act and how they theoretically might make federal departments cooperate with each other. He highlighted those pieces of legislation for subpanel 1. RECESS—10 minutes Upon reconvening, the Chairman turned to Gary Cecchine, who presented a briefing on the following emerging issues questions and research topics, based on inputs provided by Panel members previously: 2 Lack of integrated national planning Command and control (10/32/State status) Subpanel 3 did not meet on March 16. 4 Common Operating Picture and System for all Federal Agencies, coordinated with States and Localities Expanded Authority for Access to Title 10 Reserve Components Requirements generation for CBRNE DSCA Enhanced regionalized approach Designate a single Federal agency to coordinate man/train/equip for Federal CBRNE response (from NORTHCOM) Include DSCA requirements in DoD PPBES The Chairman emphasized that all of the points in the briefing were preliminary and nothing had been finalized. He then asked the panel if they believed that any topics should be added to Cecchine’s presentation. Fred Rees noted his concern about the lapse in the national integrated planning system (IPS). Discussion ensued regarding planning, sharing of plans, and the integrated planning system in particular. The Chairman then introduced Dennis McCarthy, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Reserve Affairs as the meeting’s first witness. McCarthy stated that his primary role involves force generation rather than force deployment. He noted that the National Guard is most likely the first responder in just about any domestic situation that can we can envision and described two of its key strengths: its dispersion and its survivability. He applauded the recent establishment of the Council of Governors and noted that the DoD will work closely with it. The Chairman thanked McCarthy for his opening remarks and opened the floor for questions. Keating questioned the witness first, inquiring about the permanency of the Council of Governors. McCarthy responded by noting that the President signed an executive order that created this council and that it will be a relatively permanent institution. Lowenberg then asked about the training of senior officers in the various components of DCSA. McCarthy responded by saying that he would prioritize training the National Guard and then some Title 10 forces. He would not prioritize training active component commanders, but he understood that not everyone would share this view. Lowenberg followed up by asking if the witness would alter his view in light of something truly catastrophic McCarthy responded by saying that it would be hard for him to envision something so catastrophic where national guard forces 5 augmented with Title 10 forces would be insufficient. He stated that we should be organized so that the National Guard is called upon first and then reserve component forces are drawn as needed. He felt that the likelihood of the need to go beyond this is small. Dennis Reimer spoke next, highlighting ongoing problems with command and control, citing Katrina specifically and asking the witness how he would address that issue. McCarthy responded by saying that he has worked with Paul Stockton in the past few months on unity of effort. In addition, Secretary Gates has tried to authorize direct liaisons between federal and state forces. The witness emphasized a need to come to an agreement that is satisfactory to both the governors and the president. He posited that one idea might be some sort of “supported” and “supporting” commander structure that would leave command of Title 10 forces to the President. Finally, the witness suggested the best solution was to rely on the Council of Governors to help broker an agreement. Keating then asked the witness about the effects of deployment demands at a time of two wars. McCarthy responded by stating that recruiting and retention are at the best level that they have been eight over the course of the past eight years. He also noted that the quality of the people they are recruiting remained extremely high. He stated that he believed that we are not overusing reserve components right now. However, as far as rotational readiness is concerned, he remained concerned and suggested that the panel investigate this as a topic. The witness noted that one can’t be “first up” for everything because if one “first up” for DSCA activities and then gets deployed to Afghanistan, a serious problem arises. James Greenwood then asked the witness to address what the response to a biological attack on Washington, D.C. might look like. McCarthy noted that there were perhaps other people in the room that could speak to the question better than he could. However, in terms of the federal response, the military chain would run through NORTHCOM. Their plans would involve CCMRF forces. In the case of a chemical or a biological attack, reserve forces would also play a role. Finally, the joint task force commander would marshal federal forces and they would be in support. Erv Rokke then asked the witness if the increased prevalence of domestic terrorist threats would change his view on National Guard forces being the force of first choice in a response. McCarthy responded saying that his overall answer is probably a qualified “no.” Overall, the military forces—whether they are NG, reserve, or active—would bring to the table in a domestic setting is what they would bring to the table anywhere. He believed that we should not focus too 6 much on overspecialized training. We need to avoid counting on the same people to do the same thing at the same time. Celletti then asked if National Guard forces are adequately equipped to meet the task as the first responder. McCarthy speculated that if one were to do a real count of all critical dual use equipment, it would likely reveal some shortfalls, but that they are making progress. Because of the two wars, they have depleted a lot our stocks of their equipment, but they are working on replenishing them. Carafano then asked the witness to comment on the specific proposals in QDR that discuss force structure and what implications these proposals may have in terms of military’s capability to ramp up to a catastrophic incident response. McCarthy stated that is still probably too early to know the implications yet. However, he believed that the QDR puts us on the right path to understand how the reserve component relates to the active component in the overall response in the years ahead. Carafano then highlighted the witness’ testimony about his time in the New York State Naval Militia. He mentioned that a number of states have similar outfits, specifically citing Texas and Maryland. He then suggested it might be something the panel might consider examining. McCarthy concurred. Reimer then discussed voluntarily mobilization. Volunteering can be a useful tool, but it also needs to be structured. He cautioned that for everyone that volunteers, they leave a hole behind them. McCarthy concurred. McCarthy was then thanked for his time by the Chairman and the rest of the panel. The Chairman then covered a few more administrative details, highlighting the fact that the next panel meeting would likely be June 2-3—in lieu of April 28-29— at RAND in Arlington, Virginia. He then opened the floor up to any final comments before the break for lunch. James Grizzle discussed Title 10 forces and stated that while focusing on equipment is important, it is equally important that the panel focus on personnel. The Chairman asked him to present a scenario where this was an issue. Harrison noted that in the case of Hurricane Andrew, they ran out of funds for personnel and could not access equipment. Rees noted that much has changed since Hurricane Andrew and progress has been made in terms of prepositioning equipment and personnel. 7 The Chairman then asked if there were any other questions or comments. There being none, the panel broke for lunch. RECESS—60 Minutes Following the break, the Chairman welcomed the Former Chairman of the Commission on the National Guard and Reserves, Arnold Punaro. Punaro offered testimony on the following topics: He offered a brief bit of background on the commission and forthcoming work in conjunction with the New American Security Center. He noted that the need for reform is urgent. Currently, the witness believed that we are not ready for a CBRNE incident. He highlighted three large points: o First, it is critical that DHS produce civil support requirements and request the DoD validate them as appropriate and put them into the funding chain. He then tied this point to a need for a broader statutory recognition by Congress of this DoD role. o Secondly, we are currently not ready for a CBRNE attack. We do not have highly specialized forces in place. We need to man, train, and equip our forces to be ready. o Third, the nation needs to sort out, in advance, command and control issues. Thus, there should be protocols by which governors should be able to direct Title 10 forces within his state. This is an admitted redline to DoD. He touched on the creation of the Council of Governors, crediting Paul Stockton for his role in its establishment. He noted that we must work further on identifying a proper role for NORTHCOM. While its outward facing NORAD mission is easy, its DSCA mission is difficult. The Chairman thanked Punaro for his opening remarks and opened the floor for questions. Nethercutt asked the witness what is behind the gap in readiness. Punaro responded by ultimately concluding that there are a number of overlapping causes: insufficient funds, excessive bureaucracy, poor planning, poor training, and poor command and control. 8 Carafano asked the witness for his thoughts on the recommendations in the QDR on force structure, specifically citing how two CCMRF forces are being restructured. Punaro responded by saying that he was skeptical of the ability of small forces on the order of 2,000 – 3,000 men to deal with larger CBRNE incidents. He did not view this restructuring as sufficient. Keating then asked then addressed the witness from the perspective of a civilian authority at the state level and noted that many of these authorities may not be competent. Punaro noted that it is important to assess the competency of such local leaders through training scenarios. The Chairman then asked whether the authorities, as they exist now, are adequate. Punaro responded by saying that the governors’ authorities are inadequate. He also highlighted his perceived overall complacency of government in the face of CBRNE matters. Rokke then asked the witness whether we should be specializing more in our training in response to these incidents. Punaro responded that he believes we should be and cautioned on any assumption that if our troops can fight in Afghanistan and Iraq, they can adequately perform DSCA operations here at home. Lowenberg then engaged in a discussion about DSCA requirements and whether or not the DoD should identify them on its own. Punaro said that there while there is not any reason the DoD cannot do it on its own, such a move might be viewed as controversial since DHS is in the lead. He then asserted that if such a truly large CBNRE incident were to occur, the DoD would be the first to know and relied upon heavily. Discussion about the capacity of the DoD and the DHS in the event of a CBRNE incident ensued between the panel and the witness. Reimer then discussed the issue of training with the witness, saying that training should involve all of the nation’s capabilities, including those beyond the nation’s military capabilities, citing medical capabilities specifically. He noted resource constraints as well. Punaro agreed, saying that we should give the governors all of the resources that our federal government can give. However, to implement the vision, we may need fundamental changes in the way we do personnel management. Rees then discussed the witness’s criticisms of the organization at NORTHCOM. Punaro agreed stating that perhaps we should consider putting a National Guard 9 official in charge of the combatant command since they have experience with DSCA. He also discussed the possibility of splitting NORTHCOM from NORAD. Keating then discussed the challenge of balancing the role of the federal government and the state government in the response to CBRNE events. He also lamented the fact that so few states have submitted their plans to the National Guard Bureau. Punaro argued for centralized policy but decentralized execution. He agreed that status of the sharing of plans was a serious cause for concern. The Chairman then thanked the witness for his time, and he as he was departing, Punaro advocated that the panel be very candid in their recommendations. RECESS—15 Minutes After the break, the Chairman welcomed Department of Defense Office of General Counsel representative, Carl Wagner. He invited him to offer an opening statement, and then stated the panel may begin asking comments. For his first remarks, the witness wanted to clarify a previous day’s conversation with subpanel 1. If the question ever arose over who must pay for operations in the wake of a CBRNE incident and how much they must pay, under the Stafford Act, the President can compel activities to be undertaken on either a reimbursable or a non-reimbursable basis. This applies not just to DoD but other federal government agencies. Nethercutt started the discussion by asking for comment on how the witness sees the existing set of legal authorities for DSCA and to what extent would he suggest that the panel consider alterations to existing law or regulation. Wagner responded by stating that if a situation arose that, in fact, came about because of an attack, the president, under Article II of the Constitution, has the inherent authority to defend the United States. In that role, the DoD would not be in support. It would be in the lead in defending the United States. In specific regard to defense support to civil authorities, 10 USC § 382 and18 USC §831 provide that the Attorney General and the Secretary of Defense can determine that a situation exists whereby DoD assets can engage in activities that would otherwise be in violation of the Posse Comitatus Act. Furthermore, he noted that the Posse Comitatus Act is not applicable to the National Guard when it’s either in Title 32 or state active duty status. The Chairman then asked how the witness’ responses regarding funding might change in light of a non-CBRNE event. Would the Stafford Act still apply? 10 Wagner responded in the affirmative, stating that the Stafford Act would set aside any requirement for reimbursement included in the Economy Act. He and Lowenberg discussed this point. Wagner then discussed the definition of homeland defense with Lowenberg, stating that he cannot recall seeing a specific definition of that term, but that it generally refers to defense, by the military, of the United States, potentially using lethal force. Following this, he discussed the use of lethal force on behalf of the United States in the context of the military defense of the United States with Rees. Keating then asked if any of the provisions that exist are in conflict with another. Wagner responded by characterizing them as “blended.” He noted that depending on the focus, the Posse Comitatus Act may or may not apply. He also noted 10 USC § 371 and its role in the relationship between military and law enforcement personnel. He further discussed Chapter 18 of Title 10 and the limits placed on the DoD under that title. Keating then asked if the witness feels that there should be any additional amendments to the statutes to make things more efficient and effective. Wagner responded that he could not think of any. Reimer then asked the witness about the difference between homeland defense and homeland security. Wagner responded that while he cannot quote anything directly, homeland defense deals with preventing attacks and responding to external threats, and homeland security deals primarily with response activities. Reimer asked the witness about trouble with regard to Title 10 and Title 32 and unity of command. Wagner cited our federal system establishes “separate levels of sovereigns,” noting that both states and the federal government have separate responsibilities. He then noted that the President and the governors each have some of the same authorities. Discussion then ensued about this topic between the panel and Wagner. Lowenberg then discussed NORTHCOM’s memorandum of agreement with the Canadian military and TACON. Wagner noted that the agreement with the Canadians on TACON, while constitutional, is a legally flawed agreement. OSD General Council reviewed and questioned the agreement. Discussion surrounding this topic and dual-hat command then ensued between the panel and Wagner. 11 Finally, Carafano asked if there was any advantage to having a legal distinction between defense and “homeland defense.” Wagner responded that he did not think so, and further discussion between the distinction between homeland security and homeland defense ensued. The Chairman thanked the witness for his time. Next, the Chairman welcomed General Craig McKinley; accompanied by Director of the Air National Guard, Lieutenant General Harry Wyatt III; Director, National Guard Bureau Joint Staff, Major General Michael Sumrall; and Deputy Director of the Army National Guard, Brigadier General Timothy Kadavy McKinley first discussed the National Guard Bureau’s new charter. He discussed the importance of communications, noting that the adjutants general work for the governors, not for him. The witness noted that he would challenge the assumption that either the DoD is complacent or that it takes this issue lightly. To further emphasize this point, he noted that he meets regularly with Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and attends sessions with the Joint Chiefs of Staff. His predecessor did not have that opportunity. He then highlighted three issues emphasized by Deputy Secretary Lynn when he spoke to the adjutants general at the National Governor’s Association meeting in DC regarding the National Guard’s priorities. Continue to be a full spectrum force Continue to maintain readiness Provide homeland defense and civil support The Chairman thanked McKinley for his opening remarks and opened the floor for questions. He posed the first question to the witness related to Title 10 and Title 32 status. McKinley responded by saying that it is a contentious issue and hopes that the concept of “supported” and “supporting” forces could best mitigate any problems with it. Celletti then asked the witness whether the number of CSTs currently available is sufficient. McKinley credited his predecessor for bringing the number up to 55 from its original 9. Sumrall noted that he felt 55 was sufficient but highlighted the need to ensure adequate funding and have that funding be controlled by the adjutant generals. Lowenberg then asked about resourcing of different DSCA requirements. McKinley noted the US Army and USAF do the programming for 90% of their equipment and that most of the equipment in their domestic use portfolio (i.e. not 12 dual use) usually falls below the line. Both McKinley and Wyatt noted that overseas focus takes priority. Kadavy noted that the Army is forced to compete as well. Finally, Sumrall offered an explanation of National Guard funding sources and the intricacies of the funding process. Grizzle then asked about the differences in standardization and resulting challenges in deploying CSTs by states and whether or not every state required a CST. McKinley responded that every state needs a CST, citing the white power incident of six months ago. In response to the first question posed, Sumrall said that progress is being made on standardizing the CSTs. The Chairman then asked Sumrall about the connection between authorities and funds for the authorities. He responded by saying that he believes that they have sufficient authority, but do not always have the necessary resources. Wyatt also spoke to this point, noting the stress placed on their strategic lift capabilities with the ongoing surge in Afghanistan. Carafano then discussed the Missile Defense Agency model, especially with regard to material development, with the witnesses. McKinley seemed somewhat receptive to the idea, and noted that such an idea represented the sort of creativity that he would like to see in the panel’s report. Regardless of the type of structure created, the witness noted that such a structure must be sustained in the budgeting process, otherwise it will become an orphan. Rokke then asked how the witnesses would characterize the guidance that they receive with regard to the kind of training that should take place. McKinley noted that the aside from some specific courses that have been jointly created between NORTHCOM and the National Guard Bureau, there is probably a dearth of training environments. Kadavy responded by stating that much of the core skills come from the Army. He also noted that since much of the equipment they receive is commercial, they train to the equipment and the training manual that comes with it. Rees then raised his concerns that there was perhaps excessive focus on the Army component to many of these publications and wondered if a truly joint publication was being developed. McKinley responded that many of the DoD Instructions are documents that date back to the early 1990s and are in need of an update. He noted that joint doctrine is being developed. 13 Keating then discussed Katrina and asked the panel for key lessons learned. McKinley responded by listing the following key problems: They sent inappropriate amount of relief efforts in an ad hoc fashion Command and control of the resources sent was ineffective There were no pre-mission scripts that they could apply to a natural disaster Sumrall noted that he was in the region during Katrina. He stated the following three observations: They did not have a common operating picture, not just across the DoD, but across the entire spectrum. Progress is being made in this area. They struggled with communications In the future, they will need to augment state response forces with command and control assets much more quickly Wyatt echoed what was said by Sumrall and McKinley and made the point that during the Katrina, the key questions and obstacles that emerged surrounded the magnitude of the help and how they were going to pay for it. McKinley added that he believed that ultimately one of the largest problems was that there were two chains of command. Kadavy then offered four key observations from Katrina: Katrina exposed challenges surrounding airspace management Katrina highlighted the need for timely Title 32 authority. There was insufficient unity of effort and they generally lacked a common operating picture. He cited the exampled of brigade patrols with the 82nd and 45th running into each other on a block in New Orleans. He noted that progress is being made in this area. For something of an emergency of such magnitude, they struggled with the tracking of requirements and the approval and funding of the requirements. Harrison then turned to the topic of state plans and highlighted the fact that only about 60% of states have supplied their plans to the National Guard Bureau. In light of this fact, he discussed truly catastrophic incidents and asked if there was anything ongoing at the National Guard Bureau that is geared to address something catastrophic. McKinley highlighted the fourth slide of his briefing, which depicted how responses are scaled so that eventually 18,000 people respond. He then turned to Sumrall, who noted that they would simply pile on the problem until they get enough capacity to solve the problem. He noted that one of 14 the advantages of the HRF over the previous CCMRF is that they now have ten of them, and thus they are more flexible. He noted that while the construct is a little different, they feel like they have more capability. Harrison then asked how state guard elements fit into this picture. Kadavy responded that it varies by state. The degree to which the state is set up will dictate just how much the guard and reserve components are drawn in. Speaking for Nebraska, all of the ability to plan is based off of grants provided by the federal government. Harrison then asked about the Task Force for Emergency Readiness. Sumrall responded by saying that he really liked the concept, but did not have a lot of detailed knowledge of it. Celletti then commented that the mandate for the HRFs in the QDR would likely help the funding piece of the equation since it is a mandatory requirement in the QDR. McKinley concurred with the comment. Nethercutt posited that the depth of knowledge of legal authorities is not widely understood in the hierarchy and asked the panel whether or not they would welcome additional legal training. McKinley stated that complete clarification of legal authorities is always warranted and that he relies heavily on his legal staff. Rees noted the recurring theme of the inability to get the funding of authorities’ mission requirements and noted there appears to be little progress being made on that front. In response, McKinley stated that he hoped that an outcome of this panel would be clarification on how to best apply resources to these sorts of situations. He also hoped that the panel could help offer insight as to how to best streamline and standardize this process. Sumrall cited slide three of their briefing, which depicted the choices before a governor in the event of one of these incidents and the two separate funding streams—DoD or DHS—that they can draw upon to address the problem. Lowenberg then asked about organic air lift and the speed of response between each state. Sumrall noted that it varies by state. Kadavy stated that a part of the problem involves the definition of an emergency and the response. Declarations help address this problem. Lowenberg pointed out the issue that many of the response forces—CSTs, the CERFPs, the CCMRFs, the HRFs—are joint in nature but there still seemed to be issues regarding the “color” of the money used to fund these forces. Sumrall 15 stated that he was trying to emphasize the incremental cost to obtain or do things that are not traditional Army or Air Force tasks and the resistance that arises when this scenario presents itself. McKinley noted that the money is there; it is mostly an issue of getting it to the proper place. Kadavy also noted that since all of these forces are joint in nature, disaggregating them is difficult. Thus, the financial picture is complicated. Reimer then emphasized his concern about the requirements-resources mismatch in the QDR, and his concerns that we do not have an integrated planning system that allows DoD to interface with DHS. McKinley concurred with Reimer’s comment. He noted that many states are in a dire financial state and resourcing is going to be a looming issue in the future. He noted an increased need to streamline funding and prescript their missions. Regarding the DHS-DoD relationship, he noted that a lot of work still needs to be done in that area. Sumrall noted that another challenge involves the fact these issues are a DHS issue, but much of the money is coming from DoD. Perhaps some portion of the funding should come from the DHS. McKinley agreed that some of the emergency response funding is in the incorrect pot. He noted that he and Secretary Stockton have discussed this problem. The Chairman then thanked the witnesses for their time, and after McKinley thanked his colleagues and his staff. The Chairman then noted that, subject to FACA provisions, the public is invited to the panel meetings. He called attention to two comments in the panel’s resource books. He then called forward Michael Kozeliski, a member of the public, to address the panel. Kozeliski brought up the issue of water distribution security at fire hydrants. He stated that an agent could easily be added to the water supply, contaminating 100 million gallons of water with relative ease. Keating, in turn, asked him for his proposed solution. Kozeliski stated that there are two approaches to combat the problem: First, there is the issue of communication. It should be made known that it is illegal to hook up to a fire hydrant without a permit. Secondly, there are technological devices that you could hook onto these hydrants to stop this problem. Kozeliski was then thanked for his time. 16 Celletti then highlighted the second written comment from the Newport, VA fire chief. He felt that it was especially relevant to the train and equip subpanel. He highlighted the potential important uses of unmanned aerial vehicles in the aftermath of a catastrophic incident, but FAA restrictions exist. The Chairman then asked if there was a motion to recess. On motion made and seconded, the panel stands in recess until September 18. RECESS UNTIL MARCH 18 AT 8:30 A.M. EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME 17 DAY TWO: MARCH 18, 2010 LOCATION: 1200 SOUTH HAYES STREET, ARLINGTON, VA PERSONS PRESENT3: Panel Members: Steve Abbot Jim Carafano Dennis Celletti Jim Greenwood Jerry Grizzle Ron Harrison Frank Keating Tim Lowenberg Jim Metzger George Nethercutt Fred Rees Dennis Reimer Erv Rokke OSD Staff: Cathy Polmateer, Designated Federal Officer (OASD-HD&ASA) Manny Aponte (OASD-HD&ASA) Mike Shane (OASD-HD&ASA) RAND Staff: Mike Wermuth Gary Cecchine Andrew Morral Scott McMahon Nate Shestak Several members of the public were also in attendance The Chairman welcomed everyone back and called the panel back into session. He then introduced Lieutenant General John Paxton Jr., Director of Operations, J3, The Joint Staff. 3 The following list includes all persons who were present in an official capacity, regardless of whether or not they stayed for the entire day’s session. 18 Paxton opened by thanking the panel for their time and stating that the issue of defense support to civil authorities in the event of CBRNE incident often does not get the level of attention that it needs. He also noted that he brought Brigadier General John Tracy and Lieutenant Colonel Scott Estes. Paxton noted to that the J-3 understands the mission and the command relationships. However, improvement could be made in answering the following questions regarding response operations for CBRNE incidents: For how long? To hand over to who else? To measure with what degree of effectiveness or success? Paxton noted that the J-3 has a good relationship with NORTHCOM and PACOM. He then discussed command relationships and the need for unity of effort between state authorities and federal authorities in the event of a CBRNE incident. Finally, the witness noted that he would be happy to talk about new initiatives like the HRFs. The Chairman thanked Paxton for his opening remarks and opened the floor for questions. Harrison offered the first question, asking about the J-3’s work with the states and the Council of Governors. Paxton responded that he works with the Council of Governors and that the J-3 also works with other agencies, including DHS and FEMA. He noted that their goal is for the HRFs to be responsive to each of the FEMA regions. He highlighted the challenge of trying to balance the need to be prepared for DSCA missions with the demands placed by the current wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Harrison then followed up by asking about the relationship between DoD and DHS. Paxton characterized the relationship as frequent and positive. He said Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and Secretary of Homeland Security Janet Napolitano speak often. However, Paxton highlighted that improvement could be made in planning between the two departments. He noted that one needs to identify the end state and then plan backwards. Rokke then asked about the training and equipping of forces for DSCA, especially in light of assertions that the basic skills that DoD forces employ in Afghanistan 19 and Iraq will be sufficient for DSCA missions. Paxton said that his biggest concern is the availability of forces for training. He stated that almost all CBRNE forces are high demand and low density and how the availability of forces are tracked is critically important. Lowenberg then asked about the impetus behind the creation and regionalization of the HRF. Paxton responded by noting two issues: Reorganization is a result, in part, of planning processes at NORTHCOM The reorganization reflects a recognition of what is realistic in terms of force development, force generation, and force management. Homeland security, while priority number one in the QDR, still remains subpriority three, below Iraq and Afghanistan. Lowenberg then followed up and asked about DoD’s capacity to operate in a CBRNE degraded environment. Paxton responded by saying that level of attention paid to chemical and biological incidents has oscillated over time, spiking after attacks on the homeland. He then noted that DoD does not pay enough attention across the board to preparing for operations in chemically and biologically contaminated environments. Reimer then asked Paxton what his recommendations to the panel would be with regard to CBRNE incidents. Paxton responded by saying that DoD needs more resources, especially people. They lost a tremendous number of people to stand up the first CCMRF and it took two years to build it back up. The witness stated that if he were on the panel he would ask the following questions: Do we need to task OSD-CAPE with doing an additional study that assesses readiness in the event of an incident? Is the density and size of the force right? Do we need to develop more of a specific capability? Lowenberg then asked if making DCSA into a statutory responsibility would be helpful. Paxton stated while in the long term such a mandate would be positive, in the short term it would present a problem because it would be an unresourced mandate. Grizzle then asked the witness the best method to get CSTs adequate funding without relying on the military departments to do so. Paxton responded by saying that building such units always takes people and resources away from other units. The key is try to avoid funding what cannot be predicted. Funding these units in a responsive fashion (after an incident) presents a challenge. 20 Celletti then asked about the funding and resourcing of these organizations, now that the have been mandated under the QDR. Paxton responded that he felt very comfortable about this process and how it relates to the POM process and QDR guidance. Lowenberg then asked about the impact of the hold placed on the interagency planning process in HSPD-8 (Integrated Planning System, IPS). Paxton stated that he believed that the impact has been minimal. There is a lot of substantive dialogue between various units. He did not think that they suffer too much from the delay in implementing that directive. Tracy concurred and added that they have a very robust liaison officer component to that serves as an integral asset when it comes to collaboration and planning between DoD units and FEMA. The Chairman followed on, asking if DoD was receiving liaison officers from other agencies. Paxton stated that the capacity of agencies is not robust enough and expeditionary enough. Harrison followed up on the theme of working with the interagency process in the context of losing continuity of government, citing Haiti specifically. Paxton responded that they are slowly absorbing the lessons of Haiti and that it raised a number of interagency questions and prompted robust debates within the National Security Council. The Chairman continued the line of questioning about Haiti, asking about the ability of the present system to integrate international assistance and support. Paxton noted that he did not have great visibility on the question, but noted that that NORTHCOM would play a key role in answering this question. He noted that GEN Renuart is on speed dial to the J-3. Further discussion on this point between the witness, the Chairman, and the panel ensued. Reimer then turned to the issue of future DoD funding and the additional requirements it faces under the new QDR, stating that the panel’s final report cannot ignore impending resource constraints. Paxton agreed and suggested focusing on low-cost alternatives such as improving the CRBNE curricula, tightening up the planning processes and bolstering high demand/low density forces. Rokke then asked the witness if enough attention is being paid to strategic communications. Paxton responded that while NORTHCOM is doing a good job of communicating with state and local authorities, the J-3 needs to do a better job of communicating with state and local authorities. 21 Harrison then asked about the difference between homeland security and homeland defense. Paxton turned to Tracy, who noted that homeland defense is uniquely war-centric, while homeland security, in contrast, involves law enforcement and response operations. Discussion then ensued between the panel and the witness about this issue. Keating then noted the cultural challenge posed by having so few governors with military experience and commended the J-3 for reaching out to NORTHCOM. Paxton concurred. Following this comment, the Chairman thanked the witness for his time. RECESS—10 MINUTES Following the break, the Chairman noted that Rand Beers (Undersecretary, DHS) will not be appearing as scheduled. Instead, Bill Carwile, (Associate Administrator, FEMA) will be appearing. The Chairman then invited the entire panel to discuss issues that should be addressed in the panel’s final report. The following issues were discussed amongst the panel. DoD authorities – Specifically, are they nebulous? Are they satisfactory? o There is a need for additional training, education, and emphasis on understanding authorities. o The authorities need to be communicated more effectively Should the panel affirm The Commission on The National Guard and Reserves’ recommendations that have still not been implemented? Resourcing specialized units such as CERFPs, CCMRFs, and HRFs. o Is the resourcing built into the POM process? o What, if anything, needs to change in regard to how they are resourced? Are homeland security and homeland defense on par with the other warfighting requirements that exist for the nation? If not, ought they be? Is there a threat? If there is what do we do about it? The panel ought to be able to speak to the threat, perhaps citing Graham-Talent. How does the prevention piece fit into the panel’s discussion and findings? Should the panel examine the “whole of government” in its response or just DoD’s role? Should the panel investigate both the Gilmore report and Commission on The National Guard and Reserves report to investigate unfulfilled recommendations? 22 Should NORTHCOM’s culture be altered to further prioritize DSCA? If yes, how so? How should the issues regarding command and control of Title 10 and Title 32 forces be resolved? RECESS—60 MINUTES Following a break for lunch, the Chairman welcomed Dr. Paul Stockton, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense and Americas’ Security Affairs. The witness’s opening statement included the following three main points: DoD’s efforts to strengthen its DSCA capacity with specific regard to CBRNE incidents o Today, advance elements of the CCMRF can move within 48 hours, with it requiring 96 hours to get all of the capabilities to the site. Under a new construct, 2,000 people will arrive on the ground within 24 hours. The remaining 3,000 people will arrive within the next 48 hours. This will save lives. o The second and third CCMRFs are going to be downsized to become primarily command and control elements that assist the coordination of Title 10 forces in the event of a CBRNE incident. o Ten HRFs will be created and regionally distributed. Because of this regional reorganization, they will be able to respond more quickly. They are a part of the integrated federal response that occurs when governors request assistance. o Bottom line: DoD will be able to get forces to the site much more quickly in a way that will save more lives. The DoD modeled this with OSD-CAPE’s assistance to respond to an attack involving a 10 kiloton nuclear device, an earthquake, and a plague outbreak. Unity of effort with governors and states o Currently, there is insufficient unity of effort between federal and state forces. Progress has been made with advances like the Council of Governors, but there is still work to be done. o In the witness’s view, both the President and the governors are sovereign. So, in his view, there are two independent chains of authority. Thus, any solution will have to recognize this fact and work out its planning in advance with pre-scripted mission assignments. o Each state would have emergency management compacts with DoD to manage HRF responses. 23 Unresolved policy challenges o With specific regard to the use of HRFs, what is the appropriate balance to strike between natural hazards preparedness versus CBRNE incidents? o How will DoD structure the training of the HRFs to ensure that they are effective? o How can DoD best devise a well-run exercise system that functions smoothly and coordinates effectively with the states and FEMA? The Chairman thanked Stockton for his opening remarks and opened the floor for questions. Lowenberg asked about the Task Force for Emergency Readiness, its cancelation, and planning. Stockton said that it would be important for FEMA to capture the lessons learned from the program. Rees then asked about pre-scripted mission assignments for response operations. Stockton agreed that they are imperative and that Haiti served as a reminder of this. He cited a need to build an effective construct for them at home. Rokke asserted that defense culture, perhaps NORTHCOM in particular, doesn’t fully appreciate the threat to the homeland. He then asked if we need to further specialize our training and tailor forces to CBRNE events. Stockton responded that he disagreed with the first assertion, and stated that from senior leadership on down through the ranks, the military takes the need for preparedness very seriously. He agreed with Rokke’s second point, stating that specialized training is useful, but it is going to cost money and it is going to take to take time. He suggested the panel make recommendations about this important question of resources. Reimer then asked if HRFs are going to be in Title 32 status and asked how these sorts of requirements should be funded. Stockton noted that the first military responders to any catastrophe are going to be the National Guard and they are going to be in state active duty status. In response to the second question, the witness stated that there are too few federal resources chasing too many requirements. Thus, state forces will relied upon heavily and the DoD (Title 10) will be in support in the vast majority of cases. Christine Wormuth then discussed the HRF issue further and noted that 90% of the time, state governors and not federal government will be in the lead. HRFs reflect this. The HRF construct is a shared responsibility, shared risk approach. 24 Governors are incentivized to send assets forward so that the next time an incident arises, they get assets sent to them. In peacetime, HRFs will work aggressively on regional planning and managing risk. The state emergency manager and the defense coordinating officer would be the appropriate individuals. Exercises also serve as a useful gauge for assessing readiness. He stated that there is not a single major CBRNE catastrophic event where he feels confident we are where we need to be. Celletti noted through his work with the National Guard and the exercises that he participates in, he feels confident with the HRFs and the FEMA regions. He then asked if we have enough CSTs. Stockton felt that we do. Lowenberg then asked whether or not making homeland defense a statutory responsibility of the DoD, as recommended by The Commission on The National Guard and Reserves, would be helpful. Stockton stated that he did not have an opinion on the question but stressed the need to balance responsibilities between the warfighting overseas and at home. He welcomed an opinion from the panel. Grizzle then discussed the lack of sharing of state plans with the federal government. He asked to whom the plans should submitted. Stockton responded that FEMA and DHS are in charge. They are in the lead at the federal level. DoD is in support of them and would be willing to help Secretary Napolitano build the plans they need at a state and local level. Nethercutt then asked the witness when he believes the nation will be ready for a CBRNE incident and asked if a recommendation from the Panel that offers a deadline would be helpful. Stockton responded that while deadlines can be helpful, our nation’s readiness depends on organizations besides the DoD. Moreover, one must be cautious about dictating timetables to the governors. Harrison then asked about whether planning for a truly massive incident is being handled at a level beyond merely scaling up an all hazards plan. Stockton responded by emphasizing that such a question underscores the need to maintain the momentum that was built through the Task Force for Emergency Readiness program. Wormuth noted that the interagency planning process continues to be improved and there is consistent dialogue with FEMA. Keating then asked about how the witness sees the HRF structure being compatible with the urban search and rescue activities undertaken by FEMA. Stockton emphasized that HRFs are in FEMA regions for a reason and leaders must leverage the co-location of the HRFs with the FEMA regional leaders. 25 Carafano then asked for the witness for his thoughts on the Missile Defense Agency model and then highlighted the homeland defense staff done through Ft. Leavenworth. Stockton appreciated the suggestions and noted that they intend to leverage the army center for lessons learned. The Chairman then asked about the nation’s capacity to absorb external foreign assistance, specifically citing Haiti. Stockton responded by saying that one of the lessons learned from Haiti is that we need manage our airspace to ensure that the massive flow of assistance does not become part of the problem. He also highlighted the MENUSTA model in Haiti as positive example of a response persevering in light of and almost total incapacitation of civil government. Reimer then asked the witness why he thought there is such a great struggle with unity of effort. Stockton stated that until the Council of Governors was stood up, they had no partner on the other side. And now, they can build consensus. He felt that the problem is imminently solvable. The discussion then concluded with Lowenberg, Carafano, and the witness further discussing the need to sustain the lessons learned from the Task Force for Emergency Readiness. The witness made a final point of thanking his staff and emphasizing that the panel’s recommendations will be listened to carefully. The Chairman then thanked the witness for his time. The Chairman then introduced Bill Carwile, FEMA Associate Administrator for Response and Recovery. Carwile’s opening remarks discussed the following major points: One of DHS’s largest partners is the DoD. DHS acknowledges that it will need some significant assistance from the DoD. This relationship is taken seriously, and he recently met with both Wormuth and Stockton There is an acknowledged need to have a DoD dialogue with DHS partners, especially in terms of pre-scripted mission assignments. These mission assignments should address extremely large challenges and should include the appropriate cost sharing structures. The real interface between DHS and DoD on DSCA operational matters occurs under provisions of the Stafford Act and with FEMA. 26 The Chairman thanked Carwile for his opening remarks and opened the floor for questions. Rees asked if the pre-scripted mission planning applies to truly large scale events. Carwile responded that their pre-scripted mission planning, does, in fact apply to truly large scale events. Harrison then asked about the lack of sharing of state plans with the National Guard Bureau. Specifically, he asked what the DHS is looking for in a plan from a state and what triggers states to share their plans. Carwile stated that DHS is putting out a catastrophic planning guide, but this process is augmented by allowing governors themselves to enter into an agreement with the FEMA that helps develop a disaster plan. The trigger ends up being the request from the governor under Stafford. Carafano then asked the witness if he knew of any individual in the government that has full visibility of all continuity of government plans. Carwile responded that he could not think of anyone, but suggested talking to Damon Penn, who was a former DCO in Florida and Mississippi who eventually entered government. Reimer asked if the witness felt the fifteen planning scenarios were satisfactory. Carwile responded that he felt the plans had been over-engineered. The National Security Council staff, including Richard Reed, is going to be rewriting HSPD-8, the directive which created the integrated planning system (IPS). Reimer then asked if the National Incident Management System and the National Response Framework are still useful. Carwile responded that while both are in use, there are still issues standardizing both pieces of equipment and standardizing procedures. Rees then asked the witness if he felt 30,000 people would be a sufficient number to respond to a truly catastrophic CBRNE incident. Carwile responded that he believed that such a figure would be in the ball park. He noted that he liked the HRF concept. Lowenberg then discussed benchmarks and the overall planning process. Carwile responded that much of their work involves generating requirements based planning using the process set forth in the Emergency Support Function Leadership Group. He hopes that the funding and the resourcing part of this will eventually work its way into the POM process. However, he acknowledged that they have not yet articulated to Congress what they are planning against. 27 Carafano followed up asking if at some point there would be a document from DHS that states the requirements for DoD for civil support that they could put into a POM. After some discussion, it was ultimately concluded that this is theoretically possible, but unlikely given the differing levels of planning among states. Carafano then asked about a potential 23,000 man gap between CBRNE forces such as CCRMFs and the 30,000 troops required to respond to an incident. He asked if DHS was working under the impression that this gap will be filled by general purpose forces. Carwile noted that DHS has not done any analysis on this question yet. Lowenberg and the witness then discussed biological incidents in the context of the Stafford Act. Carwile stated that he felt that it would be fair to assume that an invocation of the Stafford Act would happen quickly. Finally, Keating asked the witness to share his reflections and recommendations for the panel in the wake of Katrina, with particular attention paid to the private sector. In response, Carwile highlighted three items: Northrop Grumman has a significant presence in the U.S. Gulf Coast region, and the ability of the DHS to assist in Katrina was tied to their overall functionality. The government does not need to be involved in delivering food to people. The supermarkets already do this task quite effectively. The question then becomes how to best and most fairly incorporate such private institutions into operations without entangling the government in any legal complications. The government also needs to get visibility over what the private sector is doing as it stands back up so that it can get out of the way. On this note, a private sector office in FEMA has been stood up recently. Reimer and Carwile then discussed horizontal coordination and its importance in disaster response. The Chairman then thanked the witness for his time. 28 Following the testimony of Carwile, the Chairman invited the panel to continue its discussion of issues and research question that the report should potentially consider. The follow specific topics were discussed: What is the efficacy of giving a timeline or a deadline for readiness to Secretary Stockton? How can the planning process be improved? DHS appears to be on a requirements based system and DoD seems to be operating on a scenario based system. RAND will be relied upon to help answer this question. How should continuity of government be addressed in the event of a CBRNE incident? How should the private sector be leveraged, if at all, in the overall response? How should we create a repository of state and local plans in DoD? Should the Missile Defense Agency be considered as a model in the context of CBRNE incident response and DSCA? How do we define “catastrophic”? How do we define homeland defense and homeland security? Should distinctions even exist? The Chairman and the panel then thanked the RAND staff for their considerable and valuable efforts in supporting the meeting. He then asked the panel for any final research topics to pursue. The following issues were discussed: How will HRFs be used outside of the realm of CBRNE incidents? What is the role of the DoD in non-CBRNE incidents? How can lessons learned from Katrina be applied to the research agenda of the panel? How much of the responding force needs to be specialized forces and how much should be general purpose forces? The QDR assumes that the overwhelming number will be general purpose forces. Is that the right answer (i.e. should the majority be general purpose forces)? Following this discussion, Harrison asked if the panel will receive testimony from any witnesses from the Department of Health and Human Services at the June meeting. Wermuth responded that they would and that they will also host senior representatives from the Department of Justice and the Department of Energy. Reimer then asked about getting the FEMA Administrator. Wermuth stated that he believed getting such a witness would be possible and that a representative from 29 the Coast Guard was being considered as well. Finally, Nethercutt, Carafano, and Wermuth discussed getting representatives from the first responder community to meet with the panel. Carafano noted Steve McGraw of Texas as particularly good candidate. Wermuth asked the panel to relay any other recommendations for potential witnesses for the June meeting. The Chairman then asked if there was a motion to adjourn. On motion made and seconded, the panel stands in adjournment sine die, subject to the call of the chair. ADJOURN at 5pm EDT CERTIFIED AS CORRECT: ____________________________ Steve Abbot, Chairman ________________ Date 30