INSTITUTIONS AND MARKETS IN THE PHILIPPINES – EVIDENCE FROM GLOBAL INDICATORS Lino Briguglio and Carmen Saliba University of Malta ABSTRACT The objective of this paper is to assess the administrative, economic and social institutions in the Philippines. For this purpose, the paper utilises seven indicators relating to administrative, economic and social governance to assess the scores and the rankings assigned to the Philippines and compares them to scores and rankings pertaining to (i) other ASEAN member countries and (ii) other countries globally. The indices utilised in the study are also tested for correlation, using a one-to-one comparison, to (a) GDP per capita (b) economic growth and (c) macroeconomic stability, so as to assess how these macroeconomic aggregates relate to the scores of the indices. The results indicate that the Philippines registered relatively low scores with regard to its institutional set-ups when compared to other countries in the region and globally. JEL: Classification: O43 - Institutions and Growth; D02 - Institutions: Design, Formation, and Operations N2 - Financial Markets and Institutions CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION........................................................................................................... 3 2. LITERATURE ON INSTITUTIONS AND MARKETS ............................................ 3 2.1 Institutions and Economic Growth .......................................................................... 3 2.2 Institutions and Competitiveness ............................................................................. 4 2.3 Institutions and Corruption ..................................................................................... 4 2.4 Institutions and Social Cohesion .............................................................................. 5 2.5 Market Efficiency, Institutions and Growth........................................................... 5 3. GLOBAL INDICATORS AND THE PHILIPPINES’ SCORES ............................... 5 3.1 The Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) ..................................................... 5 3.1.1 The WGI: Regional Comparisons................................................................. 6 3.1.2 The WGI: Global Comparisons .................................................................... 7 3.1.3 The WGI: Correlation with other economic variables ................................. 7 3.2 The Rule of Law Index ............................................................................................. 9 3.2.1 The RLI: Regional Comparisons .................................................................. 9 3.2.2 The RLI: Global Comparisons ................................................................... 10 3.2.3 The RLI: Correlation with economic changes in the region ...................... 10 3.3 The Corruption Perception Index ......................................................................... 11 3.3.1 The CPI: Regional Comparisons ................................................................ 11 3.3.2 CPI: Global Comparisons .......................................................................... 12 1 3.3.3 The CPI: Correlation with economic changes in the region ...................... 12 3.4 The Economic Freedom of the World Index ........................................................ 13 3.4.1 The EWFI: Regional Comparisons............................................................. 13 3.4.2 The EWFI: Global Comparisons ................................................................ 14 3.4.3 The EFWI: Correlation with economic changes in the region ................... 14 3.5 The Global Competitiveness Index ........................................................................ 14 3.5.1 The GCI: Regional Comparisons ............................................................... 15 3.5.2 The GCI: Global Comparisons................................................................... 16 3.5.3 The GCI: Correlation with economic aggregates ...................................... 17 3.6 The Doing Business Index....................................................................................... 18 3.6.1 The DBI: Regional Comparisons ............................................................... 19 3.6.2 The DBI: Global Comparisons ................................................................... 19 3.6.3 The DBI: Correlation with economic aggregates ...................................... 20 3.7 The Human Development Index ............................................................................ 20 4. 5. 3.7.1 The HDI: Regional Comparisons ............................................................... 21 3.7.2 The HDI: Global Comparisons .................................................................. 21 3.7.3 The HDI: Correlation with economic aggregates ...................................... 21 MAIN IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS .......................................................... 22 4.1.1 Institutions and Markets in the Philippines ................................................ 22 4.1.2 Institutions, market efficiency and Growth................................................. 22 4.1.3 Institutions, market efficiency and GDP per capita. .................................. 23 4.1.4 Institutions, market efficiency and macroeconomic stability ..................... 23 4.1.5 Institutions, market efficiency and corruption ............................................ 24 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................. 24 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................................... 24 APPENDIX 1: DEFINITIONS OF THE COMPONENTS OF THE 7 INDICES ........... 27 APPENDIX 2: THE SCORES OF THE PHILIPPINES SINCE 2005 ............................. 32 2 INSTITUTIONS AND MARKETS IN THE PHILIPPINES – EVIDENCE FROM GLOBAL INDICATORS Lino Briguglio and Carmen Saliba University of Malta 1. INTRODUCTION The objective of this paper is to assess the administrative, economic and social institutions in the Philippines. For this purpose, the paper utilises seven indicators to assess the scores and the rankings assigned to the Philippines and compares them to (i) scores in other ASEAN member countries and (ii) scores in other countries globally. The indices utilised in the study are the following: 1. Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2. Rule of Law Index 3. Corruption Perception Index and 4. Economic Freedom of the World Index, 5. Global Competitiveness Indicators, 6. Doing Business Index, and 7. Human Development Index. The first three indicators (the Worldwide Governance Indicators, the Rule of Law Index, and the Corruption Perception Index) mostly relate to legal and administrative institutions. The next three indicators (the Economic Freedom of the World Index, the Global Competitiveness Indicators and the Doing Business Index) mostly relate to economic governance, and are therefore associated with economic and business institutions and with the workings of markets. The seventh indicator (the Human Development Index) mostly relates to social governance, and is therefore associated with social institutions. It should be stated, however, that there is some overlap between the first six indicators, with some of them drawing on similar sources, although they all have a degree of distinctiveness. The scores of the mentioned indices are also tested for correlation, using a one-to-one comparison, to (a) GDP per capita (b) economic growth and (c) macroeconomic stability, so as to assess how these macroeconomic aggregates relate to the scores of the indices. The paper is organised in five sections. Following this introductory section, a brief literature review is presented focussing on the connection between institutions and a number of economic variables. The section that follows will examine each of the seven indicators mentioned above, focussing on the relative scores of the Philippines within the region and globally. Section 4 summarises the main tendencies derived from the previous seven sections. Section 5 concludes the study and proposes a number of implications that emerge from the analysis. 2. LITERATURE ON INSTITUTIONS AND MARKETS 2.1 Institutions and Economic Growth Several publications associate institutional capacity with growth and development. (North 1990; Rodrik,1999; Aron, 2000; Commission on Growth and Development, 2008). 3 Institutions form one of the pillars of the Global Competitiveness Index of the World Economic Forum (2012). Jutting (2003), in an extensive literature review on the subject, concluded that ―most of the studies suggest a strong and robust relationship between institutional quality and growth and development outcomes‖. A similar conclusion was reached by Rodrik et al. (2002) due to the direct and indirect effects of institutions on growth and development, with the indirect effects including increases in investment attractiveness, better policies, better management of conflict and an increase in the social capital stock of a community – factors which are known to influence economic growth and development. The direction of causation of economic growth and institutions are discussed in some studies. Some authors prefer the theory of growth first and institutions later, (e.g. Glaeser et al., 2004) while others take the opposite view (e.g. Acemoglu et al.,2005). 2.2 Institutions and Competitiveness There are several indicators that link institutions with competitiveness‘ - perhaps the most famous being the WEF‘s Global Competitiveness Indicators (Schwab, 2012). It is argued that the quality of institutions influences investment decisions and the organization of production and plays a key role in the ways in which societies distribute the benefits and bear the costs of development strategies and policies 2.3 Institutions and Corruption Institutions are formed by legal and administrative arrangements. Sometimes institutions are associated with excessive bureaucracy and red tape, overregulation, corruption, and lack of transparency and political patronage. The relationship between corruption and institutions is considered in de Vaal and Ebben (2011) who present a model that shows that for corruption to have a positive effect on growth, institutional quality has to be sufficiently low. Some studies indicate that corruption is extensive in developing countries (Svensson, 2005). Corruption may be beneficial to the persons who bribe and those bribed, but it creates various economic downsides, including additional costs to firms and negative effects on the provision of goods and services by the government (Olken and Pande, 2011). Corruption also generates an atmosphere of uncertainty and dishonesty. There are studies (e.g. Huntington, 1968), that suggest that corruption can be beneficial, when governments are autocratic and remain in power by hook or by crook. In this case, graft may provide an opportunity for entrepreneurs to influence the decision-making process and enable them to generate business and innovative activities). However, as Easterly (2006) argued, claims that corruption ―greases the wheels‖ of growth simply do not stand up to empirical scrutiny. 4 2.4 Institutions and Social Cohesion Institutions may be conducive to enhancing social cohesion in a country, which is necessary to support the effective functioning of the economic apparatus, without the hindrance of civil unrest. Social cohesion is also associated with effective social dialogue which, in turn, would enable collaborative approaches towards the undertaking of corrective measures in the face of adverse economic shocks (Briguglio et al., 2009). Easterly (2006) argues that good institutions can unify fractionalized peoples, and defeat the average tendency to divide and rule. This line of arguments supports the contention in Easterly (2001) that formal institutions contribute to the ―social glue‖ that tends to be in short supply when there are ethno-linguistic divisions. 2.5 Market Efficiency, Institutions and Growth The science of economics views markets and their efficient operation through the price mechanism as the best way to allocate resources in the economy. If a market adjusts rapidly to achieve equilibrium following an external shock, the risk of being negatively affected by such a shock will be lower than if the market remains in disequilibrium. Indeed, with very slow or non-existent market adjustment, resources will not be efficiently allocated in the economy, resulting in welfare costs, manifested, for instance, in unemployed resources and waste or shortages in the goods markets. It is often contended that when markets can operate it is better to let them operate without government intervention in order to foster economic growth. Government intervention however is generally justified in the case of merit goods (such as education, health and pensions)1 which have relative high positive externalities.2 However, a functioning market does not mean absence of institutions or the law of the jungle. As a matter of fact, most countries, particularly those upholding the benefits of free markets, adopt competition law and policy, with related competition authorities. It is contended that the recent global financial turmoil might not have happened if the regulatory institutions appropriately oversaw the excessive risks in the financial markets of the USA and the UK, among others (Ocampo, 2008). 3. GLOBAL INDICATORS AND THE PHILIPPINES’ SCORES 3.1 The Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) The 2012 Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 3, with data updated to 2011, covers 215 countries and has six dimensions of governance, namely (1) voice and accountability (2) political stability and absence of violence (3) government effectiveness (4) regulatory quality (5) rule of law and (6) control of corruption (see Appendix 1 for the definition of these indicators). The indicators are based on the views of persons involved in business, ordinary citizens and expert surveys, with sources derived from various institutes, think tanks, nongovernmental organizations, international organizations, and private sector firms. 1 The extent to which government intervenes in subsiding merit goods depends on the philosophy upheld by the nation, with left leaning governments generally being more prone to support merit goods. 2 It is also generally accepted that markets do not operate in the case of public goods, such as many environmental assets, and externalities, such as pollution. 3 The Indicators‘ website URL is: http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.asp 5 The data is first rescaled using the Min-Max approach4 to render the data comparable across sources. The resulting estimates of governance are a weighted average of the data from each source5 with scores assigned a value of approximately -2.5 to 2.5, with higher values corresponding to better governance. The scores are accompanied by confidence intervals at the 90% level of significance. A detailed description of the methodology is given in Kaufmann et al. (2010). 3.1.1 The WGI: Regional Comparisons It can be seen from Table 1 that there many negative WGI scores assigned to the 10 members of the ASEAN, indicating that governance is, overall, rather weak in the region. The only two countries with a predominance of plus values are Singapore and Brunei Darussalam, which overall are ranked first and second respectively in the region. The worst performer in terms of governance is Myanmar, where all the scores are negative. Loa PDR, Cambodia and Vietnam also have predominantly negative scores. Table 1 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to other ASEAN Member Countries in terms of the Worldwide Governance Indicators* CC Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank AVG Score RL Rank RQ Score GE Rank Brunei D Cambodia Indonesia Lao PDR Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam PS&AV Score V&A -0.63 -0.91 -0.08 -1.60 -0.44 -1.86 -0.02 -0.19 -0.45 -1.48 6 7 2 9 4 10 1 3 5 8 1.12 -0.44 -0.82 0.01 0.16 -1.16 -1.39 1.21 -1.02 0.17 2 6 7 5 4 9 10 1 8 3 0.88 -0.75 -0.24 -0.91 1 -1.64 0.00 2.16 0.10 -0.28 3 8 6 9 2 10 5 1 4 7 1.17 -0.45 -0.33 -0.96 0.66 -2.13 -0.27 1.83 0.24 -0.61 2 7 6 9 3 10 5 1 4 8 0.88 -1.03 -0.66 -0.92 0.52 -1.42 -0.51 1.70 -0.24 -0.47 2 9 7 8 3 10 6 1 4 5 0.84 -1.10 -0.66 -1.06 0.00 -1.69 -0.78 2.12 -0.37 -0.59 2 9 6 8 3 10 7 1 4 5 0.71 -0.78 -0.46 -0.91 0.32 -1.65 -0.49 1.47 -0.29 -0.54 2 8 5 9 3 10 6 1 4 7 * Scores range from -2.5 to +2.5, with -2.5 representing the worst possible WGI score and +2.5 the highest possible score. Key: V&A = voice and accountability; PS&AV = political stability and absence of violence; GE = government effectiveness; RQ = regulatory quality; RL = rule of law; and CC = control of corruption; AVG = average scores of the six indices. The Philippines ranks 6th overall in the region when all indices are considered together, however its scores are particularly low in terms of Political Stability & Absence of Violence and Control of Corruption. 4 This rescaling method is based on the formula (Xi-Xmin)/(Xmax-Xmin) where Xi is an ith observation in an array of observations of a given variable. Xmin is the observation with the minimum value and Xmax is the observation with the maximum value in the same array of observations. Thus the observation with the minimum value will be rescaled to equal zero and the observation with the maximum value will be rescaled to equal 1. All other observations will have a value between 0 and 1. This method is commonly used in composite indices. Its main shortcoming is that outliers can give distorted results. 5 The weights reflect the pattern of correlation among data sources. The method adopted by the authors assigns greater weight to data sources that tend to be more strongly correlated with each other. The authors argue that while this weighting improves the statistical precision of the aggregate indicators, it typically does not affect very much the ranking of countries on the aggregate indicators 6 It can be seen also that in terms of Voice and Accountability, all countries in the region were assigned a negative score. However the least negative of them all was that assigned to the Philippines. This indicator captures perceptions of the extent to which a country's citizens are able to participate in selecting their government, as well as freedom of expression, freedom of association, and a free media. Interestingly even Singapore, which has the highest scores overall, received a negative score in terms of Voice and Accountability. 3.1.2 The WGI: Global Comparisons Table 2 shows that globally, the Philippines again scored very badly in terms of Political Stability and Absence of Violence, being ranked 194 out of 215 countries. It has also received relatively bad rankings in terms of Control of Corruption and Rule of Law. Overall the Philippines‘ WGI ranking is well below the average, being ranked 138 out of 215 countries. It should be noted however that in terms of Government Effectiveness, the Philippines scores only slightly below the average, with the best ranking among the six indicators assigned to this country. This indicator is the one which is the most associated with public sector institutions. Table 2 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to a set of 215 Countries and Territories in terms of the Worldwide Governance Indicators* V&A PS&AV GE RQ RL Philippines‘ Rank (out of 215) 110 194 94 120 140 Philippines‘ score -0.015 -1.386 -0.003 -0.265 -0.512 Best 10 scores (average) 1.566 1.475 1.951 1.834 1.861 Worst 10 scores (average) -1.958 -2.330 -1.744 -1.967 -1.662 Average of all scores 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 * See notes under Table 1 for the key to the headers of each column CC AVG 164 138 -0.784 2.196 -0.494 1.747 -1.500 0.001 -1.630 -0.002 3.1.3 The WGI: Correlation with other economic variables The components of the WGI of the ASEAN member countries were correlated with each other and with three other variables, shown in Table 3, namely GDP per capita (GDPPC)6 in 2012, real GDP growth between 2003 and 20127, and an index of macroeconomic stability.8 Table 4 shows the degree of correlation between the economic aggregates just described. It can be seen that GDP per capita is negatively correlated with economic growth and positively correlated with macroeconomic stability.9 The negative correlation between GDP per capita and growth can be explained in terms of the possibility that a low-income country registers a 6 The data was sourced from the IMF Global Economic Outlook website, available at: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2013/01/weodata/index.aspx . 7 The data was sourced from the IMF Global Economic Outlook website, available at: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2013/01/weodata/index.aspx . 8 The index of stability was constructed on the basis of three variables, namely (1) Inflation, (2) Current Account Deficit as a ratio of GDP and (3) Gross Debt as a ration of GDP. Each variable was rescaled using the max-min formula and averaged to obtain a stability index, noting that while the maximum values of Inflation and Debt/GDP and the lowest value of Current Account/GDP balance indicate the highest rates of instability. The data pertained to the ten-year period 2003-2013, so as to span over the business cycle. The data was sourced from the IMF Global Economic Outlook website, available at: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2013/01/weodata/index.aspx . 9 It should be noted that the same pattern of correlations was found to exist globally (180 countries), namely that the GDPPC was negatively correlated with growth and positively correlated with macroeconomic stability. 7 higher growth rate in relative terms than a high-income country, given an equal increment, and that growth possibilities for low income countries tend to have better possibilities for growth in view of excess capacity and lower costs. The negative correlation between growth and stability should not be construed as an indication that macroeconomic stability is not conducive to growth.10 In fact a regression analysis between economic growth and macroeconomic stability, keeping GDP per capita constant, carried out by the present author, produced a positive sign on the stability variable, indicating that if the sample of countries is segmented into higher-income and lower-income countries, the one-to-one correlation between growth and stability would be positive. Table 3 Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN Brunei D Cambodia Indonesia Lao PDR Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam GDP Per capita US$ 38449 847 3363 1290 9626 800 2385 48620 5355 1358 Growth (%) 2003-2012 1.07 7.95 5.69 7.63 5.06 9.19 5.17 6.10 4.27 6.96 Stability 2003-2012 1.000 0.384 0.369 0.111 0.550 0.000 0.405 0.388 0.473 0.214 Table 4 Correlation between the Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN GDP Per Capita Growth 2009-12 Stability GDP Per capita Growth 2003-2012 1 -0.47 0.57 1 -0.87 Stability 2003-2012 1 Table 5 correlates the components of the WGI with the economic aggregates shown in Table 3. It emerges that the components of the WGI are generally highly correlated with each other, with the exception of the relation between Voice & Accountability and Political Stability. The indices are also generally highly correlated with GDP per capita, indicating that higherincome countries in general have better governance. However there is no indication that growth and good governance move in the same direction, if at all the opposite appears to be the case. In fact, the fastest growing countries in the region were those with the lowest GDP scores, possibly due to the fact that they started from very low levels, as explained above. 10 In many studies, macroeconomic stability is thought to support economic growth. On this issue see for example, Sirimaneetham and Temple (2009). 8 Table 5 Correlation of the WGI components with Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN* V&A V&A PS&AV GE RQ RL CC AVG GDPCC Growth 03-12 Growth 09-12 Stability PS&AV GE RQ RL CC AVG 1 0.03 1 0.68 0.68 1 0.70 0.69 0.97 1 0.54 0.78 0.98 0.95 1 0.53 0.79 0.96 0.94 0.98 1 0.63 0.77 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.98 1 0.37 0.81 0.83 0.83 0.91 0.94 0.89 -0.59 -0.37 -0.61 -0.71 -0.62 -0.56 -0.64 -0.41 -0.24 -0.46 -0.56 -0.50 -0.43 -0.48 0.58 0.47 0.62 0.75 0.64 0.57 * See notes under Table 1 for the key to the headers of each row. 0.67 There is an indication that, overall, the countries with the best WGI scores are the most macro-economically stable. 3.2 The Rule of Law Index The Rule of Law Index (RLI) measures adherence to the rule of law principles through a set of eight indicators (called factors) which are further disaggregated into 48 sub-indicators (sub-factors). The index covers 97 countries. The measureable components (factors) of the RLI are the following: (1) limited government powers, (2) absence of corruption, (3)order and security, (4) fundamental rights, (5) open government, (6) regulatory enforcement (7) access to civil justice, and (8) effective criminal justice (see Appendix 1 for the definition of these indicators). Most of the data related to 2012. The authors use various methods to obtain the data including a general population poll (lay persons) and qualified respondents‘ questionnaires (experts). Using primary data has two advantages. The responses are codified so that all values fall between 0 and 1 and calculate, for each country, the simple average of each variable from the responses. The variables are rescaled using the Min-Max method. The methodology is explained in Botero and Ponce (2011). 3.2.1 The RLI: Regional Comparisons It can be seen from Table 6 that the RLI scores assigned to the Philippines are, on average, low within the region, ranking the country fifth among seven countries.11 The Philippines scores very badly in terms of the Order and Security, Access to Civil Justice and Open Government factors. Its best score relates to Effectiveness of Criminal Justice. As in the case of the Worldwide Governance Indicators, the best overall performer is Singapore, and the country with the worst overall score is Cambodia.12 11 12 Data was not available for Brunei D., Lao PDR, and Myanmar. Given that Lao PDR and Myanmar do not feature in this index. 9 Table 6 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to other ASEAN Member Countries in terms of the Rule of Law Index* Score Rank Score Rank Score 0.31 0.30 0.69 0.41 0.91 0.41 0.43 6 7 2 4 1 5 3 0.70 0.72 0.86 0.60 0.93 0.63 0.82 5 4 2 7 1 6 3 0.43 0.56 0.50 0.57 0.73 0.66 0.48 7 4 5 3 1 2 6 0.37 0.53 0.48 0.46 0.67 0.50 0.35 6 2 4 5 1 3 7 0.33 0.50 0.52 0.51 0.80 0.51 0.39 7 5 2 3 1 4 6 0.37 0.49 0.57 0.43 0.79 0.43 0.43 7 3 2 6 1 5 4 0.40 0.45 0.61 0.42 0.87 0.59 0.57 Rank Rank 7 2 3 4 1 5 6 Score Score 0.34 0.64 0.57 0.56 0.73 0.53 0.40 AVG Rank Rank ECJ Score ACJ Rank RE Score OG Rank FR Score O&S Rank Cambodia Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam AC Score LGP 7 5 2 6 1 3 0.41 0.52 0.60 0.49 0.80 0.53 0.49 7 4 2 5 1 3 6 * Scores range from 0 to 1, with 0 representing the worst Rule of Law score and 1 the best possible score. Key: LGP = limited government powers; AC = absence of corruption; O&S = order and stability; FR = fundamental rights; OG = open governments; RE = regulatory enforcement; ACJ = Access to civil justice; ECJ = effective criminal justice; AVG = average of all score. 3.2.2 The RLI: Global Comparisons Globally, the RLI scores indicate that the Philippines scores badly in terms of Access to Civil Justice, which is a similar result when only the ASEAN group was considered, as can be seen from Table 7. Its best rankings are in Limited Government Powers and Regulatory Quality, but the relative scores are still below the global average. Table 7 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to a set of 97 Countries in terms of the Rule of Law Index* LGP AC O&S FR OG RE ACJ ECJ Philippines‘ rank (out of 97) 46 63 77 59 59 52 84 72 Philippines‘ score (out of 97) 0.564 0.414 0.603 0.569 0.455 0.509 0.427 0.419 Best 10 scores (average) 0.869 0.918 0.903 0.871 0.850 0.838 0.784 0.815 Worst 10 scores (average) 0.305 0.260 0.466 0.377 0.316 0.328 0.373 0.313 Average of all scores 0.572 0.534 0.713 0.618 0.523 0.542 0.557 0.533 AVG 64 0.495 0.844 0.386 0.574 * For the key to column headings see Table 6 3.2.3 The RLI: Correlation with economic changes in the region It can be seen from Table 8 that with few exceptions, the components of the RLI are highly positively correlated with each other. The components are also highly correlated to GDP per capita, again indicating that the higher income countries in the region are better governed in terms of rule of law. Again, there is no positive correlation with economic growth, and if at all the connection seems to be negative, indicating that the fastest growing economies are the relatively poorer ones. In the case of the macroeconomic stability, it appears that, in general, the economies with the best rule of law scores are also the most stable, although the correlation coefficients in this regard are somewhat low. 10 Table 8 Correlation of the RLI components with Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN LGP AC O&S FR OG RE CIJ CRJ AVG LGP AC O&S FR OG RE CIJ CRJ AVG GDPCC Growth 03-12 1 0.61 0.31 0.80 0.94 0.90 0.79 0.58 0.82 0.69 -0.57 1 0.79 0.55 0.70 0.84 0.93 0.91 0.93 0.89 -0.17 1 0.14 0.38 0.50 0.78 0.76 0.69 0.69 0.26 1 0.88 0.87 0.66 0.70 0.77 0.73 -0.56 1 0.95 0.86 0.72 0.90 0.84 -0.45 1 0.93 0.83 0.97 0.92 -0.40 1 0.89 0.98 0.95 -0.16 1 0.92 0.89 -0.20 1 0.95 -0.30 Stability 0.32 0.27 -0.10 0.20 0.36 0.25 0.19 0.10 0.23 * For the key to column headings see Table 6 3.3 The Corruption Perception Index The Corruption Perception Index, compiled by Transparency International, is based on perceived levels of corruption, as determined by expert assessments and opinion surveys with data expressed over a mapping scale of 0-100 where a 0 = highest level of perceived corruption, and 100 = lowest. The 2012 CPI draws on 13 different surveys and assessments from 12 different institutions. The methodology follows 4 basic steps: selection of source data, rescaling source data, aggregating the rescaled data and then reporting a measure for uncertainty. In all 176 countries and territories are covered. More detailed information is available see Transparency international (2012). 3.3.1 The CPI: Regional Comparisons It can be seen from Table 9 that Singapore is assigned the highest score in the region with Brunei ranked second, indicating that perceived corruption in these countries is the lowest among the ten ASEAN members. The lowest scores countries are Lao PDR and Myanmar, indicating that perceived corruption in these countries is the highest among the ten ASEAN members. The Philippines, together with Indonesia, are ranked in the middle of the group, 5 th and 6th respectively. It can be noted that the ranking of the CPI are very similar to the rankings of the Control of Corruption indicator of the WGI. 11 Table 9 The Score and Ranking of the Philippines Compared to other ASEAN Member Countries in terms of the Corruption Perception Index* Country Score Brunei 55 Rank in the region 2 Cambodia 22 8 Indonesia 32 6 Laos 21 9 Malaysia 49 3 Myanmar 15 10 Philippines 34 5 Singapore 87 1 Thailand 37 4 Vietnam 31 7 * In case of the rank, the 1 represents the lowest level of perceived corruption in the ASEAN and 8 the highest. In the case of scores, the lowest possible perceived corruption carries a score of 100 and the highest possible level of perceived corruption carries a score of 0. 3.3.2 CPI: Global Comparisons Globally, the Philippines are ranked 105th in the list of 215 economies, within the lower half of the countries surveyed, although at the upper end of this half, as shown in Table 10. The score assigned to the Philippines is however rather low at 34, and well under the average score of 43, meaning that the Philippines are not perceived as the most corrupt globally, but they can still be labelled as being perceived as highly corrupt. Table 10 The Score and Ranking of the Philippines compared to a set of 176 Countries and Territories in terms of the Corruption Perception Index Country CPI Philippines‘ rank (out of 176) 105 Philippines‘ score 34 Best 10 scores (average) 87 Worst 10 scores (average) 14 Average score globally 43 3.3.3 The CPI: Correlation with economic changes in the region As was the case with the GWI and the RLI, the CPI scores are highly positively correlated with income per capita, and tend to be negatively related to economic growth, as can be seen from Table 11. The CPI scores would seem to be positively correlated with macroeconomic stability. Table 11 Correlation of the CPI components with Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN CPI CPI 1 GDPPC 0.913 Growth 03-12 -0.514 Stability 0.525 12 3.4 The Economic Freedom of the World Index This Economic Freedom of the World Index (EFWI) has five areas (sub-indices), namely (1) size of government; (2) legal system & security of property rights; (3) access to sound money; (4) freedom to trade internationally; and (5) regulation of credit, labour, and business (see Appendix 1 for the definition of these indicators). The index is based on data sourced from surveys, expert panels, and generic case studies including sources such as the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and World Economic Forum that provide data for a large number of countries. Data provided directly from a source within a country are rarely used, and only when the data are unavailable from international sources. Most of the scores utilise the Min-Max formula to rescale the data (1 to 10). The 2010 index covers 144 countries and territories. The methodology is explained in the Explanatory Notes and Data Sources Appendix in Gwartney et al. (2012). 3.4.1 The EWFI: Regional Comparisons Table 12 presents the scores and ranks of the 8 ASEAN members13 in terms of the EFWI. It can be seen that, overall, the best performer is again Singapore, and the worst Myanmar, with the Philippines being ranked, overall, the top-half of the group. Table 12 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines Compared to Other ASEAN Member Countries in terms of the Economic Freedom of the World Index* Cambodia Indonesia Malaysia Myanmar Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam 7.89 7.90 6.13 6.33 8.31 8.06 7.43 8.04 5 4 8 7 1 2 6 3 4.61 4.48 6.86 3.19 4.37 8.38 5.35 5.88 5 6 2 8 7 1 4 3 9.26 8.99 6.52 5.73 9.29 9.05 7.06 5.93 2 4 6 8 1 3 5 7 7.29 6.77 7.28 1.78 6.68 9.39 6.81 6.29 2 5 3 8 6 1 4 7 6.54 6.29 8.03 4.39 6.92 8.92 7.05 6.46 5 7 2 8 4 1 3 6 7.12 6.89 6.97 4.29 7.11 8.76 6.74 6.52 Rank Score AVG Rank Score RG Rank Score FTI Rank Score SM Rank Score LS&PR Rank Score SG 2 5 4 8 3 1 6 7 * Scores range from 1 to 10, with 1 representing the worst EFW score and 7 the best possible score Key: SG = size of government; LS&PR legal system & security of property rights; SM = access to sound money; (4) FTI = freedom to trade internationally; RG = regulation of credit, labour, and business; AVG = average of all areas. In terms of these indicators, the Philippines performs very badly with regard to the Legal System & Property Rights and Freedom to Trade Internationally. However, it receives relatively high scores with regard to Sound Money and Size of Government. Overall, on the EFWI the Philippines does relatively well, being ranked 3rd in the region, even higher than Malaysia. Given that this index has three areas which focus on market efficiency, namely Sound Money, Freedom to Trade Internationally, and Regulations, it is useful to see where the Philippines finds itself with regard to these indicators. The results are a mixed bag of scores, with a very high score with regard to Sound Money, a fairly good score with regard to Regulations and a relatively bad score with regard to Freedom to Trade Internationally. If 13 Data was not available for Brunei Darussalam and Lao PDR. 13 these indicators are combined, the Philippines would be ranked 4th among the eight ASEAN countries in the region, being surpassed by Singapore and Cambodia. Surprisingly, the second ranked country on this index is Cambodia, which registers relatively high scores with regard to market efficiency. 3.4.2 The EWFI: Global Comparisons From Table 13 it appears that the Philippines, compared to all countries of the World, performed badly in terms of the Legal System and Property Rights, and in terms of Freedom to Trade Internationally, but relatively well in terms of and Size of Government and Sound Money. Overall, in terms of the EFWI the Philippines‘ was ranked 62nd out of 144 countries and territories, that is at the lower end of the top half, which is reflected in the overall score which is nearer to the top ten scores than to the lower ten scores, as shown in Table 13. Table 13 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to a set of 144 Countries and Territories in terms of the Economic Freedom of the World Index Philippines rank (out of 144) Philippines score Best ten scores (Average) Worst ten scores (Average) Average score globally SG LS&PR SM FTI RG AVG 9 8.31 8.57 3.89 6.42 110 4.37 8.50 2.69 5.60 39 9.29 9.72 5.06 8.08 96 6.68 8.76 4.40 7.02 74 6.92 8.80 4.88 6.96 62 7.11 8.22 4.85 6.81 * For the key to column headings see Table 12 3.4.3 The EFWI: Correlation with economic changes in the region Table 14 again replicates the findings of the previous correlation matrices that governance is overall positively correlated to GDP per capita and macroeconomic, but not with economic growth. Table 14 Correlation of the EFW Components with Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN SG SG LS&PR SM FTI RG AVG GDP PC Growth 03-12 Stability LS&PR 1 -0.302 0.541 0.016 -0.324 0.211 0.068 0.380 -0.726 1 -0.251 0.778 0.901 0.692 0.860 -0.062 0.142 SM 1 0.388 0.020 0.514 0.236 0.206 0.042 FTI RF 1 0.857 0.969 0.952 0.089 0.215 1 0.803 0.881 -0.258 0.448 AVG 1 0.945 0.089 0.105 3.5 The Global Competitiveness Index The Global Competitiveness Index is published as part of the Global Competitiveness Report 2012–2013,14 with data pertaining mostly to 2011, although in some instances 2010 data was 14 This was the latest available version during the writing of this paper. It is available at: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf 14 used.15 The authors define competitiveness as ―the set of institutions, policies, and factors that determine the level of productivity of a country.‖ The authors argue that ―the level of productivity, in turn, sets the level of prosperity that can be earned by an economy. In other words, a more competitive economy is one that is likely to sustain growth.‖ The GCI covers 144 countries. The scores are based on the Min-Max method, with scores ranging from 1 to7. The methodology is explained in Chapter 1.3 of the Global Competitiveness Report. The overall index is a weighted average of many different components, each measuring a different aspect of competitiveness. These components are grouped into 3 sub-indices16, with 12 pillars as follows: Sub-index 1: Basic requirements Pillar 1: Macroeconomic environment Pillar 2: Institutions Pillar 3: Infrastructure Pillar 4: Health and primary education Sub-index 2: Efficiency enhancers Pillar 5: Market size Pillar 6: Financial market development Pillar 7: Higher education and training Pillar 8: Technological readiness Pillar 9: Goods market efficiency Pillar 10: Labour market efficiency Sub-index 3: Innovation and sophistication factors Pillar 11: Business sophistication Pillar 12: Innovation (see Appendix 1 for the definition of these indicator pillars). 3.5.1 The GCI: Regional Comparisons Table 15 presents GCI the scores of the Philippines and other ASEAN member countries for which data was available. Rank Overall GCI Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Score Country Table 15 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to other ASEAN Member Countries in terms of the Global Competitiveness Index BI EF IS IN GM LM FM Sub-index SubSubPillar 2 Pillar 6 Pillar 7 Pillar 8 1 index 2 index 3 Brunei D 5.56 2 4.05 6 3.63 5 4.86 4 4.23 6 5.07 2 4.27 4 4.87 3 Cambodia 4.14 8 3.84 8 3.54 7 3.84 5 4.43 4 4.78 4 4.12 6 4.01 8 Indonesia 4.74 5 4.21 4 3.96 3 3.86 7 4.29 5 3.87 8 4.07 7 4.40 5 Malaysia 5.38 3 4.89 2 4.70 2 5.00 2 5.16 2 4.82 3 5.44 2 5.06 2 Philippines 4.35 6 4.17 5 3.60 6 3.57 8 4.17 7 4.01 7 4.25 5 4.23 6 Singapore 6.34 1 5.65 1 5.27 1 6.07 1 5.60 1 5.80 1 5.85 1 5.67 1 Thailand 4.89 4 4.38 3 3.72 4 3.82 6 4.56 3 4.32 6 4.46 3 4.52 4 Vietnam 4.22 7 4.03 7 3.32 8 4.94 3 4.13 8 4.52 5 3.85 8 4.11 7 * The lowest possible GCI score is 1 and the highest possible level of GCI score is 7. Key: BI = basic requirements indicators, EF = efficiency enhancers; IS = innovation & sophistication; IN = Institutions; GM = goods market efficiency; LM = labour market efficiency; FM = financial market development; AVG = average of all indices. 15 In addition, some formulae for constructing 2011 data required information from other years. The GCI utilise a somewhat arbitrary weighting procedure, depending on the stage of development of the country being considered, as measured by the GDP per capita. See Schwab (2012: 9). 16 15 It can be seen from Table 15 that out of the eight countries17 represented in the Global Competitiveness Index (last column), the Philippines ranked sixth, with Vietnam and Cambodia scoring lower. As expected, in the region Singapore and Malaysia received the highest GCI scores. The Basic Requirements Indicator sub-index includes a pillar entitled Institutions (IN), in which as can be seen in Table 13, the Philippines‘ score is the lowest in the eight countries included in the table. The indicators relating to market efficiency are part of the third sub-index entitle Efficiency Enhancers (EF) with includes the goods and labour markets. It can be seen from Table 13, that the Philippines‘‘ scores are relatively low with regard to Goods Market Efficiency (GM) and the Labour Market Efficiency (LM), placing the country the one before the last in the region, the last being Vietnam. 3.5.2 The GCI: Global Comparisons Table 16 shows that the Philippines ranks 66th out of 144 countries in the overall index (AVG) which is a satisfactory score, placing the Philippines in the top half of the league, albeit towards the lower end of this half. It an also be seen, however, that the Philippines scores are rather low with regard to the Basic indicators sub-index again mostly due to the Institutions Pillar. Table 16 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to a set of 144 Countries and Territories in terms of the Global Competitiveness Index BI EF IS IN GM LM FM Sub-index Sub-index SubPillar Pillar Pillar 7 Pillar 8 1 2 index 3 2 6 Philippines rank (out of 144) GCI 80 61 64 94 86 103 58 66 Philippines score 4.348 4.165 3.601 3.567 4.168 4.011 4.253 4.232 Best ten scores (Average) 6.056 5.446 5.505 5.792 5.331 5.434 5.525 5.518 Worst ten scores (Average) 3.092 2.917 2.582 2.730 3.235 3.248 2.699 3.033 Average score globally 4.529 4.086 3.711 4.044 4.278 4.330 4.087 4.201 * See Table 15 for key to column headings The Philippines‘ Efficiency Enhancers sub-index receives a relatively high score (61st out or 144). However, the goods and labour market pillars, which form part of this sub-index received very low scores and rankings (103rd and 86th out of 144 respectively). The average score of the Efficiency Enhancers sub-index received a boost from the Market Size (Pillar 10), due to the large size of its domestic market, in which the Philippines was ranked 29 th out of 144 countries. A deeper look at the Institutions Pillar is given in Table 17, which indicates that the Philippines scores markedly below average, globally, in many of the components of this pillar. 17 Data was not available for Lao PDR and Myanmar, but these would probably be at a lower end of the table. 16 Table 17 Variables (Components) which are included in the Institutions Pillar of the Global Competitiveness Indicators Variables Score Strength of auditing and reporting standards Government services for improved business performance Efficacy of corporate boards Protection of minority shareholders‘ interests Property rights Wastefulness of government spending Intellectual property protection Favouritism in decisions of government officials Ethical behaviour of firms Public trust in politicians Transparency of government policymaking Organized crime Judicial independence Diversion of public funds Reliability of police services Efficiency of legal framework in challenging regulations Efficiency of legal framework in settling disputes Business costs of crime and violence Irregular payments and bribes Burden of government regulation Strength of investor protection Business costs of terrorism 5.1 3.9 4.7 4.3 4.1 3.0 3.2 2.8 3.7 2.4 4.0 4.7 3.0 2.8 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.9 3.2 3.0 4.0 4.4 Global Rank 41 51 51 57 74 86 87 87 87 95 97 97 99 100 100 102 107 107 108 108 110 126 Position* MAA AA AA AA AA BA BA BA BA BA BA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA VMBA * BA = below average; AA = above average; MBA = Markedly below average ; MAA = Markedly above average‘ VMBA = very markedly below average. Another component of the Basic Indicators sub-index relates to the infrastructure, in which the Philippines also receives a relatively low score and is ranked 94 among 144 countries. The variables included under this pillar are shown in Table 18. It can be seen that the quality of the air transport and the seaport infrastructure receive the lowest scores and particularly bad ranking. Table 18 Variables which are included in the Infrastructure Pillar of the Global Competitiveness Indicators Variables Available airline seat kms/week, millions Quality of roads Quality of railroad infrastructure Mobile telephone subscriptions/100 pop Quality of overall infrastructure Quality of electricity supply Fixed telephone lines/100 pop. Quality of air transport infrastructure Quality of port infrastructure Score Global Rank 0.2 3.4 1.9 2.0 3.6 3.7 7.2 3.6 3.3 26 87 94 95 98 98 103 112 120 Position* VMAA BA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA MBA VMBA * VMAA= Very markedly above average; BA = below average; AA = above average; MBA = Markedly below average ; MAA = Markedly above average‘ VMBA = very markedly below average. 3.5.3 The GCI: Correlation with economic aggregates 17 Table 19 presents correlation coefficients of the GCI with the sub-indices and with the three economic aggregate. It can be seen that the indicators chosen are generally highly correlated with each other. They are also positively correlated with GDP per capita. Again, there is no indication that the GCI indicators are correlated with growth, with the overall coefficient relating to the summary index (AVG) showing a negative sign. The positive coefficients with regard to growth on some of the indicators are very low. Overall, the indices would seem to be positively correlated with macroeconomic stability, although the coefficients are very low generally. Table 19 Correlation of the GCI components with Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN* BI EF IS IN GM LM FM AVG BI 1 EF 0.831 1 IS 0.832 0.961 1 IN 0.952 0.843 0.872 1 GM 0.777 0.947 0.957 0.845 10 LM 0.752 0.646 0.634 0.880 0.715 1 FM 0.830 0.953 0.960 0.874 0.973 0.700 1 AVG 0.595 0.431 0.483 0.607 0.538 0.602 0.433 1 GDPPC 0.904 0.634 0.615 0.895 0.566 Growth 09-12 -0.355 0.111 0.116 -0.226 0.078 Stability 0.449 -0.073 0.003 0.352 -0.049 0.834 0.244 0.280 0.620 0.041 0.087 0.487 0.188 0.213 * See Table 15 for key to column headings 3.6 The Doing Business Index The Doing Business Index (DBI) attempts to measure the country‘s efficiency in achieving regulatory goals. It contains several dimensions of the regulatory environment as they apply to local firms and provides quantitative measures of (1) regulations for starting a business, (2) dealing with construction permits, (3) getting electricity, (4) registering property, (5) getting credit, (6) protecting investors, (7) paying taxes, (8) trading across borders, (9) enforcing contracts and (10) resolving insolvency (see Appendix 1 for the definition of these indicators). The DBI is a simple average of these components.18 This index is based on two types of data, namely (a) reading of laws and regulations in each economy, with the help of more than thousands of lawyers and other professionals, in which local expert respondents play a vital role and (b) inputs into indicators on the complexity and cost of regulatory processes. The authors emphasise the point that the economies that rank highest on the ease of doing business are not those where there is no regulation – but those where governments have managed to create rules that facilitate interactions in the marketplace without needlessly hindering the development of the private sector. The index ranks the 185 economies. 18 Doing Business also considers regulations on employing workers, but these were not included in the 2013 DBI. The data on labour regulations is however available on the Doing Business website http://www.doingbusiness.org . 18 The authors of the DBI also present distance to frontier (DTF)19 scores, which measure the distance of each economy from the highest performance observed on each of the topics across all economies included in FBI. An economy‘s distance to frontier is indicated on a scale from 0 to 100, where 0 represents the lowest performance and 100 the frontier on that indicator across all economies since 2005.20 3.6.1 The DBI: Regional Comparisons Table 20 present the Distance to Frontier scores of the DBI. It can be seen that the Philippines is ranked 8th in the 9 ASEAN members included in the table (no data was available for Myanmar). It performed badly in most sub-indices, particularly Paying Taxes and Resolving Insolvency. Its best score was in Getting Electricity. Rank DTF Rank DTF Rank DTF Rank DTF Rank Brunei D Cambodia Indonesia Lao PDR Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam DTF Table 20 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to other ASEAN Member Countries in terms of the Doing Business Index (Distance to Frontier Scores)* SB CP GE RP GC 52.6 54.9 71.3 71.0 93.6 65.3 95.9 87.5 75.9 9 8 5 6 2 7 1 3 4 72.4 45.4 79.0 69.5 57.7 62.4 92.8 87.0 85.8 5 9 4 6 8 7 1 2 3 81.1 59.7 67.7 45.8 82.4 78.9 90.6 90.5 52.9 4 7 6 9 3 5 1 2 8 45.6 66.4 62.2 73.9 79.5 64.1 79.4 85.6 82.7 9 6 8 5 3 7 4 1 2 43.8 68.8 43.8 25.0 100.0 43.8 87.5 62.5 75.0 6 4 6 9 1 6 2 5 3 Table 20 (cont) Rank DTF Rank DTF Rank DTF Rank EDB DTF RI Rank EC DTF TB Rank Brunei D Cambodia Indonesia Lao PDR Malaysia Philippines Singapore Thailand Vietnam PT DTF PI 47.7 56.7 61.9 17.0 90.0 44.4 96.7 79.3 30.4 6 5 4 9 2 7 1 3 8 82.7 72.1 58.2 62.9 88.3 56.3 95.0 71.4 47.3 3 4 7 6 2 8 1 5 9 73.9 55.9 75.5 38.1 83.4 71.0 91.5 80.3 69.5 5 8 4 9 2 6 1 3 7 43.9 31.6 33.7 54.4 71.9 51.6 89.6 67.8 66.1 7 9 8 5 2 6 1 3 4 50.5 14.5 15.9 0.0 47.9 6.2 96.8 45.5 15.6 2 7 5 9 3 8 1 4 6 57.0 51.8 55.7 45.8 79.1 51.7 91.7 74.1 52.2 4 7 5 9 2 8 1 3 6 * The Distance to Frontier scores range from 0 to 100, with 100 being the best performer among all countries. Key: SB = starting a business; CP = dealing with construction permits; GE = getting electricity; RP = registering property; GC = getting credit; PI= protecting investors; PT = paying taxes; TB = trading across borders; EC = enforcing contracts; RI = resolving insolvency; EDB = ease of doing business rank. 3.6.2 The DBI: Global Comparisons 19 More information about TF is available at: http://www.doingbusiness.org/~/media/GIAWB/Doing%20Business/Documents/AnnualReports/English/DB13-Chapters/Ease-of-doing-business-and-distance-to-frontier.pdf 20 For the tax rate the frontier is defined as the total tax rate corresponding to the 15th percentile based on the overall distribution of total tax rates for all years 19 When comparing the Philippines with other countries globally, in terms of the DBI, it emerges that the Philippines is ranked 138th among 185 countries, as can be seen from Table 21. Again, the lowest rankings were in Resolving Insolvencies and Paying taxes, with the best ranking obtained with regard to Getting Electricity. Table 21 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to a set of 185 Countries and Territories in terms of the Doing Business Index* SB CP GE RP GC PI PT TB EC RI Philippines‘ Rank (out of 161 100 57 122 129 128 143 53 111 165 185) Philippines DTF** 65.3 62.4 78.9 64.1 43.8 44.4 56.3 71.0 51.6 6.2 Highest 10 ranks (average) 15.2 11.7 23.9 32.2 13.8 21.7 25.8 17.4 15.1 18.2 Lowest 10 ranks (average) 166.4 139.6 142.6 138.2 136.8 154.3 168.8 163.2 135 155.4 Average ranking 93 93 93 93 85 87 93 93 93 94 EDB 138 51.7 5.5 180.5 93 *See Table 20 for the key to column headings ** Distance to Frontier = see text 3.6.3 The DBI: Correlation with economic aggregates Examining the correlation of the DBI with the three economic aggregates described above, it can be seen from Table 22 that the indicators are generally positively correlated with each other, although in some cases the coefficients have a very low value. As in the other indices, the DBI and its components are positively correlated with GDP per capita (with the exception of Registering Property). Again, the correlation with growth is generally negative. The correlation with macroeconomic stability are also mostly positive. SB CP GE RP GC PI PT TB EC RI EDB GDP PC Growth 03-12 Stability Table 22 Correlation of the Distance from Frontier Scores of the DBI Components With Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN SB CP GE RP GC PI PT TB EC 1 0.50 1 0.44 0.27 1 0.80 0.35 0.02 1 0.63 0.04 0.41 0.53 1 0.65 0.17 0.82 0.29 0.72 1 0.37 -0.01 0.65 -0.02 0.51 0.74 1 0.57 0.45 0.85 0.16 0.64 0.82 0.48 1 0.86 0.56 0.45 0.70 0.60 0.49 0.43 0.53 1 0.57 0.47 0.76 0.17 0.60 0.79 0.84 0.77 0.68 0.81 0.41 0.78 0.45 0.73 0.92 0.78 0.81 0.77 0.19 0.41 0.58 -0.24 0.25 0.46 0.75 0.54 0.44 0.13 -0.19 -0.64 0.51 0.10 -0.22 -0.35 -0.48 0.00 -0.27 -0.09 0.60 -0.62 0.07 0.31 0.52 0.44 -0.13 RI EDB 1 0.91 0.87 -0.39 0.43 1 0.61 -0.21 0.22 *See Table 13 for the key to column headings 3.7 The Human Development Index The Human Development Index (HDI) measures the average achievements in a country in three basic dimensions of human development, namely health (measured by life expectancy), education (measured by the geometric average of years of schooling and expected years of 20 schooling)21 and the standard of living, measured by the log of GNI per capita (PPP $). All variables were rescaled using the Min-Max formula. The HDI is the geometric mean of the three dimensions. A description of the methodology is available at Klugman et al. (2011). The most recent index covers 186 economies. 3.7.1 The HDI: Regional Comparisons In this comparison, the Health and Education components of the HDI are used because the focus of this section is on social institutions, assumed to be captured by these two indices. Table 23 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to other ASEAN Member Countries in terms of the Human Development Index Health Education HDI Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Brunei D 0.847 2 0.651 2 0.855 2 Cambodia 0.435 10 0.388 8 0.543 8 Indonesia 0.611 6 0.459 6 0.629 6 Lao PDR 0.556 8 0.321 9 0.543 8 Malaysia 0.743 4 0.608 3 0.769 3 Myanmar 0.495 9 0.267 10 0.498 10 Philippines 0.590 7 0.549 4 0.654 5 Singapore 0.935 1 0.694 1 0.895 1 Thailand 0.738 5 0.478 5 0.690 4 Viet Nam 0.769 3 0.417 7 0.617 7 * The scores range from 0 to 1 with 0 signifying the worst possible performer and 1 the best possible. It can be seen from Table 23 that in terms of the HDI, the Philippines is ranked 5th within the region, the time slightly surpassing Indonesia. However it receives a relatively high rank with regard to Education (4th) and a lower rank with regard to Health (7th). As in the other indices described above, Singapore, the smallest member of the ASEAN, is ranked first in the region. 3.7.2 The HDI: Global Comparisons Table 24, shows that the Philippines rank rather low globally (114th out of 186 economies). Again, the rank for Education is somewhat better and the rank for Health is somewhat worse. Table 24 The Scores and Rankings of the Philippines compared to a set of 186 Countries and Territories in terms of the Human Development Index Health 122 .590 .935 .134 .614 Philippines' rank (Out of 186) Philippines' score Average highest ten scores Average lowest ten score Average of all scores Education 102 .549 .865 .100 .525 HDI 114 .654 .925 .337 .675 3.7.3 The HDI: Correlation with economic aggregates 21 Mean of years of schooling for adults aged 25 years and expected years of schooling for children of school entering age. 21 As can be seen from Table 25, the social components and the overall index are highly correlated with each other. Again, the HDI and its social components are positively correlated with GDP per capita, negatively correlated with growth and positively correlated with macroeconomic stability. Table 25 Correlation of the HDI components with Aggregate Economic Variables in the ASEAN Health Education HDI Health 1 Education 0.799 1 HDI 0.901 0.963 1 GDPPC 0.790 0.786 0.883 Growth 03-12 -0.628 -0.750 -0.747 Stability 0.533 0.765 0.740 4. MAIN IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS 4.1.1 Institutions and markets in the Philippines The indicator presented above, which directly measures institutions, is the Institutions Pillar of the Global Competitiveness Index, placing the Philippines last in the eight ASEAN members (excluding Lao PDR and Myanmar for which data was not available). Globally the Philippines also performs relatively badly in terms of this index, being placed 94th in a list of 144 countries. Two indicators directly related to market efficiency are Pillars 9 and 10 of the Global Competitiveness Index, titled Goods Market Efficiency and Labour Market Efficiency. In these indices the Philippines receives very low scores when compared to other ASEAN member countries (7th in a list of 8 countries in both indices) and to the rest of the World (86th and 103rd respectively in a list of 144 countries). Thus it would seem that, going by the GCI, the Philippines performs very badly in terms of markets and institutions, regionally and globally. The other indicators considered in this study may be viewed as manifestations of the institutional development and of market efficiency. What emerges from the seven global indices is that the Philippines generally performs just below the average regionally and globally in these indicators. 4.1.2 Institutions, market efficiency and growth As has been shown in the correlation tables, the mentioned indicators were not, in general, positively correlated with economic growth – in fact most of the correlation coefficient in this regard had a negative sign. This tendency is also evidenced globally. This would seem to contradict the commonly held view that growth, institutional development and efficient markets go hand-in-hand. This finding can be collaborated by the fact that countries with relatively high good governance and market efficiency scores are generally high-income countries which have tended to grow at a very slow rate in recent years. On the other hand, countries with relatively low scores of governance and market efficiency are generally lower22 income countries which have tended to grow at a faster rate than high-income countries during the decade 2003-2012. One could argue that the connection between growth on the one hand, and institutional development and market efficiency on the other, is not contemporaneous in that institutions and market efficiency precede economic growth, and tests of the interrelationship of these two variables should measure the institutions/market variables lagged a number of years, given that institutions and markets take time to have an impact on growth. Conversely, it may be assumed that the causality runs from economic growth to institutional development and market efficiency in that countries that grow can afford to improve their institutions and their markets.22 There may therefore be a two-way causation in this regard, as already explained in Section 2 of this paper, with some authors preferring the theory of growth first and institutions later, while other take the opposite view. These arguments can be both valid, and the correlations between the indices and economic growth presented in this study could therefore be interpreted in this light. The approach taken in this study is too simple to explain the causation issue, however it certainly shows that in the ASEAN and globally, there is no evidence that countries that currently have the highest scores with regard to institutional/efficient markets scores are those that have grown fastest. In the case of the Philippines, its rate of growth averaged 5.17% annually over the ten-year period between 2003 and 2012, even though its institutions and market scores on the GCI were relatively low globally and among the lowest in the ASEAN. 4.1.3 Institutions, market efficiency and GDP per capita. The correlation results would seem to suggest that countries with the highest GDP per capita have the highest degree of institutional development and market efficiency. This result is plausible, in that institutional set-ups are costly and can best be afforded by rich countries, most of which have been at the forefront of development for many decades. Extending the arguments presented in the preceding section, one can argue that the idea of growth first and institutions later may have some validity in that growth leads to prosperity and prosperity renders the country more able to afford institutional development and to promote market efficiency. In addition, the democratic institutions in most developed countries may have fostered awareness of the need for institutional development and market efficiency.23 4.1.4 Institutions, market efficiency and macroeconomic stability In this study, the correlations between institutions, market efficiency and macroeconomic stability were found to be generally positive. Again here, the causal direction may be disputed, in that it is difficult to establish whether stability leads to development of viceversa. However, economic stability is often associated with good economic governance (Briguglio et al, 2009). The ranking of the Philippines in terms of macroeconomic stability was satisfactory in the ASEAN (being ranked 4th among 10 countries) and globally (being ranked 54th among 174 countries).24 Being a large economy, the Philippines may be relatively more sheltered than smaller countries from external shocks, given that it is not highly 22 A related line of reasoning is that countries that currently enjoy a high standard of living and currently tend to grow at a slower rate than poorer countries, have in the past promoted market efficiency and institutional development and they are now reaping the benefits as a result of their high income per capita. 23 An interesting discussion is given in Seigle et al. (2004) and Chen 24 Author‘s calculations (see also footnote 6). 23 dependent on exports and imports. This may explain the finding that although economic stability and institutional development and market efficiency were generally found to be positively related to macroeconomic stability, in the case of the Philippines this correlation does not apply. 4.1.5 Institutions, market efficiency and corruption As indicated in the brief literature review presented in Section 2 of this paper, corruption is shown to have various economic downsides. The Philippines received relatively bad scores on at least three indices relating to corruption discussed above. In the CPI, the Philippines ranked 5th out of 10 countries in the region and 105th out of 176 countries globally. In the Absence of Corruption component of the RLI, the Philippines ranked 4th out of 7 countries in the region and 63rd out of 97 countries globally. In the Control of Corruption component of the WGI the Philippines ranked 7th out of 10 countries regionally and 164th or of 215 countries globally.25 These indicators indicate that there is a correlation between institutional underdevelopment and inefficient markets with corruption. This is perhaps one of the most worrying factors of the indicators discussed above with regard to the Philippines.26 5. CONCLUSION What are the main implications of this study for the Philippines economy? As indicated in this study, the Philippines registered a relatively high growth rates during the recent decade, but it is still a lower-middle-income country, according to the World Bank‘s classification. Typically, countries in that income bracket tend to have inferior institutional set-ups when compared to richer countries. Likewise, many countries in the Philippines‘ income bracket are characterised by gross market inefficiencies. The indicators described in this study support this contention. As argued above, it is not easy to prove conclusively as to the whether a lower-income country, such as the Philippines, is in such a situation because its institutional set-up and its markets are underdeveloped, or whether the causal relationship is the other way round, namely that its institutions and markets are underdeveloped because the country does not afford them. Whatever the direction of the causality, there can be no doubt that institutions and functioning markets remain important requisites for good economic governance, and the indicators described above indicate that, in this regard, the situation of the Philippines leaves much to be desired. REFERENCES Acemoglu, D., Johnson, D. and Robinson, J.A. (2005). Institutions as a Fundamental Cause of Long-run Growth.‖ In Aghion, P. and Durlauf, S.N. Handbook of Economic Growth, Volume IA. Available at : http://economics.mit.edu/files/4469 25 In the GCI, there is an index entitled ―Irregular payments and bribes‖ which is also a reflection of corruption in which the Philippines also received worrying scores, with the country being ranked 108th among 144 countries. 26 Corruption was identified as one of the most problematic matter for doing business in the Philippines in the Global Competitiveness Report (see Schwab, 2012: 292). 24 Agrast, M.D., Botero, J.C., Martinez, J., Ponce, A. and Pratt, C.S. WJP Rule of Law Index, 2012-2013. Washington DC, A World Justice Project. Available at: http://worldjusticeproject.org/sites/default/files/WJP_Index_Report_2012.pdf . Aron, J. (2000). ―Growth and Institutions: A Review of the Evidence,‖ The World Bank Research Observer. Vol. 15 (1), 99-135. Available at: http://www.ppge.ufrgs.br/giacomo/arquivos/eco02237/aron-2000.pdf. Botero, J.C. and Ponce, A. (2011). ―Measuring the Rule of Law‖ Available at SSRN: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1966257 Briguglio, L., Cordina, G., Farrugia, N. and Vella, S. (2009). ― Economic Vulnerability and Resilience: Concepts and Measurements,‖ Oxford Development Studies, Vol. 37(3): 229-247. Available at: http://econpapers.repec.org/article/tafoxdevs/v_3a37_3ay_3a2009_3ai_3a3_3ap_3a2 29-247.htm . Chen, L.E. (2007). ―Development First, Democracy Later? Or Democracy First, Development Later? The Controversy over Development and Democracy.‖ Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Southern Political Science Association, January 3-6, 2007, Available at: http://www.democracy.uci.edu/files/democracy/docs/conferences/grad/chen.pdf Commission on Growth and Development (2008). The Growth Report Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. Washington, DC: World Bank. Available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/6507 . Easterly, W. (2001). ―Can institutions resolve ethnic conflict?‖ Economic Development and Cultural Change, Vol. 49(4): 687-706. Available at: http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/pnorris/Acrobat/stm103%20articles/Easterly_Instituti ons_Ethnic_Conflict.pdf . Easterly (2006). ―Social Cohesion, Institutions, and Growth,‖ Centre for Global Development, Working Paper Number 94. Available at: http://www.degit.ifwkiel.de/papers/degit_14/c014_014.pdf de Vaal, A. and Ebben, W. (2011). Institutions and the Relation between Corruption and Economic Growth Review of Development Economics, Vol. 15(1): 108–123. Available at: http://www.degit.ifw-kiel.de/papers/degit_14/c014_014.pdf Glaeser, E.L., La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F. and Shleifer, A, (2004). ―Do Institutions Cause Growth?‖ NBER Working Paper 10568. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w10568.pdf. Gwartney, J., Lawson, R. and Hall, J. (2012). Economic Freedom of the World, 2012 Report. Available at: http://www.freetheworld.com/2012/EFW2012-complete.pdf . Jutting, J. (2003). Institutions and Development: A Critical Review. Working Paper, No.210. Paris: OECD Development Centre. Available at: http://portals.wi.wur.nl/files/docs/SPICAD/Institutions_and_developmentOECD.pdf . Huntington, S. (1968). Political Order in Changing Societies, Yale University Press, New Haven. Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A. and Mastruzzi, M. (2010). ―The Worldwide Governance Indicators: Methodology and Analytical Issues,‖ World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 5430. Available at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1682130. Klugman, J., Rodriguez, F. and Choi, H. J. (2011). ―The HDI 2010: New Controversies, Old Critiques.‖ Human Development Research Paper 1. UNDP–HDRO, New York. http://hdr.undp.org/en/reports/global/hdr2011/papers/HDRP_2011_01.pdf . Leff, N.H. (1964). ―Economic Development Through Bureaucratic Corruption,‖ American Behavioral Scientist, Vol. 8 (3): 8-14. 25 North, D.C. 1990. Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Ocampo, J.A. (2008). ‗Macroeconomic Vulnerability and Reform: Managing Pro-Cyclical Capital Flows‘, paper presented at the international symposium ‗Financial Globalization and Emerging Market Economies‘. Bangkok, Bank of Thailand. Available at: http://www.bot.or.th/English/EconomicConditions/Semina/Documents/08_Paper_O campo.pdf . Olken, B. A. and Pande, R. (2012). ―Corruption in Developing Countries.‖ NBER Working Paper no. 17398. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w17398 . Rodrik, D. (1999). Institutions for High Quality Growth: What They are and How They Affect Growth, Paper prepared for the International Monetary Fund Conference on SecondGeneration Reforms, Washington, D.C.: 8-9 November. Schwab, K. (2012) The Global Competitiveness Report 2012–20130. Switzerland: World Economic Forum. Available at: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf . Siegle, J.T., Weinstein, M.M. and Halperin, M.H. (2004). ―Why Democracies Excel,‖ Foreign Affairs, Vol. 83(5): 57-71. Available at: http://africacenter.org/wpcontent/uploads/2004/10/Why-Democracies-Ecxel.pdf . Sirimaneetham, V. and Temple, J.R.W. (2009). ―Macroeconomic Stability and the Distribution of Growth Rates,‖ The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 23(2): 443– 479. Available at: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/4510/wber_23_3_443 .pdf?sequence=1 . Svensson, J. (2005). ―Eight questions about Corruption,‖ Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 19(5): 19-42. Available at: http://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/089533005774357860 Transparency International (2012. ―The Corruption Perception Index 2012 – Methodological notes.‖ Available at: http://www.transparency.org/files/content/pressrelease/2012_CPITechnicalMethodol ogyNote_EMBARGO_EN.pdf. UNDP (2013). Human Development Report - The Rise of the South: Human Progress in a Diverse World, Available at: http://hdr.undp.org/en/reports/global/hdr2013/ World Bank (2013). Doing Business 2013: Smarter Regulations for Small and Medium-Size Enterprises. Washington, DC: World Bank Group. Available at: http://www.doingbusiness.org/reports/global-reports/doing-business-2013 26 APPENDIX 1: DEFINITIONS OF THE COMPONENTS OF THE 7 INDICES Definitions of the Components (Dimensions) of the Worldwide Governance Indicators Dimension 1: Voice and accountability Voice and accountability captures perceptions of the extent to which a country's citizens are able to participate in selecting their government, as well as freedom of expression, freedom of association, and a free media. Dimension 2: Political stability and absence of violence Political stability and absence of violence measures perceptions of the likelihood that the government will be destabilized or overthrown by unconstitutional or violent means, including politically-motivated violence and terrorism. Dimension 3: Government effectiveness Government effectiveness captures perceptions of the quality of public services, the quality of the civil service and the degree of its independence from political pressures, the quality of policy formulation and implementation, and the credibility of the government's commitment to such policies. Dimension 4: Regulatory quality Regulatory quality captures perceptions of the ability of the government to formulate and implement sound policies and regulations that permit and promote private sector development. Dimension 5: Rule of law Rule of law captures perceptions of the extent to which agents have confidence in and abide by the rules of society, and in particular the quality of contract enforcement, property rights, the police, and the courts, as well as the likelihood of crime and violence. Dimension 6: Control of corruption Control of corruption captures perceptions of the extent to which public power is exercised for private gain, including both petty and grand forms of corruption, as well as "capture" of the state by elites and private interests. Definitions of the Components (Factors) of the Rule of Law Index Factor 1: Limited Government Powers This factor measures the extent to which those who govern are subject to law. This factor addresses the fundamental principle that the ruler is subject to legal restraints. It comprises the means (checks and balances), both constitutional and institutional, by which the powers of the government and its officials and agents are limited and by which they are held accountable under the law. It also includes nongovernmental checks on the government‘s power, such as a free and independent press. Factor 2: Absence of Corruption This factor measures the absence of corruption, conventionally defined as the use of public power for private gain. Corruption is imperative to any assessment of the rule of law as it is a manifestation of the extent to which government officials abuse their power or fulfil their obligations under the law. 27 Factor 3: Order and Security This factor measures how well the society assures the security of persons and property. Human security is one of the defining aspects of any rule of law society and a fundamental function of the state Factor 4: Fundamental Rights This factor encompasses adherence to the following rights: equal treatment and absence of discrimination7; the right to life and security of the person; freedom of thought, religion, and expression, including freedom of the media; freedom of association, including the right to collective bargaining; the prohibition of forced and child labor8; the right to privacy; the rights of the accused; and the retroactive application of the criminal laws. Factor 5: Open Government This factor measures the level of access, participation, and collaboration between the government and its citizens, and plays a crucial role in the promotion of accountability. Requesting information from public authorities is an important tool to empower citizens by giving them a way to voice their concerns and demand accountability from their governments. Factor 6: Regulatory Enforcement This factor measures the fairness and effectiveness in enforcing government regulations. Public enforcement of government regulations is pervasive in modern societies as a method to induce ‗good‘ conduct. A critical feature of the rule of law is that such rules are upheld and properly enforced by authorities, particularly because public enforcement might raise the scope for negligence and abuse by officials pursuing their own interest. Factor 7: Access to Civil Justice This factor is central to the rule of law. In a rule of law society, all people should be able to obtain remedies in conformity with fundamental rights. Access to justice has both a ―thin‖ and a ―thick‖ meaning. In our framework, we favour an intermediate conception and address access to justice in terms of access to dispute resolution mechanisms, mostly in terms of access to counsel 14 and access to tribunals. This differs from other frameworks which conceptualize access to justice in the ‗thicker‘ sense, in which access to justice encompasses other aspects such as legitimacy of the courts or elements that contribute to enhance the legal empowerment of the poor. Factor 8: Effective Criminal Justice This factor deals with the criminal justice system. An effective criminal justice system is a key aspect of the rule of law, as it constitutes the natural mechanism to redress grievances and bring action against individuals for offenses against society. Definition of the Components (Areas) of the Economic Freedom of the World Index Area 1. Size of Government: Expenditures, Taxes, and Enterprises This area measures the extent to which countries rely on the political process to allocate resources and goods and services. When government spending increases relative to spending by individuals, households, and businesses, government decision-making is substituted for personal choice and economic freedom is reduced. This area is measured in terms of 28 government consumption, transfers and subsidies, Government enterprises and investment, top marginal tax rate. Area 2.Legal Structure and Security of Property Rights Protection of persons and their rightfully acquired property is a central element of economic freedom and a civil society. Indeed, it is the most important function of government. This area is measured in terms of judicial independence, impartial courts, protection of property rights, military interference in rule of law and politics, integrity of the legal system, legal enforcement of contracts, regulatory restrictions on sale of real property, reliability of police and business costs of crime. Area 3. Access to Sound Money An absence of sound money undermines gains from trade and to protect property rights and, thus, economic freedom. Inflation erodes the value of property held in monetary instruments. When governments finance their expenditures by creating money, in effect, they are expropriating the property and violating the economic freedom of their citizens. This area is measured in terms of money growth, standard deviation of inflation, inflation: most recent year, freedom to own foreign currency bank accounts. Areas 4. Freedom to Trade Internationally Freedom of exchange across national boundaries is a key ingredient of economic freedom. Many goods and services are now either produced abroad or contain resources supplied from abroad. Thus, freedom to trade internationally also contributes substantially to modern living standards. This area is measured in terms of the existence of trade taxes and tariff rates, regulatory trade barriers (non-tariff trade barriers and compliance cost of importing and exporting), black-market exchange rates, controls of the movement of capital and people Area 5. Regulation of Credit, Labour, and Business When regulations restrict entry into markets and interfere with the freedom to engage in voluntary exchange, they reduce economic freedom. This area is measured in terms of credit market regulations (ownership of banks, private sector credit and interest rate controls/negative real interest rates), Labour market regulations (minimum wage, hiring and firing regulations, centralized collective bargaining, hours regulations, mandated cost of worker dismissal, and conscription) and business regulations (administrative requirements, bureaucracy costs, starting a business, extra payments/bribes/favouritism, licensing restrictions and cost of tax compliance). Definition of the Components (Pillars) Global Competitiveness Indicators Pillar 1: Institutions This pillar is composed of two-subdivisions namely (a) Public Institutions (with a weight of 75% and with 17 sub-indices as follows: Property Rights, Intellectual Property Protection, Diversion of Public Funds, Public Trust in Politicians, Irregular Payments and Bribes, Judicial Independence; Favouritism in Decisions of Government Officials, Wastefulness of Government Spending, Burden of Government Regulation, Efficiency of Legal Framework in Settling Disputes, Efficiency of Legal Framework in Challenging Regulations, Transparency of Government Policymaking, Provision of Government Services for Improved Business, Performance, Business Costs of Terrorism, Business Costs of Crime and Violence, Organized Crime, Reliability of Police Services) and (b) Private Institutions (with a weight of 25% and with 5 sub-indices as follows: Ethical Behaviour of Firms, 29 Strength of Auditing and Reporting Standards, Efficacy of Corporate Boards, Protection of Minority Shareholders‘ Interests, Strength of Investor Protection). . Pillar2: Infrastructure This pillar has two sub-divisions, namely (a) Transport infrastructure (with 6sub-indices as follows: Quality of Overall Infrastructure, Quality of Roads, Quality of Railroad Infrastructure, Quality of Port Infrastructure, Quality of Air Transport Infrastructure, Available Airline Seat Kilometres, and (b) Electricity and Telephony Infrastructure (with 3 sub-indices as follows: Quality of Electricity Supply, Mobile telephone subscriptions, Fixed telephone lines). The sub-divisions have equal weights. Pillar 3: Macroeconomic environment This pillar has 5 sub-indices namely Government Budget Balance, Gross National Savings, Inflation, Government Debt, and Country Credit Rating. with equal weights. Pillar 4: Health and primary education This pillar has two sub-divisions namely (a) Health (with 8 sub-indices as follows: 4.01 Business Impact of Malaria, Malaria Incidence, Business Impact of tuberculosis, Tuberculosis Incidence, Business Impact of HIV/AIDS, HIV Prevalence, Infant Mortality, Life Expectancy) and (b) Primary Education (with 2 sub-indices as follows: Quality of Primary Education, Primary Education Enrolment Rate). They are assigned equal weights. Pillar 5: Higher education and training This pillar has three sub-divisions, namely (a) Quantity of Education (with 2 sub-indices as follows: Secondary Education Enrolment Rate, Tertiary Education Enrolment Rate) (b) Quality of Education (with 4 sub-indices as follows: Quality of the Educational System, Quality of Math and Science Education, Quality of Management Schools, Internet Access in Schools) and (c) On-the-job Training (with 2 sub-indices as follows: Local availability of Specialized Research and Training Services, Extent of Staff Training). They are assigned equal weights. Pillar 6: Goods market efficiency This pillar has two sub-divisions, namely (a) Domestic and Foreign Competition (66% weight, with 14 sub-indices as follows: Intensity of local Competition, Extent of Market Dominance, Effectiveness of Anti-Monopoly Policy, Extent and Effect of Taxation, Total Tax Rate, Number of Procedures required to start a Business, Time required to Start a Business, Agricultural Policy Costs, Prevalence of Trade Barriers, Trade Tariffs, Prevalence of Foreign Ownership, Business Impact of Rules on FDI, Burden of Customs Procedures, Imports as a Percentage of GDP) and (b) Quality of Demand Conditions (with 33% weight with 3 sub-indices namely Degree of Customer Orientation, and Buyer Sophistication). Pillar 7: Labour market efficiency This pillar has two sub-divisions, namely (a) Flexibility (with 5 sub-indices as follows: Cooperation in Labour-Employer Relations, Flexibility of Wage Determination, Hiring and Firing Practices, Redundancy Costs, Extent and Effect of Taxation) and (b) Efficient Use of Talent (with 4 sub-indices as follows: Pay and Productivity, Reliance on Professional Management, Brain Drain, Female Participation in Labour Force), with equal weights. Pillar 8: Financial market development 30 This pillar has two sub-divisions, namely (a) Efficiency (with 5 sub-indices as follows: Availability of Financial Services, Affordability of Financial Services, Financing through Local Equity, Market, Ease of Access to Loans, Venture Capital Availability) and (b) Trustworthiness and Confidence (with 3 sub-indices as follows: Soundness of Banks, Regulation of Securities Exchanges, Legal Rights Index) with equal weights. Pillar 9: Technological readiness This pillar is composed of two sub-divisions, namely (a) Technological Adoption (with 3 sub-indices as follows: Availability of Latest Technologies, Firm-level Technology Absorption, FDI and Technology) and (b) Transfer and ICT Use (with 6 sub-indices as follows: Internet Users, Broadband Internet Subscriptions, Internet Bandwidth, Mobile Broadband Subscriptions, Mobile Telephone Subscriptions, Fixed Telephone Lines) with equal weights. Pillar 10: Market size This pillar has two sub-divisions, namely (a) Domestic Market Size, with 75% and (b) Foreign Market Size, with 25% weight. Pillar 11: Business sophistication This pillar has 10 sub-indices, namely Local Supplier Quantity, Local Supplier Quality, State of Cluster Development, Nature of Competitive Advantage, Value Chain Breadth, Control of International Distribution, Production Process Sophistication, Extent of Marketing, Willingness to Delegate Authority, Reliance on Professional Management Pillar 12: Innovation This pillar has seven sub-indices, namely Capacity for Innovation, Quality of Scientific Research Institutions, Company Spending on R&D, University-Industry Collaboration in R&D, Government Procurement of Advanced Technology Products, Availability of Scientists and Engineers, PCT Patent Applications, and Intellectual Property Protection. Definition of the Components (Areas) of the Doing Business Index Area 1.Starting a Business Measures the procedures, time and cost for a small to medium-sized limited-liability company to start up and operate formally Area 2. Dealing with Construction Permits Tracks the procedures, time and cost to build a warehouse – including obtaining necessary licenses and permits, completing required notifications and inspections, and obtaining utility connections Area 3. Getting Electricity Analyzes the procedures, time and cost required for a business to obtain a permanent electricity connection for a newly constructed warehouse Area 4. Registering Property Examines the steps, time and cost involved in registering property, assuming a standardized case of an entrepreneur who wants to purchase land and a building that is already registered Area 5. Paying Taxes 31 Addresses the taxes and mandatory contributions that a medium-sized company must pay or withhold in a given year, as well as measures of the administrative burden in paying taxes Area 6. Trading Across Borders Looks at the procedural requirements for exporting and importing a standardized cargo of goods Area 7. Getting Credit Explores two sets of issues—credit information registries and the effectiveness of collateral and bankruptcy laws in facilitating lending Area 8. Protecting Investors Measures the strength of legal protections of minority investors against the misuse of corporate assets by company directors for their personal gain Area 9. Enforcing Contracts Assesses the efficiency of the judicial system by following the evolution of a commercial sale dispute over the quality of goods and tracking the time, cost and number of procedures involved from the moment the plaintiff files the lawsuit until payment is received Area 10. Resolving Insolvency Identifies weaknesses in existing bankruptcy law and the main procedural and administrative bottlenecks in the bankruptcy process Area 11. Employing Workers (not included in rankings) Measures the regulation of employment, specifically as it affects the hiring and layoff of workers and the rigidity of working hours APPENDIX 2: THE SCORES OF THE PHILIPPINES SINCE 2005 The indicators presented in this study have been compiled in previous years, and many countries, including the Philippines, featured in previous compilations of these indicators. However, one has to be cautious in comparing the scores of a country in one year with those of previous years. Changes over time in a country‘s score are affected by a combination of many factors including (a) revision of data over the years for a particular country; (b) changes in the methodology used in obtaining and processing the raw data and (c) changes in the methodology, including the weighting procedure, used to aggregate the data. For these reasons the changes over time reported below should be interpreted with caution. The Philippines’ Worldwide Governance Indicators Scores since 2005 Looking at the WGI scores for the Philippines, it appears there was deterioration with regard to Control of Corruption, Rule of Law and Regulatory Quality. Government Effectiveness and Voice and accountability would seem to have improved slightly. PSAV deteriorated sharply after 2005, but was practically at the same level as 2005 in 2011. The Philippines’ Rule of Law Scores since 2005 32 It is not possible to meaningfully compare RLI scores for the Philippines over time. The compilers of the report state explicitly that the 2012-2013 scores are not comparable with the scores of prior years. The Philippines’ Corruption Perception Index Scores since 2005 The methodology used for compiling the CPI was changed and as a result country scores of the CPI 2012 cannot be compared against those of 2011 or previous editions. Year to year comparisons will be possible from 2012 onwards. The Philippines’ Economic Freedom of the World Scores since 2005 The compilers of the index present a chain-linked index to as to render comparisons possible over time. In the case of the Philippines it appears that overall, the EFWI did not change markedly between 2005 and 2010 (from 7.00 to 7.06). Looking at the components of the Index, it emerges that there was deterioration in Legal System and Property Rights (from 4.28 to 3.85), Freedom to Trade Internationally (from 7.11 to 6.95) and Size of Government (from 8.79 to 8.31). There was a marked improvement in Sound Money (from 7.94 to 9.29), and a very slight improvement in regulation (from 6.75 to 6.80). The Philippines’ Global Competitiveness Scores since 2005 The GCI contains a large number of Indicators, and it is difficult to meaningfully compared the changes between 2005 and 2012 for the Philippines. However the report itself states that the Philippines has improved considerably in its ranking since 2005, but many weaknesses remain to be addressed. The country‘s infrastructure is still in a dire state, particularly with respect to sea (120th) and air transport (112th), with little or no progress achieved to date. Furthermore, various market inefficiencies and rigidities continue. The Philippines’ Doing Business Index Scores since 2005 The DBI website presents Distance to Frontier scores over time (for the Philippines the data covers 2006 to 2013. Overall the DBI DTF score increased slightly from 50.4 to 51.7, mostly due to improvements in Starting a Business, Paying Taxes, Trading Across Borders and Enforcing Contracts. The other components did not change or only registered slight improvements. The Philippines’ Human Development Index Scores since 2005 The Human Development Index score of the Philippines improved from .630 to .654 between 2005 and 2012 (adjusted for comparability between these years). However this was still below the global average of .694 in 2012. 33