Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 Passengers’ Choice of LCC within MARs: A Case Study of Hong Kong and Shenzhen Airport Peter C WONG1 LCC has become a popular travel mode in recent decades, because as general perception, their main attraction to passengers is low airfares. This paper uses the AHP method to study the selection of LCC and airports in the PRD region. Field of research: Management: Supply Chain Management 1. Introduction The Low Cost Carrier (LCC) segment has grown rapidly and this growth has been coincident with the reform of many airports. Airports around the globe have carried out changes and new LCC terminals have been constructed – which specifically cater to the needs of LCC operators. Besides receiving strong support from most leisure travellers, LCC operators are also able to collaborate with many soft service providers – such as tour companies and travel groups, to increase passenger flow to airports. This is significant for some secondary airports because they were previously at the mercy of Full Service Carrier ( FSC ) operators. Some airports that are located close to other airports in multi-airport regions (MARs), such as the Pearl River Delta (PRD), face direct competition from a clearly-defined and established airport catchment area. Passengers within MARs have the choice of many airports and will base their decisions not only on total travel time and proximity but also other airport level-of-service (LOS) attributes. This paper will discuss the factors that affect the choices of LCC passengers in MARs. 2. Literature Review The potential passenger load carried by LCCs was greatly underestimated initially. Most FSC operators expected LCCs to operate in different market segments. However, with high service frequency and comparatively lower ticket prices, LCCs have gradually lured many business travellers away from using FSCs to their services. The LCC segment has grown rapidly and this growth has been coincident with many airports building terminals specifically catering to the needs of LCC operators. 1 Dr. Peter C WONG, Department of Logistics and Maritime Studies, Faculty of Business, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong. Email: peter.c.wong@polyu.edu.hk 1 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 Besides enjoying the support of most leisure travellers, LCC operators are also able to collaborate with many soft service providers – such as tour companies and travel groups, to draw additional passengers to their airports (Jarach 2005). In addition, LCCs also attract business travellers due to the high traffic density on their routes. This is significant for secondary airports because they were previously dependent on the FSC operators. Research on airline choice in past decades, including Proussaloglou and Koppelman (1995, 1999) and Yoo and Ashford (1996) indicates the main factors affecting choice are: carrier service, flight schedule and fare class. In addition, they also found factors such as trip purpose, origin and destination, scheduling of activities and timing of booking requests, vital in their studies. Ong and Tan (2010) suggest that consumer socio-demographics (ethnicity and education level) and behavioural choices (concerns over schedules and airfares, routes, booking methods and purpose of journey) are important determinants of airline choice. However, consumers do not separately choose an airline and an airport but rather choose among imperfect airline–airport substitutes. Secondly, the way passengers decide between airline and airport attributes depends on whether they travel for business or leisure purposes (Ishii et al 2009). Hess (2007) studies air travel behaviour by making use of Stated Preference (SP) data collection and the results retrieved from SP data show the importance of ground-level distance in airport-choice behaviour. Proussaloglou (1999) examines passengers’ choice model on air carrier, flight and fare class. This quantifies the trade-off between airfare, schedule and frequent flyer programs for business and leisure travellers. The results show that leisure travellers are more sensitive to airfare changes than business travellers, which is consistent with the results of other similar research. This research also quantified the value of the different service attributes of each air travellers’ group. The introduction of low fare carriers to a wide range of markets throughout various regions and the reduction of market information asymmetries between airlines and consumers are two of the most important changes in the aviation industry (Economist, 2005; Francis et al., 2004; Morrison, 2001; Vowles, 2000). As a result of these spatial asymmetries of information, the general mobility of the population and the ease with which fares and other travel options can be compared not only among competing airline service providers but also between alternate origin and destination airports, the study of airport choice, regional market areas, and market area leakage has taken on increased importance in the study of air transportation networks (Basar and Bhat, 2004; Fuellhart, 2003; Hess and Polak, 2005a,b; Suzuki et al., 2004). The area leakage of passengers (Suzuki and Audino 2003) will occur when travelers ‘‘avoid using the local airports in their regions, and use other (out-of-region) airports to take advantage of lower fares and more convenient airline services’’. Such substitution can obviously occur either in relation to the departure airport, destination airport, or sometimes even both. 2 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 Some airports that are located closel to other airports in multi-airport regions (MARs), such as the Pearl River Delta (PRD), face direct competition from a firmly established airport catchment area. Passengers within MARs can choose among different airports not only based on total travel time and proximity but also on the level-of-service (LOS) attached to that particular airport. The increased accessibility of an airport may increase its attractiveness and hence a bigger market share (Pels, Nijkamp & Rietveld 2000). This may lead to a redistribution of an airline’s traffic and airfare, as they can only increase their market share by adjusting the frequency and prices of their flights. This suggests that increased of airport accessibility may not greatly benefit all airlines. Pels et al (2001) analysed the sensitivity of access time and schedule frequency to the choice of airports in MAR and airlines. It is observed that passengers will generally accept a lower average flight frequency of an airport with a low fare. The low fare airlines can also encourage passengers to tolerate longer access time to the airports. Pels (2009) also analysed the LCC and airport competition in the Greater London area and observed that business travellers are more sensitive to frequency changes and that leisure travellers are more flexible when it comes to fares. Conversely, Fuellhart (2007) suggests that airports do not have much control over local transport connections, road networks, routings, ticket prices and use of type of aircraft etc. Passengers may become settled in their choices and stop checking for alternatives. In addition, an effective advertising campaign can attempt to appeal to passengers and help them recall choices that they may have forgotten. This may result in passengers reconsidering alternative airports around them. Access cost is less important than access time in the joint airport access mode choice ( Pels et al 2003). Business travellers are more sensitive to access time than leisure travellers and it plays a more important role in marginal decisions between airports for business travellers. Suzuki (2007) shows that travellers often choose airlines first in their decision making process, but do not eliminate airport options. In the choice of airlines and airports however, distance to final destinations may impact on the travellers’ decisions. Hence, a traveller tends to choose the airport that: (1) is close to home, and (2) has been used by the traveller in the past. Similarly, a traveller tends to choose the airline that: (1) offers lower fares, (2) provides frequent services to the traveller’s destination, and (3) the traveller is an ‘‘active’’ FFP member of. These results are consistent with those of previous airport and airline choice studies. 3. Methodology A group of passengers will be identified and invited to take part in this study. The key parameters collected from the literature will then be used to measure 3 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 the airport preference of passengers that are going to use LCCs through the use of the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The AHP developed by Saaty (Saaty, 1983) provides a powerful tool that can be used to make decisions in situations where multiple objectives are present. The main theme is the decomposition by hierarchies and synthesis by finding relations through informed judgment. Scholars such as Tsaur et al (2002), Liou and Tzeng (2006) and Park et al (2009) have conducted successful airline service related studies with the AHP method and they demonstrated that the AHP is a suitable method in both subjective and objective selections. The factors relating to carrier and airport selection are listed in table 1 after several focus groups were conducted. Table 1: Selection factors 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Airline Airfares Flight schedule Airport of origin Airport of destination Network Methods of ticket purchase (airline website, travel agents, online travel agents (ZUJI), company arranged) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Airport Time required to access the airport Cost of accessing the airport Total travel cost (Cost to access the airport, airport charges, airfare, extra surcharge) Choice of airlines Airline schedule Airport tax or passenger charge Airport experience The above factors were then made into a questionnaire and a survey was carried out. A particular location (Sheung Shui MTR station) was selected so that the choice of airport could be determined in a more rational manner ( see table 2). By BUS By Rail Table 2: Total Travel time ( minutes) HKG SZX 100 106 120 104 CAN 370 200 The three airports that are included in this study are Hong Kong International Airport (HKG), Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport (SZX) and Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (CAN). The flight-schedule information of the LCC operating in the airports, was collected ( Table 3). The data indicates that only Tiger Airways and Air Asia operate in all three airports. 4 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 Table 3: LCC operators at both airports Destination served Country City Airline HKG SZX CAN √ √ Singapore Singapore Tiger Airways √ Australia Perth Tiger Airways √ Philippine Manila Tiger Airways √ China Two Spring Airlines √ √ China Shanghai Juneyao Airlines √ √ Australia Three/two Air Asia √ √ Indonesia Four/two Air Asia √ √ Malaysia Three/two Air Asia √ √ New Zealand Christchurch Air Asia √ Thailand Two /Bangkok Air Asia √ Brunei Bandar Cebu Pacific √ Cambodia Siem Reap Cebu Pacific √ Philippines eight Cebu Pacific √ Malaysia two Cebu Pacific √ Macao Macao Cebu Pacific √ Japan Osaka Cebu Pacific √ Indonesia Jakarta Cebu Pacific √ China four Cebu Pacific √ Singapore Singapore Jetstar √ Australia seven Jetstar √ Cambodia Phnom Penh Jetstar √ China three Jetstar √ Indonesia four Jetstar √ Malaysia two Jetstar √ Myanmar Yangon Jetstar √ New Zealand two Jetstar √ Philippines Manila Jetstar √ Taiwan Taipei Jetstar √ Thailand two Jetstar √ √ √ √ 5 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 Vietnam Two Jetstar √ Philippines Cebu Airphil Express √ Korea two Jeju Air √ Korea Seoul Jin Air √ Sources: airport websites A group of Hong Kong travellers (mainly from my daytime and part time MSc/BBA students) were interviewed. The total number of interviews was 160 entries with 126 valid cases) and 64% of the valid cases were classified as leisure travelers as they travel with LCCs less than two times per year. The choices of Hong Kong travellers for this survey were mainly influenced by the ease and time required to cross the border. Air Asia Tigerair Table 4: Sample Airfares SZX - KUL CAN - KUL HKG - KUL SZX - SIN CAN - SIN HKG - SIN USD178 USD376 USD264 USD244 USD285 USD210 An online booking on these two airlines was carried as indicated in table 4. Meetings were set up with each group during the survey period. Interviewees were required to finalise and reach a unanimous decision of their choice. 4. Findings and analysis With all the parameters selected, an AHP diagram (Fig 1) was compiled to outline all the factors which came under consideration. Figure 1 AHP diagram 6 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 Each criterion was given a Likert scale of 5: Trivial; Unimportant; important; Very Important and Critical. After discussion, the leisure travellers group ranked each criterion according to the above scale. The result of airport selection for leisure travellers is as follows: Figure 2: Leisure Travellers preference The result of airport selection for business travellers is as follows: Figure 3: Business Travellers 7 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 Table 5: The Sensitivity weights for the airport Leisure Traveller Business Traveller Airline Airport Airline Airport SZX 0.254467 0.168422 0.157346 0.154529 CAN 0.149031 0.168798 0.145003 0.159129 HKG 0.0965025 0.16278 0.197651 0.186342 Table 5 clearly indicated for leisure travellers, the selection of airport is unimportant but the airfare was vital. In addition, the surface access of SZX airport was 1.78 times better than CAN airport. Business travellers, as expected, picked HKG airport as it provides a better schedule and higher frequency of service. 5. Summary and conclusion In this study, the selection of airline is confined to LCCs that serve all selected airports within the region, thus avoiding a complex process involving comparing parameters such as airline network, flight connection, flight schedule etc. as LCCs operate a point-to-point service. The location of home/office was chosen so that it takes more or less the same time to access both SZX and HKG. A different location may have yielded different results. This study only covers the travel behaviour of Hong Kong residents, as it is easier for them to cross the border between Shenzhen and Hong Kong. The time required to cross the border is short and thus aggregate surface access times were not affected. If mainland residents were to be included, then the time taken for them to cross the border would invariably be longer due to complex customs and immigration regulations. The study indicates that surface access was one of the major factors within an MAR in selecting the airport as CAN was not considered in both LT and BT sectors. For leisure travellers, airfares was a vital factor so they chose SZX for their trip. In the case of Tigerair, the selection of SZX may have been due to the departure time of their flight. Business travellers with a wider choice picked HKG as there are more flight departures than SZX and CAN. There are some areas for further study such as why Tigerair has a USD70 difference for HKG and CAN airports and why Air Asia has an airfare difference of USD198 between SZX and CAN. 8 Proceedings of 4th Global Business and Finance Research Conference 25 - 27 May 2015, Marriott Hotel, Melbourne, Australia ISBN: 978-1-922069-76-4 References Basar, G., Bhat, C., 2004. A parameterized consideration set model for airport choice: an application to the San Francisco Bay area. Transportation Research Part B 38, 889–904. 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