Educational Space Quantification & Facilities Master Plan Victor Valley College Victor Valley College Community College District Victor Valley Community College District Educational Space Quantification & Facilities Master Plan EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES Master PLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents Chapter 1 – Introduction Chapter 2 – Methodology Chapter 3 – Environmental Scan The External Environment of the College The District in Context to Immediate Environment .......................................3-3 The District in Context to the Region..............................................................3-12 The District in Context to the State..................................................................3-21 The Internal Environment of the College Analysis by Zip Codes ........................................................................................3-28 Student Participation Rates ................................................................................3-29 Overview of District’s Effective Service Area ................................................3-35 Age Distribution Analysis (Student Demographics) ......................................3-36 Chapter 4 – A Vision for the Future Growth Projections......................................................................................................4-1 Snapshot of Current Program of Instruction.........................................................4-12 Current Profile .....................................................................................................4-13 Analysis of Key Factors ......................................................................................4-15 Current Enrollment Characteristics and Trends.............................................4-19 Forecast for Future Program of Instruction ..........................................................4-20 The Determination of Space Capacity ....................................................................4-25 Space Utilization and Planning Standards........................................................4-26 Current Campus Inventory ................................................................................4-30 Projected Space Requirements in the Years 2010 and 2020 .........................4-31 i Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES Master PLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS Chapter 5 – Proposed Facilities Building Plan Facility Planning Assumptions ...................................................................................5-1 Existing Facilities Conditions and Current Plans ....................................................5-4 Assessment of Key Facility Planning Elements.......................................................5-8 Facilities Master Plan Issues......................................................................................5-18 Proposed Projects.......................................................................................................5-25 Chapter 6 – A Recommended Plan of Action Responsiveness to the Service Area...........................................................................6-1 Growth of the Student Body ......................................................................................6-4 Delivery of the Program of Instruction ....................................................................6-8 The Incorporation and Use of Technology............................................................6-11 Curricular Offerings of the Institution....................................................................6-14 Support Services of the Institution ..........................................................................6-17 Human Capacity of the Institution ..........................................................................6-21 Support of the Physical Plant ...................................................................................6-23 Facilities of the Institution ........................................................................................6-26 The Business of Education .......................................................................................6-29 The Importance of Off-Campus Programs............................................................6-32 Epilogue.......................................................................................................................6-34 ii Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES Master PLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS Index of Charts Chapter 3 – Environmental Scan Key Cities for Student Enrollment ............................................................................3-3 San Bernardino County – Relative Change in Labor Force.................................3-12 San Bernardino County – Relative Change in Unemployment Rate ..................3-13 San Bernardino County – Employment by Industry ............................................3-15 Key Nonfarm Industrial Divisions – Growth Through 2006 .............................3-17 Credit Enrollment History ........................................................................................3-27 College Site Map .........................................................................................................3-32 Service Area Demographic and Income Profile ....................................................3-33 Student Demographics Gender Profile......................................................................................................3-37 Enrollment By Age..............................................................................................3-38 Ethnic Trends ......................................................................................................3-39 Full Time/Part Time Enrollment .....................................................................3-40 Units Earned ........................................................................................................3-41 Degrees and Certificates .....................................................................................3-42 Chapter 4 – A Vision for the Future Student Participation Rates to Meet Enrollment Projections................................4-3 Enrollment Growth Rate Forecast ..........................................................................4-10 Credit WSCH Projections .........................................................................................4-11 Credit Enrollment Trends.........................................................................................4-19 iii Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES Master PLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS Index of Tables Chapter 3 – Environmental Scan Demographic Markers of the Key Cities of the District Victorville................................................................................................................3-4 Apple Valley ...........................................................................................................3-5 Hesperia ..................................................................................................................3-6 Adelanto..................................................................................................................3-6 Phelan ......................................................................................................................3-7 Lucerne Valley........................................................................................................3-8 Projected Population Growth Rates........................................................................3-11 Demographic Markers for San Bernardino County ..............................................3-14 Labor Force Data for Key Cities..............................................................................3-16 Occupations Growth Trends....................................................................................3-17 Major Employers of San Bernardino County.........................................................3-19 Key Counties for growth in State of California .....................................................3-22 California Labor Data ................................................................................................3-23 Wage and Salary Employment Forecast..................................................................3-24 Service Area Data Historical Enrollment by City / Zip Code Areas ...........................................3-28 Student Participation Rates ................................................................................3-30 Service Area Demographic and Income Profile .............................................3-33 Age Distribution of Service Area ......................................................................3-36 Student Ethnic Distribution .....................................................................................3-39 Chapter 4 – A Vision for the Future Instructional Disciplines by TOPS Code................................................................4-12 Current Profile (Fall 2002) WSCH AND FTES Productivity 2002 ............................................................4-13 Lecture/Lab WSCH Ratios vs. State Averages...............................................4-14 Lecture/Lab WSCH 2002 ..................................................................................4-15 Seat Count Analysis Comparison......................................................................4-16 WSCH per Section ..............................................................................................4-17 WSCH per FTEF.................................................................................................4-18 iv Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES Master PLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS Forecast for 2010 and 2020 WSCH and FTES Profile 2010..........................................................................4-21 WSCH and FTES Profile 2020..........................................................................4-22 Lecture/Lab WSCH 2010 ..................................................................................4-23 Lecture/Lab WSCH 2020 ..................................................................................4-24 Determination of Space Capacity Standard Space Categories..................................................................................4-26 Prescribed Space Standards................................................................................4-27 State Laboratory Space Allocations ..................................................................4-27 FTEF Worksheet.................................................................................................4-28 Non-State Space Standards ................................................................................4-29 Facilities Inventory 2002 ...........................................................................................4-30 Space Needs Projections Space Requirements 2010 by TOPS Code.......................................................4-31 Space Requirements 2020 by TOPS Code.......................................................4-32 Space Requirements 2010 by Space Category .................................................4-33 Space Requirements 2020 by Space Category .................................................4-34 Off-Campus Educational Center Space Requirements 2010 ........................4-35 Chapter 5 – Proposed Facilities/Building Plan Current Building Analysis............................................................................................5-5 Current Scheduled Maintenance Program................................................................5-6 Five Year Capital Construction Program..................................................................5-7 Space Allotment Based on Current Program on Instruction...............................5-16 Current Facility Inventory as Compared to Need .................................................5-17 v Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES Introduction EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION & OVERVIEW INTRODUCTION Purpose of the Master Plan The purpose of the 2003 Victor Valley Community College District’s Educational Space Quantification and Facilities Master Plan (Master Plan or Plan) is to provide a foundation upon which the instructional and support service facility needs of the district can be addressed and met over the next eighteen years. Upon review and final approval, the Master Plan will provide guidelines for decision-making and action. It will also facilitate the development of other plans for the district, including capital expenditures, technology, personnel and those of a budgetary and/or fiscal nature. The Master Plan is designed to augment the Victor Valley College Educational Plan, a plan that is being generated by faculty and staff of the district. In the larger perspective, the Master Plan should be considered as a dynamic and flexible document to be reviewed each year as new educational trends emerge and the needs of students evolve. Incorporated in this logic should be the understanding that institutional change takes time; some components of the Master Plan may become outdated or superseded before action can occur. Recommendations for action contained herein should be reviewed annually for relevancy and/or possible modification. The success of the Master Plan will depend on a district-wide commitment to its implementation. Through the consultative and participatory process, it is up to the district constituency to develop the details that will lead to its actualization. Planning Criteria The overall master planning effort was based upon a range of relevant planning criteria. These criteria were developed in conjunction with the Victor Valley College and validated through both 1-1 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION formal and informal on-campus visits and interviews with faculty, staff, administration and students. For further validation, the master plan consultant team conducted extensive analysis relative to the instructional program, the instructional delivery system and student support services. Broken down to its simplest form, the criteria was derived from answers to the following questions: Who are the students that attend Victor Valley College? What needs do they have? Does the Victor Valley Community College District effectively serve the needs of its service area population? Is the current program of curricular offerings adequate in meeting the needs of the service area? Is the existing instructional delivery system adequate? Do student support services adequately strengthen the instructional program of the district? What are the faculty and staff needs - currently and in the future? What is the current and projected external and internal environment of the college? What opportunities and challenges will there be in the future? What are the space/facility requirements for the current and projected instructional program and for student support services? What changes will need to be made to accommodate the enrollment demands of the future? Objectives of the Master Plan The objectives of the educational master plan are as follows: To anticipate courses, programs and services of the district for the next two decades. To produce a Master Plan that is flexible enough in design to accommodate changes in instructional methodology, technology and delivery systems. To encourage the delivery of a balanced community college curriculum providing transfer education, occupational certificates and basic skills/developmental assistance. 1-2 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION To maximize the efficiency and productivity of the instructional program, moving its key components closer to established statewide standards. To project assignable square feet and facility needs for the district to the year 2020 or when credit-WSCH generation reaches 217,390. To determine a facilities plan and master building schedule. To provide a document that will serve as a decision-making tool and reference for the future. Overview The District Service Area Victor Valley College is located in the High Desert region of southern California in the Victor Valley on the north side of the San Gabriel Mountains. The college is located in district boundaries that cover an area of some 2,200 square miles. It is centrally located near the three major cites it serves Victorville, Hesperia, and Apple Valley. The District also includes the towns of Phelan, Lucerne Valley, Adelanto, and Wrightwood. Organizational Structure of the District A five-member Board of Trustees elected by the voters governs the Victor Valley College Community District. The Board of Trustees sets overall standards and academic policies for the college and guides the development of instructional programs and policies. Policies set by the board are implemented on a day-to-day basis by the superintendent/president and a well-trained group of administrators, faculty and staff. The district’s Board of Trustees is under the advisory supervision of the California Board of Governors, an agency that oversees higher education in California. The Board of Trustees is responsible for budgeting funds received from state and local districts for the benefit of the college and its student body. 1-3 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION History of Victor Valley College The Victor Valley Community College District was created by a vote of the public in 1960, when voters enthusiastically approved the creation of a new community college district to educate local students. For more than 40 years, the history of the college has been entwined with the rich heritage and history of the High Desert and its people. The district serves one of the largest geographical areas in the state. It is an area that has roots going back to more than a hundred years ago, when it was settled by California gold miners, trappers, ranchers, merchants and railroad men. Within the Inland Empire, the boundaries of Victorville itself, site of the college and the commercial hub of the High Desert area, was originally a trading post. Victorville’s first European inhabitants were merchants who provided a stream of railroaders, farmers and miners with the necessities of life such as ammunition, postal service and provisions. The college has at its core the fundamental elements and history of the California community college movement, which began around 1910. The first classes at the college were held in 1961 on the campus of Victor Valley High School. This effort included a small student body of only 500 students and a 15-member faculty and staff. Construction began on the present campus in 1963, on the site of what was once a sprawling 230acre ranch. In 1965, the new Victor Valley College campus opened its doors to students. An expanded technical complex was opened in 1979. In 1981, the Performing Arts Center was opened for use to both students of the college and the community. A new Allied Health building opened in 1983. In 1988, the Student Services Building was added to the campus complex. The campus has changed considerably over the past five years. New construction has resulted in a new Gymnasium as well as buildings for Science, Library/LRC, Construction Technology, and Student Activities Center. The old library has been remodeled into an academic commons housing a learning center for tutoring, Business Education Technology (BET) and Computer Information Services (CIS) classrooms and faculty offices. Two former classroom buildings have been remodeled and transformed into student services buildings providing improved access and convenience. Construction of a new Child Development Center also became a reality during this period. It serves a growing pre-school population from the service area. In addition to new buildings, the district has added new soccer fields for use by both the college and the community. 1-4 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION In addition, an elevator connecting the lower and upper campus, parking lots, and tennis courts have been added to the campus. Today, the college provides excellent post secondary educational opportunities for a service area in excess of nearly 300,000 residents. It is regarded as modern and contemporary in it academic program and instructional approach today. It serves a current-day enrollment of more than 13,000 students and is fully certified by the Accrediting Commission for Community and Junior Colleges of the Western Associations of Schools and Colleges. Students attending Victor Valley College do so for transfer to four-year colleges or universities, to complete a particular program of study leading to a two-year degree or to gain skills in an occupational field of study. The composition of the student body includes recent high school graduates, adults, single parents, students with disabilities, individuals returning to college to upgrade their skills and life-long learners. There are students who possess a strong academic background as well as students who are in need of remedial education. Students who successfully complete the requirements for graduation are awarded either an Associate in Arts or Associate in Science Degree. Students who complete the requirements for selected occupational programs receive appropriate certifications. Courses at the college are primarily offered on a traditional 18-week semester basis - both fall and spring. A summer program of study is also available. Additionally, the instructional delivery system includes intensive short-term classes, open-entry/open-exit programs, evening and weekend classes and courses offered via a distance education format. The college has three principle schools of study: Humanities and Social Sciences, Business and Vocational Programs and Mathematics and Science. Student Services and Institutional Services provide additional support. Support service assistance includes resources in career planning, job placement, financial aid, childcare and housing and transportation. Pedagogically, Victor Valley’s approach to instruction is predicated on a close relationship between instructor and student. In addition to its student-centered approach to instruction, college staff is committed to a strong program of support services that are designed to help students succeed in their academic experience. A variety of facilities support the academic mission of the college. 1-5 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION Philosophy and Mission Statement The philosophy and mission of the Victor Valley Community College District is articulated in the paragraph below: “Victor Valley Community College District should be accessible to all people in the community who seek growth and can benefit from its programs, courses, and activities. The College’s educational, civic, social and cultural programs will be designed to meet the needs of individual students and the community as a whole. We at Victor Valley College are committed to excellence in educational programs and services that are accessible to a diverse student population. We will continue to be an educational leader by striving for instructional excellence, being responsive to the needs of the community, and providing a nurturing learning environment. Our guiding beliefs are: · Students are our top priority; · Students learn better in a nurturing environment; · Learning enhances the quality of life; · Learning is lifelong; · A commitment to holistic academic excellence is essential; · Respect, responsibility, and integrity are the foundation of a quality educational environment; · Quality education is essential to participation in a free society; · Cultural and ethnic diversity enriches learning and educational development; · The faculty, staff, administration, and students are a synergetic educational team; · Every individual is both a teacher and a learner; · Everything we do impacts the quality of our institution; · Effective communication is essential for a quality educational environment; · Responsibilities go hand-in-hand with rights; · · · The college and the community are inter-dependent, each bringing unique contributions to the other; Individuals have the opportunity to pursue their educational goals without barriers or discrimination; The ability to change in response to the rapid advancements of our society is essential.” 1-6 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES Methodology EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 2 - METHODOLOGY CHAPTER 2 – METHODOLOGY The Process The master planning process focused on future trends, needs, and sensitivities influencing the longrange development of the district. Because this Master Plan will drive other key plans of the district, it was also developed with sensitivity to the guidelines established by the California Community College Chancellor’s Office. The master-planning document, therefore, can be utilized in the process of applying for state funds from the capital outlay program for facilities. In this regard, the documentation presented herein is designed to accomplish the following: · Be a reflection of the thoughts and observations of students, faculty, administration, and classified staff members. · Serve as guiding document for the future that will lead to the development and implementation of action measures for the district. · Drive the other planning documents of the district. · Support the development of substantive links between the educational program and the support service needs. · Utilize the knowledge gained through the educational planning process to define the district’s facility needs. · Improve the district’s position with state agencies and the state legislature so that a greater share of funds available for the improvement of public higher education can be directed to the college. · Be collaborative and promote wide participation in the process of determining definitive directions for the future of the district and the community it serves. 2-1 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 2 - METHODOLOGY Faculty and Staff Input The consultant team conducted interviewed college representatives to determine perceived needs, goals and objectives. Administrators, deans, directors, faculty, student services staff, and students were queried as part of the process. These perspectives were considered in the development of the goals and strategies described in Chapter 6. They were also referenced in forecasting curricular growth over the next eighteen years. The extent to which this Master Plan provides a sense of vision and a guide for multi-year planning for programs, services and facilities is a tribute to, and the result of, the contributions of many individuals and educational groups. Underpinnings of the Planning Process The foundation for the planning process was built on the district’s current and projected internal and external environments. Elements that represented possible opportunities and/or challenges were identified and addressed in the context of the district’s future instructional program. Impacts at the local, regional and statewide levels were considered in this analysis. The planning process also included an analysis of data associated with student enrollments and the academic capacity of the district. Conclusions were drawn based on this information and on the initiatives outlined for the future. A primary objective of the master planning process was to unite the trends, analysis, and concepts articulated by the college with quantifiable measures and state standards used as benchmarks for productivity and efficiency. Planning Activities Utilized The development of the master plan included the following activities: A review of the history and evolution of the college An environmental assessment (“environmental scan”) to consider the present and anticipated impacts both within and outside the district’s service area The development of a “vision for the future” via qualitative and quantitative analysis, focusing on creating educational programs and services for the future 2-2 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 2 - METHODOLOGY The development of growth and enrollment estimates extending to the year 2020. A review to assure that access and overall success of under-prepared and underrepresented groups within the community were considered in the planning process An assessment of the technological improvements that will be needed to provide alternative instructional delivery strategies, improved record-keeping and record access, and more responsive information systems for human resources and business services. An evaluation of current and projected facility needs to support growth and innovation in instruction. The planning process also relied heavily on input provided by many groups and individuals associated with the academic programs and support services of the district. These included: o College administrators o Division deans, directors and coordinators o Faculty o Student services staff o Facilities and maintenance staff o Students o Municipalities and other public and private agencies within the Victor Valley Community College District service area and San Bernardino County The results and findings from these inputs provided the foundation upon which the Master Plan was constructed. The Master Plan is presented with the intent that it will serve as a blueprint for the district over the next ten years. 2-3 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 2 - METHODOLOGY 2-4 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES Environmental Scan EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN EXTERNAL/INTERNAL CONDITION OF THE COLLEGE Overview The Environmental Scan is one of the key elements in the creation of the educational master plan. The scan assists in validating (or invalidating) the current thinking of the district as well as tests the projected concepts and ideas that will dictate the district’s program of instruction for the future. Information gleaned through the Environmental Scan also provides insight as to the opportunities and/or challenges that currently exist and identifies those that may affect the district in the future. The following agencies, boards, and commissions were consulted or referenced as part of the Environmental Scan process: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Census U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis National Bureau of Economic Research U.S. Department of Labor California Department of Finance, Economic Research Unit (California) State Board of Equalization California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division California Community College Chancellor’s Office California Post-Secondary Education Commission 3-1 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Additional information was gathered from the following sources: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems The Outlook for the California Economy – 2001 (publications) Southern California Edison Verizon On-campus interviews with college administrators, faculty and staff Interviews with students Victor Valley Community College District City of Victorville City of Hesperia City of Adelanto Community of Apple Valley Victor Valley Transit Authority The Maas Companies database (data from 74 community colleges within California) 3-2 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN The External Environment of the College Resources, trends and conditions within its immediate service area as well as trends and conditions that are regional and statewide in scope will influence the future of the district. Combined, these factors will have a direct bearing on the district’s evolving program of instruction and support services. The external factors and considerations that follow were considered to be important and/or significant in their potential to have an impact on the district over time. I. THE DISTRICT IN CONTEXT TO IMMEDIATE ENVIRONMENT A. Key Cities of the District Six key cities/towns are responsible for the majority of student enrollments within the district. These key cities, Victorville, Apple Valley, Hesperia, Adelanto, Phelan and Lucerne Valley, have averaged 77.9% of the total district credit enrollments over the past seven years. Of the six localities, the city of Victorville generated the greatest percentage of students over this time period, accounting for 25.2% of all enrollments. The chart that follows provides a graphic illustration of enrollment generation relative to these key cities. Chart 3.1 Key Cities for Student Enrollment 7 Year Average (1996 - 2002) Other 22.1% Victorville 25.2% Lucerne Valley 1.4% Phelan 1.6% Adelanto 4.1% Hesperia 22.8% Apple Valley 22.9% Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; analysis by Maas Companies 3-3 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Using baseline demographic markers as a basis for comparison, the following is a profile of these six key cities and towns: City of Victorville The city of Victorville is located in the high desert, 60 miles north east of Los Angeles and has a 2003 population of 70,632. Like all of the key cities and towns, Victorville boasts more than 350 days of sunshine per year. The city is growing very rapidly, 2.56% versus the state’s rate of 1.5%. The median household income of $39,536 is 24.5% below that of the state. Today, Victorville’s single most important industry is cement manufacturing. In 1926, U.S. Route 66 was established, which was one of the main arteries of the National Highway System linking Chicago, Illinois, with California. A portion of this famous highway provided a transportation corridor through Victorville, which was the principal route to and from the city until Interstate 15 was constructed. The city’s population of 70,632 is predominantly Caucasian (57.2%) and Hispanic (37.6%). Mirroring the statewide trend, the Caucasian population is falling and the Hispanic Population is rising, in relative proportions to the overall population. Table 3.1 VICTORVILLE - KEY DEMOGRAPHIC MARKERS AREA POP City of Victorville 70,632 GROWTH AGE 2.56% 31.1 HH $ PER CAP $ DOM. RACES $39,536 $15,709 Caucasian 57.2% Hispanic* 37.6% Black 12.4% Data Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Statistics are for 2003 *Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race City of Apple Valley The Town of Apple Valley is located in the heart of the Victor Valley, at an elevation of 3,000 feet. Apple Valley is 80 miles northeast of the Los Angeles metropolitan area, 150 miles north of San 3-4 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Diego, and 190 miles south of Las Vegas. Apple Valley is perhaps best known as the home of Dale Evans and the late Roy Rogers. Apple Valley is slightly more affluent than Victorville but still below the state averages. Median household income is $44,066, a mark that is 15.8% below the state level. The population of 58,411 is predominantly Caucasian (73.2%) and is outpacing the state, growing at 2.18% annually. By 2008, the Caucasian population is projected to fall to 68.1% while the Hispanic population will rise to 26.7% of the overall population of the city. Table 3.2 APPLE VALLEY – KEY DEMOGRAPHIC MARKERS AREA Apple Valley POP 58,411 GROWTH AGE 2.18% 36.7 HH $ $44,066 PER CAP $ $19,754 DOM. RACES Caucasian 73.2% Hispanic* 21.6% Black 8.6% Data Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Statistics are for 2003 *Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race City of Hesperia The City Of Hesperia is just to the south of Victorville and Apple Valley. Hesperia is at an elevation of 3,250 feet at the intersection of I-15 and U.S. 395. The history of Hesperia is the history of the American West. Native Americans were likely the first to settle in the area. They were referenced in records as "Mohahve" Indians, probably a phonetic alternative spelling of Mojave. Their territory extended from the Colorado River on the east to the Tehachapi Mountains on the west, Death Valley on the north, and the San Bernardino Mountains on the south. Evidence suggests that their tribal headquarters was in close proximity to the headwaters of the Mojave River along the riverbank in a southeast section of what, today, is Hesperia. The city is predominantly Caucasian (70.5%) with a large Hispanic population as well (34.1%). As with Victorville and Apple Valley, Hesperia’s rapidly growing population of 66,266 is of modest means with median income of $43,229, 17.5% below the state average as a whole. 3-5 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.3 HESPERIA - KEY DEMOGRAPHIC MARKERS AREA City of Hesperia POP 66,266 GROWTH AGE 1.91% 32.7 HH $ $43,229 PER CAP $ DOM. RACES $16,989 Caucasian 70.5% Hispanic* 34.1% Black 4.3% Data Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Statistics are for 2003 *Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race City of Adelanto Just to the northwest of Victorville is the small town of Adelanto with a population of approximately 19,836. This High Desert town is growing very rapidly (2.37% annually) due to an expanding business climate and new homes being built in the area. Another reason for this growth is the Southern California Logistics Airport. Formerly George Air Force Base, this 5,000-acre business complex integrates manufacturing, industrial and office facilities with a dedicated international all-cargo airport. The town’s population is projected reach 22,300 by 2008. Adelanto has the lowest per capita income of the six key cities and towns. At $11,223 the town is 40% below the level for San Bernardino County and 56.9% below that of the state. The population of 19,836 is almost equally divided between Hispanic and Caucasian. By 2008, the Hispanic population will be predominant at 56.6% of the population versus 40.8% Caucasian. Table 3.4 ADELANTO - KEY DEMOGRAPHIC MARKERS AREA POP GROWTH AGE HH $ PER CAP $ DOM. RACES City of Adelanto 19,836 2.37% 27.1 $33,819 $11,223 Hispanic* 50.0% Caucasian 46.8% Black 13.0% Data Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Statistics are for 2003 *Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race 3-6 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Town of Phelan Spread across the desert foothills of the eastern San Gabriel Mountains, between elevations of 3,000 and 4,000 feet, is Phelan, an unincorporated San Bernardino County community. They call Phelan, “The Land of Champagne Climate”, referring to the average of more than 350 sunny days per year. The rugged San Gabriel Mountains provide a dramatic backdrop for the town. El Mirage Dry Lake and the Shadow Mountains lie at the northern edge of the valley. This town of 13,417 persons is the most affluent of the key cities and towns with a median household income of more than $47,000. The town’s population is predominantly Caucasian (76.7%) with a large Hispanic population (24.2%). By 2008, the Caucasian population is forecasted fall to 71.3% and the Hispanic population will grow to 30.5% of the overall population. Table 3.5 PHELAN - KEY DEMOGRAPHIC MARKERS AREA POP GROWTH AGE HH $ PER CAP $ DOM. RACES Phelan 13,417 2.16% 37.4 $47,266 $18,069 Caucasian 76.7% Hispanic* 24.2% Black 2.4% Data Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Statistics are for 2003 *Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race Town of Lucerne Lucerne is a small town, 10 miles east of Apple Valley. The population of 2,968 is growing at a modest rate of 1.36%. Its current median age is 50.1 years, suggesting a considerably older (retirement-based) population than the other key cities and towns of the service area. Placed in perspective, the median age is almost 20 years higher than the state average. Lucerne Valley is predominantly Caucasian (87.4%). It has a median household income of $26,557, the lowest of all of the key cities and towns and only half that of the state. 3-7 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.6 LUCERNE VALLEY - KEY DEMOGRAPHIC MARKERS AREA POP GROWTH AGE HH $ PER CAP $ DOM. RACES Lucerne Valley 2,968 1.36% 50.1 $26,557 $15,863 Caucasian 87.4% Hispanic* 9.2% Native Amer. 3.5% Black 1.8% Data Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Statistics are for 2003 *Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race B. Support Infrastructure and Key Environmental Elements Water, Sewer and Storm Drainage A good portion of the water, sewer and storm drainage systems on campus are rated as old and in need of upgrading. Recent, new construction has addressed some of these needed upgrades but much of the campus still operates with infrastructure that is forty years old. Potable water is supplied to campus by the San Bernardino County water system. The distribution systems within campus are over 40 years old with some sections and parts in need of major improvements or replacement. The sprinkler system has been upgraded recently but still requires renovation in some buildings. Sewer hookups are put in by the district and then turned over to the county for maintenance. Much of the sewer infrastructure has not been changed since the college’s origin in the early 1960’s. In some cases, clay pipes are still used to move discharged sewerage from the campus. Replacement will be required in the next five to ten years. The campus has some major storm drainage problems. Runoff from the highway adjacent to campus floods the college parking lots and eventually makes it way into lake located on the upper campus. Flooded lots are unusable and create an undue inconvenience for the students. Three areas of the campus, along Bear Valley Road, near parking lot five are particularly problematic and will require major attention. Flooding is also responsible for a great deal of hillside erosion form the upper campus to lower campus. Inadequate storm drainage may be a limiting factor to growth at the college in the future. 3-8 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Electric, Gas and Telecommunications Southern California Edison provides electric service to the campus. This external “source and distribution” system is projected to remain adequate into the future. On-campus, however, the 12,000-volt service provided is reduced and distributed through 40-year-old conduit to the individual buildings. Some of the high-voltage lines, redistribution panels and older transformers on campus have been replaced but much of the conduit and cabling underground will need considerable upgrading in the near future. Southwest Gas provides gas service to the campus. The main trunk into campus is relatively new. However, within the campus distribution system, there is quite a bit of old metal piping. Many valves are original to the campus, some are buried in the ground. These will need replacing. Four years ago, many buried regulators were replaced and made accessible. Parts of the gas distribution system may need some upgrading and/or replacement to accommodate future growth at the campus. Verizon provides telecommunications service to the campus. The internal phone system is a PBX system that is so old that system upgrades are no longer available. The district has made the decision to convert to a new system. The copper wires in the ground will be abandoned and replaced with new fiber optic lines, much of which has already been installed for the campus’ computer networking system. The $1 million telecommunications upgrade will give the campus a state-of-the-art system that will allow it to support significant growth. Other Key Support Infrastructure Many of the HVAC systems on campus need to be replaced. There is currently a central plant system that serves five buildings on campus. This system has relatively new motors, pumps and delivery systems and can be expected to perform adequately for many more years. There are several other buildings however, that are on individual, very old, direct exchange systems that will require upgrading in the near term. There are a few buildings whose HVAC systems seem to be on their last legs. Significant projected growth in the coming years will place additional demands on these inadequate systems. If not addressed, this could be a limiting factor to growth. Currently, there are several parking lots that require major resurfacing work. Through exposure to the sun, extreme temperatures and flooding, these lots have become damaged. About half of the 3-9 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN campus roads and parking lots require attention to varying degrees. Safe, convenient parking has a dramatic impact on students’ and faculty’s experience of a campus. If not addressed, substandard parking lots will limit the college’s ability to grow. Outdoor lighting in the parking lots and on the outsides of the buildings is old and in need of replacement, especially in the older parts of campus. Electrical wiring to the parking lots is, in many cases, antiquated and also in need of replacement. There are currently only 6 or 7 outdoor security cameras on the entire campus. They only cover limited parts of three parking lots. There are no emergency phones in the parking lots or in the other outdoor areas of the campus. These are important issues to address, but do not, at present, rise to the level of limiting future enrollment growth. C. Transportation and Access The college is located in the high desert, 60 miles northeast of Los Angeles, 44 miles North of Ontario Airport. For ground transportation, Interstate 15 passes within 4 miles of campus. The campus is further served by the major arterial of Bear Valley Road. The majority of access to the campus is by automobile, with a smaller number of students accessing campus by public transportation and fewer still by foot or bicycle. This makes parking a critical issue for the college. There are more than 20 parking lots on campus. Parking seems to be adequate at present on the lower campus but more will be needed on the upper campus. As the campus undergoes expansion and new construction over the next ten to fifteen to twenty years, the district will need to redefine its overall parking plans and strategies, making them part of the overall traffic, pedestrian and landscaping flow for the campus. The Victor Valley area has a large and comprehensive public transportation system. The Victor Valley Transit Authority (VVTA) runs fixed-route bus service throughout the Victorville, Adelanto, Hesperia, Apple Valley and Lucerne Valley areas. Service to Phelan was discontinued. Four of the routes in the system stop at the college. Overall ridership on the fixed route system is 75,000 riders per month, with students (all grade levels including college) comprising almost half of the total. VVTA also offers commuter service to San Bernardino, Rancho Cucamonga and Ontario. These routes offer convenient tie-ins to other transportation systems including Amtrak and Metrolink. A 3-10 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN current Mojave Desert Air Quality Management District grant temporarily reduces fares on the commuter lines by half. This is a six-month program. D. Seismic Stability The college is located within an active seismic area. This will be a factor in the future for the District. New construction/reconstruction and infrastructure will need to be planned accordingly. E. Prospects for Growth Within the Immediate Environment The District serves several geographic areas that include mostly small cities and towns in the Victor Valley Corridor. The prospects for new growth in the future are excellent. San Bernardino County is one of the fastest growing counties in the nation. Key cities and towns within the district currently have annual growth rates that range between 1.36% (Lucerne Valley) to 2.56% (Victorville). Of the six key cities and towns, all but one, Lucerne Valley, are growing faster than the state of California. Victorville, Hesperia and Apple Valley will continue to be the source for the greatest population growth in terms of actual raw numbers. The district will be impacted by new development throughout its boundaries but particularly those areas that are considered to be more urban, i.e. where services to accommodate new growth already exist. Population increase and new development will be significant factors relative to the district’s capacity for enrollment growth in the future. Table 3.7 PROJECTED RATES OF GROWTH THROUGH 2006 ENTITY Key In-District Cities Victorville Apple Valley Hesperia Adelanto Phelan Lucerne Valley San Bernardino County State of California United States POP GROWTH HH GROWTH FAM GROWTH 2.56% 2.18% 1.91% 2.37% 2.16% 1.36% 2.46% 2.20% 1.85% 2.28% 2.12% 1.44% 2.46% 2.06% 1.77% 2.28% 2.04% 1.11% 2.0% 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 1.2% 1.1% Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems, analysis Maas Companies 3-11 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN II. THE DISTRICT IN CONTEXT TO THE REGION Regional Perspective – San Bernardino County San Bernardino County was created in 1853 as one of California’s original twenty-seven counties. The county takes its name from the San Bernardino Mountains, named by Spanish explorers for their patron saint of mountain passes, Saint Bernard. The county encompasses more than 20,000 square miles, 90% desert, making it the largest county in the nation. It is home to Death Valley National Monument, Joshua Tree National Monument, and the San Bernardino National Forest. Along with Riverside County to the south, these two counties comprise what is commonly known as the Inland Empire, one of the fastest growing metropolitan regions in the nation. The current population of 1.8 million is projected to grow to more than 2.8 million residents by 2020. Victor Valley Community College District boundaries, i.e. 2,200 square miles, are located entirely within the San Bernardino County borders. Labor Force of the County Chart 3.2 San Bernardino County Relative Percentage Change in Labor Force 1996 - 2002 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% San Bernardino 2.0% California 1.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: Labor Market Information, California Employment Development Division; Analysis Maas Companies As expected in an area of exceptionally high population growth, San Bernardino County has been on a greatly accelerated growth trend in its labor force as well. A review of the past seven years reveals 3-12 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN annual growth rates that peaked in 2000 and 2002, when the labor force grew by 4.5%. While the growth rate has fluctuated, the county has averaged a remarkable 3.3% annual job growth over the view period while the state has averaged 1.8%. Chart 3.3 San Bernardino County Relative Percentage Change in Unemployment Rate 1996 - 2002 Annual Rate of Unemployment 8.0% 6.0% San Bernardino 4.0% California 2.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: Labor Market Information, California Employment Development Division In 1996, San Bernardino County had an unemployment rate of 7.3%, nearly identical to the state level at the time. Through 2002, the county’s unemployment rate became lower each year relative to the state level. During the first four years of the view period, the county’s unemployment rate dropped by a greater magnitude than the state’s. In the final two years the county’s unemployment rate increased but by less than the state’s. This demonstrates a powerful regional economic engine, keeping unemployment in check while the population and labor force have virtually exploded. This success in turn pulls more people into the area in search of jobs, thus contributing to more population growth, perpetuating the cycle. Income and Demographic Markers Following is a current snapshot of the key demographic and income elements for San Bernardino County: 3-13 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.8 KEY DEMOGRAPHIC MARKERS – SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY AREA San Bernardino County POP 1.83 mill GROWTH AGE HH $ PER CAP $ 2.02% 30.5 $46,025 $18,734 DOM. RACES Caucasian 55.6% Hispanic* 42.6% Black 9.4% Source: ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Demographic and Income Forecast – Data is for Year 2003 * Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race The county’s current population of 1.8 million is growing at an accelerated annual rate of 2.02%, almost a full point above the national rate of 1.18%. Median household income is $46,025, 12% below the state average; and per capita income is $18,734, 28% below the state level. These income measures are projected to lose ground slightly relative to the state by 2008. The median age of 30.5 reflects a young population base, 3.8 years younger than the state as a whole. The racial profile shows a falling Caucasian population and growing Hispanic population. By 2008 the population will shift nearer to parity, with Hispanics comprising 47.8% of the population and Caucasians comprising 50.8%. Sources of Employment In 2001, the latest year for which employment data is available, San Bernardino’s largest industry employers were the services, government and retail trade industry sectors. Together these three industries accounted for 65% of the total employment in the county. Industry projections for nonfarm employment indicate that 63% of the job growth in the county through 2006 will also be in these three industry groups. Following is a percentage breakdown of industry divisions for San Bernardino County. 3-14 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Chart 3.4 San Bernardino County Employment by Industry 2001 Annual Average Wholesale T rade Retail T rade 5.7% 19.4% Manufacturing Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 12.7% 3.2% Construction & T ransportation & Mining P ublic Utilities 6.0% 6.8% Agriculture 0.6% Services Government 25.8% 19.8% Source: Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information, Snapshot for March 2002; Analysis Maas Companies Current Conditions The most current information available through the Employment Development Department (May 2003) indicates that the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in San Bernardino County was 5.4%, slightly up from last year’s level of 5.3%, but substantially below the rates for the state (6.3%) and that of the nation (5.8%). The following industry employment data is reported only on the basis of the combined RiversideSan Bernardino MSA (Metropolitan Statistical Area). This area is still representational of the economic climate in San Bernardino County alone. Employment in the Riverside-San Bernardino MSA rose by 6,400 jobs from May 2002 to May 2003, a growth rate of 0.6%. Over this time, six industry divisions had increases and five had losses. Large gains were realized in Construction (6,100 jobs) and Trade, transportation and utilities (5,900 jobs). Employment in educational and health services grew by 1,500 jobs. Year-over job losses were reported in leisure and hospitality (down 4,400 jobs); government (down 2,500 jobs); manufacturing (down 1,400 jobs); information (down 500 jobs); and mining (down 100 jobs). Farm employers reported gains of 600 jobs over the year. The most current labor data relative to unemployment for key sub areas in San Bernardino County, integral to the district, are noted in the following table: 3-15 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.9 LABOR FORCE DATA FOR KEY SUB AREAS OF THE COLLEGE DISTRICT AREA Adelanto – city Apple Valley - town Hesperia – city Victorville – city San Bernardino County LABOR FORCE EMPLOYED 3,610 26,320 27,060 21,870 852,800 3,100 24,730 25,190 20,160 804,300 UNEMPLOYED 510 1,590 1,870 1,710 48,500 RATE 14.00% 6.10% 6.90% 7.80% 5.70% Source: Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information, Snapshot for June 2003; Data has not been seasonally adjusted It is important to note that though San Bernardino County has had great success in keeping overall unemployment levels relatively low, the key cities of the Victor Valley have not fared as well. All four of the key cities included on the table above have unemployment rates that are higher than the county. Adelanto, in particular, has an extremely high unemployment rate of 14%. Labor Trends and Outlook for the Future As the county’s economy continues to expand and diversify, total Non Farm, Salary Employment is projected to grow by 135,300 jobs, or 26.3%, during the 1999 through 2006 forecast period. Employment gains are expected across all major industry sectors except mining, the county’s smallest industry. The services sector will account for almost one-third of the gain by adding 39,700 jobs, a jump of 30.2%. The largest gain will be in the other services group (11,700 jobs), primarily due to employment increases in residential-care facilities. There will also be growth in the business services group (11,600 jobs), primarily due to the demand at personnel supply agencies. Employment growth in the government sector will be primarily in local education. The forecast period will see gains of 19,900 retail trade jobs, primarily in the eating and drinking places group. The wholesale trade sector will add 11,100 new jobs. In terms of relative percentage growth, the greatest gains will be in wholesale trade (39%), services (30%), construction (29%), manufacturing (28%) and government (24%). San Bernardino’s job market looks especially good for the foreseeable future with broad diversification of job growth. 3-16 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Chart 3.5 Key Nonfarm Industrial Divisions Growth Through 2006 50,000 39,700 Jobs 40,000 25,400 30,000 19,900 20,000 18,800 11,100 10,000 8,500 8,300 3,600 0 in in g M M an uf ac tu ri ng W ho le sa le Tr ad e Tr an sp & U til s C on st ru ct io n Fi n, In s & R e. . Tr ad e et ai l t R G ov er nm en Se rv ic es 0 Source: Employment Development Department, Division of Labor Market Information Occupations that exhibit the greatest demand potential for the next five years are noted in the table that follows. Demographic trends, shifts in demands for products or services, technological innovations and the way business is conducted are variables that will finally determine future employment demand. Overall, San Bernardino County is projected to have the following occupational demand profile. Table 3.10 OCCUPATIONS WITH GREATEST ABSOLUTE GROWTH THROUGH 2006 OCCUPATION 1999 2006 #Jobs % EDUCATION OR TRAINING Salespersons, Retail 19,430 23,780 4,350 22.4% Short-Term On-The-Job Train Cashiers 13,980 17,400 3,420 24.5% Short-Term On-The-Job Train General Mgrs/Top Execs 11,660 14,970 3,310 28.4% Wk Exp+Bachelor's or Higher Truck Drivers, Heavy 9,430 12,690 3,260 34.6% Short-Term On-The-Job Train General Office Clerks 13,520 16,750 3,230 23.9% Short-Term On-The-Job Train Teachers, Secondary 9,710 12,930 3,220 33.2% Bachelor's Degree 10,190 13,100 2,910 28.6% Short-Term On-The-Job Train Misc. Helpers, Laborers Truck Drivers, Light 7,410 9,960 2,550 34.4% Short-Term On-The-Job Train Assemblers/Fabricators 8,160 10,650 2,490 30.5% Short-Term On-The-Job Train 10,030 12,470 2,440 24.3% Bachelor's Degree Teachers' Aides/Para Prof 5,330 7,550 2,220 41.7% Associate Degree Hand Packers/Packagers 5,610 7,790 2,180 38.9% Short-Term On-The-Job Train First-Line Supervisors - Sales 7,700 9,830 2,130 27.7% Work Experience Teachers, Elementary Laborers, Landscaping 5,270 7,090 1,820 34.5% Short-Term On-The-Job Train Source: Employment Development Department, Division of Labor Market Information 3-17 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.11 OCCUPATIONS WITH THE FASTEST RATE OF GROWTH THROUGH 2006 OCCUPATION 1999 2006 #Jobs % EDUCATION OR TRAINING Computer Scientist 200 370 170 85.0% Bachelor's Degree Computer Engineer 490 850 360 73.5% Bachelor's Degree Paralegal Personnel 130 220 90 69.2% Associate Degree Sys Anlst - Elec. Data Sys 610 1,030 420 68.9% Bachelor's Degree Comp Support Specialist 900 1,490 590 65.6% Bachelor's Degree Locomotive Engineer 360 570 210 58.3% Work Experience Cut Form Fab Mach Ops 510 770 260 51.0% Moderate-Term On-The-Job Train Food Servers – Outside 100 150 50 Human Services Workers 470 700 230 48.9% Moderate-Term On-The-Job Train Sales Agents – Finc’l svcs 290 430 140 48.3% Long-Term On-The-Job Train New Accounts Clerks 400 590 190 47.5% Work Experience Comp Sci Teachers-Post Sec 150 220 70 46.7% Doctoral Degree Excav Loading Mach Ops 330 480 150 45.5% Moderate-Term On-The-Job Train Speech Pathologists 430 620 190 44.2% Master's Degree Parking Lot Attendants 250 360 110 44.0% Short-Term On-The-Job Train Life Sci Teacher-Post Sec 160 230 70 50.0% Short-Term On-The-Job Train 43.8% Doctoral Degree Pest Controllers 300 430 130 43.3% Moderate-Term On-The-Job Train Source: Employment Development Department, Division of Labor Market Information Occupations in San Bernardino County that will exhibit the greatest declines relative to employment for the next five years are listed below. Table 3.12 OCCUPATIONS WITH THE GREATEST DECLINES THROUGH 2006 OCCUPATION Typists, Incl Word Process 1999 2006 #Jobs % EDUCATION OR TRAINING 2,660 2,440 -220 -8.3% Moderate-Term On-The-Job Train Railrd Brk Sgnl Switch Ops 340 320 -20 -5.9% Work Experience Computer Operator 500 480 -20 -4.0% Moderate-Term On-The-Job Train Announcers-Radio/TV 130 120 -10 -7.7% Long-Term On-The-Job Train Butchers and Meat Cutters 840 830 -10 -1.2% Long-Term On-The-Job Train Source: Employment Development Department, Division of Labor Market Information 3-18 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Major Employers The major employers of San Bernardino County are listed below. These companies and organizations represent the key industry divisions that are prospering in San Bernardino County and/or that find the county most suitable relative to their needs for an adequate labor pool, access to the markets and quality of life. Table 3.13 MAJOR EMPLOYERS OF SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY Employer Name Location California State University San Bernardino California Steel Industries Fontana Chaffey Community College Alta Loma Community Hospital San Bernardino County of San Bernardino San Bernardino Environmental Systems Research Redlands Hub Distributing Ontario Jerry L Pettis Memorial Vet Hosp Loma Linda Loma Linda University Medical Loma Linda Ontario International Airport Ontario San Manuel Bingo & Casino Highland Snow Summit Mountain Resort Big Bear Lake Stater Brothers Holdings Inc Colton University of Redlands Redlands US Post Office San Bernardino Source: America’s Labor Market Information System/Info USA Industry Colleges & Universities Blast Furnace & Basic Steel Products Colleges & Universities Hospitals Public Administration (Government) Computer & Data Processing Services Family Clothing Stores Hospitals Offices & Clinics of Medical Doctors Airports, Flying Fields, & Services Misc. Shopping Goods Stores Hotels & Motels Grocery Stores Colleges & Universities U.S. Postal Service Economic Development/Vitality The outlook for San Bernardino County’s economic future is generally positive. The county will continue to experience rapid growth in its population and labor force, with a continuing ethnic shift as well. Large numbers of people will continue to move to the inland empire in search of a place where they can afford to buy a home. There will also be a high percentage of these people who then commute back to the Los Angeles metropolitan area for work. Unemployment is relatively low in the county relative to the state and the nation as a whole; it should remain that way for the foreseeable future. Though the populace is generally finding work, much of that work is out of the (county) area. 3-19 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Even though the county will experience job growth across a wide array of industries and this diversity will increase the stability of the local economy, it will do little to boost wages significantly. The new jobs that will be created will include large numbers of lower paid occupations requiring short-term on-the-job training such as cashiers, retail sales people, laborers, clerical staff and manufacturing workers, with increasing demand for jobs filled by temporary personnel agencies. Specific to the High Desert Area, which Victor Valley Community College District is a primary component of, the economic prospects look very encouraging for the period of 2010 to 2020. Some forecasts have the Victor Valley – Barstow area changing (positively) more than any other portion of San Bernardino County. Indications at this time point to a continued expansion of a suburbanbased economy, which in term will drive commercial development. The area is also characteristic of having low land costs and excellent freeway connections, making it a prime target for larger distribution firms (500,000 to 1,500,000 sq. ft.) needing large amounts of land. Thus, the Victory Valley area has a strong potential for attracting and relocating much of Southern California’s distribution industry. Adding to this potential, is a growing, healthy labor force that would probably be willing to accept lower wages to avoid commuting out-of-the area for work. A prime factor for growth and development is the freeway system that provides uncongested access to Southern California (I-15), Northern California (State Route 58 and I-5), Las Vegas (I-15), Phoenix (I-40, I-10) and the I-15 and I-10 corridors of the state. There is also the resource of the Southern California Logistics Airport at the former George Air Base Facility to further support industrial development of the area. On the “to do” side of the equation, the High Desert area will be challenged by developing capacity (infrastructure) to attract and support new growth and upgrading worker skills so that relocating industries have a ready workforce. Planned freeway expansions are particularly critical to the longterm development of the area. These include truck lanes on the I-15 through Cajon Pass and the expansion of Route 58 to four lanes through to the I-5. 3-20 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN III. THE DISTRICT IN CONTEXT TO THE STATE State of California Economic Climate California is the only state that competes economically with other nations in the world. In terms of economic clout, it ranks as the world’s sixth largest economy. Despite the current economic lag and the state’s problems, particularly with water, gas and electricity, California’s economy has been more resilient than that of the rest of the country, particularly since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. The prime drivers of the economy - consumer and government spending - continue to hold their own despite the demise of the technology sector (that began in 2000). A combination of increased government spending on defense, travel/tourism within the state and a surprising, relatively buoyant consumer spending dynamic, the California economy has, for the past two years, been compromised but not devastated. The housing markets remain relatively healthy despite a recent downturn. The state’s Asian and Hispanic segments of the population continue to play an increasingly significant role in the economy; there is still a pent-up demand, if not an insatiable appetite, for housing and consumer products. Over the next several years, California’s economic prosperity will continue to be driven by those industries that were responsible for pulling the state out of the recession of the early 1990’s. Expect a rebound from High Technology Manufacturing, the state’s perennial stalwarts of Entertainment and Tourism and the growth of Professional Services (management, software, multimedia and engineering) to lead the way. Prospects for Growth Most of California’s future population and income growth will occur in the state’s existing large regions through the year 2010 and beyond. More than 80% of all of California’s growth will be in the major counties, i.e. Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego and Sacramento regions. These will be the areas where new jobs are created and where people elect to live. Most of the state’s ten fastest growing counties are located next to these major job-generating regions. 3-21 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Projections for growth through the year 2010, as made by the Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy (CCSCE), indicate the following: Table 3.14 KEY COUNTIES FOR GROWTH IN THE STATE 2000-2010 COUNTY POPULATION HOUSEHOLDS TAXABLE SALES Los Angeles 1,307.2 283.0 San Diego 669.6 216.1 Orange 569.5 176.4 San Bernardino 500.2 143.4 Riverside 615.2 178.7 Santa Clara 266.4 91.7 Alameda 193.2 67.1 Sacramento 243.9 91.6 Contra Costa 201.5 69.1 Fresno 152.6 17.8 California Raw Numbers 6,765.7 1,977.2 Rate of Growth 20.2% 17.6% Source: Center for Continuing Study of the California Economy, California County Projections, 2000 Numbers represented are in thousands; raw numbers represent actual growth projected 26.3 14.9 13.9 10.3 6.7 9.2 8.1 5.1 3.2 4.5 132.0 36.8% Employment and Labor In the first five months of 2003, California created 100,500 jobs – 20,100 per month. This compares with average monthly job growth of 7,867 during 2002. In May 2003, nonfarm industry employment in California was up by a healthy 169,000 jobs (10.4%) versus a year ago. California's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 6.6 percent in May. This was down 0.2 percentage point from the rate in April and was unchanged from one year ago. In comparison, the U.S. unemployment rate was 6.1 percent in May. This was up 0.1-percentage point from April, but up 0.3 percentage point from the previous year. 3-22 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.15 CALIFORNIA LABOR FORCE DATA 2003 May 03 Apr 03 Mar 03 May 02 Civilian Labor Force 17,554,700 17,630,800 17,627,900 17,363,000 Total Civilian Employment 16,392,000 16,429,300 16,448,600 16,222,700 Unemployment 1,162,700 1,201,500 1,179,400 1,140,300 Unadjusted Rate % 6.6% 6.8% 6.7% Source: Employment Development Department, Division of Labor Market Information, June 2003 *Labor force by place of residence 6.6% Civilian employment fell by 37,000 persons in May to 16.4 million, following a 20,000-person loss in April. On a year-over basis, civilian employment was up 169,000 jobs (1.0 percent). This was better than the year-over change in nonfarm payroll employment, which was down by 0.5 percent. Unemployment roles fell by 39,000 persons in May to 1,163,000. This more than offset an increase of 23,000 persons in April. The number of unemployed was coincidentally up 23,000 persons (2.0 percent) from May of 2002. There were 14,439,000 jobs in total nonfarm industries (seasonally adjusted) in May, down 21,500 jobs versus April. Nonfarm payrolls have fallen in four consecutive months with losses totaling 54,300 jobs. However, year-to-date in 2003, California's total nonfarm employment has fallen 25,900 jobs, for an average monthly loss of 5,200 jobs. This is worse than the average monthly gain of 600 jobs in 2002, but much better than the average monthly loss of 18,300 jobs in 2001. With nonfarm industries, six sectors had month-over job gains and five sectors had month-over job declines. Job increases were recorded in leisure and hospitality (13,400), construction (11,700), trade, transportation and utilities (5,000), other services (1,700), financial activities (1,600), and natural resources and mining (800). Job losses were recorded in professional and business services (4,800), government (4,600), information (2,300), educational and health services (2,200), and manufacturing (800). Industry Earnings and Hours Average hourly earnings for California production workers in manufacturing were $14.94 in May. Average weekly earnings were $591.62, an increase of $3.77 from April. Average weekly hours 3-23 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN increased 0.2 of an hour to 39.6 hours, and average weekly overtime hours was 3.7, increasing 0.2 of an hour from the prior month. The industry outlook for new job creation in the future is captured in the following table. Over the view period 2000 to 2010, California is projected to add 3,221,000 new jobs, an annual average rate of growth of 2.2%. Table 3.16 WAGE AND SALARY EMPLOYMENT FORECAST BY INDUSTRY SECTOR INDUSTRIAL DIVISION 2000 2010 ABSOLUTE CHANGE % CHANGE Total Non-Farm 14,488.1 17,709.2 3,221.1 22.2% Mining 23.5 24.4 900 3.8% Construction 726.9 891.7 164.8 22.7% Manufacturing 1,947.8 2,019.4 71.6 3.7% Transportation/Utilities 743.6 850.4 106.8 14.4% Finance/Insurance/RE 819.9 965.4 145.5 17.7% Services 4,612.9 6,268.3 1,655.4 35.9% Government* 2,318.1 2,736.4 418.3 18.0% Retail Trade 2,511.1 2,499.4 2,454.1 2.3% Source: Employment Development Department, Division of Labor Market Information. Statistics are for August 2002 *Includes all civilian employees of federal, state and local governments. Absolute amounts are in the thousands. Education Several key issues will be on the “front burner” for California community colleges over the next ten years. Six of the most significant of these key issues follow: 1. Preparation of Students to Perform at the College Level The task of providing remedial educational programs that prepare students for college level academics will fall squarely on the shoulders of the state community colleges. Community colleges will be expected to prepare students in English and mathematics proficiencies, as well as other college level disciplines. More financial resources will be needed for on-campus student support services, e.g. tutoring, counseling and prescriptive education. 3-24 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN 2. Greater Ethnic Diversity A more ethnically diverse student will populate the state community college system in both the near and distant future. At the current growth rates, demographers project, by the year 2050, that Hispanics, Asians and all other ethnic minorities will comprise 80% of the state’s population. Community colleges can expect to see increasing numbers of ethnic minorities entering the classroom. 3. Technology Technology will drive post secondary education institution in the future. Electronic commerce, distance education and campus portal services will become standard on the campuses of California’s community colleges. While this trend opens many new possibilities, it also creates a dilemma. Administrators and faculty will be hard pressed to compete economically for talented personnel in this field; equally they will find it difficult to keep current with the rapid evolution of hardware, software and standardization. Use of technology will command a great deal of attention. Technology will need to be goal driven and specific to the needs of each institution. 4. The Funding of Education Caught between the financing demands of the K-12 public school systems and the state’s post secondary four-year state colleges and universities, community colleges will be in competition for state education dollars. Community colleges will have to develop non-traditional funding strategies to augment the financial support they receive from the state. The identification of “external funding sources” will need to receive a high priority. Many community colleges will find it necessary, particularly when it comes to new facilities and/or renovation projects, to bring their case directly to the districts they serve. 5. Training of the State’s Workforce Developing a “trained workforce” will be the state’s greatest challenge over the next 20 years. The availability of trained and skilled labor has been identified by California industries as being the biggest deterrent to growth and expansion in the future. Industries, particularly those in the advanced technology sector, will grow where there is a skilled and trained workforce. 3-25 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN The vast majority of today’s unemployed, in both the urban and rural areas served by community colleges, lack sufficient skills to secure employment in the job market. This is true, as well, for most of the students who are coming out of the K –12 public school systems to enter the workforce. Community colleges will be given the first opportunity to fill the current gap that exists between the needs of business and industry and the skill level of the workforce. 6. The Need for Post Secondary Education That Is Affordable and Accessible Occupational surveys conducted by the Employment Development Department and by California industries confirm that mid-size and small companies are creating the bulk of new jobs in the state. The vast majority of these new jobs will require some measure of formal training and education beyond high school. Thus, the high demand for post-secondary education will continue. At the same time, it will need to be affordable and in close proximity to the home and workplace. The Internal Environment of the College An internal environmental assessment of the district was conducted as a means to 1) identify key elements or factors that currently exist and 2) determine which, if any, of those elements or factors will impact the District in the future. Both a quantitative and qualitative perspective is provided as part of this process. Determination of the District’s “Effective Service Area” Historically, the college has drawn approximately 78% of their credit enrollments from the six key cities and towns. These cities all lie within a 20-mile radius of the college. For the purposes of this plan, this ring will constitute the “effective service area” of the college. As such, demographic and income forecast data relative to annual growth rates for population and households, median and per capita income levels, race and ethnic ratios and age group segmentations will be based on this 20mile ring. This ring lies entirely within San Bernardino County. 3-26 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Enrollment History The chart that follows describes the enrollment trends for the district over the past seven-year period. Enrollments for the fall semesters of 1996 to 2002 were used for comparison purposes. The data presented depicts unduplicated credit-enrollment viewed from the perspective of first census of the semester. Chart 3.6 Unduplicated Credit-Enrollment History 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 Students 4,000 2,000 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 S ource: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis Maas Companies. Data is for fall semesters, unduplicated, credit and noncredit enrollment (i.e. total unduplicated enrollment), first census Overview: The college has seen exceptional growth over the past seven years in its unduplicated creditenrollment. The greatest growth for the fall semester was recorded in 1999, when the college increased 982 students for the fall semester and recorded a net annual gain of 11.71%. The least amount of growth was recorded for the 2000 Fall Semester, when enrollment increased by 181 students for a 1.93% net gain. Overall, the college has averaged 5.93% on an annual basis for fall semesters 1996 to 2002 and has not had a fall semester where the net gain was in negative percentages. This progression has led the college to its “current” high water mark for 2002, when unduplicated student credit-enrollment topped 11,000. 3-27 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN It should be noted that the district also has a growing program of non-credit students that has essentially doubled over the seven-year view period. The 1996 Fall Semester depicts a non-credit enrollment of 1,726 that increased to 3,510 in 2002. For the purpose of this master plan, the elements of “unduplicated, credit enrollment”, as defined by “first census” data, will be used as a primary benchmark for comparison. Deviations from this format may be used to depict characteristics of students and/or student trends. When this is done, it will be noted in the source description. Enrollment Sources 1. Analysis By Zip Codes The following tables provide insight as to the top zip code responsible for credit-enrollment as well as the District’s enrollment productivity vis-à-vis statewide averages. Table 3.17 HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE OF KEY ZIP CODE AREAS AREA Victorville Apple Valley Hesperia Adelanto Phelan Lucerne Valley Total Six Key Cities % of Enrollments All Other % of Enrollments ZIP CODE 92392,4 92307,8 92345 92301 92371 92356 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2,054 1,997 1,758 288 138 109 6,344 82.4% 2,115 1,947 1,875 346 124 108 6,515 81.7% 2,159 1,996 2,043 366 110 116 6,790 79.6% 2,411 2,165 2,157 386 140 145 7,404 80.8% 2,465 2,180 2,280 396 167 147 7,635 80.6% 2,794 2,490 2,573 468 193 126 8,644 79.8% 2,310 2,040 2,044 422 150 139 7,105 64.4% 1,355 17.6% 1,458 18.3% 1,741 20.4% 1,760 19.2% 1,841 19.4% 2,189 20.2% 3,928 35.6% Total Enrollment 7,699 7,973 8,531 9,164 9,476 10,833 11,033 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. Data is for fall semesters, “end of semester”, unduplicated credit enrollment 3-28 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Overview Zip codes from the Victorville area have provided the college with the greatest number of students over the past seven years, averaging 2,330 per year (25.2% of total enrollments). Zip codes from Apple Valley and Hesperia are not far behind averaging 2,116 (22.9%) and 2,104 (22.8%) respectively. The next greatest producers of student enrollment were found in zip code areas 92301, Adelanto, 92371, Phelan and 92356, Lucerne Valley, each producing, on average, fewer than 400 students per year with respective enrollments averaging of 4.1%, 1.6% and 1.4% on an annual basis. The combined enrollment totals of all zip code areas other than those from the district’s six key cities and towns, accounted for an average of 22.1% of total enrollments. Interestingly, the percentage of enrollments from zip codes outside of the six key cities and towns has grown from 17.6% in 1996 to 35.6% in 2002. This indicates that the college has done a very good job in attracting students from these “outlying” areas; it may also indicate that it could do a better job attracting students from within the key cities. 2. Student (to area) Participation Rates An analysis of student participation rates provides insight relative to in-district enrollment productivity. Student participation rates are measured in terms of the number of students from a given geographic area (e.g. zip code area) per 1,000 population. Table 15 compares the key cities and towns in the district vis-à-vis the yardstick of student participation rates. As a baseline for comparison, the average student participation rate for California community colleges is 37 students for every 1,000 population. 3-29 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.18 STUDENT PARTICIPATION RATES BY ZIP CODE AREAS 2001 CITY/AREA POP 2002 ENRL PR POP ENRL PR Victorville 77,648 2,794 35.98 79,597 2,310 29.02 Apple Valley 61,400 2,490 40.55 62,720 2,040 32.53 Hesperia 69,894 2,573 36.81 71,292 2,044 28.67 Adelanto 19,414 468 24.11 19,866 422 21.24 Phelan 12,730 193 15.16 13,005 150 11.53 5,374 126 23.45 5,439 139 25.55 246,461 8,644 35.07 251,921 7,105 28.20 37,115 2,189 58.98 37,894 3,928 103.66 283,576 10,833 38.20 289,815 11,033 38.07 Lucerne Valley Key Cities Total All Other Total* * 20-mile ring used for population numbers Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Service, California Chancellor’s Office; Analysis by Maas Companies. Data is for first census, unduplicated, credit enrollment, fall semesters. Population numbers have been derived from zip code areas listed for each municipality. These may include fringe areas that are in sphere of influence of the municipal jurisdiction or contiguous unincorporated areas where the zip code extends beyond the geopolitical boundary. Overview In 2002, all of the zip codes analyzed as part of the six key cities and towns had student participation rates below the statewide average of 37 students per 1,000 population. Apple Valley, at 32.53 had the highest participation rate and Phelan, at 11.53 had the lowest. Together, these key city zip codes accounted for approximately 28.2 students per 1,000 population, 24% below the state average. All other zip code areas within the effective service area combined to generate a very healthy SPR of more than 100 students per 1,000 population. Enrollments from all of the key zip code areas dropped substantially from 2001 to 2002 (except 92356, Lucerne Valley), while total enrollments grew by 1.8%. Credit enrollment growth from the “All Other” areas within the effective service area more than made up for these declines. 3-30 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Overall, totals for all areas within the effective service area indicate a participation rate of 38.07 students per 1,000 population, slightly above average for California community colleges. The data suggest that the district has done a good job in attracting students to the college. There are significant growth opportunities however, in attracting more students to the program of instruction especially from Victorville, Hesperia and Adelanto zip codes. Analysis of the “Effective Service Area” A comprehensive overview is offered relative to the college’s “effective service area”, i.e. an area defined by a circle with the college at the epicenter and extending 20 miles in all directions. Based on the student participation analysis by point of origin (i.e. zip code area analysis), this 20-mile radius represents the region from which the greatest numbers of students are generated relative to overall enrollment at the college. The data for this “effective service area” (20-mile radius) is more specifically depicted in the tables and charts that follow. The information provided will be used as a baseline for comparison with the college, i.e. the demographic characteristics of the “effective service area” compared to the demographic characteristics of the on-campus, college community or student body. In addition to being used as a benchmark to assess the current status, it will also be used as the basis to forecast the conditions of the future relative to such key planning elements as population and household growth, income levels, age segmentations and ethnic composition. 3-31 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Source: ESRI BIS 3-32 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN 3-33 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Source: ESRI BIS 3-34 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN 3. Overview of the District’s Effective Service Area The 2003 population within the district’s effective service area is currently 299,345. This population base is projected to grow to 312,661 by 2005, to 348,644 by 2010, and to 433,402 by 2020. The rate of population growth in the service area is projected to stay ahead of the state for the next five years – 2.20% versus the state’s 1.50%. Households in the effective service area are also projected to grow at a much faster rate than the state – 2.15% versus 1.49%. Income statistics for the service area show a region that is below average for the state. Per capita income is currently $18,665, 39% below the state’s average of $26,044. Presently, 56% of all households have annual incomes below $50,000. By 2008, per capita income is projected to rise to nearly $22,000, and median household income increase from its current level of $44,618 to $50,996. Overall, the indicators suggest that income levels will rise significantly, though not quite keeping pace with California as a whole. The profile for the effective service area indicates a median age of 34.6, reflecting a fairly young, stable population base that will not change dramatically over the next ten years. The fastest growing percentage of the population will be 45 to 64 years of age. Over the next five years, this segment will experience a gain of 2.5 points (22.9% to 25.4%) as a percentage of the overall population. The age segment 35 to 44 years of age will decline by 2.4 percentage points, and the segment 5-14 years of age will decline by 2.2 percentage points. All other segments will remain fairly steady as to the percentage share that they currently command. Race and ethnicity characteristics of the service area show a predominant White/Caucasian base. At present, this segment comprises 69.0% of the total population. The Hispanic1 segment commands the next greatest percentage, 29.5% of the overall population, followed by the Black population segment at 17.4% and the Asian segment at 2.1%. The trends for the future indicate a declining White/Caucasian population segment and escalating Hispanic population segment. Black and Asian populations will remain close to their existing levels. Over the next five-years as a percentage of the total population, the White/Caucasian segment will drop 5.4 points, the Hispanic segment will gain 5.9 points, the Black segment will gain 0.7 points and the Asian segment will increase 0.2 points. 1 Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race 3-35 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN 4. Age Distribution Analysis The table below is presented as a comparison of age distribution that exists within the effective service area in 2000, 2003 and 2008 (projected). The shaded portion represents those individuals most likely to attend college over the next five years. Table 3.19 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF SERVICE AREA SERVICE AREA AGE DISTRIBUTION 0-4 5-14 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+ Median Age % POPULATION 2000 7.6% 19.1% 8.3% 5.3% 11.5% 16.1% 12.7% 8.3% 6.6% 3.8% 0.9% 34.1 % POPULATION 2003 % POPULATION 2008 7.6% 17.3% 8.4% 6.6% 11.1% 14.5% 13.8% 9.1% 6.4% 4.0% 1.0% 34.6 7.6% 15.1% 8.5% 7.3% 12.1% 12.2% 14.7% 10.7% 6.4% 4.2% 1.3% 35.0 Data Source: Census of Population and Housing; ESRI BIS Marketing/Data Systems - Forecasts for 2001/2006; Analysis by Maas Companies Overview A review of the data indicates that the age groups most likely to attend college, ages 15 through 64 years (shaded area of the table), will grow as a portion of the overall population through the year 2008. In other words, these population segments are anticipated to grow faster than the population as a whole. The percentage of the population between 15 and 64 will increase from 63.5% in 2003 to 65.8% in 2008. The exception within this segment will be the 35-44 year old age group. This segment is projected to decrease by 2.3 percentage points as a proportion of the overall population. 3-36 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Based on the demographic projections for those age groups that would be entering the post secondary educational market in the next five years and the next decade, there will likely be an abnormal “bulge” in the population and a corresponding enrollment growth opportunity for the district. Key Student Characteristics The following data is presented as a current-day snapshot that characterizes the students attending the college. A seven-year window was used to generate this perspective. The information is a comparison of the fall semesters for each respective year. Chart 3.7 Gender Profile 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% Female 30.0% Male 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Ave. Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. Data is for first census unduplicated credit enrollment, fall semesters Overview The trends for gender enrollment within the district reflect a dominant female student population that has averaged 60% of the student population over the past seven years. The trend for females has been slightly downward, it has been slightly upward for males. Over the view period, female credit enrollments have declined by 2.5 percentage points of total credit enrollments. For the future, females will tend to comprise the bulk of the student body at an approximate ratio of 3:2. This gender profile is common among most of the state’s community college districts. 3-37 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Chart 3.8 Enrollments by Age 80.0% 60.0% <15 15-24 40.0% 25-44 45-64 20.0% >64 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Ave. Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. Data is for first census, unduplicated credit enrollment, fall semesters Overview Over the past seven years the age profile of the students at the college has changed dramatically. The 25-44 year old student population has dropped over the view period from 60% to 33% of total credit enrollments. Meanwhile, the 15-24 year old age group has climbed from 18% to 54% of all credit enrollments, suggesting that graduating high school students are effectively being recruited/attracted to the college. The 15-24 year old age group currently comprises 13.6% of the college’s service area population. It is projected to grow to 15.8% by 2008 and represents an encouraging trend for the college. The 45-64 year old age group has declined from 20% down to 11% over the view period. The under-15 and over-64 year old age groups have historically comprised only small percentages of total credit enrollments. The trends suggest that the younger student will remain the primary target for enrollment. At the same time, the college will need to address the issue of a population base that is growing older. This will result in recapturing some of the declining age group, such as 25-44 year olds, and appealing to the 45-64 year olds, a group that is projected to increase in relative values (as a percentage of the service area population) over the next several years. 3-38 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Table 3.20 ETHNIC DISTRIBUTION ETHNICITY 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 AVE 63.5% 67.0% 64.6% 64.1% 63.7% 63.1% 61.7% 60.8% White Hispanic 18.4% 19.5% 20.6% 21.2% 22.6% 23.3% 23.6% 21.3% Black 8.5% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 9.0% Asian/Pacific Islander 3.7% 3.7% 3.4% 3.8% 3.7% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% Native American 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% Other non-white 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% Unknown 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% Mid Eastern 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. Data is for first census, unduplicated credit enrollment, fall semesters Overview The race and ethnic data of the district indicates a changing but predominantly White/Caucasian student body. Over the past seven years, this student segment has averaged 63.5% of all credit enrollments, dropping steadily from 67.0% in 1996 to 60.8% in 2002. Simultaneously, the Hispanic/Latino segment averaged 21.3% of credit enrollments, rising from 18.4% in 1996 to 23.6% in 2002. These trends are similar to those observed in the overall service area population. The Black and Asian/Pacific Islander segments have fluctuated somewhat but, over time, remained essentially unchanged. Chart 3.9 Absolute Values - Most Dominant Ethnic Groups 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 White Hispanic Black Asian/PI All Other 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research, Analysis Maas Companies 3-39 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Overview (Absolute Values – Most Dominant Ethnic Groups) While percentages (relative values) for White/Caucasian students declined over the past six years, absolute values, i.e. the actual number of students, increased 1,547 (from 5,156 to 6,703). Enrollments of Hispanic students, which grew significantly from 18.4% to 23.6% over the view period, recorded raw growth (absolute values) of 1,178. Growth in the absolute values for Black and Asian/Pacific Islander students grew by 350 and 101 respectively. Chart 3.10 Full Time/Part Time Student Enrollment 100.0% 80.0% 60.0% Part Time 40.0% Full Time 20.0% 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Ave. Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. unduplicated credit enrollment, fall semesters Data is for first census, Overview The predominant student within the district is part time, i.e. a student taking fewer than twelve credits per semester. The part time to full time ratio for the past seven years has averaged 4.4:1. The data indicates relatively flat trends in the this regard – part time students have been hovering around the 80% mark, as a proportion of total enrollments, and show a very slightly declining trend while full time students, at about 20% of total enrollments on average, show a slightly increasing trend. 3-40 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Chart 3.11 Student Distribution for Number of Units Earned 30.0% 25.0% 0 20.0% 0.5-3.0 15.0% 3.5-5.5 10.0% 6.0-8.5 9.0-11.5 5.0% 12+ 0.0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Ave. Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. census, unduplicated credit enrollment, fall semesters Data is for first Overview For Fall Semesters 1996 to 2002, the greatest percentage of students attending classes at the campuses and educational centers of the district earned between 3.5 and 5.5 credits per semester, an annual average of 27.0%. Students earning 12.0 credits or more, “full time students” comprise the next largest group, averaging 18.3%. The next groups are 6.0 to 8.5 credits (17.2%), zero credits (16.2%), 9.0 to 11.5 credits (13.0%) and finally, 0.5 to 3.0 credits (8.3%). Full time students have exhibited the greatest growth over the past seven years, rising from 16% to 21% of total credit enrollments. Zero credit students have dropped from 18% to 12% during the same period. The other groups have remained fairly stable. As noted in earlier analysis, the data suggests that most students are working in addition to pursuing their education and, therefore attending the college on a part time basis. The encouraging trend noted is that more students are taking greater course loads and that the number of students taking 12 credits or more is increasing. Alternately, there appears to be a decline in part time students taking less credit course offerings than in the past. This is contrary to the trend currently seen at most California community colleges. It may be attributed to the difficult economic times of the past 2-3 years or to the data disclosed earlier that shows there is an increasingly younger student attending the college. 3-41 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 3 – ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Chart 3.12 Seven Year Profile of Degrees and Certificates 1,000 800 600 400 200 - 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Ave. AA 230 230 272 318 297 382 412 306 AS 434 457 404 466 501 472 476 459 Certificate 496 665 604 526 621 744 799 636 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. Data is for full academic year Overview Over the view period 1996 to 2002, Associate degree awards have increased significantly. Annual awards of Associate of Arts degrees have increased by 182 and Associate of Science degrees by 25. Certificate awards have the greatest increase, 403, over the view period. The largest certificate awards programs include Law Enforcement, Nursing, Corrections, EMT, Spreadsheet Processing and Word Processing. 3-42 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES Vision & Projections for the Future EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE CHAPTER 4 - A VISION FOR THE FUTURE PROJECTIONS Overview The vision for the future is predicated on the following trends and assumptions: Population growth in the twenty-mile service area of Victor Valley College will grow at an annual average rate of 2.2% through 2020. The cities of Victorville, Apple Valley, Hesperia, Adelanto, Phelan and Lucerne Valley will continue to be the key communities from which the majority of student enrollment is derived. The majority of the future population growth within the district will occur in Victorville, Apple Valley and Hesperia, the most urbanized areas in the college’s service area. The population base within the twenty-mile service area will reach 433,402 by 2020. The annual enrollment growth rate at the college will average 3.85% annually Enrollment growth will continue to outpace population growth in the district’s service area. The number of students per 1,000 population (student participation rate) will continue to exceed the statewide averages, progressing from the current 38.15 to 52.78. Additionally, the vision for the future is reflected in the following key elements that have been deemed significant to the district as it moves towards the year 2020. 4-1 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE A. The Vision for Functional Organization It is anticipated that the district will continue to be a “single college district”, i.e. Victor Valley College will be the only college within the district, even though there may be multiple campuses and/or educational centers that are part of the delivery system for the program of instruction. Over the next ten years, the district will have significant changes in its upper-level management structure as a result of reorganization, turnover and retirements. With the projected increase in enrollment, the expansion of off-campus programs, and the assimilation of additional statemandated programs, the span of control burdens will need to be reviewed and the current organizational structure redefined and modified. The current organizational structure at the academic and support services levels appears to be equally distributed relative to workloads and responsibilities. It adequately supports an assortment of programs and services. As a vision for the future, greater emphasis should be placed on the grouping of like disciplines and the development of on-campus academic clusters that provide the greatest opportunity for interrelationships. This concept should also be applied to student services, i.e. divisional components should include those programs and services that are most relevant to each other. Additionally, it is anticipated that new learning and teaching paradigms, as well as delivery strategies that are developed to meet the needs of a changing student population, will further impact the district’s organization and create a need for redefinition at all levels. In all cases, the present organizational model should serve as a base from which required additions and/or modifications can occur. In concert with the budgetary realities of the district, the hiring and retaining of full time faculty will be set as a goal for the future, realizing that this will be the best means to strengthen the overall organizational structure as well as achieve the educational goals that have been identified. The hiring of new faculty will be based on established guidelines that are driven by program needs. B. The Vision for Growth of the Service Area & Student Participation Based on the population growth analysis conducted, the 20-mile service area population will approach 348,643 by 2010 and 433,402 by 2020. The trend for the district has been very good relative to its ability to capture its share of the service area population. This is evidenced by the 4-2 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE current student participation rate, which is 38 students per 1,000 residents, a mark that is at the statewide average (37 students per 1,000 residents). A vision for the future will include improving upon the current level of student participation, i.e. having the college move closer towards the Chancellor’s Office goal of 78 students per 1,000 residents. The forecasted plan for growth will require that a participation rate of 44.8 students per 1,000 residents is attained by 2010 and a mark of 52.8 by 2020. The following chart compares the current and projected student participation rates with statewide averages. Chart 4.1 Student Participation Rates Required to Meet Future Enrollment Projections Participation Rate 100 Victor Valley College Overall Current State Average Chancellor's Office Goal 80 60 40 20 0 2002 2010 2020 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; analysis by Maas Companies A vision for the future should include stepping-up recruiting efforts for high school eligible students, many of which, may not be attending college at all. There appears to be an opportunity to attract a greater percentage of the Hispanic population segment, which represents 29.5% of the service area population but only 21.3% of the college’s student body. The district will also have to become more creative in addressing the needs of those less traditional, college age group segments that are showing increases over the next ten years. Specifically, this will include the baby boomer age group segment, which will grow by nearly three percentage points by 2008. The college will be challenged in reorienting its curricular offerings and class scheduling to attract this age group to the 4-3 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE college. A more traditional college-bound age group, the 20 to 34 year old segment will also grow at a faster rate than the overall population, presenting another opportunity for enrollment growth. C. The Vision for Instructional Delivery The future instructional delivery system of the district will need to keep pace with the constant challenge of change. Pressures from learners, demographic changes, the needs of business and industry and the economic reality of accelerated competition for every tax dollar will be the drivers of change. Instructional delivery in the next decade will need to change significantly to accommodate various learning styles and needs. A vision for 2003 and beyond should include computer technology that can be integrated more widely across the curriculum. The vision should also place learning outcomes ahead of teaching, as instructional delivery will focus on the adaptation of the teaching methodology to match the new requirements for learning. The district will need to incorporate strategies that reengineer its instructional delivery system, its vision and its commitment to education at the community college level. These strategies should include: Instructional Relevancy and Performance: Performance standards will be developed to assess course content, operational efficiency, relevancy and applicability. Programs not performing to set standards will be deleted and replaced with new programs. Innovative Instruction: The development of inter-disciplinary courses and programs that promote connections between the disciplines will be a part of the district’s future. Innovative instruction will be encouraged and rewarded through programs of recognition. Alternative Instructional Delivery Strategies: Learning strategies such as service learning, linked courses, learning communities, work experience, tutorials, distance delivery methods, and specialized laboratories will enhance student access and success. Diversity: The instructional curriculum will need to reflect the diverse needs of the area served by the district. This will include a designed balance between programs of transfer and general education, occupational and technical programs, and developmental education. Accessibility: A continued emphasis will be placed on working students, non-traditional students and life-long learners. Intersession classes, accelerated courses and modular courses, some offered as 4-4 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE open-entry/open-exit classes, should be expanded. Short-term, high-intensity learning experiences will be more in demand and, consequently, increased at the college. Greater emphasis will be placed on students succeeding at their academic experience through the expansion of tutoring, counselling and mentoring programs. Technology: The district will need to become a leader and regional resource for distance learning telecourses, video conferencing, interactive television and computer technology if it is to stay current with the competition. The district will become less important as a sole source-learning environment. Distance learning, as an instructional delivery system, will be particularly valuable to individuals who cannot come to a central campus for a variety of reasons. Electronic access, literacy and competency, for students, faculty and staff, will be an important component of the technology program. “Smart classrooms”, interactive computer hardware and software and computer assisted instruction should be part of the college’s basic infrastructure plan. Workforce Development: The district will need to continue to develop a strong technical and occupational education component for the future. This program will not necessarily be a two-year linear process, but flexible so as to accommodate the demand of short term, high intensity programs that provide entry-level skills for workers in weeks or months in partnership with business and industry. D. The Vision for Support Services Support services at the college will need to be upgraded and made more flexible to meet the changing needs of a diverse student body as part of an overall vision for the district. This will include such changes as making it easier for students to register, obtain assistance, access records and receive financial assistance. The vision should also include the ability of students to access the campus from both the home and/or the workplace. Additionally, current technology will be brought on-line to assist students with the admissions process. The vision for student services will see counseling, assessment and registration that is part of one interactive process and facilities that are integrated for and dedicated to this purpose. The district will also address a growing number of students with special needs and/or learning disabilities that will access the college and centers for their education. 4-5 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE In supporting the academic process, it is anticipated that counseling will assume a greater diagnostic and prescriptive function in student success. Tutorial support will also be increased and improved to assist students who are under-prepared for college level academics. Overall, the primary purpose of support services will remain to support the academic mission of the college and centers. E. The Vision for Facilities As technology is incorporated into instructional delivery, the definitive line that has traditionally separated lecture and laboratory space will become more difficult to discern. New construction should, therefore, permit the maximum amount of structural and infrastructure flexibility. Instructional facilities must be developed with the idea that within five years they will need to be adapted. Significant changes in instructional delivery of the future may, at some point, translate to a decrease in the significance of the large community college campuses that have been developed in the past. Building large numbers of classrooms and traditional laboratories may be less important than developing technology-based learning resource centers and outreach (satellite) centers. Traditional campus structures (e.g. library/learning resource center) will change in both space allocation and function. Infrastructure to support the college will be a high priority. This will include improvements ranging from telecommunications infrastructure to current laboratory equipment that is sufficient to conduct experiments that are relevant in today’s world. A comprehensive, long-range building and facilities plan will be developed that addresses the needs of all academic and support services. Particular attention will be given to the upgrading of campus infrastructure at the college, pedestrian and vehicular circulation, parking, consolidation of student services, facility use and reuse as well as needed overall campus renovations and new building construction. Additionally, attention will be given to the development of off-campus centers. 4-6 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE F. The Vision for Human Resources In concert with the budgetary realities of the district, the hiring and retaining of full time faculty will be set as a priority and goal for the future. Additionally, a commitment to educational excellence will require that new faculty be hired as curricular offerings of the college expand and/or are newly created. The hiring of new faculty will be based on established guidelines that are driven by program need. Attention will be given to meeting the full requirements of AB 1725. The district will make a strong commitment to on going staff development. This will be true with regard to new technology, particularly as it becomes part of the pedagogical process. It will be imperative that all new and existing faculty members be technologically literate and technologically current. Over the next ten years, the college will have faculty and staff that are both more knowledgeable and more flexible on the job. Cross training of faculty and staff will be a high priority for the effective delivery and support of the instructional program. G. The Vision for Institutional Operations To ensure that it is receiving the maximum financial support and benefit from the state, the district will make a commitment to operating the college and/or off-campus centers at maximum operational efficiency; a plan for this purpose will be adopted. Overall, the plan will focus on moving the college and/or off-campus centers closer to the statewide averages for such managed elements as weekly student contact hours (WSCH) per class section offered and WSCH per full time equivalent faculty (FTEF). In this vision for the future, the district will improve its current level of enrollments per class section offered, a mark, which is below the statewide average. The district will effectively manage change to remain viable and competitive in the educational marketplace. Because the district will face increased competition for students from other post secondary educational institutions, it will need to embark upon a proactive program of placing the college competitively in the marketplace. Additionally, as operational costs rise and the uncertainty of public funding becomes a reality, the district will locate and secure new sources of revenue to accomplish its academic mission. 4-7 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE H. The Vision for Curricular Offerings of the District The district, through the college, will offer a balanced curriculum that is rooted in substantive, core general education courses but that also offers current and relevant vocational and technical programs as well as programs in developmental education. Non-credit enrollment will expand and become a more significant component of the overall curriculum of the district. New curricular offerings will be introduced at the college and/or the educational centers of the district. The college will prepare for expansions particularly in the Taxonomy of Program (TOP) code areas of Biological Sciences, Health, Mathematics, Social Sciences, Humanities (English), Fine and Applied Arts, Public Affairs/Services and Basic Skills/Developmental Education. All core general education courses will expand consistent with increases in student enrollment. The curriculum, for both existing and new curricular offerings, will be steeped in operational efficiency and productivity. Each curricular offering will meet pre-determined standards for excellence and performance. Curricular evaluations will be conducted to determine applicability, relevancy and quality. Under-performing curricular offerings will be terminated and replaced or reengineered and conditionally reintroduced. Given the visions for the future, Victor Valley College’s prospects for growth are captured in the following projection analysis. The Projected Growth Rates for Enrollment Background While student enrollment has traditionally been used as the standard for measuring academic growth or decline, it has become less relevant in today’s standards for measurement. Community colleges have seen a change in the type of student who attends a program of instruction; the purpose for which they attend has also changed. The statewide trend has been for a decline in the number of full time students and a rise in number of students who attend on a part time basis. The trend is also for most students to be employed in addition to pursuing an education. 4-8 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE To accommodate today’s student, variances have been made in the delivery system of the instructional program. No longer are all curricular offerings set in neat 17.5-week segments, nor are the majority of students taking nine credit hours or more per semester. Shorter than semester and weekend classes, course offerings that are more concentrated in time but with fewer credit hours, distance education and a decline in the number of credits per enrollment are characteristic of today’s program of instruction. Therein lies the challenge to the community college. Whether a student is enrolled for one, half-credit course or carries an 18-unit load for a given semester, the college must give equal weight to that student as a single enrollment. The amount of time that it takes to accommodate each single enrollment (one student), however, will be vastly different. Most colleges will place the greatest degree of emphasis and importance on “headcount” – i.e. student enrollment. However, it is the number of weekly student hours (WSCH) that provides the clearest picture relative to growth or decline of the institution. The WSCH measurement clearly identifies how many hours are required to accommodate the total student demand, regardless of whether students are full time or part time. It is the number of “student hours” generated that dictates facility space needs required to support the total academic and support services missions. WSCH is also the barometer for determining whether or not existing space is used to its intended and/or full potential. For purposes of this master plan, credit generated WSCH will be used as the primary standard for measuring space requirements - student enrollment will be used as a relative frame of reference. This method is consistent with the standards set forth by the California State Chancellor’s Office, the guidelines of which are more fully disclosed in the Title 5 Educational Code The Forecasting/Planning Model Three planning models were created and evaluated to determine the annual growth rates for WSCH and, ultimately, for student enrollment. These three models were as follows: 1. Annual Growth Based On Current (Historic) Trends 2. The State Chancellor’s Forecast Planning Model 3. Consultant’s (Demographic-based) Model The chart that follows provides a comparison of the three planning models relative to the rates of growth for student enrollment. 4-9 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Chart 4.1 Victor Valley Community College District Annual Enrollment Growth Rate Forecast Growth Rate 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% Current Trend Chancellor's Forecast Consultant's Forecast Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research, 2000 Long Range Enrollment and WSCH Forecast, State Chancellor’s Office, Maas Companies projections The “current trend” model has an outstanding track record, logging an annual average over the past five years of 5.93%. While this is most encouraging, it represents a rate of growth that is not sustainable on a long-term basis, given the service area’s population growth rate is forecasted to increase 2.2% on an annual basis. The Chancellor’s Office model combines population statistics and rates of graduation from high schools within the district’s service area to arrive at an annual rate of growth. The 3% annual rate that has been forecasted represents a realistic level at which the district will grow. The “demographic-based” model combined the findings of the environmental scan, estimated the district’s ability to maintain and/or capitalize on growth within its “effective service area”, identified the demographic impact for the key cities, and assessed the capacity for the district to react to a changing landscape to arrive at a 3.85% average annual rate of growth. It represents a target that will challenge the district yet is achievable, given the conditions and potential of the service area. Taking all of the forecasting factors into consideration, the “demographic-based” model was found to best represent the future growth rates for Victor Valley College through the year 2020. As a result, the master plan forecast will be based on this more comprehensive model. Using the demographic-based model and credit-WSCH as the primary navigation tools, and with all factors taken into consideration, credit-WSCH generation at the college is projected to increase from its current level of 105,471 to 145,473 by 2010 and to 217,390 by 2020. At these benchmarks, 4-10 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE unduplicated credit-enrollment is projected to be 15,203 and 22,182 respectively. The growth rate for unduplicated credit-enrolled students is projected to average 3.85% on an annual basis. Credit generated WSCH is projected to average 4.1% on an annual basis. The chart that follows depicts the projections for absolute growth in WSCH through the year 2020. Chart 4.2 Victor Valley Credit WSCH Projections 250,000 200,000 WSCH 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2002 2005 2010 2015 2020 Source: Maas Companies projections 4-11 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Snapshot of Current Program of Instruction Overview The tables that follow provide a snapshot of key elements that indicate the current health and status of the instructional program at Victor Valley College. So that the data can be benchmarked against statewide averages and/or standards, instructional divisions of the college have been translated to the Taxonomy of Program (TOPS) Code format. A “transfer reference” for TOP Codes is provided in the table below. Table 4.1 SUMMARY OF INSTRUCTIONAL DISCIPLINES BY TOPS CODE Administration of Justice 2100 Fire Technology Agriculture 0100 French Allied Health 1200 Geography Anatomy 0400 Geology Anthropology 2200 German Art & Design 1000 Guidance & Counseling Astronomy 1900 History Athletics 0800 Journalism Automotive 0900 Mathematics Basic Skills 4900 Media Arts Biological Sciences 0400 Microbiology Business Administration 0500 Music Business Education Technologies 0500 Nursing Business Real Estate 0500 Ornamental Horticulture Chemistry 1900 Philosophy Child Development 1300 Photography Child Development 27A 2100 Physical Education Computer Information Systems 0700 Physical Science Computer Integrated Designs Physics & Graphics Physiology 0700 Political Science Construction & Manufacturing Psychology Tech 0900 Religious Studies Construction Tech Public Works 0900 Respiratory Therapy Construction Technology 0900 Construction Technology Restaurant Management Maintenance 0900 Sociology Economics 2200 Spanish Education 2100 Speech Communication Educational Technology 2100 Theatre Arts Electronics & Computer Tech 0900 Welding English 1500 ESL 1500 2100 1100 2200 1900 1100 4900 2200 0600 1700 0600 0400 1000 1200 0100 1500 1000 0800 1900 1900 0400 2200 2000 1500 0400 1300 2200 1100 1500 1000 0900 Source: State Chancellor’s Office, Title 5 and the Maas Companies Database 4-12 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE A. Program of Instruction – Current Profile Productivity for WSCH and FTES The following table depicts the current WSCH and full-time equivalent students (FTES) productivity broken down by TOP Code instructional divisions. For purposes of defining the term “current”, the 2002 Fall Semester was used as the benchmark. During that semester, the college offered a total of 1,107 net class sections that generated a total of 105,471 WSCH and 3,516 FTES. Table 4.2 WSCH AND FTES PRODUCTIVITY Tops Division Agriculture Biological Sciences Business & Management Communication Computer & Information Science Education Engineering & Indus Tech Fine and Applied Art Foreign Language Health Consumer & Family Studies Humanities Mathematics Physical Sciences Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies Total CODE SECTIONS 0100 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1500 1700 1900 2000 2100 2200 4900 12 30 115 4 62 85 85 79 26 47 28 187 90 27 37 60 109 24 1,107 WSCH 927.0 5,934.6 6,877.6 291.7 6,291.4 7,432.7 7,761.3 6,545.1 3,770.5 7,714.1 2,025.0 14,089.9 10,437.5 4,020.0 3,930.4 5,287.6 10,732.7 1,401.9 105,470.9 FTES FALL 2002 30.9 197.8 229.3 9.7 209.7 247.8 258.7 218.2 125.7 257.1 67.5 469.7 347.9 134.0 131.0 176.3 357.8 46.7 3,515.7 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; analysis by Maas Companies Discounted have been curricular offerings off campus, canceled class sections, combined class sections and class sections with zero attendance. 4-13 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Percentage of Lecture and Laboratory WSCH: Statewide Average versus College Averages The following table compares benchmark ratios for lecture and laboratory WSCH using averages for community colleges across the state and the actual percentage ratios of Victor Valley College. The data used for comparative purposes is derived from the 2002 Fall Semester and is reflective of course content, facility usage and the current trends of the college. The data is presented using TOP Code format. The analysis provides a benchmark for the college’s current program of instruction vis-à-vis similar programs of instruction throughout the state. Table 4.3 COMPARISON OF CURRENT LECTURE AND LABORATORY WSCH RATIOS WITH STATE AVERAGES COLLEGE AVE TOPS DIVISION CODE % LEC % LAB STATE AVE % LEC % LAB 69 31 0100 Agriculture 85 15 68 32 0400 Biological Science 45 55 27 73 0500 Business / Mgt. 75 25 62 38 0600 Communications 75 25 53 47 0700 Computer Info. Systems 25 75 80 20 0800 Education /PE 5 95 60 40 0900 Engineering & Indus Tech 25 75 53 47 1000 Fine/Applied Arts 40 60 12 88 1100 Foreign Language 75 25 47 53 1200 Health Science 30 70 45 55 1300 Consumer Ed/Child Dev 60 40 6 94 1500 Humanities 85 15 1 99 1700 Mathematics 90 10 49 51 1900 Physical Science 40 60 0 100 2000 Psychology 95 5 23 77 2100 Public Affairs/ Services 80 20 5 95 2200 Social Science 95 5 64 36 4900 Interdisciplinary 50 50 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research, 2002 Fall Semester; Maas Companies data base 4-14 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Current WSCH Lecture and Laboratory Breakdown The following table provides a breakdown, by TOP Code division, of actual lecture and laboratory generated WSCH for the 2002 Fall Semester. Table 4.4 LECTURE AND LABORATORY WSCH 2002 Tops Division TOPS SECTIONS Agriculture Biological Sciences Business & Management Communication Computer & Info Science Education Engineering & Indus Tech Fine and Applied Art Foreign Language Health Consumer & Family Studies Humanities Mathematics Physical Sciences Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies Total 0100 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1500 1700 1900 2000 2100 2200 4900 12 30 115 4 62 85 85 79 26 47 28 187 90 27 37 60 109 24 1,107 LEC WSCH LAB WSCH 288.1 1,909.4 5,009.6 109.4 2,969.3 1,469.9 3,111.8 3,077.2 3,332.0 4,082.2 1,115.8 13,235.0 10,342.0 2,047.9 3,930.4 4,045.0 10,240.0 504.7 70,819.7 638.9 4,025.0 1,868.0 182.3 3,322.0 5,963.0 4,650.0 3,468.0 438.4 3,632.0 909.2 854.6 95.5 1,972.0 0.0 1,243.0 492.3 897.2 34,651.4 TOT WSCH 927.0 5,934.4 6,877.6 291.7 6,291.3 7,432.9 7,761.8 6,545.2 3,770.4 7,714.2 2,025.0 14,089.6 10,437.5 4,019.9 3,930.4 5,288.0 10,732.3 1,401.9 105,471.0 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research, 2002 Fall Semester; Analysis by Maas Companies Note: WSCH per class section was projected on the basis of “net” number of sections. Off-campus work experience, combined courses, and sections with zero attendance were discounted to arrive at the calculations. B. Analysis of Key Factors – Current Program of Instruction Seat Count Analysis Using the TOP Code instructional divisions, the following table compares enrollment per class section at Victor Valley College with the statewide enrollment per class section target of 35 students. Combined with the percentage ratios of seats enrolled at the college, the table provides a more graphic illustration of key TOP divisions of the college, as they presently exist. The data indicates 4-15 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE that the college is currently operating at a 24.7% deficiency for “seats per section” when compared to the statewide target. Table 4.5 SEAT COUNT ANALYSIS/COMPARISON TOPS DIVISION Agriculture Biological Sciences Business & Management Communication Computer & Info Sci Education Engin & Indus Tech Fine and Applied Art Foreign Language Health Cons & Family Studies Humanities Mathematics Physical Sciences Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies Total SECTIONS 12 30 115 4 62 85 85 79 26 47 28 187 90 27 37 60 109 24 1,107 TOTAL SEATS 216 837 2,586 59 1,317 2,923 1,562 1,924 749 1,376 613 4,385 2,928 710 1,329 1,645 3,632 813 29,604 AVE CLASS +/- STATE % ENROLLED SIZE STANDARD SEATS 18.00 27.90 22.49 14.75 21.24 34.39 18.38 24.35 28.81 29.28 21.89 23.45 32.53 26.30 35.92 27.42 33.32 33.88 26.74* (48.6%) (20.3%) (35.8%) (57.9%) (39.3%) (1.7%) (47.5%) (30.4%) (17.7%) (16.4%) (37.4%) (33.0%) (7.0%) (24.9%) 2.6% (21.7%) (4.8%) (3.2%) (24.7%) 0.7% 2.8% 8.7% 0.2% 4.4% 9.9% 5.3% 6.5% 2.5% 4.6% 2.1% 14.8% 9.9% 2.4% 4.5% 5.6% 12.3% 2.7% 100.0% Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research; analysis by Maas Companies * The 26.74 average has been adjusted. Discounted have been curricular offerings off campus, canceled class sections, combined class sections and class sections with zero attendance. 4-16 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE WSCH per Class Section Analysis Weekly student contact hours (WSCH) generated per class sections offered are compared in the following table. The middle (shaded) column represents the statewide averages for WSCH generated per class section. The column to the immediate right depicts WSCH generated per class section at the college. Divisions are by TOP Code listing. The college presently has six Top Code instructional divisions (Biological Sciences, Education, Engineering and Industrial Technology, Foreign Language, Health and Physical Science) that are performing at or above the statewide averages for WSCH per section. Table 4.6 WSCH PER CLASS SECTION Analysis/Comparison TOPS DIVISION CODE WSCH/SEC STATE AVE WSCH/SEC VICTOR VAL COL +/- STATE STANDARD Agriculture 100 105 77.3 (-26.4%) Biological Sciences 400 130 197.8 +52.2% Business & Management 500 98 59.8 (-39.0%) Communication 600 92 72.9 (-20.7%) Computer & Information Science 700 114 101.5 (-11.0%) Education 800 85 87.4 +2.9% Engineering & Indus Tech 900 89 91.3 +2.6% Fine and Applied Art 1000 107 82.8 (-22.6%) Foreign Language 1100 126 145.0 +15.1% Health 1200 145 164.1 +13.2% Consumer & Family Studies 1300 108 72.3 (-33.0%) Humanities 1500 120 75.3 (-37.2%) Mathematics 1700 138 116.0 (-16.0%) Physical Sciences 1900 121 148.9 +23.0% Psychology 2000 142 106.2 (-25.2%) Public Affairs/Services 2100 101 88.1 (-12.7%) Social Sciences 2200 136 98.5 (-27.6%) Interdisciplinary Studies 4900 102 58.4 (-42.7%) Total 114.4 102.4 (-11.4%) Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research, 2002 fall semester; analysis by Maas Companies Discounted have been curricular offerings off campus, canceled class sections, combined class sections and class sections with zero attendance. 4-17 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE WSCH per FTEF Analysis The state standard used for determining optimal productivity is based on credit-WSCH generated per each full time equivalent faculty (FTEF). The state standard is a ratio of 525 WSCH per each FTEF. The following table provides a summary of the credit-WSCH generated per each FTEF by TOP Code instructional division for the 2002 Fall Semester. Overall, the college is currently operating at a –22.1% deficiency level relative to WSCH per FTEF. Psychology is the only TOP Code instructional division that is at or above the statewide standard. Table 4.7 WSCH PER FULL TIME EQUIVALENT FACULTY ANALYSIS/COMPARISON TOPS DIVISION FTEF WSCH WSCH/ FTEF +/- STATE % OF TOTAL WSCH TARGET 525 Agriculture 3.3 927.0 280.1 (-46.7%) 0.9% Biological Sciences 13.5 5,934.6 438.6 (-16.5%) 5.6% Business & Management 17.8 6,877.6 386.6 (-26.4%) 6.5% Communication 0.9 291.7 327.8 (-37.6%) 0.3% Computer & Information Science 12.3 6,291.4 509.8 (-2.9%) 6.0% Education 15.4 7,432.7 483.6 (-7.9%) 7.0% Engineering & Indus Tech 19.6 7,761.3 396.2 (-24.5%) 7.4% Fine and Applied Art 15.8 6,545.1 413.7 (-21.2%) 6.2% Foreign Language 7.6 3,770.5 496.8 (-5.4%) 3.6% Health 25.9 7,714.1 297.8 (-43.3%) 7.3% Consumer & Family Studies 6.7 2,025.0 301.8 (-42.5%) 1.9% Humanities 39.5 14,089.9 357.1 (-32.0%) 13.4% Mathematics 22.6 10,437.5 462.0 (-12.0%) 9.9% Physical Sciences 9.1 4,020.0 441.3 (-15.9%) 3.8% Psychology 7.3 3,930.4 536.2 +2.1% 3.7% Public Affairs/Services 14.1 5,287.6 374.2 (-28.7%) 5.0% Social Sciences 21.7 10,732.7 495.5 (-5.6%) 10.2% Interdisciplinary Studies 4.7 1,401.9 298.9 (-43.1%) 1.3% Total 257.8 105,470.9 409.1 (-22.1%) 100.0% State Target: WSCH/FTEF: 525.0 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research, 2002 Fall Semester & Maas Companies database; analysis by Maas Companies 4-18 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE C. Current Enrollment Characteristics and Trends An assessment of the current instructional program revisits the enrollment history and trends over the past seven years. Using the fall semesters for comparison, credit-enrollment has seen a healthy increase over this period of time. Year-to-year increases have ranged from a low of 1.93% (2000) to a high of 11.71 % (1999). The “current” trend for credit-enrollment growth reflects averages that are substantially above those of the state. The chart below provides a more graphic illustration of credit-enrollment growth over the view period. The data used was provided via the Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research. Chart 4.4 Victor Valley College - Credit Enrollment Trends 12,000 Students 10,000 8,000 6,000 Students 4,000 2,000 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research, Credit Enrollments; 2002 Fall Semester; analysis by Maas Companies 4-19 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Forecast for Future Program of Instruction Overview The projections that follow provide a guideline for the instructional program of the future. These projections take into account the current and past trends of the college relative to curricular offerings, anticipated changes in the instructional delivery methods and balance in the curriculum. Data for the instructional program has also been keyed to other colleges throughout the state vis-àvis the Maas Companies database that includes information from more than 74 of the 107 community colleges in California. The projections presented herein use credit-WSCH as the primary criterion for designing the instructional program model. Applying this to the program of instruction of the future, program models are provided at points in time when credit-WSCH generation reaches 145,473 and student enrollment is 15,203 (estimated to be the year 2010) and when credit-WSCH generation is 217,390 and student enrollment reaches 22,182 (estimated to be 2020). The projections generated for forecasting used the 2002 fall semester as a baseline, when credit-WSCH generation was 105,471 and student enrollment 11,238. It should be noted that the application of growth in the various instructional disciplines has been forecasted at varying rates, i.e. not being linear or relational in its application. External and internal factors, demographics, past performance, projected need, and curriculum balance caused each instructional discipline to respond differently to the forecasting process. The following references and resources were used in the forecasting process: 1. 2002 Victor Valley Community College District, Report 17 ASF/OGSF Summary and the Capacities Summary (as amended April 2003), an inventory of facilities that is recorded with the State Chancellor’s Office. 2. The 2002 Weekly Student Contact Hours (WSCH) Comparison Report for all state community colleges (published by the State Chancellor’s Office). 3. A myriad of enrollment and performance data provided via the Victor Valley Community College District, Office of Institutional Research. 4. The Maas Companies database that is comprised of information from 74 community colleges within the state for which Maas Companies has completed educational and facility master plans. 4-20 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE WSCH and FTES Profile for 145,473 Credit-WSCH (Projected Year 2010) At a time when credit-WSCH reaches 145,473, active class sections for a given semester at Victor Valley College are projected to be 1,378. FTES (for a given semester) are projected to be 4,849 (9,698 for a traditional academic year), enrollment 15,203 and credit-WSCH per enrollment at 9.60. Emphasis has been placed on moving credit-WSCH per class section closer to the statewide averages. Table 4.8 INSTRUCTIONAL PROGRAM 2010: 145,473 CREDIT-WSCH TOPS DIVISION Agriculture Biological Sciences Business & Management Communication Computer & Information Science Education Engineering & Indus Tech Fine and Applied Art Foreign Language Health Consumer & Family Studies Humanities Mathematics Physical Sciences Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies Total Source: Maas Companies Projections CODE SECTIONS 0100 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1500 1700 1900 2000 2100 2200 4900 13 41 132 4 72 102 94 99 33 61 33 232 121 33 50 77 147 34 1,378 4-21 WSCH 1,277.9 8,110.5 9,722.2 396.4 8,712.6 10,106.2 10,628.7 8,993.7 5,007.2 10,551.3 2,806.1 19,236.7 14,576.9 5,381.4 5,453.3 7,312.2 15,062.4 2,137.6 145,473.2 FTES/ SEMESTER 42.6 270.4 324.1 13.2 290.4 336.9 354.3 299.8 166.9 351.7 93.5 641.2 485.9 179.4 181.8 243.7 502.1 71.3 4,849.1 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE WSCH and FTES Profile for 217,390 Credit-WSCH (Projected Year 2020) When credit-WSCH of 217,390 is attained (following table) at Victor Valley College, the number of class sections for a given semester is projected to be 1,881. Enrollment, at this time, is forecasted to reach 22,182 and credit-WSCH per enrollment 9.8. Operating at a higher productivity level and moving closer to the statewide averages, the forecast calls for the college to reach semester FTES of 7,246 (14,492 for a traditional academic year). Table 4.9 INSTRUCTIONAL PROGRAM 2020: 217,390 WSCH TOPS DIVISION Agriculture Biological Sciences Business & Management Communication Computer & Information Science Education Engineering & Indus Tech Fine and Applied Art Foreign Language Health Consumer & Family Studies Humanities Mathematics Physical Sciences Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies Total Source: Maas Companies Projections CODE SECTIONS 0100 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1500 1700 1900 2000 2100 2200 4900 18 56 173 6 101 134 117 132 45 84 44 311 172 48 69 102 208 61 1,881 4-22 WSCH 1,907.3 12,105.1 14,628.9 630.0 13,442.9 14,827.5 15,599.3 13,394.7 7,021.7 15,987.6 4,496.9 28,742.3 21,695.0 8,190.9 7,944.0 10,943.0 21,894.1 3,938.9 217,390.0 FTES/ SEMESTER 63.6 403.5 487.6 21.0 448.1 494.3 520.0 446.5 234.1 532.9 149.9 958.1 723.2 273.0 264.8 364.8 729.8 131.3 7,246.3 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Profile for Lecture and Laboratory WSCH: 145,473 Credit-WSCH - Year 2010 The following table provides a perspective for lecture and laboratory WSCH ratios at a point when the total credit-WSCH at Victor Valley College reaches 145,473 and student enrollment reaches 15,203. Broken down, credit-WSCH generated from lecture hours are projected to be 87,387 while credit-WSCH generated from laboratory hours are forecasted to reach 58,086. Table 4.10 PROJECTIONS FOR LECTURE VERSUS LABORATORY WSCH 2010: 145,473 WSCH TOPS DIVISION Agriculture Biological Sciences Business & Management Communication Computer & Info. Science Education Engineering & Indus Tech Fine and Applied Art Foreign Language Health Cons. & Family Studies Humanities Mathematics Physical Sciences Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies Total Source: Maas Companies Projections CODE 0100 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1500 1700 1900 2000 2100 2200 4900 SECTIONS LEC WSCH 13 41 132 4 72 102 94 99 33 61 33 232 121 33 50 77 147 34 1,378 4-23 1,086.2 3,649.7 7,291.6 317.1 2,178.2 505.3 2,125.7 3,597.5 3,755.4 3,165.3 1,683.7 16,350.8 13,119.2 2,152.5 5,180.6 5,849.7 14,309.3 1,068.8 87,386.9 LAB WSCH 191.7 4,460.8 2,430.5 79.3 6,534.5 9,600.9 8,502.9 5,396.2 1,251.8 7,385.8 1,122.4 2,885.4 1,457.7 3,228.8 272.7 1,462.4 753.1 1,068.8 58,085.8 TOT WSCH 1,277.9 8,110.5 9,722.2 396.4 8,712.6 10,106.2 10,628.7 8,993.7 5,007.2 10,551.3 2,806.1 19,236.7 14,576.9 5,381.4 5,453.3 7,312.2 15,062.4 2,137.6 145,473.2 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Profile for Lecture and Laboratory WSCH: 217,390 Credit-WSCH - Year 2020 Lecture and laboratory WSCH ratios are projected to a point in time when Victor Valley College reaches a semester credit-WSCH generation of 217,390 and a student enrollment of 22,182. The lecture to laboratory ratio is forecasted to be approximately 3 to 2, as noted in the table below. Table 4.11 PROJECTIONS FOR LECTURE VERSUS LABORATORY WSCH 2020: 217,390 WSCH TOPS DIVISION Agriculture Biological Sciences Business & Management Communication Computer & Info. Science Education Engineering & Indus Tech Fine and Applied Art Foreign Language Health Cons. & Family Studies Humanities Mathematics Physical Sciences Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies Total Source: Maas Companies Projections CODE 0100 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1500 1700 1900 2000 2100 2200 4900 SECTIONS LEC WSCH LAB WSCH 18 56 173 6 101 134 117 132 45 84 44 311 172 48 69 102 208 61 1,881 4-24 1,621.2 5,447.3 10,971.7 504.0 3,360.7 741.4 3,119.9 5,357.9 5,266.2 4,796.3 2,698.1 24,430.9 19,525.5 3,276.3 7,546.8 8,754.4 20,799.4 1,969.4 130,187.5 286.1 6,657.8 3,657.2 126.0 10,082.2 14,086.1 12,479.4 8,036.8 1,755.4 11,191.3 1,798.8 4,311.3 2,169.5 4,914.5 397.2 2,188.6 1,094.7 1,969.4 87,202.5 TOT WSCH 1907.3 12105.1 14628.9 630.0 13442.9 14827.5 15599.3 13394.7 7021.7 15987.6 4496.9 28742.3 21695.0 8190.9 7944.0 10943.0 21894.1 3938.9 217,390.0 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE The Determination of Space Capacity Overview When space needs are projected, a total square footage requirement is compared against current space holdings. This comparison results in a net space capacity. The following sections provide a definition of capacity, a listing and explanation of the utilization and planning standards used to determine capacity and net space capacity in all categories of educational space for the college and the college centers. Facilities Inventory The inventory of facilities is an important tool in planning and managing college campuses. The California Community Colleges Facilities Inventory Manual includes descriptive data on buildings and rooms for each college district. This information is essential for developing the annual Fiveyear Capital Construction Plan and for scheduling and controlling campus space. In addition, planning for new capital outlay construction projects, projecting future facilities, developing capital outlay and deferred maintenance budgets and analyzing space utilization are tasks that rely heavily on the facilities inventory documents and procedures. The Education Code mandates an annual inventory of all facilities in the district. This document, i.e., the 2002 Victor Valley Community College District Report 17 ASF/OGSF Summary and Capacities Summary (as amended, April 2003), was used as the basis for the facility assessment. The facilities inventory, as stated, has been integrated into the current database and used for the projection of future building requirements for the college. Existing and Future Space Capacity By combining existing and future enrollment estimates with appropriate space use standards, space capacity for the current year, or for future years, can be developed. Space capacity is the direct relationship between the amount of space available, by type, which may be used to serve students, and the number of students participating in campus programs. Space capacity analysis typically includes the following types of spaces: 4-25 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Table 4.12 STANDARD SPACE CATEGORIES USED FOR CAMPUS ASSESSMENT Classrooms Non-class laboratories Teaching laboratories Library/learning resources Offices Audio visual, radio and television (Instructional media) facilities Teaching gym Food service Lounge Bookstore Health services Theatre Meeting room Data processing Physical plant Assembly/Exhibition The space categories presented in the preceding table represent the majority of the total educational and general facility space on a typical community college campus. Space capacity analysis enables an institution to identify the types of space it needs and/or the types of space it holds in excess. The analysis of space capacity forms the core of the facilities plan. Space Utilization and Planning Standards To determine space capacity requirements for a college's enrollment, the enrollment itself, or an appropriate form thereof, is applied to a set of standards for each type of space. Title 5 of the California Administrative Code (Sections 57000-57140) prescribes standards for the utilization and planning of most educational facilities in public community colleges. These standards, when applied to the total number of students served (or some variant thereof, e.g., weekly student contact hours), produce total capacity requirements that are expressed in assignable square feet (space available for assignment to occupants). The Title 5 space planning standards used to determine both existing and future capacity requirements are presented in the tables that follow. Listed are the Prescribed Space Standards and the state standard used to determine ASF for laboratory space. Each component of the standards is mathematically equated to produce a total assignable square foot (ASF) capacity requirement for each category of space. 4-26 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Table 4.13 PRESCRIBED SPACE STANDARDS CATEGORY Classrooms Teaching Labs Offices/Conference Rooms Library/Learning Resource Center Instructional Media AV/TV/Radio FORMULA RATES/ ALLOWANCES ASF/Student Station Station utilization rate Ave hrs room/week ASF/student station * Station utilization rate Ave hrs room/week ASF per FTEF Base ASF Allowance ASF 1st 3,000 DGE ASF/3001-9,000 DGE ASF<9,000 Base ASF Allowance ASF 1st 3,000 DGE ASF/3001-9,000 DGE ASF<9,000 15 66% 53 * 85% 27.5 140 3,795 3.83 3.39 2.94 3,500 1.50 0.75 0.25 * See following Table Table 4.14 STATE STANDARDS ASSIGNABLE SQUARE FEET FOR LABORATORY SPACE TOPS DIVISION CODE ASF/STATION ASF/100 WSCH Agriculture 0100 115 Architecture 0200 60 Biological Science 0400 55 Business / Mgt. 0500 30 Communications 0600 50 Computer Info. Systems 0700 40 Education/PE 0800 75 Engineering Tech/Industrial Tech 0900 200 Fine/Applied Arts 1000 60 Foreign Language 1100 35 Health Science 1200 50 Consumer Ed/Child Development 1300 60 Law 1400 35 Humanities 1500 50 Mathematics 1700 35 Physical Science 1900 60 Psychology 2000 35 Public Affairs/Services 2100 50 Social Science 2200 35 Commercial 3000 50 Interdisciplinary 4900 60 Source: Maas Companies - Calculations based on California Code of Regulations Title 5, Chapter 8 Section 57028 4-27 492 257 233 128 214 171 321 856 257 150 214 257 150 214 150 257 150 214 150 214 257 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Computation of FTE Instructional Staff The sample worksheet in the following table is required to be completed by the district with the submission of the Five-Year Capital Construction Plan. This worksheet must be updated and submitted each subsequent year by the district. For long-term planning purposes, this worksheet is used to project future staffing for the instructional program at the college. Table 4.15 WORKSHEET FOR COMPUTING FTE INSTRUCTION STAFF* CATEGORY NON INSTRUCTIONAL PORTION FTE PROFESSIONIONAL INSTRUCTIONAL & STATUTORY STAFF FTE NET TOTAL STATUTORY STAFF FTE Instructors Counselors Department Admin Librarians Instructional Admin Totals Source: Maas and Companies and State Chancellors Office *Please note that this chart must be completed prior to completing Five-Year Capital Construction Plan The five categories of Full Time Equivalent (FTE) staff are specified and defined as follows: Instructors: Included are the professional instructional staffs for day, extended-day, and adult education, except those whose offices are located off campus. Counsellors: Includes the professional counselling staff, special programs coordinators, extended opportunity program coordinators, statutory and Title 5 required staff. Department Administrators: Includes professional staff responsible for coordinating or supervising departmental activities. This category is dependent upon the organizational structure of the college, but is generally defined as the department chair for an instructional or support service area. Librarians: Professional librarians and directors of media services. Institutional Administrators: Professional administrators with responsibilities covering the entire institution such as a President, Vice President, Deans, Business managers, etc. This category generally covers all administrators above the department level. 4-28 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Non-State Space Standards The state provides standards for utilization and planning for more than 60% of all types of spaces on campus. Capacity estimates for those remaining spaces, representing approximately 40%, are based on a combination of factors including the size and/or nature of the institution. Standards for the remaining types of spaces are presented in the following table. These standards were determined based on a national study of space standards and discussions with colleagues in the California Community Colleges and the Chancellor's Office. Table 4.16 NON-STATE STANDARD CAMPUS BUILDINGS CATEGORY OF SPACE BASIS ASF/FACTOR Non-class Laboratory 0.095ASF per headcount student Teaching Gym Greater of 2.5 ASF per FTES or 35,000 ASF Assembly/Exhibition ASF Equal to Student Headcount Food Service 0.60 ASF per Student Headcount Lounge 0.67 ASF per FTES Bookstore 1,500 ASF plus 0.67 ASF per Student Headcount Health Service ASF Allowance Meeting Room 0.333 ASF per Student Headcount Childcare Greater of 0.4 ASF per Headcount or 6,000 ASF Data Processing ASF Allowance Physical Plant ASF Allowance All Other Space ASF Allowance Source: Maas Companies & State Chancellor’s Office 0.095 2.5-35,000 100% 0.60 0.67 0.75 1,200 0.333 0.40 – 6,000 5,000 5% of Total 2.5% of Total Methodology and Projections for Future Capacity The determination of future capacity requirements for the college and/or centers is included in the following methodology: Enrollment estimates, or the appropriate form thereof, were applied in combination with appropriate space planning standards (space planning standards were presented in the preceding pages) to result in a total space requirement in ASF by type of space. The current space inventory for the college was subtracted from the total space requirements described above in step one to result in the net ASF need by type of space for the building/facilities plan for 2020. The result, net assignable square footage by type of space for the 2020, was translated into the facility codes used by the state to evaluate and authenticate the space needs projections. 4-29 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE The quantifiable calculations for assignable square footage begin with Table 2 the current instructional program and credit-WSCH for the college (2002 Fall Semester). Table 8 through Table 11 project class sections and credit-WSCH that will be generated by each instructional discipline and TOPS code division as the college achieves credit-WSCH of 145,473 and enrollment of 15,203 (projected for 2010) and 217,390 credit-WSCH and 22,182 enrollment (projected for 2020). The WSCH information generated becomes the basis for the projection of future facility requirements for the college and/or centers of the district. Current Campus Inventory Included in the following table is a current facilities inventory for the college as taken from the 2002 Victor Valley Community College District Report 17 ASF/OGSF Summary and Capacities Summary (as amended June 2003) as part of the State Chancellor’s Office Report. The breakdown is provided by the numeric system used by the state to categorize campus facilities. Table 4.17 FACILITIES INVENTORY – YEAR 2002 ROOM USE CATEGORY 000 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-740 800 DESCRIPTION ASF Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Non Class Laboratory Office/Conference Library Physical Education (Indoor) Instructional Media (AV/TV) Clinic/Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/Exhibition Food Service Lounge/Lounge Service Merchandise Facility/Bookstore Meeting /Recreation Data Processing/Comp Physical Plant Health Service 5,026 41,172 72,052 45,279 47,086 30,778 4,654 18,558 4,515 19,410 10,442 3,082 7,132 6,706 4,709 20,254 1,001 TOTAL ASF 341,856 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Space Inventory and Building Facilities Report 17, as amended June 2003 4-30 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Assignable Square Footage Required for the 2010 Instructional Program The following table provides an assignable square footage allocation by TOPS Code division for lecture and laboratory space to meet the instructional program when 145,473 credit-WSCH and 15,203 enrollments are achieved by Victor Valley College. The data presented is based on the State Chancellor’s Office requirements for lecture/laboratory space as calculated per Title 5 standards. Table 4.8 ASSIGNABLE SQUARE FEET- YEAR 2010 TOPS DIVISION CODE SECTIONS LEC ASF LAB ASF TOT ASF Agriculture 0100 13 191.9 4,086.7 4,278.6 Biological Sciences 0400 41 1,391.8 11,338.5 12,730.3 Business & Management 0500 132 3,128.1 3,111.1 6,239.2 Communication 0600 4 59.5 551.4 610.9 Computer & Information Sci 0700 72 1,868.9 7,405.7 9,274.6 Education 0800 102 216.8 * 216.8 Engineering & Indus Tech 0900 94 1,595.9 26,598.0 28,193.9 Fine and Applied Art 1000 99 1,543.3 13,868.3 15,411.6 Foreign Language 1100 33 1,718.5 1,502.2 3,220.7 Health 1200 61 1,810.6 13,547.7 15,358.3 Consumer & Family Studies 1300 33 722.3 2,884.7 3,607.0 Humanities 1500 232 7,427.1 2,885.4 10,312.5 Mathematics 1700 121 5,628.2 2,186.5 7,814.7 Physical Sciences 1900 33 923.4 8,298.1 9,221.5 Psychology 2000 50 2,222.5 409.0 2,631.5 Public Affairs/Services 2100 77 2,352.7 3,912.0 6,264.7 Social Sciences 2200 147 6,138.7 1,129.7 7,268.4 Interdisciplinary Studies 4900 34 366.8 3,296.2 3,663.0 Total 1,378 39,307 107,011 146,318 Source: Maas Companies Projections * P.E. laboratory space is calculated as a separate item, as different Title 5 criteria applies. ASF for this category is found in the Building Requirements Section 4-31 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Assignable Square Footage Required for the 2020 Instructional Program A projection for the assignable square footage required to meet the lecture/laboratory space needs at Victor Valley College for the Year 2020 is provided in the following table. The data is predicated on a credit-WSCH base of 217,390 and a student enrollment of 22,182. Table 4.19 ASSIGNABLE SQUARE FEET- YEAR 2020 TOPS DIVISION CODE SECTIONS LEC ASF LAB ASF TOT ASF Agriculture 0100 18 286.4 6,099.7 6,386.1 Biological Sciences 0400 56 2,077.2 16,922.9 19,000.1 Business & Management 0500 173 4,706.9 4,681.3 9,388.2 Communication 0600 6 94.6 876.3 970.9 Computer & Information Sci 0700 101 2,883.5 11,426.5 14,310.0 Education 0800 134 318.1 * 318.1 Engineering & Indus Tech 0900 117 2,342.2 39,037.0 41,379.2 Fine and Applied Art 1000 132 2,298.5 20,654.7 22,953.2 Foreign Language 1100 45 2,409.8 2,106.5 4,516.3 Health 1200 84 2,743.5 20,528.0 23,271.5 Consumer & Family Studies 1300 44 1,157.5 4,622.8 5,780.3 Humanities 1500 311 11,097.4 4,311.3 15,408.7 Mathematics 1700 172 8,376.4 3,254.2 11,630.6 Physical Sciences 1900 48 1,405.6 12,630.3 14,035.9 Psychology 2000 69 3,237.6 595.8 3,833.4 Public Affairs/Services 2100 102 3,520.9 5,854.5 9,375.4 Social Sciences 2200 208 8,922.9 1,642.1 10,565.0 Interdisciplinary Studies 4900 61 675.9 6,073.8 6,749.7 Total 1,881 58,555 161,318 219,873 Source: Maas Companies Projections * P.E. laboratory space is calculated as a separate item, as different Title 5 criteria applies. ASF for this category is found in the Building Requirements Section 4-32 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Total Net Assignable Square Footage for Victor Valley College Facilities: Year 2010 Using data from the previous tables and calculating the formulas for both Prescribed and Nonprescribed State Space Standards, Table 14 provides a net analysis of assignable square footage for all campus facilities at Victor Valley College. The table below is based on at a point in time when credit-WSCH reaches 145,473 and student enrollment 15,203. The data provided is formatted to be consistent with the state Chancellor’s office facilities space coding system. The forecast is based on a target year of 2010 or whenever 145,473 credit-WSCH is achieved for a given semester. Table 4.20 TOTAL BUILDING REQUIREMENTS – YEAR 2010 SPACE CATEGORY 000 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 DESCRIPTION Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Non Class Lab Office/Conference Library Phys Education (Indoor) Instruct Media (AV/TV) Clinic/Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/Exhibition Food Service Lounge/Lounge Service Bookstore Meeting /Recreation Data Processing/Comp Physical Plant Health Service TOTAL ASF CURRENT ASF 5,026 41,172 72,052 45,279 47,086 30,778 4,654 18,558 4,515 19,410 10,442 3,082 7,132 6,706 4,709 20,254 1,001 341,856 ASF FOR 2010 0 39,307 107,011 1,444 56,760 53,862 35,000 14,051 6,081 0 15,203 9,122 3,249 11,686 5,063 5,000 18,202 1,200 382,240 +/ANALYSIS (5,026) (1,865) 34,959 1,444 11,481 6,776 4,222 9,397 (12,477) (4,515) (4,207) (1,320) 167 4,554 (1,643) 291 (2,052) 199 40,385 NEED 34,959 1,444 11,481 6,776 4,222 9,397 167 4,554 291 199 73,490 Source: Maas Companies Projections 4-33 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Total Net Assignable Square Footage for Victor Valley College Facilities: Year 2020 Table 15 provides a net analysis of assignable square footage for all campus facilities at Victor Valley College for the year 2020 or at a point when credit-WSCH reaches 217,390 and student enrollment 22,182 for a given semester. The overall space needs at this time will exceed a half-million square feet. A total of more than 200,000 assignable square feet in new building space will be required to meet the projected demand. Table 4.21 SPACE CATEGORY 000 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 TOTAL BUILDING REQUIREMENTS – YEAR 2020 DESCRIPTION CURRENT ASF FOR +/ASF ANALYSIS 2020 Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Non Class Lab Office/Conference Library Phys Education (Indoor) Instruct Media (AV/TV) Clinic/Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/Exhibition Food Service Lounge/Lounge Service Bookstore Meeting /Recreation Data Processing/Comp Physical Plant Health Service TOTAL ASF 5,026 41,172 72,052 45,279 47,086 30,778 4,654 18,558 4,515 19,410 10,442 3,082 7,132 6,706 4,709 20,254 1,001 341,856 58,555 161,318 2,107 71,593 74,380 35,000 15,796 8,873 22,182 13,309 4,855 16,362 7,387 5,000 24,896 1,200 522,813 (5,026) 17,383 89,266 2,107 26,314 27,294 4,222 11,142 (9,685) (4,515) 2,772 2,867 1,773 9,230 681 291 4,642 199 180,957 NEED 17,383 89,266 2,107 26,314 27,294 4,222 11,142 2,772 2,867 1,773 9,230 681 291 4,642 199 200,183 Source: Maas Companies Projections 4-34 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE Off-Campus Educational Centers Based on the demographic data viewed and the projected growth of the service area, the district will need to address the addition of a least one educational center over the next fifteen years. This center will need to meet the criteria of being highly accessible, be located in an area that is currently underserved by the district, have a population base is that is sufficient to support student enrollment. Using these measures, it would appear that the district’s Westside would be a strong candidate for the first educational center. The district should develop an action plan that results in securing a site for this purpose, either by means of purchase, donation or as a joint-venture project with a public or private agency. A prime target area for the center would be in the triangle that is presently framed by US Route 395, Interstate 15 and State Route 18. As projected, the need for this educational center will become more acute after year 2010 and become a reality sometime after 2015. Given the parameters described, the center would have an opening day profile of 12,825 credit-WSCH, an enrollment of 2,850, and an assignable space requirement of approximately 33,500 square feet. The table that follows captures the total facility needs at opening. Table 4.22 SPACE CATEGORY 000 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 TOTAL BUILDING REQUIREMENTS – YEAR 2010 DESCRIPTION CURRENT ASF FOR +/ASF ANALYSIS 2015 Inactive Area Classroom Laboratory Non Class Lab Office/Conference Library Phys Education (Indoor) Instruct Media (AV/TV) Clinic/Demonstration Greenhouse Assembly/Exhibition Food Service Lounge/Lounge Service Bookstore Meeting /Recreation Data Processing/Comp Physical Plant Health Service TOTAL ASF - 3,851 9,888 271 4,909 1,400 1,200 3,500 2,850 650 425 850 1,050 550 1,592 450 33,436 3,851 9,888 271 4,909 1,400 1,200 3,500 2,850 650 425 850 1,050 550 1,592 450 33,436 NEED 3,851 9,888 271 4,909 1,400 1,200 3,500 2,850 650 425 850 1,050 550 1,592 450 33,436 Source: Maas Companies Projections 4-35 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 4 – A VISION FOR THE FUTURE 4-36 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES Facilities/Building Plan EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN OVERVIEW A number of factors were taken into consideration in determining the facilities/building plan for the Victor Valley Community College District. Chief among these were the space needs identified in the space quantification component of the master plan, as the facilities plan is a reflection of the district’s program of instruction and the student services required to support that program of instruction. Consideration was also given to the existing physical condition and capacity of the Victor Valley College, matching this with the need determined for the future. In order to determine facility needs of the future, planning assumptions were created. These assumptions provided the foundation and rationale for decision-making as well as the shape and form for the recommended facilities/building plan that follows. I. FACILITY PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS A. Facility planning begins with an assessment of the students who are served by the district, i.e. those who use the facilities created. In this regard, the following trends were noted and used as a basis for projecting for the future: 1. Although non-credit offerings are projected to grow in relative values, the future trends indicate that Victor Valley students will predominantly be attending courses that are credit-oriented in nature. 2. The female student will dominate 3:2, there will be a greater diversity among the ethnic groups that comprise the student body. 3. Enrollments will continue to be dominated by the 18-24 year population segment (25%) but that the college will increasingly attract an older, life-long-learning type of student. 5-1 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN 4. Students taking full time loads will show a slow, declining trend while students taking six credits or less will increase. 5. Many of the incoming students will be under-prepared for college level academics. 6. Most students will be working in addition to pursuing an education. B. The district will have a balanced curriculum of general education/transfer, vocational/technical education and developmental education. Distance education will take a higher profile relative to delivering the future program of instruction. C. The availability and use of technology in the classroom will be consistent with competing colleges in the area. D. While instructional delivery will change and the program of instruction adapted to meet changing needs, the core curriculum at Victor Valley College and/or the educational centers of the district, will generally remain devoted to its current purpose and mission. E. Lecture and laboratory hours taught will sometimes be difficult to discern. With computers and in-classroom technology used to deliver the program of instruction, there will be a blended facility that supports both methodologies of program delivery. F. Instructional productivity will be improved to meet operational efficiency relative to the generation of weekly student contact hours (WSCH), full time equivalent students (FTES) and full time equivalent faculty (FTEF). The district will maximize its operational efficiency relative to its funding from the state. G. The scheduling of courses will be improved to guarantee maximum utilization of existing facility space. H. The role of student support services will be expanded to assist in helping students become successful. Tutorial support and learning resources will be utilized to improve the student success rate within the District. 5-2 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN I. Combined in-district and out-of-district student participation rates will improve from the current 38.51 students per 1,000 population to 52.78 students per 1,000 population by the year 2020. The District will meet its projected growth targets for 2020 of 217,390 credit-WSCH and 22,182 enrollment. J. Greater emphasis will be placed on student attraction and recruitment, particularly as it applies to the district’s service area demographics for Caucasian and Hispanic students. Improvements will also be made in retaining students at the college and/or educational centers. K. The population of the district’s effective service area will reach 420,299 by 2020. L. The district’s organization structure will remain the same through the year 2020, i.e. a single college district with satellite campuses or educational centers that support the academic mission. Off-campus satellite programs will grow at rates proportional to the enrollment that supports their existence. M. The district will purchase property somewhere in the junctions of US 395 and Interstate 15 to better serve the population base in the western portion of the service area. N. The district will pursue new sources of revenue to actualize a facilities program that will include new construction, reconstruction, renovation and infrastructure upgrades. 5-3 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN II. EXISTING FACILITIES CONDITIONS AND CURRENT PLANS The following components were assessed and reviewed to determine the existing facilities inventory, the current use of buildings, the condition and age of facilities, and any current plans of the District that were oriented to new construction, reconstruction, remodel, or refurbishing: A. Existing Buildings and Building Use B. The College’s Current Scheduled Maintenance Plan C. The College’s Five-Year Capital Construction Plan D. Capacity Load Ratios for the Five Key Facility Areas A. Existing Buildings and Building Use: A large percentage of the buildings on the campus were found to be in excess of thirty years of age; several data back to the time period that marks the beginning of Victor Valley College. More recent construction was also in evidence, characterized by buildings such as the Child Development Center, Science Building, Learning Resource Center and Main Gymnasium, all of which have been built over the last ten years. Overall, the current building analysis indicates a need for replacement/reconstruction and remodel as well as a future need for new construction. The table on the following page provides a composite view of the existing building inventory on the Victor Valley campus. 5-4 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN Table 5.1 CURRENT BUILDING ANALYSIS BLDG # AGE Academic Commons Administration Child Develop Ctr Music Bldg Digital Anim Lab Art Bldg Liberal Arts Science Lab Bldg Allied Health/Nurs Central Plant Learning Res Ctr Elevator Student Act Ctr Student Services #2 Humanities portabls Student Serv #1 Ticket Booth Performing Arts Ctr Counseling/Admin Ag-Plant Lab Welding Lab Electronics Lab CIDG Automotive Shop Construction Tech Lower Portables Main Gym Gym Classroom Costume Shop PE Offices Humanities Center Auto Print Shop Warehouse Maintenance/Trans Maintenance Office Fire Technology Admin Annex Child Devel B Child Devel C Allied Health Port. Ag-Class Lab Ag- Natural Res. Grounds/Athletics TOTAL 3 10 12 20 21 22 30 31 32 39 41 43 44 50 51 52 53 54 55 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 71 72 73 75 80 90 91 92 93 94 101 121 122 321 601 602 711 38 Yrs 28 Yrs 1 Yr 39 Yrs 8 Yrs 32 Yrs 38 Yrs 7 Yrs 20 Yrs 7 Yrs 7 Yrs 8 Yrs 6 Yrs 38 Yrs 13 Yrs 38 Yrs 2 Yrs 22 Yrs 14 Yrs 31 Yrs 23 Yrs 33 Yrs 23 Yrs 33 Yrs 8 Yrs. 5 Yrs 9 Yrs 29 Yrs 33 Yrs 8 Yrs 3 Yrs 1 Yr 24 Yrs 25 Yrs 15 Yrs 28 Yrs 9 Yrs 4 Yrs 4 Yrs 12 Yrs 33 Yrs 8 Yrs 33 Yrs RMS 32 33 22 13 2 13 50 59 19 3 27 2 59 33 106 72 1 12 35 5 1 8 3 24 9 18 22 2 1 6 51 6 8 4 6 6 19 5 4 14 1 7 2 825 ASF OGFT % EFF. USE 12,376 11,003 6,893 8,308 1,796 8,640 17,052 24,372 7,805 2,612 33,135 219 26,114 5,657 2,619 7,277 270 15,206 7,867 4,910 2,862 6,442 3,196 13,770 10,040 9,403 31,499 2,296 1,320 567 19,202 7,849 6,954 1,957 1,672 2,230 5,327 1,928 2,400 2,141 1,274 1,682 1,432 341,574 14,752 14,442 7,760 10,002 1,920 10,306 22,022 36,400 10,064 2,720 40,417 1,156 36,200 9,272 2,880 9,272 336 21,073 13,124 5,432 3,050 7,080 3,336 17,970 13,039 10,560 40,385 2,400 1,488 960 23,040 9,000 7,651 2,294 2,440 3,344 7,258 2,880 2,682 2,880 1,280 1,920 1,464 437,951 83.9% 76.2% 88.8% 83.1% 93.5% 83.8% 77.4% 67.0% 77.6% 96.0% 82.0% 18.9% 72.1% 61.0% 90.9% 78.5% 80.4% 72.2% 59.9% 90.4% 93.8% 91.0% 95.8% 76.6% 77.0% 89.0% 78.0% 95.7% 88.7% 59.1% 83.3% 87.2% 90.9% 85.3% 68.5% 66.7% 73.4% 66.9% 89.5% 74.3% 99.5% 87.6% 97.8% 78.0% Learning Res Support Offices/Mtg. Rms Child Care/Demon Class Lab Class Lab Class Lab/Exhibition Lec, Lab, Off, Mtg Rms Class Lab/Lab Serv, Plan. Class Labs/Demon Utility/M&O Library/Learning Res Utility Service Student Activities Offices/Conf/Mtg Rms Class Lecture Portables Offices, Conf Areas Service Assembly, Class Lab Offices, Conf, Mtg Areas Class Lab Class Lab Class Lab Class Lab/Demon Class Lab/Demon Class Lab/Demon Class Lecture Portables Phys Ed Activities Class Lab Service/Support/Storage Offices Class Lecture Portables Support/Service Support/Storage Support/Storage Offices Class Lecture/Offices Offices Class Lab/Demonstration Class Lab/Demonstration Class Lab/Demonstration Special Lab/Storage Class Lecture/Lab Storage Source: Victor Valley College District Facility Building Report Summary; Analysis Maas Companies 5-5 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN B. Scheduled Maintenance The current Scheduled Maintenance program provides insight as to the issues and challenges of maintaining a campus that that has a significant number of older buildings. The projects listed below are those that require the immediate attention of the district, i.e. within the next five years. They are not indicative of the total repairs, upgrades and replacements that are presently exists on the campus. The current Scheduled Maintenance Program discloses that an amount of $2,340,550 has been earmarked for those concerns deemed most critical. Table 5.2 CURRENT SCHEDULED MAINTENANCE PROGRAM - 2003 - 2008 YEAR 2003 - 2004 sub total 2004 – 2005 sub total 2005 – 2006 sub total 2006 – 2007 sub total 2007 – 2008 AREA PROJECT EST. COST P.A.C., Aux. Gym Locker Rms. Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Roof Replace Replace Electrical Switch Gear Replace Phone System Upgrade Fire and Alarm Systems Repair Roads – Fish Hatchery, Phase I Gymnasium Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Repair Roof Sewer Line Upgrade Replace Doors, Locks, Existing Devices Refinish Exterior of Stucco Buildings Repair Roads – Jacaranda Phase II Science Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Repair Roof Replace Backflow Preventers Replace Fire Alarm System Repair Campus Sidewalks/Pathways Repair AG Parking Lot Administration/Counseling Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Repair Roof Replace Underground High Volt Wiring Repair Boiler/Chiller Paint Exterior Bldgs On Campus Repair Walkways-Concrete & A/C Fin. Student Activities Center Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Campus-wide Repair Roof Replace Underground Parking Lot Wiring Repair Pumps and Drives Replace Doors On Campus Repair Old Lighting Resurface Campus – Sealcoat Parking Lots sub total TOTAL $$90,000 $68,000 $385,000 $28,000 $185,000 $666,000 $65,000 $42,800 $240,000 $35,000 $185,000 $567,800 $63,500 $37,000 $28,250 $60,000 $12,000 $200,750 $86,000 $181,000 $130,000 $42,000 $123,000 $562,000 $48,000 $75,000 $85,000 $40,000 $28,000 $68,000 $344,000 $2,340,550 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, 2003– 2008 Five–Year Scheduled Maintenance Plan 5-6 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN C. The Five-Year Capital Construction Plan The Five-Year Capital Plan is primary planning document that qualifies the district for state funding of facilities. This plan is updated on an annual basis to reflect the changing dynamics and needs of the district. The table below depicts the current planning efforts relative to capital projects scheduled for the district. The district currently has eleven project proposals in the capital construction cue totaling $70,980,000. Table 5.3 FIVE-YEAR CAPITAL CONSTRUCTION PLAN PROJECT ASF START DATE COMPLETION Westside Center Phase I Space Efficiency Project Advanced Tech Bldg Auxiliary Gym-Seismic Retrofit Speech/Drama Studio Practice Fields/Track Project Safety/Security Road – Phase II Vocational Technical Bldg. Westside Center – Phase II Central Plant – Phase II Advanced Tech Bldg – Phase II 2,315 24,288 34,117 4,087 20,563 NA NA 11,518 17,800 NA NA 114,688 2001 2002 2002 2003 2003 2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2005 2002 2003 2004 2004 2006 2006 2006 2007 2007 2007 2007 EST. COST $235,000 $1,180,000 $18,660,000 $1,087,000 $9,339,000 $$6,186,000 $1,509,000 $16,995,000 $5,892,000 $2,990,000 $13,093,000 $70,980,000 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, 2002 Five-Year Capital Construction, dated 5/14/02 D. Capacity Load Ratios for the Five Key Facility Areas Based on data from the district’s 2002 Five-Year Capital Construction Program, an assessment of the five key areas tracked by the state relative to facility funding qualifications (i.e. space for lecture, laboratory, office, library and instructional media) indicates that Victor Valley College is under the capacity load ratios (the state’s standard for the amount of weekly student contact hours that must be generated per useable square foot of space) for laboratory (64%), library (59%), and instructional media (30%) and over in lecture space (116%) and office (109%). Areas that exhibit percentage ratios under 100% are considered as having a need for state supported funding; areas over the 100% ratio would not currently qualify for state supported funding. 5-7 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN III. ASSESSMENT OF KEY FACILITY PLANNING ELEMENTS Six key planning elements were identified in assessing the facility needs of the District. These elements included: A. Sense of Place B. Access C. Campus Architecture D. Land Utilization/Availability E. Supporting Infrastructure F. Existing Facilities Utilization A. Sense of Place The physical setting for the district’s existing campus, i.e. Victor Valley College, is largely reflective of the high desert communities that it serves, i.e. having a backdrop of low rising mountains to the north, flat plains to the east, gently flat to rolling topography to the south and the flat lands of commercial establishment that lead out to Interstate 15 to the west. The primary identity of the college is that of a moderately modern, post secondary institution that is part of a new and growing suburban area. The college’s campus identity is somewhat obscured, as it does not present particularly well from the main roadway, Bear Valley Road, the major east-west artery that serves the college. Visually accessing an entry point is difficult, physically navigating the three primary entry points to the college is equally challenging. The identity of the college does not become apparent until one is physically present on the upper campus site. The upper campus has been attractively built around a small man-made pond. Several new buildings serve as foreground to an expansive landscape of rolling to hilly topography that is prominent to the north, creating an attractive view corridor. The lower campus, with athletic facilities and fields, portable classrooms and vocational education 5-8 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN programs is somewhat more utilitarian in appearance. It can be viewed from the significant elevation difference of the upper campus. Victor Valley College is identified by the majority of its students as a local resource for meeting general education requirements and transfer to a four-year college or university, i.e. students view it as a portal to higher education. Secondarily, it is viewed as a resource for continuing education. Observations 1. The main (upper) portion of the campus is built around a common area that features a water amenity (small pond). Buildings are fairly accessible once on the campus giving students a sense of rapid familiarity. 2. Trees and landscape enhance the character of the campus. 3. A first-time visitor does not encounter unusual directional problems. The exception is Student Services, which is somewhat difficult to pinpoint and access for the campus newcomer. 4. Not all exterior lighting on the buildings, grounds and parking areas has been upgraded to illuminate walkways, stairways, etc. to the current standards. 5. The community’s perception relative to security on campus is generally good. Students generally feel secure in the environment of the college. Students attending evening classes have mixed perceptions about the degree of personal safety/security on campus. Lighting on the main portion of the campus is good. Lighting could be improved in some of the parking areas. B. Access The college lacks an official ingress and egress point. Bear Valley Road, a public right of way and major arterial, leads to three points of entry at Fish Hatchery Road (easterly boundary), at Jacaranda (the central internal loop of the college – an internal roadway of the college) and at Spring Valley Parkway (a public right-of-way and the westerly boundary of the college). Fish Hatchery Road serves the lower campus as well as a northwest-southeast point of access. Entering the college from this perspective provides for a relatively non-descript 5-9 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN point of arrival, particularly since the main part of the campus rises above to approximately a 40- foot or greater grade elevation change. A curvilinear drive - East Campus Road provides access to the main part of the campus. There is, however, no distinctive visual entry point, as Jacaranda Drive is a perimeter roadway that leads to parking. Observations 1. Access to the campus via the parking lots is haphazard and not particularly userfriendly. The parking areas west of Jacaranda Road require pedestrian traffic to navigate across this roadway to gain access to the main portion of the campus (upper campus). 2. Parking on campus needs to be reevaluated and redefined. At present there is not a consistent pattern for parking to support traffic flows. 3. Interior pedestrian walkways provide ease of movement through the campus. 4. The college will need to address the remaining architectural barriers for disabled students. 5. On-campus signage could be improved. First time students/users would find this particularly helpful. Overall, signage and internal navigation of the campus is rated as average. C. Campus Architecture - Opportunities and Challenges The campus is presently a combination of the old mixed with the new. Buildings on the campus do not have a common architectural theme. Rather, they are eclectic in nature, reflecting the, utilitarian architectural style of the 60’s as well as the contemporary architectural design of the late 1990’s and early 2000’s. From a visual perspective, the campus architecture and grounds present a positive image – particularly on the upper campus, where recent construction of the Library/Learning Resource Center, the remodel of the Academic Commons and the newer Student Activities Center frame the northeast boundary. The compactness of buildings on the southern portion of the campus gives a feeling of density that border on being overbuilt. Otherwise, 5-10 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN there is a relative sense of order, consistency and a feeling that students are on a campus of higher education. The lower campus features an older institutional look. It is mixed with the bulk of portable classrooms that support lecture space, house the (in-residence) on-campus four-year institutions, support physical education, vocational education and maintenance and operations. Overall, the physical layout of buildings on-campus could be improved. Architecturally, it is a challenging site with significant grade changes and very little level land that is available for new construction. Clustering of like academic and support services is sporadic, not indicative of a plan to create groupings of similar purpose and function. Student services functions are presently housed in different buildings. These buildings are not discernable from a marked point of ingress, but must be accessed on-foot by entering the campus. Observations – External Conditions 1. The interior grounds and exterior building facades generally make a positive architectural statement on the upper campus. 2. The lower campus needs to be tied into the upper campus visually as well as functionally (the elevator that presently exists is a start relative to this transition) 3. Because of the diversity in architectural design, the College will be challenged in blending the existing architectural designs and new building construction – this could be both a plus and minus. 4. Renovation and remodel will be as much of a need as new construction at Victor Valley College in the future. 5-11 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN Observations – Internal Conditions 1. The current building ratios of gross square footage to assignable square footage appear to be within the guidelines established by the state. Future architectural designs and plans should maintain this conformity. 2. The existing learning environments consist of traditional lecture/laboratory type classrooms that offer faculty limited flexibility for alternative instructional delivery. Future new and remodel building projects will need to address how traditional space can be modified to reflect open learning environments. 3. While current assignable square footage space (as listed in the College’s Space Inventory Report 17) shows lecture classrooms as adequate to meet the current enrollment, it is not well apportioned and tends to be lacking in consistency. Redesign for functional efficiency should be given top consideration in plans for the future. 4. The portable buildings that currently house Humanities should be removed and disciplines in this division integrated into the upper campus in a new building that is efficient. Almost all of the lecture spaces in the portable classrooms are too large for the classes using the space, resulting in poor room utilization ratios. Most are 900 square feet and house classes with 30 students or less. 5. Not all of the interior academic and meeting spaces are equipped to support a technologically advanced learning environment. 6. Office space is haphazard in its location on-campus. It is not well designed and, therefore, full utilization of space is poor. 7. The existing Liberal Arts Building is a key facility for the College, as it is the hub of lecture oriented instructional delivery that supports a majority of the oncampus disciplines 5-12 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN D. Land Utilization/Land Availability Victor Valley College is limited in its existing physical land capacity. Although the College presently owns approximately 230 acres of land, the available building area is severely compromised due to the topography. On the upper campus future expansion will be limited to the existing parking areas that are presently located between the Jacaranda Road and the west end of the campus and property to the easterly side of Spring Valley Parkway. A good portion of the lower campus is located in the flood plain making it better for ball fields and open recreation space. It would appear that the existing land utilization pattern will accommodate the projected growth through 2010. Growth by 2020 is projected to require over 200,000 assignable square feet to meet 217,390 credit-weekly student contact hours and an enrollment of 22,182 students. New building construction will need to displace existing parking areas as space becomes an issue. Prior to this time the college will need to expand its land holdings to include property that is adjacent to the campus or address the creation of a multilevel parking structure. Observations 1. In addition to the physical land space that will be required to meet new building construction, physical space will also be needed to accommodate the parking demand. As enrollment grows to 15,203 students (projected for 2010), the College will have a need for approximately 3,380 parking spaces. Based on the projections, this number would increase to 4,930 by 2020 or whenever total student enrollment reaches 22,182. A parking plan should receive major consideration in addressing any land utilization and/or land acquisition issues by the college. 2. Future land utilization should take into consideration creating better physical access to the college. Such things as vehicular circulation, pedestrian flows and ingress/egress points need to be systematically and simultaneously addressed with the consideration of any new construction. 5-13 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN 3. Attention should be given to preserving and expanding the landscaping component of the college. Landscaping should be given major consideration as a means of blending the different architectural styles on campus. Unlike parking, landscaping cannot be moved offcampus. It should receive the same degree of importance as the college’s building program. 4. Additional human and physical resources should be considered for the landscaping effort. Typically, community college districts in California allocate between 10% and 12% of their budget to maintenance and operation (including personnel and materials). E. Support Infrastructure Victor Valley College has both current and future infrastructure needs. An assessment of the existing infrastructure condition suggests that the college can anticipate spending between 15% and 25% of the cost of its building program on upgrading utility infrastructure and distribution systems to support future demand. Infrastructure should be considered as the backbone that supports the district’s building program. Observations 1. The college has addressed some of its immediate infrastructure needs through its recent construction projects. However, much of the supporting infrastructure is not adequate to meet the existing or planned student enrollment of the next 17 years, i.e. through 2020. Key infrastructure upgrades will need to be considered for the following: a. Telephone Service Upgrade b. Electrical Service Upgrade c. Water and Wastewater Services Upgrade d. Water Distribution System Upgrades/Retrofits (pressure values, hydrants, backflow devices) e. HVAC Source and Distribution Upgrades 5-14 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN 2. Technological infrastructure that is sufficient to meet the needs and demands of a post secondary institution of higher learning is a priority. The college needs to be able to communicate and interact both internally and with the external world. Upgrading of the college’s technological infrastructure also needs to include technology in the classroom. Many of the classrooms are lagging behind with respect to technologically advanced instructional support equipment. 3. The current program of replacement/repair will need to be further augmented to address the replacement of roofs and other on-campus support infrastructure such as lighting, campus walkways, elevators, etc. F. Current Facility Utilization The utilization ratios, i.e. available space (assignable square footage) as compared to demand (weekly student contact hours produced or WSCH) indicate that the college will need to become more productive in its use of facilities. Using the values for WSCH and space, the demand is currently less than the available space. Observations 1. Scheduling of classes reflects a four-day use pattern, i.e. Monday through Thursday. 2. The state standard for room utilization is 35 hours per lecture room per week and 24 hours per laboratory room per week. Class size data in relationship to room capacities indicates that the college is presently operating at a deficiency relative to academic space utilization, particularly for lecture classrooms. 3. There is a gap between the end of afternoon classes and the beginning of evening classes where facilities receive very little use. 5-15 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN 4. An analysis of lecture and laboratory space vis-à-vis weekly student contact hours generated indicates a total academic need for 112,669 assignable square footage for the current amount of weekly student contact hours generated. The college currently has 113,224 assignable square feet of academic space on its facilities inventory (reference table that follows) Table 5.4 ACADEMIC ASSIGNABLE SQUARE FEET ALLOTED VIA TITLE 5 STANDARD RE: CURRENT PROGRAM OF INSTRUCTION: 105,471 WSCH-11,238 STUDENTS TOPS DIVISION Architecture Biology Business & Management Communications Computer & Info Science Education Engineering Tech/Indus Tech Fine & Applied Arts Foreign Language Health Science Consumer Ed/Home Econ Humanities Mathematics Physical Science Psychology Public Affairs/Services Social Sciences Interdisciplinary Studies TOPS CODE LEC ASF 0200 0400 0500 0600 0700 0800 0900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1500 1700 1900 2000 2100 2200 4900 TOTAL LAB ASF TOTAL ASF 123.6 819.1 2,149.0 46.9 1,273.8 630.6 715.2 1,320.1 1,429.4 1,751.3 478.7 5,677.9 4,436.7 878.6 1,686.2 1,735.3 4,393.1 216.5 3,143.3 9,378.7 2,391.0 390.2 5,647.3 * 30,081.0 8,912.6 657.6 7,772.3 2,336.6 1,282.0 143.2 5,068.2 0.0 2,659.1 738.5 2,305.8 3,266.9 10,197.8 4,540.0 437.1 6,921.1 630.6 30,796.2 10,232.7 2,087.0 9,523.6 2,815.3 6,959.9 4,579.9 5,946.8 1,686.2 4,394.4 5,131.6 2,522.3 29,762 82,907 112,669 Source: By TOP Code Division, Title 5 Standards; Data taken from 2002 Fall Semester vis-à-vis Office Institutional Research; Analysis by Maas Companies. Data is for 2002 Fall Semester. * Physical Education ASF is determined by a different calculation. Per Title 5 Standards, an additional allowance of 35,000ASF is offered for Physical Education to meet enrollment demands of 11,238. 5-16 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN 5. The status of total facility utilization at Victor Valley College is noted in the table that follows. The data suggests that the district has some “head-room” in three of the five key categories - laboratory, library, instructional media (AV/TV) - but exceeds the facility utilization ratios (i.e. has more space than the Title 5 allotment) established for both lecture and office space. Specifically, for academic space, an analysis of space utilization indicates a surplus of lecture space of 11,380 assignable square feet and a deficit of laboratory space of 10,855. TABLE 5.5 CURRENT FACILITY INVENTORY AS COMPARED TO NEED CURRENT INVENTORY TITLE 5 ALLOTMENT DIFFERENTIAL CODE DESCRIPTION NEED 0 100 210-230 235-255 300 400 520-525 530-535 540-555 580 610-625 630-635 650-655 660-665 670-690 710-715 720-770 800 900 Inactive Classroom Laboratory Laboratory Service Office/Conference Library Phys Ed (Indoor) (AV/TV) Child Care, Clinic Greenhouse Assembly/Exhibition Food Service Lounge/Lounge Serv Bookstore Meeting /Recreation Data Proc/Comp Physical Plant Health Services Dormitories 5,026 41,172 72,052 45,279 47,086 30,778 4,654 18,558 4,515 19,410 10,442 3,082 7,132 6,706 4,709 20,254 1,001 - 0 29,792 82,907 1,068 44,268 42,205 35,000 13,060 4,495 0 11,238 6,743 2,356 9,029 3,742 5,000 14,605 1,200 0 (5,026) (11,380) 10,855 1,068 (1,011) (4,881) 4,222 8,406 (14,063) (4,515) (8,172) (3,699) (726) 1,897 (2,964) 291 (5,649) 199 - 10,855 1,068 4,222 8,406 1,897 291 199 - TOTALS 341,856 306,707 (35,149) 26,938 Source: Victor Valley Community College District, Report 17, as adapted June 2003; Maas Companies analysis based on Title 5, Chapter 8, Section 57028 of the California Code of Regulations. 5-17 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN IV. FACILITIES MASTER PLAN ISSUES Several planning issues were considered in determining a facilities/building plan for the future. Listed below are those issues that were labeled as most likely to affect the planning process and the prioritization of facilities in the final plan that is adopted: A. The Changing Academic Environment Major trends that will influence the development and direction of the instructional and support service programs of the future will also affect the future facilities plan of the district. These trends will include: 1. A Less “Campus Centered” College: Significant changes in the methods of delivery of instructional programs at community colleges may mean a decrease in the significance of the large community college campuses that have been developed in the past. Large numbers of classrooms and traditional laboratories may be less important than developing technology-based learning resource centers and outreach centers. 2. Learning Resource Centers: The community college of the future will require a more significant investment, both in terms of people and finances and in the development of ways to support alternative instructional delivery. The Learning Resource Center (LRC) will augment some of the Library functions in the new approach to learning advancement. The LRC will be a central learning location on every campus as well as the site for transmission of distance learning and tutoring. 3. Facility Flexibility: There will be difficulty in determining the line that has traditionally separated lecture versus laboratory space. Accordingly, buildings should be constructed to accommodate multiple use and to anticipate changes in that use. Facilities that are planned must be developed with the idea that within five years they will most likely be remodeled. Thus, construction must permit the maximum amount of structural and infrastructure flexibility. 4. Maximum flexibility should be a primary principle of construction and can be achieved through the use of utility raceways, non-bearing interior walls, and demountable partitions. These buildings should be constructed essentially as shells with interior spaces. The utility infrastructure should also be as flexible as possible. It should be 5-18 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN available to any area of the building and capable of being added to or deleted from as needs change. Interior rooms, offices, classrooms, and laboratories should be totally changeable. While the development of this construction concept may increase costs at the time of original construction, it can be demonstrated that over the life of the building (and numerous remodels) it will be extremely cost effective and labor efficient. 5. Modular Construction: Modular construction should be considered through the design of permanent buildings that are constructed to accommodate square footage additions and modifications. Much has been learned from the modular building industry in terms of designing buildings that can be expanded, reconfigured, and even reduced in size. Permanent buildings can similarly be constructed using some of these same techniques, i.e. designs that facilitate major building reconfigurations. As needs change, so can the physical dimensions of buildings. This plan must be carefully developed with due consideration of all code requirements. 6. Public/Public and Public/Private Partnerships: There are times when districts should consider not constructing a building, but rather entering into partnerships with local business and industry or public agencies to co-produce (joint venture) a facility. Buildings constructed in partnership with area business, industry, and/or other educational or public institutions can offer the district an alternative means of acquiring facilities at a minimal cost. 7. Off-Campus Satellite Centers: Off-campus satellite centers will become an important component of instructional delivery. As distance learning, the World Wide Web, and other modes of alternative instructional delivery gain in popularity, the need for large central campuses will be less significant. Smaller complex learning centers capable of networking with a variety of educational providers will become more prevalent. The future will also see these education centers shared between high schools, colleges, and universities. In essence, taking education to the community in place of requiring the community to come to the campus. This concept will mean a total redefinition of what constitutes a “college campus” and will greatly increase the efficiency of educational delivery. Off-campus centers will also become hubs for satellite uplinks and downlinks. They will be communication intensive spaces, designed to move information from one point to another. These centers may also become conference centers, small business 5-19 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN incubators, electronic decision centers, used for teleconferencing, purposely designed to bring area businesses and community members together for non-traditional educational services. 8. Extended Use of Facilities: In this new era, educational sites should be designed to operate 24 hours per day, seven days per week and fifty-two weeks per year as the information age reaches its maximum level of intensity. This will present facilities planning and maintenance issues that must be addressed in today’s planning environment. B. Defining the Direction of Facilities/Building Plan With proposed new construction of the Advanced Technology Building and the expansion of the Performing Arts Center, the district will find itself at the state limits for its capacity load ratios for instructional space through 2010. At the same time, the district will have, in its building inventory, a significant amount of aging and inefficient buildings that do not serve the needs of its academic mission. As a result, a considerable amount of focus will need to be place on reconstruction and/or remodel, with building efficiency being the prime objective. Design implications for all planned reconstruction and/or remodel projects should be held to the same standards of new construction: 1. Ascribing to the concept that all instructional spaces need to be flexible to accommodate either lecture or laboratory use. 2. Consistent with the assignable square footage (ASF) needs defined by the State Chancellor’s Office. 3. Accomplished with an eye towards facilitating the conversion of existing spaces to other uses, as the district’s needs change. 4. Utilizing space to its highest and best purpose. Additionally, renovation projects will need to be considered to meet the “secondary effects” that will result from all planned new construction, reconstruction or remodeling efforts. Also, technological upgrades/improvements, i.e. providing instructional delivery systems that are current and competitive in the educational marketplace, should be a high priority for the district in its facility development program. 5-20 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN C. Infrastructure While the district has done an exemplary job in upgrading its physical plant as well as its utility infrastructure, via recent new construction projects on campus (Library/Learning Resource Center, Science Building, Student Activities Center), the importance of backbone infrastructure as a top priority and outcome of the facilities master plan cannot be stressed enough. Backbone infrastructure such as water and sewer, electrical, telecommunications and HVAC are critical to meet the health and safety issues on the campus. New building construction and reconstruction/remodel will need to take into account that a substantial percentage of the building cost will be devoted to this key component. Particular attention will also need to be given to support infrastructure such as parking and vehicular circulation patterns, points of ingress and egress, pedestrian circulation, lighting and landscaping. D. Building to the Planning Criteria of the State Chancellor’s Office Even though the district may have funds available via has passed a local bond, the monies appropriated will not be sufficient to meet the facility needs and demands through the year 2020. It is imperative for the district to leverage the local bond monies with appropriations available through the state. Facilities therefore will be subject to Title 5 Standards. Construction and reconstruction/remodel projects selected by the district should take into account that the best possibility for state funding rests with those projects that meet the following priorities: 1. Health and Safety Issues 2. Remodel for Efficiency 3. Remodel/Construction for Technological Advancement E. Coordination with the Educational Component Assignable square footage requirements that have been generated for the facilities/building plan of the future assume an instructional program that is similar to that which currently exists at Victor Valley College, i.e. a blend of general education/transfer, occupational/vocational education and basic skills/developmental education. Based on a view of the future, greater growth is projected to occur in the TOP Code Divisions of 5-21 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN Health Services, Biology, Fine and Applied Arts, Humanities (English), Public Affairs/Services, Business and Management (Business Education Technology), Mathematics a well as expanded curricular offerings in basic skills education. The impact of technologybased instructional delivery, however, may drastically change the way in which these and other on-campus facilities are both deployed and structured. Since decisions related to the planning and delivery of instructional and support services drive the facilities planning process, it is an essential that instructional planning and facilities planning be closely coordinated at all stages of the building/rebuilding process. F. Technological Considerations The following facilities-related issues should be taken into consideration concerning the impact of technology: 1. There is a need to have classrooms, laboratories and conference rooms that are supported with modern technology such as computer and media equipment and connections to the World Wide Web. As faculty becomes more deeply involved in the use of technology in the classroom, there will be a widening need to continue and expand the available technical resources. 2. Consideration should also be given to the impact of distance learning on campus learning facilities (classrooms and laboratories), the allocation of space to house communications hardware supportive of distance learning, and the need for offcampus learning delivery. 3. If the use of technology as a device for instructional delivery accelerates as anticipated, it may greatly redefine the concept of what a “campus” is - in the facilities sense. The district should be watchful of these changes and prepare alternative strategies to keep pace with technology needs. 4. The implementation of off-site learning strategies may also develop a new definition of an off-campus center, thus impacting the facilities plan. 5. As the district contemplates new or remodeled facilities, attention should be directed toward the establishment of designs that are adaptive for future technology. While not every technological device can be anticipated, it is possible to provide equipment and other components that will support future technology needs. 5-22 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN 6. The challenge for the next decade and beyond will be to constantly monitor the changes that are occurring in instructional delivery and support services delivery and to integrate these changes into a facilities/building plan. G. Design Integration With every new building that is constructed, the district via the college redefines itself to the public as an institution of higher learning. It is imperative, therefore, that architectural guidelines and standards for new construction, reconstruction/remodel, as well as for landscape treatment, be coordinated so as to project and convey a consistent, logical and understandable message that reflects the character of both the district and the college. Modern versus older structures - offices, classrooms, laboratory and support facilities - will need to be blended together in a cohesive fashion. A campus-wide plan for upgrading all facilities will need to be implemented as a result.. H. Operational Efficiency Levels of the District The district will need to demonstrate that its instructional program is making the best use of state invested dollars by operating at performance standards adopted by the state. This translates to greater operational efficiency and existing facility utilization, that curricular offerings cover a five-day week and that the college and/or educational centers of the district are engaged in full utilization of its facilities between the weekday hours of 8:00 AM and 4:00 PM as well as during the early and late evening hours. The productivity of the college and/or centers relative to statewide averages for students per class section, weekly student contact hours (WSCH) per class section, WSCH per full time equivalent faculty (FTEF) will also need to demonstrate a high degree of success. The district’s current ratios for productivity/efficiency are under those established by state. In the competition for limited state funding, available funds will be awarded only to those community colleges demonstrating the greatest productivity/efficiency relative to facility utilization and operation. The district will need to demonstrate that full utilization of the academic day/week is occurring and that accountable, efficient operation is being achieved. This will result in qualifying the district for a greater amount of state funding, both on an annual and long term basis. 5-23 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN I. Maintenance Issues The area that is most often lost in the design and construction, reconstruction/remodel of new facilities is the practical matter of maintenance. After the beautiful architectural renderings, the final walk-through and ribbon cutting ceremonies, new construction and reconstruction/remodel must be sustained. Often this element is left out of the planning equation, assuming that it will, somehow, magically occur. The maintenance issue is not only critical to the facilities planning process - it is imperative. Key maintenance issues that need to be addressed as part of the facilities plan include the following: 1. The adequacy of the current and projected maintenance organizational structure to support new or remodeled facilities and/or changes in instructional delivery. 2. The need to generate (parallel with the facilities/building plan) an overall comprehensive and long-term plan for maintenance. 3. A long-term commitment of funding for maintenance. J. Construction “Phasing” The success of the facilities/building plan will be dependent not only on identifying a priority list of projects but also on how and when those projects will be implemented. Proper “phasing” of projects will insure that the minimal disruption to the campus occurs, that alternate space is provided to accommodate the disruptions to class schedules or support services, that key utilities infrastructure is not disassembled rendering the campus useless. Timing and logistics are as critical to the success of new or remodeled building construction as is the construction itself. K. Off-Campus Needs The district will need to expand away from its existing main campus if it is to be successful in meeting the needs of its constituent base in the future. The shear size of the district boundaries coupled with the growth of the area dictates that satellite campus centers that are part of but separate from what as is known as Victor Valley College, will be required in the future. These centers should be self-contained and have an identity that is apart from the main campus. The district will be challenged by meeting the needs of a diverse population base; the centers will provide a bridge to that diversity. 5-24 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN V. PROPOSED PROJECTS Overview Victor Valley College is projected to maintain an overall annual rate of growth of 3.85% over the next eighteen years, i.e. through 2020. In terms of credit enrollment, the college is projected to grow from 105,471 weekly student contact hours (WSCH) and 11,238 students to over 217,390 WSCH and 22,128 students by the year 2020. To meet this demand, the college will need to generate more than a half million square of feet of instructional and support service space, i.e. approximately 200,000 assignable square feet more than currently exists. While Title 5 (California Code of Regulations) qualifying criteria can be used to determine “supportable” need, from the state’s perspective, it does not specifically address the condition of existing facilities on campus. In the case of Victor Valley, existing facilities vary from new to 40 year of age. As part of the facilities plan, selected buildings that are presently on-campus will need to be reconstructed and/or remodeled for efficiency. Overall, the college’s facility program, will fall into one of three categories: A. New construction to meet new demand B. Renovation/remodel for greater efficiency C. Reconstruction to replace existing structures The primary objectives of the facilities/building plan for Victor Valley College will be: A. To implement a Facilities Master Plan that leads to the creation of new and reconstructed facilities for the district that are consistent with the state requirements for community colleges. B. To create, through new construction, reconstruction, renovation and building expansion, facilities sufficient to meet the demands of 217,390 credit-WSCH and 22,128 student enrollment. 5-25 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN Identification of Facility Needs Based on input from the college, physical assessment of the campus by the consultant team, and space requirements identified via the forecasted program of instruction, the following building and/or building support projects have been determined. A. Completion of Currently Initiated Projects State Supported Projects 1. Complete new construction that will lead to the creation of an Advanced Technology Center 2. Complete plans that will lead to expansion of the Performing Arts Center for Speech and Drama B. Address Facilities to Support the Academic Program of the District 1. Relocate Humanities (English) from existing portable/modular buildings to permanent on-campus building, i.e. replace with permanent facilities (portable/temporary buildings currently account for over 38,000 assignable square feet on-campus) 2. Demolish/Reconstruct the following existing facilities: a. Liberal Arts Building b. Allied Health Facilities c. Old Gymnasium Facility 3. Create 3-4 large lecture facilities that can accommodate 75-90 students 4. Create additional laboratory space and lecture space 5. Remodel or reconstruct the existing Music facility 6. Construct Vocational Technology facility/facilities on the lower campus to house existing and new programs for vocational/occupational education 7. Construct new facilities on the lower campus to house existing Restaurant Management and Fire Technology Programs 5-26 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN 8. Replace temporary/modular buildings of the Agricultural Center with permanent buildings 9. Remodel the existing Science Building for more efficient and better space utilization C. Support Facilities 1. Create anew or reconstruct the existing Student Services Center area to provide better student access and internal efficiency – create a student services zone or one-stop facility that is both visible and easily accessible for students 2. Create additional office space for faculty and staff 3. Construct a Foundation Facility that will assist with the district’s long term growth plans 4. Create, through new construction and/or renovation, new administrative office facilities that are integrated within the campus 5. Demolish old transportation and warehouse facilities – construct replacement facility for warehouse and maintenance and operations offices D. Infrastructure and Utilities 1. Address the need for improved on-campus surface parking and improved vehicular traffic flows that afford students better and safer access to the campus 2. Give consideration to new ingress/egress options to and from the College 3. Relocate existing roadways to a perimeter road that is on the outer boundary of the campus (versus the present internal access roadways) 4. Create new parking considerations that are internal to the perimeter road and allow students to access the campus without crossing roadways 5. Create new pedestrian corridors from the parking areas to the campus 6. Realign and reconfigure access routes for students with disabilities 5-27 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 5 – PROPOSED FACILITIES/BUILDING PLAN E. Other Facility Considerations 1. Acquire additional off-campus site for a future educational center on the Westside of the district 2. Create through new construction and joint venture participation facilities that will support an upper desert partnership (High Desert Educational Consortium) with four-year colleges/universities (either at the existing campus and/or at the site of a future Westside educational center) 3. Consider off-campus expenditures that would support facility renovation and lead to joint-venture partnerships with private industry at the former George Air Force Base (e.g. Airport Management Program, Aeronautics, etc) Based on the needs expressed and the parameters of potential sources of income from local bond proceeds and available state monies, a Proposed Facilities/Building Plan, as well as a schedule of construction, reconstruction, remodel and renovation, is provided in the pages that follow. The plan is consistent with the qualifying criteria of the Title 5 of the California Code of Regulations, as determined in the space quantification section of Chapter 4. Assignable square footage (ASF) was determined vis-à-vis weekly student contact hours (WSCH). This measure was also used to define space needs for support services. Project costs were developed using current day values. They are meant to provide a “frame of reference” for what the district’s financial commitment would be relative to the implementation of each project. More finite costs will need to be developed as each project becomes a reality. Finally, the proposed plan outlines project priorities and timelines. This (latter) element was based on the combined input from the college, the need determined via the forecasted program of instruction and state criteria that identifies those projects that stand the best chance of being funded. 5-28 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES Recommended Plan of Action EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION OVERVIEW The recommended plan of action is presented as a series of broad-based principles that are generic to the role and function of a community college district. These principles were then related to the Victor Valley Community College District and made specific by goals and strategies appropriate and relevant to the district’s mission. The goals and strategies identified are meant to serve as a framework for a formal plan of action that will be adopted by the district through its decisionmaking process. Because the future cannot be predicted with 100% accuracy, the goals and strategies incorporated herein are meant to serve the district as it adapts to changes, trends and conditions that are not identifiable at this time. The goals and strategies should be reviewed annually and modified as necessary so that concerted effort can be directed to action that leads to the implementation. Principles, Goals And Strategies RESPONSIVENESS TO THE SERVICE AREA PRINCIPLE I: California community colleges are established to be locally based educational institutions of learning that become a resource to, and reflect the needs and demographics of the communities they serve. The demographics of the college student population are expected to be representative of the ethnic, age, gender and economic conditions of the residents in the district’s service area. 6-1 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Observations and Analysis Victor Valley College demonstrates strong support from its constituency base. Currently, the college draws almost its entire enrollment from within the district boundaries. In addition, the college meets the statewide average for student participation rates, producing 38.51 students per 1,000 population (the state’s average is 37 students per 1,000 population). Six principle cities combine to produce the greatest percentage of enrollment within the district contributing approximately 80% of all district enrollments. The district’s student body is, therefore predominantly locally based. Overall, 92% of the total enrollments are attributed to residents living within the district boundaries. The composition of the student body reflects very similar characteristics to that of the district’s service area, i.e. both are characterized as having a declining White/Caucasian population and an increasing Hispanic population. campus at present. The Black population base is the most underrepresented on The Hispanic population reflects the next greatest degree of under- representation while the Asian/Pacific Islander population base, i.e. comparing the service area to the on-campus student population, reflects close to proportional representation. The median age of residents in the service area is 34.6 years, reflecting a somewhat more stable population, similar to that of the state. The profile of the service area does not indicate any dramatic shift in the age categories of the residents except that they are getting older. Overall, 37.3% of the population will be 45 years of age or more by 2008. The greatest growth as a percentage of population will be the segment 45 to 64 years of age (a gain of 1.5 percentage points). The age segmentation 5-14 years of age is projected to actually decline by 2.2% over this same time period. The age segmentation for 15 to 34 years of age will be generally flat for growth over the next five years while the age segment 35 to 44 years of age will decline by 2.3 percentage points. The district has done an excellent job of attracting the 15 through 24-year old population segment; it currently averages 54%. However, the college has had a declining trend for attracting the older population to its campus. The 45-64 year old age group has gone from 20% to 11% over the past five years. 6-2 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Goals 1. To continue to be an educational resource to the population by offering a diverse, dynamic and balanced program of instruction that is reflective of the district’s service area. 2. To sustain the current high degree of “in-district” residents at the college and/or at a district educational center. 3. To improve enrollments in the under-represented student population segments through proactive recruiting efforts, targeting specialized programs and services. 4. To identify curriculum and/or programs that meet the needs of the district’s fastest growing age groups segments – residents 45 to 64 years of age. Strategies for Achieving Goals 1. Draft a plan and outreach program that specifically targets those key areas of support paying particular attention to serving the six principle (“key”) cities that are responsible for approximately 80% of all enrollments. 2. Develop and implement a strategy that focuses on bringing the under-represented population segments on-campus closer to the numbers found in the demographic characteristics of the service area. 3. Reevaluate the current program of instruction to discern that it is offering balanced educational opportunities consistent with the diverse population base of the district. 4. Develop a plan to introduce students from low income and less traditional backgrounds, providing them with greater opportunities, both academically and personally. 5. Expand the high school programs and services to facilitate the seamless transfer of high school students into the campus or to an educational center in the district. 6. Develop a plan that targets the growing population segment of the 45 to 64 year old age group. 6-3 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 7. Coordinate the expansion of non-credit offerings, using them as point of entry particularly for older students. 8. Work with businesses in the service area, establishing connections and using these businesses to assist the district in developing new occupational programs that are current to the workplace environment and reflective of the district’s service area. GROWTH OF THE STUDENT BODY PRINCIPLE II: To meet the enrollment targets set for the future, enrollment growth must be tied to a “managed plan” that is based on operational efficiency, creativity, capitalizing on new market opportunities and defined by measurement standards. Observations and Analysis Enrollment growth in the Victor Valley Community College District will be largely dependent on four variables. 1. An overall increase in the raw numbers of students (resident and/or non-resident) participating in credit instructional activities; 2. An improvement in the student participation rate of residents enrolled in district programs, both for credit as well as for non-credit; 3. An increase in the average credit-weekly student contact hours (WSCH) per student enrollment; 4. An increase in instructional service to those segments of the population not currently served by the district. 6-4 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION As previously mentioned, the current student participation rate is slightly above the statewide average of 37 students per 1,000 residents. It is, however, considerably under the statewide goal of the Chancellor’s Office, which is 78 students per 1,000 residents. It is imperative for the district, to improve upon its current mark of 38.51 students per 1,000 residents if new enrollment growth is to be achieved. In addition to improving upon the student participation rates, the district will need to attract new learners to its campuses and educational centers, i.e. less traditional students, residents who may not be academically prepared for post secondary education. Demands for basic skills curriculum revisions and ESL preparation will need to be enhanced and placed as a high priority. Basic Skills and the ESL curriculum can become an important point of entry for students into degree and/or certificate programs. This growth component will become the most important element relative to the district reaching its targets for WSCH and enrollment over the next 20 years. Increasing enrollment growth will mean that the district will need to continue its successful recruiting efforts that targets graduates from local area high schools. Additionally, it will need to further refine its recruitment activities and target those ethnic population segments and/or students who leave the area for their education. A new satellite educational center that could serve the western portion of the district should be given strong consideration as an important component of the growth plan. The district currently has a credit-weekly student contact hour (WSCH) per student enrollment ratio of 9.39, a mark that is only slightly below the statewide average (9.6). This suggests that the average academic load for students attending the college is slightly more than 3 credit-based courses per semester. To meet the projections established for weekly student contact hours of 217,390 and enrollment of 22,182 (estimated to be year 2020), the district will need to increase this ratio to 9.8. The retention of existing students and the expansion of their course loads will become the primary vehicle for achieving this end. The district should continue to place an emphasis on using the Schedule of Classes publication as a prime marketing tool targeting future enrollments as well as soliciting enrollments from the nontraditional learners and underrepresented populations within its service area. The Schedule of Classes is well planned, easy to read and appropriate for communicating the requisite information 6-5 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION for students. It contains an excellent section with information on college services to students. The schedule also advertises additional higher education opportunities by listing a program of instruction for Cal State San Bernardino (with services provided on the campus itself) thus expanding continuing education opportunities for district residents. In addition, other four-year private universities (Baptist College and Azusa Pacific) use facilities provided by the campus. The creation of a High Desert Consortium, blending functions from the community college with four-year institutions has been a major vision expressed on campus. Finally, as a growing suburban post secondary educational institution, the district must continue to focus its attention on being “the best” in selected educational enterprises in order to attract new enrollments. The district’s online program of instruction has the potential for expanding college services and educational opportunities to a widely dispersed as well as diverse population base. It must also focus greater attention on servicing those potential students in the community who do not look to traditional education as an option. Goals 1. To achieve credit-WSCH of 217,390 and student enrollment of 22,182 by the year 2020; to maintain an annual enrollment growth rate of 3.85%. 2. To maintain and improve the district’s student participation rate, moving it from an average of 38.51 enrollments per 1,000 residents closer to 53.0 enrollments per 1,000 residents. 3. To focus attention and attract enrollments from the resident population including those not oriented to the traditional model of higher education. To promote more “ladder or bridge programs” for the less traditional student within the district. 4. To raise the credit- WSCH per enrollment from its current level of 9.39 to 9.8. 5. To focus on expanding and developing additional vocational/occupational certificate programs and working with business to improve the labor market skills of the community residents. 6. To consider the addition of an educational center in the Westside area of the district. 6-6 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Strategies 1. Develop a plan of action that is directed towards the improvement of the student participation rates within the District 2. Create a plan designed to improve the persistence rates of those students already enrolled, assisting them to achieve associate degrees, occupational certificates, and/or transfer to fouryear institutions. 3. Focus on the development of pre-collegiate and/or remedial programs that target the underprepared student assisting them in progressing to an associate degree, an occupational certificate or to a four-year program of studies. 4. Address the needs of non-traditional students through the expansion of the online college, weekend courses and flexible class scheduling. 5. Track short-term occupational students into employment and re-recruit them into vocational certificate and degree programs. 6. Expand the options for alternative forms of instructional delivery including the expansion of the district’s online “VVCCOnline program” format attracting additional non-traditional students to complete their educational goals from home or at the workplace. 7. Assess the impact of non-credit programs as a source for potential credit enrollment. 8. Implement a formal “enrollment management plan” to evaluate the distribution of courses and scheduling patterns (including an analysis of course sequencing), to determine if students can complete their educational goals in a timely manner, and to balance the distribution of these programs throughout the day. 9. Continue to develop corporate and community development activities directed to small businesses and the industrial community. Programs and classes for employers in the local workforce could be expanded and become an essential component of the district’s enrollment growth plan. 10. Continue to develop the Schedule of Classes with the intent of using it as a marketing tool. 6-7 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION DELIVERY OF THE PROGRAM OF INSTRUCTION PRINCIPLE III: As higher education strives to become more student-centered, community colleges must accommodate an increasing variety of student needs and expectations, from learning styles to work schedules and reeducation. Learning outcomes must become more central to the mission of the institution and to the evaluation of student achievement. Community colleges will need to reengineer their instructional delivery system to incorporate strategies that meet these new expectations. Observations and Analysis The ability to compete in the educational market place will be largely contingent upon how the district addresses alternative forms of instructional delivery and the commitment it makes to this effort. This, in part, will require a shift from the current lecture/lab/recitation format to a more self-directed study, collaboration, portfolio assessment and other active learning. Overall, the program offerings in the district have been primarily traditional in their scope and scheduling methodology. The district has made a commitment to distance education through its online schedule of classes (VVCCOnline), as part of its new instructional delivery format. A growing number of sections are currently being offered online. This commitment has opened new doors for the district; its program of instruction has been able to capture new, non-traditional learners. As technology becomes more user-friendly and faculty gain expertise in its applications, Internet or Web-based courses should be expanded to a wider range of disciplines, providing learning opportunities for students not currently being served and/or existing students who would prefer to learn online from a distance. The marketing of these programs will need to be improved to reach this new audience of learners. The district has addressed certain needs for alternate modes of schedule delivery through shorterthan-semester classes. While the current nine-week schedule is fairly broad-based, it could be expanded and coordinated into a degree option format. In addition, there is significant room for growth and expansion for weekend courses. The weekend format could become the bridge for 6-8 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION additional campus growth until such time new facilities are added to the campus or within the district. It would also improve the decline in productivity of facility utilization that has resulted from the district’s decision to move away from the standard five-day per week pattern of fullsemester scheduling to a four-day per week pattern. Currently, Fridays and weekday afternoons are poorly utilized in most departments and disciplines. In order to meet the new guidelines for accreditation, the district will be required to assess student achievement and measure student learning outcomes as a demonstration of accountability and improved institutional effectiveness. The implementation of measurable student learning outcomes for both academic and support services components will become a necessity that involves planning and evaluation. There must be a commitment and a willingness to adopt and utilize new and/or revised teaching techniques that focus on student learning. The curricula should be rethought and new learning approaches created. Goals 1. To implement new educational approaches that individualize the learning process, focus on the student learner, and help make students more successful. 2. To expand the current programming offered through the online courses and technology-based instruction, short-term classes, and weekend courses. 3. To support the district’s commitment to using technology as a teaching/learning tool, both in and out of classroom venues. 4. To improve the offering of intersession and afternoon classes, accelerated and modular courses, and open entry/open-exit classes. 5. To match available facilities space with a program of instruction that promotes improved facility utilization productivity. 6. To develop an instructional delivery program that focuses and directs the attention of the educational process to “student learning outcomes” assessment and methodologies. 7. To provide educational services to a broader population of students and non-traditional learners. 6-9 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Strategies 1. Develop a learning delivery plan that actively engages students in the learning process. 2. Continue to expand discipline options in the online format, working towards associate degree or certificate programs. 3. Provide the technical support necessary to assist in the development of media based course enhancements and supplemental instruction modules. 4. Via the curriculum committee, develop “hybrid” distance education course offerings, insuring that these courses meet all course and academic requirements. Develop a marketing program to promote alternative educational opportunities such as the online college, weekend scheduling format, and other non-traditional modes of instructional delivery. 5. Expand the “weekend schedule” offerings and develop a plan that provides for an associate degree option. 6. Encourage interdisciplinary exchange between the transfer and occupational programs of study. 7. Establish standards that match room utilization productivity with the delivery of the program of instruction on a weekly basis to qualify the district for proposed new facilities in the future. 8. Implement a process to evaluate the public’s perception of the quality of the educational programs in the district. 6-10 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION THE INCORPORATION AND USE OF TECHNOLOGY PRINCIPLE IV: The introduction of technology into education has forced community colleges to develop new paradigms, re-evaluate the content and methodologies of the instructional process, and provide a wider-range of support service opportunities for students including those not traditionally served. Observations and Analysis Successful educational institutions will plan and incorporate technology into their instructional program and support service systems. Today, students come to college campuses technologically literate and with an understanding of the potential that computers and related technologies serve as teaching or support services aids. These students will expect to have electronic resources present and available to them. If not provided, they may seek out alternative educational opportunities that address their needs and interests. While the district has provided faculty members with office computers and many classrooms have been wired for Internet access, the demand for all classrooms to be wired for computer access and Internet connectivity continues to be a stated concern from both the faculty and staff. In order that computer assisted instruction be taken to the next level, “smart classrooms”, multimedia projection systems and laboratories, and online access to the instructional programs, as well as the student services components of the district, should be given high priority in any future action plan. The planned construction of an “Advanced Technology Center” will significantly address the campus’ need for state-of-the-art classrooms, laboratories and support services focused on technological innovations. This new center will place the district into a competitive mode, serving a variety of disciplines and centralizing support services in close proximity to the customers. Technology to support the academic mission often receives the greatest attention but technology to support the growing and sophisticated internal workings of the district is no less critical. While short of support staff, the current MIS system and research staff provides the district with excellent 6-11 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION data accompanied by an appropriate analysis of that data. However, the data may, or may not find its way into the college’s short-term objectives or long term strategic plans. The district should develop a technological infrastructure that is readily assessable and that offers a legitimate flow of information. Of present concern is that the district’s current capital and human resources may not be sufficient to support the expected demand for technology based services and information in the future. State monies for such advances will always be an uncertainty. The district must take steps on its own to provide and develop a process to support the ongoing investment in the campus network and information infrastructure required to provide these services and to meet the anticipated demand. The district’s cost associated for technology enhancement must be balanced by continued efficiency and alternative delivery of services to a greatest number of students. Goals 1. To expand the “open learning” component of the current instructional program. 2. To develop the technology capacity/information systems of the district to it’s fullest potential. 3. To establish electronic and information competency as an overall goal for faculty, staff, administration, and students. 4. To fund the necessary training and staff developmental opportunities necessary for faculty, staff and administration to become competent in the new information technologies. 5. To provide high-speed access to the Internet and associated technological services. Strategies 1. Identify, prioritize and implement specific and reasonable technology objectives via the district’s technology plan. 2. Provide the capital and human resources necessary to maintain and improve the quality and availability of technology-based services. 6-12 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 3. Provide an adequate funding source for training and faculty staff development activities that support technology and the integration of technology into the delivery of instruction. 4. Provide opportunities for the staff, as well as the faculty to become involved in the implementation of technology on the campus. 5. Evaluate the level of technical support needed as the district continues to add computers, computer-based instructional opportunities, and other electronic services. 6. Restructure and re-engineer the essential student services processes, permitting student’s direct access to technology-based resources. 7. Develop a plan for tutorial services that include the expanded use of technology to provide individualized learning opportunities. 8. Promote those technological tools that enhance “student-to-faculty” communication. 9. Continue to renovate and upgrade classrooms with state-of-the-art technology, including access to the campus network and multimedia presentation capabilities. 10. Consider adding technological competency as a graduation requirement for the associate degree and general education transfer. 11. Establish a standard for levels of technology support personnel needed to provide service to instructional and non-instructional programs. CURRICULAR OFFERINGS OF THE INSTITUTION PRINCIPLE V: The curriculum guides instruction and holds the institution, the faculty, and the student accountable to achieve certain standards. Core, general education courses and transfer programs should be balanced with vocational/technical (occupational) programs supported by those developmental programs intended to prepare students to meet educational goals as well as meet specific needs of the communities served by the district. 6-13 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Observation and Analysis The general education “core curriculum” provides the foundation for completion of the transfer function. These general education (GE) courses make up greatest portion of the total curriculum offered by the college. Additionally, the present course offerings for online education supports the “core-curriculum” and is generally well balanced. Basic education/developmental programs are in high demand in the district and have experienced rapid/recent growth. For the period 1990 through 2000, data indicates that approximately 70% of student assessment scores were below qualification for college level courses in English and in Mathematics. As enrollments in the district grow, there must be continued attention devoted to curricular responsibility and accountability, particularly in the basic skills arena. Innovations in the delivery of instruction will need to focus on different learning styles and the need to match these individual styles with learning methods that are compatible. The core, basic educational courses and programs will likely continue to be in high demand in the enrollment process. However, these courses and programs must also be subject to review and possible changes in their form of delivery. The district will need to conduct periodic assessments on the patterns and distribution of course offerings insuring that students in the day, in the evening and on weekends can make informed decisions concerning their preparation and complete their goals in a reasonable timeframe. Additionally, edicts from the Chancellor’s Office and legislative demands require that community colleges improve the graduation and transfer rates of students, as well as improve the total number of students who successfully complete their courses and/or certificate programs. As a result, both existing and new curricular offerings should meet pre-established state and local standards that are both qualitative and quantitative in scope. Responsibility for the qualitative as well as the quantitative analysis of educational programs and services must be geared to future needs. Curriculum and program development should include an emphasis on program diversification primarily by expanding options within those programs that are currently successful and/or in closely related fields of study. The district has a tradition of producing graduates with transfer ready qualifications and occupational education training and this reputation should be built upon. 6-14 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Additionally, with the decline in levels of academic preparation of entering students, a growing population of second language learners, and a growing percentage of students requiring remedial coursework and financial assistance, a strong case can be made for overall curriculum reform. Greater attention to learning styles and the coordination of academic skill development will have a direct impact on both the students and the faculty. The district should continue to work closely with Curriculum Committees, who will have increased responsibility for the periodic review of courses and programs as well as the task of making certain these courses and programs meet the goals and objectives for graduation and transfer. This will be an important component for ensuring that curriculum standards are validated under the leadership of the Academic Senate, that the district’s curriculum is balanced and its mission appropriate, and that there is consistency in the quality of instruction and in student learning. Goals 1. To develop a balanced and productive curriculum, that is responsive to the needs of students. 2. To provide a process whereby the “core curriculum” and occupational education offerings can be assessed for relevancy in meeting student outcome objectives. 3. To expand the district’s commitment to developmental and remedial education, particularly in the disciplines of English, ESL and Mathematics. 4. To work with the community in meeting the needs of local workforce preparation as well as prepare students for a changing labor market. 5. To ensure articulation agreements with neighboring institutions of higher education providing for the seamless transfer of students. 6. To demonstrate institutional effectiveness through the evaluation of graduation, transfer and certificate completion rates as well as by implementing student outcomes assessment. 6-15 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Strategies 1. Throughout the district, plan for and provide the core general education courses consistent with increases in student enrollment. 2. Focus on current workforce development needs and trends as expressed by the private sector to expand curriculum. 3. Develop new professional/technical instructional programs to meet the needs of new and emerging small businesses that are projected within the district’s service area. 4. Review the current occupational programs for relevancy and, based on the data available on workforce expectations in the service area, consider adding, deleting or modifying the current occupational programs to meet those needs. 5. Review the developmental education course offerings and implement a plan to expand offerings; provide coordinated program services to students who need developmental or remedial preparation. 6. Develop a process for the termination or reengineering of programs that fall below acceptable standards and/or student participation rates of graduation and transfer. 7. Continue to improve the educational planning and program review process to insure that it identifies and evaluates the strength, needs, and weaknesses of each program in meeting the educational goals of the associate degree, transfer education requirements and/or achieving a vocational/ technical certificate. 8. Expand educational services currently provided in the area high schools by providing direct articulation, ensuring that students continue to transfer at the current rate of success. 9. Promote articulation models that permit high school students to complete their general education requirements concurrently with their high school graduation requirements. 10. Encourage faculty, through incentives and rewards, to develop new innovations in instruction and the delivery of instruction to learners. 6-16 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 11. Make use of the college’s curriculum committee to determine how these innovative teaching methods could be integrated into the programs to both broaden and enrich the student’s learning process. Support Services of the Institution PRINCIPLE VI: The success of most students will depend on how well the institution provides a comprehensive array of support services to assist the students in achieving their educational objectives. Support services, therefore, play a critical role in the overall academic experience. As the population of the service area changes, the college will need to adapt to meet the demands that students place on the institution. Observations and Analysis Support services include all non-classroom activities that enhance and support the total learning experience of the student; including Student Services activities, Library/Learning Resources, Business Services/Management Information Systems and Maintenance. All Student Services facilities are located on the campus of Victor Valley College. While these programs deliver the services they were designed to provide, they are scattered about in three buildings, the result of which is fragmentation with less opportunities for communication and coordination of functions. Student Services facilities, although renovated, still reflect an older service format and are not necessarily arranged in a way that best serves students in this technological age. Additionally, the current facilities do not have adequate space to serve the various programs; projected growth will only exacerbate this condition. Via formal and informal discussion with faculty and staff, a degree of concern was expressed that the majority of student services were not available during the evening hours. The district should give strong consideration to reopening these services to those students who may not have access to them during the regular daytime hours. 6-17 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION As a number of student service programs have evolved as appendages to current programs, or as stand-alone entities, they have often been housed away from the primary student services facilities. From both the perceptual and functional perspectives, the reintegration of all student services is critical to any action plan the District might embrace as part of its long-range vision. A “one-stopshop” concept with the centralization of all student services into a single facility or campus zone should become a campus-wide goal. Student services should also be the most visible and easily accessible building on the campus – the building that the student first sees when entering the campus. It is this dual theme of centralization of services and welcoming visibility that the college should establish as the goal for student services. Other student support functions include the Academic Commons, Library Services, Media Services and the online programs. The district can expect to have a growing number of faculty that develop Web pages and online testing as well as incorporating streaming video into their syllabi. Technological support services will be critical to this endeavor and library services will be an important link in this process. With the implementation of technology, libraries and learning resource activities have come to the fore as a central feature in the teaching and learning process. Library services will be stretched financially to meet the demands for new cutting edge technical resources, particularly wireless applications. Currently, the library will need to upgrade its Internet applications, expand video streaming as well as convert the system to a fully Web-based environment. The management information systems (MIS) that support student services as well as provide information on the status of students, is currently a strong component of and a valuable support to the institution. The current MIS system, however, may not be able to serve the increased demands and expanded service needs for the future. The application of technology to the student services function, the increased use of technological resources necessary for financial reporting to the state, a growing non-traditional student body, and changes in student learning modes will require that a more flexible and technologically adapted series of support services be developed. To be a truly effective institution, the district will need to consider moving to a more powerful, integrated MIS that can coordinate various services such as financial aid, admissions and records, human resources, and accounting. 6-18 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION As part of the overall plan for student services, the district needs to be able to specifically target messages to students regarding the online registration process, directions to services at its campus and/or educational center(s) and provide current information/feedback on the condition and status of each student. The district will need to develop activities that will engage students in the educational process to keep them motivated, committed to and focused on the persistence of their educational goals. Students will continue to seek those institutions that evidence “care for the student”. These institutions will be those that are perceived as best serving the student’s educational needs. Goals 1. To centralize Student Services on-campus, consolidating related services into one area or zone. 2. To promote a “one-stop” matriculation process for Student Services incorporating electronic access to the application process, orientation and assessment, counseling and registration. 3. To become more “student centered” implying that information is available “on demand”, that there is direct access to information and services. 4. To increase efforts directed to articulation and transfer with four-year institutions and local area high schools. 5. To promote the Library/Learning Resources Center as a resource for development of information competency and information retrieval. 6. To provide the appropriate levels of student support services at the Victor Valley Campus and/or outlying educational centers as the district expands. 7. To provide intervention strategies for students not showing academic improvement. Strategies 1. In the physical restructuring of the campus, plan and design a centralized student services facility that becomes the “gateway” to the college. 6-19 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 2. Design a plan that consolidates Student Services into a common facility or zone. 3. Assess the space needs of Student Services and the need to be a centralized processing and resource area. 4. Implement a “reintegration plan” for scattered support services; implement a staffing plan for support services offices (including the expansion of services hours into the evening). 5. Conduct a full organizational assessment for support services that meet the projected needs of the district - included should be the areas of Student Services, Business Services, Library, and Technical/Computer Support. 6. In the planning process, make provisions for the seamless matriculation of students through the expanded use of technology; provide individualized matriculation opportunities. 7. Develop a core of intervention strategies targeting special services for those students not showing academic improvements. 8. Develop a plan to expand Library services, both electronically and through hardcopy materials and editions. 9. Address the key personnel necessary to support students with special needs and/or learning disabilities in the Student Services division, including the areas of Financial Aid, the Disabled Resources, Tutorial, EOP&S, Counseling and other support services. 10. Explore various software and hardware needed for a more integrated and powerful MIS. Human Capacity of the Institution PRINCIPLE VII: Continuity in the delivery of the educational and support services products is best served by full-time faculty and staff who are on-campus, have designated office hours and working space, and participate in the committees of the institution. The institution will be able to succeed and progress to the degree that the full-time faculty and staff are committed to carrying-out the vision for success. 6-20 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Observations and Analysis The district needs to place continued emphasis on hiring full-time faculty to carry the message of the college and deliver the educational product. An analysis of the current condition shows that, while the district has met its “obligation” for full-time faculty, it is currently well below the standard goal of seventy-five percent of instructional hours taught by full-time faculty (currently measured in full time equivalent faculty or FTEF). Improving on the full-time/part-time faculty ratio can be difficult for districts (e.g. Victor Valley Community College District) experiencing rapid growth. However, it is of importance for the district to make a concerted effort towards improving the proportion of full-time faculty and critical that there is a sufficient number of full-time faculty available to develop and support the educational process. One of the primary charges of the district is to provide the necessary staff resources to maintain and improve the quality of instructional, student, business and maintenance support services. This need, of course, must be balanced with and measured by fiscal realities of the district. Staff development is also a key element relative to the human resources function at Victor Valley College. Currently, programs for staff development activities have focused on three basic elements: Providing faculty professional development; providing professional opportunities for classified and administrative staff; and supporting learning/training opportunities that support the institutional need. Staff development activities receive much of their funding from state provided monies and are basically traditional in their scope and function. In order to maintain professional competency and integrity, the district will need to give full attention to staff development activities and activities that are more focused, coherent and connected to the program for institutional goals. An emphasis should be placed on meeting the guidelines for student learning outcomes assessment and technological competency. The district should also provide opportunities for faculty to develop learning outcomes as well as certain competencies and qualitative skills. How skillfully and effectively the measures are implemented will depend on how comfortable faculty are in addressing learning outcome objectives and in transforming the instructional process. This process will require reeducation and retraining as well as a commitment of staff development resources. 6-21 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Goals 1. To commit to the improvement of the 75/25 percentage of full-time faculty at the direct instructional (teaching) level. 2. To deliver educational excellence through a well-trained and responsive faculty and staff. 3. To provide the resources necessary for staff development and training, maintaining a commitment to excellence. 4. To focus staff development opportunities centered on improving the best institutional practices and promoting student learning. 5. To move the human resources function to a “paperless process”, i.e. electronically driven application/submittal process. Strategies 1. Create and implement a plan that moves the district toward the objective of meeting the fulltime faculty goals established in AB 1725. 2. As the district grows and expands into the community, study alternative administrative and organizational models with the objective of providing improved student support systems, business support services, campus maintenance operations and/or administrative functions. 3. Plan and implement a program to link those functions of student services with academic and instructional activities. 4. Install, staff and maintain a faculty/staff training center where new technologies and/or innovations can be tested and evaluated. 5. Provide faculty and staff opportunities for staff development, return-to-industry leaves, and cross training across various disciplines of the district. 6-22 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 6. Provide a more focused staff development opportunity based on improving the best instructional practices – technological literacy should be a strong component of this program. 7. Establish programs of recognition and reward for innovation in all areas, for excellence in teaching and student learning, for commitment to student success and for participation in moving the district goals toward the year 2020. Support of the Physical Plant PRINCIPLE VIII: Infrastructure is the backbone of the physical plant. It must keep pace with the changes and impacts that occur over time and be maintained sufficiently to support and accommodate growth and expansion of the future. The success of the institution is as dependent on the physical plant as it is on human capacity that provides the program of instruction and the student support services. Observations and Analysis The internal infrastructure (distribution systems) for utilities such as water, sewer, storm drainage, electricity, gas and telecommunications are, in many cases, over 40 years old and in need of replacement and/or upgrading. Storm drainage is particularly an acute problem. Flooding resulting from this inadequacy has been costly in terms of both time lost and the physical impact on grounds and facilities. Left unattended, the internal infrastructure deficiencies on campus will become a limiting factor for future growth. Telecommunications as an infrastructure element is currently only marginally adequate to meet the demands of the future. The district will need to upgrade telecommunications infrastructure as changes in technology evolve to transmit and receive data. High-speed data links will be necessary to support the growing use of telecommunications both in and out of the classroom. These new 6-23 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION high-speed data links will not only support curriculum development but also be critical for the internal operation of distance education programs that will interface with the student’s home or workplace. The district will find its level of telecommunications capabilities significant in developing and maintaining a competitive edge in the educational marketplace. As a supporting infrastructure requirement, attention will also need to be given to aging HVAC systems in some of the older buildings. The lack of adequate on-campus lighting will be another element of the supporting infrastructure that will require the attention of the district. Of strategic importance in the long range planning process, and directly related to the need for key support infrastructure, will be the challenge of providing and maintaining adequate access to the Victor Valley campus. The majority of access (85%) to the college is by automobile. The issue of access has strong implications for both parking and vehicular circulation. Thus, resolution of the parking and circulation deficiency should be elevated to a very high priority. The urgency of this measure will be further fueled by the lack of flat, level land on campus. What is currently designated as parking will give way to new construction on-campus. Parking and vehicular circulation will need to be completely rethought and redesigned for the campus of the future. While the district will be challenged with the task of bringing the “hard” infrastructure elements up to speed, it will simultaneously need to consider the implications of its lack of “soft” infrastructure (human capacity) relative to support of the physical plant. As the district adds over 200,000 assignable square feet of new space over the next seventeen years, concurrent provision will need to be made for the maintenance function. This will not only be true for custodial staff but also for skilled craftsmen that will be needed to keep pace with preventative maintenance and in-house repairs. This same impact will also occur with the maintenance of grounds. Landscape additions to new buildings will add a both time and output requirements to a staff that is already stretched thin. With the sizeable financial investment that will be coming to the Victor Valley Campus (and/or any new educational centers), in the form of new and reconstructed facilities, it is imperative that the district invest in the necessary “soft” infrastructure of personnel to protect and maintain the value of its investment. 6-24 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Goals 1. To resolve the on-campus utility distribution and internally generated support infrastructure deficiencies that are considered either currently inadequate and/or “growth limiting”. 2. To resolve on a priority basis the key access issues of parking, vehicular circulation and pedestrian movement/circulation. 3. To provide the required resources that will lead to the improvement of quality and service reliability for telecommunications/telecommunications infrastructure. 4. To develop a plan that matches the investment in hard infrastructure and new facility construction/reconstruction with that of “soft” infrastructure support. Strategies 1. Assess and determine a prioritized replacement/upgrade schedule for the “hard” infrastructure/internal systems and generate a funding plan that will become a central part of the construction/reconstruction process at the Victor Valley Campus. 2. Establish objectives and timelines for upgrades to current telecommunications infrastructure. Support the upgrade of the campus network backbone so that the campuses can maintain a competitive edge in delivering data transmission to the widest possible user base. 3. Through the budget process, evaluate the existing allocation of resources for technology infrastructure - reallocate those resources if necessary and appropriate, and develop strategies to obtain new resources when possible. 4. Through study and design, select alternative parking and circulation models that address the critical issue of student safety and access. Consider the need for additional parking, either in the form of existing on-campus land or a parking structure. 5. Create open landscaped areas, outdoor meeting plazas and pedestrian paths that make the college both more useable and user-friendlier. 6-25 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 6. Develop a planning formula that matches personnel support for buildings and grounds maintenance with new additions to landscaping acreage and/or new construction. Facilities of the Institution PRINCIPLE IX: Community college districts should provide their constituency with current, modern instructional and support service facilities that sustain the academic mission. The facilities should be safe, accessible and promote learning for a wide range of uses and users. Observations and Analysis One of the primary objectives of the master plan is to determine space requirements. The master plan builds its space needs assessment via the program of instruction. From this, facilities that meet the educational objectives can be derived. The space requirements serve as the underpinnings for the facilities/building plan, a plan that more specifically identifies the types of buildings to be built or reconstructed, the physical size and location of such facilities, the integration of facilities within the campus, the support infrastructure required, the construction/reconstruction priorities, the construction/reconstruction phasing, and the plan for implementation. Space requirements in this regard are based on the district’s capacity to generate credit-WSCH of 217,390 at Victor Valley College and a student credit-enrollment of 22,182 – a milestone that has been projected for the year 2020. With a target date of seventeen years, there are a number of factors and impacts, unidentifiable and/or non-quantifiable at this time that could affect this 2020 target date. Thus, the credit-WSCH and enrollment milestone projected may be reached sooner or it may be reached later. What is of greater importance is that the district has a benchmark for “needed facilities” whenever this milestone is reached. The greatest need for facilities will be at the Victor Valley Campus. A number of facilities oncampus will need to be considered for renovation and remodel, others will require demolition and reconstruction, yet others will be newly constructed. 6-26 Utility distribution systems and support Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION infrastructure for parking and circulation will also need to be brought under the larger umbrella of “facility needs” at the Victor Valley Campus. Facilities to meet the projected credit-WSCH and student enrollment of 2020 will be 532,502 of assignable square feet, a figure that will require almost 210,000 square feet of additional space. The district should give strong consideration to a center in the Westside of the district sometime between the years 2015 and 2020. This center would be projected to open as a facility of 38,500 assignable square feet with projected credit-WSCH of 10,125 and an enrollment of 2,250 students. With the successful passage of a local bond issue that will leverage state monies, the district is poised to embark on a program of substantial magnitude that will result in being able to address a great majority of its facility needs. Note: A specific, recommended plan for the district is presented in Chapter V, The Proposed Facilities/Building Plan Goals 1. To adopt a facilities/building plan that leads to the creation of new and reconstructed facilities for the district that are consistent with the state requirements for community colleges. 2. To create, through new construction, reconstruction, renovation and building expansion, facilities sufficient to meet the demands of 217,390 credit-WSCH/22,182 student enrollment. 3. To address on-campus parking through the creation of new parking options including parking structures and the identification of possible surface parking remedies. 4. To give consideration to new ingress/egress options to/from the college, creating new vehicular and pedestrian circulation patterns for better/greater campus access; realign and reconfigure access routes for students with disabilities. 5. Develop a plan to that will lead to the purchase of property and the construction of an educational center on the Westside of the district with facilities sufficient to meet the demands of 10,125 credit-WSCH and 2,250 student enrollment. 6. To create supplemental revenue streams (in addition to those available through the state) that will make needed new facility construction/reconstruction a realistic possibility. 6-27 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Strategies 1. Create a facilities/building committee composed of constituent representatives (faculty, staff, and administration) charged with the responsibility of shepherding the recommended facilities plan through construction, reconstruction and/or renovation. 2. Within the structure of the facilities plan, create educational or academic zones that would physically link related disciplines, thereby establishing relationships and student awareness of extended programs and services. 3. Using the facilities plan as the guiding document, generate Five-Year Capital Construction Plans and secure matching funding through the for the Chancellor’s Office for capital projects; competitively place the district’s facility construction program in the state’s mix for funded projects. 4. Create an extended financing plan, using combinations of state financing, local bond funding and newly identified revenue streams, to facilitate and actualize construction/reconstruction projects in the district over the next twenty years. 5. Review the current assignment and use of instructional space (lecture and laboratory space) to determine the highest and best use for all current facilities. Implement a plan to address the need for remodel/reconfiguration of existing space to meet safety standards and/or efficiency measures. 6. Conduct annual committee reviews of the district’s Space Inventory, Report 17 with special attention to the actual use of facilities, the coding, and square foot allocations so that maximization of utilization and funding qualification can be achieved. 7. Create a plan to secure funding for equipment and furnishings that will be needed to support new construction. 6-28 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION The Business of Education PRINCIPLE X: Operational efficiency is a central part of the institution’s obligation to meet its responsibilities relative to the “business of education”. It is critical to develop a program of academic accountability so that funding presently received from the state is maximized to its full potential and that new construction is warranted and supported by need. Observations and Analysis Weekly student contact hours (WSCH) per full-time equivalent faculty (FTEF) is a key measure of instructional productivity. This ratio compares the total number of hours students are “in class” each week (weekly student contact hours) with the equivalent proportion of a full time faculty member’s teaching load (full time equivalent faculty). The product of this ratio is then compared to the State of California standard for community colleges, a 525 goal. Based on data derived from the Fall 2002 census data elements, the district’s weekly student contact hours (WSCH) to full time equivalent faculty (FTEF) productivity ratio for credit course offerings was 409.10, well below the state’s goal of 525 WSCH/FTEF. By TOPS code instructional divisions, Victor Valley College had only one division that either met or exceeded the statewide average of WSCH/FTEF: Psychology (2000) at 536.2. The findings from this effort suggest that the district would be best served by adopting some needed changes in curriculum, enrollment management and/or instructional delivery systems for the future. 6-29 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION While the district is operating at a 77.9% efficiency rating (409.10 WSCH per FTEF), it could make changes that would bring this ratio closer to the state goal. The four-day academic week is evident in the district. It has resulted in loss of efficiency relative to room utilization, particularly on Fridays. Additionally, the weekend schedule is limited to certain disciplines and is not comprehensive in its scheduling pattern. The district will need to focus on full utilization of its present facilities as a goal for the future. An enrollment management process will need to be implemented ensuring that efficiency standards are established and programs evaluated in all disciplines with schedule changes directed towards providing optimum enrollments in each section. An across the board, individual discipline-based goal of 525 is unlikely at the Victor Valley Campus, given the constraints of lower average enrollments, lower class size maximums, available laboratory facilities, negotiated contractual limits, basic skills courses or any discipline whose average class size is below 35 on census. It can be achieved, however, on a district-wide basis by balancing lower enrolled classes with higher enrolled classes. Disciplines with traditionally lower class sizes, however, should not abandon their obligation to provide for some kind of balance in meeting the institutions productivity measures. Class size data analyzed, also a measure of productivity and efficiency, indicated that the current (Fall 2002) class size average for Victor Valley College was 26.74, a mark that is 24.7% below the statewide standard of 35. The TOP Code instructional division for Psychology was found to be the only division performing at or above the statewide standard, averaging 35.92 seats per section. There are means by which the district and the staff working together could raise the efficiency measures at the institution while retaining much of what both faculty and staff perceives as valuable to the learning process and to the institution. With a declining funding base, the district faculty and staff will be asked to provide quality services with flat or reduced budgets. The institution will be asked to operate more efficiently and with even greater accountability. As the process for funding becomes more competitive, future awards by the state for new facility construction will be based on the assurances that productivity measures within the institution are in place and that existing facilities and manpower are used to the highest and greatest levels of efficiency. 6-30 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Goals 1. To improve the district-wide efficiency measures and curricular accountability thereby qualifying the college for the funding of needed educational facilities. 2. To identify those curricular offerings or programs of study that may be below acceptable standards of performance and/or exhibit trends towards declining enrollment, poor student success and/or poor retention and raise them to levels of greater productivity. 3. To implement an enrollment management plan that evaluates and recommends the appropriate numbers and sequencing of sections in order to produce qualitative as well as quantitative results relative to institutional productivity. 4. To establish an enrollment growth goal of the district and develop strategies that will produce that annual enrollment growth over the next seventeen years. 5. To provide, on a bi-annual basis, an internal and external needs assessment for all occupational programs as required by the California Education Code sections 78015 and 78016. 6. To expand opportunities for students to develop the necessary skills that support success in continuing their education. Strategies 1. Develop a timeline to implement efficiency goals over the next five years. 2. Establish a task force to develop performance standards for each program and to assess operational efficiency and relevancy. 3. Revise the program review process to include enrollment trends and scheduling patterns, seat count analysis, staffing trends, facility utilization, cost efficiency, student retention and success ratios, provides measurable student learning outcomes, determination of program need and effectiveness of the curriculum, and the numbers of awards and certificates in occupational programs. The criteria for this review process should fall into two categories: 6-31 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 1) Those criteria common to all programs, and 2) those additional criteria specific to particular programs and/or goals. 4. Provide additional large-lecture classroom facilities, open access computer laboratories and/or other instructional components that would permit the maximizing of the instructor/student load ratio. 5. Establish a team composed of faculty and administrators to review other district enrollment practices that might result in the improvement of efficiency measures. The Importance of Off-Campus Programs PRINCIPLE XI: Educational centers and other off-campus programs are an important and integral part of the institution’s success. Satellite centers offer the opportunity to reflect the nature and diversity of the sub areas that they serve. Observations and Analysis That educational centers are an important component of a district’s program of instruction can be demonstrated by the success of other community colleges throughout the state. In the case of Victor Valley Community College District, a strategically placed center would not only augment the existing program of instruction, accommodating residents in an area that might be underserved, but also become an important “feeder facility” for the main campus. Any educational center that is considered should have an individual, personal identity that reflects the portion of the district that it serves. General education programming should be balanced with an increased emphasis on basic skill development, including ESL at these locations. The development of educational centers and all off-campus programs, as well as the promotion of programs into area high schools, should also be carefully planned and considered within the broader 6-32 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION framework of the district’s goals. The district should support purposeful leadership where an educational center shares in the achievement of academic goals and works cooperatively to strengthen the opportunities for the residents of the service area. determine the proposed development for any given center. District decision-making will However, it is also the district’s responsibility, to give such a center the special attention they have earned. Goals 1. To achieve a district-wide perspective and to champion an off-campus center as communitybased local level learning opportunity. 2. To promote the development of each educational center/location with its own identity and specialized academic focus. 3. To identify and utilize alternative locations for the delivery of educational services, particularly in the underserved areas of the district. 4. To continue good public relations with area high schools, expand instructional programs and services, and promote the seamless transfer of high school students. 5. To make available one or two new associate degree patterns for students enrolled at an established off-campus location. Strategies 1. Evaluate the potential for expanded developmental educational opportunities for any established educational center in the district. 2. Establish a time schedule for the development of an educational center(s) and evaluate how this time schedule might impact on other planned activities in the district. 3. Generate a ten to fifteen-year academic plan for the educational center(s) that focuses on appropriate administrative models, curriculum content, areas of specialization and support services needs that will be separate yet related to the primary campus of the district. 4. Put into place a decision-making process that is flexible enough to respond to change and avoid the “turf issues” that may hamper growth. 6-33 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 5. Consider moving entire disciplines to established off-campus locations. 6. Develop independent associate degree programs at locations other than the Victor Valley Campus, thus enabling students to complete certificates or degrees off-campus. 6-34 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION Epilogue The Master Plan Document The goal of the master plan is to continually reflect and articulate a long-term vision and to empower all members of the educational community to contribute to the goals of the district. The master plan should also serve the district as a guide in decision-making on matters that relate to curriculum and facilities. Upon adoption of this master plan, it is important for faculty, staff and students to recognize that planning is an on-going process. This plan should be viewed as the beginning of this process. To this end, it is important that the goals and strategies recommended be assessed, adapted and/or modified through the collaborative process. Goals and strategies that are finally adopted should be outlined in detail and have specific time lines for completion as well as established outcome measures for evaluation. In turn, an annual monitoring of these activities should occur commensurate with the master plan review. 6-35 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES EDUCATIONAL SPACE QUANTIFICATION AND FACILITIES MASTER PLAN CHAPTER 6 – A RECOMMENDED PLAN OF ACTION 6-36 Victor Valley Community College District 2003 Master Plan MAAS COMPANIES