McKenomics A Newsletter of the CMC Economics Association Volume 1, Issue 50 November 2001 Introduction by the editors: M. Keil and Dan O’Neill ‘02 This is the first newsletter issue of the Economics Association at Claremont McKenna College. We will publish McKenomics three times during the academic year with the purpose of providing Economics Majors with useful information and to create a more personal environment between the Economics Faculty and Economics Majors. In this volume, you will meet the new members of the Department. We will start with Professor Harold Mulherin in this issue. David Riffer ’01 and Professor Keil have produced a standard set of 18 Heather Antecol. We want to hear from you who you want to be interviewed in the first issue of the academic year 2002-2003 and whether you want to have some questions added or replaced (write to DOneill02@mckenna.edu). “There will be growth in spring.” Peter Sellers in Being There. questions, which interviewees respond to in writing. The next issue will present Professor Jennifer WardBatts, followed by Professor In this volume, we will also help you find a better match between your Senior Thesis topic interest and faculty. We will try to accomplish this in two ways. First you will find a list the primary research interests of every full time faculty member, starting with macroeconomics in this issue. Second, President: Dan O’Neill ‘02 Vice President: Dave Bradley ‘03 Editors: M. Keil and D. O’Neill Social Activity Directors: Shelby Johnson ’02, Drew van Pelt ‘02. each faculty member will list potential thesis topics that he/she will be interested to supervise. In addition, central references will be attached. There is also a section on the 3rd Annual End of Academic Year Awards, with a list of prizes. Finally, Professor Keil has a column in which he will write about some of the more interesting past End of Semester Statistics Projects. Meet the Freeberg Professor of Finance, J. Harold Mulherin Where were you born and where did you grow up? I was born and grew up in Savannah, Georgia. I lived there until college at the University of Georgia. Were your parents economists or academics? If not, what was their profession? My father was a Business Grad of the University of Georgia and ran an industrial supply store founded by his father. I worked there in summers in high school. During college summers, I worked in the factories that the family store supplied. My mother was trained as a bacteriologist at Smith College. She worked in a hospital lab for over 20 years. Did your parents encourage you to be an economist? If not, when did you first become interested in economics and what triggered your interest? My first ‘economics’ pro- ject was in the 8 th grade where we empirically showed the negative impact of a new highway on a salt marsh. Ironically, the highway serviced an oceanography institute. My formal interest in Economics came at the University of Georgia. While an undecided major, I had the good fortune to have a series of captivating professors including Hiroaki Hayakawa, Carter Hill and Paul Rubin. Which universities did you attend and why did you choose those educa- tional institutions? I chose the University of Georgia for undergrad because it offered wide variety and a liberal arts education. In addition to economics, I took a lot of history, political science and classics. Describe a “good CMC student.” I defer the definition of ‘good’ to our Philosophy colleagues. Which single person (noneconomist) do you admire the most and why? Emeril Lagasse would be cool Upcoming Events : Aida by Elton John and Tim Rice, December 9 at the Ahmanson Theater, L. A., $20 per student including luxury bus ride and hors d’hoeuvres at Professor Janet Smith’s house before the performance. Limit: 30 students. Administrators/Professors to participate so far: President Gann, Profs. Keil, Mulherin, Smith. Reservations: avanpelt02@mckenna.edu McKenomics Page 2 Harold Mulherin Interview, continued “Hire interesting new faculty who do excellent research and to hang out with. like to fish and bicycle.” What are the next three places in the world you want to visit? Professor Harold Mulherin on “What can CMC do to improve its News and World ranking?” Prof. Mulherin will teach ECON 192 “Topics in Corporate Finance” during the Spring Semester 2002 Morocco, Vietnam and Patagonia. What is the most recent book (academic or not) you read? What is your favorite book? Driving out here this summer, I re-read Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas. My favorite book is the Fountainhead. What is your favorite movie? Casablanca. What are your favorite foods? In Savannah I go for whatever fish, shrimp or crabs that we catch. But when not out on the Atlantic, I never miss a chance to get some fried chicken, collard greens and biscuits at Mrs. Wilkes Boarding House. In New Orleans I ECON 120: Nightmare on 9th St. Statistics is one of the four core requirements for the Economics Major. When I arrived at CMC at the beginning of the 1995-1996 academic year, student work was typically restricted to solving problem sets with perhaps ten data points by hand, or by using antiquated software (MINITAB or MYSTAT), in addition to writing two or three exams. A friend of mine in the Math Department at Bentley College in Massachusetts told me that she had successfully introduced end of semester poster presentations of students in front of a jury of professors. Being faced in my second year here with three sections of ECON 120, I thought about active learning techniques in statistics that complemented the strength of liberal art students: superior presentation skills, both orally and in writing. Towards that end, I introduced a professional Power Point group presentation of students in front of a jury of peers, administrators and faculty, together with a prize. In addition, textbooks or supplementary books were chosen that emphasized statistical computations using Microsoft’s Excel. Some of the End of Semester presentations have been quite remarkable, even if they did not win the Gosset prize for the best presentation. In this issue I want to talk about a presentation titled “Does College GPA determine Starting Salary?” by Maria Anguiano, Giselle Baykal and Sihle Dinani. The students set out to determine whether it paid off for economics majors to study hard in terms of starting salaries. They also wanted to analyze if there was discrimination against females and if you received a higher starting salary offer with an econaccounting degree. They soon found out that it is not a simple task to match starting salary offers to GPA, since the former is collected by the Development Office, while the latter is in the files of the Registrar’s Office. The information is obviously confidential. However, they were able to convince the two offices to match the information anonymously for the year 1999. Unfortunately, they were unable to establish a re- drive across the country this summer, I emphasized Dickie Betts and Eric Clapton, both of whom I caught in State College before heading West. Do you have children? If they are adults, are they economists? If they are not adults yet, what do they want to be when they grow up? Still single. What do you do for fun? Research, bicycling and fishing. by M. Keil lationship for that year between the starting salary and the GPA of students, a result, which in itself is interesting. However, in 1999, the unemployment rate in California was 5.6 percent, meaning that firms were quite desperate to hire any student with an economics degree from CMC. With one week to go before the project was due, I suggested to the students to collect data for 1997, when the unemployment rate was 6.7 percent. Here is what they found for that year: • For every GPA point increase (on a 12 point scale), Economics majors receive $2,170 higher salary offers. • Econ-Accounting Majors received a $4,078 lower average salary offer than Econ Majors. • Females had a $3,226 lower salary offer, controlling for GPA, although their GPA average was not significantly different from that of male students. Interesting, isn’t it? I hope that we will read about your project in this column soon. “For every GPA point increase (on a 12 point scale), Economics majors receive $2,170 higher salary offers.” Watching the degrees of freedom disappear. Volume 1, Issue 50 Page 3 Economics Faculty: Research Interests and Suggested Senior Thesis Topics in Macroeconomics In this section we will list research interests of faculty together with senior thesis topics they would like to see students work on. We hope that this will make it easier to match Juniors and Seniors with the “right” professor. Richard Burdekin (Full Professor). Monetary Economics. Inflation and Deflation. “Monetary Policy and Asset Prices.” Bernanke, B. and M. Gertler, “Monetary Policy and Asset Price Volatility,” in New Challenges for Monetary Policy, Symposium, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Kansas City, 1999, pp. 77-128. “Deflation.” Delong, J.B., “Should We Fear Deflation?” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1999, no. 1, pp. 225-241. “Central Bank Policymaking.” Judd, J. and G. Rudebusch, “Taylor’s Rule and the Fed: 1970-1997,” Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 1998, no. 3, pp. 3-16. “Chinese Economic Reforms.” R. Burdekin, “Ending Inflation in stChina: From Mao to the 21 Century,” Cato Journal, Vol. 20, no. 2, Fall 2000, pp. 223-235. Manfred Keil (Associate Professor). Comparative Economic Performance of Geographic Areas. PoliticoEconomic Interaction. “The New Economy vs. the Phillips Curve.” 1. Taylor, T., “Talking about a New Economy,” The Public Interest, 2001, 3-19. 2. Staiger, D., Stock, J., and M. Watson, “The NAIRU, Unemployment and Mone- tary Policy,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1997, 33-49. “Presidential Approval Ratings and the Rational Electorate: The Role of Consumer Sentiments.” 1. MacKuen, M., Erikson, R. and J. Stimson, “Peasants or Bankers? The American Electorate and the U.S. Economy,” American Political Science Review, 1992, 597-611. 2. Norpoth, H., “Presidents and the Prospective Voter,” Journal of Politics, 1996, 776-92. Marc Weidenmier (Assistant Professor). Money and Inflation, American Economic History. “Money and Inflation.” 1. Burdekin, R. and M. Weidenmier, “Inflation is Always and Everywhere a Monetary Phenomenon: Richmond vs. Houston in 1864,” American Economic Review, forthcoming. 2. Friedman, M. and A. Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States, Chicago: Univ. of Chicago Press, 1963. “Economics of Natural Disasters.” 1. Odell, K. and M. Weidenmier, “Real Shocks, Monetary Aftershock: The San Francisco Earthquake and the Panic of 1907,” Working Paper, The Claremont Colleges, 2001. 2. Odell, K., and M. Weidenmier, “The Road to Recovery: Quakes and Attacks,” San Francisco Chronicle, October 1, 2001. Economics Awards and Prizes And the winner is . . . The 3rd Annual End of Academic Year Awards will be handed out at our end of academic year banquet at the Athenaeum, on May 6, 2002, 6:00-7:30 p.m.. There will be seven awards this year and we list the prizes, together with the names of the recipients for the last two years below. Outstanding Senior Thesis 2001: Richard Hossfeld, "Politico-Economic Interaction in the United States, 1950-2000" 2000: Rebecca Lapin, "From Government Reliance to Nonprofit Reliance: The Effects of Changes in Welfare on Nonprofit Organizations" Outstanding Junior 2001: Nicholas Janof, David Mahler, John O'Brien, Daniel O'Neill Outstanding Major 2001: Thomas Robertson 2000: Leanne Knight Outstanding Achievement in Quantitative Economics 2001: Thomas Robertson 2000: Rebecca Lapin Outstanding Statistics Project 2001: Gregory Beaumont, Emily Kochanowicz, Gavin Teo 2000: Joanna Castro, Richard Hossfeld, Rohan Ranjaraj Outstanding Sophomore 2001: David Giuntini 2000: Daniel O’Neill, Nicholas Janof We will announce a new forecasting prize in the next issue. “Your economic theory makes no sense.” Sting, “The do-do-do, the da-da-da, is all I have to say to you.” Sting. We’re on the Web: http://econ.academic. claremontmckenna. edu/ Claremont McKenna College Civilization Prospers with Commerce The Economics Department at Claremont McKenna College has 20 faculty members. By comparison, Pomona College has only 11 in its Economics Department. Together with the Government Department, it constitutes one of the two most important departments at CMC. This is due to the mission of the college, which states: “[The] mission ... is to educate its students for thoughtful and productive lives and responsible leadership in business, government, and the professions, and to support faculty and student scholarship that contribute to intellectual vitality and the understanding of public policy issues. The College pursues this mission by providing a liberal arts education that emphasizes economics and political science.” There are roughly 400 majors at CMC who will see the word Economics on their B.A. degree, ranging from Economics-Asian Studies to Economics-Theatre. Economics Majors are required to take six elective courses in addition to the core of Principles of Economics, Intermediate Microeconomics, Intermediate Macroeconomics, and Fulfillment of the Statistics Requirement. In terms of number of majors, the most popular is Economics, followed by Econ-Accounting and the Economics-Mathematics Dual major. For more details, Web resources for Economists, and for the Honors Degree requirements, see our Web site. T o p 1 0 L i s t o f “ W h y Yo u W a n t t o b e a n Econ Major at CMC.” During last year’s End of Year Economics Award Banquet, the following Top 10 list “Reasons Why You Want to Be an Economics Major at CMC” was presented. (There are actually 15.) We found it worth repeating here. By Richard Hossfeld, ‘01 and Manfred Keil. # 15: Economists Supply it on Demand. # 14: Learn to use Lagrangians to maximize utility of beer drinking and pizza eating. # 13: Forget bull and bear, go for Nabisco. # 12: It is no fun to be different, so you might as well be an econ major like the rest of the school. # 11: Blue Jean baby, LM lady. # 10: Mick Jagger and Arnold Schwarzenegger both studied economics and look at how they turned out. # 9: You don’t have to worry about grade inflation at CMC. # 8: The development office will make sure never to lose your address after graduation. # 7: Understand the term “fringe department.” # 6: You get to take classes from the best professors CMC has. Just ask them, they will tell you # 5: You understand why the economist was not embarrassed to introduce his partner by saying, “Have you met my wife, Mrs. Slutzky?” # 4: Homoskedasticity good, heteroskedasticity bad. # 3: You can say “trickle down” with a straight face. # 2:Receive special swim suit edition of The Economist with Alan Greenspan on the cover. And the Number One Reason why you want to be an Economics Major at CMC is: 1. You don’t have to worry when Pomona students chant, “that’s alright, that’s ok, you’ll be working for us someday.”