Research Journal of Environmental and Earth Sciences 4(2): 177-185, 2012 ISSN: 2041-0492 © Maxwell Scientific Organization, 2012 Submitted: November 01, 2011 Accepted: November 29 , 2011 Published: February 01, 2012 The use of Kriging Techniques with in GIS Environment to Investigate Groundwater Quality in the Amman-Zarqa Basin/Jordan 1 1 Atef Al-Mashagbah, 1Rida Al-Adamat and 2Elias Salameh Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, Al al-Bayt University, Mafraq, Jordan 2 Department of Geology, Faculty of Sciences, Jordan University, Amman, Jordan Abstract: The Kriging techniques are called the best linear unbiased estimator since it tries to have a mean residual error equal to zero. It aims to minimizing the variance of the errors and hence is a strong advantage over other estimation methods like inverse distance weighting or moving average. In this study, the ordinary kriging techniques were used to estimate groundwater quality parameters (Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+, ClG and NO3G). It was found that the spatial interpolation of groundwater quality of the study area poses various problems due to the complex impact of cultivation and urbanization systems of the study area. Testing of various methods and parameters, by comparing and ranking their cross-correlation errors, show that ordinary kriging method using the different semivariogram models provides the overall good results. Also, most of the groundwater quality parameters have moderate spatial structure except NO3 and Ca that have a strong spatial structure. Key words: Amman-zarqa, GIS, groundwater, Jordan, kriging INTRODUCTION closest measured values usually have the most influence. However, the kriging weights for the surrounding measured points are more sophisticated than those of IDW. IDW uses a simple algorithm based on distance, but kriging weights come from a semivariogram that was developed by viewing the spatial structure of the data (ArcGIS Tutorial). Examples on the use of GIS and kriging techniques for groundwater quality assessment are found in the literature (Zhang et al., 1996; Van et al., 1999; Gogu et al., 2001; Liu et al., 2004; Babiker et al., 2004; Nas and Berktay, 2006; Babiker et al., 2007; Nas and Berktay, 2010). In this study, Kriging techniques were used to interpolate groundwater parameters (Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+, ClG and NO3G) in the study area. Geostatistics is a technology for estimating the local values of properties that vary in space (Oliver and Webster, 1991). The theory is based upon the concept of a random variable, which expresses a continuous variable depending on a location (Isaake and Srivastava, 1989). It is expected that observations close together in space will be more alike than those further apart (Stein et al., 1997). Geostatistical techniques are useful in providing estimates of sample attributes at locations with sparse information (Burrough and McDonnell, 1998). These methods work by defining the spatial structure of the phenomena by autocorrelation such as semi-variograms, then estimating values between measured points based on the degree of spatial autocorrelation or covariance found in the data (Robertson, 1987). Consequently, simpler alternatives to kriging, such as the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) have been used as interpolation methods. This technique is easier to implement due to the fact that the estimation of values does not require any measure of either spatial autocorrelation or spatial autocovariance (Isaake and Srivastava, 1989). The Kriging techniques are called the best linear unbiased estimator since it tries to have a mean residual error equal to zero (Clark, 1979). It aims to minimizing the variance of the errors and hence is a strong advantage over other estimation methods like inverse distance weighting or moving average. Kriging forms weights from surrounding measured values to predict values at unmeasured locations. As with IDW interpolation, the METHODOLOGY Study area: The study area is a part of the northeastern plateau of Jordan within the Amman Zarqa basin, covering parts of Zarqa and Mafraq governorates. It covers an area of about 824 km and is defined by the coordinates: latitudes 32º1! and 32º23! and longitudes 36º6! and 36º39! (Fig. 1). The basalt flows constitutes the main aquifer in the investigated area. It is a highly porous and scoriaceous reservoir (Bender, 1974). The basalt plateau, within which the aquifer is located, covers an area of 11103 km in the Northern Badia of Jordan. The topography of the basalt area mainly consists of a gentle slope plateau with a mean elevation of about Corresponding Author: Rida Al-Adamat, Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, Al al-Bayt University, Mafraq, Jordan, Tel.: +96226297000 (2784); Fax: +96226297062 177 Res. J. Environ. Earth Sci., 4(2): 177-185, 2012 Fig. 1: Location of the study area The basalt rocks in the north-eastern part of Jordan belong to the north Arabian volcanic province, extending to the territories of Saudi Arabia and Syria covering an area of about 12.000 K min Jordan. The basalt aquifer represents the main aquifer in the study area, where the water bearing zone comprises a highly porous and scoriaceous reservoir (MWI, 2009). The basalt rocks form an aquifer of high hydrogeological importance and hydraulic characteristics with water of very good quality.This aquifer is considered the major shallow aquifer within the study area. The basalt aquifer is made up of a series of semi independent pipes or channels lying side by side to each other that forms a good conduit aquifer system, but with little storage capabilities (Mac Donald and Partness., 1965). 750 m above sea level. The predominant topography of the area is a flat lying terrain, with elevation incline from northeast to south and west. The south-eastern, western and some part to the north of the area are topographically high although occupied by small elongated hills. The highest elevation in the study area is about 1038 m a.s.l lying in the northeast corner (near the Syrian border). On the contrary, the deepest area lies at about 500 m above sea level, in the southern area. The drainage is of moderate relief and is affected by morphological rises and depressions of lava flows. The Wadis drain south and southwest. Wadis in the low land part have been straightened for drainage purposes which are mainly used as discharge of groundwater. The climate in the study area is cold in winter, while in summer it is very hot. The mean maximum daily temperature is above 28ºC. Usually the precipitation begins in October and reach maximum in January then begins to decrease until May when the precipitation season ends. June, July and August are the hottest months where the temperature can reach 40ºC. Contrary wise, December, January and February are the rainiest months and the temperature goes on some days below the freezing point. Some rainfall is also received in November and March but it is in general erratic and falls in a few storms. The study area encompasses a variety in land cover. Land cover features such as bare land, dry grass land, vegetables, fruitful trees, agricultural crops are common in this area. Wheat and barley are among the main crops species in the basalt area. The main aquifer in the study area consists of a basalt aquifer system underlain by Amman -Wadi As Sir aquifer (B2/A7) which consist of a carbonate rock sequence and is in turn underlain by the Kurnub sandstone aquifer system. GIS methodology: The groundwater parameters maps were drawn using the most suitable method. For this purpose, for each groundwater parameters, a table was constructed consisting of the XY coordinates and the concentrations of each parameter at that place. By using this table, a suitable variogram model with respect to spatial structure of each parameter event was fitted using GS+ software (for the data which were not normally distributed, logarithm of data were used). Then by using variogram models and its parameters (nugget effect, sill, and the range) interpolation was carried out using the best kriging method. The mapping procedure has started by sampling of pollutants, these samples were indicated by point shape file (vector), so it was converted to raster through interpolation using Kriging methods in GS+ and ArcGIS Software because kriging techniques are the most appropriate methods comparing to other interpolation 178 Res. J. Environ. Earth Sci., 4(2): 177-185, 2012 Histogram of NO 3 Histogram of log NO3 10 8 Frequency 11 Frequency 13 7 3 6 3 0 0 0.13 0.34 0.56 NO3 0.77 0.98 -0.89 -0.67 -0.45 Log-NO 3 -0.23 -0.01 33.068 43.790 Fig. 2: Frequency histogram of the NO3 and Log NO3 Fig. 3: Spatial prediction map for the ordinary kriging interpolation of log NO3 Histogram of log-CI Histogram of CI 8 9 Frequency 12 Frequency 10 5 3 6 3 0 0 -0.05 0.373 0.795 1.218 1.640 0.900 Log-CI 11.623 22.345 CI Fig. 4: Frequency distribution of the Cl and Log Cl techniques. The raster files that represent the hydrogeochemical data created within the GS+ and GIS include, Ca2+, Mg2+, Na+, K+, ClG and NO3G parameters. normal distribution. The graphical histogram test was chosen to test the normality of data (Fig. 2). The ArcGIS Geostatistical Analyst in addition to excel software provides log transformations for converting skewed distributions into normal distributions. Cross-validation was applied to check the best model that describes the spatial correlation of the nitrate concentration of the study area. A comparison of RSS and the R2 for log NO3 show that the spherical model is the RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Nitrate (NO3):Data analysis indicates that raw nitrate values which were used did not follow the normal distribution, but transformed values have followed the 179 Res. J. Environ. Earth Sci., 4(2): 177-185, 2012 Fig. 5: Spatial prediction map for the ordinary kriging interpolation of log Cl Histogram of log_K 11 11 8 Frequency Frequency Histogram of K 15 8 4 6 3 0 0 0.100 0.250 0.400 K 0.550 0.700 -1.000 -0.788 -0.575 Log K -0.363 -0.150 Fig. 6: Frequency distribution of the K+ and Log K+ transformation of data was applied. After the log transformation, the Cl concentrations are approximately normally distributed. The mathematical models (theoretical semivariograms) adjusted to the experimental semivariograms, as well as the C0 parameters (nugget effect), C0+C (sill), a (range), R2 (coefficient of determination) and SSR (sum of squares of residuals) related to the log Cl. The nugget is equal 0.1003; the sill is equal 0.251, while the range is equal to 15120 that depict the best representation of the spatial distribution structure of chloride in the study area. The chloride distribution in the study area has a moderate spatial dependence according to the nugget to sill ratio that equal to 40.12%. The spatial interpolation map of chloride in the study area, according to the ordinary Kriging method and the parameter combination, is shown in Fig. 5. In this map the dark brown color indicate high chloride areas where the best, which suggests the validity of the spherical model and its parameters. An isotropic spherical model with nugget equal 0.0038, a sill equal to the sample variance of 0.0598 and a range of 7970 km is selected as the best representation of the spatial structure. The ratio of nugget variance to sill expressed in percentages equal 6.35%. The ratio is less than 25%, which indicate that the nitrate distribution in the study area has a strong spatial dependence. With the best prediction map determined from the cross validation process, the nitrate concentration prediction map that shows the log NO3 distribution in groundwater can be shown in Fig. 3. In this map, dark brown color represents high concentrations; where the light brown color represents low concentrations. Chloride (Cl): According to the normality test of chloride data (Fig. 4), Cl concentrations are positively skewed, so it is not normal distribution, therefore, the log 180 Res. J. Environ. Earth Sci., 4(2): 177-185, 2012 Fig. 7: Spatial prediction map for the ordinary kriging interpolation of log K+ Histogram of Na Histogram of log Na 9 8 Frequency 10 Frequency 12 6 3 5 3 0 0 1.400 5.490 9.580 Na 13.670 17.760 0.150 0.883 0.517 1.250 Log Na Fig. 8: Frequency distribution of the Na and Log Na The ratio of nugget variance to sill expressed in percentages equal 33.85%. This value is greater than 25 and less than 75%, thus the potassium distribution in the study area has a moderate spatial dependence. With the best prediction map determined from the cross validation process, the potassium concentration prediction map that shows the log K+ distribution in groundwater can be shown in Fig. 7. In this map, the concentrations of K+ is low in whole the study area except the Khalydia and Dhuleil areas that have a high concentrations (dark brown color) comparison to other areas in the study area. light one shows the minimum chloride areas. In agreement with this map, the higher concentrations of chloride are concentrated in the Dhuleil, Halabat areas and reduce to minimum in the eastern areas. Potassium (K): The data set of potassium has a high kurtosis and is positively skewed, so it is not normal distribution, therefore, the log transformation of data was applied to be closer from a normal distribution. Histogram of log-transformed data is presented in Fig. 6. After the log transformation, the K+ concentrations are approximately normally distributed. By Appling the cross-validation methods, the comparison of the results based on RSS and R2 indicate that the interpolation technique using kriging (spherical model) produced the smallest errors. By using GS+ software, fitting the best model to the spatial structure of potassium was performed. The spherical model has the best fit with nugget effect equal to 0.022, a sill equal to 0.065 and a range of influence equal to 14970. Sodium (Na): The data set of Na+ has a high kurtosis and is positively skewed, so it has been log transformed to be closer from a normal distribution. Histogram of logtransformed data is presented in Fig. 8. Even if the distribution obtained can not be considered as normal, it is much closer than the raw data distribution. The experimental semivariogram model for log Na resulted that the nugget is equal 0.0.044; the sill is equal 0.0.097, while the range is equal to 18250 that depict the 181 Res. J. Environ. Earth Sci., 4(2): 177-185, 2012 Fig. 9: Spatial prediction map for the OK interpolation of log Na Histogram of log Ca 14 14 11 Frequency Frequency Histogram of Ca 18 9 5 7 4 0 0 0.610 5.208 9.805 14.403 -0.210 19.0 0.163 0.535 Log Ca Ca Fig. 10: Frequency distribution of the Ca and Log Ca Fig. 11: Spatial prediction map for the OK interpolation of log Ca 182 0.908 1.280 Res. J. Environ. Earth Sci., 4(2): 177-185, 2012 Histogram of log_Mg Histogram of Mg 16 12 9 Frequency Frequency 12 8 6 3 4 0 0 0.590 5.293 9.995 Mg 14.698 19.400 -0.230 0.277 0.783 1.290 Log_Mg Fig. 12: Frequency distribution of the Mg and Log Mg Fig. 13: Spatial prediction map for the OK interpolation of log Mg observations of the property is classified as strong for calcium distribution. The Kriging interpolated map of calcium concentrations that cover the study area is shown in Fig. 11. The ordinary kriging algorithm was applied to interpolate the Ca2+ data using ArcGIS program. In this map high concentrations of calcium are localized in Dhuleil, Halabat areas (dark brown color) and it decrease towards the east border of the study area (light color). best representation of the spatial distribution structure of sodium in the study area. The sodium distribution in the study area has a moderate spatial dependence according to the nugget to sill ratio that equal to 45.36 %. The Kriging interpolated map of Sodium that cover the study area is shown in Fig. 9. Calcium (Ca): The data set of Ca2+ has a high kurtosis and is positively skewed, so it has been log transformed to be closer from a normal distribution. Histogram of logtransformed data is presented in Fig. 10. Even if the distribution obtained can not be considered as normal, it is much closer than the raw data distribution. By Appling the cross-validation methods, the comparison of the results based on RSS and R2 indicate that the interpolation technique using kriging (spherical model) produced the smallest errors. An isotropic exponential model with nugget equal 0.08, a sill equal to 0.480 and a range of 51100 is selected as the best representation of the spatial structure. The ratio of nugget variance to sill expressed in percentages equal 16.67%. This value is less than 25%, thus the degree of spatial dependence that establishes the classification of the degree of spatial dependence between adjacent Magnesium (Mg): The data set of magnesium has a high kurtosis and is positively skewed, so it is not normal distribution, therefore, the log transformation of data was applied to be closer from a normal distribution. Histogram of log-transformed data is presented in Fig. (12). After the log transformation, the Mg concentrations are approximately normally distributed. By Appling the cross-validation methods, the comparison of the results based on RSS and R2 indicate that the interpolation technique using kriging (spherical model) produced the smallest errors. The isotropic variogram of magnesium shows a spherical model with nugget equal 0.097, a sill of 0.225 and a fitted range of 16040. The ratio of nugget variance to sill expressed in 183 Res. J. Environ. Earth Sci., 4(2): 177-185, 2012 percentages equal 43.11%. This value is between 25% and 75%, thus the magnesium distribution in the study area has a moderate spatial dependence. With the best prediction map determined from the cross validation process, the magnesium concentration prediction map that shows the log Mg distribution in groundwater can be shown in Fig. 13. In this map dark brown color represents high concentrations; where the light color represents low concentrations of magnesium. According to this map, the higher concentrations of magnesium are concentrated in the Dhuleil, Halabat areas and reduce to minimum in the eastern parts of the study area. C SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION The study described in this paper utilizes the GS+ and ESRI ArcGIS Geostatistical Analyst to analyze the spatial distribution patterns of contaminations in groundwater. In this study, the ordinary kriging techniques were used to estimate groundwater quality parameters in the basalt area of Amman Zarqa basin (Jordan). The outcomes of this study concluded that: C C C C C C Prediction of parameter distributions in groundwater using log transformation to convert the skewed datasets into morally distributed datasets could be not accurate. Second, contamination concentrations in the groundwater can be influenced by soil and hydrologic condition of the area. Contamination, once released into the ground, might undergo some physical, chemical and biological reactions that could possibly alter concentration distribution. Human errors and laboratory uncertainties during sampling and data acquisition are also possible factors for prediction errors. These uncertainties and limitations should be considered in the assessment of groundwater contamination. REFERENCES Babiker, I., S. Mohamed, A.A. Mohamed, H. Terao, K. Kato and O. Keiichi, 2004. Assessment of groundwater contamination by nitrate leaching from intensive vegetable cultivation using geographical information system. Environ. Int., 29(8): 1009-1017. 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